Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-17-23 | Tennessee v. Mississippi State OVER 122.5 | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Tennessee is off a hard fought physical affair and upset 63-56 loss vs Kentucky last time out and will now be primed for a rebound and redemption minded effort . I know that Miss state will try to slow this game down to a grind, but the Vols will be hell bent on playing more aggressive and a more wide open style of hoops in transition, and Mississippi State will have to open up or be blown of the court. It must be noted Tennessee popped 87 points on the board at home in these teams first meeting this season. Barnes is 24-7 OVER in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 148.1 ppg scored. TENNESSEE L/24 games after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average score of 140.5 ppg scored. CBB home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (MISSISSIPPI ST) - poor shooting team (40-42.5%) against an excellent defensive team (40% or worse) after 15+ games are 43-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors wtht a combined average of 134.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (TENNESSEE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 31-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +2.5 | 31-14 | Loss | -105 | 106 h 2 m | Show | |
In Tom Brady Brady we trust . The GOAT is a 19-time division champion and is 7-0 SU in his career versus the Dallas Cowboys . I will happily take the points here with one of the great all time QBs in NFL history in a key play off game. Hey don't get me wrong Dak Prescott is a excellent QB as well but he has a propensity for turning the ball over via interceptions. DALLAS is 5-15 ATS in road games in January games since 1992. Cowboys are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff games.Cowboys are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on a natural surface. Cowboys are 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Buccaneers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings NFL Favorites (DALLAS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (18-23 PPG), after a loss by 10 or more points are 9-33 ATS L/10 seasons for go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to cover |
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01-16-23 | Alabama State v. Alabama A&M OVER 140.5 | 69-61 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My rejections estimate a combined score of 144 or more giving us a full possession cushion this total with over position. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ALABAMA ST) - poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 Reb/G) vs. a horrible rebounding team (6 or less Reb/G) - 15+ games are 29-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-16-23 | Devils v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
The Devils offense is rolling averaging 4.6 gpg in their L/5 overall and I would not be surprised if they eclipsed this total all by themselves vs a defensively deficient San Jose side that allowed 7 goals last time out and allowed and average of 4.4 gpg in their L/5 overall and 4.2 gpg on the season. Over is 5-0 in Devils last 5 overall. Over is 3-1-1 in Devils last 5 road games.Over is 20-7-1 in Devils last 28 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation NEW JERSEY is 6-0 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9 gpg scored. NEW JERSEY is 7-0 OVER against struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.6 gpg scored. SAN JOSE is 11-2 OVER off a loss against a division rival this season with a combined average of 7.1 gog scored.Over is 8-0 in Sharks last 8 following a loss of 3 or more goals. Over is 6-0-1 in Sharks last 7 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Over is 3-0-1 in Sharks last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 7-1 in Sharks last 8 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. NHL Road teams against the total (NEW JERSEY) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 24-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (SAN JOSE) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after allowing 6 goals or more are 43-17 OVER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-16-23 | Heat -1 v. Hawks | 113-121 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat, who are on a three game winning streak and forming in top top tier form, Im betting will extend its recent dominance over the host Atlanta Hawks when they meet on Monday as part of the Martin Luther King Jr. Day festivities. The Heat have won 6 of the L/7 meetings losing only once by 1 point. McMillan is 10-24 ATS off an upset win as an underdog as the coach of ATLANTA. ATLANTA is 3-16 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 season.( Beat the Raptors last time out) NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 5-37 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Miami to cover |
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01-16-23 | Purdue v. Michigan State +3.5 | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Michigan State lost to Purdue in the semifinals of the Big Ten tourney last season and Tom Izzo and company have this game circled on their calendar for a while now and will be primed for payback on their home court. Michigan State has won seven of its last eight games and enters the game on Monday with a 12-5 overall record, including a 4-2 mark in Big Ten play and will not easily fold here. PURDUE is 11-22 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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01-15-23 | Ravens +7 v. Bengals | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 107 h 30 m | Show | |
Baltimore ranks third in scoring defense (18.5 points allowed per game) and tied for ninth in total defense (324.3 yards allowed per game). I know alot of focus is on whether Ravens QB Lamar Jackson will play, but Im betting the difference maker here comes via the Ravens ability to play physical ball against a team that has played every game like its their last. Which for me is not a good omen going into the play offs, as exhaustion and regression could easily rare their ugly heads at the worst possible time. Remember Baltimore beat Cincinnati in week 5 and in my opinion valid underdogs in this tilt. BALTIMORE is 31-15 ATS l/36 in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better, ) Harbaugh is 6-0 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse as the coach of BALTIMORE. CINCINNATI is 3-13 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 150 or more rushing yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 9-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion run for bettors. Play on Baltimore to cover |
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01-15-23 | Thunder v. Nets -5 | 112-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Thunder can no longer surprise teams that have in the past over looked them. Now with that advantage gone , Im betting on the Brooklyn Nets being wide awake and ready to really bring the hammer down on their young talented visiting group in decisive fashion. Especially after losing to Boston last time out at home. With that said, Im betting this will be a situation that sees the Nets take out their frustrations on the Thunder. Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BROOKLYN) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 31-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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01-15-23 | Rockets +9.5 v. Clippers | 100-121 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling with the Rockets on a 9 game losing streak while the Clippers have lost 7 of their L/8 overall. I know Houston has been smashed by the Clippers three times this season, but Im betting this young Houston group will be prepared for redemption today and a competitive showing. The old adage enough is enough will be the Rockets moto today. LA CLIPPERS are 8-25 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - struggling defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 31-10 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
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01-15-23 | Ohio State v. Rutgers -3 | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Ohio State has lost 3 straight and playing in the difficult road environment Im betting will not see them stop the bleeding. After suffering a rare home loss to Iowa last time out Im expecting the Scarlet Knights to come out here with a top tier effort and get us the cover. RUTGERS is 11-0 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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01-15-23 | Dolphins +9.5 v. Bills | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 100 h 50 m | Show | |
The Bills’ this past season had some problems with the Dolphins Closing as 4.5-point favorites in the first meeting, they were defeated by a 21-19. than as 7-point chalk the second time round and barely squeezed by in that matchup be a 32-29 score. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here as I have this tilt projected at less than a TD for Buffalo thus giving us value with an underdog take with the Fins.Underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Bills are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Dolphins to cover |
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01-15-23 | Dolphins v. Bills UNDER 47 | 31-34 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 54 m | Show | |
Im betting Miami turns this into a physical grinding play off affair that ends in a combined score that will not eclipse this totals offering. Slow and easy will be the clock eating mission of the Fins as they try to keep QB Josh Allen on the sidelines as long as possible. MIAMI is 12-3 UNDER in playoff games since 1992 with a combined average of 39.4 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 Wildcard games. Under is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 playoff games BUFFALO is 10-2 UNDER in home games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 40.5 ppg scored. NFL Road teams against the total (MIAMI) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight game are 50-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. NFL team against the total (MIAMI) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% in the second half of the season are 47-19 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Under is 7-3 in Bills last 10 vs. AFC. Play UNDER |
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01-15-23 | St. John's +14.5 v. Connecticut | 85-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Connecticut started strong this season with a 14-0 run but are just 4-3 in conference play . Meanwhile, St.Johns just ended a losing string with a win vs Butler last time out. Both sides need a win badly and Im betting that this will be a rock fight and hard fought battle. The Johnnies have had done well vs UConn lately cashing at a 6-0-1 ATS rate in their L/7 meetings and Im betting on a rinse repeat situation today.ST JOHNS is 9-2 ATSin road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.ST JOHNS is 6-0 ATS in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.CONNECTICUT is 3-14 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.Hurley is 5-16 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite as the coach of CONNECTICUT. Play on St.Johns to cover |
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01-15-23 | Marquette v. Xavier UNDER 164.5 | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My own projection makes this line closer to 160 giving us a two possession cushion on a under wager. Smart is 19-7 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive overs in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 139 points per game going on the scoreboard. CBB Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (XAVIER) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after allowing 85 points or more are 29-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-14-23 | Mavs +2 v. Blazers | 119-136 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
Portland has lost 5 straight games and Im betting that trend continues tonight vs a superior side off a momentum building road win last time out at Los Angles vs the Lakers. Dallas has won 3 of their 4 here in Portland and get the nod again. From a SRS perspective . Dallas ranks 11th in the NBA 1,29 mark while Portland ranks 19th -0.34 . SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. PORTLAND is 8-17 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. Billups is 18-35 ATS v after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of PORTLAND. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on Dallas to cover |
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01-14-23 | Chattanooga +2.5 v. Samford | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UT-CHATTANOOGA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 32-5 ATS L/23 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Chattanooga to cover |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. 49ers | 23-41 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 36 m | Show | |
The 49ers opened the season 3-4 and trailed the Seahawks in the division race before running off 10 consecutive victories. The 49ers look like the right side, but after playing very hard physical ball for an extended period of time they could easily hit a wall regress at the worst possible time. Something Im betting on here in this play off tilt. NFL Road underdogs or pick (SEATTLE) - off a win against a division rival, in January games are 28-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 9-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on Seattle to cover |
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01-14-23 | North Dakota +5.5 v. Denver | 71-78 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. DENVER is 0-6 ATS against conference opponents this season. CBB underdog (N DAKOTA) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (65-69%), cold shooting team - 4 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 32-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. N Dakota State to cover |
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01-14-23 | Holy Cross v. Lafayette UNDER 125.5 | 48-62 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOLY CROSS/ LAFAYETTE) - in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 28-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate with the average ppg output ringing in at 113.8 ppg. Play UNDER |
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01-14-23 | Maine +8.5 v. Maryland-Baltimore County | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Kentucky +12 v. Tennessee | 63-56 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Wildcats had a 28 game home win streak smashed by South Carolina recently and you can bet Calipari will be primed for a bounce back vs a top tier side ( Tennessee) here in his own diggs. Add to that revenge for last years tourney loss and Im betting we see the Wildcats make a game of this this. Calipari is 31-16 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% lor better ) after 15 or more games as the coach of KENTUCKY. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (KENTUCKY) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Kentucky to cover |
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01-13-23 | Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 225.5 | 115-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
These teams have a recent history of playing physical defensive affairs here at the Staples Center as is evident by the under cashing in the Nuggets last 5 visits to LA to play the Clippers with a combined average score (200.4 ppg) going on the board. Denver has recently played a long series of home games (four on a row) and when this has happened recently the Nuggets have gone under in 8 of their L/9 tilts overall ( after 4 or more straight as hosts). Meanwhile, the Clippers have gone under in 11 of their L/12 in 2/1 rest situation and have gone under in 9 of their L/10 against .600 or better conf opposition. Everything points to this being a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this offered total.Also the Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 36-13-2 in Nuggets last 51 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 22-5-1 in Clippers last 28 home games. Play on the UNDER |
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01-13-23 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Clippers | 115-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Denver has won 5 of the L/6 meetings in this series with the Clippers with the only loss coming by two points. Considering the Clippers current form , registering losses in 6 of their L/7 and the overall consistent play of the Nuggets it will not be hard decision to take the visitors getting points. Rest has not always been a catalyst for the Clippers either as they are just 2-15 ATS when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.LA CLIPPERS are 8-24 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA Home teams (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 11-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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01-13-23 | Devils v. Ducks OVER 6.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
NJ Devils offense after a brief lull has picked up speed again and scored 4 or more goals in 5 of their L/6 games, and Im betting on them eclipsing that number tonight that allowed 17 goals in their L/2 games and have allowed 4 of more goals in 5 of their L/6 overall. Meanwhile, the Devils have allowed 3 or more goals in 6 of their L/8 and Im also betting the Ducks find the back of the net enough times to help buoy us over this offered total. Over is 5-0 in Devils last 5 games following a win something they achieved last time out. NEW JERSEY is 6-0 OVER against struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.7 gpg going on the scoreboard. Over is 7-2 in Ducks last 9 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 8-3 in Ducks last 11 vs. Metropolitan. NHL Home teams against the total (ANAHEIM) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings in Anaheim. Play over |
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01-13-23 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 241 | 144-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Back on Nov 14 the Spurs were clobbered by the Warriors by a 132-95 count. Im betting this time around the Spurs HC Popovich will try to slow this game down in a redemption scenario. This will directly effect this score to the under. Yes, I know these teams Ds, do not look viable, but this number is still slightly bloated according to my projections . Under is 9-4-1 in Warriors last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Under is 11-5 in Warriors last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home. Under is 33-16-2 in Warriors last 51 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. GOLDEN STATE is 34-18 UNDER L/52 in road games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 205.1 ppg scored. . GOLDEN STATE is 25-11 UNDER when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.8 ppg . NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 47-13 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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01-13-23 | Pelicans -5 v. Pistons | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Detroit is off a huge /DD win vs Minnesota last time out but now Im expecting a huge regressionary situation to rare its ugly head vs a superior side. Note: DETROIT is 1-13 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under 18 points per game. I know that the Pistons have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Pelicans back on Dec 7th but it must be noted that DETROIT is 0-11 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season and Im betting that trend stays intact after tonights tilt. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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01-13-23 | Nebraska +16 v. Purdue | 55-73 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Purdue beat Nebraska 65-62 on the road back on Dec 10th and now with revenge on board Im betting the Cornhuskers make a game of this. Just to much of a point swing here not to be on the take. NEBRASKA is 11-3 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. PURDUE is 3-11 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. PURDUE is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing a game as favorite this season CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (NEBRASKA) - off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 65-32 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.( Blasted by Illinois last time out in a ugly effort- redemption time ) Play on Nebraska to cover |
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01-12-23 | Arizona v. Oregon State +15.5 | 86-74 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. OSU leads the Pac-12 in free throw percentage at 74.9 percent , key to backing this underdog vs a top tier side. Also Oregon State is shooting 45.4 percent from the floor at home this season, compared to 41.2 percent away from Gill Coliseum. OREGON ST is 14-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better) over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (ARIZONA) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a losing record are 31-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oregon State to cover |
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01-12-23 | Utah +12.5 v. UCLA | 49-68 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UCLA and Utah are the top 2 scoring defenses in the Pac-12. The Bruins are ranked No.21 nationally, allowing around 60.8 PPG, and the Runnin’ Utes come in at No 26, allowing 61.5 PPG. Utah is 6th in the country in rebounding, UCLA is 197, which Im betting will be a key advantage. Five returning starters for Utah make them very experienced under fire and they wont be flustered tonight at UCLA in game I have pegged to be much closer than the linesmakers line might indicate.
Play on Utah to cover |
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01-12-23 | New Mexico State +5 v. Seattle University | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. For years, WAC Championships have run through Las Cruces and there appeared to be a gulf between NM State and the rest of the league, however, this season it looks as though the rest of the league has finally caught up. But after a 0-4 league start you can bet that New Mexico state will be primed for a all out effort as a 0-5 start would be the worst in their history. NEW MEXICO ST is 11-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. NEW MEXICO ST is 6-0 ATSin road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW MEXICO ST) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 48-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with New Mexico state to cover |
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01-12-23 | Northern Colorado v. CS Sacramento -4.5 | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO ST) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%) are 70-5 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at +11 ppg which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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01-12-23 | St. Thomas v. UMKC OVER 135 | 60-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Tauer is 8-1 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of ST THOMAS (MN) with a combined average of 157.2 ppg scored. MISSOURI-KC is 6-0 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 161.7 ppg scored. MISSOURI-KC is 10-1 OVER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 162.4 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (ST THOMAS (MN)) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 31-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 144.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-12-23 | Northern Kentucky v. Wisc-Milwaukee -1 | 75-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Milwaukee has proven proficient at both ends of the floor and are playing with alot of confidence, N.Kentucky has their hands full tonight. N KENTUCKY is 0-8 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (WI-MILWAUKEE) - off 2 straight wins against conference rivals, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 83-33 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Wisconsin Milwaukee to cover |
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01-12-23 | Tex A&M Commerce -4 v. Houston Christian | 59-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make Texas A&M Commerce at -7 favs thus we have value laying this number. HOUSTON CHRISTIAN is 1-7 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog this season. CBB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON CHRISTIAN) - off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play Texas A&M Commerce to cover |
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01-12-23 | Wild v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
The last two meetings in this series have seen a combined 7 goals scored and my estimates and projections estimate both sides to hit the 3+ goal output in this matchup. Minnesota has averaged 3.6 gpg in their last 5 tilts, and now that the Islanders are getting healthy again Im betting their recent goal scoring struggles will come to end here at home where they play their best hockey having averaged 3.1 gpg this season. MINNESOTA is 24-9 OVER when they allow 3 goals over the last 3 seasons.with a combined average of 6.9 gog scored. MINNESOTA is 26-11 OVER after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games against opponent after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored are 64-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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01-12-23 | Celtics v. Nets UNDER 228 | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Im betting Boston and Brooklyn who are two top tier heavy weight teams will conservatively and physically turn this into a grinding affair rather than a run and gun battle which is not abnormal for matchups like this. The Celtics are ranked 9th in defensive efficiency and 16th in pace, while the Nets rank 5th in ppg allowed while ranking 21st in pace. Im betting on this being a rock fight and for the combined score to stay on the low side of the total. BROOKLYN is 17-2 UNDER versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons are 220.7 ppg. BROOKLYN is 11-2 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) over the last 2 seasons with a combined 216.3 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 8-0 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or more turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 219.2 ppg. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 222.2 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 49-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBAteams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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01-12-23 | Youngstown State v. Detroit +1.5 | 84-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - an explosive offensive team ( 76 or better PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or more are 24-4 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Detroit to cover |
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01-11-23 | California +12 v. Washington State | 51-66 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. California has played well of late garnering wins in 3 of their L/4, while Washington state is off a huge road win vs Arizona last time out and will be in. major emotional letdown situation tonight vs a side they could easily be over looking.Smith is 0-6 ATS when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 20% or less) as the coach of WASHINGTON ST.WASHINGTON ST is 0-7 ATS b in home games after playing a road game over the last 2 season. California to cover |
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01-11-23 | TCU v. Texas -5.5 | 75-79 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Texas has won seven of the last eight and 24 of the last 32 meetings against the Horned Frogs entering Wednesday's contest. The Longhorns have won 18 of the last 20 meetings in Austin against TCU. Rinse and repeat. Note: Revenge on board for Longhorns after suffering neutral court tourney loss to TCU last season. Play on Texas to cover |
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01-11-23 | Tulane v. SMU +5 | 97-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Tulane lost both meetings to SMU last season and despite of having revenge on board just dont deserve to be 5 point road favs in a place the program has lost its last 12 visits dating back to 1997. SMU was clobbered in back to back games vs very strong competition Houston and UCF, but now this will seem like a walk in the park compared to that over whelming opp. Play on SMU to cover |
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01-11-23 | Pacers +5 v. Knicks | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
The Pacers 6-0-1 ATS L/7 are in revenge mode for a 109-106 loss to NYK as home favs back in December. Meanwhile, after a hard fought 111-017 loss to the Bucks last time out, the Knicks could easily find themselves in a letdown spot and vulnerable to a sub par effort . Note: NYK are 3-17 SU/ATS L/20 games after facing the Bucks. NEW YORK is 9-23 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 9-1 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season. NEW YORK is 9-24 ATS in home games after playing a home game over the last 2 season NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 33-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Indiana to cover |
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01-11-23 | Predators v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Both these teams offenses have been consistent for a while now . The Predators have scored at least three goals in six consecutive trips to the ice , averaging 4.5 gpg during that span.Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs have scored four-plus goals in seven of their last nine games. tonight as they play their 4th consecutive road game on tired legs Im betting on the explosive Buds offense to some damage against a Nashville team that have allowed 256 high-danger chances which ranking 24th in the league. In response Im also betting on the Preds to also do some offense damage against a some times shaky Toronto goal tending unit. TORONTO is 11-3 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. NASHVILLE is 23-13 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 gpg going on the board. NHL Home teams against the total (TORONTO) - off a road win, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 102-64 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-11-23 | Abilene Christian v. UT-Rio Grande Valley +6.5 | 86-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UTRGV is 6-0 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. Play on UTRGV to cover |
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01-11-23 | Bulls +1.5 v. Wizards | 97-100 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
The Wizards are extremely inconsistent as is evident when they went through a 9 game losing streak in early and mid December, than won 6 of 7 games including 5 straight and now they have lost three straight SU/ATS again and very much look like they are right back into the same funk they went through in December. Meanwhile, Chicago has been highly competitive of late winning 3 of their L/4 overall and covering a 9-2-1 ATS rate in their L/12 trips to the court.Bulls are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Wizards are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 Unseld Jr is 9-23 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread as the coach of WASHINGTON. Bulls are 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Washington. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 11-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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01-11-23 | Gardner-Webb v. Presbyterian OVER 125.5 | 79-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (PRESBYTERIAN) - poor shooting team (40-42.5%) against an excellent defensive team (40% or less) after 15+ games are 41-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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01-11-23 | Monmouth +20.5 v. Hofstra | 57-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Hofstra has won five in a row, with four of them decided by a combined 17 points, including a one and two-point game and Im betting Monmouth finds a way to cover here this evening at Hofstra. HOFSTRA is 1-9 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or less over the last 3 seasons. HOFSTRA is 1-9 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. HOFSTRA is 0-6 ATS in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (MONMOUTH) - terrible shooting team (40% or less) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 31-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Monmouth to cover |
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01-11-23 | Mississippi State -2 v. Georgia | 50-58 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Through 15 games, the Bulldogs are among the nation's best surrendering 56.7 points per game (2nd SEC o 5th nationally) on a 38.7 opponent field goal per-centage (3rd SEC o 21st nationally).The Bulldogs D, will be the difference maker tonight. Georgia's top scoring duo is Terry Roberts (15.7 PPG, 4.2 APG, 3.8 RPG, 1.9 SPG) and Kario Oquendo (14.1 PPG, 3.8 RPG) are going to have their flow interrupted by an aggressive visitor. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 43-18 ATS L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miss state to cover |
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01-10-23 | Suns v. Warriors -9.5 | 125-113 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a payback game for the Warriors against the Suns tonight. In two matchups this season Phoenix pounded Golden State by DD, deficits now payback is on the agenda. Note: Golden State is 5-1 ATS with same-season double revenge, including 3-0 SUATS as hosts. With the Suns looking run down and disarray as is evident by losing 5 straight the Warriors catch the Suns at an opportune time for redemption. Kerr is 35-19 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of GOLDEN STATE GOLDEN STATE is 16-5 ATS in home games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 22-8 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights are 31-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 47-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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01-10-23 | Fresno State +3.5 v. San Jose State | 64-74 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. FRESNO ST is 5-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons. Play on Fresno State to cover |
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01-10-23 | Cavs v. Jazz UNDER 227 | 114-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Cleveland has seen a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored on the road this season in 19 games, and always seem to play at a more deliberate pace away from home while paying special attention to defense in transition. That will definitely be the game plan vs a run and gun opponent Utah. With my projections estimates coming in a 224 I feel we have a comfortable one possession plus cushion to the under. . Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. CLEVELAND is 27-13 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 214.6 ppg scored. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Utah with none of the games eclisping this current offering. Play UNDER |
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01-10-23 | North Carolina v. Virginia -5 | 58-65 | Win | 100 | 26 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. N.Carolina is over rated here vs a Virginia side with revenge on board from last years ugly tournament loss to the Tar Heels. NC is 0-9 ATS L/9 as visitors in this series. Virginia 8-1 ATS L/9 when seeking revenge vs N.Carolina. The Cavaliers returning 5 man corps Im betting will come out on fire tonight in a conclusive redemption win. Virginia to cover |
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01-10-23 | Oklahoma +10 v. Kansas | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Oklahoma dropped their first game last season 67-64 to Kansas as hosts and then dropped the second 2022 Big 12 meeting against Kansas 71-69 at Allen Fieldhouse last Jan and Im betting another hard fought affair here this season with taking points proving to be golden. OKLAHOMA is 22-11 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS is 2-10 ATS versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (KANSAS) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a top-level team (80% ore more) playing a good team (60% to 80%) are 16-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma to cover |
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01-10-23 | Seton Hall v. Georgetown +9 | 66-51 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SETON HALL) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 9-42 ATS L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Georgetown to cover |
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01-10-23 | Hornets v. Raptors OVER 229.5 | 120-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Toronto and Charlotte both have both struggled . Charlotte is ranked 27th in ppg defense, behind the 7th ranked pace, so when they are hitting shots like they did against Milwaukee recently they poured down 139 points in a win. I now expect the Hornets to once again do some damage tonight as Im also betting the Raptors pedestrian offense will hit above their season average as they are forced into opening up with this totals number being eclipsed. Clifford is 12-1 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of CHARLOTTE with a combined average of 241.7 ppg scored. Nurse is 23-11 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game as the coach of TORONTO with a combined an average of 232.1 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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01-10-23 | Thunder v. Heat -3.5 | 111-112 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat were dealt a tough loss at the hands of the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday by a 102-101 count. Jimmy Butler then sends a message to his teammates after athat above mentioned close loss to the Nets: ‘I hope that this is the one that flips the switch’Miami has had a difficult time being consistent this season, and Butler the teams leader reacted and now Im b betting on a big effort tonight against home against a up-trending Oklahoma City side . MIAMI is 9-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, on Tuesday nights are 3-24 ATS L/25 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 17-73 L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.5. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. MIAMI is 5-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-10-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -145 | 5-3 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
Devils after a fast start to their season have cooled off considerably losing 10 of their L/14 and have had problems stringing together wins. They did find a way to win last time out, but it must be noted that the Devils are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a victory. Meanwhile, the Canes are 15-4 in their last 19 overall and are 9-2 L/11 vs Eastern Conference opposition and have an edge here at home. NHL CAROLINA is 19-4 ATS in home games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 3 seasons. CAROLINA is 51-19 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 3 seasons. Devils are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Carolina. Devils are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings. Play on Carolina to win |
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01-10-23 | Toledo v. Kent State -3 | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Toledo has been lighting it up offensively of late and are off scoring 102 points last time out. After that giant output Im betting on immediate regression against a strong program( Kent State). TOLEDO is 3-15 ATS in road games after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games. KENT ST is 11-1 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons. KENT ST is 16-3 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. KENT ST is 8-1 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons Kent State cover |
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01-10-23 | Akron v. Bowling Green OVER 140.5 | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Bowling Green has scored 93, 102, 91, 88 points respectively in their L/4 trips to the hardwood, and Im betting they drag Akron into a run and gun affair here this evening. Akron has eclipsed the 80 point plateau in half of their L/8 games and can light it up offensively when pushed which will be the case tonight. BOWLING GREEN is 11-1 OVER L/12 after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games with a combined average score of 155.7 ppg going on the board. BOWLING GREEN is 12-2 OVER b when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined score of 155.5 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOWLING GREEN) - off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 38-12 OVER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 149.6 ppg going on the board. Play over |
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01-09-23 | Magic +7 v. Kings | 111-136 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
Orlando has won 10 of its past 15 games, including two victories against the Boston Celtics, and seem to leave their best efforts for what is perceived to be superior teams. Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Magic are also 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall and deserve respect here as underdogs vs a Kings side that are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Kings are also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Magic are looking for revenge and redemption vs tge Kings after dropping a heartbreaking 126-123 overtime decision in Orlando on Nov. 5. NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA Home teams (SACRAMENTO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a sub par team (25 to 40%) are 56-100 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. (Sacramento fell asleep at the proverbial wheel last time out and lost a hard fought 136-134 defeat at the hands of the LA Lakers which Im betting has them in a letdown spot tonight vs the Magic. Play on Orlando to cover |
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01-09-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -9.5 | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a bad spot for the Lakers as are playing their 7th game in 10 nights, and will be in tired legs, here in the high exhausting altitudes of the Mile High City. Add to that Denver has revenge on board for a earlier loss this season to the Lakers, and will be primed to end the Lakers current 5 game win streak and fresh enough to do so after getting 2 days off. Malone is 37-18 ATS in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite as the coach of DENVER with the average ppg diff clicking at +10.5 ppg. Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 23-5 ATS L/16 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Denver to cover |
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01-09-23 | Texas Southern v. Mississippi Valley State UNDER 133 | 67-71 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Texas Southern has averaged 62.3 ppg on offense on the road this season while their hosts Miss Valley State have averaged 54.6 ppg on offense overall.
Miss Valley State HC Ivory is 9-0 UNDER after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (TEXAS SOUTHERN) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 125.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play on the UNDER |
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01-09-23 | Florida A&M +15.5 v. Grambling State | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. McCullum is 9-1 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less as the coach of FLORIDA A&M. McCullum is 15-3 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points as the coach of FLORIDA A&M. GRAMBLING is 1-11 ATSwhen playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 20% or less) over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (GRAMBLING) - average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a horrible offensive team (63 or less PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 55-104 ATS L/26 seasons for a 66% go against conversion rate. Play on Florida A&M to cover |
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01-09-23 | TCU +13 v. Georgia | 7-65 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 24 m | Show | |
TCU enters this game hitting on all cylinders offensively scoring an average 47 points per game in their L/3 trips to to gridiron. Meanwhile, somethings not right defensively with Georgia as they have now allowed 71 points and 1,013 yards in its last two tilts. Also after finding a way to barely get by Ohio State last time out in miraculous fashion, Im betting they are in a huge emotional letdown situation against a TCU side that is expected to lose and play with alot less pressure than their opponents , thus giving us a hefty cushion on what my projections estimate is a slightly bloated line. Note: The L/4 teams that made it back to the College Football championship game, are 0-4 /SU/ATS. Also .750 or better DD bowl pups entering off a SU underdog win are 5-0 ATS dating back to the 2008 season .Add to that bowl teams taking 13 points or more on the opening line are 7-0 ATS going against .900 plus win % sides dating back to the 2013 campaign. Dykes is 31-16 ATS in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1992. Favorites in the Championship game have failed to cover 5 of the L/8 times and are 0-2 SU/ATS vs non undefeated opposition like TCU. Take the points with TCU |
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01-09-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Canadiens UNDER 6.5 | 4-0 | Win | 110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Seattle has a offensive explosion last time out beating Ottawa 8-4 and now Im betting on immediate offensive regression of a an aware Habs side that will want to slow their opponents flow. Meanwhile, Montreal is also in a regressionary position as they come off a rare strong offensive output winning a 5-4 decision against St.Louis. Two teams off back and forth affairs will now Im betting take part in a more conservative affair that fails to eclipse this totals offering. SEATTLE is 8-1 UNDER after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored this season.MONTREAL is 15-6 UNDER off an home win scoring 4 or more goals over the last 3 seasons. Under is 4-1-1 in Kraken last 6 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. Under is 10-3-3 in Kraken last 16 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 5-1 in Canadiens last 6 games following a win. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (SEATTLE) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 49-18 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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01-09-23 | Pelicans v. Wizards -1 | 132-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have lost their past three road games and six of their past seven away from home and are off a division loss to Dallas as visitors last time out. It must be noted that NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS off a road loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, Washington lost the last game of its 4 game road trip after having won 5 of their previous 6 games overall. HC Unseld ,however, was not impressed by his teams work ethic Quote: "In general, I don't think we had the right mindset. We looked a little sluggish. You could argue (it was) a long trip, this, that and the other, but no excuse. We've got to do better to start with energy and our approach." END QUOTE. Im betting he has his team ready to perform this evening at home where the Wizards have defeated the Pelicans in their L/2 as hosts. Wizards are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.l NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 27-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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01-08-23 | Hawks v. Clippers UNDER 234.5 | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Clippers play a strong defensive brand of basketball at home as is evident by 16-3 UNDER record in home games this season with a combined average of 210 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 UNDER in home games after playing a road game this season which is the case here tonight with the average combined score of 207.7 ppg scored. CLIPPERS are 10-2 UNDER as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 207 ppg going on the board. I know Atlanta will push forward here, but the clippers will hold them back in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the number. LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 UNDER in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46%or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 211.5 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 14-2 UNDER in home games versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season with a combined average of 208.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 30-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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01-08-23 | Lions +4.5 v. Packers | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 74 h 35 m | Show | |
Despite of Green Bays big win vs Minnesota last week all was not perfect as they were out yarded in that tilt by a 346-315 deficit and have lost the stats battles in 6 of their L/7, so not all is good in Cheesville. Meanwhile, Detroit is 9-0 ATS L/9 division tilts, and need a win to make the play offs and some added luck of Seattle losing. The Lions will be motivated and their recent history against division tilts has me on the take this Sunday. DETROIT is 9-2 ATS versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons DETROIT is 7-0 ATS versus sub par rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 7-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NFL Road underdogs or pick (DETROIT) - off a win against a division rival, in January games. are 27-6 L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NFL road teams (DETROIT) - excellent offensive team (370 or more YPG) against a poor defense (335 to 370 YPG) after 8+ games, after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game are 25-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GREEN BAY) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game are 15-41 ATS L/39 seasons for 71% conversion rate. Play on the Detroit Lions |
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01-08-23 | Cavs v. Suns +5 | 112-98 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns are in desperation mode after suffering a season-high-tying, five-game losing run. A long grueling 6 game road trip looked like it took the sting out of the usually explosive Suns. Now with a few days of home cooking and some rest in their own beds Im betting on a strong effort from the Suns that wont them easily be defeated here , making gets points a golden opportunity. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or less assists/game this season. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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01-08-23 | Blues v. Wild -170 | 3-0 | Loss | -170 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
The Wild defeated the Blues 5-2 in St. Louis on Dec. 31, and Minnesota and Im betting on a repeat performance in the rematch on its home ice. I know the Wild played last but they are well conditioned and are 4-0 in their last 4 games following OT on the previous day. Wild are 9-1 in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. Wild are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. Central. NHL underdog against the money line (ST LOUIS) - after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 24-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Wild to win |
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01-08-23 | Maple Leafs v. Flyers OVER 6 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
The Flyers are averaging 4.5 goals per game during their current four-game winning run and Im betting will push the Leafs who played last night into a more wide open game. It must be noted that Toronto has eclipsed this totals offering in each of its last four road tilts with an average of 8.25 goals going on the scoreboard.Philadelphia has gone over this number in six of their L/8 games overall and including their last 3 three home games and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation . The over is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings between Toronto and Philadelphia. TORONTO is 7-1 OVER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with an average of 7.4 gog scored. TORONTO is 9-1 OVER off a home win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.9 gpg scored. NHL team against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period, after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games are. 62-38 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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01-08-23 | Hornets +5.5 v. Pacers | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Charlotte has revenge on board for a 12 point loss they suffered this season to Indiana . They are focused bunch when in redemption mode as is evident by a same-season revenger record that shows when they lose by 20 points or less, they are vicious dogs cashing 15 of their L/19 opportunities in the rematch. Hornets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Hornets are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - off a home win, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 31-63 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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01-08-23 | Washington v. Arizona State OVER 136.5 | 65-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WASHINGTON is 6-0 OVER in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 155.9 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 7-0 OVER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 150.5 ppg scored. WASHINGTON in their L/6 road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 141.6 ppg scored. Play over |
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01-08-23 | Washington +9.5 v. Arizona State | 65-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-08-23 | Blazers v. Raptors -2.5 | 105-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
The Trail Blazers have lost seven of their past 10 games and six straight on the road and even against another struggling side look like fade material . NBA Favorites (TORONTO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 33-4 L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the a average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Raptors to cover |
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01-08-23 | Blazers v. Raptors UNDER 226.5 | 105-117 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Portland ihas become more defensively-oriented as time has progressed . Meanwhile, Toronto plays a mugging style of physical basketball that features a strong defense and less than explosive offense. The Trail Blazers have the 12th-best scoring defence in the NBA and are ranked just 20th-best points per game average. The Raptors rank 11th in point against defence and 26th in offensive production and 27th in pace . Im betting on grinding affair lower scoring affair. PORTLAND is 8-1 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 32-19 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-08-23 | Canisius v. St. Peter's -3 | 67-60 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. ST PETERS is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons. Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (ST PETERS) - a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG), after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more are 54-5 L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rare with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on St.Peters to cover |
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01-08-23 | Mt. St. Mary's v. Marist OVER 126.5 | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MARIST is 7-0 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 141.2 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (MARIST) - off a home blowout loss by 20 points or more, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 32-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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01-08-23 | Bucs +4 v. Falcons | 17-30 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 34 m | Show | |
ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. NFL Road underdogs or pick (TAMPA BAY) - off a win against a division rival, in January games are 27-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. TAMPA BAY is 5-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons and 2-0 in their L/2 visits to Atlanta. Play on Tampa Bay to cover |
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01-08-23 | Ravens +7 v. Bengals | 16-27 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 14 m | Show | |
Cincinnati had their game suspended last time out because of a sudden heart attack of one of their opponents players (Hamlin of the Buffalo Bills.) It was a worrisome situation that Im betting is still playing the minds of the Bengals. Despite of this being the Bengals home finale Im betting Baltimore surging defensive play will keep them in this tilt for a cover. Note: Baltimore stoppers have allowed an average of 292 yards per game over the L/2 plus months. The Ravens are also very competitive side as is evident by their last six games being decided by an average of just 4 ppg. CINCINNATI is 3-12 ATS L/15 versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 150 or more rushing yards/game in the second half of the season . Harbaugh is 33-18 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better as the coach of BALTIMORE NFL Road teams (BALTIMORE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 30-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore Ravens to cover |
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01-08-23 | Patriots +7.5 v. Bills | 23-35 | Loss | -115 | 46 h 47 m | Show | |
After the collective trauma the Bills suffered last week when their team mate Hamlin suffered a cardiac arrest it wont be a easy thing to get over . Needless to say the lingering effects of that negative event could sway their mental cogdoscence this week making them vulnerable vs a very hungry Pats team that is in desperation mode as they need a victory here for a post season appearance. The Pats also have the added incentive of revenge for a loss they suffered to the Bills earlier this season. NEW ENGLAND is 12-1 ATS in road games revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more . (Buffalo beat the Pats 24-10 back in December) HC Bill Belichick in his last game of the season in his career with New England is 4-0 ATS as an underdog. NFL Road underdogs or pick (NEW ENGLAND) - off a win against a division rival, in January games are 27-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ENGLAND) - after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games are 23-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NFL home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 8-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New England to cover |
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01-08-23 | Vikings -5.5 v. Bears | 29-13 | Win | 100 | 25 h 8 m | Show | |
Chicago looks to be just going though the motions and are playing ugly ball losing their L/5 games by DDs. Here today vs a angry Vikings side looking to rebound from a beating at Green Bay will be primed for a Bounce back before the play offs start. Vikings are 46-22 ATS in their last 68 games following a straight up loss. Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Bears are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 vs. NFC.Bears are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs. NFC North. Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover |
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01-08-23 | Ohio State -1.5 v. Maryland | 73-80 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Ohio State comes into the game at 10-4 overall and 2-1 in conference play. The four losses have come at the hands of No. 17 San Diego State, No. 17 Duke, previously No. 1 North Carolina and No. 1 Purdue last time out. OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. MARYLAND is 3-11 ATS in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. The Buckeyes are No. 9 in the NET rankings and have the second-most efficient offense in the country and deserve respect here as short road favs. Play on Ohio State to cover |
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01-08-23 | Iowa v. Rutgers -6.5 | 76-65 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Things dont seem quite right from a chemistry perspective with Iowa basketball. I know they some how found a way to win vs Indiana last time out, in a controversial affair, but this team has issues and now in an emotional letdown spot today against a Rutgers side that plays their best hoops at home Im betting they the Hawkeyes are in trouble. Add in paayback for being eliminated opening round of the Big Ten tourney at the hands of Iowa we have a strong revenge scenario in play. IOWA is 1-8 ATS in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff registering at -8.8 . RUTGERS is 8-0 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.8. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (RUTGERS) - an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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01-07-23 | Lakers v. Kings UNDER 242 | 136-134 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Lakers played last night and captured a win, (130-114) and now on tired legs as they play. back to back affairs, Im betting their strategy will not be a run and gun program, but instead a more defensive minded game plan out of transition that will skew this totals offering to the low side of the lines-makers estimates. Under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. LA LAKERS in 7 division games this season have seen a combined average of 227 ppg scored. Under is 5-2 in Kings last 7 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA LAKERS) - off a home win by 10 points or more, on Saturday games are 46-14 OVER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - being called for 21 or less fouls/game on the season, on Saturday games are 61-26 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-07-23 | Titans +6.5 v. Jaguars | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Jacksonville has really played well of late and are off a couple of convincing wins, and 4 straight overall However is must be noted that JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS L/10 after 2 straight wins by 14 or more points . With the AFC title at hand here, Im betting we see a grinding affair that will not easily be won by either side making getting points the strongest option here tonight. Tennessee has won their L/2 visits to Jacksonville. Titans are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Jaguars are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. NFL road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TENNESSEE) - after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games are 23-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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01-07-23 | Red Wings v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Detroit is on tired legs after playing last night and has played a pair of back-to-backs over the past four weeks, allowing four-plus goals in both matchups and tonight Im betting on a Leafs side eclipsing that number which will help us breach this totals offering.The Maple Leafs have scored four-plus goals in five of their past seven games and will bounce back off a ugly 5-1 loss last time out. Im also betting that Detroit does at least enough damage offensively for us to breach this number. Motown has allowed an average of 4.22 gpg over their L/9. TORONTO is 7-1 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.7 gog scored. Play OVER |
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01-07-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders +9.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 26 m | Show | |
The Chiefs main concern this week is staying healthy for the play offs while Vegas who have been competitive for most of this season, will be primed to pull. off an upset. Considering the Raiders QB Jarrett Stidham carved up one of the best defenses in the NFL last week in a 37-34 loss vs SF Im betting we have what Im betting is a live dog to back . Chiefs are 2-13-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Chiefs are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.Chiefs are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.Chiefs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC West.Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. CITY is 0-6 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 1-10 ATS against conference opponents this season. McDaniels is 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of LAS VEGAS. Play on Raiders to cover |
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01-07-23 | Nevada v. San Jose State +2.5 | 67-40 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. San Jose State to cover |
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01-06-23 | Cavs +6.5 v. Nuggets | 108-121 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Denver took out the LA Clippers last night in a strong performance and will now be on tired legs as they play back to back games against a never say die Chicago team that has recently come from behind in two straight games to garner wins, with one of those tilts against the Chicago bulls featuring a 71 point explosion by Donavon. Im betting on the Cavs to continue their strong competitive play and for them to keep this tilt close enough for us to grab a cover. Malone is 7-20 ATS in home games when playing on back-to-back days as the coach of DENVER. CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, playing on back-to-back days are 34-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the Cavs to cover |
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01-06-23 | Stanford v. California +8 | 70-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. California to cover |
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01-06-23 | Akron +2.5 v. Ball State | 63-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Zips swept the series last season, winning 84-74 at The JAR (Jan. 11) and 79-60 at Worthen Arena (March 1). Akron swept the season series in 2021-22, defeating BSU 88-79 (Feb. 19, 2021) at Worthen Arena and winning 74-42 (Jan. 30, 2021) at James A. Rhodes Arena. Akron still matches up vs this version of Ball State and if they lose tonight Im betting they wont fail to cover. Akron is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings. BALL ST is 0-6 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons. Akrons discipline will be the diff maker tonight. Road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Play on Akron to cover |
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01-06-23 | Wizards +1.5 v. Thunder | 110-127 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
Washington had a 5 game losing streak abruptly end vs the defending NBA champion Milwaukee Bucks last time out and will now be ready to rebound vs the Thunder on the road tonight. It must be noted that since Kristaps Porzingis returned to the lineup after missing two games was paired up with Daniel Gafford . Since that move the wizards have really ramped things up defensively as Washington's defensive rating was in the bottom 10 in the league at 113.8 before the change. Since, then Wizards' defensive rating is 106.3, and No 1 in the league . It must also be noted that the Thunder recently exploded for 150 points vs Boston, and than followed that up in a road loss where they worked hard in the 2nd half to make a comeback but fell short. An emotional and physical letdown situation Im betting is at hand. The Wizards are 4-1 L/5 vs the Thunder and are 2-0 L/2 visits to Oklahoma City. The L/3 meetings have been decided by 2, 3, 1 point respectively. NBA Road underdogs (WASHINGTON) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-06-23 | Pistons v. Spurs UNDER 236.5 | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Both these teams have played some wide open games of late, both are defensively deficient, but when sub par teams like San Antonio and Detroit go head to head there is a history of fairly low scoring events. One of the key reasons for these lower scoring affairs is because they are usually more physical as both teams know they have a rare winnable game in their grasp, and the play becomes intense . NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO /DETROIT) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 44-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. .NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 sub par teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 25-3 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 44-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DETROIT) - struggling defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 27-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. DETROIT is 19-9 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.4 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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01-06-23 | Quinnipiac v. Rider OVER 143 | 72-63 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this game Total closer to 147 thus giving us a almost 2 possession value on this offering. Baggett is 9-1 OVER off a close road loss by 3 points or less as the coach of RIDER with a combined average of 154.6 ppg scored. (Rider lost 61-59 on the road last time out) CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points /RIDER (QUINNIPIAC) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 40-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 152.1 ppg. Play OVER |
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01-05-23 | Washington +18 v. Arizona | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Washington to cover |
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01-05-23 | Santa Clara -1.5 v. Pepperdine | 89-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. With a 12-3 mark, SCU tied for their 2nd most non-conference wins in program history. This Broncos program is on the rise, and must be respected here as short favs even on the road. Key for them tonight is their rebound and charity stripe shooting. They beat Pepperdine last season, and with an even more talented and experienced group will do it again. Santa Clara ranks 37th nationally in rebounds per game (39.6). The Broncos rank second in the league in free throw percentage (73.6 Santa Clara to cover |
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01-05-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. Central Arkansas +2.5 | 77-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Central Arkansas will be happy to see home court advantage here tonight after 6 straight losses with 5 of them coming on the road. Their first game home was very competitive, and previous to that they had won 4 of 5 at home where they play their best hoops. note: C ARKANSAS is 6-0 ATS in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. C ARKANSAS is also 9-0 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. C ARKANSAS is 8-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. E KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. E KENTUCKY is 2-9 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. Central Arkansas to cover |
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01-05-23 | Grizzlies v. Magic OVER 226.5 | 123-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
analysis to follow thank you for your patience NBA team (ORLANDO) - playing on back-to-back days, a sub par team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 94-47 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. NBA team (MEMPHIS) - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 45-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. |
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01-05-23 | Grizzlies v. Magic +6.5 | 123-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Last night Orlando upset Oklahoma City at home, and now Im betting will primed to be competitive vs the explosive Memphis Grizzlies. This is a very well conditioned Magic side so they wont be winded in a back to back situation. Note: ORLANDO is 9-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog this season. Over Orlando has been an atm machine for their backers and have cashed 11 of their L/14 overall ATS. Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record NBA team (MEMPHIS) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are just 23-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, playing on back-to-back days are 27-35 SU l/5 seasons. Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Orlando. Play on Magic to cover |
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01-05-23 | Jacksonville -1 v. Stetson | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Central Arkansas to cover |