Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-12-22 | Dodgers v. Twins OVER 9 | 7-2 | Push | 0 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
LHP Andrew Heaney (8-9, 4.71 ERA in 2021) vs. RHP Chris Archer (3-9, 5.19 in 2021) Archer only pitched in 6 games last season because of forearm issues, and looks like he could get crushed here tonight.Archer's lifetime stats vs the Dodgers tell me a story of a hurler who get crushed by the volcanic bats of this LA crew. Archer has allowed 23 hits 68 at-bats and has also walked 16 of batters. Dodgers explode for runs is my call helping this combined score eclipse the offered number. On the flip side, Andrew Heaney the dodgers hurler does not matchup well here vs the Twins batting order. Yes, I know the Twinkies have struggled a bit with their batting average but still rank 3rd in slugging percentage at .484 along with 9 HRs and could easily tee off here and get us to the promised land. Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Minnesota. Over is 8-2-2 in the last 12 meetings. Play OVER |
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04-12-22 | Penguins v. Islanders +100 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
The Isles were embarrassed last time out in a loss to the St.Louis Blues, and will be out looking fro redemption tonight against division rivals the Pittsburgh Penguins at home where they are currently playing a top tier brand of hockey. PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or bnetter of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season this season (Sorokin) Penguins are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. Metropolitan. Islanders are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.Islanders are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Metropolitan. Play on the NYI to win |
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04-12-22 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | 8-9 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
04-12-22 | Mariners +111 v. White Sox | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Brash the Mariners' minor league pitcher of the year after compiling a 2.31 ERA over 20 outings last season looks like. a viable pitching option. Meanwhile,Velasquez, just signed a contract with Chicago and was 3-9 with a 6.30 ERA in 25 games (21 starts) between the Philadelphia Phillies and the San Diego Padres last season and is a fade material hurler. Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series. Mariners are 21-8 in their last 29 road games. SEATTLE is 11-4 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.SEATTLE is 51-35 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Mariners to win |
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04-11-22 | Padres v. Giants -138 | 4-2 | Loss | -138 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Alex Wood, the Giants starter went 10-4 with a 3.83 ERA in 26 starts last season and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the Padres. Meanwhile, Martinez, the Padres new off season acquisition went 17-30 with a 4.77 ERA in his first four years in the majors all with Texas and looks vulnerable here vs what could be another explosive offensive season vs the Giants. Giants are 45-18 in their last 63 games as a home favorite. Padres are 7-23 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.Padres are 2-14 in their last 16 during game 1 of a series. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 8-31 L26 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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04-11-22 | Indians v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 10-7 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Guardians starter Civale is coming off his first winning campaign, finishing 2021 with a 12-5 record and a 3.84 ERA. He had a WHIP of 1.118 a and according to my pitcher vs batting order power ratings matches up well here vs KC. Meanwhile, another under rated Royals pitcher goes to the hill here as Hernandez proved that he belonged with a solid 2021 campaign. when he accumulated a 6-2 record along with a viable 3.68 ERA. Im betting on both these undervalued hurlers and two quality bullpens to keep this combined score on the low side of the Total. Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 during game 4 of a series.Under is 5-2 in Guardians last 7 games as an underdog.Under is 7-3 in Guardians last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games as a home favorite.Under is 12-3-1 in Royals last 16 during game 4 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Royals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.KANSAS CITY is 40-19 UNDER in day games over the last 2 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 26-11 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Kansas City. Play UNDER |
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04-10-22 | Bulls v. Wolves -7.5 | 124-120 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Im betting on the Wolves coming out here and finishing their season off strong vs a side that they have revenge against for a loss they suffered to Chicago in the only game between these teams this season. The Wolves are 4-0 ATS L/4 last games of the season. CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Bulls are 17-36 ATS in their last 53 games as an underdog. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 54-101 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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04-10-22 | Heat -10 v. Magic | 111-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
ORLANDO is 10-22 ATS as a home underdog this season with the average ppg at 11.1 diff.ORLANDO is 8-21 ATS in home games when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons with a average ppg diff of 11.1 ppg. Miami Heat to cover |
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04-10-22 | Red Sox +132 v. Yankees | 4-3 | Win | 132 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Montgomery the Yankees starter today has had problems with run support after the Yankees scored three runs or fewer in 15 of his starts last season.The left-hander is 1-2 with a 3.72 ERA in 11 career starts against the Red Sox and was 0-2 with a 3.29 ERA in five starts against them last season. A combination of lack of run support and his ability to be competitive on the mound give credence to an under wager especially considering Boston starter Houck is 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) against the Yankees and gets my support here. Look for both viable bullpens when called upon to help keep this game on the low side of the offered number. Under is 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings. MONTGOMERY is 21-8 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 13-4 UNDER in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 11-4-1 in Yankees last 16 during game 3 of a series. Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 games following a loss. Play UNDER |
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04-10-22 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Montgomery the Yankees starter today has had problems with run support after the Yankees scored three runs or fewer in 15 of his starts last season.The left-hander is 1-2 with a 3.72 ERA in 11 career starts against the Red Sox and was 0-2 with a 3.29 ERA in five starts against them last season. A combination of lack of run support and his ability to be competitive on the mound give credence to an under wager especially considering Boston starter Houck is 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) against the Yankees and gets my support here. Look for both viable bullpens when called upon to help keep this game on the low side of the offered number. Under is 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings. MONTGOMERY is 21-8 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 13-4 UNDER in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 11-4-1 in Yankees last 16 during game 3 of a series. Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 games following a loss. Play UNDER |
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04-10-22 | Bucks +9 v. Cavs | 115-133 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
I know the Bucks will rest players today before the play offs, but Im betting on a strong effort from who ever plays as the Bucks have revenge on board for two nasty losses to the Cavaliers this season by scores of 115-99 here in January, and 119-90 as hosts in December . Add to that Cleveland is not in good form of late losing 3 straight and 5 of their L/6 and have failed to cover 9 of their L/11 as nothing seems to come easy for Cavs . Advantage taking points with the defending champs. Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.Cavaliers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. MILWAUKEE is 14-4 ATS in road games after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half over the last 3 seasons. Budenholzer is 44-16 ATS vs. division opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE. NBA team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, after a cover as a double digit favorite are 41-14 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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04-10-22 | Bruins -113 v. Capitals | 2-4 | Loss | -113 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
the Bruins and Capitals are both playing a strong brand of hockey right now, but Im very impressed with the Bruins grit and according to my power rankings matchup well here vs the Capitals.NoteL Bruins are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Metropolitan.Bruins are 20-7 in their last 27 games as a road favorite.Bruins are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Here is a interesting anomaly : Capitals are 0-6 in their last 6 Sunday games. Look for it to continue this afteroon. NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (BOSTON) - poor power play killing team - opp score on more than 17.5% of chances in the 2nd half of the season, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal are 53-14 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bruins to win |
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04-09-22 | Islanders +135 v. Blues | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Believe or not the Islanders still have a chance at a play off appearance and are currently playing with alot of confidence as was evident last night in a 2-1 win vs the Canes. I know this is a back to back situation for them, but they are well conditioned for a veteran group and must be respected here to pull off their 2nd straight underdog win vs St.Louis a side they have beaten 5 of the L/6 times these teams have met. Quote:"We are playing well right now," Zach Parise said. "We're having a lot of fun. We're getting good results, but I think we're enjoying the process throughout the game and like Palmieri was saying, I mean, we're enjoying playing for each other and we win by committee. And who knows, you know what, we're going to keep playing hard. We're going to keep trying to win games and hopefully, get lucky, but we're not going to quit, we're going to keep going." End quote. Islanders are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game and are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.slanders are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.Islanders are 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Blues are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference. Blues are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Metropolitan. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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04-09-22 | Pelicans +6 v. Grizzlies | 114-141 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Pelicans come in there with the 9th spot and a play off entry ticket if they can maintain their standing, so needless to say they will be playing hard tonight against a team that will want to be healthy and rested with the play offs starting next week. With the Grizzlies probably resting some players at different degrees tonight, they may not be playing with optimum output which gives is a viable opportunity to cash with the road dog. Add to that the Pelicans have revenge on board for a DD loss to the Grizzlies this season, and you have a very motivated side to back. Note: New Orleans is 4-1 ATS this season playing with revenge for a 20+ point loss. Also NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, after a cover as a double digit favorite are 40-13 SU L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season. New Orleans is 8-2 ATS L/10 overall. New Orleans is 9-3 ATS L/12 in this series and have won 8 of those games SU. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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04-09-22 | Marlins v. Giants OVER 7 | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. CARLOS RODON (L) The Giants averaged 4.96 runs per game last season, San Francisco ranked second in the NL in scoring; the Giants also ranked second in the league in runs allowed (3.67 per game) and Im betting on even greater uptick in offensive prowess and a sustained level of defensive issues. This kind of action was on display yesterday as we saw the Giants take a 6-5 decision. Today two viable pitchers with some shoulder injury issues go head to head. Im betting both wont go very long today because of this, and Im also betting on both offenses to keep chugging along as this game gets going and new pitchers come in from the bullpen. MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 9+ losses in last 12 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 26+ wins in last 40 games are 47-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-09-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
New Jays pitching acquisition Gausman will face right-hander Dane Dunning, who earned the win in his Rangers debut April 6, 2021, against the Blue Jays. He allowed one run, three hits and no walks while striking out six in five innings. Im betting Gausmans opening day jitters in a new uniform make him a vulnerable target and Dunning positive previous matchup add to the Rangers underdog status. Alot is being said about the potency of the Blue Jays offense but the Rangers are vastly underrated offensively and that will aid them in keeping this close enough for us to get a runline ticket cashed today. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line of +135 to -190) (TORONTO) - American League team with a good starting pitcher whose ERA was 4.20 to 4.70 last season are 19-66 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas Rangers to cover +1.5 |
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04-08-22 | Thunder v. Lakers UNDER 227.5 | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
The Lakers are on tired legs after playing last night as they lost to the Warriors on the road. Note: Under is 9-2 in Lakers last 11 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day. Meanwhile, the Thunder usually pay more attention to viable defensive play when they are on the road like they are tonight, and this combined with the Lakers exhaustion will help keep this score to the low side of the number. Under is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. LA LAKERS are 34-22 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.1 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY in 38 games as a road underdog this season have seen a combined average of 213.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 OKLAHOMA CITY/(LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%), in April games are 28-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-08-22 | Padres -129 v. Diamondbacks | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Arizona took out the Padres in game 1 of this series and now Im betting on a rebound by the Padres. ARIZONA is 17-38 ( against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. NBA team (SAN DIEGO) - team who had a very good bullpen last season with a WHIP of 1.250 or better, after a game where their bullpen blew a save are 30-10 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego ML |
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04-08-22 | Reds v. Braves UNDER 9 | 6-7 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Reds will send starter Reiver Sanmartin (2-0, 1.54 in 2021) to the hill today vs the Braves . In two outing spanning four innings in spring training, the 25 year old hurler allowed just one hit and one unearned run, earning a spot in the Cincinnati rotation. Im betting on more of the same top tier action from the young thrower again. Meanwhile, 38-year-old veteran Charlie Morton is coming off one of his best seasons, as he matched his career high with 33 starts and posted an impressive 1.045 WHIP in 2021, and a (14-6, record and 3.34 ERA) and is a viable hurler, that has the ability to slow down the Reds offense. Both bullpens also look solid, based on early season projections giving us an edge on the under. Under is 7-3-2 in Reds last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Reds last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 47-23-5 in Reds last 75 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 games as an underdog. BELL is 40-19 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 as the manager of CINCINNATI. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 17+ wins in last 25 games, team that had a good record last season (54% to 62%) playing a team that had a winning record are 56-20 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-08-22 | Bucks -5.5 v. Pistons | 131-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
The Bucks played last night against Boston, and won, but instead of being in a letdown spot, Im expecting them to push forward as they concentrate on building momentum as the post season starts next week. Im also betting that a revenge factor will aid my choice of laying lumber with visiting Milwaukee, as they look for redemption for a 115-106 loss at home back in January. Note: The Bucks are 16-1 SU L/17 in this series, including 12-0 SU and 11-0-1 ATS in games in which the Pistons own a .200 win percentage or better. MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home underdogs (DETROIT) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Friday nights are 14-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-08-22 | Marlins v. Giants OVER 7.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
The Giants averaged 4.96 runs per game last season, San Francisco ranked second in the NL in scoring; the Giants also ranked second in the league in runs allowed (3.67 per game) and Im betting on even greater uptick in offensive prowess and a sustained level of defensive issues. Today I expect the Giants to put 5+ runs on the board based on my pitching vs offensive matchups projections, and for the Marlins to average 3+ runs, which give us an edge with a over wager. I know Alacantra the Marlins hurler is a viable pitcher, but the Giants bats matchup well against him. Giants starter Webb had a good season in 2021, but he staggered his way to an .829 OPS allowed in April, and has a history of slow starts.
MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 9+ losses in last 12 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 26+ wins in last 40 games are 46-17 OVER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-07-22 | Canucks v. Coyotes OVER 6 | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
Arizonas D is atrocious as is evident by allowing 4 goals or more in 7 of their L/10 games including a 5-1 loss last time out and nothing will change against a Canucks team that can take advantage of teams like this via a viable offense that showed themselves dangerous in a 5-1 win vs Vegas last time out. ARIZONA is 13-4 OVER L/17 off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival . VANCOUVER is 22-8 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NHL Home teams against the total (ARIZONA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 35-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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04-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets UNDER 232.5 | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This selection is based on my projection of 229 combined output giving us a full possession plus value to the under. Note: Memphis is off a hard fought loss vs Utah last time out, and now on tired legs playing in the high altitudes of the Mile High city Im betting they will be on a more conservative path especially in transition which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the offered total . DENVER in their L/11 home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 227 ppg go on the scoreboard. Under is 16-7 in Nuggets last 23 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. MEMPHIS is 14-4 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.Jenkins is 17-5 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. Under is 12-4 in Grizzlies last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 30-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 27-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-07-22 | 76ers v. Raptors -1 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
The Raptors have been cash machines for their betting backers of late cashing 11 of their L/14 overall and are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record like the visiting 76ers. Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 and according to my power rankings are viable investment options here tonight at home where they have won 5 of their L/6 overall SU. 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. TORONTO is 15-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. TORONTO is 16-7 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent are 48-17 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to cover |
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04-07-22 | Indians -120 v. Royals | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
In his last two Opening Day starts, Guardians starter Bieber has combined for 26 strikeouts and has allowed just 9 hits and 3 runs in 12 innings of top tier work and deserves respect here vs the aging Zach Greinke and company.BIEBER is 4-0 in his career when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.288. Guardians are 17-7 in their last 24 games as a favorite.Guardians are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Royals are 3-9 in their last 12 games as an underdog.Royals are 2-6 in their last 8 games as a home underdog. Play on Cleveland on the ML |
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04-06-22 | Suns -2 v. Clippers | 109-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
I know this is the Suns second night of back-to-back, after rolling over the Lakers , but this is a a young well conditioned side in top form thats wants to keep momentum moving upward as the play offs approach.The Suns have a 31-8 SU away record and must be respected here at Staples even with the Clippers Paul George playing lights out hoops. Bottom line is the Suns have more than enough firepower down the stretch to pull off a road victory here this evening. Note: Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. LA CLIPPERS are 0-9 ATS when playing with 2 days rest this season. LA CLIPPERS are 4-17 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. Suns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NBA Road favorites (PHOENIX) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 30-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA Home underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 51-100 L/26 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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04-06-22 | Lightning -130 v. Capitals | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
Both these strong sides have lost two straight games and will be primed for a bounce back. I know the Capitals have home ice advantage , but it must be noted that they are just 1-4 in their last 5 home games. It must also be noted that the Bolts matchup well here vs Washington having already beaten them twice this season. Like the old saying goes third time is a charm. Favorite is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. WASHINGTON is 2-7 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season. NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (TAMPA BAY) - poor defensive team- 29 or more shots against,17% or better power play killing rate in the 2nd half of the season, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal are 78-26 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-05-22 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 223.5 | 94-98 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
Two teams going through the motions and preparing for next season, take to the floor tonight as the Blazers visit the Thunder. Offensive inconsistencies remain an issue for both sides, and from a projection stand point my number (219) is substantially lower than this offering giving us a two full possession value. Under is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 games as an underdog.Under is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 16-5 in Trail Blazers last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. PORTLAND is 21-12 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with.a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 21-10 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 218 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND/OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving lower tier teams (25% to 40%), in April games are 26-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-05-22 | Bucks -4.5 v. Bulls | 127-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
After a hard fought loss to Dallas on Sunday afternoon Im betting the Bucks after two straight losses will be primed to get redemption and bounce back in a big way today vs a Chicago side they matchup well against. Note: Milwaukee ranks 8th with a 2.86 mark in the league in SRS while the Bulls rank 17th with a 0.13 average. Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Bulls are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog. Bulls are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. MILWAUKEE is 23-13 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. MILWAUKEE is 26-13 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.Budenholzer is 42-16 ATS vs. division opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE. NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 30-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs (CHICAGO) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 19-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 685 go against conversion rate for bettors. N BA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - off a home loss, in April games are 65-119 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. MILWAUKEE is 9-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons.Bucks are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Chicago. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-05-22 | Hawks v. Raptors -4 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
Atlanta took out a very good Brooklyn team at home last time out fro their 6th straight victory, and could easily be in a emotional letdown spot here vs the Raptors on the road tonight. Playing away from Georgia has not been a positive experience for Hawks backers this season as is evident by their 13-25 overall ATS record as visitors and Im betting they will have problems with a Toronto side that had a 5 game win streak abruptly ended last time out by a top tier Miami side. Now in redemption mode Im betting on a Raptors crew that is 11-3 SU/ATS L/14 to come out here with a start to finish effort and get us the win and cover. Note: TORONTO is 17-7 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. ATLANTA is 9-21 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Hawks are 5-18 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Hawks are 4-11 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Toronto. NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 75-38 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto Raptors to cover |
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04-05-22 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers -175 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 28 h 33 m | Show | |
The Leafs played last night and took out TB 6-2. Subsequently that will have the Panthers wide awake and ready to perform here against a Buds team on tired legs in a back to back situation. Also Florida has revenge on board for a loss they suffered to Toronto in Ontario back on March 27 . Note: FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS revenging a road loss versus opponent this season. FLORIDA is 21-1 against the money line in home games off a win or tie in their previous game this season. Panthers are 43-9 in their last 52 games as a home favorite.Panthers are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. FLORIDA is 8-0 ATS in home games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game this season. NHL Road teams against the money line (TORONTO) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 8-23 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Maple Leafs are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Florida. Home team is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings. Play on Florida to win |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina v. Kansas OVER 153 | 69-72 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina v. Kansas -4 | 69-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . |
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04-03-22 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Dallas is on tired legs and just played last night taking a 5-4 win vs San Jose . Note: Under is 4-1-1 in Stars last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Under is 7-2 in Kraken last 9 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Stars last 5 vs. Western Conference. Tonight I expect the Kraken will hunker down as they face a top tier opponent, and for Dallas on tired legs to play a more conservative game tonight after last nights run and gun affair. Advantage to the under. DALLAS is 12-4 UNDER after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games this season.DALLAS is 9-2 UNDER after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (DALLAS) - off 3 or more consecutive road wins, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the second half of the season are 24-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. NHL team against the total (SEATTLE) - off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more, in April games are 44-18 UNDER L/5 years for a 69% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-03-22 | Pistons v. Pacers -140 | 121-117 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
My own projections make the Pacers 4 point favs here and the long term trends on this type of matchup coordinate with my assessments. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 44-4 L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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04-03-22 | Nuggets v. Lakers +3.5 | 129-118 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
With a week left in the regular season, the Los Angeles Lakers are on the brink of not even reaching the play-in tournament. Ill say no more. Desperation on board here, as Davis and James are expected to be pushed into action. DENVER is 21-30 ATS as a favorite this season. DENVER is 0-8 ATS after 4 straight games out-rebounding opponent by 5 or more over the last 2 seasons. Nuggets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 30-20 L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate. LA LAKERS is 9-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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04-03-22 | Mavs +5.5 v. Bucks | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
The Bucks enter this game dealing with some nagging injuries to K Middleton, Jrue Holiday Giannis Antetokounmpo . Yes, they are expected to play today, but they are less than 100% and in a physical game against a top tier Mavericks defense their flow offensive could easily be interrupted. Meanwhile, Dallas was probably caught looking ahead to this Sunday afternoon tilt, and lost at Washington last time out in ugly DD fashion as big road favs. Im expecting the Mavs to come out here with redemption in mind and to get their 3rd straight cover here in Milwaukee. Note:DALLAS is 12-1 ATS in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.DALLAS is 20-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.DALLAS is 8-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season this season. Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.Mavericks are 4-0-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee. Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover |
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04-02-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Duke | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . |
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04-02-22 | North Carolina v. Duke OVER 151 | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . |
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04-02-22 | Heat -1.5 v. Bulls | 127-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
After some struggles the Heat have won two in a row with the lat one coming against a red hot Boston Celtics squad. Now with momentum on their sides going into Chicago Im betting the Heat have an edge vs a Bulls side that exerted alot of effort last time out in a come from behind victory. After playing 5 straight games on the road prior to their last hard fought game, Im betting this is a letdown spot for them. MIAMI is 12-3 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season. MIAMI is 27-11 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. MIAMI is 24-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season. MIAMI is 15-4 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or less this season. NBA team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 265 points or more are 7-25 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 14-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. MIAMI is 7-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons and 3-0 SU /ATS L/3 visits to Chicago. Play on Miami to cover |
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04-02-22 | Kings v. Jets -120 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The Jets are 11-6-2 in their past 18 games and haven't lost consecutive games in regulation since Feb. 19-21. The Jets are currently in desperation mode as they strive to grab a play off spot that for now has alluded them as they sit three points behind the Dallas Stars for fifth place and the last wildcard spot in the Western Conference. The Jets have won five of their past seven home games, outscoring their opposition 28-20 and get my support here in desperation mode vs the visiting Kings. Jets are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. Jets are 7-1 in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest. Kings are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Winnipeg.Home team is 21-10 in the last 31 meetings. NHL team against the money line (LOS ANGELES) - revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent by 1 goal or less, off a road win by 1 goal are 5-23 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Winnipeg Jets to win |
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04-02-22 | Villanova +4.5 v. Kansas | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . |
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04-01-22 | Wolves +4.5 v. Nuggets | 136-130 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Denver has won three tilts in a row, two of those games came against lowly Oklahoma city and Indiana while the Timberwolves have had a few issues of late , losing four of their last five games to fall behind in the race for one of the top six seeds and a guaranteed postseason spot. The one win in their recent negative run came against top tier opponent Dallas so its not like they have fallen off a cliff. Now in desperation mode Im betting the young talented Wolves come out here and leave everything on the court in the Mile High City tonight and get us the cover. Note: Minnesota has covered their L/4 visits to Denver. DENVER is 0-8 ATS after 4 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more over the last 3 seasons. DENVER is 4-12 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. MINNESOTA is 23-11 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season.MINNESOTA is 20-8 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. NBA Home favorites (DENVER) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 12-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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04-01-22 | Pistons v. Thunder UNDER 220.5 | 110-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
The Pistons likely will be without forward Marvin Bagley III for the Friday game and this Im betting effects their offensive flow. Meanwhile, the Thunder are short handed and on tired legs and this will also effect their offensive output. Note: The Thunder will have just eight players available for the third consecutive game, with more players listed as out on the injury report (nine) than they'll be able to utilize. Advantage to the under. Under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 overall. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 28-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 215.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY/DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 33-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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04-01-22 | Fresno State v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 126.5 | 85-74 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-31-22 | Lakers +13 v. Jazz | 109-122 | Push | 0 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
The Lakers are short handed with James and Davis both out, but are in desperation mode as they try to grab the last play off spot, as they battle San Antonio for the final position. Meanwhile, Utah has lost 5 straight and are off a torturous 6 game road trip that culminated in an ugly loss vs their nemesis the LA clippers last time out, after leading by DDs. With the Jazz still winded after their long road trip and on only one days rest, Im betting against them here, especially since they are expected to be without Bojan Bogdanovic and reserves Hassan Whiteside and Danuel House Jr. . Guard Trent Forrest left the game against the Clippers early with a concussion, and is unlikely to play tonight. Note: Lakers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite. Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. UTAH is 19-35 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season.UTAH is 13-22 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. UTAH is 6-16 ATS ( when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season.UTAH is 9-20 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. LA LAKERS are 23-12 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (UTAH) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 14-43 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. Lakers are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Play on LA Lakers to cover |
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03-31-22 | Penguins v. Wild UNDER 6.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
At this time of the season, top tier NHL teams have a tendency to pay attention to playing a strong brand of defensive hoops and Im betting nothing changes tonight in Minnesota . The host Wild have not allowed an opponent to score more than 2 goals in 7 straight games, while the Penguins continue to be defensively consistent allowing 2.7 gpg on the season, and 2.5 gpg on the road. Rinse and repeat situation here as the under looks like. a viable wagering opportunity. Under is 3-0-1 in Penguins last 4 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-1 in Penguins last 6 vs. Central. PITTSBURGH is 10-4 UNDER in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 5.3 gpg scored. MINNESOTA is 14-4 UNDER in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5gpg going on the board. Under is 6-0-1 in Wild last 7 home games. NHL Home teams against the total (MINNESOTA) - after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, in March games are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota. Play UNDER |
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03-31-22 | Cavs v. Hawks -5 | 107-131 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The Cavaliers are once again expected to without Mobley and Allan tonight and are on tired legs after playing last night and losing in a hard fought loss to Dallas last night, failing to cover in 6 straight . That is not a good recipe for success against a Hawks side that always seems to pick up their game at home vs above .500 sides. Note: ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 2-16 ATS after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 4-20 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 43-4 L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 , which easily qualifies on this ATS line. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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03-31-22 | Bucks v. Nets UNDER 240 | 120-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
When top tier teams and conference rivals meet at this time of the season, you can generally depend on seeing a strong brand of defensive basketball. This is what Im betting on here as both teams prepare to drive towards the play offs in disciplined fashion . BROOKLYN is 21-8 UNDER versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.3 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 17-7 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 221.4 ppg going on the board. BROOKLYN is 30-18 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 226.5 ppg scored. Under is 8-2-1 in Nets last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. MILWAUKEE is 14-6 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 221 ppg scored. Under is 9-2-1 in Bucks last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 games as an underdog. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 68-29 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, in March games are 78-36 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-31-22 | Xavier v. Texas A&M -4.5 | 73-72 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-30-22 | Blues v. Canucks OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
The Blues posted a 4-1 victory last time out, vs the //this same Canucks side, but they have been very inconsistent defensively overall, and have allowed 4 goals or more in 5 of their L/8 games overall. The Blues saving grace is a offense that averages 3.5 gpg this season, and Im betting they will continue to fill the net . Meanwhile, Vancouver has allowed 3 goals or more in 9 of their L/13 and have gone Over the total in 10 of their L/ 12 games as a favorite including 8-2 OVER in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Advantage OVER. \Over is 6-0-1 in Blues last 7 games as a road underdog.Over is 8-1-1 in Blues last 10 games as an underdogST LOUIS is 32-19 OVER against good offensive teams -29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% pp or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.5 gpg scored. NHL Home teams against the total (VANCOUVER) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 34-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-30-22 | Hawks v. Thunder OVER 230 | 136-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Atlanta ranks 7th in ppg offense and 23rd in ppg defense, as they push forward with wreck-less run and gun action. Considering the Thunders attention to defense has dropped off a cliff as the season has progressed as is evident by allowing 12 of their L/17 opponents to breach the 120 point plateau and 7 those 12 games have seen 130 or more points go on the board, its an easy decision to back a higher scoring tilt taking place. Over is 7-2 in Hawks last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 OVER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 230 (ATLANTA) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 23-2 OVER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 230 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a road win against a division rival are 29-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma City. Play OVER |
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03-30-22 | Kings -2.5 v. Rockets | 121-118 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Kings play their best hoops vs lower tier sides as is evident by a recent 4-0 ATS run in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile ,the Rockets are just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. With Davion Mitchell in top form for the Kings averaging , 21.6 points and 7.2 assists in his L/5 games with increased minutes the visitors seem to be inspired of late. Silas is 19-39 ATS as a home underdog as the coach of HOUSTON Gentry is 58-34 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached NBA team vs the money line (HOUSTON) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 9-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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03-30-22 | Wolves v. Raptors -2.5 | 102-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
The Raptors seem to always bring their A game for games against strong sides and Im betting they have the edge here tonight. MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher over the last 3 seasons. TORONTO is 15-7 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. TORONTO is 9-1 ATS versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. TORONTO is 26-14 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Raptors are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a close win by 3 points or less are 50-17 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. TORONTO is 21-4 L/25 SU straight up against MINNESOTA . Play on the Toronto to cover |
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03-30-22 | Hornets v. Knicks +3.5 | 125-114 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
The Knicks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record like Charlotte and have an edge here tonight. Knicks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. NEW YORK is 35-14 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 23-7 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 10-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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03-30-22 | Mavs v. Cavs +3.5 | 120-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Mavs had had some cover issues on the road of late failing in their L/4 attempts to deliver the cash to their betting backers. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog and according to my own numbers have an edge. DALLAS is 4-13 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 22-12 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 11-38 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
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03-29-22 | Washington State v. Texas A&M OVER 133 | 56-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-29-22 | Flyers v. Wild UNDER 6.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show | |
The Wild have ramped up their defensive play of late and have not allowed more than 2 goals in 6 straight games. Im betting nothing changes tonight and this will directly effect the combined score this evening to the under. MINNESOTA is 13-4 UNDER in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.9 gpg scored. NHL Home teams against the total (MINNESOTA) - after a 5 game unbeaten streak, in March games are 33-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for Bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-29-22 | Bucks v. 76ers UNDER 229 | 118-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
The Sixers rank 26th in pace and 8th in ppg defense in the NBA and tonight, Im betting they try to grind this game down to a snails pace in an attempt to be competitive vs an explosive offensive side in the Bucks. At this time of the season, top tier teams like these two sides prepare for the play offs by paying alot more attention to defensive play especially in transition, and Im betting thats what we see tonight with these Eastern Conference rivals.Note: Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games as a home favorite. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 223.5 ppg going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 14-5 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 22-11 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 214.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 115-47 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-29-22 | Bulls v. Wizards +4 | 107-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
A month ago I would have laid the lumber with the Bulls , but in their current form they do not deserve the favorite role especially on the road . I know the Wizards may not inspire bettors but they have shown an ability to competitive of late winning 3 of their L/5 straight up and have covered 4 of their L/6. Note: Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. CHICAGO is 1-9 ATS in road games in March games this season.CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.CHICAGO is 3-11 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. Play on Washington to cover |
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03-29-22 | St Bonaventure -1.5 v. Xavier | 77-84 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-29-22 | St Bonaventure v. Xavier UNDER 139.5 | 77-84 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah v. Fresno State OVER 136.5 | 48-67 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-28-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 221 | 95-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies offense has been hitting on cylinders of late scoring eclipsing the 122 point plateau 7 of 9 times and scoring more than 130 points 4 times during that explosive 9 game run. Considering the Golden State Warriors current sub par defensive performances allowing 121 and 123 points in their L/2 games Im betting the Grizzlies unload again and score more than 122 points here according to my projections with the Warriors chasing and hitting at least +101 points in a tilt that very much favors an over wager. Note: Memphis ranks 3rd in ppg offense and 3rd in pace and will dictate the speed of this game here tonight.MEMPHIS is 23-13 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 227.3 ppg, GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 OVER in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season with the combined average of 225.7 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 15-2 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233.3 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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03-28-22 | Coastal Carolina +3 v. South Alabama | 69-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-28-22 | Celtics v. Raptors -4 | 112-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Boston took out Minnesota last night in start to finish action. the Celtics put forward alot of energy which followed uo win vs Utah and previous to that a west coast road swing. So now on tired legs in a back to back situation and this being their 7th game in 12 days Im betting the fresher Raptors have an edge. Note: Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Raptors are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. BOSTON is 0-10 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (TORONTO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 30-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Toronto to cover |
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03-28-22 | Canucks +120 v. Blues | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
The Blues enter this game in a funk having lost 5 of their L/6. Blues are also 1-7 in their last 8 games as a favorite are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record and are 0-4 in their last 4 home games. Meanwhile, the Canucks are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog and deserve respect here as underdogs vs a struggling side. ST LOUIS is 1-6 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. ST LOUIS is 4-9 ATS against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season. ST LOUIS is 1-5 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% pp or better- 2nd half of the season this season. NHL Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (VANCOUVER) - off a road win by 2 goals or more, tired team - playing their 4th road game in 7 days are 40-18 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Canucks are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in St. Louis. Play on Vancouver to win |
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03-28-22 | Hurricanes v. Capitals +120 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
When these teams met back on March3rd the Capitals took a 4-0 win vs Carolina and showed me they matchup well against their Eastern conference opponents. I know Carolina ha revenge on board but in the recent past this has not always been a winning angle. Note:CAROLINA is 2-7 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season. Considering the Capitals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference and are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Metropolitan while the Hurricanes are 1-4 in their last 5 road games Im betting we have an edge with the underdog. WASHINGTON is 20-6 ATS in March games over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 7-1 ATS against excellent power play killing teams- give up 13% or less of chances this season.WASHINGTON is 5-0 ATS against excellent defensive teams - allowing 2.4 or less goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (CAROLINA) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 20-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Capitals to win |
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03-27-22 | Warriors v. Wizards +7.5 | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Both sides have key players banged up and not playing, and it's down to which side has more bench strength. I know the prevailing opinion would be the Warriors are deeper, but Warriors have shown glitches without their super star Curry in the lineup and without him on the floor their cohesiveness is consistently questioned. With that said, I will take the points with the home side. Golden State is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.Warriors are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. GOLDEN STATE is 18-30 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. Kerr is 23-39 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, in March games are 35-12 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington. Play on Washington to cover |
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03-27-22 | Wolves +6.5 v. Celtics | 112-134 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Minnesota beat Boston at home back in December of this season, and according to my matchup power rankings matchup well here vs the Celtics. BOSTON is 11-26 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Also from a SRS matchup perspective the Wolves rank 7th in the league with 3.42 mark while the Celtics rank 2nd with a 6.20 average. So with home court advantage, thrown in we have value with the line that should be closer to -5 to -5.5 . Advantage taking points. Celtics are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. MINNESOTA is 23-10 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season. NBA Home favorites (BOSTON) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 11-28 ATS L/.5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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03-27-22 | Wolves v. Celtics UNDER 230 | 112-134 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
When these teams played back in December the Wolves took a 108-103 win and Im betting on a similar style of play here and a combined score that has rinse and repeat written all over it. Note: Celtics rank No.1 in the NBA in ppg allowed and defensive efficiency behind the 24th ranked pace. Here at home they will dictate the speed of this game. BOSTON is 26-17 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored. BOSTON is 25-11 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 208.4 ppg scored. Under is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 33-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 37-14 L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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03-27-22 | Avalanche v. Wild UNDER 6.5 | 2-3 | Win | 102 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Both these teams are ramping into play off form as the post season approaches. Play top tier defensive hockey is a priority this time of the campaign , and today in a game featuring top tier teams Im betting on a conservative style of transitional hockey that gives value on a under wager. COLORADO is 9-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. Minnesota has not allowed more than 2 goals in 5 straight games , resulting in the Under going 4-0-1 . NHL Home teams against the total (MINNESOTA) - after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, in March games are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL +6 v. Kansas | 50-76 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-26-22 | Rockets v. Blazers UNDER 232 | 115-98 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show | |
My own numbers suggest this total should be closer to 229 giving us value on a under wager with a full possession advantage. Under is 4-1-1 in Rockets last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 8-1 in Trail Blazers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 14-2 in Trail Blazers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Portland has seen their L/ 5 straight games go under the set total and Im betting this number is hefty enough to go under the set total. HOUSTON is 18-7 UNDER after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 27-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-26-22 | Arkansas +4 v. Duke | 69-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-26-22 | Bucks v. Grizzlies +1 | 102-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
The Bucks beat the Grizzlies back in January at home, and now the Grizzlies are primed and motivated to return the favor. MEMPHIS is 18-4 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. With Khriss Middleton playing with a nagging wrist injury, Jrue Holiday expected to miss, and almost alwys banged up super star Giannis Antetokounmpo less than 100% the home side has the edge. Budenholzer is 18-33 ATS L/51 on the road when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MILWAUKEE. MILWAUKEE is 7-20 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS against Central division opponents this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - after allowing 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 11-35 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-26-22 | Houston -2 v. Villanova | 44-50 | Loss | -120 | 37 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-26-22 | Portland v. Southern Utah -3.5 | 66-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
03-26-22 | Islanders +170 v. Bruins | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
Both the Islanders and Bruins are currently in top form and according to current trends, and roster situations, the Islanders value on this moneyline, makes for a viable investment option. The Isles beat the Bruins twice already this season by a 4-1 and 3-1 count and have won 5 games overall this head to head series and deserve respect here this afternoon in Beantown. NHL Home Favorites against the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a road loss versus opponent by 2 goals or more, off 2 consecutive close wins by 1 goal over a division rival are 5-21 L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on NYI to win |
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03-25-22 | Iowa State +2 v. Miami-FL | 56-70 | Loss | -102 | 109 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-25-22 | Rockets v. Blazers UNDER 235.5 | 125-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
My numbers have made this Total closer to 232 , thus giving us value to the under by more than a full possession. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 overall. Under is 3-1-1 in Rockets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.Under is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .4 NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 26-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings. Play UNDER |
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03-25-22 | North Carolina v. UCLA OVER 141 | 73-66 | Loss | -111 | 39 h 19 m | Show | |
03-25-22 | Knicks v. Heat -5.5 | 111-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
The Heat were short handed last time out, and did not play. a consistent game and ended up on the wrong side off a DD loss to Golden State . Im betting however, that the Heat are deep enough to bounce back here even if Butler does not play and get us the cover here at home vs an inconsistent loss . Note: Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-31 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.1 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line.
Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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03-25-22 | Blue Jackets +180 v. Jets | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Both these teams are playing decent hockey at the moment, and both have won 4 of their L/6 games. However, the edge comes via expected outcome ratios, which make this a viable underdog selection. My models make this a coin flip thus getting this much value with the ML has me recommending will pull the trigger on the Jackets. Note: Blue Jackets are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. COLUMBUS is 8-0 ATS against sub par defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a +2.1 gpg diff. Jets are 6-20 in their last 26 vs. Metropolitan. Jets are 0-7 in their last 7 Friday games. NHL team against the money line (COLUMBUS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team in the 2nd half of the season are 133-61 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Columbus to win |
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03-25-22 | Providence +7.5 v. Kansas | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 106 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-25-22 | St. Peter's +13.5 v. Purdue | 67-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
03-24-22 | Houston +2.5 v. Arizona | 72-60 | Win | 100 | 85 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-24-22 | Texas Tech -1 v. Duke | 73-78 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-24-22 | Wizards v. Bucks -8.5 | 102-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
I know key cogs Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton are out for the Bucks, but Im betting they still have enough firepower to dispose of a up and down side like the Wizards who have lost 7 of their L/8 games overall and just lost to a very young Houston side last time out by DDs. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 8-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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03-24-22 | Cavs v. Raptors -3.5 | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Cleveland has not been very inconsistent lately especially on defense, and are vulnerable road dogs here vs a Toronto side, that has won 6 of their L/8 . The Raps did lose last time out to a revenge minded Chicago side, but Im betting this well rested home side will be ready to bounce back here vs a CLEVELAND side that is 0-8 ATS in road games after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 2 seasons. Note: Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. CLEVELAND is 17-33 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 25-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Raptors are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. Play on Toronto Raptors to cover |
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03-24-22 | Arkansas +9 v. Gonzaga | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 82 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-24-22 | Lightning +105 v. Bruins | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay has lost two in a row and five of its last seven contests and because of their form entering this game we are getting a value line that feel we can exploit for profits. The Bolts are a talented side, with championship pedigree and when challenged will and can come though more often than not. With one point separating these teams in the overall standings and revenge on board for a loss to the Bruins earlier this season, Im betting we see the Lightning at their best tonight. note: Lightning are 61-18 in their last 79 vs. Atlantic. Tampa Bay is 3-0 L/3 visits to Boston. TAMPA BAY is 31-9 ATS revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 1-8 ATS against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or better of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NHL Road Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (TAMPA BAY) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season in the 2nd half of the season are 27-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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03-23-22 | Blackhawks +120 v. Ducks | 4-2 | Win | 120 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
Both Chicago and Anaheim are playing sub par hockey at the moment, but the Blackhawks are sort of speak the lesser of two evils here, as the Ducks are currently on a 7 game losing streak and are not playing with much motivation . Also from a matchup perspective the BlackHawks have won both meetings this season conclusively by 3-0 and 8-3 counts and once again look like viable bets on a value line. ANAHEIM is 0-11 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. Chicago is 6-0 L/6 meetings in this series. Play on Chicago to win |
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03-23-22 | Youngstown State v. Fresno State -13 | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-23-22 | Suns v. Wolves +1.5 | 125-116 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
Minnesota lost a closely contested battle vs Dallas last time out 110-108 and will be ready for a bounce back here vs another top tier side ( Suns). The Wolves also have the extra motivation in revenge mode on board for a 134-124 loss at Phoenix back on Jan 28th. Note: MINNESOTA is 17-4 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. MINNESOTA is 11-0 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.MINNESOTA is 10-1 ATS in March games this season. MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS ( in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. MINNESOTA is 23-9 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 4-24 ATS/SU L/26 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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03-23-22 | Magic v. Thunder UNDER 219.5 | 102-118 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
These teams just a met a couple of days ago in Orlando with the Magic taking a 90-85 victory.Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight from a offensive output perspective. Under is 11-4 in Magic last 15 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 30-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 26-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-22-22 | Predators v. Kings OVER 5.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Nashville plays an exciting brand of all out offensive hockey and Im betting they drag the usually conservative Kings into a wide open offensive slugfest. NASHVILLE is 8-0 OVER in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less power plays/game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 8.3 gpg scored. NASHVILLE is 6-0 OVER in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 8.5 gpg scored. NHL Home teams against the total (LOS ANGELES) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 33-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (NASHVILLE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 3+ goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games are 68-33 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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03-22-22 | Clippers +6.5 v. Nuggets | 115-127 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Denver has lost 2 straight and the Clippers have lost 3 straight and both sides will now be playing with a sense of urgency as they look to avert another loss. What Im betting on here is a hard core battle, that makes getting points a viable investment opportunity. The last 3 meetings in this series have been decided by 2,2,3 points. Clippers are 23-6-1 ATS in their last 30 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Clippers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Lue is 25-11 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 as the coach of LA CLIPPERS. DENVER is 1-8 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season.DENVER is 2-11 ATS in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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03-22-22 | Vanderbilt +3 v. Xavier | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-22-22 | Bulls +6.5 v. Bucks | 98-126 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
The two meetings in this series this season, between visiting Chicago and their hosts tonight Milwaukee has resulted in 6 and 4 points margins of victory, for the Bucks and Im betting on another closely contested battle that makes taking points a viable betting option. MILWAUKEE is 1-11 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.MILWAUKEE is 2-11 ATS in home games after a non-conference game this season.( This is the Bucks 1st home game, after 4 straight western conference road games) Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and being well rested has not been a complement to the Bucks ATS record as they are also just 2-6 ATS L/8 on 2 days rest. Bucks are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Budenholzer is 10-25 ATS after playing 4 consecutive road games in all games he has coached since 1996. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 130 points or more are 16-37 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |