Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-21-22 | Kent State v. Buffalo -7 | 51-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-21-22 | Blazers +8 v. Celtics | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
The Celtics enter this tilt with a 3-7 ATS mark in their last 10 games overall and are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games as well as 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Celtics have also been negative output bets in their L/6 at home vs below .500 opposition failing to cover 5 of their L/6 attempts. Meanwhile, the Blazers have won and covered 4 of their L/6 and are playing mostly competitive hoops. and must not be underestimated as underdogs. Key : Center Jusuf Nurkic, who has recorded three successive double-doubles will be key to the Blazers ability to compete here in revenge mode for a loss to the Celtics earlier this season. NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 54-92 L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Trail Blazers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover |
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01-21-22 | Coyotes v. Islanders -1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 101 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
The Islanders need wins to get back into play off contention and have been playing with urgency as is evident by wins in 5 of their L/6 trips to the ice. This is a matchup that very much favors them according to my power rankings. NY ISLANDERS are 18-1 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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01-21-22 | Lakers -5 v. Magic | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
The Lakers are struggling and are in desperation mode, after suffering losses in 4 of their L/5 and have a good side to take their frustrations out on in Orlando to tonight vs a Magic team that has lost 14 of their 15 SU. Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. ORLANDO is 1-12 ATS in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. ORLANDO is 1-10 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.ORLANDO is 1-9 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more this season. Magic are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (-7 or less PPG differential) are 34-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Lakers to cover |
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01-20-22 | Pacers v. Warriors UNDER 217.5 | 121-117 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers rank 18th in offensive ppg output in the league and 23rd in pace are on tired legs after playing last night in LA and will be curtailed as well by a staunch Golden State D that ranks 1st in the league in ppg allowed and 1st in defensive rating behind 12 ranked pace. Im betting on the Pacers playing a conservative type of transitional ball and for the Warriors in their usual manner to control tempo the other way which Im projecting results in a fairly low scoring affair. INDIANA is 11-3 UNDER as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 207.6 ppg scored. Carlisle is 17-6 UNDER as an underdog as the coach of INDIANA with a combined average of 211.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. GOLDEN STATE is 15-7 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average of 205.3 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 12-2 UNDER versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 202.8 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-20-22 | New Mexico State v. Sam Houston State +4.5 | 46-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-20-22 | Troy State v. Louisiana-Monroe +1 | 73-65 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-20-22 | Grand Canyon v. Stephen F Austin | 46-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-20-22 | Marshall -135 v. Florida International | 66-70 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Both these sides are struggling at the moment as Marshall (7-10) looks to end a 7 game losing streak while Fl Inter (10-7) has lost 6 of their L/8 and failed to cover 7 straight times. including their first 4 conference tilts Note:FLA INTERNATIONAL is 0-13 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. From a W/L record perspective Florida Inter looks to be the superior side, but after looking a little more indepthly - Marshalls style of play matches up well in this matchup and they have the edge here on the road as short chalk. Marshall has a total of three players who are averaging double-figure scoring – led by Taevion Kinsey at 20.5 ppg who Im betting is key tonight in a projected win for the visitors. FLA INTERNATIONAL is 0-7 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons. FLA INTERNATIONAL is 0-6 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-18 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. MARSHALL is 11-1 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL since 1997 and have won their L/5 visits here SU. Rinse and Repeat. Play on Marshall to win |
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01-20-22 | Appalachian State v. Georgia State -5.5 | 61-60 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-20-22 | Georgetown v. Providence UNDER 144 | 75-83 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-19-22 | Pacers v. Lakers -4.5 | 111-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Indiana has not faired well on the road this season losing 15 of 18 games, and Im betting will once again fail in their attempt for a win here in LA vs the Lakers and more importantly as far as we are concerned fail to cover as well. INDIANA is 5-16 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.5. Pacers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Pacers are 0-5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Play on LA Lakers to cover |
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01-19-22 | Xavier v. DePaul UNDER 151.5 | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-19-22 | Indiana State v. Southern Illinois -4.5 | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-19-22 | Blazers v. Heat -8 | 92-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Miami behind a balanced offensive attack ranked 3rd in offense rating and strong defense, ranked 4th in ppg allowed matchup very well vs a Blazers side on tired legs as they play their 4th straight road game in less than a week. PORTLAND is 1-11 ATS in road games after allowing 100 points or less over the last 3 seasons with the average pgg diff registering in at -13.3 . ( Blazers beat the Magic 98-88 last time out) PORTLAND is 6-15 ATS as an underdog this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.8 ppg. PORTLAND is 6-14 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.7 ppg. )The opening line on this game was closer to the true number as associated with the above trend ) NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) are 65-32 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
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01-19-22 | Hornets v. Celtics -3 | 111-102 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
The Hornets behind an explosive offense have played some very good ball recently, but this tilt vs Boston is a bad matchup for them according to my system to system matchup analysis. The Celtics took out the Hornets 140-129 as visitors back in late October and Im betting they get the job done again at home as short home favs. Hornets are 12-27 ATS in their last 39 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 8-51 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10. (which qualifies on this offered ATS line) |
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01-19-22 | Mississippi State v. Florida UNDER 140 | 72-80 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-18-22 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -7.5 | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-18-22 | Bowling Green -6.5 v. Northern Illinois | 92-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-18-22 | Islanders -123 v. Flyers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
The Isles after suffering through a losing run that was exasperated by covid protocols and a rash of injuries are now healthy again and ready to make a run to get themselves back into play off contention. They took out these same Flyers last night by a 4-1 count and once again Im betting have the edge in desperation mode vs a inconsistent side that has lost 8 straight games SU. NY ISLANDERS are 17-1 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 1-14 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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01-18-22 | St Bonaventure +2 v. Dayton | 50-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-17-22 | Thunder +11.5 v. Mavs | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City may not inspire many pundits with their W/L record but what is impressive is their ability to consistently beat the line, as they have only failed to cover 3 of their L/16 overall games. I know Dallas has been playing a strong brand of hoops lately, but with this being their 9th game in 17 days they may be a little bit lethargic vs a younger very well conditioned side. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-4 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-4 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game this season. DALLAS is 4-13 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (DALLAS) - a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 95 points or less are 4-28 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 44-18 ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals v. Rams -3 | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
NFC Playoffs - Wild Card I was not going to touch this one, but when the line got down to a FG I had to bite on what Im betting is the better team playing at home. First off Murray does not look 100% , and while Stafford is probably also not in great shape overall, because of the some of the punishment he took hes in a better portion to succeed tonight as he does not need to consistently scramble to make plays. The Rams have won and covered 5 of the L/6 meetings and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation tonight. ( Rams are also 8-1-1 ATS L/10 in this series) Favorite is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings. ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.Kingsbury is 4-13 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season as the coach of ARIZONA. LA RAMS are 25-13 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. NFLUnderdogs of +140 to +325 vs. the money line (ARIZONA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, when playing on Monday night are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.4 which qualifies on this ATS line. Play on the LA Rams to cover |
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01-17-22 | Wyoming v. Nevada -2 | 77-67 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WYOMING is 19-35 ATS L/54 in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). NEVADA is 15-4 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better over the last 2 seasons. |
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01-17-22 | NC-Wilmington v. College of Charleston OVER 147 | 86-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-17-22 | Bucks -5 v. Hawks | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Atlanta is in free fall having lost 5 straight, with 4 losses coming by DD deficits and things will not get better Im betting tonight vs a revenge minded Bucks side that lost by a 120-100 count the last time they played here back on Nov 14. Note: Hawks are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 home games
ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a average ppg diff clicking in at -14.2 ppg. ATLANTA is 4-16 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.7 . ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) are 51-23 ATS L/26 years for a 69% conversion rate. NBA Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 35-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee to cover |
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01-17-22 | Drexel v. Hofstra -7.5 | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-17-22 | Pacers v. Clippers -1.5 | 133-139 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Indiana is really struggling having lost 9 of their L/10 and are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. I know that the Clippers have not played much better, and have their two top players out ( Leonard, George) but here at home have enough edges to get us a win and cover. Note: Pacers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. INDIANA is 9-19 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. A CLIPPERS are 21-9 ATS after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 28-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 . Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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01-17-22 | Bulls v. Grizzlies -7.5 | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Memphis had a 11 game win streak end last time out, but Im betting on a bounce back effort here tonight vs a Chicago side that is struggling as is evident by a current 3 game losing skein and losses in 4 of their L/5 with their only win coming against Detroit. MEMPHIS is 14-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. MEMPHIS is 14-3 ATS in January games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 4-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which qualifies on this ATS line offering. NBA Underdogs (CHICAGO) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 19-62 ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis Grizzlies |
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01-17-22 | Nets v. Cavs -3 | 107-114 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Brooklyn has been playing inconsistent hoops of late and are just 4-6 SU L/10 2-8 ATS L/10 and have not won back to back games since late December. If their recent history mimics their inadequacies lately the Nets after a victory last time out will come out with a down effort vs a side that has is in strong form of late as is evident by winning 4 of their L/5 overall. Note: Nets are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win and are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. BROOKLYN is 1-9 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season. CLEVELAND is 15-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Cavaliers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home game NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 16-47 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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01-17-22 | 76ers v. Wizards +3.5 | 98-117 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Philadelphia has been playing some strong ball of late but with this being their 6th game in 9 days are on tired legs. Also if Bradly Beal comes out of Quarantine today for Washington I wont be surprised if the Wizards take this game SU. Advantage Wizards taking points. WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 11-23 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Underdogs (WASHINGTON) - off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 143-89 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 10-37 L/26 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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01-17-22 | Tennessee Tech v. Tennessee State +1.5 | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-17-22 | George Mason -6.5 v. George Washington | 76-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-16-22 | Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 46.5 | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 54 m | Show | |
For the most part Ben Rothlisberger had a great career but now father time has caught up with him, and their does not look to be much left in the tank . With that said, Im betting he and the Steelers have problems today on offense against a under rated KC defense. The Steelers because of their obvious offensive short comings will be prepared to play a grinding game that will concentrate on short passes and their running game which will eat clock time. On the flipsdie the Steelers D, after some ugly efforts pulled themselves together lately allowing 3 of their L/4 opponents no more than 13 points, and must not be underestimated in their ability to slow down the Chiefs , especially on what is expected to be a windy cold night in KC this Sunday. PITTSBURGH is 29-12 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points with a combined average of 42.7 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 14-3 UNDER L/17 as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points with the average combined score clicking in at 34.4 ppg. NFL Road teams against the total (PITTSBURGH) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 53-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (KANSAS CITY/PITTSBURGH) - in the Wild Card round of the playoffs are 52-22 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-16-22 | Bradley v. Illinois State +2 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-16-22 | 49ers +3 v. Cowboys | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 53 h 29 m | Show | |
NFC Playoffs - Wild Card The Cowboys explosive offense goes against a staunch defense ranked second in the league against the rush and fifth in the league in sacks with 48. On the flip side the 49ers, have won 8 of their L/10 overall and must also not be underestimated from a offensive perspective behind Jimmy Garoppolo and have an overall edge here according to my projections. DALLAS is 1-8 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Dallas is 3-10 SU/ATS in the playoffs dating back 25 seasons , including 1-6 ATS as a favorite. DALLAS is 14-34 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games . NFL Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - in a game involving two excellent offensive teams (370 or more YPG) after 8+ games, after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game are 33-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams (DALLAS) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 50 or more yards/game, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 23-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. Play on SF 49ers to cover |
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01-16-22 | St. Peter's -2 v. Rider | 58-51 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-16-22 | Suns v. Pistons +11.5 | 135-108 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
We know which side is superior between the Visiting Suns and their hosts the Pistons . However, it it must be noted that the Pistons have won 3 of their L/4 overall and covered 5 of their L/8 and have been playing very competitive ball on their own home floor as is evident by winning 4 in a row in Motown and 5 of their L/6 . The Pistons have also been showing some cohesion, and from a betting perspective against strong sides have been generally good bets for a while now. Note: DETROIT is 21-9 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. With this being the Suns 7th road game in their L/9 trips to the hardwood, in a condensed period of time ( Dec 31-Jan 16) it wont surprise me if the Suns are on tired legs and less likely to have enough gas in the tank to easily steam roll the rested Pistons who will play only their 2nd game in 5 days, making getting points here with the home dog a viable wagering opportunity. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 147-87 ATS L/26 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.( Suns took out the Pistons 114-103 at home back on Dec 2) DETROIT is 11-2 ATS in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road favorites of 10 or more points (PHOENIX) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a top-level team ( 75% or more ) playing a terrible team (25% or less ) are 18-45 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Suns are 3-14 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Detroit. Suns are 9-27 ATS in the last 36 meetings. Play on Detroit to cover |
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01-16-22 | Suns v. Pistons OVER 214.5 | 135-108 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Im betting the Pistons will score above the linesmakers projections today and that the Suns will be forced to open up in a game that eclipses the offered total. Over is 9-4 in Suns last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 3-0-1 in Pistons last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. DETROIT is 7-0 OVER in home games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 227.8 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 32-18 OVER in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.1 ppg scored in this 50 games. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 71-38 OVER L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-16-22 | Cincinnati +2 v. Wichita State | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-16-22 | Navy v. Boston University | 72-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NAVY is 9-0 ATS as a road favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons. Navy has won the their L/4 visits to Boston U. |
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01-15-22 | Lakers +4.5 v. Nuggets | 96-133 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
The Lakers have been playing LeBron at center since Davis went down and hes been in elite form and tonight Im betting he will be the difference maker vs a Denver side, that according to my projections does not deserve to be this big a favorite. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. DENVER is 10-25 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 17-7 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home favorites (DENVER) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 11-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 76-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Lakers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Lakers to cover |
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01-15-22 | Patriots +4 v. Bills | 17-47 | Loss | -104 | 34 h 43 m | Show | |
The Bills beat up on the Pats towards the end of the season, but that was a learning experience for Mac Jones and company, and with a future HOF coach like Bellichick on the sidelines Im confident positive adjustments can be made. We have to remember prior to that the Pats took a 14-10 win on the road in Buffalo on Dec 16th where the franchise is 15-3 ATS L/18 visits. Note: NEW ENGLAND L/109 games as a road underdog and have seen the average ppg diff click in at -1.7. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 9-39 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Underdogs or pick (NEW ENGLAND) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games in the second half of the season are 31-8 ATS L/39 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road underdogs or pick (NEW ENGLAND) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 29-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Road team is 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 meetings.Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on New England Pats to cover |
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01-15-22 | 76ers v. Heat -1.5 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Both these teams played last night, but the Heat according to my own accumulated data on conditioning, suggests Miami will fair better here as the game progresses giving them the edge on home court. Note: Heat are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. 76ers are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record PHILADELPHIA is 3-15 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 6-19 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 87-13 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. 76ers are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami. 76ers are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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01-15-22 | Utah v. Arizona OVER 157.5 | 64-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-15-22 | Knicks v. Hawks -2.5 | 117-108 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Atlanta has been struggling and have looked exhausted lately, after playing 9 of their L/11 games on the road, including a grueling 6 game road trip. Now back home, and in desperation mode Im expecting a top tier effort vs a NY Knicks side that despite of showing some upward momentum of late, is still showing some chemistry issues, something that was not a problem last season. ATLANTA is 9-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 8-0 ATS in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after allowing 105 points or more in a loss to a division rival, in January game are 23-5 ATS L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (ATLANTA) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread are 156-97 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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01-15-22 | Wright State v. Youngstown State -2 | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-15-22 | Alabama v. Mississippi State -120 | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-15-22 | Raiders v. Bengals UNDER 49 | 19-26 | Win | 100 | 31 h 46 m | Show | |
AFC Playoffs - Wild Card Entering this game the Vegas D has allowed 20 points or less 4 of their L/6 trips to the gridiron. In their season finale the Raiders did have a defensive breakdown, allowing 32 points in a 35-32 slugfest victory, but from a historical perspective the Raiders have clamped down in their following game especially if was a shootout, as is evident by the following trends. Note:Under is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games following a straight up win.LAS VEGAS is 36-20 UNDER in road games after allowing 30 points or more last game with a combined score of 42.4 ppg scored. LAS VEGAS in their L/13 off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog have seen a combined average 42.6 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Joe Burrows and company are a virgin group with no big league play off experience, and this will be detrimental to them and their offensive cohesiveness. Despite of the accolades that Burrows gets there have been obvious interruptions their flow on offense and Im betting that will once again be an issue. Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 Wildcard games.Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 playoff games.Under is 8-1 in Bengals last 9 games in January. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CINCINNATI) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (335 to 370 YPG) after 8+ games, after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game are 42-14 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (VEGAS /CINCINNATI) - in the Wild Card round of the playoffs are 55-22 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-15-22 | North Texas v. Western Kentucky -129 | 65-60 | Loss | -129 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-15-22 | Furman +3.5 v. Chattanooga | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-15-22 | Stephen F Austin v. Sam Houston State +1.5 | 41-49 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-15-22 | Tennessee +5 v. Kentucky | 79-107 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-15-22 | Seton Hall v. Marquette +1.5 | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-14-22 | Fresno State v. UNLV OVER 127 | 73-68 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-14-22 | Cavs v. Spurs +3.5 | 114-109 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Cleveland has not been as dominant lately as they were earlier in the season and have now lost 6 of their L/10 and failed to cover 7 of their L/9 overall. Also Bickerstaff is 25-47 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots in all games he has coached. Cavaliers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record like the Spurs. SAN ANTONIO is 31-19 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 96-29 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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01-14-22 | Akron +2 v. Kent State | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. AKRON is 10-1 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. |
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01-14-22 | Raptors v. Pistons +9.5 | 87-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Pistons are playing a little better lately having won 2 of their L/3 and from a historical perspective for whatever the reason have had an edge in games playing the Raptors as is evident by a 4 game win streak in this series SU including a 127-121 win against the Raptors on Nov 11 of this season. I know the Raptors will be out looking for revenge but it must be noted this is a lofty to number for them to cover on as road favs. Note:TORONTO is 0-9 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons. Play on Detroit to cover |
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01-14-22 | Celtics v. 76ers -3 | 99-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
The Sixers had a 7 game win streak end against a top tier Charlotte squad last time out, and will now be prepared for a bounce back effort. I know the Celtics are doing well, and are on a 3 game win streak but they are at a disadvantage on the road here vs a side that matches up well against them. Note: The 76ers won the last meeting 108-103 back in Boston just before Christmas and rinse and repeat situation looks like a viable option. BOSTON is 9-21 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 18-31 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or last turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 78-14 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. NBAHome favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 136-84 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 straight /ats against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons at home. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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01-14-22 | Buffalo v. Ball State UNDER 162 | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-13-22 | Clippers v. Pelicans OVER 214 | 89-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
New Orleans took a 123-104 win vs the Clippers back in late November and Im betting a similar type of pace and a combined score that eclipses this offered total. New Orleans has scored more than 100 points in 12 straight games in 14 of their L/15 and Im betting that constant will once again come to fruition, and the Clippers in revenge mode, will have to up their pace or be blown off the court once again which will result in faster game than expected by the pundits . NEW ORLEANS is 14-2 OVER in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 237.9 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 15-4 OVER in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 21-10 OVER (+10.0 Units) versus struggling offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.2 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in January games are 52-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. ( New Orleans won 128-125 last time out). Play OVER |
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01-13-22 | Warriors v. Bucks -1.5 | 99-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Golden State and Milwaukee are currently not operating at optimal levels entering this game. Both are struggling for W/L consistency , after both went though over powering runs. However, despite of that both are above average teams with a boatload full of talent and chemistry. From a matchup perspective the defending champs home court advantage Im betting will be a prime factor here in what will be a post season type affair. Note: Warriors are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Budenholzer is 42-23 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or less of their shots as the coach of MILWAUKEE. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 26-8 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 134-84 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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01-13-22 | Butler +100 v. Georgetown | 72-58 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Butler has won five of the last six meetings against Georgetown that have been played in the nation's capital. |
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01-13-22 | Oakland +2 v. Cleveland State | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-13-22 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State -3 | 60-61 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-13-22 | Stanford v. Washington State -6.5 | 62-57 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-12-22 | Boise State v. Nevada +1.5 | 85-70 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-12-22 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia -1 | 52-54 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-12-22 | St. John's v. Connecticut -11 | 78-86 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-12-22 | Southern Illinois +7.5 v. Missouri State | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-12-22 | Heat v. Hawks -1.5 | 115-91 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Atlanta after an exhausting 6 game road trip have had a few of days of rest, to recoup and will be prepared and very motivated to get back some mojo as they take on the visiting Miami Heat . With this being the Mavericks 6th straight road game they are on tired legs and at a disadvantage. Note: Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.ATLANTA is 15-5 ATS in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 season. Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 4-22 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (MIAMI) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 10-31 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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01-12-22 | Mavs v. Knicks +3.5 | 85-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Dallas is hot, having won 6 straight, but according to my power rankings the Knicks matchup well against them and deserve respect as home underdogs. Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Kidd is 15-31 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins in all games he has coached in his career. NEW YORK is 21-6 ATS at home when the opening line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 10-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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01-12-22 | East Tennessee State v. Furman -9 | 69-78 | Push | 0 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-12-22 | LSU v. Florida | 64-58 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-11-22 | Nuggets -1.5 v. Clippers | 85-87 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
Despite of some injuries the Nuggets have still been able to win 5 of their L/7 overall. Meanwhile the Clippers after dealing well with the Kawhi Leonard injury started to have major cohesive problems without the injured Paul George in the lineup . From my perspective things wont get much better vs a Denver side that matches up well here at Staples where they have won their L/6 road games vs the Clippers. LA CLIPPERS are 2-13 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after allowing 95 points or less are 55-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 33-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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01-11-22 | Thunder +9.5 v. Wizards | 118-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Neither one of these teams are operating optimally from a win/loss perspective but the one thing that stands out has been the young Thunders ability to be fairly competitive on a consistent basis as is evident by covering 11 of their L/14 overall. When these teams met on Nov 26 the visiting Wizards took a 101-99 decision and Im betting on a fairly close battle tonight as these sides take part in the DC rematch. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-6 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Wizards are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Wizards are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 35-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-11-22 | Thunder v. Wizards UNDER 216.5 | 118-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that both these sides will not breach the 108 point plateau on offense. Note: OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-0 UNDER where both teams score 108 or less points in a game this season with a combined average of 194.8 ppg going on the board. WASHINGTON is 11-0 UNDER where both teams score 108 or less points in a game this season with a combined average of 194.8 ppg scored. Under is 9-2 in Wizards last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of those 24 games ringing in at 209.1 ppg. Under is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 games as an underdog. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-7 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 207.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, on Tuesday nights are 34-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 37-13 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less ), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 46-16 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-11-22 | Delaware v. Drexel UNDER 141.5 | 81-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-11-22 | Hofstra +3 v. Towson | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
01-10-22 | Cavs -5 v. Kings | 109-108 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Both these teams are in a down mode lately, and both are exhausted. But the Cavaliers still possesses better chemistry and cohesiveness and are better conditioned. CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. SACRAMENTO is 8-20 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 2-10 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-10-22 | 76ers v. Rockets +10.5 | 111-91 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
These two sides Philadelphia and Houston are operating at the proverbial opposite ends of the performance spectrum. However, according to my power rankings the Rockets have an edge here at home as DD underdogs. Yes, the Rockets played last night, but it's not conditioning that has been an issue lately, but chemistry. Meanwhile, the Sixers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite and could easily use this as a defect game off, and rest key starters as this tilt progresses giving us lots of room for a backdoor cover. NBA Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 11-35 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (HOUSTON) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 36-13 ATS L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rockets to cover |
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01-10-22 | Georgia -2.5 v. Alabama | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 107 h 40 m | Show | |
CFP Championship Game - Lucas Oil Stadium - Indianapolis, IN I know it's never an easy decision to bet against Alabama , but I feel strongly this is Georgias time. The Bulldogs were head and shoulders the best team in College Football this season . Yes, they did lose to Saban and company allowing 30.4 ppg more than theyre season average But now with that loss out of the way Im betting Georgia will feel the need to be more aggressive with Alabama rather than show them to much respect , which was part of the reason they lost last time they played. Note: GEORGIA is 20-8 ATSL/28 in road games revenging an upset loss against opponent as a favorite. GEORGIA is 52-33 ATS L/85 in road games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. Saban is 7-19 ATS L/26 vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game as the coach of ALABAMA. CFB team (GEORGIA) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 51-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia to cover |
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01-10-22 | Spurs v. Knicks -6 | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
This is the Spurs 7th straight road game, and are on back to back games after playing a hard fought game and close loss to the Brooklyn last night. Now exhausted and in an emotional letdown spot, Im betting there will not be alot left in the tank for tonights game against the New York Knicks. It must be noted that back in December the Knicks showed how well they matchup vs the Spurs in a DD road victory (121-109). This Im betting is a rinse and repeat situation. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Spurs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 4-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a lower tier team (25-40%) are 39-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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01-10-22 | Holy Cross v. Lehigh -6 | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-09-22 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -3 | 127-119 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Memphis played last night and are on tired legs as this is their 5th game in 7 nights overall . I have alot of respect for the Grizzlies and they are showing alot of ferocity , consistency and chemistry. But despite of the super human numbers they have put up of late against top tier sides, they are most probably running on empty. With the LeBron James ego at stake you can bet the old super star will be wide awake here and ready to make headlines. With that said, Im betting on the Lakers rallying around him and taking down the Grizzlies . MEMPHIS is 16-32 ATS L/48 in road games when playing their 5th game in 7 days . Lakers are 4-0 SU L/4 meetings at Staples Center. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-73 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-09-22 | Bulls v. Mavs +3.5 | 99-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Both these sides Dallas and Chicago are currently playing at a very high level with the Bulls on a 9 game win streak and their hosts the Mavs on a 5 game winning run! With that said, Im betting home court advantage will be the difference maker here this evening. NBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 16-46 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover |
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01-09-22 | Wolves v. Rockets +7.5 | 141-123 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Houston has shown flashes of brilliance this season, but recently they have fallen into a deep freeze. However, according to my power rankings the Rockets from a style of play perspective matchup well here and are viable home pups vs a tired Wolves side playing their 5th road game in their 6 overall trips to the hardwood. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 76-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate. Play on Houston to cover |
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01-09-22 | Pelicans v. Raptors -7.5 | 101-105 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Toronto is playing their best basketball of the season and are currently on a 5 game win streak and have been an ATM machine for their backers covering 10 of their L/11 overall. Meanwhile, New Orleans despite a few flashes of brilliance remain an inconsistent side, with chemistry issues which is hampering their flow. NEW ORLEANS is 6-14 ATS in road games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.2 NEW ORLEANS is 3-13 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff -11.7. TORONTO is 7-0 ATS after 4 or more consecutive overs this season with the average of +11.7 ppg diff. NBA team (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 78-40 ATS L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to cover |
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01-09-22 | Washington v. Colorado -9 | 64-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-09-22 | 49ers +4.5 v. Rams | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 50 m | Show | |
The Rams QB Stafford is not seeing the field well as was evident last week when the threw another pick-six , and now has seven turnovers in the last three trips to the gridiron . Stafford is infamously streaky and his form is not where it should be entering this game against the SF 49ers. . Meanwhile, the Niners who have won the stats battles in 7 of their L/8 overall have urgency attached to this affair and will be very motivated to snatch a SU win as a victory or a loss by the Saints, will get them a post season wild card position . From a matchup perspective the Niners took out Los Angeles, 31-10, as a 3.5-point home underdog back in November, and have been a ATS machine for their backers after they covered the L/3 meetings in this series. SAN FRANCISCO is 5-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons. NFL Road underdogs or pick (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 37-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team vs the money line (LA RAMS) - revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 24-3 L/39 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LA RAMS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 9-38 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF 49ers to cover |
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01-09-22 | Hawks v. Clippers +5 | 93-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks are playing their 6th straight road game and are now on tired legs . I know the Clippers have not played cohesive basketball of late, but they are deep enough to compete here even with key cog George expected to miss. Yes, the Clippers played yesterday but after being humiliated by the Grizzlies by DDs, Im betting on a concerted effort fro a side that does not take well to being embarrassed. Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Clippers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. ATLANTA is 5-15 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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01-09-22 | Fairfield v. Siena +2.5 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-09-22 | Rider +9 v. Marist | 79-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
01-09-22 | Washington Football Team v. Giants +7 | 22-7 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 53 m | Show | |
Both these teams are done for the season, after today, and Im betting we wont see alot of motivation other than the revenge scenario the Gemn have for a 1 point loss they suffered to the Football team back in Sept. What I do expect is for both coaches to try to find a way to finish their season with some positives, via some slight structural renovations to their systems. In this type of affair, taking points with a home dog is a strong wagering opportunity . Note: NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS in home games revenging an extremely close loss against opponent by 3 points or less. Football Team are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Football Team are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC East. Football Team are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY GIANTS) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games are 1160-96 L/39 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (WASHINGTON) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after a game where they forced no turnovers are 26-56 ATS L/10 seasons for last 10 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-08-22 | Heat +8.5 v. Suns | 123-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
This has been a long grueling road trip for Miami , but they have proven to me during this West coast tour is they are a deep team, that is extremely well conditioned and are more than capable of retaining a high level of stamina behind a deep bench. Note: Heat are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. and once again matchup well getting this many points. Yes, even against the Suns in a hostile road environment. Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Heat are 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Phoenix. MIAMI is 10-2 ATS as an underdog this season. MIAMI is 11-1 ATS after 4 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 9-1 ATS in road games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 18-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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01-08-22 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss +3 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-08-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles UNDER 43.5 | 51-26 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 34 m | Show | |
With so many players injured and the additional woes of covid protocols and the possibility of both teams resting starters at some point during this game, I dont feel their will be enough positive flow for a big offensive output here tonight between these foes. I honestly believe that no matter what these coaches say staying healthy for the play offs is the main goal, which to me relates to an affair with very little cohesiveness. Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 games in January. Philadelphia is 0-6 UNDER off a division road game victory. Under is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games as a road favorite.Under is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 vs. NFC. Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Dallas road games have seen a combined average of 42.9 ppg this season. Note: The Cowboys are 0-6 L/6 division road tilts. DALLAS is 9-0 UNDER in road games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season with a combined average of 32.3 ppg scored. McCarthy is 8-1 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 38.2 ppg scored.McCarthy is 9-2 UNDER in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 39.2 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia with the average combined score in those tilts clicking in at 30.2 ppg. NFL Home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - good rushing team (4.5 or more YPR) against an average rushing defense (3.5 to 4.5 YPR) after 8+ games, after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 85-54 UNDER L/39 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-08-22 | Magic +2.5 v. Pistons | 92-97 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Orlando is not playing all that well from a W/L perspective and their opponents Detroit are the same form. I know the Pistons have won a couple of games recently and shocked the Bucks in one of those tilts, but according to my power rankings the Magic in desperation mode matchup well here and actually have an opportunity for a rare SU win. Magic are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - a terrible offensive team (104 or less PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 6-25 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DETROIT) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 34-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Orlando to cover |
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01-08-22 | Jazz -3 v. Pacers | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Indiana has lost 6 straight games, and things dont look like they will get much better for them here tonight vs a ferocious Jazz side that has won 14 of 18 road games this season with the average margin of ppg diff clicking in at +10 . From a SRS perspective the Jazz rank 2nd in the league with a 8.53 mark while the Pacers rank 16th with a 0.04 mark. SRS: Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Even if Mitchell does not play tonight the Jazz are still the superior side. UTAH is 38-22 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 8-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. NDIANA is 4-14 ATS in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days are 63-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jazz to cover |
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01-08-22 | Maple Leafs v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
Two of the top offenses in the NHL go head to head tonight and Im betting we see they're explosiveness in full display. Over is 4-0 in Maple Leafs last 4 vs. Central. Over is 5-1-1 in Maple Leafs last 7 vs. Western Conference. COLORADO is 18-4 OVER against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less power plays/game this season with a combined average of 7.8 gpg. COLORADO is 11-1 OVER against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or more of their chances this season with a combined average of 7.4 gpg . COLORADO is 7-0 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days this season with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (TORONTO) - in non-conference games, off 2 consecutive home wins by 2 goals or more with a combined average of 7.5 gog scored. Over is 10-0 in the last 10 meetings in Colorado. Play OVER |