Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-26-22 | Akron v. Northern Illinois -10 | 44-12 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
Akron @ Northern Illinois 1:30 PM ET Game# 183-184 Play On: Northern Illinois -10.0 (5*) College Football home favorites of 6.5 to 14.0 (Northern Illinois) that are coming off a home SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 35.0 points or less, versus teams like Akron who have a win percentage of .250 to .400 and coming off a loss by 3 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 18-2 ATS (90%) since 1986. The home favorites won all 20 of those games straight up and by an average of 19.7 points per contest. Give me Northern Illinois minus the points. |
|||||||
11-26-22 | Coastal Carolina v. James Madison -14 | 7-47 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
Coastal Carolina @ James Madison 12:00 PM ET Game# 175-176 Play On: James Madison -14.0 (5*) I’m aware of the fact that Coastal Carolina star quarterback was lost to a season ending injury. However, this is still a Coastal Carolina team that’s ranked #23 in the latest College Football Playoff Rankings with an outstanding 9-1 record. Yet, here they are as a 2-touchdown underdog versus an unranked conference opponent with a 7-3 record. Coastal is the sucker play of the week. Give me James Madison minus the points. |
|||||||
11-25-22 | Nebraska v. Iowa -10.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Nebraska @ Iowa 4:00 PM ET Game# 131-132 Play On: Iowa -10.5 (10*) Nebraska is 0-5 in their last 5 games and scored 14 or less on 4 of those occasions. Iowa is a red-hot 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 and allowed 13 points or less in all 4 of those games while also recording a turnover differential of +7. As a matter of fact, the Hawkeyes have allowed 13 points or fewer in 9 of 11 games this season. Iowa has defeated Nebraska 7 straight times. College Football conference home favorites of 10.5 to 17.5 that are coming off a conference win by 48 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Nebraska) coming off a loss by 3 points or fewer, resulted in those conference home favorites withing the above stated point-spread going 19-1 ATS (95%) since 2006. Give me Iowa minus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
|||||||
11-25-22 | Duke -4.5 v. Xavier | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
Duke @ Xavier 3:30 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Duke -4.5 (10*) Xavier enters this Phil Knight Invitational Semifinal having in Portland. Oregon having scored an average of 85.8 points scored per game this season. The Musketeers have also allowed 81 points or more in each of their previous 2 games. College Basketball neutral site favorites versus an opponent that averages 84.0 or more points scored per game who also allowed 80 points or greater in each of their last 2 games, resulted in those favorites going 39-13 ATS (75%) since 1997. The average line for those favorites during those 37 contests was 5.8 and they outscored their opponents by an average of 10.2 points per game. Give me Duke minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-24-22 | Giants v. Cowboys -10 | Top | 20-28 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 18 m | Show |
Game# 107-108 Play On: Dallas -10.0 (10*) Both teams are 7-3 but that’s where the similarity ends. Dallas is a legitimate contender to reach the Super Bowl and is getting better each week as the season has progressed. The Giants have been a nice story as they’ve vastly overachieved and the statistical numbers and analytic convincingly support those statements. Dallas is coming off a 40-3 win at Minnesota (8-2). While the Giants come off a home favorite SU loss to Detroit (4-6). NFL home favorites of 6.5 to 12 after Game 4 and are coming off an away win by 23 or more in which it scored 28 points or greater, versus an opponent (Giants) who is coming off a home favorite SU loss, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The average victory margin came by 22.0 points per game. |
|||||||
11-23-22 | Wolves v. Pacers +2 | 115-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Indiana 7:10 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Indiana +2.0 (5*) Indiana enters this contest having gone 8-2 SU&9-1 ATS during its previous 10 games played and that includes a current 5-game unbeaten streak. During this 5-game winning streak the Pacers have held opponents to a mere 40.9% shooting and 30.1 from 3-point territory while outscoring them by an average of 11.2 points per game. The Pacers will be up to the challenge against a Minnesota team which is also on a win streak of 4-games. Give me the Indiana Pacers. |
|||||||
11-23-22 | Kent State v. College of Charleston -2 | Top | 72-74 | Push | 0 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
Kent State @ Charleston 6:00 PM ET Game# 693-694 Play On: Charleston -2.0 (10*) Kent State is 5-0 but they have played a substantially weaker schedule than 4-1 Charleston has faced. Charleston’s lone loss came at #1 North Carolina by 16 and they led that contest by 8 points at the half. Charleston has recorded quality wins over Davidson, Colorado State, and Virginia Tech. They’re battle tested and are a perfect 5-0 at home while covering 4 of those contests. Give me Charleston minus the small number. |
|||||||
11-22-22 | UL - Lafayette +1.5 v. SMU | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette @ SMU 8:30 PM ET Game# 615-616 Play On: UL-Lafayette +1.5 (5*) SMU has traditionally had a strong home court over the last couple of decades. However, here they are as a short 3.5-point favorite against a Sun Belt Conference opponent. The Mustangs are off to a disappointing 2-2 start, and they’ve shot 35.9% or worse in each of their previous 3 games. Their 2 losses this season were by 21 at home versus New Mexico and by 12 at Dayton. UL-Lafayette is 4-0 and returns 4 starters from a season ago. They average 89.0 points scored per game while shooting 50.8% from the field and 41.4% from beyond the 3-point line. Give me UL-Lafayette plus the points. |
|||||||
11-22-22 | Liberty +3.5 v. Northwestern | 52-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Liberty vs. Northwestern 8:30 PM ET Game# 667-668 Play On: Liberty +3.5 (5*) Northwestern is off to an encouraging 4-0 start to the season, and they won all those contests by 8-points or more. Yet, here they are as just a small favorite on a neutral floor versus a 2-2 Liberty team from the Atlantic Sun Conference. This one has trap play written all over it. Give me Liberty plus the points. |
|||||||
11-22-22 | Southern Indiana +6.5 v. St Bonaventure | 66-80 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Southern Indiana @ St. Bonaventure 7:00 PM ET Game# 607-608 Play On: Southern Indiana +6.5 (5*) St. Bonaventure is still a team in transition after losing all 5 starters from a season ago. The Bonnies are 2-2 with losses to Canisius and South Dakota State. Their 2 wins both came by exactly 13 points over Bowling Green and St. Francis (Pa.) who aren’t exactly elite Division 1 programs. Don’t sleep on Southern Indiana. They enter this contest 2-2 with their losses coming at Notre Dame by 12 and at Missouri by 6. The silver linings in those losses, they covered both contests and showed they can be extremely competitive versus Power Conference teams. This is a team that has shot 50.4% from the field, 45.7% from 3-point territory, and in 3 games versus Division 1 opponents has a +1.0 rebound per game differential. Give me Southern Indiana plus the points. |
|||||||
11-21-22 | Mercer +7 v. Florida State | 72-81 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Mercer @ Florida State 6:30 PM ET Game# 743-744 Play On: Mercer +7.0 (5*) Mercer is 2-2 with both losses coming by 2 points on each occasion. Florida State is 0-4 including home losses to Stetson and Troy. As a matter of fact, they were defeated at home by 9 versus archrival Florida in their previous game. Additionally, they blew a 17-point halftime lead in that contest and even failed to cover as a 7.0-point underdog. The Seminoles are -10 rebounds per game while Mercer is at +7 in the same category. Give me Mercer plus the points. |
|||||||
11-20-22 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show | |
Kansas City @ LA Chargers 8:20 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Chargers +5.5 (5*) Kansas City has ruled the roost in the AFC West for several seasons. Although, the Chargers have enjoyed more success than most against them recently. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Kansas City. They were also 2-3 SU in those contests and their 3 losses came by just a combined 12 points. Los Angeles should also receive a huge boost with the return of starting wide receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams from injuries. The Chargers offense takes on a whole other level when both players have been healthy and on the field at the same time. If the Chargers have any hope of realistically winning the AFC West Division, then this is a must-win game. At the very worse this goes right down to the wire which favors underdogs of better than a field goal. Personally, I believe the Chargers are full capable of pulling off the upset in this spot. Nevertheless, I won’t be greedy and take the points. Give me the LA Chargers plus the points. |
|||||||
11-20-22 | Kentucky v. Gonzaga -4 | 72-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Kentucky @ Gonzaga 7:30 PM ET Game# 689-690 Play On: Gonzaga -4.0 (5*) |
|||||||
11-20-22 | Panthers v. Ravens -12.5 | 3-13 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 23 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Baltimore 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Baltimore -12.5 (5*) Carolina is coming off a 25-15 home underdog SU win over Atlanta. NFL betting historu throughout the past 29 season has shown that double-digit road underdogs coming off a home underdog SU win don’t fare well at all in the following game. Any NFL home favorite of 11.5 to 16.0 (Baltimore) that’s playing after Game 2, versus an opponent (Carolina) coming off a home underdog upset win, resulted in those home favorites within that point-spread parameter going 26-2 ATS (92.8%) since 1994. The home teams also won all 28 of those games SU and by an enormous average of 23.4 points per game. Give me Baltimore minus the double-digit number. |
|||||||
11-20-22 | Bears v. Falcons -2.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Atlanta 1:00 PM ET Game# 465-466 Play On: Atlanta -2.5 (5*) Atlanta is 3-2 at home this season and their 2 losses came by only a combined 4 points. Although the Falcons are an uninspiring 4-6 this season, they still only trail 1st place Tampa Bay by 1.0-game in the NFC South standing. The Falcons enter Sunday on it’s 2nd 2-game losing streak of the season. The last time that occurred, they followed it up with an impressive 27-23 win at Seattle (6-4) who currently is the NFC West Division leader. By the way, Chicago is 5-15 SU and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 away games. Give me Atlanta minus the points. |
|||||||
11-19-22 | Jazz +3.5 v. Blazers | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Utah @ Portland 10:10 PM ET. Game# 535-536 Play On: Utah +3.5 (5*) I usually don’t like taking teams like Utah that are playing with no rest versus an opponent who is. However, there’s an exception to every one of my tendencies and this is one of those spots. Portland is coming off last night’s 134-133 home win over Phoenix in a game they shot a scalding hot 56.0%. The Jazz are 4-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they shot 50% or better and won by an average of 9.0-points per contest. This will be the first meeting of the season between these division rivals. The Jazz were 4-0 SU&ATS versus Portland last season and won by a substantial average of 26.5 points per game. Give me Utah plus the points. |
|||||||
11-19-22 | Western Kentucky +5.5 v. Auburn | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 35 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky @ Auburn 4:00 PM ET Game# 365-366 Play On: Western Kentucky +5.5 This comes down to some fundamental college football handicapping principles. Auburn has endured a season to forget thus far and has lost 5 of its last 6 games. During their 3 wins versus FBS opponents this season they outscored their opponents by only a combined 14 points. Here’s the topper, up next for Auburn is a bitter rivalry game with Alabama. This is a text book flat spot for an already struggling Tigers team. Western Kentucky has gone a perfect 5-0 ATS in road games and won 3 of those contests straight up. Their only 2 SU losses came by exactly 3 points at Indiana and at UTSA. During those 5 away contests, the Hilltoppers averaged 40.2 points scored and 494.6 yards per game. Give me Western Kentucky plus the points. |
|||||||
11-19-22 | Texas -9 v. Kansas | 55-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
Texas @ Kansas 3:30 PM ET Game# 363-364 Play On: Texas -9.0 (5*) Any conference away favorite of 4.5 to 10.0 with a win percentage of .44 or better, and they’re coming off a game in which they scored and allowed 17 points or fewer, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .285 or better, resulted in those away favorites going 28-4 ATS (87.5%) since 2009. Give me Texas minus the points. |
|||||||
11-19-22 | Duke v. Pittsburgh -7 | 26-28 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
Duke @ Pittsburgh 12:00 PM ET Game# 333-334 Play On: Pittsburgh -7.0 (5*) College Football home favorites of 3.0 to 12.0 that are coming off a road win by 10 points or more, and have a win percentage of .600 or better, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .700 or better coming off 3 consecutive wins with all versus conference opponents, resulted in those home favorites going 41-9 (82%) ATS since 1996. Give me Pittsburgh minus the points. |
|||||||
11-19-22 | Northwestern v. Purdue -17 | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
Northwestern @ Purdue 12:00 PM ET Game# 345-346 Play On: Purdue -17.0 (5*) College Football favorites of 13.0 to 20.0 with a winning record, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .250 or worse and is coming off 7 or more consecutive losses, resulted in those favorites going 19-0 ATS since 2013. The average victory margin in those 19 contests came by a substantial average of 29.8 points per game. Give me Purdue minus the points. |
|||||||
11-19-22 | Connecticut v. Army -10 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show | |
Connecticut @ Army 12:00 PM ET Game# 351-352 Play On: Army -10.0 (5*) File this one in the just doesn’t make sense category. We have a UConn football program that’s been revived to relevance under head coach Jim Mora Jr. The Huskies are bowl eligible with a 6-5 record and are about to an Army team that’s an awful 1-6 this season versus FBS opponents. Yet, Army is a double-digit favorite over the upstart Huskies. Can you say contrarian pick? I certainly can just out of a matter of principle. Give me Army minus the points. |
|||||||
11-18-22 | San Diego State -14 v. New Mexico | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
San Diego State @ New Mexico 9:45 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: San Diego State -14.0 (5*) San Diego State is 6-4 (.600) and is facing a New Mexico team who’s 2-8 (.200). Additionally, the Lobos have lost 7 consecutive games in a row heading into tonight, and they failed to cover on 6 of those occasions. This sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle listed below. During this 7-game New Mexico losing streak, they were outscored by an average of 22.4 points per game. San Diego State has won 8 straight over New Mexico. College Football away favorites of 13.0 to 21.5 with a winning record, versus opponents with a win percentage of .250 or worse and they’re coming off 6 or more consecutive losses, resulted in those road favorites going 23-4 ATS (85.2%) since 2013. Give me San Diego State minus the points. |
|||||||
11-18-22 | Villanova v. Michigan State -6 | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Villanova @ Michigan State Game# 827-828 Play On: Michigan State -6.0 (5*) |
|||||||
11-18-22 | Florida -6.5 v. Florida State | 76-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Florida @ Florida State 8:00 PM ET Game# 829-830 Play On: Florida -6.5 (5*) |
|||||||
11-17-22 | California Baptist +8.5 v. Washington | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Cal Baptist @ Washington 11:00 PM ET Game# 759-760 Play On: Cal Baptist +8.5 (5*) |
|||||||
11-17-22 | Titans v. Packers -3 | 27-17 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Green Bay 8:15 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Green Bay -3.0 (5*) You may be wondering how 6-3 (.666) Tennessee is an underdog versus a Packers team with an uninspiring 4-6 (.400) record. Well, look inside the numbers and you’ll find that Green Bay despite their losing record has outgained their opponents by an average of 32.0 yards per game. Conversely, Tennessee is somehow 3 games above .500 despite being outgained 76.0 yards per game. The Titans also average a paltry 281.7 yards of total offense per game on the season. We must also keep in mind, that Green Bay is 24-3 in their last 27 home games and that includes 14-0 if after Game 6. The Packers are averaging an impressive 35:17 in time of possession in their 4 home games this season. The Packers are coming off a momentum building 31-28 home overtime win over Dallas in a game they overcame a 14-point 4th quarter deficit. NFL favorites of 9.5 or less that are coming off a SU&ATS win in which they covered by 4.0-points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .428 or better, resulted in those favorites going 14-0 SU&ATS since 2017. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests came by an average of 13.1 points per game. Give me Green Bay minus the points. |
|||||||
11-17-22 | Davidson v. College of Charleston -3 | 66-89 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Davidson @ Charleston 7:30 PM ET Game# 767-768 Play On: Charleston -3.0 (5*) |
|||||||
11-17-22 | North Dakota State v. Indiana State -11.5 | 75-101 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
North Dakota State @ Indiana State 7:00 PM ET Game# 725-726 Play On: Indiana State -11.5 (5*) |
|||||||
11-16-22 | Knicks v. Nuggets -3.5 | 106-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
New York @ Denver 10:10 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Denver -3.5 (5*) The Nuggets will be without star center Nikola Jokic tonight. However, the line as been adjusted accordingly for his absence. Denver is 5-1 in their last 6 and will be playing on 2 days rest. Their only loss in that sequence came against an 11-3 Boston team who is currently on a 7-game win streak. New York is coming off last night’s 118-111 win at Utah. The Knicks are 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 following a win and lost by a decisive margin of 15.7 points per game. Give me Denver minus the points. |
|||||||
11-16-22 | Celtics -2.5 v. Hawks | 126-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Boston @ Atlanta 7:40 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Boston -2.5 (5*) The red-hot Boston Celtics will enter this contest riding a 7-game win streak. They’ll be facing an Atlanta team coming off a 121-106 win at Milwaukee as a 4.5-point underdog. NBA road favorites versus an opponent (Atlanta) coming off a road underdog SU upset win by 10 points or more resulted in those road favorites going 50-11 SU since 2018, and with an average victory margin of 9.0 points per contest. Considering the small number we are being asked to cover, the SU results in this precise situation takes on added significance. Give me Boston minus the small number. |
|||||||
11-16-22 | Pacers +2.5 v. Hornets | 125-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Charlotte 7:10 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Indiana +2.5 (5*) Charlotte is coming off a 112-105 win at Orlando in their previous game. The Hornets are 0-3 SU&ATS this season following a win and lost by 7.3 points per contest. Simply put, Charlotte hasn’t won 2 consecutive games so far in this 2022-2023 NBA campaign. The Hornets are also 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home. Conversely, Indiana is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games and won 5 of those contests SU. Give me Indiana plus the small number. |
|||||||
11-15-22 | NC-Wilmington +12.5 v. Oklahoma | 53-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
UNC-Wilmington @ Oklahoma 8:00 PM ET Game# 625-636 Play On: UNC-Wilmington +12.5 (5*) Wilmington accounted themselves very well in a 69-56 loss at #1 North Carolina in their season opener. They easily covered that contest as a 23.0-point underdog and were a +5 on the boards against a North Carolina team which has been one of the best nationally in rebounding during recent seasons. Conversely, Oklahoma has been unimpressive in their first 2 games of the season. The Sooner lost at home versus Sam Houston State as a 16.5-point favorite. They also had an uninspiring 8-point home win over Arkansas Pine Bluff but didn’t come close to covering as a 27.5-point favorite. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see this game go right down to the wire. Give me UNC-Wilmington plus the points. |
|||||||
11-14-22 | Stetson +8 v. South Florida | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Stetson @ South Florida 7:00 Game# 1643-1644 Play On: Stetson +8.0 (5*) Stetson is 1-0 and that victory came last Monday 83-74 at Florida State in a game they closed as an 18.0-point underdog. South Florida is 0-2 and that includes a 64-61 loss to Southeast Missouri State in a game they closed as an 11.0-point home favorite. The Bulls will once again be a squad that struggles to produce offensively which has been an unfortunate common trend for them in recent seasons. Give me Stetson plus the points. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Cardinals +3 v. Rams | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
Arizona @ LA Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Arizona +3.0 (5*) This will be a meeting between teams that have played well below expectations thus far. The defending world champion Rams have scored 14 points or fewer in 5 of 8 games this season. Conversely, although Arizona hasn’t exactly accumulated an enormous number of total yards during its past 3 game, they have been extremely opportunistic. Case in point, during that previously mentioned 3- game stretch, Arizona has an excellent 1 point scored per every 10.8 yards gained ratio. It’s also worth noting, that since the start of last season, Arizona is a perfect 7-0 ATS versus opponents that average forcing 1.0 or less turnover per game. The Rams have forced just 8 turnovers in 8 games and 7 of those takeaways occurred in the first 2 weeks of the season. Give me Arizona plus the points. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Cowboys v. Packers +4.5 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Green Bay 4:25 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Green Bay +4.5 (5*) Dallas looks like the sucker bet of the week. The Cowboys are coming off a bye week and their last game resulted in an impressive 49-29 home win over Chicago. On the flip side to this equation is a Green Bay team which has lost 5 straight and has looked pathetic offensively while doing so. However, only 1 of those 5 losses occurred at home. The fact remains, the Packers still possess an extremely strong home field, and couple that with being an underdog, equals betting value. How strong is their home field advantage? I’m glad you asked, Green Bay has gone 23-3 (.885) in their last 26 regular season home games. I’m taking the Lambeau Leap! Give me the Packers plus the points. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Colts v. Raiders -4.5 | 25-20 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
Indianapolis @ Las Vegas 4:05 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Las Vegas -4.5 (5*) The Raiders are in a rare situation in which they’re coming off away favorite SU losses in each of their previous 2 games. NFL betting history on home favorites within the current point-spread parameter have done have never failed to cover in that rarified air. That’s been especially the case of those games took place in the 2nd half of the season. Furthermore, they’ll be facing a Colts team that’s gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and scored a pathetic 9.7 points per game. NFL home favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 like Las Vegas that are coming off back-to-back away favorite SU losses, and they’re playing after Game 8, resulted in those favorites within those point-spread parameters going 11-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory 11 contests came by a convincing 16.2 points per game. Give me Las Vegas minus the points. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Browns +4 v. Dolphins | Top | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 6 m | Show |
Browns @ Dolphins 1:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Browns +4.0 (10*) Miami is currently on a 3-game win streak. However, those 3 victories came against Pittsburgh (2-6), Detroit (2-6), and Chicago (3-6) who have a combined season record of 7-18 (.280). Furthermore, all 3 of those wins came by 6 points or fewer. During their previous game which resulted in a 35-32 win at Chicago, they allowed the Bears to rush for 252 yards and an alarmingly high average of 6.3 yards per attempt. Miami will be facing Cleveland’s #3 rushing offense in the NFL that averages 164.6 yards per game on the ground and 5.0 yards per attempt. The only teams that rank higher than Cleveland in that department are the Bears and Ravens, and both have extremely mobile quarterbacks (Lamar Jackson, Justin Fields) who have combined to rush for 1237 yards thus far this season. So, we can make a strong case that the Dolphins defense will be facing the best conventional rushing attack in the NFL. Cleveland is just 3-5 this season. However, 4 of their 5 losses came by just a combined 9 points. With a little bit of luck, they very easily could be 7-1. My point being, the Browns are a much better team than their record indicates. They’ll also enter this contest off a momentum building 32-13 home win over the defending AFC champion Cincinnati Bengals and did so as a 3.0-point home underdog. Additionally, the Browns are coming off their bye week while Miami played last Sunday. The Browns will be able to run the ball with a high degree of success and in turn dominate time of possession. Hence, limiting an explosive Dolphins offense in terms of number of possessions. By the way, Cleveland has gone 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5 or greater and won 3 of those 7 contests straight up. Their 4 SU losses in that situation all came by 5 points or fewer. Give me the Browns plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Seahawks +3 v. Bucs | 16-21 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
Seattle @ Tampa Bay 9:30 AM ET Game# 241-242 Play On: Seattle +3.0 (5*) Seattle is coming off a 31-21 win over Arizona. The Seahawks have now gone a red-hot 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 with 3 of those coming as an underdog. Conversely, Tampa Bay is coming off a 20-17 home win over the Rams. Prior to that victory, the Bucs were 0-3 SU&ATS in their previous 3 and 1-5 SU&ATS over its last 6. What was perceived to be a potent Tampa Bay offense before the season began has fizzled to the tune of scoring 22 points or fewer in 8 of 9 games. NFL teams like Seattle that are coming off a division SU win by 8 points or greater, versus an opponent (Tampa Bay) with a win percentage of .888 or less and coming off a home win by 3 points or fewer, resulted in those teams like Seattle going 31-0 SU since 1993. If those teams were an underdog in those contests, they were 4-0 SU&ATS. The average point-spread in those 4 contests was 4.3 and the margin of victory came by a decisive 14.7 points per game. Give me Seattle plus the points. |
|||||||
11-12-22 | TCU v. Texas -7 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 2 m | Show |
TCU @ Texas 7:30 PM ET Game# 199-200 Play On: Texas -7.0 (10*) I have preached to whomever will listen, “think like an oddsmaker”. By doing so, you will have a huge edge when compared with many sports bettors in terms of your ability to pick winners. If the season were to end today, the unbeaten 9-0 TCU Horned Frogs would be the #4 seed in the College Football Playoffs. Yet, here they are as a sizable underdog versus a Texas team which enters this matchup with just a 6-3 record. It’s worth noting, despite their 9-0 record, TCU has won 6 of its last 7 by 10 points or fewer. The sportsbooks thrive off bettors who make which are perceived to be obvious picks, and they will again after this contest goes final as well. College Football conference home favorites of between 2.5 to 10.0 (Texas) who have a win percentage of .875 or less, facing an undefeated team (TCU) that’s playing after Game 7 and they’re coming off a SU win by 12 points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0-1 ATS and 14-0 SU since 1983. The average victory margin during those 14 contests came by 15.6 points per contest. Give me Texas minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-12-22 | Alabama -11.5 v. Ole Miss | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 53 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Ole Miss 3:30 PM ET Game# 205-206 Play On: Alabama -12.0 (5*) Alabama is 7-2 and coming off an upset loss at Tennessee in a game they closed as a 13.0-point favorite. Yet, here they are as a double-digit road favorite 7 days later versus #11 Ole Miss (8-1) with a lot to play for with regards to College Football Playoff aspirations. We need to think like an oddsmaker in this spot and go against public perception. Besides, since 2001, College Football away double-digit favorites that are coming off an away double-digit favorite upset loss, resulted in those teams going 8-1 ATS and 9-0. The average margin of victory in those contests came by 26.7 points per game. Roll Tide Roll! Give me Alabama minus the points. |
|||||||
11-12-22 | Northwestern v. Minnesota -17 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
Northwestern @ Minnesota 3:30 PM ET Game# 171-172 Play On: Minnesota -17.0 (5*) Northwestern has been offensively anemic this season while scoring just 16.7 points per games. That ranks #126 out of 131 teams playing Division 1 football. Conversely, Minnesota is #4 nationally in scoring defense and allows only 14.2 points per game. The Golden Gophers are also #16 nationally in rushing offense while Northwestern is an abysmal #112 defending the run. Not exactly an ideal matchup for a mightily struggling Northwestern team. After winning their season opener versus Nebraska, the Northwestern Wildcats have lost 8 consecutive games. Minnesota is coming off back-to-back wins which has improved their season record to 6-3 (.667). This sets up an extremely profitable College Football betting angle displayed below. College Football favorites of 13.5 to 19.5-points with a winning record, facing opponents with a win percentage of .250 or worse and they’ve lost 6 or more consecutive games, resulted in those favorites going 26-4 ATS (86.6%) since 2013. The favorites were also a perfect 30-0 SU and won by an average of 238.1 points per game. Give me Minnesota minus the points. |
|||||||
11-11-22 | BYU v. San Diego State -10.5 | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
BYU @ San Diego State 10:30 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: San Diego State -10.5 (5*) BYU narrowly escaped with a 60-56 win in their season opener versus Idaho State in a game they closed as a 23.5-point home favorite. The Cougars shot a poor 37.3% in that win. Not to mention the fact that BYU committed an alarming 23 turnovers as well. They’ll be facing a San Diego State team coming off a 80-57 home win versus UC-Fullerton. The Aztecs forced 18 turnovers in that victory while also shooting a blistering hot 53.8% from the field. San Diego State returns 4 starters from a season ago that will have plenty of revenge after losing to BYU in each of the last 2 season. Give me San Diego State minus the points. |
|||||||
11-11-22 | Florida Atlantic +5.5 v. Ole Miss | 67-80 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
FAU @ Ole Miss 7:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: FAU +5.5 (5*) Ole Miss is coming off an uninspiring 73-58 home win over Alcorn State in their season opener and failed to cover as a 20.0-point favorite. That makes the Rebels a dismal 5-13 ATS as a favorite since the start of last season and with just a +3.3 point per game differential in those contests. This point-spread jumped right off the screen at me with Ole Miss as just a 6.0-point home favorite versus a Conference USA team which has enjoyed little to no success in recent years. Give me FAU plus the points. |
|||||||
11-11-22 | NC-Greensboro +10.5 v. Miami-FL | 65-79 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
UNC-Greensboro @ Miami Fla. 7:00 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: UNC-Greensboro +10.5 (5*) Miami is coming off an unimpressive 67-54 win over Lafayette and didn’t come close to covering as a 26.5-point home favorite. Even more concerning is they shot just 37.2% in that game versus what should have been an overmatched Patriot League opponent. Miami has now gone and awful 5-15 ATS as a home favorite since 2020. They will be facing an experienced NC-Greensboro team that returns all 5 starters from a season ago. Give me UNC-Greensboro plus the points. |
|||||||
11-09-22 | Pelicans v. Bulls +2 | 115-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Chicago 8:10 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Chicago +2.0 (5*) The Pelicans are averaging a robust a robust 118.5 points per game. However, they’ve gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 on the road and allowed 120 points or more on each occasion. Chicago is 4-1 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home this season. This will mark the first time that the Bulls will be hosting a non-conference opponent. They went 12-3 SU last season at home versus non-conference opponents. NBA teams like Chicago who are +3.0 to -3.0 who are playing before Game 42 and facing an opponent averaging 118.0 or more points scored per game, resulted in those home teams going 33-8 SU (81%) since 1996. Give me Chicago plus the small number. |
|||||||
11-09-22 | Nuggets v. Pacers +6 | 122-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Denver @ Indiana 7:10 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Indiana +6.0 (5*) The Pacers began this season by losing 4 of its first 5 game. Since then, they’ve gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS with all those Pacers results coming as an underdog. Denver is 7-3 but just 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS on the road. This contest has the earmarks of a close game and I wouldn’t be shocked to see Indiana walk off with another SU underdog win. Nevertheless, let’s not get greedy and proceed to take the points being given to us. Give me Detroit plus the points. |
|||||||
11-08-22 | Ball State v. Toledo -11 | 21-28 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Ball State @ Toledo 8:00 PMET Game# 105-106 Play On: Toledo -11.0 (5*) Toledo is coming off a 27-24 road win at Eastern Michigan. Ball State is coming off a 27-20 win at Kent State in a game they closed as a +6.5 underdog. This sets up an exceptional College Football betting angle displayed below. College Football home favorites of 9.5 to 23.5 (Toledo) that aren’t undefeated and they’re coming off a road win, versus an opponent (Ball State) with a win percentage of .636 or less who is coming off a conference win as an underdog of 6.0 or greater, resulted in those home favorites going 25-2 ATS (92.5%) since 2005. |
|||||||
11-06-22 | Rams v. Bucs -2.5 | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
LA Rams @ Tampa Bay 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Tampa Bay -2.5 (5*) This is a battle of 2 NFC teams who are off to extremely disappointing starts to the season. Keep in mind, these teams are the last 2 Super Bowl winners. The good news, barring a push, 1 of these teams will get an ATS cover. The Rams are coming off a last Sunday’s 31-14 loss to their bitter rival San Francisco 49ers which dropped their season record to 3-4 (.428). The Rams offense has been ineffective over its last 4 contests while averaging only 14.3 points scored and 290.1 yards gained per game. Tampa Bay has gone a shocking 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS in their previous 6. They enter this week with a vastly underachieving 3-5 record. However, Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay offense have still generated an impressive 306.8 yards per game passing throughout their previous 5 contests. The Buccaneers will also be out to revenge a 30-27 home loss to the Rams in the NFC Divisional Round this past January. NFL favorites playing after Game 7, and they’re facing an opponent (Rams) with a win percentage of .400 to .490 that’s coming off a SU favorite loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those favorites going 17-1 SU&ATS (94.4%) since 2013. Give me Tampa Bay minus the points. |
|||||||
11-06-22 | Vikings v. Commanders +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Washington 1:00 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Washington +3.0 (5*) Minnesota is coming off last Sunday’s 34-26 home win over Arizona. Washington is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 which includes last week’s upset win as an underdog at Indianapolis. NFL home underdogs of 3.5 or less (Washington) playing after Game 6 who have gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3, and their previous win came as an underdog, and they’re facing an opponent (Minnesota) coming off a SU win, resulted in this home underdogs going 16-0 ATS since 1981. The underdogs also went 15-1 SU in those contests. Give me Washington plus the points. |
|||||||
11-06-22 | Chargers -3 v. Falcons | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 24 h 54 m | Show | |
LA Chargers @ Atlanta 1:00 PM ET Game#461-462 Play On: LA Chargers -3.0 (5*) The Atlanta Falcons enter Week 9 of the season sitting atop the NFC South standings with a 4-3 record. Yet, they’re a home underdog against a Chargers team which has an identical 4-3 record. The Chargers will be able to move the ball through the air with ease in this matchup. The Chargers are #4 in pass offense through 8 weeks while averaging 279.4 yards per game. Conversely, Atlanta is dead last in the NFL when it comes to pass defense while allowing an alarmingly high 306.9 yards per game. The Chargers are coming off a 37-23 loss to Seattle as a 4.5-point home favorite. NFL away favorites of 7.0 or less (Chargers) coming off a SU favorite upset loss in which they allowed 35 points or greater, resulted in those road favorites going 20-1 ATS and 21-0 SU since 2015. The average victory margin in those 21 contests came by a decisive 13.6 points per game. Give me the Chargers minus the points. |
|||||||
11-05-22 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt +6.5 | 38-27 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 37 m | Show | |
South Carolina @ Vanderbilt 7:30 PM ET Game# 395-396 Play On: Vanderbilt +6.5 (5*) South Carolina cracked the Top 25 for the first time this season 2 weeks ago. However, it was short lived after being knocked off by Missouri 23-10 as a 3.5-point home favorite. Now they enter this matchup against lowly Vanderbilt as just a touchdown road favorite. The Vanderbilt Commodores have lost 4 straight since opening the season 3-1. However, 3 of those 4 losses came at the hands of #6 Alabama, #3 Georgia, and #11 Ole Miss. Their other loss came at Missouri 17-14 in a game they easily covered as a 14.0-point road underdog. This goes right down to the wire. Give me Vanderbilt plus the points. |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Auburn v. Mississippi State -12.5 | 33-39 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Mississippi State 7:30 PM ET Game# 397-398 Play On: Mississippi State -12.5 (5*) Since starting the season 2-0, Auburn has lost 5 of their last 6, and quite frankly were extremely lucky in the lone win in that sequence when Missouri handed them a 17-4 victory in overtime. The Tigers missed a chip shot 22-yard field goal on the final play of regulation time, and then fumbled at the Auburn 1 in overtime which would have given them the win. All the negativity surrounding the football program and its obvious lack of success resulted in head coach Brian Harsin being fired this past Sunday. Mississippi State has struggled in SEC away games which is evidenced by an 0-3 SU&ATS record in those contests. However, the Bulldogs are a perfect 4-0 at home, and each of those victories came by 18 points or greater. They’ve also scored 40 points or more in all 4 at home. On the other hand, Auburn has scored 24 points or fewer in 6 of 7 games versus FBS opponents. Auburn has also allowed 41 points or more in each of their previous 3 games. Give me Mississippi State minus the points. |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Clemson v. Notre Dame +4 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 35 m | Show | |
Clemson @ Notre Dame 7:30 PM ET Game# 421-422 Play On: Notre Dame +4.0 (5*) Unlike other past Clemson teams that have contended for a national title, this 8-0 Tigers team has managed to escape with a trio of 1 score wins, and it includes each of their previous 2 games played. Those last 2 wins each came by exactly 6 points over Syracuse and Florida State. They also beat Wake Forest in overtime earlier this season. Notre Dame ran the ball down Syracuse’s throat last week while amassing 246 yards rushing and average over 5 yards per running attempt. Florida State showed a few weeks back that Clemson can be run on. The Seminoles had 206 yards rushing in that contest while also averaging a robust 6.1 yards per attempt. The strength of this Notre Dame team is running the ball behind an outstanding offensive line. This will be just the 11th time since 2008 that Notre Dame will be a home underdog. They went 7-3 ATS and 6-4 in their previous 11 in that role. Furthermore, if the Irish didn’t enter those games undefeated, they were a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS. The Irish started the season 2-0, but they’ve rebounded to win 5 of their last 6. Give me Notre Dame plus the points. |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Troy -3.5 v. UL-Lafayette | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
Troy @ UL-Lafayette 5:00 PM ET Game# 391-392 Play On: Troy -3.5 (5*) Troy is coming off a Sun Belt Conference 10-6 win at South Alabama in their previous game. That victory was the 5th in a row for the Trojans and improved their season record to 6-2. Their only 2 losses came at nationally ranked Ole Miss 28-10 and at Appalachian State 32-28 when they allowed a miracle Hail Mary touchdown pass on the last play of the game. It’s been a to0ugh transition for UL-Lafayette in the first year since former head coach Billy Napier took the Florida job. They Rajun Cajuns are just 3-4 this season versus FBS teams. College Football away favorites of between 3.5 and 10.0 with a win percentage of .428 or better (Troy) who scored and allowed 17 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent (UL-Lafayette) coming off a loss by 3 points or more, resulted in those road favorites going an unbeaten 8-0 ATS since 2018. It is a short sample size, but those 8 road favorites of 3.5 to 10.0 won those contests by an average of 32.1 points per game. This is a strong betting situation for the road favorite. Give me Troy minus the points. |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Tennessee v. Georgia -8 | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Georgia 3:30 PM ET Game# 399-400 Play On: Georgia -8.0 (5*) Here’s the thing, Georgia remains #1 and Tennessee #2 in the AP Poll. However, the first College Football Playoff Rankings came out this week and had Tennessee #1 and Georgia #3. As if the Bulldogs needed any more incentive while playing at home. I look for the defending national champion Georgia Bulldogs to win and easily cover. Both teams enter this game with identical 8-0 season records. Georgia is coming off a 42-20 win over Florida. Georgia has won 15 straight home games versus FBS opponents and includes going 5-1 ATS as a favorite of 7.5 to 19.0. Any conference home favorite of 5.5 to 8.5 (Georgia) with a win percentage of .800 or better that’s playing after Game 6, and they’re coming off a conference win by 21 points or greater, versus an opponent (Tennessee) with a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 15-2 ATS and 17-0 SU since 2006. The average victory margin in those 17 contests was 17.6 points per game. Give me Georgia minus the points. |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Central Florida v. Memphis +3.5 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
Central Florida @ Memphis 3:30 PM ET Game# 403-404 Play On: Memphis +3.5 (10*) This has all the earmarks of a trap game for UCF. The Golden Knights are coming off last Saturday’s emotional 25-21 home win over perennial conference pow Cincinnati. Up next, they’ll travel to Tulane who ic currently the top ranked Group of Five team in the country. In between, it’s this Saturday’s matchup versus a 4-4 Memphis team who has lost each of their previous 3 contests. The good news for Tigers backers is their team is 3-1 at home this season with their only loss coming in fluky fashion after blowing a 32-19 lead with less than 2 minutes left versus Houston and they fell 33-32. No miracles or flukes this time. Give me Memphis plus the points for my College Football Top Play of the Week. |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Kentucky v. Missouri +1 | 21-17 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
Kentucky @ Missouri 12:00 PM ET Game# 361-362 Play On: Missouri +1.0 (5*) Kentucky was blown out 44-6 at #1 Tennessee last Saturday. After starting the season 4-0, the Wildcats have lost 3 of its last 4, and had a turnover margin of -5. Missouri is coming off a 23-10 upset win at South Carolina last Saturday. Missouri is 4-4 (.500) this season but 3-1 at home this season with their only loss coming to #3 Georgia 26-22. The Missouri defense has been outstanding during their previous 3 games while allowing only 16.0 points and 268.3 yards per contest. They’ll be facing a Kentucky offense that over its last 4 games has averaged only just 16.5 points scored and 313.0 yards gained per game. College Football home teams with a in percentage of .500 or worse (Missouri) playing before Game 12 and they’re coming off an underdog SU upset win, versus an opponent coming off a road loss by 21 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 21-0 SU since 2013. If those home teams had a point-spread parameter of +3.5 to -9.5 they were 11-0 SU&ATS since 2013 and won by an average of 16.4 points per game. Give me the Missouri Tigers in this one. |
|||||||
11-04-22 | Blazers v. Suns -10.5 | 108-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Portland @ Phoenix 10:10 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Phoenix -10.5 (5*) This is one of those uncomfortable picks for me and only because I hate betting NBA double-digit favorites. However, there’s exception to every sports betting rule, and this pick qualifies in that regard. The Suns are a red-hot 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 games with an average victory margin of 16.6 points per contest. As a matter of fact, their last and only loss this season was a 113-111 defeat at Portland. Portland’s star point guard Damien Lillard scored 41 points in that contest. Lillard will be out tonight with a calf injury. Which leads to this Phoenix Suns betting trend that’s difficult to ignore. The Suns are 15-1 ATS since 2020 when playing with same season revenge stemming from a road favorite SU loss. Additionally, the Suns are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home this season while outscoring their opponents by 13.6 points per game. Give me Phoenix minus the big number. |
|||||||
11-04-22 | Bucks v. Wolves +3.5 | 115-102 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ Minnesota 10:10 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Minnesota +3.5 (5*) Milwaukee is off to a terrific 7-0 start to the season and covered 6 of those contests. Before we anoint them as the next NBA champion let’s keep this in mind. The Cumulative record of their opponents this season is a dismal 13-28 (.317). The only team they faced who currently has a winning record is Atlanta (5-3). Minnesota is a much better team than their 4-4 record indicates, and they’ll display that this evening. The Timberwolves won both regular season meetings versus Milwaukee a season ago by scores of 138-19 and 113-108. Give me Minnesota plus the points. |
|||||||
11-04-22 | Bulls v. Celtics -7 | 119-123 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Boston 7:40 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Boston -7.0 (5*) Boston will be out to revenge an embarrassing 120-102 blowout loss at Chicago just 12 days ago. However, the sportsbooks are unfazed by that result when looking at the sizable number that the Celtics are laying in this game. I’m think like a bookmaker so give me Boston minus the points. |
|||||||
11-03-22 | Nuggets -6 v. Thunder | 122-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Nuggets @ Thunder 8:10 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Denver -6.0 (5*) This is one of those lines that won’t make sense to many NBA bettors. After all, Oklahoma City has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games with an average victory margin of 9.0 points per game and they were an underdog on 3 of those occasions. Their most recent win was a 116-108 home win over Orlando this past Tuesday. Yet, they’re a sizable home underdog in this contest against a Denver team which has an identical 4-3 season record as they have, and they’re just 1-3 SU&ATS in road games. Denver is coming off a 121-110 road loss at the then winless Lakers in their previous contest in a game they closed as a 3.5-point favorite. NBA road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 that are coming off a SU favorite loss (Denver), versus an opponent coming off a home win in which they scored 110 points or more, resulted in those road favorites going 57-21 ATS (73.1%) since 1996 and 24-6 ATS (80%) since 2018. If it looks too good to be true when it comes to sports betting, more times than not it is. This is a textbook example of exactly that. Give me the Nuggets minus the points. |
|||||||
11-03-22 | Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina +3 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
Appalachian State @ Coastal Carolina 7:30 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Coastal Carolina +3.0 (5*) Appalachian State enters this contest with a somewhat disappointing 5-3 record. That includes 2 Sun Belt Conferences losses to James Madison as a 6.0-point favorite and at Texas State as a sizable 19.0-point chalk. Coastal Carolina is coming off last Saturday’s 24-13 win at Marshall and did so as a 2.5-point underdog. That victory improved the Chanticleers season record to 7-1 (.875). Since 2020, Coastal Carolina is 5-0 SU&ATS at home when their point-spread is between -6.0 and +11.0. The Chanticleers will also be out to revenge last year’s 30-27 upset loss at Appalachian State. Since 2020, Coastal Carolina is 5-0 SU&ATS at home when their point-spread is between -6 to +11.0 and with an average victory margin of 10.5 points per game. Any conference home team with a win percentage of .800 or better that’s coming off a conference win by 10 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent with a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those home teams going 52-5 (91.2%) straight up since 2018. This SU betting angle takes on added significance since it supports the underdog in this matchup. Additionally, if those home teams had a point-spread parameter of between -6.0 and +11.0 they were 5-0 SU&ATS with an average victory margin of 8.2 points per game. Give me Coastal Carolina plus the points. |
|||||||
11-01-22 | Buffalo -2.5 v. Ohio | 24-45 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Buffalo @ Ohio 7:30 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Buffalo -2.5 (5*) Ohio is coming off a 24-17 home win over Northern Illinois and did so as a 2.5-point underdog. The Bobcats are now 3-1 in conference action. However, there’s a red flag when considering they’re allowing 486.0 yards per game in those contests. Buffalo got off to a terrible 0-3 start in the non-conference portions of their schedule. Nonetheless, they’ve gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 and all versus conference opponents. Their most recent victory was a 34-27 home victory over Toledo. During their last 4 contests, the Bulls defense is allowing 15.3 points and 349.3 yards per game while also forcing 11 turnovers. Any conference road favorite of 1.5 or more that’s coming off a home win in which they scored 28 points or greater, versus an opponenta with a win percentage of less than .666 and off a conference SU underdog win, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 SU&ATS since 2018. The average victory margin came by an enormous 23.7 points per game. Give me Buffalo minus the points. |
|||||||
10-30-22 | 49ers v. Rams +1 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
San Francisco @ LA Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Rams +1.0 (10*) The Rams are coming off a bye week and were a 24-10 home winner over Carolina in their previous game. San Francisco is coming off an embarrassing 44-23 home loss to Kansas City which dropped their season record to a disappointing 3-4. NFL home teams (Rams) off a home win by 10-points or more, versus an opponent coming off a home loss by 21 points or greater (49ers) and they have a losing season record, resulted in those home teams going 21-0 SU since 1984. The average margin of victory in those 21 contests came by 11.0 points per game. The SU betting angle takes on added significance because it backs the current 1.0-point underdog LA Rams. Give me the LA Rams for a 10* Top Play. |
|||||||
10-30-22 | Bears v. Cowboys -10 | 29-49 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Dallas 1:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Dallas -10.0 (5*) Chicago is coming off a huge 33-14 upset win at New England this past Monday night in a game they closed as a 9.5-point underdog. Since 2020, the Bears have gone 0-5 SU&ATS as an away underdog following an away win in their previous game and lost by an average of 13.4 points per contest. Since the start of last season, Dallas has gone 7-0 SU&ATS as a favorite when facing teams with a losing record. The Cowboys won those 7 contests by an average of 18.6 points per game. The Cowboys lead the NFL in sacks with 29. Conversely, Chicago is dead last in the NFL in sacks allowed with 27, and that’s with an extremely mobile quarterback in Justin Fields. This isn’t exactly a good matchup for a Bears offense against an outstanding Dallas defense that allows just. That’s especially so if they fall behind by more than one score since their passing offense is also dead last in the NFL. NFL home favorites of 7.5 or greater (Dallas) with a win percentage of less than .750, versus an opponent (Chicago) coming off an away underdog of 7.5 to 14.0 ATS win, resulted in those home favorites going 9-0 SU&ATS since 2009. The average victory margin came by an enormous average of 23.9 points per game. Give me Dallas minus the points. |
|||||||
10-30-22 | Panthers +4 v. Falcons | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Atlanta 1:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Carolina +4.0 (5*) Carolina showed a ton of heart and character in last Sunday’s 21-3 home win over Tampa Bay in a gme they closed as a 13.0-point underdog. Atlanta received a dose of reality in last week’s 35-17 loss at Cincinnati in a game they closed as a 6.5-point underdog. NFL away underdogs of 4.5 or less (Carolina) in Games 2 through 16 with a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Atlanta) coming off an away SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 7.0 or more and they have a win percentage of .400 to .490, resulted in those away underdogs of 4.5 or less going 15-0 ATS since 1981. They also went 13-1-1 SU as well. Give me Carolina plus the points. |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Missouri +4 v. South Carolina | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
Missouri @ South Carolina 4:00 PM ET Game# 127-128 Play On: Missouri +4.0 (5*) Missouri is coming off an uninspiring 17-14 home win over Vanderbilt and they now possess a season record of 3-4. However, their previous 3 losses came by a combined 14 points versus Auburn, Florida, and #1 Georgia. Since a 40-12 loss at Kansas State, Missouri has allowed just 19.6 points and 319.8 yards per game during their last 5 contests. Missouri enters this game having gone 10-18 SU in their last 28 road games and that includes 0-3 this season. South Carolina is on a current 4-0 SU&ATS run. By doing so they’ve cracked the Top 25 for the first time this season. Their most recent win came at home 30-24 over Texas A&M. With all being considered, this is an extremely fishy line. We have a Top 25 teams at home laying a short number versus an opponent with a losing record. When it looks too easy in sports betting, more times than not it isn’t. College Football Road Underdogs of 9.5 or less (Missouri) with a losing record who are coming off a conference win by 7 points or fewer, and they’ve won 16 or fewer of their last 28 away games, versus an opponent (South Carolina) with a win percentage of .250 or better that scored 20 points or more during its previous game, resulted in those road underdogs of 9.5 or less going 13-0 SU&ATS since 2018. The average victory margin for those 13 road underdogs came by 10.9 points per game. Give me Missouri plus the points. |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Wake Forest v. Louisville +3.5 | Top | 21-48 | Win | 100 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
Louisville @ Wake Forest 3:30 PM ET Game# 137-138 Play On: Louisville +3.5 (10*) Wake Forest is coming off a 48-15 conference win at home over Boston College which improved their season record to 6-1. Louisville is coming off conference wins in each of their last 2 games and both came by double-digit margins. That improved their season record to 4-3. The Cardinals are showing positive signs regarding finishing this season strong. During their previous 4 games, Louisville is at an excellent +8 turnover margin and forced 13 turnovers by opponents. The Cardinals are just 15-13 SU in their last 21 at home, but that fits perfectly into the betting angle displayed below. Since 2018, college football home teams (Louisville) with a winning record that are +10.0 to -10.0 and are coming off back-to-back conference wins in which they allowed 33 points or fewer on each occasion, and they’ve won 23 or less of its previous 28 at home, versus an opponent (Wake Forest) with at least 1 loss on the season and coming off a conference win by 21 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 14-0 SU&ATS since 2018. The average victory margin in those 14 contests came by 17.1 points per game. Give me Louisville plus the points. |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Ohio State -15 v. Penn State | 44-31 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
Ohio State @ Penn State 12:00 PM ET Game# 135-136 Play On: Ohio State -15.0 (5*) Penn State is coming off an impressive 45-17 home win over Minnesota which improved their season record to 6-1. However, the sportsbooks apparently weren’t swayed by that result as they’ve made the Nittany Lions a better than 2-touchdown home underdog against #2 Ohio State (7-0). After failing to cover their first 2 games of the season, Ohio State is 4-0-1 ATS since with an average victory margin of 41.8 points per game. College Football away favorites of 13.5 to 21.0 with a win percentage of .625 or better, versus an opponent (Penn State) with a win percentage of .272 or better and they’re coming off a conference win, resulted in those road favorites withing that point-spread parameter going 23-0 SU&ATS since 2018. The average margin of victory in those 23 contests came by 29.2 points per game. Give me Ohio State minus the points. |
|||||||
10-28-22 | Louisiana Tech v. Florida International +6.5 | 34-42 | Win | 100 | 34 h 25 m | Show | |
Louisiana Tech @ FIU 8:00 PM ET Game# 113-114 Play On: FIU +6.5 (5*) Louisiana Tech has gone a dismal 1-5 versus FBS teams this season and allowed 31 points or more in each contest. Additionally, they allowed 38 points or more on 5 of those 6 occasions. During those 6 games the Bulldogs committed an alarmingly high 15 turnovers. That’s especially concerning when considering FIU has forced 7 turnovers during its last 2 games. The Bulldogs are coming off a 42-41 home loss to Rice in their previous game. Since 2020, Louisiana Tech is 0-6 SU&ATRS on the road following a loss in their previous game. FIU is far from a good team. However, they’re coming off a confidence building 34-15 win at Charlotte in their previous game and racked up a season high 453 yards of total offense. That win improved their season record to 3-4 overall and 2-4 versus FBS teams. This is a case of taking the lesser of 2 evils and based on all the above, there’s plenty of betting value on the home underdog in this contest. Give me FIU plus the points. |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Steelers v. Dolphins -7 | 10-16 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Dolphins 8:20 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Dolphins -7.0 (-120) (5*) The Dolphins will be desperate after spoiling their 3-0 start and losing each of their previous 3 games. They will be facing a Steelers team off a huge 20-18 upset win at home versus Tampa Bay and they did so as a 9.5-point underdog. Since 1998, NFL home favorites of 6.5 or greater (Dolphins) playing before Game 14, versus an opponent (Steelers) coming off a SU win by 6 points or fewer and as an underdog ranging from 7.0 to 14.0, resulted in those sizable home favorites going 13-0 SU&ATS. The average victory margin came by an enormous 22.3 points per game. Give me the Dolphins minus the points. |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Colts v. Titans -2.5 | Top | 10-19 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show |
Colts @ Titans 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Tennessee -2.5 (10*) Indianapolis is coming off 2 straight wins but there were red flags to take into consideration moving forward. The Colts allowed an average of 184.0 yards rushing per game in those 2 wins, and that doesn’t bode well for this matchup since they’ll be facing a great running back in Derrick Henry. Tennessee is coming off a bye week and that’s a noteworthy from a betting perspective. Since Mike Vrabel has been their head coach, the Titans have gone 4-0 SU&ATS in regular season games following a bye week, and with a substantial average victory margin of 20.5 points per contest. Tennessee has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 versus Indianapolis and that includes a 24-17 road victory on just 3 weeks ago. The Titans were a 21-17 winner at Washington in their previous game and that made them 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3. Since 2014, NFL teams (Titans) with a point-spread ranging from +2.5 to -3.0 with a win percentage of .510 to .600 that’s coming off a SU&ATS win, versus an opponent (Colts) with a win percentage of .571 to .750, resulted in those teams going 10-0 SU&ATS. The average victory margin in those 10 contests was 13.1 points per game. Give me Tennessee minus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Lions +6.5 v. Cowboys | 6-24 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
Lions @ Cowboys 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Lions +6.5 (5*) NFL away underdogs of between 6.5 and 10.0 (Lions) that are coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they held scoreless, and they’re facing an opponent (Cowboys) with a season win percentage of .800 or less, resulted in those away underdogs going 11-1 ATS since 1984. Furthermore, those underdogs also went 9-3 SU during those contests. Give me the Lions plus the points. |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Falcons v. Bengals -6.5 | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Bengals 1:00 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Bengals -6.5 (5*) NFL home favorites (Bengals) of between 4.5 to 9.5 that are coming off a SU win, versus an opponent (Falcons) with a win percentage ranging from .450 to .550 and they’re coming off an underdog SU win by 14 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 12-1 ATS since 1993. The home favorites also won all 13 of those contests SU and by a decisive margin of 14.8 points per game. Give me the Bengals minus the points. |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Packers -4.5 v. Washington Commanders | 21-23 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
Packers @ Commanders 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Packers -4.5 (5*) NFL favorites of 4.0 or greater (Packers) with a win percentage of .538 or worse that are coming off back-to-back SU favorite losses, and they’re playing after Game 5, resulted in those favorites going 12-1 ATS since 2003. Give me the Packers minus the points. |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Minnesota +5 v. Penn State | Top | 17-45 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 29 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Penn State 7:30 PM ET Game# 409-410 Play On: Minnesota +5.0 (10*) Michigan exposed a huge weakness in the Penn State run defense last week while rushing for 418 yards including 7.6 yards per attempt. Minnesota will present them with similar challenges in attempting to stop the run. The Golden Gophers offensive rushing game has amassed 240 yards or more in 4 of 6 contests this season. Minnesota will get back on track in this one and wouldn’t be shocked if they won the game outright. We won’t get greedy. Give me Minnesota plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-22-22 | UCLA v. Oregon -6 | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
UCLA @ Oregon 3:30 PM ET Game# 375-376 Play On: Oregon -6.0 (5*) The #10 Oregon Ducks have reeled off 5 consecutive wins since suffering a humiliating 49-3 loss to #1 Georgia in their season opener. They will be facing #9 UCLA that comes in with an unbeaten 6-0 record. Yet, it’s the lower ranked 1-loss Ducks who come up as a touchdown favorite versus the undefeated UCLA Bruins. It comes as no surprise to me that greater than 60% of tickets bet and money wagered has gone on UCLA. I am taking the contrarian approach in this one. Give me Oregon minus the points. |
|||||||
10-22-22 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech -5 | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
West Virginia @ Texas Tech 3:00 PM ET Game# 387-388 Play On: Texas Tech -5.0 (5*) West Virginia has gone just 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference away games. The Mountaineers are 3-3. However, they’ve allowed an alarming 38 points or more in 4 of 5 contests versus FBS teams. Texas Tech is coming off conference losses in each of their previous 2 games by scores of 41-31 at #11 Oklahoma State and 37-28 at #17 Kansas State. As a matter of fact, all 3 of Texas Tech losses have come versus ranked opponents with the other defeat at #23 NC State. The Red Raiders had last week off and will be ready to go on Saturday against a West Virginia. They’ve beaten West Virginia in each of the previous 3 meetings. The Red Raiders are a perfect 3-0 at home thus far which includes quality wins over Texas and Houston. College Football conference home favorites of -5.0 to -21.0 (Texas Tech) who’s playing after Game 6, and they’re coming off back-to-back conference SU losses in which they allowed 31 points or more on each occasion, versus an opponent (West Virginia) with a win percentage of .500 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 22-4 ATS (84.6%) since 2018. Give me Texas Tech minus the points. |
|||||||
10-20-22 | Saints +2.5 v. Cardinals | 34-42 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
Saints @ Cardinals 8:20 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: New Orleans +2.5 (5*) Arizona has lost 8 consecutive home games and we’re talking about a team that qualified for the playoffs last season. Furthermore, 5 of those 8 home losses came as a favorite. The Cardinals are also coming off a 19-9 SU favorite loss at Seattle last week that dropped their season record to an extremely disappointing 2-4. Conversely, since 2018, New Orleans has gone 27-8 SU and 24-11 ATS during its last 35 away games. That includes going 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 as an away underdog. The Saints have scored 25 points or more in their last 3 games. On the other hand, Arizona has scored 17 points or fewer in 3 of their last 4 games. Give me the Saints plus the small number. |
|||||||
10-17-22 | Broncos v. Chargers -4 | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Broncos @ Chargers 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Chargers -4.0 (5*) The Chargers are coming off back-to-back away favorite ATS covers. Denver is coming off a 12-9 home loss to Indianapolis. NFL home favorites of -4.0 to -15.0 that are coming off 2 consecutive away favorite covers, and they’re facing a team (Broncos) coming off a non-division loss, resulted in those home favorites going 19-3 ATS since 1957. The home favorites also won all 22 of those contests straight up by an average of 17.5 points per game. Give me the Chargers minus the points. |
|||||||
10-16-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles -6 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Eagles 8:20 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Eagles -6.0 (10*) Dallas is coming off a 22-10 road win over the Rams. The Eagles are coming off a 20-17 win over Arizona and failed to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. That victory improved the Eagles record to a perfect 6-0. Philadelphia has now gone 16-16 SU in their last 32 games played. NFL home favorites of between 5.5 to 12.0 with a win percentage of better than .600 playing after Game 5 of the season, and they’re coming off an away win in which they scored 13 or more and allowed 24 or less and failed to cover, and they’ve won 24 or fewer of their last 32 games played versus an opponent who scored 31 or less in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 17-0 SU&ATS since 1982. The average margin of victory in those 17 contests came by an enormous 22.2 points per game. Give me the Eagles minus the points. |
|||||||
10-16-22 | Cardinals -2 v. Seahawks | 9-19 | Loss | -112 | 25 h 8 m | Show | |
Cardinals @ Seahawks 4:05 PM ET Game#269-270 Play On: Cardinals -2.0 (5*) Arizona has unusual home/away splits to start the season. The Cardinals are 0-3 SU&ATS at home and 2-0 SU&ATS in away games. That road success isn’t out of the ordinary for Arizona. Since the start of last season, Arizona has gone 10-1 SU&ATS during regular season away games. The Cardinals are coming off a 20-17 loss to Philadelphia, but they covered as a home underdog of +5.5. That loss dropped their season record to 2-3 (.400). Conversely, Seattle is coming off a 39-32 loss at New Orleans. NFL road favorites of 3.0 or less (Cardinals) with a win percentage between .250 and .600, and they’re coming off a SU loss but covered as an underdog, versus an opponent (Seahawks) coming off a SU loss by 16 or less in which they also allowed 20 points or more, resulted in the away favorites of 3.0 or less going 12-0 SU&ATS since 1986. The average victory margin came by a decisive 16.1 points per game. Give me the Cardinals minus the small number. |
|||||||
10-16-22 | Patriots v. Browns -2.5 | 38-15 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Browns -2.5 (5*) The Browns are coming off a 31-29 home loss to the Chargers. New England is coming off a 29-0 home win over Detroit. New England has gone 1-5 SU and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. That includes 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS as a road underdog. Any NFL team with a point-spread between +3.0 and -3.0 (Browns) that’s coming off a SU loss by 3 or less, versus an opponent (Patriots) that allowed 6 points or fewer in their previous contest, resulted in those teams going 38-11 SU&ATS (77.5%) since 1982. Give me the Browns minus the points. |
|||||||
10-16-22 | Ravens v. Giants +6 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
Ravens @ Giants 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Giants +6.0 (5*) The Giants are coming off a 27-22 upset win over Green Bay last Sunday. That win improved their season record to a surprising 4-1 (.800). They will be facing a Baltimore team coming off a narrow 19-17 home win over Cincinnati last Sunday. NFL non-division home underdogs playing after Game 3 that are coming off a SU win by 2 points or more, and they have win percentage of .800 or better, versus an opponent coming off a SU win by 28 or less, resulted in those home underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 1986. The average line in those 15 games was +3.1 and the underdogs won 12 of those contests straight up. Give me the Giants plus the points. |
|||||||
10-16-22 | Jets v. Packers -7.5 | 27-10 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
Jets @ Packers 1:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Packers -7.5 (5*) Green Bay is coming off a 27-22 loss to the Giants in their previous game. That defeat dropped their season record to 3-2. The Jets are coming off a division home underdog SU win over Miami. NFL favorites of between 5.0 and 12.0 (Packers) with a winning record, versus an opponent (Jets) with a winning record and coming off a division home underdog SU win, resulted in those NFL favorites going 25-4 ATS (86.2%) since 1990. If those favorites were coming off a loss, this betting angle improves to 9-0 SU&ATS with an average margin of victory coming by 19.0 points per game. Give me the Packers minus the points. |
|||||||
10-15-22 | Nebraska v. Purdue -14 | Top | 37-43 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
Nebraska @ Purdue 7:30 ET Game# 145-146 Play On: Purdue -14.0 (10*) Nebraska started 1-3 but has bounced back to win their last 2 over Rutgers and Indiana. Don’t get carried away Cornhuskers fans as those 2 teams have combined to go 1-5 in Big 10 Conference play. This is the same Nebraska team that lost 49-14 to Oklahoma. Since then, Oklahoma lost its next 3 and were outscored by an average of 29.0 points per game. They also lost to Georgia Southern at home in a game they were a 23.5-point favorite and versus Northwestern in the Big 10 opener and once again as a double-digit favorite. Purdue is 4-2 on the season and is arguably one of the best 2-loss teams in the country. Their only losses came to #18 Syracuse (5-0) and #10 Penn State (5-0). As a matter of fact, those 2 defeats came by a combined 6 points. The Boilermakers are coming off back-to-back SU road underdog wins at Minnesota (4-1) and Maryland 4-2). Purdue has played a much tougher schedule than Nebraska at this point. The Boilermakers are much better than their record indicates, and they will make sure that’s known in this contest. Give me Purdue minus the points. |
|||||||
10-15-22 | Memphis v. East Carolina -5 | 45-47 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
Memphis @ East Carolina 7:30 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: East Carolina -5.0 (5*) Since the start of the 2016 season, Memphis has gone an abysmal 0-12 ATS as a road underdog of 1.5 or greater and lost by an average of 18.8 points per game. Furthermore, Memphis is coming off a gut-wrenching 33-32 home loss to Houston in a game they led 32-19 with less than 2 minutes to play. It’s hard to imagine that not taking a mental toll on players and the coaching staff. East Carolina is coming off a disappointing 24-9 loss at Tulane which evened their record at 3-3. The Pirates responded very well after their previous 2 losses with wins over Old Dominion 39-21 and South Florida 48-28. The Pirates offense averages 475 yards gained per game this season and its defense allows 1 point per 18.6 yards gained which is terrific by college football standards. This is a great spot for the Pirates. Give me East Carolina minus the points. |
|||||||
10-15-22 | Oklahoma State v. TCU -3.5 | 40-43 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State @ TCU 3:30 ET Game# 185-186 Play On: TCU -3.5 (5*) TCU is coming off a 38-31 road win over previously unbeaten Kansas and improved to a perfect 5-0 on the season. Oklahoma State is coming off a 41-31 home win over Texas Tech and they also remain undefeated. TCU will be out to revenge last season’s embarrassing 63-17 loss at Oklahoma State. This sets up a very profitable college football betting angle displayed below. Any undefeated home favorite of 4.5 or less that’s playing with revenge and is coming off a conference win by 24 points or less, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .727 or better and they’re coming off a conference win, resulted in those home favorites within that point-spread parameter to go 18-3 ATS (85.7%) since 2001. Give me TCU minus the points. |
|||||||
10-15-22 | Iowa State v. Texas -15.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Texas 12:00 ET Game# 187-188 Play On: Texas -15.5 (5*) Texas will be playing with big time revenge after losing to Iowa State in each of the previous 3 meetings. I say this because it’s unlikely that Texas will take their foot off the gas peddle even if they possess a comfortable lead. Texas will be facing an Iowa State team with anemic offensive numbers. As a matter of fact, the Cyclones have scored 11 points or fewer in 3 of their 6 games this season. Conversely, Texas has allowed 20 points or fewer in 5 of its 6 games. Additionally, the Texas offense unlike Iowa State has been dynamic on most occasions thus far. Case in point, the Longhorns have scored 34 points or more in 5 of 6 games with the lone exception coming in a 20-19 loss to #3 Alabama. This isn’t a good matchup for Iowa State even despite of their stellar defense. Give me Texas minus the points. |
|||||||
10-15-22 | Auburn v. Ole Miss -14.5 | 34-48 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Ole Miss 12:00 PM ET Game# 179-180 Play On: Ole Miss -14.5 (5*) This is another big-time revenge situation for the favorite. Ole Miss will be highly motivated to snap a 6-game losing streak to Auburn and I truly believe they’ll be more than up to the task. The #9 Rebels enter this week with a perfect 6-0 record and they’re allowing just 14.5 points and 334.2 yards per game. Their offense is no slouch as well at 39.7 points and 490.3 yards per game. On the other side of the coin is an Auburn offense which has scored 17 points or fewer in each of their last 4 games. During that 4-game stretch, the Tigers had an awful -9 turnover differential. Throughout that identical span, Auburn’s defense allowed 213.8 yards per game. They’ll have their hands full against an Ole Miss offense which averages 242 yards rushing per game and 5.6 per running attempt. Auburn doesn’t match up well at all in this SEC contest. Any college football conference home favorite (Ole Miss) of between 13.0 and 17.0 that’s coming off a conference away favorite cover in which they scored 41 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent (Auburn) whose coming off losses in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those conference home favorites within that exact point-spread parameter going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1981. The average margin of victory in those 9 contests came by 24.3 points per game. Give me Ole Miss minus the points. |
|||||||
10-15-22 | Penn State v. Michigan -7 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Michigan 12:00 ET Game# 127-128 Play On: Michigan -7.0 (5*) Any conference home favorite of 5.5 to 10.0 (Michigan) that’s playing after Game 5 and is coming off 3 straight wins which all came over conference opponents, versus a team (Penn State) coming off a conference win by 10 or more and allowed 27 points or fewer, resulted in those home favorite 17-0 SU and 16-1 ATS since 2017. The average victory margin for the home teams came by 22.9 points per game. Give me Michigan minus the points. |
|||||||
10-12-22 | UL-Lafayette v. Marshall -10 | 23-13 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette @ Marshall 7:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Marshall -10.0 (5*) Marshall is coming off a 28-7 win in their previous game. UL-lafatette lost each of their previous 2 games by scores of 21-17 and 20-17. These results set up into a rare but unblemished college football angle which has gone unbeaten since 1981. Any college football home favorite of between 8.0 to 14.0 that’s coming off a win by 16 points or fewer, and they’re facing an opponent coming off back-to-back SU losses which each came by 4 points or less, resulted in those home favorites within these point-spread parameters going 7-0 SU&ATS since 1981. The average victory margin by the home favorites in those contests came by an average of 23.7 points per game. Give me Marshall minus the points. |
|||||||
10-10-22 | Raiders +8 v. Chiefs | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Raiders @ Chiefs 8:15 PM ET Game# 479-480 Play On: Raiders +8.0 (5*) This sets up as a potential flat spot for Kansas City. They’re coming off a 41-31 win at Tampa Bay in their previous game which avenged their 2021 Super Bowl loss to the Bucs. Next up for the Chiefs is what figures to be a mega-hyped home game versus a Buffalo team which is, and continues to be, the favorite to win the AFC. Sandwiched between those 2 contests is a game versus the 1-3 Las Vegas Raiders who they swept last season by blowout scores of 48-9 and 41-14. By the way, the Chiefs are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 regular season games as a home favorite of 9.0 or less versus an opponent with a win percentage of .750 or less. All 3 of those contests took place last season and Kansas City lost 2 of those games straight up. The Raiders are coming off their first win of the season after last week’s 32-23 win over Denver in a game they covered as a 2.5-point home favorite. Since the start of last season, Las Vegas has gone 4-0 SU&ATS as an away underdog of between 4.0 to 9.5. The average line in those 4 contests was +6.5 and the underdog Raiders won all 4 SU by an average of 6.3 points per game. Any NFL division away underdog of between 5.5 to 9.5 that’s coming off a dive home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 17.5 or less, and they’re facing a team that allowed 13 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those away underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 1994. Those away underdogs also went 8-6-1 SU as well. Give me the Raiders plus the points. |
|||||||
10-09-22 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show |
Bengals @ Ravens 8:20 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Bengals +3.5 (10*) Baltimore is a mentality fragile team right now. They’re 0-2 at home this season while blowing leads of 17 versus Buffalo and 21 points against Miami in doing so. This will be their first meeting with Cincinnati this season after losing twice versus the Bengals last year by scores of 41-21 and 41-17. The Ravens defense has looked vulnerable in 3 of their 4 games this season and I look for Cincinnati’s offense to expose them once again. After starting the season with a pair of narrow 3-point losses, Cincinnati has roared back with 2 straight wins and covered both of those contests as a favorite. It worth noting the obvious of Cincinnati having 3 days more rest than Baltimore heading into this matchup. This is a Bengals team that’s also gone an extremely profitable 10-5 SU and 12-3 ATS during its last 15 away games. That includes 9-0 ATS and 7-2 SU if they were an underdog of 2.5 or greater in those contests. Any NFL division road underdog of 3.5 or less that’s playing in Games 3 through 8, and is playing an opponent (Ravens) who will be playing with double revenge, resulted in those away underdogs going 12-0 SU&ATS since 2009. Now only did the away dogs cover all 12 contests but they won all of them SU by an average of 11.0-points per game. Give me the Bengals plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-09-22 | Steelers v. Bills -14 | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Bills 1:00 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Buffalo -14.0 (5*) Since winning at Cincinnati in their season opener, Pittsburgh has lost 3 consecutive games in a row. Rookie 1st round draft choice Kenny Pickett will make his first career NFL start on Sunday. He will be doing so in one of the most hostile environments that NFL visiting teams are subjected to. Pickett came on in relief of Mitch Trurbisky last week and went 10-13 for 120 yards. However, although that performance line looks impressive, he had 0 touchdown passes and his only 3 incompletions were all interceptions. During their 1-3 start to the season, Pittsburgh is being outgained by an average of 104.2 yards per game. Under head coach Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh is 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 on the road following a SU loss in its previous contest and was outscored by an average of 14.7 points per game. The Bills will be missing a minimum 4 starters on Sunday. However, we’ve seen very little if any line movement, and they possess as good or better, quality depth than any team in the NFL. Buffalo is 3-1 thus far and is outgaining opponents by an average of 178.0 yards per game. Under head coach Sean McDermott, Buffalo is 7-0 SU and 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 as a home favorite of 10.0 or more and outscored those opponents by an average of 21.7 points per game. Any NFL home favorite of 10.5 or greater (Buffalo) with a winning record, versus an opponent (Steelers) coming off losses in each of their previous 2 games and they have a win percentage of .250 to .400, resulted in those home favorites going 19-0 SU&ATS since 2013. The average victory margin in those 19 contests came by an average of 23.4 points per game. Give me Buffalo minus the points. |
|||||||
10-09-22 | Titans v. Washington Commanders +1 | 21-17 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
Titans @ Commanders 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Commanders +1.0 (5*) Since winning their opening game versus Jacksonville, Washington has gone a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS and lost by an average of 13.3 points per game. Nevertheless, they’re just a 1.5-point underdog versus an opponent that was the #1 seed in the AFC last season, and is coming off wins in their last 2 games. It’s seldom as easy as it looks when it comes to NFL betting. Tennessee is coming of 2 consecutive SU wins, and both came as underdogs. NFL teams haven’t fared well at all when in that exact situation over the past 5 decades. Specifically speaking, NFL teams coming off 2 consecutive SU underdog wins have gone a dismal 39-111-1 SU and 56-95 ATS (37.1%) since 1982 when facing non-division opponents. Give me the Commanders plus the small number. |
|||||||
10-08-22 | Washington State v. USC -12.5 | Top | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
Washington State @ USC 7:30 PM ET Game# 367-368 Play On: USC -12.5 (10*) This USC team continues to get better every week under new head coach Lincoln Riley. If the Trojans have a glaring weakness, it’s defending the run. Conversely, although Washington’s offense has been productive in the air, the Cougars have struggled to get any consistency in their running game. During its 4 games versus FBS opponents this season, Washington State has averaged just 81.5 yards rushing per game while averaging a paltry 3.3 yards per attempt. During their only game versus a ranked opponent this season, Washington State allowed 44 points and surrendered 624 yards in a home loss to Oregon. Here's another key football handicapping component that stands out in this contest. Throughout their first 5 games, USC has yet to commit a turnover while also forcing opponents to turn it over 14 times. On the other hand, Washington State has committed 12 turnovers over their first 5 games. This isn’t a good matchup for the Washington State Cougars. Yes, the Cougars are 4-1 but their win have all come versus unranked teams that have been less than impressive to start their seasons. Any college football undefeated home favorite of -4.0 to -19.0 that’s coming off a home win, and they’re facing an opponent with a win percentage of .600 or better, resulted in those home favorites within this point-spread parameters going 11-0 ATS since 2018. The average victory margin in those 11 contests came by a decisive 22.5 points per game. Give me USC minus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
|||||||
10-08-22 | Utah v. UCLA +3.5 | 32-42 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Utah @ UCLA 3:30 PM ET Game# 367-368 Play On: UCLA +3.5 Utah is coming off a 42-16 home win over Oregon State and covered easily as a 10.5-point favorite. UCLA is coming off a 40-32 home win over Washington and did so as a 3.5-point underdog. That win improved the Bruins season record to 5-0. Any college football conference home underdog of 7.5 or less whose won 3 or more games in a row, and their previous game was against a conference opponent, versus a team (Utah) coming off a SU&ATS win, resulted in those home underdogs going 16-1 ATS (94.4%) since 2018. The home underdogs went 14-3 SU as well. Give me UCLA plus the points. |
|||||||
10-08-22 | Louisville v. Virginia +3 | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
Louisville @ Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Virginia +3.0 (5*) Louisville is coming off a 34-33 loss at Boston College in a game they closed as a 13.5-point favorite. That upset loss dropped their season record to 2-3 (.400). That record includes 0-3 SU&ATS versus fellow ACC teams. Virginia enters this week 2-3 while going 0-3 on the road but they’re 2-0 at home. Any college football home team (Virginia) with a win percentage of .363 or better, versus an opponent coming off a conference upset loss as a favorite of -10.0 to -17.0, and that road team has a losing record, resulted in those home teams 23-2 SU (92%) since 2007. The SU betting angle takes on added significance since it backs the hone underdog Virginia Cavaliers. Give me Virginia plus the points. |
|||||||
10-08-22 | TCU v. Kansas +7 | 38-31 | Push | 0 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
TCU @ Kansas 12:00 PM ET Game# 337-338 Play On: Kansas +7.0 (5*) I was on TCU last week as a 6.0-point home underdog and they came through after blowing out Oklahoma 55-24. That win improved TCU to 4-0 on the season. However, my over 2 decades of experience reminds me that teams coming off an upset win at home versus a nationally ranked opponent are more times than not flat in their following game. I firmly believe that mental aspect will come into play when they travel to Lawrence, Kansas to take on an upstart Jayhawks team which has started the season 5-0. Any college football home underdog (Kansas) who’s undefeated and is playing after Game 5 of the season, and they won 24 or less of their previous 28 home games, versus an opponent coming off a SU win and they have a win percentage of .833 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 18-1 ATS (94.2%) since 1982. Those home underdogs also went 17-2 SU in those 19 contests. Give me Kansas plus the points. |