Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-03-20 | Connecticut -1 v. USC | 61-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Mohegan Sun Arena - Uncasville, CT Dating back to last season, the UConn Huskies are currently on a 10-2 run which includes three straight up wins as underdogs. I know USC is highly talented, but being out of their natural time zone Im betting the Trojans flow will be effected. CONNECTICUT is 13-4 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Hurley is 14-4 ATS L/18 as a neutral court favorite or pick in all games he has coached. CBB team (USC) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 68-119 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UConn to cover |
|||||||
12-03-20 | Louisiana Tech v. North Texas UNDER 66.5 | 42-31 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
Skip Holtz and LA Tech have not played since Halloween and Im betting his offence will be rusty and take time to get into a flow here. Meanwhile, North Texas despite of showing some defensive deficiencies this season, will according to my projections hold down the fort to an extent, and help keep this tilt on the low side of the slightly bloated number. Also look for The Mean Green to pound the ball on the ground against a Tech side that has had problems stopping the run whihc will eat clock time in a hurry. Note: Holtz is 10-1 UNDER in road games vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing 8.5 or more passing yards/att. in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average score of 43.7 ppg going on the board. LOUISIANA TECH is 11-1 UNDER in road games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 45.9 ppg scored. NORTH TEXAS is 9-0 UNDER after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 56.3 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (North Texas/ LOUISIANA TECH) - when playing on a Thursday are 50-20 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-03-20 | Washington v. Utah UNDER 135.5 | 62-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-03-20 | Chicago State v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 140 | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-02-20 | Illinois v. Baylor -5 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Illinois is a strong defensive side, but their pack line defense Im betting has problems with a Baylor side that likes to throw alot of screens and have a bevy of scorers that can do alot of damage. Bottom line :Illinois has looked explosive against two ugly betty opponents, but when they faced Ohio they did not look good and barely escaped with a win. With that said look for the Bears bevy of top tier talent at the guard position to wreak havoc on Illinois over flow in transition at both ends of the court .Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite. Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Baylor to cover |
|||||||
12-02-20 | Oregon State v. Washington State UNDER 139 | 55-59 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-02-20 | Arkansas State v. Memphis OVER 142 | 54-83 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-02-20 | Southern Illinois v. SE Missouri State UNDER 137 | 87-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-02-20 | Murray State -7 v. Middle Tennessee | 61-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
The Murray State Racers scored a record-breaking season opening win 173-95 over the visiting Greenville Panthers at the CFSB Center in Murray, Ky. While Im not expecting a repeat I do expect the Racers to over run another opponent. Racers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Racers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.Racers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Blue Raiders are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Blue Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Blue Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. |
|||||||
12-02-20 | VCU v. Penn State UNDER 143.5 | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-02-20 | Texas v. North Carolina OVER 136.5 | 69-67 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-01-20 | Kentucky v. Kansas -4 | 62-65 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
No. 7 Kansas and No. 20 Kentucky go head to head in a game that Im betting favors a more experienced side.The Jayhawks’ key to success has been physical man-to-man defense that Im betting will eventually fluster this young Wildcats group. Bill self is a long term winner vs non conference opposition registering a 58% ATS November win percentage . Play on Kansas to cover |
|||||||
12-01-20 | South Dakota v. Nebraska OVER 150 | 69-76 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-01-20 | Central Michigan +4 v. Florida International | 76-96 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
FIU looked weak defensively versus division-two opponent Flagler in their opening two wins. That will be problematic here for FIU vs a Central Michigan team that exhibited a great deal of grit and spirited action vs UIC in their opener a game that they maybe should have won. Today Ill take what looks to be a physical Chips crew vs what seems to be a lazy group of Panthers. Play on Central Michigan to cover |
|||||||
12-01-20 | Cleveland State v. Toledo UNDER 139 | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-01-20 | Davidson +1.5 v. Providence | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
12-01-20 | Valparaiso v. Illinois-Chicago UNDER 139.5 | 50-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-01-20 | Green Bay v. Wisconsin UNDER 149 | 42-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-30-20 | Stanford v. Alabama UNDER 148.5 | 82-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
11-30-20 | Pacific v. Nevada -5.5 | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The Nevada men's basketball team, off to a 2-0 start and are looking like a viable favorite here today vs Pacific.Wolf Pack are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.Wolf Pack are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite.Wolf Pack are also 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Meanwhile, Pacifc despite of being 1-0 with a win vs Riverside, Im betting dont have the guns to hang here as they play without their top player from last season Khalil Tripp. Play on Nevada to cover |
|||||||
11-30-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles UNDER 49 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
These teams offenses do not run a very high speeds. Seattle is ranked in the middle of league in pace with the Eagles offense ranks 25th in pace. Both these offensive lines rank 31st and 32nd in adjusted sack rate, which will Im betting makes for some stalled plays and adjusted yards that see backward movement. Philadelphia offense overall rank 30th overall and 30th in passing offense and Im betting their lack of explosiveness will also hamper the combined points basket here. Meanwhile, the Eagles D, continues to improve, and deserves respect here against Wilson and company. On the flips side I know the caveat here is the Seahawks Defense, but it is uptrending in my charts, and now that they are getting heal-their could easily continue to improve. With Seahawks Carroll recently deciding to revert back to a more run heavy attack, Im projecting a more grinding game than the lines-makers might expect. Under is 9-4 in Seahawks last 13 games as a road favorite. Under is 7-2 in Seahawks last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games overall.Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 Monday games.Under is 12-3 in Eagles last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 vs. NFC.Under is 13-3 in Eagles last 16 games in November.T he Eagles are 0-15 UNDER L/15 at home facing a team allowing more than 21 points per game with a combined average of 35.13 ppg going on the board with none of the 15 games going over this total. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-30-20 | Auburn v. UCF OVER 141.5 | 55-63 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-30-20 | Georgia State v. Mercer +2.5 | 69-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Hawkins Arena has been kind to the Bears in recent years. Each of the past two seasons, Mercer has gone 9-6 on their home floor. In 2017-18, the Bears were 11-3 inside Hawkins Arena and tonight Im betting they have an edge behind a group that shares the ball well.Currently, the Bears rank first in the Southern Conference and ninth in the country with 41 assists. Neftali Alvarez leads the team with 15 assists (7.5 apg) through two games abd have the edge vs Georgia State.
Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Play on Mercer to cover |
|||||||
11-30-20 | Bowling Green v. Appalachian State OVER 149.5 | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-30-20 | Indiana -1 v. Providence | 79-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Maui Invitational Providence despite of teeing of on MAAC side Fairfield in their opener may take time to get going offensively this season vs Power 5 teams as they replace alot of last years key scoring attributes with Alpha Diallo (14.1 ppg), Luwane Pipkins (10.8 ppg), and Maliek White (7.8 ppg) all gone. Meanwhile, considering Miller-coached teams key on defense, and the fact the Hoosiers finished 26th last year in adjusted defensive efficiency makes me feel like Indiana could bring home the cash today in a neutral floor environment as short chalk vs a side that may take time to flow and generate the same kind of numbers they did last season.Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.Friars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as an underdog. Friars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Play on Indiana to cover |
|||||||
11-29-20 | Bears v. Packers -9 | 25-41 | Win | 100 | 34 h 33 m | Show | |
Mighty Indianapolis squeaked out a 34-31 win vs the Green Bay Packers last time out, and now the Im betting on the Packers to be primed to bounce back in a big way this week and take out their frustrations vs the Bears side that has lost four straight games . It must be noted that Under Matt Fleur, the Packers are a perfect 5-0 SU/ ATS off a defeat, winning every game by more than a TD. Also QB Rodgers’ owns a 7-0 ATS record in his last seven games when coming off a loss. Play on Green Bay to cover |
|||||||
11-29-20 | North Dakota State v. Creighton -22.5 | 58-69 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
11-29-20 | Chiefs v. Bucs UNDER 56.5 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
The Bucs are dealing with injuries along the offensive line with injuries to A.Q. Shipley, Ali Marpet and Donovan Smith and Im betting their offensive flow will be interrupted as they struggle to protect senior QB Tom Brady. Meanwhile, on the flipside as explosive as KC can be Im also betting they will be in tough here today vs an impressive Bucs defensive front. Under is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 9-4 in Buccaneers last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NFL away teams like like the Chiefs that won more than ten games the previous regular season and are not on a four-plus game losing streak are 0-23 UNDER L/23 when they are off a away tilt, and have an average turnover margin of more than one-half, and they are now going against a side that has averaged more than 36.5 passes per game season to date. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
11-29-20 | Titans v. Colts -3 | 45-26 | Loss | -120 | 98 h 50 m | Show | |
Indianapolis got the better of Tennessee in their first meeting of the season, and are just the better more balanced side in my opinion. Philip Rivers is on a mission and seeing the field well, and has been a sharp shooter fitting passes into very tight openings, while the Colts’ running game is now in top tier form making them the complete package thanks to an over powering D. The Tennessee Titans are 0-16 SU and 2-14 ATS L/16 as single-digit division road underdogs, including 0-11 SUATS the last eleven. Play on Indianapolis to cover |
|||||||
11-29-20 | Chargers v. Bills -4.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show | |
It must be noted that ESPN data says NFL rookie quarterbacks from California teams are 1-14 straight up since the merger in Eastern Time zones. This keys in on Chargers rookie QB Justin Hebert in his visit to play a strong Buffalo bills side that is well rested and off a bye week.. It must also be noted that the Chargers are 1-9 SU and 0-10 ATS against foes coming off a Bye week. Buffalo Bills to cover |
|||||||
11-29-20 | Dolphins -6.5 v. Jets | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
The Jets have been eliminated from the playoffs and are showing no signs of life after losing the stats battle in 10 straight games. NYJ D is allowing a whopping 5.9 yards per play and 31st in defensive passing success and are allowing 8 yards per attempt, per game. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are ninth in passing success and averaging 7.2 yards per attempt through the air. With that said,Miami shut out the Jets, 24-0 earlier this season and now a rinse and repeat situation Im betting will be on todays agenda .Dolphins are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and get the nod again. Projected score: Miami 34 NY Jets 10 Miami to cover |
|||||||
11-29-20 | Richmond v. Kentucky OVER 144 | 76-64 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Nevada v. Hawaii +7.5 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 29 m | Show | |
The Wolf Pack are off a huge win vs San Diego State last time out and will be in a letdown spot here vs Hawaii this week who sit at 2-3 and hungry for a win as they look for a Bowl experience. , It must be noted that HC Graham owns a 22-4 ATS record at home against opposition arriving off a SUATS victory. Nevada is vulnerable thus taking points is a viable investment option. Wolf Pack are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play on Hawaii to cover |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Arizona +11 v. UCLA | 10-27 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
Arizona did not play well vs Washington last week, but did look good vs strong USC team in a earlier tilt and very much look capable of staying close enough for a cover vs a Chip Kelley program that has been far from consistent since his arrival losing 18 of 27 games. Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Wildcats are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Wildcats are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Bruins are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.Bruins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.Bruins are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Play on Arizona to cover |
|||||||
11-28-20 | TCU v. Kansas UNDER 52 | 59-23 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Im betting on TCU pounding the ball on the ground quite a bit today and eating up alot of clock time in the process. Meanwhile, the flip-side, TCU D Im betting makes life miserable for a Kansas offense that averages just 15.1 ppg to be stymied in a tilt that Im betting stays on the low side of this total. TCU is 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a favorite coming off a game as a road dog. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Tulsa v. TCU OVER 125.5 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Memphis v. Navy +13.5 | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
Memphis is not as strong as they have been in recent seasons, and as a favorite (0-3 ATS) in an FBS game this season and the D is weaker than expected allowing 477 yards per game . Meanwhile, Navy coach Ken Niumatalolo is a proven winner and now desperate need for a victory to be Bowl eligible. With that said, Im betting he will have his team ready to play this Saturday behind what is now a more balanced offensive attack .
Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf.Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Play on Navy to cover |
|||||||
11-28-20 | William & Mary v. Old Dominion -13 | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
11-28-20 | North Texas v. Arkansas UNDER 148.5 | 54-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-28-20 | North Texas +8.5 v. Arkansas | 54-69 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
11-28-20 | South Carolina v. Liberty +8 | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
Liberty basketball will face its third straight Power Five opponent to begin the season as the Flames face South Carolina and have far proved they can hang with the big boys. More of the same suffocating and grinding slow paced hoops will be on the agenda today Im betting they make the Gamecocks work for a win here. Play on Liberty to cover |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Northwestern v. Michigan State +13.5 | 20-29 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
A big win vs Wisconsin last time out has Northwestern sitting at a perfect 5-0. The Cats were far then perfect in the 17-7 win vs the Badgers and were out yarded by 100 yards and may now showing a little exhaustion and could easily be over looking the struggling Spartans making them vulnerable. Meanwhile, the Spartans under first-year head coach Mel Tucker have just win vs long time rivals Michigan and have suffered two straight loss one of which came vs a powerful Indiana team so they get a break there from me . Spartans are a viable 6-1 ATS L/7home as a DD dog and are viable underdogs in this spot. Michigan State to cover |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Northwestern v. Michigan State UNDER 41.5 | 20-29 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
Northwestern took part in a 17-7 game that they won vs Wisconsin last time out . This Saturday when the Cats meet Michigan State Im betting on more grinding slow paced action whith my projections estimated a combined score in the low 30s giving us tremendous value on this line. Northwestern has seen 10 straight road games go under the total. Michigan State was shutout by a powerful ?Indiana side last time out by a 24-0 count in another grinding slow paced game. Note:Michigan State is 0-9 UNDER L/9 times as a dog coming off a tilt where they scored less than 27 points going under by an average of -18.2 ppg. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Texas State +17.5 | 49-14 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
The Texas State Bobcats are uptrending in power rankings and coming off a impressive upset of Arkansas State. Texas State also came very close to upsetting Boston College earlier in this season and took UTSA into double-overtime. Meanwhile Coastal Carolina despite of their high ranking are now a team that could feel some pressure and now in a huge emotional letdown spot after beating App State last time out will be vulnerable making getting points with this dangerous underdog a viable option.Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog and have covered 5 straight games overall. Play on Texas State to cover |
|||||||
11-28-20 | LSU +3.5 v. St. Louis | 81-85 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
The LSU Tigers are projected to have a top-10 offense again this season with the addition of Cam Thomas, a five-star guard and Oak Hill Academy’s all-time leading scorer. Considering my projections LSU is more than capable of winning this game straight up vs a defensive minded St.Louis team that is expected to be shorthanded as Travis Ford said Fred Thatch Jr. (sprained knee) wont play and Hasahn French is on (concussion protocol). Play on LSU to cover |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Troy State +1.5 v. NC-Wilmington | 50-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Troy is a team Im keeping an eye on based on recruiting projections. This group is well balanced and are more than capable of competing and winning vs a UNC Wilmington group that is on tired legs as they play their third game of the season already. Play on Troy to cover |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Kent State v. Buffalo -7 | 41-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
The Akron Zips look to be in big trouble here today despite of showing off a explosive offense. The Zips real issues though are on the defensive side of the ball where they rank 124th in the nation against the run allowing an average of 234 ypg. Today against a Buffalo side that has a super star RB in Jaret Patterson who is off a 301 yard output last time out the Zips are not viable underdogs, and being over rated. Considering the Bulls were upset by Akron last season Im betting they will be wide awake for the revenger and ready to be merciless in their venture. Note: buffalo has cashed 6 of the L/7 when they have revenge in this series. CFB Home favorites (BUFFALO) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 65-24 L/28 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. CFB Home favorites (BUFFALO) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgain opponents by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 33-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by just under 27 ppl. Leipold is 8-0 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play as the coach of BUFFALO with the average ppg diff clicking in at 8.6 ppg. Play on Buffalo to cover |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Colorado v. Kansas State OVER 133.5 | 76-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Mercer +13 v. Georgia Tech | 83-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Mercer Over the last 10 years, has stunned several Power-5 foes on the court. The Bears' most notable win was during the 2014 NCAA Tournament when Mercer upset No.3 Duke, 78-71, to advance to the second round of the tournament. They must not be underestimated here vs Georgia Tech. Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Bears are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Bears are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Bears are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a straight up win. Yellow Jackets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.Yellow Jackets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Yellow Jackets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.Yellow Jackets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Mercer to cover |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Texas-Arlington v. Louisiana Tech -6 | 71-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Despite losing four key seniors to graduation last year, LA Tech (0-0) still returns 11 letterwinners from that 22-win team and must be respected here according to my projections at less than 8 point chalk. This is a very experienced roster as 10 of the 15 players are upperclassmen, made up of seven seniors and three juniors.The Bulldogs are 25-8 all-time against the Mavericks and have won 12 of the last 13 meetings. LA Tech has never lost to UTA inside the TAC, having won all seven meetings including the last time these two squads met which was in 2015. LA Tech to cover |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. NC-Greensboro UNDER 143 | 70-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. NC-Greensboro -4 | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The top returning scorer in the league, Miller was second in the SoCon in scoring last season at 17.8 points per game and led the conference in steals for the second straight season, totaling 89 and averaging 2.8 per contest to rank second and fourth, respectively, in NCAA Division I. He will be key a UNC Greensboro cover here today. Play on UNC Greensboro to cover |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Valparaiso v. Vanderbilt OVER 143.5 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Cal-Irvine v. San Diego State UNDER 133 | 58-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Richmond v. Morehead State OVER 142 | 82-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Stanford -1 v. California | 24-23 | Push | 0 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Stanford has started their season slowly, but Im betting on them getting on track here vs the California Bears here today in PAC 12 action. Note: The Stanford Cardinal own a solid 9-1 SU record in this series , including a 5-0 SUATS run when playing on the road at Berkeley. The lone loss in this series came last time these teams met and now I expect revenge to be in play. I know Stanford has failed to cover or win 6 straight times going back to last season, but all good and bad runs must come to an end. Note: Stanford HC Shaw is 16-2 SU and 15-3 ATS after a loss as a favorite. ( They lost time out 35-32 at home vs Colorado). Two weeks now since that ugly effort and Shaw will have his team ready to operate functionally. Play on Stanford to cover |
|||||||
11-27-20 | UC-Davis v. Santa Clara OVER 145.5 | 63-66 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-27-20 | UC-Davis +8 v. Santa Clara | 63-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
This line according to my numbers project at closer to 5 points thus giving us an edge on the line. Aggies are 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog.Aggies are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Aggies are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Aggies are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog.Aggies are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss.Aggies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Aggies are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games.Aggies are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play on UC Davis to cover |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina +6 | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
Notre Dame’s is vulnerable here vs North Carolina. The Irish defense ranks outside the top 70 in both pass and rush explosiveness which is big trouble versus a 5 star North Carolina offense that ranks top-25 in both and has scored 48 points or more their L/4 trips to the gridiron at home. UNC HC Mack Brown 12-6 AT L/18 as a conference home dog , including 4-0 SU/ATS as a dog of 6 or less points. North Carolina. - home team vs. the money line (N CAROLINA) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 29-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team (N CAROLINA) - after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 4 consecutive games, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 28-6 ATS L/28 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NOTRE DAME) - after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game are 13-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on North Carolina to cover |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Belmont -2 v. George Mason | 77-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Belmont Bruins are off a 95-78 victory over Howard to open their regular season yesterday and now bring that momentum and flow into this tilt vs George Mason today. Meanwhile,George Mason showed me alot of chink their armor in a close win in Queens NC by a final score of 66-65. Lots of value with this line, and 9 out of 10 times Belmont clicks off a win in this line of matchup which makes this a viable opportunity to cash a ticket . George Mason are just 15-32-1 ATS in their last 48 games against a team with a winning record. Bruins are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. Bruins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Play on Belmont to cover |
|||||||
11-27-20 | St. Joe's +20.5 v. Kansas | 72-94 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Kansas is off a hard fought loss to Gonzaga yesterday and may have some issues getting unwound here today in letdown spot vs a St.Joes team that has all five starters back from last season and off giving Auburn all they could handle yesterday losing in OT. Play on St.Joes to cover |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Iowa State +1.5 v. Texas | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
Iowa State according to my power rankings are right up there with the Sooners a side that they beat already this season in another marquee big 12 battle . HC Campbell’ is 23-6 ATS as a conference underdog, including 10-0 ATS against opposition coming off consecutive wins and looks like a viable option here this afternoon, Meanwhile, Texas just does not look consistent this season, while HC Tom Herman looks like a coach in jeopardy of losing his job , which does not play well in a dressing room which will reflect itself onto the field. Herman as a conference favorite, including an ugly 5-16 ATS home record . Play on Iowa State to cover |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Auburn v. Gonzaga OVER 163.5 | 67-90 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-26-20 | New Mexico v. Utah State +6.5 | 27-41 | Win | 100 | 30 h 27 m | Show | |
This one is simple for me. No way does New Mexico deserve to be road favs here . Remember this is a team that has lost 11 straight road games, and dont deserve this kind of respect. No not even against a struggling Utah State side that does have an advantage of being off a bye week, and now lead by a new HC Maile who was also a captain of this Aggies team in the early part of the century. He will have the respect of his team, and Im betting they play hard here today and that they wont go down without a fight and get us the cover. |
|||||||
11-26-20 | Liberty +5 v. Mississippi State | 84-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Liberty is restocking this season, but they still have two very experienced guards in the lineup that control a grinding flow. With Mississippi State with lots of new young faces in the lineup, flow will definitely be a problem for them early on this season as was the case vs Clemson last time out, as well as here today. This makes getting points a viable investment option. Flames are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Bulldogs are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a double-digit loss at home. Bulldogs are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Liberty to cover |
|||||||
11-26-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cowboys -3 | 41-16 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
The Cowboys are off a big win last time out vs the Vikings as underdogs, and are showing some signs life of late and more upward trajectory to come according to my projections as they still have a chance at a play off appearance . Last week the Cowboys converted converted 5-of-11 third downs at Minnesota and are looking viable in key spots which will make them dangerous vs a Washington side that was fortunate to get by Cincinnati last week and squeaked out a rather strange victory after Bengals QB Joe Burrow went down in the 2nd half. This week Im betting a good Dallas side that is getting it mojo back to find a way to get revenge for a loss earlier this season to the Football team and avoid the season sweep vs what my rating consider a over rated opponent. Thanksgiving Day favorites of 3 or less points are 24-9 SU and 22-10-1 ATS, including 6-0 SUATS the last six seasons. Dallas is 14-0 ATS L/14 on artificial turf after a road victory when they converted at least five third downs in each of their last two trips to the gridiron. DALLAS is 7-0 ATS after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Dallas to cover |
|||||||
11-26-20 | Auburn v. St. Joe's +8.5 | 96-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Auburn must replace all five starters and its sixth man from a season ago and will go without the services of the superstar freshman five-star point guard Sharife Cooper. Meanwhile, the Hawks off a embarrassing 6-26 season last season, bring back almost everyone from last years roster while also adding a few talented transfers . The Hawks ability to play together gives them an edge over a more talented group, but a less cohesive one. With that said, Im recommending we take the points with St.Joes . Play on St.Josephs to cover |
|||||||
11-26-20 | Gonzaga -3.5 v. Kansas | 102-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Gonzaga enters this season with 30-plus wins in four consecutive seasons and are once again stacked and ready to prove their No.1 national ranking. Thanks to the Bulldogs hoops pedigree and reputation HC Mark Few has been able to recruit very well, and this season could easily be his most talented and deep squad. Last season they ranked first in adjusted offensive efficiency and 43rd in adjusted defensive efficiency and seventh in the country with a 38.6% team 3-point percentage. They will equal or better those numbers, and today against defensive minded Kansas that will miss key players from last years roster ( Azubuike and Dotson) they will find a way to roll as the game progresses and get us the short cover. |
|||||||
11-26-20 | Bradley v. Xavier -9 | 50-51 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
The Xavier Musketeers prepare to generate more offensive flow after a dominating 101-49 season-opening win over the Oakland Golden Grizzlies when they return to action as 9-point home favorites on Thanksgiving Day against the Bradley Braves. My projections estimate another DD win here vs a Braves side that is a tough out but out talented by a Musketeers program that is on the verge of getting back to top tier status. Play on Xavier to cover |
|||||||
11-25-20 | UCLA v. San Diego State UNDER 133 | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
San Diego State under HC Brian Dutcher has a offensive system that is efficient, but the D, is something Im betting will be to key the teams successes this season. It must be noted that Nathan Mensah played the first 13 games last season before health problems sidelined him .When the big man played the Aztecs allowed just 56.3 points per game and when he left the ppg D, increased by more than 5 ppg. He's healthy again, and Im betting he dominates the rim and the lanes making life difficult on a slower paced defensive minded team at UCLA. At the end of last season, under Cronins tut-ledge the Bruins morphed into a defensive behemoth, and during their hot run,UCLA scored 70 points or less in five of the Bruins’ seven wins , as D was the key! Under is 5-1 in Aztecs last 6 home games.Under is 21-5 in Aztecs last 26 games as a home underdog.Under is 11-3 in Aztecs last 14 games as an underdog.Under is 6-2 in Aztecs last 8 overall. Under is 4-0-1 in Bruins last 5 Wednesday games. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-25-20 | Eastern Illinois v. Wisconsin UNDER 134.5 | 67-77 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-25-20 | Villanova v. Boston College +14.5 | 76-67 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
The Eagles under head coach Jim Christan’s presurre D, Im betting will give Villanova alot more heat than must pundits might believe possible. Boston College forced an average of 14.5 turnovers per game, ranked 65th in the nation and have shown recently that upsetting a strong opponent is not out of the realm of possibility as was the case in wins vs Virginia and Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, Villanova now without guard Bryan Antoine and forward Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree may not have their usual flow, and against this type of D, might find themselves starting slowly. Note: In neutral court games last season, Villanova as a favorite was just 1-2-1 ATS, and overall were a sub .500 ATS side overall as chalk failing to cover 15 of 25 games despite of owning a 24-7 overall record. Boston College to cover |
|||||||
11-25-20 | Montana State v. UNLV -12 | 91-78 | Loss | -111 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
UNLV looked very strong as last season progressed especially late in the 2019-20 campaign when they went with a four-guard lineup almost full-time. Considering Otzelberger has said the program will embrace that alignment going forward they once again look to be a dangerous group despite of some new young faces in this group but will still be scary behind Bryce Hamilton. Montana State is just over matched here today. Play on UNLV |
|||||||
11-25-20 | Clemson v. Mississippi State UNDER 136 | 53-42 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-25-20 | Idaho State v. Santa Clara -12 | 49-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Santa Clara returns four starters and seven of its top nine scorers from last season, including preseason All-West Coast Conference performer Josip Vrankic, a three-year starter. The senior ranked first on the team in scoring (12.5 ppg) and rebounding (5.4 pg) last season. The Broncos return six players who started at least 15 games last season. Idaho State according to my projections does not matchup well here. Play on Santa Clara to cover |
|||||||
11-25-20 | Illinois-Chicago v. Northern Illinois UNDER 132.5 | 65-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-25-20 | Oral Roberts v. Missouri UNDER 146.5 | 64-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-25-20 | Cal-Irvine v. Pepperdine -1.5 | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
The Waves feature an experienced squad, with seven of the top nine scorers from last season back. A total of 11 players have previously seen action for Pepperdine and are a dangerous opponent for all comers including Cal Irvine. |
|||||||
11-25-20 | Cal-Irvine v. Pepperdine UNDER 143.5 | 72-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-25-20 | Liberty v. Purdue -9.5 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
Liberty is coming off the best season in program history, going 30-4 (before their season was shut down) But now they lack enough front court offensive prowess because of personal losses to be able to compete here. Even last year the Flames ran a slow paced grinding attack behind a slow duo of guards, and the Boilermakers will have no problem dealing with that . With that said, Im betting on a Boilermakers side that brings back three starters and five players from last season’s nine-man rotation to deal with a side that will take time to jell. Play on Purdue to cover |
|||||||
11-25-20 | Oklahoma State -8 v. Texas-Arlington | 75-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State basketball enters this season led by Associated Press Preseason All-American Cade Cunningham, the Cowboys welcome the nation's No. 4 ranked recruiting class onto the floor and look very much like viable favs here in this spot vs Texas Arlington. The Pokes are 11-1 in the series with wins in the last five meetings and get the nod again as short single digit favs. Note:three Cowboys hail from Arlington including key cog Cunningham and Im betting they play lights out here. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
|||||||
11-24-20 | Los Angeles FC v. Seattle Sounders FC +116 | 1-3 | Win | 116 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
LAFC are just -2-7-1 road and now are flooded with positive COVID-19 positive tests, . They will now be without Diego Rossi, Brian Rodriguez, Jose Cifuentes and Diego Palacios because of the rona. They still have their top flight pedigree, but here away from home vs a Seattle side, that played their best football as hosts garnering a xG 2.23 per tilt output and xGA 1.18 Im betting we have value with the underdog. |
|||||||
11-23-20 | Rams +4.5 v. Bucs | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 34 h 10 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Rams, who are coming off an impressive victory over Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks and are looking more confident and cohesive by the week and are viable underdogs vs public favorite Tampa Bay according to my projections . Note: TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Rams are 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series, including 4-0 ATS as visitors . The Rams also boast a 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 vs the NFC South. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay sport a ugly bankroll depleting 2-10 ATS as a chalk vs NFC West opposition. With that said, my money is on the under appreciated Rams. Play on LA Rams to cover |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Chiefs -7.5 v. Raiders | 35-31 | Loss | -105 | 37 h 44 m | Show | |
The Raiders' defense is playing its best football in years heading into this game, allowing 14.7 points per game, but Im betting they will be tested in a big way vs a revenge minded Chiefs side that is well rested after a bye. Note: Raiders beat KC 40-32 at home earlier this season) Chiefs, head coach Andy Reid has proved to be money in the bank in the recent past recording a 39-19-1 ATS | 32.2% ROI on the road while the Chiefs also flaunt a 17-4 SU and 16-4-1 ATS record in their L/21 away games.The Chiefs are also 12-0-1 ATS away when coming off consecutive victories when going against an AFC opponent. Considering Patrick Mahomes, he is 29-14-2 ATS (32.3% ROI) career mark its never a bad bet putting a Chiefs ticket in your pocket. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NFL Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 37-10 ATS L/37 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams (LAS VEGAS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 16-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC Chiefs to cover |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Cowboys v. Vikings -7 | 31-28 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 10 m | Show | |
Minnesota under Don Zimmer is 23-3 SU and 20-5-1 ATS as a favorite in non division home games and considering they are heating up with three straight wins including a MFL victory vs Chicago last week holding the Bears to just 148 yards of offense it will be an easy decision to lay the lumber here vs a Dallas side that has lost 4 straight games . Minnesota has accumulated a 10-1 ATS record L/11 matchups against Dallas.. The Vikings are 13-0-1 ATS (/14-0 SU as a favorite of more than three points when the total is at least 46. Play on Minnesota to cover |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Bengals +2 v. Washington Football Team | 9-20 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 14 m | Show | |
After Alex Smith of Washington teed off last week in a big output (Alex Smith threw for a career-best 390 yards) Im expecting a letdown here this week. I looked at this game from a long term trend outlook looking for value on the line . Most will handicap this game from an empirical view point, but in a game that shows some long term negative trending algorithms on the home team , Im recommending we take a swipe with the road dog. Note: NFL teams like Washington that won less than six games in their last campaign are 0-22 ATS L/22 as a home favorite when they are off a defeat , and then are scheduled to play away games in each of the next two weeks, and they are facing a non-divisional foe like Cincinnati that has averaged more than 26 minutes of possession time. Add to that WASHINGTON is 9-23 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992. Also CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season which was the case last time out. NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CINCINNATI) - off a road loss, with a losing record are 41-15 ATS L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on Cincinnati Bengals to cover |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Steelers v. Jaguars UNDER 46.5 | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 2 m | Show | |
Recently the Steelers run D, has struggled and today Im betting the Jags in a move to stay close and to try to pull off the upset will attack and try to move the chains via their ground game in very conservative fashion which will help keep the clock churning. Also on the flip side experienced HC Tomlin knows his team needs to take a significant step forward after failing to go over 50 yards rushing in any of their past three game. Im expecting Tomlin to be more aggressive than usual with the ground game , as it needs to improve as we head towards the play offs which will make his team less predictable. This Im betting also helps us cash on the under in what should be a grinding affair. Pittsburgh is 0-14 UNDER L/14 when they are off a home game and visiting a team that has lost at least their last two games. The Steelers are 0-19-1 UNDER L/20 going under by more than a TD on the road coming off a home game when facing a team below .500. Jacksonville is 0-16 L/16 UNDER on a natural surface when they are off a road loss and they are facing a team that has forced at least 1.75 turnovers per game season-to-date. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (JACKSONVILLE) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 35-10 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Steelers v. Jaguars +10.5 | 27-3 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 47 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh and Jacksonville have played some very close games in the recent past with 10 of their past 12 meeting decided in one-score tilts, including several decided on the final drive and a few on the final play. I know both teams are operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum with the Jags on a 8 game losing streak and the Steelers on a 9 game winning run! But considering that Jacksonville has no chance at a play off spot this game this is about as close as they come to a Super Bowl, and with that said, Im expecting a monumental effort from this crew here today. Remember the Steelers run D, has been smashed lately, and the Jags will key on that which will make for. grinding fairly low scoring affair in my eyes, which bodes well for us to stay within the number. Note: PITTSBURGH is 1-9 ATS as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992. The Steelers are 0-8 ATS L/8 as a road favorite of more than three points coming off a game where they covered by at least seven points. NFL Road favorites (PITTSBURGH) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 20-53 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jacksonville to cover |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Titans +6.5 v. Ravens | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show | |
The Titans have not played since last Thursday Night (more than a week ago), so their exceptionally rested and well prepared for the Ravens. I know the Ravens are a great team , and because of recency bias ( Tennessee loss last time out) this line is just slightly bloated enough for me to recommend we grab the points with a under rated side . Note: opposing sides are 11-5 ATS (33% ROI) against the Ravens when quarterback Lamar Jackson is a home favorite. Meanwhile, Tennessee is 5-1 SUATS in away games after partaking on Thursdays, including 3-0 SU/ATS when they lost.
Play on Tennessee to cover |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Lions +3 v. Panthers | 0-20 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 15 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions will be primed to compete here as they look to rebound from a 4-5 start and make a run at the NFC playoff. With Carolina star running back Christian McCaffrey and possibly quarterback Teddy Bridgewater at less than 100%, the Lions look like viable underdogs in this spot vs a side that has lost 5 straight grueling games and are pretty beat up overall. Note:Carolina is allowing opponents to convert a league-high 55.3% of third down chances and Im betting Lions QB Stafford really takes advantage of their inadequacies. CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CAROLINA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. NFLRoad teams (DETROIT) - after allowing 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 48-20 ATS L/37 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Eagles v. Browns -2.5 | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 28 h 15 m | Show | |
RBS Chubb and Kareem Hunt combined to rush for 230 yards last week, and now looking healthy again Im betting the Cleveland Browns pound away again this week and find holes against a Eagles inconsistent run D. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 25-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg. NFL Road underdogs vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 2-26 L/5 seasons for a 93% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9 ppg. Play on Cleveland to cover |
|||||||
11-21-20 | Boise State -14 v. Hawaii | 40-32 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 13 m | Show | |
Boise State is missing some players because of covid but the key ingredients to the team are still intact and considering a recent embarrassing loss to BYU that still stings Im betting we see this team wide awake and ready to compete in a big way vs a Hawaii side, that just does not look as cohesive as some recent incarnations of the program. HAWAII is 0-7 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. Boise state is 7-0 SU/ATS L/7 meetings in this series. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (HAWAII) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games against opponent after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 4-25 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin ppg diff clicking at 22 ppg. Play on Boise State |
|||||||
11-21-20 | USC v. Utah +3 | 33-17 | Loss | -112 | 37 h 18 m | Show | |
Utah opens at home to night against USC. It must be noted that CFB teams in Game One of the season are 13-3 SU versus opposition playing their third game of the season, including 8-0 SUATS in the last eight dating back 30 seasons. Considering the Trojans had to come from behind in both their first two games, its become evident to me there are some hiccups in their flow. Also exerting that kind of energy will now have them in a let down spot. With Utah in revenge mode for a 30-23 loss last season, Im betting we see them very motivated . Utah is 4-1 ATS L/5 in revenge mode. UTAH is 8-1 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. USC is 4-13 ATS off 2 no-covers where the team won as a favorite since 1992. Utah is 14-1 SU in home openers and 13-2 SU in season openers with HC Whittingham at the helm. Utah to cover |
|||||||
11-21-20 | Kansas State +11 v. Iowa State | 0-45 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 1 m | Show | |
Iowa State is a solid team but this is a never say die Wildcats team that despite of some covid issues is chalk full of physical players who play smash mouth football and considering KSU is 11-1 SU in this series Ill be recommending we take the points here today.
KSU head coach Chris Klieman getting points as he is 9-3 ATS as a dog in Big 12 games, including 5-0 ATS when getting 7 or more points.Kansas State is also 12-0 ATS as a dog of more than seven points coming off a loss. CFB Road underdogs (KANSAS ST) - after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 32-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas State to cover |
|||||||
11-21-20 | Kentucky +30 v. Alabama | 3-63 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
This is not one of Sabans strongest teams , as is evident by currently ranking 49th in the nation in Total Defense. With Next week, seeing Alabama ready to play their holiday fare: the Iron Bowl, Nov. 28, vs. Auburn, they could easily find themselves not focused here and what Im calling a look ahead situation. Meanwhile, Kentuckys D, must be respected and are more than capable of slowing down Alabama's vaunted offense. KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS in road games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game over the last 3 season. Stoops is 7-0 ATS in road games after a game where they committed no turnovers as the coach of KENTUCKY. Kentucky is 12-0 ATS /10-2 SU L/12 off a win as a favorite which was the case vs Vanderbilt last time out. Take the points with Kentucky |
|||||||
11-21-20 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh +3 | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
These teams come in with identical 4-4 records and Im betting that the final score will be indicative of their current records and closely contested with the more rested team at home Pittsburgh having the edge getting points. VTech has really played some very tough physical games recently against Liberty and Miami by 3 points and 1 point respectively. Considering the Panthers will be in revenge mode for a 28-0 kick to the helmet last season you can bet they will be primed and read to deliver some pay pack. . Pittsburgh has owned this series for their betting backers at home going 7-0 ATS . VIRGINIA TECH is 2-11 ATS in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56. CFB road team (VIRGINIA TECH) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28) after 7+ games, after a loss by 3 or less points are 3-22 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
|||||||
11-21-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada +2 | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
Both teams have viable offenses and viable defenses and according to my projections and look evenly matched but with Nevada having home field advantage (even with no fans) the wrong team is favored. Nevada has won the last two meetings in this series and deserve respect here as underdogs. Norvell is 8-1 ATS in home games after playing 2 straight conference games as the coach of NEVADA. CFB road team vs. the money line (SAN DIEGO ST) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against an average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR), after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games are 9-21 SU L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. Play on Nevada to cover |
|||||||
11-21-20 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida +6 | 36-33 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show | |
Cincinnati continues to roll and have beaten down most of their opponents with little empathy. That non stop flow of action however, may not benefit them in the long term and especially here today against a very tough opponent in UCF. The Knights lost 27-24 as 3.5-point favorites @ Cincinnati last season. Actually that tilt now gives me alot of confidence when backing Central Florida here today as UCF outyarded the Bearcats 423- 343 in that game. Considering the Knights are 22-2 SU at home the last four seasons it wont come as a surprise to me if they find a way to pull of the SU upset. Heupel is 8-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game as the coach of UCF. (The Knights beat Temple 38-13 last time out) CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 10-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCF) - off a home win, with 16 total starters returning are 31-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UCF to cover |
|||||||
11-21-20 | Indiana +21 v. Ohio State | 35-42 | Win | 100 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
This time, for the first time in program history, the No. 9 Hoosiers (4-0 Big Ten) will participate in a regular-season, top-10 matchup when they play No. 3 Ohio State (3-0) with first place at stake in the East Division. The lines-makers obviously dont think that the Hoosiers are for real, and they most probably cannot handle the pressure. But from a numbers standpoint I have to take a contrarian view and grab the points with the Hoosiers. INDIANA is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.Allen is 6-0 ATS off a road win against a conference rival as the coach of INDIANA. Play on Indiana to cover |
|||||||
11-20-20 | Purdue v. Minnesota +3 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show | |
Minnesota suffered a 35-7 loss to Iowa a week ago and now look to rebound vs a Purdue side that continues to be without their their top WR Rondale Moore and could be without their QB Aidan O Connell. It might not seem like it but Minnesota is a talented team that won 11 games last season, with plenty of experience, and Im betting they right their sinking ship this week. The key will be based around not making as many mistakes as they have made early this season, and for Mohamed Ibrahim who leads the nation in rushing yards per game at 178.8 to be the catalyst against a Purdue side off a heart breaking , loss last week , and now on a short-week road spot . Minnesota is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven games following a double-digit loss at home.The Golden Gophers are 18-4-4 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS loss. Minnesota to cover |