Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-14-19 | Wild -115 v. Flyers | 4-7 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The Flyers have lost 9 of their L/10 games, and are exhausted after continual hard fought affairs, during that 10 game span and are due for a complete crash which could easily happen tonight. Note: The Flyers have scored a total of 14 goals in their L/9 games. PHILADELPHIA is 5-20 ATS against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp this season. Meanwhile, visiting Minnesota a team that is looking to bounce back from an embarrassing home loss to a rebuilding Detroit team (5-2) that was also 1-9 SU in their L/10 overall and will be out looking for redemption. The Wild didn't show up for that above motioned game, and the media has dumped all over them back in the Land O Lakes for their ugly display, and the Wild will now be more wide awake entering this tilt and ready to play top tier hockey. Pros don't like to be embarrassed and will work hard to save face. Note: Minnesota won both meetings last season vs the Flyers home and away via shutouts. MINNESOTA is 20-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons Play on Minnesota to win on the money line |
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01-14-19 | Monmouth +5 v. Siena | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
Monmouth swept last year's season series vs Siena and match up well vs this Siena group according to my current power rankings. MU has won four straight regular season games over Siena at the Times Union Center and and despite of this being 3rd game in 5 nights, are viable cover dogs in this road spot vs their hosts. Monmouth has covered 2 of their L/3 and have been competitive . Meanwhile, Siena off a rare win last time out have recent history of following up their victories with ATS clunkers as is evident by the following trends: Siena 1-8 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons and is 2-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. SIENA is 1-8 ATS versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.SIENA is 0-8 ATS after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SIENA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 4-27 ATS L5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Monmouth to cover |
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01-14-19 | Syracuse +17 v. Duke | 95-91 | Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
Duke is off an emotional game against Florida State last time out where they scored late to seal a win vs Florida State. That hard fought effort will have them in a letdown spot, vs a grinding Syracuse team that will try to make this a physical event . Im obviously not calling for an upset here, but I am betting on the Orange getting us the cover. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (SYRACUSE) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off a road win against a conference rival are 52-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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01-13-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4 | 113-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
The Trail Blazers have despite of a couple of recent road wins have overall not travelled well this season and own a 8-10 record on the road this season and have struggled against the Nuggets of late and have lost four- straight to Denver dating back to last season. Im betting nothing changes tonight. Denver has won 17 of 20 home games this season and overall 7 of their L/8 H/A and covered 4 of their L/5 and own a 5-0 SU/ATS mark vs division opponents this season. DENVER is 12-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs SU (PORTLAND) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home win by 10 points or more are just 159-518 L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking in at 7.7 ppg. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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01-13-19 | USC v. Oregon -4 | 60-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
The Ducks have revenge on board for a 20-point loss in the semi-finals of the Pac-12 tourney last season, and are desperate for wins as they are just 8-5 on the season, with numerous boosters beginning the cat calls for HC Altmans job after their ugly home loss to Oregon State and than to UCLA last time out. The Ducks need this win badly and should play like their hairs on fire vs a USC side they trail by 3 games. We have revenge and desperation as our allies here in backing Oregon on their own home floor. OREGON is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.OREGON is 11-3 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.Altman is 12-4 ATS after a close loss by 3 points or less as the coach of OREGON ( which was the case vs UCLA last time out 87-84) CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (USC) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 8-32 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Oregon to cover |
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01-13-19 | Memphis v. Tulane +10.5 | 83-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
This line is bloated according to my projections. Tulane has covered 3 straight at home and have not lost on their own home floor by more than 4 points in their L/5 overall, and have the capability to cover here today as DD home dogs. No matter what the public perception here, tor the final results we have an edge here with the pup. Memphis will play its third true road game of the season and is in search of its first win in such contests with losses at LSU (Nov. 13) and Houston (Jan. 6). The Tigers are 1-5 in games played on a road or neutral court this season. Tulane has flaunted what Dunleavy has called his deepest team since his arrival. Ten of the Green Wave's 12 players to see court time this season average at least 11.5 minutes per game. CBB Road favorites of 10 or more points (MEMPHIS) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 6-27 ATS for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (TULANE) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (74-78 PPG), after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games are 30-9 ATS L/23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tulane to cover |
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01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints UNDER 50.5 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 104 h 44 m | Show | |
NFC Divisional Playoffs Alot of pundits were concerned with the way the Eagles defence played this season, but in their L/2 staunch physical efforts they shut out their opponent in their final regular season game , and then allowed a strong Bears team to score just 15 points last weekin their Wild Card affair . Im betting Phillies under rated D stands tall again against, a New Orleans offence that actually struggled quite bit at the end of the season procuring 14 points or less in 3 of their L/5 games. This I expect will see a much lower scoring affair then lines-makers and public are expecting. Note: I know the Saints walloped the Eagles back in November putting 48 pints on the board, but the defending champs learned alot about their opponents offence that day and will be ready for a much better effort in the rematch. NFL Teams that won more than ten games the previous regular season like Philadelphia are 0-27-1 UNDER by an average 9.96 ppg when playing their second straight road game with a combined average of 38.1 ppg scored. Note: PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 UNDER off 2 consecutive road wins with a combined average of 35.5 ppg scored. NFL team against the total (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (18-23 PPG), after allowing 30 points or more last game are 42-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-13-19 | Bucks v. Hawks +10 | 133-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
The Hawks were annihilated by the Bucks when they met last week (144-112), and will now get a chance to avenge that defeat here at home . The Hawks deserve out respect here as they have proven their abilities recently against another top tier team by positing a dramatic 123-121 win over Philadelphia and have confidence heading into this tilt. Meanwhile, Hawks are explosive enough offensively to offer us plenty of value on this line either by being competitive from start to finish or getting us a back door cover. It must also be noted that the Bucks super star Giannis Antekokounmpo, who is experiencing and dealing with hip and quad injuries will Im betting also effect the flow of this Bucks team. MILWAUKEE is 1-11 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a huge upset win as a road underdog of 10 points or more 22-7 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a huge upset win as a road underdog of 10 points or more are 22-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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01-13-19 | Rider v. Niagara OVER 159.5 | 104-84 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
These teams play fast paced hoops. Rider can score efficiently averaging 77 ppg on average but their defence is atrocious allowing 82+ ppg. Meanwhile, Niagara averages 78.3 ppg at home, while allowing 75.9 ppg in slightly elevated action. When these types of teams meet they usually feed off the others energy which Im this afternoon results in a fairly high scoring game that eclipses the total. NIAGARA is 10-2 OVER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combine average of 168.9 ppg scored. NIAGARA is 13-2 OVER when the total is 159.5 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 176.2 ppg scored.NIAGARA is 9-0 OVER in a home game where the total is 160 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combine average of 181. 9 ppg. Home teams against the total (NIAGARA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 75 points or more 4 straight games are 24-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors on the blind with a combined average of 164.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-13-19 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. South Dakota +1.5 | 73-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Purdue Fort Wayne is the Summit League's lone undefeated team in conference action at 4-0 while holding a 12-7 overall record, but all good and bad things must eventually come to an end , Im betting this streak does as well here at South Dakota vs a disciplined we'll coached Coyotes group that is committing just 11.7 turnovers per game which ranks them in the top 50 in the nation in that category. I know the Coyotes have been suffering with injuries, and are a sub .500 team, but considering how well guys like sophomore Stanley Umude has played averaging 19 points and 7.4 rebounds per game over his last five games this team looks better than most might anticipate. South Dakota has won the L/4 meetings in this series and gets the nod again here on their own home court. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (IUPU-FT WAYNE) - poor defensive team - allowing 77+ points/game on the season, after scoring 85 points or more 3 straight games are 6-26 SU/ATS L/5 seasons . Play on South Dakota to cover |
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01-13-19 | Raptors v. Wizards +6.5 | 140-138 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
No John Wall in the lineup no problem as Otto Porter Jr. has upped his game and really looks like the real deal, making the Wizards a under rated team, especially with Bradley Beal playing lights out some of the best hoops of career . With that said, Im betting on the Wizards 6-1 ATS L/7 to come out here looking to make a statement vs a talented Toronto team that they they have double revenge against vs two losses suffered earlier this season. With Toronto looking ahead to a matchup with Boston up next and not fully focused on a team that they have owned , I expect the Wizards to surprise the visitors here and more importantly get us the cover. Brooks is 44-26 ATS as a home underdog in all games he has coached since 1996. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 55-101 L/5 seasons for go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington Wizards to cover |
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01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots -4 | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
AFC Divisional Playoffs NE super star future HOF QB Brady is 19-3 SU at home in the playoffs, including 11-1 SU and Divisional Round tilts, and Im betting he gets another win here vs the Chargers here this Sunday afternoon in Fox-borough. He has also won all 7 meetings SU vs Rivers, and must not be underestimated despite of the aging process in his ability to lead his team to a convincing victory here again at home and get us the cover. Note: Brady is 10-0-1 ATS in playoff victories when not favored by more than 6 points. NEW ENGLAND is 15-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. NEW ENGLAND is 11-1 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better over the last 3 seasons NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (LA CHARGERS) - off 2 consecutive road wins, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 5-26 L/35 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. New England to cover |
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01-13-19 | Marist v. St. Peter's OVER 126 | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that this total should be closer 131, thus giving us value on this line. Marist has gone over in 3 straight games, and have upped their pace from earlier in the season. Today vs a methodical St.Peters team Im betting they continue to speed things up, which will force their opponent into a opening up a bit themselves. This Im betting results in a combined score that eclipses this beatable total. MARIST is 12-3 OVER after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (MARIST) - off a home loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a struggling team (20-40%) are 30-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-12-19 | Hornets v. Kings -5 | 97-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Sacramento enters this game as one of the most explosive teams in the NBA and are averaging 13.1 seconds per possession - a pace that ranked second in the league after Thursday night's games. The Kings also were leading the NBA in fast-break points at 22.6 per game. That type of system matches up well visiting Charlotte a side that is struggling mightily having lost four of five games and seven of 10 and were smashed by DDs in their last trip to the floor. Note: CHARLOTTE is 0-8 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 2-26 L/5 seasons for a 93% go against conversion rate with the average point diff clicking in at 11.9 ppg. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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01-12-19 | Bulls v. Jazz UNDER 207.5 | 102-110 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
The Bulls are exhausted as they play their 3rd road game in 4 days, and must now deal with the thin air and altitude in Salt Lake City . The Bulls have had to deal with some explosive offensive teams of late, and have gotten out of a defence first system that has been implemented since Hoiberg was fired, and today on tired legs will have to revert back to being more conservative, which I'm betting results in a fairly low scoring affair. Note: Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive overs against opponent after 1 or more consecutive unders are 39-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-12-19 | Cal-Irvine -2 v. CS-Fullerton | 63-46 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
The Anteaters come into here to Fullerton looking to get revenge for a s 71-55 beatdown in the Big West tourney title game last season , a defeat that hurt a great deal because the Titans got to playing the NCAA tournament. Tonight Im betting Cal Irvine get their revenge behind a 5 returning starters that have already earned a 12-4 record on the season and up trending in power rankings. Note: The Anteaters a re 5-1 -1 ATS L/6 here in this series and have cashed 3 straight SU/ATS with. a.500 or better record in conference revenge while on the road. Play on Cal Irvine to cover |
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01-12-19 | Wichita State +11.5 v. Houston | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show | |
Houston had their undefeated season come to a screeching halt at Temple last time out and now in a letdown situation will come home and go against a rebuilding Wichita State program with a top tier coach at the helm in Gregg Marshall who would like nothing more than to get revenge for a loss in last seasons AAC tourney. With that said, the Shockers are 8-0-1 ATS as dogs of more than 9 points under head coach Gregg Marshall and even though they are on a 3 game losing streak won't be be easily intimidated here , not even against a quality Cougar team. Play on Wichita State to cover |
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01-12-19 | LSU v. Arkansas -1 | 94-88 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
LSU has come a long way in a short period of time and are now ranked as the AP’s preseason No. 23 team and despite a 11-3 record and 4-0 SU run Im betting will have their hands full with Arkansas here on the road. Its never easy to grab victories in the SEC in on the road, and the Tigers just don't have a record of success when traveling vs conference opposition as is evident by going just 3-19 SU in its last 22 SEC away games, which includes losing 7 straight as visitors. Add to that the Hogs have revenge on board for 2 losses in this series last season and you have a home team that will be hungry to take down the visitor here. It must be noted that the last seven times the Razorbacks have hosted the Bayou Bengals here Bud Walton Arena with revenge they have cashed 7 straight times ATS. LSU is 4-13 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. ARKANSAS is 7-0 ATS after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less over the last 2 seasons.Anderson is 14-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick in all games he has coached since 1997 CBB home team (ARKANSAS) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 39% or less on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 83-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Arkansas to cover |
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01-12-19 | Tennessee v. Florida +3.5 | 78-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
This is not a good matchup on paper but I expect Florida's physicality and defence to help them stand tall here and get us the cover vs a top tier Tennessee program. KenPom has the Gators’ defense ranked ninth nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Gators are also ninth in Division I ball with only 60.7 points allowed per contest and have covered 3 straight at home. CBB favorite (TENNESSEE) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 7-36 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Florida to cover |
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01-12-19 | Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs | 13-31 | Loss | -105 | 79 h 58 m | Show | |
The Colts enter this game extremely underrated according to my matchup stats and power rankings, and this is evident by winning the stats battles 13 of their L/14 games overall. However, the books are playing to public sentiment knowing how much the public loves the Chiefs and their style of play, and have posted a over valued line on the board that favours the Colts in my humble opinion. It must be noted that the Chiefs did not play all that well down the stretch covering only once in their L/5 overall and have a history of ugly play off performances losing 8 straight ATS at home including 6 straight SU here at Arrowhead. With the Colts Andrew Luck 2-0 SU at Arrowhead in his career is every bit as good as Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes and more experienced ,I expect a Colts team that is 7-1 SU/ATS here in this venue to have an edge getting points . INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 2-13 ATS in playoff games since 1992. NFL team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - good team (outgain opp. by 40-100 YPG) against an average team (+/- 40 YPG) after 8+ games, after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 43-6 SU L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indianapolis to cover |
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01-12-19 | Texas Tech v. Texas +1 | 68-62 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
Texas Tech behind a potent D continues to pile up the wins and are now 14-1 SU on the season with their only loss to powerful Duke. However, from a bettors perspective not all is good with the Techies as they are a bankroll depleting 2-13 ATS L/15 when favored and are just 2-6 ATS L/8 on the road when laying points and overall are on a 1-7-1 ATS run. Texas at 10-5 may have not shown the same potency as their instate rivals, but Im betting they muster up a big effort here this Saturday afternoon vs an opponent that has not won in Austin in 23 years, 0-22 SU. TEXAS is 27-13 ATS L/40 in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games and s 16-5 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick. CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEXAS) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG), after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games are 91-48 ATS L/23 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Texas to cover |
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01-12-19 | Duke v. Florida State +8 | 80-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Duke is a behemoth opponent and obviously the best in the country. However, because of this they have a huge target on their backs and must almost always play full out because of this. Thus they are not always as fresh as thye need to be because of their strength of schedules and are vulnerable to being upended by a very talented team like the Florida State Seminoles especially here on the road. Duke, will be playing in just its second true road game of the season in a very unfriendly environment. FSU is 13-2, ranked 13th nationally and last year made a run to the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight – the same round in which Duke finished.The Seminoles went toe-to-toe with the Blue Devils in a 100-93 loss in Durham, N.C., last season, and blew Duke out, 93-78, when the two last met in Tallahassee in 2017 and wont be intimidated here in front of a boisterous crowd. Take the points. Florida State is 3-0 ATS L/3 in this series and 5-0 ATS in the 2nd off back and back home vs opposition off a SU win. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DUKE) - off a road blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or more) are 15-43 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Florida State to cover |
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01-12-19 | Illinois State v. Loyola-Chicago -8.5 | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Over the its last three games at Gentile Arena, Loyola's offense has fired on all cylinders,registering an average of 78.0 points per game, while hitting 61.5 percent (88-for-143) of its field goal attempts and 46.4 percent (26-for-56) of its three-point tries. This is where thye play their best hoops, and after their ugly clunker against Evansville last time out Im expecting a spirited effort vs Illinois State today and a cover. Note: In its last two meetings with Illinois State, Loyola has held the Redbirds to 55.0 ppg, 36.4 percent (44-for-121) from the field, and 30.9 percent (17-for-55) from long range. LOYOLA-IL is 17-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 10 ppg. Play on Loyola Chicago to cover |
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01-12-19 | Kansas State +10 v. Iowa State | 58-57 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
The Wildcats are coming off their most encouraging victory in weeks, a 72-71 win over West Virginia that featured the largest comeback (21 points) in school history and today here in Hilton buoyed by that confidence building win will be very competitive. Meanwhile, Iowa State after a big win vs Kansas last week came out with a clunker in Baylor in their followup and lost straight up, and despite of now being recharged wont find it easy sledding here today. IOWA ST is 0-6 ATS L/6 versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS ST is 20-9 ATS in road games after playing a game as favorite over the last 3 seasons. Kansas State to cover |
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01-12-19 | Virginia v. Clemson +7 | 63-43 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
Im going to brave here this week and take the points with Clemson.The Tigers lost to the No. 1 Duke Blue Devils in Durham, 87-68. They committed a lot of turnovers in that game, but are more than capable of hanging tough here with their ability to be physical under the glass. They were only rebounded, by Duke by a 40-36. Clemson is averaging 35.8 rebounds per game, while the Cavs snatch 34.7 per tilt. That Im betting will be huge for them here vs a Cavs side that lives in and dies in transition. When thye teams met in the play offs lat season on a neutral court Clemson lost 64-58 and when thye met in Clemson the season before Virginia eked out a 77-74 win and today Im betting the Tigers get us the cover . Clemson is 2-0 ATS in its last two home games. Play on Clemson to cover |
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01-12-19 | Kent State +2.5 v. Eastern Michigan | 61-95 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
The last meeting in this series saw, the Flashes drop a 71-67 decision at home against the Eagles and they now have revenge on board. The Golden Flashes own a balanced lineup of scoring with five players scoring in double-figures and have won 20 of the last 23 games and are not easy outs for any team , and get the nod here getting points. KENT ST is 60-35 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games since 1997 E MICHIGAN is 17-37 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better since 1997. HC Murphy is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better) as the coach of E MICHIGAN. is 2-9 ATS in all games this season. Play on Kent State to cover |
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01-11-19 | Panthers v. Flames -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
The Panthers who are currently on a 4 game losing streak and have not performed well vs above .500 teams, going 0-6 L/6 are fade material here tonight as they are also exhausted as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights vs a strong opponent in Calgary that has won 9 of their L/13 home games. Whats also interesting is that Calgary's practice on Thursday was extremely intense as head coach Bill Peters let it be known he wasn't impressed with his club's three-game winning streak and 6-1-1 run. He wants more from his team, and is expecting here tonight in a 100% effort. Making me feel comfortable with taking them on the value puckline here. Road underdogs of +200 or higher against the money line (FLORIDA) - after allowing 4 goals or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games are 0-25 L/25 SU but have lost by an average of 2.2 goals per game which makes this a viable wager on the value puckline. Play on the Calgary Flames to cover -1.5 puckline |
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01-11-19 | Mavs +5 v. Wolves | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
Dallas and Minnesota have played their L/3 meetings very closely with average point differential of 3.3 ppg deciding these games. My projections once again estimate a closely contested affair with road dog flashing a value on the line. DALLAS is 33-20 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 32-16 ATS ( versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 3-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a losing record are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover |
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01-11-19 | Cavs v. Rockets OVER 216 | 113-141 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
The Houston Rockets had a huge 10 game winning streak snapped last time out vs the Milwaukee Bucks, but are still in top tier form, and hitting on all cylinders behind their star James Harden who is averaging 39.5 points per game, during a current 15-game span. Tonight I expect the Rockets to come out looking to bounce back and merciless fashion , and get revenge for a loss in their previous meeting with Cleveland by a 117-108 on Nov. 24. There will be no mercy rule implemented by the Rockets vs a Cavs team that ranks dead last in the league in efficiency, allowing 116.9 points per 100 possessions. The Cavs will have to muster up some offensive fireworks of their own vs the 26th ranked Defensive efficiency of the Rockets or be blown off the court in a game that I expect will surpass this number with ease. My projections estimate that the Rockets will score north of 116 here this evening, which is a very good omen for our chances, as the Rockets are 18-0 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 239.1 ppg scored. Over is 4-0-1 in Cavaliers last 5 overall.Over is 8-2 in Rockets last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.The Cavaliers are 15-4 OVER on the road with rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent taking more than 30 percent of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 226.4 ppg scored.The Rockets are 26-6 OVER as a favorite with less than two days rest after a loss in which they led by double digits with a combined average of 222 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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01-11-19 | Wright State +6 v. Northern Kentucky | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
This game pairs last year’s regular-season champion in the Horizon League (NKU) vs. the conference tournament champion Raiders, who were also the preseason favorite in this year’s coaches poll. NKU was second.NKU comes in 13-4 overall and 3-1 in Horizon League play, and WSU is 8-9, 2-2. It is a key early game for positioning in the league and Im betting it will be closely contested despite of what is a divergence in records but not head to head talent. In. physical game look for Loudon Love, a diverse skilled and bulky 6-foot-9, 280-pound sophomore center and a preseason first team all-Horizon selection, to key to Wright State covering here tonight. line according to my projections is off by almost 4 points. True line value here sits at -2.5 favouring Northern Kentucky which suggests according to my data a one possession game. WRIGHT ST is 6-0 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and is s 7-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. N KENTUCKY is 4-13 ATS L/17 in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (WRIGHT ST) - off a road win by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 77-34 ATS L/22 SEASONS FOR A 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Wright State to cover |
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01-10-19 | Pistons v. Kings OVER 224 | 102-112 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Detroit enters this game playing horrendous defence, allowing an average of 113 ppg in their L/7 trips to the hardwood. Tonight against a run and gun opponent in Sacramento Im betting their going to get torched again, and will have no choice but to offer up some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court. This Im betting leads to a high scoring affair that eclipses this number. Note: The Kings have allowed an average of 116 ppg against this season ranking them 28th in the league, and scored an average of 115 ppg ranking 5th in the league with 13 of their 21 home games going over the set total. The Kings are also 2nd in pace in the league. The Pistons are 16-0-2 OVER L18 as a dog off a game as a dog facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game. The Kings are 19-4 OU L/23 facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game and it is before the All-Star break with a combined average of 237.7 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half 31-8 OVER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 236.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play OVER |
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01-10-19 | Penn State +10.5 v. Nebraska | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Penn State is better than their 7-8 overall record would indicate and were competitive in their loss at No. 2 Michigan, and should have beaten Indiana and probably could have upended Maryland in College Park if it were not for a combination of bad calls and some nasty choking. The Lions are talented but in cohesive offensively at time, but are more than capable upending any team in this conference and here tonight as DD pups get my support vs Nebraska side that has lost their first two conference games this season. PENN ST is 8-1 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.PENN ST is 12-4 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. PENN ST is 8-0 ATS after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 seasons and 9-1 ATS after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons and is 6-0 ATS after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 season.Chambers is 11-2 ATS after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of PENN ST. Play on Penn State to cover |
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01-10-19 | Rice +9 v. Texas-San Antonio | 79-95 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Owls have won two straight after defeating Louisiana Tech, 78-66, on Saturday and have momentum entering this game vs UTSA . Rice is connecting on 43.8% from the field and 34.0% from three and has the ability to compete vs a side that has won 8 of their L/10 games overall. RICE is 8-1 ATS after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.TX-SAN ANTONIO is 0-6 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Rice to cover |
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01-10-19 | Celtics -2 v. Heat | 99-115 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
The Celtics have won 4 straight games after pummelling the Indiana Pacers last night by a 135-108 count and enter this game vs Miami in top form . It must be noted that the Celtics are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win and 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Meanwhile, the Heat have lost back-to-back games after and are suddenly struggling on offence and have averaged 90.5 ppg in this tilts and should have problems scoring again vs a strong Celtics D. BOSTON is 14-2 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Celtics are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Miami. The Celtics are 14-0-1 ATS /15-0 SU L/15 as a favorite when they are off two games in which they had twice as many assists as turovers.The Heat are 0-11 ATS/SU L/11 when the line is within 3 of pick after playing as a home favorite when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. Play on Boston to cover |
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01-10-19 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 212 | 99-115 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
The Celtics exploded for 135 points last night in a win vs the Indiana Pacers, and no I expect a reversion to the norm from a scoring output perspective , as they will be on tired legs after running gunning last night. I expect the Celtics to revert back to their usual conservative transitory system which has resulted in the 3rd best points per game defence in the league .Im also betting they stand tall, behind a fairly methodical 19th ranked pace. Meanwhile, Miami a defence first team with aggressive physical traits, owns the 6th best defensive points per game ranking behind a 22nd ranked pace and 25th ranked offense and should easily help contribute to a methodical clock burning snooze fest. MIAMI is 13-4 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons has seen a combine average of 203.9 ppg scored. The Heat are 0-11 UNDER L/11 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers with a combined average of 178.2 ppg scored with no game exceeding 195 points. The Celtics are 0-13 UNDER as a road favorite off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the combined average score clicking in at 185.4 ppg with no game exceeding 203 points. Play UNDER |
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01-10-19 | Islanders -123 v. Rangers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
The Isles had a five game win streak vs the Rangers abruptly ended at MSG by a 5-0 count back in late November and will have revenge on board here tonight. These teams are currently playing at the opposite ends of the proverbial performance spectrum . The Rangers have lost 4 straight allowing 22 goals in those tilts and have only been able to muster 7 goals in their L/5 games overall, while the Isles have won 5 of their L/6 and 9 of their L/11 . Im betting on Stanley Cup winning coach Barry Trotz to have the Isles ready to reap revenge here. NHL favorite against the money line (NY ISLANDERS) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more, off a loss against a division rival are 43-8 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Islanders on the moneyline |
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01-10-19 | Old Dominion v. Florida Atlantic OVER 124 | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
After watching this get bet down from 128 Im betting we have alot of value here according to 133 total combined point projections. FLA ATLANTIC is 7-0 OVER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150 ppg scored OLD DOMINION is 6-0 OVER in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 158.9 ppg and is 13-3 OVER in road games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 140.1 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (FLA ATLANTIC) - poor shooting team - shooting 42% or less on the season, after 2 straight games making 37% of their shots or worse are 54-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-09-19 | San Jose State v. Nevada OVER 142.5 | 53-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate that these teams will combined for 146+ points here tonight thus giving value on this totals line. It must be noted Nevada got steamrolled by New Mexico 85-58 last time out, and will be very ready here to get back some lost respect and with that I expect they will mercilessly come at San Jose State and just keep pouring the points down, which will result in a much faster paced higher scoring game than the lines makers expect. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NEVADA) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games are 24-4 OVER with a combined average of 154.3 ppg scored. CBBRoad teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SAN JOSE ST) - after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 29-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-09-19 | Bulls +9.5 v. Blazers | 112-124 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
The Trailblazers have proven themselves to be highly inconsistent this season despite of some flashes of brilliance and are just are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win which was the case vs NYK last time out. With this being the Blazers 4th game in 6 days Im expecting a energy saving effort here tonight against a young Bulls side that Im sure their over looking. I know the Bulls have lost 4 straight but they have proven their competitive ability recently against top tier teams like Indiana and Toronto losing hard fought closely contested affairs by 3 and 6 points respectively, and have the ability to keep this game close as well and get us the cover via a physical defence that is improving significantly of late as is evident by holding 5 of their L/9 opponents under 96 points or less. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.The Trailblazers are 0-12 ATS and 3-9 SU off a game as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points ad all 3 wins came by 4 points or less.The Bulls are 14-1-1 ATS L/16 off a 10+ loss in a home game when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent and they won 10 of those games SU with only 1 loss coming by more than 9 points. CHICAGO is 21-8 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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01-09-19 | Magic +8.5 v. Jazz | 93-106 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
The Jazz come home off a 4 game road trip on tired and legs and in an emotional letdown spot after playing the Milwaukee Bucks last time out and losing 114-102. That after putting up a solid fight for the first 3 quarters before being out scored 30-16 in the final period. Meanwhile, Orlando will be ready to compete in desperation mode after 3 straight ugly road losses. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 34-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Magic are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 The Magic are 15-0 ATS L/15 as a road 8+ dog with less than two days rest after playing as a road dog when they are off two games in which they allowed 100+ points and it is before the All-Star break. The Magic are 8-0 ATS as a road 8+ dog after playing as a road dog facing an opponent taking more than 30 percent of their shots from beyond the arc with non of the 6 SU losses coming by more than 7 points. The Jazz are 0-8-1 ATS at home with rest off a 10+ loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game and lost 7 of those games SU. Play on Orlando to cover |
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01-09-19 | Suns +10.5 v. Mavs | 94-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
This line according to my numbers is bloated considering the Dallas Mavs current form that has seen them lose three straight and 11 of 14 and are banged up with their star guard Luka Doncic dealing with a nagging back issue. That is not a good omen for the home team playing their 6th game in 10 nights and having struggled against Phoenix in the recent past going just 0-5 against Suns while scoring an average of just 93 points a game .DALLAS is 7-17 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.DALLAS is 8-18 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Phoenix Suns to cover ( LATE STEAM) |
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01-09-19 | Hawks v. Nets UNDER 227.5 | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Brooklyn a team that ranks in the bottom half of the league in ppg scored and pace at 22nd, enters this game on tired legs and will be in no shape to run and gun here tonight even though they go against a Atlanta team with the fastest pace and worst ppg allowed in the league. Note: BROOKLYN in 12 games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season have seen a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored. Because of the Nets fatigue factor Im betting this total is a on the high side and we have value with an under wager here. The Hawks are 0-17 UNDER L/17 as a road 8+ dog with no rest after they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 185.9 ppg with the highest scoring game seeing 217 points go on the board. The Nets are 0-8 UNDER L/8 as a 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ loss when they won 2 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 174 ppg with all the games seeing at least one side stay under the 99 point output plateau. ATLANTA is 13-2 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. Under is 6-0 in Hawks last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 10-2 in Hawks last 12 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 7-3 in Hawks last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 36-16 in Hawks last 52 games following a ATS win.Under is 13-6 in Hawks last 19 Wednesday games. Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Brooklyn.Under is 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-09-19 | 76ers v. Wizards +4 | 106-123 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
The 76ers smashed the visiting Wizards 132-115 on Tuesday night and now the Wizards have revenge on board.Washington has won four of its past five at home and are playing their best ball there despite of being without star John Wall.Tonight Im betting they make life difficult for the 76ers and get us the cover. PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. The 76ers are 0-18 ATS and 1-17 SU L/18 when the line is within 3 of pick on the opening line off a win as a favorite when they are facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds. The one victory for the 76ers came by just 2 points. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 55-100 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Washington Wizards to cover |
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01-09-19 | West Virginia v. Kansas State -4 | 69-71 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Kansas State has revenge on board for two ugly losses to West Virginia last season by 12 points at Manhattan and 38 in the rematch at Morgantown. The Wildcats lost last week at home to Texas in their home opener, but will be very prepared to revenge those above mentioned losses making them a good team to back here. It must also be noted that Huggins is 8-82-1 ATS in SU conference losses against vs opponents looking for revenge .Weber is 20-10 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick as the coach of KANSAS ST. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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01-09-19 | Houston -1 v. Temple | 69-73 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Houston, which has won its first 15 games to open the season and is one of only three undefeated teams remaining in the nation, enters Wednesday's game on the heels of a 90-77 win over Memphis on Sunday inside the Fertitta Center.The Cougars are in top 10 nationally in multiple defensive categories, including opponents' field goal percentage (36.2, second), opponents' 3-point field goal percentage (26.4, fifth), and scoring defense (59.2 points per game, seventh).Houston is playing its first road game since Dec. 8, a 10-point victory at Oklahoma State. This version of the Houston hoops program Im betting is a special group, and will be as dangerous on the road as they are at home.Temple and Houston are meeting for the ninth time, with the Cougars holding a 6-2 lead in the series. Houston swept the Owls last season, including an 80-59 victory in Philadelphia and get the nod again. HOUSTON is 9-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.Sampson is 18-4 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins as the coach of HOUSTON. Play on Houston to cover Play on Houston to cover |
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01-09-19 | Vanderbilt +2 v. Georgia | 63-82 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt according to my power rankings matches up well here in this SEC tilt, and while its never easy winning on the road in this conference very much have an edge and upset possibilities attached to them vs a Georgia team that was annihilated vs Tennessee last time out by a 96-50 count as 13.5 point dogs. It must be noted that Georgia's HC Crean is 0-7 ATS L/7 after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half in all games he has coached which was the case last time out. Hey folks I know this is a young Vanderbilt group, but they have a kid by the name of Shittu who was named the conference's Freshman of the Week who balances a team with alot of chemistry. Nine Commodores have scored in double figures in a game so far this season and Vanderbilt's average height is (6 feet, 5 inches) and ranks 17th nationally according to KenPom. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
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01-08-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech -6 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Oklahoma are off a hard fought win vs instate rivals Oklahoma State last time out and will now be in a letdown situation against a strong Texas Tech side, that has just one loss this season and that was to Duke in a game that they were very competitive. Texas Tech is a perfect 9-0 this season at home , but just 3-6 ATS thanks to bloated public trap lines associated with their top tier play. But today at around 6 points we have enough value to believe that the RedRaiders have a number that they can cover against. The Red Raiders and Sooners have split the last three seasons with the home team winning the last six matchups (rinse and repeat option is on board here). Difference maker: Texas Tech’s defense is operating at an all time optimal historic level. It has an adjusted defensive efficiency of 83.5, which includes an astronomical field goal defense. Teams are averaging less 1 point per possession and only one opponent has surpassed 0.9 PPP. OKLAHOMA is 2-9 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA is 0-7 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons and is is 0-6 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS TECH is 16-7 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS TECH is 17-4 ATS in home games after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread . CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TEXAS TECH) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or better ) are 83-43 ATS L/L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
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01-08-19 | Purdue +7.5 v. Michigan State | 59-77 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Purdue's Carsen Edwards, who is leading the Big Ten in scoring at 25.5 points per game comes to town looking to help his Boilermakers upset Big 10 power house Michigan State tonight, and whether Purdue turns the trick or not Im betting there is value on this line with the visiting underdog. Note: MICHIGAN ST is 4-14 ATS L/18 off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons. We all know physical Michigan State is , and how tough they are under the glass, and Purdue can't match that, but the Spartans have a tendency to run and gun with reckless abandon, and the Boilermakers are a team that can make them pay in transition. PURDUE is 10-2 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons. injury update: Michigan State is going to play a third straight games without junior guard Joshua Langford due to an ankle injury . He is a big part of the Spartans' top tier junior class, as he averages 15 points per game and will be missed against this type of opponent. PURDUE is 9-2 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons. Play on Purdue to cover |
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01-08-19 | Wolves v. Thunder -8 | 119-117 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
The Thunder have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Wolves earlier this season just before Christmas here in Oklahoma City, and are also off an embarrassing home loss to Washington last time out and will want to bounce back in a way to get back some lost respect. Note: NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite are 36-5 L/5 seasons and a perfect 4-0 this season. The Thunder are 9-1 SU with same season revenge for a loss vs the Wolves and a perfect 6-0 SUATS when they have a win percentage of .450 or better. The Thunder are 18-0 ATS /SU as a home 8+ favorite off a game as a favorite after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses and it is before the All-Star break with every win coming by DDs. The Timberwolves are 0-12-1 ATS 0-13 SU as a 8+ dog off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 12 offensive rebounds. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-08-19 | Devils +120 v. Sabres | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Sabres are slumping having lost 4 of their L/5 and may have to endure this game vs the NJ Devils without their injured captainJack Eichel . If he does play he is expected to be less than 100% and see limited ice time, which automatically puts the Sabres at a disadvantage. With that said, Im betting on the Devils getting the win on the moneyline behind expected starting goalie KinKaid who has won all three career starts against the Sabres while stopping 80 of 83 shots. Sabres are 22-46 in their last 68 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Sabres are 5-14 in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Sabres are 12-39 in their last 51 vs. Metropolitan. Devils are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Buffalo.Devils are 10-2 in the last 12 meetings. NJ Devils to win on the moneyline |
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01-08-19 | Iowa State v. Baylor +3 | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Iowa State is off a huge win vs Kansas last time out, and will now be in a letdown situation here at Baylor tonight. Iowa State is not a very physical team,which will be an issue in a bad matchup for them here.Quote:Prohm said the Bears "bring a lot of challenges with their physicality and their size upfront, tremendous rebounding team, that's going to be a huge key to the game."END QUOTE. With that said, Im betting Baylor a side that is holding opponents to 39.6 percent from the field, including 32 percent from 3-point range behind a 4 guard scheme and a complimentary bevy of big men will give the Cyclones fits here . IOWA ST is 5-17 ATS L/22 as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick. Baylor is 12-2 SU L/14 overall in this series and 2-0 SU L/2 here at home vs Iowa St. Play on Baylor to cover |
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01-08-19 | Brown v. Canisius -1.5 | 97-90 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
After setting a school record with 15 MAAC wins a season ago, this year's Griffs kept the winning ways going in conference play last weekend with road wins at Marist and Siena. tonight Im betting the Griffs close out their non conference schedule with another win vs Brown tonight . Note:CANISIUS is 12-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons and is 13-4 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Canisius to cover |
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01-08-19 | Toledo +10 v. Buffalo | 80-110 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
My matchup stats tell me these teams are pretty evenly matched MAC opponents and Im betting we have value on this line with a underdog that had won 10 straight times prior to a loss vs Ball State last time out and that has revenge on board for a loss they suffered last season to Buffalo that kept them out of post season play. Toldeo has experience with 4 of their 7 top guys back from last year, and must not be underestimated to keep this game close and maybe..... just maybe pull off an upset. CBB underdog (TOLEDO) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 112-61 ATS L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Toledo to cover |
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01-07-19 | Lakers v. Mavs -7.5 | 107-97 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
The Lakers like other teams Super Star LeBron James has been on in the recent past get used to him controlling their games, and when their super star quarter back is out, those teams tank. James has missed 21 games over the last few seasons , and when he's out they have proven to be bad bets going 3-18 SUATS . The Lakers proved this correct when they got completely steam rolled by Minnesota yesterday afternoon in a road game. Now on tired legs they go against a Dallas team that plays their best hoops at home, as is evident by a 15-3 record as hosts that has seen them win 13 of their last 14 here at American Airlines Center. With the Cavs having revenge on board for a DD loss the last time these teams played back in LA 114-103 on Nov 30 they look like solid bets as single digit home favs. Note:DALLAS is 8-1 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season and from a league wide trend NBA teams favs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses , are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% Conversion rate for bettors.Dallas is also 9-1 SU /8-2 ATS L/10 as a host in this series. The Lakers are 0-11-1 ATS/ 0-12 SU off a loss as a dog when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road and it is before the All-Star break with the average margin of fefeat coming by 16.3 ppg. LA LAKERS are 5-15 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season.DALLAS is 12-4 ATS in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. Play on Dallas to cover |
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01-07-19 | Nuggets v. Rockets -1 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
Houston had a six-game winning streak come to an abrupt end this past Saturday as they lost for just the second time in 11 tilts last time out vs Portland. Meanwhile, Denver is off a DD 123-110 victory at home at the Pepsi Center last time out, vs Charlotte. Note: DENVER is 9-19 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons and is 2-10 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more this season and is 7-20 ATS after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is also 8-18 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons and are at a disadvantage vs a Houston team that plays their best ball at home as is evident by a 13-5 and 12-6 record as hosts. The Rockets took out the Nuggets with a 109-99 win at Denver on Nov. 13 that extended Houston's winning streak in the series to eight straight. Im betting on it being 9 after tonight. The Rockets are 12-0 ATS SU/ATS as a favorite off a road game in which their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before and it is before the All-Star break and are 12-0 SU/ATS facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DENVER) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 44-216 L/22 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson OVER 59 | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 134 h 37 m | Show | |
NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Levi's Stadium - Santa Clara, CA Alabama and Clemson can score against the best of defences, behind two of college football best QBs, Trevor Lawrence of the Tigers and the Crimson Tides Tua Tagovailoa. Yes, both these football teams have top tier defences, but unlike last season Alabama's 24-6 victory vs the Tigers in the play offs last season, this time around Im betting the points will come fast and furious between these two behemoth opponents. ***( Field conditions are expected to be good here in Santa Clara with all new turf in place) Clemson has averaged 44.3 ppg on offence this season while Alabama has averaged 47.7 ppg. ALABAMA is 7-0 OVER when the total is between 56.5 and 63 this season with a. combined average of 70.7 ppg scored. HC Swinney in his L/19 road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better as the coach of CLEMSON has seen a combined average of 64.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 129 h 34 m | Show | |
NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Levi's Stadium - Santa Clara, CA Alabama has gone 14-0 SU against the nation's No. 23 schedule while Clemson' is 14-0 record has come against the nation's No. 32-ranked schedule Alabama has won 16 straight tilts while Clemson has won 14 in-a-row. According to my data, and power rankings these teams are evenly matched from an overall perspective and Im betting the points will be golden here in the National Championship game. ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS in road games versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 230 rushing or more yards/game over the last 2 seasons. CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.Swinney is 11-1 ATS in road games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season as the coach of CLEMSON. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CLEMSON) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 38-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Clemson to cover |
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01-07-19 | Wild +111 v. Canadiens | 1-0 | Win | 111 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Wild are getting back to playing a more stable brand of hockey and bring momentum into this road game against Montreal Canadiens on Monday night. The Wild have notched three victories in their last four tilts overall , including the first two of a four-game road trip, and have a history of owning the Habs in the recent past as they have won 8 straight meetings in this series.The Wild have outscored Montreal 23-5 in their last four meetings . Meanwhile, Les Canadiens , are off a loss to Nashville last time out 4-1, and despite of wanting to bounce back, will not find the Wild so accommodating. Note:. Montreal G Carey Price is just 4-6-0 with a 3.14 goals against average and .887 save percentage in his career against the Wild and is fade material again tonight according to my power chart ratings. Canadiens are 16-35 in their last 51 vs. Central. Wild are 29-11 in their last 40 vs. Atlantic. Play on the Minnesota Wild to win on the moneyline |
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01-07-19 | Nets v. Celtics OVER 218.5 | 95-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
These teams are both trending upward on a points per game chart that I am currently using. Everything points to this being a higher scoring affairs than the lines makers are anticipating. Yes, they are lower paced teams, but their offensive efficiency and point conversion rates are above normal. Im projecting Brooklyn scores 105 + points while Bostons score 114 + points. BROOKLYN is 19-3 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 237.5 ppg scored. BOSTON is 16-0 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 231.6 ppg scored. Brooklyns L/5 games has seen a combined average of 230.6 ppg scored and in division games has seem a combined average of 224.6 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Boston in their L/5 games has seen a combined average 222 ppg scored and on the season allowed an average of 105+ ppg at home and in division tits have seen a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. Over is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic.Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 games following a straight up win.Over is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 games following a ATS win.Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 9-2 in Celtics last 11 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 Monday games.Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 home games.Over is 20-6 in Celtics last 26 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Over is 20-7 in Celtics last 27 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 21-8 in Celtics last 29 overall.Over is 4-0 in Nets last 4 overall.Over is 4-0 in Nets last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Nets last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 9-2 in Nets last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 games following a straight up win.Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 17-5 in Nets last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 8-3 in Nets last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 pointsBOSTON is 13-4 OVER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 223.6 ppg scored. BOSTON is 20-7 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 18-7 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.8 ppg scored in those tilts. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 36-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-06-19 | Blackhawks +1.5 v. Penguins | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
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01-06-19 | Pacers +3 v. Raptors | 105-121 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
The Raptors looked very good and worked very hard in a win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last night on the road and notched a impressive win. However, after playing that kind of gruelling physical affair on the road and now on tired legs Im betting they will have a problem performing at an optimal level against vs the most under rated team in the NBA ( Indiana Pacers) according to my power rankings assessment charts. It must also be noted that Raptors Kawhi Leonard played 38 minutes last night, and after suffering through numerous injuries, in his career Im sure the coaching staff will be careful with his minutes tonight, and that also gives us an edge with the Pacers. In the most recent meeting in this series here in Toronto back on Dec 19 the Raps were fortunate to get the victory in a 99-96 smash mouth affair, and tonight look for the fresher legs of the visitor and their scorching defence ranked No.1 in points allowed to be the difference maker here. Also from a SRS head to head matchup scenario that tells us the Raptors are ranked 5th with a 4.80 numerical rating, and the Pacers 6th ranking 4.60 , we have a pickem situation, even with home court advantage thrown in. Add to that a fatigue factor ratio , and we have a upset situation edge. Nothings a sure bet , but I like the edge we have here getting points with this live dog. Note: SRS Is a Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Raptors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Play on Indiana to cover . Indiana to cover |
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01-06-19 | Wizards v. Thunder -10 | 116-98 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Washington is just 4-17 SU on the road this season, dropping eight consecutive games away from Capital One Arena and while I rarely ever lay DDs with any team, the odd circumstance offers up value. With that said, this tilt here in Oklahoma City is one of them. The Wizards continued road futility, and a banged up lineup makes them fade material even on a DD line. Note: The visitors are playing without key cog John Wall ( out for season) arguably the teams best player and are also saddled with the absence of power forward Markieff Morris who is also out with an injury. Streaky super star Westbrook broke out with a 32 point performance last time out, and will be licking his chops with anticipation here . Oklahoma City matches up very well vs the Wizards as was evident in a 134-111 beatdown win by the Thunder as road 3.5 point road dogs on Dec 11 of this season. Thunder are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast.Wizards are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma City. WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season Opp. 123.2 Wizards 106.6 for a consistent DD trend presenting itself and is is 3-11 ATS overall as a road underdog this season with the average point differential margin clicking in at 13.5 ppg. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a road win are just 1-25 SU L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average margin of defeat coming by 11.1 ppg. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-06-19 | Eagles +6 v. Bears | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 148 h 46 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Eagles had to over come alot of struggles this season, to have a chance to defend their super bowl title and make it to the play offs. But now a new season begins here in the play offs vs a public sweet heart that has a lineup filled with players that generally has very little post season NFL experience. I know the Bears had a tremendous season, but under pressure vs a side that knows how to win big games Im betting they are in trouble. Public money poured in on the Bears from the out set of the opening line, but sharp money has stormed back behind the Eagles and with that I recommend we take the points here. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good passing team - with a completion pct of 60% or better, after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 26-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover |
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01-06-19 | South Dakota State v. South Dakota +5 | 79-61 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
South Dakota State is 11-6 overall and 1-1 in Summit League play. The preseason favorites, SDSU has opened league play with three-straight games on the road, concluding with Sunday's contest, and will be on tired legs here vs South Dakota, 7-8 on the season and 1-1 in Summit League play, and fresh off a win vs Denver. |
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01-06-19 | Chargers v. Ravens -1 | 23-17 | Loss | -125 | 143 h 21 m | Show | |
Ravens league leading defence matches up well vs the Chargers offence as was evident only two weeks when they beat the Chargers in LA by a 22-10 count. After some early public money came in on the Chargers the line sits at around 2.5 and is a viable option if we are backing Baltimore at home where they are 6-2 this season. LA CHARGERS is 0-6 ATS after playing their last game on the road this season. Ravens are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 playoff games.Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Wildcard games. NFL Home favorites vs. the money line (BALTIMORE) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or more TO/game forced, after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 54-5 SU L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate and a perfect 9-0 this season for a 100% conversion rate. NFL Favorites (BALTIMORE) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games are 30-8 ATSL/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover |
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01-05-19 | Warriors v. Kings +7.5 | 127-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings have in the recent past played closely contested affairs, with both meetings this season decided by scores of 130-125 and 117-116 home and away, and Im betting on another hard fought affair here with the getting points our very best option. GOLDEN STATE is 3-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.he Warriors are 0-9 L/9 ATS on the road with rest off a loss as a home favorite in which they had 3+ players with 20+ points . The Kings are 7-0 ATS and 6-1 SU with less than two days rest off a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. The lone loss came to Golden State by a 130-125 loss as 5 point dogs. NBA Home teams (SACRAMENTO) - after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 31-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Cowboys | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 84 h 20 m | Show | |
Seattles HC Pete Carroll always gets my respect, and in a key game like this Im betting his football knowledge and coaching abilities will help his hard nosed blue collar group come out on top and more importantly get us the cover vs a inconsistent Dallas crew. Dallas is 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS record in the playoffs since 1997.Carroll is 14-5 ATS against NFC East division opponents as the coach of SEATTLE. Carroll is 37-23 ATS as an underdog as the coach of SEATTLE. HC Garrett is 28-40 ATS in home games as the coach of DALLAS.Garrett is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing 24 or more yards per return in the second half of the season as the coach of DALLAS. SEATTLE is 7-1 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better this season and is 8-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play this season. NFL Road teams (SEATTLE) - mistake-free team (1.25 or lessTO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 29-9 L/36 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to cover |
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01-05-19 | Eastern Kentucky +16 v. Murray State | 85-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
EKU is pulling down 36 rebounds per game and will give the Racers a run for their money under the basket and in the paint, and must not be under rated in their ability to cover here in enemy territory. E KENTUCKY is 32-12 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 points/game or less since 1997. E KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.MURRAY ST is 4-13 ATS versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (E KENTUCKY) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after a combined score of 165 points or more 2 straight games are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Eastern Kentucky to cover |
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01-05-19 | Mercer +12.5 v. Wofford | 74-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
Wofford sits atop the SoCon standings with a perfect 3-0 league record and is 11-4 overall. The Terriers rank near the top in virtually every conference statistical category but Mercer must not be underestimate in their ability to cover here. Note: Under Coach Bob Hoffman, Mercer has won 203 games over the past 10-plus seasons (2008-09 to present) and are viable program with good work ethic and are never out of a game as has been the case in quite of few of their tilts this season.Team Statistics 4th in FG% defense (.419)4th in scoring defense (68.3)4th in turnover margin (+1.71)WOFFORD is 1-8 ATS in home games after 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (MERCER) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 58-26 ATS for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mercer to cover |
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01-05-19 | Hornets v. Nuggets OVER 218 | 110-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Denver despite of slightly below average points output owns the 7th ranked offensive effecincy in the league, despite of being a slow paced squad and are capable of lighting opponents up in a hurry with shabby defences like the Hornets as is evident by a 112.3 ppg offensive output at home. Meanwhile, the Hornets, are ranked in the bottom 15 teams in the NBA in defence, and allowing 115.1 ppg on the road this season, but ranked 9th overall in offensive output and 10th in efficiency and have scored 125 or more points in 3 of their L/5 games, and are 113.1 ppg on the road this season. My projections estimate that Charlotte will put at least 106 points on the board, while Denver will score 114 points. Note: DENVER is 14-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE is 15-4 OVER when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.6 ppg scored. DENVER is 27-10 OVER versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 227.4 ppg scored.DENVER is 20-8 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored. Hornets are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points and it is before the All-Star break with the average combined score clicking in at 236.3 ppg. The Nuggets are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 35-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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01-05-19 | Kansas +1.5 v. Iowa State | 60-77 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
But No. 5 Kansas has owned that Big 12 championship pedigree for 14 consecutive seasons, so Iowa State and despite of up trending and looking very talented are not ready to upend this over powering hoops program just yet as their key weaknesses are just to blatant and will not serve them well vs this type of team no. matter how motivated they are. Some of their problems come with their lack of being able to Draw foul as the Cyclones are a not a very physical team, ranking in the bottom half of the NCAA in offensive free-throw rate. In a game like this charity stripe shooting will be critical and despite of an aggressive run and gun mentality can't sink the downtown shots with consistency as Iowa State attempts an above average number of treys, but rank just 142nd in three-point accuracy at 35 percent. KANSAS is 15-4 ATS in road games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS is 8-1 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Kansas to cover |
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01-05-19 | Colts +2 v. Texans | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 98 h 36 m | Show | |
Houstons strength is stopping the run, but teams that can pass like the Colts are a more difficult type of opponent for the Texans. In the last meeting between these teams, Houston couldn't slow down Colts quarterback Andrew Luck and wide receiver T.Y. Hilton. Hilton had nine receptions for 199 yards, and Luck passed for 399 yards and two TDs in Indy's 24-21 win in Houston. A repeat type performance is not out of the question here and actually a high probability outcome according to my projections. HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. O'Brien is 0-6 ATS in home games after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game as the coach of HOUSTON. NFL team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - good team (outgain opp. by 40-100 YPG) against an average team (+/- 40 YPG) after 8+ games, after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 42-6 SU L/5 seasons and a perfect 9-0 this season! Play on the Indianapolis to cover |
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01-05-19 | SIU-Edwardsville +4.5 v. Eastern Illinois | 81-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
SIU E is playing pretty good basketball at the moment winning 3 straight games, ad despite of having a losing record so far , are up trending and viable underdogs according to my power charts in this tilt vs Eastern Illinois. SIU EDWARDSVL is 22-10 ATS L/32 in road games in January games .E ILLINOIS is 9-21 ATS L/30 in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Play on SIU Edwardsville to cover |
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01-05-19 | Loyola-Chicago -5.5 v. Drake | 85-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
The Ramblers know how to win on the road and have won three straight and seven of their last eight MVC road tilts.Loyola, which through games of January 2 ranked 11th in the nation in scoring defense (59.5 ppg), has limited four straight opponents to fewer than 50 points are a dangerous matchup for Drake, LOYOLA-IL is 6-0 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game over the last 3 seasons. LOYOLA-IL is 11-3 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons and is is 9-2 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. CBB road team (LOYOLA-IL) - after allowing 55 points or less 4 straight games, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 24-5 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Loyola Chicago to cover |
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01-05-19 | Bradley +4.5 v. Indiana State | 60-65 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Indiana State lost its opener on Wednesday, dropping a 79-44 contest at Loyola. The loss was ISU's second-straight as it finished the non-conference season with a defeat to TCU and enter this game looking a little bit ragged. I know Bradley has also been inconsistent, but they matchup well vs the Sycamores, and in what is expected to be a close game have an edge behind, the second ranked charity stripe shooting in the MVC and 57th nationally with 313 free throw attempts this season.Bradley ranks 30th in the country with a free-throw rate of 43.1 percent (FTA/FGA), while placing 40th by scoring 22.6 percent of its points from the line. INDIANA ST is 0-7 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Lansing is 0-6 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half as the coach of INDIANA ST. CBB underdog (BRADLEY) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 248-173 L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Bradley to cover |
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01-05-19 | Oklahoma State +10 v. Oklahoma | 64-74 | Push | 0 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State has been struggling to this point in the season, while their long time rivals the Sooners are looking like a future tournament team. However, everything goes out the window when these two instate enemies meet and Im expecting the Cowboys to stand tall and get us the cover vs a Sooners side off their first loss in 8 games. that loss was a hard a hard fought physical affair vs Kansas last time out and could easily see this group in a letdown spot here. This is the 237th Bedlam meeting, and the Cowboys have taken four of the last five, including the last two. Note: With its win vs No. 19/21 LSU in November, Oklahoma State racked up its fifth victory over a ranked opponent in its last six opportunities. The Cowboys are one of just five teams in college basketball that can claim to have beaten five of their last six ranked opponents. CBB road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA ST) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread against opponent hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread are 62-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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01-05-19 | Flames -137 v. Flyers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
The Flyers, have lost five in a row and not in good form going against a top tier Calgary team that despite of coming off a loss are (25-13-4, 54 points) still lead the Western Conference and are second only to the Tampa Bay Lightning (66 points) in the league standings. CALGARY is 6-0 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season which happened in their 6-4 loss at Boston last time out. NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (CALGARY) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after allowing 5 goals or more are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Calgary to won the money line |
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01-05-19 | Cleveland State +8.5 v. Green Bay | 89-90 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
Cleveland State took 319 free throws through 15 games, a mark that ranks among the top 40 in Division I. It is their ability to get to the charity stripe is what makes them dangerous underdogs in this spot. CLEVELAND ST is 8-1 ATS in road games when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND ST is 17-4 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.CLEVELAND ST is 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.Felton is 18-3 ATS L/21 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in all games he has coached. Play on Cleveland State to cover |
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01-05-19 | Fairfield +4.5 v. Iona | 87-94 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
Fairfield faces the MAAC's top scoring tonight in Iona, which averages 77.8 points per game, after battling the second-highest scoring team in Rider (77.0) on Thursday evening. The Stags currently stand third in the MAAC for scoring average at 71.9 points every forty minutes and have the capabilities to hang here with Iona. IONA is 1-9 ATS in all lined games this season. CBB home team (IONA) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 83-136 for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fairfield to cover |
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01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers +1 | 111-109 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City (24-13) might have a better record than the Blazers,( 22-16) but from a matchup perspective , the Blazers according to my head to head systems ratings offer up a huge amount of trouble for the Thunder. The Thunders top player Westbrook has has hands full going against Portland's Damian Lillard, who is having a career season offensively. He ranks eighth in the NBA in scoring at 26.7 points while shooting 45.2 percent from the field, 39.4 percent from 3-point range and 89.5 percent from the foul line, and Thunder also must contend with Portland center Jusuf Nurkic, who is coming off the best game of his career in a 113-108 overtime win over Sacramento on Tuesday. Note:The Trailblazers are 17-3 ATS and 16-4 SU when the line is within 3 of pick after they had overtime which happened last time out. Thunder are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Trail Blazers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Trail Blazers are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 home games.PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Portland is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.Thunder are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Thunder are 0-10 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite after a win in which they trailed after the third which was the case last time out.The Trailblazers are 10-1 ATS/SU at home with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover |
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01-04-19 | Knicks +8 v. Lakers | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The Lakers are a banged up team, with their key super star LeBron James out with an injury, and will will also go without Kyle Kuzma ( back) and Rajon Rondo. I know the Knicks wont inspire bettors, but they actually have an opportunity to compete and pull off an upset here vs this short handed group tonight according to my current matchup projections based on both teams existing lineups. It must also be noted that the Lakers took part in a gruelling 107-100 loss last time out where numerous lead changes took place and will now be in an emotional letdown situation, and probably less than motivated taking on a lower tier team, that they could easily overlook. Note: The Lakers are 3-19 ATS L/21 and 2-20 SU with rest off a loss as a home dog after a game that was tied 5+ times and 0-8 ATS SU L/8 at home off a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times. LA LAKERS are 5-13 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and are 2-10 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. The Knicks are 6-0 ATS L/6 with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 and it is before the All-Star break. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 33-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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01-04-19 | Jazz v. Cavs UNDER 209 | 117-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Cleveland enters this game ranked 28thin in scoring in the NBA behind a slow down system that ranks 29th in pace having scored 94 points or less in 6 of their L/8 games overall and Im betting will have problems breaching that plateau again vs a physical Jazz defence that is ranked 7th in ppg allowed and 5th in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, on the flip side, Utah has averaged only 105 ppg on the road this season and rank 21st in the league in points ouptut in the league, and 22nd in offensive efficiency behind a average pace ranked 14th overall. Also previous to going over in their L/2 trips to the hardwood they had gone under 8 straight times in grinding fashion. Note: The Jazz are 0-18 UNDER L/18 as a favorite off a road game when the line is at least 10 points lower than their last game and it is before the All-Star break with no combined score clicking in above 201 ppg, with the average combined score registering at 185.1 ppg. Bottom line : The Jazz will happily grind away on a Cavs team with very little fire power, in a game that I expect will see the combined score stay on the low side of the total. The Cavaliers are 0-13 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest after a game as a home dog in which rebounding less than 20% of their own misses with the average combined score coming in at 198.4 ppg. The Cavaliers are 0-8 OU L/8 as a 8+ dog off a 10+ loss when they are off two games in which more than 65 percent of their field goals were assisted and it is before the All-Star break with a combined average of 201.1 ppg scored with non of the tilts exceeding this posted total. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - a offense that scores (+102 PPG) against a sub par defensive team (102 or more PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 90-46 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play under |
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01-04-19 | Jets v. Penguins -130 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The Penguins are off a three-game sweep of its road trip and extended its overall streak to seven straight wins and are a team on fire. Meanwhile, Winnipeg a team that has lost 2 of their L/3 overall and 26 of their L/30 visits here to Pittsburgh are not in the same form as the Pens and fade material against a home team that looks to be a viable option in a hunt for the Stanley Cup. Penguins are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. Western Conference.PITTSBURGH is 65-22 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Pittsburgh Penguins to win on the moneyline |
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01-03-19 | Northern Arizona +13.5 v. Weber State | 52-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Northern Arizona to cover |
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01-03-19 | St. Mary's +3 v. San Francisco | 72-76 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
USF had a 5 game win streak abruptly end last time out vs Santa Barbara 73-71 and will now be in a letdown situation here after that hard fought loss, and now going against another tough opponent in. St.Marys. This may not be the same kind of potent team that HC Randy Bennett has had in the past but this still must not be under estimated in their ability to pull off an upset and are still ranked No.44 in the KenPom rankings behind one of the slowest and most methodical paces in the league, ,something this version of the Dons will not enjoy playing against. Play on St.Marys to cover |
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01-03-19 | Raptors v. Spurs -1.5 | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Toronto has been erratic in their play of late, especially as far as converting for their betting backers is concerned as they are just 5-14 ATS L/19 overall including 1-4 SU/ 0-5 ATS L/5 on the road. Injuries have played a role in the Raptors current state, as key contributor Kyle Lowry remains sidelined and is not expect to play tonight, and also some bloated lines because of their obvious big time superiority on the east. Do not get me wrong, the Raptors are still a talented team with a lot of depth, but here tonight on the road, vs a up trending San Antonio side that has cashed 11 of their L/13 overall Im betting the Dinos are in trouble. San Antonio is 17-4 L/21 here vs the Raptors and 2-0 SU/ATS here in Texas in their most recent meetings and get the nod again. Im not going to delve into the Kawhi Leonard / DeMar DeRozen trade because these teams, because I don't believe it will be a deciding factor for which side wins here tonight. SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. ANTONIO is 12-1 ATS in home games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons SAN ANTONIO is 14-3 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or less of their shots this season and 13-4 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 15-69 SU L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate fro bettors. NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on San Antonio. to cover |
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01-03-19 | Georgia Southern +3 v. Texas State | 70-73 | Push | 0 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Even though Southern is on the road, they are according to my power ranking strong candidates to pull off an upset here this Thursday night . Yes, I know that Texas State has looked strong so far this season, behind a experienced roster, but Im betting they will have their hands full vs a. side that is aiming directly at the giant target on their backs. TEXAS ST is 2-10 ATS L/10 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.TEXAS ST is 1-8 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Play on Georgia Southern to cover |
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01-03-19 | Youngstown State +12.5 v. Green Bay | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Green Bay enters the game with a 7-7 overall record and a 1-0 mark in the Horizon League and are according to my numbers not a solid 12.5 point favorite not even vs struggling Youngstown State. CBB team (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (78 or more PPG), after a close loss by 3 points or less are 88-48 ATS L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Youngstown State to cover |
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01-03-19 | Cleveland State +3.5 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | 76-83 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Cleveland State to cover |
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01-03-19 | Penn State +11.5 v. Michigan | 55-68 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The Wolverines host Penn State on Thursday. Michigan (13-0) is one of four teams nationally that reached New Year's Day undefeated.The Wolverines have won 27 of their last 28 games, with the lone loss coming in last year's national championship against Villanova and their extremely hard to beat at home where they have also won 27 of their L/28 .I know Penn State at 7-6 might not inspire bettors but this line is bloated according to my projections and we have value taking the visitor in what Im betting will be a hard fought conference affair. The public is all over the Wolverines, but as part of a long term go against the public system that has cashed at a 68% clip for me over a 168 game sample size I recommend we take the points in this spot. PENN ST is 16-7 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 10 or more points this season. Beilein is 2-9 ATS in home games after 8 or more consecutive wins as the coach of MICHIGAN. Play on Penn State to cover |
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01-03-19 | William & Mary -1 v. Delaware | 56-58 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
After opening Colonial Athletic Association play 2-0 with a pair of home wins last week, W&Mary have now won 4 of their L/5 games and are currently firing on all cylinders. For the second time this season, freshman Chase Audige was named the CAA Rookie of the Week on Monday. He averaged 16 points, four assists, three rebounds, 1.5 steals and 1.5 blocked shots per game, while shooting 60 percent from the field and 66.7 percent from 3 last week and will be a difference maker here this evening vs inconsistent Delaware side. Defense has been a key to W&M's 2-0 start in CAA play. In league action, the Tribe ranks second in defensive efficiency (101.8), turnover rate (20.4) and 3-point percentage (30.3). WM& MARY has won and covered 4 straight games in this series. WM & MARY is 21-8 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite .WM & MARY is 33-14 ATS after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3 point shots. Shaver is 11-3 ATS in road games after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers as the coach of WM & MARY. Play on William Mary to cover |
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01-03-19 | Wright State -5 v. Detroit | 58-79 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Raiders, 7-8 and 1-1, dropped the Horizon League opener to UIC in overtime 75-72 before bouncing back to defeat IUPUI 72-64 Sunday afternoon and enter this game with momentum as they go against the Detroit Mercy Titans (5-9 ) a side that won twice last week at Youngstown State 78-66 and at Cleveland State 73-61 to open their Horizon League schedule after dropping the final six non-conference games. UDM was tabbed to finish tenth in the pre-season Horizon League poll under first-year head coach Mike Davis and according to my head to matchup stats do not matchup well vs the Raiders. Wright State is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series. DETROIT is 11-26 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more. Play on Wright State to cover |
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01-03-19 | Mercer +8 v. Furman | 58-71 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
As it has numerous times this season, a young but talented Mercer battled back from a double digit deficit to position themselves for a big comeback victory only to come up short in losing 71-67 to Harvard in a neutral site game played Dec. 28 at Atlanta's State Farm Arena. Mercer has been very competitive despite of a negative record and must be respected here as dogs , Yes even against a Furman team that has been one of the most impressive teams in the SoCon thus far this season. MERCER is 11-2 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season.MERCER is 11-3 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Play on Mercer to cover |
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01-03-19 | Illinois +11.5 v. Indiana | 65-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Illinois Im betting has the ability to make life rough for a top shelf Indiana hoops program in this tilt that to their ability to play a strong brand of pressure defence that eads the Big Ten in forcing turnovers (18.4 per game). Meanwhile Indiana leads the Big Ten in committing turnovers (14.5 per game). I know Illinois will not inspire bettors, but there is actually line value here with Illinois and this I'm recommending we take the points in this conference matchup. Play on Illinois to cover |
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01-02-19 | Utah State +9.5 v. Nevada | 49-72 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Utah State is off to its best start under a first-year head coach in school history as Craig Smith has led the Aggies to a 10-3 record over their opening 13 games. They will have their hands full with undefeated Nevada tonight, but this number Im betting is slightly bloated giving us an edge with a value line to buy into.Utah State has held four opponents to their lowest shooting percentages of the year, including Saint Mary's (.290), Northern Iowa (.310), Alabama State (.207) and Houston (.317) and have scored more points in the paint than its opponents in all but two games this season and this combo of hard working traits Im betting will make them competitive in this road game . Utah State leads the Mountain West in nine statistics, including scoring defense (64.8), scoring margin (+16.5), free throw percentage (.764), field goal percentage defense (.359), rebounding offense (42.4), rebounding margin (+11.6), assists (16.2), defensive rebounds (31.4) and defensive rebound percentage (.786). Play on Utah State to cover |
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01-02-19 | New Mexico v. Air Force +1.5 | 65-58 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
This Air Force team is very under rated in my humble opinion and have more height, inside scoring ability and quickness than any other group HC Pilipovich has coached. Air Force has played Michigan , Villanova, North Carolina , and Colorado, and despite of losing all by DDs, did not look out of place and looked pretty good to me. Now against less formidable competition in New Mexico on their own home court Im betting their ready to compete and grab a win to open up Mountain West Conference play. Note: New Mexico's Key transfer JaQuan Lyle is out for the season with an Achilles injury and former McDonald’s All-American Carlton Bragg wasn’t cleared by the NCAA until mid-December. AIR FORCE is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.AIR FORCE is 12-3 ATS in all home games over the last 2 seasons. Weir is 0-7 ATS versus struggling pressure defensive teams - forcing 12or less turnovers/game as the coach of NEW MEXICO. Pilipovich is 26-16 ATS as a home underdog or pick as the coach of AIR FORCE. Play on Air Force to cover |
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01-02-19 | Magic v. Bulls -1.5 | 112-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Chicago is playing some competitive basketball of late winning 3 of their L/5 straight up while covering 4 of those games. Now tonight vs a Orlando team expected to play without starting point guard D.J. Augustin and backup Jonathon Simmons after each sustained ankle injuries they are at a disadvantage here on the road. Ever since Coach Jim Boylen, took over the team from the fired Fred Hoiberg, the Bulls are playing a physical grinding style of offense that is led by guard Zach LaVine, averaging 23.5 points per game and must not be underestimated in their new system. HC Boylen was QUOTED:"We're playing the way I think we have to play for us to have a chance to win. We are going to get a defensive mentality in this program first, and then we're going to work on the rest of it. And as we grow together, we get healthy together, I'm confident the offense will come"END QUOTE:. With that said, I like the way the Bulls matchup here and Ill lay the short chalk in their support. Chicago is 6-0 SU L/6 at home in this series dating back to the 2015 season. ORLANDO is 15-28 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 19-5 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 16-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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01-02-19 | Wolves v. Celtics UNDER 220 | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Minnesota is on a 8 game OVER streak, and Boston has gone over 6 straight times and the linesmakers know this, so they have bumped this number up , and have not based this Total on the current matchup but on the streak itself, which according to my projections gives us value with an under wager on this offered total. Teams that have gone over in at eight or more straight games are 75-91-1 UNDER since the 2013/14 season. NBA team (BOSTON) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game are 224-142 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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01-02-19 | Tulsa +13 v. Houston | 56-74 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Tulsa at 10-3 and Houston at 13-0 are two teams that must be respected. Im sure Tulsa however, is feeling disrespected by this line. TU has won five straight games and is coming off a 69-59 win over Oral Roberts on Dec. 22 at the Mabee Center. The Canes lost to Nevada by 10, and on the road to Utah by 5, and have not lost any of their games by this margin this season, and Im betting they cover again vs a good but slightly over rated Cougars team. Snapping Houston's 26-game home winning streak, which currently is the longest in Division I does not look viable but as far as Im concerend covering does look like a solid opportunity. TULSA is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. TULSA is 14-5 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Play on Tulsa to cover |
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01-02-19 | Mavs +1.5 v. Hornets | 122-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Mavericks despite of playing much improved hoops this season , are a team currently struggling desperate for a win away from home . With that said, Im betting they will be hell bent on trying to snap a nine-game road losing streak in a place Charlotte where they have covered their L/2 visits . Note: The road team has snatched five of the last six in the series, with Dallas earning a 115-111 win at Charlotte last season. All good bad runs must come to an end, and Im betting the Mavs current run of road futility ends tonight. Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.( the Mavs lost vs Ok St last time out by DDs )Mavericks are 19-0 ATS/18-1 SU when the line is within three of pick off a loss as a underdog when they allowed 100+ points in each of their last two games and it is before the All-Star break with the only loss coming by just 1 point. DALLAS is 20-6 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons Hornets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Play on Dallas to cover |