Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-13-21 | Notre Dame v. Virginia +6 | 28-3 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
Rested Virginia was on a 4 game win streak before being derailed last time out in a back and forth offensive slugfest but now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs Notre Dame. NOTRE DAME is 8-26 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992. Virginia is 16-3 ATS vs .800 or better opposition. Virginia is 5-1 ATS L/6 off a bye. VIRGINIA is 8-1 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons. Mendenhall is 7-0 ATS in home games after scoring 42 points or more last game as the coach of VIRGINIA which was the case vs BYU in a 49-66 loss. CFB home team (VIRGINIA) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 70-36 ATS L/29 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia to cover |
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11-13-21 | Wizards -4 v. Magic | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
The Wizards are beginning to play at a top tier level, while Orlando continues to have consistency issues thanks to what my own observations is a lack of chemistry sprinkled in with bad coaching decisions. I know Bradley Beal will be out tonight for the Wizards but they are still capable road chalk here at anything under -5. WASHINGTON is 15-2 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 35-2 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at +11.5 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams scored 105 points or less are 24-1 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. Play on Washington to cover |
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11-13-21 | 76ers v. Pacers -2.5 | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
The Sixers are on a 3 game losing streak and are without their top player Joel Embiid (Covid) and are vulnerable again to suffering a 4th straight defeat. Meanwhile, Indiana is starting to ramp up and are playing decent ball at the moment as they come off a win vs the Utah Jazz by a 111-100 count as DD underdogs. INDIANA is 17-4 ATS l/21 off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more points. Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 76ers are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a road underdog.76ers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-13-21 | Rangers v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
The Rangers have been off since Monday, when they held off a late comeback by the visiting Florida Panthers to earn a 4-3 win. Now well rested I expect they will have the legs to play a strong defensive game, something that coaching staff is keying on this year with the Rangers. Meanwhile, Columbus is on tired legs after playing last night and Im betting they will not be aggressive offensively as usual. NY RANGERS are 5-0 UNDER in road games off a win or tie in their previous game this season with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored. Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 8-1 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.Under is 7-1-1 in Rangers last 9 games following a win.Under is 7-1-1 in Rangers last 9 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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11-13-21 | Evansville v. Belmont -13.5 | 43-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Evansvilles deliberate style of hoops is not suited to deal with one of the faster spaced teams in the nation Belmont who are off a loss vs a good looking Ohio program and now frothing at the mouth to get back in the win column here at home where they play their best basketball are viable options here laying points. BELMONT is 8-0 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff +28.3 ppg. Belmont to cover |
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11-13-21 | Edmonton Elks +11 v. Saskatchewan | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Saskatchewan barely got by Edmonton when they played last week here in Alberta 19-17 and Im betting on another closely contested battle again. CFL Home teams vs. the money line (EDMONTON) - after 6 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15 are 21-4 L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. CFL Home underdogs or pick (EDMONTON) - average passing team (245-290 PY/G) against an average passing defense (245-290 PY/G) after 9+ games. are 37-13 ATS L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors, Play on Edmonton to cover |
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11-13-21 | Lamar +13 v. Miami-OH | 75-104 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Lamar is a defensive minded side that plays very physically, and Im betting they lean on that type of hoops here against MAC side that has plenty of experience, and offense, but could be considered soft under glass and on the rim. Cardinals are 7-1 ATS L/8 overall and have covered 4 of their L/5 vs a above .500 opponent. Miami O in the one opportunity they had at covering a 12.5 or more spread last season failed. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (MIAMI OHIO) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off an upset win as an underdog are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Lamar to cover |
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11-13-21 | Oklahoma v. Baylor +6 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
Sooners’ are over rated and the pollsters know it , but the lines makers don't seem to because of their lengthy win streak keep propping them up which is great for sharp money but not so much so for the diehard fans who back the Sooners no matter what . Yes the Sooners have found ways to win this season but are 0-6 ATS with HC Lincoln Riley at the helm as conference road favorites. Nothing seems to be coming easily for the Oklahoma and that will continue here vs a side in Baylor that is playing in revenge mode for a loss last year in this series. The Bears are 20-5 SUATS at home in Waco the last 10 seasons against opposition coming off a victory including 8-0 ATS as an under dog. BAYLOR is 8-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team (BAYLOR) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 23-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on the Baylor Bears to cover |
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11-13-21 | East Carolina +5.5 v. Memphis | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
ECU allows 24 ppg to Memphis' 29.1 and more than 400 yards a game so the better defense rests with the Pirates. The Pirates have only failed to cover 2 of their 9 games ATS this season to rank 6th-best in the nation at covering the spread and once again according to my power rankings matchup very well here vs the Memphis . Look for E.Carolina to lean on their D, here and to pound the ball on the ground alot more to slow the flow of their explosive opponents.E CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. CFB road team (E CAROLINA) - after allowing 175 or less total yards in their previous game, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB are 107-53 ATS L/29 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on E.Carolina to cover |
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11-13-21 | Central Florida +7.5 v. SMU | 28-55 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
UCF is playing decent ball of late and have 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 with the only loss coming to undefeated Cincinnati. With that said, the UCF is more than capable hanging around here vs a SMU side that has lost two straight while giving up 400 plus yards in those tilts defensively. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCF) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 36-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.UCF is 8-1 straight up against SMU since 1992. CFB road team vs. the money line (UCF) - after allowing 14 points or less in 3 straight games against opponent after a loss by 6 or less points is 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on UCF to cover |
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11-13-21 | Houston -24.5 v. Temple | 37-8 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
The Temple Owls look to just be going through the motions as it looks like they threw the towel in on their season a while, back and that has been evident over their L/4 games where they have been outscored, 180-27. With that said, Im betting Houston laying down abeatdown of mammoth proportions here today against a team that will probably just lie down for them.Houston is ranked 10th in the nation, averaging 39.1 points per game and Im betting they breach that number here in this spot. TEMPLE is 0-6 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -34 ppg. CFB Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points (TEMPLE) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in November games are 27-62 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (HOUSTON) - after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival are 60-28 ATS L/29 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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11-12-21 | Villanova +4 v. UCLA | 77-86 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Villanova is the most experienced team in the nation, and despite of UCLA making a great run last season still did not get into the big dance. Yes, the Bruins are playing at home, but the Big Cats will not be intimidated and when they are in a groove the treys will rain down here in dry Southern California by the bucketload. There is just to much overall depth on the Villanova side of the court not to take the points in a game they could easily win outright. Wildcats are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. |
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11-12-21 | Idaho State +4 v. Pepperdine | 60-65 | Loss | -111 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
The Idaho State Bengals are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games and are off a nice win in their opener while Pepperdine did not look good against Rice in a opening loss that saw them shoot just 35.4% in FG conversion rate while being out rebounded and out assisted. The key here will be work around the rim and the glass where Idaho State has suddenly become tenacious over the last couple of seasons under HC Ryan Looney as is evident by the numbers that show the Bengals out rebounded opponents 36.1-29.9 last season. In the 2019-20 season the Bengals out rebounded teams 32.9-32.1. In the season opener vs. Eastern Oregon, the Bengals won the rebounding battle, 35-28. Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (PEPPERDINE) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are. 3-25 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Idaho state to cover |
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11-12-21 | Wyoming v. Boise State UNDER 49 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
These teams have exhibited much better defensive efforts than offensive efforts this season, and Im betting things wont change tonight on the Blue Carpet as Boise State and Wyoming take part in a grinding game, that will see the combined score stay on the low side of the total. From a historical standpoint the L/6 meetings here have gone under the total on the Blue Carpet. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (WYOMING) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team against the total (BOISE ST) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-12-21 | Mavs v. Spurs +2.5 | 123-109 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
The Mavs despite of having talent are an inconsistent team. Luka Ducic is an incredibly talented player but the group around him are not 100% in vibe with this young superstar so thats why the uneven efforts especially from a betting perspective . Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.DALLAS is 4-16 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. I know the Mavericks have taken the season's first two games in the Lone Star State rivalry, winning 104-99 as hosts on Oct. 28 and 109-108 on the road just six days later, but after watching both tilts is become obvious this is a coin flip affair, making getting points golden in my humble betting opinion with the home dog . Spurs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 63-23 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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11-12-21 | Coyotes v. Blackhawks -200 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
The Chicago Blackhawks behind new interim HC Derek King are primed to extend their winning streak to three on Friday night as they host the struggling Arizona Coyotes . Former NHLer King has really motivated this group to be better and they have been. Lets ride the Hawks momentum by laying a little extra lumber. Favorite is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings. NHL Home Favorites of -200 to -300 on the opening money line (CHICAGO) - after 2 straight close wins by 1 goal are 30-1 L/5 season with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.5 gpg. Play on the Blackhawks to win |
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11-12-21 | Kings v. Thunder +4.5 | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Sacramento has lost 5 of their L/7 games and 3 straight while their hosts the Thunder have won 3 straight and are currently in top form and have covered 6 of their L/7 and now show value as home dogs. Note: Kings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite. SACRAMENTO is also 4-13 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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11-12-21 | South Dakota State v. Alabama -11.5 | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Alabama basketball started its season on a strong note, blowing out Louisiana Tech 93-64 Tuesday night inside Coleman Coliseum. Meanwhile, South Dakota State opened its season by beating Bradley 81-65 on Tuesday. Last season, SDSU recorded its seventh regular-season Summit League title in the last nine years. The Jacks return all five starters and 10 letter winners from a season ago, including 99.3% of their minutes and 99.7% of their points. Despite of this they go against a Alabama group despite of a core of new players are as talented as anyone in the league thanks to top tier recruiting and transfers. The Crimson Tide are fully invested in the analytics-driven theory that three-point shooting will be the difference maker for their championship objectives, and that according to my projections gives them an edge as the game progresses. Crimson Tide are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. ALABAMA is 10-2 ATS when the total is 160 to 169.5 over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.4 ppg. CBB Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (S DAKOTA ST) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 85 points or more are 9-177 SU L/24 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.5 ppg. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ALABAMA) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 215-138 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-12-21 | Bucks v. Celtics +2 | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
This the Bucks 4th straight road game against quality opposition and now Im betting they may exhibit exhaustion as the game progresses giving an edge to the home side. Meanwhile, Boston has been very competitive lately going 3-0-1 ATS L/4 overall. BOSTON is 5-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons and Im recommending we take the points with the Celtics here. MILWAUKEE is 7-23 ATS after 3 straight games out-rebounding opponent by 5 or more over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 10-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to cover |
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11-12-21 | Cincinnati v. South Florida +23.5 | 45-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
USF will be very motivated to be ready to extend their 6-0 ATS L/6 mark in this series vs undefeated Cincinnati. Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in South Florida. Its a ugly kind of clothes pin to the nose type selection, but this is easily the Bulls biggest game of the season considering that will not go bowling. Im betting they leave everything on the filed here while the Bearcats begin to feel the pressure of maintaining a undefeated season. Bearcats are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.Bulls are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Play on South Florida to cover |
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11-11-21 | Northern Arizona +15.5 v. Washington | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Huskies were voted 11th in the Pac-12 Preseason Poll after a 5-21 season including a 4-16 mark in conference play and Im betting things dont get much better this season. Even here vs a lower tier opponents laying this many points is not a recipe for success for their betting backers. N ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.Lumberjacks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Lumberjacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record as well as going 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.Lumberjacks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss which was the case in their opener.Lumberjacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. WASHINGTON is 6-23 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.Huskies are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. Play on Northern Arizona to cover |
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11-11-21 | Pacers +10 v. Jazz | 111-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers struggled in the high altitudes of Denver against the Nuggets despite of not having their reigning NBA Most Valuable Player Nikola Jokic in the lineup, missing a 3-point attempt in the final second and losing 101-98. Now Im betting on the Pacers being competitive again and getting us the all important cover. Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Pacers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Pacers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. INDIANA is 12-3 ATS in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 13-4 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 season. Carlisle is 33-16 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game as the coach of INDIANA. NBA team vs the money line (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 41-21 L/25 seasons for a 65% conversion rate which qualifies ATS. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 38-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-11-21 | Sharks +160 v. Jets | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
The Sharks have some key players on covid protocol -but the team remains to exhibit chemistry "We're a pretty close-knit group in there," Sharks goaltender Adin Hill said. "It doesn't matter who is out, who is in, we're all here to win. We're all here to work hard, we're all here to battle and compete." END QUOTE: key here tonight Im betting will be Goaltender Hill for the Sharks and the ability of their strong power playing killing unit to slow a strong Jets power play. Jets are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Jets are 5-11 in their last 16 games as a favorite.WINNIPEG is 21-50 ATS L/71 against excellent starting goalies - saving 93% OR MORE of shots against. Underdog is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings.Road team is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.Sharks are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.Sharks are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Winnipeg. Play on the San Jose Sharks to win |
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11-11-21 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh -6.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
North Carolina ended the Wake Forest win streak at 8 games last week in a emotional back and forth offensive slugfest. Now Im betting the Tar Heels wont have that same energy this week after that exhausting physical and emotional victory , and will fall victim to a Pittsburgh team that can actually play defense and light up the board just as efficiently. With that said look for Panthers QB Pickett to land KOs all day in the pocket behind a top-10 offensive line. N CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. Brown is 0-9 ATS off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of N CAROLINA. Brown is 4-15 ATS after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points in all games . CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PITTSBURGH) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 30-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors, CFB Road underdogs (N CAROLINA) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 14-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh to cover |
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11-11-21 | Islanders -130 v. Devils | 0-4 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
The Devils have won 2 straight including an explosive and surprising 7-3 win vs the Florida Panthers last time out and will now be in a letdown state vs a well rested Islanders side that can cull their energy with a top tier brand defensive hockey. NEW JERSEY is 0-8 ATS in home games against good starting goalies like Sorokin - saving 91.5% or more of shots against over the last 2 seasons.NEW JERSEY is 0-10 ATS in home games after a 2 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons. Devils are 9-23 in their last 32 home games.Devils are 17-35 in their last 52 games as an underdog. Islanders are 7-3 in their last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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11-10-21 | Predators +135 v. Stars | 4-2 | Win | 135 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
Predators enter this game well rested despite of this being their 5th game on a 6 game road trip which is a good omen for our chances tonight as they 7-0 in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Nashville are also 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog and once again according to my projections being underestimated once again. The Stars also have rest, but are 1-6 in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest and are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a favorite. Add to that the Stars key to any successes they might have (Defense and Goaltending) is now in free fall, as they have given up three goals or more in each of their last six games and the penalty kill has given up goals in four-straight tilts. Advantage Nashville, NASHVILLE is 13-2 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons and 15-3 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 season. DALLAS is 0-5 ATS against struggling defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season. Predators are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings Play on Nashville Predators to win on the money-line |
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11-10-21 | Kent State v. Central Michigan -135 | 30-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
11-10-21 | Raptors +2 v. Celtics | 88-104 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
The Celtics suffered their worst loss of the young season in a 115-83 thrashing by the Raptors on Oct. 22 and now the Celtics will be looking for redemption. However, in the recent past when the Celtics are in revenge mode for a loss of 10 points ore more they are just 3-12 ATS L/2 seasons. .BOSTON is also just 4-15 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons and overall are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Meanwhile, the Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston and are my selection here taking points based on my power rankings and overall SRS ratings: Boston owns the 17th best mark in the league @-.0.47 --while Toronto is ranked i 7th @ +3.78 giving us value according to those numbers on this line even with home court advantage on the Celtics side. Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TORONTO) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road loss are 23-4 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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11-10-21 | Pistons +4 v. Rockets | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
The Rockets have dropped eight consecutive games and closed a recent five-game road trip without a victory and now are suddenly being asked to cover as favorites. Motown may not inspire bettors, but they have shown a few flashes of brilliance this season . Also some bad beats and calls make them look worse than they are. No way a trust the Rockets in the fav role and will back the Pistons here getting points. DETROIT is 17-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 9-22 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 8-27 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 10-22 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons. Silas is 2-17 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON.HOUSTON is 1-10 ATS in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 season.Rockets are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Pistons are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston. |
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11-10-21 | Ball State -2.5 v. Northern Illinois | 29-30 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Cardinals have been a top tier unit against the run as they have not allowed more than 130 yards in any of the last four games and that will be key Im betting in a road win N.Illinois. On the flipside add to that the Huskies have allowed 12 touchdowns on 23 possessions over the last two games and you have an edge to the short road fav. BALL ST is 8-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game over the last 3 season. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game over the last 3 season. Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cardinals are 14-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Huskies are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. CFB home team (N ILLINOIS) - good rushing team - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, after allowing 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 4-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.
Injury note:[QB] 11/04/2021 - Rocky Lombardi left last game, is "?" Wednesday vs Ball State ( Head ) Play on Ball State to cover |
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11-10-21 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois UNDER 62 | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a big game for both teams when it comes to play off and possible Bowl implications and Im expecting to be hard fought. Im not sold on N.Illinois D, but tonights weather forecast in DeKalb, Ill. is predicting 13-15 mph winds throughout the game, which will hamper both air attacks which in turn will effect offensive output.N ILLINOIS is 16-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 and N ILLINOIS is 23-9 UNDER in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored which was the case last time out. with a combined average of 52.8 ppg. CFB team against the total (N ILLINOIS) - good passing team (7.5-8.3 PY/Att.) against a poor passing defense (7.5-8.3 PY/Att.), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 64-28 L/5 seasons for 70% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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11-10-21 | Toledo v. Bowling Green UNDER 50 | 49-17 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Toledo has a bad defensive game last time out vs Eastern Michigan but have been very good overall this season, and now Im expecting a bounce back effort. Im also betting we will see Toledo grind on the ground all night, against a tough Bowling Green D and their spotty offense in what will be a low scoring war in the trenches. TOLEDO is 23-8 UNDER in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TOLEDO) - good passing team (230-275 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 24-5 UNDER L/5 seasons . CFB team against the total (BOWLING GREEN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points are 73-31 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-10-21 | Robert Morris +16.5 v. UCF | 59-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
UCF is a talented big team, but Robert Morris might surprise them here a bit tonight, behind HC Toole , and knows how to slow a game down in the half court. UCF Im sure will oblige and carry on at a snails pace like they usually do. Advantage getting points is the call CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (UCF) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-28 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Robert Morris to cover |
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11-10-21 | Buffalo +15.5 v. Michigan | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Last night we saw ,MAC hoops programs perform admirably against their Big Ten advisories. The Akron Zips looked very strong against Ohio State and Eastern Michigan over powered Indiana down the stretch in the 2nd half. Now a Bulls team with 5 returning starters and plenty of experience, also looks like a side that could give a revamped Michigan side that lost alot of their scoring from last season some problems.This is a Buffalo program that ranked in the top-25 Division I teams in defensive effective FG%, as well as defensive 3P% and offensive rebounding conversion rate and that defensive prowess Im betting will be the difference maker tonight.Bulls are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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11-09-21 | Blazers v. Clippers -3 | 109-117 | Win | 101 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
The Clippers have won 4 straight and are currently in top form. Meanwhile, the Trailblazers have been highly inconsistent this season, and have not shown themselves to be viable bets on the road failing to cover in their L/6 away games. Recent history also favors the Clippers who are 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series at home. LA CLIPPERS are 41-27 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 43-16 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBAHome teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 49-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Clippers to win |
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11-09-21 | Hawks v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 98-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
The Hawks will match up with the Utah Jazz for the 2nd time this week. Utah won the first meeting 116-98 but Im betting on a aggregate of 10 more points on the board here according to my projections thus giving value to an over bet. Part of this assessment is based on the Jazz expecting to have Mike Conley back in the lineup which aid in offensive flow. Add to that Atlanta has allowed each of its past seven opponents to score between 111 and 127 points and we have a large output expectation here. ATLANTA is 31-13 OVER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 10-2 in Jazz last 12 games as a home favorite. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 48-17 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 37-13 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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11-09-21 | Ohio +6 v. Eastern Michigan | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
The Eagles took part in a back and forth affair last time out on the road vs Toledo winning by a 52-49 count as 9 point dogs, and will now be in a letdown spot here this Tuesday making them vulnerable to a Ohio program that has covered 5 of their 6 tilts in this series. Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Bobcats are 19-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Bobcats are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog. Bobcats are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog. E MICHIGAN is 1-11 ATS L/12 after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored.E MICHIGAN is 3-15 ATS in home games after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Eagles are 16-33 ATS in their last 49 games following a straight up win. Eagles are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.Eagles are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. OHIO U is 10-2 ATS in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return. Play on Ohio. to cover |
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11-09-21 | UMKC +8.5 v. Minnesota | 56-71 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Top scorer Brandon McKissic moved on but now but UKMC return two of their four double-digit scorers and have a tenacious group of rebounders to compliment them. Meanwile, Minnesota finished last season losing 8 of their L/9 games and now have a boatload full of transfers in the lineup which Im betting will see them take time to jell. Thats not conducive to covering tonights spread according to my projections. |
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11-09-21 | Jacksonville State +8.5 v. Wichita State | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State returns 96% of its scoring from an 18-win team and has a talented group that includes high-major transfers,. With that said Jacksonville State poses a formidable opposition for the higher brand name Wichita State Shockers. Key problem with the Shockers could be their rebounding that saw them finish 20 worst defensive rebounding teams in Division I. They will obviously try to address this but against this type of opponent the correction process could be paused right out of the gate. JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-1 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Plus this interesting anomaly that shows them cashing 16 of their L/19 Tuesday night tilts. Harper is 39-21 ATS as an underdog as the coach of JACKSONVILLE ST. Jacksonville State to cover |
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11-09-21 | Miami-OH +10 v. Georgia Tech | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-09-21 | Kings v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
The Kings pulled off the upset last night on the road against the Leafs and now come into this game in an emotional letdown state and on tired legs. Thus Im betting on a conservative energy conserving effort here tonight vs the Habs. I expect the Kings will play most of this game in transition, and the Les Canadiens to fall into the trap system after a recent bad defensive performance , and because of their lack of current offensive production . Everything for me leans towards a lower scoring affair. Under is 3-1-1 in Canadiens last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. MONTREAL is 6-0 UNDER in home games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games following a win.Under is 17-4 in Kings last 21 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Kings last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 9-3-1 in Kings last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 8-3 in Kings last 11 overall.Under is 5-2 in Kings last 7 games as an underdog. LOS ANGELES is 21-10 UNDER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Montreal. Play on the UNDER |
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11-09-21 | Buffalo +7.5 v. Miami-OH | 18-45 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. BUFFALO is 19-8 ATS L/27 when the total is between 56.5 and 63. Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - in conference games, off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite are 51-19 ATS L/29 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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11-09-21 | Akron v. Western Michigan UNDER 62 | 40-45 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
These are two teams that base their offensive attacks on a run-heavy game plan and both sides also are ranked among the slowest paces in college football. I know Akrons D, is horrendous and Western Michigan will do some damage, but they have had problems finishing drives, so output Im betting will not be as extreme as the lines-makers expect. Meanwhile, Akron despite of some recent success through the air will have issues against a solid Broncos secondary. For me this equates to a more muted score than the pundits expect. Note:Under is 24-6 in Zips last 30 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game which was the case last time out vs Central Michigan. ( A more concerted D effort is to be expected). Play on the UNDER |
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11-09-21 | Appalachian State v. Iona -6 | 53-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
The Gaels posted a strong MAAC Tournament showing ripping though all their opponents to get the big dance, and once again look like a cohesive unit and hoops program on the rise. App State is a solid group but Im betting their over matched. Pitino is 21-7 ATS L/28 in home games in November games in all games he has coached.Play on Iona to cover |
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11-09-21 | Mt. St. Mary's v. Villanova UNDER 132.5 | 51-91 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Mount Saint Marys is a big team, and they wont be easily pushed around by Villanova.Malik Jefferson ,Mezie Offurum, Nana Opoku are all 6-foot-8 or taller and will have not problems bumping heads here in what will be a physical approach to this game to slow down their top tier opponent. the Mount ranked first in defensive efficiency in their conference last season and ranked 10th in all of College Hoops in field goal percentage, allowing a 45% conversion rate . The Mount also ranked ninth nationally in field goal percentage at the rim and must not be underestimated int heir ability to coheres Villanova into a muted offensive output . With the mount losing top offensive player Chong Qui they in turn will have problems with offensive flow. I know Villanova can light it up, especially from three point land , but they did run at slower pace than expected when adjusted to tempo ranking 334th in the nation. Im expecting a grinding affair, here today and a score that remains on the low side of the total. MOUNT ST MARYS is 22-9 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 130.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-08-21 | Suns v. Kings +3 | 109-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
The Kings lost last night to the Indiana Pacers, but Sacramento has proved resilient off a loss lately going 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. Meanwhile, the Suns will be without Deandre Ayton and that Im betting messes with their offensive flow and their ability to beat a well conditioned Kings team. Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. SACRAMENTO is 15-2 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 15-31 ATS after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 24-4 ATS L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game are 15-43 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors, NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are 71-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Suns are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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11-08-21 | Hawks v. Warriors -3 | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Atlanta has lost 6 of their L/7 and are not in good form coming into this game against a Golden state side has won 8 of 9 games. Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games and are fade material in this spot play vs a Warriors side that is in triple revenge mode. ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 free or less throws/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 4-15 ATSin road games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
NBA Road teams (ATLANTA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 23-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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11-08-21 | Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 214 | 92-108 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have lost 6 straight thanks to a lack off offensive flow, and Im betting nothing changes tonight as they play a Dallas team that is playing a strong brand of defense at the moment. With that said, Im betting on a combined score that fails to eclipse this number. DALLAS is 12-3 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-0-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as a favorite. DALLAS is 29-12 UNDER L/41 in home games versus struggling teams - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or more. NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 UNDER in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 games as a road underdog.
NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW ORLEANS/DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 40-12 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. |
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11-08-21 | Nets v. Bulls -1.5 | 95-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is Brooklyns 3rd game in 4 nights and enter this contest with no rest after playing last night in Toronto with tonight being their 2nd straight of back to back road tilts. Needless to say they are vulnerable here in Chicago on tired legs. Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) - a struggling offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after a win by 6 points or less are 49-101 SU L/25 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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11-08-21 | Wolves +6 v. Grizzlies | 118-125 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 including 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Wolves remain competitive beyond the expectations of the lines-makers and deserve respect here vs a Memphis side, that are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record. are 25-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-07-21 | Blues -162 v. Ducks | 1-4 | Loss | -162 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Blues offense is rolling and are fifth in the NHL with 36 goals, and the defense is also in top form having allowed only 20 goals , rankings third- in Goals allowed in the NHL. Blues are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game which happened last time out and are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.Blues are also 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Pacific and are 4-1 in their last 5 road games and are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.Blues are 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Anaheim. Meanwhile, the Ducks despite of playing some decent hockey at home of late are still not at the same level as St.Louis. Note:Ducks are 16-40 in their last 56 games as an underdog. Ducks are 14-37 in their last 51 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Ducks are 6-24 in their last 30 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Ducks are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Central.Ducks are 5-21 in their last 26 games as a home underdog.Ducks are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Road Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (ST LOUIS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, on Sunday games are 56-18 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on St.Louis to win |
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11-07-21 | Cavs +7.5 v. Knicks | 126-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Cleveland has won 6 of their L/8 games including 3 straight and are up-trending in my power rankings. They are off a tenacious road win vs the Raptors last time out and once again deserve respect as underdogs here in NY vs the Knicks. Meanwhile, the Knicks after some uneven performances took a big road win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out, which will have them in a letdown spot . Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. NBA team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 49-23 L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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11-07-21 | Bucks v. Wizards OVER 221 | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Milwaukee because of some injury issues have been less than fluid offensively lately and that has resulted in a string of unders. However, Budenholzer has been repeating a mantra of late that his team needs to be more aggressive, and after their loss to NYK at home last time out, Im betting we see exactly what the HC is calling for. With Washington getting into a offensive flow of late, Im betting on a higher scoring game than the lines-makers may anticipate. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER in home games versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 246.3 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 games as a home underdog.Over is 6-1 in Wizards last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Over is 13-3 in Wizards last 16 games following a straight up win.Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a ATS win.Over is 21-6 in Wizards last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 42-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rater for bettors. Bucks and Wizards have gone over in 8 straight meetings. Play OVER |
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11-07-21 | Cardinals v. 49ers +2.5 | 31-17 | Loss | -100 | 78 h 22 m | Show | |
,Arizona had their perfect 7-0 season come to an abrupt end last time out and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot. The Cards are just 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in games when coming off a SU home chalk loss and have lost 8 of their L/9 overall in tilts after playing against the Green Bay Packers. With QB Jimmy Garoppolo looking healthy and off a strong performance last time ( 17-of-28 for 322 yards) I like the 49ers chances in this spot play. With the Niners 4-0 ATS at home in a key division game vs a team off a Thursday night game Im liking our chances.ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 2 season.Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on SF 49ers to cover |
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11-07-21 | Nets v. Raptors +3.5 | 116-103 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Toronto had a 5 game win streak end last time vs Cleveland in a 1 point loss. Now Im betting on a motivated bounce back effort against a Brooklyn side that is on a 4 game win streak, and vulnerable here to being upset by a Raptors side that are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons here in TO. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 61-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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11-07-21 | Falcons +6.5 v. Saints | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 72 h 43 m | Show | |
The Saints are off a huge underdog win vs TB last week and will now be in a emotional letdown situation. It must be noted that teams that upset Super Bowl champion as a dog are just 19-36 SU/ATS bd division opposition the following game, when not favored by 7 or more points. I know Atlanta may not inspire bettors but is also must be noted that NEW ORLEANS is 7-23 ATS L/20 in home games vs. struggling teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. NEW ORLEANS is 10-22 ATS in home games after having won 4 out of their last 5 games NFL Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season are 11-34 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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11-07-21 | Bills v. Jaguars +15 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 67 h 23 m | Show | |
The Jags do not inspire many bettors, but when value arises I have to bite my pride, and follow the right path. Buffalo is obviously the superior side, but this is just to many points in my humble opinion, especially with Urban Meyer and company looking at this tilt like an opportunity for redemption after a disastrous start to this campaign. NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - with a good first half defense - 7 or less points per game, after allowing 14 points or less last game are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 19-47 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Jacksonville to cover |
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11-07-21 | Texans +6.5 v. Dolphins | 9-17 | Loss | -123 | 67 h 17 m | Show | |
These two teams have lost 7 games in row, and both will desperate for a win here and Im betting it will be a battle to the very end with getting points being eventually golden. HOUSTON is 8-1 straight up against MIAMI and have won 3 of the L/4 visits here . NFL Road underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, in November games are 44-14 ATS L/38 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFL Home favorites (MIAMI) - a poor offensive team (14-18 PPG) against a horrible defensive team ( 27 PPG or more ), after a loss by 10 or more points are 9-38 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate. Play on Texas to cover |
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11-07-21 | Broncos +10 v. Cowboys | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 56 h 26 m | Show | |
Denver is off a grinding home win last time out vs Washington and now come into this game with momentum vs americas team the Dallas Cowboys who are on a 6 game win streak . The Broncos according to my power rankings are being underestimated this week, no matter who starts at QB for the Cowboys ( Prescott or Rush). I know how well the Cowboys have played overall, but from a historical standpoint laying DDs at home vs a non divisional opponent has not been profitable for their backers as they have failed to cover 10 of their L/13 opportunities. Also NFL road dogs like Denver coming off a win of 6 or more points are 15-3 ATS so far this season. Denver has also won and covered 3 of their L/4 visits to Dallas to play the Boyz. It must also be noted that Denver QB Teddy Bridgewater away games as an NFL starter, is a perfect 10-0 ATS versus above .500 opposition and is key here for a Broncos cover. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (DENVER) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFL Favorites (DALLAS) - with an incredible offense - averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 7-32 ATS L/5 seasons for. ago against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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11-06-21 | USC +10.5 v. Arizona State | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
The Sun Devils enter into this game in a 2 game losing streak and recently that has not been a good formula for success for this program as they are just 6-15 SU in conference games when coming off two straight negative results. I know the Trojans may not inspire bettors with their uneven play this season but they are 17-4 L/21 vs Arizona State and from a matchup view point offer value on this line. I know USC will be without star WR Drake London, (injury) but QB Kedon Slovis still has a strong duo of WRs Tahj Washington and Gary Bryant that could start on most college football teams in this nation. CFB Home favorites (ARIZONA ST) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, after the first month of the season are 26-60 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on USC to cover |
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11-06-21 | 76ers +3.5 v. Bulls | 114-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
The Sixers will look for a sixth consecutive win they travel to to take on the Chicago Bulls on Saturday.76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall . Meanwhile, the Bulls fell behind by double figures in their last two games. They managed to erase a 19-point deficit vs Boston but against tonights competition the Sixers they could not complete the comeback, and as a result of those two games Im betting the Bulls will be on tired legs and on the flip-side Im betting the Sixers will be more vigilant this time around. Advantage Philadelphia. CHICAGO is 13-25 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Favorites (CHICAGO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better ) are just 14-40 L/25 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 here in Illinois. Play on Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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11-06-21 | Indiana +20.5 v. Michigan | 7-29 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 26 m | Show | |
After blowing a huge lead last time out to Michigan state - Michigan will come in here hanging their heads low vs a side that would love nothing more than to inflict more damage on their already battered egos. they could also easily find themselves looking ahead to Penn State which will be their next opponent. I know Penix Jr is out at QB for the Hooisers but they are quite capable of top tier offensive production behind freshman QB Donaven McCulley who threw for 242 yards and two scores last time out in a 38-35 loss to Maryland . Note: Donaven McCulley was a 4 star prospect. MICHIGAN is 9-21 ATS in home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Indiana is also 6-0 ATS L/6 on the road in conference action as a 13 point or more dog. INDIANA is 19-8 ATS L/27 in road games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (INDIANA) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-06-21 | Texas +7 v. Iowa State | 7-30 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas RB RB Bijan Robinson ran for just 43 yards last time out on 19 carries . It was a disappointing performance for a back that had accumulated 100 yards in five straight games previous to that. This week Im betting on the senior bouncing back in a big way and being a key contributor in a Texas cover vs Iowa State. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (IOWA ST) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 12-38 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 36-11 ATS L/29 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Cyclones are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in November. Play on Texas to cover |
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11-06-21 | Florida v. South Carolina +18.5 | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 36 h 43 m | Show | |
Last weeks lopsided loss to Georgia will be a demoralizing factor coming into this road game against the Gamecocks. South Carolina (4-4, 1-4) is coming off a bye week that followed a 44-14 defeat at then-No. 17 Texas A&M on Oct. 23 and now on rested legs will be out to pull off the upset while trying to get some kind of redemption. Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Gators are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. South Carolina 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games at home as an underdog of 13 or more points. CFB Road favorites (FLORIDA) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 22-54 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. South Carolina to cover |
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11-06-21 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
My matchup stats suggest that despite of these teams recent overall trends that they will combine for 6 or more goals. BOSTON is 17-5 OVER in road games off a blowout win by 4 goals or more over a division rival with z combined average of 6.4 gpg scored. Over is 6-2 in Maple Leafs last 8 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NHL Road teams against the total (BOSTON) - after a blowout win by 4 goals or more against opponent after 2 straight games where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 22-4 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto. Play on the OVER |
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11-06-21 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -12.5 | 21-31 | Loss | -107 | 47 h 58 m | Show | |
The Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-1) host the Montreal Alouettes (6-5) at IG Field on Saturday. the Bombers are a team on a mission and Montreal is not a team that can slow them according to my power rankings. Note: the Blue Bombers faced the Lions a last week and won by a score of 45-0 count. Another explosion and cover is my call here this evening. WINNIPEG is 18-2 ATS off a division game over the last 3 seasons.WINNIPEG is 18-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.The Blue Bombers are allowing 11.5 points per contest, rankings 1st in the CFL. The Blue Bombers are 1st in the CFL in offensive output averaging of 27 ppg. Play on Winnipeg to cover |
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11-06-21 | LSU +29 v. Alabama | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
This is alot of points to be laying if your a Alabama backers, especially considering the LSU Tigers have revenge on board for a ugly DD loss they suffered to the Tide the last time they played. Now rested and off a bye week with a great deal of preparation time Im betting on LSU making a game out of this or at the the very least covering the number. LSU is 6-0 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons. LSU Is 8-2 ATS L/10 as a dog of 20 or more points , including 7-0 ATS when playing with revenge. LSU has covered 8 of their L/12 visits here, and won SU the last time they were here in 2019. Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. LSU is 13-2 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. Play on LSU to cover |
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11-06-21 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -4 | 28-31 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 38 m | Show | |
Miss State is off a big win vs Kentucky last week, and could find it hard to get up the energy to take out a Arkansas side that my power rankings suggest is a under rated opponent. MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-9 ATS off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals ARKANSAS is 18-6 ATS L/24 in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. ARKANSAS is 13-4 ATS in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-7 ATS against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team vs. the money line (ARKANSAS) - excellent team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 40 RY/G), after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games are 31-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.6 ppg. Play on Arkansas to cover |
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11-06-21 | Utah State v. New Mexico State +18.5 | 35-13 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 12 m | Show | |
Utah State can put points on the board but their defense is atrocious allowing an average 435-yards per game. That to me is not conducive to be able to cover this big of spread on the road . I know New Mexico state may not inspire may bettors, but this is a viable point take here for the home dog according to my projections, especially since they are off a bye week and have had two weeks to prepare . Add to that back door cover capabilities with the 28t h ranked passing offense in the nation ( 276 yards per game) and Im betting we have value with a ugly puppy. Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Aggies are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. MWC. Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on New Mexico State to cover |
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11-06-21 | Michigan State v. Purdue +3 | 29-40 | Win | 100 | 30 h 45 m | Show | |
Michigan State used alot of energy to come back from a DD deficit to defeat their long time Big 10 rivals Michigan last week, and will now have some problems getting back that intensity vs a Purdue side that has won the stats battles in 6 of their 8 games this season. It was not all peaches and cream for the spartans lat week a they allowed a hefty amount of yards on D. MICHIGAN ST is 4-18 ATS L/22 in road games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Brohm is 8-1 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of PURDUE.Brohm is 7-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game as the coach of PURDUE.Brohm is 17-4 ATS L/21 versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached. Play on Purdue to cover |
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11-06-21 | Middle Tennessee State +17 v. Western Kentucky | 21-48 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 10 m | Show | |
Middle Tenn State vs W Kentucky “100 miles of hate”. plus the points looks like a viable wagering opportunity. These teams are big time rivals , and Im betting on fireworks tonight in a tilt Im expecting to be closer than the line might indicate. Both sides are 4-4 on the season, and are both playing well overall right now. Major Bowl implications and a rivalry situation makes the points golden in my humble betting opinion. Hey I know how explosive the Hilltoppers offense has been , but Middle Tenn has also been explosive recently scoring 34 or more points in 4 of their L/5 trips to the gridiron.Blue Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in November.Hilltoppers are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite. Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The two most recent meetings in this series were decided by 3 and 4 points. Play on Midd Tenn State to cover |
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11-06-21 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia +3.5 | 24-3 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
West Virginia with recent wins vs Iowa State and TCU are now in bowl contention and must not be underestimated as home dogs when they are determined to get a much needed third straight victory. Oklahoma State is a fine team, winning 7 of 8 but are just 2-9 ATS L/11 as road favs going against a side off 2 consecutive SU/ATS wins. CFB team (W VIRGINIA) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent are 29-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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11-06-21 | SMU v. Memphis +5 | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
Huge heart breaker last week as SMU lost their first game of the season, thanks to a punt return returned for a TD and a subsequent 44-37 loss. That was excruciating painful and Im betting the Mustangs will have a huge problem getting their butts off the mat for this one.SMU is 14-30 ATS in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game while MEMPHIS is 24-10 ATS in home games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. Dykes is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play as the coach of SMU. Memphis covered six straight times in this series until suffering a close 30-27, loss as chalk last season . SMU is 1-9 ATS in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 0-6 ATS in road games after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 3-12 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MEMPHIS) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 36-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-06-21 | Illinois v. Minnesota -14.5 | 14-6 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
Illinois has almost no offensive flow while Minnesotas D, has been mostly staunch as is evident by allowing just 18.9 ppg with 5 of their L/6 opponents unable to muster more than 16 points. The Gophers can also light up the board, especially at home where they have put 30 or more points in the board in 3 of their L/4 as hosts. Im betting on a lopsided affair here. MINNESOTA is 9-0 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (MINNESOTA) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, in conference games are 24-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-06-21 | Army v. Air Force UNDER 37.5 | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
These sides slugged away on the ground against each other last year in a game that ended in a 10-7 score ( 17 total points) and the year prior to that a 17-13 final score ( 30 points) . Im betting on another grinder here and for the combined score to remain on the low side of the number again. Note : Academy Totals are 39-9-1 UNDER L/49 for a 81% win rate. AIR FORCE is 7-0 UNDER after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.ARMY is 7-0 UNDER in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Play UNDER |
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11-05-21 | Utah v. Stanford +9 | 52-7 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
Stanford is highly inconsistent but according to my power rankings this ATS number is bloated making the Cardinal a live home dog here vs Utah. The Cardinal showed their inconsistencies last time out in. a favorite loss to Washington by a 20-13 count, but the Huskies are very under rated so Ill give the Cards a break on that one. HC Shaw is 14-4 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite as the coach of STANFORD. He's on the hot seat right now, and if he does not have his team ready to play this week, a farewell party maybe on the agenda. Stanfords Desperation, redemption quotas have me taking points here. UTAH is 2-10 ATS L/12 as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (STANFORD) - an average offensive team (21-28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 56-24 ATS L/29 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Stanford to cover |
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11-05-21 | Pacers v. Blazers -3 | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
The Pacers have won back-to-back games following a 1-6 start but after watching them I still feel there is not a sufficient amount of flow and team chemistry might be an issue. Its early in the season to make that kind of statement, and things may eventually even out for the Pacers but for now they have alot of wrinkles to iron out, and this is not a good matchup for them according to my power rankings. The Blazers have won 11 of the L/12 meetings here SU with the lone loss coming last season, making this a revenge spot for them. Trail Blazers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. INDIANA is 13-26 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons Pacers are 3-14 ATS in the last 17 overall meetings. NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite, first half of the season are 24-1 L/25 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 ppg. Play on Portland to cover |
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11-05-21 | Coyotes +146 v. Ducks | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 24 m | Show | |
Its got to end some time. Coyotes winless streak ends here tonight. ANAHEIM is 0-13 against the money line after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.ANAHEIM is 1-12 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 season. Play on the Coyotes |
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11-05-21 | Cavs v. Raptors -5.5 | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
The Raptors are heating up as is evident by 5 straight wins, and matchup well here vs a Cleveland side that despite of up-trending are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 6th road game in their L/7 trips to the hardwood. Toronto has won 5 of the L/6 meetings here at the ACC center in this seres and have covered 4 straight times and tonight Im betting we ride their current momentum to another win and cover.Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Toronto to cover |
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11-05-21 | Virginia Tech -2 v. Boston College | 3-17 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Boston College is having problems again the run and especially dual QB threats. Louisville Cardinal Malik Cunningham and Syracuse’ Orange pivot Garrett Shrader ran all over Boston College as the Eagles allowed 620 + rushing yards including 6.4 yards per carry in those losing tilts. Don't look now but now they have to face another strong ground game featuring double trouble threat Burmeister. CFB team (BOSTON COLLEGE) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 22-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |
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11-05-21 | Nets v. Pistons +10.5 | 96-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets haven't gone on the road for nearly two weeks and Im betting they're equilibrium and energy levels will take time to adjust to being-on the road and going without proverbial home cooking. The Pistons got smacked around the when they played 117-91 on Halloween night vs the Nets and now Im betting they get up enough gumption to redeem themselves at least from a competitive standpoint. DETROIT is 16-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, in November games are 107-61 ATS L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (BROOKLYN) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a struggling team (25% or less) are 125-189 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Motown to cover |
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11-04-21 | Thunder +14.5 v. Lakers | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
The Thunders only win of the season came against the Lakers, and Im betting they wont be taken down easily tonight vs a side that has a tendency of taking nights off vs lower tier sides. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-6 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive road losses. LA LAKERS are 4-14 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 1-10 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 9-24 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 13-25 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, in November games are 106-61 ATS L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oklahoma City to cover |
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11-04-21 | Jets +10.5 v. Colts | 30-45 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
Indianapolis is off a frustrating OT loss vs Tennessee last Sunday and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot this Monday night vs a NY Jets team with a new QB at the helm Mike White who led them to a OT win vs a tough Cincinnati crew by a 34-31 count. I know Carson Wentz is a quality QB but he's not consistent enough and has a tendency to fold under pressure more often than not . On the flip-side the Jets players have said they were very happy when Mike White Lightning came on the field as their new QB and the entire team Im betting will play behind him which is important for team chemistry. Momentum and confidence sit on the Jets side of the field. Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. NFL Road underdogs or pick (NY JETS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 24-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. NFL Home favorites of 10.5 or more points (INDIANAPOLIS) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in weeks 5 through 9 are 17-42 ATS L/38 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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11-04-21 | Georgia State v. UL-Lafayette -12 | 17-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Georgia State took part in a hammering slugfest vs Southern Georgia last week and Im betting they are still not at 100% after that nasty battle in the trenches and could find the sledding rougher than expected against a very physical Lafayette side. Meanwhile, Louisiana Head coach Billy Napier is a perfect 15-0 all-time against Sun Belt West sides including a 5-0 record in conference play this year and 5-0 all-time against Georgia State. I know these are SU numbers, but Lafayette is explosive averaging 40.5 ppg at home this season while allowing just over 12 ppg, and that will be the difference maker -the Cajuns offense. The Ragin Cajuns at home have outscored their opposition by an average of 23.5 point per game and have covered by 15 or more points in each of their last three home games. Meanwhile, Georgia State is 1-3 ATS as dogs this season. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival, in November games are 59-9 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.3 ppg which qualifies on this spread. Play on Lafayette to cover |
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11-04-21 | 76ers v. Pistons OVER 208.5 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Detroit is the only team shooting below 40 percent (39.4), and is even worse behind the 3-point arc (26.7 percent, also worst in the NBA) and because of this the lines-makers have under estimated the Totals number here. This kind of ineptness is bound to recoil on the upide of the output markers. Philadelphia took a 110-102 victory vs the Pistons at home last Thursday and my estimate makes the Total closer to 212 which according to those projections makes for a viable over wager here.Over is 6-0 in Pistons last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit and 7-0 OVER L/7 overall meetings. Rinse and repeat to the over in play here. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DETROIT) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more on the season, after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 77-37 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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11-04-21 | Islanders v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -129 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Isles have gone under in 5 straight games as they continue to dictate a slow pace to their games, with at present inconsistent results in offensive output bodes well for a lower scoring affair vs a struggling offensive team in the Habs . NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 3.5 gog scored. NY ISLANDERS are 7-0 UNDER in road games against poor power play teams - scoring on 14.5% or less of their chances over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 3.9 gpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Islanders last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 7-1-1 in Canadiens last 9 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 6-1-3 in Canadiens last 10 games as a home underdog.Under is 13-3-2 in Canadiens last 18 vs. Eastern Conference NHL team against the total (MONTREAL) - horrible offensive team - scoring 2.4 or less goals/game on the season, after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 40-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-04-21 | Capitals +130 v. Panthers | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Florida had a 8 game win streak abruptly end in Boston last time out, and now they come home to go against a Washington team that is well suited to play against them. Washington has lost only once in regulation this season and that was to TB, and once again must be respected in this spot to pull of the SYU underdog win. WASHINGTON is 10-0 against the money line in road games against sub par defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal over the last 2 seasons. Play on Washington to win |
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11-03-21 | Blues -128 v. Kings | 2-3 | Loss | -128 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
St. Louis buried the biscuit 6 straight times after falling behind 1-0 against the Kings on Oct. 23 and eventually won 7-3 and than were backed by goalie Ville Husso, who made 34 saves in a 3-0 victory vs the LAK crew again. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight in LALA land vs the Kings but this time behind G Jordan Binnington who remains the No. 1 goalie for St. Louis and is coming off a 25-save shutout in a 1-0 win against the visiting Chicago Blackhawks on Saturday. Blues are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite. Kings are 1-8 in their last 9 games as a home underdog. Kings are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. NHL Home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (LOS ANGELES) - revenging a road blowout loss versus opponent by 3 goals or more, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 3-23 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on the St.Louis Blues to win |
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11-03-21 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Grizzlies | 106-108 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Memphis opened the two-game set against the Nuggets with a 106-97 victory on Monday, and now Im betting on the Nuggets to get redemption in this spot play. The Nuggets looked tired last time out QUOTE: "I didn't think we were ready to play," Malone said. "I think we had some guys that looked like they had no energy out there, just kind of fatigued, tired or whatever you want to call it." END QUOTE: Im expecting a big bounce back effort tonight. Malone is 34-19 ATS in road games off a road loss as the coach of DENVER. Grizzlies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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11-03-21 | Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 215.5 | 126-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
The Clippers have not breached the 100 point plateau in 3 straight games, while the Wolves have not scored more than 98 points in 4 of their L/5 overall. Clippers also own the 6th best 'ppg defense and the 26th ranked ppg offense and 27th ranked offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the Wolves rank 7th in ppg allowed and 25 in ppg scored offense. Everything points to a lower scoring affair. MINNESOTA is 15-5 UNDER versus struggling offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 214.7 ppg. MINNESOTA is 10-0 UNDER in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.9 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 22-9 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. NBA team (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or less 3 straight games are 24-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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11-03-21 | Clippers v. Wolves +1 | 126-115 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Neither side is inspiring bettors but home court advantage Im betting will be the difference maker here this evening. Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Timberwolves are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Timberwolves are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss.Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 29-6 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-02-21 | Kings v. Jazz -9 | 113-119 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
The Jazz are already operating in mid season form as they bring a 5-1 record into this tilt with the 5 wins coming by 9 or more points. The Jazz have defeated Sacramento five times in a row and more importantly have covered the all important number all 5 times including a 110-101 win on the road back on Oct 22. The Kings small ball style of play is something that Utah is and has been prepared to deal with. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening. Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) are 48-20 ATS L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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11-02-21 | Braves v. Astros -118 | 7-0 | Loss | -118 | 35 h 8 m | Show | |
Its do or die for the Astros and Im betting they avoid folding just yet and will find a way to win here this evening to tie their World Series matchup vs the Braves at 3 games a piece.HOUSTON is 19-6 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. I know the Braves starter Fried is a top tier hurler, but the Astros are 30-11 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season and 35-14 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.ATLANTA is 9-16 against the money line in an inter-league game this season. Braves are 2-7 in their last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 59-22 in their last 81 games following an off day.Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 playoff games as a favorite.Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague games as a favorite.Astros are 10-4 in their last 14 playoff games. Play on the Astros to win |
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11-02-21 | Heat v. Mavs +2.5 | 125-110 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Mavs are looking like a viable side , especially at home, where they are 3-0, so far on the season , winning 4 of their L/5 tilts. The Mavs in their current form are more than capable of covering and or upsetting the streaking Heat that despite of being on a 4 game win streak, are on tired legs as they play their 4th game in 6 nights including their 3rd road game. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 8-28 ATS L/25 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate . NBA Road favorites (MIAMI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 2 days rest are 17-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover |
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11-02-21 | Miami-OH -7.5 v. Ohio | 33-35 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Miami (OH) gets their starting QB back making them a dangerous opponent for Ohio. RedHawks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games vs. teams with a losing home record. Ohio is 1-7 on the year and have lost four of their last five games and fade material in this current form. MIAMI OHIO is 6-0 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. OHIO U is 3-15 ATS L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) Martin is 30-9 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games as the coach of MIAMI OHIO.Martin is 12-1 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season as the coach of MIAMI OHIO. OHIO U is 0-6 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.OHIO U is 2-10 ATS in home games over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games are 87-46 ATS L/29 season for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the Miami Ohio Red Hawks to cover |
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11-02-21 | Eastern Michigan +9 v. Toledo | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan has lost only one game by more than 7 points this season and that was to Wisconsin on the road. Creighton is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of E MICHIGAN and always has his team ready to compete. Creighton is 6-0 ATS in road games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better as the coach of E MICHIGAN. Eagles are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog.Eagles are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 road games. Candle is 3-11 ATS off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of TOLEDO which was the case vs W.Michigan last time out.Candle is also just 4-12 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% like E.Michigan or better as the coach of TOLEDO.Rockets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a bye week.Rockets are 2-7 ATS/SU in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Play on Eastern Michigan |
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11-02-21 | Golden Knights v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Vegas has seen a total of 6 attached to just 8 of their road games since last season with a combined average of 5.4 gpg scored. Considering the Leafs offense seems to be in an early season funk scoring more than 3 goals just once this season, it wont be a hard decision here to take the under , especially with Vegas dealing with some nagging injuries up front. Under is 4-0 in Golden Knights last 4 games as a road underdog. Under is 10-3-2 in Maple Leafs last 15 games following a win.Under is 21-7-1 in Maple Leafs last 29 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Maple Leafs last 8 vs. Western Conference.Under is 8-3 in Maple Leafs last 11 overall.Under is 7-3 in Maple Leafs last 10 games as a favorite.Under is 39-18-2 in Maple Leafs last 59 vs. Pacific. NHL Road teams against the total (VEGAS) - after winning 2 consecutive games in overtime against opponent after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more are 22-4 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 4.4 gpg going on the scoreboard. Play UNDER |
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11-02-21 | Red Wings v. Canadiens -132 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Montreal has just two wins this season, one of them came against tonights opposition Detroit by a 6-1 count. Advantage Habs. Red Wings are 36-94 in their last 130 games as an underdog. Red Wings are 11-41 in their last 52 vs. Eastern Conference. Red Wings are 12-52 in their last 64 games as a road underdog.NHL Home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (MONTREAL) - tired team - playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a terrible team (30% or less) playing a team with a losing record are 35-8 L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Canadiens to win |
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11-01-21 | Senators v. Blackhawks -127 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 34 h 59 m | Show | |
Chicago has lost 8 straight games to begin their season, and now have a Ottawa team according to my power rankings that they can handle. All good and bad runs must eventually come to end. NHL Home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (CHICAGO) - off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival, winless on the season are 41-7 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (CHICAGO) - tired team - playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a terrible team (30% or less) playing a team with a losing record are 34-8 L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Blackhawks to win |
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11-01-21 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 217.5 | 128-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Chicago ranks 4th in ppg allowed D, and have shown themselves to be methodical in their approach ranking 22nd in pace and Im betting . Meanwhile, the Celtics despite of some tainted numbers are also running at a slower pace ranking 14th in the league. My projections have estimated this Totals offering to be off by almost a full possession to the under at 215 giving us value on this offered number. CHICAGO is 17-7 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.6 ppg . CHICAGO is 14-3 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.5 ppg scored. Under is 8-1 in Bulls last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 road games.Under is 14-3 in Bulls last 17 overall. Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (CHICAGO) - off a home win, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 41-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for 72% conversion rate. Play on UNDER |