Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-17-23 | Kent State +4.5 v. Indiana | Top | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 3 m | Show |
Kent State vs. Indiana 9:55 PM ET Game# 771-772 Play On: Kent State +4.5 (10*) This line jumped right off the page at me. We have #21 Indiana as just a 4.0-point favorite versus unranked Kent State winners of the MAC Tournament. However, Kent State has proven it can play with the big boys this season. They lost at #2 Houston (31-3) by 5, #9 Gonzaga (28-5) by 7, and at CAA champion Charleston (31-3) by only 2. The Golden Flashes are 22-3 in their last 25 and includes a current 6-game win streak. Indiana went just 5-4 in their last 9 games. The Hoosiers did most of their damage at home this season where they went 15-2. Conversely, they were just 7-9 in away and neutral site games. Give me Kent State plus the points. |
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03-17-23 | Grand Canyon v. Gonzaga -15 | 70-82 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 3 m | Show | |
Grand Canyon vs. Gonzaga 7:35 PM ET Game# 799-800 Play On: Gonzaga -15.0 (5*) Gonzaga played an extremely strong non-conference slate in which they faced 7 teams that are part of the NCAA Tournament field. That included wins over Michigan State, Kentucky, #13 Xavier, and #1 Alabama. They also defeated #19 St. Mary’s twice. On the other hand, Grand Canyon (24-11) has faced only 1 team this season that made the NCAA Tournament and it resulted in a 13-point loss to Nevada. They also sustained 6 losses within their own conference as well. Give me Gonzaga minus the points. |
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03-17-23 | Iona v. Connecticut -9 | 63-87 | Win | 100 | 29 h 18 m | Show | |
Iona vs. Connecticut 4:30 PM ET Game# 775-776 Play On: Connecticut -9.0 (5*) Iona led by legendary head coach Rick Pitino is likely to be a popular upset pick in this matchup. I don’t share that sentiment. UConn is the top offensive rebounding team in the country and that doesn’t bode well for Iona who’s #272 in defensive rebounding. Additionally, Ken Pomeroy’s analytics indicate that UConn is #6 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and #19 defensively in that same category. Iona has faced only 1 team all season that is in the NCAA Tournament and it was America East Champion Vermont. Conversely, the Huskies have played 12 games this season versus current NCAA Tournament teams. That includes non-conference wins over #1 Alabama by 15 and Iowa State by 18. Give me Connecticut minus the points. |
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03-17-23 | Kennesaw State v. Xavier -12.5 | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
Kennesaw State vs. Xavier 12:40 PM ET Game# 787-788 Play On: Xavier -12.5 (5*) This will be the first ever NCAA Tournament appearance for Kennesaw State so there’s bound to be some nerves and tightness from the team as a whole. Conversely, they’ll be facing an Xavier team that #16 nationally in terms of Division 1 experience and has played a far more difficult schedule. The Musketeers will be in a sour mood after turning in a an extremely disappointing performance in a 65-51 loss to Marquette in the Big East Tournament Final. Xavier is #3 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage while Kennesaw State is #234 defending in 3-point shooting percentage defense. Based on each team’s overall resume, Xavier will dominate the boards in this contest as well. Giver me Xavier minus the points. |
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03-16-23 | Penn State +3.5 v. Texas A&M | 76-59 | Win | 100 | 31 h 29 m | Show | |
Penn State vs. Texas A&M 9:55 PM ET Game# 753-754 Play On: Penn State +3.5 (5*) #17 Texas A&M finished 2nd to Alabama in the SEC regular season standings. Much of their success was due to some staunch defensive play. Nevertheless, they have struggled offensively of late while shooting less than 40% in 6 of their last 9 games. That’s not good news when considering that Penn State has held their opponents to less than 40% shooting during 4 of its previous 6 games. Penn State will enter the NCAA Tournament with a ton of momentum after winning 5 of its last 6 and 8 of their previous 10 games. Their 2 losses came by only a combined 5 points. One of those defeats came by 2 versus #3 Purdue in the Big 10 Tournament Championship game. Furthermore, the Nittany Lions are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 as an underdog and that includes winning 6 of those contests straight up. The great equalizer for a College Basketball underdog is their ability to make 3-point shots at a high percentage. Well, Penn State is #9 nationally when it comes to 3-point shooting percentage. Give me Penn State plus the points. |
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03-16-23 | UL - Lafayette v. Tennessee -11 | 55-58 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette vs. Tennessee 9:40 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: Tennessee -11.0 (5*) UL-Lafayette owns an impressive 27-5 record and is currently on a 5-game win streak. However, there’s no team in the Sun Belt Conference they can pressure you defensively like the Tennessee Volunteers can do. Tennessee is #2 nationally in defensive efficiency. The Volunteers aren’t a good shooting team but they’re relentless on the offensive glass having pulled in 36.8% of its missed shots and wearing teams down with consecutive possessions. The overall athleticism on both ends of the floor will take its toll on the Rajun Cajuns in the 2nd half and enable them to pull away for a comfortable win. Give me Tennessee minus the points. |
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03-16-23 | Boise State +1.5 v. Northwestern | 67-75 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 24 m | Show | |
Boise State vs. Northwestern 7:35 PM ET Game# 765-766 Play On: Boise State +1.5 (5*) Boise State is coming off a loss in the Mountain West Conference Semifinal versus Utah State. The Broncos are 7-1 SU this season following a loss and that includes 5-0 in their previous 5. The Boncos played in an underrated conference that has 4 teams in the NCAA Tournament. They also posted impressive non-conference wins over #17 Texas A&M by 15, Colorado by 13, and Washington State by 10. The latter 2 teams are in the NIT field. Northwestern has lost 4 of its last 5 games. Give me Boise State. |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Duke | 51-74 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 54 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts vs. Duke 7:10 PM ET Game# 781-782 Play On: Oral Roberts +6.5 (5*) Duke won the ACC Tournament will enter “The Big Dance” on a 9-game win streak. However, I’m not sold as the ACC this season and many experts share my opinion in that regard. Additionally, the Blue Devils non-conference schedule ranks #102 with regards to degree of difficulty. Oral Roberts enters the NCAA Tournament with a 30-4 record and that includes 27-1 in their last 28 games. They’ve also faced the 13th toughest non-conference schedule in College Basketball. As a matter of fact, 3 of those defeats came at #19 Missouri, at #2 Houston, and at Utah State who received an NCAA Tournament at large bid. They also defeated NCAA Tournament teams Texas Southern by 18 and Liberty by 14. This line tells me all I need to know. Mighty Duke who is sizzling hot right now is only a 6.5-point favorite against the Summit League champion. If it looks too good to be true in sports betting, more times than not it is. This is a textbook example of such. Give me Oral Roberts plus the points. |
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03-16-23 | College of Charleston v. San Diego State -5 | Top | 57-63 | Win | 100 | 24 h 9 m | Show |
Charleston vs. San Diego State 3:10 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On: San Diego State -5.0 (10*) Charleston seems to be a popular pick when it comes to upsets on March Madness brackets being filled out by the public. After all, they’re 31-3 which includes 16-2 in conference play. However, as opposed to San Diego State, Charleston ranks #304 national in terms of strength of schedule and #232 with regards to its non-conference slate. San Diego State (27-6) is the Mountain West Conference Tournament regular season and conference tournament champion. That’s nothing to make light off since the conference will be represented by 4 teams in the NCAA Tournament. The Aztecs have traditionally been an excellent defensive team. This season is no different since they rank #10 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Aztecs also played the 16th toughest non-conference schedule in the country. The Aztecs will also have a decided advantage when it comes to experience which should always be factored in when handicapping NCAA Tournament games. Give me San Diego State minus the points. |
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03-16-23 | Furman +6.5 v. Virginia | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
Furman vs. Virginia 12:40 PM ET Game# 739-740 Play On: Furman +6.5 (5*) #14 Virginia advanced to the ACC Championship Game where they fell to the red-hot Duke Blue Devils. Yet, here they are as just a 6.0-point favorite versus an unranked Southern Conference champion Furman Paladins. The oddsmakers are certainly making it very appealing to take the single-digit favorite in this matchup. However, Furman is 27-7 on the season which includes 14-1 in their last 15 games. The Paladins average 10 made 3-point shots per game and are #1 nationally in 2-point shooting percentage (59.1%). Give me Furman plus the points. |
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03-15-23 | Utah Valley +5.5 v. New Mexico | 83-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Utah Valley State @ New Mexico 10:00 PM ET Game# 717-718 Play On: Utah Valley State +5.5 (5*) New Mexico got off to an 18-2 start to the season. However, the Lobos went 4-9 since that time. Rick Pitino Jr. coached teams faltering in the 2nd half of a season have become an all too familiar trend. Utah Valley State (25-8) won’t be in awe of stepping up in class. The Wolverines have posted wins at BYU (19-15) and Oregon this season. They also lost in overtime at Wake Forest (19-14). UVSU is #39 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and #3 in blocked shot percentage. Give me Utah Valley State plus the points. |
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03-15-23 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -5 | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ Cincinnati 9:00 PM ET Game# 715-716 Play On: Cincinnati -5.0 (5*) Virginia Tech is a terrible 2-9 SU&ATS in true road games this season. As a matter of fact, their only road wins came over Notre Dame and Louisville who were a combined 15-49 this season which also includes 5-35 in ACC action. The Hokies started the season 11-1 and since have gone 8-13. Cincinnati has gone 14-3 SU and 13-4 ATS at home this season. Their only home losses came versus #2 Houston, #13 Xavier, and #24 Memphis. Give me Cincinnati minus the points. |
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03-11-23 | Arizona +1.5 v. UCLA | 61-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Arizona vs. UCLA 10:30 PM ET Game# 637-638 Play On: Arizona +1.5 (5*) This is a game in which UCLA will sorely miss the contributions of guard Jaylen Clark who recently was ruled out for the season due to an Achilles injury. Clark was averaging 13.0 points and 6.0 rebounds per game on the season. UCLA is currently on a 12-game win streak in which they went a profitable 8-3-1 ATS. However, they’re just a 1.0-point favorite in the PAC-12 title game versus an Arizona team in which they finished regular season action 4.0 games ahead of in the conference standings. Give me Arizona. |
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03-11-23 | Duke -3 v. Virginia | 59-49 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Duke vs. Virginia 8:30 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play On: Duke -3.0 (5*) Virginia is the higher seed and ranked team in this matchup. However, Duke is the small favorite which speaks volumes to me. Duke is winners of 8 straight and is unequivocally playing its best basketball of the season at the most opportune time. As a matter of fact, the last Blue Devils loss was 69-62 at Virginia on 2/11. Duke knocked off 2 NCAA Tournament bound teams in #14 Miami (25-7) and Pittsburgh (22-11) in the first 2 rounds of this ACC Tournament. Give me Duke minus the points. |
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03-11-23 | Marist v. Iona -14.5 | 55-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Marist vs. Iona 7:30 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: Iona -14.5 (5*) Marist entered the MAAC Tournament with a 10-19 record. Somehow, they’ve managed to win 3-games in 3 days to earn a berth in the Conference Championship Game. There’s little chance that Iona will take them lightly with an NCAA Tournament bid on the line and a seasoned head coach like Rick Pitino. Iona won the 2 regular season matchups versus Marist by 19 and 27 points. Iona is currently on a 13-game win streak and went 9-45 ATS in those contests. That includes 6-2 ATS as a double-digit favorite during that stretch. Give me Iona minus the points. |
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03-11-23 | Tulane v. Memphis -6 | 54-94 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
Tulane vs. Memphis 5:30 PM ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Memphis -6.0 (5*) Tulane won both regular season meetings. Yet, Memphis is the sizable favorite in this AAC Tournament Semifinal. They’re begging us to take the underdog but I’m here to tell you don’t fall for the trap. Memphis has gone 12-3 in their last 15 games. Their only losses during that stretch was a pair of defeats to #1 Houston by 2 and 7 points, and a 1-point overtime loss to Tulane. Give me Memphis minus the points. |
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03-11-23 | Penn State +4 v. Indiana | 77-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
Penn State vs. Indiana 3:30 PM ET Game# 617-618 Play On: Penn State +4.0 (5*) Penn State has shown a very high compete level over the past 3 plus weeks while going 4-0 in their last 4 and 7-1 during its previous 8 games. Even more telling is they’re 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 as an underdog. Conversely, Indiana has gone 1-4 ATS and 3-2 SU in their last 5 as a favorite. Penn State routed Indiana 85-66 during the only meeting between these teams this season. Since last season, Penn State is 8-1 ATS in games played in March. Give me Penn State plus the points. |
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03-10-23 | Arizona State v. Arizona -7 | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Arizona State vs. Arizona 11:30 PM ET Game# 859-860 Play On: Arizona -7.0 (5*) Arizona will be out to revenge a late regular season 89-88 home loss to Arizona State in a game the Sun Devils made a 60-foot 3-point shot at the buzzer to win it. Despite winning in each of the last 2 days, Arizona State is still a mediocre at best 7-8 SU and 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games. The Sun Devils have also shot worse than 40% in each of their previous 3 games. That will be problematic against an Arizona team which has scored 78 points or more in 10 of its last 11 and shot 49% or better in 8 of those games. Give me Arizona minus the points. |
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03-10-23 | Clemson +3.5 v. Virginia | 56-76 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Clemson vs. Virginia 9:30 PM ET Game# 851-852 Play On: Clemson +3.5 (5*) Clemson has won 4 of its last 5 with their lone loss at Virginia. The Tigers will look to revenge that lone defeat during that successful stretch in which they shot a combined 51.0% and 42.3% from 3-point range. As a matter of fact, Clemson has scored 80 points or more in 4 of its last 5 and 5 of its previous 7 games. Furthermore, Clemson has gone 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS in this season when their point-spread is +3.5 to -3.5. Give me Clemson plus the points. |
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03-10-23 | Creighton -3.5 v. Xavier | 60-82 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Xavier vs. Creighton 9:00 PM ET |
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03-09-23 | Arizona State v. USC -4 | 77-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
USC vs. Arizona State 11:30 PM ET Game# 771-772 Play On: USC -4.0 (5*) USC has won their last 7 games versus Arizona State which includes both regular season matchups this year. The Trojans have steadily improved as the season moved on while going 18-6 SU in their last 24 including 5-1 during its previous 6. During their 2 regular season wins over Arizona State they held the Sun Devils to an awful 33.8% shooting from the floor. Arizona State heads into the PAC-12 Tournement having gone 6-8 SU and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games. Give me USC minus the points. |
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03-09-23 | UNLV v. Boise State -5 | 76-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Boise State @ UNLV 9:00 PM ET Game# 777-778 Play On: Boise State -5.0 (5*) Despite this Mountain West Conference quarterfinal matchup being played on the home floor of UNLV, Boise State opened as a 3.5-point favorite and has since moved to 5.5. The Broncos have defeated UNLV 7 straight times which includes both regular season matchups this year. Boise State is coming off an 86-73 loss at Utah State in their regular season finale. The Broncos haven’t lost 2 consecutive games since late December and that was the only time it occurred all season. UNLV has shot poorly over their last 6 games while making just 38.4% of its field goal attempts. Give me Boise State minus the points. |
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03-09-23 | Penn State +2.5 v. Illinois | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Penn State vs. Illinois 6:30 PM ET Game# 739-740 Play On: Penn State +2.5 (5*) Illinois finished the regular season by going an uninspiring 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. Conversely, Penn State has won 5 of its last 6 contests. The Nittany Lions swept the regular season series versus Illinois with decisive 93-81 and 74-59 wins. Penn State has made an average of 10 three-point shots per game throughout its previous 5 contests and converted on an excellent 39.2% of those long-distance attempts. Give me Penn State plus the points. |
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03-07-23 | St. Peter's v. Fairfield -2.5 | 70-52 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
St. Peter’s vs. Fairfield 7:30 PM ET Game# 623-624 Play On: Fairfield -2.5 (5*) St. Peter’s is coming off a 73-72 upset win over Siena in their previous game. However, the Peacocks are 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 this season immediately following a win. They have failed to win consecutive games since 12/18/2022. A far cry from a team that advanced to the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament a season ago. St. Peter’s has allowed their last 5 opponents to shoot a combined 50% from the field and 43.4% from beyond the 3-point line. Fairfield won and covered both regular season meeting versus St. Peter’s by scores of 56-52 and 67-55. I look for more of the same type of result in this one. Give me Fairfield minus the small number. |
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03-07-23 | NC-Wilmington v. College of Charleston -9.5 | 58-63 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
UNC-Wilmington vs. Charleston 7:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: Charleston -9.5 (5*) UNC-Wilmington is coming off yesterday’s 6-point upset overtime win over Hofstra. Despite that win, it must be noted that the Seawolves are 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 as an underdog. Charleston passed a stern test last night with a 5-point win over a very good Towson State (21-12) team. This is a Cougars team that can potentially pull an upset or 2 in the NCAA Tournament. This line is as heavy as its sis for good reason. They’re begging you to take the underdog, but I’m not falling for the trap. Give me Charleston minus the points. |
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03-07-23 | New Hampshire v. UMass Lowell -12 | 64-75 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
New Hampshire @ UMass-Lowell 6:00 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: UMass-Lowell -12.0 (5*) UMass-Lowell enters this America East Conference Tournament Semifinal home game with a stellar 25-7 (.781) season record. New Hampshire has gone a terrible 0-6 SU&ATS on the road versus opponents with a win percentage of .600 to .800 and lost by an average of 22.6 points per game. UMass-Lowell has gone 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as a favorite with an average line of -10.9 and victory margin of 22.0 points per game. Lowell is also 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 overall and outscored their opponents by 19.8 points per game. During that stretch they averaged 84.2 points scored per game, shot 50.5%, made 43.2% of its 3-point shot attempts, and converted on an excellent 77.9% of their free throws. Lowell avenged an earlier season upset loss at New Hampshire with a 92-55 home win on 2/25. Lowell is 16-0 SU and 10-3 ATS this season at home and won by 22.0 points per contest. Give me UMass-Lowell minus the points. |
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03-06-23 | South Alabama +2 v. UL - Lafayette | 66-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
South Alabama vs. UL-Lafayette 7:00 PM ET Game# 865-866 Play On: South Alabama +2.0 (5*) UL-Lafayette swept the regular season series between these team. However, the oddsmakers were undeterred by those results and lists them as a short favorite in today’s Sun Belt Conference Tournament Championship game. South Alabama started the season 7-13, but they’ve gone 11-2 SU&ATS since. During their 3 conference tournament wins, the Jaguars held opponents 62.3 points per game and a combined 38.3% shooting. Furthermore, South Alabama is 6-0 ATS and 5-1 SU in neutral site games this season with their only blemish coming in a 62-60 loss to Towson State (21-11). Give me South Alabama. |
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03-04-23 | UNLV v. Nevada -8.5 | Top | 69-67 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
UNLV @ Nevada 5:00 PM ET Game# 667-668 Play On: Nevada -8.5 (5*) UNLV is coming off a terrible 25-point home blowout loss to Utah State in their previous game. The Rebels have now lost 4 of its last 5 while shooting a terrible 38.7% throughout that stretch. Nevada is coming off an 80-71 upset loss at Wyoming. However, the Wolfpack is 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS following a loss this season. Nevada is also 14-0 at home and that includes 8-0 SU and 6-1-1 ATS when facing conference opponents. The Wolfpack will be also out to atone for a 68-62 loss at UNLV earlier this season. Give me Nevada minus the points. |
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03-04-23 | Kansas State v. West Virginia -4 | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
Kansas State @ West Virginia 2:00 PM ET Game# 637-638 Play On: West Virginia -4.0 (5*) This is a textbook trap game. We have #11 Kansas State which is currently on a 4-0 SU&ATS winning run as an underdog against an unranked 17-13 West Virginia team. However, the nationally ranked Wildcats are 1-5 in their last 6 conference road games. The Mountaineers are a solid 12-4 SU and 11-5 ATS at home this season. If they want to keep their feint NCAA Tournament hopes alive, then this could be a statement game for the home side. Give me West Virginia minus the points. |
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03-04-23 | Alabama v. Texas A&M +1.5 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Texas A&M 12:00 PM ET Game# 603-604 Play On: Texas A&M +1.0 (5*) Alabama is set up to fail in this spot. The Crimson Tide is coming off an extremely emotional 90-85 home overtime win versus bitter in state rival Auburn in their regular season home finale. Additionally, the Crimson Tide clinched the SEC regular season title with that win. This sets up as a textbook flat spot for Alabama. Now 3 days later they take to the road to play a Texas A&M team which has gone a successful 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS in conference home games. Give me Texas A&M plus the points. |
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03-04-23 | Iowa State v. Baylor -7 | 73-58 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Baylor 12:00 PM ET Game# 605-606 Play On: Baylor -7.0 (5*) Iowa State was a nice story throughout the first 2/3 of the season. However, they’ve hit a brick wall of late. The Cyclones are 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4. Additionally, Iowa State has gone 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 conference away games and was outscored by an average of 8.5 points per contest. To make matters worse, they recently dismissed their 2nd leading scorer from the team. Baylor has played its best basketball during the 2nd half of the regular season, and especially so at home. Baylor is 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 at home, and all against teams from the best conference in college basketball. Give me Baylor minus the points. |
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03-03-23 | Knicks -2.5 v. Heat | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
New York @ Miami 8:10 PM ET Game# 553-554 Play On: New York -2.5 (5*) Miami has been slumping which is evidenced by them going 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 games. The Heat have scored 108 points or fewer in each of its previous 8 games. It’s very difficult to win in this NBA modern era with that kind of poor offensive scoring numbers. New York enters today a red-hot 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 and won by a decisive margin of 16.0 points per game. During this sizzling hot run they’ve averaged 123.7 points scored per game and shot a combined 51.5% from the field. The Knicks most latest win came at home over Brooklyn 142-118. New York is 4-0 SU&ATS this season on the road immediately following a road double-digit win and they won by an average of 13.0 points per game. Give me New York minus the points. |
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03-02-23 | Arizona State v. UCLA -11 | 61-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Arizona State @ UCLA 9:00 PM ET Game# 747-748 Play On: UCLA -11.0 (5*) Arizona State is a trendy pick in this game according to the current public betting trends I’m staring at. The Sun Devils are coming off a huge upset win 89-88 at highly ranked Arizona in their previous contest and did so as a 12.0-point underdog. Additionally, they won that contest courtesy of a 60-foot desperation 3-point shot that went in at the buzzer. It would be hard for me to imagine they can carry over even close to the same emotion on the road versus one of the current favorites to win a national championship. The Sun Devils are 0-6 SU&ATS this season following a game in which there was a combined 155 points or more being scored and they lost by a decisive margin of 16.5 points per game. UCLA is 15-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 21.3 points per game. The Bruins are on a current 8-game win streak which has saw them by 13.8 points per contest. UCLA won 74-62 at Arizona State earlier this season thus easily covering as a 5.0-point favorite. Give me UCLA minus the points. |
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03-02-23 | Purdue v. Wisconsin +4.5 | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Purdue @ Wisconsin 9:00 PM ET Game# 753-754 Play On: Wisconsin +4.5 (5*) The highly touted Boilermakers aren’t exactly playing their best basketball during the final stretch of regular season action while going 2-4 in their last 6. Additionally, Purdue is 0-3 in their last 3 on the road. Wisconsin is coming off an 87-79 loss at Michigan. However, the Badgers 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss in their previous game. If Wisconsin wants to keep their feint NCAA Tournament hopes alive then a win here is imperative. I’m banking on the fact that even if they fall short, the Badgers will take Purdue right down to the wire in their final regular season home games of the season. Give me Wisconsin plus the points. |
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03-01-23 | Texas +3 v. TCU | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Texas @ TCU 9:00 PM ET Game# 703-704 Play On: Texas +3.0 (5*) TCU is coming off an 83-82 win at Texas Tech. Nonetheless, the Horned Frogs are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and 1-5 SU&ATS during its previous 6 following a win. TCU has won 2 games in a row since 1/24 and has done so just once since 1/4. Texas is coming off an 81-72 loss at Baylor. Nevertheless, Texas hasn’t lost 2 consecutive games all season. The Longhorns are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS following a loss this season. Texas has also gone 8-0 in their last 8 regular season games against TCU. During their previous 5 games, Texas has made an excellent 41.9% of their 3-point shot attempts while averaging 10 makes per contest. Give me Texas plus the points. |
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03-01-23 | Penn State v. Northwestern -3.5 | 68-65 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Northwestern 9:00 PM ET Game# 699-700 Play On: Northwestern -3.5 (5*) Northwestern is coming off road losses in their last 2 games played. On a positive note, the Wildcats are 3-0 SU&ATS this season following 2 straight losses. The Wildcats are also 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home with wins coming over #5 Purdue, #15 Indiana, and Iowa. Conversely, Penn State is 2-6 in their last 8 Big 10 away games with their only victories coming over Ohio State and Minnesota who have a combined conference record of 5-30. Give me Northwestern minus the points. |
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02-25-23 | Virginia v. North Carolina -3 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Virginia @ North Carolina 6:00 PM ET Game# 713-714 Play On: North Carolina -3.0 (10*) This line jumped right off the page at me. We have an unranked North Carolina team which has lost 5 of its last 7 games as a favorite over the #6 ranked team in the country. They’re begging you to take the underdog in this spot. I’m not falling for the bait. Give me North Carolina minus the points. |
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02-25-23 | West Virginia v. Kansas -9 | 74-76 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
02-25-23 | Texas A&M +1.5 v. Mississippi State | 62-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
02-24-23 | South Alabama +4.5 v. UL - Lafayette | 64-74 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
South Alabama @ UL-Lafayette 9:00 PM ET Game# 885-886 Play On: South Alabama +4.5 (5*) Yes, I know UL-Lafayette is a perfect 13-0 SU at home this season and already won by 3 at South Alabama earlier this season. However, throughout their previous 5 contests they allowed 75.4 points per game while opponents shot a combined 47.6%, 37.1% from 3-point rank, and permitted an alarmingly high 24 free throw attempts per game. South Alabama has gone a sizzling hot 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 and outscored their opponents by an enormous average of 23.4 points per game. During this current win streak, the Cougars have only allowed 55.2 points per game and opponents shot a combined 37.1%. Conversely, they’ve also been very good offensively during this winning run while shooting 53.7% and making an excellent 44.5% of their 3-point shot attempts. That recent 3-point shooting prowess can’t be ignored since UL-Lafayette is dead last statistically in 3-point shooting defense at 37.9%. Furthermore, beyond this current unbeaten streak, South Alabama is also an extremely profitable 8-1 SU&ATS in their last 9. Give me South Alabama plus the points. |
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02-22-23 | Iowa v. Wisconsin +1.5 | 52-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Wisconsin 9:00 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Wisconsin +1.5 (5*) Iowa is a poor defensive team. As a matter of fact, they’ve allowed opponents to shoot 50% or better in 11 of 16 Big 10 Conference games this season. Furthermore, throughout their previous 5 contests they’ve allowed 75.4 points per game while permitting their opponents to shoot 52.1% and make 40.9% of its 3-point shot attempts. Wisconsin is coming off a 58-57 home loss to Rutgers. However, the Badgers have gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss. The Badgers have made an outstanding 39.9% of their 3-point shot attempts at home while averaging 8 makes per game. |
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02-22-23 | South Alabama -2.5 v. Texas State | 76-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
South Alabama @ Texas State 8:00 PM ET Game# 705-706 Play On: South Alabama -2.5 (5*) Texas State is just 3-7 SU at home this season when facing Division 1 opposition. They also suffered a home loss versus Division III Mary Hardin-Simmons. South Alabama has gone 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 games. That includes 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous 4 with a enormous average victory margin of 27.0 points per game. During their current win streak, they shot a combined 55.8% and averaged 79.3 points scored per game. They’re also a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as a favorite with an average victory margin of 20.3 points per game. South Alabama will be out to revenge a home upset loss to Texas State earlier this season. Give me South Alabama on the money line. |
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02-22-23 | Duquesne v. La Salle +2.5 | 91-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Duquesne @ LaSalle 7:00 PM ET Game# 733-734 Play On: LaSalle +2.5 (5*) Duquesne is 19-8 but just 8-6 inside their own conference. They we also beneficiaries of playing an extremely soft non-conference schedule. Duquesne is 2-5 SU in their last 7 true road games. LaSalle is arguably playing their best basketball of the season during this final stretch of regular season action. The Explorers have won 5 of its last 6 and cover in 7 consecutive games. They’ve also gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 at home and won by an average of 10.3 PPG. Give me Lasalle plus the points. |
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02-21-23 | Indiana v. Michigan State -2.5 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Michigan State 9:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Michigan State -2.5 (5*) Despite their stellar 19-8 record, Indiana has gone just 3-6 SU in true road games this season. The 17th ranked Hoosiers also have a huge rivalry game up next at Purdue. Michigan State has gone 8-1 SU in their last 9 at home with their lone setback coming by 1 against #5 Purdue (24-4). The Spartans will also be out for revenge stemming from 82-69 loss at Indiana earlier this season. This is a classic example of an unranked favorite facing a nationally ranked opponent in late season action. I trust the oddsmakers much more than the so-called College Basketball experts that vote in those Top 25 Polls. Give me Michigan State minus the points. |
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02-21-23 | Marquette v. Creighton -5.5 | 73-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Marquette @ Creighton 8:30 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Creighton -5.5 (5*) Marquette is a more than respectable 5-3 in Big East Conference away games. However, those 5 wins came over teams with a combined Big East Conference record of 25-59 (.298) this season. The 3 they lost on the road came versus #18 Connecticut, #16 Xavier, and #20 Providence. Now they find themselves in a conference away game versus #19 Creighton. I’m sure by now, you see my rationale. Creighton has gone 9-1 SU in their last 10. Their lone loss during that stretch came in double-overtime at #20 Providence. The Bluejays are also 8-0 SU in conference home games and won by an average of 14.8 points per game. Among those were wins over 3 conference nationally ranked opponents in Connecticut, Providence, and Xavier. Give me Creighton minus the points. |
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02-21-23 | Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | 76-70 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Miami @ Virginia Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 617-618 Play On: Virginia Tech -2.5 (5*) My antennas went up when I saw the opening point-spread on this matchup. We have an unranked Virginia Tech team that’s 6-10 in ACC action as a favorite over #13 Miami with a 13-4 conference record. Furthermore, Miami has gone a sizzling hot 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the ranked underdog in this matchup versus an unranked opponent. Many more times than not what appears to look this easy is not. I trust the oddsmakers much more than poll voters. Give me Virginia Tech minus the points. |
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02-18-23 | Duke v. Syracuse +1.5 | 77-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Duke @ Syracuse 6:00 PM ET Game# 719-720 Play On: Syracuse +1.5 (5*) Duke has gone 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 away games with their only win coming over a terrible Georgia Tech team. As a matter of fact, Duke is 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS in ACC road games this season. Syracuse has got better as the season has progressed. The Orange come into this contest brimming with confidence after going 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 contests including a home win over #23 NC State in their previous outing. Syracuse has a very respectable 9-6 ACC record and went an extremely profitable 9-3-3 ATS in those contests. It’s worth noting, they lost 5 of those 6 conference games by 7 points or fewer. The Orange have lost each of their previous 7 meetings versus Duke. Yet here the oddsmakers seem undeterred by those results based on this current line. Give me Syracuse. |
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02-18-23 | Iowa State v. Kansas State -3 | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Kansas State 2:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Kansas State -3.0 (5*) Iowa State is coming off a 70-59 home win over TCU. Unfortunately for them, they gone 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in their last 4 following a win and scored 61 points or fewer on 3 of those occasions. The Cyclones have also gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 as an away pick or underdog. Kansas State has proven to own a strong home court advantage so far this season. The Wildcats have gone 12-1 SU and 9-4 ATS this season at Bramlage, Coliseum in Manhattan, Kansas. Kansas State will be playing with revenge after losing 80-76 at Iowa State earlier this season. Somehow, they managed to lose that game despite shooting 52.1% from the field and 56.2% from 3-point territory. Kansas State comes in on a 2-game losing streak, but both took place on the road. Furthermore, the Wildcats have lost 3 consecutive games all season long and it’s just the 2nd time they’ve lost 2 in a row. Lastly, Kansas State has gone 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS this season as a home pick or favorite of 9.5 or less. Give me Kansas State minus the points. |
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02-18-23 | St. Joe's +4.5 v. Davidson | 75-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
St. Joseph’s @ Davidson 12:30 PM ET Game# 617-618 Play On: St. Joseph’s +4.5 (5*) Davidson has lost 4 straight and 6 of its previous 7 at home. The Wildcats began the season 6-1 and since then has gone a dismal 5-13. St. Joe’s is coming off a 76-62 loss at Duquesne. However, they’re 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 15.3 points per game. They’re also 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Give me St. Joseph’s plus the points. |
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02-17-23 | Niagara +1.5 v. Mt. St. Mary's | 66-70 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Niagara @ Mount St. Mary’s 7:00 PM ET Game# 877-878 Play On: Niagara +1.5 (5*) Mount St. Mary’s is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and 1-6 SU&ATS during its previous 7 games at home. Niagara is coming off a home loss to a very good Iona team coached by Rick Pitino. That loss broke a 5-game Purple Eagles win streak. These teams met on 12/31, and Niagara walked away with a 67-55 win and easily covered as a 2.5-point favorite. Give me Niagara. |
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02-17-23 | Dartmouth +10 v. Cornell | 83-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Dartmouth @ Cornell 6:00 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Dartmouth +10.0 (5*) Cornell has gone 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. That includes 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3. Dartmouth is 4-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog this season and won 2 of those contests straight up. Dartmouth has also gone 5-4 SU in their last 9 and 8-3-1 ATS during its previous 12 games played. Give me Dartmouth plus the points. |
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02-15-23 | Indiana -2 v. Northwestern | 62-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Northwestern 9:00 PM ET Game# 713-714 Play On: Indiana -2.0 (5*) Northwestern is enjoying a stellar season by their standards and it very well may result in only its 2nd ever NCAA Tournament appearance. However, as good as it’s been they have lost 4 times at home this season with 3 of those coming by 16 points or more. Additionally, Northwestern is coming off an emotional home win in their previous game over then #1 Purdue. For a program that isn’t used to much sustained success, it leads me to think they’ll be flat tonight versus a team they already beat this season. Indiana will be out to revenge an earlier season 84-83 home loss to Northwestern. Well they’re certainly set up to do so. The Hoosiers are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. They’ve also gone a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a favorite of 5.5 or less and won by an average of 11.6 points per game. Give me Indiana minus the small number. |
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02-15-23 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State -2.5 | 71-68 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Kentucky @ Mississippi State 8:30 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Mississippi State -2.5 (5*) Kentucky is coming off back-to-back losses to Georgia and Arkansas that severely hut their NCAA Tournament invite chances. Conversely, Mississippi State is riding the momentum of a 5-0 SU&ATS run in their last 5 with an average victory margin of 10.0 points per game. Furthermore, during this current win streak, the Bulldogs allowed a mere 58.8 points per game and held those opponents to a combined 38.3% shooting. That’s nothing new considering Mississippi State ranks #4 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. Give me Mississippi State minus the number. |
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02-15-23 | Missouri State v. Bradley -9.5 | 54-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Missouri State @ Bradley 8:00 PM ET Game# 705-706 Play On: Bradley -9.5 (5*) I laid a heavy number (-10.5) with Bradley on Saturday, and they absolutely crushed Murray State 83-48. I’m coming right back with them again tonight. Bradley already won at Missouri State earlier this season in a 58-40 blowout. Bradley is 12-1 SU and 11-2 ATS this season at home when facing Division 1 teams and outscored them by a decisive margin of 23.4 points per game. The Braves are on a current 6-game win streak and covered each of the last 4 of those contests. Bradley has been red-hot offensively over its last 5 contests while averaging 76.8 points scored per game, shot 51.4% from the field, and an eye-popping 48.6% from beyond the 3-point line. Additionally, they are only allowing 62.0 points per game this season in Missouri Valley Conference games. Conversely, Missouri State has scored an average of 64.1 points per game this season during conference play. Give me Bradley minus the points. |
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02-14-23 | Missouri +6.5 v. Auburn | 56-89 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Missouri @ Auburn 7:00 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: Missouri +6.5 (5*) These teams are on opposite paths recently. Missouri has won 5 of their previous 6 and Auburn is 1-5 during its last 6 games. As a matter of fact, Auburn has lost their last 3 and all against SEC opponents. The last of which came on this past Saturday’s 77-69 home loss to bitter rival Alabama. Conversely, Missouri is coming off a huge 86-85 upset win at Tennessee and did so as an 12.5 point underdog. They say the great equalizer for College Basketball underdogs is their ability to make 3-point shots at a high percentage. Well then, Auburn has made 45% of its 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Hello live underdog! Give me Missouri plus the points. |
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02-13-23 | Texas -3.5 v. Texas Tech | 67-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Texas @ Texas Tech 9:00 PM ET Game# 879-880 Play On: Texas -3.5 (5*) I cashed in with Texas Tech just 2 days ago as they won by 7 at home versus nationally ranked Kansas State. However, the Red Raiders are still an abysmal 2-10 in Big 12 Conference action. Texas Tech is 0-5 SU&ATS this season as an underdog of 5.0 or less and they lost by an average of 12.8 points per game. Texas is a legitimate Top 5 nationally ranked team right now. Texas is coming off a 94-60 blowout home win over West Virginia on Saturday. The Longhorns are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a favorite of 8.0 or less and won by an average of 14.0 points per game. Texas is 4-3 SU in true road games this season. Nevertheless, those 3 losses came versus nationally ranked teams in Tennessee, Kansas, and Iowa State. As of last Monday 2/6, all 3 of those teams were ranked #12 or higher in the AP Poll. That’s unequivocally not the elite level of competition they’ll be facing tonight. Give me Texas minus the points. |
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02-13-23 | Magic +5 v. Bulls | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Orlando @ Chicago 8:10 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Orlando +5.0 (5*) Chicago enters today’s game having gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and lost by 11.3 points per contest. Additionally, they averaged a paltry 94.3 points scored per game in those 3 defeats. Chicago’s most recent defeat came at Cleveland 97-89. The Bulls are 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 following a game in which they scored less than 100 points. Orlando has gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as an underdog of between 3.0 and 10.5 following a SU loss. Orlando’s average point-spread in those contests was +7.2 and they won by a comfortable margin of 10.0 points per game. Give me Orlando plus the points. |
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02-11-23 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech +1.5 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Kansas State @ Texas Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 765-766 Play On: Texas Tech +1.5 (5*) So let me get this straight. We have a Texas Tech team that’s 1-10 in Big 12 Conferences action that’s just a 1.5-point underdog, versus a Kansas State team which is 19-5 and ranked #12 nationally. Kansas State is a lock right. Well, it’s seldom that easy when it comes to sports betting. Besides, despite their outstanding season record, Kansas State has lost their 3 road contests and by an average of 10.0 points per game. The last time Texas Tech played at home they overcame a 23-point 2nd half deficit to knock off #11 Iowa State. Give me Texas Tech. |
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02-11-23 | Indiana v. Michigan -2.5 | 62-61 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Michigan 6:00 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: Michigan -2.5 (5*) Indiana has gone a terrific 13-1 at home this season. However, the Hoosiers are just 2-5 SU in true road games. Despite an uninspiring 14-10 season record, Michigan has gone 5-0 SU&ATS this season as a favorite of 4.5 or less and won by an average of 15.0 points per game. The Wolverines also come on with momentum having gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 with an average victory margin of 15.3 points per game. By the way, Michigan is 8-0 in their last 8 regular season meetings versus Indiana with an average victory margin of 18.5 points per game. Here's the question of the day. How is an unranked Michigan team a favorite Top 20 team like 17-7 Indiana? They’re giving us the winner. Give me Michigan plus the points. |
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02-11-23 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -5.5 | 64-56 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State 6:00 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: Iowa State -5.5 (5*) Oklahoma State enters this contest red hot winning their last 4 and 6 of its previous 7. Conversely, Iowa State has gone 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Why is Iowa State the sizable favorite? Because the Cyclones are 12-0 SU and 8-4 ATS at home this season with a massive average victory margin of 22.3 points per game. On the other hand, Oklahoma State has gone 1-4 in their last 5 conference road games. Give me Iowa State minus the points. |
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02-11-23 | Murray State v. Bradley -11 | 48-83 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
Murray State @ Bradley 2:00 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Bradley -11.0 (5*) Murray State has gone 0-5 in their last 5 on the road and lost by a decisive margin of 18.0 points per game. Despite Murray State winning at home 67-58 earlier this season, the oddsmakers are undeterred by that result as evidenced by the current point-spread. As a matter of fact, since that win, Murray State has gone 4-6 SU and 4 of those defeats came by double-digit margins. The Racers have been terrible defensively of late, allowing 82.4 points per contest, 51.2% shooting, and an atrocious 45.0% from 3-point territory throughout its previous 5 games. Bradley is 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS at home versus Division 1 opponents and outscored them by a substantial average of 20.7 points per game. According to Ken Pomeroy, Bradley possesses the 11th strongest home court in the nation. Throughout its last 5 games Bradley has shot 48.6% and made 42.7% of its 3-point shot attempts. Give me Bradley minus the points. |
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02-11-23 | Connecticut v. Creighton -4.5 | 53-56 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Connecticut @ Creighton 2:00 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: Creighton -4.5 (5*) Creighton enters this game on a 7-game win streak and looks more like the Top 25 team that everyone thought they would be before the season began. They will also be playing with revenge from an earlier season 9 point loss at UConn. On a positive note from that loss was the fact they outrebounded the Huskies by a wide margin of 49-34. UConn has allowed the most free throw attempts of any Big East team during conference action. Conversely, Creighton is the #2 free throw shooting percentage team in conference play while converting on an excellent 77.2% of its attempts. Creight has gone 11-1 at home this season with a +17.5 point per game differential and that includes 7-0 versus conference opponents. Give me Creighton minus the points. |
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02-11-23 | Kansas v. Oklahoma +3.5 | 78-55 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Kansas @ Oklahoma 1:00 PM ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Oklahoma +3.5 (5*) The defending national champion Kansas Jayhawks have lost each of their previous 3 conference away games. However, in their defense those were all against Top 20 caliber competition. Kansas is still a legitimate national title contender. Yet, they’re just a short favorite against an unranked team Like Oklahoma who has lost 6 of their last 7 and 4 of its previous 5 at home. Here’s where the underdog hidden betting value comes from. Ken Pomeroy’s analytics still maintains that Oklahoma has the 10th strongest home court in all of college basketball. Furthermore, since the 2020-2021 season began, Oklahoma is 10-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6.0 or less. Give me Oklahoma plus the points. |
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02-11-23 | NC State v. Boston College +7 | 92-62 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
NC State @ Boston College 12:00 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: Boston College +7.0 (5*) Boston College has come to life in recent weeks. They’re coming off a huge momentum building 82-76 upset win as a 13.0-point underdog at Virginia Tech. Don’t look now, but the Eagles have won 4 of their last 6 and covered in 5 of its previous 7. Boston College is a below average defensive team. But on a positive note they’re the 4th best team in forcing turnovers in ACC play which makes up for some of their deficiencies on that end of the floor. NC State is far the better team in this matchup. Yet, I still believe this too heavy a number to be laying on the road. The Wolfpack are just 3-4 SU in conference away games. NC State also allows the 2nd most free throw attempts in ACC games. That will be problematic against a Boston College team which is making 77.3% of its free throws in ACC action. Give me Boston College plus the points. |
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02-10-23 | Wolves +7 v. Grizzlies | 107-128 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Memphis 8:10 PM ET Game# 565-566 Play On: Minnesota +7.0 (5*) Minnesota has done extremely well in this point-spread parameter since 1/2/2023. During that time, the Timberwolves have gone 7-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of between 1.5 to 7.5 with an average victory margin of 7.9 points per game. Despite Memphis coming off a win in their previous game, they’ve gone an abysmal 2-8 SU in their last 10 including 0-4 SU&ATS as a favorite of 7.5 or less and losing by 6.3 points per contest. Give me Minnesota minus the points. |
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02-09-23 | Arizona State v. Stanford -3 | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Arizona State @ Stanford 10:00 PM ET Game# 829-830 Play On: Stanford -3.0 (5*) We have a Stanford team which has an uninspiring 10-13 (.435) season record versus an opponent in Arizona State who is 16-8 (.667), and yet it’s the Cardinal who are favorite. However, after looking at the recent trending for each team, it all makes sense. Arizona State started the season 15-3, but since that time has gone a dismal 1-5 since. Conversely, Stanford began the season 5-12, but has since rebounded to win 5 of its last 6 games. Clearly, each team’s compass has been pointed in opposite directions of late. Hence, the team with a losing record being favorite over an opponent that has won 66.7% of its game this season. Stanford had their 5-game win streak halted in their previous game while suffering an 84-62 blowout loss at Colorado. Any College Basketball favorite like Stanford that’s coming off a road loss by 10 points or more, and they currently possess a winning record, versus an opponent like Arizona State with a winning record, resulted those favorites going 61-27 ATS (69.3%) since the 2018-2019 season began. The average point-spread for the favorites was -3.6. Give me Stanford minus the points. |
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02-09-23 | Nuggets v. Magic +6.5 | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Denver @ Orlando 7:10 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Orlando +6.5 (5*) Denver is an excellent 26-4 SU and and 19-10-1 ATS on the road. However, the Nuggets are just 12-13 SU and 9-14-2 ATS on the road. Furthermore, Denver enters today having lost 3 consecutive road game. Orlando began the season with a dismal 5-20 record in their first 25 games. Since that time, the Magic are 17-13 SU and 21-9 ATS. Moreover, Orlando is 7-0 ATS and 6-1 SU in their last 7 games as an underdog of between 5.0 and 10.5-points. Give me Orlando pus the points. |
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02-08-23 | Nebraska v. Michigan -11.5 | 72-93 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Nebraska @Michigan 6:30 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: Michigan -11.5 (5*) Nebraska is coming off a 72-63 home win over Penn State. However, they’re 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a win and lost by a decisive margin of 18.3 points per game. The Cornhuskers are also 0-6 SU&ATS this season as a conference away underdog and lost by 16.3 points per game. Conversely, Michigan is 5-1 SU in conference home games this season with their only loss coming by 5 versus #1 Purdue. The Wolverines are also coming off impressive wins in their last 2 contests by 17 at Northwestern and by 8 at home versus Ohio State. Give me Michigan minus the points. |
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02-06-23 | Cavs v. Wizards +3 | 114-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Washington 7:10 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Washington +3.0 (5*) Cleveland is coming off yesterday’s division road blowout win over Indiana. However, the Cavaliers are 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 on the road this season following a SU win. Cleveland is also 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 this season on the road and following an away win in their previous game. Cleveland is also 0-3 SU&ATS this season on the road when playing with no rest and lost by an average of 8.6 points per game. Washington is coming off SU favorite losses in each of their previous 2 games and blew leads of 20-points or more on each occasion. That was preceded by the Wizards going 6-0 SU&ATS in the previous 6 before those pair of absolute meltdowns. On a positive note, throughout their previous 3 games the Wizards have scored 122.0 points per contest and shot a red-hot 51.4%. NBA home teams like Washington that are coming off SU favorite losses in each of its previous 2 contests, abd they’re facing teams like Cleveland who are coming off an away division win, resulted in those NBA home teams going 27-7 SU (79.4%) since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. Give me Washington plus the small number. |
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02-06-23 | Duke v. Miami-FL -2.5 | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Duke @ Miami 7:00 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Miami -2.5 (5*) Duke is coming off a close win versus bitter rival North Carolina on Saturday. Now just 2 days later they travel to Miami to take on a Hurricanes team which has gone a perfect 12-0 SU at home this season. Miami will also be playing with same season revenge stemming from a 2-point loss at Duke on 1/21. Additionally, the Canes nearly walked away with a win despite shooting a season low 34.8%. By the way, Duke is 0-4 SU&ATS this season during true road games versus opponents with a winning record, and they lost by an average of 11.5 points per contest. Give me Miami minus the small number. |
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02-04-23 | Rockets v. Thunder -9.5 | 121-153 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Houston @ Oklahoma City 8:10 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Oklahoma City -9.5 (5*) Houston is coming off last night’s home loss to Toronto. The Rockets have gone an abysmal 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 this season when playing with no rest and lost by an average of 17.2 points per game. Houston is 0-8 SU&ATS in their last 8 as an away underdog of 6.0 or greater. Their average point-spread in those 8 contests was +9.5 and they were outscored by 16.7 points per game. Houston will be facing a Thunder team tonight that averages 116.6 points scored per game this season. The Rockets are 0-8 SU&ATS on the road this season when facing opponents that average 116.0 points scored or more per game and they losy by 15.9 points per contest. Oklahoma City has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 as a home favorite versus and opponent playing with no rest and won by an average of 13.0 points per game. The Thunder will also be playing on 2 days rest and will look to revenge a 6-point loss at Houston on Wednesday night. Furthermore, OKC is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 this season as a home favorite and won by 15.2 points per game. All 5 of those wins came by 11 points or more. Give me Oklahoma City minus the points. |
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02-04-23 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -1.5 | 78-74 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
Miami @ Clemson 3:00 ET Game# 673-674 Play On: Clemson -1.5 (5*) Miami has been terrific at home this season. However, they’ve gone 1-4 SU in their last 5 conference away games. The Hurricanes are coming off a 92-83 home win over Virginia Tech. The bad news is Miami is 0-4 SU in their last 4 following a win in their previous game. Clemson is coming off a 62-54 upset loss at Boston College which dropped their season record to 18-5. The good news for Clemson backers in their Tigers are 4-0 SU this season following a loss in their previous game. It’s also worth noting, the Tigers are a perfect 12-0 at home season and have covered 4 of 5 versus ACC opponents. Give me Clemson on the money line. |
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02-04-23 | Auburn v. Tennessee -9 | 43-46 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Tennessee 2:00 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: Tennessee -9.0 (5*) Tennessee is coming off a shocking 67-54 upset loss at Florida in their previous game. I used the word shocking because of double-digit margin in which they lost by in a game they were a 4.5-point road favorite. Nonetheless, the Volunteers are a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS following a loss this season with an average margin of victory coming by a massive 28.0 points per game. I look for Tennessee to play with their hair on fire today and bounce back with a vengeance on their home floor against #25 ranked Auburn. Give me Tennessee minus the points. |
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02-04-23 | TCU v. Oklahoma State -4 | 73-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
TCU @ Oklahoma State 2:00 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: Oklahoma State -4.0 (5*) TCU is ranked #15 nationally in the most recent AP Poll. Nevertheless, they find themselves as an underdog against a Oklahoma State team with an uninspiring 13-9 season record. That would seem to be an enticing underdog to take right? Not so fast, Oklahoma State has gone 8-1 SU&ATS in their last 9 at home. Speaking of playing at home, the Cowboys are allowing a mere 57.8 points scored per game when playing in Stillwater this season while holding opponent to a combined 36.3% shooting. Oklahoma State is ranked #7 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, #5 in 3-point percentage defense, and #5 in 2-point percentage defense. TCU has gone 1-3 SU in their last 4 true road games. Give me Oklahoma State minus the points. |
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02-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State +1.5 | 53-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
Kansas @ Iowa State 12:00 ET Game# 609-610 Play On: Iowa State +1.5 (5*) Kansas came off the deck from a 3-game losing streak with impressive win over Kentucky and #7 Kansas State in their previous 2 games. However they’ve lost their previous 2 conference away games. They will be facing #13 Iowa State who has gone a perfect 11-0 at home this season with a susbstantial average victory margin of 23.6 points per game. The Cyclone will also be in a sour mood after blowing a 23-point 2nd half lead in a loss at Texas Tech in their previous outing. Not to mention they’ll be playing with same season revenge stemming for a 2-point loss at Kansas earlier this season. Give me Iowa State plus the small number. |
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02-03-23 | Blazers v. Wizards -4 | 124-116 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ Washington 7:10 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Washington -4.0 (5*) Portland is coming off a 122-12 win at Memphis in their previous game. However, that snapped an abysmal 0-8 SU&ATS losing run on the road for Portland. Conversely, Washington has gone a red-hot 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 and won by 11.3 points per game. Even more impressive is the fact that 5 of those 6 wins came on the road. Washington has also gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a favorite of 2.0 or more and outscored those opponents by 16.3 points per game. Give me Washington minus the points. |
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02-01-23 | Northern Iowa +7.5 v. Drake | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Northern Iowa @ Drake 9:00 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Northern Iowa +7.5 (5*) Drake is coming off a decisive 79-61 win at Belmont in their previous game. However, the Bulldogs have gone 0-8 ATS this season following a double-digit margin win and had a -0.2 point per game differential in those contests. They also suffered 3 SU losses during those 8 games. Northern Iowa is coming off a 79-71 loss at Indiana State. They’ve won their last 3 following a loss. Since starting the season 3-7, Northern Iowa has gone 9-3. Give me Northern Iowa plus the points. |
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01-31-23 | Indiana v. Maryland -2.5 | Top | 55-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Indiana @ Maryland 9:00 PM ET Game# 643-644 Play On: Maryland -2.5 (10*) Indiana is coming off a home blowout win over Ohio State. However, it must be noted that Indiana is currently a money line underdog of +130 in this matchup. Since the start of the 2020-2021 season, Indiana is 0-10 SU as a money line road underdog of +200 or less and lost by an average of 11.0 points per game. They were in that situation twice this season and lost at Penn State by 19 and at Kansas by 22. Maryland is 11-1 SU at home this season with their lone defeat coming against an extremely good UCLA team. Nevertheless, the Terrapins are a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season with an average victory margin of 11.2 points per game. Give me Maryland minus the points. |
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01-31-23 | UNLV v. Colorado State -3 | 83-71 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
UNLV @ Colorado State 9:00 Game# 637-638 Play On: Colorado State -3.0 (5*) This line tells me all I need to know. Colorado State is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and 2-8 SU&ATS during its previous 10. The Rams are a disappointing 10-12 this season. UNLV is coming off win in each of their last 2 to improve its season record to 14-7. Yet, it’s Colorado State who’s the favorite. We also must keep in mind that UNLV is 1-3 SU&ATS in conference road games thus far. Additionally, Colorado State won at UNLV earlier this season 82-81 despite committing 20 turnovers and allowing 31 free throw attempts. Neither is likely to come near happening again. Give me Colorado State minus the points. |
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01-31-23 | Texas A&M +3.5 v. Arkansas | 70-81 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Texas A&M @ Arkansas 7:00 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: Texas A&M +3.5 (5*) Texas A&M is a red-hot 9-1 in their last 10 with their lone loss coming at Kentucky by 9 in a game that was much tighter than the final score indicates. During their other 3 conference away game this season the Aggies were 3-0 SU&ATS which included wins over Florida and Auburn. Texas is allowing just 61.6 points per game in SEC games while holding opponents to a mere 37.5% shooting. The Aggies are the better team at this point and they’ve already proven that playing on the road has little to no negative effect on them. Give me Texas A&M plus the points. |
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01-31-23 | St. Louis -4 v. Fordham | 65-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
St. Louis @ Fordham 7:00 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: St. Louis -4.0 (5*) Fordham is about as fraudulent of a 17-4 team as you’ll ever find. The Rams have played the 16th easiest schedule in all of college basketball this season. They are 13-2 at home but just 2-2 when facing conference opponents. St. Louis enters today riding a red-hot 6-game win streak and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS on the road versus conference opponents. The Billikens have shot 50.7% from the field and made an excellent 42.2% of its 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 contests. Give me St. Louis plus the points. |
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01-30-23 | Baylor v. Texas -4 | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Baylor @ Texas 9:00 PM ET Game# 875-876 Play On: Texas -4.0 (5*) Despite Baylor enter today riding a 6-game win streak, they shot 37.1% or worse in each of their previous 3 games. Baylor has allowed a lofty 74 points or more in 4 of their 5 true road games. They will be facing a Texas team which has scored 72 points or more in all 12 of their home games this season. Texas is coming off an 82-71 road loss to Tennessee on Saturday. Texas is 3-0 SU&ATS following a loss this season. The Longhorns are also 11-1 at home this season. Give me Texas minus the points. |
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01-30-23 | Warriors v. Thunder +5.5 | 128-120 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Golden State @ Oklahoma City 8:10 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Oklahoma City +5.5 (5*) Golden State has been Jekyll and Hyde regarding their home/away splits. The Warriors are 19-6 at home but a dismal 6-18 on the road. They’re coming off a 129-117 home win over Toronto in their previous game and that’s the good news. The bad is that they’re 2-10 ATS on the road this season following a win in their previous game, and they were outscored by an average of 12.0 points per game. Oklahoma City is 6-0 ATS and 5-1 SU in their last 6 as an underdog of 2.0 or greater. The Thunder are also an extremely profitable 10-1 ATS and 8-3 SU during its last 11 games. Throughout their previous 5 contests OKC has shot a red-hot 49.7% from the field and made an exceptional 41.0% of its 3-point shot attempts. Give me Oklahoma City plus the points. |
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01-28-23 | Lakers v. Celtics -8.5 | 121-125 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
LA Lakers @ Boston 8:40 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Boston -8.5 (5*) The Celtics enter today’s contest on a 3-game losing streak. That’s occurred just 1 other time this season. The first time it transpired, Boston followed it up with a 4-game win streak and with an average victory margin of 16.7 points per contest. The Lakers have won 3 of its last 4. Yet, they find themselves as a sizable underdog versus an opponent in a min-slump. The line tells me all I need to know when it comes to what the right side is. Give me Boston minus the points. |
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01-28-23 | Wizards +5 v. Pelicans | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Washington @ New Orleans 8:10 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Washington +5.0 (5*) New Orleans has lost 6 straight games and has been anemic offensively during recent games while scoring less than 100 points in 3 of its last 5. That’s not a winning formula and especially since the Pelicans have allowed their last 5 opponents to shoot a combined 49.4%. Washington comes into this game well rested after not playing since Wednesday. Additionally, the Wizards are on a successful 4-0 SU&ATS perfect run with 3 of those games played on the road. The Wizards have shot a red-hot 39.7% from beyond the 3-point line over their previous 5 games. It always helps to have an underdog who is knocking down 3-point shot a high percentage. Give me Washington plus the points. |
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01-28-23 | Kings v. Wolves +2.5 | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Sacramento @ Minnesota 8:10 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Minnesota +2.5 (5*) The Kings will have a decided rest advantage in this contest. They haven’t played since Wednesday’s 113-95 home loss to Toronto. That contest went well under the total of 238.0. Sacramento is 8-15 SU this season after going under the total in their previous contest. Minnesota is 8-1 SU&ATS in their last 9 and 5-0 SU&ATS during its previous 5 games this season as a home underdog. Minnesota is coming off last night's home win over Memphis. The Timberwolves are a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS this season as a home underdog playing with no rest with an average victory margin of 6.7 points per game. Give me Minnesota plus the small number. |
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01-28-23 | Kansas +2.5 v. Kentucky | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
Kansas @ Kentucky 8:00 PM ET Game# 775-776 Play On: Kansas +2.5 (5*) This game looks like an absolute trap. Kentucky has won 4 straight including an impressive win at Tennessee. Conversely, Kansas has lost 3 in a row. Yet, Kentucky is just a 2.5-point favorite with a home court advantage which KenPom ranks as the 9th strongest nationally. Despite their recent winless streak, Kansas has faced the toughest schedule in the country, and they remain the defending national champions. Give me Kansas plus the small number. |
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01-28-23 | Ohio State +5 v. Indiana | 70-86 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 0 m | Show | |
Ohio State @ Indiana 8:00 PM ET Game# 785-786 Play On: Ohio State +5.0 (5*) This is a similar situation to the Kansas/Kentucky breakdown. Ohio State has lost 6 of its last 7 and that includes going winless in 4 away games. Yet they’re only a 4.0-point underdog against an opponent which has won 4 straight and is a stellar 10-1 at home. They say the great equalizer for a college basketball underdog is their ability to make a good percentage of its 3-point shot attempts. Eev with their recent struggles, the Buckeyes are still 9th nationally in 3-point shooting while connecting on 38.8% of those attempts. Ohio State is also #9 nationally in adjusted offense while averaging 117.2 points scored per 100 offensive possessions. To steal a boxing slgan, we have an underdog puncher’s chance. Give me Ohio State plus the points. |
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01-28-23 | Syracuse +6.5 v. Virginia Tech | 70-85 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
Syracuse @ Virginia Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 763-764 Play On: Syracuse +6.5 (5*) Virginia Tech is coming off a 3-point home win versus Duke and barely covered as a 2.5-point favorite. That snapped an 0-7 SU&ATS skid. One of those losses came at Syracuse 82-72 in a game they closed as a 2.5-point favorite. The Hokies have allowed 70 points or more in 4 of their last 5 and 6 of its previous 8. Syracuse has shot 50% or better in 4 of their last 5 while scoring 78 points or more 4 times. Syracuse is 6-4 SU in ACC action and their 4 losses have all come by 7 points or fewer and 3 were by 3 or less. The Orange are a respectable 3-2 in ACC road games this season. Syracuse let one slip away in a 4-point home loss to North Carolina this past Tuesday. However, Syracuse is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 when coming off a loss and won by an average of 10.5 points per game. Virginia Tech still can possibly get their revenge and get back on a winning track without covering. But this game will go right down to the wire, and I wouldn’t be shocked whatsoever to see an outright upset. Nonetheless, no need to get greedy and give me Syracuse plus the points. |
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01-27-23 | Raptors +5.5 v. Warriors | 117-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Golden State 10:10 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Toronto +5.5 (5*) Despite being 18-6 at home this season and facing a team that’s a poor 7-15 on the road, Golden State is currently only a 5.0-point favorite. However, the Warriors are coming off an 122-120 home win over Memphis, and they’ve gone 0-4 SU in their last 4 immediately following a win. Furthermore, Golden State hasn’t won 2 consecutive games since January 2nd. Toronto is begging to show some life after vastly underachieving for most of the season. The Raptors are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 while winning 2 of those contests SU. The most recent of which was a 15-point blowout victory at Sacramento. Toronto has shot 49.2% throughout its previous 5 games and also made an impressive 39.1% of their 3-point attempts. Give me Toronto plus the points. |
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01-25-23 | St. John's v. Creighton -10.5 | 76-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
St. John’s @ Creighton 9:00 PM ET Game #319-320 Play On: Creighton -10.5 (5*) This seems to be a very heavy number for the favorite Creighton Blue Jays (11-8) versus a St. John’s team who has a better overall record (13-7). However, there’s a huge disparity between these teams in regards strength of schedule. KenPom indicates that Creighton has played the 7th toughest schedule in college basketball while St. John’s ranks a dismal #326 in the category. The obvious difference comes in the level of non-conference opponents each team faced. As a matter of fact, St. John’s has gone just 2-6 in conference games. On the other hand, Creighton is 4-0 in conference home games with an average victory margin of 16.3 points per contest. Furthermore, St. Jon’s is just 1-4 SU in true road games. Give me Creighton minus the points. |
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01-23-23 | Grizzlies v. Kings +1.5 | 100-133 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Sacramento 10:40 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Sacramento +1.5 (5*) This will be the Grizzlies 3rd road game in the last 4 days and they lost the first 2 in gut wrenching fashion by a combined 3 points. Memphis is a terrific 20-3 at home this season, but they’re a mediocre at best 11-12 in away games. Sacramento is coming off Saturday’s 129-127 home loss to Philadelphia. That snapped a Sacramento 6-game win streak. This will be the Kings 3rd straight game played at home. More than anything else, this should be a very advantageous situation for Sacramento despite playin a Memphis team they trail by 4.5-games in the Western Conference standings. Give me Sacramento plus the small number. |
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01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills -5.5 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Buffalo 3:00 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Buffalo -5.5 (10*) The Cincinnati Bengals have been a betting darling right now and are on a 9-game win streak. However, since the start of the 2011 NFL season, teams that are an underdog of 3.0 or greater that have won 8 of more games in a row have gone 0-7-1 ATS. The Bengals offensive line will be without 2 and possibly 3 starters on Sunday. Cincinnati was very fortunate to escape with a 24-17 home win over Baltimore in the Wildcard Round. They were outgained in that contest by a substantial margin 364-234 yards. If not for a game changing 98-yard fumble return with 10 minutes left with the game tied at 17, the Bengals were in line for a shocking early postseason exit. Buffalo’s 34-31 win over Miami was extremely deceiving. The Bills outgained the Dolphins in that contest by a massive margin 423-231 yards. The Dolphins were afforded short fields by way of 2 interception returns and a punt return. Miami also scored a defensive touchdown on a strip sack fumble return. Buffalo has been a highly scrutinized team despite their 14-3 season record which includes a current 8-game win streak. As a matter of fact, they’re 3 losses came by just a combined 3-points. Yet, because of the preseason hype which publicized them as a favorite to win the Super Bowl, the Bills have been labeled by many as an overrated team. Under current head coach Sean McDermott, the Bills are a perfect 4-0 in home playoff games, and cover on both occasions that they were a favorite of 6.0 or less while winning by a enormous average of 22.0 points per game. NFL Playoff home favorites of 9.0 or less like Buffalo who are coming off a home favorite SU win in which they failed to cover, and there’s a total of 40.0 or greater, versus an opponent like Cincinnati who has a win percentage of .777 or worse, resulted in those postseason home favorites going 5-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The average victory margin in those 5 contests came by an average of 20.0 points per game, and they covered those outings by an average of 16.1 points per occurrence. Give me Buffalo minus the points. |
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01-22-23 | Maryland v. Purdue -12 | 55-58 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
Maryland @ Purdue 1:00 PM ET Game# 833-834 Play On: Purdue -12.0 (5*) Maryland is 0-4 in conference road games and lost the last 3 of those by 14 points or greater. Now they have the unenviable task of playing on the road against one of the nation’s best teams. Furthermore, . KenPom ranks Purdue 19th nationally in strongest home court advantage. Purdue is 18-1 and their lone blemish was a 1.0-point defeat to Rutgers. The Boilermakers are one of if not the most complete teams in all of College Basketball. Purdue is the 3rd nationally in offensive rebounds. That’s not good news for the Terrapins since they rank #202 in defensive rebounding. Look for that to be a huge factor and especially so in the 2nd half when Purdue has consistently worn their opponents out. Give me Purdue minus the points. |
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01-22-23 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -2.5 | 75-68 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Cincinnati 1:00 PM ET Game# 837-838 Play On: Cincinnati -2.5 (5*) On paper you can make a strong case that Memphis is the better team in this matchup and you would probably get very little opposition to that argument. However, games aren’t played on paper. Mephis is a poor 1-4 SU in true road games this season. Cincinnati is 10-2 at home with their lone defeats coming against #1 Houston and nationally ranked Xavier. Additionally, Cincinnati will enter on a 3-game win streak with all coming versus conference opponents and won by an average of 15.3 points per game. Give me the Cincinnati Bearcats. |
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01-22-23 | Michigan State v. Indiana -3 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
Michigan State @ Indiana 12:00 PM ET Game# 829-830 Play On: Indiana -3.0 (5*) After going through a recent 3-game losing streak, Indiana has rebounded in their last 2 outings with wins over Wisconsin by 18 and at Illinois by 15. The Hoosiers are very good on both ends of the floor, and in a rivalry game such as this one at home, I look them to prevail by a comfortable margin. Give me Indiana minus the small number. |
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01-21-23 | Florida Atlantic v. UTEP +6 | 67-59 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
FAU @ UTEP 9:00 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: UTEP +6.0 (5*) FAU comes in riding high after winning 17 straight games. Utep is a very deceiving 4-5 SU in their last 9. Why is it deceiving? Because the Miners covered 8 of those 9 games and all 5 losses came by 6 points or fewer. I look for the Miners to be right there down the stretch. Give me UTEP plus the points. |
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01-21-23 | Giants +8 v. Eagles | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
New York @ Philadelphia 8:15 PM ET Game#303-304 Play On: Giants +8.0 (5*) The Giants are an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS in neutral site and away games this season. They also won 5 of those 9 contests straight up. That includes 6-1 ATS and 5-2 SU as underdogs of 9.5 or less, and if their opponent had a win percentage of .583 or better, New York improved to 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU. The Giants have committed just 1 turnover over their previous 3 games. Philadelphia has forced 1 turnover or less in each of its last 6 games. NFL underdogs of between 3.5 to 10 like the Giants who committed 1 turnover of fewer in each of their last 3 games, versus an opponent like the Eagles who has forced 1 turnover or fewer in each of their last 2, resulted in those underdogs going 37-8 ATS (82.2%) during the last 5 seasons. That includes an ever better 18-3 ATS over the previous 3 seasons. Give me the Giants plus the points. |
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01-21-23 | Virginia Tech +2 v. Clemson | 50-51 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ Clemson 6:00 PM ET Game# 761-762 Play On: Virginia Tech +2.0 (5*) Clemson is 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last 8. On the other hand, Virginia Tech has fell of the cliff of late while going 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6. Yet, the Clemson Tigers are just a short favorite. Clemson may end up being the sucker play of the day. Give me Virginia Tech plus the small number. |
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01-21-23 | Fordham v. Duquesne -7.5 | 65-58 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
Fordham @ Duquesne 2:00 PM ET Game# 641-642 Play On: Duquesne -7.5 (5*) Fordham’s 14-4 record is an absolute fraud. They have played the 7th easiest schedule in all of College Basketball. The Rams have been atrocious offensively over their previous 5 games while shooting 36.4% and converted a mere 24.6% of its 3-point shot attempts. Duquesne is a solid 11-2 at home this season. Duquesne have made an excellent 41.5% of their 3-point shots during the previous 5 game. Give me Duquesne minus the points. |