Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-05-20 | Knicks v. Clippers UNDER 222.5 | 132-135 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
The Clippers got blasted by the Memphis Grizzlies yesterday a 140-114 count . It was an ugly defensive showing by the Clippers and today I expect they try to repair their proverbial defensive damn by slowing this game down and concentrating on their transition game. This Im betting directly effects this total to the low side of the number. NEW YORK is 18-8 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the lal/31st 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.4 ppg scored. The Knicks are 4-26-1 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. NBA Teams are 5-33-1 UNDER L/39 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 202.2 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days against opponent extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 42-17 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-05-20 | Northern Kentucky +1 v. Oakland | 75-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
NKU has been the most dominant hopps program in the Horizon League over the last three seasons, recording a 47-17 mark against league opposition while winning four of the combined six league championships (regular season and tournament). They have not started to roll quite yet ,but here againast this is a rebuilding Oakland team they have an edge. NKU has been stingy on the defensive end, holding teams to 65.7 points per game, and makes its hay with the nation's 11th-best 3-point field-goal shooting defense, limiting foes to just 26.6 percent, while their hosts the Golden Grizzlies score at a 64.0 points per game clip, but surrender 67.1.In the flip side NKU Offensively, are converting a strong rate from down town in the land of the trey as is evident by ranking 13th in the country in 3-point field-goal attempts (406) and 32nd in made threes (131). The combination of the Norse ability to slow the Oakland offence and their beyond the arc shooting to get us a win here. Note:Neither team has fared well on its home court, as NKU is 6-4 all-time at Oakland and Oakland is 7-3 at NKU. Advantage NKU OAKLAND is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games after allowing 85 points or more (Wright State lit them up last time out 96-69 for their 7th loss in 9 games. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (N KENTUCKY) - off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) are 78-40 ATS L/23 seasons for a long term 66% conversion rate for bettors. ( That happened in their last game vs Detroit Mercy last time out). |
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01-05-20 | IUPU-Indianapolis +11.5 v. Green Bay | 93-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
IUPU-Indianapolis has won and covered 4 straight meetings in this series and almost always seem to bring their best efforts to tilts against Green Bay. I know the Phoenix are explosive offensivevly but their still a 7-9 team that cannot be trusted to cover a DD spread like this on a consistent basis in a conference game. IUPUI has seen 6 of their losses this season decided by 2 possessions or less and Im betting they can hang. The Jaguarts have won the last five meetings in the series. IUPUI is 4-0 against the Phoenix since joining the Horizon League prior to the 2017-2018 campaign. Play on IUPU Indianapolis to cover |
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01-05-20 | Vikings +9 v. Saints | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 98 h 46 m | Show | |
NFC Wild Card Playoffs I firmly believe that the Vikings are dark horse playoff contenders, and Im will to put my money where my mouth his here today vs the mighty Saints. The big concern with New Orleans is their D, and despite of their good over lying numbers, the metrics tell a different story, as they have been torched for 28 or more more points in 3 of their L/6 games. Vikings HC Mike Zimmer, responds owns a 43-18-2 ATS career record in non-division tilts, including 18-3-1 ATS when coming off a loss which they did in their last game of the regular season. The Vikings are also 13-0 ATS L/13 covering my more than 12 ppg as a dog when their opponent is off two double-digit win and they are not off a double-digit win. NEW ORLEANS is 0-7 ATS in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 19-9 ATS in dome games over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 13-35 ATS L5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win against a division rival, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 7-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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01-04-20 | Titans v. Patriots -4.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -115 | 63 h 36 m | Show | |
The Pats may not be a real Super Bowl contender this season, and Tom Brady may have lost a few steps as Father Time catches up to him . However, this experienced New England team is more than capable of knocking off a Tennessee team that did not play against the Pats this season, and have no real gauge as to handle their attack or perceived weaknesses, other than film and scouting reports. The same can be said for Beliichik and company, but it must noted that the Pats are 17-1 SU in playoff games behind Bill Belichick in games against opponents they did not face during the regular season. It must also be noted that QB Ryan Tannehill has no experience in the play offs while, Tom Brady is the god of play off football, and is always one patented series of plays away from a key TD,making the Pats the side to back today. Hey guys I know recency bias comes into play here as NE looks horrendous last week vs Miami. However, as outlandish as it might sound I would not be surprised if Bellichick and company really wanted to win last week as badly as many might have thought and instead were playing possum. I know , this sounds like a whacky conspiracy theory , but this HC is a football and mad genius like no other , and who. knows where his degenerate thoughts go. He's proven he is not beyond doing anything to win games and this might be his physiological peace de resistance . Time will tell, but Im betting on the Pats to advance and more importantly cover in a short line. The Titans are 2-22 ATS L/24 when they are off a win and they are facing a team allowed more than 370 total yards in their last game. NEW ENGLAND is 31-10 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season since 1992. NEW ENGLAND is 20-8 ATS in home games against AFC South division opponents since 1992. Play on the NE Pats |
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01-04-20 | NC-Greensboro v. Wofford -1 | 92-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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01-04-20 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 216 | 121-102 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow Brooklyn has shown very little cohesive flow in their L/ 10 games, with the offense having averaged 108 points on 44.4 percent field goal shooting, including 32.8 percent from 3-point range. That's not a good omen for their offensive output today vs a Toronto side that has held their L/4 opponents to 97 points or less. This tilt has an under written all over it even though the Nets have formerly inured Levert back in the lineup after a long injury layoff. The Raptors are 1-11-1 UNDER L/13 on the road facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 202 ppg scored. Teams like the Nets are 0-14-2 UNDER L/16 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a road game when they are off two games in which they allowed their opponent to score 10+ more than they usually allow with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans OVER 43.5 | 19-22 | Loss | -103 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
AFC Wild Card Playoffs The lines-makers are estimating this will be a very close. game and I agree as my projections estimate each team will score in the vicinity of 20 points each. Note: BUFFALO is 8-0 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average 54.6 ppg going on the board.HOUSTON in their L/22 tilts when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons a combined average of 57.3 ppg scored. In a coin flip game that could be won by a late FG or OT, the total looks much more viable than the side. Play OVER |
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01-04-20 | Auburn v. Mississippi State +1 | 80-68 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Bruce Pearls 12-0 Auburn despite of their perfect record are over rated and are lucky to be undefeated this season after some come from behind wins vs Furman and Alabama State . Today vs Mississippi State with top teir G Nick Weatherspoon back in the lineup after serving a 10 game suspension the Bulldogs are a viable threat to end Auburns run.It must be noted that Mississippi State ranks top-100 2-point scoring rate (53.8%) in the nation and must not be underestimated vs an Auburn defense giving up the 33rd-highest 2-point scoring rate (56.9%). Im also expecting Mississippi State size advantage to help on the glass today and limit the Tigers ability to run and gun. Play on Mississippi State to cover |
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01-04-20 | Blues v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON, VEGAS - MARC-ANDRE FLEURY Vegas enters this game on a 3 game win streak and have scored 4,5,5 goals in those tilts, and St.Louis well aware of the Knights current explosive form will be diligent defensively and look to play this game conservatively and out of transition. This will result in a lower scoring affair. ST LOUIS is 22-11 UNDER L/33 in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons for a combined average of 5.3 gpg scored. VEGAS is 8-0 UNDER in home games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 season with a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (VEGAS) - poor defensive team - allowing 2.85+ goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 43-11 L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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01-04-20 | Kansas State +7 v. Oklahoma | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
These teams two polar opposite types of basketball . Oklahoma list up the scoreboard as well as any team in the Big 12 but rank near the bottom of the conference when it comes to defense. Meanwhile, K-State plays a top tier level of physical defense and are more methodical in their offensive postures. There is an old adage in that is defence travels well, and Im betting on Wildcats stopping power to help get us a cover here. Note: KState coach is 11-4 SU vs Sooners HC Lon Kruger and almost always seems to have a strong game plan devised for these matchups. Advantage. KState. KANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Weber is 24-9 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 as the coach of KANSAS ST. Play on on Kansas State to cover |
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01-04-20 | Tulane v. Southern Miss +7.5 | 30-13 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX After a very strong start to their season Tulane fell apart down the stretch losing 5 of their L/6 and are on a 3 game losing streak. Their demise has a lot to do with the disintegration of their offensive line coupled with the struggles of LSU transfer QB Justin McMillan, who was sacked 18 times during that ugly 6-game run. Here against a Southern Miss D, ranked No. 36 in the country in total defense (350.3 ypg). Im betting the Wave scoring output will once again be curtailed . Meanwhile,The Golden Eagles have relied heavily on their passing game this season as . Southern Miss ranked among the top 25 nationally and led Conference USA in passing offense (288.6 ypg) during the regular season, and today Im betting on them hitting enough explosive plays to get us the promised land and get us the cover. Play on Southern Miss to cover |
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01-03-20 | 76ers +4.5 v. Rockets | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Im betting that Philadelphia is being under valued here because of a current 3 game losing streak. But this is still a quality team that has had some recent ATS success in this series vs Houston covering 4 of the L/5 meetings overall. Note: 76ers star forward Embiid missed the previous game due to a sore left knee, but he practiced Thursday and is not on the injury report prior to Friday's contest. The Seventysixers are 24-3 ATS L/27 with rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game. NBA Teams like Houston are 0-11-1 ATS L/12 as a home favorite after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 35-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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01-03-20 | Fairfield -2 v. Niagara | 66-75 | Loss | -111 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Fairfield comes into the MAAC schedule playing its best basketball of the season as they finsihed non-conference action by winning three of its last four games. All three of those victories came off campus with a neutral site win against Texas A&M followed by true road decisions over Oakland University and Wagner College. Meanwhile, their opponents the Niagarathe Purple Eagles have lost four straight games and are fade marerial in their current form. |
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01-03-20 | Northern Kentucky v. Detroit OVER 143.5 | 58-66 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
01-03-20 | Ohio -6.5 v. Nevada | 30-21 | Win | 100 | 585 h 3 m | Show | |
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID Add to that Nevada will be without key starters on the defensive side of the ball for a brawl they had with UNLV in their last game of the season and have a new defensive coordinator for this game, which is not a good omen for a Wolfpack side that ranks 116th in defensive rushing success rate and 115th in line yards. With that said, Im betting on Solich pounding the rock on the ground today for big gains and score behind Rourke and for Nevadas inconsistent offence to have issues repsonding. Solich is 9-2 ATS after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games as the coach of OHIO U. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO U) - excellent offensive team ( 440 or more YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 38-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-02-20 | Pistons v. Clippers -12 | 112-126 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Pistons are banged up and short handed for this tilt vs the Clippers with Blake Griffin doubtful and Markieff Morris ruled out.The Pistons are 4-12 on the road, while the Clippers are 14-3 at home. This is a tale of two polar opposites, and Im not going to be shy about laying points here with this spot play. DETROIT is 3-15 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.8 ppg.The Pistons are 0-11 ATS /SU as a 8+ dog with the average ppg diff clicking in at -19.2 ppg. |
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01-02-20 | USC v. Washington State +3.5 | 65-56 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Washington State to cover |
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01-02-20 | Gonzaga v. Portland +23.5 | 85-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Gonzaga is obviously the superior side here, but the Pilots rank second in the WCC in FG percentage defense (.398), three-point defense (.291) and blocked shots (4.0) while also ranking third in points allowed per game (65.5) are solid enough to stay within this huge DD underdog line here at home. Play on Portland to cover |
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01-02-20 | UCLA +9 v. Washington | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. UCLA to cover |
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01-02-20 | Oregon v. Colorado +1.5 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
This will be the Oregon Ducks’ first test at altitude this season where the thin air can really slow down teams not accustomed to dealing with it. Oregon has never won in Boulder and despite of being a top tier team nationally this season, will have their hands full trying to deal with this Rocky Mountain environment . Tonight Im betting the Boulder shutout continues for the travelling Ducks vs a Colorado side that returned every key member of last season’s 23-13 squad this season. The key difference between the Buffs and the Ducks, is home teams ability to play solid consistent D, as is evident by ranking 18th in KenPom’s metrics in the nation while limiting opponents to below 40% from the field and rank 23rd in points allowed. Oregon rank 63rd in defensive efficiency at KenPom. Altitude + Home court Advantage + Defence = Colorado Edge . COLORADO is 11-3 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OREGON) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 13-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to cover |
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01-02-20 | Montana State +8.5 v. Northern Colorado | 59-68 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Harald Frey is in the back court for Montana State which automatically has me evaluating their underdog status here in a league where home court advantage never seems to weight heavily in the home teams favor. . The kid Frey is one of the nation’s best point guards and looks headed to playing pro ball very soon as is evident by his 17.5/5.3/5.2 slash line per game on 43.6% shooting from the land of the trey and a 90% conversion rate from the charity stripe. This kid is a difference maker and has me taking the points here this evening. Montana State has held 11 of its 13 opponents this season to under 50% shooting from the field which is important against a team like Colorado with a lot of offensive flow. Play on Montana State to cover |
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01-02-20 | Nets v. Mavs -8 | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
With Caris LeVert and Kyrie Irving out of the Brooklyn lineup with injuries they are looking clunkier by the day , and are struggling with flow and particularly their 3 point shooting which has become a concern. Tonight against a Dallas team off a game where they blew a late lead on the road to Oklahoma City, Im betting the rebound redemption minded Mavericks will be primed to romp vs a down trending side. The Mavericks are 12-0 ATS /11-1 SU after they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.2 . NBA teams like the Mavs are 24-4 ATS/26-2 SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent. NBA Teams like the Nets are 2-21-1 ATS L/2-22 SU with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game. Play on Dallas to cover |
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01-02-20 | Thunder v. Spurs -2 | 109-103 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Thunder head to San Antonio after a emotional hard fought 106-101 home win over the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday. Chris Paul scored 17 points -- including 13 in the final 4:31 -- to help erase a seven-point deficit with less than three minutes remaining. Now in a letdown spot vs a Spurs that are playing better of late, Im betting the Thunder are fade material in what has been a hall of horrors( AT&T Center) for them as is evident by 9 straight regular season losses here. SAN ANTONIO is 33-19 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. The Thunder are 0-11 ATS /2-9 SU off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range. NBA Teams like the Thunder are 0-11 ATS /1-10 SUL/11 when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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01-02-20 | Troy State v. Louisiana-Monroe OVER 131 | 63-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
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01-02-20 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, BOSTON - TUUKKA RASK When these teams met in last years play offs they took part in 6 low scoring games with 5 of them staying on the low side of the total. More of the same play off style hockey Im betting is set for tonights tilt . BOSTON is 5-0 UNDER off a road loss this season.COLUMBUS is 5-0 UNDER after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - off a win or tie in their previous game, with a losing record in the first half of the season are 142-89 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-02-20 | Vermont -5.5 v. Dartmouth | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Head Coach John Becker during his UVM tenure is a combined 61-11 (.847) in the first month of the new year, including 26-1 in the last three seasons. DARTMOUTH is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DARTMOUTH) - off an upset loss as a favorite against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 30-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vermont to cover |
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01-02-20 | Tennessee v. Indiana +3 | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Indiana must not be underestimated here behind an offense that ranked No. 14 in offensive SP+. This Hoosiers side , looked very viable against a top tier opponent in Penn State in mid-November and just missed on a victory at Michigan State when the Spartans were ranked No. 25 in late September. This is a good team, and despite of Tennessee turning a corner and up-trending Im betting they hit a disrespected buzz saw here today and end up on the wrong side of the ATS sheet. Note: Vols Wide receiver Jauan Jennings a future NFLer in the will sit the first half with a suspension from a sideline altercation against Vanderbilt, that Im betting will have Tennessee starting slow offensively. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE) - off a home win against a conference rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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01-01-20 | Baylor +5 v. Georgia | 14-26 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
All-American LT Andrew Thomas not suiting up for Georgia and starting RT Isaiah Wilson also out out as they prepare for the NFL draft as well as starting guard Ben Cleveland who was ruled academically ineligible.It does end there as the Dawgs will also be without its top two receivers a Lawrence Cager and Dominick Blaylock as they deal with injuries. Georgias key RBs could also be out as leading rusher DeAndre Swift, is banged up and hobbled and could easily just try to get healthy before the NFL Draft and skip here or see very limited action. Add to that James Cook, is in trouble with the law for a having a gun in his car, and you have an array of Georgia Bulldogs out or missing and team with very little motivation taking the field today against a hard working Baylor team, that has a coach on the sidelines in Matt Rhule who has thrived in the underdog role for bettors, going 33-15 ATS getting points and 30-14-1 ATS in neutral site tilts . Some times Bowl games are all about motivation that off sets some talent issues. Kirby Smarts group is a team that could easily just be going through the motions here today, while Baylor will be sky high and ready to make a mark and get this program back on the College football map again.Per Rhule, he will have his entire team at his disposal, including starting quarterback Charlie Brewer, who left the Big 12 championship game on Dec. 7 with a concussion. "Our guys value the opportunity to compete. I think they value the opportunity to compete against one of the best teams in the country," Rhule said. "What a great measuring stick for us as a program, our players. And we have a lot of guys that -- everyone is going to play." Rhule is 10-1 ATS vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game in all games he has coached since 1992. Rhule is 11-1 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread in all games he has coached since 1992 BAYLOR is 7-1 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game this season. BAYLOR is 11-3 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons. Advantage Baylor plus the points |
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01-01-20 | Wolves v. Bucks -17.5 | 104-106 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The Wolves have listed seven players on their injury report prior to Wednesday's tilt vs Milwaukee. Karl-Anthony Towns (knee), Andrew Wiggins (illness), and Jake Layman (toe) won't play, Teague is doubtful, Treveon Graham (illness) and Noah Vonleh (glute) are questionable, and Josh Okogie (elbow) is probable. This is a complete whitewash situation, in the making as Im betting the powerful Bucks will romp to an easy one sided victory here today. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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01-01-20 | Wisconsin v. Oregon +3 | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Rose Bowl - Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA I was surprised to see this line float into the FG range with Wisconsin, as according to my projections the underdog Oregon Ducks were the slightly superior side and matchup well against a team like Wisconsin that uses their running attack as a key to controlling time of possession . I know many pundits have not given the Ducks D, the kudos they deserve this season, because of perception . The Ducks are perceived as just an explosive offensive team, but the real truth is that they are balanced and have shown themselves resilient defensively holding 6 teams to season low offensive yards output.Key here today will be pressure on Whiskeys QB- look for Pac-12 Defensive Freshman of the Year Kayvon Thibodeaux (team-high 14.0 tackles for loss, 9.0 sacks) to pace an Oregon defense ranked No. 11 in the country with 41 sacks. QUOTE: "Between Oregon and Ohio State, they both have amazing athletes on the field that get after the quarterback and make big plays," Badgers quarterback Jack Coan told reporters. "They're an amazing defense." END QUOTE: OREGON is 19-8 ATS L/27 in road games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game. OREGON is 45-14 ATS after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game and is 32-9 ATS after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half. It must also be noted that Mario Cristobal’s Ducks are a bankroll expanding 8-0 ATS as underdogs versus the Big 10 opposition, and 11-2 SU and 12-1 ATS as dogs with rest. CFB Bowl pups with 17 or more returning starters from last year returning if they won 8 or less games, and are coming off an ATS win of 3-plus points, are 15-1 ATS since 1990. (Oregon fits this description) CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WISCONSIN) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 32-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oregon to cover |
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01-01-20 | Michigan v. Alabama OVER 58 | 16-35 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
Mac Jones, Alabamas new No. 1 quarterback , has completed 69.8 percent of his 166 pass attempts, with 11 touchdowns, after taking over from the injured Tua Tagovailoa .Jones has dynamic receivers to target, including DeVonta Smith (65 catches, 1,200 yards, 13 TDs) and Jerry Jeudy (71 catches, 959 yards, 9 TDs) and is more than capable of helping his team pile up points vs a Michigan team that showed themselves defensively porous at times against top tier teams like Ohio State this season.( Ohio State smashed the Wolverines by a 57-29 count). Meanwhile, Michigan can also fire back with some offensive firepower of their own, with Michigan quarterback Shea Patterson who has thrown 22 touchdown passes and scored five more on the ground this season. I expect some big plays and scores by the Wolf man and crew vs one of Alabamas most mediocre defences in years. LSU pounded Alabama for 46 points in 46-41 win towards the end of this season. Truth is I smell fire works about to be lit here today and a game that features alot of points . MICHIGAN is 6-0 OVER vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 63.9 ppg scored. ALABAMA is 11-2 OVER when the total is between 56.5 and 63 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 66.7 ppg scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (ALABAMA/MICHIGAN) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 30-11 OVER L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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01-01-20 | Furman -11.5 v. VMI | 89-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
The Furman goes for its fifth straight win and a 2-0 start in Southern Conference play when the Paladins take on VMI on Wednesday at Cameron Hall in Lexington, Va. Their last lost was Auburn of the SEC by a 81-78 count, so as you can see the Paladins are a strong side. Paladins are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games against VMI.The Paladins have won by an average margin of at least 12 or more points in those tilts. Furman brings in a top 40 field goal percent offense, while VMI is the 217th worse defense in defending shots from the floor. This one for me is clear lay the lumber situation. Play on Furman to cover |
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12-31-19 | Texas +7.5 v. Utah | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Alamo Bowl - Alamodome - San Antonio, TX HC Herman of Texas may not have a great overall record with this program of late, but what he does well is to get his teams to play tough competition at a top tier level as is evident by cashing 15 of his L/20 as an underdog. Im betting on Texas here today vs a Utah team that was humbled in their last game of the season vs Oregon .Because of that mentioned debacle the Utes missed the play offs and may not be as motivated as need be here vs a Texas side that has won their L/3 Bowl appearances. Utah will be at a disadvantage with All-Pac-12 safety Julian Blackmon (knee) and cornerback Jaylon Johnson (NFL draft) both ruled out. So Sam Ehlinger should have success behind what is a healthy Longhorn offence, that will have senior wideout Collin Johnson (hamstring) and junior tight end Cade Brewer (ankle)in the lineup and ready to play. TEXAS is 17-4 ATS L/21 after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game which happened in their last game of the regular season in a 49-24 victory vs Texas Tech. Play on Texas to cover |
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12-31-19 | Maple Leafs v. Wild UNDER 6 | 4-1 | Win | 105 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: TORONTO - FREDERIK ANDERSEN, MINNESOTA - DEVAN DUBNYK Minnesota plays a decidedly conservative game, and that will be the case here again at home vs the explosive Leafs. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. MINNESOTA is 19-9 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg going on the board.MINNESOTA is 27-14 UNDER in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.4 gog scored. TORONTO is 9-3 UNDER in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-31-19 | Clippers v. Kings +7.5 | 105-87 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
The Kings may not inspire bettors in their current form but they have performed well vs tp tier sides like the Clippers of late. Note: Walton is 11-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of SACRAMENTO. The Kings are 15-0 ATS /13-2 SU at home with less than two days rest after they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals.The Kings are 13-0 ATS L/13 as a dog off a loss as a dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.The Kings are 18-2 ATS L/20 off a loss as a road dog in which they shot over 50% from the field. The Clippers are 0-10 ATS L/10 3-7 SU with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss after a game that was tied 5+ times.The Clippers are 1-13 ATS L/14 as a road favorite with rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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12-31-19 | Georgia State +7 v. Wyoming | 17-38 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Arizona Bowl - Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ Georgia state according to my power rankings matches up very well vs this punchless Wyoming football program that will have problems taking advantage of a sometimes porous GState D. On the flip side, Georgia State averages 32.5 PPG and is ranked No. 14 in the nation with their ground attack and 27th in total offense and should do more than enough damage to secure a cover here . Note:Sun Belt conference teams have been cash cows in bowl games since 2013 going 26-9 straight up and SBC bowl pups of 3 or more points are a bankroll expanding 11-4 SU and 12-3 ATS and get the nod again this New Years eve. Georgia State to cover |
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12-31-19 | Miami-FL v. Clemson UNDER 135.5 | 73-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
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12-31-19 | Kansas State v. Navy UNDER 53.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
Liberty Bowl - Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN The Kansas State Wildcats and Navy Midshipman are not quite identical but they do both like to dominate time of possession. The Wildcats rank fourth in the country in that stat, holding the ball for an average of 34:16 per game while Navy owns a 33:14 time of possession . That means the Mids can count on getting fewer snaps then usual , as is the case when Army goes against Navy. With that said, Im betting on a grinding game that has both sides ground attack eating up precious clock time and keeping this combined score on the low side of the total. KANSAS ST is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 47.1 ppg going on the board. NAVY is 33-15 UNDER vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game with a combined average of 45.7 ppg scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (NAVY) - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 41-15 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (KANSAS ST) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 59-25 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-31-19 | Kansas State v. Navy -3 | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Liberty Bowl - Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN Navy triple option offence ranks no1. in the nation in rushing and they also own the No. 2 Red Zone Offense. Your always going to get a great effort from a military teams, as is evident by Navys 5-0 ATS run as a bowl favorite . Navy is not only hard working but very disciplined ranking No. 3 in nation with the least penalties. It must be noted that Military teams are 10-1 L/11 ATS as favorites of 7 or fewer points in Bowl games. Kansas their opponent a team that lost 5 of 6 stats battles against Bowl teams might seem like a good matchup for the Middies, but despite of similar mind sets about running the ball and time of possession control , their actually not as cohesive or consistent as they seem as it must be noted that the Wildcats rank No. 130 in Red Zone Defense. I know the reputation of their current HC Chris Klieman (former North Dakota State super coach) but he lacks Bowl experience and that is going to be a detriment to him here today when this is all said and done. Tuesday’s Bowl tilt is about finishing their season with gusto for Navy. The Middies have a chance to tie the program record of 11 wins set in 2015 and end the year in the Associated Press rankings for just the third time in the past 56 years and Im betting on a humungous effort from them here today. . NAVY is 7-1 ATS as a favorite this season. NAVY is 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse this season. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NAVY) - excellent passing team (8.3 or better PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PY/Att.), after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 36-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on Navy to cover |
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12-31-19 | 76ers v. Pacers +2 | 97-115 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
The Sixers despite of playing top tier basketball at home as was evident when they recently beat the Bucks, are a team that struggles on the road having garnered a 1-6 SU record vs above .500 sides . Meanwhile the while the Pacers are 14-3 SU overall at home and deserve respect here as dogs especially with Malcolm Brogdon back in the lineup today for the Pacers. McMillan is 21-8 ATS in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread as the coach of INDIANA. he Pacers are 17-3 ATS/SU at home with rest off a loss as a dog in which they had at least 25% of their points from free throws. The Seventysixers are 4-20-1 ATS 4-22 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game. NBA Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 18-54 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
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12-31-19 | Celtics -7 v. Hornets | 109-92 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Boston after getting beaten up and humbled by DDs vs the defending NBA champion Raptors last time out, will be ready to come out here with a start to finish bounce back situation here this evening vs a very inconsistent Charlotte team 5 straight games. BOSTON is 15-4 ATS (L/19 off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more. Boston has already beaten Charlotte twice this season by DD deficits and Im betting on a 3rd here. NBATeams like the Celtics are 16-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with the ppg diff clicking in a +12.3 ppg. Play on Boston to cover |
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12-31-19 | Northern Iowa v. Illinois State UNDER 133 | 70-76 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
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12-31-19 | Morgan State v. CS-Northridge -7 | 82-93 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
CSUN will play Morgan State for the seventh-straight season at The Matadome on Tuesday. The Matadors are undefeated in six all-time meetings as they held off the Bears for a 94-86 win last December and are my choice to win and cover here again today. Play on CS Northridge to cover |
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12-31-19 | Florida State +4.5 v. Arizona State | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
Sun Bowl - Sun Bowl - El Paso, TX Mike Norvell has left Memphis and is now the new HC at Florida State. He won't be on the sidelines today, butIm sure he is having an influence already which is a positive going into this Bowl game Meanwhile, this Sun Devils program is missing some key players here today on offence which will hinder their ability to be offensively aggressive ie 1000 yard rusher Running back Eno Benjamin, and a 1000 yard receiver in Brandon Aiyuk who are out getting ready for the NFL draft. Add to that to tha the Devils t have a lousy ATS record as bowlers as is evident by a 0-7 ATS mark all tine in Bowl games versus the ACC. Add to that PAC 12 teams are just. 2-20 ATS L/3 seasons in Bowl games . ARIZONA ST iw also s 0-6 ATS as a favorite this season and are fade material here vs a FSU side feeling good about themselves at the moment behind a new mentor. Play on FSU |
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12-30-19 | Virginia v. Florida -14 | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 321 h 7 m | Show | |
"I think our guys know I plan on being here for a long time. I know what I have here. I love being here. I think we're building a championship program here." – UF head coach Dan Mullen on NFL rumors. This team has come a long way over the last two seasons and are only getting better. Virginia is a fine football program, but their over matched here by an over powering SEC team , and as this game moves forward the Gators Im betting will run away with this. Play on Florida to cover |
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12-30-19 | Nets v. Wolves OVER 219 | 115-122 | Win | 102 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets have hit a wall in offensive production . However, they have the ability to bounce back as they had been fairly effective overall without injured starters Kyrie Irving and Caris LeVert in the lineup.After being held under 100 points in consecutive games for the first time this season, Im betting the Nets bounce back with a big offensive output today vs a struggling Minnesota side that is getting blasted for an average of 114.9 ppg at home this season. Note: key offensive starter Towns was able to participate in drills at practice on Sunday while wearing a leg sleeve on his knee, and will probably play tonight. His teammate Wiggins is a 50% chance starter tonight as he deals with some time of illness. Saunders is 15-4 OVER after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 235 ppg going on the board. MINNESOTA is 13-3 OVER in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 pig scored. The Timberwolves are 14-0 OVER L/14 after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with a combined average of 234.6ppg scored with every game in the subset eclipsing this current total. NBA Teams like the Nets are 21-4 OVER L/25 as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent making more than 20 free throws with a combined average of 227.1 pig scored. Play OVER |
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12-30-19 | Nets -3.5 v. Wolves | 115-122 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets have hit a wall in offensive production . However, they have the ability to bounce back as they had been fairly effective overall without injured starters Kyrie Irving and Caris LeVert in the lineup against a Minnesota team that has own just 1 of their L/12 games. The Timberwolves are 0-11 ATS/1-10 SU at home facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc. |
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12-30-19 | Austin Peay v. Georgia UNDER 154 | 48-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDER |
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12-30-19 | College of Charleston +3 v. Delaware | 75-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
The College of Charleston (7-6, 1-0 CAA) carries a two-game win streak into a key early conference matchup at Delaware (11-3, 1-0 CAA) and have momentum on their sides. I know Delaware is red hot, but Charleston matches up well agains them despite of the record discrepancies. College of Charleston are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 in this series and won 7 straight meetings. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 37-12 ATS 49 in road games in December games. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 74-39 ATS L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on College of Charleston to cover |
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12-30-19 | Illinois v. California OVER 43.5 | 20-35 | Win | 100 | 28 h 38 m | Show | |
Redbox Bowl - Levi's Stadium - Santa Clara, CA Illinois when they faced a team similar to California in the regular season, saw a game that saw them beat Michigan State 37-34 on Nov. 9. Im betting the Illini very capable offense to once again do some damage here today, while their sometimes porous D to part like Moses parting the Red Sea. It must be noted that Californias last 4 games, all saw a combined point total that eclipsed this number. My projections make this line Total closer to 47 thus giving us one possession value on the over. Note: HC Wilcox in in 36 lined games as the coach of CALIFORNIA has seen a combined average of 46.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-30-19 | Hofstra v. Towson OVER 139.5 | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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12-30-19 | Western Michigan v. Western Kentucky OVER 54 | 20-23 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky's offense is efficient and were uptrending towards the end of the season averaging more than 37.4 ppg in their L/3 tilts. The Hilltoppers are led by running back Gaej Walker, who collected 1,115 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging nearly five yards per carry. Quarterback Ty Storey who started nine games at Arkansas last season before transferring , has completed 70.7 percent of his 294 passes for 2,209 yards, 12 touchdowns and matches up well vs W.Michigans inconsistent secondary and a D that has allowed an average of 36.5 ppg on the road this season. Meanwhile, Western Michigan is also very capable offensively behind Running back LeVante Bellamy who has accumulated 1,412 rushing yards and is tied for the national lead with 23 rushing touchdowns, and Quarterback Jon Wassink who was a third-team All-MAC selection, throwing for 2,904 yards, with 19 touchdowns. Western Michigan in games played on turf have scored an average of 36 ppg. Everything points to a combined score that eclipses this total. W KENTUCKY is 17-6 OVER L/23 after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins with a combined average of 69.8 ppg scored. W MICHIGAN in their L/6 road games off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 70.8 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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12-29-19 | Kings v. Nuggets -9.5 | 115-120 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings are struggling in a big way right now and have lost 6 straight games, and are now on tired legs after playing last night against Phoenix and now going into the high altitudes of Denver to play a top tier team in the Nuggets.Playing in this Mile High venue for top tier teams is hard enough little lone a team like the Kings who proverbially can not tie their own shoelaces in their current form. The Nuggets 54-14 SU and 44-27 ATS at home over the last few seasons and are a hard team to face here at the Pepsi Center . It must also be noted that Denver has this circled as grudge match as they seek revenge for a loss to Sacramento back on Nov 30 on the road and thus I see very little mercy being shown here on their way what Im betting will be a hefty DD win and cover.Sacramento is 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS L/7 after taking on the Suns. Play on Denver to cover |
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12-29-19 | Hornets v. Grizzlies -3 | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The Hornets enter this game against the Grizzlies having lost five of their last six games and four in a row and are fade material in their current form.The Grizzlies defeated Charlotte 119-117 on Nov. 13 in Charlotte. My own power ranking suggest they matchup very well against a side that can't shoot 3s consistently and when out muscled struggle because of their need to do most of their scoring from the perimeter. The Hornets are 2-20-2 ATS /1-24 SU as a road dog with rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game. NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 13-0 ATS /SU L/13 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. |
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12-29-19 | Rockets v. Pelicans UNDER 229.5 | 112-127 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
My projections estimate this total slightly bloated, with the Rockets Westbrook sitting tonight for rest purposes . The Rockets usually play division games with a more physical presence. Note:HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.8 ppg scored. The Rockets beat the Pelicans twice already this season in high scoring affairs but Im betting this game will be played differently as both teams are on tired legs after playing yesterday. NBA Teams like the Rockets are 2-25 UNDER off a win as a favorite in which they had assists on less than 40 percent of their field goals ( none of the 27 games in the subset have gone above this opening total) The Rockets are 2-19 UNDER L/21 on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with the average combined score clicking in at 213.4 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 102-46 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-29-19 | Stars v. Coyotes OVER 5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: DALLAS - ANTON KHUDOBIN, ARIZONA - ADIN HILL Both teams are know as Defence first teams but of late both have been finding the back of the net more often while allowing more goals than usual. The Stars have seen a combined average for an average of 6.4 gpg in their L/5 while Arizona has seen a combined average of 7 gpg scored. With this total set at 5 we have value on busting above this number going directly against a under bias with a contrarian stance. Play OVER |
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12-29-19 | Western Michigan v. Michigan State OVER 144 | 62-95 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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12-29-19 | Red Wings v. Lightning -370 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
Road underdogs of +200 or higher against the money line (DETROIT) - after allowing 4 goals or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games are a perfect 0-25 L/23 seasons. Calculated risks are a part of my selections process. Play on TB Lightning to win on the moneyline |
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12-29-19 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 37 | 10-28 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens have already clinched the top seed in the AFC playoffs and will rest several key starters, including quarterback Lamar Jackson, in Sunday's regular-season finale so needless to say the very capable defence of the Steelers should have a very good day . Meanwhile, behind less than dynamo back up QBs, the Steelers have not done much offensive damage this season, and despite of Devlin Duck Hodges going 4-1 its been his conservative efforts and his D, that has helped him to a positive record. Note: : All game 16’s tilts involving 2 above .500 sides are 13-2 UNDER L/5 seasons. The L/5 Steelers/Ravesn meetings have gone under with the average combined score clicking in at 35.6 ppg. BALTIMORE is 7-0 UNDER in home games after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs with a combined average of 31 pig scored. ( Thishappened in a 31-15 win vs Cleveland last week) BALTIMORE is 7-0 L/7 UNDER after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite with the combined average score of 25.4 ppg going on the board. NFLHome teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (BALTIMORE) - team outrushing opponents by 40+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 30 RY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game are 38-11 UNDER L/37 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-29-19 | Kansas v. Stanford +6.5 | 72-56 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
. Kansas got side swiped last week at Villanova and Im betting they are gong to have their hands full again this week vs up trending Stanford.KansasHC Bill Self is not a big rebound type of guy and his young men are just 7-16-2 ATS in his career coming off a SU favorite loss. . Self has also not done all that well vs PAC 12 opposition covering just 3 of his L/10 Pac-12 games as a visitor and have failed to cover just 1 of their L/5 in this series vs the Cardinal. meanwhile, Stanford has covered 10 of their L/12 as a home dog and must note be underestimated behind the nations , its No. 6 ranked Scoring Defense at 57.7 ppg.STANFORD is 6-0 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better over the last 2 seasons.STANFORD is 8-1 ATS in home games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons. Play on Stanford to cover |
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12-29-19 | Sam Houston State +2 v. Rice | 75-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
The Bearkats made clutch plays down the stretch to hold off a second-half rally by New Orleans to notch their second-straight Southland Conference victory with an 87-79 victory Saturday at Johnson Coliseum. Play on Sam Houston to cover |
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12-29-19 | Saints v. Panthers +14 | 42-10 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
Everyone just loves the Saints. After all they are exciting to watch, but it must be noted that they are just 2-5 ITS the last seven games since their bye week and have some flaws. The Saints are also just 1-7 ATS K/8 as a favorite of 13 points or more vs sub .500 opposition, and just 4-15 ATS as double-digit favourite in division tilts . I know Carolina looked terrible last week in. a loss , but are a solid 7-0 ATS at home after scoring less than 7 points last time out. Im betting they give the Saints a fight this week and get us the cover. CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992. NFL Underdogs or pick (CAROLINA) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games are 28-7 ATS L/5 37 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Carolina to cover |
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12-29-19 | Dolphins v. Patriots -16 | 27-24 | Loss | -117 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
New England will grab the No. 2 AFC seed with a victory today vs the visiting Miami Dolphins.The Patriots beat the Dolphins 43-0 on Sept. 15, proving how well they matchup against the Fins. Im expecting the Pats to be ready to hammer the Fins here again today as they need a win here and a tune up for the play offs at the same time. NFL team (MIAMI) - average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a good defense (4.5 to 4.9 YPP) after 8+ games, after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are just 2-23 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New England to cover |
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12-29-19 | Chargers +10 v. Chiefs | 21-31 | Push | 0 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
This game means nothing for both sides, with the Chargers going golfing soon, and the Chiefs grabbing the No.2 seed in the AFC for the play offs. Expect a lot of wind here today in Arrowhead, and lower scoring game that impacts what will be a closer than anticipated matchup and cover by the road dog. Hey I know how ugly the Chargers looked las time out but they are 10-1 ATS off SU favourite loss 7 pts or more vs .500 or better opposition. Note:Things have been less rosy at Arrowhead Stadium, which is typically considered one of the toughest environments in the NFL. The Chief lost three consecutive games to the Colts, Texans and Packers. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS CITY) - excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 7-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Chargers to cover |
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12-29-19 | West Virginia +6.5 v. Ohio State | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 0 h 26 m | Show | |
The Mountaineers (10-1) No. 22 will be sky high and ready for this nonconference matchup against No. 2 Ohio State in Cleveland on Sunday . Reports have said Huggins has left no stone unturned in his preparation for the Buckeyes who are also 10-1 on the season. In its 10 wins this season, West Virginia has given up more than 70 points in just two times. It allows just 36.2 percent shooting from the field, including just 24.6 percent from 3 and this will be key to them covering here today. CBB underdog (W VIRGINIA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 74-45 ATS L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. West Virginia to cover |
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12-28-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +5 | 128-120 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
The Lakers come off a emotional and physically gruelling game vs the LA Clippers last time that they lost, and now in a letdown situation go against a franchise that they have a long history of futility against the Portland Trailblazers. The Blazers have won 15 of the L/18 overall meetings . With Dallas on board for tomorrow night, Im betting the Lakers may not be as focused as they need to be. I know the Lakers smashed the Blazers when they played earlier this season, but the Blazers have been very good in revenge mode from a 20 or point loss, cashing 6 of their L/7 opportunities and get my support to turn the trick again. Play on Portland Trailblazers to cover |
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12-28-19 | Pacific v. Cal-Irvine -7 | 56-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
This non conference Big West/West Coast battle featuring the Anteaters taking on the Pacific Tigers. This is a revenge match for a host UC Irvine side that took a 84-75 loss as 3.5-point favourite at Pacific last season. Irvine hoops program has proven itself very good pay back sides going 5-1 ATS at home with revenge in this series,. Here at home Irvine is not easily defeated in non conference action going 85-25 SU at The Bren the last 20 seasons. Meanwhile, Pacific is just 1-6 SU away versus non-conference foe looking for revenge and with Pepperdine on board for Pacific next we may not see them fully focused.UCI has won its last two games played at the Bren by margins of 20+ points including a 77-56 win over Eastern Michigan. Play on Cal Irvine to cover |
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12-28-19 | Oral Roberts v. BYU -14 | 73-79 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
BYU is an explosive basketball team that just does not get the respect it deserves as is evident by victories vs Houston, Utah State and VTech. I know Oral Roberts is playing well and on a 4 game win streak but this is a tough venue for any visitor , and in a game where they will have to find answers for BYUs impressive downtown game (40.3% from the 3) Im betting their fade material on a DD underdog line. The Eagles love to run, and if they get into a run and gun affair here which they are built to do, they will find themsleves over whelmed by a team that could rack up the score quickly, especially considering their ugly 29.3% conversion rate fro the land of the trey. Play on BYU to cover |
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12-28-19 | Pistons v. Spurs -4.5 | 109-136 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
San Antonio despite of being highly inconsistent gets my support here tonight at home, in revenge mode vs a Detroit Pistons team that beat them, 132-98 earlier this season. It was an embarrassing event for the Spurs, and HC Popovich was steaming after that game, and will now his team ready to play in this redemption scenario.Note: SAN ANTONIO is 15-3 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /SUL/11 at home with rest off a road game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses .The Spurs are 15-2-1 ATS /18-1 SU at home with less than two days rest after their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before. The Pistons are 1-20 ATS /SU as a dog off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game failing to cover cover by more than 10+ ppg. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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12-28-19 | Mavs -11 v. Warriors | 141-121 | Win | 102 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Dallas according to my projections is getting to much love here tonight as DD road chalk. I know Golden State played last night, but recently this well conditioned young team is showing life, as has been evident by 4 consecutive wins including one against Houston . Yes, Golden State got clobbered by a ugly 142-94 count by Dallas by in November on the road but it must be noted Kerr is a fine HC with alot of pride, and has lead GOLDEN STATE to a 8-1 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. NBA team (DALLAS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or loss ) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are just 13-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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12-28-19 | Clemson -2 v. Ohio State | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 417 h 8 m | Show | |
Projected score: Clemson 31 Ohio State 27 |
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12-28-19 | Clemson v. Ohio State UNDER 63 | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
CFB Playoff - Fiesta Bowl - State Farm Stadium - Glendale, AZ Plenty off offence here, but what stands out about both Clemson and Ohio State is what amounts to be some of the physical defences in the nation.The Tigers are ranked first in scoring defense (10.6) and first in total defense (244.7). haven't allowed more than 20 points in any game this season and Ohio State ranks third in scoring defense (12.5) and second in total defense in the nation. With that said, Im betting we have a rockem sockem nasty in the trenches defensive slugfest today and what could easily be the national championship game. CLEMSON is 50-21 UNDER L/71 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored. CLEMSON is 6-0 UNDER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 40.9 ppg scored. OHIO ST is 30-16 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 42.6 ppg scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (CLEMSON) - in non-conference games, with 8 offensive starters returning are 48-15 L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-28-19 | Knicks v. Wizards +2 | 107-100 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Washington came into NYK and convincingly controlled the Knicks and took the road win. Now in revenge mode the pundits seem to think a inconsistent Knicks team off a upset win vs Brooklyn last time out can grab two in a row behind a revenge scenario.Even if the Wizards Bradely Beal is less than 100% or cant play, I still feel the Wizards are the right side behind the replacement reliable duo of Troy Brown Jr. or Jordan McRae . Truth is I just don't feel the Knicks deserve their fav status in this rematch , especially here on the road. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 3-25 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. NEW YORK is 1-10 ATS L/11 versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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12-28-19 | Predators v. Penguins OVER 6 | 4-6 | Win | 101 | 3 h 0 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: NASHVILLE - JUUSE SAROS, PITTSBURGH - MATT MURRAY Two sub .895 SV percentage goalies and stumbling Ds, go head to head tonight in a game that has high scoring event written all over it. NASHVILLE is 5-0 OVER in road games in December games this season with an average of 8.2 gpg scored. Over is 7-0 in Predators last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 4-0 in Predators last 4 vs. Metropolitan. Over is 5-0 in Predators last 5 road games. NASHVILLE is 12-4 OVER b when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasonswith a combined average of 71. gpg scored. Play OVER |
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12-28-19 | Oklahoma v. LSU OVER 75 | 28-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
CFB Playoff - Peach Bowl - Georgia Dome - ATLANTA, GA LSU is third in the country in scoring (47.8) and first in yards (554.3)..The Sooners rank just behind the Tigers with averages of 43.2 points and 554.2 yards.The Sooners have scored 28 or more points in each of their last 51 games. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (LSU) - in a game involving two dominant teams (out-gaining opponents by 100+ YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games are 36-10 OVERv L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Neutral field teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (LSU/OKLAHOMA) - when playing on a Saturday are 30-10 OVER L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-28-19 | Longwood +9 v. George Washington | 65-78 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.
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12-28-19 | Louisville v. Kentucky -2 | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
The No. 19-seeded Kentucky Wildcats enter this home rivalry matchup vs No.3 Louisville very much in a need of a victory after suffering back to back losses.Im betting Calaparis group will be able to limit the Cardinal long range game, behind the 85th best 3 point D in the nation. With the Wildcats getting healthier, and 6"9 Nate Sestina back in the lineup, beating Kentucky will not be easy for Louisville.The Cards always seem to get their edges by controlling the board, but Kentucky has a +7 rebounding diif and are hard to contend with on the glass. With that said, Im betting on the better charity strip team ( Kentucky) and tougher overall D to get us to the promised land in this matchup of top tier sides.LOUISVILLE is 0-6 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.LOUISVILLE is 47-72 ATS L/119 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game.KENTUCKY is 43-26 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better) Play on Kentucky to cover |
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12-28-19 | College of Charleston v. Drexel +3.5 | 76-65 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
12-28-19 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Notre Dame | 9-33 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
Camping World Bowl - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL Notre Dame owns a top tier offence butI Iowa State behind quarterback Brock Purdy, who completed 66.3 percent of his passes for 3,760 yards, 27 touchdowns are no pushovers and deserve respect as underdogs in a neutral field environment. HC Kelly of Notre Dame said could not afford to take Iowa State for granted. "This is a really good football team that could easily be 11-1," Kelly said. "We know what we're getting."Explosive offenses in the Big 12, really solid defensively, physical football team, well coached -- Matt Campbell is an outstanding football coach. It's going to be a good football team we're playing." I agree with Kellys assessments, and wont be surprised by a SU upset victory by the Cylcones here today. IOWA ST is 9-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or more ) over the last 3 seasons. IOWA ST is 12-3 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons. NOTRE DAME is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games . Iowa State is 31-13 ATS L/44 as a dog. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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12-28-19 | Memphis v. Penn State -6.5 | 39-53 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Cotton Bowl - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX Memphis seems to be a popular pick here by some pundits, but with HC Norvell no longer on th sidelines for Memphis after taking the HC job at Florida State Im betting his former team may not have the needed guidance to deal with a top tier Penn State team that has tangled with some of the best teams in the country.You have to remember Penn State made Ohio State work hard for a 28-17 win in 2nd last game of the season. The way I lookout this is, if Memphis had some problems dealing with Cincinnatis D, they are really going to have issues taking on what Im betting is the most physical group they have faced all season long here vs the Nitanny Lions. Like the old saying goes, offence gets you to a championship but defensewins those big games. The good thing for Penn State is that they both have a upper shelf D, to go a long with a under rated offence and Im betting they get the job done here today vs the underdog that is loved by the public because of their prolific scoring abilities. Penn Statest wo losses have come on the road by a combined 16 points to then-No. 17 Minnesota and No. 2 Ohio State. Play on Penn State to cover |
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12-28-19 | Brown v. Duke UNDER 146.5 | 50-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDER |
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12-27-19 | Golden Knights v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Vegas beat Anaheim 5-2 back in October, and Im betting the Ducks in the rematch will play conservatively and be more defensively diligent here in the rematch, which Im betting makes for a lower scoring affair. ANAHEIM is 7-1 UNDER revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (ANAHEIM) - revenging a road loss versus opponent by 2 goals or more, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season in the first half of the season are 52-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-27-19 | Bucks v. Hawks OVER 237 | 112-86 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Milwaukees offence averages 120+ ppg while Atlanta D, allows an average of 118.6 ppg. Milwaukee has scored agains the best of Ds consistently, and against this below average defence, Im betting they score in the average of 10 points higher on their season to date average offensive output. Meanwhile, Atlanta, is capable of chasing behind a offence that averages 110 + ppg in recent 5 games activity span, which Im betting results in a higher scoring affair than the lines makers anticipate. NBA Teams like the Bucks are 19-1 OVER on the road off a loss as a favorite when the total is at least 15 points more than their last game with a combined average of 239.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Teams like the Hawks are 15-1 OVER L/16 as a dog with more than two days of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with a combined average of 243.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-27-19 | Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M UNDER 54 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Texas Bowl - NRG Stadium - Houston, TX Oklahoma State's offense features the nation's leading rusher in sophomore back Chuba Hubbard. He ran for 1,936 yards on 309 carries (6.8 yards per carry) in the regular season. So Im betting they pound away on the ground today, and eat up clock time. Meanwhile, the Texas A&M D, allowed 12 rushing touchdowns all year, so output projections are low according to my estimates. The Aggies have played one of the more difficult schedules in the country. And have battled Auburn, Alabama and LSU and Georgia, so slowing down Oklahoma State offence will not be an extremely difficult task, while their own offence has been less than cohesive this season. This combination of projected scenarios makes for a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TEXAS A&M) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-7 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TEXAS A&M) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 27-4 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (OKLAHOMA ST) - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 41-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-27-19 | Cavs +13.5 v. Celtics | 117-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
The Celtics are big favourites here, vs the struggling Cleveland Cavaliers. I know this is the new NBA and laying lumber with upper tier teams is becoming the norm, but in my usual contrarian fashion, and my old school mind set I believe this line to be slightly bloated thanks to both recency bias and perceived expectations that actually don't jive with what is according to my projections a one possession extension on a line that should be closer to -11. Tonight Im betting the Celtics will over look their opponents while the away team plays up to their opponents eyeing a chance at an upset vs a upper tier side. The Celtics are 0-15 ATS /7-8 SU L/15 off a 10+ win as a road favorite when they won 4 straight vs current opponent. BOSTON is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games after 3 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (CLEVELAND) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 46-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
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12-27-19 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 217 | 117-129 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Cleveland is well rested and of late have been up trending offensively and are capable of doing out put damage here in a game I have pegged toast paced. The Celtics are 13-0 OVER L/13 at home with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with a combined average of 227.4 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 14-1 OVER L/15 as a 8+ dog with more than one day of rest off a home game in which they had 20+ turnovers with a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored. CLEVELAND is 13-3 OVER in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.4 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON ) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. |
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12-27-19 | Michigan State -3 v. Wake Forest | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 416 h 37 m | Show | |
Pinstripe Bowl - Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY MSU has gone against some of the best teams in the country this season and are more than prepared to take on Wake Forest in this Bowl tilt. Dantonio already owns school records for most bowl wins (five) and bowl appearances (12), including a school-record four-game bowl winning streak with victories in the 2011 Outback Bowl vs. No. 18 Georgia, 2012 Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl over TCU, 2014 Rose Bowl against No. 5 Stanford, and 2015 Cotton Bowl vs. No. 4 Baylor. The Spartans defeated No. 18 Washington State, 42-17, in the 2017 Holiday Bowl. MSU has won five of its last seven bowl games. Michigan State D, will out perform Wakes viable offence. After facing the likes of Penn State , Michigan, and Wisconsin the Spartans are more than ready for what comes their way here at Yankee Stadium. CFB team (MICHIGAN ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games are 44-17 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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12-27-19 | North Carolina v. Temple +6 | 55-13 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
Military Bowl - Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD Mack Brown has moved North Carolina forward since taking over as a coach and alosmot pulley's doff an upset vs Clemson earlier this season and now gets a Bowl Game to preview their ascension.. Despite of this Im still not 100% sold on the Tar Heels and recently the ACC in Bowl games have failed to cash 4 straight as chalk against the AAC. Also Brown himself is just 1-7 ATS as a a HC as a bowl favorite of 4 or more points. Meanwhile, Temple is a team that must not be underestimated in their tenacity and are 5-1 ATS as an underdog while winning four times SU. The Temple offense was serviceable at 27.4 PPG (though 4-points below what their foes allowed on the season). The Owls defense is their strength and allowed just 23.4 PPG and were No. 4 in Red Zone Defense this season and will be the difference maker today. TEMPLE is 14-3 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons. Play on Temple to cover |
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12-26-19 | Blazers v. Jazz OVER 219 | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
The Trail Blazers' had their four-game winning streak abruptly end last time out as the club was 4-of-29 from beyond the arc. Im now expecting a shooting bounce back effort here tonight in Utah behind the 11th fastest pace in the league and the 10th ranked ppg offence. Meanwhile, Im betting on a up-trending Utah offence averaging 110.4 ppg in their L/5 overall, to fire power back on rested legs after their Christmas break. This projected group of scenarios will make for a score according to my projections that slams into the plus 220 mark on the combined totals scoreboard. PORTLAND is 20-8 OVER when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. The Trailblazers are 11-0 OVER L/11 off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 236.8 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Jazz are 20-0 OVER L/20 with rest off a loss in a road game when the total is at least 15 points more than their season-to-date average with a combined average of 247.5 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-26-19 | Wolves v. Kings -4.5 | 105-104 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Wolves have ost 11 straight games, and are once again fade material here on the road vs a Kings team that is struggling but more than capable of rebounding in this spot . SACRAMENTO is 15-3 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. The Timberwolves are 1-17-1 ATS /1-18 SU as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 26-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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12-26-19 | Grizzlies v. Thunder -6.5 | 110-97 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder enter this game on a 4 game win streak and have won 7 of their L/9 and have won 11 of their 16 home games this season . Against todays competition the visiting Memphis Grizzlies the Thunder have won 9 straight times here and once again have the advantage vs a side that is highly inconsistent and have lost 13 of 18 road games this season, including last weeks visit to Sooner State where they lost 126-122 count as 6.5 point dog. Note:NBA Teams like the Thunder are 20-2 ATS /21-1 SUL/22 as a opening line 8+ favorite with rest off a game as a dog when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17 ppg. NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 2-33 SU/ 5-29-1 ATS as a road dog with more than one day of rest after allowing 15+ points more than Vegas projected with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.2 ppg. The Thunder are 14-1 ATS/15-0 SU L/15 as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a home game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with the average ppg diff clicking at 14.1 ppg. The Grizzlies are 0-14 ATS /SU as a opening line 8+ dog with more than one day of rest off a game as a dog in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21.5 ppg. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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12-26-19 | Pittsburgh -12.5 v. Eastern Michigan | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Motivation might be a issue here for Pittsburgh, but their defence is head and shoulders the superior side here today vs an atrocious E. Michigan D. I know the Panthers offence has taken some time to jell cohesively behind a new pass happy system, but today they should be able to get things going vs a below average secondary and a Eagles D, that rank 129th in both Line Yards and Stuff Rate. Note:MAC bowlers are 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS as underdogs of 8 or more points. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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12-26-19 | Knicks v. Nets -7 | 94-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
The coaching change of David Fizdale on Dec. 6 for interim coach Mike Miller has not sparked the Knicks to consistent efforts, and there is just something off about the chemistry of this team, and their work ethic and preparation. Just before the Christmas break, they got clobbered by Miami and Milwaukee , and than got run over by the Washington Wizards by a 121-115 count at home on Monday. Now Im betting their lack of proper motivation , fluidity, and upper their talent will see them lose again and more importantly as far as we are concerned fail to cover. NEW YORK is 2-12 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home losses over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 15.1 ppg. The Knicks are 0-13 ATS /SU L/13 as a dog with more than one day of rest with every loss coming by 8 points or more with the average ppg diff clicking in at 20 ppg. Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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12-26-19 | Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +6.5 | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 31 h 33 m | Show | |
Independence Bowl - Independence Stadium - Shreveport, LA The LA Tech Bulldogs enter this game with a lot to prove after losing the CUSA championship game UAB. It must also be mentioned that their starting QB was suspended for that tilt, but will play today behind what will be a crowd that is on their sides here in Shreveport . Note: LOUISIANA TECH is 8-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons Tech are a talented bunch that is not getting enough respect here vs a inconsistent Miami Florida football program, that is ranked No. 130 in 3rd Down Conversion Percentage and No. 120 in Red Zone Offense and will be missing three future NFL starters including their top wide receiver Jeff Thomas. The Bulldogs averaged 34 PPG and 445 YPG, on offence and had a D that was ranked No. 3 in Red Zone Defense. Im not a big Manny Diaz fan, and just don't like his mojo so betting against him is not a difficult proposition for me. Miami is just 2-9 SU L/11 Bowl games including a ugly 0-6 ATS as chalk Skip Holtz's 5-1 ATS in bowl game record shines through and gets my support. Play on LA Tech to cover |
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12-25-19 | Clippers v. Lakers UNDER 223 | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Both LeBron James and Anthony Davis according to an ESPN report are both expected play Christmas day. I know with these super stars in the lineup the public will naturally chase the total over here, but I say not so quick as my projections estimate that a number closer to 220 is order here, which gives us one possession value. Hey I know it does not seem like much of an advantage but believe me, it is considering how proficient Vegas has historically been setting lines on NBA totals. Also from a matchup perspective these two rivals, are proving to have a dislike for each other , so a physical play off style affair is not out of the question, which also has me leaning to this being a lower scoring affair than the public and pundits expect. Christmas Day under since 2005, have been an extremely good bet : 38-22-1 UNDER for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) . are 63-38 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-25-19 | Georgia Tech -1 v. Hawaii | 70-53 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Two strong defences go head to head here today in the Diamond Head Classic. But the difference maker will come via GTechs superior overall talent and bench depth. GEORGIA TECH is 12-4 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. GEORGIA TECH is 13-3 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. Play on GTech to cover |
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12-25-19 | Bucks v. 76ers +3.5 | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
Milwaukee won 21 of its last 22 games, but they go against a Philadelphia side that plays their best basketball at home where they are 15-2 SU this season, and wont go down without a fight. Im expecting a hard fought game here which will make getting points golden. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 25-3 L/5 seasons for for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games are 28-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers |
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12-25-19 | Celtics -2.5 v. Raptors | 118-102 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
Boston downed Toronto 112-106 at home on Oct. 25 and matchup well once again vs a Raptors team that is banged up and playing short handed. BOSTON is 12-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The Raptors have also taken part into two straight exhausting games , one where they came from behind from a DD deficit entering the 4th quarter, and one that they took to OT after trailing by 14 points in the third quarter. A natural emotional letdown is expecting by me here today against a top tier side. NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) like the Raptors are 17-59 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to cover |
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12-24-19 | BYU v. Hawaii +2 | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 54 h 10 m | Show | |
Hawaii Bowl - Aloha Stadium - Halawa, HI Hawaii had a good season overall as they made it all the way to the Mountain West Championship game. Now the Warriors get to host a BYU team that is bringing cheerleaders, their families, and even key donors to this game. Its going to be far from a (its all business type of experience for BYU ) and more like a vacation to paradise island which is a negative for game preparation. Both teams pound the ball efficiently but the difference maker comes down to the arm of .Hawaii’s Cole McDonald who has thrown for 29 touchdown passes. BYU is 0-6 ATS as a favorite this season. The dog has cashed 9 of the L/12 Hawaii Bowls. Play on Hawaii to cover |