Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-23-21 | Heat v. Pistons OVER 207 | 100-92 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Detroit took part in a big brawl against the Lakers last time out. They also blew a big lead for a loss and will now want some sort of redemption. Meanwhile, with Miami knowing they should not overlook this opponent, and they themselves off a loss, Im betting the Heat will come out here firing bullets, and Motown will have to respond with some fireworks fo their own or be blown off the court in classic chase action -which will result in a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-3 in Heat last 11 games as a road favorite.MIAMI is 18-7 OVER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored.MIAMI is 11-1 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 227.8 ppg scored. MIAMI is 18-4 OVER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222 ppg. DETROIT is 9-0 OVER after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored.Casey is 34-19 OVER in home games after a game where they covered the spread as the coach of DETROIT. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-23-21 | Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois UNDER 61.5 | 42-21 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Northern Illinois clinched the MAC West and motivation this week maybe an issue as well as trying to stay healthy before they go to Ford Field and play for the conference title. So Im betting on a muted effort here, by N.Illinois while Western Michigan really does not have alot to play after a very inconsistent season as they are projected to get an invite to a lower level bowl. Western Michigan has one of the better running games and today I expect they will employ that in grinding fashion, as they try to keep the explosive attack of the Huskies off the field, which in turn will keep the clock churning in what Im betting will be a lower scoring game than the pundits anticipate. Note: These two sides rank 104th and 96th in tempo in the nation. N.Illinois ha clinched a N ILLINOIS is 24-9 UNDER in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored with a combined average of 52.9 ppg scored.N ILLINOIS is 17-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 with a combined average of 53.5 ppg scored during that 23 game sample size. CFB team against the total (W MICHIGAN) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 85-36 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-23-21 | Southern Utah v. Yale -130 | 88-85 | Loss | -130 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
11-22-21 | Suns v. Spurs OVER 220.5 | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
The Suns romped to a big DD win last night and are currently firing on cylinders behind the 4th best ppg offense and 5th ranked pace. Note:PHOENIX is 13-4 OVER after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.6 ppg scored in the 17 game sample size . Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 9-4 in Suns last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, San Antonio has allowed 115+ ppg at home this season, and rank 24th overall in the NBA in ppg allowed and rank 4th in pace which sets up for what I expect will be a speedy game that will eclipse this offered totals number. Over is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 9-1 in Spurs last 10 home games NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 31-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the combined average score of 233 ppg going board. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-22-21 | Penguins v. Jets OVER 5.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Winnipeg is well rested and will go after the Penguins in aggressive fashion here, and Im betting the Pens will be forced to open up because of this in a tilt I have projected to go over the set total. WINNIPEG is 10-2 OVER when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.5 gpg scored. I know the Pens have been tough as nails on defense the last two games, posting consecutive shutouts, including a 2-0 back checking event last time out, but that will make the Jets even more aggressive right out of the gate. PITTSBURGH is 21-10 OVER after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored in those 24 tilts. Over is 9-3 in Penguins last 12 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Penguins last 8 games as a road underdog. NHL Home teams against the total (WINNIPEG) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team in the first half of the season are 31-8 OVER L/25 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
11-22-21 | Giants +11.5 v. Bucs | 10-30 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
The Giants’ defense is top form and have been really been stoppers in the last three weeks giving them the ability to be competitive against any NFL team even the defending Super Bowl champion Bucs . On the flip side, the giants rarely get much push from the offensive line but against shaky TB secondary I expect for some big plays and scores. With Big Blue getting healthy they are solid bets here to cover vs a Bucs side that is definitely not playing a top level at the moment. . Giants are 19-4 ATS L/23 as road underdogs. Judge is 8-1 ATS in road games against conference opponents as the coach of NY GIANTS. NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS against NFC East division opponents over the last 3 seasons. TB has lost 19 of its L/26 SU after two consecutive road losses. NFL Road underdogs or pick (NY GIANTS) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 35-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (NY GIANTS) - off a home win, a struggling team, winning 25% to 40% of their games, in the second half of the season are 46-19 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NY Giants to cover |
|||||||
11-22-21 | Troy State +5.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 83-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
11-22-21 | Texas A&M +3.5 v. Wisconsin | 58-69 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WISCONSIN is 5-15 ATS L/20 as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick.Gard is 5-13 ATS in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less as the coach of WISCONSIN. CBB Neutral court teams (TEXAS A&M) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, team that had a losing record last season are 24-7 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.
|
|||||||
11-22-21 | Vermont v. Oakland +3.5 | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Capitals v. Seattle Kraken OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Seattles D and goal tending have been atrocious of late, allowing 31 goals in their L/5 games and things do not look to get much better tonight against the explosive Washington Capitals.The Kraken Im betting will be forced to open up here because of their inability to stop their opponents. This will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total. Note: Kraken Goaltenders Grubauer, has the worst save percentage (.875 SVP) in the NHL among goalies who have played 10 or more games. his backup Driedger's owns a .791 SVP ( 3 games). SEATTLE is 11-0 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.SEATTLE is 9-0 OVER after allowing 4 goals or more this season. WASHINGTON is 7-0 OVER after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Knicks v. Bulls -5 | 103-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
After. a fast start to their season the Knicks have now lost 6 of their L/10 and are not looking cohesive especially in the offensive end of the court averaging just 101.9 ppg during their current sub par 10 game run. Meanwhile, the Bulls are now in top form behind some tremendous defensive play and clutch offense. Note: The Bulls have held their opp to a 44.4% FG conversion rate while ranking eighth best in Defensive Rating, allowing 104.1 points per 100 possessions. With revenge on board, for a earlier 103-104 loss to the Knicks Im expecting a redemption run here tonight and a subsequent win and cover at home for a Bulls side that has covered 11 of their L/16 overall. Interesting anomaly -CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons NBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 8-29 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate. Play on Chicago to cover |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Nuggets +8.5 v. Suns | 97-126 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Because the Suns are red hot there is a premium being added to their chalk lines giving us an edge in spot situations. I know the Suns have revenge on board for a home loss to the Nuggets from late in October , but Denver matches up well from a style of play perspective and must be respected getting points . I also know that these two teams are currently playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum, but it must be noted Malone is 14-4 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses as the coach of DENVER. Meanwhile, PHOENIX is 3-14 ATS L/17 in home games after 8 or more consecutive wins . Suns are also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 29-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - good rebounding team - giving up 11 or less off. rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 112-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Take the points with Denver |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Lakers v. Pistons +7.5 | 121-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Lakers Key starters Davis and James is they play today vs the Pistons will see limited time because of injuries and the team as a whole, have shown a lack of chemistry and determination and are fade material here in Motown tonight. LA has also just 1-4 SU on the road this season, and don't deserve this much respect based on brand recognition along. No not even against the lowly Pistons. LA LAKERS are 0-8 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 43% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 8-21 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 42-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 48 | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 70 h 47 m | Show | |
We have a top tier West Division battle between Arizona and Seattle this Sunday afternoon, both were off losses with the Seahawks getting shutout . Seattle’s enters this game playing a top tier brand of defense football, allowing 13, 7, and 17 pts allowed in their last 3 games and come in with a having eclipsed the total just once in 9 games this season and were shutout last time out with a total of 17 points being scored . The average line of Seahawks tilts has been 48.9 with the average combined score clicking in at 40.7 ppg. Under is 6-0 in Seahawks last 6 games as an underdog. Whether QB Kyle Murray plays (ANKLE) or is less than 100% Im betting he is kept mostly at bey. It must be noted that NFL WEST DIVISION games L/37 seasons when the home team is an underdog of 6 pts or less the under has hit 75% plus of the time after game 8 or greater (15-49-1 UNDER ). Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games as a road favorite.Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 games on fieldturf. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (SEATTLE) - after going under the total by more than 28 points in their previous game, in conference games ARE 30-9 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - with a struggling passing D - allowing a comp pct of 64% or worse, after gaining 4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 46-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Niagara -1 v. Youngstown State | 58-53 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NIAGARA is 16-4 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 4-13 ATS L/17 in home games in November games . CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NIAGARA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 30-5 ATS L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Niagara to cover |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -2 | 91-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Dallas is off two exhausting back and forth losses to the Phoenix Suns and could find themselves vulnerable here on tired legs in a letdown spot . Meanwhile, Im betting the Clippers will be very focused as they get back on track after a lackluster 94-81 loss at New Orleans lat time out. These clunkers in the NBA happen all the time even to well coached teams like the Clippers so I wont take a-lot of time to over analyze, especially considering that was the Clippers 5th game in 7 nights .With Dallas young star Luka Doncic hobbled by an ankle injury and less than 100% if he plays the Mavs will be at a disadvantage. Mavericks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Clippers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss. NBA Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Packers v. Vikings UNDER 47.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 53 m | Show | |
Green Bays defense shined last time out with a 17-0 polishing of Seattle. Im expecting their D, to stand tall again this week in this key divisional battle vs Minnesota, a side of a hard fought victory last week vs the Chargers. Note: Minnesota has allowed 20 points or less in 5 of their L/7 overall. Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 home games. Under is 7-0 in Packers last 7 games overall.Under is 7-0 in Packers last 7 games following a ATS win.Under is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-0 in Packers last 5 games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Packers last 4 vs. NFC. GREEN BAY is 8-1 UNDER (when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 45.1 ppg scored. GREEN BAY is 7-0 UNDER vs struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse this season with a combined average of 35 ppg scored. GREEN BAY is 6-0 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. this season with a combined average of 34.5 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (GREEN BAY) - after going under the total by more than 28 points in their previous game, in conference games are 30-9 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NFLRoad teams against the total (GREEN BAY) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season ere 42-14 L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 45 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 66 h 43 m | Show | |
I know the Jets D is atrocious but the Dolphins are not a team that can take huge advantage of this situation. Meanwhile, the Jets are not trusting Mike White under center, and the play calling from the offensive coordinator is amateurish at best making futility the call here today and a total combined score that stays on the low side of the total. NY JETS are 12-2 UNDER L/14 in home games versus struggling rushing teams - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game in the second half of the season. Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games in November.Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 vs. AFC.Under is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 vs. AFC East.MIAMI is 41-14 UNDER vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return . MIAMI is 61-39 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992. NFL team against the total (NY JETS) - after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 23-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFLHome teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (NY JETS) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after allowing 35 points or more in 2 straight games are 31-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NFLRoad teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (MIAMI) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 29-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Texans v. Titans UNDER 45 | 22-13 | Win | 100 | 66 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas has scored 9 points or less in 6 of their L/8 games and today if they can muster that many points Ill be surprised vs a Titans team that held KC to just 3 points a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, Tennessee after 5 straight grueling games against top tier competition could end up using this game as a de-facto bye week, and not put the pedal to the metal or even be inclined to do so as they save some juice for the play offs . This equates to a lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers might expect. HOUSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games after scoring 9 points or less last game with a combined average of 36.1 ppg scored. DD road dogs like Texas off their bye week have gone under in 9 of their L/10 trips to the gridiron when the total is 42 or more. Texans are 1-10 L/11 under as a road dog of 3 points or more. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (HOUSTON) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 39-13 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NFL team against the total (TENNESSEE) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 36-14 L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Washington Football Team v. Panthers -3 | 27-21 | Loss | -125 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
The Washington football team after upsetting the defending Super Bowl Champs last week will now in a huge emotional letdown situation on the road. It must be noted that sides off a upset of the defending Super Bowl champion by 10 or more points have covered just 3 of the 19 times when facing a .400 or better side like the Panthers in their following tilt. With Carolina looking like a viable side to back with Cam Newton or former XFL star QB PJ Walker under center Im recommedning we pull the trigger here and lay a few points with a team that has plenty of momentum and crowd support this Sunday. NFL Favorites (CAROLINA) - an average defensive team (18 to 23 PPG) against a struggling defensive team (27 or more PPG), after scoring 30 points or more last game are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Green Bay +14 v. Weber State | 58-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WI-GREEN BAY is 10-2 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Jazz v. Kings OVER 222 | 123-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Sacramento enters this game ranked 27th in ppg defense and rank 7th in pace. Meanwhile, Utah ranks 3rd in offense behind a mid range pace as compared to the league. Using these numbers, and head to head style of play factors Im projecting a combined score in the mid 220s giving us value with an over wager. SACRAMENTO is 18-6 OVER in home games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored. Walton is 29-12 OVER in home games after playing a home game as the coach of SACRAMENTO with a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. Over is 9-2 in Kings last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home which was the case last time out, which from my perspective will make the Kings more aggressive especially in an environment that has nothing to lose written all over it. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 24-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (SACRAMENTO) - playing on back-to-back days, a struggling team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 102-52 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Western Illinois v. DePaul -10.5 | 80-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
11-20-21 | Heat v. Wizards +1.5 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Wizards are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and must be respected here vs a very good but exhausted Miami side that will be playing their 7th game in 10 nights. Redemption now on board for a 112 -97 loss in South Florida a couple of days ago. Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. WASHINGTON is 15-5 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasonWASHINGTON is 31-19 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 23-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 9-28 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (WASHINGTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 30-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Pelicans v. Pacers -7 | 94-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Indiana made a late run last night in a loss to Charlotte but they are well conditioned and will be ready in a friendly home environment to take down a Pelicans side off an upset win last night. Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. (5 of those losses came by DDS) NEW ORLEANS is 0-9 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -17.3 ppg. NBA team (INDIANA) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 29-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Flames v. Islanders -112 | 5-2 | Loss | -112 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
The Islanders have not been playing well, but tonight it will be all men on deck for their home opener in their new arena. The Isles in part were faltering because of having to play their first 13 games of the season on the road , which would take the piss out of any team . Make no mistake the Islanders are still a championship caliber side and must be respected here as short hame chalk. Favorite is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.Islanders are 6-1 in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Islanders are 37-17 in their last 54 games as a home favorite. NHL team against the money line (CALGARY) - after shutting out their opponent in their previous game against opponent after allowing 6 goals or more are 15-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Islanders to win |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Penguins v. Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
There is plenty of offensive fire power in these lineups and Im betting we see some fireworks tonight.With Crosby back in the line for the Pens after a covid protocol they will be more aggressive and that was evident when the Penguins lit up the board Thursday night with a 6-0 victory over the host Montreal Canadiens . The Pens now bring that momentum in here against a Leafs side that has won 10 of their L/11. Over is 5-1 in Penguins last 6 games as an underdog. PITTSBURGH is 9-2 OVER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or more of shots against over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 16-7 OVER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average 7 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (PITTSBURGH) - after a blowout win by 4 goals or more against opponent after 2 straight games where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 23-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on OVER |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Oral Roberts -11 v. Central Arkansas | 67-70 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
11-20-21 | Syracuse +11.5 v. NC State | 17-41 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 16 m | Show | |
After being very competitive this season , Syracuse looked tired/lifeless vs Louisville last week in a 41-3 loss. Previous to that 5 of their L/6 games were all decided by 4 points or less and they have won the stats battles in 8 of 10 games this season. There is good news coming for Syracuse bettors this week as Babers is 8-0 ATS after gaining 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game as the coach of SYRACUSE. On the flip-side NC States HC Doeren is 0-9 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 230 or more rushing yards/game as the coach of NC STATE like Syracuse. I expect Syracuse to pound away on the ground today and to take advantage of Wolfpack side that has failed to cover 4 of their L/5 as 10 or more point home fav in conference tilts. SYRACUSE is 12-3 ATS L/15 vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return. SYRACUSE is 8-2 ATS in all games this season.
Play on Syracuse to cover |
|||||||
11-20-21 | UCLA v. USC +3.5 | 62-33 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 34 m | Show | |
Rivals go head to head today in southern California , and Im betting the under performing but under rated home side has the edge. The UCLA secondary is vulnerable as is evident by allowing an average of 240 yards per game. The one thing that USC can do consistently is go deep and make passes, and that what will be the difference maker here today. UCLA is 4-14 ATS L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). USC has been a recent ATM when faltering going 6-0 ATS as a home pup when coming off consecutive losses, including a 6-0 ATS mark as a home dog with a below .500 record. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - with 16 total starters returning are 76-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play USC to cover |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Connecticut v. Central Florida UNDER 56 | 17-49 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show | |
UConn has averaged 13.8 ppg on offense this season and my projections estimate a even lower aggregate here vs UCF that allows just 15.8 ppg at home vs better competition. This outlook leans heavy on this being a game that will not see this combined score eclipse the offered number. Note: UCF allowed 55 points in a loss to SMU last week, but prior to that they allowed 7, 7 10 points respectively and a return to strong defensive play is key here for the home side. Malzahn is 10-1 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 44.5 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (UCF) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game.are 24-3 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with a combined average of 42.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Illinois-Chicago +19.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
11-20-21 | North Carolina v. Purdue -6.5 | 84-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
11-20-21 | Rice v. UTEP -8.5 | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (RICE) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 1-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at -19 ppg. Play on UTEP |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Arkansas v. Alabama -20.5 | 35-42 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
Alabama has crushed Arkansas 100-10 count in the last two meetings and Im betting on another beatdown here, as the Tide ramp up into championship form, especially on defense, where they have allowed just 15.8 ppg at home this season. Alabama is 5-1 ATS as home favorite of less than 24 points. Lay and it and play it on Alabama to cover |
|||||||
11-20-21 | UAB +4.5 v. UTSA | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
The UTSA Roadrunners come into this game undefeated, but Im betting they will have their hands full with UAB this week in a key game. Its alot of pressure for a team to stay undefeated in College Football, and Im betting they feel the heat here today vs a UAB side that is ntorious for picking up big wins in key games. Note: The Blazers allow a little over 100 rushing yards per game, and they lead the league in total defense. Defence wins championships and in this case gets us the cover in this spot play. |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Villanova -125 v. Tennessee | 71-53 | Win | 100 | 1 h 10 m | Show | |
11-20-21 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Oklahoma | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
Iowa State has big time revenge on board vs Oklahoma this Saturday , after having their butts handed to them in last year’s Big 12 Championship. Note:Iowa State is a profitable 5-1 ATS L/6 away with conference revenge .I know the Cyclones are also off a loss last week in heart breaking fashion, but now that will make them even hungrier as a collective. Advantage Iowa State. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OKLAHOMA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in weeks 10 through 13 are 45-85 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.(Lost a Baylor last week 27-14) |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -4 | 27-48 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
Clemson slowly but surely has gotten back towards championship form and now must be respected here at home to handle a one way Wake Forest offensive juggernaut. The Clemson D, Im betting will give Wake a real test, while the Deacons D, is usually their weak link and wont stand up very well in the end. (Wake ha allowed an average of 42 ppg on the road this season) Clemson HC Swinney is 14-2 SU L/16 when having won three straight games.. WAKE FOREST is 0-6 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road underdogs (WAKE FOREST) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 50-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Clemson to cover |
|||||||
11-19-21 | Bulls v. Nuggets -3 | 114-108 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
The Bulls are playing much better hoops but they are in a bad spot here at the tail end of their West Coast rodeo tour as they play their 5th straight road game in the thin air of Mile High city. Im betting on Denver here taking advantage of their tired hosts. Denver has won 19 of the L/23 meetings here in Denver. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DENVER) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Denver to cover |
|||||||
11-19-21 | Air Force +2 v. Nevada | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 36 h 11 m | Show | |
Air Force has impressed me this season, winning the stats battles in 9 of 10 games and are 4-0 SU/ATS on the road this season and after watching them take down Colorado state last time out on the road by a 35-21 margin it became clear they are for real. Now the talented and gritty Falcons crew take to the road again and Im betting they wont be intimidated at all here by a Nevada side that did not completely live up to expectations this season and now in a emotional letdown spot, after losing a key heart breaker to San Diego State last week. . CFB team (AIR FORCE) - after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game are 55-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Air Force to cover |
|||||||
11-19-21 | Memphis v. Houston UNDER 60 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Memphis games have not eclipsed the total in 4 straight opportunities. Meanwhile, I know Houston ash really been lighting up the scoreboard but it must be noted Holgorsen is 8-0 UNDER L/8 after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games in all games he has coached with a combined average of 52.7 ppg scored. Im expecting a harder fought battle than many expect with less points than the most expect. MEMPHIS is 23-5 UNDER L/28 in road games in weeks 10 through 13 . CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (HOUSTON) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 33-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 52.3 ppg. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-19-21 | Memphis +9 v. Houston | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
There is alot of pressure here on the Houston Cougars as a win this week against a dangerous Memphis side and another next week vs UConn and HC Holgernson and company will take on Cincinnati in the AC Conference Championship game. However, Memphis would love to play spoiler here and they do have the offensive weapons to make Houston sweat and to get us the all important cover. Note: Memphis is 5-1 SU/ 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series and must be respected because of their explosiveness and ability to get a upset win or backdoor cover. |
|||||||
11-19-21 | Florida International -3.5 v. Green Bay | 63-60 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Florida International to cover |
|||||||
11-19-21 | Lakers v. Celtics -1.5 | 108-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
The Celtics enter this game against the Lakers with a 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games as a favorite. Celtics are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and offer us an edge at home a short line. BOSTON is 4-0 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons. Lakers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. LA LAKERS are 2-13 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 5-15 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Celtics to cover |
|||||||
11-19-21 | Pacers v. Hornets -1.5 | 118-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Charlotte has won 4 straight games while Indiana has lost 2 straight. Ill chase the momentum here and the side playing in top from at home. INDIANA is 15-27 ATS L/42 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 5-18 ATS ( after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 28-12 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CHARLOTTE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 47-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Charlotte to cover |
|||||||
11-19-21 | NC-Greensboro v. Massachusetts OVER 130.5 | 90-93 | Win | 100 | 1 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Raptors v. Jazz OVER 214.5 | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
TORONTO is 24-11 OVER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average for 225.6 ppg . Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 Thursday games. Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games following a straight up loss. Over is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 77-37 OVER L/5 seasons for 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team. are 56-24 OVER L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Raptors +10.5 v. Jazz | 103-119 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Toronto has fallen from their previous championship levels but they are still a talented team. Yes, they are in a funk, but correcting their current skid is not going to be problem going forward if they can stay relatively healthy. As for tonights battle against top tier opponent Utah, Im betting they will be competitive and get us the cover. Note: Raptors are 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Utah. Raptors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Raptors are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog. Play on the Raptors to cover |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Jets +132 v. Oilers | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Connor McDavid is no doubt a scoring super star and the Oilers are taking on his momentum to be recognized as attacking juggernauts. The fans love this type of hockey, but I still feel the Oilers can be undisciplined at times, as was the case in a 5-2 loss at Winnipeg the other night and are vulnerable vs disciplined sides like Winnipeg. With the Jets top tier goalie Hellebuyck, in top form as is evident by his current to 6-0-2 run over his last eight games Im betting we have value here with the invaders. Jets are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.Jets are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. Pacific.Oilers are 1-4 in their last 5 in the second game of a home-and-home situation. Play on Winnipeg to win |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Patriots v. Falcons +6.5 | 25-0 | Loss | -102 | 59 h 24 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons suffered their worst loss in almost 20 years this past Sunday vs Dallas 43-3 and with that said it must be noted pros do not like to be embarrassed. Remember these NFL rosters are made up of some of the top athletes in the world, and they own some of the biggest egos on earth. Im expecting a big effort from the entire Falcons group here at home in this national broadcast tilt and what Ill peg as redemption night in Georgia. I know New England smashed Cleveland last time out by a 45-7 count , but a repeat performance is unlikely here as is Atlanta having another muted offensive effort. Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.Patriots are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win.Patriots are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win. ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Atlanta to cover |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Clippers -1 v. Grizzlies | 108-120 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
The Clippers are in strong current form having won 8 of their L/9 games overall. Meanwhile, Memphis has been less than consistent and are off snapping a 3 game losing streak. From a SRS perspective the Clippers are ranked 4th in the NBA ( 6.57) while the Grizzlies are ranked 22nd ( -2.31). Even with home court advantage, the Clippers according to the data is the superior team even with their injury issues and the Grizzlies playing with a healthy group tonight. The Grizzlies took out the the Clippers in Los Angeles on Oct. 23, 120-114 and now with revenge on board for the visitors a return of the favor is a strong possibility. LA CLIPPERS are 44-28 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 57-5 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 7-30 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Spurs +3 v. Wolves | 90-115 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Both these sides to do inspire me, but what does stand out, is that the Wolves are not a side that should be laying points under any circumstances in their current form even at home vs another struggling side. From a SRS perspective - Spurs are ranked 23rd while the Wolves were ranked 24th. Advantage Spurs. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Timberwolves are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. MINNESOTA is 7-21 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. is 9-21 ATS after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Texas-Arlington +11.5 v. North Texas | 36-64 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
11-18-21 | Ball State v. Florida International -1 | 60-73 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Louisville v. Duke OVER 60 | 62-22 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Duke cant stop the run or the pass, and they have pretty well given up any kind of gritty play which is necessary when looking for strong defensive efforts.Duke has allowed and average of 45 points per game in their L/4 trips to the gridiron. Duke also ranks (104th in Success Rate Allowed via the run), (103rd in Success Rate Allowed via the pass) or the big play (124th). The Blue Devils have had success running the ball as was the case vs Virginia Tech and Im betting they have the same success again which will open play action down field for some scores vs a Louisville secondary that gets torched for big plays mostly because they open up the field because of not being able to stop opposing ground attacks. Meanwhile, Louisville really put the boots to a good Syracuse D last week, by scoring 41 points, by mostly running our side the tackles, which Im betting will be a successful formula this week, vs a side that is porous and slow at best. This game has the makings of a big ugly scoring slugfest. DUKE is 11-2 OVER in home games off 2 consecutive losses by 10 points or more to conference rivals with a combined average of 63 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (LOUISVILLE) - after a win by 21 or more points against opponent after 3 straight losses by 21 or more points are 25-6 OVER L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Rangers +158 v. Maple Leafs | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
The Rangers are 6-2-2 on the road, including a 2-1 overtime victory in Toronto on Oct. 18 and are currently in top form. Meanwhile, Toronto has played well at home, but they have had problems with the Rangers from a historical standpoint losing 5 of the L/6 meetings overall and 7 of the L/9 as hosts. Considering how well the Rangers two way game is , Im going to back the road side to cash on a value line. Rangers are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Maple Leafs are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Metropolitan. Play on NY Rangers to win |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Lightning -124 v. Flyers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
The Lightning are good bet to get their third consecutive win when they visit Philadelphia. The Bolts are also in top form and have recorded a 6-0-2 in its last eight games and have won their L/4 visits here. Meanwhile, Philadelphia won last time out, but that has not been a recipe for success in the past as they have lost 20 of their L/26 tilts after a victory. The way I see this game is that, the flyers are a one way type of team ( offense) and when they are struggling to score like they have been of late, they are not a viable side to back. Ill take the defending cup champs as a low price fav. Play on TB to win |
|||||||
11-18-21 | Pennsylvania v. Utah State UNDER 141.5 | 79-87 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
11-17-21 | Bulls v. Blazers OVER 219.5 | 107-112 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
My projections make this total a little low, as my estimates says we should see a combined score into lower 220s. Over is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. PORTLAND is 14-4 OVER in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined 233.4 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 41-19 OVER after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.6 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 on the opening line (CHICAGO) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 36-11 OVER L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
11-17-21 | Blackhawks v. Seattle Kraken -148 | 4-2 | Loss | -148 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Based on the style of hockey each team plays my power rankings give credence to the home side Seattle getting the win here this evening. I know new Blackhawsk HC Derek King has won all 3 games since taking over from fired Jeremy Colliton, but the magic of 3 comes to end in this spot play. Blackhawks are 17-37 in their last 54 games as a road underdog.Blackhawks are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Pacific. NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (SEATTLE) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two terrible teams (30% or less) in the first half of the season are 30-3 L/25 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. Play on Seattle to win |
|||||||
11-17-21 | UC-Davis +1 v. Pepperdine | 67-72 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UC Davis is off a 2-0 start and won on the road against Utah state which is never an easy out. the Aggies going back to last season have won 5 of their L/.6 road games and are according to my early season power rankings the superior side in this matchup vs Pepperdine (-1-2) and off a OT loss. CAL DAVIS is 14-5 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. PEPPERDINE is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.PEPPERDINE is 1-9 ATS in home games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Play on UC Davis to cover |
|||||||
11-17-21 | Avalanche v. Canucks +143 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
The injuries have been frequent and significant for the Colorado Avalanche this season, but they have not overly effected them yet. Key word is yet, but tonight against a desperate Vancouver team that is struggling , Im betting they are vulnerable to being defeated. Canucks General Manager Jim Benning is on the hot seat, and Im sure he in turn will put a boatload of pressure on the coaching staff which in turn will translate to making sure that the Canucks personal puts in a top tier effort in what could be a redemption type game vs top tier competition. When jobs are at stake, you can bet that the odds favor your position in a league that has a significant amount of parity. Avalanche are 2-6 in their last 8 road games.Avalanche are 5-14 in the last 19 meetings in Vancouver. NHLRoad teams against the money line (COLORADO) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more against opponent after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game are 16-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home teams against the money line (VANCOUVER) - off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 37-14 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vancouver to win |
|||||||
11-17-21 | Rockets +3.5 v. Thunder | 89-101 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Houston may not inspire bettors especially after the ugly effort they out out last time on the court in a 136-102 loss to Memphis and their current 12 game losing streak and 1-13 overall record but it must be noted that their one win came this same Oklahoma City side, and repeat performance is not out of the question. HOUSTON is 11-0 ATS L/11 in road games after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more . NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 52-24 ATS L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with the Rockets |
|||||||
11-17-21 | Central Michigan v. Ball State OVER 58.5 | 37-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
This total opened around 63 on the board , but than sharp money has come in ever since and driven the number down to a bit to much according to my projections which sets my estimates in at 61 which gives us almost a FG edge to the over. I know we are expecting to see some rain in Muncie tonight, but the field turf @ Scheumann Stadium will handle it well. Note: Central Michigan has allowed 39, 30 and 30 points respectively in their L/30 while scoring 38, 42,54 points in their L/3 overall. Even if the Chippewas regress because of weather and other reasons Im betting on them putting out a +30 out offensive output here, while allowing +30 points to a Ball State offense that has shown flashes of brilliance scoring 45 on Western Michigan and 38 points on Eastern Michigan. At this offering we have value to the OVER. McElwain is 8-1 OVER (when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of C MICHIGAN with the average combined score clicking in at 69.7 ppg.C MICHIGAN in their L/9 November games over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 68.5 ppg scored. Neu is 6-0 OVER in home games off a road loss against a conference rival as the coach of BALL ST with the average combined score registering at 73 ppg. BALL ST in their L/9 games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons have seen a average team offensive output of 34.9 ppg. Play OVER Play OVER |
|||||||
11-17-21 | Boston College v. Rhode Island -5 | 49-57 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Boston has started their season shooting the lights out, but this will be their first road game and now I expect regression here against a Rhode Island side that present alot of defensive pressure Note:. BC has also shot a very low charity stripe rate (63.9 %), and as this game goes late, that could easily be a advantage for Rhode Island getting us the cover. BOSTON COLLEGE is 3-11 ATS after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
|
|||||||
11-17-21 | IUPU-Indianapolis +10 v. Texas-San Antonio | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
11-16-21 | BYU +4.5 v. Oregon | 81-49 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BYU to cover |
|||||||
11-16-21 | Coyotes v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Arizona has almost no offensive flow as is evident by scoring 2 goals or less in 10 of their L/12 games and 9 of those games score 1 goal or less . Im betting nothing from a offensive perspective changes tonight as we see the downtrodden Coyotes try to keep this game within reach by playing a strong defensive game with conservative over tones. Under is 6-0 in Coyotes last 6 games as a road underdog.Under is 6-0 in Coyotes last 6 road games ARIZONA is 10-2 UNDER in road games after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons ARIZONA is 6-0 UNDER against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or more of their chances this season. Under is 8-2 in Blues last 10 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-16-21 | Warriors v. Nets -2.5 | 117-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
These are Two talented teams playing top tier hoops, but home court advantage will be the difference maker here this evening where Brooklyn is 10-4 SU with the average margin of victory coming by 5 ppg. Brooklyn ha won the two most recent meetings in this series by big DD deficits. Rinse and repeat at least on the victory front. BROOKLYN is 9-1 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 13-1 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 46-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams (BROOKLYN) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, in November games are 27-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rare for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
|||||||
11-16-21 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan +5.5 | 21-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
E.Michigan is bowl eligible, but must garner a victory tonight and beat Northern Illinois next week , as well some other uncontrollable good luck to be able to get a share of the MAC West title. Needless to say Im betting the Eagles will leave everything on the field today vs a Western Michigan team that gives up alot of big plays in the secondary. Eagles are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight up loss. Creighton is 13-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) as the coach of E MICHIGAN. Eagles are 27-12 ATS in their last 39 games as an underdog. W MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. W MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 2 seasons.W MICHIGAN is 3-12 ATS L/15 as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. Broncos are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games. Lester is 0-6 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of W MICHIGAN. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (E MICHIGAN) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 38-11 ATS L/29 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
|||||||
11-16-21 | Flames -112 v. Flyers | 1-2 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
The Flyers are off a 5-2 loss to the struggling Dallas Stars on Saturday, while the Flames took a 4-0 win vs Ottawa for their 5th shutout in their L/13 games. That win by Calgary snapped a 3 game losing streak, and now they have momentum coming into this tilt vs a Philadelphia side that they have beaten 5 straight times. Flyers are 4-11 in their last 15 games as a home underdog. CALGARY is 5-0 ATS off a road win this season. Flames are 6-2 in their last 8 road games.Flames are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win.Flames are 36-17 in their last 53 vs. Eastern Conference.Flames are 38-18 in their last 56 vs. Metropolitan. Play on Calgary to win |
|||||||
11-16-21 | Jacksonville +18 v. UCF | 54-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (UCF) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 3-25 ATS 29 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. JACKSONVILLE is 7-0 ATS after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. Play on Jacksonville to cover |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Long Beach State v. UCLA UNDER 147.5 | 79-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
11-15-21 | Raptors v. Blazers -1.5 | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
The Raptors have lost 4 of their L/5 games and in no way should be looked at as contenders . This team does not resemble their championship side, and despite of being competitive are fade material in tonight in this spot play on tired legs as they play their 4th game in 6 nights including their 3rd road game in that period. In their loss to the Pistons last time exhaustion looked to be a major factor and Im betting that will factor in what Im betting will be loss tonight. Yes, I know the Blazers have also had a brutal schedule, but playing at home where they have won 5 straight tilts will be the difference maker. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (TORONTO) - a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 125 points or more are 3-33 L/25 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.6 ppg. Play on Portland to cover |
|||||||
11-15-21 | CS Sacramento +5.5 v. Cal Poly | 58-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on Sacramento |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Suns -3.5 v. Wolves | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
After a slow start the Suns have exploded into top form and deserve respect here as short road favs . The Suns have won 8 straight and have covered this offered spread all 8 times. Rinse and repeat vs an inferior opponent according to my power rankings. PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS in November games this season. PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Finch is 0-8 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season as the coach of MINNESOTA. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 5-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Road favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - after successfully covering the spread in 7 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 27-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.3 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. Play on Phoenix to cover |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Suns v. Wolves OVER 222 | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Minnesota has allowed 4 of their L/6 opponents to breach the 123 point plateau and tonight my projections estimate the Suns will produce a +119 to +129 point offensive output which gives an edge to this offered total being eclipsed. Minnesota owns a 24th ranking in Defensive Net rating and are ranked 9th in pace. Phoenix ranks 3rd in offensive ppg and 4th in pace. MINNESOTA is 16-3 OVER after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 season with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 44-25 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.6 ppg going on the board in those 69 tilts. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MINNESOTA) - after one or more consecutive overs, a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) are 24-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rare for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a road loss are 31-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Buffalo v. North Texas +1 | 69-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Furman +6.5 v. Belmont | 89-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Furman has won their first two games of the season including a win vs Lousiville.The Paladins also snapped the Cardinals' 59-game winning streak in November home games, including a 46-0 mark in the KFC Yum! Center and must be respected here as underdogs. Play on Furman |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Pelicans v. Wizards -2.5 | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
The Wizards enter this game in top form as is evident by their current 4 game win streak including victories in 7 of their L/9 trips to the court. Meanwhile, the Pelicans ended a 9 game losing streak last time out vs Memphis last time out as underdogs. With said, I expect the Wizards will not overlook tonights opposition after seeing what they did to the sleeping Grizzlies last time out and will be very prepared to take down their opponents here even though their big star Bradley Beal is out. NEW ORLEANS is 9-27 ATS L/36 in road games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog.NEW ORLEANS is 3-14 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 15-2 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 37-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.5 ppg. Play on Washington to cover NBA Favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams scored 105 points or less are 25-1 L/25 seasons for a 96% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 ppg. |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Celtics v. Cavs +3 | 98-92 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Cleveland is operating at a very high level and have won 6 of their L/7 games and from a a betting perspective are 10-1-1 ATS L/12 as they are being consistently under rated by the lines-makers. I know Boston has revenge on board for a home loss to Cleveland a couple of days ago (91-89). But in the words of Mick Jagger of the Rolling Stones you don't always get what they want. With that said, Ill take the points with the the upstart side. BOSTON is 9-20 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 7-17 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season.CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. Bickerstaff is 15-4 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games in all games he has coached. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 10-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 185 points or less are 43-13 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Road teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after a combined score of 185 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 195 points or less are 10-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Kings v. Pistons +5 | 129-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Sacramento has lost 4 straight games and nothing is coming easy for them at this time, so their status as Road chalk here at this offering is dubious even against the Pistons, who incidentally have won 2 of their L/3 and have been competitive in 4 straight games with one loss coming to top tier Brooklyn by just 6 points. Advantage resides with a Pistons side that has cashed 3 of the L/4 meetings in this series overall. Kings are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite.Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall SACRAMENTO is 4-14 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Play on Detroit to cover |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Islanders +119 v. Lightning | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Play on NY Islanders to win |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Islanders v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
The Islanders were embarrassed last time out losing by a 4-0 count to NJ a team they should have beaten. HC Barry Trotz called the team after that ugly event and now Im expecting a bounce back performance behind top tier goalie Sorokin and a D that must be considered to of the top tier variety. Note:NY ISLANDERS are 8-0 UNDER off an embarrassing road loss where they were shut out over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 2.9 gpg going the board.NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 3.9 gpg scored. Meanwhile, TB has not allowed more than 2 goals in 6 straight games, and another top tier defensive effort must be expected against a Isles team that struggles on the power play and operates and generates almost all their offense out of transition in conservative fashion. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Illinois v. Marquette +8 | 66-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
11-15-21 | St. Thomas +8.5 v. Fordham | 78-84 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on st. thomas |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets -6 | 95-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Denver is heating up and have won 4 straight games, and are now playing optimally making them viable favs here vs a inconsistent Portland side that is now playing their 4th straight road game on tired legs . The exhaustion from their current away trek and the difficulties of playing on the Mile high City makes the Blazers vulnerable . Denver is 6-1 at home this season, with the average margin of victory coming by an average of 7.9 ppg. My projections make this a +8 or more victory for the Nuggets giving us value with this line. Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - after allowing 105 points or less 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 95 points or less are 32-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 ppg which qualifies on the ATS line. Play on Denver to cover |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 209 | 95-124 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Denver s top tier D, have not allowed 9 of their L/12 opponents to breach the 98 point plateau ranking first in ppg allowed and ranking 26th in pace behind the leagues 27th worst ppg offense. Meanwhile, Portland averages 104 ppg on the road this season, but my projections estimate at least 6% drop in output here based on a analytical chart I use which equates, into a 97.76 team score , while Denver is estimated to score 107 points, giving us more than a full possession advantage on this totals offering making this a viable bet based in my projections, DENVER is 8-1 UNDER vs poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 196.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 7-0 UNDER as a favorite this season with a combined average of 196 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 55-25 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Canucks v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
The Canucks will enter off a 7-4 loss to the Vegas Golden Knights on Saturday and are now on tired legs and in need of shoring up their defensive play, which will play a factor in what Im betting will be lower scoring affair here tonight in Anaheim vs a well rested Ducks team. VANCOUVER is 31-17 UNDER in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less power plays/game over the last 2 seasons. ANAHEIM is 25-13 UNDER in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the total (VANCOUVER) - after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored are 95-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (ANAHEIM) - after a blowout win by 3 goals or more against opponent after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored are 181-100 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Eagles +2.5 v. Broncos | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 59 h 57 m | Show | |
The Broncos have won 2 straight games including a big upset on the road against the Dallas Cowboys last week. Last weeks victory ended a 5 game streak where they lost they stats battle so Im not that impressed by the surprising win, as their over all work must be considered. I know Philadelphia may not inspire bettors but QB Jalen Hurts continues to improve, and hes a handful for most defenses, and according to my rankings he matches up well here and should have a good day as a dual threat pivot. Im betting Hurts will be the difference maker today. Denver has failed to cover 16 of their 24 games as a home favorite in tilts after winning straight-up as a dog, including 1-10-1 ATS if they are off back to back SUATS wins. DENVER is 17-38 ATS L/55 in home games off a non-conference game. NFL team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - mistake-free team 1.25 or less TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced, after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 46-14 SU L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road underdogs or pick (PHILADELPHIA) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after a game where they committed no turnovers are 23-4 ATS L/39 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Eagles to cover |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Bills v. Jets +13 | 45-17 | Loss | -124 | 54 h 15 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills lost in shocking fashion to the Jacksonville Jaguars last time out with a bizarre 9-6 score attached to it. Buffalo is now 0-3 ATS this season as double-digit road favorites. I know many expect, the now inconsistent Bills to come out here spitting bullets ,as they look for a quick redemption result, but laying almost two TDs in a divisional road game seems a bit much in my opinion. Especially with NYJ incumbent QB Mike White under center. With that said, the Jets will not easy targets and get my support here getting points as a home dog. Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.Jets are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Jets are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - with a good first half defense - 7 or less points per game, after allowing 14 points or less last game are 8-30 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Favorites of 10.5 or more points (BUFFALO) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 8-29 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Saints +3 v. Titans | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 54 h 52 m | Show | |
RB Adrian Peterson who has lots of miles on him is now the Titans No.1 running back as Tennessee’ has to move forward without the injured Derrick Henry for at least the rest of the regular season . That will be a difficult transition for a offense that leans hard on Henry to move the chains. Yes, I know the Titans have played smash mouth football of late against top tier competition, but that kind of action takes a toll on a team, and now this week against the Saints Im betting we see some exhaustion play a part in making the Titans vulnerable home favs. Note: NFL teams like Tennessee off 4 straight underdog wins have covered just 1 of their L/7 opportunities as favs in their followup tilt. TENNESSEE is also just 3-15 ATS off an upset win by 10 or more as a road underdog which was the case after a DD win vs the Rams last week. NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE) - after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 28-62 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Florida State -1 v. Florida | 55-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
The Seminoles were fourth in the nation in defensive turnover rate last season (32.5%) while the Gators ranked 57th (21.2%) in turnover rate.In a closely contested affair this key analytic will be the difference maker. Florida State is the bigger team overall so Im betting they will wreak alot of havoc and pressure the Gators into mistakes giving them the edge. Florida State has won and covered in five straight meetings vs Florida and nothing changes today. Gators are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. White is 19-31 ATS as an underdog as the coach of FLORIDA. Hamilton is 82-63 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of FLORIDA ST. Play on FSU to cover |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Yale +13 v. Seton Hall | 44-80 | Loss | -116 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
Ivy League member Yale exhibits a strong very deep group that must be respected behind seniors Azar Swain and Jalen Gibbidon. Yale can score and bunches and will not be easily intimidated because of their experience. Meanwhile.Seton Hall could be without key component Jared Rhoden ( ankle injury) and if he plays he will be less than 100% or see limited time. Advantage Yale . Pirates are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. YALE is 13-2 ATS after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdogBulldogs are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Play on. Yale to cover |
|||||||
11-13-21 | Nevada v. San Diego State -141 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show | |
Im betting the difference maker here tonight is the Aztecs top tier Defence. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (SAN DIEGO ST) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games are 37-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. San Diego State to win |
|||||||
11-13-21 | Texas +7.5 v. Gonzaga | 74-86 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
Texas brings in a deep experienced group that will not easily be intimidated by their super star opponents Gonzaga. Chris Beard the new HC for the Longhorns is every bit the coach that Mark Few is and Im expecting the better chess master (Beard ) to have the edge. Talent wise Gonzaga racks up as the best in the nation, but we must not under rate the group after Beard smashed and grabbed his way into via the transfer portal by brining in former Minnesota Gopher, Marcus Carr, and Dylan Disu from Vanderbilt, Tre Mitchell ( UMass) , and Timmy Allen ( Utah), and Christian Bishop from Creighton . Wow. What a group and Beard just didnt go out and get scorers he wanted a cohesive group and that was evident in game 1 . Texas chemistry may shock some and in the end their No.5 ranking maybe short lived to the upside.) Take the points with Texas to cover |
|||||||
11-13-21 | Mississippi Valley State v. California Baptist -28.5 | 66-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
This is long way to go for Mississippi State traveling east to west to play in an extremely unfriendly environment that has a good fan base @ California Baptist. In their opener the Delta Devils were blasted and lost to St.John's 119-61 (+58 diff) and another beat down Im betting is on Saturday nights agenda by a Lancers team that must be respected as one of the better teams in the WAC. CBB Road underdogs of 20 or more points (MISS VALLEY ST) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 175 points or more are 10-35 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. California Baptist to cover |
|||||||
11-13-21 | Celtics v. Cavs +3 | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Celtics are off a big win in OT last night vs Milwaukee. With that said, Im now betting on them being in an emotional and physical letdown spot as they play back to back nights on very tired legs. Thats a good omen for a Cavaliers cover with what has recently been a hard working Cleveland Cavaliers side with a never say die attitude. The Cavaliers have also been consistently under rated by the lines-makers, as is evident by the following trends.Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and longer term are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Celtics are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Cleveland. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 65-24 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Take the points with Cleveland |
|||||||
11-13-21 | NC State v. Wake Forest -1 | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 30 h 47 m | Show | |
Wake Forest explosive offense Im betting will really be aggressive and attack the Wolpacks D which has allowed over 400 yards in three of its last five games. Advantage Wake Forest. WAKE FOREST is 6-0 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons. NC STATE is 1-10 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team (WAKE FOREST) - after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 39-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (WAKE FOREST) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games are 37-2 L/10 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wake Forest to cover |