This is a play on the TROY TROJANS for our SBC Championship Winner. The Trojans are hosting the Sun Belt Conference for a second straight season and will be looking for a similar result when they defeated Coastal Carolina by 19 points as a 6.5-point favorite. They are coming off a 10-2 regular season and Troy is one of the hottest teams in the country going back to last season that no one is really talking about as it has gone 21-2 over its last 23 games with the losses coming against Kansas St. and 11-1 James Madison. The Trojans have an adequate offense which has picked up steam over the second part of the season and it is the defense that has been great all year as they are No. 12 overall and No. 10 in points allowed and have given up more than 17 points only twice in their last 10 games. Appalachian St. has caught fire at the right time as it comes in on a five-game winning streak yet is in this game because of an NCAA stipulation where James Madison was unable to compete for the championship. The Mountaineers did hand the Dukes their only loss and have covered four straight games which is helping with value as it the fact three of their four losses were by six points or less and the other being seven points. They posses a very good offense but are going against the tough defense and their running game was stifled against James Madison. Their own defense is below average and Troy quarterback Gunnar Watson is playing very efficient right now with a 17:1 TD:INT ratio his last seven games. These teams did not meet this season but this is a revenge game from last season that Troy wants some payback for as Appalachian St. won on a 53-yard Hail Mary with no time remaining. 10* (320) Troy Trojans

This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our MWC Game of the Year. A tiebreaker had to be used to determine which teams went to the Mountain West Conference Championship with Boise St., UNLV and San Jose St. all finishing with 6-2 records. Since the three teams did not all play each other, the three-way tie was broken by an average of four computer rankings, Anderson & Hester, Colley Matrix, Massey and Wolfe. UNLV arguably should not be here despite having the best overall record of the three as it finished with the lowest ranked schedule played and actually lost to San Jose St. in the season finale in a game that was closer than the final score indicated. The tiebreaker awarded UNLV being the host which is what the conference wanted and the Rebels are underdogs for a reason. Despite playing a soft slate, the Rebels were not a dominating team as they have an above average offense but the defense faltered, finishing No. 85 overall and of their nine wins, only two were against winning teams. Boise St. got here despite firing coach Andy Avalos after a 42-14 win against New Mexico earlier this month with two games left in the season and it looks to have inspired the Broncos with a pair of key victories. The offense was one of the better ones in the country as they were No. 28 overall, spurned by a strong rushing attack that finished No. 11, averaging 207.5 ypg on 5.3 ypc and faces a soft UNLV rushing defense. This is an experienced team that has been here before and while UNLV has been a feel good story after not having won more than five games since 2013 but will be overmatched here. 10* (313) Boise St. Broncos

This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our MAC Championship Winner. Toledo was the preseason pick to win the MAC and it proved to be the best team, finishing 11-1 including 8-0 in the conference with the only loss coming in its season opener against Illinois by two points on the road so the Rockets clearly come in with a ton of momentum. This line is an overreaction however as the power rankings make this a 4.5-point number on a neutral field. Toledo beat five teams that finished .500 or better including Miami along with San Jose St., Northern Illinois, Eastern Michigan and Bowling Green with four of those coming by a combined 11 points and the win over the Eagles being the only dominating performance. They defeated the RedHawks by four points as a two-point favorite in Oxford which also correlates to roughly a 4.5-point number when switching to a neutral field. Miami lost its opener at Miami Florida and then went on to win 10 of its final 11 games and it was actually more dominating with eight of its 10 wins coming by double digits. The RedHawks have survived after losing starting quarterback Brett Gabbert in that Toledo game and the offense has suffered but the defense has made up for it. Miami is No. 23 in total defense and No. 8 in scoring defense and this has been no fluke as it came into the season with nine returning starters and have allowed nearly 50 ypg less than last season. That defense will once again lead them and keep this one close which we could see going either way. 10* (311) Miami Ohio RedHawks

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our Pac 12 Championship Winner. This line stinks based on the first meeting between Oregon and Washington. The Huskies were a three-point favorite at home where they won by three points and now they are getting close to double digits on a neutral field but the power numbers do actually justify this number. The Ducks outgained Washington 541-415 but failed to send the game into overtime after missing a 43-yard field goal as time expired and since then, they have been the more dominant team. They have won six straight games since then, winning five of those by double digits and the other coming by nine points against USC and they had a statement win last week in the Civil War against a strong Oregon St. team by 24 points. It has been the complete opposite for Washington which also won out but five of the six wins were by one possession and the one exception was just a nine-point victory over 3-9 Stanford where the Huskies were outgained 499-460. The offense remains potent but the defense has struggled, coming in ranked No. 96 overall. Conversely, Oregon is the No. 2 ranked total offense and No. 2 ranked scoring offense while the defense has been sneaky good, No. 15 overall and No. 7 in points allowed. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season rushing for 4.8 or more ypc and after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc. This situation is 77-38 ATS (67 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. We won with the Cowboys on Thanksgiving as they ran away from Washington in the second half as this team is rolling right now and has been dominant at home. The Cowboys are 5-0 at home and have outscored opponents by 29 ppg but those have been against some poor teams with the Rams being the best of the bunch and none possessing a winning record. Despite that, this looks like they are laying a number to another losing team but they are putting it down against a competent team. Dallas is now 8-3 but has played only two teams with a winning record and lost both of those so we are not comparing San Francisco and Philadelphia to Seattle, this is way too aggressive. Dallas has played the second easiest schedule in the league and has moved up to No. 4 in net DVOA and No. 2 in net EPA so the numbers back up the record which has been helped by the easy slate. Dallas is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games after a win by 28 or more points. The Seahawks are coming off a Thanksgiving loss to the 49ers and while that was a bad call, we are back on the Seahawks again despite hitting the road. They have lost two straight games and three of their last four and have San Francisco and Philadelphia on deck so there has to be a win in their somewhere to avoid falling out of the playoff hunt. The health of Geno Smith has been a concern but he has had another week to help his injured elbow and Seattle hopes to get Kenneth Walker back after missing the last two games. This line has gone up four points since opening at 5.5 a week ago in some spots and this is simply a massive overreaction. Here, we play against favorites averaging 360 or more total ypg, after gaining 450 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 32-11 ATS (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (303) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. The Chargers fell to 4-6 with a 23-20 loss at Green Bay which makes in five times in those six defeats they have lost by a field goal or less. That includes all three losses at home and those came against Miami, Dallas and Detroit so it has been elite competition they have fallen to and get another similar opponent this week although now they are catching the biggest number of the bunch. Los Angeles is in the top half of the league in both net DVOA and net EPA and this has come against a schedule ranked No. 8 in the NFL. Baltimore shook off its last second loss to Cleveland with a win last Thursday night against Cincinnati but caught a big break there with quarterback Joe Burrow going down for the season. The Ravens are 8-3 and have a half-game lead over Cleveland in the AFC South but the schedule has been favorable as they are coming off a three-game homestand and this is just their second true road game since October 8. Baltimore is top five in both net DVOA and net EPA but it suffered a huge injury in its own right last week with tight end Mark Andrews lost for the season, adding to an already impacted injury report. Here, we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 48-14 ATS (77.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (272) Los Angeles Chargers

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Year. This could be a season defining game for Buffalo which rolled the Jets last week in its first game after firing offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey. Now the Bills hit the road against a much better team but they are catching a great number and they could have some renewed confidence in what is now a wide open AFC. While they have underperformed, the difference in turnovers and how they have occurred has been the situation as they are No. 7 in turnover worthy play rate. Buffalo is now ranked No. 5 in net DVOA while Philadelphia comes in at No. 10. The Eagles picked up a big win over Kansas City last week and it was a very fortunate one with the Chiefs making too many critical mistakes as well as a late dropped touchdown pass. Philadelphia is now 9-1 with six of those wins coming by one possession which puts it No. 2 in the latest Luck Rankings. Good teams know how to win and that is what the Eagles do but they are well down in the metrics compared to that record. Even in net EPA, they are well behind the Bills at No. 9 compared to Buffalo at No. 3. The Super Bowl revenge win presents the letdown here. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems allowing a completion percentage of 64 percent or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 58-29 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (267) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. Cleveland took out Pittsburgh last week to keep pace in the AFC North with Baltimore as it is a game back and could leave town with the lead should the Ravens trip up against the Chargers. Dorian Thompson-Robinson picked up his first win as a starter and it was not very pretty but it was enough where the Browns relied on the defense which is what we expect again here. It is important that this will be his second straight week of work with the first team. The defense remains No. 1 in both net DVOA and net EPA. Denver was looking like the team from last season with a 1-5 start but it has won four straight games which is actually the longest current winning streak in the NFL, to keep its playoff hopes alive. The Broncos are favored again this week against another backup quarterback and escaped with a one point win over Minnesota last week despite getting outgained by close to 100 yards as they won the turnover battle 3-0. The difference this week the Vikings do not have close to the defense as the Browns do and Denver could not must 300 yards of offense. Here, we play against teams in the second half of the season averaging between 18 and 23 ppg and after two straight wins by three or less points going up against teams averaging between 18 and 23 ppg. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (265) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Month. Jacksonville had its five-game winning streak snapped with a 31-point loss against San Francisco but got it back last week against Tennessee with a 20-point victory. The Jaguars hit the road where they are 3-0 in true road games with this being the toughest opponent to date. They are 7-3 overall and have a one game lead over Houston in the AFC South who they lost to in Week Three so they are playing with revenge. Despite the strong start, Jacksonville is ranked only No. 21 in net EPA which is nine spots lower than the opponent it is favored over today. Houston opened 0-2 so it took a while to get its footing and it has made a great turnaround with wins in six of its last eight games including three straight. The two recent losses were both on the road and by two points each so the Texans come in on a four-game home winning streak. They are No. 12 in net EPA and net DVOA with similar splits on both sides of the ball. The story has been rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud who is now No. 8 in QB rating and has put up a 17:5 TD:INT ratio. The Texans are undervalued here with the wrong team favored. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 revenging a loss against opponent, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 31-6 ATS (83.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (252) Houston Texans

This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CFB Late Powerhouse. Colorado St. has saved it season with wins over the last two week to move to 5-6 on the season and it needs the win here to become bowl eligible and with the short price, it is a great spot for it to happen. A trip to Hawaii can feel more like a vacation than a job but the Rams know what is at stake so it is all business. They are 1-4 on the road but three of those losses have come against teams either bowl eligible or on the cusp and the other against Colorado early in the season when teams had not figured them out yet. Hawaii picked up a big upset two weeks again against Air Force but other than that, it has not won another quality game and has been blown out in six of its eight losses. The Warriors were in rebuilding mode again this season with the offense hopefully taking a step up but that has not happened and the defense has not helped, sitting No. 115 in points allowed and they are getting outscored by 12 ppg. Here, we play on road favorites off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite going up against an opponent off a road loss by 28 points or more. This situation is 44-15 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (237) Colorado St. Rams

This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS for our Nonconference Game of the Year. Florida St. took a massive blow to its National Championship hopes with quarterback Jordan Travis going down with a gruesome leg injury against North Alabama of all teams. As expected, the Seminoles were jumped by Washington in the CFP rankings as they fell to No. 5 and are in a tough spot here with Tate Rodemaker taking over. It has obviously been a great season for Florida St. and it can surely get by here with its defense but taking the game on the road against a very good offense could be an issue to win by margin. Florida is coming off a last second loss against Missouri to make it four straight losses and the Gators all of a sudden have to win here to become bowl eligible. They certainly caught an unfortunate break for their rival but the line has come down after Travis was lost for the season. Florida is No. 42 in total offense and while it struggled to score against potent defenses Utah and Georgia, those were away from home and they are averaging 34.8 ppg at home. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 25-8 ATS over the last five seasons. 10* (154) Florida Gators

This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our SBC Game of the Month. Arkansas St. has turned its season around as after losing its first two games by a combined score of 110-3, it has won six of nine games to become bowl eligible for the first time since 2019. The Red Wolves put up 77 points against Texas St. week to gain bowl eligibility but the offense was not the catalyst as they had three defensive touchdowns as well as a kickoff return for a touchdown. Three of their wins have come against teams with at least eight losses and other against Stony Brook of the FCS. Marshall got off to a 4-0 start but it is fighting for its postseason life as it suffered through a five-game losing streak and then was shut out last week at South Alabama. The thundering Herd have scored nine or fewer points in four of their last five games but three of those were on the road and the other came at home against James Madison, one of the best defenses in the country. They are averaging 26.6 ppg at home and that success should continue against a Red Wolves defense that is No. 124 in the country and No. 105 in points allowed. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after four or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (192) Marshall Thundering Herd

This is a play on the ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. Here is another rivalry game where the home underdog is very much alive to play the role of spoiler. Arizona has been red hot as it has won five straight games to improve to 8-3 and still has a shot at the Pac 12 Championship with a win and some help. It has been a very unexpected successful season as their three losses have all been by one possession but in the same regard, three of their wins have come by three points or less. The wildcats are laying a big road price, the second biggest of the season and the first one resulted in a one point win at Stanford. Arizona St. has had the opposite season as it is 3-8 but has been better of late as it is 2-2 in its last four games after losing six straight. The Sun Devils offense has struggled but mostly on the road where they have averaged 12.0 ppg but are averaging a touchdown more than that at home. This is their bowl game and if nothing else, they keep it close. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 6.2 or more yppl and after gaining 6.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games going up against a team allowing between 5.6 and 6.2 yppl. This situation is 84-41 ATS (67.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (196) Arizona St. Sun Devils

This is a play on the RICE OWLS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. Rice closes the season at home with a chance to become bowl eligible. The Owls did go to a bowl game last season but they were 5-7 and made it due to not enough 6-win teams being eligible and got in because of academics so they are going for six wins for the first time since 2013. They won at Charlotte last week to keep hope alive following a three-game losing streak against the three teams that are a combined 21-0 in the AAC and two of those were by seven points combined. Florida Atlantic was on pace to make it to a bowl game for the first time since the COVID season and now the best they can do is win five games for a fourth straight season. The Owls have lost three straight and the wind has come out of their sails with the offense scoring just 15 points over the last two games. The offense has struggled overall as they are No. 102 overall and they are not much better on defense at No. 89. Their three wins against FBS teams were against teams with losing records. Here, we play against road underdogs in the second half of the season in a game involving two rushing teams averaging between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc. This situation is 44-21 ATS (67.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (190) Rice Owls

This is a play on the OHIO ST. BUCKEYES for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. A trip to the Big 10 Championship is up for grabs yet again with the chance to face Iowa. Michigan comes in as the expected favorite playing at home and it has dominated Ohio St. the last two meetings and for being a heated rivalry, it has not been close of late with the last five meetings decided by double digits, that last one possession game taking place in 2016. The Wolverines have been dominant for the most part but had a scare last week against Maryland and the game plan it had against Penn St. where they did not throw a pass in the second half will likely not work here as they will have to pass the ball. Ohio St. has a great pass rush so that could be an issue and the Michigan offense line has struggled in pass protection. The Buckeyes have been just as dominant as the offense is averaging only four points less than Michigan while both teams are allowing only nine ppg. We have not seen those defenses dominate in this series during the last five games but that easily should change here and that favors a low scoring game obviously which favors the underdog. Here, we play on road teams with a great scoring defense allowing 14 or less ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (141) Ohio St. Buckeyes

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. There is a lot on the line for Oregon in this edition of the Civil War. A Pac-12 title game appearance and keeping alive hopes of a possible College Football Playoff berth are the two big factors and there is also revenge in play. Last season, the Ducks built what seemed like a commanding 31-10 lead with 4 minutes, 46 seconds left in the third quarter and appeared to be on their way to a spot in the Pac-12 championship game but the Beavers scored 28 of the next 31 points to pull off the comeback with a 38-34 victory. Since losing to Washington by three points, the Ducks have rolled over their last five games. Oregon St. is coming off a tough loss against Washington as it lost by two points, its third loss of the season by three points or less. This will be its biggest test on the road where it is 3-2 with the best win coming against California or San Jose St. The Beavers do a lot of things right as they have a top 25 offense and a top 30 defense and while the letter unit has been great at generating turnovers which has helped the offense, Oregon has only six giveaways the entire season with two of those coming last week against Arizona St. Here, we play against road teams in a game involving two teams averaging 34 or more ppg, after a loss by six or less points. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (136) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CFB Friday Ultimate Underdog. Missouri is coming off a dramatic last second win over Florida last week in its final home game to improve to 9-2 on the season and has a chance for its first 10-win season since 2014. That should provide the motivation but coming off the win over the Gators and knowing the SEC Championship is out of play, this is not an easy spot. The Tigers offense has been one of the best in the country as they are ranked No. 20 overall and No. 33 in scoring but face an above average defense that is No. 49 in the nation. Arkansas is coming off a 44-20 win over Florida International last week. The Razorbacks are 4-7 on the season with their lone SEC win coming against the Gators in overtime so they will not be going bowling but this is the Battle Line Rivalry so playing spoiler and ending the season on a high is the goal. It has been a tough season as it easily could have been better as Arkansas has a 1-5 record in one-score games so it has been close. Razorbacks quarterback KJ Jefferson has had a solid season as he has been able to keep these games within reach. Here, we play against road favorites in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg and after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up teams allowing between 330 and 390 ypg. This situation is 56-21 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (128) Arkansas Razorbacks

This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. A berth in the AAC Championship is on the line with the winner going while the loser still can make it should SMU lose to Navy on Saturday. Tulane has won nine straight games and is 10-1 overall with the only loss coming against Mississippi where quarterback Michael Pratt missed. New Year's Six stakes are also on the line, primarily for No. 23 Tulane, which controls its own destiny for a second consecutive appearance. The Green Wave have been dominant at home in its five wins and are laying a short number. The Roadrunners are also 7-0 but has done so on a different path. UTSA has had a fairly easy run to its undefeated conference record as all seven opponents the Roadrunners have faced are all below .500, so the Green Wave represent a significant step up in competition. They too have been great down the stretch after an uneven start but quarterback Frank Harris is over his injury but now faces his biggest defensive test with Tulane coming in No. 25 overall and No. 18 in scoring. Their own defense has not been nearly as good despite playing lesser teams as they are No. 59 overall and No. 56 in points allowed. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 63-28 ATS (69.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (186) Tulane Green Wave

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. The 49ers are coming in as big road favorites and while those spots have been good to take on Thanksgiving, this is a good spot to fade in a divisional game with a lot on the line. San Francisco has a one game lead over Seattle in the NFC West following a pair of wins over Jacksonville and Tampa Bay which happened to be the first two games back at pretty much full strength with Deebo Samuel and Trent Williams returning for the offense. The 49ers swept all three games last season including a 41-23 win in the playoffs setting up a big revenge spot for the Seahawks. Seattle is coming off a loss to the Rams by a point as it missed a last second field goal making it two of its four losses coming against the Rams. The Seahawks are currently in the No. 6 spot in the NFC and this starts a stretch of four games against the 49ers twice, Dallas and Philadelphia so they need to at least take care of business at home. Seattle is 4-1 at home including four straight wins and while the competition has not been great, the metrics are still good taking the strength of schedule into consideration. Here, we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 48-14 ATS (77.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average point differential being just 1.5 ppg. 10* (110) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Mississippi St. snapped a three-game losing streak with a 21-point win over Southern Mississippi to keep its bowl hopes alive. The Bulldogs are 5-6 and need this game and in a rivalry game, anything is possible even in a game with a spread this big. The most significant change for the Bulldogs in their first game under interim head coach Greg Knox last week is that they committed to the run game more than they had all season as they rushing for 240 yards on 43 carries (5.6 ypc). The Mississippi rushing defense could be in trouble because of that as the Rebels are No. 79 in rushing defense, allowing 157 ypg. While that could be a big edge, the Bulldogs possess a solid defense as they are No. 48 overall including No. 48 against the pass and No. 49 against the run. Bulldogs quarterback Will Rogers played for the first time in more than a month against the Golden Eagles and his presence is a big one. Mississippi easily took out UL-Monroe last week 35-3 to close out its home schedule and hits the road where it is 2-2 and while those losses were against Alabama and Georgia, this will be a tougher spot than expected. While the defense will be tested, the offense does face that strong defense and the Rebels have not been as lethal on the road. Their offense averages 36.5 ppg overall, but that includes an average of 23.0 ppg away from home. 10* (110) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. This is a big number to be laying with the Cowboys which are always a big public play on Thanksgiving but we are backing them in a great situational spot. Dallas has not been very good on Thanksgiving covering numbers but this team is rolling right now and has been dominant at home. The Cowboys are 4-0 at home and have outscored opponents by nearly 28 ppg and while those have been against some poor teams, their opponent Thursday falls into that as well. Dallas has moved up to No. 6 in DVOA and No. 2 in net EPA with both offense and defense ranked in the top 5. Washington is coming off a brutal loss to the Giants last week as it committed six turnovers in the 12-point defeat. The Commanders are now 4-7 and likely out of playoff consideration with a very tough upcoming schedule with three games against two of the top teams in the NFC. Washington has fallen to No. 27 in DVOA and No.. 26 in net EPA with the offense landing at No. 22 and defense being No. 30. Quarterback Sam Howell had a decent run going but was dreadful against New York and he has been sacked 51 times this season and Dallas is the No. 6 ranked blitzing team in the league. He leads the league in passing yards but is No. 22 in QBR. Here, we play against road underdogs of 10.5 or more points with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after two or more consecutive losses. This situation is 23-2 ATS (92 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average scoring differential being 22.6 ppg. 10* (108) Dallas Cowboys

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. Minnesota is one of the hottest teams in the NFL as it has won five consecutive games to get within a game and a half of Detroit in the NFC North. The Vikings have covered all five of those games as well, the last two with Joshua Dobbs at quarterback and he has been a great story but those wins were against the NFC South, the worst division in football. They now head out west to face another team on a turnaround and one that is more justified at this point. The Vikings are the public darling right now with the longest winning streak in the league and are catching 82 percent of the money yet this line has not budged since opening and that is telling. The Broncos have won three straight games to move to 4-5 to get right into the playoff hunt. They are coming back home for a pair of games where they have won two in a row after dropping their first three games in Denver. The defense has been outstanding during this recent winning streak as they have allowed only 16 ppg which has helped an offense that has not been very productive. While Russell Wilson has not put up big numbers, he has been efficient with 18 touchdowns and only four interceptions and a 104.0 passer rating. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 25-4 ATS (86.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (474) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Year. Seattle is tied atop the NFC West with the 49ers at 6-3 but while San Francisco is +109 in scoring differential, the Seahawks are -1 and they have been outgained overall by 209 yards. Seattle is at the top of the list as one of the most overrated teams with a winning record and they could be exposed with its upcoming schedule. They are coming off a win over Washington which was their second win in three games which were by a combined seven points and both at home. Taking a look at the teams they have dominated, they are the Panthers, Giants and Cardinals and while the other cover came against Detroit, that was in overtime where the Lions did not even see the ball. This is a possible lookahead with a Thanksgiving game on deck against the 49ers. Los Angeles is coming off its bye week which came at a great time after a brutal stretch. The Rams have dropped three straight games, failing to cover any of those but just one of those was with Matthew Stafford playing a full game and that was the loss to Pittsburgh where the defense allowed a pair of fourth quarter touchdowns. Stafford will return this week and he brings a different dynamic to the offense especially with Cooper Kupp back in the lineup. Even with Stafford and Kupp missing time, the Rams are No. 15 in offensive DVOA which is nothing special but that is just two spots below Seattle. 10* (470) Los Angeles Rams

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. The Steelers keep finding ways to win as they are now 6-3 following a pair of wins over Tennessee and Green Bay and while those wins are not saying much, they come into a good spot this week. Pittsburgh was turnover free in both of those games and it has only four turnovers in its last seven games after committing four turnovers in its first two games. This is the first of two straight divisional games where they are 2-0 and three of the final four games against the AFC North will be against teams without their starting quarterback with Joe Burrow our for the season. The defense continues to lead the way as Pittsburgh is No. 7 in defensive DVOA and have a great matchup here. Cleveland is coming off an improbable win over Baltimore as it rallied from a 24-9 and won on a last second field goal to also improve to 6-3. Quarterback Deshawn Watson delivered an inspired effort in the second half to pull off the victory but it was announced that he is out for the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. Granted he was not having the best season overall but now the ball will be in the hands of rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson who made one start and he was awful against the Ravens, going 19-36 for 121 yards with no touchdowns and three interceptions. Granted, he was thrust into that game with no preparation and while he has had practice this week with the top unit, he will struggle. 10* (451) Pittsburgh Steelers

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Month. Detroit is coming off a win over the Chargers for their second straight win following their second loss of the season at Baltimore. The Lions lead the NFC North by a game and a half over the surging Vikings and their offense has led the way as they are No. 2 overall and No. 6 in scoring. They have been buoyed by a rushing offense that has put up over 200 yards in each of their last two games but face a very underrated Bears defense that has improved dramatically. Detroit has been one of the better teams against the number which adds value and it has the lookahead to Thanksgiving. Chicago has been an improving team as it is 3-3 over its last six games and after getting blown out in each of its first three games, the Bears last four losses have come by one possession and they have outgained their opponent in six of their last seven games. The Bears are on a mini bye following a Thursday night game which is always beneficial this late into the season and we have seen this line come down based on the return of Justin Fields at quarterback but we are still above two key numbers in a divisional game. The Chicago defense has improved after an awful start and the numbers prove that as they have allowed 214 passing yards or less in five of their last seven games while giving up an average of only 56.4 ypg on the ground. 10* (461) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. This one is ugly but at this number, it is a must take. Dallas is coming off a home win over the quarterback depleted Giants and that has been the story this season as the Cowboys are 4-0 at home with every win coming by at least 20 points and by an average of 27.5 ppg. It has been a different story on the road as they are 2-3 and while two of those losses were against the 49ers and Eagles, the other came at Arizona where they were laying a similar number and lost by 12 points and they have covered just once in their last nine road games coming off a win. Dallas is clearly the better team here and it would be an easy game if the better team always dominated by that is far from the case in this league and the Cowboys have been awful in these spots, going 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games coming off double-digit win. Carolina is coming off a loss in Chicago which was its best road effort of the season where its other four losses were by an average of 15.8 ppg, three of those coming against current division leaders. The Panthers are 1-3 at home with the lone win coming against Houston and two of the losses were by one possession. We are going to see full focus and effort here as Carolina is staring at a three-game upcoming roadtrip. Home underdogs of a touchdown or more that have a winning percentage of .250 or worse have covered at close to a 60 percent rate since 1993. 10* (466) Carolina Panthers

This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our CFB Primetime Power. Kansas and Kansas St. meet in the Sunflower showdown with identical records yet the Jayhawks come in as a significant home underdog. They are coming off a three-point home loss against Texas Tech which was impacted by quarterback Jason Bean leaving the game early with a head injury and his replacement Cole Ballard was not able to supplement the running game with any sort of passing attack but Bean is probable and practiced. Kansas will rely on its strong rushing game where it is ranked No. 18 in the country. Kansas St. shook off a loss against Texas with a blowout win against Baylor last week by 34 points but it was a misleading final as the Wildcats won the turnover battle 4-0. They have been a dominant team against the lesser opponents with most of those coming as home where the Wildcats are 6-0 but they are 1-3 on the road. That win was at Texas Tech by 17 points but again, it was aided by turnovers where they won that 3-0. This is a well rounded team on both sides of the ball but one that is not in a good spot. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 24-8 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (364) Kansas Jayhawks

This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CFB Signature Enforcer. We won with UCF last week as it rolled over Oklahoma St. by 42 points and the Knights are now overvalued because of that. That was just as much of a play against the Cowboys as it was on UCF which has won two straight games after losing five games in a row. The Knights are now 5-5 and have to either win here or in their finale at home against Houston which is more likely at this point as they are 2-3 on the road with all of those losses coming in the Big 12 and while all against better teams than Texas Tech, they were thoroughly outgained in all. The Red Raiders also come in at 5-5 following a pair of wins against TCU and Kansas and this is a must win to become bowl eligible as they close the season at Texas next week. They opened the season 0-2 with a rough loss in Wyoming after blowing a 17-0 lead and the other coming against Oregon by one possession. The last two losses against Kansas St. and BYU were the result of losing the turnover battle 8-0 and that is always a factor for any team. Here, we play against teams in the second half of the season where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 230 or more rushing ypg and after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (414) Texas Tech Red Raiders

This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. Georgia is once again in the driver's seat for a spot in the CFP as it comes in 10-0 and while it has been potent on both sides of the ball, it has not been as dominant with only three covers. Speaking of three, this is just their third road game of the season as the Bulldogs rolled over a bad Vanderbilt team and escaped Auburn with a seven-point win. They are going to be a big public play here coming off their final home game which was a rout over Mississippi by 35 points and now are laying what is perceived as a short number. We played against Tennessee last week as it went to Missouri and laid an egg, losing by 29 points as it committed a season-high three turnovers. The Volunteers may have been guilty to looking ahead to this game which they cannot be faulted for. They are 5-0 at home with a home finale against Vanderbilt to close the season. Tennessee is obviously not as strong on either side but they are not far off as they are No. 18 in total offense and No. 40 in total defense and this game is obviously their season. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 34 or more ppg going against teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after scoring 37 points or more last game. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (330) Tennessee Volunteers

This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CFB Star Attraction. Clemson has won two straight games since the incident with Dabo Swinney and the media but that does not necessarily mean the Tigers have turned that much of a corner. They are still just 6-4 on the season and are laying a touchdown which is still based on name. To their credit, the opening loss against Duke was mostly turnover driven and the last three losses have all been by one possession so the record could be better but on the other side, they should have lost to Notre Dame and only beat Wake Forest by five points. North Carolina is so close to being undefeated as it opened 6-0 before losing two straight games against Virginia and Georgia Tech by a combined eight points with the yardage differentials landing in their favor. They are coming off a closer that expected win over Duke last week to keep the hopes of getting to 10 wins before bowl season. There is also some payback from the ACC Championship last season which Clemson won despite getting outgained but won the turnover battle 3-0. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last three games going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (341) North Carolina Tar Heels

This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our Big 10 Game of the Year. Iowa is coming off its first shutout of the season as it defeated Rutgers 22-0 with the defense allowing just 127 total yards. This offense has taken shots all season which is justified but the Hawkeyes are 8-2 because of that defense which is ranked No. 8 in the country overall and No. 3 in scoring. That has given them the ability to overcome the offensive deficiencies but that offense did put up 402 yards last week against a top 20 Rutgers defense and now they face a defense that was one of the best in the country last season but has regressed. This is a revenge game for Iowa as well after losing a very ugly game last season 9-3 in Champaign. Illinois has won two straight games and three of its last four after opening the season 2-4 to give it a shot at bowl eligibility. The Illini host Northwestern next week in their season finale rivalry game which is certainly their better change of finding the postseason. This is a middle of the road offense that will struggle here. The defense that was one of the best is now No. 81 overall and No. 101 in scoring as they have allowed fewer than 24 points only twice while giving up a season high 45 points to Indiana last week. Here, we play against road underdogs in the second half of the season in a game involving two rushing teams averaging between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc. This situation is 42-19 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (360) Iowa Hawkeyes

This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. Cincinnati snapped a seven-game losing streak with a win at Houston last week but that previous losing skid made the Bearcats ineligible for a bowl game and now they are on the road for a second straight week. It has been a huge disappointment for them in their first season in a much tougher conference and they clearly are not on the same level yet and six of those seven losses came by more than what they are getting here. The once potent defense has slipped to No. 53 overall. West Virginia had its two-game winning streak snapped last week with a blowout loss at Oklahoma by 39 points. The defense has been on a solid run but allowed 646 yards of offense and it was a horrible spot with the Sooners coming off consecutive losses. The Mountaineers are already bowl eligible so there is no pressure and they can increase their stock with two winnable games to close the season and this is their final home games of the season. They are 4-1 at home with the lone loss against Oklahoma St. that was closer than the final score showed. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc last game going up against an opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in in two straight games. This situation is 72-32 ATS (69.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (326) West Virginia Mountaineers

This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Oklahoma shook off a pair of losses against Kansas and Oklahoma St. with a 39-point win over West Virginia last week as the offense erupted for 646 total yards but it was the defense that put together its best effort since the end of September as it allowed just 330 yards. It was a get right game for the Sooners that got knocked out of playoff contention but that victory is helping us with this number. With the exception of a game against Tulsa, this is the biggest line Oklahoma has laid all season against FBS opponents. BYU is not having the greatest season but it is still 5-5 and the big part of this number is the recent run. The Cougars have lost three straight games and they have not been close with the defeats coming by 29, 30 and 32 points. The first two were on the road at Texas and West Virginia and the most recent one against Iowa St. was aided by a -3 turnover margin. This is the biggest home game of the season for the Cougars in their first season in the Big 12 and this is the biggest line they have gotten all season. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 6.2 or more yppl and after gaining 6.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games going up against a team with a defense allowing between 5.6 and 6.2 yppl. This situation is 83-41 ATS (66.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (372) BYU Cougars

This is a play on the MEMPHIS TIGERS for our AAC Game of the Month. This is a very questionable line with SMU favored by over a touchdown on the road against a team with a similar resume. The Mustangs are red hot as they have won six straight games but those victories have been against no one special as none of them have a winning record with only Rice being the only possible bowl team at 4-6. The only other FBS win came against 3-8 Louisiana Tech and the only team with a winning record they have faced was Oklahoma and this has correlates into a schedule that is ranked No. 121 in the country. Memphis has won four straight games to also move to 8-2 and while its resume has not been a whole lot better, it does not equate to the Tigers being a home underdog by this amount. While the SMU offense is a potent one, Memphis is right there as it is ranked No. 21 overall and No. 9 in scoring. The Tigers two losses were against Missouri on a neutral field and against Tulane at home where it lost the turnover battle 2-0 in a game where they were outgained by just 40 yards. Here, we play against road favorites after one or more consecutive straight up wins going up against an opponent after four or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 48-14 ATS (77.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (398) Memphis Tigers

This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Washington St. and Colorado are both fighting for their playoff lives as they both come in 4-6 and needing to win their last two games. The Cougars are the bigger of the two disappointments as they came into the season with higher expectations, opened the season 4-0 and moved up to No. 13 in the AP Poll but have since lost six straight games. The last two have been the toughest ones as both were by three points against California and Stanford and they return home for their final home game of the season. This is just their third home games in nearly two months with four of their last six games taking place on the road. Washington St. still has a potent offense as it is No. 42 overall and N0. 48 in scoring keyed by a passing attacked that is No. in the country led by quarterback Cameron Ward. He has thrown for 3,131 yards on a 67.1 percent completion rate with 20 touchdowns and five interceptions and has a great matchup against this Buffaloes defense. Colorado was the talk of the country when it opened 3-0 but looking back, none of those were quality wins and the Buffaloes have dropped six of their last seven. The only win was against Arizona St. by three points and we are catching a good number based on the name and the fact they have covered their last three games. The Colorado offense opened the season on fire but has tapered off as teams have been able to figure them out and the fact they have the worst rushing offense in the nation. Defensively is where the difference will be here as Colorado cannot stop anyone through the air as it is ranked No. 131, allowing 292.0 ypg. It was a fun story for a while but the much better team gets it done tonight. 10* (318) Washington St. Cougars

This is a play on the Cincinnati BENGALS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. It was a 1-3 start for Cincinnati but the Bengals ran off four straight wins before losing last week against Houston with the defense getting lit up for 544 yards. While they are 5-4, the tiebreakers are not on their side as they have only one win against the AFC which was the most recent win over reeling Buffalo and this includes a 0-2 record in the AFC North so this has turned into a massive game. Being a divisional game, we are getting a good line with Cincinnati as it is over the key number of three after opening at 2.5. This is a great spot for quarterback Joe Burrow who won his lone game as an underdog this season over San Francisco has he has won seven of his last 11 games when getting points. Baltimore is coming off a tough loss against Cleveland as it blew a 24-9 lead and eventually lost on a last second field goal. The Ravens are still in first place in the division at 7-3 but are just 3-2 at home and while this should be a bounce back spot, it is not the ideal situation. The Ravens still lead the league in total DVOA so the numbers are there but there are some key injuries hurting them with the big one being offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley who had to leave last game with a knee injury. Here, we play against home teams outgaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing ypa, after gaining 7 or more passing ypa last game. This situation is 57-26 ATS (68.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (311) Cincinnati Bengals

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Boston College started the season 1-3 with the lone win coming against Holy Cross of the FCS and that was by just a field goal but then reeled off five straight games to become bowl eligible. It has been a very favorable schedule however as the Eagles have played a slate ranked No. 75 and none of the wins have come against a winning team. They defeated Syracuse and Georgia Tech which are both 5-5 but they won the turnover battle in both and by a combined 7-3. Despite the easy slate, five of the six wins have been by one possession including three by a field goal. Granted, they are playing another bad team but the line is telling the story as Boston College is four games better that Pittsburgh yet come in as the underdog. The Panthers have had a rough season as they are 2-8 which includes four straight losses. The offense has struggled as Pittsburgh is ranked No. 120 in total offense and No. 117 in scoring offense but has a decent matchup here against a defense that has taken a step back. The running game has been a big disappointment but they have not carried the ball much and that should increase here as the Eagles have allowed 209 or more yards on the ground in three of their last four games. This is the final home game of the season where they have collected both wins as opposed to going 0-4 on the road. Here, we play against road teams after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 36-10 ATS (78.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (314) Pittsburgh Panthers

This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Ohio came through for us last week as it defeated Buffalo by 10 points on the road to improve to 7-3. The Bobcats are a public pick this week with this being their final home game with a very outside chance at winning the MAC East. They need to win out and hope that Miami Ohio loses its final two games as they are a game back but lost the tiebreaker with the head-to-head defeat two week ago to the RedHawks. They are laying a big number again this week but it is against a better opponent with a lot on the line still. This is a team that has had trouble pulling away because the offense has struggled as Ohio is scoring just 21.6 ppg on the season which is No. 107 in the country. The Bobcats defense makes up for it as they are ranked No. 5 in both total defense and points allowed but for a team that has outscored opponents by only 6.5 ppg, laying a big number is not ideal. Central Michigan s coming off a loss to Western Michigan to drop it to 5-5 so it is still a win away from bowl eligibility so there is a lot on the line. The Chippewas have Toledo on deck so it is not going to be easy but the effort will be there with their season still alive. They do not have much of a passing game as they rely on their ground game, averaging 164.8 ypg on 4.3 ypc and they will shorten the game. That being said, quarterback Jase Bauer is capable as he has five touchdowns and just one interception in his last three games. Here, we play against home teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in November games. This situation is 52-21 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (309) Central Michigan Chippewas

This is a play on the BUFFLO BILLS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. We were waiting for this line to drop but it has not but this is still a great spot for Buffalo with anything under 8. The Bills are coming off a loss at Cincinnati to go 2-3 over their last five games and have failed to cover any of those, going 0-5 ATS. Yet they come in as the big favorite in a good spot with the rest of the AFC coming back. Despite being 5-4, the Bills are No. 7 in net EPA and No. 1 in offense even with the recent numbers pf ppg which is at 20.2 ppg over this five-game stretch. While failing to cover in their last home game against Tampa Bay, they have gone 3-0 in the three games following a loss. Denver has found a way to win two straight games but both of those were at home. The Broncos are 1-2 on the road with the lone win coming in Chicago and this not the place to be. Denver is ranked middle of the league in offense and while some might say the defense is carrying them, it is not. The defense is ranked dead last in EPA and also No. 32 in defensive DVOA and that is bad news against an offense ready to get right. Buffalo is 26-10 ATS in its last 37 games after three or more consecutive losses against the spread. 10* (266) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. The Jets are coming off a loss you do not see very often as they lost by 21 points despite outgaining the Chargers 270-191 as they lost the turnover battle 3-0. New York can get back over .500 here in a great situation against a team in a massive letdown spot. The Jets remain dead last in offensive EPA and No. 30 in offensive DVOA but have a good matchup here after facing some really strong defenses through the first part of the season. What has kept them competitive is the defense as they are No. 6 in defensive DVOA and No. 7 in defensive EPA and go up against a rookie quarterback that has significant film on him. The Raiders are coming off a blowout win against arguably the worst team in the NFL as they responded in their first game with a new coach. They are a deceiving 4-5 with the first three wins coming by a total of nine points and they have gone 0-4 against teams ranked in the top 16 in the power rankings and the Jets come in at No. 13 and have played the No. 1 ranked schedule so they have been more impressive than the .500 record shows. Las Vegas made the change at quarterback with Aidan O'Connell and he was pretty average against the Giants with just 209 yards on 64 percent completions and takes a big step up in defense here. 10* (263) New York Jets

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. We lost with Seattle last week as it got thumped in Baltimore 37-3 to fall to 5-3 but has bounced back with a win after its previous two losses. The defense got lit up against the Ravens which is a concern but they were trending the right way and are still No. 13 in defensive EPA after going into last week No. 11. The offense could generate nothing against a great defense but that will not be the case here and Seattle comes in No. 10 in offensive DVOA. This is a near must win with a pair of division games on deck with Dallas, San Francisco and Philadelphia immediately after that. The Commanders are coming off a win at New England to improve to 4-5 but it is pretty deceiving. While Sam Howell has improved as the season has gone on, they are No. 26 in offense DVOA and No. 22 in offensive EPA and it is even worse on the other side. Even though the Commanders have allowed 17 points or less in three of their last four games, those were against the Patriots, Giants and Cardinals which are all No. 25 or worse in DVOA. Washington is 0-3 against the top 16 and while it was competitive in both games against Philadelphia, those were divisional games and it was blown out in its other one against Buffalo. 10* (262) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. We are going anti public in this game as well as this line has done a slip from opening as the Chargers opened as a slight favorite and have seen the line shirt to the Lions being favored. Los Angeles is coming off a win over the Jets by 21 points despite getting outgained as they benefitted from a 3-0 turnover advantage. The Chargers have not looked right as their 4-4 record can attest to that and now is the chance to beat a quality team as they have failed to beat Miami, Dallas and Kansas City with two of those losses coming by a combined five points. They are No. 13 in net EPA which is only five spots behind the Lions. Detroit has won five of six games and coming off its bye week and it is coming off its best defensive effort of the season where it allowed 157 yards against the Raiders. Th Lions are certainly a contender in the NFC with San Francisco and Dallas playing inconsistent and Philadelphia not looking like the team it did last season. Detroit is No. 4 in total DVOA but it has played a schedule ranked No. 27 in the league and has gone 1-2 in games against the top 16 in the league while rolling to a 5-0 record against teams outside that and the Chargers in fact fall in that inside that in the latest power rankings. 10* (258) Los Angeles Chargers

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Month. This line has risen from opening and continues to go up. Baltimore is the talk of the NFL as it has now won four straight games and are in the midst of a stretch of for games taking place over five games. The Ravens have a game and half lead in the AFC North with a pair of divisional games starting this week which will leave them with only one more the rest of the season. Baltimore has moved to No. 1 in net EPA and No. 1 in total DVOA so the talk is real but this is too many points in a divisional game against a very good team. Cleveland is coming off a 27-0 win over Arizona as it allowed just 58 total yards, the second time it has allowed fewer than 100 yards, the first coming against Tennessee. While we are not expecting that here, the defense is real as the Browns are ranked No. 1 in defensive EPA and No. 1 in defensive DVOA. The offense was fine with Deshawn Watson in his first game back in a while and now should continue to get better with more snaps. He was a late scratch in the first meeting and Cleveland did not stand a chance with the limited offense along with turnovers doing them in. While they are 1-2 on the road, they have won the yardage battle in all of those and this looks like another close game with those two road losses coming by four points each. 10* (243) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. One of the big stories in the league from last week was the Minnesota win with quarterback Joshua Dobbs leading the Vikings to a win over Atlanta despite being with the team for only five days as he replaced starter Jaren Hall, who got a concussion in the first half, and went on to pass for 158 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 66 yards and a touchdown. It was a performance that is hard to top given the circumstance and now it is time to fade. The Vikings have gotten back into the playoff mix as after a 1-4 start, they have won and covered four straight games and sharp early coming went against them here as a repeat of that performance is not going to happen. New Orleans has won two straight games to also move to 5-4 following a win over Chicago where it was outgained but benefitted from a 5-0 turnover advantage. There have been some ugly wins along the way but also some tough losses with three of the four coming by one possession. The offense is an inconsistent unit but has gotten better since the return of Alvin Kamera and the defense remains strong as the Saints are No. 4 in defensive EPA and No. 9 in defensive DVOA and have a big advantage here against a depleted Minnesota offense that could still be without Justin Jefferson. 10* (249) New Orleans Saints

This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. South Alabama has lost two straight games to fall to 4-5 and after coming into the season with high expectations, the Jaguars are in danger of not making the postseason although the schedule is on their side. They do have a bad loss against Central Michigan but the other four defeats have been to quality teams and these next two games at home loom large as they finish at Texas St. Despite the losing record, South Alabama is ranked No. 43 or better in overall and scoring offense and defense so it has been a bit of a deceiving record. The Jaguars are the only team in the SBC that has a losing record but a plus point differential so this number is big for a reason. Arkansas St. ha done an opposite move as it has won two straight games. After a 0-2 start, the Red Wolves have won five of seven games but one of those was against FCS Stony Brook and three others against teams that are a combined 7-21 with the other being against 5-4 Louisiana. Even with a winning record, the numbers do not correspond with it as the Red Hawks are No. 75 in total offense and No. 84 in scoring while ranking No. 125 in total defense and No. 112 in points allowed. They have taken good care of the ball with only nine giveaways but conversely, have only seven takeaways. Here, we play against teams outscored by opponents by 7.0 or more ppg, after scoring 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 61-25 ATS (70.9 percent0 over the last 10 seasons. 10* (222) South Alabama Jaguars

This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS for our SEC Game of the Year. Tennessee and Missouri both come in with identical 7-2 records yet the Volunteers come in as the road favorite. They are coming off a home blowout win over Connecticut which was their second straight win following their loss to Alabama. Tennessee is 2-2 on the road with the other loss coming against Florida while one of the wins came against a bad Virginia team on a neutral field and the other against Kentucky by just six points. Tennessee has been solid on both sides of the ball as it is in the top 25 overall and scoring on both sides of the ball. Their two worst performances came in those two road losses so the home/road splits have played a big part. Missouri Is coming off a loss at Georgia but it was a very solid effort in the nine-point loss as it was outgained by only 22 yards. The other loss was by 10 points at home against LSU but the Tigers lost the yardage battle by only six yards. In both defeats, they lost the turnover battle and were -3 in turnover margin combined. While the overall numbers are not as good as Tennessee, they are not far behind and the Tigers have played the more difficult schedule. Missouri has covered six of its last seven games and have been one of the pleasant surprises in the SEC and have a chance to win out with a favorable schedule. Here, we play against road teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc and after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game going up against a team allowing between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc. This situation is 50-19 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (196) Missouri Tigers

This is a play on the CENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS for our CFB Signature Enforcer. Oklahoma St. has been on a roll with five straight wins and covers to improve to 7-2 overall. This includes a win last week against rival Oklahoma at home in the last installment of Bedlam for the foreseeable future and that brough out a massive celebration on the home field. Four of the five wins during this stretch have been at home with the lone road win coming at West Virginia by 14 points even though the Cowboys won the yardage battle by only 18 yards. One common theme during the winning streak has been the defense creating turnovers as they have 13 takeaways during this stretch. UCF has had a tough go of it in its inaugural season in the Big 12 as the Knights are 1-5 but are coming off their first win as they beat Cincinnati last week. Two of the losses came by three combined points that included a one point loss to Baylor at home. The other home loss was against West Virginia by 13 points yet they won the yardage battle but were -3 in turnovers. UCF is 4-5 overall so it will have to win two of its last three games to become bowl eligible and this is the first chance to avoid having to sweep the final two games. The Knights have been favored in all four home games and are now an underdog based on recent results from both sides. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after four or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (142) Central Florida Knights

This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our ACC Game of the Month. We lost with Syracuse last Friday in what a very unfortunate break when quarterback Garrett Shrader was a late scratch and the offense suffered from that as the Orange managed only 10 points and 246 yards of offense. That was the fifth straight loss for Syracuse after opening the season 4-0 and have not covered any of it last six games. Prior to the late injury, it was three straight losses on the road and Clemson before that. The Orange have to win two of their last three games to win bowl eligibility and it starts here in this game taking place from Yankee Stadium. The offense has been non-existent of late, averaging a meager 230.6 ypg during the four-game slide but faces a below average defense. Pittsburgh lost to Florida St. last week, its third straight loss, which took away a chance at a bowl game as the Panthers are now 2-7. One win was against Wofford of the FCS and the other came against Louisville where they were outgained 444-305 but won the turnover battle 3-0. The Panthers come in No. 63 in total defense and No. 91 in scoring and the offense has been even worst as they have no running game to speak of and overall they are No. 118 and No. 112 in scoring. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing a completion percentage of 62 percent or worse, after allowing 9.0 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 64-34 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (214) Syracuse Orange

This is a play on the PENN ST. NITTANY LIONS for our CFB Star Attraction. Michigan is off to a 9-0 start but has really not been overly tested as it is 6-0 in the Big 10 and while three of those victories have come against winning teams, they are just a combined 16-11. Overall, the Wolverines have played a schedule ranked No. 71 in the country and now face their biggest test and on the road no less. They could not cover a game early in the season with Jim Harbaugh serving his suspension before running off but straight covers before coming up shot last week against Purdue as they won by 28 points as a 31-point favorite. The defense has been the real deal as Michigan is ranked No. 1 overall and in points allowed, but again, the schedule has played into that. Penn St. is 8-1 with the lone loss coming against Ohio St. on the road by eight points. The Nittany Lions did have some bad break including having a 60-yard fumble return for a touchdown called back because of a holding penalty. While they were penalized only five times, another one of those gave Ohio St. a first down at the two-yard line and eventually scored. While the Michigan defense leads the country, Penn St. is right there as it is ranked No. 2 overall and No. 3 in scoring and this has come against a more difficult schedule. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 40-11 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (150) Penn St. Nittany Lions

This is a play on the MARYLAND TERRAPINS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. It has been a mini freefall for Maryland as it has lost four straight games after a 5-0 start. The Terrapins have failed to cover any of those four games as they were beaten badly by Ohio St. and Penn St. while losing to Illinois and Northwestern by nine points combined as a double-digit favorite. Those two losses were bad ones and overall, the offense has struggled during this four-game stretch but did face to of the best defenses in the country and they are coming off that Penn St. game where they had only 234 yards that included -49 yards rushing. Quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa has still played well and on the season he has 2,486 yards on a 65.1 percent completion rate with 21 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Nebraska has had a good turnaround as it is 5-2 over its last seven games following a 0-2 start so it is also one win away from bowl eligibility as Matt Ruhle has done a great coaching job. Still, this offense has not been good as the Huskers are ranked No. 115 overall and No. 117 in scoring so they have relied on a stout defense that is anchored by the No. ranked rushing defense but does not set up well for the strength of the Maryland offense. Turnovers remain a problem as Nebraska has given it up 22 times, most in the country. Here, we play against home teams after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 82-37 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (217) Maryland Terrapins

This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. UNLV has been one of the bigger surprises this season as it is 7-2 following a blowout win over New Mexico but the schedule overall has been on its side. The Rebels have played the No. 129 ranked schedule in the country and they have yet to beat a beat with a winning record as they have faced only two teams above .500. additionally, they have faced mostly finesse teams and have basically played only one physical game and that certainly changes here. UNLV possesses a potent offense as it ranked No. 16 in scoring and No. 42 overall but again, scheduling has played a big role in that. The Rebels are not as strong defensively, coming in No. 84 overall and No. 67 in scoring and the discrepancies from overall rank and scoring rank on both sides are because of their 20 takeaways. Wyoming snapped a two-game slide with a win over Colorado St. to get to bowl eligibility with its 6-3 record. Sitting at 3-2 in the MWC, it is unlikely to make it to the conference championship due to a loss against 5-0 Air Force but the Cowboys handed Fresno St. its only conference loss so they are not completely out of contention but will need some help over the final quarter of the season. The Cowboys have faced a much stiffer slate as they have played the No. 67 ranked schedule. Wyoming has only eight giveaways this season which is tied for No. 13 in the country. 10* (121) Wyoming Cowboys

This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Louisiana fell to 2-3 in the SBC West following a loss to Arkansas St. on Saturday but the Cajuns are still not mathematically eliminated from winning the division. They have already defeated Texas St. and still have a game with Troy, which is two games up, so they will need help but can only control what they so. At 5-4, they are a win away from bowl eligibility and return home where they are 3-1, the lone loss coming against 6-3 Georgia St. by a field goal. Louisiana has a big edge in the rushing game as they are averaging 198.0 ypg on the ground which is No. 20 in the country despite being held to just 64 yards against Arkansas St. The loss of starting quarterback Zeon Chriss has brought this number down but replacement Chandler Fields is in his fifth year here and can run this offense. Southern Mississippi is coming off it first win over an FBS opponent as it took out UL-Monroe last week which was its second straight solid performance on offense. The Golden Eagles are 2-7 and eliminated from postseason consideration so give them credit for stepping up last week but now travel on a short week. The offense improved to No. 77 overall but it is still just No. 96 in scoring and the real issue is the defense as Southern Mississippi is No. 116 in total defense and No. 127 in points allowed. The bigger liability is the rushing defense that has allowed 185.4 ypg and has been lit up against the top rushing teams. 10* (118) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

This is a play on the AKRON ZIPS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Miami is coming off a big win over Ohio which put it in first place in the MAC East by a game in the loss column following the Bobcats win on Tuesday. The RedHawks opened the season with a loss at Miami Florida and then reeled off six straight wins before a loss against Toledo, the team they are likely going to face in the MAC Championship. That being said, they are laying a huge number here with an offense that has done nothing of late. They have barely gone over 300 total yards in two of their last five games while averaging just over 311 ypg over that stretch and now are laying their biggest number over an FBS team. Akron picked up its first win over an FBS team with a four-point win over Kent St. following a six-game losing streak. The Zips lost at Kentucky by 32 points but four of the other six losses have been by one possession so they have been competitive and even being 0-5 on the road, they have been outscored by just two touchdowns and that is taking the Kentucky game into it. This is actually a really good defense that is ranked No. 41 in the country and facing an offense that cannot move the ball. Too many points. 10* (111) Akron Zips

This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Ohio lost last week in a swing game against Miami Ohio and now sits in second place in the MAC East, one game behind the RedHawks. The Bobcats now need to win out and get some help and this is the perfect opponent. Ohio has struggled on offense this season as they ranked No. 94 overall and No. 105 in points scored and quarterback Kurtis Rourke is back in form after an early season injury. He faces a defense that has been really good over the last four games but have benefited from 12 takeaways. The Bobcats have a defense that is one of the best in the country as they are ranked No. 4 overall and No. 7 in scoring. A lot is on the line for Buffalo as it has to win out to get to a bowl game but the resume has not been good. Two wins have come against Akron and Kent St. which are a combined 1-9 in the conference while the third, the Bulls benefitted from a 4-0 turnover margin. Buffalo is ranked No. 110 in total offense and No. 81 in total defense and while it is a must win, they cannot matchup here. Ohio has taken advantage of these spots going 8-1 ATS in its last nine games against teams allowing 5.9 or more yppl. 10* (101) Ohio Bobcats

This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. The Jets are coming off an improbable win over the Giants last Sunday as they turned a missed Giants field goal with 24 seconds left into a game-tying drive and eventually won it in overtime. That was the third straight win for the Jets which are suddenly now 4-3 and right in the playoff mix getting close to the halfway point of the season. The offense remains inconsistent as they are currently dead last in the league in EPA while sitting No. 29 on DVOA but have a very favorable matchup here. The defense has kept New York afloat as it has held four opponents to 16 points or less including Buffalo and Philadelphia while also keeping Kansas City in check. The Jets are No. 9 in defensive EPA and No. 6 in defensive DVOA. The Chargers are coming off a win over the Bears Sunday night which halted a two-game losing streak to move to 3-4. The win over Chicago was the first by more than one possession as they had their best defensive effort of the season but this is still a bad unit. Los Angeles is ranked No. 28 in defensive EPA and No. 27 in defensive DVOA and while facing another weak offense here, the environment is different. The Chargers have one of the top passing games in the league with a No. 6 EPA in passing behind Justin Herbert who is having his best season thus far with a 101.1 rating but has a big test in this one. The Chargers are a big public side as this line opened at -1.5 and crossed the key number on Wednesday. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points outscored by five or more ppg in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (476) New York Jets

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Divisional Game of the Month. This is a big division game that on paper, has strength against strength and weakness against weakness. Dallas has won a pair of games since getting blown out in San Francisco but the jury remains out on this team still. Of their five wins, four have come against future non-playoff teams with the fifth coming against the marginal Chargers. The Cowboys are No. 2 in defensive EPA but this will be its toughest test of the season against an Eagles offense that is No. 4 in EPA. They have had only two poor games defensively but both of those were on the road and one of those came against the pathetic Cardinals. Dallas is No. 17 in offensive DVOA and No. 13 in EPA which is due to a running game that has been pretty much nonexistent. The passing game has been great at times but this is not an easy matchup. The Eagles defense is the weakness mentioned before but they can disrupt Dak Prescott with the pressure they create as they are No. 8 in pressure rate and No. 6 in sacks while coming into this game in better health. The same can be said about Philadelphia for beating mostly teams that will not be in the postseason but at 7-1, the Eagles win the games they are supposed to and throw in a solid win against Miami as well. The lone loss came against the Jets but they lost the turnover battle 4-0 in that one. Overall, the schedule has not been too difficult against opposing teams but five of their first eight games have come on the road. The home team has won the last eight meetings not counting when Eagles sat their starters. 10* (472) Philadelphia Eagles

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. Carolina is coming off its first win of the season after a 0-6 start and the defense put up its best effort of the season against Houston and the Panthers finally have some momentum on their side. The offense may not have scored much as they put up only 15 points that included one touchdown but there were subtleties on display. Different formations from new play caller Thomas Brown made quarterback Bryce Young more comfortable as he did not turn the ball over and season highs in both passer rating at 103.6 and ypa at 7.6 and has a better matchup this week. Coaching revenge is not going make his team play better but head coach Frank Reich faces the former team that fired him so he want this one and make sure his players are on board with that. The Panthers have been miserable on the road, getting outscored by 15.8 ppg, losing all four games by double digits, but they have the home win and the two home losses were by one possession. The Colts have lost three straight games following a decent 3-2 start and while the offense has been a strength with consistent scoring, turnovers have been the issue along with a regressing defense. Indianapolis has given it up nine times during the losing streak but the real issue has been the defense. A month ago, the Colts were No. 14 in EPA but have dropped to No. 24 and they have given up 38 ppg over the last three games with the last two coming against below average offenses. The Panthers do not have much of a public backing so the Colts have to be favored. 10* (468) Carolina Panthers

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. Baltimore has been moving up the metrics charts as it has now won three straight games following a win in Arizona last week despite actually getting outgained to move to 6-2. The Ravens remain No. 1 in net DVOA and have moved up to No. 2 net EPA and the line is reflecting the public perception as it has moved up from opening and is just too big in this matchup. This is the start of a three-game homestand for the Ravens but this could be a precarious spot with divisional games against Cleveland and Cincinnati on deck. Lamar Jackson has owned the NFC as he is now 17-1 against the other conference but is just 8-10 ATS in those games so covering the big number has been a problem. Speaking of which, he is 7-17 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 or more points. Seattle was able to sneak out the win last week against the Browns and has now won five of its last six games with just a four-point loss at Cincinnati being the lone blemish. The Seahawks have taken over first place in the NFC West by a half-game over the suddenly struggling 49ers and while the schedule has not been overly difficult, the metrics remain strong. Seattle is ranked No. 10 in both net EPA and net DVOA with every separate category being within the top 15. Seattle did accomplish something last week that no other team had done. The offense became the first to achieve the following against the Browns defense as they managed a positive EPA overall, a rush EPA and fewer than two sacks. That is good news against this defense. 10* (455) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. Cleveland could not hold on against Seattle last week as it allowed the game winning touchdown for the Seahawks with 38 seconds left. The Browns are 4-3 and turnovers tell the story as they have given the ball away 10 times in those three losses. In one of the losses against the Steelers, two of those turnovers directly turned into touchdowns in the four-point loss so taking care of the ball is paramount but that can be said for any team in any situation. The turnovers have also directly affected the defense as they have put the unit into some tough spots but the Cleveland defense is still ranked No. 1 in EPA and No. 2 in DVOA and could not ask for a better bounce back matchup this week. While Cleveland has Baltimore and Pittsburgh on deck, coming off a loss last week will avoid any sort of a lookahead. Arizona played admirably last week against Baltimore as it snuck out the backdoor cover by scoring nine points over the last 1:14 of the game but the Cardinals have still lost five straight games following the surprising upset of the Cowboys. They will no longer have the services of quarterback Joshua Dobbs as he was traded to Minnesota and with Kyler Murray not ready to come back just yet, rookie Clayton Tune will be making his first start in an awful spot. Not only facing the best defense in the league, going back over a decade, rookie quarterbacks on the road are 22-127-1. The record correlates with the metrics as the Cardinals are No. 31 in net EPA and No. 28 in net DVOA with both sides horrendous. 10* (458) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Star Attraction. We have seen interesting line movement as Kansas City opened at -2.5 and it fluctuated between -2.5 and -2 for most of the week but went down to -1.5 to -1 by late Wednesday despite 73 percent of the money being on the Chiefs. Kansas City is coming off its second loss of the season last week in Denver and while a lookahead to this game may have partially contributed to that, the flu was running through the locker room, notably Patrick Mahomes. He is coming off the second lowest passer rating of his career at 59.2 and while he landed on the injury report with a hand issue, he will be fine and this is where he thrives. He has lost back-to-back games only three times in his career with the most recent occasion was Weeks 2 and 3 of the 2021 season. Additionally, he is 19-6-1 ATS in his 26 games as a favorite of -3 or less or as an underdog. Miami is coming off a win over New England following its second loss of the season. Both losses came against two of the best teams in the NFL in Buffalo and Philadelphia, while five of the six wins came against teams that will not be sniffing the playoffs with the Chargers being a borderline team right now. The Dolphins offense is ranked No. 1 in DVOA and No. 2 in EPA and their struggles have come against teams that apply consistent pressure as seven of his 11 sacks came against the Bills and Eagles which are No. 2 and No. 6 respectively in sacks and Kansas City is ranked No. 2 with Buffalo with 28. Great bounce back matchup for the Chiefs. 10* (452) Kansas City Chiefs

This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Late Powerhouse. Everyone is trying to catch Air Force in the MWC including both of these teams that are 3-1 in the conference and the winner will have the inside track at going to the championship game. Fresno St. has just one loss this season which came against Wyoming on the road by five points as a rally fell short and going back to last season, the Bulldogs are 16-1 in their last 17 games. The offense lost a ton from last season including their First Team quarterback and top running back and wide receiver but the numbers are nearly the same which is also the case for the defense so it has been an outstanding transition with just 11 starters returning. Fresno St. is laying a short number here based on opponent name and the fact it has failed to cover its last four games which often creates value going against a streak like that. Boise St. is 4-4 overall with one loss coming against Washington and one win coming against North Dakota of the FCS so those cam cancel out. The other three losses came by a total of six points so there could have been more wins two of the other three wins were by one possession so those could have gone the other way as well. The Broncos are balanced on offense as they runs the ball very well but face a strong rushing defense from Fresno St. while the passing game has been suspect with two quarterbacks splitting time. The defense has been an issue as Boise St. is ranked No. 84 overall and No. 87 in scoring. 10* (426) Fresno St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the MIAMI HURRICANES for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. NC State is coming off a huge win over Clemson to improve to 2-2 in the ACC and 5-3 overall. It was a very misleading win however as the Wolfpack were outgained 364-202 and had 11 fewer first downs than the Tigers but were +2 in turnovers including an interception returned for a touchdown. The five wins have been nothing special as besides the Clemson victory, they have a win over VMI of the FCS, escaped Connecticut in their season opener, beat a bad Virginia team by only three points and were outgained by Marshall in a seven-point win. The offense remains an issue as NC State is ranked No. 107 overall including No. 107 in passing and No. 94 in rushing. It has not been a great stretch for Miami as after a 4-0 start, it had the debacle against Georgia Tech and could not recover from that in a blowout loss at North Carolina. The last two weeks have resulted in wins against Clemson and Virginia but both took overtime and the win over Cavaliers looks bad but that can be chalked up to a letdown after the Clemson victory. The Hurricanes need a get right game following this stretch and with Florida St. on deck, there will be no lookahead. This especially pertains to quarterback Tyler Van Dyke who started great, got injured, and then looked bad in his return last week with his lowest rated game. The offense is balanced as the Hurricanes are No. 33 in rushing and No. 37 in passing for an overall ranking of No. 19. 10* (325) Miami Hurricanes

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our MWC Game of the Month. It has been a rough season for San Diego St. as it is now 3-5 following a pretty embarrassing loss against at the time winless Nevada 6-0. The other four losses all came in September and all against very good teams including two from the Pac 12 and two at the top of the MWC. Not counting the COVID year, the Aztecs have a streak of 12 straight bowl games so they have to go 3-1 to close the season out if they want to keep that going. The offense has been inconsistent as they are averaging just 19.6 ppg which is No. 119 in the country while their total offense is No. 114 with 316.8 ypg. It has been very similar to last season when they lost to a pair of Pac 12 teams and the two best teams in the conference but went on to win three of their last four. Utah St. comes in with an identical 3-5 record which includes a 1-3 record on the road with the only win coming at 1-7 Connecticut by only one point and the Aggies are favored in this spot. Based on the power numbers, they are the false favorite and while they possess a solid offense, the defense is bad and San Diego St. can take advantage of that. Turnovers have been an issue as the Aggies have 17 giveaways and have lost the turnover battle in five of their eight games. One of the other wins was against Colorado St. where the Rams coughed it up five times and the third victory was against Idaho St. which turned it over three times. 10* (376) San Diego St. Aztecs

This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES for our Big 12 Game of the Year. Kansas defeated Oklahoma last Saturday on a last minute touchdown and it beat the Sooners for the first time since 1997 and it led to the storming of the field which typically provides a letdown spot going into the next game. it was a good spot for Kansas coming off a bye week and for Oklahoma to be coming off a hard fought two-point wins against UCF and the Jayhawks became bowl eligible for the second straight season after not going to a bowl game since 2008. Kansas improved to 5-0 at home while going just 1-2 in three road games, the only win coming against 2-6 Nevada while losing to Texas and Oklahoma St. by a combined score of 79-46. It does get any easier here especially playing revenge minded Iowa St. The Cyclones have won three straight games by double digits to get to 5-3 and the slow start was not surprising as they lost their quarterback and running back right before the season shortly after the gambling scandal. It took a while for the offense to get going but Rocco Becht has settled in nicely and they have averaged 28.2 ppg over their last five games after scoring 30 points total in their first two games against FBS teams. The usually strong Iowa St. defense is just that again as it is ranked No. 24 overall and No. 28 in points allowed as it has allowed 18 or fewer points five times. The Cyclones will be out to avenge a 14-11 loss last season. 10* (380) Iowa St. Cyclones

This is a play on the NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS for our CFB Star Attraction. Things have been so bad on offense for Iowa, it has already announced offensive coordinator Brian Ferentz will not be back next season but he will coach out the rest of the year and it is just a strange move this time of the season. The Hawkeyes are coming off a bye week following a controversial loss against Minnesota which snapped a three-game winning streak. The only other loss came at Penn St. so they have been able to survive to do 6-2 and that is because of their stout defense. Iowa is dead last in the country in total offense with only 232.4 ypg while averaging just 19.5 ppg. This is a classic scenario of fading a favorite in what is expected to be a low scoring game as this total is a comical 31. Northwestern came into the season with a new coach because of the Pat Fitzgerald controversy and things could have gone sideways from the start following a blowout loss to Rutgers to open the season but the Wildcats have been resilient to go 4-3 since then and keep their bowl hopes alive. Their own offense is nearly as bad as that of Iowa but do have the edge and while the Wildcats convert an average 40 percent on third down, that is way better than the Hawkeyes average of 26.4 percent. The defense has stepped up to keep it together and that unit will have success again here. The schedule has done then no favors as this is the third straight game facing a team off their bye but the first two results were just fine. 10* (354) Northwestern Wildcats

This is a play on the GEORGIA ST. PANTHERS for our CFB Signature Enforcer. We played against Georgia St. last Thursday and it got thumped by rival Georgia Southern 44-27 for just its second loss of the season. The Panthers are back home for the start of their third and final two-game homestand of the season and at 3-2 in the wide open SBC, they still have an outside shot at the East Division. They are 3-1 at home with their only loss to Troy which was their worst game of the season from a turnover standpoint as they were -2. Georgia St. has covered five of its seven games against FBS opponents with the two losses being when they were -1 and a pickem and while this number is not enormous, it is the biggest underdog line they have seen and justifiably so based on who they are facing. James Madison continues to roll along as it is now 8-0 following a scare from Old Dominion as it won by three points on Saturday. Give James Madison a lot of credit for being as motivated as it as this is its second season playing in the FBS with nothing to play for. The Dukes are ineligible for the SBC Championship and are not eligible for the postseason for two years after transitioning from the FCS which is a rule that makes little sense. Five of their seven FBS wins have been by only one possession. James Madison has been excellent against the run as it leads the nation by allowing just 48.9 ypg on 1.6 ypc but will be tested here against a very strong Panthers rushing attack. 10* (356) Georgia St. Panthers

This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. This is a line that makes you take a double take as Air Force is favored by 18.5 points as of Wednesday afternoon with a total of 31.5 making the projected score of this game 25-6.5 and while it is possible, it is an unlikely outcome. Air Force has gotten off to an 8-0 start and going back to last season, it has won 13 straight games. It has not been all that pretty of late as it was outgained 329-293 last week against Colorado St. but won the turnover battle 2-0, struggled to put Navy away because the Midshipmen knows the offense and defeated Wyoming by just seven points. They have the best rushing offense and the No. 3 overall defense in the country so this team is very good but the line is inflated in this rivalry service academy game. Army has lost five straight games and at 2-6, it has to win out to make it to a bowl game but the schedule is on its side with no true road games left. This game is not being played on the Air Force grounds but in Denver on a neutral field even though the Falcons will likely have a big crown edge but it still is not the same. The Black Knights were done in by turnovers again last week as they outgained Massachusetts but were -3 and that has been a recent problem as they are -10 over the last three games. This has been a tight series decided by four ppg over the last five meetings and in the last 24 service academy games, the underdog has gone 20-4 ATS. 10* (365) Army Black Knights

This is a play on the GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Virginia looked dead and very well still could be but it has shown some life. After a 0-5 start, the Cavaliers defeated William & Mary of the FCS and then had a huge upset of North Carolina before taking Miami to overtime last week. They cannot afford another loss if they want to make it to a bowl game but we do not see that happening and coming off a pair of emotional and physical games, this is not a good spot. Virginia has covered five straight games, four as underdogs in the FBS games and now they come in as favorites which is not justified with what they bring. The Cavaliers have an anemic offense that musters just 120.4 ypg on 3.0 ypg on the ground while throwing for only 217.6 ypg and they convert a mere 37.7 percent on third down. It has been up and down for Georgia Tech as it has alternated wins and losses from the start of the season to go 4-4 and coming off a win over North Carolina last week, it will be going for its first winning streak. The offense has been surprisingly good as the Yellow Jackets are No. 18 in the country in total offense with 459.3 ypg which is 134 more ypg than they produced last season while their scoring average is two touchdowns per game better. In three of their four losses, they lost the turnover battle but that should be no issue as Virginia has only 10 takeaways this season. Defensively, they are not good but do not have much to worry about here. 10* (349) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Syracuse finds itself in a very similar situation as last season where it opened the season 6-0 and then finished 0-7 while this year, it started 4-0 and has since dropped four straight games. The schedule for the Orange has not been on their side as Clemson, albeit which is having a down season, came to town after the 4-0 start and rolled to a 17-point win and then it has been three straight conference road games which all turned into blowouts. The schedule sets up well down the stretch to attain a pair of wins to become bowl eligible and it starts here where we can by Syracuse low and at certainly their lowest point. The offense has been non-existent of late, averaging a meager 226.8 ypg during the four-game slide but faces a very average defense. Additionally, they are -5 in turnovers during the losing streak. It has been close to the opposite start for Boston College as it started the season 1-3 with the lone win coming against Holy Cross of the FCS and that was by just a field goal but it has since won four straight games to move one game away from bowl eligibility. It has been a very favorable schedule however as the Eagles faced three teams that are currently a combined 5-19 along with 4-4 Georgia Tech and they won the turnover battle in that game 3-1. Despite the easy slate, four of the five wins have been by one possession. The offense has been consistently good, especially the running game where they are ranked No. 14 but the Orange are allowing just 149.1 ypg on 3.8 ypc on the ground. 10* (318) Syracuse Orange

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. We won with Tennessee on Sunday as it was a big game in what was its first home game in a month and this week starting a three-game stretch on the road. The Titans were able to get the job done with Will Levis making his first career start but now he makes his first road start and rookie quarterbacks have struggled in these spots as going back over a decade, rookie quarterbacks on the road are 22-127-1. He made the big plays with three of his four touchdowns being 33, 47 and 61 yards and take away his four-touchdown yardage, he threw for only 81 yards in his other 15 completions. The win snapped a two-game losing streak and Tennessee is now 3-0 at home but 0-4 away from home and this is a horrible spot catching a bad number. The Titans are now ranked No. 20 in offensive EPA and No. 22 in defensive EPA and faces an excellent defense and while catching a break again a mediocre quarterback, the defense has allowed 23, 23 and 27 points against low-tiered starters and backups. The Steelers lost to Jacksonville by 10 points to drop to 4-3. The defense played well with a bend do not break effort as they did hold the Jaguars to four field goals while the touchdown given up was simply a missed coverage play on a 56-yard strike to Travis Etienne. The Steelers are tied for No. 11 in defensive EPA and have a much better matchup here. The offense was inconsistent once again as quarterback Kenny Pickett left the game with a rib injury in the first half and Mitch Trubisky came in relief and was not much better but he will be working with the starters on this short week. 10* (310) Pittsburgh Steelers

This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. After two straight blowout wins over UL-Monroe and Southern Mississippi by a combined score of 110-10, South Alabama gave one back last week as it lost to Louisiana 33-20. The Jaguars actually outgained the Cajuns 498-349 but lost the turnover battle 5-0 and those five turnovers were one more than their previous six games combined. They fell to 2-2 in the SBC West which is just one game behind Troy so a win here gets them into a tie for first place. The offense has been cruising as South Alabama is ranked No. 20 overall and No. 31 in scoring and while the rushing game is the weakness, it is still No. 50 and that is with two bad games against Tulane and James Madison where it has 102 yards on the ground combined. Defensively, the Jaguars have been nearly as good as they are ranked No. 21 overall and No. 40 in points allowed so the 4-4 record is deceiving with two of those losses against Tulane to open the season and then last week where they had a combined 10 turnovers and the other two losses coming by just one possession. Troy has won five straight games following a 1-2 start and the Trojans have covered four straight games which is playing into this line and making them a public play coming off an advanced line where it has risen by 2.5 points. The defense has led the way as Troy has allowed only 5.8 ppg over its last four games after giving up 28 ppg through its first four games. That is a daunting task for the Jaguars but this is the best offense that the Trojans have seen over this recent four-game stretch. Offensively, they are No. 31 overall but just No. 71 in scoring because they do give the ball away a ton. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in four straight games. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (315) South Alabama Jaguars

This is a play on the BALL ST. CARDINALS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. The season is on the line for Ball St. which comes in 2-6 and has to win out for a chance to make a bowl game. The Cardinals snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over Central Michigan in its last game and it has been a tough 0-4 record on the road this season. They had to travel to Kentucky and Georgia to start the season and then lost the other two games at Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan but has arguably its best matchup here. Ball St. will use its running game to shorten this game and does have an edge in that category with one of the best offensive lines in the country. The Cardinals are ranked No. 7 in stuff rate and No. 19 in line yards and faces a weak Bowling Green defense that is ranked No. 125 in stuff rate. The Cardinals have averaged 186 ypg on the ground over their last three games which coincidentally has come when athletic quarterback Kiael Kelly took over two games back. Bowling Green has won two straight games to move to 4-4 and things are looking good for a postseason appearance but they have been a fairly fortunate team. The Falcons lead the country in takeaways with 20 and that put them in the top 40 in the Luck Ratings with Ball St. coming in at No. 94. Offensively, Bowling Green has not been very efficient as it is ranked No. 114 in EPA per play and No. 110 in success rate which is possibly higher than they should be based on their 16 giveaways. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after going under the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team. This situation is 154-86 ATS (64.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Ball St. Cardinals

This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. The early lookahead line in this game was 2 and it has steamed up to 5.5 because of recent results which we are fading. Northen Illinois has won three straight games following a tough two-point loss to Toledo to move to 3-1 in the MAC West. Tw of the recent wins have come against two of the worst teams in conference and while there was an upset against Ohio sandwiched in there, it was not that long ago that the Huskies lost to a bad Tula team and fell to Southern Illinois of the FCS. Central Michigan is 2-2 in the MAC following a loss at Ball St. and this is an essential game to stay in the MAC West race with a game against Toledo still on the schedule. The Chippewas have gone 0-4 against the number in their last four games and that is the key streak to go contrarian with which is major reason for the move of this number. They had a bad loss at Buffalo but were -4 in turnovers in that game and the takeaways have been a problem which has put then near the top of the luck rankings. Central Michigan has accumulated only four takeaways which is tied for second fewest in the nation and they have yet to win the turnover battle in any game. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 23-8 ATS (74.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (304) Central Michigan Chippewas

This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. We played against Detroit last week as it had its four-game winning streak snapped. This is a big number to put down and will be a typical primetime favorite public play but those are called for at times. The Lions at 5-2 are one of the top teams in the league in metrics as they come in ranked No. 5 in net DVOA and are back home following a two-game roadtrip. The two home wins were blowouts and the lone loss came against Seattle, which came into Week 8 as the No. 2 ranked team in net DVOA, in overtime where Detroit never saw the ball. Las Vegas is coming off a blowout loss at Chicago last week to fall to 3-4 on the season, snapping a two-game winning streak. Two of those wins were at home with the other win coming in Denver by a point and this team is a few played away from being 1-6 or potentially 0-7. Las Vegas is ranked outside the top 24 in EPA in all but offensive passing and that is just No. 16 and the Raiders have an overall net EPA of No. 30. That is the same ranking as their net DVOA so the 3-4 record is even more deceiving. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after covering the spread in five or six out of their last seven games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 58-25 ATS (69.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (280) Detroit Lions

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. The Bears are certainly not a very good team but this line is saying the Chargers are which they are not. Chicago has won two of its last three games after a 0-4 start and in four of their overall losses, they have been -2 in turnovers each game and two of those defeats were by a combined nine points. Quarterback Tyson Bagent had a decent first start after getting thrown into the fire against the Vikings and while he faced a bad defense, the now faces an even worse defense. Los Angeles lost for us in Kansas City last week and it has been just bad mistakes and coaching that has led to its 2-4 record. They are back home but it is certainly not a big home field edge and while the Bears are down, there will be plenty of fans there. The Chargers only won three games last season by more than one possession and that has carried over into this season with the two wins coming against the Raiders and Vikings by seven and four points respectively. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a road loss, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .250 and .400. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (277) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Month. We just saw this matchup two weeks ago to open Week 6 on Thursday night and Kansas City came away with a 19-8 win and covered on a late field goal. The Broncos have been one of the biggest underachievers this season as they are 2-5 following a win last week against Green Bay with the other win coming against Chicago. The only bad loss was against Miami as a loss to the Jets was close until a fumble returned for a touchdown and two other losses coming by three points combined. In the first meeting, the Chiefs were favored by 10.5 at home and are now laying only around a field goal less on the road in a horrible spot. They have won six straight games following an opening game loss against Detroit and are coming off a big divisional win last week against the Chargers. Now they head out on the road after two home games and they have the lookahead game in Germany next week against the Dolphins. The playbook will be vanilla without a doubt. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (272) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. We lost with New Orleans last Thursday against Jacksonville as a potentially tying touchdown was dropped to close the game. The Saints fell to 3-4 with the loss after dropping two straight and four of five following a 2-0 start and even though the last two games were lost by a touchdown each, the Saints won the yardage battle in both by 133 and 77 yards. New Orleans is ranked No. 10 in net EPA with the defense leading the way with an EPA of No. 4. The Colts lost a tough one at home last week and they have also dropped two straight games to match the Saints at 3-4. The problem has been turnovers as they piled up eight over the two games but the money is saying they bounce back with 81 percent of the money on them which has flipped the line. The offense and defense are both in the middle of the league in EPA but Indianapolis has a big disadvantage in defense with Gardner Minshew being turnover prone and its own defense can struggle against this type of midrange offense. Here, we play on road teams after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .400 and .499. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (251) New Orleans Saints

This is a play on the WASHINGTON COMMANDERS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. The Eagles were an enigma through its first six games which included a loss against the Jets with most of the first five wins leaving more questions than answers. The win over the Dolphins last Sunday night has the public all in love again and money has poured in on Philadelphia to move this already inflated line for being a divisional game in a rematch from four weeks ago. This is no doubt one of the best rosters in the NFL but they have looked off from the start and they have gone from an EPA of No. 2 to No. 7. The Eagles have Dallas on deck as well. Washington has been all over the place at 3-4 as it is coming off a loss against the Giants on the road. The Commanders are coming off a two-game roadtrip and are back home where they have failed to cover a game, going 0-3 which makes them unbettable to some. In the first meeting in Philadelphia, they took the Eagles to overtime and these divisional game can be out of whack like that. Sam Howell will be a big key as he was coming off three straight solid games before last week. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 96-49 ATS (66.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (258) Washington Commanders

This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. Tennessee is riding a two-game losing streak following a loss to Indianapolis on the road and a loss at Baltimore. The Titans are coming off a bye so this is their first home game in one month and then they have to travel for three straight games so they know the importance of this game. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill will probably miss this game and word is Will Levis will get the start. That is not a huge matter as Tennessee has a passing EPA of No. 22 as it is and Atlanta has a defensive passing EPA of No. 21 and they will rely on the strong running game. Atlanta is coming off an upset at Tampa Bay to improve to 4-3 but this record could be so much worse as three of the Falcons wins have come by a total of six points. This is only the third true road game of the season and counting the game in London, they are averaging 9.7 ppg away from home compared to 21.5 ppg in Atlanta. In either instance, this offense is bad. Overall, Atlanta is No. 24 in DVOA which is lower than Tennessee and the line flipped from opening with everyone on the Falcons. Here, we play against favorites forcing 1 or less turnovers per game, after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 50-16 ATS (75.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (266) Tennessee Titans

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Star Attraction. Great spot and great line for Green Bay. The Packers were out west which resulted in losses to Las Vegas and Denver but by only six points combined. They have lost three straight games overall to fall to 2-4 with one of those losses coming against Detroit and the other three by a total of seven points. Th Packers are No. 19 in EPA which is pretty good for the record and a lot of that is due to being tied for the No. 4 spot in the Luck rankings, in this case unlucky as the close scores indicate that. Minnesota is coming off the big win over San Francisco on Monday night for everyone to witness and that is putting the public on the Vikings this week. Minnesota has won two straight games to move to 3-4 and to their credit, they have lost all four games by one possession but so have its three victories. The Vikings are 2-1 on the road with the wins coming against Carolina and Chicago and now they go away from home for the first time without Justin Jefferson against a solid opponent. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after two or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (268) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS for our CFB Late Powerhouse. Oregon St. has won three straight games to improve to 6-1 with the only loss coming at Washington St. by a field goal. The numbers back up what the Beavers have accomplished as they are top 50 in seven of the eight major statistical categories and this is with playing the No. 40 ranked schedule. DJ Uiagalelei has not put up gaudy numbers but he has been efficient in this new system after leaving Clemson and he has a 15:4 TD:INT ratio. They have given the ball away only six times and face a defense that has only eight takeaways. Arizona is 4-3 on the season following a win over Washington St. that was an unexpected blowout. The Wildcats three losses have come by only one possession each so they have been in the mix and could have a better record at this point. The offense has picked it up over the last three games with Noah Fifita at quarterback but this will be facing the best defense he has seen to keep him off balanced. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .800 or better after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (175) Oregon St. Beavers

This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. After opening the season 4-0, Marshall has dropped three straight games, the last two coming against teams a combined 13-1 and this is a great get right opportunity. The Thundering Herd have won the turnover battle only once this season which has led to most of their games being close. The offense should get back on track after its worst game of the season as quarterback Cam Fancher was on a roll but faced one of the best defenses in the country last week in James Madison. Coastal Carolina has won and covered two straight games but it took a huge blow last week as All SBC quarterback Grayson McCall left the game with a concussion and will not play this week with is a massive blow to the offense. The Chanticleers are ranked No. 17 in the country in passing offense and making matters worse here, they face a Marshall team that is ranked No. 24 in passing defense while allowing just 56.1 percent completions. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a playing a game where 29 total points or less were scored. This situation is 42-14 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (145) Marshall Thundering Herd

This is a play on the UL-MONROE WARHAWKS for our SBC Game of the Year. UL-Monroe opened the season 2-0 but has lost five straight games including a pair of competitive losses in the last two against two of the top SBC teams, both on the road. The Warhawks have been underdogs by more than a touchdown in all of their FBS games so the fact they are favored here is telling. The rushing game was stifled against Georgia Southern last time out but the passing game got on track to carry momentum against a poor passing defense. The have forced four turnovers in three different games while Arkansas St. has a grand total of only five takeaways on the season. The Red Wolves dropped to 3-4 after a pair of losses to Troy and Coastal Carolina and all of their defeats have come against teams with winning records. However, the wins have been as bad as you can get coming against Stony Brook of the FCS along with Southern Mississippi and UMass which are a combined 2-13. They averaged 42.3 ppg in those victories but the offense put up just 5.6 ppg in the four defeats. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing a completion percentage of 62 percent or worse, after allowing 8.0 or more passing ypa last game. This situation is 89-50 ATS (64 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (138) UL-Monroe Warhawks

This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES for our CFB Star Attraction. Iowa St. is in a favorable spot as it is coming off its bye week following a pair of wins to improve to 4-3 on the season. One of the losses came against Oklahoma with the other two coming by a combined 10 points against Iowa and Ohio. The Cyclones offense struggled in those two games but they have averaged 27.8 ppg over their last four games yet it is the defense that is once again the story of this team. They are No. 28 in total defense and have allowed 20 points or less in five of seven games and with playing the No. 15 ranked schedule. Baylor is coming off a win over Cincinnati last week by a field goal to move to 2-4 with the wins coming by a combined four points. The Bears are back home where they have lost all four games and the markets have really flipped on them as they were -26.5-point favorites against Texas St. in a loss and have now been underdogs in every game sense. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 outscored by seven or more ppg in the first half, after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. This situation is 84-40 ATS (67.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (187) Iowa St. Cyclones

This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Signature Enforcer. Western Michigan is 2-6 overall including 0-5 on the road going up against a 4-4 Eastern Michigan team that is 4-0 at home and the Broncos are favored. You know where we are going here. The five losses have come against three teams from the ACC, Big Ten and SEC while the two other losses were against Toledo and Ohio, the two best teams in the MAC. The remainer of the schedule is in their favor and Western Michigan has to start here to keep bowl eligibility alive. Eastern Michigan has remained afloat that to an easy schedule. Despite playing one of the worst schedules in the country at No. 143, the Eagles have one of the worst offenses as they are No. 115 or worse in all four stat categories. The four wins have come against one FCS teams and the other three which are a combined 4-20. Sore you can lump the Broncos into there but they have had a different road to where they are and have performed better on both sides despite the huge disparity in competition. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after four or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (149) Western Michigan Broncos

This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Massachusetts has lost 24 straight road games before upsetting New Mexico St. in its season opener but that was a misleading final where it won the turnover battle 3-0. The Minutemen has digressed back to their old ways and have lost seven straight games and will have to wait for next season to go to their first bowl game since 1972. Defensively they have been horrible, allowing the most points in the country and ranking No. 123 in total defense which puts Army in a great spot. The Black Knights have lost four straight games including getting shut out in their last two games but those were against Troy and LSU. While they have not put up the typical gaudy rushing yards, they have still had success and face the second worst rushing defense in the country. With only five losses, a bowl game is still possible and the schedule sets up well the rest of the way with no true road games remaining. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game. This situations is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (124) Army Black Knights

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. This is the get right game for Buffalo as it is coming off three straight poor efforts and was a yard away from suffering three straight losses. The injuries have piled up on the defensive side of the ball and while the Bills allowed Mac Jones to go off, they should be in a better spot at home against Baker Mayfield. Despite the recent struggles, Buffalo is still ranked No. 1 in net EPA and No. 4 in net DVOA and while it has played the No. 25 ranked schedule, Tampa Bay is right in line with that with the No. 23 ranked slate. The offense needs to clean it up as it has committed six turnovers the last three games. Tampa Bay has dropped two straight games while getting outgained by wide margins in both. The Buccaneers have gone just 1-3 at home but they are 2-0 on the road yet that comes with the caveat of winning the turnover margin 6-1. Despite playing the soft schedule as well, the Buccaneers are ranked just No. 15 in net EPA and No. 20 in net DVOA and have been outgained in four of their six games overall. Tampa Bay is 0-7 ATS off a division game and it is 1-9 ATS after one or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons. This game feels a lot like the first situation where Buffalo lost a divisional road game and returned home and blasted the Raiders. 10* (110) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the GOERGIA SOUTHERN PANTHERS for our Thursday Star Attraction. Laying the short price in this rivalry with the home team. Georgia Southern is 5-2 with the two losses coming on the road at Wisconsin and James Madison and while neither game was competitive based on the final score, the Eagles were right there in the stats but the lost the runover battle by a combined 9-0. Turnovers were the difference in this meeting last season as Georgia Southern was -4 to make it three straight losses against the Panthers so revenge will add to the motivation. Georgia St. has won and covered two straight games to improve to 6-1 and that record is certainly playing a part in this number. The Eagles do not have any glaring weakness but they are middle of the road in most every statistical category and this is with playing the No. 109 ranked schedule. They run the ball well and will be facing the No. 39 ranked rushing defense and allowing just 3.7 ypc. Both teams convert 51.5 percent on third down but it is Georgia Southern that has the defensive edge, allowing just 30.8 percent compared to the Eagles that allow 45.4 percent. 10* (114) Georgia Southern Panthers

This is a play on the SAM HOUSTON ST. BEARKATS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Sam Houston St. lost again last week to fall to 0-7 but is has been competitive for the most part in its first season at the FBS level. Three of the last four losses have been by one possession including the loss to Florida International last Wednesday despite outgaining the Panthers 410-331 as double overtime did the Bearkats in. A last second field goal for the Panthers tied the game in regulation so it was just another bad break. Two other losses came against Air Force and Liberty which came into this week a combined 14-0. The offense has really struggled but has improved after a dreadful start while the defense has played good enough to keep a lot of the games close. UTEP is also coming off a loss last Wednesday as it fell to New Mexico St. by 21 points while getting outgained by 135 total yards. The Miners are now 2-6 so one more loss means no bowl game so there will be motivation but the quarterback play remains a big issue. They have been down to their third and fourth stringers the last few games as original starter Gavin Hardison has not seen action since September 23 and he is again questionable. If he does get back on the field, there will have been no rhythm as he has not practiced because of tendonitis in his throwing arm. The defense has not helped the offense as UTEP has not been a takeaway machine as it has forced only five turnovers in seven games. 10* (108) Sam Houston St. Bearkats

This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Western Kentucky is coming off a loss to Jacksonville St. which was its first conference loss to drop to 2-1 and 4-3 overall. Two of the three losses were by a field goal with the third coming against Ohio St. with all of those taking place on the road. The Hilltoppers are still in position to run the table with three of their next four games taking place at home and the two remaining road games are at UTEP and Florida International. This is the first home game in a month as they are off back-to-back road games with a bye sandwiched in-between those. Liberty remained undefeated with a win at Middle Tennessee St. last week and it is already bowl eligible at 7-0. Clearly this is one of the best teams in Conference USA where the Flames are already 5-0 but two of those wins against brand new FBS entrants Sam Houston St. and Jacksonville St. with another coming against 1-4 Florida International. They have been fortunate with takeaways as they have won the turnover battle in five of their seven games and their +9 overall turnover margin is tied for third best in the country. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 23-7 ATS (76.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (104) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our Monday Primetime Dominator. The 49ers lost their first game of the season last week and this is a good bounce back spot and the line says that. The injury report was not on their side with Chrisian McCaffrey leaving the game last week but he is now probable. He sat out the first two days of practice ahead of this week but was able to get on the field Saturday. Despite the loss last week, San Francisco is still ranked No.1 in net EPA and No. 1 in DVOA and catch a good match up. We won with Minnesota last week but it was an ugly win as a fumble return was the difference. They were outgained 275-220 and the Justin Jefferson absence was evident. The schedule has been middle of the road at No. 15 with the two wins coming against two of the four worst teams in DVOA. The Vikings are ranked No. 25 in defensive EPA and overall No. 20 in net EPA. Minnesota has gone 2-8 as underdogs of more than six points under Kirk Cousins. Additionally, Minnesota is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games against trams averaging 130 or more rushing ypg. 10* (473) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. The best thing that could have happened to the Eagles was losing last week as it should have woke them up as they were sleepwalking through the first third of the season and they needed that kick in the ass prior to this matchup. It has been an uneven start for quarterback Jalen Hurts but overall the offense has been solid with a No. 5 ranking in EPA and No. 7 in DVOA and have an excellent matchup this week unlike the one against the Jets last week. The running game has a significant edge. Miami continues to roll as it is 5-1 after erasing a 14-0 deficit against Carolina to win by 21 points but this is not Carolina. The Dolphins fit all the metrics on offense as it is one of the most explosive in recent years as it has scored 31 or more points four times. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is having an MVP caliber season but has not faced much pressure. The five wins have come against teams ranked in the bottom half of the league in pressure rate while the one loss came against the Bills whose 31.1 percent pressure rate is tops in the league. Now the Dolphins face the Eagles which are No. 4 in pressure rate at 29.1 percent. Overall, the Eagles have allowed 20 points or fewer four times as well. Defensively, Miam is not exceptional but has not needed to be as it is ranked No. 23 in EPA and No. 27 in DVOA so the Eagles can keep up. One intangible that can make a difference in margin games if close is special teams with the Eagles being No. 3 in special teams DVOA and Miami checking in at No. 30. 10* (472) Philadelphia Eagles

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Star Attraction. This is not the best spot for the Chargers coming off a short week and playing a team coming off a mini bye but the fact it is a divisional game compensates that. Los Angeles struggled against Dallas with its offense with Justin Herbert missing many throws but he should bounce back here. The Chargers three losses this season have been by three points or less and going back to last season, their last eight losses have been by a touchdown or less. In this series, five of the last six games have been decided by six points or less with the lone exception being a 17-point Chargers win so they have been one team that has matched up well with the Chiefs. Defensively, they are making strides even though they are down in the metrics but they will be facing a Kansas city offense that still is not clicking with the exception of a game against the Bears. The Chiefs are coming off a win over the Broncos to make it five straight victories but only one of those games was against a team with a playoff possibility, the Jaguars, with three of the teams being a combined 4-14 and the other boing the 3-3 Jets. One edge for the Chargers is to slow the game down with its improved running game that is ranked No. 3 in EPA going up against a Chiefs defense ranked No. 19 in rushing EPA. That will dictate a shorter game which again favored the overpriced divisional line. The records may show a 2.5-game difference but these teams are more evenly matched especially with history over the last few years. 10* (467) Los Angeles Chargers

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Month. This is a good bounce back game for Seattle after coming up short in Cincinnati last week following its bye week. We expected Joe Burrow to have a big game which he did not as the Seattle defense held its own and is moving up in the metrics and has an easy matchup at home this week. It was the offense that stumbled against the Bengals as they made four trips into the redzone and came away with only three points. The Bengals utilized their relatively high pressure rate to get to Geno Smith but now he faces the team with the lowest pressure rate in the league. Overall, Seattle has the No. 8 ranked offensive EPA including No. 1 in rushing and should be in line for its biggest game facing the No. 26 ranked EPA against the run. Arizona opened the season with some surprising results as it took Washington to the end, built a massive lead over the Giants before a second half collapse and then defeated the Cowboys but the Cardinals have regressed over their last three games. This is more of the expected norm than to go back to the unexpected early results as this is not a good roster. The Cardinals have played well at home but have struggled on the road on both sides. Offensively, they are averaging only 13.7 ppg as quarterback Joshua Dobbs has had two of his three worst games on the highway and overall has put up passer ratings of 57.6 and 58.5 the last two games. Seattle is banged up in the secondary but that is not an issue here especially knowing it is ranked No. 4 in pass win rate. 10* (464) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. We won with the Browns last week as they handed San Francsico its first loss of the season and that was a big play against the 49ers as much as it was a play on the Browns and its worked out as expected. The outright win was not as expected but that sets up a great spot this week in a play against situation as Cleveland is now overvalued hitting the road against what we feel is still an undervalued team. Deshaun Watson missed last week and he is questionable this week meaning we could see P.J. Walker again and he was pretty bad completing just over 50 percent of his passes for 192 yards and two interceptions. Cleveland has allowed just 1,002 yards through its first five games which is pretty remarkable considering it is the fewest since 1971 so it will not be easy but this is not a sustainable run. The Colts lost in Jacksonville and it was based on mistakes. They outgained the Jaguars 354-233 but were -3 in turnover margin and that sets them up this week for a bounce back as they return home to get back over .500. Quarterback Gardner Minshew threw for 329 yards so he slung it around which we will need to do here to avoid pressure but three interceptions killed him. The Browns remain No. 1 in defensive EPA and DVOA while Indianapolis has an above average offensive EPA of No. 12 and DVOA of No. 14. The Colts defense is middle of the pack and pace a bad Browns offense with or without Watson as they are No. 29 in offensive EPA and No. 27 in DVOA. 10* (456) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. Detroit looks like a team that is going to contend in the NFC and while we lost playing against the Lions last week, we are doing the same this week based on market perception creating value. First and foremost, Baltimore has a better net overall EPA, No. 6 vs. No. 7 while sitting just three spots lower in DVOA which is the more arbitrary of the two metrics. The Lions improved to 5-1 with that win over the Buccaneers but now are playing a second straight road game and one where conditions will be a lot different than last week. That is a big disadvantage and during their four-game winning streak, Detroit has not faced an offense ranked higher than No. 14 in EPA and No. 16 in DVOA and the overall 5-1 record has been aided by playing a schedule ranked No. 28. Baltimore rebounded from its loss at Pittsburgh with a win against Tennessee in London last week and is back home for its first game in a month since the tough loss in overtime against the Colts. The defense has been underrated as the Ravens are No. 5 in overall EPA and No. 2 in overall DVOA with their strength being against the pass which is important here facing Jared Goff and going up against a banged up Lions backfield. Offensively, has been middle of the road and while Lamar Jackson struggles against pressure and blitzing, he faces a Detroit defense that has the third lowest blitz rate in the league. The Lions have a much improved defense but finally see a test after not seeing one in quite some time. 10* (458) Baltimore Ravens

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our Sunday Free Play. The Raiders had one of the most fortunate covers of the season as they got a late safety to win by four points as a three-point favorite and they have now won two straight games to improve to 3-3. Both of those wins were at home with the other win coming in Denver by a point and this team is a few played away from being 1-5 or potentially 0-6. Las Vegas comes in as a favorite once again, this time on the road and it is an overpriced number as the metrics of these teams are not far off. The Raiders are ranked No. 22 or lower in four of the six EPA categories and have an overall net EPA of No. 23. This offense has been dreadful and while facing a poor defense here, they have faced some bad ones along the way already. Chicago is coming off a tough loss against Minnesota despite outgaining the Vikings as the Bears lost the turnover battle 3-1 and dropped to 1-5. The big news is that Justin Fields had to leave the game and will be replaced this week by Tyson Bagent who was put in a bad spot last week. He fumbled on his first drive which led to a touchdown and then threw a late costly interception but was decent in-between. The good news is that he has had a week to practice with the starters so he will be more prepared against an equally bad defense. The Bears have a net EPA of No. 28 which again is not far off from that of the Raiders. Play (454) Chicago Bears

The NFL is off to another phenomenal start and the domination continues this week with a loaded slate! Matt has won in four of six weeks and he is 22-16 in the NFL YTD! Going back he is a POWERFUL 89-63-1 (+$19,940) in the NFL Regular and Postseason since the start of last season! FIVE Sunday Winners!

This is a play on the ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS for our CFB Late Powerhouse. Washington pulled off a big win in one of the better games of the college football season against Oregon as the Ducks handed the Huskies the win with a bad coaching call and then a missed field goal by the Ducks to end it. It was one of the biggest wins in recent memory in Seattle and that showed with the storming of the field making this a great go against spot in a letdown game coupled with laying a huge number this week. The Huskies possess a top five offense but this is a go through the motions type of game while the defense is not very good as Washington is ranked No. 90 in total defense and have allowed 461.7 ypg in three Pac 12 games. Arizona St. has lost five straight games which is playing into this number as well but this is a good spot coming off a bye week as well. The Sun Devils have come to life on offense since head coach Kenny Dillingham took over the offensive play calling and they were coming off their best games of the season with 430 totals yards against California and followed that up with 392 yards against Colorado, both resulting in three-point losses. Another loss came against USC by just 14 points and while they fell to Fresno St. 29-0, eight turnovers will do that. The defense has played well enough at No. 42 in the country to slow the Huskies down a little bit and the new found offense can exploit the weakness of this Washington team. 10* (383) Arizona St. Sun Devils

This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our Pac 12 Game of the Year. USC is coming off a bad loss at Notre Dame last week as the offense could get no consistency going and it did not help that the Trojans committed five turnovers. Quarterback Caleb Williams threw three interceptions after coming into the game with a 22:1 TD/INT ratio so we can chalk that one up that he simply had a bad game. He will have something to prove this week and while he faces another strong defense, it is one that can be exploited through the air. Utah is No. 9 in total defense but that is due to a stout rushing defense as it is No. 45 in passing defense but that is skewed from allowing just 66 yards passing against Weber St. so take that away and they are allowing 240.0 ypg which would drop them all the way down to the low 100s. The Utes are coming off a win over California which was an expected bounce back following their first loss of the season to Oregon St. That was their first dominating win over an FBS opponent as the other three wins have come by an average of nine ppg and two of those were at home where they are nearly unbeatable. This was the possible week that quarterback Cam Rising was going to make his debut but that is looking unlikely as it expected he is going to apply for a medical hardship after he disclosed his knee injury was much worse than just a torn ACL. The passing game has been non-existent and will be unable to take advantage of the weakness of the USC defense. 10* (382) USC Trojans

This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Star Attraction. Michigan is clearly the better team in this matchup but rivalry games can be different and this is one of those with these two hated teams. The Wolverines are coming off another blowout win as they rolled over Indiana last week 52-7 and they have won all seven games by more than what they are laying here. That being said, while Michigan St. falls into that no one category, this one is different. Michigan has played the No. 78 ranked schedule in the country with only Maryland having played an easier schedule of all Big Ten teams so the numbers are a bit skewed but what cannot be denied is this defense is for real. The Wolverines are No. 2 in total defense and No. 1 in scoring defense so it will be a challenge for the Spartans. Michigan St. is 2-4 that includes four straight losses including a tough three-point loss at Rutgers last week. It is pretty simple in that the Spartans have to take care of the ball as in the last three losses, they have given it up 12 times and went -6 in margin in those games. A breakeven turnover margin here is sufficient to keep it close enough to stay within margin which is our concern and not a straight up win but anything is possible. The Spartans have a solid defense of their own as they are No. 36 in the country overall and face what has been an average Michigan offense that is No. 54 in the nation. Slow the game down and the cover is well within reach. 10* (338) Michigan St. Spartans