Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-17-22 | Coyotes v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
The Arizona Coyotes have allowed six goals in each of their first two games , and own the league-worst 51 scoring chances per 60. The explosive Toronto Maple Leafs offense Im betting will do more damage here this evening and for the Coyotes to respond with enough light fireworks to help us eclipse this total. Note: The Buds are ranked 7th in the league in scoring chances per 60 (38.0), and eighth in high-danger chances per 60 (15.67) .Arizona has a league-worst xGA/60 (5.16). Over is 19-6-1 in Maple Leafs last 26 vs. Western Conference. ARIZONA is 15-6 OVER in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg going on the board. ARIZONA is 11-3 OVER after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored. Over is 5-0 in Coyotes last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-1-2 in Coyotes last 11 following a loss of 3 or more goals.Over is 7-1 in Coyotes last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 7-1 in Coyotes last 8 vs. Atlantic. Play OVER Im betting Justin Hebert the Chargers top tier QB will have to use his legs and do some scrambling here tonight, against a very strong Denver defense to will consistently be able to squeeze him out of the pocket. Vegas QB Derek Carr rushed for 40 yards vs the Broncos two weeks ago because of consistent pressure that forced him into action. |
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10-17-22 | Canucks +124 v. Capitals | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
The Canucks blew leads in their first two game of the season and lost both times. tonight Im betting they shore up their defense and continue their viable play vs a Washington team that despite being off a win have lost 5 straight after a victory. Canucks are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Capitals are 2-7 in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest. Underdog is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Road team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the Canucks to win |
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10-16-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles OVER 42 | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 108 h 38 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow- thank you for your patience Dallas last 3 meetings vs the Eagles has seen a combined average of 64 ppg go on the board. McCarthy is 25-9 OVER in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. in all games he has coached in his career. Over is 6-1 in Eagles last 7 home games. Over is 5-1 in Eagles last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 12-4 in Cowboys last 16 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (DALLAS) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 26-1 OVER L/39 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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10-16-22 | Bills v. Chiefs +3 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 2 m | Show | |
Buffalo is great team and off a convincing 38-3 win vs Pittsburgh last week , but I have circled this game on my schedule for a while, and with the Chiefs getting points Im going with the underdog. Mahomes has matured alot after some key losses and in his career and now looks ready to ascend . Chiefs QB Mahomes is 9-0 ATS as a dog in his NFL career and Im betting he and his team have the edge in this tilt. I know the kid had to work hard to get bring his team back from a deficit last time out in a 30-29 win, but he proved himself to be a winner, and nothing changes today. Reid is 35-18 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of KANSAS CITY. NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - solid team - out-gaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Favorites (BUFFALO) - with an incredible offense - averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 6-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chiefs to cover |
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10-16-22 | Cardinals -2.5 v. Seahawks | 9-19 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 44 m | Show | |
Arizona is more than capable of taking advantage of Seattle's porous run defense and Im betting on QB Kyle Murray to run wild here and use play action to put up a big offensive output. The Seahawks have allowed an average of 30.8 ppg this season, and those numbers should not get any better after this tilt. ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Kingsbury is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game as the coach of ARIZONA. SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better over the last 3 seasons. NFL team (SEATTLE) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 2-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road favorites (ARIZONA) - with a poor first half defense - 14 or more points per game, after a loss by 6 or less points are 22-4 ATS L/39 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. The visiting team is 15-2-1 ATS in this series and a rinse and repeat situation is at hand this Sunday again. Play on Arizona to cover |
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10-16-22 | Bucs v. Steelers +9.5 | 18-20 | Win | 100 | 75 h 57 m | Show | |
How embarrassing it must have been for the Steelers as an organization after last weeks 38-3 loss to Buffalo. Now in redemption mode Im expecting Tomlin and company to salvage some respect with a top tier effort here at home vs TB , where they are 9-1-3 ATS L/13 as home dogs, including a 5-0 ATS mark vs NFC south and 5-1 ATS L/6 vs the Buccaneers. Note:Tomlin when getting points at home is 12-2-5 ATS in his career, including 5-0-2 ATS L/7 opportunities dating back 4 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 17-6 ATS after allowing 35 points or more last game since 1992 with a +8 point diff. NFLHome underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (PITTSBURGH) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game are 31-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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10-16-22 | Ravens v. Giants +6 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 51 h 31 m | Show | |
The Giants are being under rated here as home dogs vs a Baltimore team that does not deserve as much respect as its getting based in part on their reputation and their win against Cincinnati last time out. However, after watching the Giants consistently this season, Ive noticed one key factor which has me on them today, and that is team chemistry and grit. This team plays hard, and have more upper tier talent than given credit for. Note: Ravens bring a 3-7 ATS L/10 NFC East, including 0-4-1 ATS when traveling . The home side this season is 5-0 ATS run in this series and a rinse and repeat situation is at hand. Harbaugh is 18-30 ATS in October games as the coach of BALTIMORE. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BALTIMORE) - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 or less turnovers/game committed), after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 22-49 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. Play on NY Giants to cover |
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10-16-22 | Vikings -3 v. Dolphins | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Dolphins QBs Tua Tagovailoa and Teddy Bridgewater are in concussion protocol, and if one or the other plays will be less than 100% this week vs the visiting Vikings. The Dolphins could be forced to start rookie Skylar Thompson, who played most of Miami's Week 4 loss to the New York Jets. On the flipside Im betting QB Kirk Cousins and the Vikings take advantage of the banged up Fins and Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook to explode on the Miami defense and romp to a win behind a consistent offense. MIAMI is 0-6 ATS in October games over the last 2 seasons. |
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10-15-22 | San Jose State -7.5 v. Fresno State | 10-17 | Loss | -120 | 52 h 27 m | Show | |
San Jose State 12-0 SUATS as a road favorite in games when coming off a double-digit win like last time out by a 40-7 count vs UNLV. Im betting on the Spartans up trending to continue here vs a Fresno State side that is 0-4 SU/ATS this season, with a lack of offense being a key problem for them (23.6 ppg). SAN JOSE ST is 23-8 ATS L/31 as a road favorite . Plus we have revenge on board here by Brennan and company as Fresno State smashed San Jose State last season by a 40-7 count. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (FRESNO ST) - outrushed by their opponents by 60 or more yards/game on the season, after allowing 6 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 14-39 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Jose State to cover |
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10-15-22 | Clemson -4.5 v. Florida State | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Clemson at 6-0 is getting better with each passing week and have an edge over a Florida state side that has lost two straight after a fast start.Clemson is 4-0 ATS in the last four of this series and gets the nod here as Im betting they continue their upward momentum. Play on Clemson to cover |
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10-15-22 | Senators v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
The Leafs were over powering at home in the Scotiabank Arena last season , garnering a powerful 31-8-2 record and a plus-47 goal differential . Im betting on more of the same type action here tonight, vs a Ottawa side they beat 3-1 and 6-0 in two meetings as hosts in this series during the last campaign. Note:Leafs did not need overtime to beat the Senators in five straight tilts at home in this series and have overall won their L/6 tilts at Scotiabank Arena. The Senators lost their season-opener Thursday, 4-1, to the Sabres in Buffalo and dont look quite ready to compete at a higher level on the road where they are 53-128 in their last 181 away games. Play on Maple Leafs on the puckline |
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10-15-22 | Arizona v. Washington -14 | 39-49 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 46 m | Show | |
The Huskies have dropped two straight, including last week’s 45-38 loss at Arizona State and really need a big game, and Im betting they get it. note: Arizona QB Jayden de Laura the last time he was here with Arizona State was inserting a giant flag featuring the Washington State logo in the turf at midfield after leading the Cougars to an Apple Cup smash down last November. I know de Laura is not with the Cougars anymore but you can bet the Huskies will be primed for payback this Saturday and could easily be merciless in romp to a big DD victory. ARIZONA is 1-11 ATS in road games after allowing 575 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992. ARIZONA is 4-22 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992. NFL Road underdogs (ARIZONA) - off 4 or more consecutive overs, with a poor scoring defense - allowing 31 or more points/game are 5-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. Play on Washington to cover |
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10-15-22 | Astros v. Mariners +110 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
Houstons starter MCCULLERS JR. is 8-22 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 in his career. (Team's Record) This is great opportunity for Seattle to make a series of this and Im betting they will be primed to perform. SEATTLE is 25-13 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. SEATTLE is 31-16 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 10-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle |
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10-15-22 | James Madison v. Georgia Southern +12.5 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 55 h 8 m | Show | |
James Madison at 5-0 gets all the headlines and alot of support from the pundits buy the Eagles (3-3) own the top-ranked offense in the Sun Belt and the 11th-best passing offense in the nation and must not be underestimated in their abilities to keep things close because of their offensive prowess and give us in a worse case scenario a back door cover . With that said, will will go against the public darlings, and take the underdog. GA SOUTHERN is 8-1 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Georgia Southern Eagles to cover |
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10-15-22 | Louisiana Tech +7 v. North Texas | 27-47 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
The Bulldogs are coming off a 41-31 victory over UTEP to open Conference USA play, which was the programs six straight conference-opening win.Quarterback Parker McNeil has thrown for 1,167 yards and 12 touchdowns this season. He ranks fourth in the FBS in yards per completion (14.8) and is more than capable of leading his team to a cover here and even a SU win. Note:LA Tech ranks third nationally with five plays from scrimmage over sixty yards. The Bulldogs are 21st nationally in plays from scrimmage over 30 yards with 16. I know North Texas has won seven-straight C-USA matchups dating back to Oct. 30, 2021 which is the longest active streak in the league and the fourth-longest streak nationally, but all good and bad runs must eventually come to an end.LOUISIANA TECH is 5-0 ATS and straight up against NORTH TEXAS since 1992 here in this venue and a rinse and repeat situation is possibly at hand and more important a cover . CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (LOUISIANA TECH) - with a poor scoring defense - allowing 31 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 47-13 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Tech to cover |
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10-15-22 | Alabama v. Tennessee +7.5 | 49-52 | Win | 100 | 55 h 1 m | Show | |
Alabama QB Bryce Young is questionable and if he plays will be less than 100% giving an edge to what will be a hyped up home team ready to make an imprint on the SEC. Tennessee is the real deal behind stud QB QB Herndon Hooker and must be respected here getting points. I know the Vols have lost 15 straight to Bama, but the under valued Vols have already ended 5-game losing streaks to Florida and LSU and like the old saying goes 3s a charm. CFB home team vs. the money line (TENNESSEE) - good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games are 36-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road favorites (ALABAMA) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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10-15-22 | Arkansas -1.5 v. BYU | 52-35 | Win | 100 | 54 h 15 m | Show | |
BYU is off a hard fought loss to Notre Dame last week, and now in. a emotional letdown state go against a tough Arkansas squad in a vulnerable state . Note: Cougars are just 1-8 ATS versus SEC opposition dating back 32 seasons. Arkansas HC Sam Pitman is 7-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in his career vs non conference opposition. BYU is 19-37 ATS L/56 in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. Sitake is 5-14 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of BYU. ARKANSAS is 23-9 ATS off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992. CFB home team (BYU) - off a loss against a conference rival against opponent off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more are 44-82 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play. on Arkansas to cover |
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10-15-22 | Oklahoma State v. TCU -4.5 | 40-43 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 41 m | Show | |
CFB home team vs. the money line (TCU) - after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games are 33-2 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on TCU |
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10-15-22 | NC State v. Syracuse -3 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show | |
CFB home team vs. the money line (SYRACUSE) - with an excellent defense - allowing 285 or less total yards/game, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 42-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff at +22.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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10-15-22 | Iowa State +16.5 v. Texas | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 50 h 23 m | Show | |
After smashing Oklahoma by a 49-0 count last week, I expect the Longhorns to be in an emotional letdown spot here in this tilt vs Iowa State. Iowa State after a close last time out to Kansas State now finds itself in desperation mode and Im betting they leave everything on the filed this week. Note: Cyclones HC Campbell is 10-1 ATS as a double-digit underdog in conference tilts , including 10-0 ATS against winning sides. TEXAS is 20-35 ATS after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992. Iowa state has won and covered the last two meetings in this series. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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10-15-22 | Iowa State v. Texas UNDER 49 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show | |
Texas shutout Oklahoma last week and the defense is obviously starting to show signs of up trending this season. Also after scoring 49 points last week a natural regression must be expected fro the Longhorns offense, especially in a letdown scenario. Meanwhile , Iowa State no matter what their record is entering this game, have remained a tough side to play against as the defense remains staunch, allowing 10 or less points in 4 tilts and allowing more than 14 points only once this season. Everything points to a low scoring tilt that remains on the low side of the total. Note: 7 of the L/8 meeting in Texas have stayed under the total. Campbell is 10-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in all games he has coached since 1992. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (IOWA ST) - after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 31-7 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-14-22 | Dodgers -115 v. Padres | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Game 3 is expected to have right-hander Tony Gonsolin ( 16-1, 2.14 ERA regular season) starting for the Dodgers against Padres left-hander Blake Snell (0-0, 5.40 ERA postseason; 8-10, 3.38 ERA regular season).Gonsolin was 2-0 in two starts against the Padres this season with a 0.71 ERA and a 0.632 WHIP and is 3-0 in his career vs the Fathers with his team winning all 5 starts he had made against them. Advantage on the mound gives us a solid opportunity to cash with a short fav. SNELL is 4-12 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) SNELL is 5-10 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 4-19 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff home games.Padres are 2-10 in their last 12 Divisional Playoff games. Dodgers have won 15 of the L/21 in this series in San Diego. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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10-14-22 | Navy +12.5 v. SMU | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Navy has looked good of late after starting lethargically at 0-2. They have won 2 of their L/3 with the only loss a 13-10 heart breaker to military rivals Air Force. Today against SMU Im betting the Middies triple option run heavy offense keeps them in this game vs a SMU side thatS ranks 106th in rush yards allowed this season allowing 179 yards per game. NAVY is 8-1 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons. NAVY is 7-0 ATS in road games off an upset win as a home underdog which was the case last time out vs Tulsa . SMU is 6-16 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) CFB team (SMU) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or better YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play 2 consecutive games are 10-35 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (NAVY) - mistake free team - 42 or less penalty yards per game, after dominating the time of possession last game (36+ minutes) are 44-15 ATS L/30 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Navy to cover |
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10-14-22 | Guardians +138 v. Yankees | 4-2 | Win | 138 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Cleveland goes with right-hander Shane Bieber (1-0, 1.17 ERA postseason; 13-8, 2.88 regular season). He began the playoffs by allowing one run and three hits in 7 2/3 innings against Tampa Bay in the wild-card round and must be respected here to keep Cleveland close enough out of the gate for us to pull off an upset underdog win,Clevelands starter BIEBER is 10-0 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)BIEBER is 20-7 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Yes, the Yankees Cortes has looked good, but it must be noted despite of a lack off offense of late the Guardians were averaging 5.0 runs per game in their final 30 regular-season tilts and are more than capable of getting things rolling offensively and have hot southpaws like Cortes well. .Guardians are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series. Guardians are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on Cleveland |
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10-13-22 | Washington Commanders -105 v. Bears | 12-7 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
QB Justin Fields just has not shown much at this level and all the excuses in the world or pundits calling for new coordinators will not do it in my humble opinion. The Bears 32nd ranked passing offense is in a shambles and the offense as a whole is in the same boat thanks to their woeful passing attack. Meanwhile, Washington will be motivated to bounce back after blowing chance to beat Tennessee last week . QB Wentz screwed up allowing an interception on the 1 yard line , and it was horrifying to watch. Now with PTSD firmly in place, I look for the shell shocked Commodores to bounce back and get rid of their MIA status. All games played at CHICAGO since 1992-WASHINGTON is 6-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO .WASHINGTON is 5-1 straight up against CHICAGO . NFL team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - off a road loss against a division rival, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are just 13-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to win |
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10-13-22 | Panthers v. Islanders +122 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Lane Lambert is the Islanders new coach and his style suits this group of veteran players and leaves room for the rookies to take a step forward. Quote: "I think there's a lot to look forward to," Islanders captain Anders Lee said. "We have the guys and we have the ability, so now we have to go out and get this thing going and start to prove that." End Quote. I know the Panthers also have a new coach , but according to my early season power rankings the Isles have the edge at home behind top tier goalie Sorokin. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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10-13-22 | Temple v. Central Florida -23 | 13-70 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
Temple’s visits the Bounce House tonight in a game that Im betting will not go well for them. Temple just does not travel well going 0-6 SU/ATS L/6 away and that trend should stay intact vs team that is a defensive juggernaut as they lead the nation in red zone defense. Opponents have scored on just 47% of their trips to the red zone, converting on 9-of-19 attempts. The Knights have only allowed four touchdowns in the red zone in 19 trips for opponents. Duke shutout Temple in their first game this season, and than last time out scored just 3 points so scoring will be an issue this evening for them again. Meanwhile, UCF has averaged 35.6 ppg so far this season on offense and another points explosion is not out of the question on their home turf on Space night where they have won all 5 of these themed tilts. Note: The Owls have been destroyed by UCF in their last 3 meetings by an average 36.3 ppg. Since 2017, the Knights are 33-3 SU in home games at FBC Mortgage Stadium. TEMPLE is 0-8 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.TEMPLE is 0-6 ATS after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. CFB Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (UCF) - after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 71-33 ATS L/30 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UCF to cover |
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10-13-22 | Baylor v. West Virginia +3.5 | 40-43 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
Baylor is the overall superior side, but West Virginia is always dangerous because of their explosive offense. Here at home West Virginia Im betting has enough of an edge on this line to get us the cover. The Mountaineers are a perfect 5-0 SU L/5 at home in this series. Note: Losing to Oklahoma State at home last time will take a little bit out the Bears and their performance could easily be muted. Brown is 11-1 ATS after a game where they forced no turnovers as the coach of W VIRGINIA. Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. Mountaineers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Mountaineers are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. Bears are 7-16-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.Bears are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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10-13-22 | Mariners v. Astros -147 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Mariners starter CASTILLO is 11-21v against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 13-25 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Astros are 14-2 in their last 16 Divisional Playoff home games. Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day. HOUSTON is 26-7 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season this season. HOUSTON is 20-3 against the money line in home games after 6 or more consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - after a win by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 6 runs or more 2 straight games are 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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10-12-22 | Canucks v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -111 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
The last 5 meetings in this series between Edmonton and Vancouver have been tightly played low scoring affairs with no more than 5 combined goals going on the board. All 5 of those tilts went under the set total and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. Play on the UNDER |
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10-12-22 | Phillies +135 v. Braves | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Phillies top tier hurler Wheeler has a solid history facing the the Braves. He made three starts against them during the regular season and went 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA. He struck out 25 and walked only one in 20 innings and he gets my support here vs a viable pitcher in Wright. My power ranking suggest Wheeler matches up very well vs the Atlanta batting order. Both bullpens are tired after yesterday so thats a wash. Whats left is two solid offenses and one pitcher that slightly better than the other. Considering the value on the line, Ill be recommending we take the underdog.Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff road games. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ATLANTA) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 46-74 L/25 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win |
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10-12-22 | UL-Lafayette v. Marshall UNDER 47 | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Lafayette goes with a back up QB against a Marshall defense that ranks 13th in total defense and allows just 281 yards per game. Im betting they struggle to put points on the board. Meanwhile, the the flip-side the visitors, has played a fairly solid brand of D, allowing only 1 of opponents to breach the 21 point plateau against them, and Im betting their stoppers find a way to control the Thundering herds offensive attack . Advantage to the under. LA LAFAYETTE is 6-0 UNDER vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 45.8 ppg scored. LA LAFAYETTE is 10-1 UNDER against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 44.2 ppg scored. Under is 7-0 in Ragin' Cajuns last 7 games following a straight up loss. Under is 15-5-1 in Ragin' Cajuns last 21 games in October.Under is 39-15-1 in Ragin' Cajuns last 55 conference games.Under is 13-5-1 in Ragin' Cajuns last 19 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 27-11-1 in Ragin' Cajuns last 39 games overall. Under is 4-0 in Thundering Herd last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Thundering Herd last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Under is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 home games.Under is 5-1 in Thundering Herd last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-1 in Thundering Herd last 6 games in October.Under is 4-1 in Thundering Herd last 5 games overall.Under is 4-1 in Thundering Herd last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Play UNDER |
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10-11-22 | Lightning v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
Two eastern conference rivals Im betting will play a disciplined defensive tilt here tonight and depend on their top tier goal tending to keep this game very competitive and low scoring. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Reigning Reigning Vezina Trophy winner Shesterkin has a 2.00 GAA and .941 save percentage in nine starts against the Lightning and is expected to be between the pipes tonight in both sides NHL opener . On the flipside , Andrei Vasilevskiy who was tied for NHL lead with 39 wins and posted a 2.49 GAA last season get the nod for the Bolts. . He owns a 3.23 GAA in the regular season at New York. Under is 5-0 in Lightning last 5 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 10-1 in Lightning last 11 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 vs. Atlantic. Play UNDER |
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10-11-22 | Guardians +186 v. Yankees | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
Clevelands starter Quantrill was 15-5 with a 3.38 ERA and finished his regular season by going 11-0 with a 2.95 ERA over his final 17 trips to the hill and deserves respect here in his ability to control the explosive NY Yankees bats. QUANTRILL is 10-0 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) QUANTRILL is 16-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) Meanwhile,NYY starter COLE is 4-9 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) COLE is 1-6 against the money line in home games after a loss this season. (Team's Record) He lost his last trip to the hill. Yankees are 4-9 in their last 13 games following an off day. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff games. Guardians are 8-0 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East. Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win |
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10-10-22 | Raiders v. Chiefs UNDER 51 | 29-30 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 34 m | Show | |
KC played a big game and notched a victory against Tampa Bay last time out in a high scoring 41-31 affair, the Chiefs now in a letdown situation regression should be on the table, and that will aid in this tilt staying on the low side of the total. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER in home games after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 36.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.LAS VEGAS is 38-19 UNDERL/57 in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game with a combined average of 45.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. Note: The Raiders found a way to win last time out, finally stopping the run ,which correlates with these trends. Under is 6-0 in Raiders last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Raiders last 7 games following a straight up win. The 5 Monday night games so far this season have seen a combined average of 36.8 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 Monday games. Reid is 21-6 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 40.7 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (KANSAS CITY) - after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. NFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (KANSAS CITY) - excellent passing team ( 265 or more PY/game) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/game), after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 22-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in Kansas City. Play UNDER |
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10-09-22 | Padres +123 v. Mets | 6-0 | Win | 123 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Chris Bassitt (15-9, 3.42 ERA) is expected to start for the Mets against Joe Musgrove (10-7, 2.93 ERA) in a battle of right-handers. Bassitt is 0-2 with a 6.60 ERA in three career starts against the Padres. Both losses came this season, recording a ugly 7.84 ERA in two starts. Advantage Padres. Padres starter MUSGROVE is 12-2 against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record) (Mets won 7-3 yesterday) SAN DIEGO is 18-6 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse this season.Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 road game. Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff home games. Play on the San Diego Padres |
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10-09-22 | Eagles v. Cardinals +5.5 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 74 h 50 m | Show | |
I know Philly is a perfect 4-0 and the only undefeated team in the NFL right now but despite of The Birds offensive line is a little banged up they are still capable of hanging tough here at home vs a team traveling from the west to east. Note: The Cards signed some insurance in the form of Billy Price who is a multiple purpose lineman and highly under rated. Im betting despite of the injuries the Cards will step up here and be competitive. Arizona is 6-0 ATS in its last six games against the NFC East. ARIZONA is 22-9 ATS vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. Kingsbury is 11-3 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 as the coach of ARIZONA. Kingsbury is 11-3 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of ARIZONA. NFL Road favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - solid team - out-gaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are just 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cardinals to cover |
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10-09-22 | Lions v. Patriots -3 | 0-29 | Win | 100 | 74 h 26 m | Show | |
Detroit owns a a defense that ranks at the bottom of the NFL in overall yards (444.8) and points allowed (35.3 ) and is in fade material in their current form . Detroit lost to Seattle 48-45 last time out. Patriots are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and have the edge! DETROIT is 3-12 ATS in road games off an extremely close home loss by 3 points or less. DETROIT is 9-22 ATS in road games after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Belichick is 17-4 ATS after being out-gained by 150+ total yards in their previous game as the coach of NEW ENGLAND which was the case last time out. NFL team (DETROIT) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 2-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Patriots to cover |
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10-09-22 | Dolphins -3 v. Jets | 17-40 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
Miamis QB today Bridgewater is 2-0 in two career starts against the Jets, completing 73.1 percent of his throws in those affairs. Today Im betting he hits Tyreek Hill (477 yards, two touchdowns) and Jaylen Waddle (381 yards, three touchdowns) for enough receptions and scores to get us to the promised land. Meanwhile, the flip-side, NY Jets QB Wilson, who went 3-10 as a starter last year, is playing behind a banged-up offensive line and at a disadvantage this Sunday. Dolphins are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East.MIAMI is 9-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. Jets are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. AFC East. Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover |
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10-09-22 | Giants v. Packers -8 | 27-22 | Loss | -108 | 68 h 2 m | Show | |
NYG QB Daniels is not 100% with a banged up ankle hampering his mobility which is not a good omen against the Packers aggressive pass rush. With that said, Im betting on the Gmens offense to have flow issues, while the Packers behind , Aaron Rodgers arm gets consistent production and gets is a conclusive victory. In the previous 7 international games that have featured favs of more than 7 points the chalk have gone 6-0 SU cashing 5 of those times with the winning team allowing an average of just 11.7 ppg. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (GREEN BAY) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (18-23 PPG), after a win by 3 or less points are 29-1 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 which qualifies on the his ATS offering. Play on Green Packers to cover |
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10-08-22 | Phillies v. Cardinals +113 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Phillies starter NOLA is 2-10 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) He lost his only start against the Cardinals on July 11 when he allowed five runs on seven hits in seven innings. My projections and power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs the now desperate Cards. Cards starter MIKOLAS is 25-10 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) MIKOLAS is 11-3 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Mikolas has been very effective at Busch Stadium this season, garnering a solid 6-3 record along with a 2.38 ERA in 14 starts. He is 1-1 with a 2.13 ERA in two starts against the Phillies this season and he is 2-1 with a 3.16 ERA in five career outings against them, including four starts. Phillies are 4-10 in their last 14 road games. Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cards held a 2-0 lead in the top of the 9th inning yesterday and than lost control late and were taken out 6-3 in a bizarre finish to what was a tight game. Im betting they rebound here. Cardinals are 19-7 in their last 26 games following a loss. MLB Home teams (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 50-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight games with no home runs, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 44-80 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Louis to win |
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10-08-22 | Washington State +13.5 v. USC | 14-30 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 17 m | Show | |
Washington State looks explosive offensively behind the arm of QB transfer Cameron Ward who is being looked at very closely by NFL scouts. I know USC has a fine group this season, but it must also be noted that USC is 1-9 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. With a look ahead revenger against Utah on board next week, its not out of the realm of possibility that the Trojans could get caught looking ahead and a vulnerable spot as DD favs. USC is 0-6 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON ST is 10-2 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON ST is 8-0 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON ST is 6-0 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons. Dickert is 6-0 ATS after playing a game at home as the coach of WASHINGTON ST. Play on Washington State to cover |
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10-08-22 | South Carolina +10.5 v. Kentucky | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 84 h 56 m | Show | |
Kentucky took a gut-wrenching, 22-19 loss at No. 14 Ole Miss last week, and despite of being angry because of bad calls, from the officials will have a hard time in what must be considered a huge letdown scenario.Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. South Carolina has had promising performances since its blowout loss to Georgia in Week 3. They can be excused for their performance vs one of college footballs top teams, so Im not underestimating their ability to compete vs a good but slightly over rated Kentucky side. Play on South Carolina to cover |
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10-08-22 | Iowa v. Illinois -3 | 6-9 | Push | 0 | 60 h 7 m | Show | |
The Illinois defense is currently ranked No. 1 in the nation in scoring D allowing a little over eight points per game. Here today against a Iowa side that struggles to score averaging just 16.4 ppg they have an edge. Last week the Illini held Wisconsin to just 10 points and a rinse and repeat situation is on board here this week in what the lines-makers are suggesting will be a low scoring battle. Illinois has the better offensive flow and will get the job done and bring us home the dough. Fighting Illini are 7-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Fighting Illini are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. CFB home team vs. the money line (ILLINOIS) - with a good rushing D - allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 1 or less rushing yards/attempt last game are 27-3 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play on Illinois to cover |
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10-08-22 | Appalachian State v. Texas State +19 | 24-36 | Win | 100 | 83 h 21 m | Show | |
Texas State owns the 4th-best defense in the Sun Belt and the No. 2 pass defense and have the ability to stay within the underdog line here at home vs the offensively explosive Mounties . Despite of App States offensive attributes they have looked inconsistent at times this season and with Coach Shawn Clarke at the helm of the Mountaineers they are just 8-15-1 ATS as favs. Meanwhile, Texas State is , 6-1-1 ATS when a home dog the past three years plus, and are 6-1-1 ATS at home versus teams with a better record than themselves. TEXAS ST is 6-0 ATS after a loss by 21 or more points over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out. Play on Texas State to cover |
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10-08-22 | Washington v. Arizona State +14 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 81 h 46 m | Show | |
The Sun Devils have taken part in a tough schedule with three previous opponents ranked in top 11 of the AP Poll at the time of their tilts. Now battle tested against top tier opposition Im betting they will not be intimidated here at home and get us the cover like they did last week. Note: Wash is just 1-8 ATS lL9 as road chalk of 7 or more points . Meanwhile, the Sun Devils 12-2 SU and 13-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in this series and deserve respect getting this many points . The last time the Huskies won in Tempe was 2001 with a late FG. WASHINGTON is 0-6 ATS vs. sub par passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA ST is 27-11 ATS in home games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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10-08-22 | Mariners +145 v. Blue Jays | 10-9 | Win | 145 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Toronto came into the play offs on fire, and have not slumped for a while, which sometimes gives off alarm bells. Being that hot for an extended time quite often results in a team cooling off at some point and that was what we saw yesterday as the explosive Blue Jays bats took suddenly went silent losing by 4-0 count in the series opener.The Mariners, with a victory here today can advance to the ALDS and will feel confident with last season AL Cy Young winner Robbie Ray to the mound(He knows this Blue Jays batting order well as he was with them last season). With the Jays quite possibly hitting a bump in the road at the worst possible time, are vulnerable here despite of their desperation. Real value with the underdog in a contrarian stance here today in this Seattle vs Toronto play off headliner. Jays starter GAUSMAN is 2-8 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Gausman has seen his team lose his L/3 starts vs the Mariners. I know the Mariners starter Ray has not done all that well of late, but Im betting he stands tall here and frustrates the Jays today. TORONTO is 11-17 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. Play on Seattle to win |
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10-08-22 | Virginia Tech +15 v. Pittsburgh | 29-45 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 27 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Panthers lost at home to Georgia Tech as 21-point favorites last time out, and despite of wanting to get redemption may find the sledding tougher than anticipated once again this week. I know the Hokies do not inspire most bettors, but they still own a defense, that allows just 310-YPG ranking No. 26 overall in the nation. Considering the issues Pittsburgh has shown so far it very much looks like we have en edge taking a 2 TD or more underdog in this spot play. Panthers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Narduzzi is 10-20 ATS as a home favorite as the coach of PITTSBURGH.PITTSBURGH is 16-32 ATS after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game. Play on VTech to cover |
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10-08-22 | Utah v. UCLA +4.5 | 32-42 | Win | 100 | 78 h 30 m | Show | |
Utah is know for its toughness, but this group of Bruins are equally rugged, behind offensive line that leads the nation in fewest tackles for loss per game allowed. The Bruins ground game is also in a groove , and functioning with better flow than Utes are. I know Utahs D, is nasty good, but the Florida Gators ran for 283 yards against them, and Im betting the Bruins can replicate that and help get us the cover in the process. UCLA is 5-0 SUATS since 2000 as an unbeaten home dog. UCLA is 22-8 ATS in home games after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored CFB home team vs. the money line (UCLA) - good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games are 34-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. CFB Road favorites (UTAH) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins are 12-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on UCLA to cover |
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10-08-22 | Rays v. Guardians UNDER 6 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
These teams took part in a low scoring affair yesterday with Cleveland pulling off a 2-1 win. With two quality hurler and bullpens on the diamonds today Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation and a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (TB/ CLEVELAND) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 106-84 UNDER L/5 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 20-9 UNDER revenging a one run loss to opponent this season. Rays starter Tyler Glasnows last 3 starts vs the Guardians has seen a combined score of 2,2,3 runs total scored. Tampa Bay lost all 3 by 2-1, 2-0, 3-0 counts. Mckenzies last two starts were wins vs the Rays with 2-1, and 3-2 margins of victory both staying under the total. Guardians starter MCKENZIE is 12-2 UNDER in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.2 rpg. MCKENZIE is 13-3 UNDER in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.3 rpg. Play UNDER |
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10-08-22 | Purdue +3 v. Maryland | 31-29 | Win | 100 | 77 h 14 m | Show | |
Purdue is coming off a big win last week against Minnesota and have now won 2 in a row. I know Maryland is also off a victory and have looked good this season including a close loss to Michigan, but it must be noted the Terps HC Locksley is 0-13 SU in his career going up against a football program coming off consecutive wins. So faltering here is not out of the question and according to my projections probable. Purdues D is 77+ yards better than Marylands and today D will be the difference maker. Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Boilermakers are 17-7-2 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Brohm is 11-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of PURDUE. Brohm is 20-6 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached. Terrapins are 18-37 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Terrapins are 16-41 ATS in their last 57 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.Terrapins are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 conference games.Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Play on Purdue to cover |
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10-08-22 | Tennessee v. LSU +3 | 40-13 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 36 m | Show | |
Brian Kelly’s 4-1 Tigers are playing some good football and deserve respect here as underdogs vs one way offensive side Tennessee Vols football program. Kelley is 18-7 SU at home against undefeated opposition like Tennessee. Heupel is 3-14 ATS after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game in all games he has coached. Volunteers are 4-12 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Volunteers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Tigers are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS loss.Tigers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. CFB Road favorites (TENNESSEE) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins are 12-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LSU to cover |
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10-08-22 | TCU v. Kansas +7 | 38-31 | Push | 0 | 74 h 17 m | Show | |
TCU is in a letdown spot after a big win vs Oklahoma last time out and are vulnerable to a slow start here this week against upstart Jayhawks. The series hosts are 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series. TCU is 2-13 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return. Horned Frogs are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.Horned Frogs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on fieldturf. Horned Frogs are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games in October.Horned Frogs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Horned Frogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. CFB Road favorites (TCU) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins are 12-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate. Play on Kansas to cover |
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10-08-22 | Texas v. Oklahoma +7 | 49-0 | Loss | -107 | 74 h 11 m | Show | |
Oklahoma has lost back to back games and is suddenly no longer a favorite of the pundits and obviously the lines-makers. This is the first time in the last 14 meetings that the Longhorns have been made favs. Note: OKLAHOMA is 7-0 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite since 1992. I know the Texas offense is explosive but the Sooners are 11-3 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. There was alot of wise guy money that came in on Texas early on when the line first opened , but now its been over done and Ill be recommending we take the points. The last eight meetings have been decided by eight points or less. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - in a game involving two excellent passing teams (8.3 or more PYA), after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 12-36 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma to cover |
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10-08-22 | Texas v. Oklahoma UNDER 65.5 | 49-0 | Win | 100 | 46 h 54 m | Show | |
The Red River Shootout rivalry may not be as explosive as the lines-makers are suggesting according to my projections. Texas and Oklahoma could be changing starters this week — Oklahoma to Pitt transfer Davis Beville because of the head injury suffered by Gabriel, and Texas from Hudson Card to Quinn Ewers, who started the first two games of the season. Changing QBs no matter who considered the starter can sometimes hamper offenses to start clicking again and thats what Im betting on here. A high scoring affair is not out of the question, but according to my projections as mentioned above a combined score that eclipses this number is unlikely. CFB team against the total (OKLAHOMA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 27-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average combined ppg clicking in at 47.5 . CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (TEXAS) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 42-9 UNDER with a combined average of 60.5 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-07-22 | Nebraska v. Rutgers OVER 50.5 | 14-13 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
Nebraska’s is registered at a lowly No. 124 overall defense and Rutgers Im betting piles up some points here well above their season average . I know the Scarlet Knights defense has been staunch but still projects to allow between 20 and 27 points according to my estimates which will help us easily eclipse this total. Note: Nebraska put 28 points and 35 points on the board against both their Big 10 opponents this season Northwestern and Indiana. RUTGERS is 6-0 OVER in home games after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 56.3 ppg scored. RUTGERS is 14-4 OVER off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more with a combined average of 52.3 ppg scored. (Ohio State pummeled them last week) CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (RUTGERS) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 22-3 OVER L/30 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-07-22 | Mariners v. Blue Jays OVER 7 | 4-0 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
I know we have to quality pitchers on the hill here today, but both don't have alot of big league play off game experience and both these teams have offenses that can take advantage against hurlers with post season jitters . Seattle has scored 44 runs in their L/8 games ( 5.5 rpg) while the Jays have scored 39 runs in their L/6 games (6.5 rpg). TORONTO is 20-9 OVER in home games after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 21-9 OVER in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. Play over |
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10-07-22 | Phillies v. Cardinals UNDER 7 | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
NATIONAL League Playoffs - Wild Card - Best Of 3 - Game 1 In 12 trips to the hill since coming over the Cardinals , Quintana has garnered a 2.01 ERA and a 2.60 FIP. He enters this game and post season play having allowed just one run over 25.1 innings of top tier work and Im betting his top shelf effort continues here today. Meanwhile, the Mets, starter Wheeler has been in top form since returning from the injured list three starts ago. During that time he has surrendered just one run on nine hits with opposition batters hitting just .177 over a span of 15 innings. Note: Wheeler faced the Cardinals in back to back starts, going deep and strong with both starts seeing him record seven scoreless innings both times. WHEELER is 14-5 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. THOMSON is 16-5 UNDER in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. These two teams have combined for seven or less runs in each of their last five head to head meetings in this series. Rinse and repeat scenario now on board. Play UNDER |
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10-07-22 | Phillies -102 v. Cardinals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
Mets, starter Wheeler has been in top form since returning from the injured list three starts ago. During that time he has surrendered just one run on nine hits with opposition batters hitting just .177 over a span of 15 innings. Note: Wheeler faced the Cardinals in back to back starts, going deep and strong with both starts seeing him record seven scoreless innings both times. He gives the Mets a strong edge on the hill past on past performances vs this Cards lineup. Play on the Phillies to win |
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10-06-22 | Colts v. Broncos -3 | 12-9 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Colts star RB Jonathan Taylor is not 100% if he plays tonight as his ankle continues to give him trouble. With the Colts key offensive juggernaut not at his zenith their offense should continue to struggle. Note: Colts offense has averaged an NFL-low 14.3 points per game and with senior citizen QB Matt Ryan on his last legs the Colts offense is not going to operate well enough to generate a decent output . On the flip-side Broncos qb Wilson has gone 20-3 in home primetime games and will be out to show case his top shelf grit this Thursday night and finally get consistent red zone TD conversions. The Colts are ranked 32nd in offensive DVOA this year. Broncos are 4-0 SU/ATS vs non division opposition on Thursday nights and are 4-0 ATS L/4 in this series. NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (INDIANAPOLIS) - poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game) against a team with an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/game), after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 60-107 L/39 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver |
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10-05-22 | SMU v. Central Florida -2.5 | 19-41 | Win | 100 | 36 h 6 m | Show | |
UCF owns a perfect 5-0 record at home against the Mustangs in the all time series. SMU won the last meeting between the programs, in DD fashion at home and now with revenge on board Im betting UCF will this game in motivated fashion and proverbially leave no prisoners. Note:Since 2017, the Knights are 32-3 SU in home games at FBC Mortgage Stadium and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation in place behind , a Knights defense has been top shelf season, as is evident by leading the nation in red zone defense. Opponents have scored on just 40% of their trips into the red zone, converting on just 6-of-15 attempts. The Knights have only allowed three touchdowns in the red zone in 15 trips for opponents and are projected to give SMU issues in offensive flow in key down situations.Following the first four games of the season, UCF is one of just two FBS teams (Oregon) to surpass 600 yards of total offense in more than one game this season. The Knights recorded a season-high 653 yards in the road win at Florida Atlantic and also tallied 605 yards in the season opener against South Carolina State. On the flip-side UCF is averaging 275.8 rushing yards per game, which ranks third nationally and leads the AAC. Fifth-year running back Isaiah Bowser is 19th in nationally with five rushing touchdowns, which is second in the conference. I expect the Knights will pound the ball on the ground and slow this game down to a crawl which will take high flying Mustangs out of their game flow. SMU is 9-24 ATS in road games vesus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry.SMU is 19-36 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UCF) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28 PPG), after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games are 43-15 ATS L/30 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UCF to cover |
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10-04-22 | Rockies v. Dodgers -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -150 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter URIAS is 15-0 SU vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.6 which qualifies on this run line offering. LA DODGERS are 17-1 SU in home games after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff recording at +3.. The Rockies upset the Dodgers yesterday by a 2-1 count. Big rebound on board for today for the Dodgers. ROBERTS is 164-61 SU in home games after allowing 2 runs or less as the manager of LA DODGERS. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 61-7 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.6 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on LA Dodgers to win -1.5 |
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10-03-22 | Rays -132 v. Red Sox | 3-4 | Loss | -132 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
The Rays (86-73) have dominated the Bosox this season, winning 12 of this season's first 16 head-to-head meetings with Boston. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. both sides has struggle of late, but TB gets the nod in this spot play. Rays are also 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. TAMPA BAY is 9-0 against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less last 2 games this season. BOSTON is 3-25 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 19-44 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or ,less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. BOSTON is 8-21 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival, with a winning percentage of between 46-49% on the season are 7-29 L/25 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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10-03-22 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +122 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Baltimores starter KREMER is 6-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) KREMER is 11-1 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) Jays starter Jose Berrios (11-7, 5.37 ERA), is on a two-game personal losing streak, and in his current form is fade material. The Blue Jays after a big weekend series and sweep against the BoSox this past weekend Im now betting on an emotional letdown scenario to give us an edge taking a viable home underdog in this spot. TORONTO is 3-8 against the money line off 2 straight home wins against division rivals over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), playing on Monday are just 14-30 L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 25-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore Orioles to win |
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10-02-22 | Chiefs v. Bucs +1.5 | 41-31 | Loss | -110 | 86 h 31 m | Show | |
I have a great deal of respect for KC and Patrick Mahomes but tonight Im betting against them on the road in Tampa Bay against QB Tom Brady and company. I know three-time NFL MVP has thrown for just 673 yards and three touchdowns in three games after setting franchise records in both categories last season (5,316, 43) but like a thoroughbred off a long lay off , he will be now ready with the rust worm off to perform at an optimal output here on national tv in the Sunday night spot light event. Note: Brady is 11-1-1 ATS as a home dog in his illustrious career. Chiefs are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.Chiefs are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS loss.Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Buccaneers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Buccaneers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Tampa Bay.Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. NFL Favorites (KANSAS CITY) - out-gaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing yards/attempt, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game arem24-56 L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to cover The New York Jets secondary has allowed the fourth-most yards per attempt at 7.5 per pass and Im betting even the much maligned QB Trubisky cannot do some downfield damage here this Sunday.Opposition QBs have eclipsed this offered Total in two of three games against the Jets and a rinse and repeat situation is a high probability event. |
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10-02-22 | Mets v. Braves -124 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Charlie Morton (9-6, 4.29 ERA) is expected take the hill for the Braves against Chris Bassitt (15-8, 3.27) in a battle of veteran right-handers. The Braves now have a one-game lead with four games to go and now with blood in the water Im betting on Atlanta to keep rolling tonight against a slumping rival. ATLANTA is 13-3 against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. SNITKER is 26-16 against the money line in October games as the manager of ATLANTA. NY METS are 26-40 against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons. Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Braves are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Braves are 41-12 in their last 53 home games MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better) (NL), after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games are 46-19 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Mets are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta. Play on Atlanta to win |
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10-02-22 | Cardinals v. Panthers OVER 43.5 | 26-16 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
Arizona is 4-0 OVER L4 vs Carolina with a combined average of 51 ppg going on the scoreboard --- Arizona is also 10-1 OVER L11 vs NFC South with a combined average of 58.1 ppg scored. Panthers are 7-0 OVER L7 vs NFC West with a combined average of 55.1 ppg scored. Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 7-2 in Panthers last 9 games in Week 4. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. |
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10-02-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 7.5 | 3-6 | Win | 105 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
Blue Jays are crushing the BoSox this season going 15-3 against the bean town crew. They’ve won eight consecutive tilts in the season series by a combined score of 77-22 count and Im betting that run wont end today behind a offense that has been on fire -Toronto’s owns .828 OPS over the last 15 days which ranks second in MLB and will also help power this total to be eclipsed . Jays starter GAUSMAN is 17-7 OVER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 games following a loss. Note: Wacha the Red Sox starter has looked tired of late, and Im betting the explosive Jays bats take advantage of the veterans fatigue and make is 14 overs in 19 meetings this season vs Bo/sox. The last time the Jays faced Wacha back in late June, they smashed him for four runs in a 6-5 win - rinse and repeat and with extra mustard added on in the rematch. Play OVER |
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10-02-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 110 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
Blue Jays are crushing the BoSox this season going 15-3 against the bean town crew. They’ve won eight consecutive tilts in the season series by a combined score of 77-22 count and Im betting that run wont end today behind a offense that has been on fire -Toronto’s owns .828 OPS over the last 15 days which ranks second in MLB and will also help power this total to be eclipsed . |
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10-02-22 | Washington Commanders +3.5 v. Cowboys | 10-25 | Loss | -121 | 78 h 30 m | Show | |
Dallas QB Rush has played well in wins over the AFC champion Cincinnati Bengals and the New York Giants but Im betting he has a lapse here vs a D that my rankings suggest matchup well against him and the Dallas O line! I know the Commanders experienced a nasty day in last week's 24-8 loss to Philadelphia, but this is a better side than that score would indicate and Im betting they will be ready to get some redemption in a motivated bounce back situation. Washington's QB Wentz has a history of success against the Boyz. In eight career starts against the men from Dallas , and has garnered 14 touchdowns and a career passer rating of 95.7. He will be key again and give us the edge to cover. WASHINGTON is 20-8 ATS L/28 in road games vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return . Rivera is 22-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread in all games he has coached. NFL Favorites (DALLAS) - poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/game are 3-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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10-02-22 | Browns v. Falcons UNDER 48.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 78 h 12 m | Show | |
These two teams run the ball more than they pass it and are ranked in the top 5 in that category. With that said, I expect alot of time consuming running plays to eat up the clock and for a lower scoring very physical type affair to be played. I know the Falcons have gone over in 3 straight games, all covers, but it must be noted that NFL home teams off 3 or more ATS victories that saw them go ‘OVER the Total are 0-6 to the under the L/5 seasons. ATLANTA is 6-0 UNDER vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game over the last 3 seasons of 37.3 ppg scored. Cleveland has also gone over in 3 straight but regression here is an expected outcome according to my projections. Note: AFC away chalk of 1 or more points like the Browns have seen 16 of their L/17 tilts go UNDER versus any NFC opponent when the totals offering is 54 points or less. Clevelands last 21 games vs NFC South division opponents has seen a combined average of 37.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-02-22 | Browns -1 v. Falcons | 20-23 | Loss | -112 | 78 h 44 m | Show | |
Browns lead the league in Time of Possession this season (35:36) and are capable of hitting back via the pass game with under rated QB Brissett or the run game behind vaunted RB Chubb. Brissett has given up just one interception in 92 passes so far this season. They have won the stats battle in all 3 of their games and deserve respect here to cash for on the road vs a over rated Atlanta side. Note: The Browns are 5-0 ATS L/5 non conference road tilts. Atlanta is 0-8 SUATS versus the AFC North last 8 seasons , while the Browns are 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against the NFC South. Smith is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing their last game on the road as the coach of ATLANTA.ATLANTA is 2-18 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. The Browns own a 12-3 lead in the all-time series, including a 28-16 home win in the teams' last meeting on Nov. 11, 2018. Rinse and repeat situation on board. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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10-02-22 | Bills v. Ravens +3.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
The Ravens must not be underestimated in this tilt vs a top tier Buffalo side as they are, averaging 33 points and 380.3 yards per game behind the arm and legs of QB Jackson, and a over powering offensive line. Baltimore's HC John Harbaugh is 7-1 ATS in his last eight games as a home underdog, going 5-0 ATS in his L/5 opportunities . BALTIMORE is 37-21 ATS against AFC East division opponents.BALTIMORE is 5-1 straight up against BUFFALO since 1992 at home. It must be noted that \NFL Home dogs with a moneyline in the +125 to +155 own a strong 23-11 (68%) conversion rate straight dating back 17 seasons. NFLFavorites (BUFFALO) - solid team - out-gaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are are 12-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to cover |
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10-01-22 | NC State +7 v. Clemson | 20-30 | Loss | -120 | 105 h 52 m | Show | |
I know Clemson has won 36 straight home games, and I wont be surprised if they win again, but after their exhausting back and forth battle against Wake Forest last week, I expect a natural letdown scenario to hit the Tigers, which could easily effect their ability to start fast and cover here vs a under rated and tough NC State football program that ranks 2nd in D. Both these sides are 4-0 SU on the season, and both failed to cover last time out. However it must be noted that NC STATE is 8-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons. NC STATE is 19-7 ATS versus excellent rushing defenses - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game. NC STATE is 8-0 ATS after a game where they forced no turnovers over the last 3 seasons. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NC STATE) - with a good defense - allowing 4.8 or less yards/play, after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous games are 23-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NC State to cover |
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10-01-22 | UL-Monroe v. Arkansas State -7 | 28-45 | Win | 100 | 58 h 24 m | Show | |
Arkansas State to cover |
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10-01-22 | Wake Forest +7 v. Florida State | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 100 h 20 m | Show | |
Wake Forest had a 11 game winning streak at home end last week in a OT loss to Clemson. Now angry and hungry and ready for redemption Im betting the explosive Demon Deacons behind the arm of star QB Sam Hartman to give the pubic darling Florida State Seminoles all they can handle. FLORIDA ST is 6-16 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. Clawson is 14-5 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70 as the coach of WAKE FOREST Clawson is 12-3 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 3 straight games in all games he has coached CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (FLORIDA ST) - in a game involving two excellent passing teams (8.3 or more PYA), after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 12-34 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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10-01-22 | Michigan State +8 v. Maryland | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Michigan State has lost two straight and are not the public darling they once were . They were beat by a very good Washington team by 11 points then fell flat on their faces in a emotional letdown spot last time out to vs Minnesota in a ugly DD loss. Now in desperation mode Im betting they come out here and leave everything on the field vs Maryland. Note: Terps are just 6-18 SU and 7-17 ATS in Big Ten battles under Mike Locksley and must not be over estimated despite of playing Michigan tough last time out.MICHIGAN ST is 6-1 straight up against MARYLAND since 1992 and Im betting gets us the cover here. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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10-01-22 | Texas State +22 v. James Madison | 13-40 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 28 m | Show | |
James is off a big upset vs App State and will now be in an emotional letdown state this week as they bring a perfect 3-0 record in their first FBS season. Texas State ranks No. 17 in tackling, and could easily give JMU’s passing attack problems behind a No. 3 ranked pass-rush grade and No. 1 in the nation in PFF coverage grade. Intensity could easily be lacking here for JMU and Texas State is built to take advantage of it.Texas State gives up only 301 YPG and Im betting can hold the fort here. CFB home team (JAMES MADISON) - good rushing team (190 to 230 RY/game) against a terrible rushing team (100 or less RY/game), in conference games are 4-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas State to cover |
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10-01-22 | Michigan v. Iowa +11 | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 22 m | Show | |
Iowa has been a strong home side for a very long time. Something about this crowd and the energy created brings out the best in this program no matter what the perceived levels of talent they currently have on the filed as compared to their competition. I know Michigan is a strong side, but Im betting things dont come all that easily for them this week in this road tilt vs a top ranked D, that can stifle the best of offenses. ( I know there is a key injury to linebacker Jacobs , but their is alot of grit in this Hawkeyes D, and Im betting they find a way to pull up the slack) Note: Iowas HC Kirk Ferentz is 55-2 ATS L/57 as a double digit dog at home. Ferentz is 21-8 ATS vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game as the coach of IOWA. Michigan is 0-5-1 ATS L/6 on the road in this series and have not won here since the 2005 campaign. IOWA is 31-9 ATS L/40 versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry.IOWA is 6-0 ATS after a game where they committed no turnovers over the last 3 seasons. MICHIGAN is 6-22 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games since 1992. CFB home team vs. the money line (IOWA) - off 1 or more straight overs, with a good scoring defense - allowing 17 or less points/game are 57-7 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Iowa |
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09-30-22 | Washington v. UCLA +3 | 32-40 | Win | 100 | 84 h 21 m | Show | |
Both these teams are 4-0 on the season , and with my projections making this a pickem, Im betting getting points at home for UCLA will prove golden . WASHINGTON is 0-6 ATS vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons. UCLA is 23-7 ATS in home games after scoring 42 points or more last game which was the case in 1 45-17 win vs hapless Colorado last time out. Kelly is 6-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs as the coach of UCLA. CFB home team (UCLA) - off a road blowout win by 28 points or more, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a winning record are 29-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCLA) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game, with an experienced QB returning as starter are 31-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCLA) - with a good defense - allowing 4.8 or less yards/play, after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. CFB Road favorites (WASHINGTON) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins are 11-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate! UCLA is 9-2 SU L/11 at home in this series. Play on UCLA to cover |
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09-30-22 | San Diego State +6.5 v. Boise State | 13-35 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 49 m | Show | |
Boise State is 112th in the nation in scoring at 22 points a game after garnering just 177 yards of offense despite being favored by 16.5 points over UTEP. The Broncos’ time of possession was limited to 19:25 in that above mentioned tilt and against a physical San Diego State may struggle again to find flow, especially considering that the Aztecs are expected to pound the ball on the ground and make this a grinding physical game. San Diego State scored the game’s final 24 points to beat Boise State 27-16 at home last season and now a rinse repeat situation Im betting is in place considering the logistics data that shows us the Broncos are struggling more mightily than even the worst pessimist may have expected.SAN DIEGO ST is 6-1 against the spread versus BOISE ST since 1992 and 3-0 ATS L/3 at Boise State. Boise State is also 0-6 ATS L/6 as fav in this series. |
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09-30-22 | Tulane +2.5 v. Houston | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 81 h 37 m | Show | |
In his fourth season at Houston's helm, Holgorsen has become frustrated with his squad."Tired of yelling at them. Tired of motivating them. Tired of all that crap," Holgorsen said after last Saturday's 34-27 win over Rice. The energy and chemistry with this Cougars group is an indicator of their current motivational mind set giving us an edge with an under rated a hard working opponent the Tulane Green Wave. Note: Houstons secondary is abysmal allowing an average of 295 passing yards per game in four tilts. Holgorsen is 0-7 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored as the coach of HOUSTON. Holgorsen is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing 310 or less yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992. CFB team (HOUSTON) - off 4 or more consecutive overs, with a poor scoring defense - allowing 31 or more points/game are 17-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NFL Road underdogs vs. the money line (TULANE) - after allowing 250 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games, with 9 or more defensive starters returning are 28-13 L/30 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. |
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09-29-22 | Dolphins +4.5 v. Bengals | 15-27 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
Miami's QB Tua Tagovailoa’s has a banged up ankle , but if the Dolphins man under center can not go, Teddy Bridgewater should not be underestimated as a road dog as his 23-9 ATS mark as a pup would indicate. Note"Teddy Bridgewater has defeated the Bengals two of three times he has faced them.The Fins are 3-0 on the season, and found a way to beat a top tier Buffalo Bills squad this season behind strong receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle and are built to give the Bengals secondary fits. Im betting on the Bengals Super Bowl hangover to hamper them again this week vs a well conditioned side on short rest. Miami is 17-5 SU L/22 meetings in this series. Miami is 15-3 ATS L/18 as non division road dogs of 5 points or less. Miami is 4-0 L/4 vs AFC. NFLHome favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 8-37 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
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09-28-22 | Diamondbacks v. Astros -185 | 5-2 | Loss | -185 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
Houstons starter VERLANDER is 21-3 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) since 1997. (Team's Record) ARIZONA is 15-44 against the money line vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons like Verlander. HOUSTON is 13-2 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% over the last 2 seasons like Arizonas Z. Gallen. ARIZONA is 11-47 against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 44-4 L/25 seasons. Play on Houston |
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09-27-22 | A's v. Angels OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
OAKLAND is 15-6 OVER in September games this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. LA ANGELS are 60-40 OVER in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (OAKLAND) - bad offensive team ( 4.2 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 30-8 OVER L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-27-22 | Yankees -104 v. Blue Jays | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
The Yankees (94-59) will start right-hander Jameson Taillon (13-5, 3.90). Taillon is 4-4 with a 3.72 ERA in nine career starts against the Blue Jays. He is 3-2 with a 2.67 ERA in five starts against Toronto this year. Berrios has faced the Yankees three times this season, all in New York, going 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA. NYY starter TAILLON is 20-5 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) TAILLON is 22-7 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)TAILLON is 18-3 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)TAILLON is 22-8 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) The Yankees had a 7 game win streak end last night in a extra innings loss to the Jays but Im betting on them to rebound tonight Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. American League East.Yankees are 66-29 in their last 95 during game 2 of a series. Play on the NY Yankees to win |
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09-27-22 | Royals v. Tigers OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Royals starter GREINKE is 10-1 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Joey Wentz the Tigers starter 6.75 ERA at home this season while Greinke owns 6.36 ERA on the the road this season. MATHENY is 9-0 OVER in road games after allowing 12 runs or more in all games he has managed since 1997 which was the case last time out in a 13-12 win. KC has scored 5 runs or more in 5 of their L/6 games and with their offense flourishing Im betting on more explosive action here today with momentum in full swing. KANSAS CITY is 91-60 OVER vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season. Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 games following an off day.Over is 9-2-1 in Royals last 12 during game 1 of a series. DETROIT is 39-19 OVER after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival . Over is 9-1-1 in Tigers last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less ) (AL), after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 30-8 OVER L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-27-22 | Reds +103 v. Pirates | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Pirates starter KELLER is 1-11 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) KELLER is 0-10 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KELLER is 1-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.795. Against Cincinnati, this season he is 0-1 with a 10.00 ERA in two starts this year. Greene lost his last start vs Pittsburgh by a 1-0 count, and with little help from his offense looks like a viable hurler to get redemption. Greene will be making his third start since spending six weeks on the injured list because of a shoulder strain. He is 0-1 with a 1.64 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his two starts and just needs his offense to help him out. Something I bet he gets today. Pirates are 3-12 in their last 15 home games vs a right hander. I know the Pirates have won 5 straight in this series but all good and bad runs eventually come to an end, and thats what Im betting on here in this spot play. PITTSBURGH is 8-20 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. Pirates are 4-15 in their last 19 home games. CINCINNATI is 16-10 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.CINCINNATI is 18-10 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Play on Reds to win |
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09-26-22 | Cowboys +1 v. Giants | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 86 h 10 m | Show | |
Dallas QB Cooper Rush 2-0 SUATS in his career and I wont be surprised by another win here vs the NY Giants this Monday night. I know the Giants are 2-0 thanks to two close wins, but if history repeats itself thats not a good omen for a Gmen franchise that is just 2-8 SU/ATS when coming off consecutive victories. I know the Giants have revenge for two straight losses in this series but once again negative numbers appear when in redemption mode as they failed to cover 8 of their L/9 when in Double revenge. DALLAS is 6-0 ATS versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 8-1 ATS (in road lined games over the last 2 seasons. McCarthy is 17-3 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points in all games he has coached in his career. NFL team vs the money line (NY GIANTS) - off a upset win as an underdog, team that had a terrible record last season (25% or less ) playing a team had a winning record last year are 1-31 L/39 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites (NY GIANTS) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, versus division opponents are 16-42 ATS L/39 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas Cowboys to cover |
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09-26-22 | Yankees +106 v. Blue Jays | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
After an extended last season slump the Yankees are back in a groove and have won 7 straight games and Im betting they will continue that flow into this tilt against the Blue Jays. Yankees are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. American League East. The Yankees are scheduled to start right-hander Luis Severino (6-3, 3.36 ERA) on Monday. Severino is 6-3 with a 3.94 ERA in 17 career games (14 starts) against the Blue Jays and gives is am edge against Gausman who has a 4.91 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. Yankees are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Toronto. Play on the NY Yankees to win |
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09-25-22 | Falcons v. Seahawks | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 82 h 47 m | Show | |
For the second week in a row the Falcons blew a chance for victory and lost the game with minutes left on the clock. Could the third time around be a charm. Im betting yes. Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Falcons are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. Seahawks are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. NFC.Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.Seahawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. NFL Home favorites (SEATTLE) - in the first month of the season, non-playoff team from prior season who won their last 2 games are 4-24 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta Falcons to cover/win |
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09-25-22 | Tigers v. White Sox -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
White Sox starter CEASE is 15-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.8 which qualifies on this this run line offering.CEASE is 10-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.87 and a WHIP of 1.144.. I know the White Sox have lost 5 straight, but today Im betting on a offensive explosion vs a pitcher on T.Alexander that owns a 7.07 road ERA this season. ALEXANDER in his career is 0-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.17 and a WHIP of 1.722. DETROIT is 91-268 against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997 with a rpg diff of -2.1. Play on White Sox to win -1.5 |
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09-25-22 | Texans +2.5 v. Bears | 20-23 | Loss | -100 | 78 h 22 m | Show | |
Houston has revenge on board for a loss they suffered to Chicago last season by a 36-7 count and will be motivated to get some redemption and payback this Sunday. Chicago last time out only threw the ball 11 times and look woefully awful on offense and the D for all intensive purposes looks suspect . Im betting the Bears have problems scoring this season unless something drastic is done and that will be their downfall today. Texas has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series, and the Bears have shown a propensity for failure after taking on the Packers, losing and failing to cover 6 straight times after Cheese head confrontations. Texans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Texans are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Bears are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Bears are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points which was the case vs the Packers last Thursday night in a DD loss. Play on Houston to cover |
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09-25-22 | Chiefs v. Colts UNDER 51 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 78 h 20 m | Show | |
Colts QB Ryan threw three interceptions and was sacked five times in the loss to Jacksonville last week. The Colts had just 218 yards and nine first downs and Im betting things dont get much better vs a under rated top tier Chiefs D. Colts lack of attack will be a contributing factor in this game staying under the set total. Under is 7-0 in Colts last 7 games overall.Under is 6-0 in Colts last 6 vs. AFC. These teams have gone under in 4 straight meetings with the average combined ppg clicking in at 34.8 . INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 UNDER in home games after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home teams against the total (INDIANAPOLIS) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 25-3 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for btettors with the average combined score clicking in at 40.5 ppg. Play on under |
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09-25-22 | Bengals -6 v. Jets | 27-12 | Win | 100 | 56 h 44 m | Show | |
The Bengals looked to be in Super Bowl hungover mode in their first two games of the season , but today Im betting they have an edge against a Jets side that is off a emotional come from behind upset win vs Cleveland last week. The combination of the Bengals being very hungry here, and the Jets batteries being drained Im expecting a conclusive Cincinnati victory and cover. NY JETS are 1-11 ATS after 2 straight games with 40 or more pass attempts. NFL team vs the money line (NY JETS) - off a upset win as an underdog, team that had a terrible record last season (25% or less) playing a team that had a winning record last year are 31-1 L/39 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.7 which qualifies on the ATS offering. Play on the Cincinnati Bengals to cover |
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09-25-22 | Chiefs v. Colts +5.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 56 h 38 m | Show | |
The Colts are off a ugly 24-0 loss to the Jaguars last week and are now in redemption mode and will be primed to pull off an upset vs a strong looking KC side. Colts QB Ryan owns a 11-5 SUATS career record against AFC West opp , including 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS as a under dog. If Mahomes and company get the win here Im betting it wont come easily making getting points essential here. NFL home dogs off a shut loss are 12-2-1 ATS L/15 in their follow up game. INDIANAPOLIS is 16-6 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. INDIANAPOLIS is 10-2 ATS off a division game over the last 3 seasons. NFL Underdogs or pick (INDIANAPOLIS) - good offensive team from last season - scored 24 or more points/game are 46-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indianapolis to cover |
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09-24-22 | USC v. Oregon State UNDER 71 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 64 h 5 m | Show | |
Oregon State has been explosive so far against sub par defenses, but today vs a top tier USC D, they will Im betting regress substantially which will directly have on effect of this total . Im leaning heavily on this number not being eclipsed. Jonathan is 6-0 UNDER in home games off 2 or more consecutive overs as the coach of OREGON ST with a combined average of 55.7 ppg. OREGON ST is 12-3 UNDER in home games after scoring 42 points or more last game with a combined average of 49.1 ppg. USC is 11-2 UNDER in road games after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite with a combined average of 44 ppg. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (OREGON ST) - after scoring 50 points or more last game against opponent after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 23-2 UNDER L/5 seasons with the average ppg scored coming in at 54.2 ppg. Play UNDER |
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09-24-22 | Boston College +17.5 v. Florida State | 14-44 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 19 m | Show | |
Seminoles are unbeaten but man are they ever beat up. Last Thursday in a hard fought win vs Louisville Florida states starting QB Jordan Travis was on the side line with crutches in the 2nd half and if he plays this week he maybe less than 100%. Im betting Boston takes advantage of this situation and stays very competitive and gets us the cover vs a exhausted Noles side in an emotional and physical letdown situation. Note: Eagles BCs HC Jeff Hafley is 3-0 ATS as a underdog of 14 or more points. These teams have played some very close affairs of late with the last 3 decided by one score or less. Rinse and repeat agenda now on board. BOSTON COLLEGE is 34-19 ATS in road games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. CFB road team (BOSTON COLLEGE) - struggling rushing team - averaging 100 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games are 55-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston College to cover |
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09-24-22 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -18 | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 72 h 46 m | Show | |
Buckeyes head coach Ryan Day has taken out Wisconsin twice here with this program, defeating the Badgers 38-7 in the 2019 regular season, then repeating the feat in the conference championship in the same campaign 34-21 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat scenario here today .OHIO ST is 19-7 ATS in home games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6.25 or better yards/play with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at 19,8 ppg. Chryst is 1-9 ATS after out gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games in all games . Wisconsin 1-5-1 ATS L/7 as conference dogs of more than 12 points. Chryst is 2-11 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of WISCONSIN Day is 11-3 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more as the coach of OHIO ST. CFB home team vs. the money line (OHIO STATE) - with an excellent defense - allowing 285 or less total yards/game, after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 43-3 SU L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for. bettors with the average margin of victory combing by 20.2 ppg. CFB Home favorites (OHIO ST) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgain opponents by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 30-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ohio State to cover |
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09-24-22 | Cubs v. Pirates OVER 8 | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
Cubs lefty starter MILEY is 9-1 OVER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MILEY is 22-11 OVER in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored in those 33 games. Over is 5-1-1 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 9-2-1 in Pirates last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter like Miley. PITTSBURGH is 21-9 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons. J. Oviedo owns a 7.71 ERA at home in limited action this season, but my projections estimate he gets lit up here this Saturday. MLB Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (PITTSBURGH) - bad offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less ) (NL), playing on Saturday are 34-9 OVER L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |