Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-01-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4 | 101-89 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ Boston 1:00 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Boston -4.0 (5*) You may be surprised to know that Milwaukee has gone a dismal 5-10 ATS as an underdog this season. Furthermore, since the 2020 playoffs, Milwaukee is an uninspiring 2-5 SU and 0-7 ATS during an opening game of a series. The Celtics are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home versus Milwaukee. Boston has shot 47% or better in each of their previous 9 games. The Celtics are 5-0 SU in their last 5 and 8-1 SU during its previous 9. That includes covering 7 of their last 8. Since the 2019 NBA Playoffs, whenever there was a total of 209.0 or greater in Boston’s opening game of a playoff series, the Celtics were 4-1 SU&ATS while allowing a mere 92.6 points per game. Give me Boston minus the points. |
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04-30-22 | Red Sox v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Red Sox (Eovaldi) @ Orioles (Spencer) 7:05 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Under 8.5 (5*) Spenser Watkins has made 3 starts this season and posted a sparkling 2.77 ERA. Baltimore has played 6-0-1 to the under at home this season. The Orioles bullpen has been excellent in games at Camden Yards. The Orioles have hit just 10 home runs in 20 games. Boston has played 15-5-1 to the under this season. The Red Sox have hit only 12 home runs in those 21 games. Nathan Eovaldi has a shiny 2.70 ERA and 1.00 WHIP during his previous 3 starts. Eovaldi has made 6 starts against Baltimore since 2020 and recorded a brilliant 1.53 ERA and 0.70 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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04-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +1.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Minnesota 9:00 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Minnesota +1.5 (5*) The Timberwolves are down 3-2 in this series and on the brink of elimination. So playing at home with a high degree of urgency and desperation will provide them with an emotional edge in this contest. Additionally, it’s not like the Memphis Grizzlies have recent experience in closing out a playoff series and doing so on the road is a difficult chore regardless of having been there or not. Besides the fact, that you can make a solid case that Minnesota could’ve won this series in 5 games. They blew a 26-point lead at home in Game 3 and led by 10 heading into the 4th quarter in Game 5 before losing on a last second bucket by Ja Morant. The Timberwolves did cover in Game 5 as a 6-point underdog. Minnesota is 17-6 SU at home this season following an ATS cover and outscored those 23 opponents by an average of 9.5 points per game. Give me Minnesota plus the small number. |
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04-29-22 | Twins +120 v. Rays | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Twins (Bundy) @ Rays (Kluber) 7:10 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Twins +120 (5*) The Twins Dylan Bundy is 3-0 in his team starts this season with a brilliant 0.59 ERA. The Twins enter today riding a 7-game win streak and allowed a mere 12 combined runs over that stretch. The Twins bullpen has recorded an excellent 2.05 ERA and 0.95 WHIP throughout its previous 8 games. Corey Kluber has made 3 starts in 2022 and registered a sizable 1.57 WHIP during those outings. Give me the Twins as a money line underdog. |
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04-29-22 | Astros v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Astros (Urquidy) @ Blue Jays (Kikuchi) 7:07 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Over 8.5 (5*) The Astros Jose Urquidy has made 3 starts versus Toronto since the start of last season and posted a lofty 5.28 ERA while allowing an alarming 5 home runs in 17.0 innings. Urquidy also has an uninspiring 5.52 ERA during 3 starts this season. The Blue Jays hurler Yusei Kikuchi has a large 1.75 WHIP in 3 starts this season and walked 10 men in just 12.0 innings of work. Since 2020, Kikuchi has made 6 starts versus Houston and recorded a large 7.36 ERA in those appearances. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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04-29-22 | Mariners v. Marlins +100 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Mariners (Brash) @ Marlins (Hernandez) 6:40 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Marlins +100 (5*) Between these 2 starting pitchers and each bullpen my grades are just about even with neither team having a significant edge. Seattle has gone a terrific 7-1 at home this season. However, the Mariners are just 2-6 in their last 8 on the road. The Marlins enter today riding a 5-game winning streak. Give me the Marlins on the money line. |
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04-28-22 | 76ers -111 v. Raptors | Top | 132-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Toronto 7:00 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Philadelphia -111 (10*) After losing the first 3 games of this playoff series the Raptors have shown a ton of character to win the last 2 and stave off elimination. During the previous 3 games Toronto has held Philadelphia to 104 points or less on each occasion. However, Toronto has gone 0-5 SU at home this season after allowing 105 points or fewer in each of their previous 3 games. Conversely, Philadelphia is coming off an an extremely disappointing 103-88 home loss in Game 5. Nevertheless, the 76ers are 5-0 SU this season after scoring 90 points or fewer in their previous games. Since 2004, home teams that are a pick or underdog in Game 6 of a playoff series and are coming off exactly 2 wins, resulted in those home teams going 0-4 SU&ATS with an average losing margin of 19.0 points per game. The 4 home teams also averaged a mere 84.8 points scored per game during those 4 contests. Give me Philadelphia on the money line for a Top Play wager. |
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04-27-22 | Tigers v. Twins UNDER 7 | 0-5 | Win | 105 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Tigers (Pineda) @ Twins (Ryan) 7:40 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) Michael Pineda makes his 2nd start of the season and he was extremely sharp in his 2022 debut while pitching 5.0 innings of scoreless baseball. The Tigers bullpen has been outstanding throughout the previous 3 games with a brilliant 1.21 ERA. Tiger relievers have surrendered only 3 home runs in 69.0 innings pitched this season. Detroit has scored only an average of 2.7 runs per outing during 4 road games in 2022. Joe Ryan has been terrific during his first 3 starts of the season while recording a 1.69 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in 16.0 innings pitched. Although Ryan has shown a vulnerability to giving up home runs early in his career, he’ll be facing a Tigers team which has homered just 8 times in 16 games. The Minnesota bullpen has been solid over its last 7 games with a 2.57 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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04-26-22 | A's v. Giants UNDER 7 | 2-8 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
A’s (Jeffries) @ Giants (Rodon) 9:45 PM ET Game# 929-930 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) Oakland has scored 2 runs or fewer in 5 of their last 6 games. The A’s have hit only 3 home runs throughout their last 7 games while posting a pathetic team batting average of .186. Oakland’s Daulton Jeffries has seen all 3 of his 2022 starts stay under the total and his 1.17 ERA during those outings was a major reason why. Carolos Rodon has been dominant in his first 3 starts with his new team with a 1.06 ERA and registering 29 strikeouts in 17.0 innings pitched. Both bullpens have been very good to start the year. Oakland is coming off a 2-0 win over Texas and San Francisco defeated Milwaukee 4-2 during its previous game. Any team with a total of 7.0 or less (Giants) that allowed 2 runs or less in their previous game, versus an opponent (A’s) that’s coming off a game in which a combined 2 runs or fewer was scored, resulted in this specific situation playing 45-11 (80.4%) to the under since 2018. The average total in those 56 games was 6.8 and there were just a combined 5.0 runs scored per occurrence. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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04-26-22 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 9 | 5-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Astros (Odorizzi) @ Rangers (O’Hearn) 8:05 PM ET Game# 925-926 Play On: Over 9.0 (5*) Jake Odorizzi has been horrible in 3 starts this season with a 9.00 ERA, 2.56 WHIP, and averaging a mere 3.0 innings pitched per start. The Houston bullpen has been great at home but a bit shaky on the road while issuing 17 walks in 36 1/3 innings. Taylor O’Hearn has a sizable 7.59 ERA and 2.25 WHIP during his 3 starts in 2022. The Texas bullpen has allowed an alarmingly high 9 home runs during 38.0 innings pitched at home and also walked 18 men as well. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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04-26-22 | Wolves +6 v. Grizzlies | Top | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Memphis 7:30 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Minnesota +6.0 (10*) After blowing a 26-point lead in Game 3 and losing 104-95, Minnesota bounced back with an impressive 119-118 win in Game 4. It was impressive in the sense that it was a huge emotional blow when collapsing in Game 3 and the Timberwolves were unshaken in their Game 4 performance. Minnesota also has the confidence in knowing that can win at Memphis like they did 130-117 in Game 1. Furthermore, Minnesota has played the #2 seed Memphis Grizzlies on even terms this season while splitting the 8 head-to-head matchups. This game will be much closer than many are predicting, and I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see Minnesota win straight up. However, I won’t get greed and will gladly take the points. Give me Minnesota plus |
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04-26-22 | Mariners +122 v. Rays | 8-4 | Win | 122 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Mariners (Gilbert) @ Rays (Wisler) 6:40 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Mariners +122 (5*) Logan Gilbert is 3-0 in his team starts this season with a terrific 0.54 ERA while striking out 15 and walking just 1 during 16 2/3 innings pitched. Since the start of last season, Gilbert has gone an unscathed 9-0 in his teams starts following 2 appearances in which he allowed 2 earned runs or less. During that identical time span, Gilbert is an extremely profitable 12-2 in his teams starts when Seattle was +125 to -125 on the money line. The Seattle bullpen has been superb so far this season with a 2.62 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 66 strikeouts in 55.0 innings. Since last season, Seattle has gone 13-6 on the road following an off day. Seattle has a bullpen WHIP of just 1.00 to start the season and the Mariners hitters have an average of 8.1 men left on base per game. Any road team (Mariners) with a bullpen WHIP of 1.15 or less, and they average 7.5 or more men left on base per game, resulted in those teams going 45-17 (72.6%) since 2018. Give me the Mariners as a money line underdog. |
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04-25-22 | Jazz v. Mavs OVER 212.5 | 77-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Jazz @ Mavericks 9:30 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Over 212.5 (5*) Utah is coming off a thrilling last second 100-99 win at Dallas to even this series at 2-2. Utah has played 7-3 to the over this season following a game in which they scored 102 points or fewer. The Jazz have averaged a sizable 29 free throw attempts per game during this series and made 79.7% of those. Dallas has scored 110 points or more in their last 4 following a game in which they scored 99 or less. The Mavericks are also 3-0 to the over in their last 3 following an under and there was a combined average of 226.0 points scored per game. Dallas has also converted on a sparkling 38.1% of their 3-point shots while making an average of 16 per contest during the first 4 games of this series. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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04-25-22 | Celtics +110 v. Nets | Top | 116-112 | Win | 110 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
Celtics @ Nets 7:00 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Celtics +110 (10*) Brooklyn must be extremely frustrated at this point. After all, they shot a combined 51.1% during the first 3 games of this series which includes an excellent 40.3% from 3-point territory and yet still finds themselves down 3-0. Simply put, the Celtics have the Nets number, and it’s evidenced by them winning the last 6 meetings played against Brooklyn this season. The Nets may have the best 2 individual players in this series, but Boston is the better overall team. Brooklyn is an uninspiring 21-22 SU and a horrible 9-34 ATS this season at home. The Celtics have outscored their opponents this season by an average margin of 7.2 points per game. Conversely, Brooklyn has gone an abysmal 1-8 SU this season versus teams who average outscoring their opponents by an average of 6.0 or more points per game. Boston is coming off a 109-103 win at Brooklyn in Game 3. The Celtics have now gone a sizzling hot 29-6 SU in their previous 35 games. On the other hand, Brooklyn has a season record of 45-41 (.523). Any NBA road team Celtics that’s up 3-0 in a playoff series, and they scored 93 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent (Nets) with a win percentage of .630 or worse, resulted in those road teams going 28-2 SU (93.3%) since the 2002 postseason. Give me the Celtics for a Top Play money line wager. |
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04-24-22 | Suns v. Pelicans +2.5 | Top | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
Phoenix @ New Orleans 9:30 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: New Orleans +2.5 (10*) This is the game that the Devin Booker being out of the lineup will cost Phoenix. They were able to escape with a 3-point win in Game 3 of Friday night. However, the Pelicans didn’t quit after being down 11 at the half and battled back to take a 4th quarter lead before succumbing to a late Phoenix surged sparked by Chris Paul. The Pelicans have gone an extremely profitable 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 following a loss during its previous game. Conversely, Phoenix is 0-4 SU during their last 4 immediately following a win. The Pelicans have shot an impressive 48.5% from the field and made 40.2% of its 3-point shot attempts throughout the first 3 games of this series. Give me New Orleans plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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04-23-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves OVER 232 | 118-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Minnesota 10:00 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Over 232.0 (10*) The first 3 games of this series have seen closing totals of 238.0, 240.0, and 237.0. The sportsbooks have made a huge adjustment to the total in Game 4. The #1 reason for doing so is public perception stemming from the last 2 contests going under the total by a combined 58 points. Another valid reason is that fact that both teams have played at a significantly slower pace than they were accustomed to during regular season action. Much of the reason for that can be traced back to the inordinate number of fouls that have been called during this series. Specifically speaking there been a combined average of 70.7 free throw per contest through the first 3 games of the series. Over the long haul, both teams have been explosive offensively and not very good defensively. Minnesota particularly has shown to be an undisciplined defensive all year. I look for these teams to return to form in Game 4 which will result in a much faster pace and a continuing high volume of free throw attempts. Minnesota has gone 4-0 to the over in their last 4 following back-to-back contests going under, and there was a combined average of 246.0 points scored per games. Memphis has played 4-1 to the over in their previous 5 after going under in each of their previous 2 contests, and there was a combined average of 237.8 points scored per game. Minnesota has shot less than 40% from the field in each of the previous 2 games. The Timberwolves haven’t shot less than 40% in 3 straight games all season long. Conversely, Memphis hasn’t held back-to-back opponents to less than 40% shooting since 12/4/2021. Additionally, Minnesota hasn’t scored less than 100 points in consecutive games since 11/1/2021. That’s how unusual the last 2 games have been for each team. A return to normalcy is in order. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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04-22-22 | Suns -125 v. Pelicans | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Phoenix @ New Orleans 9:30 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Phoenix -125 (10*) Phoenix is coming off a shocking 125-114 loss as a 9.5-point home favorite in Game 2. The Suns have gone 14-4 SU this season following a loss and that includes 6-1 SU if it was a road contest. The Suns are also a terrific 26-4 SU (86.7%) this season as a money line road favorite. The Suns have shot 50.0% and 53.8% in the first 2 games of this series. Phoenix is a remarkable 18-1 SU this season following 2 consecutive games in which they shot 50% or better. Additionally, they’re 13-1 SU this season when playing on exactly 2 days of rest which is precisely the case today. New Orleans finished the regular season by going an uninspiring 5-5 SU in their last 10 at home. The Pelicans were 0-2 SU&ATS at home versus Phoenix this season while sustaining decisive losses by scores of 131-115 and 123-111. During those 2 contests they allowed Phoenix to go 35-65 (53.8%) from beyond the 3-point line. Any NBA money line road favorite (Phoenix) that facing an opponent coming off a SU underdog win by 10 points or more, and they (New Orleans) possess a losing record, resulted in those road favorites going 37-6 (86%) since the start of the 2017-2018 season. Give me Phoenix for a money line Top Play wager. |
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04-22-22 | Bucks v. Bulls +3 | 111-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Bucks @ Bulls 8:30 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Bulls +3.0 (5*) For starters, Chicago is an outstanding 27-14 SU and 25-16 (61%) ATS at home this season. That in itself lays a foundation for betting value on the home underdog in this matchup. Furthermore, Chicago is 47-37 (.560) in all games this season. Milwaukee is a poor 14-26 ATS versus teams with a winning record and that includes 4-14 ATS when facing opponents with a win percentage of .510 to .600, and they were outscored by an average of 3.7 points per game. Any NBA Playoff home underdog with a win percentage of .522 or better that’s playing in a Conference Quarterfinal series that’s tied at 1-1, and they’re coming off an away underdog of 7.5-points or greater SU win, resulted in those home underdogs going 7-0 ATS since 1995. Those home underdogs also won 5 of those 7 contests straight up. Give me the Bulls plus the points. |
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04-21-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +2 | Top | 104-95 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Memphis @ Minnesota 7:30 ET Game# 569-570 Play On: Minnesota +2.0 (5*) The Memphis Grizzlies have enjoyed an excellent season that earned them the #2 Western Conference see. However, they’re not your typical #2 seed because of their combination of youth and limited NBA Playoff experience. This is a tough spot for them to come away with a win considering they’re playing on the road for a first time. Additionally, the Grizzlies are 0-5 SU during its previous 5 road games versus teams with a winning record. Conversely, Minnesota has gone 13-1 SU in their last 14 conference home games with their only loss coming to the #1 seed Phoenix Suns. Give me Minnesota. |
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04-20-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 6-1 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Berrios) @ Red Sox (Pivetta) 7:10 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Over 9.0 (5*) Nick Ivetta made 2 home starts versus Toronto last season and had a huge 9.31 ERA while surrendering 5 home runs in just 9 2/3 innings pitched. He will be facing a Blue Jays team which has hit 15 homers through its first 11 games. During 17 career starts at Fenway Park, Pivetta has a lofty 5.49 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. Since 2020, Boston has played 35-19 965%) to the over at home whenever the total was 9.0 or 9.5. Jose Berrios was terrible in 3 spring training starts while recording a horrible 11.25 ERA and 2.25 WHIP. Well, that’s carried over to his first 2 regular season starts in which he had an 11.82 ERA, 2.63 WHIP and gave up 3 home runs while lasting just a combined 5 1/3 innings. Berrios has made 3 career starts at Fenway Park with a dismal 7.31 ERA and 2.06 WHIP. Based on his WHIP in those 3 starts in Boston he’s extremely lucky to have just a 7.31 ERA. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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04-20-22 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals -124 | 11-2 | Loss | -124 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks (Kelly) @ Nationals (Fedde) 7:05 PM ET Game # 911-912 Play On: Nationals -124 (5*) Arizona was swept in yesterday’s doubleheader at Washington by scores of 6-1 and 1-0. Since the start of last season, the Diamondbacks have gone an abysmal 3-31 after scoring 1 run or less in their previous game. Arizona has gone 1-5 on the road so far and their bullpen compiled a lofty 7.50 ERA in those games. Merrill Kelly has made 1 career start versus the Nationals and that occurred last season in Washington. Kelly allowed 6 earned runs on 9 hits during that outing. During their last 7 outings, Arizona has been anemic offensive while averaging a mere 1.6 runs scored per game and a atrocious .156 team batting average. Arizona has scored 3 runs or fewer in 9 of its last 10 games. Erick Fedde was solid in his 2 starts thus far with a more than respectable 3.60 ERA in 10.0 innings of work. Fedde was terrific in 2 starts versus Arizona last season while allowing only 1 earned runon 8 hits while striking out 13 and walking 3 throughout 12.0 innings pitched. The Washington bullen has a shiny 2.52 ERA through 6 home games in 2022. Give me the Nationals on the money line. |
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04-20-22 | Nets v. Celtics -3 | Top | 107-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Brooklyn @ Boston 7:00 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Boston -3.0 (10*) The Nets have shot the ball extremely well over their last 3 games. Nevertheless, Boston has been red-hot offensively for a more extended period. Boston has shot 49% or better in 10 of their last 13 games. The Celtics have also scored 115 points or more in 11 of its previous 13 contests. Throughout their last 5, Boston has converted on a scalding hot 42.9% of their 3-point shots and that includes averaging 18 makes per game. Additionally, during regular season action, Boston was #1 in scoring defense (104.5 PPG), #1 in field goal percentage defense (43.4%), and #1 in 3-point percentage defense (33.9%). Give me Boston minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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04-20-22 | Cardinals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Cardinals (Mikolas) @ Marlins (Alcantara) 6:40 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) These teams have played 6-0-1 to the under when facing one another since the start of last season. Sandy Alcantara made 2 starts against St. Louis last season and posted a brilliant 1.26 ERA while both games went under. Furthermore, since the start of last season, Alcantara has pitched 13-3 to the under during 16 starts at home. The Miami bullpen has recorded an excellent 2.95 ERA and 1.03 WHIP this season. Miles Mikolas has made 2 starts this season with a 2.61 ERA and both games went under. Mikolas will be supported by a Cardinals bullpen which has an impressive 1.95 ERA thus far in 2022. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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04-19-22 | Pelicans +9.5 v. Suns | 125-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Phoenix 10:00 PM ET Game# 553-554 Play On: New Orleans +9.5 (5*) New Orleans dropped Game 1 of this series 110-99. Nonetheless, the Pelicans have been a resilient bunch throughout the final stretch of regular season action while going 6-1 SU&ATS in their last 7 following a loss. Conversely, Phoenix is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a win and lost by an average of 6.3 points per game. Moreover, they were a double-digit favorite in 2 of those 3 contests. Phoenix has also gone a poor 13-24 ATS this season following a game in which they allowed 105 points or fewer, and that includes 1-9 ATS in their last 10. Give me New Orleans plus the points. |
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04-19-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -6.5 | 96-124 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Memphis 8;30 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Memphis -6.5 (5*) The Grizzlies have lost 2 straight heading into today’s game. Memphis has lost 3 straight games only twice this season with the last occurrence happening just short of 4 months ago. As a matter of fact, Memphis has gone 6-2 SU&ATS this season immediately following 2 consecutive losses and includes 3-0 SU&ATS during its previous 3. Memphis also an outstanding 30-12 SU and 27-15 ATS (64%) at home this season. With that being said, I look them to bounce back with a decisive win and cover in Game 2 of this series. Memphis is coming off a terrible 130-117 home loss as a 6.5-point favorite in Game 1. That defeat dropped their season record to 56-27 (.675). Any NBA Playoffs Game 2 home favorite of 5.5 or greater that’s coming off a home favorite SU loss in which they allowed 99 points or more, and they possess a season win percentage of .647 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 14-3 ATS (82.3%) since 2012. |
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04-19-22 | Hawks +7.5 v. Heat | 105-115 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Miami 7:30 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Atlanta +7.5 (5*) Atlanta is coming off a poor performance in Game 1 while losing 115-91. However, the Hawks are 9-1 SU in their last 10 following a loss and includes 6-0 SU during its previous 6. Additionally, Atlanta was held below 40% shooting for a first time in 18 games. Conversely, Miami held an opponent to less than 40% shooting for the first time in 18 games. It’s highly unlikely for that to occur again today which improves the underdog Hawks chance of covering exponentially. Furthermore, since 2/6, Atlanta has gone 3-0 SU&ATS following a game in which they scored fewer than 100 points. Give me Atlanta plus the points. |
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04-19-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -134 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Toronto (Kikuchi) @ Boston (Eovaldi) 7:10 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Boston -134 (10*) Toronto is coming off a win in their previous game and Boston is off a loss. However, the Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 following a win and Boston is 3-0 during their previous 3 following a loss. The usually high-powered Blue Jays lineup has been held to only 3.1 runs scored per game over their last 7 outings. The Red Sox will be facing lefthander Yusei Kikuchi. Boston is 3-0 when facing lefty starters this season and average 6.0 runs scored per game while doing so. Boston starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi has been solid thus far in 2022 while compiling a stellar 1.10 WHIP in 10.0 innings pitched while striking out 13 and walking only 2. Eovaldi made 1 start at home last season versus Toronto and pitched 6 2/3 innings of scoreless baseball. Conversely, Kikuchi made 1 starts versus Boston a season ago and that took place at Fenway Park. During that outing, Kikuchi allowed 5 hits and walked 2 in just 3 1/3 innings. Gove me Boston on the money line for a Top Play wager. |
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04-18-22 | Nuggets +7 v. Warriors | 106-126 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Denver @ Golden State 10:00 ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Denver +7.0 (5*) Golden State looked like a serious world champion contender their series opening 123-107 win. That very well be the case. However, I truly believe that public betting patterns on today’s matchup which heavily favor the Warriors on both tickets and money wagered is an overreaction. Counting their regular season finale, Denver enters today on a 2-game losing streak. Nonetheless, since 11/29/2021, the Nuggets ate 5-1 SU following 2 consecutive losses and that includes 3-0 SU during away games. Give me Denver plus the points. |
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04-18-22 | Jazz v. Mavs +5.5 | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Utah @ Dallas 5:30 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Dallas +5.5 (5*) Dallas will once again be without star point-guard Luke Doncic and the line has been adjusted accordingly. They’re hopeful that Doncic will be able to return in this series at some point. Dallas can ill afford to go back Utah down 2-0 in the series after suffering a 99-93 loss in Game 1, and I fully expect them to play with a high degree of desperation tonight. Dallas has gone 12-2 SU in their last 14 following a loss. The Mavericks are also 11-3 ATS this season following a game in which they scored 95 points or fewer and outscored their opponents by an average of 9.9 points per contest. Give me Dallas plus the points. |
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04-18-22 | Raptors +7.5 v. 76ers | 97-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Philadelphia 7:30 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Toronto +7.5 (5*) Toronto is coming off a 131-111 loss in the series opener on Saturday. However, this has been a resilient Raptors team. Toronto is an impressive 7-1 SU on the road this season immediately following a loss by 15 points or more. The Raptors also lost their regular season finale. Nevertheless, they’re 7-1 SU in their last 8 this season following 2 consecutive losses. Toronto is also 16-15 SU as a road underdog this season and bettors that risked $100 per game on them made a sizable net profit of $1050. Conversely, the 76ers have gone an uninspiring 9-10 SU at home this season immediately following an ATS cover. Give me Toronto plus the points. |
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04-17-22 | Pelicans v. Suns UNDER 224.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Pelicans @ Suns 9:00 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Under 224.5 (5*) The Suns have played 6-0 to the under in their last 6 whenever there was a total of 228.5 or less and there was a combined 217.3 points scored per game. Phoenix went under in both home games versus New Orleans this season. There was an average total of 229.5 in those contests and 215.5 points were scored per game. Phoenix lost their regular season finale and finished with a record of 64-18. The Suns have played 14-3 to the under this season immediately following a SU loss and there was only a combined 214.9 points scored per game. New Orleans is currently a 10.5-point road underdog in this matchup. The Pelicans have played 25-9 (73%) to the under this season as a road underdog and there was 216.3 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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04-17-22 | Nets v. Celtics OVER 224.5 | 114-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Nets @ Celtics 3:30 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Over 224.5 (5*) Boston has played 8-1 to the over in their last 9 whenever there was a total of 214.0 or greater. During their last 5, the Celtics averaged 129.8 points scored per game, shot 53.8% from the floor, and made a terrific 42.9% of their 3-point attempts. Furthermore, they averaged 18 three-point makes per game during that stretch. Brooklyn has averaged 119.0 points scored per game and shot 50.5% throughout its previous 5 contests. Additionally, the Nets have scored 115 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games. The Nets have seen all 4 of their games versus Boston go over the total this season and there was a combined 231.3 points scored per contest. There were a combined 55 free throw attempts or more in 3 of those 4 head-to-haed matchups. That’s a significant note in light of both teams being better than 80% from the free throw line this season. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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04-17-22 | Hawks v. Heat OVER 219.5 | Top | 91-115 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 46 m | Show |
Atlanta @ Miami 1:00 ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Over 219.5 (10*) Miami has shot a red-hot 50.9% and averaged 115.0 points per game in their 4 meetings against Atlanta this season. The Heat also made 39.7% of their 3-point shot attempts in those contests. Miami has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 when there was a total of 214.0 to 230 and there was a combined average of 235.4 points scored per game. The Heat have also been red-hot offensively throughout their previous 5 games overall while averaging 121.6 points scored per contest, shooting 51.8%, converting an outstanding 46.3% of its 3-point shot attempts, and making a massive 18 threes per outing. Atlanta has averaged 119.5 points scored per game, shot 50.6%, and made 39.7% of their 3-point shots throughout its last 5 contests. The Hawks will be compromised defensively after losing starting center Clint Capela to a knee injury in Friday’s win over Cleveland. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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04-16-22 | Nuggets v. Warriors -6.5 | Top | 107-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
Denver @ Golden State 8:30 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Golden State -6.5 (10*) Stephen Curry will return to the lineup for the first time since 3/16. The Warriors went 1-6 SU in their first 7 games without Curry following his injury. However, they’ve rebounded to win their final 5 regular season games and by a decisive margin of 143.2 points per contest. The Warriors have gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home versus Denver while winning by 15.3 points per game. Furthermore, since the 2015 NBA Playoffs, Golden State is an unscathed 7-0 SU&ATS in 1st round contests in which they were a favorite of 6.0 to 9.0 and won by a massive average of 22.7 points per game. Give me Golden State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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04-16-22 | Cardinals v. Brewers -110 | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Cardinals (Matz) @ Brewers (Houser) 7:10 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Brewers -110 (5*) Steven Matz was horrible in his season debut while allowing 7 earned run in only 3.0 inning versus Pittsburgh. Matz has a lofty 1.53 WHIP in 3 career starts at Miller Park in Milwaukee. Adrian Houser was dominant in 4 starts versus St. Louis last season while recording a microscopic 0.36 ERA in those appearances. The Brewers bullpen has been solid over throughout their previous 7 games with a shiny 2.67 ERA. Give me the Brewers on the money line. |
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04-16-22 | Phillies v. Marlins UNDER 8 | 10-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Phillies (Suarez) @ Marlins (Rogers) 6:10 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Ranger Suarez is coming off an uncharacteristic bad start in his season debut. Suarez made 12 starts last season and posted a brilliant 1.51 ERA during those outing. That included 12.0 scoreless innings versus Miami. Philadelphia has played 3-0 to the under this season when the total was 8.0 or greater. Trevor Rogers made 4 starts against Philadelphia last season and compiled an excellent 2.38 ERA while doing so. Rogers has made 6 career starts in April with an impressive 1.64 ERA, allowed just 1 home run, and struck out 41 during 33.0 innings pitched. Miami has played 5-1 to the under in their last 6. The Marlins bullpen staff has a stellar 1.09 WHIP thus far. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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04-16-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies OVER 236 | 130-117 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Memphis 3:30 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Over 236.0 (5*) I know this is an extremely highly total for an NBA Playoff game. However, when you have 2 willing partners that are comfortable playing up tempo basketball and possess a multitude of talented offensive players, you can’t be scared away by a big number. Especially so early in a playoff series. Minnesota has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 contests whenever the total was 231.5 or greater and there was a combined average of 254.8 points scored per game. The Timberwolves have allowed 124 points or more in 7 of its last 8 and that includes all 4 played on the road. During their 4 regular season meetings versus Memphis, Minnesota scored 120.8 points scored per game and averaged an eye-popping 17 made 3-point shots per contest. The Timberwolves went to the free throw line 37 times in their Play-In game win over the Clippers. This is a Memphis team that loves playing at a frenetic offensive pace which is proven by their enormous average of 94 field goal attempts per game this season. Despite averaging a modest 23 free throw attempts per game this season, the Grizzlies went to the charity stripe 34 times per contest in their 4 regular season meetings versus Minnesota. I love this game to be a wildly entertaining high scoring affair. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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04-15-22 | Pelicans +150 v. Clippers | Top | 105-101 | Win | 150 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
Pelicans @ Clippers 10:05 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: New Orleans +150 (10*) The Clippers will be without Paul George tonight and that’s huge. Thus, the recent substantial line move. Since returning from a 3-month absence due to injury, George has averaged an eye-popping 32.5 points and 5.6 assists per game over 6 contests. That includes scoring 42 points in a Play-In game loss to Minnesota on Tuesday. Prior to George’s return, the Clippers had lost 5 straight and 8 of 10. New Orleans is coming off an impressive 10-point win over San Antonio on Wednesday in a game they shot 54.3% from the floor. The Pelican have gone a more than respectable 11-6 SU in their last 17 away games. They also went 3-1 SU&ATS this season versus the Clippers. Give me the Pelicans on the money line for a Top Play wager. |
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04-15-22 | Hawks v. Cavs +2.5 | 107-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Cleveland 7:35 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Cleveland +2.5 (5*) Atlanta has unequivocally been the better team than Cleveland throughout the final stretch of regular season action. However, I just don’t trust Atlanta on the road and especially as a favorite versus a team with a winning record. Specifically speaking, Atlanta has gone a dismal 0-9 SU&ATS in their last 9 away when facing a team with a winning record. That hardly bodes well for a road favorite in a high stakes game like this one. Additionally, Atlanta is 16-25 SU and 14-27 ATS on the road this season. So, their road struggles go beyond only teams with a winning record. Although Cleveland is coming off a 115-108 loss at Brooklyn this past Tuesday. I was impressed by them not quitting after falling behind by 22 in the 3rd quarter and battling back to make it a competitive game in the final minutes. Give me Cleveland plus the small number. |
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04-14-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -128 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Gausman) @ Yankees (Severino) 7:05 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Yankees -128 (5*) Kevin Gausman has made 3 starts at Yankee Stadium since 2017 with a huge 8.79 ERA and 2.01 WHIP. Gausman turned in an uninspiring 2022 debut start versus Texas while allowing 3 earned runs on 8 hits during 5.0 innings pitched. The Blue Jays are currently a money line underdog of +118. Gausman has a terrible 13-32 in his career teams starts as a money line underdog of +100 to +150. Luis Severino has gone 5-0 in his last 5 starts versus Toronto with a stellar 1.98 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. The Yankees bullpen has an outstanding 1.47 ERA and 0.88 WHIP throughout its first 6 games. Give me the Yankees on the money line. |
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04-13-22 | Spurs v. Pelicans -5 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Spurs @ Pelicans (Keuchel) 9:30 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Pelicans -5.0 (5*) This line makes no sense to me. San Antonio opened as a 5.0-point road underdog despite taking 3 of 4 versus New Orleans this season. Despite over 60% of tickets and better than 70% of the money being wagered on the Spurs at this present time, the number has moved to 5.5 at some books. The oddsmakers and sportsbooks are begging you to take the underdog in this matchup. However, I’m not taking the bait. If it looks to me good to be too good to be true when it comes to sports betting, more times than not it is. Give me the Pelicans minus the points. |
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04-13-22 | Mariners v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 4-6 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Mariners (Ray) @ White Sox (Keuchel) 7:10 PM ET Game# 964-966 Play On: Under 9.0 (5*) For starters, the weather forecast is calling for winds blowing in from rightfield at speeds of 10 to 17 MPH. Robbie Ray was sharp during his Seattle Mariners debut while allowing 1 earned runs on just 3 hits in 7.0 innings pitched. Seattle has scored 4 runs or fewer in all 5 games this season and that includes 2 or less 3 times. The Mariners have a horrible .183 teams batting average and .586 OPS thus far in 2022. Since the start of last season, Robbie Ray has pitched 8-0 to the under in road game that had a total of 8.5-10.0 and there was only a combined average of 6.2 runs scored per game. The White Sox Dallas Keuchel will be making his first start of the season. Keuchel has made 33 career starts in addition to 4 relief appearances in April and compiled an outstanding 2.96 ERA while doing so. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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04-13-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -1.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Berrios) @ Yankees (Cole) 7:05 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Yankees -1.5 (+135) (5*) Jose Berrios has struggled in his 4 career starts @ Yankee Stadium with a 5.50 ERA and 1.72 WHIP. Berrios was horrible in 3 spring training starts and that carried over to his 2022 debut. Berrios had a massive 11.25 ERA and 2.25 WHIP in the spring. During his lone regular season start, Berrios lasted only 1/3 of an inning and allowed 4 earned runs. Gerrit Cole made 5 starts versus Toronto last season and posted a solid 3.27 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in those outings. The Yankees bullpen has a brilliant 0.99 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. Despite a shaky performance in his season debut, Cole has recorded a career 2.69 ERA and 1.00 WHIP during 39 starts in April. Give me the Yankees on the run-line. |
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04-12-22 | Clippers v. Wolves -2.5 | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
LA Clippers @ Minnesota 9:30 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Minnesota -2.5 (5*) The Clippers were the hotter team in this matchup during the final stretch of regular season action. Afterall, they enter the postseason a 5-game win streak. However, 4 of those 5 games were played at home. The Clippers went 2-6 SU&ATS in their last 8 on the road. The last time these teams met, the Clippers sustained a 122-104 home loss in a game they were a 3.0-point favorite. The Clippers are an abysmal 1-11 SU&ATS this season when playing with revenge stemming from a home favorite SU loss and were outscored by 8.6 points per contest. Conversely, Minnesota has gone 7-0 SU&ATS in their previous 7 as a home favorite of 5.5 or less and won by an average of 13.7 points per contest. Give me Minnesota minus the points. |
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04-11-22 | Marlins +127 v. Angels | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Marlins (Hernandez) @ Angels (Lorenzen) 9:38 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Marlins +127 (5*) The Angels lost 3 of 4 at home to Houston in their opening series of the season. They scored 2 runs or less in each of their 3 losses. Michael Lorenzen has made 26 career MLB starts with a lofty 4.95 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. Included in those 26 starts was 3 versus Miami in which he recorded an alarmingly high 1.71 WHIP. The Angels bullpen was terrible in their opening series which is evidenced by a staff 7.64 ERA in addition to surrendering 6 home runs in 17 2/3 innings pitched. Although I’m not crazy about the Marlins starting pitcher Hernandez, he was sharp in 2 spring training appearances. The Marlins lost 2 of 3 to San Francisco in the opening series, and both defeats were 1-run losses. The Miami bullpen was outstanding in those 3 games with a 2.31 ERA and 0.69 WHIP. Give me the Marlins on the money line. |
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04-11-22 | Mariners v. Twins -124 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Mariners (Flexen) @ Twins (Bundy) 7:40 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Twins -124 (5*) Chris Flexen has made 12 career starts in April and May during his career. During those appearances Flexen compiled a sizable 5.37 ERA and 1.74 WHIP. Flexen has made 20 career starts and made 12 relief appearances on the road in his career with an uninspiring 5.68 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. The Seattle hurler made 1 career start at Minnesota, and it came last year. During that appearance, Flexen allowed 5 earned runs in 5.0 innings pitched. Dylan Bundy has made 4 starts versus Seattle since 2020 with an excellent 2.05 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. The Twins bullpen has posted an impressive 1.35 ERA during its first 3 games and allowed no home runs in 13 1/3 innings. The Seattle bullpen has given up 4 home runs in 12 innings during the first 3 games of this series. Give me the Twins on the money line. The Yankees bullpen was terrific in their opening 3-game series versus Boston while recording a staff 0.96 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. James Tallion has made 15 career starts at Yankee Stadium and posted a solid 3.26 ERA and 1.05 WHIP while doing so. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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04-11-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 9 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Manoah) @ Yankees (Taillon) 7:05 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Under 9.0 (5*) Alex Manoah has made 2 career starts versus New York and both came at Yankee Stadium. During those starts he gathered a stellar 2.31 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Currently, Toronto is a money line underdog of +109 in this matchup. Since the start of last season, Toronto has played 28-10 (73.7%) to the under on the road when their money line was +125 to -125. Additionally, since the start of last season, Toronto has played 12-3 (80%) to the under in April games on the road with a combined average of only 6.4 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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04-10-22 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Red Sox (Houck) @ Yankees (Montgomery) 7:08 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Under 9.0 (10*) The Yankees Jordan Montgomery made 5 starts versus Boston last season and compiled a more than respectable 3.29 ERA during those outing and 4 of those 5 games went under the total. Furthermore, Montgomery has pitched 15-5 to the under since 2020 whenever there was a total of 9.0 or 9.5. The Yankees bullpen has been lights out through their first 2 games versus the Red Sox while allowing only 1.0 earned run in 11.0 innings pitched and recording 13 strikeouts. Since the start of last season, New York has played 47-29 (61.8%) to the under in division games. The Yankees have played 19-12 (61.3%) to the under at home versus Boston since 2020. The Yankees have scored 10 runs in the first 2 games of this series and 9 were a direct result of home runs. New York will be facing Boston hurler Tanner Houck tonight. Houck has made 3 career starts versus the Yankees and allowed 0 home runs in 14 2/3 innings pitched. Houck also recorded a brilliant 1.23 ERA and 0.89 WHIP during those appearances. Like the Yankees, Boston’s bullpen has been terrific in the first 2 games of this series while allowing just 1 earned run in 7 1/3 innings pitched. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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04-10-22 | Padres -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Padres (Snell) @ Diamondbacks (Smith) 4:10 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Padres -1.5 (+100) (5*) Arizona has only managed to score 6 runs on 10 hits in the first 3 games of this series. Things don’t figure to get much easier against San Diego southpaw Blake Snell this afternoon. Snell made 4 starts for San Diego versus Arizona last season and had an exceptional 0.76 ERA in those outings. Furthermore, he recorded 37 strikeouts in 23 2/3 innings during those starts. Since the start of last season, Arizona has gone an abysmal 12-37 versus left-handed starting pitchers. Arizona starting pitched Caleb Smith made 2 starts against San Diego last season and was awful while posting a massive 16.62 ERA. Give me the Padres on the run-line. |
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04-10-22 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Pirates (Wilson) @ Cardinals (Matz) 2:15 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Over 8.5 (5*) The Cardinals have scored 15 runs, pounded out 18 hits, and smacked 4 home runs in the first 2 games of this series. On Sunday they’ll face Pirates starting pitcher Bryce Wilson who has 1 career starts versus the Cardinals which took place last season, and he allowed 5 earned runs on 8 hits in just 4.0 innings pitched. Pittsburgh has scored just 2 runs in the first 2 games of this series. However, they showed some encouraging signs offensively in yesterday’s 6-2 loss by amassing 9 hits but left 11 men on base. The Pirates will be aided by wins that will be blowing out to right-centerfield today at 10-11 MPH. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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04-10-22 | Mariners v. Twins -132 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Mariners (Gonzalez)) @ Twins (Ober) 2:10 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Twins -132 (5*) The Mariners Marco Gonzalez has made 3 career starts versus Minnesota and recorded an alarmingly high 9.42 ERA and 2.16 WHIP during those outings. Additionally, he allowed 5 home runs in 14 2/3 innings pitched, and all 3 appearances took place since 2020. Bailey Ober has made 1 career start versus Seattle and that occurred last season. During that start, he allowed 0 earned runs on 1 hit while striking out 6 and walking none. The Twins bullpen has been solid in their first 2 games of 2022. The Twins will be in urgent mode today in attempting to avoid be swept at home in their opening series of the season. Give me the Twins as a money line wager. |
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04-09-22 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 12 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Gonsolin) @ Rockies (Marquez) 8:10 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Under 12.0 (5*) Tony Gonsolin has made 3 career starts verse’s Colorado including 1 at Coors Field and posted a brilliant 1.65 ERA and 0.67 WHIP during those outings. Additionally, Gonsolin struck out 25 Rockies during 16 1/3 innings pitched. The Dodgers bullpen was stellar during last night’s 5-3 win over Colorado while allowing only 1 earned run in 4.0 innings of works and recording 7 strikeouts versus 1 walk. Counting last night’s result, since the start of last season, Colorado has played 39-18 to the under at home whenever there was a total of 11.0 or greater. German Marquez has made 5 starts versus the Dodgers since the start of the 2019 season and copiled an excellent 1.55 ERA during those appearances. The Rockies bullpen was exceptional last night while allowing 0 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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04-09-22 | Brewers -1.5 v. Cubs | 0-9 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Brewers (Woodruff) @ Cubs (Steele) 2:20 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Brewers -1.5 (+110) (5*) Justin Steele made 2 starts versus Milwaukee last year and allowed 4 home runs in just 9.0 innings pitched. Since 9/14/2020, Brandon Woodruff has made 6 starts versus the Cubs and posted a brilliant 0.51 ERA and that includes allowed 0 earned runs in 16.0 innings pitched at Wrigley Field. Woodruff is 28-8 in his team starts in his career during the 1st half of the season. Despite losing their season opener on Thursday to the Cubs, Milwaukee has gone 28-11 in division road games since the start of last season and is 12-6 at Wrigley Field since 2019. Give me the Brewers on the run-line. |
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04-08-22 | Bucks v. Pistons +5.5 | 131-101 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ Detroit 7:10 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Detroit +5.5 (5*) Milwaukee is coming off last night’s huge home win over Boston as it pertains to playoff seeding. They won that contest 127-121 but failed to cover as a 6.5-point home favorite. The Bucks will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days. Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season, teams coming off a home SU win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, and they’re playing their 3rd game in 4 days, resulted in those teams going an awful 14-36 SU (28%). Conversely, unlike Milwaukee, Detroit will be well rested and playing in only their 2nd game in 5 days. The Pistons have gone an outstanding 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games while winning 10 of those contests straight. Detroit is also an extremely profitable 5-0 ATS in their last 5 and 11-1 ATS during their previous 12 as an underdog of 8.5 or less. For a team that’s been realistically out of playoff contention for a few months the Pistons have competed hard down the final stretch of regular season action. Give me Detroit plus the points. |
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04-08-22 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 5-6 | Loss | -103 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
Red Sox (Eovaldi) @ Yankees (Cole) 1:05 PM ET Game# 931-932 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Yankees starter Gerrit Cole didn’t have good numbers against Boston last year but that was because of poor showings at Fenway Park. Cole has made 2 career starts versus Boston at Yankee Stadium and only allowed 2 earned runs in 13.0 pitched while striking out 19 and walking just 2. As a matter of fact, in 21 career starts at Yankee Stadium, Cole posted a sparkling 2.86 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while striking out 162 in 125 2/3 inning pitched. Cole has also compiled a brilliant 2.63 ERA and 1.00 WHIP during 38 career starts in April. Nathan Eovaldi made 3 starts at Yankee Stadium last season with a 2.25 ERA and all those outings stayed under the total. Eovaldi was extremely sharp in spring training games while recording an excellent 0.71 WHIP in 12 2/3 innings of work. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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04-07-22 | Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
San Diego (Darvish) @ Arizona (Bumgarner) 9:40 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: Over 8.5 (5*) Yu Darvish made 5 starts versus Arizona last season and posted a sizable 6.65 ERA. As a matter of fact, his 2 starts at Arizona were atrocious as he allowed 10 earned runs on 14 hits in only 5 2/3 innings pitched. Conversely, Madison Bumgarner has made 5 starts versus San Diego since 2020, and posted a large 6.75 ERA during those outings. Additionally, in the last 4 of those starts, Bumgarner surrendered an alarmingly high 8 home runs in 19 2/3 innings pitched. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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04-07-22 | Pirates v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 0-9 | Win | 115 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Pirates (Brubaker) @ Cardinals (Wainwright) 4:15 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Cardinals -1.5 (+115) (10*) Adam Wainwright has gone 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus Pittsburgh with a dominating 0.73 ERA while doing so. J.T. Brubaker is coming off a season which saw him go an abysmal 1-15 in his team starts on the road. The Pirates as a team were an awful 24-57 in away games last season. Brubaker was 0-4 versus St. Louis last year with a lofty 6.65 ERA. The Pirates right-hander also allowed an alarmingly high 6 home runs in 21 2/3 innings pitched in those 4 outings. Today’s weather forecast is call for winds of 18 MPH blowing out to right-centerfield which will leave Brubaker even more vulnerable. Give me the Cardinals on the run-line for a Top Play wager. |
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04-06-22 | Suns v. Clippers +130 | Top | 109-113 | Win | 130 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
Suns @ Clippers 10:10 PM ET Game# 589-590 Play On: Clippers +130 (10*) The point-spread in this game opened with Phoenix being a 3.5-point road favorite. However, it’s now the Clippers who are the favorite. That’s a clear indication to me that the Suns will be resting 1 or more key players since they have already clinched the Western Conference #1 seed. The Clippers have won 3 of its last 4 with their lone loss coming in overtime at Chicago. Nonetheless, during that stretch they have averaged a lofty 130.8 points per game and shot 51.9% from the field. Conversely, the Suns are 1-2 in their previous 3 and allowed 116.3 points per contest. The Clippers will also be playing on 2 days rest which should never be ignored this late in the regular season. Los Angeles will be facing a Phoenix team which has outscored their opponents by an average of 7.8 points per game this season. Nevertheless, the Clippers are an impressive 11-3 SU at home since the start of last season when facing teams that outscore their opponents by an average 6.0 or more points per game. Give me the Clippers for a Top Play money line wager. |
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04-05-22 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 232.5 | 110-121 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
LA Lakers @ Phoenix 10:40 PM ET Game# 577-578 Play On: Over 232.5 (5*) The Lakers have played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 away when facing an opponent that makes 36.0% or better of its 3-point shot attempts. Phoenix enters today with a season 3-point shot conversion rate of 36.6%. Those previously mentioned 7 Lakers away contests have averaged a combined 236.9 points scored per game. The Lakers have shot a more than respectable 49% or better in 6 of their last 8 games. Los Angeles has also allowed 121.8 points scored per game in their last 5 while opponents shot a sizzling hot 52%. Phoenix is coming off a 117-96 loss at Oklahoma City, and that game stayed under the total of 222.0 Nonetheless, Phoenix has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 at home immediately following an under and those contests averaged a combined 235.6 points scored per game. The Suns have allowed a lofty 115.2 points per game throughout their previous 5 contes. Phoenix has played 12-2 to the over this season when the total was 230.0 or greater and there was a combined 245.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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04-05-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -5.5 | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Utah 9:10 PM ET Game# 573-574 Play On: Utah -5.5 (5*) I like this Memphis Grizzlies team a lot. However, the Grizzlies are locked into the #2 seed in the Western Conference. They can’t catch #1 seed Phoenix and no other team can catch them as well. As a result, they’re not going to take any unnecessary risks with star point-guard Ja Morant who is currently out with a knee injury. The Memphis coaching staff has also been monitoring the minutes of key players to keep them fresh for the upcoming playoffs. Utah has yet to secure one of the top 6 seeds in the Western Conference which would enable them from have to participate in the play-in tournament which is a win or go home 1-game format. Utah has lost 6 of their last 7 games but all those losses came on the road. The Jazz have gone 12-1 SU and 9-4 ATS during its previous 13 at home which includes 7-1 ATS as a favorite of 8.0 or less. Give me Utah minus the points. |
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04-05-22 | Hawks v. Raptors -3.5 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Toronto 7:40 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: Toronto -3.5 (5*) Despite being a playoff team for a 2nd consecutive season, Atlanta hasn’t been good in regular season away games during that stretch. As a matter of fact, dating back to last season, the Hawks are a poor 15-28 SU and 13-30 ATS in their last 43 regular season away games. Furthermore, Atlanta is an abysmal 0-7 SU&ATS in their last 7 road games this season when facing a team with a winning record (Toronto 45-33). The Hawks are also a money draining 3-11 ATS this season as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5-points. Toronto is coming off a home loss to a red-hot Miami Heat team. Nonetheless, the Raptors are still a sparkling 11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games. Additionally, Toronto is 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 following a loss and won by 11.0 points per game. Give me Toronto minus the points. |
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04-02-22 | North Carolina v. Duke OVER 151 | Top | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
North Carolina vs. Duke 8:49 PM ET Game# 703-704 Play On: Over 151.0 (10*) Duke has played 9-1 to the over in their last 10 games and that includes 5-0 (161.2 PPG) if the number was 146.0 or greater. The Blue Devils scored 78 or more points in 9 of their last 10 while shooting 47.8% or better in all 10. North Carolina has scored 82.5 points per game in this NCAA Tournament. They also have averaged a robust 64.5 field goal attempts per game which equates to a lightning-fast pace. The Tar Heels will be facing a Duke team which has scored their opponents by an average of 12.7 points per game this season. North Carolina has played 7-0 to the over this season versus teams that outscored their opponents by 12.0 or more points per contest and there was an enormously combined 170.0 points scored per game. Since the start of the 2019 season, these bitter ACC rivals have met 6 times and each of those contests have gone over the total. Ironically enough, the average total in those contests was 151.4 which is nearly identical to today’s number, and there was a combined 171.7 points scored per game. Duke is currently #1 in the country in terms of offensive efficiency and North Carolina is #18. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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04-02-22 | Heat -130 v. Bulls | 127-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Miami @ Chicago 8:10 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Miami -130 (5*) Chicago has gone 0-4 in their last 4 this season as a money line home underdog. The Bulls have gone a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS versus Miami this season and lost by an average of 14.0 points per game. Chicago is also 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home versus the Heat. Miami will be playing on 2 days of rest following an impressive win at Boston on Wednesday night. Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season, Miami has gone a dominating 11-1 SU on the road when playing on exactly 2 days of rest. They’ll be facing a Chicago team tonight that will be playing its 4th game in 6 days. Give me Miami for a money line wager. |
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04-02-22 | Villanova +4.5 v. Kansas | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Villanova vs. Kansas 6:09 PM ET Game# 701-702 Play On: Villanova +4.5 (5*) Kansas has been stifling defensively throughout their 4 NCAA Tournament games while holding opponents to 59.7 points per contest and limiting them to 35.6% shooting or worse on each occasion. However, Villanova has proven throughout the course of this season is they can win even on a bad shooting night. The Wildcats are 6-2 SU this year when shooting less than 40% and includes 4-0 in their last 4. Villanova has won their last 9 and 14 of its previous 15 games. Their only setback during that stretch was a 2-point loss at Connecticut. Speaking of defense, Villanova has held its last 5 opponents to 53.6 points per game and a mere 36.4% shooting. Lastly, I will take Villanova head coach Jay Wright every time over his counterpart Bill Self when it comes to game plan strategy in a big game environment. Give me Villanova plus the points. |
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04-01-22 | Pelicans -120 v. Lakers | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
New Orleans @ LA Lakers 10:40 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: New Orleans -120 (10*) For starters, the Lakers will be playing with no rest, and it will also be its 3rd game in 4 days. Conversely, New Orleans will be playing in just their 2nd game in 5 days. By the way, the Lakers are 2-8 SU this season when playing with no rest. Since Game 42 of their season, New Orleans has gone a terrific 11-1 SU on the road when playing a team with a losing record. The Lakers qualify in the regard as they enter today with a disappointing 31-45 record. The Lakers have allowed their last 7 opponents to shoot 48% or better and also surrendered 120 points or greater in 7 of its previous 8 games. On the other hand, New Orleans has allowed 109 points or fewer in each of its last 5 games. Lastly, New Orleans has gone 2-0 SU&ATS versus the Lakers this season while posting wins of 116-108 and 123-95. Give me New Orleans on the money line for a Top Play wager. |
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03-31-22 | Clippers v. Bulls UNDER 221.5 | 130-135 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Clippers @ Bulls 8:10 PM ET Game# 587-588 Play On: Under 221.5 (5*) Chicago has gone under the total in each of their previous 5 when the number was 223.5 or less and with a combined average of 202.0 points scored per game. The Bulls have also played 5-0 to the under in their previous 5 at home. The Clippers will be playing in only their 5th game in 14 days. Los Angeles is 7-0 under this season on the road when playing 6 or fewer games throughout the last 14 days, and there was a combined 200.0 points scored per contest. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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03-31-22 | Xavier v. Texas A&M -4 | 73-72 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Xavier vs. Texas A&M 7:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Texas A&M -4.0 (5*) Xavier has been impressive in the NIT Tournament. However, keep in mind that the Musketeers were a dismal 4-10 SU in their last 14 games prior to the NIT. Conversely, Texas A&M has gone 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games. Their only loss in that sequence came against Tennessee in the SEC Tournament Final when they were playing its 4th game in 4 days. The Aggies have been sensational defensively on the defensive end of the floor since the NIT began. During their 4 NIT wins, Texas A&M has allowed a mere 57.5 points per game and held opponents to a combined 36.2% shooting. Lastly, it’s seldom a bad idea to take the team that’s been more consistent over a longer period time than the alternative. Give me Texas A&M minus the points. |
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03-30-22 | Wolves v. Raptors -2.5 | 102-125 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Toronto 7:40 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Toronto -2.5 (5*) Toronto has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0 or less and won by a substantial average of 18.7 points per game. Minnesota is averaging 15 made 3-point shots per game this season. Conversely, Toronto is 9-1 SU&ATS this season versus opponents that are making 14 or more 3-point shots per contest. The Raptors are a stellar 9-2 SU in their last 11 and includes 3 consecutive home wins. Give me Toronto minus the points. |
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03-30-22 | Heat v. Celtics -5 | 106-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Miami @ Boston 7:40 PM ET Game# 569-570 Play On: Boston -5.0 (5*) Miami is coming off a convincing 123-100 home win over a hapless Sacramento Kings team. That win snapped an 0-4 SU&ATS losing streak. It also ended a money draining 0-7 ATS funk by the Heat. Boston is coming off a 115-112 overtime loss at Toronto. It was a game effort by the Celtics considering they were missing their 2 top scorers Jaylen Brown (23.4 PPG) and Jayson Tatum (27.1 PPG). Both players are listed as probable for today’s game. Despite that loss, Boston is a red-hot 25-5 SU and 19-9-2 ATS throughout its previous 30 games. The Celtics are also 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 18.6 points per game. Give me Boston minus the points. |
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03-30-22 | Magic v. Wizards UNDER 219 | 110-127 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
Orlando @ Washington 7:10 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Under 219.0 (5*) Orlando has gone under in each of their last 4 when the total was 222.0 or less and there was only a combined 196.8 points scored per game. The Magic have been solid defensively throughout its previous 5 games while allowing 102.8 points per contest and holding their opponents to a mere 41.4% shooting. Orlando has played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 on the road with all taking place in March and there was only a combined 203.2 points scored per game. Since the start of last season, the Magic have now played 10-1 to the under during the month of March. These teams have met 3 times this season and those contests produced just 205.3 points per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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03-30-22 | Jets v. Sabres +137 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
Winnipeg @ Buffalo 7:05 PM ET Game# 19-20 Play On: Buffalo +137 (10*) Winnipeg is coming off wins in each of their previous 2 games. However, the Jets are 0-6 versus the money in their last 7 following back-to-back wins and were outscored by a sizable margin of 2.9 goals per game. Connor Hellebuyck is slated to be in goal for Winnipeg and he’s gone just 9-18 versus the money line in 18 road starts this season. Buffalo has shown drastic signs of improvement in recent game. The Sabres are 6-3 versus the money in their last 9 with an average money line price of +202 and 2 of those losses came in overtime. Hypothetically speaking, if you risked $100 on the money line on Buffalo during that previously mentioned 9-game stretch, you would have made a net profit of $925. Craig Anderson is slated to be in goal for Buffalo. The 40-year-old veteran has gone an outstanding 7-3 in 10 home starts this season while compiling a sparkling .919 save percentage. Buffalo will look to ride the momentum after winning 6-5 at Chicago in their previous outing while overcoming a 4-0 deficit early in the 2nd period. Give me Buffalo as a Top Play money line underdog. |
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03-29-22 | Washington State v. Texas A&M UNDER 133.5 | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Washington State @ Texas A&M 9:30 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: Under 133.5 (5*) Texas A&M has played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 games. Those contests had an average total of 139.6 and there was only a combined 126.5 points scored per game. The Aggies stellar defensive play during those contests was a major contributor to those low scoring affairs. Throughout those contests they allowed just 59.8 points per games and held opponents to a combined 37.3% shooting. This will be only the 2nd game over the past 8 days for Washington State. The Cougars have played 7-0 to the under this season when playing its 2nd game in 8 days and there was a combined average of 125.6 points scored per contest. Washington State has shot a poor 38.3% from the field over their previous 5 contests. During that identical span, they have scored an extremely high 21.7% of their points from the free throw line. However, they will be facing a Texas A&M team tonight which has allowed its opponents to average 14 free throw attempts per game throughout its last 5 outings. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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03-29-22 | Bucks v. 76ers UNDER 233 | 118-116 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ Philadelphia 7:10 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Under 233.0 (5*) Milwaukee has gone under in 6 straight games when there was a total of 239.5 or less. There was an average total of 234.0 in those games and a combined 227.8 points were scored per game. Milwaukee is currently a 1.5-point underdog in this contest. The Bucks have played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 whenever their points-spread was +3.0 to -3.0. Philadelphia has gone under in their last 5 at home when there was a total of 216.5 or more. Those contests had an average total of 225.8 and there was a combined 214.6 points scored per contest. Additionally, the 76ers have played 8-1 to the under at home this season when there was a total of 220.0 or greater with a combined 220.0 points scored per game. Both teams enter today with identical 46-28 (.622) records. Milwaukee will be playing in just their 4th game in 10 days. Any NBA team with a total of 230.0 or greater that’s playing in their 4th game in the last 10 days, and both teams have winning percentages of .600 to .750, resulted in those contests playing 34-3 (91.9%) to the under since the 1996-1997 season. The average total in those contests was 235.3 and there was a combined 219.1 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, this same NBA totals betting angle has played 19-0 to the under since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season. |
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03-29-22 | St Bonaventure -120 v. Xavier | Top | 77-84 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
St. Bonaventure vs. Xavier 7:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: St. Bonaventure -120 (10*) Xavier is atoning for a underachieving regular season with this NIT run to Madison Square Garden. However, all 3 of their NIT wins were on their home floor and 2 of them came by only a combined 6 points. Xavier is just 5-8 SU this season in road and neutral site games. The Musketeers entered the NIT having gone 2-8 in their previous 10 games. St. Bonaventure has literally traveled a more difficult path. The Bonnies 3 NIT victories all came on the road versus Colorado, Oklahoma, and Virginia. Furthermore, they were an underdog in each of those contests. The Bonnies are extremely disciplined. They have committed only 8.8 turnover per game throughout its last 5 contests and allowed their opponents just 9 free throw attempts per contest. This is a battle tested Bonnies team that earlier this season posted neutral site wins over Clemson, Boise State, and Marquette. The latter 2 teams made it to the NCAA Tournament. Give me St. Bonaventure for a Top Play money line wager. |
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03-28-22 | Thunder -125 v. Blazers | Top | 134-131 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
Oklahoma City @ Portland 10:10 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Oklahoma City -125 The Thunder will be playing in just their 2nd game in the last 5 days. They have gone a somewhat respectable 11-9 SU this season when in that exact situation. Putting things into perspective is the fact that they’re 10-42 SU in all other games played. This is a division game for Portland, and they’ve been abysmal in those contests this season. Specifically speaking, Portland has gone 1-12 SU versus division opponents while being outscored by an enormous 17.9 points per game. That includes 0-2 SU versus Oklahoma City with an average losing margin of 10.0 points per game. Give me Oklahoma City as a 4-unit Top Play wager. |
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03-28-22 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Hornets | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Denver @ Charlotte 7:10 ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Denver -3.5 (5*) Charlotte is coming off a huge win at Brooklyn on Sunday with respect to Eastern Conference postseason implications. However, the Hornets are an abysmal 1-12 SU this season when playing with no rest and were outscored by a massive 17.9 points per game. Additionally, this will be their 3rd game in 4 days and 6th in 10 days. Denver has gone an outstanding 7-1 SU in their last 8 away games. The Nuggets have been extremely efficient offensively during its last 8 games. During that stretch, they averaged 118.3 points scored per game and shot 51.3% from the field. The current total in this contest is 233.5. Denver is 11-3 ATS this season in away games with a total of 220.0 or greater and outscored the opposition by an average of 9.5 points per contest. Give me Denver minus the points. |
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03-27-22 | Hornets v. Nets OVER 238 | Top | 119-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Charlotte @ Brooklyn 7:40 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Over 238.0 (10*) I am not going to shy away from going over this big number. It’s this high for a reason. Charlotte has averaged 127.0 points scored per game in their last 6 on the road. Charlotte went under in their previous game. The Hornets have played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 following an under in their previous outing and there was a combined 241.5 points scored per game. Brooklyn has averaged 122.4 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 53.1% throughout their previous 10 contests. The Nets have played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 when there was a total of 232.0 or greater and a combined 248.2 points were scored per contest. Brooklyn last played Charlotte on 3/8 and they won 132-121 with that contest going over the total of 240.0. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL v. Kansas -5.5 | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Miami vs. Kansas 2:20 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Kansas -5.5 (5*) The main reason we will win and cover this game is the huge edge that Kansas will have over Miami on the glass. During their first 3 NCAA Tournament games Kansas was a huge +11.0 rebound per contest. Conversely, Miami is a -9.3 rebounds per game throughout its 3 NCAA Tournament contests. The Jayhawks have also been suffocating on defense while holding each of their 3 opponents in the Big Dance to 35.6% shooting or worse. Lastly, the Jayhawks will enter this contest riding an 8-game winning streak. Give me Kansas minus the points. |
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03-26-22 | Arkansas v. Duke -3.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
Arkansas vs. Duke 8:49 PM ET Game# 641-642 Play On: Duke -3.5 (10*) Arkansas is coming off a huge emotional upset win over the #1 ranked team in the country Gonzaga. Now with just 1-day of rest, they have to face another blue-blood in Duke with a legendary head coach is retiring at their season’s end. Granted that the Razorbacks win over Gonzaga was an impressive one. Nevertheless, let’s not forget that they had narrow 4 and 5-point wins over #12 seed New Mexico State and #13 seed Vermont during the first 2 rounds. Duke is a very well-balanced team. The Blue Devils are #2 nationally in offensive efficiency while averaging 121.0 points scored per 100 possessions. Duke is 11th nationally in defensive efficiency while allowing 90.4 points per their opponent’s 100 offensive possessions. Arkansas has been dominant defensively in their previous 2 games. However, Duke has averaged 82.2 points scored per game while shooting a scalding hot 54% from the field throughout its previous 9 contests. Comparatively, Arkansas has shot 39.4% from the field and made a dismal 25.7% of their 3-point shot attempts over their last 5 games. Arkansas also has scored 22.8% of their points from the free throw line this season which is 8th highest in the country. Conversely, Duke has allowed their opponents a mere 12 free throw attempts per game this season. Give me Duke minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-26-22 | Bulls v. Cavs OVER 223.5 | 98-94 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Cleveland 8:10 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Over 223.5 (5*) Cleveland has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 with a combined 232.0 points scored per game. The Cavaliers have shot 51.1% or better in 3 of its last 4 versus their division rival Chicago Bulls. The Cavaliers defensive play has left much to be desired throughout their previous 5 contests while allowing 118.2 points per game and those opponents shot a combined 50.8% against them. On the other hand, Chicago has been equally inadequate defensively if not worse over its last 5 games. During that span, Chicago allowed 121.0 points per game while opponent shot a blistering hot 52.0% against them. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-26-22 | Houston -2.5 v. Villanova | 44-50 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Houston vs. Villanova 6:09 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: Houston -2.5 (5*) For starters we have a #5 seed as a favorite over a #2 seed in an Elite 8 matchup. That speaks volumes to me in terms of what the odds-makers are thinking. Simply put, they are telling you that Houston is a slightly better team in this contest. Furthermore, Houston has been dominant in their 3 NCAA Tournament game with each win coming by 12 points or more. During their previous 2 games they knocked off #1 seed Arizona and #4 seed Illinois. Both teams entered those games versus Houston with impressive offensive season statistics. Yet, the Cougars held Arizona 60 points and 33.3% shooting and Illinois to 53 points and 34.0%. They also forced 17 turnovers versus Arizona and 14 against Illinois. The Cougars current NCAA Tournament run was preceded by going 3-0 SU&ATS during their own conference tournament. They won those conference tournament matchups by an average of 17.0 points per game and each came by double-digit margins. Simply put, Houston enters today as a red-hot team. Granted Villanova is also 3-0 SU&ATS in the NCAA Tournament, but they’ve faced a #15, #7, and #11 seed to advance. So, their level of competition they faced is nowhere near what Houston encountered. Give me Houston minus the points. |
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03-25-22 | North Carolina v. UCLA -135 | 73-66 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
North Carolina vs. UCLA 9:39 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play On: UCLA -135 (5*) With all things being equal, I can’t get beyond the fact that this experienced UCLA team has gone 7-1 SU &ATS in the last 2 NCAA Tournaments. Their lone SU defeat came in the 2021 Final Four to Gonzaga on a buzzer beating 35-foot shot. The Bruins have also gone 9-1 SU this season versus opponents that force 12 or less turnovers per game. Well, North Carolina has forced just 10 turnovers per game this season. Any NCAA Tournament pick or favorite (UCLA) that’s playing in Round 3 that covered as a favorite in Round 2, failed to cover as a favorite in Round 1, and in Round 2 they scored 88 points or fewer and covered by 2.5-points or more, versus an opponent (North Carolina) that’s a #4 seed or higher, resulted in those teams going 30-3 SU 991%) since 1992. Give me UCLA for a money line wager. |
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03-25-22 | Providence v. Kansas -7.5 | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 18 m | Show |
Providence vs. Kansas 7:29 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Kansas -7.5 (10*) I have been harsh on Kansas all season. However, this matchup versus Providence suits them well and I’m calling for a decisive Jayhawks win and cover. Throughout their last 6 games, Kansas has allowed just 63.5 points per contest and limited their opponents to a combined 37.5% shooting. Additionally, Kansas is 5-0 SU&ATS this season as a neutral court favorite of 10.0 or less and outscored those opponents by an average of 15.8 points per game. This is a well-balanced Kansas team that #6 nationally in offensive efficiency and #27 defensively. Granted Providence shot 51.9% in their 79-51 blowout win over #12 seed Richmond in their previous game. However, it marked the first time since 1/23 that the Friars had shot 50% or better from the field. Furthermore, despite that good shooting game, Providence has made only 40.3% of their field goal attempts over its last 5 games. It also must be noted that providence faced a #13 and #12 seed in their 2 NCAA Tournament wins. They’ll be stepping up in class to take on the #2 seed Jayhawks (30-6). Give me Kansas minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-24-22 | Houston +1.5 v. Arizona | 72-60 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show | |
Houston vs. Arizona 9:59 PM ET Game# 623-624 Play On: Houston +1.5 (5*) This is exactly why I hate filling out brackets. Before the tournament began, Arizona was my pick to win it all. Now after watching both Houston and Arizona in their first 2 games of the tournament, I’m convinced this is a bad matchup for the Wildcats. Additionally, doesn’t it strike you as strange that a #1 seed like Arizona is just a 1.5-point favorite versus a #5 in the Sweet 16? The sportsbooks are begging you take take Arizona and I’ll gladly turn down the invite to do so. Arizona narrowly escaped with an overtime win over #9 seed TCU in their previous game. There was a huge red flag being waved despite that Wildcats win. TCU had an enormous 18 offensive rebounds in that contest despite being considerably outsized. Conversely, Houston has been one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the country annually since Kelvin Sampson took over as their head coach. As a matter of fact, Houston is #3 nationally this season in that category while turning 37.3% of their missed field goal attempts into offensive rebounds. That relentless offensive rebounding prowess wears down opponents while forcing them to defend multiple offensive possessions on numerous occasions throughout the course of a game. |
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03-24-22 | Texas Tech v. Duke | Top | 73-78 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Duke 9:39 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: Texas Tech -110 (10*) We have the lower ranked and lower seeded team as a favorite in this contest. Public bettors have flocked to the window early to bet on Duke just as I expected. However, like I said on numerous occasions, my trust lies in the oddsmakers uncanny ability to set an accurate line 24/7 and 7 days a week over all else. The Red Raiders weren’t at their best in their 59-53 second round win over Notre Dame but still walked away with a win. Nevertheless, their calling card is on the defensive side of the floor. Notre Dame entered that 2nd round matchup having shot 50% or better in 5 consecutive games. Texas Tech forced the Fighting Irish into a horrible 32% shooting day. The Red Raiders have now held opponents to less than 40% shooting and 62 points or fewer in 5 of its last 6 games. Furthermore, Texas Tech is #1 nationally in defensive efficiency while allowing 84.4 points per opponent 100 offensive possessions. How good a rating is that? The next best team in terms of defensive deficiency that’s part of the ‘Sweet 16 field is Gonzaga at 89.7. Give me Texas Tech for a money line wager. |
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03-23-22 | Washington State v. BYU -135 | Top | 77-58 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
Washington State @ BYU 9:00 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: BYU -135 (10*) During their 2 NIT games with both played at home, BYU has scored 91.5 points per contest and shot a sizzling hot 53.7% from the field. AS a matter of fact, BYU has shot 50.8% or better in 6 of their last 9 games. Conversely, Washington State has shot 38.1% or worse in 10 of its previous 14 games. This is a battle tested BYU team that has played the 31st toughest non-conference schedule in the country. The Cougars are 14-2 at home this season with their lone defeats coming versus #1 Gonzaga and San Francisco who lost to #20 Murray State in overtime during a 1st round NCAA Tournament game. Give me BYU on the money line for a Top Play wager. |
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03-23-22 | Suns v. Wolves +1.5 | 125-116 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ Minnesota 8:10 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: Minnesota +1.5 (5*) Minnesota is coming off Monday’s 2-point loss at Dallas but were able to get inside the number as a 2.5-point dog. That makes the Timberwolves 10-2 SU and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games. Additionally, the current total in this game is 238.0. Minnesota has gone a superb 11-0 SU&ATS at home this season whenever there was a total of 230.0 or greater and they won by a decisive margin of 17.6 points per game. Give me Minnesota plus the small number. |
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03-23-22 | Jazz +5 v. Celtics | 97-125 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Utah @ Boston 7:40 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Utah +5.0 (5*) Utah is coming off a 114-106 loss at Brooklyn in their previous game. Nevertheless, the Jazz are 6-0 SU in their last 6 immediately following a loss. Utah hasn’t lost 2 straight games since 1/30. The Celtics are the hottest team in the NBA right now. However, they’re 0-4 SU&ATS in the last 4 versus Utah. Give me Utah plus the points. |
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03-23-22 | Hawks v. Pistons +5 | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Detroit 7:10 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Detroit +5.0 (5*) Atlanta will be playing with no rest after last night’s 6-point win at Madison Square Garden. However, the Hawks have gone a terrible 1-9 ATS this season following a win by 6-points or fewer. The Hawks are also a dismal 2-10 SU this season following a road win. Detroit has gone a mediocre 7-8 SU in their last 15 games but they’re an extremely profitable 13-2 ATS in those contests. You may be surprised to know that Detroit is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home versus Atlanta. Give me Detroit plus the points. |
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03-23-22 | Wake Forest v. Texas A&M -2.5 | 52-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Wake Forest @ Texas A&M 7:00 PM ET Game# 617-618 Play On: Texas A&M -2.5 (5*) A statistic that jumped off the page at me is the fact that Wake Forest has committed 16.7 turnovers per contest in their last 3 games. That’s a huge concern heading into this matchup versus a Texas A&M team that forces 17 turnover per game this season. Additionally, Wake Forest has allowed their opponents to attempt 24 free throw attempts per game over its last 5 contests. On the other hand, Texas A&M has gone an excellent 80.9% from the free throw line during its previous 5 games. Texas A&M is a red-hot 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS during their last 10 games. The Aggies lone loss in that sequence came in the SEC Tournament Championship Game versus #5 Tennessee when playing their 4th game in 4 days. Texas A&M have been terrific defensively throughout their previous 5 games while holding opponents to just 62.6 points per game and 37.4% shooting. Give me Texas A&M minus the small number. |
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03-22-22 | Clippers +7 v. Nuggets | Top | 115-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
Clippers @ Nuggets 10:00 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Clippers +7.0 (10*) Denver has gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home and all those losses came by double-digit margins. The Clippers have made a respectable 36.5% of their 3-point shot attempts this season. That’s significant as it pertains to this matchup considering Denver is 1-8 ATS at home this season versus opponents possessing a 36% or better 3-point shot conversion rate and they were outscored by an average of 7.0 points per game. The Clippers have gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. However, they haven’t lost 4-games in a row all season long. As a matter of fact, the Clippers are 4-0 SU&ATS this season following 3 consecutive losses and with an average victory margin of 8.7 points per game. Los Angeles has played Denver 3 times this season with all those contests be decided by 3-points or less and the Clippers were 3-0 ATS. Give me the Clippers plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-22-22 | Hawks v. Knicks +1.5 | 117-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Hawks @ Knicks 7:30 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Knicks +1.5 (5*) New York has Atlanta’s number this season having gone 3-0 SU&ATS versus the Hawks with an average victory margin of 10.7 points per game. Since the start of last season, New York has gone an extremely profitable 35-14 ATS (71%) when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. Conversely, Atlanta has gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 road games when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0 and were outscored by 8.5 points per contest. Give me New York plus the small number. |
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03-21-22 | Wolves +2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 108-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Dallas 8:40 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Minnesota +2.5 (10*) Dallas will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and is coming off losses in each of the previous 2. Conversely, this will be just the 3rd game in 7 days for Minnesota. The Timberwolves are a red-hot 10-1 SU&ATS in their last 11 and 4-0 SU&ATS during its previous 4 games. Throughout their last 5 contests, Minnesota has scored a lofty 126.8 points per game, shot 48.3% from the field, made 41.1% of its 3-point attempts, and went 88.1% at the free throw line. Give me Minnesota plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-21-22 | Ohio v. Abilene Christian UNDER 144.5 | 86-91 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Abilene Christian vs. Ohio 8:30 PM ET Game# 607-608 Play On: Under 144.5 (5*) Ohio has seen each of their last 5 go under the total with a combined 134.6m points scored per game. Abilene Christian went over the total in their opening round 82-71 CBI Tournament victory over Troy. However, Abilene has played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 after going over in their previous contest and there was a combined 129.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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03-20-22 | TCU v. Arizona -9.5 | Top | 80-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
TCU vs. Arizona 9:40 PM ET Game# 829-830 Play On: Arizona -9.5 (10*) TCU is coming off an extremely impressive 69-42 win over Seton Hall on Friday. However, the Horned Frogs have gone just 1-5 SU&ATS during their last 6 following a win in its previous game. Additionally, there’s a sizable disparity in the opponent they’ll face today compared to a Seton Hall team that was average at best over the 2nd half of their season. TCU has scored less than 70 points in each of its last 5 and 9 of their previous 11 games. That’s problematic when it comes to this matchup when considering Arizona has scored 81 points or more during its last 7 and 11 of their previous 12 games. The Wildcats have also shot 49% or better during 11 of its previous 13 games. Arizona is far the better team in this game and will walk away with a decisive win and cover. Give me Arizona minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-20-22 | Texas v. Purdue -3.5 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Texas vs. Purdue 8:40 PM ET Game# 819-820 Play On: Purdue -3.5 (5*) The Longhorns 1st round win came over a Virginia Tech teams that needed 4 wins in 4 days in the ACC Tournament to just make it to the “Big Dance”. That win over the Hokies also halted an 0-3 SU&ATS Texas skid. As good as Texas’ overall defensive number are, they did allow opponents to shoot 48% or better in 5 of their last 10 games. Purdue easily disposed of Yale during their 78-56 win in 1st round action. The Boilermakers have been dominant on the boards all season long which is further proven by their +10 rebound per game average. Purdue is also an excellent 3-point shooting team who has converted on 38.9% of those long-distance attempts. Give me Purdue minus the points. |
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03-20-22 | Notre Dame v. Texas Tech -7.5 | 53-59 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. Texas Tech 7:10 PM ET Game# 827-828 Play On: Texas Tech -7.5 (5*) Notre Dame will struggle versus an extremely physical Texas Tech team that is outstanding defensively. This will also be the Fighting Irish’s 3rd game in the past 5 days after coming off wins over Rutgers in overtime and a slumping Alabama team on Friday. As I previously mention, Texas Teach is outstanding on the defensive end of the floor. Throughout their previous 5 games the Red Raiders have allowed just 56.8 points per game and held their opponents to a mere 36.6% shooting. Texas Tech dismantled the Big Sky Conference champion Montana State in their opening round game 97-62 while shooting a blistering hot 66.2% in that contest. Give me Texas Tech minus the points. |
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03-20-22 | Iowa State v. Wisconsin -4.5 | 54-49 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Iowa State vs. Wisconsin 6:10 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Wisconsin -4.5 (5*) The #11 seed Iowa State Cyclones upset LSU on Friday to advance. However, that was a LSU team that had their head coach and top assistant fired just a week prior to the start of the NCAA Tournament. They’ll be facing a more stable and better team on Sunday who won’t be vulnerable. Colgate gave Wisconsin all they can handle on Friday before the Badgers pulled away late for a 7-point win. For all intent and purposes, this will be a Wisconsin home game that will be played in Milwaukee. That specific factor will play a large part not only in the outcome of this game but also aid in a decisive win and cover for the Badgers. Give me Wisconsin minus the points. |
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03-20-22 | Houston -4.5 v. Illinois | 68-53 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
Houston vs. Illinois 7:45 PM ET Game# 825-826 Play On: Houston -4.5 (5*) This line tells me all I need to know. We have the lower seeded Houston Cougars as a 4.5-point favorite over #4 seed Illinois (23-9). Illinois was lucky to advance after a narrow 54-53 win over #13 seed UT-Chattanooga. The Illini led for just 30 seconds in that contest and in my eyes was thoroughly outplayed with all being considered. Illinois has been in an offensive funk over its last 4 contest while averaging only 62.8 points scored per game and shoot a poor 38.2%. That’s not good news for Illinois backers when considering their team will be up against one of the best defensive teams in the country that holds opponents to 59.1 points per game and a mere 37.6% shooting. #5 seed Houston (30-5) is coming off an extremely impressive 82-68 win over a very good UAB team. The Cougars have gone 8-0 SU&ATS in their last 8 as a favorite of 3.0 or more and outscored those opponents by an average of 17.4 points per game. Houston has also gone an extremely profitable 7-1 SU&ATS this season on a neutral court. Give me Houston minus the points. |
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03-19-22 | St. Peter's v. Murray State -8 | 70-60 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
St. Peter’s vs. Murray State 7:45 PM ET Game# 789-790 Play On: Murray State -8.5 (5*) Most people cheer for a Cinderella team in the NCAA Tournament, St. Peter’s certain qualifies in this regard. The #15 seed Peacocks are coming off a monumental upset over Kentucky in a game they closed as an 18.0-point underdog. Since the1990, NCAA Tournament teams with a seed of #13 or worse that are coming of a 1st round upset have been a huge fade in the following game. St. Peter’s will be facing a 31-2 Murray State team that survived and advance in an opening 92-87 overtime win over San Francisco. Any 2nd Round NCAA Tournament #13 through #16 seed that’s an underdog of 6.0 or greater, and they’re facing an opponent with a win percentage of .700 or better has gone 0-12 ATS since 1990. Additionally, they were beaten in those contests by an average of 16.8 points per game. Give me Murray State minus the points. |