Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-23 | Murray State v. Bradley -11 | 48-83 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
Murray State @ Bradley 2:00 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Bradley -11.0 (5*) Murray State has gone 0-5 in their last 5 on the road and lost by a decisive margin of 18.0 points per game. Despite Murray State winning at home 67-58 earlier this season, the oddsmakers are undeterred by that result as evidenced by the current point-spread. As a matter of fact, since that win, Murray State has gone 4-6 SU and 4 of those defeats came by double-digit margins. The Racers have been terrible defensively of late, allowing 82.4 points per contest, 51.2% shooting, and an atrocious 45.0% from 3-point territory throughout its previous 5 games. Bradley is 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS at home versus Division 1 opponents and outscored them by a substantial average of 20.7 points per game. According to Ken Pomeroy, Bradley possesses the 11th strongest home court in the nation. Throughout its last 5 games Bradley has shot 48.6% and made 42.7% of its 3-point shot attempts. Give me Bradley minus the points. |
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02-11-23 | Connecticut v. Creighton -4.5 | 53-56 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Connecticut @ Creighton 2:00 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: Creighton -4.5 (5*) Creighton enters this game on a 7-game win streak and looks more like the Top 25 team that everyone thought they would be before the season began. They will also be playing with revenge from an earlier season 9 point loss at UConn. On a positive note from that loss was the fact they outrebounded the Huskies by a wide margin of 49-34. UConn has allowed the most free throw attempts of any Big East team during conference action. Conversely, Creighton is the #2 free throw shooting percentage team in conference play while converting on an excellent 77.2% of its attempts. Creight has gone 11-1 at home this season with a +17.5 point per game differential and that includes 7-0 versus conference opponents. Give me Creighton minus the points. |
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02-11-23 | Kansas v. Oklahoma +3.5 | 78-55 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Kansas @ Oklahoma 1:00 PM ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Oklahoma +3.5 (5*) The defending national champion Kansas Jayhawks have lost each of their previous 3 conference away games. However, in their defense those were all against Top 20 caliber competition. Kansas is still a legitimate national title contender. Yet, they’re just a short favorite against an unranked team Like Oklahoma who has lost 6 of their last 7 and 4 of its previous 5 at home. Here’s where the underdog hidden betting value comes from. Ken Pomeroy’s analytics still maintains that Oklahoma has the 10th strongest home court in all of college basketball. Furthermore, since the 2020-2021 season began, Oklahoma is 10-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6.0 or less. Give me Oklahoma plus the points. |
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02-11-23 | NC State v. Boston College +7 | 92-62 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
NC State @ Boston College 12:00 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: Boston College +7.0 (5*) Boston College has come to life in recent weeks. They’re coming off a huge momentum building 82-76 upset win as a 13.0-point underdog at Virginia Tech. Don’t look now, but the Eagles have won 4 of their last 6 and covered in 5 of its previous 7. Boston College is a below average defensive team. But on a positive note they’re the 4th best team in forcing turnovers in ACC play which makes up for some of their deficiencies on that end of the floor. NC State is far the better team in this matchup. Yet, I still believe this too heavy a number to be laying on the road. The Wolfpack are just 3-4 SU in conference away games. NC State also allows the 2nd most free throw attempts in ACC games. That will be problematic against a Boston College team which is making 77.3% of its free throws in ACC action. Give me Boston College plus the points. |
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02-10-23 | Wolves +7 v. Grizzlies | 107-128 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Memphis 8:10 PM ET Game# 565-566 Play On: Minnesota +7.0 (5*) Minnesota has done extremely well in this point-spread parameter since 1/2/2023. During that time, the Timberwolves have gone 7-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of between 1.5 to 7.5 with an average victory margin of 7.9 points per game. Despite Memphis coming off a win in their previous game, they’ve gone an abysmal 2-8 SU in their last 10 including 0-4 SU&ATS as a favorite of 7.5 or less and losing by 6.3 points per contest. Give me Minnesota minus the points. |
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02-10-23 | Wolves v. Grizzlies UNDER 235 | 107-128 | Push | 0 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Memphis 8:10 PM ET Game# 565-566 Play On: Under 235.0 (5*) These high scoring teams have met 3 times already this season and each of those stayed under the total. The average total in those contests was 235.2 and there was only a combined 212.7 points scored per game. Memphis has played 9-0 to the under in their previous 9 whenever the total was 223.0 or greater. The average total in those contests was 238.0 and there was a combined 221.5 points scored per game. Conversely, Minnesota has played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 as an underdog of 1.5 to 7.5 points. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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02-10-23 | Hornets v. Celtics UNDER 226 | 116-127 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Boston 7:40 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Under 226.0 (5*) Boston has played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 with just a combined 205.0 points scored per game. The Celtics have really picked up defensively of late while allowing only 104.2 points per contest and a combined 43.2% shooting throughout its previous 5 games. Furthermore, the Celtics have allowed less than 100 points in 3 of its last 4. Boston is coming off a home win versus Philadelphia in their previous game. The Celtics have played 7-0 to the under this season following a division win and those contests averaged a combined 216.7 points scored per game. There’s a distinct possibility the Celtics will be without their 2 leading scorers tonight. Jaylen Brown will definitely be out with a facial fracture and Jayson Tatum is questionable due to illness. Charlotte has played 8-0 to the under in their last 8 whenever the total was 224.5 or greater. The Hornets have shot a combined 43.6% and made a mere 29.4% of its 3-point shot attempts over the previous 5 games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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02-09-23 | Arizona State v. Stanford -3 | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Arizona State @ Stanford 10:00 PM ET Game# 829-830 Play On: Stanford -3.0 (5*) We have a Stanford team which has an uninspiring 10-13 (.435) season record versus an opponent in Arizona State who is 16-8 (.667), and yet it’s the Cardinal who are favorite. However, after looking at the recent trending for each team, it all makes sense. Arizona State started the season 15-3, but since that time has gone a dismal 1-5 since. Conversely, Stanford began the season 5-12, but has since rebounded to win 5 of its last 6 games. Clearly, each team’s compass has been pointed in opposite directions of late. Hence, the team with a losing record being favorite over an opponent that has won 66.7% of its game this season. Stanford had their 5-game win streak halted in their previous game while suffering an 84-62 blowout loss at Colorado. Any College Basketball favorite like Stanford that’s coming off a road loss by 10 points or more, and they currently possess a winning record, versus an opponent like Arizona State with a winning record, resulted those favorites going 61-27 ATS (69.3%) since the 2018-2019 season began. The average point-spread for the favorites was -3.6. Give me Stanford minus the points. |
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02-09-23 | Nuggets v. Magic +6.5 | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Denver @ Orlando 7:10 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Orlando +6.5 (5*) Denver is an excellent 26-4 SU and and 19-10-1 ATS on the road. However, the Nuggets are just 12-13 SU and 9-14-2 ATS on the road. Furthermore, Denver enters today having lost 3 consecutive road game. Orlando began the season with a dismal 5-20 record in their first 25 games. Since that time, the Magic are 17-13 SU and 21-9 ATS. Moreover, Orlando is 7-0 ATS and 6-1 SU in their last 7 games as an underdog of between 5.0 and 10.5-points. Give me Orlando pus the points. |
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02-08-23 | Nebraska v. Michigan -11.5 | 72-93 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Nebraska @Michigan 6:30 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: Michigan -11.5 (5*) Nebraska is coming off a 72-63 home win over Penn State. However, they’re 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a win and lost by a decisive margin of 18.3 points per game. The Cornhuskers are also 0-6 SU&ATS this season as a conference away underdog and lost by 16.3 points per game. Conversely, Michigan is 5-1 SU in conference home games this season with their only loss coming by 5 versus #1 Purdue. The Wolverines are also coming off impressive wins in their last 2 contests by 17 at Northwestern and by 8 at home versus Ohio State. Give me Michigan minus the points. |
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02-07-23 | Maryland v. Michigan State UNDER 131.5 | 58-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Maryland @ Michigan State 9:00 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Under 131.5 (5*) Both teams play at a slower offensive pace than most and each is stout defensively. Michigan State has played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 conference home games and there was a combined average of just 124.0 points scored per contest. Maryland has played 7-0 to the under in true road games this season and there was only a combined 126.4 points scored per contest. During their last 6 contests, Maryland has allowed an average of 55.8 points per game. Throughout their previous 3 games, Michigan State has scored a paltry 59.7 points per outing and shot a poor 39.9%. The Spartans also rank an abysmal #333 nationally in free throw attempts. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-07-23 | TCU v. Kansas State OVER 148.5 | 61-82 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
TCU @ Kansas State 9:00 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: Over 148.5 (5*) Kansas State is coming off a 69-66 home loss to Texas last Saturday. That game went under the total of 152.0. The Wildcats have played 7-0 to the over in their previous 7 following an under in their last game and there was a combined average of 154.3 points scored per contest. TCU has gone over the total in each of its last 3 contests and with an average of 151.7 points scored per game. These teams met at TCU on 1/14 and the Horned Frogs won 82-68 and the game went over the total of 148.5. There was an enormous 136 field goal attempts in that contest which is well above the College Basketball game average. Furthermore, that contest went over despite the teams going a combined 9-40 (22.5%) on 3-point shot attempts and only 26 free throw attempts. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-06-23 | Cavs v. Wizards +3 | 114-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Washington 7:10 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Washington +3.0 (5*) Cleveland is coming off yesterday’s division road blowout win over Indiana. However, the Cavaliers are 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 on the road this season following a SU win. Cleveland is also 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 this season on the road and following an away win in their previous game. Cleveland is also 0-3 SU&ATS this season on the road when playing with no rest and lost by an average of 8.6 points per game. Washington is coming off SU favorite losses in each of their previous 2 games and blew leads of 20-points or more on each occasion. That was preceded by the Wizards going 6-0 SU&ATS in the previous 6 before those pair of absolute meltdowns. On a positive note, throughout their previous 3 games the Wizards have scored 122.0 points per contest and shot a red-hot 51.4%. NBA home teams like Washington that are coming off SU favorite losses in each of its previous 2 contests, abd they’re facing teams like Cleveland who are coming off an away division win, resulted in those NBA home teams going 27-7 SU (79.4%) since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. Give me Washington plus the small number. |
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02-06-23 | Duke v. Miami-FL -2.5 | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Duke @ Miami 7:00 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Miami -2.5 (5*) Duke is coming off a close win versus bitter rival North Carolina on Saturday. Now just 2 days later they travel to Miami to take on a Hurricanes team which has gone a perfect 12-0 SU at home this season. Miami will also be playing with same season revenge stemming from a 2-point loss at Duke on 1/21. Additionally, the Canes nearly walked away with a win despite shooting a season low 34.8%. By the way, Duke is 0-4 SU&ATS this season during true road games versus opponents with a winning record, and they lost by an average of 11.5 points per contest. Give me Miami minus the small number. |
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02-05-23 | Kings -110 v. Pelicans | 104-136 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Sacramento @ New Orleans 7:10 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: Sacramento -110 (5*) The Kings are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS this season as an away pick/favorite. New Orleans is coming off last night's home win over the Lakers. That win snapped a 10-game losing streak. It must be noted, they caught the Lakers in the finale of a 5-game in 8-day road trip. New Orleans is 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 when playing with no rest and lost by an average of 14.7 points per game. |
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02-04-23 | Rockets v. Thunder -9.5 | 121-153 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Houston @ Oklahoma City 8:10 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Oklahoma City -9.5 (5*) Houston is coming off last night’s home loss to Toronto. The Rockets have gone an abysmal 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 this season when playing with no rest and lost by an average of 17.2 points per game. Houston is 0-8 SU&ATS in their last 8 as an away underdog of 6.0 or greater. Their average point-spread in those 8 contests was +9.5 and they were outscored by 16.7 points per game. Houston will be facing a Thunder team tonight that averages 116.6 points scored per game this season. The Rockets are 0-8 SU&ATS on the road this season when facing opponents that average 116.0 points scored or more per game and they losy by 15.9 points per contest. Oklahoma City has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 as a home favorite versus and opponent playing with no rest and won by an average of 13.0 points per game. The Thunder will also be playing on 2 days rest and will look to revenge a 6-point loss at Houston on Wednesday night. Furthermore, OKC is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 this season as a home favorite and won by 15.2 points per game. All 5 of those wins came by 11 points or more. Give me Oklahoma City minus the points. |
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02-04-23 | Texas v. Kansas State OVER 149 | Top | 69-66 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
Texas @ Kansas State 4:00 ET Game# 666-700 Play On: Over 149.0 (10*) These teams met earlier this season in Austin and Kansas State walked away with a 116-103 win, and no there wasn’t any overtime. There were a combined 59 free throw attempts in that contest and the team went and made 53 of them for an excellent 89.8% conversion rate. Not to mention, combining to go 24-51 (47.1%) on 3-point shot attempts. I am not predicting those gaudy numbers will repeat themselves in this one, but I do think will see a similar volume of attempts in each category. By the way, these teams have now gone over the total in each of the last 6 times they’ve met. Texas has played 11-3 to the over in their last 14 games. The Longhorns are coming off a 76-71 home win versus Baylor and that contest barely went under the total of 148.5. Texas has played 6-0 to the over off a conference win this season and there was a combined 162.9 points scored per game. Texas has also played over in their last 4 immediately after an under and there was a combined 162.3 points scored per game. Kansas State has played 5-0 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 143.5 or greater and it produced a combined 165.4 points scored per game. Throughout their previous 5 games, the Wildcats averaged an enormous 28 free throw attempts per game and made an outstanding 76.1% of those tries. That’s good news considering Texas allows 24 free throw attempts per game in conference play. Kansas State has also made a very good 38% of their 3-point shot attempts in conference play. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-04-23 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -1.5 | 78-74 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
Miami @ Clemson 3:00 ET Game# 673-674 Play On: Clemson -1.5 (5*) Miami has been terrific at home this season. However, they’ve gone 1-4 SU in their last 5 conference away games. The Hurricanes are coming off a 92-83 home win over Virginia Tech. The bad news is Miami is 0-4 SU in their last 4 following a win in their previous game. Clemson is coming off a 62-54 upset loss at Boston College which dropped their season record to 18-5. The good news for Clemson backers in their Tigers are 4-0 SU this season following a loss in their previous game. It’s also worth noting, the Tigers are a perfect 12-0 at home season and have covered 4 of 5 versus ACC opponents. Give me Clemson on the money line. |
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02-04-23 | Auburn v. Tennessee -9 | 43-46 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Tennessee 2:00 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: Tennessee -9.0 (5*) Tennessee is coming off a shocking 67-54 upset loss at Florida in their previous game. I used the word shocking because of double-digit margin in which they lost by in a game they were a 4.5-point road favorite. Nonetheless, the Volunteers are a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS following a loss this season with an average margin of victory coming by a massive 28.0 points per game. I look for Tennessee to play with their hair on fire today and bounce back with a vengeance on their home floor against #25 ranked Auburn. Give me Tennessee minus the points. |
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02-04-23 | Tulane v. Memphis OVER 159.5 | 90-89 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Tulane @ Memphis 2:00 PM ET Game# 659-660 Play On: Over 159.5 (5*) These teams are amongst the top College Basketball teams when it comes to how fast a tempo they prefer to play at. Memphis is #18 nationally in adjusted tempo and Tulane is #8. Memphis has averaged 85.5 points scored per game and shot 51.2% throughout their previous 4 games played. On the other side of the table is a Tulane team which has scored 77 points or more in all 5 of its true road games this season. AS a matter of fact, all 5 of those games went over the total with a combined average of 171.6 points scored per game. Memphis went under the total in their previous game. However, the Tigers have played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 after going under in their previous contest, and there was a combined 175.3 points per game. These teams have played over the total in each of their last 3 games against one another. That includes an earlier season matchup that saw Tulane come away with a 96-89 home win which easily sailed over the total of 154.0. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-04-23 | TCU v. Oklahoma State -4 | 73-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
TCU @ Oklahoma State 2:00 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: Oklahoma State -4.0 (5*) TCU is ranked #15 nationally in the most recent AP Poll. Nevertheless, they find themselves as an underdog against a Oklahoma State team with an uninspiring 13-9 season record. That would seem to be an enticing underdog to take right? Not so fast, Oklahoma State has gone 8-1 SU&ATS in their last 9 at home. Speaking of playing at home, the Cowboys are allowing a mere 57.8 points scored per game when playing in Stillwater this season while holding opponent to a combined 36.3% shooting. Oklahoma State is ranked #7 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, #5 in 3-point percentage defense, and #5 in 2-point percentage defense. TCU has gone 1-3 SU in their last 4 true road games. Give me Oklahoma State minus the points. |
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02-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State +1.5 | 53-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
Kansas @ Iowa State 12:00 ET Game# 609-610 Play On: Iowa State +1.5 (5*) Kansas came off the deck from a 3-game losing streak with impressive win over Kentucky and #7 Kansas State in their previous 2 games. However they’ve lost their previous 2 conference away games. They will be facing #13 Iowa State who has gone a perfect 11-0 at home this season with a susbstantial average victory margin of 23.6 points per game. The Cyclone will also be in a sour mood after blowing a 23-point 2nd half lead in a loss at Texas Tech in their previous outing. Not to mention they’ll be playing with same season revenge stemming for a 2-point loss at Kansas earlier this season. Give me Iowa State plus the small number. |
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02-03-23 | Hornets v. Pistons -110 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Detroit 7:10 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Detroit -110 (5*) Charlotte is 8-22 on the road this season and has been outscored by an average of 7.0 points per game. The Hornets will also be playing in their 3rd road game in 4 days. Charlotte is allowing an alarmingly high 118.6 points per game this season and allowed those opponents to shoot a combined 48.1%. Conversely, Charlotte has struggled a bit offensively over their last 5 games while shooting 43.6% and an even worse 26.9% from 3-point range. The Hornets are 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 on the road and lost by an enormous 18.5 points per game. Give me Detroit on the money line. |
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02-03-23 | Blazers v. Wizards -4 | 124-116 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ Washington 7:10 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Washington -4.0 (5*) Portland is coming off a 122-12 win at Memphis in their previous game. However, that snapped an abysmal 0-8 SU&ATS losing run on the road for Portland. Conversely, Washington has gone a red-hot 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 and won by 11.3 points per game. Even more impressive is the fact that 5 of those 6 wins came on the road. Washington has also gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a favorite of 2.0 or more and outscored those opponents by 16.3 points per game. Give me Washington minus the points. |
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02-03-23 | Cornell v. Princeton OVER 156.5 | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Princeton @ Cornell 7:00 PM ET Game# 877-878 Play On: Over 156.5 (5*) Princeton won their earlier season meeting over Cornell 75-68 and that contest easily stayed under 151.5. Yet the total for today’s game is 5.0 to 6.0 points higher this time around depending on the sportsbook you are looking at. That speaks volumes to me. Princeton is averaging 81.0 points scored per game and shot 47.8% at home this season. The Tigers are #16 nationally in 2-point offensive field goal percentage at 55.9%. Conversely, Cornell is #353 out of 363 Divion 1 teams in 2-point defense at 56.2%. Cornell is coming off a an 80-73 win over Brown in a game that barely went under 153.5. Nonetheless, Cornell has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 following an under in their previous contest, and there was a combined average of 158.5 points scored per game. The Big Red have been on fire offensively throughout their previous 5 contests while averaging 86.6 points scored per game and shooting 48.1%. The bad news is they allowed 82.0 points per game and opponents shot 48.8%. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-02-23 | Michigan v. Northwestern OVER 138.5 | 68-51 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Michigan @ Northwestern 7:00 PM ET Game# 771-772 Play On: Over 138.5 (5*) Northwestern has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7. The average total in those 7 contests was 132.2 and there was a combined 146.4 points scored per game. These teams played on 1/15 and Michigan walked away with an 85-78 home win which easily sailed over the total of 134.0. That makes the last 3 meetings between these team all going over the total with a combined average of 152.0 points scored per game. Additionally, the average total in those 3 contests was 139.7. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-01-23 | Northern Iowa +7.5 v. Drake | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Northern Iowa @ Drake 9:00 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Northern Iowa +7.5 (5*) Drake is coming off a decisive 79-61 win at Belmont in their previous game. However, the Bulldogs have gone 0-8 ATS this season following a double-digit margin win and had a -0.2 point per game differential in those contests. They also suffered 3 SU losses during those 8 games. Northern Iowa is coming off a 79-71 loss at Indiana State. They’ve won their last 3 following a loss. Since starting the season 3-7, Northern Iowa has gone 9-3. Give me Northern Iowa plus the points. |
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02-01-23 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma OVER 131 | 71-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma 9:00 PM ET Game# 719-720 Play On: Over 131.0 (5*) Neither team is an offensive juggernaut, and both play at a slow methodical offensive pace. Thus, the low total. Nevertheless, Oklahoma has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 whenever the total was 127.0 or greater. The average total in those contests was 133.2 and there were a combined 145.0 points scored per game. On the other hand, we have an Oklahoma State team which has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 whenever the total was 127.0 or greater. The average total in those 3 contests was 131.7 and there were a combined 144.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-01-23 | SMU v. Tulane OVER 158 | 52-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
SMU @ Tulane 9:00 PM ET Game# 721-722 Play On: Over 158.0 (5*) Despite SMU struggling mightily offensively on many occasions this season, U can justify this high total. As a matter of fact, public betting trends have already indicated to me that the under in this contest is a popular bet. SMU has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 whenever the total was 145.5 or greater and there was a combined 162.4 points scored per game. SMU has allowed 80 points or more in 9 of their 22 games this season. The Mustangs will be facing a Tulane team which has scored 77 points or more in 9 of its last 10 and allowed 76 or greater in 8 of its previous 9. By the way, Tulane has played 8-1-1 to the over throughout their previous 10 games played. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-31-23 | Indiana v. Maryland -2.5 | Top | 55-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Indiana @ Maryland 9:00 PM ET Game# 643-644 Play On: Maryland -2.5 (10*) Indiana is coming off a home blowout win over Ohio State. However, it must be noted that Indiana is currently a money line underdog of +130 in this matchup. Since the start of the 2020-2021 season, Indiana is 0-10 SU as a money line road underdog of +200 or less and lost by an average of 11.0 points per game. They were in that situation twice this season and lost at Penn State by 19 and at Kansas by 22. Maryland is 11-1 SU at home this season with their lone defeat coming against an extremely good UCLA team. Nevertheless, the Terrapins are a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season with an average victory margin of 11.2 points per game. Give me Maryland minus the points. |
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01-31-23 | UNLV v. Colorado State -3 | 83-71 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
UNLV @ Colorado State 9:00 Game# 637-638 Play On: Colorado State -3.0 (5*) This line tells me all I need to know. Colorado State is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and 2-8 SU&ATS during its previous 10. The Rams are a disappointing 10-12 this season. UNLV is coming off win in each of their last 2 to improve its season record to 14-7. Yet, it’s Colorado State who’s the favorite. We also must keep in mind that UNLV is 1-3 SU&ATS in conference road games thus far. Additionally, Colorado State won at UNLV earlier this season 82-81 despite committing 20 turnovers and allowing 31 free throw attempts. Neither is likely to come near happening again. Give me Colorado State minus the points. |
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01-31-23 | Texas A&M +3.5 v. Arkansas | 70-81 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Texas A&M @ Arkansas 7:00 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: Texas A&M +3.5 (5*) Texas A&M is a red-hot 9-1 in their last 10 with their lone loss coming at Kentucky by 9 in a game that was much tighter than the final score indicates. During their other 3 conference away game this season the Aggies were 3-0 SU&ATS which included wins over Florida and Auburn. Texas is allowing just 61.6 points per game in SEC games while holding opponents to a mere 37.5% shooting. The Aggies are the better team at this point and they’ve already proven that playing on the road has little to no negative effect on them. Give me Texas A&M plus the points. |
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01-31-23 | St. Louis -4 v. Fordham | 65-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
St. Louis @ Fordham 7:00 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: St. Louis -4.0 (5*) Fordham is about as fraudulent of a 17-4 team as you’ll ever find. The Rams have played the 16th easiest schedule in all of college basketball this season. They are 13-2 at home but just 2-2 when facing conference opponents. St. Louis enters today riding a red-hot 6-game win streak and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS on the road versus conference opponents. The Billikens have shot 50.7% from the field and made an excellent 42.2% of its 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 contests. Give me St. Louis plus the points. |
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01-30-23 | Hawks v. Blazers OVER 236.5 | 125-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Portland 10:10 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Over 236.5 (5*) Atlanta has gone over the total in their last 6 when the number was 238.5 or less and there was a combined 248.5 points scored per game. The Hawks have shot 51.2% or better in 6 of its last 8. Atlanta has also allowed 121 points or more in 5 of their previous 6 games. Portland has allowed 121 points or more in 4 of its last 5 and 6 of their previous 7 games. The Trailblazers have scored an average of 128.7 points per game in their last and shot a sizzling hot 56.8% from the field. Portland has allowed opponents to shoot 50% or better in each of their last 6. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-30-23 | Baylor v. Texas -4 | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Baylor @ Texas 9:00 PM ET Game# 875-876 Play On: Texas -4.0 (5*) Despite Baylor enter today riding a 6-game win streak, they shot 37.1% or worse in each of their previous 3 games. Baylor has allowed a lofty 74 points or more in 4 of their 5 true road games. They will be facing a Texas team which has scored 72 points or more in all 12 of their home games this season. Texas is coming off an 82-71 road loss to Tennessee on Saturday. Texas is 3-0 SU&ATS following a loss this season. The Longhorns are also 11-1 at home this season. Give me Texas minus the points. |
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01-30-23 | Kings -110 v. Wolves | 118-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Sacramento @ Minnesota 8:10 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Sacramento -110 (5*) Sacramento is coming off a 117-10 loss at Minnesota on Saturday. That loss dropped their season record to 27-21. Minnesota is coming off back-to-back home underdog SU wins over Sacramento and Memphis which improved their season record to 27-25 (.519). This sets up a favoravle NBA betting angle which supports the road team. Any NBA team like Sacramento who has a winning record, versus an opponent like Minnesota coming off home underdog SU wins in each of their previous 2 games, and they have a win percentage of .510 to .600, resulted in those NBA road teams going 26-6 (81.2%) on the money line since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. The average money line for those teams like Sacramento was -113.3 and they outscored their 32 opponents by an average of 9.8 points per game. Give me Sacramento on the money line. |
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01-30-23 | Warriors v. Thunder +5.5 | 128-120 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Golden State @ Oklahoma City 8:10 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Oklahoma City +5.5 (5*) Golden State has been Jekyll and Hyde regarding their home/away splits. The Warriors are 19-6 at home but a dismal 6-18 on the road. They’re coming off a 129-117 home win over Toronto in their previous game and that’s the good news. The bad is that they’re 2-10 ATS on the road this season following a win in their previous game, and they were outscored by an average of 12.0 points per game. Oklahoma City is 6-0 ATS and 5-1 SU in their last 6 as an underdog of 2.0 or greater. The Thunder are also an extremely profitable 10-1 ATS and 8-3 SU during its last 11 games. Throughout their previous 5 contests OKC has shot a red-hot 49.7% from the field and made an exceptional 41.0% of its 3-point shot attempts. Give me Oklahoma City plus the points. |
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01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 48.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
Bengals @ Chiefs 6:30 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Under 48.5 (5*) It will be extremely cold in Kansas City on Sunday night with temperatures in the low 20’s and winds of 11 MPH which will make it feel approximately 10 degrees colder. Even with these 2 great offenses and star quarterbacks, the weather isn’t ideal for either passing attack. Add in the uncertainty of how much Patrick Mahomes will be affected by the high ankle sprain, and we may witness a lower scoring game relative to the total than most would expect. As a matter of fact, you may be surprised to know that the Chiefs played 6-0 to the under at home this season in non-division home games with a combined average of 40.3 points scored per game. The Bengals defense has allowed 18 points or fewer in their last 4 and 6 of its previous 8 games. They have given up their fair share of yards during that stretch but bailed themselves out on many occasions by forcing 14 turnovers, and with 12 of those occurring over their past 5 games. Cincinnati has played 4-0 to the under this season whenever the total was 48.0 or greater with a combined average of 41.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles OVER 45 | 7-31 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
49ers @ Eagles 3:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Over 45.0 (5*) San Francisco is coming of last week’s Divisional Round 19-12 home win over Dallas in a game that easily went under the total. The 49ers have now played 9-4 to the over in their last 13 games. Additionally, the 49ers have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 following an under in their previous game and there was a combined 54.8 points scored per contest. The Eagles enter this game off 2 wins in a row and both came over the Giants. Since Nick Sirriani became head coach last season, Philadelphia has played 6-0 to the over at home following back-to-back wins and there was a combined 51.4 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-28-23 | Lakers v. Celtics -8.5 | 121-125 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
LA Lakers @ Boston 8:40 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Boston -8.5 (5*) The Celtics enter today’s contest on a 3-game losing streak. That’s occurred just 1 other time this season. The first time it transpired, Boston followed it up with a 4-game win streak and with an average victory margin of 16.7 points per contest. The Lakers have won 3 of its last 4. Yet, they find themselves as a sizable underdog versus an opponent in a min-slump. The line tells me all I need to know when it comes to what the right side is. Give me Boston minus the points. |
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01-28-23 | Wizards +5 v. Pelicans | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Washington @ New Orleans 8:10 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Washington +5.0 (5*) New Orleans has lost 6 straight games and has been anemic offensively during recent games while scoring less than 100 points in 3 of its last 5. That’s not a winning formula and especially since the Pelicans have allowed their last 5 opponents to shoot a combined 49.4%. Washington comes into this game well rested after not playing since Wednesday. Additionally, the Wizards are on a successful 4-0 SU&ATS perfect run with 3 of those games played on the road. The Wizards have shot a red-hot 39.7% from beyond the 3-point line over their previous 5 games. It always helps to have an underdog who is knocking down 3-point shot a high percentage. Give me Washington plus the points. |
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01-28-23 | Kings v. Wolves +2.5 | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Sacramento @ Minnesota 8:10 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Minnesota +2.5 (5*) The Kings will have a decided rest advantage in this contest. They haven’t played since Wednesday’s 113-95 home loss to Toronto. That contest went well under the total of 238.0. Sacramento is 8-15 SU this season after going under the total in their previous contest. Minnesota is 8-1 SU&ATS in their last 9 and 5-0 SU&ATS during its previous 5 games this season as a home underdog. Minnesota is coming off last night's home win over Memphis. The Timberwolves are a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS this season as a home underdog playing with no rest with an average victory margin of 6.7 points per game. Give me Minnesota plus the small number. |
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01-28-23 | Kansas +2.5 v. Kentucky | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
Kansas @ Kentucky 8:00 PM ET Game# 775-776 Play On: Kansas +2.5 (5*) This game looks like an absolute trap. Kentucky has won 4 straight including an impressive win at Tennessee. Conversely, Kansas has lost 3 in a row. Yet, Kentucky is just a 2.5-point favorite with a home court advantage which KenPom ranks as the 9th strongest nationally. Despite their recent winless streak, Kansas has faced the toughest schedule in the country, and they remain the defending national champions. Give me Kansas plus the small number. |
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01-28-23 | Ohio State +5 v. Indiana | 70-86 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 0 m | Show | |
Ohio State @ Indiana 8:00 PM ET Game# 785-786 Play On: Ohio State +5.0 (5*) This is a similar situation to the Kansas/Kentucky breakdown. Ohio State has lost 6 of its last 7 and that includes going winless in 4 away games. Yet they’re only a 4.0-point underdog against an opponent which has won 4 straight and is a stellar 10-1 at home. They say the great equalizer for a college basketball underdog is their ability to make a good percentage of its 3-point shot attempts. Eev with their recent struggles, the Buckeyes are still 9th nationally in 3-point shooting while connecting on 38.8% of those attempts. Ohio State is also #9 nationally in adjusted offense while averaging 117.2 points scored per 100 offensive possessions. To steal a boxing slgan, we have an underdog puncher’s chance. Give me Ohio State plus the points. |
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01-28-23 | Syracuse +6.5 v. Virginia Tech | 70-85 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
Syracuse @ Virginia Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 763-764 Play On: Syracuse +6.5 (5*) Virginia Tech is coming off a 3-point home win versus Duke and barely covered as a 2.5-point favorite. That snapped an 0-7 SU&ATS skid. One of those losses came at Syracuse 82-72 in a game they closed as a 2.5-point favorite. The Hokies have allowed 70 points or more in 4 of their last 5 and 6 of its previous 8. Syracuse has shot 50% or better in 4 of their last 5 while scoring 78 points or more 4 times. Syracuse is 6-4 SU in ACC action and their 4 losses have all come by 7 points or fewer and 3 were by 3 or less. The Orange are a respectable 3-2 in ACC road games this season. Syracuse let one slip away in a 4-point home loss to North Carolina this past Tuesday. However, Syracuse is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 when coming off a loss and won by an average of 10.5 points per game. Virginia Tech still can possibly get their revenge and get back on a winning track without covering. But this game will go right down to the wire, and I wouldn’t be shocked whatsoever to see an outright upset. Nonetheless, no need to get greedy and give me Syracuse plus the points. |
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01-27-23 | Raptors +5.5 v. Warriors | 117-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Golden State 10:10 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Toronto +5.5 (5*) Despite being 18-6 at home this season and facing a team that’s a poor 7-15 on the road, Golden State is currently only a 5.0-point favorite. However, the Warriors are coming off an 122-120 home win over Memphis, and they’ve gone 0-4 SU in their last 4 immediately following a win. Furthermore, Golden State hasn’t won 2 consecutive games since January 2nd. Toronto is begging to show some life after vastly underachieving for most of the season. The Raptors are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 while winning 2 of those contests SU. The most recent of which was a 15-point blowout victory at Sacramento. Toronto has shot 49.2% throughout its previous 5 games and also made an impressive 39.1% of their 3-point attempts. Give me Toronto plus the points. |
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01-27-23 | Magic v. Heat UNDER 219.5 | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Orlando @ Miami 8:10 Game# 517-518 Play On: Under 219.5 (5*) Miami has played 7-0 to the under in its last 7 conference home games. The average total in those 7 contests was 218.2 and there was just a combined 208.5 points scored per game. Orlando is coming off an 126-120 home win over Indiana. Orlando has played 11-2 to the under in their last 11 games this season following a contest which they allowed 120 points or more. The average total in those 13 contests was 223.9 and there was a combined 212.4 points per game. As a matter of fact, the last 5 times they allowed 120 points or more they went under in their next game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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01-27-23 | Grizzlies v. Wolves OVER 237.5 | 100-111 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Minnesota 7:40 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Over 237.5 (5*) Memphis has scored 120 points or more in 9 of their last 12 games. However, they’ve also allowed 122 points or more in 3 of its previous 4. This is a Grizzlies team that enjoys playing at an extremely fast tempo and even by modern day NBA standards. Minnesota has averaged 117.5 points scored per game over its last 5 while shooting 49.4% and making an excellent 39.7% of their 3-point shot attempts. On the other hand, throughout that identical 5-game span, Minnesota permitted opponents to shoot 49.5% and make 38.3% of their 3-point shot attempts. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-26-23 | Spurs v. Clippers OVER 234 | 100-138 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Spurs @ Clippers 10:40 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Over 234.0 (5*) San Antonio is coming off last night 113-104 road loss to the Lakers in a game that went way under the total of 243.0. However, the Spurs have played 5-0 to the over following an under in their previous outing and there was a combined average of 245.2 points scored per game. San Antonio has also played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 games when playing with no rest and there was a combined 252.0 points scored per contest. It’s also worth noting, the Spurs have played 6-0 to the over in their previous 6 whenever the total was 230.0 to 236.5 with a combined 246.1 points scored per game. The Clippers have faced San Antonio twice already this season and shot 59% from the field. Additionally, they went 36-68 (52.9%) on their 3-point shot attempts in those contests. The Clippers have shot the ball extremely well over their last 5 by making 51.7% of its shots and converted on a blistering hot 45.1% of their 3-point tries. Conversely, they allowed 115 points or more in 4 of its last 5 games while opponents shot 50.0% from the field and 45.7% from beyond the 3-point line. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-25-23 | St. John's v. Creighton -10.5 | 76-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
St. John’s @ Creighton 9:00 PM ET Game #319-320 Play On: Creighton -10.5 (5*) This seems to be a very heavy number for the favorite Creighton Blue Jays (11-8) versus a St. John’s team who has a better overall record (13-7). However, there’s a huge disparity between these teams in regards strength of schedule. KenPom indicates that Creighton has played the 7th toughest schedule in college basketball while St. John’s ranks a dismal #326 in the category. The obvious difference comes in the level of non-conference opponents each team faced. As a matter of fact, St. John’s has gone just 2-6 in conference games. On the other hand, Creighton is 4-0 in conference home games with an average victory margin of 16.3 points per contest. Furthermore, St. Jon’s is just 1-4 SU in true road games. Give me Creighton minus the points. |
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01-25-23 | Tulane v. Wichita State OVER 146.5 | 95-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Tulane @ Wichita State 9:00 PM ET Game# 721-722 Play On: Over 146.5 (5*) Tulane loves to play up tempo basketball. As a matter of fact, they rank #9 nationally in both adjusted offensive tempo. The Green Wave have played 7-1-1 to the over during its last 9 games. Additionally, they’ve played 4-0 to the over in conference away games this season with a combined 168.3 points scored per contest. The Green Wave average a lofty 23 free throw attempts per game and made 81.5% of those which is #2 nationally. Wichita State plays at a much slower pace than Tulane but they’ve still played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with a combined average of 146.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-25-23 | Dayton v. Rhode Island OVER 130 | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Dayton @ Rhode Island 7:00 PM ET Game# 671-672 Play On: Over 130.0 (5*) Dayton has shot 50% or better in 4 of its last 5 and 7 of their previous 10 games. The Flyers have made an excellent 38.8% of its 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Rhode Island has gone over the total in each of their last 5 at home and there was a combined average of 148.6 points scored per game. The Rams are averaging a sizable 23 free throw attempts per game in conference action and made a stellar 75.8% of those. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-23-23 | Grizzlies v. Kings +1.5 | 100-133 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Sacramento 10:40 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Sacramento +1.5 (5*) This will be the Grizzlies 3rd road game in the last 4 days and they lost the first 2 in gut wrenching fashion by a combined 3 points. Memphis is a terrific 20-3 at home this season, but they’re a mediocre at best 11-12 in away games. Sacramento is coming off Saturday’s 129-127 home loss to Philadelphia. That snapped a Sacramento 6-game win streak. This will be the Kings 3rd straight game played at home. More than anything else, this should be a very advantageous situation for Sacramento despite playin a Memphis team they trail by 4.5-games in the Western Conference standings. Give me Sacramento plus the small number. |
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01-23-23 | New Mexico v. Nevada OVER 148.5 | 94-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
New Mexico @ Nevada 9:00 PM Game# 873-874 Play On: Over 148.5 (5*) New Mexico has scored 75 points or more in each of their last 5 and 9 of its previous 10. During that stretch, 7 of those contests went over the total. Conversely, the Lobos have also allowed 75 points or more in 4 of its last 7 games. New Mexico ranks #22 nationally in adjusted offensive tempo. They average 77.7 offensive possession per 40 minutes played. Nevada has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 whenever the total was 140.0 or greater, and there was a combined average of 154.7. points scored per game. The Wolfpack are very adept at getting to the free throw line and it has accounted for 21.7% of their points scored. A good reason for that is Nevada makes 79.4% of its free throw attempts which ranks 8th nationally. New Mexico actually gets to the free throw line at a higher rate than Nevada, and still converts on a respectful 72.4% of its attempts. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-23-23 | Hawks v. Bulls -113 | 100-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Chicago 8:10 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Chicago -113 (5*) Chicago has won its last 2 and shot 50% or better on each occasion. Conversely, Atlanta has allowed each of their last 3 opponents to shoot 50% or better and score 122 points or more . The Bulls will be well rested after having not played since last Thursday when they blew out Detroit 126-108. On the other hand, this will be the Hawks 3rd game in 4 days. Any NBA money line home favorite like Chicago that shot 50% or better in each of their previous 2 games, versus an opponent like Atlanta that allowed 50% or worse shooting in each of their last 2 games, resulted in those money line home favorites going 89-19 SU (82.4%) since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. |
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01-23-23 | Duke v. Virginia Tech -140 | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Duke @ Virginia Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 865-866 Play On: Virginia Tech -140 (5*) Virginia Tech has lost 7 consecutive games. Yet, they’re a small favorite versus mighty Duke. The underdog Blue Devils as an underdog against an opponent that’s lost 7 straight would surely be the obvious way to go. However, if it looks to good to be true in sports betting it more likely is. This is another textbook example of such. Duke has lost its last 2 and the latest of which was a home 23-point blowout loss to TCU. The Blue devils are also a dismal 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in true road games. Their only road SU win came by just 1 against a below average Boston College team. Give me Virginia Tech on the money line. |
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01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills -5.5 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Buffalo 3:00 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Buffalo -5.5 (10*) The Cincinnati Bengals have been a betting darling right now and are on a 9-game win streak. However, since the start of the 2011 NFL season, teams that are an underdog of 3.0 or greater that have won 8 of more games in a row have gone 0-7-1 ATS. The Bengals offensive line will be without 2 and possibly 3 starters on Sunday. Cincinnati was very fortunate to escape with a 24-17 home win over Baltimore in the Wildcard Round. They were outgained in that contest by a substantial margin 364-234 yards. If not for a game changing 98-yard fumble return with 10 minutes left with the game tied at 17, the Bengals were in line for a shocking early postseason exit. Buffalo’s 34-31 win over Miami was extremely deceiving. The Bills outgained the Dolphins in that contest by a massive margin 423-231 yards. The Dolphins were afforded short fields by way of 2 interception returns and a punt return. Miami also scored a defensive touchdown on a strip sack fumble return. Buffalo has been a highly scrutinized team despite their 14-3 season record which includes a current 8-game win streak. As a matter of fact, they’re 3 losses came by just a combined 3-points. Yet, because of the preseason hype which publicized them as a favorite to win the Super Bowl, the Bills have been labeled by many as an overrated team. Under current head coach Sean McDermott, the Bills are a perfect 4-0 in home playoff games, and cover on both occasions that they were a favorite of 6.0 or less while winning by a enormous average of 22.0 points per game. NFL Playoff home favorites of 9.0 or less like Buffalo who are coming off a home favorite SU win in which they failed to cover, and there’s a total of 40.0 or greater, versus an opponent like Cincinnati who has a win percentage of .777 or worse, resulted in those postseason home favorites going 5-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The average victory margin in those 5 contests came by an average of 20.0 points per game, and they covered those outings by an average of 16.1 points per occurrence. Give me Buffalo minus the points. |
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01-22-23 | Maryland v. Purdue -12 | 55-58 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
Maryland @ Purdue 1:00 PM ET Game# 833-834 Play On: Purdue -12.0 (5*) Maryland is 0-4 in conference road games and lost the last 3 of those by 14 points or greater. Now they have the unenviable task of playing on the road against one of the nation’s best teams. Furthermore, . KenPom ranks Purdue 19th nationally in strongest home court advantage. Purdue is 18-1 and their lone blemish was a 1.0-point defeat to Rutgers. The Boilermakers are one of if not the most complete teams in all of College Basketball. Purdue is the 3rd nationally in offensive rebounds. That’s not good news for the Terrapins since they rank #202 in defensive rebounding. Look for that to be a huge factor and especially so in the 2nd half when Purdue has consistently worn their opponents out. Give me Purdue minus the points. |
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01-22-23 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -2.5 | 75-68 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Cincinnati 1:00 PM ET Game# 837-838 Play On: Cincinnati -2.5 (5*) On paper you can make a strong case that Memphis is the better team in this matchup and you would probably get very little opposition to that argument. However, games aren’t played on paper. Mephis is a poor 1-4 SU in true road games this season. Cincinnati is 10-2 at home with their lone defeats coming against #1 Houston and nationally ranked Xavier. Additionally, Cincinnati will enter on a 3-game win streak with all coming versus conference opponents and won by an average of 15.3 points per game. Give me the Cincinnati Bearcats. |
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01-22-23 | Michigan State v. Indiana -3 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
Michigan State @ Indiana 12:00 PM ET Game# 829-830 Play On: Indiana -3.0 (5*) After going through a recent 3-game losing streak, Indiana has rebounded in their last 2 outings with wins over Wisconsin by 18 and at Illinois by 15. The Hoosiers are very good on both ends of the floor, and in a rivalry game such as this one at home, I look them to prevail by a comfortable margin. Give me Indiana minus the small number. |
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01-21-23 | San Diego State v. Air Force OVER 131 | 70-60 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
San Diego State @ Air Force 10:00 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Over 131.0 (5*) Air Force has seen it last 4 go over the total when the number was 124.0 or greater and there was a combined 150.3 points scored per game. The Falcons live a die with their 3-point shooting as over 45% of its field goal attempts have come from beyond the arc. The Falcons shoot a very respectable 36.6% from 3-point territory which is ranked in the upper 14% of all Division 1 College Basketball teams. On the other side of the coin is a San Diego State team which has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the number was 146.0 or less and there was a combined 149.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-21-23 | Florida Atlantic v. UTEP +6 | 67-59 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
FAU @ UTEP 9:00 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: UTEP +6.0 (5*) FAU comes in riding high after winning 17 straight games. Utep is a very deceiving 4-5 SU in their last 9. Why is it deceiving? Because the Miners covered 8 of those 9 games and all 5 losses came by 6 points or fewer. I look for the Miners to be right there down the stretch. Give me UTEP plus the points. |
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01-21-23 | Giants +8 v. Eagles | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
New York @ Philadelphia 8:15 PM ET Game#303-304 Play On: Giants +8.0 (5*) The Giants are an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS in neutral site and away games this season. They also won 5 of those 9 contests straight up. That includes 6-1 ATS and 5-2 SU as underdogs of 9.5 or less, and if their opponent had a win percentage of .583 or better, New York improved to 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU. The Giants have committed just 1 turnover over their previous 3 games. Philadelphia has forced 1 turnover or less in each of its last 6 games. NFL underdogs of between 3.5 to 10 like the Giants who committed 1 turnover of fewer in each of their last 3 games, versus an opponent like the Eagles who has forced 1 turnover or fewer in each of their last 2, resulted in those underdogs going 37-8 ATS (82.2%) during the last 5 seasons. That includes an ever better 18-3 ATS over the previous 3 seasons. Give me the Giants plus the points. |
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01-21-23 | Virginia Tech +2 v. Clemson | 50-51 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ Clemson 6:00 PM ET Game# 761-762 Play On: Virginia Tech +2.0 (5*) Clemson is 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last 8. On the other hand, Virginia Tech has fell of the cliff of late while going 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6. Yet, the Clemson Tigers are just a short favorite. Clemson may end up being the sucker play of the day. Give me Virginia Tech plus the small number. |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs OVER 52 | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
Jacksonville @ Kansas City 4:30 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Over 52.0 (10*) Since 1/20/2019, Kansas City has played 6-1 to the over in home playoff games with a total of 56.5 or less. Those 7 contests had an average total of 52.2 and there was a combined 66.1 points scored per game. Jacksonville has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 non-division away underdog of 9.0 or less, and there was a total of 42.0 or greater. The Jaguars have also played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 when there was a total of 45.5 or greater, and there was a combined 63.0 points per game. The Jaguars enter this Divisional Round matchup riding a 6-game win streak. NFL Playoff teams like Jacksonville who have won 6 or more games in a row, and there was a total of 52.0 or greater, saw those situations play 4-0 to the over and there was a combined 62.3 points scored per occurrence since 2017. NFL Playoff home favorites of 4.5 or more like Kansas City that are coming off a bye, with a total of 42.0 or more, and they’re coming off 5 or more wins in a row, resulted in those situations playing 11-0 to the under since 1990. The average total in those games was 47.5 and there was a combined 55.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-21-23 | Fordham v. Duquesne -7.5 | 65-58 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
Fordham @ Duquesne 2:00 PM ET Game# 641-642 Play On: Duquesne -7.5 (5*) Fordham’s 14-4 record is an absolute fraud. They have played the 7th easiest schedule in all of College Basketball. The Rams have been atrocious offensively over their previous 5 games while shooting 36.4% and converted a mere 24.6% of its 3-point shot attempts. Duquesne is a solid 11-2 at home this season. Duquesne have made an excellent 41.5% of their 3-point shots during the previous 5 game. Give me Duquesne minus the points. |
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01-21-23 | Iowa v. Ohio State -3.5 | 77-93 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Ohio State 2:00 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play On: Ohio State -3.0 (5*) Iowa enters this contest on a 4-0 SU&ATS streak in their last 4. Conversely Ohio State is 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5. Yet, it’s the Buckeyes who come up as the favorite. The under is a lock, right? If it looks too good to be true in sports betting than more times than not it is. Give me Ohio State minus the points. |
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01-21-23 | Texas A&M +5.5 v. Kentucky | 67-76 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Texas A&M @ Kentucky 2:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: Texas A&M +5.5 (5*) What’s the College Basketball world coming to. Mighty Kentucky is just a 5.0-point home favorite versus an unranked team. However, in this sports handicapper’s eyes is justified. Kentucky is just 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS in SEC play. Texas A&M has been outstanding defensively in SEC play while allowing just 57.6 points per game and permitting their opponents to shoot a miserable 35.4%. It’s no wonder they went 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS to start their conference schedule. Give me Texas A&M plus the points. |
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01-21-23 | Virginia v. Wake Forest +3.5 | 76-67 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Wake Forest 2:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Wake Forest +3.5 (5*) Wake Forest is a perfect 10-0 at home this season. The Demon Deacons are also 6-1 SU&ATS in their last 7 overall. Wake is on a red-hot offensive streak over its last 5 averaging 84.2 points scored per game, shot 51%, and made 42.7% of its 3-point attempts. The Demon Deacons come off an 87-77 home win over Clemson. Wake has gone 7-0 SU&ATS at home since the start of last season immediately following scoring 85 points or more and won by an average of 26.2 points per game. Virginia is on a 4-game win streak. However, since the start of last season, Virginia is 0-7 ATS following a 4-game win streak. Give me Wake Forest plus the points. |
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01-19-23 | Hawaii +3 v. Cal-Irvine | 68-76 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Hawaii @ UC-Irvine 10:00 ET Game# 827-828 Play On: Hawaii +3.0 (5*) UC-Irvine is an uninspiring 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS at home versus Division 1 opponents this season. As a matter of fact, the Anteaters are coming off a 73-65 home loss as a 2.0 point favorite versus UC-Santa Barbara in their previous outing. Irvine is #4 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage at 39.4%. However, only 32.5% of its field goal attempts are from 3-point territory, and they’ll be going up against a Hawaii team which is #6 nationally in 3-point defense. Hawaii is 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10. This will mark only the 3rd time this season in which Hawaii has been an underdog. As previously mentioned, Hawaii defends the 3-point line very well. They’re also #14 nationally in 2-point defense as well. Give me Hawaii plus the small number. |
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01-19-23 | Youngstown State -14.5 v. Green Bay | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Youngstown State @ Wisconsin-Green Bay 8:00 ET Game# 791-792 Play On: Youngstown State -14.5 (5*) There’s no sugar coating it, Green Bay is a horrible team. They enter tonight’s Horizon League game having lost 9 in a row and failed to cover on 6 of those occasions. Green Bay ranks #363 or dead last in the country in defensive efficiency while giving up an average of 117.8 points to per their opponents 100 offensive possessions. They are just as bad offensively where they rank #345 nationally in offensive efficiency. Youngstown State is sneaky good despite playing a less than impressive strength of schedule. The Penguins have gone an excellent 5-1 ATS as a favorite in true road games this season. They’re also 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 overall with 3 of the contests being away games, and they won those road tilts by 18.3 points per contest. Youngstown State is #25 nationally in offensive efficiency, #2 in in 3-point shooting at 40.8%, and #13 from the free throw line at a 78.7% conversion rate which is better than a handful of NBA teams. The Penguins aren’t very good defensively, but against an offensively challenged team like Green Bay they aren’t likely to be exposed in that area. Give me Youngstown State minus the points. |
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01-19-23 | NC-Wilmington v. Hofstra UNDER 140.5 | 46-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
UNC-Wilmington @ Hofstra 7:00 PM ET Game# 751-752 Play On: Under 140.5 (5*) Hofstra has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 with a combined average of just 130.4 points scored per game. During that stretch, Hofstra allowed only 60.0 points per game while holding them to 35.8% shooting. Throughout those previous 5 contests there was a mere combined average of only 25 free throw attempts per game. UNC-Wilmington plays at a very slow offensive tempo and is ranked #294 in that category. They are also #337 in average time of possession at 19.3 seconds per. Considering they’ll be facing a Hofstra team that slows down opponents to an average of 18.1 seconds per offensive possession, there’s a good chance they’ll be in the low 50’s or high 40’s in field goal attempts today. Wilmington has held conference opponents to 63.0 points scored per game and 40.1% shooting this season. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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01-18-23 | Providence v. Marquette -7.5 | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Providence @ Marquette 9:00 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Marquette -7.5 (5*) This line jumped right off the screen when first seeing it this morning. With all be considered it’s a heavy line which makes it very enticing for most sports bettors to get lured into taking the underdog. I for one isn’t that easily persuaded. These teams met a couple of weeks ago at Providence and the Friars won in double overtime. Marquette has the revenge factor and a home court advantage where they’ve gone 10-1 this season. The Golden Eagles are coming off an 80-76 loss at Xavier in its previous game. Marquette is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS this season immediately following a loss and won by 21.7 points per game. The Golden Eagles are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS this season in conference home games with an average victory margin of 13.3 points per contest. Give me Marquette minus the points. |
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01-18-23 | TCU v. West Virginia -2.5 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
TCU @ West Virginia 7:00 PM ET Game# 691-692 Play On: West Virginia -2.5 (5*) This line doesn't make a whole lot of sense and when that occurs, I look for valid reasons to go against public perception. TCU is ranked #14 in the latest College Basketball AP Poll. Yet, they come up as an underdog against an unranked West Virginia team which has lost 5 in a row. However, when looking inside the numbers there's hidden betting value which supports to small home favorite. For starters, KenPom has West Virginia as possessing the 2nd strongest home court in all of College Basketball and worth an additional 4.6 points as a result. West Virginia's analytics clearly convey to me that they're much better than its uninspiring 10-7 record indicates. The Mountaineers are #21 nationally in offensive efficiency, #48 in defensive efficiency, and #38 in forcing turnovers. On a negative note, West Virginia commits a lot of fouls due to their aggressive defensive style. On the other hand, TCU is #203 nationally in free throw percentage. Lastly, West Virginia has traditionally been a good offensive rebounding team under current head coach Bob Huggins and this season is no different. On the other hand, TCU ranks a dismal #265 in defensive rebounding while allowing their opponents to reel in offensive rebounds on 30.9% of its missed shots. If it looks too good to be true in sports betting, more times than not it is. This is a classic textbook example of such. Give me West Virginia minus the small number. |
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01-17-23 | Wyoming v. Air Force OVER 131 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Wyoming at Air Force 9:00 Game# 651-652 Play On: Over 131.0 (5*) Both teams play at a below average offensive temp and the total has been adjusted accordingly. However, Wyoming at seen each of their previous 4 go over the total. The average total in those contests was 137.8 and 151.3 points were scored per game. The Cowboys are a terrible defensive team. Air Force may play at a snail’s pace offensively but that doesn’t take away from the fact that they’re a very good shooting team. The Falcons have seen each of their previous 6 at home all go over the total and with a combined 140.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-17-23 | Rhode Island v. Richmond -8 | 57-64 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Rhode Island @ Richmond 7:00 ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Richmond -8.0 (5*) Rhode Island is 0-5 SU in true road games this season. That includes 0-4 ATS in the last 5 while be outscored by 10.5 points per game. Richmond is coming off a 71-63 loss at St. Bonaventure and they’re now 6-3 during its last 3 games. As a matter of fact the Spiders are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 immediately after a loss and won by an average of 16.7 per game. Furthermore, Richmond is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 at home with an average victory margin of 16.5 points per game. Give me Richmond minus the points. |
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01-17-23 | Kansas v. Kansas State OVER 146.5 | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Kansas State @ Kansas 7:00 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play On: Over 146.5 (5*) Kansas is #13 nationally in offensive efficient while scoring 113.1 points per 100 offensive possessions. Kansas State isn’t no slouch in that category ranking #36 at 112.7 points scored per 100 offensive possessions. Kansas State has gone over the total in their last 4 true road games with a substantial combined average of 175.3 points scored per game. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 4-0 to the over in its previous 4 contests when there was a total of 138.0 or greater and there was a combined 170.7 points scored per game. Both teams play at a slightly above average offensive pace. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +2.5 | 31-14 | Loss | -107 | 55 h 46 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Tampa Bay 8:15 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Tampa Bay +2.5 (10*) The Cowboys have gone 0-3 SU&ATS this season as an away favorite of 7.5 or less and when facing an opponent who has a losing record. Dallas allowed an alarmingly high 32.3 points per game in those losses. Dallas had a stellar regular season record of 12-5 (.705). However, NFL Postseason away favorites of 2.5 or less who have a win percentage of worse than .722 are 0-10 ATS and 2-8 SU since 1980. Dallas has an average line difference of +3.94 points per game. Conversely, Tampa Bay is at -6.08 points per game. The Bucks enter the postseason with an uninspiring 8-9 (.471) record. Dallas has gone just 15-17 in their last 32 away games. This sets up a powerful never lost NFL Playoffs betting angle which is displayed below that goes against conventional NFL point-spread handicapping wisdom. NFL Playoffs home teams like Tampa Bay who have a win percentage of .625 or worse and their average line difference per game is -0.1 or worse, versus an opponent like Dallas who’s won 16 or fewer of its last 32 away games and their average line difference per game is +0.5 or better, resulted in those home teams going 14-0 SU&ATS since 1992. The home teams won those 14 postseason contests by an average of 16.0 points per game. Give me Tampa Bay plus the points. |
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01-15-23 | Giants v. Vikings OVER 48 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
New York @ Minnesota 4:30 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: Over 48.0 (5*) These teams met just a few weeks ago in Minnesota and the Vikings squeezed out a 27-24 win when kicker Greg Joseph made a 61-yard field goal as time expired. The Vikings managed to win despite allowing the Giants offense to rack up 445 yards of total offense. This is nothing new for Minnesota’s defense. They finished regular season action having allowed 25.1 points and 388.7 yards per game. Minnesota has seen 7 of their last 8 at home go over the total and there was a combined average of 55.0 points scored per game. The Viking are coming off a 29-13 win at Chicago in their regular season finale and it barely went under the total of 42.5. That broke a string of 6 straight overs for Minnesota. The Giants finished the regular season with a 22-16 loss at Philadelphia and the contest stayed under the total of 42.5. New York has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 immediately following an under and there was a combined 56.3 points scored per game. Additionally, the Giants have averaged 26.7 points scored in their last 3 non-division games and amassed 394 yards or more of total offense on each occasion. The Giants offense has steadily improved as the season wore on and they scored 20 points or more in 6 of its last 7 games. Bet on this game to go over the total. |
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01-15-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -13.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 36 m | Show | |
Buffalo @ Miami 1:00 PM ET Game# 145-146 Play On: Buffalo -13.5 (5*) Buffalo enters this Wildcard Round on a 7-game win streak. As a matter of fact, the Bills have a season record of 13-3, and those trio of defeats came only by a combined 8 points. With a little bit of luck, we could be talking about an NFL team having an undefeated regular season for a first time since New England did it in 2007. In any event, 1 of those 3 losses came at Miami in a game the Bills outgained the Dolphins by a massive 285 yards. Buffalo won the rematch at home 32-29 and racked up another 446 yards of total offense. This time around, Miami will be missing Tua Tagovailoa at quarterback and most likely will start 3rd stringer Skylar Thompson. Buffalo possesses a strong home field having gone 24-8 in their last 32 played in Orchard Park and that includes 3-0 during postseason action. The last 2 of which were victories by scores of 17-3 over Baltimore and 47-17 against New England. Miami limps into the post season with an uninspiring 9-8 record and that includes going 1-5 in their last 6. This will be Miami’s first playoff game since 1/8/2017 when they lost at Pittsburgh 30-12. Conversely, since that last Miami postseason appearances, Buffalo has played in 12 playoff games and all under current head coach Sean McDermott. Don’t undervalue postseason experience when handicapping at this time of year, and a huge advantage Buffalo. Since 1995, NFL Playoffs 1st Round home favorites of 10.5 or more like Buffalo who have won 24 or more of its last 32 at home, versus an opponent like Miami with a win percentage of .647 or worse, resulted in those double-digit home favorites going 13-0 SU&ATS since 1995. The average victory margin for those 13 contests came by an average of 19.0 points per game. Give me Buffalo minus the points. |
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01-14-23 | 76ers v. Jazz OVER 233.5 | 118-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
76ers @ Jazz 9:10 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Over 233.5 (5*) Philadelphia has gone over in 6 consecutive games and there was a combined total of 244.7 points scored per game. The 76ers have played 8-1 to the over this season as a road favorite. Utah went under the total in its previous game and that snapped a streak of 4 straight overs. The Jazz have played 4-0 to the over during their previous 4 immediately following an under. Those 4 contests averaged a combined 244.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars +2.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
LA Chargers at Jacksonville 8:15 PM ET Game# 143-144 Play On: Jacksonville +2.5 (5*) The Chargers closed the regular season with a 31-28 loss at Denver. They allowed an anemic Denver offense to rack up 471 yards of total offense. The Chargers faced Jacksonville at home earlier this season (9/25) and got hammered 38-14 as a 6.5-point favorite. Jacksonville was revived from the dead after a 4-8 start to the season and finished regular season action on a 5-game win streak. The last of those wins coming in a 20-16 home win over Tennessee and enabled them to win the AFC South Division with a pedestrian 9-8 record. However, momentum is a scary thing for opponents going up against it on the road in the postseason. What’s been extremely encouraging has been the Jaguars defense over its last 3 games. During that stretch they allowed a mere 7.3 points and 272.0 yards per game. Putting that into proper perspective, the Jags held their opponents to 13.3 points and 81.3 yards below their season average which is a sign of a unit jelling at the right time. By, the way, Jacksonville won their last 4 at home with 3 of those coming as underdogs. One more note, the jaguars Doug Pederson has gone 14-4 ATS in his NFL head coaching career as a home underdog, and his teams outscored their opponents by an average of 8.3 points per game. NFL teams like Jacksonville that are facing an opponent like the Chargers who are playing with same season revenge stemming from a defeat in which they scored 14 points or fewer, and those oppponents are coming off a road loss, resulted in teams like the Jaguars going 40-13 (75.5%) SU over the previous 5 seasons. Give me Jacksonville plus the small number. |
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01-14-23 | Iowa State +8.5 v. Kansas | Top | 60-62 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show |
Iowa State @ Kansas 4:00 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Iowa State +8.5 (10*) There’s no denying how good the defending national champion Kansas Jayhawks are. The Jayhawks are 15-1 with their lone defeat coming versus a Tennessee who is a serious national title contender. However, since the 2020-2021 season, Kansas is 1-8 ATS in January home games with just a +1.3 point per game differential. Kansas is 2-0 at home in conference thus far but those victories over Oklahoma and Oklahoma State came by just a combined 6 points. Iowa State can be extremely frustrating to play against. They play at a snail’s pace offensively, are #6 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, and #1 in forcing turnovers. This is also a very experienced Cyclones team that won’t be rattled by a hostile environment. Iowa State is coming off an 84-50 home blowout win over a solid Texas Tech team. That win improved their season record to 13-2 and includes 4-0 during Big 12 Conference games. Give me Iowa State plus the points. |
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01-14-23 | Southern Miss -5.5 v. Arkansas State | 74-57 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
Southern Miss @ Arkansas State 3:00 PM ET Game# 659-660 Play On: Southern Miss -5.5 (5*) I’d rather not lay points on the road with such a massive card. Nevertheless, this is an exception to that preference. Arkansas State is a horrible team. They’re 9-9 which is seemingly not associated with a team being objectively being called horrible. In any event, 3 of their wins have come over teams that aren’t Division 1 programs. Arkansas State is #319 in adjusted offensive efficiency and #276 defensively in that same category. Arkansas State should have no excuses why they’ve been so bad since their strength of schedule has been the 14th easiest in the country to this point. The Red Wolves are on a current 4-game losing streak in which they’ve been outscored by an average of 11.3 points per game. Southern Miss will look to rebound from a 89-67 blowout loss at Marshall. That defeat dropped their season record to a still very good 14-4. Southern Miss followed its previous 3 losses with a win. Give me Southern Miss minus the points. |
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01-14-23 | UCF v. Tulane -2 | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show | |
UCF @ Tulane 2:00 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Tulane -2.0 (5*) UCF is coming off an emotionally draining 107-104 double overtime home win over Memphis who is one of the favorites to win the AAC. Now they travel to New Orleans to take on a better than advertised Tulane team. The Green Wave are coming off road win in each of its previous games at Temple and at SMU. Tulane is 7-1 at home this season. Tulane is #3 nationally in fewest offensive turnovers committed. Conversely, UCF is #298 in that identical category. They’re also #3 from the free throw line while converting on a superb 81.6% of its attempts. Give me Tulane minus the number. |
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01-14-23 | Davidson v. George Mason -4 | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
Davidson @ George Mason 12:00 ET Game# 601-602 Play On: George Mason -4.0 (5*) Davidson has gone a dismal 3-7 in their last 10 which includes bad home losses to Delaware and Northeastern. George Mason will be in a sour mood after coming off a 63-62 loss at St. louis. Now they return home where it has gone a perfect 9-0 this season. Davidson is #316 nationally in 3-point shooting. George Mason is #32 at defending the 3-point line. So much for the underdog’s ability to knock down 3-point shots as the great equalizer. Give me George Mason minus the points. |
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01-13-23 | VCU v. Dayton -7 | 63-62 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
VCU @ Dayton 9:00 PM ET Game# 881-882 Play On: Dayton -7.0 (5*) VCU is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in conference play, and much of their success can be attributed to making a red-hot 48.6% of its 3-point shots during those contests. However, they’ll be facing a Dayton team who ranks #3 nationally in 3-points defense while allowing the opposition to make a mere 26.8% of their long-distance attempts. Dayton was ranked in the Top 25 in most preseason polls. Then they started the season 5-5 and were written off as being overrated. Ever since then, they’ve reeled of 7 straight wins. Included in this current win streak is a 4-0 SU&ATS versus conference opponents and with an average victory margin of 17.5 points per game. Give me Dayton minus the points. |
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01-13-23 | Warriors v. Spurs +9 | 144-113 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
Golden State @ San Antonio 7:40 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: San Antonio +9.0 (3*) Golden State is hands down the better team in this matchup. However, it’s my job to beat the point-spread and assess the situation pertaining the topic for both teams. Golden State has 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and was outscored by an average of 9.7 points per game while being a favorite on each occasion. As a matter of fact, they shot 37.5% and 38.5% from the floor in their previous 2. Conversely, San Antonio has gone 5-0 ATS and 3-2 SU during its last 5 at home with their average point-spread being +6.4. Give me San Antonio plus the points. |
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01-12-23 | Utah v. UCLA UNDER 136.5 | 49-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Utah @ UCLA 11:00 PM ET Game# 849-850 Play On: Under 136.5 (5*) Both teams are strong defensively. Utah is #19 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and UCLA is #9. Furthermore, Utah is #4 nationally in 3-point defense and UCLA is #19. UCLA is currently on an 11-game win streak and allowed 66 points or fewer on each of those occasions. The Bruins have played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 with a combined average of 125.0 points scored per game. Utah has seen its last 4 contest average only a combined 126.8 points scored per game. Utah has played 3-1 to the under in true road games this season and there was only a combined 127.8 points scored per contest. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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01-11-23 | Rutgers v. Northwestern UNDER 127.5 | 65-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Rutgers @ Northwestern 9:00 PM ET Game# 745-746 Play On: Under 127.5 (5*) This total is this low for good reason. Both teams prefer to play at a slower pace offensively and each are superb defensively. Northwester is #10 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and Rutgers is #3. Northwestern is #232 and Rutgers #246 in the country when it comes to tempo. Both teams average approximately 66 offensive possessions per 40 minutes. Both teams rank amongst the bottom third of college basketball when it comes to 3-point shooting. Northwestern is #270 in that category and Rutgers #331. I am not going to let this low number scare me away and neither should you. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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01-11-23 | Connecticut v. Marquette OVER 147.5 | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
UConn @ Marquette 7:00 ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Over 147.5 (5*) These are two of the best offensive teams in the country. UConn is #8 in the nation when it comes to adjusted offensive efficiency and Marquette is #11. Marquette has played 8-2 (80%) to the over at home this season and that includes 6-0 over if there's a total of 153.0 or less. Those 6 contests averaged an enormous 157.5 points scored per game. Conversely, UConn has played 3-0 to the over in their previous 3 when there was a total of 143.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 162.7 points scored per contest. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-11-23 | Alabama v. Arkansas -102 | 84-69 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Arkansas 7:00 PM ET Game# 697-698 Play On: Arkansas -102 (ML) (5*) If you've been following College Basketball this season, then you're well aware of how good Alabama is. However, Arkansas isn't too shabby as well. The Razorbacks are 8-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 20.0 points per game. Historically, Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, Arkansas has long been one of the toughest places for opponents to walk away with a win and has been for a long time. The building seats 19,000 plus fans and is more times than not filled to capacity for high profile games such as this one. Arkansas is #9 nationally in defensive efficiency while allowing 88.8 points per their opponents 100 offensive possessions. Here's the telling factor to me. Arkansas is #23 nationally while forcing turnovers on 23.5% of opponent's offensive possessions. For as many things that Alabama does very weel, protecting the basketball isn't one of them. The Crimson Tide commits turnovers on 20.8% of their offensive possessions. Give me Arkansas on the money line. |
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01-10-23 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State -5.5 | 50-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Texas Tech @ Iowa State 8:00 PM ET Game# 835-836 Play On: Iowa State -5.5 (5*) These teams are headed on opposite paths right now. Texas Tech has gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and those were its first 3 Big 12 games of the season. Their most recent loss took place at home when they were defeated by Oklahoma in overtime. The Red Raider season record is now 10-5 and that’s while facing a strength of schedule which ranks #280 nationally. The Red Raiders are 0-5 this season versus teams ranked in the Top 100. All 10 of its wins have come over teams ranked #145 or higher. Iowa State enters today’ game on an 8-game win streak. Their last 2 wins came as an away underdog at Oklahoma and TCU. The Cyclones have gone 6-2 this season versus opponents who are currently ranked #73 or better. Iowa State is #12 nationally in defensive efficiency and they’re best in the country at forcing turnovers. Teams that have faced Iowa State this season have committed turnovers on 29.9% of its offensive possessions. Texas Tech has committed turnovers on 20.3% of its offensive possessions which ranks a terrible #277 nationally. Give me Iowa State minus the points. |
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01-09-23 | TCU v. Georgia OVER 63 | 7-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
TCU vs. Georgia 7:30 ET Game# 287-288 Play On: Over 63.0 (4*) TCU averages 41.1 points scored per game this season. The Horned Frogs have allowed 31 points or more in 6 of their last 12 games. That includes allowing 528 yards to Michigan during its 51-45 Semifinal win over Michigan. Conversely, Georgia has averaged 46.0 points scored and 533.0 yards of total offense in wins over LSU in the SEC Title Game and Ohio State in the Playoff Semifinal. The Bulldogs also allowed 71 points and 1016 yards in those last 2 wins. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-08-23 | Lions v. Packers -4.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 16 m | Show |
Detroit @ Green Bay 1:00 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: Green Bay -4.5 (10*) Detroit does come in having gone a red-hot 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games. However, their defense has horrible against the run over the last 2 games while allowing a combined 520 yards rushing and a massive 8.0 yards per attempt. They will be up against it again against a the superb running back due of Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon. Let’s start with the regular season home record of Green Bay. Since the beginning of the NFL 2019-2020 season, the Packers have gone an outstanding 27-4 SU (.871) and 21-10 ATS (68%) in regular season home games. Furthermore, Green Bay is 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 NFC North Division home games. The average line in those games was -9.4 and they won by 19.5 points per contest. Green Bay will be playing with revenge from an earlier season 15-9 loss at Detroit in a game they outgained the Lions by a decisive 135 yards, and only to be victimized by 3 Aaron Rogers interceptions. That’s highly unlikely to occur again. Green Bay enters this regular season finale having gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 and in a position to guarantee an NFC Wildcard Playoff spot with a win over their division rival. Any NFL home favorite of 7.0 or less like Green Bay that’s playing in their final regular season finale, and they’ve won 4 or more games in a row, and they covered their previous contest against a division foe while doing so by 7.0 points or more, resulted in those home favorites of 7.0 or less going 6-0 SU&ATS since 1986. The average point spread in those 6 contests was 5.0 and there was an substantial average victory margin of 23.2 points per game. Give me Green Bay minus the points. |
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01-08-23 | Jets v. Dolphins -3 | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
NY Jets @ Miami 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Miami -3.0 (5*) Any NFL favorite of 3.0 or more like Miami that has a win percentage of less than .750, versus an opponent like the Jets who is coming off SU favorite losses in each of their previous 2 games, and they possess a win percentage of ..400 to .490, resulted in those teams going 14-0 SU&ATS since 2009. The average margin of victory in those 14 wins came by 16.0 points per game. Give me Miami minus the points. |
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01-08-23 | Panthers v. Saints -3.5 | 10-7 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
Carolina @ New Orleans 1:00 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: New Orleans -3.5 (5*) I can’t help but think that Carolina will be mentally spent after what transpired last week. They were presented with an excellent opportunity to steal an NFL South Division Title when it seemed unfathomable to think after firing their head coach and trading away its best player earlier this season. We’re talking about a Panthers team that started the season 1-5 and was still a terrible 2-7 through 9 games. However, in a must win game last week at Tampa Bay and their division title hopes handing in the balance, Carolina sustained a heartbreaking 30-24 loss and we eliminated from contention. That’s a tough emotional obstacle to overcome when playing in a regular season finale just 7 days later, and do so on the road to boot. Despite now being 6-10, Carolina has gone a miserable 1-6 on the road. Additionally, since 2020 Carolina is 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS when coming off a loss by 6 points or fewer, and that worsens to 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS if those were away games. New Orleans is finishing the year strong despite being eliminated from realistic playoff aspiration a long while ago. The Saint enter Week 18 riding a 3-game win streak in which they allowed a mere 12.7 points and 294.0 yards per contest. Ride the season ending momentum with the Saints. Give me New Orleans minus the points. |
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01-07-23 | Pelicans v. Mavs -7 | 117-127 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Dallas 8:10 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Dallas -7.0 (5*) They’re coming off last night’s 108-102 home loss to Brooklyn. The Pelicans are 1-8 ATS on the road this season when facing a team like Dallas that has a winning record. New Orleans is also 1-5 SU&ATS during its previous 6 away games. Dallas is also coming off a 124-95 home blowout loss to Boston on Thursday night. That embarrassing defeat ended a Dallas 7-game win streak. Dallas will have a huge rest advantage tonight. The Mavericks will be playing in only their 3rd game over the last 7 days. Conversely, New Orleans will be playing their 6th game in 9 days. Give me Dallas minus the points. |
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01-07-23 | Creighton +7 v. Connecticut | 60-69 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
Creighton @ Connecticut 12:00 PM ET Game# 607-608 Play On: Creighton +7.0 (5*) Creighton has had a topsy-turvy start to the season. They won their first 6 then lost their next 6 which was followed by a current 3-0 SU&ATS stretch. Those 3 wins all came over conference opponents and by a substantial victory margin of 17.7 points per game. During their 6-game losing streak, 4 of those defeats came by a combined 10 points. The Blue Jays faced the 15th toughest schedule during its 1st 15 games and are much better than their 9-6 record indicates. They may be catching UConn at just the right time. After starting the season 14-0 and being ranked #1, the Huskies have dropped 2 in a row with both coming by 12 versus Xavier and Providence. Give me Creighton plus the points. |
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01-06-23 | Akron v. Ball State -135 | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Akron @ Ball State 8:30 PM ET Game# 893-894 Play On: Ball State -135 (5*) This will be only the 3rd true road game for Akron this season. They were losers in the previous 2 by decisive margins at Marshall and Bradley. During those contests, the Zips averaged only 56.0 points scored per game and shot an atrocious 31.3% from the field. Ball State ranks #9 nationally in 3-point shooting while converting on an excellent 39.5% of their attempts. Conversely, Akron ranks #299 nationally at defending the 3-point line has opponents have made a combined 36.4% of its long-distance attempts against them. Ball State is a perfect 5-0 at home this season. The Cardinals are also currently on a 6-game win streak. Give me Ball State minus the small number. |