Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-31-20 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 218.5 | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
These two teams have combined for at least 221 points in both head to head meetings this season, which includes 251 points in their last time they faced each other on the court. With a talented full compliment of players on the court for both teams Im expecting some offensive fireworks . |
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07-31-20 | Magic v. Nets +7 | 128-118 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
The NJ Nets are decimated and missing key players, but wins are so important in this restart that I expect the players on the floor to step up and they will not easily disposed of making getting points golden . The Nets are 17-0 ATS L/17 on the road with more than two days of rest off a road game. BROOKLYN is 19-7 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 26-12 SU for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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07-30-20 | Mariners v. Angels -195 | 8-5 | Loss | -195 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Under rated Angels hurler Bundy is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA in four career appearances against the Mariners, including two starts -- one of which was a shutout and gets my support here today. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 3-36 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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07-30-20 | Rays v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Rays Yarbrough has made one career appearance against the Braves. He worked five innings and allowed five runs on six hits against Atlanta in 2018. He is 1-4 with a 5.74 ERA in eight career interleague appearances, three of them starts and Im betting he gets tagged here for enough runs for this total to be eclipsed. TAMPA BAY is 11-2 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg going on the board. FRIED the Braves starter is 8-0 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's RecordThe Rays are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a dog off a road game in which they allowed 12+ hits. Play OVER |
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07-30-20 | Royals -129 v. Tigers | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Detroits Nova is 2-3 with a 5.70 ERA in eight career appearances, including seven starts, at Comerica Park.DETROIT is 5-21 against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.The Tigers are 0-10 L/10 after they were tied at the end of 6 innings last game which was the case. Four of the L/6 losses in this subset saw them get shutout. Play on Kansas City to win |
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07-30-20 | Yankees -218 v. Orioles | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
The Yankees dropped two of the first three to the Orioles last season, and then rolled to 16 head-to-head victories in a row in this series. Yesterday the Yanks smashed the Orioles by a 9-3 count in Baltimore in the teams' first meeting of the current season, running the streak to 17 games ahead of the series finale today. With the Orioles starter Means having recorded a horrendous 7.62 career ERA versus the Yankees in five games (two starts) against them in previous meetings, I look at this as another situation to bet on the Yankees to win on the ML. Note:BOONE is 30-12 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters as the manager of NY YANKEES. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-30-20 | Jazz v. Pelicans OVER 223.5 | 106-104 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
HP Field House - Orlando, FL New Orleans is explosive offensively and run and gun at a very high speed. Look at data from their last 15 games before the covid abruptly end the NBA season, the Pelicans had registered the second-fastest pace in the NBA (106.13). What makes them offensive converting machines is evident by a fourth-highest percentage of their points in transition (16.9%) during the above time perimeters. Whether Zion plays or not today Im betting they go full throttle, and drag a capable Jazz into a fast paced affair that will eclipse this total. UTAH is 11-3 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. The Jazz won the season's first two meetings -- 128-120 at home and 128-126 on the road. The Pelicans won the most recent matchup, 138-132 in New Orleans on Jan. 16. NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 17-0 OVER L/17 on the road/neutral after they had 20+ turnovers during the playoffs with a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored. The Pelicans are 23-4-1 OVER L/28 as a favorite with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throw with a combined average 233.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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07-30-20 | Nationals +145 v. Blue Jays | 6-4 | Win | 145 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
The Nationals are 12-0 L/12 on the ML off a game as a favorite in which they held a multiple-run lead. Great value here on the Nationals vs Ryu, and who is getting to much respect here. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), in July games are 19-38 L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate!Play on the Nationals to win on the ML |
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07-29-20 | Mariners +193 v. Angels | 10-7 | Win | 193 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
The Angels are 0-10 on the ML vs a team like the Mariners that has lost at least their last two games. With Angles starter Heaney who is 1-4 with a 4.32 ERA in nine career starts against Seattle on the hill the Halos are fade material. LA ANGELS are 3-7 ( against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML |
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07-28-20 | Mariners +1.5 v. Angels | 2-10 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
Im not liking the way the Angels have looked early on this season, and Im fading them here today, with a +1.5 runline cushion. |
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07-28-20 | Dodgers v. Astros OVER 9 | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
The Astros enter this game with a tired bullpen that has pitched 11 and 2/3rds innings over the past two games. Meanwhile, the dodgers bullpen is equally tired, after having to trott out their relievers in 10 innings over the past two days. With two viable offenses on the filed here, and two tired pitching staffs Im going to back the over. |
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07-28-20 | Dodgers v. Astros +124 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
The Astros are 17-0 on the ML dating back 3 seasons with no rest in the first game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last two games which is the case with the Dodgers. My own projections which factor in the starting pitching matchup and the batting orders has me look for Houston to come out on top here in this spot play between top tier teams. LA DODGERS are 5-13 (against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.Play on the Astros to win on the ML |
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07-27-20 | Royals +115 v. Tigers | 14-6 | Win | 115 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
The Tigers have lost 9 straight after they were tied at the end of 6 innings last game which was the case yesterday before they pulled out a 3-2 win vs the Reds. Now in a let down situation Im betting on the Royals having the edge.DETROIT is 1-13 against the money line in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 4-20 (against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons Play on the Royals to win on the ML |
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07-27-20 | Blue Jays v. Nationals -121 | 4-1 | Loss | -121 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Washingtons right-hander Anibal Sanchez, who was 11-8 with a 3.85 ERA last season has an edge here vs the Blue Jays according to my projections. The Nationals are 12-0 L/12 on the ML as a home favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games. Play on the Nationals to win on the ML |
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07-26-20 | Angels v. A's UNDER 9 | 4-6 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Halos starter Ohtani went 4-2 with a 3.31 ERA in 10 starts in 2018, his rookie season in MLB. He's 2-0 in his career against the A's with a 2.08 ERA in 13 innings, striking out 18. Meanwhile, Fiers, his pitching opponent from the As owned 20-6 record along with a 3.86 ERA since joining the A's in 2018 and is a viable starter. Considering both sides pitching and bullpen strengths Im betting on a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. Note:The Athletics are 0-8 UNDER L/8 dating back to last season after they scored in at most two separate innings last game.Home teams (OAKLAND) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games, team that had a winning record last season are 39-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-26-20 | Pirates v. Cardinals -138 | 5-1 | Loss | -138 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
The Pirates have lost 9 straight on the road off a road game in which they had 6 or fewer hits which was the case yesterday. It must also be noted that the Pirates have not won the last game of a series on the road in division since June 9th of last season, and I once again am betting against them here today . Pirates starter Mitch Keller (1-5, 7.13 ERA last season) will face the Cardinals for the first time in his career. Advantage Cards. Play on the Cardinals to win on the ML |
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07-26-20 | Twins -139 v. White Sox | 14-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
07-26-20 | Tigers v. Reds -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
The Cinncinnati Reds lineup was up- graded in offseason with the additions of Nick Castellanos, Mike Moustakas and Shogo Akiyama and are a dangerous group that matchup well vs the Detroit Tigers pitching staff. Tigers are 16-36 in their last 52 interleague games. Tigers are 9-45 in their last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.Play on the Cincinnati Reds -1.5 |
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07-25-20 | Diamondbacks +117 v. Padres | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
RAY the Dbacks starter is 16-6 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Padres starter LAMET is 0-7 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 4-15 against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.( The Padres won yesterday 7-2) Expecting a Padres brand that has continually shown signs of up-trending and inconsistency to plague the team once again here tonight. Play on the Diamondbacks on the ML |
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07-25-20 | Rockies v. Rangers -120 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Texas cashed as a short favorite in a 1-0 game yesterday vs the Rockies. Im betting that Colorado once again struggles to score. The Rangers starter Minor has seen his team win his last 2-0 two interleague starts .Minor likes pitching during the day as he went 5-2 with a 3.2 ERA last season.Meanwhile, his Colorado pitching opponent Gray, was a .500 (4-4) pitcher during the day with a 4.59 ERA.The Rockies did not fair well vs southpaws last season going a sub par 25-36 on the ML. Meanwhile, Rockies hitters have also struggled against Minor as is evident by a .138 BA with a .175 (OBP) and .293 (SLG). Meanwhile, Rangers hitters in the lineup that have gone against Gray,have a combined .300 BA average and .391 OBP. Advantage Texas. COLORADO is 4-21 against the money line in road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. Play on Texas on the ML |
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07-24-20 | Angels v. A's -138 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Southpaw Andrew Heaney (4-6, 4.91 ERA ) vs A's righty Frankie Montas (9-2, 2.63) is a mismatch that does not correlate to the actual line. Thus giving us value with the chalk Oakland As. ( Montas has gone 2-0 with a 2.96 ERA in seven career outings (including four starts) against the Angels and gets my support here. OAKLAND is 77-33 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons.OAKLAND is 34-13 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play on the As to win vs ML |
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07-24-20 | Twins -104 v. White Sox | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
White Sox Lucas Giolito really made strides last season . He’s got a big arm and can dominate with his fastball . However today he will go against what is an elite group of fast ball hitters on the Twins that can do offensive damage in a hurry. Note: GIOLITO is 0-7 L/7 against the money line in home games after July. Meanwhile, the Twins Berrios , is looked at a possible ace for this team, and must be respected here in this spot. Note: BERRIOS is 11-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.014. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML |
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07-24-20 | Rockies +100 v. Rangers | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Lance Lynn the Rangers starter is fast ball pitcher with. pinpoint control, but the top half of the Rockies batting order crushed these kind of pitchers last year, and Im betting at least for today that will be the case again. With that said, Im betting the Rangers are over rated here against a Colorado pitcher in Marquez who was 7-3 with a 3.67 ERA in 15 road starts last season. Advantage Colorado. Play on Colorado to win on the ML |
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07-24-20 | Marlins +173 v. Phillies | 5-2 | Win | 173 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Sandy Alcantara is one of baseballs under rated hurlers . Alcantara made 32 starts last season and posted a 3.88 ERA / 1.32 WHIP. . In his four career starts against the Phillies, the Marlins are 3-1 (2.80 ERA) with 2 wins coming last season, and Im betting he matches up well here again. Meanwhile, the Phillies starting pitcher Nola is 3-6 with a 3.28 ERA in 13 career outings against the Marlins.NOLA is 3-8 ( against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Phillies are also winless in Nola’s last seven starts dating back to August 25, when he lost to todays opponents the Miami Marlins. Value, Value and more Value here with the Marlins . Play on Miami to win on the ML |
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07-24-20 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Morton the Rays starter here in their home opener , was 8-3 with a 2.59 ERA in 17 starts at home last year. The veteran hurler in three starts against Toronto last season registered a 3.06 ERA. Meanwhile, Left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu will make his first career appearance against Tampa Bay after coming over from the Dodgers in the off season via free agency. The 2019 National League ERA title holder with a (2.32) ERA is an obvious elite hurler who should give the Rays inconsistent batting order some issues here today. Considering both bullpens look viable, according to projections a total score that does not eclipse the number will make for a viable wager. Under is 7-3 in Blue Jays last 10 games as a road underdog. Play UNDER |
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07-14-20 | New York v. Orlando City SC UNDER 3 | 1-3 | Loss | -145 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
NYCFC struggles with a newly implemented 4-2-3-1 system, and their flow Im betting continues to try to find flow here today in a game I have pegged to stay under the total. Play UNDER |
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06-06-20 | Alex Caceres v. Chase Hooper -181 | 1-0 | Loss | -181 | 29 h 21 m | Show | |
Cacerees has just one TKO victory in 21 UFC fights, and will have his hands full making Hooper less aggressive because of his lack of heavy firepower. Considering that 7 of Hooper’s nine career wins have been by knockout or submission it truly looks like the aggressor will have the edge in this fight making him the right choice in the chalk position. Chase Hooper to win |
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05-30-20 | FC Augsburg v. Hertha Berlin -107 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Augsburg has looked horrendous for a while now and owns a ugly 2-8-2 record in its last 12 league contests and are 10th in the Bundesliga with 38.00 expected goals. This Saturday against a confident Hertha Berlin side that is unbeaten five straight matches including a tie against power house Leipzig last time out Im expecting Augsburg to fold. Hertha Berlin to win |
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05-27-20 | SC Paderborn 07 v. FC Augsburg OVER 2.75 | 0-0 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Defensively, these are two of the ugliest teams in terms of expected goals against in the Bundesliga . Play OVER |
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05-26-20 | Borussia Monchengladbach -130 v. SV Werder Bremen | 0-0 | Loss | -130 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
Gladbach is off a unsettling loss and Werder Bremen is off a win. When playing as hosts this season Werder Bremen has accumulated just 5 points in 12 tilts, which is dead last in Bundesliga match play. Today against a Gladbach side that is unbeaten in their last four road games they are fade material . The visitors not only want and need to bounce back but also need points here badly if they want to stay at the top end of the table and get into Champions league play next season. Gladback to win |
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05-26-20 | Bayern Munich -107 v. Borussia Dortmund | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
Bayern Munich will essentially grab the Bundesliga title if they can get a victory against second-place Borussia Dortmund in Der Klassiker. This is a huge game from even a international perspective. Im betting on the difference maker to key around up and coming Bayer Munich superstar Alphonso Davies . He will be the difference maker in what will be a Bayern Munich logistical win. Play on Bayern Munich |
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05-24-20 | Fortuna Dusseldorf v. 1. FC Koln -123 | 2-2 | Loss | -123 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Koln is currently on a 5-1-1 run with a +6.29 expected goals differential in their last seven games played at RheinEnergieStadion and Im betting they have the edge here today, vs a Dusseldorf that has issues with ebbing the flow inside the 18-yard box, allowing 1.25 xG inside the penalty area per match. Play on Koln to win on the ML |
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05-23-20 | Borussia Dortmund v. VfL Wolfsburg +0.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
When these teams played earlier this season, back in November Dortmund took out Wolfsburg, 3-0, at Signal Iduna Park . The contests final did not relate well to the final score and now according to my projections , Im expecting a much closer game , with value riding with Wolfsburg. Wolfsburg +0.5 |
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05-23-20 | Hoffenheim +117 v. SC Paderborn 07 | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
In last week’s 3-0 loss to Hertha Berlin, under rated Hoffenheim grabbed the xG battle 2.6-1.5 and deserves respect despite of current bumbling state here vs what my power ranking suggest is a lower tier Paderborn 07 team that has lost 7 straight matches . Value with the visitors against side that despite of being desperate and at the bottom of the table still show no signs of life. Hoffenheim |
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05-23-20 | Bayer Leverkusen +180 v. Borussia Monchengladbach | 3-1 | Win | 180 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
Gladbach found a way to notch a victory in the previous fixture, 2-1 in November when they met on the pitch at BayArena. The projected power stats shows the game should have resulted in at least a draw as Leverkusen owned the time of possession ( 61.3% ) and out shot Gladbach, 25 to 10. Im betting things will be different this time around as Bayer Leverkusen crops the edge. Play on Leverkusen |
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05-18-20 | Bayer Leverkusen -127 v. SV Werder Bremen | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Werder behind the third-worst xGF in the league. has notched j victories in just four games this campaign. I know that this tilt is important for Werder as they sit 17 out of 18 teams, and could find themselves in the 2nd division next season if they dont start playing prime time ball very soon, but this team has been mistake prone on a consistent basis, and now go against a Leverkusen side that was playing top tier football prior to the layoff and deserve respect here. With no home crowd to boost Werder..... Leverkusen gets my support behind a balanced attack. Bayer Leverkusen to win |
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05-18-20 | Bayer Leverkusen v. SV Werder Bremen UNDER 3 | 4-1 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Werbers very inconsistent attack has generated the third-worst xGF in the league this season and are playing todays game without attacking midfielder Davy Klassen (suspension) and only have one other dangerous attacking option behind lead striker Milot Rashica. Considering how tough Werder is to score on a lower scoring conservative tilt between two sides still trying to get their fitness levels back up makes for a value bet . Play UNDER |
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05-16-20 | Schalke 04 v. Borussia Dortmund | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
The winter break in Bundeliga action is usually one month, but these two two teams have been off for two months and will be very rusty. Last time these two teams met in October, the hosts held Dortmund kept a clean sheet in a goalless draw and now considering the circumstances Im betting on another clean sheet draw. Play on Draw |
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03-11-20 | Nuggets v. Mavs -1 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
The Mavs played last night in San Antonio and suffered a loss to their instate rivals. Now they come home and despite of playing on back to back nights have what Im betting is an edge, against what has become a inconsistent Denver side. that has alternated wins and losses since late Feb . Last time out the Nuggets beat a short handed Bucks side, without their key star Antetokounmpo out of the lineup and now I expect some emotional regression here after being sky high for that tilt ,which makes them vulnerable to a down effort. Note: The Nuggets have lost 3 of their L/4 road tilts. Dallas duo of Doncic and Dorian Finney-Smith are both officially available to play on Tuesday. The Mavericks are 15-1-1 ATS/16-1 SU L/17 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a road game after a game that was tied 5+ times. The Mavericks are 11-0 ATS /SU L/11 when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range. The Nuggets are 0-16 ATS/2-14 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range.The Nuggets are 2-21 ATS/3-20 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win.The Nuggets are 1-17 ATS /2-16 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win as a home favoriteThe Nuggets are 0-12 ATS /1-11 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. Play on Dallas to cover |
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03-11-20 | Knicks v. Hawks -4.5 | 136-131 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Atlanta has been playing well at home of late . The Hawks have won nine of their past 12 at State Farm Arena, and deserve the respect they are getting on the line here tonight. Meanwhile, the Knicks are off a loss last night that saw them blow a DD lead and finally succumb to the Wizards. The Knicks looked winded last night, and that Im betting carries over into tonight in the second part of their back to back games as they will play on tired legs vs a side that promises to run and gun against them. The Knicks are 0-12 ATS /SU off a loss as a road dog after a loss in which they led by 15+ with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13 ppg. The Knicks are 0-11 ATS /SU L/11 with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game in which they had 6+ double digit scorers. The Hawks are 11-1 ATS /12-0 SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they had overtime( They beat Charlotte in OT on Monday night) with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.5 ppg.The Hawks are 14-3-2 ATS /17-2 SU as a favorite with rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at 6 ppg. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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03-11-20 | Georgia v. Ole Miss -3 | 81-63 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Georgia won just one road game this season vs Vanderbilt, and just dont look like viable options here vs Ole Miss. The Dawgs have a nasty defence, that ranks last in adjusted defensive efficiency ratings and have allowed SEC opposition to convert at a 55.2% rate from 2 point range, where the Ole Miss offense thrives. When these teams met back in late January the Rebs came out with a 70-60 road win. This Im betting is a rinse and repeat situation. Play on Ole Miss to cover |
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03-11-20 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -6.5 | 71-72 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Big 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Kansas City, MO Oklahoma State is playing its best hoops of the season having won 3 straight and 6 of their L/8 and have a great deal of momentum and confidence on this sides as they face an inconsistent Iowa State hoops program. The Cyclones have not won on the road since November, and Iowa ranks dead last in conference action in adjusted defensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage opposition conversion rate , and also 2P% and 3P% opponent conversion rates. Also with Cylcones key starter Rasir Bolton dealing with a concussion his time on the court if any should be limited, giving the Boyz a big edge here. IOWA ST is 7-14 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.IOWA ST is 2-8 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. OKLAHOMA ST is 28-13 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) since 1997. Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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03-11-20 | Georgia Southern v. Georgia State -5 | 81-62 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Sunbelt Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals Georgia State enters play holding opponents to just 28.7 percent shooting from 3-point range which ranks No. 7 in the country and first in the Sun Belt Conference. Georgia State is also holding opponents to just 40.1 percent shooting from the floor which ranks No. 42 in the NCAA. This will be the key to cover against Georgia Southern tonight.This will mark the third time in the last five years Georgia State and Georgia Southern meet in the conference tournament. The Panthers have won both previous match-ups in 2015 and 2018. The Panthers are averaging 78.6 points per game, among the top 5 best averages in program history and currently ranked No. 20 in the NCAA. Play on Georgia State to cover |
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03-11-20 | Northwestern +8.5 v. Minnesota | 57-74 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Big Ten Conference Tournament - First Round - Indianapolis, IN The Northwestern Wildcats will be looking to ride the momentum created by their win against then 20th ranked Penn St. in their regular season finale on Saturday. I know they may not inspire bettors, because of some pitiful metrics, but this line is still to big for a neutral court tourney game, and has value attached to taking the underdog. Note: Dating back 15 seasons, underdogs of 6.5 to 19.5 points have gone 125-91-4 for a 58% ATS conversion rate in the first round of conference tournaments. NORTHWESTERN is 15-5 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997. Northwestern to cover |
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03-11-20 | Utah v. Oregon State -3.5 | 69-71 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Pac 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV Oregon State’s shown an ability to beat up on sub par teams like Utah this season. Today Im betting on more of the same behind star senior Tres Tinkle,who has registered three 23+ point performances in his last four trips to the hardwood.UTAH is 0-7 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 turnovers/game or less after 15+ games this season. UTAH is 1-9 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season and is 0-8 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog this season.OREGON ST is 11-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play on Oregon State to cover |
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03-10-20 | Alcorn State v. Jackson State -6.5 | 52-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
In the meetings in this series this season, Jackson State won by scores of 86-57 at home and 76-65 on the road and matchup very well against Alcorn State. JACKSON ST is 20-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. ALCORN ST is 0-8 ATS in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ALCORN ST) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 12-40 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jackson State to cover |
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03-10-20 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -9 | 66-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Las Vegas, NV St.Marys played a brutally physical game against BYU last time out, and pulled of the 51-50 upset. Now a bit banged up, Im betting they have problems with a explosive Gonzaga team that they have owned recently as is evident by a 90-60 at home on Feb. 8 and and a 86-76 victory at Saint Mary's on Feb. 29. ST MARYS-CA is 19-34 ATS in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game since 1997.Bennett is 4-12 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of ST MARYS-CA. Play on Gonzaga to cover |
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03-10-20 | Mavs v. Spurs +3.5 | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Dallas has won all 3 meetings in this series with San Antonio this season and now the desperate Spurs get a chance for some redemption as well as solidifying their opportunities for a late season run into the play offs . Also Dallas star guard Doncic has been added to the injury report and is listed questionable in advance of Tuesday's game with a sprained right wrist which is a new injury. The Spurs are 10-1 ATS L/10 as hosts during the regular season with triple revenge exact behind HC Popovich when not favored by 4 or more points, including 10-0 ATS against above .500 opposition. Overall the Spurs are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games as a home underdog. The Spurs are 19-1 ATS /20-0 SU at home with less than two days rest off a loss as a favorite after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses. The Mavericks are 1-14 ATS /SU with rest off a loss as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range with the one win in this subset coming by just 1 points. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 35-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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03-10-20 | Magic v. Grizzlies -2.5 | 120-115 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Orlando has been playing some very good basketball of late, but there are always uptrending periods as well as down trending runs for all teams in the NBA , and sometimes regency bias can throw some of us off. However, looking at both teams the I see the Grizzlies as being the more consistent team overall. It must also be noted that MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. The Grizzlies also have revenge on board for a loss earlier this season to the Grizzlies. Note: The Magic are 0-9 ATS/SU L/9 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a win in a road game when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. . The Magic are 0-13 ATS/SU L/13 as a dog when their last four games are LLWW. The Grizzlies are 17-1-2 ATS/19-1 SU as a home favorite off a 10+ win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover |
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03-10-20 | Hurricanes v. Red Wings UNDER 6 | 5-2 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: CAROLINA - PETR MRAZEK, DETROIT - JIMMY HOWARD After upsetting Tampa Bay last time out 5-4 Detroit Im betting wont be catching the Carolina Caners by surprise, and instead I look for them to have a regression to the mean offensively which means a output 2 goals or less which is their season average. Meanwhile, Carolina continues to play an inconsistent brand of hockey, but that has shown some defensive prowess recently allowing back to back 2 goal outputs by their opposition. CAROLINA is 8-0 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive road wins over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 15-6 UNDER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season.DETROIT is 13-4 UNDER in home games after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 UNDER in home games off a home win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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03-10-20 | Penguins v. Devils UNDER 6 | 5-2 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh has struggled defensively of late, but knowing the importance of shoring up their D and getting back on track will be a key concentration point . Tonight against a sub .500 side that will not be in the post season key to trying to getting a win will to be slow down an inconsistent offence, especially since the Pens are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 8th game in 14 nights. . Note: PITTSBURGH is 7-1 UNDER in road games against struggling defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg.NEW JERSEY is 23-12 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.3 gpg scored. After back to back losses to division rivals Washington and Carolina playing strong D, Im sure is on tonights agenda. Note:PITTSBURGH is 16-4 UNDER in road games off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival. (Lost 6-2 to Carolina last time out) PITTSBURGH is 9-1 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. Play on the UNDER |
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03-10-20 | Knicks v. Wizards -4.5 | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
Washingtons Bradley Beal's 30.4 points per game ranks second in the league behind Houston's James Harden (34.3). Im betting on him being the catalyst for a Wizards cover vs the tanking NY Knicks.The Wizards are 20-4 in the past 24 meetings with the Knicks, who snatched a 107-100 win in Washington on Dec. 28 when Beal sat out with soreness in his right leg. Wizards with Beals in revenge on board are my choice. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 50-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. |
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03-10-20 | Northeastern +1.5 v. Hofstra | 61-70 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Colonial Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Washington, DC Northeastern has had a sub par season, despite of being picked to be the No.1 team in the conference this season after a delivering a conference championship last season. They disappointed with a 17-15 record overall, but must not be underestimated here against No.1 seed Hofstra. Coen is 30-16 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of NORTHEASTERN. Northeastern to cover |
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03-10-20 | Illinois-Chicago +4.5 v. Northern Kentucky | 62-71 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
Illinois Chicago owned Wright State (74-43) in the Horizon League tournament semifinals, with a start to finish covering as underdogs . It was the Flames tenacious rebounding that was the difference maker. Considering their size advantage pounding Northern Kentucky on the glass will not be a surprise, as will getting us the cover. IL-CHICAGO is 15-6 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. Illinois Chicago to cover |
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03-09-20 | St. Mary's +4.5 v. BYU | 51-50 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Las Vegas, NV Both these teams own 24-7 records on the season. St.Marys last 3 losses have come twice to Gonzaga, and once to BYU by a 81-79 count, and according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Cougars of BYU. Both games between these teams came down to the wire in this series this season, with Gaels winning the first meeting 87-84 in OT. This game looks to a repeat of the first two games, making getting points a viable wagering opportunity. BYU is 11-27 ATS in conference tournament games since 1997. Play on St.Mary;s to cover |
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03-09-20 | Hornets v. Hawks UNDER 225 | 138-143 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Atlanta's Hunter and DeAndre Bembry (abdominal) are questionable prior to Monday's game and if they play I doubt they are playing at 100%. This will effect the flow of the Hawks. Meanwhile, Charlotte behind the 30th ranked ppg output and 30th ranked pace will in their usual fashion look to grind their opponents down via a very deliberate approach. Here against a run and gun style side like Atlanta a even more conservative approach will be in effect which will directly effect this total to the under. The Hornets are 4-29-1 to the UNDER L/34 on the road with rest when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 202.4 ppg scored.The Hornets are 0-9 UNDER L/9 as a road dog with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 195.5 ppg going on the board. The Hawks are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 as a favorite with rest off a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with the average combined score clicking in at 188.6 ppg scored.The Hawks are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they scored a least 18 fast break points with a combined average of 197.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%). are 49-16 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-09-20 | UL - Lafayette v. Georgia Southern -8 | 81-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Sunbelt Conference Tournament - Second Round The Eagles took both meetings in the regular-season series against Louisiana, with Ike Smith and Quan Jackson combining for 48 points in the most recent contest on Feb. 8 at the Cajundome. Georgia Southern won the first meeting in Statesboro on Jan. 11, 71-51, as a short-handed Louisiana squad posted season-lows in both points and field goal percentage (28.6 percent). Even here fully healthy the Cajuns are a distinct disadvantage. GA SOUTHERN is 7-0 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots this season. GA SOUTHERN is 13-4 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. LA-LAFAYETTE is 3-11 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. LA-LAFAYETTE is 3-11 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GA SOUTHERN) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 38-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Georgia Southern to cover |
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03-09-20 | Illinois-Chicago +6.5 v. Wright State | 73-56 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
It will be the third meeting of the season between the Flames (17-16) and Raiders (25-6). UIC was the first team to hand WSU a loss in Horizon League play when it took down the Raiders at Credit Union 1 Arena on Jan. 12, 76-72 and are one of the few teams in the conference that can hang with Raiders, thanks to a tough defensive rebounding group. IL-CHICAGO is 14-6 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (IL-CHICAGO) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 136-79 L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on Illinois Chicago Illinois |
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03-09-20 | Wofford +6.5 v. East Tennessee State | 58-72 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Southern Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Asheville, NC My own projections make this game closer to -4 , which gives us value with a Wofford side that must be respected. WOFFORD is 7-0 ATS in conference tournament games over the last 3 seasons. WOFFORD is 8-1 ATS when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (WOFFORD) - revenging 2 straight losses where team scored < 60 points, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 45-14 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wofford to cover |
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03-08-20 | Blue Jackets v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, VANCOUVER - THATCHER DEMKO On Friday night Vancouver and Colorado took part in a back forth 6-3 tilt the Canucks won and now Im betting on a more tempered game from them here tonight vs a Columbus team that predicates its successes and failure on top tier defence. The Blue Jackets offence is less than formidable averaging just 2.4 gpg on the road this season and 2.5 goals per game in their L/5 overall. COLUMBUS is 8-0 UNDER after 3 consecutive non-conference games this season.COLUMBUS is 26-12 UNDER against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances this season. VANCOUVER is 7-1 UNDER in home games after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 season Play UNDER |
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03-08-20 | Raptors -5.5 v. Kings | 118-113 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors are expected to have both Fred VanVleet and Marc Gasol back in the lineup Sunday night when they visit a tired Sacramento Kings side that will be playing playing on back to back nights. The precense of the two above mentioned key cogs in the Raptors lineup gives them them an extended edge they already would have had even if they did not play , making laying points with the defending champions an easy decision. As far as the line goes, Im making this closer to my -7, but with the Kings upset last night at Portland , a little recency bias has tainted the number. Note: SACRAMENTO is 0-10 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg. The Kings are 0-18 ATS /SU L/18 as a home dog off a win as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -16 ppg. The Kings are 0-12 ATS /SU L/12 as a home dog after they scored 10 or more points in the first than the fourth quarter with a combined average of -13.8 ppg. Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 37-9 ATS L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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03-08-20 | Ohio State v. Michigan State -6.5 | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Michigan State Im betting will come out here ready to play for a share of the Big Ten title on Sunday by getting a win, and a conclusive one at that.Michigan State was tabbed the preseason No. 1 nationally but fell in the rankings because of some inconsistent performances, but make not mistake this is a top tier team that must be respected with Tournament time now here.MICHIGAN ST is 11-2 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with an average DD margin ppg diff .MICHIGAN ST is 11-1 ATS after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Mich State is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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03-08-20 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 227 | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
As we come closer to play off time teams that expect to be the post season start to pay alot more attention to defence. Thus when I look at this game between what are arguably the best two teams in the west Im expecting we have an edge with an under wager. Im betting a slower paced game that will be more physical than usual for a regular season tilt, and for both to contest the rim repeatedly. The Lakers are 4-30 UNDER L/43 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 197.9 ppg scoredThe Lakers are 2-23 to the UNDER L/25 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 190.2 ppg going on the board. NBA Teams like the Clippers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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03-08-20 | Lakers v. Clippers -2.5 | 112-103 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
With their full roster intact, the Clippers have recorded an average margin of victory of 17.0 points in their last six games. They are 10-0 SU when all their players are healthy and Im betting that trend stays intact here today vs the Lakers. The Lakers are 3-21-2 ATS /4-22 SU on the road with less than two days rest after they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half. The Lakers are 0-9 ATS /SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest after they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half. NBATeams like the Clippers are 16-0 ATS /SU as a home favorite off a win as a road favorite in which they scored a least 18 fast break points. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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03-07-20 | 76ers v. Warriors +2.5 | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
With Steph Curry back in the lineup and the newly aquired Andrew Wiggins on the court the Warriors look like a viable option getting points vs a depleted and banged up Sixers lineup. The Warriors are 21-4-1 ATS /22-4 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game. PHILADELPHIA is 6-17 ATS L/23 in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. Sixers are also 10-23 SU on the road this season. The Seventysixers are 3-18 ATS L/21 on the road off a win in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent. Play on Golden State to cover |
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03-07-20 | 76ers v. Warriors UNDER 225.5 | 114-118 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
A depleted banged up and exhausted 76ers will play their 4th away game on this west coast road trip in a week and now they will be on tired legs and far from ready to run and gun which Im betting will help make this a lower scoring affair. NBA teams like Philadelphia 0-17 to the UNDER L/17 on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a road dog in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent with a combined average of 205.3 ppg scored. The Seventysixers are 0-12-1 UNDER L/13 with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 198 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-07-20 | St Bonaventure +6.5 v. St. Louis | 49-72 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
St.Louis is playing pretty good hoops at the moment, but they are going against a team that according to my power rankings that matches up well against them. Also with the Billikens doing so well, we are getting a bloated line to bet into with the Bonnies the recipients of a value edge getting points. ST BONAVENTURE is 9-2 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. SAINT LOUIS is 0-6 ATS in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. St.Bonaventure has covered 8 of their L/9 visits to St.Louis. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (SAINT LOUIS) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), hot shooting team - 5 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 14-36 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Bonaventure to cover |
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03-07-20 | Nuggets v. Cavs OVER 218.5 | 102-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Denver enters this tilt having gone over in 11 of their L/14 games, while the Cavaliers have gone over in 3 straight, and have seen themselves and their opponents average 223+ ppg when playing as hosts this season as they are here tonight. With Denver finally healthy Im betting they will continue to gear up for play off basketball by getting their offensive flow back, and for Cleveland with nothing to play for to be loose and to run the floor with wreck-less abandon in chase mode, which projects to a higher combined score than this current totals line suggests. Nuggets: 5-0 OVER L5 in non-conference road games while the Cavaliers are : 7-0 OVER L/7 in 2/1 rest situation. Over is 3-0-1 in Nuggets last 4 games following a ATS loss.Over is 8-0 in Nuggets last 8 games as a road favorite.Over is 7-1-1 in Nuggets last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-1-1 in Nuggets last 6 overall. Over is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 Saturday games.Over is 12-3 in Cavaliers last 15 games following a ATS loss.Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games as a home underdog.Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Nuggets are 20-3-1 OVER L/24 as a road favorite with rest off a road game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 234.5 ppg going on the score board. The Nuggets are 10-0 OVER L/10 as a road favorite with rest off a win in a road game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Nuggets are 25-4-1 OVER with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 238.1 ppg. Play OVER |
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03-07-20 | Sabres v. Flyers UNDER 6 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: BUFFALO - CARTER HUTTON, PHILADELPHIA - CARTER HART Buffalo has gone 6 straight games without scoring more than 2 goals and have gone 0-13 on the power play recently. This Sabres team is struggling to score and tonight vs a red hot Philadelphia team Im betting on them having more problems burying the biscuit. Their inadequacies on offence and their need to be more efficient defensively will help this game stay under the total. Note: Philadelphia is also on tired legs so Im betting they temper this attack to retain energy . Note: PHILADELPHIA is 13-6 UNDER in home games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season. BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more this season. Play UNDER |
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03-07-20 | SMU v. South Florida | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Smu has won just one time in conference play this season on the road, and once again do not look like a vial-be option here based on their current metrics and performance charts as visitors. SMU is 1-7 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season. Jankovich is 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (SMU) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 14-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USF to cover |
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03-07-20 | DePaul +10 v. Providence | 55-93 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
The Providence Friars have been red hot of late and thats why we are getting such a bloated line here to bet into with DePaul It must be noted that the Friars are just 3-7 ATS as a favorite of seven or more points this season. It must also be noted that the Friars beat DePaul back in January on a free throw at the end of the game, and won as 1.5 point underdogs and that matchup does not jive with this line, and is according to my projections to much of a swing. With that said, we have value getting points with DePaul. DePaul to cover |
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03-07-20 | Seton Hall +3.5 v. Creighton | 60-77 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pirates are 7-1 SU on the road in Big East play a perfect 4-0 SU as an underdog with wins against Marquette, Villanova, Xavier and Butler . If Seton Halls wins outright here they will gain the reg season conference title, so their is plenty of motivation to play hard here vs a good but not quite ready for prime time Creighton team that is getting way to many accolades from the media pundits in my opinion. Seton Hall to cover |
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03-07-20 | Predators v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: NASHVILLE - PEKKA RINNE, DALLAS - BEN BISHOP Dallas plays a one way transitional type of defensive hockey and nothing will change here today. DALLAS is 13-2 UNDER in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. DALLAS is 12-4 UNDER in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season. NHL Home teams where the total is 5 or less (DALLAS) - average scoring team (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) vs a poor defensive team (allow >=2.9 goals/G) are 52-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-07-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech UNDER 133.5 | 66-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Play UNDER |
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03-07-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +3.5 | 66-62 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Texas Tech is in my opinion in a must-win situation here vs Kansas after losing three straight games which has made a borderline at-large team to get into the Big Dance. Im betting on a big effort here at home from Texas Tech, especially on the boards . Note: The Red Raiders out rebounded the Jayhawks 36-33 in their first meeting of the season. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS) - excellent defensive team (40% or less ) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (>=+6 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 9-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Texas Tech to cover |
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03-07-20 | Long Island +5.5 v. Robert Morris | 66-86 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Long Island is a under rated explosive offensive team that does alot od famage with three-point shots . The Sharks average 9.2 made three-pointers per game (26th nationally) which always makes them a dangerous back door cover side, and even a SU dog shocker. LONG ISLAND is 7-0 ATS in road games off a close home win by 3 points or less. LONG ISLAND is 14-4 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. Take the points with LIU |
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03-07-20 | La Salle v. St. Joe's +1 | 78-77 | Push | 0 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Saint Joseph's enters Saturday with 70 victories over the Explorers, the most by the Hawks over a single opponent in program history. Rinse and repeat history maker. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LASALLE) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (>=20/game) after 15+ games, cold shooting team - 3 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 34-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Joes to win |
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03-07-20 | Baylor v. West Virginia -1.5 | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
Baylor after a torrid start to their season, are just 2-2 and 1-3 ATS in their L/4 games, and now go against a West Virginia side that has revenge on board for a loss in 70-59 loss in Waco last month. With said, Im betting on the Mounties getting their revenge and turning the trick for the 7th straight time at home in their L/home game of the season. W VIRGINIA is 14-5 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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03-07-20 | Kentucky +3 v. Florida | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Kentucky (24-6) is coming off a 81-73 home loss to Tennessee last time out, as they looked to be in a key letdown spot after a big revenger vs Auburn the game before that. Now Kentucky needs to get back some mojo even though they have clinched the SEC regular season title . Im not a big fan of this version of the Wildcats because of how soft they play, but I do recognize how talented this team is, and Im betting they bring their A game to this tilt and hang tough vs a very inconsistent Florida side that goes to sleep for extended periods of time.KENTUCKY is 7-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season.FLORIDA is 2-9 ATS L/11 in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.FLORIDA is 3-13 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. KENTUCKY is 8-2 ATS in road games after a conference game this season. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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03-07-20 | Marquette -1.5 v. St. John's | 86-88 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
The Marquette Golden Eagles (18-11, 8-9 Big East) will face the St. John’s Red Storm (15-15, 4-13 Big East) on Saturday in Queens, NY.These two teams saw each other back on January 21st, where Marquette was able to come out with an 82-68 victory which showed me the better team. I know St.Johns must not be over looked at home, but Marquette will be wide awake here as conference seeding for the Big East tourney is on the line . ST JOHNS is 2-10 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons and is 1-8 ATS versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Marquette to cover |
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03-07-20 | Wisconsin v. Indiana -2 | 60-56 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 54 m | Show | |
03-06-20 | Bucks v. Lakers +1 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
Im backing the experience of LeBron James and Anthony Davis over the young raw talent of Giannis. Antetokounmpo and company. The Bucks thanks to their extremely hot start have targets on their backs. Look for the Lakers to be very motivated to send a message to the Bucks that the road to a championship has to come through LA. The Lakers are 15-2 ATS /SU with more than one day of rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game. The Lakers are 8-0 ATS/SU L/8 when the line is within 3 of pick off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game. LA LAKERS are 18-6 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. MILWAUKEE is 14-27 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons The Bucks are 4-31-1 ATS /2-34 SU as a dog with rest off a win as a home favorite. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 28-3 SU L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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03-06-20 | Bucks v. Lakers UNDER 227 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
There is alot of offense in both these teams lineup, but Im expecting this heavy weight battle, to be like a post season tilt and be lower scoring because of both sides expected attention to playing solid defence and to be physical as well. It must be noted the Bucks own the 2nd best ppg D in the NBA, and the No.1 defensive rating. Meanwhile, the Lakers own the 3rd best defensive rating, behind a deliberate disciplined pace that ranks 12th in the league. The Bucks are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a home game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 191.6 ppg. The Lakers are 4-29 UNDER L/33 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 197.4 ppg going on the board. LA LAKERS are 18-5 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored.LA LAKERS are 15-4 UNDER in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-06-20 | Missouri State v. Indiana State +2 | 78-51 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - ST Louis, MO Indiana State enters this tournament with alot of momentum winning 4 straight games, including a win vs No,.1 seed Northern Iowa. The under rated Sycamores are a top tier shooting side that run an efficient offence as is evident by converting at 52.1% eFG% clip (ranked 65th in the nation), while shooting 38.1% from the land of the trey which ranks them 10th in the nation. Note: Indiana State's starting five has outscored the opposition's top five 20 times this season and have earned the win 17 times in those situations, Missouri State has gone 2-2 in their L/4 games, and overall struggles defensively eFG% (193rd) and has problems defending against treys from downtown ranking 225th in the nation. With that said, Im betting the wrong side is favored . MISSOURI ST is 1-9 ATSL/10 as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick. Play on Indiana State |
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03-06-20 | Blazers -2.5 v. Suns | 117-127 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
With Portland MVP Damian Liilard expected to be back in the Blazers lineup tonight I expect them to be juiced up and ready to continue their domination of a inconsistent Suns side that they have beaten 11 of the L/12 times. |
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03-06-20 | Boise State +9 v. San Diego State | 68-81 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Mountain West Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Las Vegas, NV Boise State 19th-ranked 3-point defense , allowing a 29.4% clip to the opponents this season is key here my recommendation taking points and going agains the public. In the tilt against San Diego State earlier this season, the Aztecs lit them up from beyond the arc, but doing it two times in row Im betting will be a difficult task in the rematch, as Boise Im sure will adjust. From a size comparison the Broncos are bigger and stronger, and if they get physical which Im betting they will their No.1 ranked MWC rebounding will come into play, and then eventual charity stripe chances, with Boise State holding the edge in efficiency ranking 79th in the nation. BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. Play on Boise State to cover |
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03-06-20 | VCU +5 v. Davidson | 65-75 | Loss | -101 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
The VCU Rams look for the season sweep when they visit the Davidson Wildcats for an Atlantic-10 regular-season finale on Friday night. Whether they get or not Im not sure but what Im betting on is that keep it close enough to cover vs a side they matchup well against according to my power rankings. VA COMMONWEALTH is 15-6 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Rhoades is 17-6 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts in all games.Rhoades is 20-10 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season as the coach of VA COMMONWEALTH. Play on VCU to cover |
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03-06-20 | Heat v. Pelicans UNDER 235 | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami is quite methodical in their approach to most games, behind the 26th ranked pace, and here against a explosive New Orleans team, that must be respected Im sure HC Spoelstra has a grinding game plan on his agenda. You have to remember this is the same Heat team that just held Milwaukee to 89s points recently. The Heat are 2-16-1 UNDER L/19 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average score of 192 ppg going on the board with none of the games in the sub set going over this total. The Pelicans are 0-8 UNDER L/8 at home with rest when they are off two games in which they had twice as many assists as turnovers with the combined average score clicking in at 219.4 ppg. NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 211.6 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MIAMI) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 27-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-06-20 | Southern Illinois +5.5 v. Bradley | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
SIU's 10 MVC wins represent the most ever by an MVC team that was picked last in the preseason. This program has over achieved every step of the way this season and Im betting they once again keep up their high standards despite of being listed as underdogs today. Value with Southern Illinois vs a strong but inconsistent Bradley side.Note: Bradley took a 69-67 decision in their last meeting during this campaign, and another close game is my call. S ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. |
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03-06-20 | Drake v. Northern Iowa -9.5 | 77-56 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
The Northern Iowa Panthers enter this tournament as the top seed, finishing the year with a 14-4 record in conference play as part of their 25-5 SU overall record this season and are head shoulders above todays competition Drake in my humble opinion based on my projections. Missouri Valley tournament No. 1 seeds in this tourney are 30-0 SU and 21-8-1 ATS and get my support here today . In the two meetings in this series this season, N.Iowa won both by 70-43 and 83-73 counts. Rinse and repeat. Play on Northern Iowa to cover |
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03-05-20 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 225.5 | 121-113 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
According to Anthony Slater of The Athletic, Curry has been fully cleared for his return and will play on Thursday and Im betting even with reduced minutes, this will spark the Warriors to try to run with the Raptors who have had not problems despite of an array of injuries of lighting up the score board on a regular basis. The Raptors are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a favorite with a combined average of 236.4 ppg scored. The Raptors are 11-0 OVER L/12 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 239.4 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 35-13 OVER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-05-20 | 76ers v. Kings UNDER 222.5 | 125-108 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The banged up and battered Philadelphia 76ers will once again be short handed tonight, with three key starters (Joel Embiid (shoulder), Ben Simmons (back) Josh Richardson (concussion).expected to miss this road game vs Sacramento. This Im betting effects their offensive flow of a team that only averages 105.1 ppg on the road this season, and that ranks 6th in ppg allowed overall in the NBA ( 107.2 ppg). Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings have been paying alot more attention to defence as the season progresses and previous to their last game took part in 5 straight lower scoring affairs that failed to eclipse the total. SACRAMENTO is 13-4 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.1 ppg scored . NBA Teams like the Kimnhs are 4-23-1 UNDER L/28 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they shot over 55% from the field with a combined average of 213.6 ppg scored. The Seventysixers are 0-13-1 UNDER L/15 with rest off a 10+ loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throw with a combined average of 203.5 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 PPG or more ) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 25-8 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 28-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-05-20 | California Baptist v. New Mexico State -9.5 | 50-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
The Aggies' dominance in the WAC as of late has resulted in any number of impressive winning streaks for the squad. New Mexico St to cover |
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03-05-20 | Stanford +1 v. Oregon State | 65-68 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
These two teams are playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, with Stanford winning 4 straight and currently playing their best hoops of the season, while Oregon State has lost 4 straight with 3 of the losses coming by DDs. Momentum means alot in most sports but I find its an important aspect in College Hoops. Advantage: Stanford. Stanford Cardinals when the line is within three points of pickem are 15-0 ATS /14-1 SU with the one loss coming by 1 point. CBB underdog (STANFORD) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 24-6 ATS L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on Stanford to cover |
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03-05-20 | Wichita State v. Memphis -2 | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Memphis and Wichita State are over rated in so many ways, but Im betting the desperate home team has the Edge. Im calling the Tigers desperate because they have no chance at an large bid and need to get into the first round and win the AAC tourney or the Big dance will be but a dream. Also Memphis has revenge on board for a road loss earlier this season at Wichita. MEMPHIS is 12-2 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WICHITA ST) - poor shooting team - shooting 42% or les on the season against opponent after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less are 16-40 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-05-20 | Clippers +1 v. Rockets | 120-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
The Rockets are 2-1 against the Clippers this season, including a 102-93 home win on Nov. 13 and now Im, betting the Clippers who are on a 6 game win streak to even this series tonight and more importantly cover. LA CLIPPERS are 26-14 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons The Rockets are 0-10 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest after a game that was tied 5+ times which was the case in the a loss to the Knicks last time out. NBA Teams like the Rockets are 0-13 ATS /1-12 SU L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a loss as a road favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers. NBA Teams like the Rockets are 0-12 ATS /SU L/12 with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making more than 20 free throws per game. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 31-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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03-05-20 | Houston v. Connecticut +2 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The UConn Huskies play their best basketball at home as is evident by their 12-1 SU record as hosts and now Im betting that because of their strong home court dichotomy that they will give No. 25 Houston a run for their money in this spot. Note: Houston is 0-5 ATS in their L/5 as road chalk and UConn is 8-1 ATS L/9 at home as dogs. CONNECTICUT is 12-3 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons. Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - excellent defensive team (40% or less) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (+6 or more reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 8-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Connecticut to cover |
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03-05-20 | Boise State +2.5 v. UNLV | 67-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Mountain West Tournament UNLV star guard Elijah Mitrou-Long scored 16 points against Boise State last week in a win. He has been red hot during the Rebels’ five-game winning streak, averaging 17.6 points per game, but he took a series looking knee injury in a 92-69 victory at San Jose State The Las Vegas Review-Journal reports that Mitrou-Brown has a “severe knee contusion,” and his status for Thursday’s game against the Broncos is unknown and if he does play will be at less than 100%. Advantage : Boise State. Play on Boise State to cover |
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03-04-20 | Florida State v. Notre Dame +2.5 | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
The Seminoles are one of the nations top teams but they have hard problems with this Notre Dame program in the past, at least from a betting perspective as is evident by a 0-6 ATS run in their last six meetings with the Irish, including 0-6 ATS as a favorite , and 0-3 ATS/SU L/3 here at the Purcell Pavilion. When these teams met earlier this season, Florida State pulled off a 85-84 win at home with the Irish missing a late buzzer beater, and Im betting this will be another close game with home court holding the balance. Keys to this game is discipline and ball control : Notre Dame leads the country in least amount of fouls committed per game (12.4). Notre Dame leads the country in assist-to-turnover ratio at 1.74. Notre Dame is first in the country in least amount of turnovers committed per game (9.5). CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NOTRE DAME) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 30-8 ATS L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.( Notre Dame fell asleep at the wheel last time out and lost to Wake Forest and now according to long term trends a bounce back should be in the cards here in this spot) Notre Dame to cover |
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03-04-20 | Bulls +3 v. Wolves | 108-115 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves, have just seven home wins this season so they obviously have no advantage playing as hosts. Chicago defeated Minnesota 117-110 at United Center in the teams' first meeting this season and Im betting they have an edge here getting points. The Timberwolves are 0-16 ATS /1-15 SU at home with less than two days rest when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points.The Timberwolves are 1-16/SU/ATS L/17 at home off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s. Play on Chicago Bulls to cover |