Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-29-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-9 | Win | 107 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
KELLY has never beaten the Dodgers in his career going 0-10 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.26 and a WHIP of 1.614 . Nothing changes tonight as the Dodgers with future HOF pitcher on the hill Kershaw have the edge. Kershaw is 5-1 along with a stingy 1.72 ERA at home this season. LA DODGERS are 22-4 SU in August games this season with a rpg diff of +2.6. Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 13-84 L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 which qualifies on this run line offering. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 4-45 L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LAD to win -1.5 runline |
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08-28-23 | Guardians +147 v. Twins | 6-10 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The Guardians trail the first-place Twins in the AL Central by six games with 31 to play and need wins badly and will be very motivated to compete here tonight in the opener of this series. “These are going to be playoffs games,” said Laureano. “We go to Minneapolis now and then we play them again at home. This is the playoffs.” A sense of desperation will have me backing Cleveland to bring home the cash in game 1 of this series. Twins stater MAEDA is 6-16 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in his career. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 9-2 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 31-15 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 66% ROI) MLB team (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, after a game where the bullpen threw 9 or more innings are 15-41 L/26 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 50-24 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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08-27-23 | Braves -108 v. Giants | 5-8 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Braves are playing top tier baseball entering this game as is evident by garnering wins in 9 of their L/11 including yesterdays 7-3 win vs the Giants. I know Atlanta starter Shuster may not inspire bettors, but the Braves are a team with a winning mind set , and almost always have the edge, especially against inconsistent sides like SF who are mired in a slump that has seen them lost 7 of their L/9 overall. ATLANTA is 33-9 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season.ATLANTA is 39-15 against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 2-17 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.KAPLER is 18-26 against the money line in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO MLB team (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 41-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-27-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Mariners | 2-3 | Win | 122 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
After smashing out a 15-2 win yesterday vs the Royals Im now betting on major regression here from Seattle. Note: SERVAIS is 4-16 SU after a win by 10 runs or more as the manager of SEATTLE. Seattle starter CASTILLO is 6-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 8-16 against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 7-33 L/26 seasons for. a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC to +1.5 runline |
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08-27-23 | Yankees v. Rays -116 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Carlos Rodon (1-4, 6.27 ERA), who will make his eighth appearance in 2023 following a forearm injury in spring training, back spasms and, most recently, a left hamstring ailment. He is far 100% and fade material in his current for. the mighty Yankees have fallen and I cant see them getting up very easily . Against the Rays, the southpaw is 0-2 with a 5.01 ERA in five career starts. NYY starter RODON is 3-8 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RODON is 17-21 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TAMPA BAY is 40-9 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons. (Rodon qualifies) NY YANKEES are 4-16 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 17-31against the money line in the second half of the season this season.NY YANKEES are 7-24 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays. |
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08-27-23 | Dodgers v. Red Sox +106 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Boston right-hander Tanner Houck (3-7, 5.08 ERA) had been on the 15-day injured list with a facial fracture since June 18. Despite of the lackluster numbers, he has registered wins in three of his first four starts . Houck has worked at least five innings in 11 of his 14 outings and deserves respect here in his current form. The Red Sox evened the series with an 8-5 Saturday win yesterday and Im betting they turn the trick here again. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed 2 or more errors are 8-41 L/26 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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08-26-23 | Liberty v. Lynx +9.5 | 111-76 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Minnesota has scored 90 plus points in 2 straight games and with their offense in top form are more than capable of covering this number vs the explosive Liberty. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS after scoring 90 points or more this season. MINNESOTA is 15-8 ATSvs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts this season.MINNESOTA is 34-18 ATS average defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 season. MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs this season. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons. WNBA Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - revenging a home loss versus opponent, off an upset win as an underdog are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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08-26-23 | Hawaii +17.5 v. Vanderbilt | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 109 h 53 m | Show | |
Hawaii covered 6 of their L/7 games last season and enter here with momentum vs a Vanderbilt program that despite of being hefty favorites , may not warrant such a backing from the lines-makers . The last 4 times Vandy has been installed as non conference favs they failed each time, and Im betting that will be the case again vs a Rainbow Warriors side that has redemption in mind after an ugly 63-10 opening day loss to the Commodores last season. VANDERBILT is 0-7 ATS in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team vs. the money line (VANDERBILT) - sub par team from last season - outscored by opponents by 10 or more points/game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 4-28 L/10 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate. Play on Hawaii to cover |
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08-26-23 | Ohio +3 v. San Diego State | 13-20 | Loss | -113 | 110 h 33 m | Show | |
The Bobcats completed the 2022 season with a 10-4 record, going 7-1 in the MAC conference play, that was a after a slow start-- they won seven of their final eight games and deserve respect here as underdogs with momentum on their sides. With top tier QB Kurtis Rourke back to 100% healthy after a late season injury the Bobcats are a side to be feared. The Aztecs will be formidable at home behind what is expected be another strong defensive group, but its their offense that remains less than formidable , and could easily find the sledding tough against a D, that improved significantly as last season progressed. Im expecting a close game but taking the points here looks to be the most advantageous investment option. Play on Ohio to cover |
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08-26-23 | UTEP v. Jacksonville State | 14-17 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 6 m | Show | |
The UTEP Miners have four returning all-stars with the interior loaded with tough veterans to go along with Steven Hubbard at left tackle. they were good last season in protection mode and really helped the running game progress and Im betting they will be even better this season. This is a hard hitting squad thats not easy to play against and must be respected on a short line vs a Jacksonville State side that is new to the FBS. Meanwhile, Jacksonville State might be primed to get a win out of the gate here, but with what my projections estimate is a sub par D, that will probably not come here today. CFB home team vs. the money line (JACKSONVILLE ST) - team with a horrible scoring defense last season - allowed 35 or more points/game, between two teams with 8 or more offensive starters returning, in the first two weeks of the season are just 3-22 L/31 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UTEP to cover |
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08-26-23 | Nationals v. Marlins -185 | 3-2 | Loss | -185 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Marlins will start Eury Perez (5-4, 2.91 ERA) in a battle of rookie right-handers. Washington will reply with Jake Irvin (3-5, 4.47). Irvin has struggled on the road garnering a 5.18 ERA while averaging less than 5 innings per start. Meanwhile, Perez has flourished at home , registering a stingy 1.96 ERA, in 7 starts going 3-1 in the process. PEREZ is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.800. I know the Nats have played better ball than the Marlins of late, but my power rankings suggest they matchup well here in game 2 of this seires. WASHINGTON is 31-82 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1 which qualifies on this run-line offering. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 72-10 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.6. Play on the Marlins split line -1.5 run line and to win on the moneyline |
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08-26-23 | Navy +21 v. Notre Dame | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 23 m | Show | |
Navy's new HC and former defensive coordinator,Brian Newberry brings respect to the sidelines, after Ken Niuamatolos departure after 16 seasons at the helm of this scholastic gridiron program. I know Notre Dame is the bigger and better brand, but Middies must not be disrespected here as underdogs in this long time series rivalry. Note: The Irish are only 13-27 ATS at home or on a neutral field vs a military college, and military schools of 20+ or more point dogs have been a bankroll expanding cash cow for their backers producing at a positive 83-39-3 ATS clip the L/43 seasons. With 18 returning starters in the lineup Navy will be well prepared to stay within this number here in Ireland this Saturday. Play on Navy to cover |
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08-25-23 | Braves v. Giants +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
SFs starter and ace of the staff WEBB is 16-7 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)Webb has never lost to the Braves in his career, going 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA in five starts and Im betting he keeps them in this tilt as well. On the flipside, I know Strider has pitched well for the Braves and did well against the Giants last time he faced them, but now SF has the edge on what to expect from the righty and will make the necessary adjustments. ATLANTA is 11-20 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams against a run line of (+1.5, -210) to (-1.5, -255) (ATLANTA) - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 7-30 L/5 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Giants on the runline +1.5 |
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08-25-23 | Royals +166 v. Mariners | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
After a 10 game road trip that saw the Mariners garner a 7 game win streak at one point before losing the finale of their road adventure. Im now betting on. a huge emotional letdown situation to rare its ugly head here in the Mariners first game home . After that lengthy trip and than having their win streak abruptly end a hang over is my prediction here tonight vs the KC Royals . SEATTLE is 12-19 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Royals starter SINGER is 8-2 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SINGER is 18-7 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) |
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08-25-23 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -144 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Arizona has come to life here in the dog days of summer, and have won 4 straight and 7 of their L/8 and deserve respect here as favs. Arizona starter Pfaadt After posting a 9.82 ERA in his first six starts and winding up in the minors has now garnered a 3.50 ERA in six outings since returning for his third major league stint, and must not be under rated in his ability to hold off the Reds offense . LOVULLO is 81-62 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the manager of ARIZONA. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 6-38 L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to win |
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08-24-23 | Reds +147 v. Diamondbacks | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Cincinnati holds a half-game lead over Arizona and the San Francisco Giants for the league's third wild-card berth and are in my opinion better than both of these sides. I know Kelly the Dbacks starter is a solid pitcher, but my pitcher vs batting order suggest that the Reds matchup well against him. Meanwhile, Reds starter WILLIAMSON is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. CINCINNATI is 31-18 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. CINCINNATI is 31-16 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. CINCINNATI is 12-6 against the money line when playing with a day off this season. CINCINNATI is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. CINCINNATI is 3-0 against ARIZONA this season. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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08-24-23 | Dodgers -128 v. Guardians | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Ryan Pepiot (0-0, 1.80 ERA) of the Dodgers goes head to head with Gavin Williams (1-4, 3.02) of the Guardians in a battle of rookie right-handers during the regularly scheduled contest. Williams, is 0-3 in his last seven trips to the hill after being smashed around last time out. In his current form he looks to be in trouble vs an explosive Dodgers batting order that has revenge on board for losing the first game of this series 8-3 as favs. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - after 3 straight games where they had 7 or less hits, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 48-19 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Dodgers to win |
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08-23-23 | Marlins +114 v. Padres | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
After a slow start to his season Alcantara is now back in his Cy Young Award form of 2022, when he went 14-9 with a 2.28 ERA and a 0.980 WHIP in 32 starts. The righty in his last five starts owns a 3-1 record along with a 2.13 ERA and a 0.842 WHIP during that span and gives his Marlins a good chance of a underdog win on the road today. Alcantara is 2-1 against San Diego in four career starts with a 2.16 ERA, a 1.160 WHIP and a .196 opponents' batting average. SAN DIEGO is 37-48 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. SAN DIEGO is 8-16 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. MELVIN is 48-57 against the money line in day games as the manager of SAN DIEGO. Meanwhile, Padres starter LUGO is 2-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)LUGO is 6-10 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Play on Miami to win |
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08-23-23 | Mariners v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Seattles starter KIRBY is 11-2 OVER in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 10-2 OVER in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season with q combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 19-5 OVER in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. Seattle has gone over in 8 of their L/9 games overall, and have recently exploded offensively scoring 37 runs in their L/4 games overall and have averaged 7.3 rpg in their L/7 games overall. Im betting their hot bats are key to us seeing this totals offering eclipsed. Kopech the White Sox starter owns a bloated 9.88 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. CHI WHITE SOX are 16-7 OVER in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 5 games are 31-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 5 games are 51-17 OVER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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08-22-23 | Reds +130 v. Angels | 4-3 | Win | 130 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Halos stater GIOLITO is 8-20 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GIOLITO is 9-16 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giolito has labored in his first four starts with the Angels, going 1-3 with an 8.14 ERA and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, Ashcraft has been in top form since the all star break and deserves respect here in the underdog role for the Reds. In three starts this month, he has logged 22 innings, including eight on Aug. 4 in a no-decision against the visiting Washington Nationals. Ashcraft went seven innings in the other two and overall has garnered a very stable 2.86 ERA. . CINCINNATI is 8-1 against the money line against AL West opponents this season CINCINNATI is 13-5 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. CINCINNATI is 10-2 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. CINCINNATI is 12-3 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this seaso MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA ANGELS) - with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings, in August games are 33-17 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to win |
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08-22-23 | Cardinals +125 v. Pirates | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Right-handers Adam Wainwright (3-8, 8.42 ERA) of St. Louis and Johan Oviedo (6-13, 4.55) of Pittsburgh are scheduled to start. Both hurlers may not inspire bettors, but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest Wainwright has the edge in the starting role. Cards starter WAINWRIGHT is 61-30 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record . (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 25-8 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.179. OVIEDO is 7-22 (against the money line after a win in his career. (Team's Record) which is what he achieved last time out. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more, off a loss to a division rival as a favorite are 67-125 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on the Cards to win |
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08-22-23 | Rockies v. Rays -1.5 | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
COLORADO is 39-104 SU in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons like the TBs Littell, with the average rpg diff coming-in at -1.9. Littell owns a 2.55 ERA with 11 strikeouts and one walk in 17 2/3 innings during this month, and in the process has posted a solid 0.793 WHIP and deserves respect here vs a Colorado side that struggles on the road especially against righties as is evident by the above trend and the lowly 3.7 rpg production in away tilts. TAMPA BAY is 37-9 SU in home games vs. a starting pitcher like Blach whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons with the average margin rpg diff clicking in at +2.3 which qualifies on this this runline offering. Rockies starter Blach owns a ugly 9.00 ERA in two career starts against the Rays. Rinse and repeat on board . COLORADO is 2-24 against the money line as a road underdog of +200 or more this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.8. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (COLORADO) - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 14-47 L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win -1.5 runline |
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08-21-23 | Marlins v. Padres -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 104 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Miamis starter WEATHERS is 0-7 SU vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3. WEATHERS is 1-10 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a rpg diff clicking in at -2.9. Weathers owns a 10.69 ERA in his L/3 starts and is fade material in his current form. Padres starter WACHA is 16-1 SU vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff registering at +4. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are 4-47 L/26 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at a whopping -4 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Padres -1.5 runline |
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08-21-23 | Mariners v. White Sox +175 | 14-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The White Sox after a come behind win yesterday that saw then score 7 runs in 8th has the Pale Hose entering this tilt with momentum. It must be noted that the visiting Mariners despite of being hot, have had a tendency to fall asleep at the proverbial wheel on occasion as is evident by going 0-7 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start this season like the south siders starter Toussaint. Meanwhile, Seattles starter CASTILLO is 5-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 4-10 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 3-11 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 30-15 L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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08-21-23 | Giants +1.5 v. Phillies | 4-10 | Loss | -138 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Right-hander Aaron Nola (10-8, 4.58 ERA) hasn't pitched past 5 1/3 innings in any of his last four starts and is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA during that span, and Im betting things don't get much better for him and his Phillies today.SAN FRANCISCO is 12-3 against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons and the last time they visited the City of Brotherly love came away with a 3 game sweep. SF also beat the Atlanta Braves yesterday and now have momentum entering this tilt. Play on the Giants to win +1.5 runline |
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08-20-23 | Phillies v. Nationals +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 122 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Nationals have won three games of their L/4 and six of their past eight tilts going into a Sundays matchup against the visiting Philadelphia Phillies and deserve respect here as underdogs.
WASHINGTON is 25-19 SU vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season like Wheeler. WASHINGTON is 11-8 against the money line as a home underdog of +150 to +200 this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at - 0.2 in those 19 games, which qualifies on this ATS run-line offering. Nats starter WILLIAMS is 16-5 SU in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WILLIAMS is 22-13 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WILLIAMS is 17-6 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 39-19 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (PHILADELPHIA) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a below avg starting pitcher (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, in August games are 12-26 L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors which qualifies on this run line offering. Play on the Washington Nationals on the +1.5 runline |
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08-20-23 | White Sox v. Rockies +1.5 | 10-5 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
I know Colorados starter Flexen has been in sub par form this season, but he is still a viable hurler with great trending data behind him. C FLEXEN is 14-4 SU vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 17-4 SU vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 9-0 SU vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 15-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 20-8 SU line in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) With the White Sox struggling all season long. against righties like Flexen Im betting the home side edge here on this generous runline offering. BLACK is 41-22 SU in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .393 or better as the manager of COLORADO with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.7. WHITE SOX are 2-9 SU in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 8-23 SU line after 4 or more consecutive road games this season. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +215 to -130) (COLORADO) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 63-28 L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win +1.5 runline |
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08-19-23 | Giants v. Braves -114 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Giants starter Logan Webb is a quality pitcher but the Braves can make the best of hurlers look mortal. ATLANTA is 13-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season.Webb is just 4-5 on the road this season, and Atlanta is not an easy venue for any pitcher as is evident by Atlantas 6 rpg average offensive production in front of their own fans. ATLANTA is 27-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. ATLANTA is 30-8 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 84-19 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-19-23 | Bears +5 v. Colts | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 28 m | Show | |
The Bears have won the L/6 games in this preseason series SU, and according to my projections deserve respect here a dogs vs a Colts side that 2-14-2 ATS L/18 preseason home games. I know Bears QB Justin Fields is not expected to play this game, but despite of lines-makers lack of respect of the rest of Bears QB group, Im willing to take the points on what to me is exaggerated line favoring the Colts. Also during joint scrim-ages with the Colts there were some cheap shots taken on Fields and now I expecting a more motivated version of the Bears to show up here in this preseason affair. NFLX Road teams (CHICAGO) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning record in the preseason are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover |
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08-19-23 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. Reds | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Toronto lost the first game of this series by a 1-0 count and now Im projecting a big rebound. Torontos starting pitcher today BASSITT is 15-0 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average margin of victory coming in at 5 rpg. TORONTO is 11-2 SU after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season with the average margin of victory clicking in at +2.3. SCHNEIDER is 38-19 SU in road games in the second half of the season as the manager of TORONTO with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (CINCINNATI) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 7-32 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Blue Jays to win -1.5 runline |
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08-19-23 | Blue Jays v. Reds UNDER 10 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays will send Chris Bassitt (11-6, 3.95 ERA) to make his team-leading 26th start of the year. The right-hander has faced Cincinnati twice in his career, giving up four runs (three earned) over 15 2/3 innings. The Reds will counter with rookie left-hander Brandon Williamson (4-2, 4.33), who will make his 17th start of the season. Williamson is coming off back-to-back strong starts, allowing one run in each outing and is capable of slowing down the Jays offense . Torontos starter BASSITT is 12-3 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored. BELL is 27-13 UNDER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of CINCINNATI with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. TORONTO is 16-4 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. TORONTO is 24-9 UNDER after allowing 1 run or less this season which was the case yesterday in a 1-0 loss. The-average combined score of those 33 games clicks in a 6.8 rpg . TORONTO is 23-8 UNDER (+14.5 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 13-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.CINCINNATI is 9-0 UNDER in home games in August games this season. LAST 10 GAMES: Reds:own a 239 batting average, 3.20 ERA. Blue Jays own a .217 batting average, 2.69 ERA. These telling numbers point to what Im betting will see this hefty Totals offering not eclipsed. Play under |
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08-19-23 | Royals +170 v. Cubs | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
KC won the opener of this series 4-3 yesterday and have a strong opportunity of cashing again according to my projections with Brady singer on the hill/ The righty has garnered a stingy 2.05 ERA in his L/3 starts along with a even stingier 0.591 WHIP. allowing 1 hits spanning 22 innings of top quality work. He has gone an average of just under 8 innings per start and must be respected here on this value based dog offering. Royals starter SINGER is 16-4 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SINGER is 8-1 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile Justin Steele the Cubs starter has struggle of late allowing 23 hits in just 16 plus innings in his 3 most recent starts while garnering a hefty 5.51 ERA and is fade material in his current form. KANSAS CITY is 7-1 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 1-14 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 1-11 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the KC Royals to win |
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08-18-23 | Marlins v. Dodgers -141 | 11-3 | Loss | -141 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Miami's ALCANTARA is a fine pitcher who is currently in good form but the Dodgers are a explosive offensive team that can make the best of pitchers look mortal. The Dodgers have now won 11 straight and must be respected on this money-line offering. ALCANTARA is 8-22 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) .LA DODGERS are 15-4 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season like AlCANTARA. ALCANTARA is 1-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 9.39 and a WHIP of 2.000. MIAMI is 4-22 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 3-19 against the money line vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage of .430 or better in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 31-9 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 13-1 against the money line after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games this season. LA DODGERS are 29-4 Units) against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 52-14 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 37-11 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors, MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 39-107 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LAD to win |
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08-18-23 | Lynx v. Storm +2.5 | 78-70 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
The last time Minnesota visited Seattle back on June 29th this season, the Lynx came away with a 99-97 win as 3 point dogs, and Im betting it will be close again but the pendulum will swing back the other way in favor of the home underdog Storm in the rematch. SEATTLE is 19-4 ATS L/23 after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less shots than opponent. SEATTLE is 7-1 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games this season. SEATTLE is 12-4 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a home loss versus opponent, off a win against a division rival are 39-20 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to cover |
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08-18-23 | Brewers v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 9-8 | Loss | -123 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Woodruff (2-1, 1.99 ERA) came off the 60-day IL on Aug. 6 and limited the Pittsburgh Pirates to two runs and four hits in five innings, striking out nine without a walk. He now looks healthy and ready to resume what has been a consistent pitching career at the MLB level as is evident by making the all star team in 2019 and 2021. Quote:"He's in a really good place after two starts," Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell. "I'm looking forward to handing him the ball the rest of the year." END QUOTE. WOODRUFF is 13-3 UNDER in an inter-league games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored.WOODRUFF is 21-9 UNDER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. Note: Texas will send left-hander Heaney to the hill after he was lifted in the second inning of his Saturday outing against the San Francisco Giants after saying he was not feeling well. He is said to be 100% now, and my pitcher vs power rankings suggest he matches up well vs a Brewers side that has struggled against southpaw pitching this season averaging just 3.2 rpg on a ugly .216 BA. Heaney owns a stingy 0.69 ERA in his L/3 starts. Note: The two times he faced the Brewers he struck out 20 and walked two over 10 2/3 innings .Rinse and repeat scenario now on board. Play under |
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08-17-23 | Brewers v. Dodgers -141 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Burnes has pitched well for the most part recently but last time out against the Chicago White Sox, he looked a little fatigued when he gave up five runs on eight hits over 5 2/3 innings in a game Milwaukee won 7-6 in 10 innings. Here against a explosive Dodgers offense that has buoyed this team to a 14-1 record in August the Brewers righty could be in trouble. Note: Burnes is just 2-2 with an 8.50 ERA over six career outings (four starts) vs the Dodgers.LA DODGERS are 38-14 ( against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better like Burnes over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Dodgers newest pitching acquisition has posted a 3-0 record with a 2.00 ERA in three starts with his new club. and deserves respect here in the favorites role. LA DODGERS are 30-9 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 37-105 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors, MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 84-28 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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08-17-23 | Browns +3.5 v. Eagles | 18-18 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
The Browns have have faired well in preseason football of late , garnering a 14-4 SU record since 2017, and are currently on a 6-0-1 ATS run when getting points in the underdog role. .Kevin Stefanski has a viable preseason record of 5-3 SU during his tenure as Browns head coach and seems to take even scrimmages very seriously . I know the Browns will probably not start their starting QB but the battle between Kellen Mond and Dorian Thompson-Robinson should make for aggressive outing from a Cleveland side that wants to get their offense rolling. Note: Eagles are 0-5 SUATS L5 preseason home games and are just .2-9 SU/ATS in Thursday tilts. NFLX road sides after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 42-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games dating back 31 seasons. (This happened last time out in a 17-15 loss to Washington) Play on Cleveland to cover |
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08-17-23 | Mariners -1.5 v. Royals | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
George Kirby the Mariners starter enters this game in top form having garnered a 0.86 ERA along with a 0.571 WHIP in his L/3 trips to the hill. Here against a very inconsistent Royals offense Im betting he dominates again in a conclusive victory. Mariners starter KIRBY is 16-5 ( against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.7. SEATTLE is 31-16against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff registering in at +2.2. KANSAS CITY is 6-25 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 6-32 L/26 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win -1.5 on the Run-line |
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08-16-23 | Brewers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter KERSHAW is 41-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in his career with the average rpg diff coming in at +2.1. (Team's Record) He gives LAD a strong opportunity to extend their current red hot win streak of 9 games that has seen the Dodgers 7 of those 9 victories by +2 or more runs! Milwaukee is averaging just 3.2 rpg vs LHP this season via a nasty looking .219 BA and are fade material here vs future HOF pitcher Kershaw. LA DODGERS are 30-11 SU vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like Miley with the average rpg diff clicking at +2.8. LA DODGERS are 34-7 SU in August games over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff recorded at +3.4. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 72-11 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors withe the average run per game diff clicking in at +3 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Dodgers -1.5 runline |
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08-16-23 | Orioles +151 v. Padres | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
Baltimore's starter KREMER is 7-0 (against the money line in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 12-3 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 8-1 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KREMER is 17-3 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. KREMER is 11-2 ( against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 14-27 ( against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. (Team's Record)SAN DIEGO is 34-45 against the money line against right-handed starters like Kremer this season averaging just 4.3 rpg in production via a ugly .228 BA. BALTIMORE is 9-3 against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. San Diego has lost 7 of their L/8 overall., and despite of having the talented Blake Snell on the hill are in trouble here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings.SNELL is 15-20 ( against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 48-23 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win |
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08-16-23 | Rays v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Rays starter Civale is winless in two starts since arriving from Cleveland. He is 0-1 with a 4.82 ERA as a Ray, having allowed 16 hits in 9 1/3 innings and Im betting he gets tagged again. Meanwhile, The Giants have gone the bullpen route in in the first two games in this series s and are expected to the same here Wednesday, as there are alot of tired arms in the ,lineup, and that wont be a positive situation, against a Rays team that can be very explosive offensively. The Rays have averaged 5.2 rpg on the season, and 5.3 rpg via a .287 BA during a recent 7 game span. TAMPA BAY is 49-37 OVER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with a combined average 9.2 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 38-18 L/56 OVER in road games against NL West opponents with the average combined score of 10 rpg going on the board. KAPLER is 17-6 OVER vs. excellent speed teams - averaging 1 or more SB's/game as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 33-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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08-15-23 | White Sox +1.5 v. Cubs | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Hendricks' in has last three starts is 0-2 along with a bloated 6.19 ERA. In 12 career starts against the White Sox, Hendricks is 2-6 with a 4.77 ERA and is fade material here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. White Sox right-hander Touki Toussaint pitched a scoreless inning of relief against the Cubs on July 26 and has a 2.45 ERA against them lifetime in three relief appearances and Im betting he will keep his team in this game for as long as he is on the hill. CHI WHITE SOX is 5-0 against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons at Wrigley. CHICAGO CUBS are 0-12 SU in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 0-9 SU in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 2-13 SU in home games against AL Central opponents over the last 3 season.CHICAGO CUBS are 3-11 SU in home games after allowing 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on the White Sox to win +1.5 runline |
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08-14-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies +1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 125 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling as is evident by their LAST 10 GAMES: Rockies: 3-7, .186 batting average, 5.18 ERA, outscored by 20 runs Diamondbacks: 2-8, .224 batting average, 4.87 ERA, outscored by 21 runs. I know Arizona has won 2 straight, but the way their offense has struggled they do not look like viable favs, especially on this runline offering in a place (Coors Field) where the home side (Rockies) play their best ball. Yes, even with Merrill Kelly on the hill for the Dbacks. (after-all this is the launching pad known as Coors field and no pitcher is safe in this environment) If Kelley does not start the desert snakes overall woes in this venue will be become evident. Bottom line the Dbacks cannot be trusted to cover this runline offering. BLACK is 77-51 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season as the manager of COLORADO. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +215 to -130) (COLORADO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or more over his last 5 starts are 33-8 L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win on the +1.5 runline |
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08-13-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Arizonas starter PFAADT is 8-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 13-4 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 22-8 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive home games this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Arizona has only scored more than 3 runs in game three times over their L/12 trips to the diamonds. San Diegos starter Seth Lugo has pitched his best ball on the road this season where he has garnered a 3.27 ERA. Im betting he stays viable in todays road tilt vs a very inconsistent Dbacks offense. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN DIEGO) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 30-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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08-13-23 | Rangers v. Giants -128 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Giants starter WEBB is 15-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Webb has pitched well this season, as is evident by garnering a solid 2.58 ERA at home while lasting an average of 7 innings. He is currently in good form with a 2.70 ERA in his L/3 starts and gives his team a very good chance at victory today. WEBB is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.86 and a WHIP of 1.344. WEBB is 15-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Texas starter DUNNING is 5-17 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 5-15 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+4.40 Units / 12% ROI) Play on San Francisco to win |
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08-13-23 | 49ers v. Raiders +4 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
San Francisco and Las Vegas participated in joint practices ahead of their preseason opener Sunday in the desert, and in scrim-ages the Raiders defense forced multiple interceptions from Purdy, and other 49ers QBs and Im betting they continue those efforts here today. The 49ers listed Lance and Sam Darnold as their No. 2 quarterbacks in this game, and Im betting both struggle against a hungry group of Raiders. Defense trumps offense here today. The Raiders 6-0 SUATS L6 preseason HGs and must be respected here getting points vs the SF 49ers. Play on Raiders to cover |
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08-13-23 | 49ers v. Raiders UNDER 36 | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 19 m | Show | |
San Francisco and Las Vegas participated in joint practices ahead of their preseason opener Sunday in the desert, and in scrim-ages the Raiders defense forced multiple interceptions from Purdy, and other 49ers QBs and Im betting they continue those efforts here today. The 49ers listed Lance and Sam Darnold as their No. 2 quarterbacks in this game, and Im betting both struggle against a hungry group of Raiders. Defense trumps offense here today. Also mew Raiders QB Jimmy G is not expected to play here vs his old team. SF has gone under in their L7 preseason Road games. Play on UNDER |
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08-13-23 | Liberty v. Fever +10.5 | 100-89 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The Liberty enter this game as the No.2 seed in the WNBA while Indiana has the worst record in the league. However, because of this according to my projections the lines makers have over compensated for this discrepancy , which gives us value with what will be a motivated underdog with little left to play for other than a big upset . The Liberty are just 1-4 ATS L/5 and are consistently being over rated on the line. Play on the Fever to cover |
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08-12-23 | Rangers v. Giants -117 | 9-3 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
SF starter COBB is 11-1 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) cobb has pitched his best baseball at home this season, garnering a 4-1 record along with a stingy 1.46 ERA and according to my power rankings gives the Giants an edge here tonight against the visiting Rangers. Note: Texas starter Heaney despite of some top tier recent efforts, is just 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA in six career starts against the Giants. SAN FRANCISCO is 19-9 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 15-5 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a one run loss against opponent after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 62-25 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 65-19 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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08-12-23 | Tigers v. Red Sox -1.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Boston after some inconsistent play in July and early August have now won 3 straight games and have cashed 4 of their L/5 for their backers. With the Bosox facing struggling Motown starter Manning who has garnered a 0-3 record along with a 9.18 ERA in his L/3 starts they once again have an inside edge on conclusively coming out of this tilt with a victory. Meanwhile, Bostons Brian Bello remains a solid pitching proposition to back, as he has garnered a stable 3.08 ERA at home in Fenway this season. BELLO is 11-3 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with a +2.3 rpg diff . BOSTON is 11-1 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games this season with a average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 which qualifies on this Run-line offering. DETROIT is 4-19 against the money line against AL East opponents this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3 which qualifies on this Run-line offering. Play on Boston to win -1.5 runline |
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08-12-23 | Cubs v. Blue Jays -108 | 5-4 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays are scheduled to start right-hander Chris Bassitt (11-6, 3.87) and according to pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here this afternoon vs the Cubs current batting order. Bassitt is 6-2 at home this season along with a 2.56 ERA and a even stingier 0.924 WHIP. TORONTO is 9-0 against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 3 seasons like The Cubs starter today Steele. TORONTO is 25-8 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 64-162 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 36-104 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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08-11-23 | Orioles +125 v. Mariners | 2-9 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Seattle has won 7 straight but all good bad runs must come to an end, and tonight Im betting that what happens in a matchup favoring what my power rankings suggest is the better overall side. I know the Orioles are traveling from East to west for this game , but this is a resilient group that on most nights looks like their on a mission, and they deserve respect here to pull off an underdog victory. Orioles starter today GIBSON is 6-0 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record) Seattles starter CASTILLO is 7-11 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 11-5 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season like the Mariners starter Castillo. BALTIMORE is 47-23 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. BALTIMORE is 41-28 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.BALTIMORE is 35-21 against the money line in road games this season. The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 112 games (+27.85 Units / 20% ROI) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 49-21 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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08-11-23 | Sky +13 v. Liberty | 73-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
The Liberty had a huge DD win vs Vegas last time out- while shooing over 50% from the field and now Im betting on immediate regression in a letdown situation. Meanwhile, Chicago After a 3 game win streak lost as favs to the up-trending Lynx and will now be motivated to perform against a top tier team that has had issues covering this season, covering only 6 of 14 home tilts. Chicago has covered 7 of 12 away affairs. NEW YORK is 6-13 ATS versus sub par foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season. NEW YORK is 7-16 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 6-15 ATS in home games after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 15-6 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 30-13 ATS L/43 in road games versus teams who average 45 or more rebounds/game on the season after 15+ games . WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - off an upset win as an underdog are 15-41 L/26 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate. Play on Chicago to cover WNBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better against opponent after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 45% or higher are 19-45 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Home teams (NEW YORK) - good 3PT shooting team (35% or more) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots are 28-58 L/26 seasons for. ago against 68% conversion rate for bettors. |
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08-11-23 | Falcons v. Dolphins OVER 36 | 19-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
All the QBs in this tilt from both sides are mid range type performers, which gives credence to some points going on the board. Fins QB White is expected to play the first half of this game, and should help deliver some good offensive production , while, /Desmond Ritter will get alot of snaps for the Falcons and in turn my projections estimate that he and his following crew of NFLX totals of 36.5 or less where the home team is the underdog have gone 46-24-1 (66%) OVER since 2008. Play over |
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08-10-23 | Lynx v. Fever UNDER 162.5 | 73-91 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
After 6 straight unders the Fever finally eclipsed the total last time out, on a deflated line. They also finally put 80 points on the board for the first time in 7 games, last time out which aided in the over result However, here against a up-trending Lynx defense, that has not allowed more than 79 points in their L/3 games, Im betting this number will not be breached . MINNESOTA is 30-12 UNDER L/42 road games off an upset win as a road underdog with the average combined score clicking in at 141.2 ppg. (Defeated Chicago last time out as 3.5 point underdogs) WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (INDIANA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%) after 15+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 TO's or less) are 71-39 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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08-10-23 | Cardinals v. Rays UNDER 9 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
The two starting pitchers today have not performed optimally but their supporting bullpens have been fairly consistent. Both offenses are also not in top form, and this gives credence to a totals offering that is not eclipsed. ST LOUIS is 22-11 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 21-9 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 42-10 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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08-10-23 | Astros v. Orioles +122 | 4-5 | Win | 122 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Right-hander Dean Kremer (10-4, 4.61 ERA) will take the mound for the Orioles in the finale as the Os look to salvage a game from this series. KREMER is 2-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 0.54 and a WHIP of 0.600 and Im betting he will give his team the edge today on a value line. Baltimores starter KREMER is 12-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 10-2 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) KREMER is 15-4 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) KREMER is 10-4 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 10-1 against the money line when playing on Thursday this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in August games are 67-35 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orioles to win |
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08-10-23 | Braves v. Pirates +1.5 | 5-7 | Win | 112 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Atlanta's rookie fire baller Elder has looked a little gassed of late as is evident by allowing 20 earned over his past 23 innings. He will be supported by a tired bullpen that has worked alot of innings recently.Elder has garnered a ugly 7.71 ERA over his last five starts. Advantage Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh won the opener 7-6 on Monday and must not be underestimated as they group looks fearless at the moment in the spoiler role. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA= 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games are just 19-32 L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pirates to win +1.5 runline |
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08-09-23 | Blue Jays v. Guardians +1.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
The Guardians squeezed out a 1-0 victory yesterday vs the Jays, and Im betting on another close game tonight , which gives us an edge with this runline offering. TORONTO is 25-31 SU against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons like the Guardians starter Allen. Jays starter GAUSMAN is 5-10 SU when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 45-32 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 season with a -0.2 rpg diff. MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +130 to -255) (TORONTO) - after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less against opponent after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games are 11-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Toronto are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against Cleveland and have lost 5 of the L/7 meetings in this series. Play on Cleveland Guardians +1.5 on the runline |
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08-09-23 | Astros +134 v. Orioles | 8-2 | Win | 134 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
My own line on this game is closer to a pickem (even) which gives us very good value on backing the underdog in this spot play. Astros starter JAVIER is 6-0 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) JAVIER is 9-2 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Javier has pitched well against the Orioles the past two seasons garnering a 1.42 ERA with 17 strikeouts and three walks over four appearances, including one start, spanning 12 2/3 innings. HOUSTON is 9-3 ( against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season. BAKER is 90-59 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 48-21 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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08-08-23 | Mystics v. Mercury UNDER 158 | 72-91 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
The Mercury have gone under the total in 9 of their L/11 overall including their L/4 games at home. Meanwhile, the Mystics have gone under in 9 of their 13 road games this season. Im betting the under trend continuing here today as my own projections estimate a total closer to 155 which gives us a full possession edge on the offered number to the under. WASHINGTON is 6-0 UNDER in road games vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.7 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games are 100-56 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 206-138 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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08-08-23 | Padres v. Mariners -140 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Martinez (5-4, 3.68 ERA) goes to the hill for a Padres team on a two-game losing streak allowing 21 runs in those tilts . Martinez is 0-3 with a 5.20 ERA in six career appearances against Seattle, including four starts and Im fading here today against the Seattle Mariners. Meanwhile,Right-hander Logan Gilbert (9-5, 3.86) goes to the mound for the Mariners . The righty has won his past four decisions and gets my support here vs a inconsistent Padres offense, that is averaging just 4.4 rpg vs righties this season like Gilbert. Gilbert is 2-1 with a 1.56 ERA in three career starts against San Diego. He took out the Padres 4-1 on June 6 in San Diego, limiting them to one run on three hits in seven innings, with two walks and six strikeouts. Rinse and repeat . GILBERT is 20-8 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 33-102 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mariners to win |
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08-08-23 | Lynx +3.5 v. Sky | 88-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Minnesota and Chicago are evenly matched according to my current power rankings even with home court advantage factored in for the Chicago. It must be noted that the Lynx has covered 5 of their L/6 road games, while the Sky have failed to cover 4 of their L/6 home tilts. Advantage Minnesota. MINNESOTA is 11-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS in home games after allowing 80 points or more in 3 straight games over the last 3 season WNBA Home teams (CHICAGO) - good 3PT shooting team (35% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots are 28-57 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors. Three of the L/4 meetings in this series have been decided by 4 points or less. Play on the Minnesota Lynx to cover |
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08-08-23 | Sun v. Storm +7.5 | 81-69 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Seattle after a bad run has now won and covered 3 of their L/4 games and have momentum entering this tilt against a Connecticut side they will be in revenge mode against. Combination of up-trending and pay back on the agenda make the home side viable side to back against the spread . CONNECTICUT is 1-8 ATS after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better this season. WNBA Underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a loss versus opponent, off an upset win as a road underdog are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SEATTLE) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off an upset win as a road underdogs are 36-13 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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08-07-23 | Rockies v. Brewers -1.5 | 1-12 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Right-hander Freddy Peralta (7-8, 4.46 ERA) goes to the hill for Milwaukee in the series opener today. Peralta registered a win in his last outing, striking out seven and allowing three runs over six innings in the Brewers' 6-4 victory at Washington lat week. Peralta , back on May 2 vs the Rockies struck out 10 in six innings on the way to a no-decision and once again according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up very well here and is a viable hurler to back at home where the Brewers have won 6 of their L/7 vs the Rockies. Note: Colorado has only averaged 3.9 rpg on the road this season, and have scored 2 or less runs in 3 of their L/4 overall. COLORADO is 2-20 SU as an underdog of +200 or more this season with the average rpg diff registering at -3.6. MLB Road underdogs with a opening money line of +200 or more (COLORADO) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts (Lambert), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 1-37 L/26 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.3 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 to win |
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08-07-23 | Royals +179 v. Red Sox | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Royals had won 7 games in a row before losing the last two to Philadelphia. However, Im now betting on a value line bounce back for KC today vs a Boston side off losing 4 straight games , 3 of which came to division rivals the blue Jays. Thats got to hurt, and with their mental state and emotional state tattered they are at a disadvantage vs a side that is up trending and maybe a little under rated. With hard throwing LHP top tier prospect Ragans on the hill for KC the Royals must not be underestimated. The KC southpaw can get his fastball up in the high 90s, and is not an easy hurler to face for a BoSox side that has scored more than 3 runs just twice in their L/9 games overall. Meanwhile, Bostons young starter Bello despite of showing his prowess this season, has shown some fatigue of late, and could easily be humbled here vs a KC side, that has averaged 5.6 rpg in their L/7 overall via .270 team BA. Bello did get win last time out, vs Seattle, but previous to that in two starts allowed 13 runs in 16 innings and must not be over estimated in his ability to cool off the Royals suddenly hot offense.BOSTON is 9-20 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season. ( Boston got bashed yesterday 13-1 by the Jays) MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 8-32 L/5 seasons for a 80% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win Play on KC to win |
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08-06-23 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8.5 | 8-2 | Win | 104 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
The Padres offense is up-trending having averaged 6.1 rpg during a 7 game span previous to yesterdays 8 run explosion vs the Dodgers. Meanwhile, the Dodgers , a side that averages 5.9 rpg also averaged 6.1 rpg during a 7 game span, and will be ready to bounce back here after scoring just 3 runs yesterday. Considering Padres starter Hill owns a slightly boated 4.95 ERA at home this season, Im betting on the Dodgers bats doing some damage here tonight. On the flipside , Lynn the Dodgers starter owns a 7.85 ERA in his L/3 starts and a ugly 6.23 road ERA and a 6.33 ERA overall, which according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest will see an above average Padres output that helps us cash an over ticket. Padres starter HILL is 9-0 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.3 rpg scored. Dodgers starter LYNN is 9-1 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.9 rpg scored. LYNN is 15-6 OVER (+8.4 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. LA DODGERS are 14-3 OVER in road games in day games this season with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.LA DODGERS are 8-0 OVER in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season.LA DODGERS are 14-2 OVER vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. The Dodgers have gone over the total in 5 straight games. The Padres have gone over in 3 of their L/4 and score 8 or more runs in this over results. Play on the over |
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08-06-23 | Diamondbacks v. Twins +1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks have lost 21 of their last 28 games and enter Sunday's action 1 1/2 games behind Cincinnati for the final NL wild-card spot and Im betting they will haver issues salvaging a win from this 3 game set today. I know their ace Zac Gallen has pitched well this season, but he is just 2-4 with a 4.93 ERA in 12 road starts and is being over rated here. Note: The Twins will return fire with a top tier hurler who suffered injury problems last season but now looks rehabilitated as is evident by making six starts for Saint Paul, where he went 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA while earning the International League Pitcher of the Month honors for July. Hes the wild card here and that makes us taking the runline a viable wagering opportunity. ARIZONA is 4-15 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season. ARIZONA is 3-14 SU vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB Road teams against a run line of (+1.5, -210) to (-1.5, -255) (ARIZONA) - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games are 4-38 L/26 seasons for a 91% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota +1.5 on the runline |
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08-06-23 | Marlins v. Rangers -127 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
The Rangers have won 5 straight games and have momentum on their sides entering this tilt and deserve respect as short home favs . MIAMI is 16-40 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons against hurlers like Texas starter Heaney. ( The Marlins have averaged just 3.9 rpg vs southpaw pitching this season. Miami starter ALCANTARA is 6-13 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) Texas ha averaged 6.2 rpg at home during this campaign. BOCHY is 25-14 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of TEXAS. MIAMI is 10-36 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI) MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in August games are 62-32 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 33-101 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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08-05-23 | Storm v. Mercury -3 | 97-91 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
The Mercury have been their most competitive at home this season, and Im betting they have the edge again vs a side they matchup well agains the Seattle Storm (6-20). I also expect the the Mercury will come out strong at home in Brittney Griner’s return who was off a mental health break. Mercury when playing at Footprint Center own a +1.4 rating , ranking sixth in the WNBA. The Storm, have a road net rating of -4.2. Mercury are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Play on the Mercury to cover |
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08-05-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Phillies | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Two pitchers KCs Alec Marsh (0-5, 6.75 ERA) and Philadelphia left-hander Cristopher Sanchez (0-3, 2.66) are hurlers who cant find the win column. Nothing comes easy for these two throwers and that that lack of being able to get across the finish line will factor into this tilt. It must be be noted that Kansas City recorded its seventh straight win with a 7-5 victory in the series opener on Friday and with that positive momentum on their sides Im betting they wont easily be defeated here tonight in Philadelphia by the Phillies. QUATRARO is 6-0 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of KANSAS CITY. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (PHILADELPHIA) - starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 134-150 L/26 seasons for a sub par 47.5% conversion rate. ( This Runline offering matches up well with this SU data base gem) MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 67-32 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC Royals +1.5 runline |
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08-05-23 | Rays -136 v. Tigers | 2-4 | Loss | -136 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
The Rays clobbered the Tigers 8-0 in the series opener on Friday night, limiting Detroit to three hits and similar rinse and repeat situation looks to be at hand here. Civale (5-2, 2.34 ERA) Im betting will primed to have a quality start for his new club. Civale, who was surprisingly dealt by the Cleveland Guardians to the Tampa Bay Rays for first base prospect Kyle Manzardo. He has been dominant in his career vs the Tigers as is evident by garnering 7-0 record along with a stingy 2.06 ERA in 10 starts and will once again give his team an edge here in Motown this afternoon. Rays starter CIVALE is 25-10 ) against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CIVALE is 22-9 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CIVALE is 19-11 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Tigers starter lefty Tarik Skubal (1-1, 4.57 ERA), who will be making his sixth start of the season according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs a Rays side that averages 5.7 rpg this season vs southpaw hurlers. Skubal has recorded a ugly 7.24 ERA in his L/3 starts and Im betting he will be cannon fodder again today. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300) or less -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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08-05-23 | Astros -134 v. Yankees | 1-3 | Loss | -134 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
The Astros are up-trending and are now 13-7 since the All-Star break, after a 7-3 victory vs the NYY on Friday. With newly acquired Verlander on the hill for the Astros, Im betting on the road team cashing here again. Verlander was 61-19 with a 2.26 ERA for the Astros in 102 regular-season starts and posted nine postseason wins, including three over the Yankees and Im sure will be motivated to put forward a top tier effort here again in his return . Veralnder is 5-0 with a 1.69 ERA in his last eight regular-season starts against the Yankees. Meanwhile the Astros get to go against left-hander Nestor Cortes (5-2, 5.16 ERA), who is returning from a left rotator cuff strain for his first start since allowing two runs in five innings on May 30 in Seattle. Rust will be a factor here for Cotres vs a Astros side, that has averaged 5.5 rpg vs LHP this season. Cortes is 1-1 with an 8.04 ERA in six regular-season appearances (three starts) against Houston. Note: Astros are v 62-25 v against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300) or less -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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08-04-23 | Astros v. Yankees OVER 9 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
NYY starter Luis Severino (2-5, 7.49 ERA) last pitched Sunday in Baltimore, where he allowed seven of his nine runs in the opening inning and tied a season high by giving up 10 hits in less than 4 innings of work. That was the 4th time in 12 starts be allowed 7 runs or more and once again looks to be cannon fodder vs a up trending Astros offense that has averaged 5.1 rpg ion the road this season. . SEVERINO is 15-4 OVER in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Houstons starter Brown went 1-3 with a 5.92 ERA in five July outings and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well here vs the NYY hitters. Im betting both these offenses do enough damage against these pitchers to get us over the offered total.
Play on the over |
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08-04-23 | Sun v. Fever +7.5 | 88-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
The last time they took the court, the Indiana Fever grabbed a victory by a final score of 72-71 when they took down the Phoenix Mercury and have momentum entering this tilt against the Connecticut Sun. I know the Sun have the superior record, but the Fever, have a tendency of playing their best hoops against top tier sides, as is evident by 7-2-1 ATS mark in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play at home and with the confidence of a win last time out, Im betting the Fever make this game alot closer than the lines makers and pundits expect. Play on the Fever
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08-04-23 | Braves -158 v. Cubs | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Braves starter FRIED is 19-4 against the money line against NL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) FRIED is 4-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.57 and a WHIP of 0.826. ATLANTA is 12-1 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like like cubs starter Hendricks. HENDRICKS is 1-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 7.22 and a WHIP of 1.901. The pitching matchup and overall head to head data according to my power rankings supports a Cubs selection, at a slightly elevated money-line offering. However the edge is significant enough for me to lay a little more lumber than usual. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, in August games are 5-35 L/26 seasons for a 88% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less ) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games are 63-18 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta Braves to win. |
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08-03-23 | A's v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
JP Sears (2-7, 4.01 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 106 strikeouts); Dodgers: Julio Urias (7-6, 4.98 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 77 strikeouts) The Dodgers scored 10 runs yesterday in a win vs the As, and Im betting more positive production from the Dodgers explosive lineup here tonight and for the As to do just enough damage in response, to help us cash a Over ticket. OAKLAND is 7-0 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game this season with a combined average of 13.3 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 9-1 OVER ( vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored.
LA DODGERS are 9-0 OVER vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 12 rpg scored. MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 32-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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08-03-23 | Jets v. Browns UNDER 33.5 | 16-21 | Loss | -113 | 85 h 46 m | Show | |
Tom Benson Hall of Fame Stadium - Canton, OH Early season pre season football usually favors the defenses over the offenses, and Im betting nothing changes here today in what my projections estimate will be a very low scoring affair. Under is 5-0 in Jets last 5 games overall. Under is 7-0 in Jets last 7 vs. AFC. Under is 6-1 in Browns last 7 games overall. Under is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games on fieldturf. Under is 9-3 in Browns last 12 Thursday games. CLEVELAND is 12-3 UNDER against conference opponents in exhibition ball since 1993 with a combined average of 32.5 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play under |
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08-03-23 | Orioles +149 v. Blue Jays | 6-1 | Win | 149 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Baltimore leads the season series 7-2 after yesterdays 4-1 loss. They did win the first two games of this series, and are in bounce back mode here today. Orioles newly acquired starter today Flaherty (7-6, 4.43 ERA) has faced the Blue Jays just once in his seven-year career, and it was this season. Back April 1 in St. Louis, Flaherty at that time with the Cards picked up the win, allowing no runs or hits but walking seven in five innings. He stuck out four. Flaherty garnered a very stable 3.45 ERA in his final 12 starts with the Cardinals, including a 3.03 ERA in five July outings and Im betting he matches up well here vs a Toronto side that has slowed down precipitously on offense of late and on the season have only average 4.2 rpg at home . Jays starter today GAUSMAN is 7-12 ) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 4-9 against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 4-10 ( against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 10-4 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season like Torontos starter Gausman. Baltimore's starter FLAHERTY is 16-6 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 16-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 47-21 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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08-02-23 | Wings v. Storm +6.5 | 76-65 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
Storm enter this game on a 5-1 ATS run in their last 6 games overall and have covered 4 of 5 vs an above .500 side like the visiting Wings . Im now betting the Storm keep this game close against a side that recently played all out hoops in a 104-91 loss vs the WNBAs top team Vegas, and will now be in an emotional letdown spot . These circumstances could easily see the Wings start slowly tonight. Note: I know the Wings can really light the board up in run and gun mode, but they also lack defensive responsibilities and are vulnerable to being upset when in regressionary mode like Im betting they will this evening. DALLAS is 3-11 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.SEATTLE is 7-1 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season. Play on Seattle to cover |
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08-02-23 | Mets v. Royals +1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 110 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
The Royals have now won 4 straight games via. a up-ticking offense that has scored 27 runs in those 4 tilts , and have momentum entering this contest vs a very inconsistent NY Mets side in the 2nd game of this series. After the Mets shipped away top reliever David Roberston along with Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander you can bet on some negative down energy in the Mets dugout today making them fade material. NY METS are 19-28 SU vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Ragans . NY METS are 15-19 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. SHOWALTER is 35-60 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in all games he has managed since 1997. KANSAS CITY is 29-19 SU in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 32-22 SU in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 41-16 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC Royals to cover +1.5 on the run line |
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08-01-23 | Liberty v. Sparks +9 | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
NYL have really been lighting up the scoreboard of late . but the Liberty D, has also been lit up and because of this have failed to cover 3 of their L/4 games. The Liberty have a great won loss record, but their wins don't seem to come all that easily, as is evident by not covering in 8 of their L/10. Considering LA has momentum entering this tilt winning 2 of their L/3 - I like the home sides chances at competing here and getting us the cover. ( The Liberty beat the Sparks by a 87-79 count back in NY a couple of days ago, and now Im betting on a even closer game here) NEW YORK is 4-11 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games this season. NEW YORK is 6-13 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts this season. Liberty are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Liberty are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Liberty are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Liberty are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Sparks to cover |
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08-01-23 | Mets v. Royals +135 | 6-7 | Win | 135 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
The Royals are off a 3-0 sweep of the Minnesota Twins last time out and have momentum entering this home series against the NY mets. Southpaw Jose Quintana (0-2, 3.27 ERA) is expected to start for the Mets against Royals right-hander Zack Greinke (1-11, 5.49). ( Greinke despite of sub par overall stats, has pitched his best baseball at home this season where he has garnered a stable 3.74 ERA. GREINKE is 52-13 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) Greinke is 5-1 with a 3.49 ERA in nine regular-season starts against the Mets. QUINTANA is 10-17 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) QUINTANA is 6-14 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) NY METS are 2-9 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. MLB team (KANSAS CITY) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 46-11 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win |
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07-31-23 | Orioles +133 v. Blue Jays | 4-2 | Win | 133 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Orioles starter GIBSON is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)GIBSON is also a perfect 5-0 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record)Baltimore has won five of six games against Toronto this season and matchup well here again in the first game of this series.
MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 46-21 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win |
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07-30-23 | Yankees v. Orioles -123 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Yankees stater SEVERINO is 0-7 (against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). SEVERINO is 1-10 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Severino owns a less than pretty looking 6.90 ERA over his L/3 starts , and owns a 0-3 record on the road this season along with a 7.62 ERA and fade material in his current form. Orioles starter KREMER is 11-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 15-6 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 15-4 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The starting pitching matchup favors the Orioles, and Im recommending we back the home side because of this tonight. BOONE is 27-55 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 as the manager of NY YANKEES. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY YANKEES) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 10-40 L/5 seasons for. a against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Baltimore to win |
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07-30-23 | Storm +4 v. Fever | 85-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Both these teams are examples of futility, however according to my power rankings the superior side in this matchup is the visiting Storm who have covered 4 of their L/5 overall and in the most recent past have had good results against the Fever. Also after a 4 game road trip Im betting it will take time for an inconsistent side like the Fever to get used to home cooking again. Advantage Storm. SEATTLE is 6-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons including 3-0 L/3 visits to Indiana. WNBA Underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a home loss versus opponent, off an upset win as an underdog are 33-12 ATS L/5 seasons for. a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Seattle to cover |
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07-30-23 | A's v. Rockies +102 | 0-2 | Win | 102 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Oaklands starter Luis Medina has not faired well on the road this season, going 0-4 in 4 starts along with a ugly looking 9.87 ERA. Im betting things will go for bad to worse in their launching pad known as Coors Field. OAKLAND is 6-39 against the money line in day games this season. COLORADO is 7-1 against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday this season. OAKLAND is 18-61 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. KOTSAY is 18-56 against the money line after 2 straight games where they committed no errors as the manager of OAKLAND. MLB team (COLORADO) - average NL offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average AL starter (ERA 4.30 to 5.70), hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games are 30-8 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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07-30-23 | Rays v. Astros -105 | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Right-hander Zack Littell (0-2, 5.11) is the scheduled starter for Tampa Bay on Sunday My power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs the Astros batting order. With the Astros offense continuing upward momentum with Jose Altuve back in the line up the home side looks like viable investment option. Note: Astros wRC+ ( 109 )over the last 30 days, Meanwhile, Astros hurler Bielak in four starts since being recalled from Triple-A Sugar Land on July 3 is 2-1 with a 2.01 ERA. Houston has won three of those starts. TAMPA BAY is 6-16 against the money line in July games this season. HOUSTON is 41-16 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 21-9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 12-3 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BAKER is 48-18 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games are 7-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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07-29-23 | Brewers v. Braves -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
The Braves took a conclusive 10-7 win vs the Brewers yesterday and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation manifesting itself here again today. ATLANTA is 44-20 against the money line after a win this season. ATLANTA is 11-1 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like the Brewers Teheran. Meanwhile Braves fireballer Bryce Elder (7-2 , 3.32 ERA) while not pitching all that well of late, is more than capable of bouncing back here against a very inconsistent Milwaukee Bucks offense that is averaging just 4 rpg on the road this season via a .232 BA. The Braves are batting .277 at home this season while averaging 5.9 rpg. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 4-44 L/27 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1 rpg which qualifies on this RL offering. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (MILWAUKEE) - after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR, in July games are 14-40 L/4 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win -1.5 |
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07-29-23 | Tigers v. Marlins -146 | 5-0 | Loss | -146 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
The Tigers rank 28th in MLB scoring (3.9), two spots below Miami (4.1) and Im betting the tigers offense also suffers to produce here today vs Marlins veteran right-hander starter Johnny Cueto who is coming off a top shelf start on July 22, when he held the Colorado Rockies to just two hits. Hes been suffering injury issues of late, but is now healthy and looking strong and deserves respect here. Cueto has faired well against against the Tigers, going 2-2 with a 2.34 ERA in six career starts covering 42 1/3 innings. Rinse and repeat on board. MIAMI is 13-5 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season like Motown starter Brieske. MIAMI is 19-4 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. MIAMI is 13-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 71-10 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors and a perfect 9-0 this season for a 100% conversion rate. Play on Miami to win |
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07-29-23 | Angels v. Blue Jays -120 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
. The Angels are scheduled to start left-hander Reid Detmers (2-7, 4.38 ERA) and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he does matchup well here. He garnered a no-decision against the Blue Jays on April 9 after allowing five runs, four earned, on five hits in five-plus innings and my projections estimate another down effort. The Toronto Blue Jays took the opener of their three-game series against the visiting Los Angeles Angels 4-1 on Friday and Im betting they grab the cheese again. LA ANGELS are 8-18 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed 2 or more errors are 8-40 L/26 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed 2 or more errors are 9-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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07-28-23 | Mariners -128 v. Diamondbacks | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
Right-hander Logan Gilbert (8-5, 3.88) has won his last three decisions for Seattle and owns a 6-1 record on the road along with a stable 3.26 ERA and a stingy 0.935 WHIP. GILBERT is 12-2 against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 13-4 against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 21-9 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Diamondbacks left-hander Tommy Henry (5-3, 4.01 ERA) will start. He has lost his last two trips to the hill while lasting just 4 1/3 innings in each time. He is backed by a shaky bullpen, as the over pitching staff have allowed seven or more runs in eight games since the All-Star break and in their current form are fade material. ARIZONA is 1-11 against the money line in home games against AL West opponents over the last 3 seasons.ARIZONA is 3-13 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SEATTLE) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (.410 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 53-16 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on Seattle to win |
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07-28-23 | Rays v. Astros +105 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
Tampa Bays starter McClanahan despite of great won loss record of 11-1 on the season, is also just 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in two career starts against the Astros, both of which were down the stretch last season. Note: The Astros have done their best work against lefties like McClanahan averaging 5.6 rpg on a .272 team BA. Meanwhile, the Astros will throw out Right-hander Cristian Javier (7-2, 4.32 ERA) . I know he has not pitched all that well of late, but he is a viable hurler, and must be respected here at home where he owns a 7-0 record against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JAVIER is also 6-0 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 11-2 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 11-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 5-15 against the money line in the second half of the season this season MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or more ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games are 9-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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07-28-23 | Lynx +14.5 v. Liberty | 88-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
The Lynx are off a big win last time out by a 97-92 win vs the Mystics, and have momentum entering this tilt here vs a tired NY Liberty side in a rare back to back situation. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS in road games after scoring 90 points or more over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Liberty are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference. Home favorites of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - averaging 42 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 51-96 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Lynx are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Play on Lynx to cover |
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07-27-23 | Guardians +100 v. White Sox | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
Right-hander Tanner Bibee (6-2, 3.04 ERA) goes to the hill for the Guardians on Thursday. Bibee, is 2-0 with a 1.14 ERA in four July starts, and is coming off a 1-0 home victory over the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday. allowing just two hits, in 7 innings while striking out eight. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest their is a strong probability of him having a top tier performance. Cleveland's relievers have pitched just 8 innings in the last 3 games.(Advantage Cleveland) Chi White Sox's relievers have pitched 15 innings in the last 3 games. CLEVELAND is 22-5 against the money line when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. GRIFOL is 15-32 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX. Chi White Sox is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games. Chi White Sox is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) are 15-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win |
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07-26-23 | Rangers +162 v. Astros | 13-5 | Win | 162 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers travel to the Houston Astros looking to end a four-game road slide after losing the first two games of this series by 1 run each time. These two instate rivals have played some coin flip games of late, and no matter who happens to be on the hill, the tilts are hard fought. There is simply to much value to pass up on with a hard hitting Texas side that could easily manufacture enough runs to win . BOCHY is 24-12 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of TEXAS. TEXAS is 17-9 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 45-21 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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07-26-23 | Pirates +1.5 v. Padres | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
The Padres will send out Seth Lugo (4-4, 3.72 ERA) to face the Pirates' Johan Oviedo (3-11, 4.77) on Wednesday. I know Oviedo has lost his past eight decisions but he owns a stable 3.23 ERA in five starts in June and I expect he will keep his team in this game against a Padres side the Pirates have had success against lately winning 4 of the L/5 meetings. SAN DIEGO is 9-15 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (PITTSBURGH) - poor hitting team (AVG.250 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 32-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pirates +1.5 on the run-line |
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07-26-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Guardians | 3-8 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
The Guardians will be the first below .500 team Marsh (0-4, 6.20 ERA) has gone against. He made his debut against the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 30, then started against the Minnesota Twins, Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees -- and lost all 4 starts However, this offense he goes against here today is very light hitting and Im betting he gives them all they can handle, which will help keep his team in this game . In 100 games that the Guardians have played this season, they have a 0.00 rpg diff . MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL) are 34-9 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +165 to -135) (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 36-12 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.' Play on the Royals +1.5 run-line |
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07-25-23 | Fever v. Sparks UNDER 165.5 | 78-79 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a score in the low 160s giving us a significant edge on the offered Totals number from the sports books. Under is 5-0 in Dream last 5 overall. Last time out the Sky had a rare offensive outburst, scoring 90s points , but previous to that they did score more than 77 points in 4 straight games, and now Im betting on immediate regression, against a Vegas side that is currently playing a top tier brand of D, as is evident by allowing three of their L/4 opponents to exceed 78 points in production. Meanwhile, I also expect Atlanta to try to slow this game down to a crawl vs an explosive side which will aid in a combined score that remains on the low side of the number. Under is 5-1 in Mercury last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 overall.Under is 16-5 in Mercury last 21 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 15-5-1 in Mercury last 21 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Play under |
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07-25-23 | Mariners v. Twins -113 | 9-7 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Kirby (9-8, 3.23 ERA) limited the Twins to four hits over seven innings while striking out 10 and walking none in a 5-0 victory on Thursday in Seattle, but Im betting Minnesota will be ready for him in the rematch and will garner their 5th straight victory. Meanwhile, Twins starter Pablo Lopez who pitches today was the loser last time out. However, Lopez is pitching at a top tier level this season, via a nasty sweeper and a 30.2% KO ratio. Take Lopez in the rematch. SEATTLE is 9-19 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. SEATTLE is 5-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. MINNESOTA is 37-19 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 9-40 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to win |