Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-20-22 | Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 52 | 30-27 | Loss | -107 | 63 h 57 m | Show | |
Im sure the pundits and weekend warriors are expecting a passing duel when Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs go head to head with Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers. However, both these teams are most prob going to have key receivers out of the lineup this week and Im betting that will hamper big downfield plays. Key here will be the Chargers inconsistent offense this season behind a banged up QB Herbert’s who is still not 100% with a rib injury, which happened in a Week 2 loss to the Chiefs. Throw in the WR issues and the Chargers could have problems with point production vs a under rated KC defense and fail to live up to offensive estimates from the lines-makers which makes for an inflated Total that is vulnerable to be taken advantage of from under bettors. Under is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 games in November.Under is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 vs. AFC. LA CHARGERS are 29-12 UNDER (L/41 in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better ) with a combined average of 41.5 ppg scored. LA CHARGERS are 25-12 UNDER L/37 in home games revenging a same season loss against opponent with a combined average of 39.6 ppg going on the board. Under is 22-6 in Chargers last 28 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game Game 15 or less road chalk of 6 or more points with a Totals line of 49 or more have gone under in 12 of the L/13 times dating back 3 seasons. NFL games in which the home team is an UNDERDOG have gone 16-42 UNDER overall and 0-6 UNDER when AFC team is the home dog . NFL Road teams against the total (KANSAS CITY) - excellent passing team (7.3 or more PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games. are 73-36 L/10 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 42.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. NFL team against the total (LA CHARGERS) - excellent passing team (265 or more PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 42.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-20-22 | Grizzlies +7.5 v. Nets | 115-127 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Memphis snapped a losing streak by earning a 121-110 win over the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday when Jaren Jackson Jr. scored 25 in his second game back from right foot surgery and Im betting despite of Brooklyn playing some strong hoops at this time will be primed and ready compete. BROOKLYN is 7-33 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 9-29 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 1-13 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 32-19 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 5-0 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons MEMPHIS is 5-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons and are 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits to Brooklyn. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-20-22 | Colorado v. Boise State +2 | 55-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Boise states hoops program prides itself on its fitness and ability to compete . So here on short rest must not be underestimated in their ability to run and gun the floor. Meanwhile, Colorado after a huge output last time out is vulnerable to major regression . Note: Boyle is 2-9 ATS after scoring 95 points or more as the coach of COLORADO. BOISE ST is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. BOISE ST is 15-4 ATS versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (COLORADO) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, in November games are 17-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-20-22 | UCF v. Santa Clara +3 | 57-50 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UCF upset Oklahoma state in OT last time out and will be in a huge letdown spot here vs a quality San Clara basketball program. UCF is 4-13 ATS L/17 in road games off an upset win as an underdog. SANTA CLARA is 12-3 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons.SANTA CLARA is 17-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (UCF) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 39% or less on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 92-156 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Santa Clara to cover |
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11-20-22 | Virginia v. Illinois +1.5 | 70-61 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. No. 19 Illinois moves on to face #16 Virginia on Sunday in the Championship of the Continental Tire Main Event (2 p.m. CT, ESPN). Illinois is making its seventh trip to Las Vegas, and fifth for a multi-team event. Illinois won its first three MTE's in Vegas, claiming titles at the 2001 Las Vegas Invitational and 2004 Las Vegas Holiday Classic held at Valley High School, and the 2014 Continental Tire Las Vegas Invite at The Orleans. Illinois is 9-3 SU all-time in games played in Las Vegas and looks for its fourth MTE title in Las Vegas on Sunday vs. Virginia in the championship game of the Continental Tire Main Event. Virginia played a lights out big time game last time out taking out Baylor with some extraordinary down town shooting hitting treys in the 2nd half of the game. After making just one 3-pointer in the first half, the Cavaliers went 8-for-12 from deep in the final 20 minutes to knock off No. 5 Baylor (3-1) 86-79 Friday evening. No in a regressionary letdown situation Im betting their vulnerable. Illinois' win last time out over No. 8 UCLA improved the program to 11-5 in their last 16 games versus top-10 teams during the Underwood era. ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games with 19 or more assists over the last 3 seasons. ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (VIRGINIA) - slow-down team from last season averaging 53 or less shots/game, after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better are 12-42 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Illinois to cover |
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11-20-22 | Bears +3 v. Falcons | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 66 h 7 m | Show | |
Atlanta is 4-6 SU on the season, but even at that sub standard record is a aberration as the Falcons have been out-yarded -82 in net YPG ranking second worse in the NFL and are an ugly 1-9 in the stats battles this campaign. Meanwhile, the Bears , despite of not being a top tier side, are dangerous behind the legs of QB Justin Fields and a offensive system that starting to micmic cfb military school programs. That might be an exaggeration but you get the picture. Im saying the Bears matchup well here vs a obviously over rated opponent based on stats. Bears are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss which was the case last time out. Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home teams (ATLANTA) - off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are 24-61 ATS L/39 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play on Chicago Bears to cover |
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11-20-22 | Jets +3.5 v. Patriots | 3-10 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 51 m | Show | |
NY Jets are playing over all proficient football and are 6-3 SUATS record, including 4-0 SUATS on the road and have an overall 5-1 SU record L/6 trips to the gridiron and obviously deserve respect as road dogs. I know New England carries a famous brand name but the Jets are a team on the rise and look very much like a viable side to back. Yes, I know the Pats are well rested, but that has not been a recipe for success for Bellichick and company going 1-10-1 ATS with rest. Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East. NY JETS are 37-21 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1992. Play on NY Jets to cover |
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11-20-22 | Lions +3 v. Giants | 31-18 | Win | 100 | 56 h 8 m | Show | |
Detroit rallied last week from a 24-10 deficit to pull off a 31-30 win, the franchise's first victory after trailing by 14 or more points entering the fourth quarter since 1993. Now with momentum on their sides the Lions enter with confidence and Im betting will be prepared to battle again this week vs the Giants. The Lions' offense has been very efficient over the past three games, turning the ball over just once and must not be underestimated in the dog role. Visitor is 10-2 ATS in this series .Detroit is 8-3 non-division road dogs of 6 points or less. DETROIT is 6-0 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 17-5 ATS after being out-gained by 75 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games. Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Lions are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 vs. NFC. Campbell is 1-9 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1992. NFL Road underdogs or pick (DETROIT) - good offensive team - scoring 24 or more points/game, after a win by 3 or less points are 95-47 ATS L/39 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. DETROIT is 5-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS L/6 meetings.Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New York. Play on Lions to cover |
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11-19-22 | Fresno State v. Nevada +22.5 | 41-14 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Fresno State is playing well and Nevada is not having suffered 8 straight losses after q 2-0 start to their campaign. I know the Bulldogs are the superior side, but they have not played well on the road this season losing the stats battles in 4 of 5 games. Im not doubting Fresno State wins here straight up, but I wont be surprised to see Nevada cover this spread and in fact Im betting they do. Nevada was blast 41-3 on the road like week in Boise State but it must be noted that this program has proved somewhat resilient in the past after a ugly offensive output going 14-3 ATS L/17 in home games after scoring 14 points or less last game . Tedford is 0-7 ATS in road games vs. poor teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season in all games he has coached since 1992. Play on Nevada to cover |
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11-19-22 | Islanders +135 v. Stars | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The New York Islanders are 9-3-0 since Oct. 26 and have not dropped back-to-back games since losing three in a row from Oct. 20-23. They are off a loss last time out and now Im betting on a rebound performance vs Dallas on the road tonight vs a the Stars G' Jake Oettinger who has a 3.80 goals-against average in his last four outings and is obviously looking a little shaky. NY ISLANDERS are 6-1 ATS against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp this season. NY Islanders to win |
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11-19-22 | Wolves v. 76ers +2.5 | 112-109 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers Im betting have a great chance at remaining perfect on their five-game home-stand on Saturday, playing the second leg of a back-to-back when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves. This version of the Sixers is well conditioned and I have confidence they will perform at a high level tonight as they carry the momentum of late nights victory over Milwaukee into this tilt against another viable side. I know Maxey may not play tonight for the Sixers but Shake Milton is a fine replacement if that indeed is the case. Also the Wolves are on tired legs as they play their 4th straight road game tonight. Advantage Philly Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Timberwolves are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings.Timberwolves are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 30-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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11-19-22 | The Citadel v. Butler UNDER 143.5 | 42-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . My projections make this total closer to 140 giving us a full possession edge on this number to the under. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (THE CITADEL) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 35-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average combine score clicking in at 135.6 ppg. Play UNDER |
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11-19-22 | Providence +3 v. Miami-FL | 64-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . The lines-makers expect this game to be close between Providence and Miami Fl. Note: The Friars finished 11-3 in games decided by five points or less in 2021-22 and were 3-0 in OT games. This screams of tenacity and a never say die attitude implemented by HC Cooley. PROVIDENCE is 7-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 2 seasons.PROVIDENCE is 10-0 ATS (versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.PROVIDENCE is 6-0 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12 plus points/game over the last 2 seasons. PROVIDENCE is 9-1 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. Larranaga is 21-32 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game as the coach of MIAMI. CBB Neutral court teams (PROVIDENCE) - an explosive offensive team (76 or more PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG), after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games are 105-59 ATS L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Providence to cover |
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11-19-22 | Georgia -21.5 v. Kentucky | 16-6 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 7 m | Show | |
Georgia is a power house and heads and shoulders above most teams in this entire nation and have a history of having strong performances in their final road games of the season registering an astounding 11-0 SU/ATS record. With that said, and despite of the hefty line offering laying this much lumber is a viable offering. Note: CFB Road favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (GEORGIA) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against an average team (+/- 50 YPG) are 27-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. CFB Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points (KENTUCKY) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 16-40 ATS L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Georgia to cover |
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11-19-22 | UL-Monroe +15 v. Troy | 16-34 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 12 m | Show | |
UL Monroe has won their L/2 games, and now go against a strong Troy side, that despite of 8-2 overall record and a 7-0 run have only one win of more than 9 points during their current winning streak. Its Troys /D that does a majority of the top tier work, while the offense regularly struggles. My projections estimate this is just to many points to lay with the Trojans with the value sitting with the road dog with winning momentum . "Don't let their record give you any indication," Troy coach Jon Sumrall said. "They're 4-6 by record but they lost by a score to Coastal Carolina, they lost by a score to South Alabama, and they played Alabama and Texas, two Power Five teams. TROY is 0-10 ATS L/10 in home games off 3 or more consecutive unders . TROY is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing a game at home over the last 3 season.TROY is 4-14 ATS in home games when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) Play UL Monroe to cover |
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11-19-22 | Georgia State +9.5 v. James Madison | 40-42 | Win | 100 | 30 h 1 m | Show | |
The Georgia State Panthers must not be underestimated here vs James Madison as their defense is staunch and has been dominating their opposition of late. It must be noted that in the last three trips to the gridiron they have given up a grand total 785 yards combined and they have sacked the QBs 15 times during their current smash down of offenses. I know James Madison is a fine football program, but they will feel the heat here today vs a gritty/physical side with a never say die attitude. GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.GEORGIA ST is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1992. GEORGIA ST is 10-2 ATS L/12 in road games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. GEORGIA ST is 8-0 ATS in road games after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons. GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CFB road team (GEORGIA ST) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 25-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia State to cover |
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11-19-22 | UTSA -13 v. Rice | 41-7 | Win | 100 | 51 h 51 m | Show | |
Its not my usual m.o to lay this many points on the road . But Im betting we have a firm advantage here with the road team UTSA that has won 7 straight behind a consistent offense that will take advantage of Rice D, that has allowed 41,56, 30, 45 points respectively in their L/4 trips to the gridiron. The Roadrunners are also trying to clinch a chamoionship game spot so motivation will be a huge factor this Saturday Note:Road favorites vs. the money line (UTSA) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more are 36-1 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.8 ppg which easily qualifies on this ATS offering . UTSA has won the L/6 meetings in this series and have won and covered the last 3. Play on UTSA to cover |
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11-19-22 | Maryland +4 v. St. Louis | 95-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Both theses sides are undefeated but the difference maker today will come via the superior D of the Maryland Terps and their ability to muscle their way to a win or cover here from a physical perspective. The Big 10 is a league that focuses alot on gritty play and that will dictate alot of the action here today, which benefits Maryland. Dont get me wrong Saint Louis is fine mid major hoops program but just betting they get kicked around on the inside and of they win it wont come easily or without some pain. With that said , Im recommending we take the points. MARYLAND is 6-0 ATS after a win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons. SAINT LOUIS is 17-37 ATS L/52 in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or les turnovers/game . CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARYLAND) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, team that had a losing record last season are 22-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Maryland to cover |
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11-19-22 | TCU v. Baylor +2.5 | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 50 h 29 m | Show | |
The defending Big 12 champs Baylor Bears were defeated 30-28 as 7.5-point chalk at TCU last season, and now have revenge on board and are redemption minded after a down effort last week vs Kansas State in what Im betting was a look ahead situation that back fired on them from a attention standpoint. Now wide awake and ready to perform they are very viable underdogs at home vs a TCU side in an emotional letdown scenario after pulling off an upset on the road vs Texas last week. TCU is 5-15 ATS L/20 off an upset win as a road underdog since 1992. Baylor has covered 13 of their L/14 as an underdog when out looking for conference revenge versus an opponent coming off a SUATS victory, including 8-0 ATS L/8 when playing as hosts. .BAYLOR is 31-16 ATS L/47 versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry.BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in home games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.Aranda is 13-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of BAYLOR. Play on Baylor to cover |
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11-18-22 | Celtics v. Pelicans +2.5 | 117-109 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The visiting Celtics are looking for their ninth consecutive victory, while the Pelicans shoot for their fourth consecutive win. From a SRS perspective the Celtics are ranked No.1 with a 6.92 mark while the Pelicans are ranked 4th with a 4.35 . But when factoring in home court obligatory advantage of around 4 points i this game should see the home side favored by -2. But thanks to the the huge brand name respect attached to one of the oldest and most respected NBA franchises we get to take points here with the up-trending home side, which screams value. Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 11-32 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-18-22 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Northern Arizona +9 | 54-63 | Win | 100 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . N.Arizona has lost 3 of 4 games they have played but the three losses are against Mich State, Utah Valley State and Arizona State and they were competitive each time out and covered over hyped numbers. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 5-14 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. CBB team (N ARIZONA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 7+ losses in last 8 games against opponent first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 8+ wins in last 10 games are 20-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate! N.Arizona (Late Steam) |
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11-18-22 | Bellarmine +12 v. Clemson | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BELLARMINE is 20-9 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-34 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. BELLARMINE to cover |
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11-18-22 | Buffalo v. Drake UNDER 156 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. U.S. Virgin Islands Paradise Jam - Sports and Fitness Center - Saint Thomas BUFFALO is 11-1 UNDER on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (BUFFALO) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 26-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 144.6 ppg. Play under |
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11-17-22 | Pistons +9.5 v. Clippers | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
I know the Detroit Pistons have not played well this season, but they will face a inconsistent Los Angeles Clippers, side operating at less than 100% with key injuries .Considering the Clippers propensity under HC Lue to take nights off vs sub standard sides like the young men from Motown it will not be a hard decision to grab points here. Note: Lue is 3-14 ATS in home games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) in all games he has coached. DETROIT is 34-19 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 35-19 ATS off a home loss over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 16-6 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 25-55 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-17-22 | Red Wings v. Sharks -116 | 7-4 | Loss | -116 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
San Jose has won three straight while Detroit has lost four straight losses. Two teams are currently playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum Advantage San Jose. Red Wings are 15-38 in their last 53 vs. Western Conference. Red Wings are 26-82 in their last 108 road games. Red Wings are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Pacific. Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Note:Atlantic team lined greater than -105 are just 1-25 on the ML L26 vs visiting Western conference opponents and have fallen flat in 3 straight this season. Play on San Jose (late steam) |
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11-17-22 | Titans v. Packers OVER 41 | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Last week Aaron Rogers and the Packers looked rejuvenated with a OT win vs the Dallas Cowboys. The Packers have suffered through an ugly start to their season, and has possibly help resurrect themselves behind rookie WR Christian Watson who came to the fore front as he produced some much needed forward momentum as he scored three touchdowns including 8 receptions ( 107 ypg) . Im betting on the Packers continuing to look downfield after last weeks successes and for a decent output vs a viable Titans D. However, on the flip-side the Packers D, has not been all that stable allowing 24, 27, 27, 23, 27, 28 points respectively 6 of their L/7 tilts. With the Tennessee being a run heavy side, and the Packers rankings 28th against the run, my points projection out projections look ready to be proven right. Note: Star RB Henry has been sub par this season , but will have a field day vs a side that allows 4.8 yards per carry.Im betting the Titans hit those above averages offensively and help get this game over the offered Total. My projections point to both sides putting 20plus points on the board. Note: TENNESSEE is 16-1 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 60.2 ppg scored. GREEN BAY is 17-5 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average 57.8 ppg scored in those 22 tilts. Vrabel is 8-1 OVER in road games after having won 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of TENNESSEE with a combined average of 51.9 ppg scored. TENNESSEE is 20-8 OVER against NFC North division opponents since 1992 with a combined average of 51.3 ppg scored. Tennessee is 5-1 OVER L/6 vs NFC North and 8-3 OVER L/11 as non-conference road pups. LaFleur is 20-9 OVER after playing a game at home as the coach of GREEN BAY with a combined average of 52.8 ppg scored. GREEN BAY is 8-1 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 53.8 ppg scored. GB is 4-0 OVER off a win as an underdog and 3-0 OVER L3 vs Tennessee with a combined average of 62.3 ppg scored and 7-0 OVER on Thursdays vs non-division opposition and 11-2 OVER in the 2nd of back to back home games. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (GREEN BAY/TENNESSEE) - in non-conference games are 144-88 OVER L/10 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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11-17-22 | Colorado State +1.5 v. South Carolina | 85-53 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Colorado State is known for their top tier offense, but their defense is under rated. Im betting they have decent success here from an output perspective vs a strong South Carolina D, but that their own /D will do enough to keep the Gamecocks sub par attack from consistent offensive production. Medved is 10-2 ATS L/12 after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half in all games . CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S CAROLINA) - after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 15-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado State to cover |
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11-17-22 | Furman +2.5 v. Penn State | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Furman ha a lot of top tier offensive talent and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete against any Big 10 conference side including Penn State. Play on Furman to cover |
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11-16-22 | Kings v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
On most nights the explosive offense of the Oilers plays a one way type of aggressive transitional hockey. Im betting nothing changes tonight against a Kings side that is allowing 4.1 gpg on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Kings offense has kept them competitive scoring 3.7 gpg on the road and Im betting they will have to open up here again . EDMONTON is 13-1 OVER against struggling defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. LOS ANGELES is 7-1 OVER in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. LOS ANGELES is 5-0 OVER in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 8.6 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - after a division game against opponent after 3 consecutive non-conference games are 54-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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11-16-22 | Bulls +4 v. Pelicans | 110-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
New Orleans played a physical game last night against Memphis and prob do not have enough proverbial gas left in the tank to compete as needed against a revenge minded Bulls group on a few days rest. These teams just played a few days ago with the Pelicans squeaking out a 115-111 victory. The Bulls than came out in their next game and looked tired and demoralized , and got blasted by Denver in a DD loss. But now with redemption and revenge combo now in play are in my betting opinion solid underdog wagers. CHICAGO is 17-4 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more are 39-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74/5 conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-16-22 | Texas Southern v. Houston OVER 134 | 48-83 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Houston scored more than 80 points in in first three trips to the hardwood, and will dictate a faster paced event here that will help us eclipse this offered total. TEXAS SOUTHERN is 16-4 OVER L/20 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game with a combined average of 145 ppg. CBB teams against the total (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 32-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 157.5 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (HOUSTON) - dominant team from last season - outscored opponents by 12 or more points/game, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games over a 45 game sample size dating back seasons has seen a combined average of 139.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-16-22 | Miami-OH +1.5 v. Northern Illinois | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Despite of an array of returning players from last season, Northern Illinois is just 3-7 SU on the campaign and will not be going bowling this season. Meanwhile, 4-6 Miami O still has a chance at a Bowl invite and Im betting are very motivated and well prepared to get a W here today. I know Northern Illinois is off a victory last time out, but that has not always been a recipe for success when facing this particular MAC football program going 0-7 ATS coming off an outright away win vs the Hawks. Overall Miami O is 7-1 ATS L/8 meetings in this series and get the nod here behind a solid D, that is allowing just 23 ppg. Note: Northern Illinois is allowing an average of 38 points per game ranking 114th nationally allowing 8.3 yp attempt and here even against a pedestrian Miami O offense wont necessarily be ready for any kind of sudden bounce back. MIAMI OHIO is 6-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons.(lost to Ohio last time out) CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (N ILLINOIS) - off a road win against a conference rival, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 7-33 ATS L/30 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami O to cover |
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11-16-22 | Michigan -8.5 v. Pittsburgh | 91-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Legends Classic - Barclays Center - Brooklyn, NY My own numbers suggest Michigan should be 10 or more favs here thus giving solid value with this current line offering. Play on Michigan to cover |
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11-15-22 | Spurs +8.5 v. Blazers | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Portland has won nine of its first 13 games , but according to my specific power rankings should not be this big a favorite vs the Spurs. I know the Spurs are not playing well overall at least from a W/L perspective but do matchup well here according to my head to head player personnel data.PORTLAND is 9-20 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. PORTLAND is 14-30 ATS versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Spurs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spurs are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Spurs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games. NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 80-40 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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11-15-22 | Red Wings -105 v. Ducks | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Detroit matches up well vs Anaheim and have already beaten them 5-1 this season. It must be noted that ANAHEIM is 1-18 against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.ANAHEIM is 0-15 against the money line revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.The Ducks still have not earned a victory in regulation this season and are looking like bottom feeders and fade material in this spot play. Play on Detroit to win |
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11-15-22 | Kansas +1.5 v. Duke | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Gainbridge Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN The seventh-ranked Blue Devils face sixth-ranked and reigning national champion Kansas on Tuesday night in Indianapolis for the Champions Classic. Defending national champion Kansas is 3-1 straight up in the past four against Duke and get the nod again. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS) - after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 104-58 ATS L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas to cover |
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11-15-22 | Fairfield +19 v. Xavier | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The price for playing a strong College basketball brand like Xavier gives value to the underdog number being offered here. Young is 13-5 ATS in road games after a non-conference game as the coach of FAIRFIELD. Young is 11-3 ATS in November games as the coach of FAIRFIELD. FAIRFIELD is 8-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. CBB favorite (XAVIER) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament from prior season who won their last 3 games, good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) from last year are 4-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fairfield to cover |
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11-15-22 | Clippers v. Mavs -7 | 101-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Dallas has played their best hoops at home this season winning 5 of their 6 tilts , with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under +8. My power ranking suggest -8 is the correct line here favoring the host thus giving us an edge on this current line offering especially with the visitors playing short handed ie (Kawhi Leonard and John Wall) and now playing back to back nights. Luka Doncic scored at will against the Los Angeles Clippers last season and Im betting he will once be the catalyst in this contest. Note: Doncic scored 96 total points vs the Clippers in two games that were 48 hours apart. Doncic, leads the NBA ins coring averaging 34.3 points per game on 49.6 percent shooting. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Mavericks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. LA CLIPPERS are 5-21 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 9-65 L/5 seasons for a 88% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 18-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the |
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11-15-22 | Flyers v. Blue Jackets -107 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
I know Columbus has not played as expected early on this season, but the Flyers have also been very inconsistent and have a recent history of sub par efforts vs struggling sides like the Blue Jackets . Note: PHILADELPHIA is 9-21 ATS against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons. The Flyers are also on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 nights are at a disadvantage especially considering their current form. PHILADELPHIA is 2-15 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is also just 3-21 ATS after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons NHL Road teams against the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - poor closing team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period, after 3 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more are 3-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate. Play on Columbus to win |
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11-15-22 | Grizzlies +2.5 v. Pelicans | 102-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Memphis is off a DD loss last time out at Washington but have proven resilient under those circumstances in bounce back opportunities and have also played well against top tier teams in a groove like the Pelicans. MEMPHIS is 12-0 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 18-7 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 32-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and are fade material here laying points against a quality opponent that does not take kindly to having lost last time out. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-15-22 | USC Upstate +21.5 v. Clemson | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USC Upstate |
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11-14-22 | Hornets +1.5 v. Magic | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Charlotte is in desperate need of a win after 8 straight losses, and will primed to get a victory and revenge at the same time for a 113-93 loss they suffered to the Magic back on Oct 28th of this season. CHARLOTTE is 19-9 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Hornets are 46-16-2 ATS in their last 64 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. CHARLOTTE is 22-9 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. The Magic have had a long history of crapping the bed vs sub .500 opposition. Magic are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.ORLANDO is 25-41 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, in November games are 88-48 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 63-107 L/26 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-14-22 | Raptors v. Pistons +5.5 | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Both Toronto and Detroit are a bit banged up entering this tilt with some nagging injuries through each lineup and key players out.Toronto has lost three of its last four games and four of its last six. Forward Pascal Siakam is out and they look like vulnerable road favs here vs a side they have failed to cover 6 straight times against. I know Motown is not playing all that well , but from a long term perspective DETROIT is 33-19 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. TORONTO is 13-31 ATS L/44 after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent . Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-14-22 | Richmond v. College of Charleston +3 | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. North Carolina Tar Heels were tested by the College of Charleston program this past Friday night in Chapel Hill. Charleston held a 50-43 halftime edge against the nation's top-ranked team while outrebounding the Tar Heels 35-32 to put the country on notice . The Cougars are now well prepared and obviously talented enough to give defending league champs a run for their money tonight on home court. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 12-4 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. CBB road team vs. the money line (RICHMOND) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (RICHMOND) - team that had a winning record last season, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 7-26 ATA L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 3-0 against the spread versus RICHMOND since 1997. Play on college of Charleston |
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11-14-22 | Princeton -5 v. Maryland-Baltimore County | 94-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. PRINCETON is 15-2 ATS off a close road loss by 3 points or less which was the case last time out. MD-BALT COUNTY is 4-12 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Princeton to cover |
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11-14-22 | Islanders -115 v. Senators | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
The New York Islanders will seek their ninth win in 11 games on Monday when they face a Ottawa side they matchup well against. The Sens did end a 7 game losing streak last time out, but once again look vulnerable to attach another L to that record. OTTAWA is 0-11 ATS in home games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against over the last 2 seasons. Note: Varlamov is 3-2-0 with a 2.93 goals-against average this season, while Ilya Sorokin has a 2.17 GAA in winning seven of his 11 starts this season. Sorokin stopped 56 of 60 shots to win both of his starts versus Ottawa in 2021-22. OTTAWA is 2-16 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. Isles have won the L/3 most head to head battles and get the nod again. NY Islanders to win |
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11-13-22 | Chargers v. 49ers OVER 45 | 16-22 | Loss | -114 | 73 h 31 m | Show | |
My own number on this total is 47 thus prompting to back recommending an over wager here. Im betting top tier QBs Jimmy Garoppolo and Justin Hebert take part in a back forth Sunday night event. LA Chargers have cashed on the OVER in 10 of their L/11 non division games when the Totals offering is 51 points or less with the average combined score clicking in at 60.1 ppg. Chargers are 4-0 OVER L/4 in back to back road games and 7-1 OVER vs NFC West and 12-4 OVER as division road dog of 3 points or more . SF is 6-1 OVER off road dog victory and 5-1 OVER off division road win and .8-2 OVER at home after allowing 14 points or less . These teams have combined to average of 59.2 ppg in their L/4 meetings Over is 10-4 in Chargers last 14 games overall. LA CHARGERS are 19-8 OVER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 55.7 ppg scored.LA CHARGERS are 19-9 OVER after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 54.2 ppg scored. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the OVER |
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11-13-22 | Nuggets v. Bulls +1.5 | 126-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
When Zach Lavine is in the lineup and healthy the Bulls are dangerous opponent for all comers. He is expected to play this evening vs Denver, and with the Bulls on 3 days rest the home side will be fresh and ready to perform. Note: Chicago swept the season series from Denver last season behind solid play from LaVine, who averaged 34 points in the two games, and Im betting he will be the difference maker yet again. CHICAGO is 22-9 ATS after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 18-31 ATS after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-13-22 | Cardinals v. Rams -1.5 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 17 m | Show | |
Rams were shocked last week as with 35 seconds left on the clock Tom Brady engineered a come from behind victory with a TD that shocked and emotionally smacked the Rams down a few notches. Now in a rebound mode Im betting the redemption minded Rams come out here with their proverbial hair on fire and take down the visiting Cardinals. ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. ARIZONA is 2-11 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Kingsbury is 0-6 ATS after allowing 30 points or more in 2 straight games as the coach of ARIZONA. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (ARIZONA) - with a poor scoring defense - allowing 24 or more points/game, after allowing 30 points or more in 3 straight games are 3-33 L/5 seasons a go against 92% conversion rate. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (ARIZONA) - poor team - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, after allowing 30 points or more in 3 straight games are 2-29 L/5 seasons for 94% conversion rate. Rams are 5-1 SU/ATS L/6 in this series. Play on LA Rams to cover |
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11-13-22 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Mississippi State UNDER 138.5 | 47-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MISS VALLEY ST) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, team that had a losing record last season are 34-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. |
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11-13-22 | Texans +4.5 v. Giants | 16-24 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 23 m | Show | |
I respect how well the Giants have played this season overall but they have a long history of playing down to their opposition. It must be noted that the Gmen have failed to cover 12 of their L/16 vs sub .150 struggling sides like the Texans. Texans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 10. Texans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NY GIANTS are 3-11 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NY GIANTS are 8-19 L/27 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games . Giants are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Giants are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. NFL Favorites (NY GIANTS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (18-23 PPG), after a loss by 10 or more points are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFLRoad underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced are 60-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on Texans to cover |
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11-13-22 | Lions +3 v. Bears | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 67 h 32 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings this game should be closer to a pickem even though the Bears have home field advantage thus giving us value with the road dog. DETROIT is 8-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November. Lions are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC North. CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 5-13 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC North.Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Bears are 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. NFL team (CHICAGO) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road underdogs or pick (DETROIT) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover |
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11-13-22 | Saints -1.5 v. Steelers | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 13 m | Show | |
The inconsistent Saints played their most complete game of the season when they beat visiting Las Vegas 24-0 two weeks ago and despite of a loss last week are more than capable of a bounce back vs a Pittsburgh side they matchup well against. Not betting on another shut out, but against a offense, which is averaging just 15 points per game and is tied for the fewest offensive touchdowns in the NFL (11) the Saints have a great opportunity for victory. NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Saints are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous gam PITTSBURGH is 3-12 ATS L/15 against teams with a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse in the second half of the season . NFL Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - good rushing team (125 to 150 RY/game) against a poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game) after 8+ games, after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game are 35-2 L/39 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Saints to cover |
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11-13-22 | Browns +3.5 v. Dolphins | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 37 m | Show | |
Cleveland according to my power rankings despite of a sub .500 record is very under rated and deserve respect here as underdogs vs a Miami side that are ranked 15th in rushing yardage allowed per game this season. Look for Nick Chubb to do what other RBs have not done to the Dolphins and rush consistently and for more than 100 yards. Chubb is second only to Derrick Henry in rushing yards per game (105.1) and leads the league in rushing touchdowns, with 10. Chubb will be the difference maker . Miami is 0-7 ATS after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games since 1992. MIAMI is 6-21 ATS in home games after a win by 3 or less points .MIAMI is 16-30 ATS in home games after a win by 6 or less points. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in November games are 3-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 9-37 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. NFL Road teams (CLEVELAND) - excellent offensive team (370 or more YPG) against a poor defense (335 to 370 YPG) after 8+ games, after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game are 24-4 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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11-13-22 | Jaguars +10 v. Chiefs | 17-27 | Push | 0 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
Jacksonville is improving as is evident by winning the stats battles in 5 of 9 games this season and off a SU win last week and are capable of competing here vs a KC team in a letdown situation after QB Patrick Mahomes passed for 446 yards last week. Im now bettong on regression from the KC QB and his team. Note: KANSAS CITY is 1-8 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 1-16 ATS L/17 after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games . Reid is 1-9 ATS in home games after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs as the coach of KANSAS CITY. NFL favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS CITY) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in November games are 3-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jacksonville to cover |
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11-13-22 | Eastern Kentucky v. Cincinnati OVER 143.5 | 69-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. E KENTUCKY is 12-1 OVER in road games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 160.3 ppg scored.Hamilton is 10-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of E KENTUCKY with a combined average of 158 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-13-22 | Seahawks v. Bucs -2.5 | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 64 h 7 m | Show | |
Last time out future HOF QB Brady went on a , 60-yard drive with under 40 seconds left of last week’s victory vs the Rams and in doing so showed us you can never count him or his team out of any game. I know the Buccaneers opponents today the Seahawks have won 4 straight, su and ATS but they are an over rated bunch in my humble opinion and the lines-makers look like they agree with my assessment. It must be noted Brady is 3-0 SUATS in his NFL career in regular season games on neutral field and is now motivated to get his team back to .500. Look for the super star to be primed to perform on an international stage and to help his team to a win and cover over Pete Carroll and company. Buccaneers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.Buccaneers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November. TAMPA BAY is 11-3 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TAMPA BAY) - after 3 or more consecutive losses including pushes against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 34-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Tampa Bay to cover |
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11-12-22 | Red Wings v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The Wings enter this game having played well but they are banged up and have some key offensive cogs missing, like like Tyler Bertuzzi. With Johnathan Quick in top form of late allowing just 1 goal in his last two games and known as a streaky goalie the Kings should be able to shut the door on the Wings offense which Im betting helps keep this game on the low side of the total. Also after being smashed 8-2 the last time out you can bet the Wings will be paying alot of attention to their defensive transition game. DETROIT is 19-7 UNDER after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 3 season with a combined average of 4.9 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-12-22 | Georgia v. Mississippi State +16.5 | 45-19 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 15 m | Show | |
Georgia is off a huge win vs Tennessee last week by double digits . It was impressive to say the least against an explosive offense. Now in a letdown situation the Dawgs may not start as quickly vs a home side that deserves respect behind the viable arm of Will rogers and company. Note: Miss State HC Mike Leach has cashed 17 of 23 times in his career vs undefeated opposition. Georgia won 31- 24 at home last season in this series, failing to cover as -26.5 chalk and with a limited swing on this line, taking points with the home dog is not as far fetched as some pundits might suggest. Mississippi State has covered 2 of the L/3 meetings at home in this series.Georgia are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Miss State are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Play on Mississippi State to cover |
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11-12-22 | St Bonaventure v. Canisius +7 | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Witherspoon is 19-5 ATS in home games after playing a game as a home underdog in all games he has coached since 1997 CBB road team (ST BONAVENTURE) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 8-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Canisius to cover |
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11-12-22 | Jazz v. Wizards +3.5 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Playing without a couple of key players, the Wizards showed positive chemistry en route to a 113-105 victory over the Dallas Mavericks last time out and have the ability with this group to do the same to the visiting Jazz. I know Utah has played exceptionally well despite of key off season departures, but tonight after slugging it out non stop early this season against some strong opponents a letdown could be in order as was the case earlier this season when they lost too the young Houston rockets. . Washington has covered 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 and must not be underestimated as home dogs. Wizards are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest. WASHINGTON is 18-4 ATS in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. UTAH is 25-44 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 3-17 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 13-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 46-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Washington to cover |
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11-12-22 | Northern Arizona +9.5 v. Utah Valley | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ARIZONA) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, with all five starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 52-19 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate! Northern Arizona to cover |
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11-12-22 | Alabama -11.5 v. Ole Miss | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 49 m | Show | |
Alabama enters this game vs Ole Miss in very cranky mood , after falling flat on their faces and getting upset SU vs LSU last time out. You can bet life was miserable in practice this week for the Crimson Tide, and now this massive group of 4 and 5 star athletes will be ready to get redemption and what could easily be a merciless Alabama explosion. Saban is 13-0 SU in his career vs sides with a better record and 27-2 vs former assistants. ALABAMA is 16-6 ATS in road games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since 1992 with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under 20 ppg.
CFB Home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (OLE MISS) - in conference games, off a road win against a conference rival are 8-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Alabama to cover |
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11-12-22 | Louisville +7 v. Clemson | 16-31 | Loss | -107 | 52 h 26 m | Show | |
After a slow start Louisville has gone 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 tilts and are in a upward momentum drive and now deserve respect here vs a over rated Tigers side that lost last time out to Notre Dame by DDs a a fav. Note: CLEMSON is 1-9 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite since 1992. CLEMSON is 0-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (LOUISVILLE) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-8 L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Louisville to cover |
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11-12-22 | Rice v. Western Kentucky -12.5 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 50 h 6 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky football program has had a long history of over powering performances late in the season. In week 11 games they are a perfect 13-0 L/13 opportunities and 9-0 SU/ATS L/9 chances. Im betting on another explosive effort here vs a Rice side that has a tendency to fall asleep at the proverbial wheel like their ugly 56-23 upset loss to Charlotte at home as 15 point favs a couple of weeks ago. Western Kentucky smashed Charlotte last week 59-7 and beat Rice last season by a 42-21 count. Rinse and repeat on board. Owls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Hilltoppers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Hilltoppers are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Hilltoppers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 conference games. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (RICE) - with a turnover margin of -1 /game or worse on the season, after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers. are 34-67 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
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11-12-22 | James Madison v. Old Dominion +8 | 37-3 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 41 m | Show | |
JMU (5-3, 3-2) spent a week in the Top 25 after winning its first five games, including an upset of Appalachian State in Boone, North Carolina. But JMU has lost three games in a row since as has ODU . While, the Dukes are not going to Bowl or allowed to be a championship side because of this being their first season in the FBS, they may not be as inclined to fight it out like a do or die situation. Meanwhile, the Monarchs are still in the hunt for a bowl bid, and need 3 straight wins to do so and with that said Im betting leave everything on the field today. CFB road team vs. the money line (JAMES MADISON) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 1-7 this season . Play on Old Dominion to cover |
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11-12-22 | SIU-Edwardsville v. IUPU Ft Wayne -10 | 76-81 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Fort Wayne took it on the chin vs Michigan in their opener, but now after they rude awakening vs a top tier side, this contest will seem like a walk in the park. SIU EDWARDSVL is 2-9 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. IUPU-FT WAYNE is 3-0 against the spread versus SIU EDWARDSVL since 1997 at home. IUPU-FT WAYNE is 5-0 straight up against SIU EDWARDSVL since 1997 at home. Fort Wayne to cover |
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11-12-22 | LSU v. Arkansas +4 | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 49 h 40 m | Show | |
Im betting on a huge hangover for the LSU Tigers after upsetting the Alabama Crimson Tide last time out making them vulnerable to being upset here today vs Arkansas side that fell asleep at the wheel last time out and were upset. Razorbacks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game which was the case in a 21-19 defeat vs under rated Liberty. The two most recent meetings in this series have been decided by 3 points . Arkansas is 8-1 ATS as a underdog of 16 or fewer points. Tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. CFB road team (LSU) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 22-52 ATS L/30 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arkansas |
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11-12-22 | St. Peter's +17 v. Seton Hall | 44-80 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. ST PETERS is 8-0 ATS ( after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half since 1997. ST PETERS is 24-10 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. Saint Peters to cover |
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11-11-22 | Cavs v. Warriors -1.5 | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
After 8 straight wins the Cleveland Cavaliers have now lost 2 straight, and with this being their 5th straight road game Im betting their on tired legs and vulnerable to defeat here again tonight vs a Warriors team that have defeated them in each of the past 10 regular-season meetings in this series. I know Golden State has been erratic to start the season, but still owns an impressive 9-1 ATS in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons and are on extended rest. Warriors are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest Warriors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Friday games.Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Warriors are 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. . Meanwhile,CLEVELAND is just 19-39 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons and their conditioning according to some charts Ive kept on them is suspect.CLEVELAND is also 18-37 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a close win by 3 points or less are 18-52 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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11-11-22 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 220.5 | 93-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
My own projections make this total closer to 223 giving us a full possession value on a over wager. (The Bucks are the 2nd best ppg defensive team in the league at the moment while the Spurs are the worst). Im betting the Spurs here on their own home court behind a 5th ranked pace try to get the Bucks out of their comfort zone and turn this game in to a more wide open affair. This Im betting results in this total being eclipsed. Both these sides have a hsitroy of higher scoring non conference affairs. SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 OVER in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 41-23 OVER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg going on the score board. Budenholzer is 27-14 OVER against Southwest division opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 235.3 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 45-25 OVER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 23-2 OVER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. with a combined average of 235.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-11-22 | East Carolina +5 v. Cincinnati | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 58 h 52 m | Show | |
East Carolina deserves respect here after 3 straight victories vs BYU, UCF, and Memphis. Meanwhile, Cincinnati seems to not playing with alot of motivation and the offense seems much more inconsistent than over the last few seasons, giving credence to me recommending we grab the points with a never say die underdog that plays with passion. Houston is 9-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. as the coach of E CAROLINA.E CAROLINA is 16-4 ATS L/20 as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points . Play on East Carolina to cover |
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11-11-22 | Nuggets v. Celtics UNDER 231.5 | 112-131 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Boston brings a 21st ranked pace into this tilt against the Nuggets. The Celtics FG conversion rate has been above average to start the season, and thats why in part their output has been near the top of the league, but regression should start to rare its ugly head at some point, and according my projections based on their expected offensive production dip in this tilt, this totals offering is a tad high and should be closer to 228-- giving us value on the under. Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. BOSTON is 37-23 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.7 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 40-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston. Play UNDER |
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11-11-22 | Penguins v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Both these teams can put the puck in the net and both are experiencing goaltending issues. The Pens goaltending ranks 28th with an .870 team save percentage the last couple of weeks. Terry the expected starter tonight has garnered a nasty .867 save percentage over his last four starts. Toronto's current starter Goalie Erik Kallgren owns a sub par .890 save percentage in six appearances this season. Over is 8-1 in Penguins last 9 games following a win. Over is 13-3 in Penguins last 16 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 24-5-2 in Maple Leafs last 31 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Play OVER |
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11-11-22 | Michigan State v. Gonzaga UNDER 146.5 | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Armed forces Classic being played on deck of USS Abraham Lincoln - San Diego, CA- Winds expected in the 8 mpg range, which will effect shooting and offensive production because of more passing and in close physical basketball in the key. Play UNDER |
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11-11-22 | Detroit +9 v. Boston College | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Aside from its four top-100 players out of high school, the Titans have seven players that previously played in high-major leagues that generally send multiple teams to the NCAA Tournament. BC HC Grant is 9-23 ATS in home games in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-10-22 | Northern Arizona v. Arizona State -14.5 | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Sun Devils are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 season.Hurley is 11-2 ATS after a game where their opponent was called for 27 or more fouls in all games he has coached. NBA Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ARIZONA ST) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 28-4 ATS L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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11-10-22 | North Dakota v. Creighton -27.5 | 61-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Creighton’s offense is going to be explosive again this season and here against a North Dakota hoops program ranked in the bottom-five nationally on defense last season. Play on Creighton to cover |
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11-10-22 | 76ers v. Hawks -1.5 | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Atlantas Trae Young had a ugly outing last night, but Im betting now with the rust off after a injury lay off he will be in rebound mode tonight. This is a well conditioned Hawks team that my own power rankings suggest matchup well vs the Sixers. It will be Atlanta's second back-to-back of the season. The Hawks split the first one on the road, beating Detroit and losing to top tier Milwaukee which can be forgiven. 76ers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.76ers are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 road games. Hawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Hawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.Hawks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss. ATLANTA is 47-31 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 44-28 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 3-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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11-10-22 | Flyers +115 v. Blue Jackets | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
The Blue Jackets have lost nine of their first 12 games and 5 straight even though they signed star free-agent forward Johnny Gaudreau in the offseason. At this point chemistry seems to be an issue with this group and they are fade material in their current form. Meanwhile, the Flyers have won two straight and have an edge in momentum. Philadelphia have registered at least a point in nine of its first 12 games (7-3-2) after recording wins over Ottawa last Saturday and St. Louis on Tuesday night. PHILADELPHIA is 10-22 ATS against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons. NHL team against the money line (COLUMBUS) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season, after 3 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more are 6-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate. NHL team against the money line (COLUMBUS) - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period, after 3 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more are 9-38 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NHL team against the money line (COLUMBUS) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after allowing 5 goals or more 3 straight games are 7-37 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play on Philadelphia Flyers to win |
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11-10-22 | Western Carolina v. Maryland UNDER 143.5 | 51-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Maryland top tier D, that allowed 49 points against Niagara last time out will be key here to this total not being eclipsed. Willard is 61-35 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 131.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MARYLAND) - marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak division 1-A conference are 45-18 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate with a combined average of 136.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-09-22 | Bellarmine +10 v. Louisville | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-09-22 | Pelicans v. Bulls +2 | 115-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Chicagos super star Zach Lavine despite of some nagging injuries is expected to play tonight against visiting New Orleans . With him in the lineup, the Bulls offense will be alot more balanced and thanks to improved defensive play this season, the Bulls look like viable bets here on their own home court.Green is 2-11 ATS in road games in November games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.Donovan is 32-18 ATS in the first half of the season as the coach of CHICAGO. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pelicans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Bulls are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBAl teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 9-32 ATS 26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEW ORLEANS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season is 8-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-09-22 | UMKC v. LSU UNDER 142.5 | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road teams against the total (MISSOURI-KC) - off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points, good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games are 30-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-09-22 | Knicks v. Nets -135 | 85-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
The Knicks hit a season-high 19 3-pointers in a victory at Minnesota on Monday and now regression is on the agenda . Thats fortunate for a Brooklyn side that struggled against downtown shooting. Meanwhile, the Nets have won 3 of their L/5 and have shown upward momentum and competitiveness as was the case in a loss last time out to Dallas by a 96-94 count. I like their chances here vs a NYK side they dominated from a SU perspective in recent seasons. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 3-22 L/5 seasons for ago against 88% conversion rate for bettors. BROOKLYN is 7-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons and 4-0 L/4 at home in this series. Play on the Moneyline - Brooklyn Nets |
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11-09-22 | Buffalo +1.5 v. Central Michigan | 27-31 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 51 m | Show | |
Buffalo had a five game win streak abruptly come to an end vs Ohio last time out. on the road . However, it must be noted that Buffalo is looking to win its fourth road game of the season. A win would make the Bulls bowl eligible for the seventh time in program history and the fifth time in the last six seasons so they will be very motivated and ready for a bounce back effort. Key projected difference maker: Buffalo has forced 19 turnovers on the season. The Bulls' lead the MAC with a +7 turnover margin. Add to that Bulls defense has been positively aggressive this season scoring a defensive touchdown in three of the last four games. BUFFALO is 19-5 ATS against teams with a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse since 1992BUFFALO is 14-3 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992. Chippewas are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games. CFB road team (BUFFALO) - off a big upset loss by 17 points or more as a favorite, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 23-3 L/30 seasons for a 89% conversion rate! Play on the Buffalo Bulls to cover |
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11-09-22 | Davidson v. Wright State +4.5 | 102-97 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Retooling with a young group in Davidson makes them vulnerable to a top tier Wright State side from the Horizon league. Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DAVIDSON) - team that had a winning record last season, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 6-25 ATS 5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team (DAVIDSON) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 7-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wright State to cover |
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11-08-22 | Ohio v. Miami-OH +2.5 | 37-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Battle of the Bricks goes tonight as up-trending Ohio takes on Miami Ohio in Oxford tonight. Im betting- Ohio has surprised alot of ppl this season behind a offense thats piling up top tier numbers. It must be noted that rhe Redhawks have one of the best defenses in the conference. Miami ranks first in scoring defense (21.4), second in total defense (348.0), first in rush defense (107.8), third in sacks (23) and third in interceptions (7). Miami's rush defense ranks 18th nationally. In five conference games the RedHawks are allowing 18.0 points per contest and have allowed just 10 touchdowns all MAC season.-- In conference play, opponents have reached the re zone 16 times, but have come away with touchdowns just 50% of the time. Meanwhile, Ohio is ranked 124th in tackling and 123rd in coverage.Thats important because Im betting on QB Gabbert who has won 11 of his 12 career starts in Oxford to keep up with Rourke and company and get us to the promised land with either a cover or a SU upset victory. Projected key difference maker: In his first year with the football program, Graham Nicholson has not disappoin ted . He finished the season 15-20 on field goals, including 6-of-7 on attempts between 40-49 yards. He added 30 touchbacks on 65 kickoffs in 2021. He is 13-for-16 on field goals in 2022. He also had his first game-winning field goal, connecting on a 36-yard field goal with 21 seconds to go in the 17-14 win at Northwestern. The RedHawks are 32-15-2 at home vs. Ohio, including a 30-28 victory in 2018 in the Bobcats' last visit. OHIO U is 4-15 ATS L/19 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) MIAMI OHIO is 32-15 ATS ( L/47 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%)MIAMI OHIO is 21-8 ATS off a double digit road win since 1992. which was the case last time out. Martin is 13-4 ATS as a home underdog as the coach of MIAMI OHIO. Play on Miami O to cover |
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11-08-22 | Canucks +115 v. Senators | 6-4 | Win | 115 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Ottawa enters this game in a down mode, having lost 5 straight times and are once again vulnerable to suffering another loss vs a hungry Canucks side that are coming off a 4-3 shootout loss to the visiting Nashville Predators on Saturday. Previous to that the Canucks had won 3 of 4 in are still in my betting opinion up trending and better shape to pick up a win here than their opposition. VANCOUVER is 8-3 ATS in road games after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 3 seasons. OTTAWA is 1-14 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. Senators are 5-14 in their last 19 vs. Pacific. Canucks are 9-1 in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest. NHL Home teams against the money line (OTTAWA) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, a bad team, winning 30% to 40% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 26-5 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Canucks are 11-5 in the last 16 meetings. Play on Vancouver Canucks to win |
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11-08-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Purdue UNDER 144.5 | 53-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-07-22 | Celtics v. Grizzlies UNDER 231.5 | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
I know both these sides can pour down points, but when need be both are solid defensively as well in this battle of top tier sides, Im betting on a more physical type of tilt that will result in a slower pace than the pundits and lines-makers expect based on overall data. the Celtics own the 21 ranked pace in the NBA while Memphis ranks 14th. MEMPHIS is 24-13 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 41-23 UNDER in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival with a combined average of 194.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-07-22 | Celtics v. Grizzlies +3.5 | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Two top tier teams, play tonight as Boston visits Memphis. Im betting home court advantage with a team that went 30-11 SU as hosts last season and are already 3-0 straight up at home this season offers up value . Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Celtics are 19-40-2 ATS in their last 61 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. MEMPHIS is 11-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 33-17 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons. Jenkins is 101-75 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game as the coach of MEMPHIS. MEMPHIS is 11-2 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 30-12 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 27-4 L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Take the points with Memphis to cover |
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11-07-22 | Ravens -1.5 v. Saints | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 36 h 49 m | Show | |
The Saints are off a top tier 24-0 effort last time out vs a very inconsistent Raiders team. However it must be noted that NFL teams off a shutout home win are just 1-4 ATS/SU L/5 opportunities dating back 37 seasons. Also the Saints have proven themselves very inconsistent this season, losing 5 of 8 games. Allen is 3-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in all games he has coached and is vulnerable to a letdown scenario here. NEW ORLEANS is also just 9-22 ATS L/31 against AFC North division opponents . Harbaugh is 6-0 ATS in road games against teams with a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse in the second half of the season as the coach of BALTIMORE. Favorites vs. the money line (BALTIMORE) - team with a turnover diff. of +0.75/game or better against a team with a diff of -0.75/game or worse, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 31-3 L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. New Orleans is 0-5 ATS under the Monday night lights of prime time action, Baltimore is 6-1-1 ATS on Monday night away tilts. Play on Baltimore to win /cover |
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11-07-22 | Murray State v. St. Louis -13 | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-07-22 | Morgan State +23 v. Xavier | 73-96 | Push | 0 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Musketeers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games overall. Musketeers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games. CBB favorite (XAVIER) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins, good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) from last year are 3-24 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate. Play on Morgan state to cover |
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11-07-22 | Rockets v. Magic -4.5 | 134-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Orlando has played well at home this season beating Charlotte and Golden state and playing closely contested tilts vs Boston and Sacramento. Meanwhile, Houston has lost 6 straight, with 5 of the 6 losses by 8 or more points and 9 of their L/10 games overall this season, and all 7 road tilts they have played. Advantage to Magic. HOUSTON is 14-27 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 21-48 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - excellent shooting team (47% or more ) against a terrible defensive team ( 47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's). are 30-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Home teams (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Orlando to cover |
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11-07-22 | Blues v. Bruins -179 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Boston had a 7 game win streak end last time out against the /Toronto Maple Leafs by a 2-1 count. Note: BOSTON is 12-1 ATS in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, the Blues are 0-6 L/6 overall and in complete disarray. ST LOUIS is 0-5 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Advantage Boston. NHL team against the money line (ST LOUIS) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season, after 3 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more are 6-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston Bruins to win |
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11-07-22 | Tarleton St +15 v. Arizona State | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. TARLETON ST is 7-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons. ARIZONA ST is 1-8 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ARIZONA ST) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-26 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (ARIZONA ST) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Tarleton to cover |
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11-07-22 | The Citadel +18.5 v. Clemson | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Tigers are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 Monday games. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-26 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Citadel to cover |
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11-07-22 | South Dakota State +4 v. Akron | 80-81 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. South Dakota State to cover |