Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-12-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Robert Morris OVER 154.5 | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
IPFW @ Robert Morris 7:00 PM ET Game# 871-872 Play On: Over 154.5 Despite their poor record, Robert Morris has scored 75 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games and that includes the previous 4 played at home. Furthermore, RMU has played 4-0 to the over this season when the total was 145.0 or greater and there was a combined total of 171.5 points scored per game. IPFW loves to play an up-tempo style of basketball. They’ve scored 75 points or more in 13 of 17 games this season. During their last 3 games played IPFW averaged 91.3 points scored per contest. They’re coming off 2 losses against Wright State 106-98 and Youngstown State 95-83. Additionally, I look for IPFW to get plenty of east transition baskets when facing this RMU team who turns the ball over on 24% of their offensive possessions which ranks #304 nationally, and considering IPFW is #11 nationally in forcing turnovers. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-11-24 | UCLA +9 v. Utah | 44-90 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
UCLA @ Utah 9:00 PM ET Game# 803-804 Play On: UCLA +9.0 Utah has certainly faced a very difficult schedule but has still gone 11-4 and is 8-0 at home. However, they come off road losses in their last 2 games to Arizona 92-73 and Arizona State 82-70. Additionally, since the start of the 2021-2022 season Utah is an abysmal 2-13 SU following a conference loss by 10 points or more. UCLA is off to an extremely disappointing 6-9 start to the season which includes losing 7 of their last 8. Nevertheless, the Bruins have seen all 9 of their losses come by 9 points or fewer so it’s not like their getting blown out by anybody. Their issues come on the offensive side where they’ve struggled for most of the season up until this point. However, they’re only allowing 62.1 points per game and holding their opponents to 39.1% which has kept them competttive throughout. Give me UCLA plus points. |
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01-11-24 | Celtics +4.5 v. Bucks | Top | 102-135 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Celtics @ Bucks 7:40 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Celtics +4.5 The Bucks are an impressive 16-3 at home this season. However, they lost their last 2 in Milwaukee to Utah 132-116 and Indiana 122-113. As a matter of fact, the Bucks are 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last 5 overall. The Celtics find themselves as an underdog for just the 2nd time all season. Since the start of last season, Boston is 9-1 ATS and 6-4 SU as an underdog. All 4 of those SU losses came by 6 points or fewer and by a combined 15 points. Their lone time as an underdog this season, they were +3.0 at Sacramento and won 144-119. Give me the Celtics plus points. |
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01-10-24 | Butler v. Marquette -11.5 | 69-62 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Butler @ Marquette 9:00 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Marquette -11.5 Marquette is much better than their 11-4 even indicates. The Golden Eagles have faced the 7th most difficult schedule in the nation thus far. They own quality wins at Illinois (11-3) by 7, Kansas (13-1) by 14, Texas (12-3) by 21, and Creighton (12-4) by 5. Marqutte is coming off a loss at Seton Hall. Nevertheless, the Golden eagles are 3-0 following a loss this season while winning by a huge margin of 29.3 points per game. Butler enters this matchup having gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and was outscored by an average of 11.0 points per game. Give me Marquette minus the points. |
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01-10-24 | Arkansas v. Georgia OVER 151.5 | 66-76 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ Georgia 9:00 PM ET Game# 733-734 Play On: Over 151.5 These teams have seen their last 4 meetings all go over the total with a combined average of 172.5 points scored per game. Arkansas has played 11-3 to the over this season and likes to push the pace offensively. The Razorbacks have also witnessed a combined average of 50 free throw attempts per contest in their 14 games and that is extremely high by college basketball standards. Georgia is adept at get to the free throw line while averaging 24 attempts per game. During their previous 4 contests Georgia has averaged 85.0 points scored per game and shot 50.6% from the field. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-10-24 | Tennessee -130 v. Mississippi State | 72-77 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Mississippi State 7:00 PM ET Game# 697-698 Play On: Tennessee -130 (ML) Both teams are 11-3 but that’s where the similarity ends. Tennessee has played the 17th most difficult schedule in the country so far. They own quality wins over nationally ranked Illinois and Wisconsin. Their only 3 losses came by single digit margins with all versus top caliber teams the likes of Kansas, Purdue, and North Carolina. Conversely, Mississippi State has yet to play any teams ranked withing the top 55 in KenPom’s rankings. Give me Tennessee as a money line favorite. |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan -4.5 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Washington vs. Michigan 7:30 PM ET Game# 287-288 Play On: Michigan -4.5 The Wolverines defense will be the difference in this contest and will be the best stop unit that Washington’s offense will have faced all season. The Huskies star quarterback Michael Pennix is adept when it comes to getting rid of the ball quickly and with pinpoint accuracy. Those traits have given opposing secondaries fits this season. However, the Wolverines defense is extremely good and will force Pennix to hang on to the ball a lot more than he’s been used to and in turn will make Michigan’s stellar front 7 a relevant factor. The Wolverines have allowed 24 points or fewer in all 14 games this season and 15 or less on 11 separate occasions. Additionally, Michigan has also allowed less than 200 yards passing in 12 of 14 games. Conversely, Washington has allowed 31 points or more 6 times this season. Here’s another thing that favors Michigan. They’re +16 in the turnover margin this season while Washington is only +1. This is the Wolverines year and they’ll be out to make an emphatic statement tonight. Give me Michigan minus points. |
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01-07-24 | Bills -2.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
Bills @ Dolphins 8:20 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Bills -2.5 Buffalo has had Miami’s number in recent season while winning 10 of the last 11 meetings. Their lone loss in that sequence was 21-19 on the road in September of 2022. The Bills deserved a better fate in that defeat when considering they outgained Miami 497-212. Additionally, Josh Allen’s career passing and rushing statistics are far and away the best against Miami than any other NFL team. Buffalo has been as healthy as they’ve been in quite some time, while Miami has sustained many key injuries heading into this matchup. Give me Buffalo minus points. |
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01-07-24 | Rams v. 49ers -4 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
Rams @ 46ers 4:25 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: 49ers -4.0 The 49ers have clinched the NFC #1 seed and will rest starters Brock Purdy (QB) and Christian McCaffery (RB) just to name a couple. However, I like the 49ers chances much more with Sam Darnold at quarter than the Rams expected starter Carson Wentz. The Rams have clinched a wildcard berth and will be either a #6 or #7 seed. Hence Sean McVay has chosen to rest starters Mathew Stafford (QB), Aaron Donald (DT), Cooper Kupp (WR), and Kyren Williams (RB). I also like the quality depth on the 4ers roster much more than that of the Rams. Give me the 49ers minus points. |
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01-07-24 | Eagles -4 v. Giants | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Giants 4:25 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: Eagles -4.0 The Eagles have pretty much squandered what looked to be a commanding lead in the NFC East with their late season swoon that seen them go 1-4 over their last 5 games. The epitome of that collapse occurred last week when they blew and 15-point halftime lead in a 35-31 home loss versus the Arizona Cardinals (4-12) that allowed the Dallas Cowboys to surpass them in the standings. The bottom line is this, Philadelphia needs something to feel good about heading into the postseason especially where it’s likely they’ll require 3 road wins to get back to the Super Bowl for a 2nd straight season. The Giants (5-11) playoff hopes have long been gone and they enter their regular season finale on a 3-game losing streak. The Giants have lost 5 straight games to the Eagles and by a substantial average of 19.0 points per contest. The Eagle defense has been anything but playoff caliber over their previous 6 games while allowing 31.5 points and 398.8 points per contest. Nonetheless, they don’t figure to get exposed by a Giants offense which has averaged 12.3 points scored and 277.9 yards gained per contest over 7 home games. Give me the Eagles minus points. |
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01-07-24 | Bears v. Packers -2.5 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
Bears @ Packers 4:25 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Packers -2.5 The Bears have played terrific down the final stretch of regular season action with all being considered. Chicago has won 4 of their last 5 and is 6-1-1 ATS during their previous 8 contests. The Packers have been no slouches as well while winning 5 of their last 7 and averaged 31.2 points scored per game. The Packers are 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 versus Chicago including a 38-20 blowout win at Soldier Field in their regular season opener. Urgency and desperation will be on the side of the Packers since with a win earns them an NFL Wildcard spot. Give me the Packers minus points. |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts OVER 47.5 | 23-19 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Texans @ Colts 8:15 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Over 47.5 Indianapolis has gone over the total in all 4 at home this season when the total was 44.0 or greated and there was a combined average of 54.0 points scored per game. Since the start of last season, all 3 meetings between these division rivals have gone over the total with a combined 51.0 points scored per game. The Colts are #9 in scoring offense but #24 in total defense and are the #27 NFL scoring defense. Houston is the #7 passing offense in the NFL and that’s despite having to play a short stretch without their starting quarterback C.J. Stroud who is an absolute lock for NFL Rookie of the Year. Since the beginning of the 2021-2022 season the Colts quarterback is 22-11 to the over during his 33 starts. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-06-24 | Stanford v. USC OVER 151 | 79-93 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Stanford @ USC 4:00 PM ET Game# 717-718 Play On: Over 151.0 USC has played 5-0 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 151.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 164.8 points scored per game. The Trojans have also gone over the number in their last 4 at home with a combined average of 163.3 points scored per game. Stanford is coming off a 59-53 win at UCLA on Wednesday and that contest easily went under the total of 138.5. However, the Cardinal have played 3-0 to the over this season immediately following an under and with a combined 154.0 points scored per contest. Additionally, Stanford has played 5-1 to the over when the total has been 148.0 or greater this season and with a combined 162.8 points scored per game. Furthermore, Stanford shot just 36% in Wednesday game versus UCLA and that was the 5th time this season they shot less than 44%. However, the Cardinal followed the previous 5 up by averaging 85.0 points scored per game. The pace of this game based on season averages for both teams will be conducive to a high scoring game relative to the current total. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-06-24 | St. John's v. Villanova -4.5 | 81-71 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
St. Johns @ Villanova 1:00 PM ET Game# 623-624 Play On: Villanova -4.5 Villanova has endured some resume killing losses this season. Namely, they lost to Philadelphia Big 5 rivals Drexel, Penn, and St. Joseph’s. However, they’re 5-0 versus teams that are ranked in the Top 41 of KenPom rankings. The Wildcats are on a current 4-game win streak with wins over UCLA, North Carolina, Memphis, and DePaul. During those 4 contests their defense has been outstanding while holding opponents to 60.5 points per game and 36% shooting. With Rick Pitino and St. John’s and St. John’s coming to town I look for Villanova to be more than up to the challenge. Give me Villanova minus points. |
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01-05-24 | Connecticut v. Butler +6 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Connecticut @ Butler 6:30 PM ET Game# 877-878 Play On: Butler +6.0 This will be just the 3rd true road game for UConn this season and they lost to Kansas by 4 and Seton Hall by 15 in the first 2. Butler is 10-4 but it’s worth noting that they’re 8-0 at home and considering their a sizable underdog in this spot that element can’t be ignored. Butler has also played the tougher schedule to this point compared to UConn which may not result in winning this game outright but certainly bodes well for them to be competitive throughout and stay inside the number. Give me Butler plus points. |
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01-03-24 | Indiana v. Nebraska -5 | Top | 70-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
Indiana @ Nebraska 9:00 PM ET Game# 705-706 Play On: Nebraska -5.0 Nebraska is 11-2 and every good as their record indicates. The Cornhuskers have quality depth and are a very experienced team. Indiana is one of the youngest teams in the Big 10 Conference. It seems odd to see Nebraska as a favorite over Indiana in basketball. With that in mind, it most likely will produce a fair share of underdog bets just based on the perception of reach programs history on the hardwood. Give me Nebraska minus points. |
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01-03-24 | USC Upstate v. North Carolina-Asheville -10 | 67-95 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
USC-Upstate @ UNC-Asheville 6:00 PM ET Game# 306513-306514 Play On: UNC-Asheville -10.0 UNC-Asheville is very good offensively and especially so at home where they’re averaging 92.0 points per game. Asheville is also very adept at getting to the free throw line while averaging 26 attempts per game. That’s not good news for a USC-Upstate team that allows 24 free throw attempts per game. USC-Upstate is a poor 2-8 this season versus Division 1 competition and they’re also 1-4 ATS as an underdog of 12.0 or less. Asheville is coming off 3 consecutive non-conference games which saw them go 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS while hold those opponents to less than 40% shooting. Since last season, Asheville is 8-1 ATS at home following 3 consecutive non-conference games with an average victory margin of 25.1 points per contest. Give me UNC-Asheville minus points. |
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01-01-24 | Texas -3.5 v. Washington | Top | 31-37 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
Texas vs. Washington 8:45 PM ET Game# 279-280 Play On: Texas -3.5 This is one of those situations where many bettors will be lured into taking the underdog Washington Huskies. After all, Washington enters this matchup 13-0 and is the higher ranked team versus the favorite Texas Longhorns (12-1). Nonetheless, I’m not taking the bait. Keep in mind, Washington’s last 9 wins have all come by 10 points or fewer. So, it’s not like they’ve been dominating the opposition. Both offenses will be able to move the ball. But I like Texas’ defense much better than that of Washington’s stop unit. Despite their undefeated record, the Washington defense allowed 500 yards or more on 3 separate occasions this season. Give me Texas minus points. |
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01-01-24 | Alabama v. Michigan -124 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
Alabama vs. Michigan 5:00 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Michigan -124 Alabama unequivocally faced a tougher slate playing in the SEC and facing #3 Texas in a non-conference game. But let’s keep things in perspective. The Crimson Tide needed a 4th and goal 27-yard miraculous touchdown pass to beat a very average at best Auburn (6-7) team in their regular season finale. They followed that up with a narrow 3-point win over Georgia in the SEC Title Game. Not to mention the previously mentioned early season matchup versus Texas where they lost by 10 at home. Michigan has received a ton of criticism this season for the weak schedule they faced. Nonetheless, the only close call they had was in their regular season finale 30-24 win over Ohio State who was 11-0 at the time on their way to a perfect 13-0 record. The Wolverines defense is #1 in scoring defense and will be a key element to us attaining the win. Give me Michigan as a money line favorite. |
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01-01-24 | Liberty v. Oregon -17.5 | 6-45 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
Liberty vs. Oregon 1:00 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Oregon -17.5 Liberty comes into this New Year’s Fiesta Bowl game undefeated at 13-0 and will take on a Power 5 Conference team for the first time this season. Although they look forward to the challenge and tough task at hand, it may be one of those be careful what you wish for scenarios. 6th year quarterback and Heisman Trophy finalist Bo Nix will play for Oregon. All Nix did this year was throw for 4145 yards and 40 touchdowns against only 3 picks. Nix also ran for 228 yards and 6 scores as well. Oregon will be without some key offensive skill position players who have opted out. But the Ducks annually bring in top recruiting classes and have high quality depth. Oregon is 11-2 and their only losses were a pair of 3-point defeats against #2 Washington (13-0). Additionally, Oregon is #10 nationally in scoring defense at 17.2 points per game. Oregon is also #2 in both scoring and total offense. Liberty is #1 nationally when it comes to rushing offense at 302.9 yards per game and #3 in total offense. However, Oregon is 12th nationally in rush defense while allowing just 97.9 yards per game. Give me Oregon minus the points. |
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01-01-24 | Iowa v. Tennessee -5.5 | 0-35 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
Iowa vs. Tennessee 1:00 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Tennessee -5.5 Yes, Tennessee starting quarterback Joe Milton Jr. opted out of this bowl game. But, I’m not so sure that’s a bad thing. Tennessee will go with 5* true freshmen Nico Iamaleava who projected to be a star. Iowa’s offense is anemic and that might be kind. On the other hand, the Hawkeye defense is excellent and the main reason they went 10-2 during regular season action before losing to Michigan 26-0 in the Big 10 Championship Game. By, the way, the Tennessee defense is a pretty good unit as well and faced a lot more explosive offenses in the SEC than Iowa faced in the top heavy Big 10. Give me Tennessee minus points. |
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01-01-24 | Wisconsin v. LSU OVER 56.5 | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
Wisconsin vs. LSU 12:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Over 56.5 LSU will be without Heisman Trophy winning quarterback Jayden Daniels who opted out of this bowl game. However, they’ll have every other starter on both sides of the ball. The LSU defense has been terrible all season. However, their offense was the top scoring unit in all of College Football and even without Daniels will be able to move the ball consistently with 4* backup quarterback Garrett Nussmeir. Wisconsin has a pretty good quarterback of their own in Tanner Mordecai in addition to a powerful running game at his disposal. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-31-23 | Bengals +6.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-25 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
Bengals @ Chiefs 4:25 PM ET Game# 127-128 Play On: Bengals +6.5 The Chiefs are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 as a favorite of 8.5 or less. Furthermore, Kansas City is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home, and 0-3 SU&ATS at home this season versus opponents that currently own a winning record. The Chiefs are also a concerning -10 turnover margin throughout their previous 8 games. Since taking over at starting quarterback for an injured Joe Burrow, Jale Browning has made 5 starts and averaged 303.0 yards passing per game, threw for 7 touchdowns, and ran for 2 scores. That’s a respectable job done from a backup quarterback. The Bengals are coming off last week’s extremely disappointing 34-11 loss at Pittsburgh which halted their 3-game win streak. Cincinnati is 8-7 and still contending for a Wildcard berth. Here’s the odd thing about the Bengals record this season, they’re a dismal 0-5 versus division opponents, and an impressive 8-2 in their other 10 games. Since the start of the 2021-2022 season, Cincinnati is a very profitable 9-1 ATS as a road underdog of between 3.5 to 9.5-points, and they won 7 of those 10 contests SU. Give me the Bengals plus points. |
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12-31-23 | Steelers v. Seahawks -3.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Seahawks 4::05 PM ET Game# 125-126 Play On: Seahawks -3.5 Pittsburgh is coming off a 34-11 home win over Cincinnatti that kept their AFC Wildvcard hopes alive. I’m extremely confident that we’ll see a gross overreaction from the sports betting public as a result. The fact of the matter is I’ve been calling the Steelers a fraud for the last 2 months and 1 dominating performance with a 3rd string quarterback playing over his head isn’t about to change my mind. Although they haven’t attained the results they would have hoped for, Seattle has played very well down the stretch while going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. During that span, they faced San Francisco (11-4) twice, Dallas (10-5), Philadelphia (11-4), and the LA Rams (8-7). Furthermore, Seattle is 4-0 SU in non-division home games this season. Give me the Seahawks minus points. Play on any NFL favorite versus an opponent coming off a SU underdog win by 14 points or more who has a win percentage of between .450 to .550, resulted in those NFL favorites going 52-23 ATS (69.3%) since 1983. |
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12-31-23 | Dolphins v. Ravens -3 | 19-56 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Ravens -3.0 The Dolphins have played an extremely soft schedule this season that has seen them face 11 teams that currently have a losing record in their first 15 games. Miami finally defeated a team with a winning record for the first time in 29 contests last Sunday in a 2-point home win over Dallas. The previous time they accomplished that feat was in September of 2022 and a 21-19 home win over Buffalo. It’s been quite a while since Miami defeated a team with a winning record on the road. Additionally, Miami has gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 not played at home versus teams with a winning record and allowed 33.3 points per game. The Baltimore defense has played extremely well this season and they’ll be challenged on Sunday by a Miami team which averages 30.9 points scored per game. However, the Ravens are 6-0 SU&ATS this season when they faced a team that was averaging 24.0 or more points scored per contest and with an average victory margin of 21.8 points scored per game. Baltimore also will enter this extremely important AFC matchup on a 5-game win streak in which they outscored those opponents by an average of 12.0 points scored per game. The Ravens have also scored 31 points or more in 7 of their last 9 games played. Give me the Ravens minus points. |
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12-31-23 | Falcons v. Bears -140 | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Bears 1:00 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Bears -140 (ML) Atlanta has gone 1-3 versus non-division opponents with their lone win coming over the Jets 13-8. The Falcons have played 7 away/neutral site games and averaged a mere 13.6 points scored and 266.4 yards gained per game. The Bears are finishing the year strong. That been especially the cast at home where they’ve won 4 straight and outscored their opponents by an average of 11.7 points per game. Throughout their 7 at Soldier Field this season, Chicago has allowed just 268.7 yards per contest and outgained their opponents by 78.6 yards per game. Chicago is coming off last week’s 27-16 home win over Arizona which saw them pile up 420 yards of total offense and improve their season record to 6-9/.400. Any NFL home team playing after Game 8 and is coming off a home win by 10 points or more, and they possess a win percentage of between .400 to .490, resulted in those home teams going 43-13 (76.8%) against the money line since 1983. Give me the Bears as a money line favorite. |
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12-31-23 | Raiders v. Colts -4 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
Raiders @ Colts 1:00 PM ET Game# 113-114 Play On: Colts -4.0 The Raiders are coming off a emotional 20-14 win at Kansas City as a double-digit underdog. Nevertheless, let’s keep things in perspective because both Raiders touchdowns were scored by their defense, and they faced a Kansas City offense which had been struggling offensively of late and turning the ball over way too much. Truth be told, the Raiders offense produced just an atrocious 205 yards of total offense in that win at Kansas City. They’ve been anemic offensively on the road this season while averaging a scant 14.7 points scored and 236.9 yards gained per game while also being outscored by an average of 9.3 points per contest. The Colts started the season by losing 4 of their first 5 games at home. But they won their last 2 in Indianapolis with victories over Pittsburgh 30-14 and Tampa Bay 27-20 both of which currently have 8-7 records with each still alive for a playoff berth. Unlike the Raiders offensive struggles on the road, the Colts are averaging 27.0 points scored and 375.9 yards gained per game at home. The Colts are engulfed in a 3-way tie for first place in the AFC South standings with Houston and Jacksonville. Urgency, desperation, and playing at home will be instrumental to the Colts getting the win and cover. Give me the Colts minus points. |
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12-31-23 | 49ers v. Commanders OVER 49.5 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
49ers @ Commanders 1:00 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Over 49.5 The Commanders figure to get a much-needed spark with veteran quarterback Jacoby Brissett replacing struggling Sam Howell. Even with Howell, Washington has gone over the total in their last 4 at home with a combined average of 59.7 points scored per contest. On a negative note, the Commanders have allowed 34.7 points and 407.3 yards per game throughout their previous 6 contests. The 49ers are one of if not the best NFL offenses when healthy like they are right now. Throughout their previous 4 on the road, the 49ers averaged 38.0 points scored and 419.0 yards gained per game. They’ve also gone over the total in their last 3 on the road with a combined average of 59.7 points scored per game. The 49ers have a very talented group, but over their previous 3 contests they’re allowing an uninspiring 26.0 points and 367.7 yards per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-31-23 | Saints v. Bucs -136 | 23-13 | Loss | -136 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
Saints @ Buccaneers 1:00 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Buccaneers -136 (ML) NFL money line favorites like Tampa Bay that are playing after Game 8 which also scored 30 points or more in their previous game, and both teams in the matchup average between 18 to 23 points scored per game, resulted in those money line favorite going 34-4 (89.5%) since 2014. The favorites average money line in those contests was -145 and they outscored those 38 opponents by 10.2 points per game. Give me the Bucs minus points. |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys OVER 52 | 19-20 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Lions @ Cowboys 8:15 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Over 52.0 Dallas is 7-0 at home this season while averaging a robust 39.9 points per game. The once thought of dominant Dallas defense has been anything but over their previous 4 contests while allowing 25.3 points and 364.0 yards per game. Detroit has gone over the total in their last 6 when the total was 45.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 60.2 points scored per game. The Lions have scored 30 points or more in 5 of their last 7 and 8 of 15 games this season. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Dallas has played 27-12 to the over as a home favorite and with Dak Prescott was their starting quarterback. During those 39 contests Dallas averaged a lofty 33.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-30-23 | West Virginia v. Ohio State -9 | 75-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
West Virginia vs. Ohio State 7:00 PM ET Game# 681-682 Play On: Ohio State -9.0 No analysis on College Basketball today. |
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12-30-23 | St Bonaventure -115 v. Akron | 62-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
St. Bonaventure vs. Akron 4:00 PM ET Game# 659-660 Play On: St. Bonaventure -115 (ML) No analysis on College Basketball today. |
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12-30-23 | Wichita State v. Kansas -13 | 67-86 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Wichita State vs. Kansas 4:00 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: Kansas -13.0 No analysis on College Basketball today. |
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12-30-23 | Auburn -4.5 v. Maryland | 13-31 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
Maryland vs. Auburn 2:00 PM ET Game# 267-268 Play On: Auburn -4.5 Auburn is an excellent running team that’s rushed for 144 yards or more in all 7 games versus SEC opponents. That includes running for 244 yards vs. #4 Alabama (12-1) and 219 yards against #6 Georgia (12-1) in near upsets of both those highly ranked foes. Maryland will be without their starting quarterback who opted out to prepare himself for the NFL draft. That’s an issue when considering Marland averages only 109 yards rushing per game and 56.7% of their offensive plays have been pass attempts. Last, the Terrapins defense allowed their last 4 opponents to rush for 152 yards or more (170.8 YPG). Give me Auburn minus points. |
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12-29-23 | Washington v. Colorado OVER 156.5 | 69-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Washington @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET Game# 877-878 Play On: Over 156.5 No analysis on today’s games due to time restrictions. |
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12-29-23 | Missouri v. Ohio State UNDER 50.5 | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Missouri vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Under 50.5 No analysis today due to time constraints. |
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12-29-23 | Knicks -119 v. Magic | Top | 108-117 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Knicks @ Magic 7:10 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Knicks -119 (ML) No analysis on today’s games due to time restrictions. |
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12-29-23 | McNeese State +10.5 v. Michigan | 87-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
McNeese State @ Michigan 7:00 PM ET Game# 306535-306536 Play On: McNeese State +10.5 No analysis on today’s games due to time restrictions. |
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12-29-23 | Notre Dame v. Oregon State OVER 39.5 | 40-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
Oregon State vs. Notre Dame 2:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Over 39.5 No analysis today due to time constraints. |
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12-28-23 | Hornets v. Lakers UNDER 226.5 | 112-133 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Hornets @ Lakers 10:40 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Under 226.5 Charlotte has gone under the total in 6 consecutive games when the number was 234.0 or less. There was a combined average of 213.7 points scored per game during those 6 contests. The Hornets are averaging a mere 100.6 points scored per game throughout their previous 7 contests and they’ve allowed 116 points or fewer in 8 of their last 10. The Lakers have played 9-4 to the under at home this season and with a combined average of 221.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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12-28-23 | Heat v. Warriors -3.5 | 114-102 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Heat @ Warriors 10:10 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Warriors -3.5 This pick is more about positives for the Warriors than negatives applied to Miami. Golden State began this season by losing 6 of their first 7 at home. The Warriors have since rebounded to win 8 consecutive home games. Additionally, since the start of the 2021-2022 season, Golden State is 40-21 ATS at home when facing an opponent like Miami that possesses a winning record and with a respectable +8.0 per game point differential. Lastly, Golden State has averaged 123.8 points scored per game and shot a red-hot 49.9% over their previous 5 contests. Give me the Warriors minus points. |
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12-28-23 | Pacers v. Bulls +1.5 | 120-104 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Pacers @ Bulls 8:10 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: Bulls +1.5 These are teams that are headed down opposite paths right now. Indiana has gone 2-6 SU&ATS in their last 8 games with 1 of those wins coming over Detroit (2-28) who’s currently on a 27-game losing streak. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 51% or better in 8 of their last 10 contests. Indiana is coming off a road win over Houston. However, the Pacers are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a win. Conversely, Chicago is 9-4 SU and 11-2 ATS over their last 11 games. The Bulls are also 5-0 ATS and 4-1 SU in their previous 5 games as an underdog. Chicago comes off a 118-113 win over Atlanta in a game they closed as a 1.0-point home underdog. The Bulls are 9-2 SU since the start of last season following a game in which they won SU as a home underdog, and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 this season when cast into that identical role. Give me the Bulls. |
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12-28-23 | Rutgers v. Miami-FL +2.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
Rutgers vs. Miami Fla. 2:15 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Miami Fla. +2.5 Despite going 3-5 in their last 8 regular season games, Miami still finished at 7-5. Since the start of last season, Rutgers has gone 1-9 ATS when facing a team with a winning record and were outscored by a substantial margin of 26.6 points per game. The Rutgers offense relies heavily on their running game. The Scarlett Knights have run the ball on 62.9% of their offense plays and 54% of their total yards have come on the ground. However, Miami ranks 16th nationally in rush defense while allowing just 96 yards per game and a mere 3.1 yards per rush attempt. Miami will go with 3rd string quarterback Jacurri Brown against Rutgers. Brown will be seeing his first action of the season in the Pinstripe Bowl. Nevertheless, he played in 8 games a season ago which included 2 starts. Brown is a big 240-pound quarterback with agility as evidence by his 223 yards rushing in limited playing time. He also threw for 3 touchdowns and was intercepted just once in those 2 starts. Give me Miami plus points. |
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12-27-23 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Texas A& M vs. Oklahoma State 9:00 PM ET Game# 247-248 Play On: Oklahoma State -3.5 Texas A&M will be playing with an interim coaching staff while Mike Elko waits in the wings to take over as head coach. The A&M roster has been decimated by opt outs and players entering the transfer portal. Notably starting quarterback Max Johnson and 5 defensive starters that logged 365 plays or more this season. That’s not good news when facing an Oklahoma State team that made it to the Big 12 Conference Championship game and scored 39 points or more in 5 of their last 8 games. Additionally, the Cowboys roster was hardly dented by the transfer portal and opt outs in comparison to the rest of this season’s bowl teams. |
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12-27-23 | North Carolina v. West Virginia -5 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
West Virginia vs. North Carolina 5:30 PM ET Game# 243-244 Play On: West Virginia -5.0 North Carolina will be without their 3 top players in quarterback Drake Maye, wide receiver Tez Walker, and linebacker Cedric Gray. If there’s a reason to call an 8-4 team disappointing, then North Carolina fits the bill. The Tar Heels began the season 6-0 but finished the regular season by going 1-4 versus Division 1 teams. The elephant in the room for North Carolina has been their porous defense and that’s especially been the case during the final stretch of regular season action. North Carolina has allowed 31 points or more in their last 6 games versus Division 1 competition. Conversely, West Virginia has scored 34 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games and surpassed 500 yards of total offense on 4 of those occasions. The Mountaineers have overachieved this season by going 8-4 when considering there wasn’t much expected this season. Furthermore, the Mountaineers roster remains virtually intact in comparison to most of this season's bowl participants when it comes to losing players to the transfer portal or opt outs. Give me West Virginia minus points. |
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12-26-23 | Wolves +2.5 v. Thunder | 106-129 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Timberwolves @ Thunder 8:10 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Timberwolves +2.5 Oklahoma City averages just 23 free throw attempts per game this season and that’s a significant note as it applies to this matchup. Conversely, Minnesota has gone a perfect 17-0 SU this season versus opponents that average 24 or fewer free throw attempts per game and with an average victory margin of 13.6 points per contest. Another worthwhile fact as it applies to today’s game. The Timberwolves have made a red-hot 40.5% of their 3-point shot attempts over their previous 5 while the Thunder has allowed team to make 39.8% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 contests. Additionally, Minnesota enters today having gone 21-4 during their previous 5 games. Give me the Timberwolves plus points. |
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12-26-23 | Texas State v. Rice OVER 59 | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Texas State vs. Rice 5:30 PM ET Game# 237-238 Play On: Over 59.0 This is a Texas State team that’s #17 nationally in scoring offense at 36 points per game. The Bobcats have scored 30 points or more in 8 of 12 games but also allowed 31 points or greater on 8 occasions as well. As a matter of fact, over their final 3 regular season contests Texas State allowed 50.7 points and 438.7 yards per game. Rice has played 4-1 to the over throughout their previous 5 when the total was 55.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 62.8 points scored per game. The Owls have also allowed 30 points or more 7 times this season. The Owls also average 30 points scored per game this season. Rice began the season with J.T. Daniels, but he was forced to retire from football due to multiple concussions. We’ll most likely see redshirt freshmen A.J. Padgett under center who has thrown for 636 yards and 7 touchdowns versus 3 interceptions in limited playing time. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers -6 | Top | 33-19 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Ravens @ 49ers 8:15 PM ET Game# 481-482 Play On: 49ers -6.0 The 49ers are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a favorite of 13.0 or less while outscoring those opponents by 22.0 points per game and with an average line of -6.3. As a matter of fact, San Francisco will enter tonight’s matchup on a 6-game win streak. Since the 2021-2022 season began, San Francisco is 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS at home after winning 4 or more games in a row and with an average victory margin of 19.3 points per game. Baltimore and Lamar Jackson have put together an excellent winning track record against NFC teams. Buth this 49ers squad is a whole different animal. Give me the 49ers minus points. |
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12-25-23 | 76ers v. Heat OVER 225.5 | 113-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
76ers @ Heat 8:10 PM ET Game# 589-590 Play On: Over 225.5 Philadelphia has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 on the road and with an average combined score of 241.0 points scored per game. Miami has gone over the number in 4 consecutive contests when the total was 237.5 or less. Philadelphia has shot 50% or better from the field in 8 of their last 12 games. During their previous 5 games, Miami shot 48/% from the field and a sizzling hot 42.5% from 3-point territory. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys +1.5 v. Dolphins | 20-22 | Loss | -108 | 46 h 7 m | Show | |
Cowboys @ Dolphins 4:25 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Cowboys +1.5 Miami is 0-3 SU&ATS this season versus teams that currently have a winning record and they were outscored by an average of 16.3 points per game. As a matter of fact, the Dolphins are 0-7 SU in their last 7 versus an opponent with a winning record. They haven’t accomplished the feat since beating Buffalo 21-19 during Week 3 of last season. Putting that into perspective, Miami has played 29 consecutive games without beating a team with a winning record. Dallas is coming off a humbling 31-10 loss at Buffalo in a game they were physically manhandled. I look forward to them coming back this week with a superlative effort. Dallas has gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss and won by a substantial margin of 23.3 points per game. Since the start of the 2021-2022 season, Dallas has gone 8-0 SU&ATS immediately following a game in which they allowed 30 points or more with an average victory margin of 16.7 points per game. During that same time span, they’re also 6-0 SU&ATS on the road following a SU loss and won by 15.8 points per game. Give me the Cowboys. |
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12-24-23 | Cardinals v. Bears -4 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 46 h 6 m | Show | |
Cardinals @ Bears 4:25 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Bears -4.0 The Bears are coming off a tough 20-17 loss at Cleveland last Sunday. However, Chicago is 4-1 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 following a loss. The Chicago defense has forced an impressive 14 turnovers during their previous 4 games. Chicago is 3-3 at home but probably deserves better when considering that they were a +72.7 yards per game in those contests. On the other hand, they’ll be facing an Arizona team that 1-6 SU on the road with a -9.7 point per game differential and were outgained by 83.6 yards per contest. Give me the Bears minus points. |
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12-24-23 | Jaguars v. Bucs -130 | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 46 h 48 m | Show | |
Jaguars @ Buccaneers4:05 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Buccaneers -130 (ML) Despite their 8-6 record, this is a Jacksonville team which has committed 24 turnovers this season. Compare that to the 7-7 Bucs who have turned the ball over just 14 times all year and it adds up to this being a key ingredient of us a win. Additionally, during their current 3-game winless streak, Jacksonville allowed 29.3 points and 425.3 yards per game which surely isn’t a recipe for winning. Jacksonville enters this game on a 3-game losing streak while Tampa Bays has won 3 in a row. Since 1989, NFL home teams that have won their last 3 games versus opponents who lost their previous 3 have gone 104-27 (79.4%) on the money line. The teams on the 3-game win streak outscored their opponents by an average of 10.8 points per game during those 131 contests. Give me the Buccaneers as a money line favorite. |
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12-24-23 | Lions v. Vikings OVER 47 | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 44 m | Show | |
Lions @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Over 47.0 Both teams are coming off very good offensive performances. The Vikings racked up 424 yards of total offense in last week’s overtime loss at Cincinnati. The Lions had a sizable 448 yards of total in last Sunday’s 42-17 home win over Denver. Detroit has now gone over the total in their last 5 when the number was 45.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 61.6 points scored per game. The last 3 meetings between these NFC North rivals have gone over the total and with a combined average of 55.0 points scored per game. Furthermore, since the start of the 2021-2022 season the Vikings have played 5-0 to the over at home in December and with a combined average of 58.4 points scored per game. Giver me this game to go over the total. |
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12-23-23 | Bills -12.5 v. Chargers | 24-22 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 24 m | Show | |
Bills @ Chargers 8:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Bills -12.5 The Chargers are a team in disarray and are playing with an interim head coach after the firing of Brandon Staley this past week. The Chargers were embarrassed before a Monday night national televion audience during a 63-21 loss at Las Vegas in a game they trailed 49-0 at halftime. Los Angeles has now lost their last 2, 5 of the last 6, and are now 5-9 (.357) on the season. Furthermore, the Chargers are 0-5 ATS this season as an underdog while being outscored by 14.4 points per game. During their current 1-5 funk in their last 6 they own an atrocious turnover margin of -11. Their only win in that span came at New England (3-11). Any NFL favorite of 10.5 or greater that has a winning record, versus an opponent that possesses a win percentage of .250 to .400 and has lost 2 or more games in a row, resulted in those favorites going 28-3 ATS (90.3%) since 2014. Give me the Bills minus points. |
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12-23-23 | Duke v. Troy -6.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 8 m | Show | |
Duke vs. Troy 12:00 PM ET Game# 221-222. Play On: Troy -6.5 This line speaks volumes to me when considering we have a Sun Belt team that’s a touchdown favorite over a Power 5 Conference opponent. Duke started the season 4-0 which included quality wins over Clemson and Northwestern. Then they went 3-5 the rest of the way. Following that 4-0 start they lost a heartbreaker to Notre Dame in which their starting quarterback Riley Leonard was injured. Leonard was never fully healthy the rest of the season and sat out several games. Ironically Leonard has since transferred to Notre Dame. The quality of depth at quarterback behind Leonard leaves plenty to be desired. Troy started the season 1-2 with their losses coming at Kansas State and versus James Madison (11-1) by a narrow 2-point margin. Since that time, they’ve reeled off 10 wins in a row. Their most recent of those wins came in a 49-23 blowout over Appalachian State in the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game. The Trojan’s defense has been stout all season while allowing a mere 17.2 points and 308.3 yards per game. Troy is +14.0 points and +117.9 yards per game on their way to a stellar 11-2 record. Give me Troy minus points. |
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12-23-23 | Arkansas State v. Northern Illinois OVER 54.5 | 19-21 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois 12:00 PM ET Game# 223-224 Play On: Over 54.5 Northern Illinois has seen all 6 of their games played away from home go over the total. The last 4 of which averaged a combined 67.3 points scored per game. Arkansas State has amassed 422 yards or more of total offense in 7 of their last 10 games while also scoring 31 points or greater 6 times. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-22-23 | Illinois -6.5 v. Missouri | 97-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Missouri vs. Illinois 9:00 PM ET Game# 873-874 Play On: Illinois -6.5 This game will be played at a neutral site at the Enterprise Center in St. Louis. Illinois is the more balanced team on both ends of the floor. The Illini are 8-2 with their only losses coming against Top 15 caliber teams in Marquette and Tennessee. They also own a 9-point at Madison Square Garden over an excellent Florida Atlantic (9-2) who has 5 returning starters from last season run to the NCAA Tournament Final Four. Missouri is 7-4 including a blowout home loss to Memphis and a 73-72 home defeat to Jackson State as a 22.5-point favorite. The Tigers have also dropped their last 2 games played versus Kansas and Seton Hall. Thus far Missouri is statistically one of the worst defensive rebounding teams in the country. That’s certainly not good news and especially so against Illinois who ranks 43rd nationally in offensive rebounding. This isn’t a good matchup for the Tigers. Give me Illinois minus points. |
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12-22-23 | Canisius +8.5 v. High Point | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Canisius @ High Point 7:00 PM ET Game# 306661-306662 Play On: Canisius +8.5 Canisius has gone an extremely profitable 4-0-1 ATS this season as an underdog of 6.5 or greater. The Golden Griffins are coming off a hard fought 82-71 loss at Pittsburgh. Canisius is 3-0 SU&ATS this season versus Division 1 opponents following a SU loss. Canisius also gave Syracuse (9-3) all they can handle in a 12-point loss and upset St. Bonaventure (7-3) with both contests coming on the road. Canisius has faced a much more difficult schedule than High Point (9-4) has played against. Hence, the underdog value I love in this matchup. Give me Canisius plus points. |
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12-22-23 | Central Florida v. Georgia Tech +5.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 56 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech vs. UCF 6:30 PM ET Game# 219-220 Play On: Georgia Tech +5.5 UCF started the season 3-0 and then proceeded to go 3-6 during their last 9 games. The Golden Knights are 0-5 ATS this season as a favorite of 8.0 or less and were outscored by an average of 7.8 points per game. Georgia Tech is coming off a 31-23 loss to #6 Georgia in their regular season finale which dropped their record to 6-6. However, the Yellowjackets have gone a perfect 5-0 SU this season immediately following a loss with an average victory margin of 13.0 points per contest, and they were an underdog on 3 of those occasions. Georgia Tech will be facing a UCF team which is averaging 32.3 points scored per game this season. Nonetheless, since the start of last season, Georgia Tech has gone an unscathed 9-0 ATS versus opponents who average 31.0 or more points scored per game. Give me Georgia Tech plus points. |
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12-22-23 | Nevada v. TCU OVER 149.5 | 88-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Nevada vs. TCU 5:00 PM ET Game# 881-882 Play On: Over 149.5 TCU enjoys playing at an extremely fast pace. The Hrned Frogs have scored 79 points or more in 9 of their 10 games this season. On the other hand, we have a Nevada team which has scored 72 points or greater in 10 of their last games. Both teams are very good at getting to the free throw and also converting on those attempts. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-20-23 | Celtics v. Kings -135 | 144-119 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
Celtics @ Kings 10:10 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Kings -135 Boston is coming off a grueling game last night in which they fell and failed to cover in overtime at Golden State. As good as the Celtics are, they’ve now gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 away games. Tonight, will be the 4th of a 6-game homestand for Sacramento. The Kings are 4-0 SU in their last 4 at home with an average victory margin of 15.3 points per game. During those 4 wins the Kings averaged 131.8 points scored per game and shot a red-hot 51.9% from the field. On the other hand, Boston allowed 122.0 points per game during their current 4-game road losing streak. Give me the Kings as a money line favorite. |
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12-20-23 | Lakers v. Bulls +4.5 | 108-124 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Lakers @ Bulls 8:10 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Bulls +4.5 The Lakers have dropped 3 of their last 4 and failed to cover on each occasion. Conversely, Chicago is 6-3 SU and 8-1 ATS during their previous 9 games. The Bulls have shot an impressive 39.5% from 3-point territory over their last 5 contests. That’s good news as it applies to this matchup considering the Lakers 3-points defense has left much to be desired over their last 5 while opponents have made 38.9% of those long-distance attempts against them. The great equalizer for an underdog is their ability to make 3-point shots at a high percentage. This will be a textbook example of such. Give me the Bulls plus points. |
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12-19-23 | Celtics v. Warriors +6 | 126-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
The Celtics are a perfect 14-0 at home this season. However, on the road they've gone just 6-5 SU and 2-7-2 ATS. As a matter of fact, Boston is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 away games and was a favorite on each occasion. Golden State began the season by losing 6 of their first 7 at home. Since that time, they've captured 5 home wins in a row. Give me the Warriors plus points. |
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12-19-23 | UTSA -10.5 v. Marshall | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Marshall vs. UTSA 9:00 PM ET Game# 215-216 Play On: UTSA -10.5 The Roadrunners were the far better team even before the multitude os Marshall players going into the transfer portal. Now they’re the far superior side and the only team that will be UTSA in this matchup is UTSA. Marshall not only has on the field issues but the off the field problems have been equally as troubling. Their current head coach isn’t liked by not only the players but the Thundering Herd’s loyakl fan base as well. There are also no viable sources for NIL money. Hence the inordinate number of players jumping ship once the regular season concluded. Speaking of the regular season, Marshall began the 2023 campaign 4-0 and has gone a dismal 2-6 since. The Thundering Herd are 0-5 SU&ATS this season as an underdog of 2.0 or greater and were outscored by an average of 17.0 points per game. UTSA began the season 1-3 and then proceeded to win 7 of their last 8 contests with their lone defeat coming against eventual AAC champion Tulane 29-16 on the road. The key to UTSA winning and covering in this spot is 7th year senior quarterback Frank Harris Jr. who when healthy like he is now makes the Roadrunners a very difficult offense to defend. UTSA is 8-2 this season with Harris as their starting quarterback. UTSA has gone 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 14.0 or less while outscoring those opponents by an average of 22.0 points per game. Give me UTSA minus points. |
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12-18-23 | Eagles v. Seahawks +3.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Seahawks 8:15 PM ET Game# 327-328 Play On: Seahawks +3.5 Philadelphia star quarterback Jalen Hurs is listed as questionable as he’s been battling an illness the last few days. The Eagles are 1-2 in their last 3. They’re lucky not to be 0-3 in those previous 3 if not for a 61-yard field goal by Jake Elliott on the last play of regulation time which sent the game to overtime and enabled them to escape with 37-34 win over Buffalo. The Eagles defense is a major concern of late. During those previously mentioned 3 contests they allowed 33 points or more on each occasion and an alarmingly high 451.7 yards per game. The Seahawks have lost 4 straight and are now 6-7 but still very march alive for a possible NFC Wild Card spot. It must be noted, those previous 4 losses were to San Francisco (11-3) twice, Dallas (10-4), and a Rams (7-7) team that’s won 4 of their last 5. Additionally, Seattle was an underdog in all 4 of those losses and covered on 3 of those occasions. Any NFL team like Seattle that’s facing an opponent like Philadelphia that’s allowing 24 or more points per game and gave up 30 points or greater in each of their previous 4 games, resulted in those teams like Seattle going 39-9 SU (81.3%) since the start of the 2019-2020 season. Since this money line betting angle supports the underdog in this matchup it takes on added significance. Give me the Seahawks plus points. |
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12-18-23 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion -6 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
Old Dominion vs. Western Kentucky 2:30 PM ET Game# 201-202 Play On: Old Dominion -6.0 Western Kentucky will be without senior starting quarterback Austin Reed and several of their starting offensive linemen. Old Dominion has faced 8 bowl teams during regular season action and that doesn’t even include James Madison (11-1) that was ineligible to play in postseason action. They went 4-5 in those contests. The monarchs finished regular season play with wins over Georgia Southern and Georgia State to become bowl eligible and will surely be motivated to play the Famous Toastery Bowl at Jerry Richardson Stadium in Charlotte which is the home of the NFL Carolina Panthers. Give me Old Dominion minus points. |
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12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars OVER 41.5 | Top | 23-7 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 9 m | Show |
Ravens @ Jaguars 8:20 PM ET Game# 329-330 Play On: Over 41.5 The weather conditions won’t be ideal, but it won’t automatically make this a low scoring affair. The Ravens offense has been humming which is evidenced by them scoring 31 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games. The Ravens are the #1 running team in the NFL so far this season and are averaging 157.1 yards per game. Baltimore is also #4 in scoring offense at 27.2 points per game. The Ravens have played 5-2 to the over during their previous 7 contests and with a combined average of 52.1 points scored per game. Jacksonville enters this week #11 in total offense, #9 in passing offense, and #9 in scoring offense. Additionally, throughout their previous 4 contests the Jags have averaged 29.0 points scored and 375.8 yards gained per game. Jacksonville has also allowed 26.8 yards and 380.8 yards per contest throughout their previous 5 games. Jacksonville has played 4-0 to the over at home this season when the number was 44.0 or less and there was a combined average of 54.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -124 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
Cowboys @ Bills 4:25 PM ET Game# 325-326 Play On: Bills -124 Dallas enters this contest on a red-hot 5-game win streak which has improved their season record to 10-3. However, their home/away splits are worth noting. The Cowboys are 7-0 at home but a mediocre 3-3 on the road. Furthermore, their 3 road wins have come over the Chargers, Jets, and Carolina who have a current combined record of 11-29 (.275). They also lost at Arizona (3-10) as a double-digit favorite when the Cardinals starting quarterback was out due to injury. The Bills are coming off a win at Kansas City last week to improve to 7-6 which improved their postseason chances. Nevertheless, they’re still on the outside looking in while being imperative they continue to play with the urgency and desperation exhibited last week at Arrowhead Stadium. Buffalo has vastly underachieved this season but their 6 losses have come by just a combined 26 points and none of those was greater than 6 points. That further clarifies why a 7-6 team is favorite over an opponent who’s 10-3. The weather conditions on Sunday will call on both teams to run the ball more than they’re accustomed to. The Bills have run the ball very well over their last 4 contests while averaging 153.3 yards per game and 4.7 yards per rushing attempt. The Bills have also limited their opponents to less than 100 yards rushing in 5 of their last 7 games. Throughout the previous 3 seasons, Buffalo is 19-6 (76%) as a money line home favorite. Buffalo has averaged 408.3 yards of total offense per game over their previous 3 contests. Buffalo is a perfect 5-0 SU at home since the start of the 2021-2022 season after averaging 400 yards or more of total offense during their previous 3 games and outscored their opponents by a substantial 20.8 points per outing. Give me Buffalo for a money line wager. |
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12-17-23 | Magic v. Celtics -8.5 | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
I used Boston on Friday night as a home favorite over Orlando and they easily won and covered. I'm coming right back with them today. The Celtics are 13-0 SU and 8-3-2 ATS at home this season while outscoring opponents by 15.5 points per game. The Celtics have shot 50% or better in 8 of their last 10 at home. Conversely, Orlando is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 away and allowed opponents to score 121 points or more and shoot 50% or better on each occasion. Orlando is a terrific 11-1 at home this season but just 5-7 on the road. Give me the Celtics minus points. |
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12-17-23 | Bears v. Browns -2.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
Bears @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: Browns -2.5 The Bears are getting a lot of love from bettors this week after going 3-1 in their last 4 and covering on each occasion. However, let’s not get carried away. Cleveland is 6-1 at home this season with their only loss coming to Baltimore in a game that starting quarterback Deshaun Watson was a late scratch and was replaced by rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson who was brutal. With Watson gone for the year due to injury, the Browns signed veteran Joe Flacco off the couch and in 3 has played more than respectable. Additionally, the Browns defense has been sensational in their 7 contests at home while allowing a mere 12.6 points and 192.4 yards per game. Give me the Browns minus points. |
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12-17-23 | Bucs +3.5 v. Packers | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Packers 1:00 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Buccaneers +3.5 It will be unseasonably warm in Green Bay with little chance of rain and winds below 10 MPH. That’s good news and a pleasant surprise for a warm weather team like Tampa Bay playing at Green Bay in December. The key to the Bucs covering and giving them a strong possibility of winning this game outright will be their ability to run the ball effectively. Hence, opening up plenty of favorable play action pass opportunities for Baker Mayfield and company. Green Bay’s run defense has been brutal despite them making a midseason postseason push. During their previous 5 contests, the Green Bay defense has allowed 170.4 yards per game on the ground and an alarmingly high 6.1 yards per rushing attempt. The Bucs running game was anemic for most of this season. However, during their last 3 outings they’ve rushed for 133.7 yards per game and averaged a healthy 4.7 yards per attempt. Tampa Bay enters this week in a 3-way tie atop the NFC South Division. The Bucs have been very profitable on the road this season while going 6-1 ATS. Green Bay had their bubble burst and 3-game win streak halted in last Monday’s 24-22 road loss to the New York Giants. Give me the Buccaneers plus points. |
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12-17-23 | Texans +3.5 v. Titans | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 22 h 53 m | Show | |
Texans @ Titans 1:00 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Texans +3.5 Yes, C.J. Stroud will not play for Houston this week after suffering a concussion during last Sunday’s 30-6 road loss to the Jets. However, his backup Davis Mills was the Texans starter the previous 2 seasons and is more than capable of giving them an reasonable opportunity to win and especially so against a below average team like Tennessee. You may be surprised to know that Houston has gone an extremely profitable 6-1 SU&ATS in division road game since the start of the 2021-2022 season. That includes a 37-17 blowout win over Jacksonville in their only division road game this season. Keep in mind, that means Davis Mills was 5-1 SU&ATS as a starter in division road games the past 2 seasons. Since Week 3, Houston is 4-0 SU following a loss. Tennessee is coming off last Monday’s huge 28-27 upset win over Miami in a game they were a 13.0-point underdog. Nonetheless, the Titans haven’t won 2 in a row all season and are 0-4 SU&ATS following a win. Lastly, the visiting teams are 5-0 SU in the last 5 games between these division rivals. Give me the Texans plus points. |
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12-16-23 | California +3 v. Texas Tech | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 48 m | Show | |
California vs. Texas Tech 9:15 PM ET Game# 211-212 Play On: California +3.0 When it comes to minor bowl games such as this, it’s just a matter of what team is more motivated. I firmly believe that the team will be California in this matchup. There were high expectations for Texas Tech heading into the season being that they had 17 returning starters including all 11 on offense from a team that went 8-5 the year before. But they finished regular season action with a very uninspiring 6-6 record to barely qualify for postseason action. On the other hand, not much was expected from California heading into the year and it came as no surprise that they were 3-6 through their first 9 games. However, the finished their regular season slate by going 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 including a pair of road wins to close out the campaign over Stanford and UCLA which made them bowl eligible. I look for an inspired effort from the Golden Bears in this one. They key to victory will be California being able to run the ball with a high degree of success. Throughout their last 3 contests, Texas Tech allowed 207 yards or more on the ground during each occasion, and opponents averaged an alarmingly high 5.9 yards per rushing attempt. Cal averaged an impressive 182.7 yards per game on the ground this season and a healthy 4.7 yards per rushing attempt. Give me California plus points. |
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12-16-23 | Alabama v. Creighton -7 | 82-85 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Creighton 8:00 PM ET Game# 689-690 Play On: Creighton -7.0 No College Basketball analysis today due to time constraints. |
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12-16-23 | UCLA -5.5 v. Boise State | 35-22 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
Boise State @ UCLA 7:30 PM ET Game# 209-210 Play On: UCLA -5.5 This game will almost be like a home game for UCLA with it being played at So-Fi Stadium in Los Angeles. Boise State’s starting quarterback Taylen Green entered the transfer portal following the Broncos MWC Championship Game win over UNLV. The Broncos are set to start freshmen C.J. Tiller at quarterback who hasn’t thrown a pass this season. Boise State will rely on their ground attack and star running back Ashton Jeanty who ran for 1262 yards this season. However, he’ll be facing a UCLA defense that was 5th nationally in rushing defense at 68.6 yards per game. The Bruins starting cornerbacks entered the transfer portal, but I would be more concerned if Boise State had a more experienced signal caller than C.J. Tiller. Give me UCLA minus points. |
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12-16-23 | Steelers +2 v. Colts | 13-30 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 7 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Colts 4:30 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Steelers +2.0 The Pittsburgh quarterback situation leaves a lot to be desired with backup Mitchell Trubisky under center. However, the Steelers running game will be the difference in this matchup. During their previous 7 contests the Colts have allowed an alarmingly high 147.0 yards rushing per game in addition to 4.6 yards per attempt. Conversely, throughout their previous 6 contests the Steelers have rushed for 151.3 yards per game and 4.9 yards per attempt. The Steelers ability to run the ball effectively will set up some favorable play action passing opportunities for Trubisky and take a huge load off his shoulders. Furthermore, the Steelers are 2-0 SU&ATS this season as a non-division away underdog. Additionally, the Colts are 5-2 this season in neutral site and away games but a poor 2-4 at home. Since the 2021-2022 NFL season began, Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU&ATS on the road when the point-spread is between +3.0 and -3.0. On the other hand, during that identical time span, the Colts are 4-8 SU&ATS at home when the point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. Once again since the 2021-2022 season consummated, Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU&ATS as a road underdog of 3.0 or less. Give me the Steelers plus points. |
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12-16-23 | Miami-OH v. Appalachian State -6.5 | 9-13 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 5 m | Show | |
Miami-Ohio vs. Appalachian State 3:30 PM ET Game# 205-206 Play On: Appalachian State -6.5 This opening line and the ensuing movement speak volumes to me. We have an Appalachian State team who was blown out in the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game by Troy as currently better than a touchdown favorite the MAC champion Miami-Ohio Red Hawks. Truth be told, the Sun Belt was far and away better than the MAC this season from top to bottom. There were 10 of 12 Sun Belt teams that were bowl eligible and the MAC was extremely top heavy and with a lot of bad teams. Despite that loss to Troy, the Mountaineers enter the bowl season 8-5 and with their other 4 losses coming by 7 points or fewer. Miami was terrific defensively during conference play while allowing just 12.0 points per game. However, in 3 non-conference games versus FBS opponents the Red Hawks surrendered 30.0 points and 445.7 yards per game. The Redhawk’s offense leaves much to be desired. Throughout their previous 6 contests they averaged only 21.5 points scored and 281.0 yards gained per game. They’re going to be facing a Mountaineers offense that averages 34.8 points scored and 452.2 yards gained per game. Give me Appalachian State minus points. |
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12-16-23 | UCLA v. Ohio State -125 | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
UCLA vs. Ohio State 3:00 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Ohio State -125 No College Basketball analysis today due to time constraints. |
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12-16-23 | Texas A&M +7.5 v. Houston | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Texas A&M @ Houston 2:30 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play On: Texas A&M +7.5 No College Basketball analysis today due to time constraints. |
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12-16-23 | Vikings v. Bengals -3 | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 46 h 39 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Bengals 1:00 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Bengals -3.0 Both teams have lost their starting quarterbacks for the season due to injury. However, I give a huge edge to Cincinnati when it comes to the backup quarterback situation. Jake Browning will be making his 4th start since taking over for Joe Burrow. During his first 3 starts he’s been nothing short of superb with all be considered while completing 79.3% for 856 yards and 4 touchdowns and ran for 2 scores. The Bengals are coming off a pair of wins over the Colts 34-14 and 34-31 at Jacksonville as a 10.0-point underdog. Conversely, the Vikings escaped with a 3-0 win at Las Vegas last Sunday. It was the 2nd straight listless offensive performance for Minnesota who 2 weeks ago lost 12-10 at home to Chicago. Cincinnati is 4-1 in non-division home game this season. Cincinnati has also been very good at protecting the football this season while committing just 11 turnovers through 13 games. That hasn’t been the case for Minnesota who has committed 24 turnovers this season. Finally, under current head coach Zack Taylor, Cincinnati has gone an extremely profitable 8-1 SU&ATS in regular season games 13 through 17. Give me the Bengals minus points. |
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12-15-23 | Knicks v. Suns -4.5 | 139-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Knicks @ Suns 10:10 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Suns -4.5 I faded the Suns on Wednesday against Brooklyn and cashed that winning ticket. Nonetheless, I am betting on them tonight and without the least bit of hesitancy. This will be just the 2nd time this season that Phoenix will have their terrific trio of Bradley Beal, Devin Booker, and Kevin Durant all available at the same time. I look for that to be a more telling factor than the debut in Wednesday’s home loss. Besides, the Knicks are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 on the road and were outcored by an average of 12.7 points per game. New York’s defensive play has been horrible throughout their previous 5 contests as they allowed 126.4 points per game and opponents shot a combined 49.4% which includes 39.4% from 3-point territory. Give me the Suns minus points. |
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12-15-23 | Magic v. Celtics -5.5 | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Magic @ Celtics 7:40 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Celtics -5.5 Despite Orlando beating Boston 4 consecutive times dating back to last season and being a vastly improved team this season with a current record of 16-7, they still find themselves as a sizable road underdog in this spot. I find this current point-spread to be justified and am not swayed by the Magic’s recent success versus Boston. Keeping Orlando’s fast start to this 2023-2024 campaign into perspective, they’ve done much of their damage at home where they’re 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS. On the road they’re a mediocre 5-6 SU. Conversely, Boston is 12-0 SU at home with a dominating average victory margin of 15.3 points per game. Give me the Celtics minus points. |
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12-15-23 | Pacers v. Wizards +9 | 123-137 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Pacers @ Wizards 7:10 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Wizards +9.0 To be a successful sports bettor there are times it requires making an uncomfortable wager. This is a textbook example of such. The Wizards are a terrible team that comes into this Eastern Conference matchup with an abysmal 3-20 record. However, this sets up to be a favorable situation to get inside this sizable number as a home underdog. One thing that’s been respectable for Washington has been their play on the offensive side of the floor. The Wizards have averaged 115.2 points scored per game and shot 48.2% from the field this season. The major weakness of an otherwise impressive young Pacers team is their shoddy defensive play. That’s especially evident when Indiana is on the road where they’re allowing 132.6 points per game while allowing opponents to shoot a blistering 52.6% from the field. Furthermore, over their last 5 road games, Indiana has allowed 137.2 points per outing and all those opponents shot 53% or better from the field. Lastly, Indiana is coming off a 140-126 divisional loss at Milwaukee, and they’re 0-7 ATS following a divisional game this season. It’s also worth noting, they were outscored in those 7 contests by a substantial margin of 14.5 points per game. Give me the Wizards plus points. |
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12-14-23 | Thunder v. Kings -120 | 123-128 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Thunder vs. Kings 10:10 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Kings -120 (ML) The Kings are coming off Tuesday’s 119-99 road loss to the Clippers. Sacramento has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and with an average victory margin of 9.0 points per game. Sacramento is also a solid 7-2 SU in their last 9 at home. These teams met once this season and Sacramento walked off with a 105-98 home win. Any NBA home team like the Kings that’s coming off a division loss by 10 points or more and they’re facing an opponent playing with same season revenge, resulted in those home teams going 55-19 SU (74.3%) since the start of the 2019-2020 season. Give me the Kings on the money line. |
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12-14-23 | Nets v. Nuggets OVER 230 | 101-124 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Nets vs. Nuggets 9:10 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Over 230.0 The Nets have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 whenever the number was 238.0 or less and they went under in their previous game. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 250.6 points scored per game. This recent trend certainly comes into play tonight since Brooklyn won 116-112 at Phoenix last night and the game went under the total of 231.5. Additionally, this will be only the 3rd time this season that Brooklyn will be playing with no rest and they went over in the previous 2 occurrences with a combined 232.5 points scored per game. It’s also worth noting, teams that have played Denver with no rest this season saw 4 of those 5 contests go over the total. Furthermore, the Nets have scored 114 points or more in 8 straight games. Brooklyn has made an excellent 41.7% of their 3-point shot attempts on the road while averaging 15 makes per contest. Denver has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 whenever the total was 228.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 245.5 points scored per game. The Nuggets are averaging a healthy 120.2 points scored per game at home this season while shooting 51.3% from the field and 39.2% from beyond the 3-points line. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-14-23 | Wolves v. Mavs -117 | 119-101 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks 8:40 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Mavericks -117 (ML) When you look at Minnesota’s defense numbers for the season, they’re very impressive. However, they also indicate that the Timberwolves are dominant defensively at home but average on the road. Minnesota is coming off Tuesday’s 121-107 loss at New Orleans which dropped their season record to 17-5 and point per game differential to +6.8. Dallas has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 while averaging 129.8 points scored per game and shot 53.2% from the field. The Mavericks have scored 120 points or more in each of their previous 5 games. Any NBA home team like Dallas that has scored 115 points or more in each of their previous 4 games, versus an opponent like Minnesota that has a season point per game differential of +6.0 or better, resulted in those home teams going 22-6 SU (78.6%) since the start of the 2019-2020 season. Give me the Mavericks on the money line. |
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12-13-23 | Nets +2.5 v. Suns | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Nets @ Suns 9:10 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Nets +2.5 The Suns are an uninspiring 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Phoenix will be facing a Brooklyn team that has shot 47.3% from the field this season. The Suns are an atrocious 1-11 ATS and 3-9 SU this season when facing opponents with a season offensive field goal percentage of 46.0% or better. The Nets have been an extremely profitable 16-5-1 ATS this season which includes 6-3 ATS on the road. Additionally, Brooklyn is coming off Monday’s 131-118 at Sacramento and that is significant. The Nets are 8-1 ATS this season following a SU loss and with a +4.1 point per game differential. Lastly, since the beginning of last season, Brooklyn is 15-2 SU in December and Phoenix is 7-14 SU. Give me the Nets plus points. |
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12-12-23 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. South Florida OVER 161 | 86-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Arkansas Pine Bluff @ South Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 306507-306508 Play On: Over 161.0 Arkansas-Pine Bluff has gone over the total in all 8 of their lined games this season and there was a combined average of 173.4 points scored per contest. Pine Bluff is #11 nationally in adjusted offensive tempo while averaging 74.6 possessions per 40 minutes played. Additionally, they're 3rd worst in the country when it comes to adjusted defensive efficiency while allowing 119.0 points per 100 of their opponent's offensive possessions. Pine Bluff has allowed 100 points or more in 5 of 9 games against Division 1 opponents this season. It must be noted, they've also faced the 11th most difficult schedule in college basketball as of today but have still managed to score 86 points or more in 7 of their 11 games. Furthermore, Pine Bluff averages 11 three-point makes per games and coverts on a stellar 38.3% of those long-range attempts. Give me this game to go over the total. South Florida is 47th nationally in offensive time of possession at just 15.7 seconds per possession. South Florida games have averaged a combined 47 free throw attempts per game which is high by college basketball standards. Both teams in this matchup are very good free throw shooting teams. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-11-23 | Wolves v. Pelicans -3.5 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Timberwolves @ Pelicans 8:10 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Pelicans -3.5 This is another fishy line with all being considered and even with star guard Anthony Edwards listed as questionable to play. Minnesota is coming off a 127-103 blowout win at Memphis which extended their win streak to 6-games and they’re also on a red-hot 16-2 winning run. Yet, they’re an underdog against a New Orleans team which is coming off an embarrassing 133-89 loss to the Lakers in the NBA In-Season Tournament Semifinal. However, New Orleans is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home following a loss in their previous contest and won by a substantial margin of 22.3 points per game. Give me the Pelicans minus points. |
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12-11-23 | Nuggets v. Hawks +2.5 | 129-122 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Nuggets @ Hawks 7:40 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Hawks +2.5 Like many reigning NBA championship teams before them, the Denver Nuggets have a bullseye on their head. Teams have used that emotional advantage quite well when hosting the Nuggets this season. Denver is 9-1 SU at home but a below average 5-8 on the road. This current line showing Denver has a small favorite versus an Atlanta team which is 0-3 in their last 3 and 3-8 during their previous 11 games speaks loudly to me. I am listening. Give me the Hawks plus points. |
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12-11-23 | Cavs +1.5 v. Magic | 94-104 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Cavaliers @ Magic 7:10 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Cavaliers +1.5 This point-spread jumped right off the screen at me. We have an Orlando team which is 10-1 at home this season and outscoring those visiting opponents by a decisive margin of 14.5 points per game, and here they are as just a short favorite. Not to mention, Orlando is on a current 8-game home win streak. However, the Cavaliers are 7-3 on the road this season and that includes 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road tilts. These teams met last Wednesday in Cleveland and the Cavaliers walked away with a 121-111 win despite Orlando being awarded 37 free throw attempts. The Cavaliers are a much better defensive team than Orlando and they’ve allowed 105 points or fewer in 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Cavaliers plus points. |
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12-10-23 | Eagles v. Cowboys -3.5 | Top | 13-33 | Win | 100 | 30 h 26 m | Show |
Eagles @ Cowboys 8:20 PM ET Game# 127-128 Play On: Cowboys -3.5 Let’s start with this. The Cowboys are averaging 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS at home while averaging a massive 4141.0 points scored and 438.0 yards gained per game. Conversely, the Eagles have allowed 29.4 points and 433.0 yards per game throughout their previous 4 contests. The stout Dallas defense had an uncharacteristically bad game during last week’s 41-35 home win over Seattle in which they allowed the Seahawks to rack up 406 yards of total offense. Since the start of the 2021-2022 season Dallas has gone 10-0 SU&ATS after a contest in which they allowed 400 yards or more and won by an average of 17.5 points per game. During that identical time span, Dallas went 7-0 SU&ATS following a game in which they allowed 30 points or more and won by an average of 15.1 points per contest and held their opponents to a mere 14.9 points scored per outing. The Cowboys will also be playing with revenge stemming from a 28-23 loss at Philadelphia earlier this season. Dallas deserved a better fate in that contest when considering they outgained the Eagles in total yards by a margin of 406-292. Give me the Cowboys minus points. |
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12-10-23 | Broncos v. Chargers -140 | 24-7 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
Broncos @ Chargers 4:25 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Chargers -140 Denver is coming off a 21-16 loss at Houston which ended their 5-game win streak and dropped their season record to 6-6. Keeping that 5-game win streak into perspective, the Broncos had an abnormal turnover margin of +13 during those contests. During their other 7 games in which they went 2-5 and had a turnover margin of -7. The Chargers have only committed 2 turnovers or more in a game just twice this season. Despite having a win percentage of .500, Denver has been outscored by an average of 4.3 points and outgained by 86.3 yards per game. The Broncos are also 2-3 on the road and have been outscored by 12.2 points and outgained by 171.0 yards per game. The Chargers are much better than their current 5-7 record indicates when considering they’re outscoring opponents by 1.4 points per game. Any NFL money line home favorite that’s playing after Game 8 that averages between 95 to 125 yards rushing per game, and they were outgained by 100 rushing yards or more in their previous game, versus an opponent like Denver that allows between 125 to 150 rushing yards per game, resulted in those money line home favorites going 38-7 (84.4%) since 1983. The average money line for those 45 favorites was -143.6 and they outscored the underdogs by 8.9 points per game. Give me the Chargers as a money line favorite. |
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12-10-23 | Bills +1 v. Chiefs | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
Bills @ Chiefs 4:25 PM ET Game# 125-126 Play On: Bills +1.0 This point-spread jumped off the screen when I first looked with the Chiefs only opening as a 3.0-point home favorite. My eyes opened even wider this morning when I saw this line drop to 1.0 or a pick depending on the sportsbook. After all, Buffalo is 6-6 and the defending world champion Chiefs are 8-4. Especially since Kansas City has been so good at home and extremely tough to beat following a loss under Andy Reid. The Chiefs are 20-4 SU in their last 24 at home. However, 2 of those 4 losses came versus Buffalo. Additionally, the Chiefs are 10-0 SU in their last 10 and 15-1 SU during their previous 16 immediately following a loss. The flip side to that equation is that Buffalo is 5-1 SU under head coach Sean McDermott following a scheduled bye week. The Bills are also much better than their 6-6 record with all those 6 defeats coming by a combined 26 points and each loss came by 6 points or fewer. Not to mention, 2 of those setbacks came in overtime. Buffalo will be in desperation and urgency mode knowing they have virtually no more room for error when it comes to making the playoffs. Give me the Bills in this one. |
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12-10-23 | Vikings -2.5 v. Raiders | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Raiders 4:05 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Vikings -2.5 After going through a stretch in which they went 5-0 SU&ATS, the Viking have lost their last 2 contests and by just a combined 3 points. They shot themselves in the foot in both losses by committing 7 turnover which were mostly the fault of starting quarterback Joshua Dobs. After much speculation earlier this week, Dobbs will remain the starter and will gladly welcome back star wide receiver Justin Jefferson back from an injury that forced him to miss 7 games. The Raiders (4-8) are a mess, and their offense has been anemic while scoring 17 points or fewer in 10 of 12 games. The Vikings are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS on the road this season when facing teams like the Raiders who currently have a win percentage of .500 or worse. Their lone SU loss in that sequence was 21-20 at Denver in which they led for much of the game. The Vikings defense is a very underrated unit which has allowed only 20.2 points and 320.3 yards per game. Give me the Vikings minus points. |
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12-10-23 | Lions -3 v. Bears | 13-28 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
Lions @ Bears 1:00 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Lions -3.0 The Bears have received a lot of love this week with regards to public betting. I am not one of those individuals. Yes, the Lions needed a late 26-14 deficit in their first meeting against Chicago by scoring 17 unanswered points in the last 3:05 to win 31-26. Let’s keep things in proper perspective, the Lions turned the ball over 4 times in that contest and had a -3 turnover margin and were still able to win. The Lions are 4-0 SU&ATS as a road favorite this season and with an average victory margin of 9.0 points per game. Conversely, the Bears are a miserable 0-7 ATS in their last 7 and 1-10 SU&ATS during their previous 11 as a division home underdog. The Lions are coming off last Sunday’s 33-28 win at New Orleans in which they covered as a 5.0-point favorite. The Bears are coming off a 12-10 win at Minnesota in a game they closed as a 3.0-point underdog. NFL division road favorites that are coming off a non-division road ATS favorite cover, versus an opponent that’s playing with revenge and is coming off a game in which they allowed 20 points or fewer, resulted in those road favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1984. Those road favorites won those 11 contests by a decisive margin of 17.5 points per game. Give me the Lions minus points. |
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12-09-23 | Pacers v. Lakers -4 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Lakers vs. Pacers 8:30 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Lakers -4.0 The Lakers have gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 as a favorite and won by a decisive margin of 23.0 points per game. Los Angeles is also 8-1 ATS in their last 9 as a favorite of 2.0 or greater. The difference in this matchup is the Lakers are far superior on the defensive side of the floor than Indiana. The Pacers have allowed 111 points or more in every game this season. Conversely, the Lakers have allowed 110 points or fewer in 13 of their 23 games. As a matter of fact, the Pacers are allowing 124.9 points per game but have been able to get away with it on many occasions during a 12-8 start because they also average 128.4 points per contest. When it comes to big games in any sport my tendency is to lean toward the team that’s better defensively. This is a textbook example of such. For those unaware, this is the Finals of the NBA In-Season Tournament with the winning team awarded $500,000 being awarded to each player. Furthermore, the Lakers are the more experienced team and have players who have been in big games such as these much more than those of the Pacers. Give me the Lakers minus points. |
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12-09-23 | St. Mary's v. Colorado State -5 | 64-61 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
St. Mary’s @ Colorado State 6:30 PM ET Game# 697-695 Play On: Colorado State -5.0 St. Mary’s was ranked in the preseason AP Poll Top 25. At this current time, it’s safe to say they were vastly overrated. The Gaels are 4-5 which includes bad losses to Weber State at home, San Diego State by 25, and Xavier by 17. Conversely, Colorado State has lived up to their preseason billing by winning their first 9 games. Additionally, the Rams have covered in 7 of those 9 contests while also posting quality wins over Power Conference opponents like Washington, Colorado, Creighton, and Boston College. The Rams are an extremely efficient offensively while averaging 119.8 points scored per 100 offensive possessions and that’s 6th best in all of college basketball. Give me Colorado State minus points. |
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12-09-23 | Cincinnati +1.5 v. Xavier | 79-84 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ Xavier 6:30 PM ET Game# 699-700 Play On: Cincinnati +1.5 The old cliché in rivalry games such as this one is to toss the records out the window. However, it doesn’t erase that fact that Xavier (4-5) enters this matchup losers of 3 straight games and all of which were played at home. There was no shame in losing to #1 Houston by 6. However, 2 of those 3 homes losses came as a double-digit favorite to mid-major conference teams Delaware 87-80 and Oakland 78-46. and neither team is currently rated in the Top 125 of College Basketball according to KenPom. Cincinnati has played a much weaker schedule than Xavier but has started the season 7-0 and is rated #24 by KenPom. The Bearcats have posted double-digit wins in 6 of those 7 contests. Give me Cincinnati. |
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12-09-23 | Colgate v. Vermont UNDER 133 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
Colgate @ Vermont 2:00 PM ET Game# 306517-306518 Play On: Under 133.0 Both teams play at an extremely slow tempo while ranking in the bottom 20% in that category. Neither team gets to the free throw line with regularity with Vermont ranking #331 and Colgate #358. Both are terrible when it comes to offensive rebounding, and each is very good on the defensive glass. So, likely each team will have very few chance opportunities. Each is heavily reliant on their 3 point-shooting with 48.2% of Vermont’s shots coming from 3-point range and Colgate 42.3%. Both teams have shown themselves to be more than respectable at defending the 3-point line as well. Both teams are amongst the worst in the country in forcing turnovers. Give me this game to go under the total. |