Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-13-24 | California Baptist v. Utah Valley -5.5 | 74-63 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Cal Baptist @ Utah Valley State Game# 701-702 Play On: Utah Valley State -5.5 These are 2 teams that have been clearly headed in opposite directions. Cal Baptist is 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last 9. Conversely, UVSU has gone 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS during their previous 8 games. UVSU is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 versus Cal Baptist with an average victory margin of 11.8 points per game. Give me Utah Valley State minus points. |
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03-13-24 | Lehigh v. Colgate UNDER 134.5 | 55-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Lehigh @ Colgate 7:00 PM ET Game# 306541-306542 Play On: Under 134.5 Colgate has played 6-0-1 to the under in their last 7 whenever there was a total of 141.0 or less and there was a combined average of 128.9 points scored per game. Lehigh has gone over the total in each of their previous 2 games. However, since the start of last season Lehigh has played 11-2 to the under following 2 consecutive contests going over the total and there was a combined 128.7 points scored per game. Both regular season meetings easily went under with Colgate winning 63-60 and 60-57. Both teams have limited their opponents free throw attempts during conference action with Colgate allowing only 16 per game and Lehigh permitting just 13 per contest. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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03-13-24 | Air Force v. New Mexico OVER 146 | 56-82 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Air Force @ New Mexico 7:00 PM ET Game# 669-670 Play On: Over 146.0 Since the start of last season, these teams have met 4 times and went over the total on each occasion with a combined average of 156.5 points scored per game. Air Force has played 13-4-1 to the over in conference games this season and New Mexico 12-5-1 to the over. Air Force play’s a a snail’s pace offensively but is #2 during Mountain West Conference action when it come to 3-point shooting at 36.8%. However, it must be noted, they averaged 4.5 field goal attempts more per game than their season average. Conversely, New Mexico prefers a frenetic offensive tempo, and they rank 5th fastest nationally and # during conference action in that category. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-12-24 | Bucks v. Kings OVER 235 | Top | 94-129 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Bucks @ Kings 10:10 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Over 235.0 These teams have gone over the total in their last 22 head-to-head meetings and did so by an average of 15.6 points per game. Since the start of the 2020-2021 season, they’ve met 7 times and produced a combined average of 257.4 points per game, and that includes a 143-142 Bucks win in Milwaukee on 1/14/2024. After going through a 6-game win streak in which they allowed 106 points or fewer on each occasion, Milwaukee has dropped 2 of their last 3 while allowing 122.7 points per contest. During that recent 3-game stretch Milwaukee opponents have combined to shoot a combined 50.9%. The Bucks offensive play has very rarely been an issue this season based on them averaging 120.9 points per contest to this point. Sacramento is coming off a 112-104 home loss to Houston that went under the total of 234.0. However, the Kings have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 immediately following an under and there was a combined average of 245.8 points scored per game. The Kings shot 45.6% in that loss to Houston. Sacramento has shot 50% or better in 6 straight games immediately after a contest in which they shot less than 50%. Throughout their previous 6 contests, the Kings have averaged 95.3 field goal attempts per game which equates to an extremely fast pace even by NBA standards. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-11-24 | Mavs v. Bulls OVER 232 | 127-92 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Mavericks @ Bulls 8:10 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: Over 232.0 Dallas has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 when the total was 130.0 or greater and there was a combined 266.3 points scored per game. The Mavericks have also gone over in their last 4 aways games with a combined 253.8 points scored per contest. Chicago has played 11-1 to the over this season during non-conference home games and that includes 5-0 in the last 5 with a combined 245.0 points scored per contest. Play on this game to go over the total. |
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03-11-24 | East Tennessee State +10 v. Samford | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
East Tennessee State vs. Samford 7:00 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: East Tennessee State +10.0 Samford is an excellent 3-point shooting team with an outstand season record of 28-5. However, they’ll be facing an ETSU team which has gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 and held their opponents to only 28.6% shooting from beyond the 3-point line. ETSU has also gone a very profitable 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS during line games this season immediately following 2 consecutive wins. ETSU lost both regular season meeting versus Samford but did go a combined 19-47 (40.5%) from 3-point territory. ETSU has also made 40.2% of their 3-point shot attempts during their current 5-game win streak. Give me East Tennessee State plus points. |
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03-10-24 | Pacers v. Magic -125 | Top | 111-97 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Pacers @ Magic 6:10 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Magic -125 Orlando is coming off road loss at New York. However, the Magic have gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 17.2 points per game. Orlando is also an extremely profitable 22-3 this season as a money line favorite. Orlando has shot 52.7% or better from the field in 5 of their last 6 games. The Magic have also allowed 109 points or fewer in 10 consecutive games. Conversely, Indiana has allowed 110 points or more in each of their previous 13 and their opponents have shot 50% or better during 17 of their last 26 games. As a matter of fact, Indiana is allowing 121.8 points per game this season. Conversely, Orlando is 15-2 SU this season versus opponents that allow an average of 220.0 points or more per game. Give me the Magic minus points. |
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03-10-24 | Michigan State v. Indiana +4 | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Michigan State @ Indiana 4:30 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Indiana +4.0 Michigan State is coming off a 4-point home win over Nebraska which snapped a 3-game losing streak. The Spartans are just 3-6 SU during conference road games this season. Indiana has been a big disappointment for most of the season. However, they coming in riding high with a 3-game win streak. This will be the Hoosiers final home game of the season which will assuredly give them a sizable emotional lift. Give me Indiana plus points. |
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03-09-24 | Utah v. Oregon OVER 151 | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Utah @ Oregon 7:00 PM ET Game# 699-700 Play On: Over 151.0 This has all the earmarks of a high scoring affair. Utah has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 away with a combined 156.7 points scored per game. During their last 3 games overall, Utah averaged a lofty 87.7 points scored per contest and shooting 50.5% from the floor. They also played at a very fast tempo during those 3 contests while averaging 65 field goal attempts per game. Utah defeated Oregon at home earlier this season 80-77 in a game that sailed over the total of 149.5. Oregon has scored 75 points or more and shot 49% or better in 4 of their last 5 games. The Ducks have played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the total was 151.0 or greater and an average of 167.5 points were scored per game. Oregon has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 this season when facing an opponent like Utah who averages 77.0 or more points per game with a combined 160.9 points scored a game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-09-24 | Kansas v. Houston -8 | 46-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Kansas @ Houston 4:00 PM ET Game# 665-666 Play On: Houston -8.0 Kansas is 2-6 SU in conference away games this season and that includes 1-5 during their last 6. Conversely, Houston has gone a perfect 16-0 SU this season at home with an average victory margin of 27.6 points per game. Furthermore, Houston will be playing with big time revenge stemming from an earlier season 78-65 loss at Kansas. Houston is one of if not the best defensive team in the country but was embarrassed in the loss to Kansas when the Jayhawks shot a blistering hot 68.9% from the floor. I’m here to tell you that was an aberration. Give me Houston minus points. |
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03-09-24 | Richmond v. George Mason -130 | 46-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Richmond @ George Mason 2:30 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: George Mason -130 George Mason will be playing with revenge stemming from a 7-point loss at Richmond earlier this season. The Patriots are coming off a 69-51 win at Rhode Island. George Mason has gone 7-1 SU this season following a win by 10 or more in their previous game. George Mason is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games versus Richmond. Give me George Mason as a money line favorite. |
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03-09-24 | Creighton v. Villanova +1.5 | 69-67 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Creighton @ Villanova 2:30 PM ET Game# 637-638 Play On: Villanova +1.5 Villanova is coming off a disappointing 66-56 loss at Seton Hall. However, the Wildcats are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and won by 18 points or more on each occasion. Despite going 3-2 in their last 5, Villanova has been excellent defensively while allowing just 62.6 points per contest and their opponents shot just a combined 38.7% from the field. Villanova has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home versus Creighton with an average victory margin of 19.3 points per game. The current total in this contest is 136.5. Villanova has gone 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS at home this season when the total was between 130.0 to 139.5. Their only SU loss came to #2 UConn 69-68. The Wildcats are also 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home while winning by an average of 20.5 points per game. Give me Villanova plus points. |
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03-09-24 | Arkansas +14.5 v. Alabama | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ Alabama 12:00 PM ET Game# 603-604 Play On: Arkansas +14.5 I really like how hard Arkansas has competed down the stretch despite them having a ho-hum season. Yes, the Razorbacks are only 3-3 SU in their last 6 but they covered on 5 of those occasions. Arkansas is also a perfect 3-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog this season which included an upset win at Texas A&M and an overtime loss at Kentucky. Alabama has lost their last 2 and 3 of their previous 4. The Crimson Tide is one of the more explosive offensive teams in the nation but they leave much to be desired on the defensive end. Throughout their previous 5 contest, Alabama has allowed 96.8 points per game and opponents have averaged a massive 30 free throw attempts per outing. That can be problematic against an Arkansas team that has averaged 88.8 points per game over their last 5 and went an excellent 85.0% from the free throw line. Give me Arkansas plus points. |
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03-07-24 | California v. Stanford OVER 154.5 | Top | 58-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
California @ Stanford 11:00 PM ET Game# 769-770 Play On: Over 154.5 Stanford has played 13-2 to the over at home this season with a combined 160.1 points being scored per game. California is coming off an 88-59 loss at Utah which stayed under the total of 154.5. However, the Bears have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 following an under during their previous contest with a combined average of 158.3 points scored per outing. Stanford is #2 in PAC-12 Conference play while making 38.9% of their 3-point shot attempts. On a negative note, the Cardinal have lost 6 in a row and allowed 81.8 points per game while doing so. Conversely, California has allowed 80 points or more in each of their previous 4 conference away games. Stanford is #3 and California #4 when it comes to offensive tempo during conference action. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-07-24 | Navy +4 v. Boston University | 61-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Navy @ Boston U. 7:00 PM ET Game# 606575-306576 Play On: Navy +4.0 Both teams enter this contest on a 5-game win streak. However, Boston U. is an uninspiring 8-6 SU at home this season. The Terriers are coming off a 94-84 win over Holy Cross. Boston U. is 1-7 SU and 0-8 ATS this season in lined games following a win by 10-points or greater. During their current 5 game win streak Navy has covered on each occasion and made 42.0% of their 3-point shot attempts. They also allowed only 59.8 points per game while holding opponents to 35.8% shooting from the field. Navy is #1 in Patriot League Conference play in free throw attempts and Boston is dead last in free throw attempts allowed. Navy is an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS this season after covering 2 or more games in a row and averaged outscoring their opponents by 7.5 points per game. Give me Navy plus points. |
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03-06-24 | Eastern Illinois v. SIU-Edwardsville OVER 142.5 | 57-68 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Eastern Illinois vs. SIU-Edwardsville 10:00 PM ET Game# 719-720 Play On: Over 142.5 SIU-Edwardsville has played 9-0 to the over in their last 9 and with a combined 153.7 points scored per game. Edwardsville hasn’t shot very well in their last 5 but has more than made up for it by playing at frenetic pace by averaging 68 field goal attempts per game. During that same stretch, they allowed 77.8 points per game while opponents shot 41.9% from 3-point territory and averaged 26 free throw attempts per contest. Conversely, Eastern Illinois has made an excellent 41.6% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Eastern Illinois has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with a combined 148.0 points scored per contest. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-06-24 | Loyola-Chicago -110 v. Davidson | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson 7:00 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: Loyola-Chicago -110 (ML) Davidson has gone a terrible 2-6 SU in conference road games this season. The Wikdcats have also lost their last 3 games overall. Loyola has gone an extremely profitable 8-1 SU&ATS in their last 9 outings. The Ramblers are also a sparkling 6-0 SU&ATS during conference away games this season. Give me Loyola-Chicago. |
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03-05-24 | San Diego State v. UNLV +2.5 | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
San Diego State @ UNLV 11:00 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: UNLV +2.5 San Diego State has gone 14-0 at home this season. Nevertheless, all 7 of their losing this season have occurred in true road games. As a matter of fact, San Diego State is 0-6 SU&ATS this season during true road games when their point-spread was between +3.5 and -3.5. UNLV enters this contest having gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 and 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS during their previous 10 games. The Rebels will also be playing with same season revenge stemming from an earlier season 72-61 loss at San Diego State. Give me UNLV. |
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03-05-24 | Spurs v. Rockets -7.5 | Top | 101-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Spurs @ Rockets 8:10 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Rockets -7.5 Houston is 7-0 SU&ATS this season as a home favorite of between 3.5 to 9.5 and with an average victory margin of 178.6 points per game. San Antonio are coming off 2 consecutive wins for just the 4th time this season while defeating Oklahoma City 132-118 and Indiana 117-105. However, the Spurs are an abysmal 0-9 SU&ATS this season as an away underdog of between 3.5 to 9.5 and were outscored by a massive average of 23.0 points per game. San Antonio is 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS this season immediately following 2 wins in a row. Give me Houston minus points. Give me the Rockets minus points. |
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03-05-24 | Alabama +2 v. Florida | 87-105 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Alabama +2.0 Alabama is 5-0 SU in conference away games this season versus teams not currently ranked and won by an average of 10.4 points per game. Alabama is coming off a conference home loss to Tennessee this past Saturday. The Crimson Tide are 3-0 SU&ATS this season in conference games this season immediately following a conference loss. The Crimson Tide shot 38.3% from the floor in that loss to Tennessee in their previous contest. It was just the 4th time all season that Alabama shot less than 40% and in their previous 3 immediately after that occurred, they averaged 103.0 points scored per game. Alabama is battle tested while having gone 20-9 against the 2nd toughest schedule in the country. The Crimson Tide have also won the last 4 head-to-head meetings versus Florida. Give me Alabama. |
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03-05-24 | Robert Morris v. IUPU Ft Wayne -10.5 | 63-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Robert Morris @ IPFW 7:00 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: IPFW -10.5 These teams just squared off in their final regular season game with IPFW posting an 83-65 home win. IPFW has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 as a favorite and won by an average of 19.7 points per game. Robert Morris enters the first round of the Horizon Conference Tournament on a 6-game losing streak and was outscored by a decisive margin of 18.0 points per contest. Give me IPFW minus points. |
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03-03-24 | Knicks v. Cavs OVER 212.5 | 107-98 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Knicks @ Cavaliers 7:10 PM ET Game# 591-592 Play On: Over 212.5 Cleveland has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 at home when there was a total of 218.5 or less and a combined average of 236.2 points scored per game. Conversely, New York has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 away when there was a total of 218.5 or less and a combined 220.0 points were scored per game. Cleveland has played 12-4 to the over this season when playing teams like New York who have a winning record and there was a combined average of 232.9 points scored per game. Cleveland has played 5-1 to the over in their previous 6 at home. The Cavaliers have made a superb 40.2% of their 3-point shots throughout their previous 5 games. The Knicks have allowed opponents to make 41.3% of their 3-points shots over their previous 5 contests. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-03-24 | Clippers +1.5 v. Wolves | 89-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Clippers @ Timberwolves 3:40 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Clippers +1.5 Minnesota started the season by going 22-2 SU in their first 24 at home. Nevertheless, sinced then they’re only 5-5 SU on their home floor. The Clippers are 30-10 SU in their last 40 games and that includes 17-6 SU on the road. Los Angeles is coming off home games in each of their previous 3 outings. The Clippers are a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS this season immediately following playing their previous 3 on the road and won by an average of 15.9 points per game. Give me the Clippers plus points. |
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03-03-24 | Warriors v. Celtics -10.5 | 88-140 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Warriors @ Celtics 3:40 PM ET Game# 583-584 Play On: Celtics -10.5 The oddsmakers are begging you to take the red-hot Golden State Warriors as an 11.0-point underdog. After all, the Warriors have gone 8-0 SU&ATS in their last 8 on the road. However, please keep in mind that their star point guard Stephen Curry is listed as questionable as he’s nursing bursitis in his right knee. Boston has won 10 in a row and covered each of their previous 5. During that 5-0 SU&ATS stretch, Boston outscored their opponents by an enormous 25.4 points per game. Boston has shot 50% or better in each of their last 9 and 12 of its previous 15 games. Give me the Celtics minus points. |
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03-02-24 | Gonzaga v. St. Mary's OVER 141 | Top | 70-57 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
Gonzaga @ St. Mary’s 10:00 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Over 141.0 St. Mary’s has scored 70 points or more in their last 6 abd 12 of their previous 13 games. The Gaels have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 at home with a combined average of 148.4 points scored per game. During their last 5 outings, St. Mary’s has scored 84.0 points per game while shooting a sizzling hot 53.0% and they made an exceptional 45.0% of their 3-point shot attempts. Gonzaga has scored 86 points or more in each of their previous 7 contests. During their previous 5 contests, Gonzaga has scored 91.6 points per game, shot 58.6% from the field, and made an excellent 41.6% of their 3-point shots. Gonzaga is #4 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and #1 during conference play. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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03-02-24 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia OVER 151.5 | 81-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Texas Tech @ West Virginia 6:00 PM ET Game# 721-722 Play On: Over 151.5 West Virginia is last in defensive efficiency during Big 12 action. The Mountaineers are also #1 during conference play in offensive tempo averaging 69.8 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played. The Mountaineers have played 6-1-1 to the over in their last 8 at home with a combined 157.1 points scored per game. Texas Tech has gone over in 5 straight contests when the total was 144.5 or greater and there was a combined 158.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-02-24 | Iowa v. Northwestern -2 | 87-80 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Northwestern 5:30 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Northwestern -2.0 Northwestern is 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS in conference home games this season which includes notable wins versus Purdue, Michigan State, Illinois, and Nebraska. This is a game the Wildcats can ill afford to lose if they hope to be invited to the NCAA Tournament. Iowa is 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 conference road games and has been among the worst defensive teams during Big 10 Conference action. Give me Northwestern minus points. |
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03-02-24 | Wake Forest v. Virginia Tech -120 | 76-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech 5:30 PM ET Game# 713-714 Play On: Virginia Tech -120 The Demon Deacons have been a nice story this season and are surely in strong consideration for an NCAA Tournament invite. However, Wake Forest is 0-3 in their last 3 and 1-7 during their previous 8 away games. Virginia is coming off losses in each of their previous 2 games. Nevertheless, the Hokies are 3-0 at home this season immediately following back-to-back losses and won by an average of 10.0 points per game with all coming versus ACC opponents. Virginia Tech will be playing with big time revenge stemming from an earlier season 86-63 blowout loss At Wake Forest. Give me Virginia Tech for a money line wager. |
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03-02-24 | Penn State v. Minnesota OVER 150.5 | 70-75 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Minnesota 3:15 PM ET Game# 663-664 Play On: Over 150.5 Minnesota has played 6-0 to the over this season whenever the total was 150.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 168.5 points scored per game. Penn State has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 and there was an average total of 156.7 while a combined 169.0 points were scored per game. Minnesota won 83-74 at Penn State earlier this season and that contest went over the total of 150.5. Minnesota has averaged 79.4 points scored per contest and made a superb 46.6% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Both teams defensive play has left a lot to be desired in recent games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-02-24 | Illinois v. Wisconsin OVER 153.5 | 91-83 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Illinois @ Wisconsin 1:00 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: Over 153.5 Wisconsin has gone over the total in all 7 games this season whenever there was a total of 143.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 160.9 points scored per contest. Illinois has played 8-0 to the over in their last 8 and there was a combined 174.0 points scored per game. Illinois has also gone under in their previous 7 on the road with a combined 161 points or more being scored on each occasion. The Illini have also played 16-2 to the over in their last 18 and 20 of their previous 23 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-02-24 | Villanova v. Providence -2.5 | 71-60 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
Villanova @ Providence 12:00 PM ET Game# 601-602 Play On: Providence -2.5 Providence is coming off an embarrassing 91-69 road loss at Marquette on Wednesday. However, the Friars are 4-0 SU in their last 4 conference home games. Conversely, Villanova is a dismal 1-5 SU in their last 6 on the road with their only win coming over Georgetown who has a horrible 2-15 Big East record. Villanova is certainly not terrible, but this is one of the weaker Wildcats teams we’ve seen in recent years. Providence will also be playing with revenge stemming from a 68-50 win at Villanova earlier this season. Give me Providence minus points. |
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03-01-24 | Dayton v. Loyola-Chicago +1.5 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Dayton @ Loyola-Chicago 9:00 PM ET Game# 887-888 Play On: Loyola-Chicago +1.5 Loyola-Chicago got caught looking ahead to a matchup with nationally ranked Dayton in their previous game and lost at St. Bonaventure 79-64. However, the Ramblers are 6-0 SU versus Division 1 opponents this season following a SU loss and won by an average of 10.1 points per contest. Loyola is also 5-0 in their last 5 conference home games and with an average victory margin of 11.0 points per contest. Dayton is a terrific 22-5 this season. Nevertheless, they’ve gone 1-3 SU in their last 4 on the road. Give me Loyola Chicago. |
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03-01-24 | Mavs v. Celtics -9.5 | 110-138 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Mavericks @ Celtics 7:40 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Celtics -9.5 This line has moved from 7.5 to 9.5 due to the availability status of star point guard Luka Doncic who has both a sprained ankle and broken nose. Considering this will be the Mavs 3rd road game in 4 days and the finale of a 4-game in 6-day road trip, I would be surprised if Dallas doesn’t air on the side of caution and opt not to play Doncic. Conversely, Boston will be playing on 2 days rest, and this will be only their 2nd game in 6 days. The Celtics enter today riding an 8-game win streak. That includes covering each of their previous 4 while winning by a substantial margin of 24.7 points per game. During this current win streak, Boston has shot 51.8% or better on each occasion and also allowed 105 points or fewer on 5 of those occasions. They’ll be facing a Dallas team that allows 117.6 points per game and opponents have shot 48.2% against them this season. Boston is 27-3 SU at home this season while outscoring opponents by an average of 13.8 points per game. Saying they’ve been dominant on their own floor would be the vastest of understatements. Give me the Celtics minus points. |
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02-29-24 | USC v. Washington State -7 | 72-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
USC @ Washington State 10:30 PM ET Game# 841-842 Play On: Washington State -7.0 Washington State is 13-1 SU at home this season and that includes 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 with an average victory margin of 13.4 points per game. The Cougars are also 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 9 overall. USC is coming off a 72-64 upset win at UCLA. The Trojans are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a win. USC has been dominated on the glass throughout their previous 5 contests with a -16 rebound per game differential. The Trojans are last in PAC-12 action when it comes to defensive rebounding while Washington State ranks 2nd on the offensive glass. Look for that to be a key factor tonight in the Cougars physically wearing down USC as the game progresses while forcing the to defend on multiple Washington State offensive possessions. Give me Washington State minus points. |
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02-29-24 | UTEP v. Jacksonville State OVER 134.5 | 72-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
UTEP @ Jacksonville State 7:00 PM ET Game# 777-778 Play On: Over 134.5 The first time these teams met this season UTEP walked away with a 79-71 win and that contest easily surpassed the total of 130.5. It was an extremely physical game which is evidenced by a combined 68 attempted free throws. UTEP is coming off unders in each of their previous 2. The Miners have played 4-0 to the over this season in lined games and following back-to-back contests going under with a combined 158.3 points scored per game. UTEP has played at a might faster tempo over their previous 5 outings than their season average indicates with 65 field goals being attempted per game. UTEP has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 when the total 135.5 or less and there was a combined 141.7 points scored per contest. The Miners last 2 road games were extremely high scoring affairs where the suffered losses of 90-80 to Western Kentucky and 96-90 versus Middle Tennessee State. Give me this game to go over the total. Jacksonville State is coming off a 77-75 conference road win at FIU. During the past 3 season, the Jaguars have played 9-0 to the over following a conference road win and with a combined 157.5 points scored per game. Jacksonville State has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 at home when the total was 139.0 or less. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-29-24 | Hofstra +5 v. NC-Wilmington | 69-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Hofstra @ NC-Wilmington 7:00 PM ET Game# 773-774 Play On: Hofstra +5.0 Hofstra is 7-1 SU in their last 8 and is now 12-1 SU since last season in February. During their previous 5 contests Hofstra has averaged a lofty 79.2 points scored per game, shot 51.0% from the field, made an excellent 41.3% of their 3-point shot attempts, and went 76.2% from the free throw line. That shapes up to be problematic for a NC-Wilmington team that’s 1-2 SU in their last with opponents shooting 50.0% from the field and made 40.6% of their 3-point shot attempts. Their 2 losses came as a 9.0 and 16.5-point favorite. This will be the only regular season meeting between these teams. Hofstra will be playing with revenge stemming from a conference tournament loss to Wilmington as a 6.5-point favorite. Give me Hofstra plus points. |
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02-28-24 | Lakers +3.5 v. Clippers | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Lakers @ Clippers 10:10 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Lakers +3.5 The Lakers are coming off a 123-113 loss at Phoenix. However, they’ve gone 3-0 SU in their last 3 following a loss and with an average victory margin of 10.3 points per game, and 2 of those wins came as an underdog. The Clippers are an uninspiring 3-4 and money-draining 1-6 ATS over their previous 7 games. That includes 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS as a favorite. Give me the Lakers plus points. |
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02-28-24 | Virginia v. Boston College -110 | 72-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Boston College 9:00 PM ET Game# 747-748 Play On: Boston College -110 Despite Boston College being 6-10 in conference action and Virginia being 11-6, it’s the Eagles that come up as a slight favorite in this matchup. Virginia is just 1-3 SU in their last 4 and they scored a pathetic 46 points or fewer during each of the previous 3 games. Boston College is coming off losses in each of their previous 2 games at NC State ans at Florida State. However, you may be unaware of the fact that Boston College hasn’t lost 3 in a row all season and they’re 4-0 SU following back-toback losses. Since the start of last season, Boston College is also 7-1 SU after playing each of their previous 2 games on the road. Give me Boston College on the money line. |
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02-28-24 | Minnesota v. Illinois OVER 154.5 | 97-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Illinois 9:00 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: Over 154.5 Illinois has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 and 15-2 over during their previous 17 games. Minnesota is coming off a 73-55 loss at Nebraska in their previous game which easily went under the total. But, the Golden Gophers have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 after an under and there was a combined 165.0 points scored per game. Additionally, Minnesota has played 6-0 to the over this season in games when the total was 150.0 or greater and there was a combined 160.2 points scored per contest. Both teams have been very good at getting to the free throw line over each of their previous 5 games with Illinois averaging 24 attempts per outing and Illinois 26 which is extremely high by college basketball standards. Through that identical 5-game stretch, Illinois has made a superb 80.5% of those attempts and they allowed opponents 27 free throws per contest as well. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-28-24 | Mavs v. Raptors +3.5 | 136-125 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Mavericks @ Raptors 7:40 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Raptors +3.5 Dallas will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and is coming off last night’s disheartening 121-119 loss at Cleveland. I described that as disheartening because the Cavaliers his a 59-foot 3-point shot at the buzzer to steal that win. That usually will take an emotional toll on a team after sustaining such a brutal loss and I strongly believe that will be the case in this matchup. Toronto will be playing only their 2nd game in 5 days and has a decided advantage regarding rest. Toronto also enters tonight having gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. Give me Toronto plus points. |
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02-28-24 | Providence v. Marquette OVER 150 | 69-91 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Providence @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET Game# 699-700 Play On: Over 150.0 Marquette has scored 78 points or more in 5 of their last 6 with the lone exception coming during a loss at #2 Connecticut. The Golden Eagles have shot 50% or better in 8 of their last 11 games. Marquette is #2 and Providence #4 when it comes to adjusted offensive tempo during Big East action. Providence has played 4-0-1 to the over in their last 5 with a combined 155.4 points being scored per game. Both teams have shot the ball extremely well from beyond the 3-point line over each of their previous 5 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-27-24 | Nevada v. Colorado State -7 | 77-74 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Nevada @ Colorado State 10:30 PM ET Game# 659-660 Play On: Colorado State -7.0 This point-spread was an attention getter for me with Colorado State opening as a 5.5-point favorite and quickly moving to 7.5 against a very good Nevada team that won 3 in a row and 6 of their last 7. This is what I deem to be a heavy line and a number that most won’t be willing to lay with the home favorite. I’m not one of those bettors. However, this is a Colorado State team that’s 14-1 SU at home which includes 7-0 during Mountain West Conference action with an average victory margin of 11.4 points per contest. The Rams have tightened the screws defensively over their last 5 outing while allowing just 64.4 points per game and holding opponents to a combined 38.1% shooting from the floor. The Rams will be playing with same season revenge having lost at Nevada 77-64 earlier this season. They’re 2-0 SU&ATS at home this season while playing with same season revenge with wins over Boise State 75-62 and Utah State 75-55. Give me Colorado State minus points. |
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02-27-24 | Heat -7 v. Blazers | Top | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Trailblazers @ Heat 10:10 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Heat -7.0 Portland is coming off a 93-80 home loss to Charlotte. The Trailblazers have gone an abysmal 0-7 SU&ATS this season as an underdog of 13.5 or less and after game in which they scored 95 points or fewer. The lost those 7 contests by an enormous margin of 26.6 points per game. Portland is also 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 contests and lost by an average of 14.0 points per game. Miami is coming off last night’s win at Sacramento. The Heat are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 with all coming as a road underdog. Additionally, the heat have gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a favorite and won by 13.7 points per game. I have little concern about Miami playing with no rest this evening since they’re recently coming off the all-star break. Give me the Heat minus points. |
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02-27-24 | Texas v. Texas Tech OVER 144.5 | 81-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Texas @ Texas Tech 9:00 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: Over 144.5 Texas Tech has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the total was 144.5 or greater and there was a combined 160.3 points scored per game. Texas has has played 6-1 to the over in their last 7 when the total was 144.5 or greater with a combined 149.7 points scored per game. These teams met at Texas earlier this season and the Red Raiders came away with a 78-67 win and it went over the total of 140.5. Texas Tech is #19 nationally and #3 during Big 12 play in adjusted offensive efficiency. On a negative note, the Red Raiders are #11 during Big 12 action in adjusted defensive efficiency and #13 out of 14 teams regarding defensive 3-point shooting percentage. On the other hand, Texas is dead last in Big 12 play when defending the 3-point shot and #29 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. Furthermore, during their last 4 on the road, Texas has allowed 79.5 points per gameand opponents have shot a combined 55.0% from the floor. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-27-24 | NC State v. Florida State OVER 151.5 | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
NC State @ Florida State 9:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Over 151.5 Florida State is coming off a 74-67 loss at Clemson that stayed under the total of 149.5. Nonetheless, the Seminoles have played over the total in 8 consecutive contests immediately following going under in their previous contest and there was a combined 162.6 points scored per game. Florida State is also #1 in offensive tempo during ACC games. On a negative note. Florida State allows the most free throw attempts during ACC action while NC State has made a terrific 77.9% of their free throws during conference games this season. Speaking of NC State, they’ve played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 when there was a total of 144.0 or greater with a combined 159.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-27-24 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State -3.5 | Top | 91-89 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Kentucky @ Mississippi State 7:00 PM ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Mississippi State -3.5 I’m of the opinion they’re giving us the winner in this matchup with unranked Mississippi State being a favorite over 6th ranked Kentucky. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the ranked road underdog in this spot. The Bulldogs will be playing with revenge stemming from a 90-77 loss at Kentucky earlier this season. That was a contest in which Kentucky was awarded 17 more free throw attempts than Mississippi State and the Wildcats outscored the Bulldogs by 17 points from the charity stripe. That type of free throw shooting disparity is unlikely to occur again. Kentucky has gone just 2-4 SU in their last 6 conference away games. Conversely, Mississippi State enter this contest on a 5-game win streak and that includes going 4-0 ATS if they were favorite by 9.5 or less with an average victory margin of 17.3 points per game. Give me Mississippi State minus points. |
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02-25-24 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -6.5 | Top | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Nebraska 6:30 PM ET Game# 857-858 Play On: Nebraska -6.5 I know Minnesota has been playing very well in recent weeks. However, they’re still just 2-5 SU on the road. I also can’t ignore the fact that Nebraska is a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS during conference home game this season. The Cornhuskers will also be out to revenge a 76-65 loss at Minnesota earlier this season while outscoring their opponents by an average of 13.2 points per game. Give me Nebraska minus points. |
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02-24-24 | Pepperdine v. San Francisco OVER 149 | 68-92 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
Pepperdine @ San Francisco 10:00 PM ET Game# 799-800 Play On: Over 149.0 Pepperdine has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 away games. San Francisco has played 10-1 to the over in their previous 11 this season as a double-digit favorite. The Dons are also 8-1 to the over in their last 9 at home. Pepperdine is coming off an 89-70 win at Pacific. Since the start of last season, Pepperdine has played 9-1 to the over immediately following a game in which there was a combined 155 points, or more being scored and there was an average of 161.9 points scored per contest. San Francisco has shot 48% or better in 5 of their last 6 games. Pepperdine has been awful defensively during conference play while allowing 79.6 points per game and opponents are shooting a combined 52.6% from the field. However, Pepperdine has been red-hot offensively throughout their previous 5 while averaging 77.0 points scored per game while making 39.6% of their 3-point shot attempts and 79.3% on their free throws. San Francisco defeated Pepperdine at home earlier this season 80-74 and that contest went over the total of 146.5. |
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02-24-24 | Utah v. Colorado -6.5 | 65-89 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
Utah @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET Game# 791-792 Play On: Colorado -6.5 Utah is a dismal 1-6 SU in conference away games with their only victory coming in last Sunday’s 70-69 at UCLA. Conversely, Colorado is 6-1 SU in conference home games. During PAC-12 play, Utah is the worst team in free throw attempts allowed. On the other hand, Colorado is #1 during conference action in free throw attempts for and also #1 in free throw percentage while making them at a 78.5% clip. Colorado will also be out to atone for an earlier season 5-point loss at Utah. Give me Colorado minus points. |
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02-24-24 | Mississippi State v. LSU +2.5 | 87-67 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ LSU 8:30 PM ET Game# 781-782 Play On: LSU +2.5 Mississippi State is coming off a 12-point home win over their bitter in-state rival Ole Miss. Now they must go on the road to face a 14-12 LSU team and may get caught looking ahead to hosting #17 Kentucky on Monday night. It’s a textbook sandwich and trap game. Furthermore, although Mississippi State has a very good 11-2 home record, the Bulldogs have lost 6 of their last 7 on the road, and the lone win came over a Missouri team which currently is on a 13-game losing streak. Despite their mediocre record, LSU is showing signs of life after upsetting #20 South Carolina on the road and knocking off #17 Kentucky at home during their previous 2 games. I like the home team in this spot that’s riding a wave of momentum versus the high potential of the visiting team being flatter than a pancake. Give me LSU. |
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02-24-24 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh -3 | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ Pittsburgh 5:30 PM ET Game# 717-718 Play On: Pittsburgh -3.0 Virginia Tech is coming off a dominating 75-41 home win over a very good Virginia team. On the other hand, Pittsburgh is coming being routed 91-58 at Wake Forest in their last time out. Yet, it’s Pittsburgh who comes up favorite in this spot. This is a classic example of unsuccessful sports bettors falling prey to a short memory. Taking the underdog in this situation is in my eyes a sucker play. Give me Pittsburgh minus points. |
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02-24-24 | George Mason v. Loyola-Chicago -3 | Top | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
George Mason @ Loyola-Chicago 4:30 PM ET Game# 701-702 Play On: Loyola-Chicago -3.0 George Mason is coming off their first ever win in program history over a Top 25 opponents when they knocked off #16 Daton 74-70 the last time out. This has all the potential for a letdown spot for George Mason given the emotional high carried away from and during that win. It’s only human nature that George Mason won’t come close to the intensity level and mental sharpness it had during that upset win. Additionally, George Mason is 1-4 in their last 5 conference away games. Although Dayton and Richmond have made plenty of headlines this season in the Atlantic 10 Conference, Loyola-Chicago is a sneaky good team. Loyola enters Saturday’s contest having won 6 in a row, 9 of their last 10, and 13 of their previous 15 contests. Furthermore, tjhey already won at George Mason 85-79 earlier this season. Give me Loyola-Chicago minus points for a Top Play wager. |
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02-24-24 | North Carolina v. Virginia +2.5 | 54-44 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Virginia 4:00 PM ET Game# 669-670 Play On: Virginia +2.5 Virginia is coming off a humiliating 75-41 at Virginia Tech. The good news is the Cavaliers are 5-1 SU immediately following a loss this season and 7-1 SU during ACC home games. Conversely, North Carolina is coming off a 96-81 home win over Virginia Tech. It’s well worth noting, the #10 Tar Heels have gone 0-3 SU in their last 3 following a win. North Carolina is just 3-3 SU in their last 6 overall which included road losses versus unranked teams in Syracuse and Georgia Tech. Give me Virginia plus the points. |
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02-24-24 | South Carolina v. Ole Miss -2.5 | 72-59 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
South Carolina @ Ole Miss 3:30 PM ET Game# 667-668 Play On: Ole Miss -2.5 We have unranked Ole Miss as a short home favorite versus #20 South Carolina and in my opinion rightfully so. After a surprising 23-3 start to the season, South Carolina has dropped their last 2 games by 40 at Auburn and then in their previous contest was upset by LSU as a sizable 8.0-point home favorite. Ole Miss has lost 4 of their last 5 but 3 of those contests occurred on the road including a narrow 68-65 defeat at South Carolina. The Rebels are 13-1 SU at home this season with their lone defeat coming against #14 Auburn. South Carolina has been exposed. Give me Ole Miss minus points. |
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02-24-24 | Houston v. Baylor +2.5 | 82-76 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Houston @ Baylor 12:00 PM ET Game# 607-608 Play On: Baylor +2.5 Houston is coming off a hard fought 8-point home win over #6 Iowa State. The Cougars are 23-3 and ranked #2 nationally. However, all 3 of their loses came in conference away games versus Iowa State, Kansas, and TCU. Baylor is coming off a disappointing 7-point loss at #25 BYU. The Bears return home where they’re 13-1 this season with their lone defeat coming in triple overtime to TCU. Unranked Baylor already owns 3 home wins versus ranked teams over #6 Iowa State, #23 Texas Tech, and #25 Baylor. They also defeated #14 Auburn and #24 Florida on neutral courts earlier this season. This is great spot for the home underdog to make a statement and further improve their season resume. Give me Baylor plus points. |
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02-23-24 | Bucks +4.5 v. Wolves | 112-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Bucks @ Timberwolves 10:10 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Bucks +4.5 This line makes little sense to me with Minnesota being just a short home favorite against a struggling Bucks team. Especially when considering, Minnesota walloped the Bucks 129-105 at Milwaukee just 2 weeks ago. When these types of situations occur, I am apt to having a contrarian mind set. Milwaukee is coming off back-to-back losses. However, the Bucks are 5-1 SU this season following losses in each of their previous 2 games. Minnesota is 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous 4 games played. The Timberwolves started the season 17-2 SU in their first 19 at home but have gone just 2-3 since. Milwaukee is coming off a disheartening loss to Memphis in their previous game as a massive 12.0-point home favorite. This will be just the 3rd game in the last 11 days for Milwaukee. Any NBA team that’s coming off a double-digit favorite SU loss and is playing in their 3rd game or less over the previous 10 days, has seen those teams go 28-6 SU (82.4%) since the start of the 1996-1997 season. The SU betting angle is significant since it backs the underdog in this specific matchup. Give me the Bucks plus points. |
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02-23-24 | Heat v. Pelicans -3.5 | 106-95 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Heat @ Pelicans 10:10 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Pelicans-3.5 New Orleans is 6-0 SU&ATS this season as a non-conference home favorite of between 2.5 to 13.0 and won by a convincing average margin of 18.9 points per game. The Pelicans are coming off last night’s 127-105 blowout win over Houston. They’ve now won 4 in a row and 8 of their last 9. They’ve also won their previous 3 at home by a decisive margin of 22.3 points per game. Miami returns from the all-star break coming off road wins at Milwaukee and Philadelphia with both coming as an underdog. Those wins improved Miami’s season record to 30-25 (.545). Any NBA team like the Pelicans that is facing an opponent coming off back-to-back SU wins as an underdog, and that opponent has a win percentage of between .510 to .600, resulted in those teams like New Orleans going 63-26 ATS (70.8%) since the 19969-1997 season began. Give me the Pelicans minus points. |
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02-22-24 | Oregon v. Stanford OVER 149.5 | 78-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Oregon @ Stanford 11:00 PM ET Game# 833-834 Play On: Over 149.5 Stanford has played 12-1 to the over this season at home with a combined average of 161.6 points being scored per game. Stanford is #3 in offensive tempo, #1 when in 3-point shooting percentage, and #2 in free throw percentage during PAC-12 action. Oregon is has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 away games and all versus conference opponents. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-22-24 | Lakers v. Warriors OVER 242 | 110-128 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Lakers @ Warriors 10:00 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Over 242.0 The Lakers have played 15-1 to the over on the road this season whenever there’s been a total of 230.0 or greater and there was a combined 248.7 points scored per contest. During their last 3 before the all-star break, the Lakers averaged 134.0 points scored per game and shot 54.8% from the field. Conversely, Golden State averaged 127.6 points scored per contest, shot 49.3% from the field, and made a superb 44.7% of their 3-point attempts throughout their previous 5 games. These teams met once this season and the Lakers came away with a 145-144 overtime win at Golden State. However, that contest was tied 133-133 at the end of regulation play and still easy surpassed the posted total. The last 4 meetings between these division rivals that were played at Golden State all went over the total. |
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02-22-24 | SMU v. Florida Atlantic -6 | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
SMU @ FAU 7:00 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: FAU -6.0 Both teams are 10-3 in conference play. However, this is an FAU team built for these big game situations such as these. Thw Owls are an experienced team and one that reached the Final 4 last spring. FAU also own impressive non-conference wins this season over #4 Arizona, Texas A&M, Butler, and Virginia Tech. FAU is coming off a 4-point loss at surging South Florida in their previous game. Nonetheless, the Owls have been resilient this season while going 4-0 SU immediately following a loss and winning by 13.7 points per game. SMU has won 6 straight but 4 of those were at home. The Mustangs are just 3-3 SU this season in conference away games. Give me FAU minus points. |
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02-21-24 | Nebraska v. Indiana OVER 149.5 | 85-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Nebraska @ Indiana 8:30 PM ET Game# 713-714 Play On: Over 149.5 Nebraska has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 conference away contests and with a combined average of 157.0 points being scored per game. The Cornhuskers have been a terrific 3-point shooting teams in Big 10 play while making a stellar 39.0% of those attempts. Nebraska has made 78.7% of their free throws during conference action while Indiana is allowing 24 attempts per game in Big 10 play. The Hoosiers have seen 3 of their last 4 at home go over the total. The last 3 meetings between these division rivals have all gone under the number including and 86-70 Nebraska home win earlier this season which went over the closing total of 151.5. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-21-24 | Charlotte v. Memphis OVER 146 | 52-76 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Memphis 8:00 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Over 146.0 Memphis games during AAC action have averaged a combined 161.1 points scored per contest. The Tigers are #3 in 3-point shooting percentage, #2 in 2-point shooting percentage, and #1 in offensive tempo during conference play. Memphis allows an alarmingly high 21 free throw attempts per game in conference play. Conversely, Charlotte is #1 in AAC play with regards to free throw attempts and they converted on a very good 75.0% of those opportunities. That’s a lot of projected points for Charlotte to score with the clock stopped. Lastly, Memphis has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with an average total of 151.0 and there was a combined 164.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-21-24 | Florida v. Alabama -9 | Top | 93-98 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
Florida @ Alabama 7:00 PM ET Game# 679-680 Play On: Alabama -9.0 Florida has gone 7-1 in their last 8 games which included wins over #14 Auburn and #17 Kentucky. Yet, they find themselves as a heavy underdog in this contest and for good reason in my opinion. Alabama is 13-1 SU &12-2 ATS at home this season and outscored their opponents by an enormous average of 26.6 points per game. Furthermore, they’ve gone 6-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season with a substantial average victory margin of 21.1 points per game. Alabama is #1 in SEC play when it comes to adjusted offensive efficiency. Conversely, Florida has allowed 80.2 points per game in SEC action this season. Additionally, Alabama is a much better defensive team than they’re given credit for and especially when considering the torrid offensive pace they play at. Give me Alabama minus points. |
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02-21-24 | George Washington v. St. Joe's OVER 159.5 | 75-79 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
George Washington @ St. Joseph’s 7:00 PM ET Game# 677-678 Play On: Over 159.5 George Washington has lost 8 straight games and allowed 81 points on each occasion. GW is #1 during Atlantic 10 Conference play when it comes to offensive tempo while averaging 70.2 possessions per 40 minutes played. The Colonials are also dead last in adjusted defensive efficiency during conference play while allowing and average of 1.2 points per opponent’s offensive possessions. St. Joseph’s also prefers to play at a fast pace as their #1 in offensive time of possession at 17.1 seconds per. St. Joes has played shoddy defense over their previous 5 contests while allowing 78.4 points per game and opponents made a very worrisome 44.2% of their 3-point shot attempts against them. St. Joes has gone over in 3 straight when the total has been 152.0 or greater and with a combined average of 164.7 points scored per game. |
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02-20-24 | San Francisco v. St. Mary's OVER 132.5 | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
San Francisco @ St. Mary’s 11:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: Over 132.5 St. Mary’s is notorious over the years of being extremely efficient offensively while playing at a slow methodical pace. Nonetheless, the Gaels have seemed to switch their philosophy over their previous 3 contests while hoisting up a very high 64 field goal attempts per game. During that time they averaged 87.7 points scored per game and shot a sizzling hot 54.5% from the field. St. Mary’s is also the best 3-point shooting team during West Coast Conference action while making 40.8% of those long-distance attempts. San Francisco has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 whenever the total was 141.5 or less and there was a combined average of 149.0 points scored per game. During their last 5 outings, San Francisco has averaged 81.4 points scored per game while shooting a stellar 50.9% from the field. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-20-24 | Maryland v. Wisconsin -7 | Top | 70-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Maryland @ Wisconsin 9:00 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Wisconsin -7.0 Maryland has gone 1-4 SY&ATS in their last 5 which includes 0-3 ATS as an underdog. The Terrapins are a very good defensive team but can’t put the ball in the ocean offensively. During conference action, Marland has shot 39.8% from the field and made a poor 28.3% of their 3-point shot attempts. This can be perceived to be a heavy number to cover for a Wisconsin team which is 1-5 SU & 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games. However, the Badgers are 11-2 SU at home this season with their lone defeats coming against #5 Tennessee and #3 Purdue. Additionally, Wisconsin is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in conference home games and that includes 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS as a favorite. Give me Wisconsin minus points. |
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02-20-24 | UCF v. West Virginia OVER 143 | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
UCF @ West Virginia 7:00 PM ET Game# 603-604 Play On: Over 143.0 UCF has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 and there was a combined average of 147.2 points scored per game. West Virginia has played 5-1 to the over during conference home games this season and there was a combined 156.5 points scored per contest. The Mountaineers are #1 during Big 12 action with regards to offensive tempo but last in adjusted defensive efficiency. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-19-24 | South Carolina State v. Howard OVER 149 | 75-68 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
South Carolina State @ Howard 7:30 ET Game# 306639-306640 Play On: Over 149.0 These are the top 2 three-point shooting teams during MEAC action. Additionally, Howard is #1 in adjusted offensive efficiency during conference play and South Carolina State #3. We have a perfect storm situation when it comes to free throws attempted and allowed per game in this matchup. South Carolina State’s conference games have averaged a combined 50 free throw attempts while Howard is at 49 per contest. Howard is last in MEAC play in adjusted defensive efficiency. South Carolina State is coming off a 71-67 defeat at Norfolk State and they’ve played 11-3 over the total this season immediately following a loss. These teams met earlier this season and Howard prevailed 82-78 and that contest went over the total of 152.5. Furthermore, there was a combined 52 free throw attempts during that contest and that’s extremely high by college basketball standards. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-18-24 | Seton Hall +6.5 v. St. John's | 68-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Seton Hall vs. St. John’s 5:00 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Seton Hall +6.5 I see an ample amount of betting value in the underdog Seton Hall Pirates in this game. St. John’s is a dismal 2-7 SU in their last 9 games. Seton Hall is #1 in offensive rebounding and #2 in free throw percentage during Big East play. Conversely, St. John’s is next to last in defensive rebound and last in free throw percentage during Big East action. Give me Seton Hall plus points. |
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02-18-24 | North Texas v. UAB -125 | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
North Texas @ UAB 3:00 PM ET Game# 853-854 Play On: UAB -125 (ML) North Texas is coming off a home win over Memphis. However, the Mean Green have gone 0-3 SU in their last 3 following a win and hasn’t won back-to-back games since 1/17. UAB is an unscathed 5-0 SU in conference home games including quality wins over South Florida (18-5), Memphis (18-7), and FAU (20-5). Give me UAB as a money line favorite. |
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02-18-24 | Northwestern v. Indiana -130 | 76-72 | Loss | -130 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Northwestern @ Indiana 3:00 PM ET Game# 855-856 Play On: Indiana -130 (ML) Northwestern is 1-6 SU in conference away games this season which includes losing their last 5 in that situation. Indiana is coming off a dismal performance during a 20-point loss to #2 Purdue. Since the start of last season, the Hoosiers are 7-1 SU after a conference loss by 10-points or more. During that same time span, Indiana is 6-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6.0 or less. The Hoosiers are 10-3 SU at home this season and 2 of those defeats came against #2 Purdue and #6 Kansas. Give me Indiana as a money line favorite. |
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02-17-24 | Nevada v. UNLV -2 | 69-66 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
Nevada @ UNLV 11:30 PM ET Game# 815-816 Play On: UNLV -2.0 Nevada 919-6) is coming off a gauntlet of 3-games against some of the best teams the Mountain West Conference has to offer in Utah State (21-4), San Diego State (19-6) , and New Mexico (20-5). They managed to win 2 of those 3 contests with the previous 2 resulting in an overtime home win over San Diego State and a 1-point loss to New Mexico. Now they travel up the highway to take on in-state rival UNLV who has won 5 in a row to improve their season record to 14-9. This sets up nicely for the hometown Rebels. Give me UNLV minus points. |
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02-17-24 | San Francisco v. Loyola Marymount OVER 143 | 82-59 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
San Francisco @ Loyola-Marymount 9:00 PM ET Game# 793-794 Play On: Over 143.0 San Francisco has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 this season when the total was between 140.0 to 149.5 and there was a combined average of 158.8 points scored per game. The Dons have shot 50% or better in 9 of their previous 14 games. During West Coast Conference action San Francisco has averaged 81.3 points scored per game and shot 49.6% from the field. Loyola has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 at home with a combined 146.8 points scored per game. Loyola has made a red-hot 39.4% of their 3-points shot attempts throughout their previous 5 contests. However, on a negative note throughout that identical 5-game span they allowed 80.8 points per contests, opponents shot a combined 51.9% from the field including making 39.4% of their 3-point shot attempts. These teams met earlier this season which resulted in a San Francisco 90-74 win and the contest easily going over the total of 141.5. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-17-24 | Kentucky v. Auburn -8 | 70-59 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Kentucky @ Auburn 6:00 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Auburn -8.0 Auburn is 13-0 at home this season and each of those wins came by 11 points or more. They covered 9 of those 13 contests and won by an average of 22.1 points per game. Both of these teams are explosive offensively, but Auburn is better on the defensive end which will pay dividends down the stretch in this contest. Give me Auburn minus points. |
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02-17-24 | Kentucky v. Auburn OVER 164.5 | 70-59 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Kentucky @ Auburn 6:00 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Over 164.5 This game will be played at a frenetic offensive pace. Kentucky is #7 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and Auburn is #9. Kentucky is also #12 nationally in offensive temp while averaging 72.6 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played. Auburn is in the upper 20% of college basketball in that category as well while averaging 70.1 possessions per. Auburn is very good defensively but their biggest flw on that end of the floor is they foul a lot. Kentucky has made 75.2% of their free throws this season and that’s very good by college basketball standards. Kentucky is #3 nationally and #1 during SEC action in offensive 3-point shooting while making 40% of those shots beyond the arc. I’m not going to allow this high number scare me away from going over the total. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see this contest approach the high 170’s or low 180’s. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-17-24 | Stanford v. Washington State OVER 145.5 | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Stanford @ Washington State 6:00 PM ET Game# 743-744 Play On: Over 145.5 Stanford has been an offensive juggernaut during PAC-12 play while averaging 78.1 points scored per contest while making an excellent 42.2% of their 3-points shots and 77.5% of their free throws. The Cardinal are coming off an 85-65 loss at Washington. Stanford has played 6-0 to the over this season following a loss by 10 points or more and there was a combined 160.7 points scored per game. Stanford is #2 during PAC-12 action when it comes to offensive tempo and Washington State is #2 in adjusted offensive efficiency. Washington State has averaged 80.4 points scored per game at home this season while shooting a shade under 51% from the field and went 37.9% from beyond the 3-point line. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-17-24 | Youngstown State v. Cleveland State OVER 151.5 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
Youngstown State @ Clevland State 3:00 PM ET Game# 669-670 Play On: Over 151.5 Since the start of last season, these Horizon League in-state rivals have played 3 times, and each went over the total with an average combined score of 159.3 points scored per game. That includes a 94-69 Youngstown State win earlier this season in a game that soared over the total of 146.0. YSU has played 4-0-1 to the over in their last 5 contests with a combined 167.6 points scored per game. The Penguins have allowed 81.0 points per game in their last 5 and opponents made 39.0% of their 3-point shots. Cleveland State has gone 11-2 at home this and averaged 80.2 points scored per game. Cleveland State allows the most free throw attempts of any Horizon League team during conference play. That will help us significantly since YSU is #1 in the Horizon League from the free throw line while connecting on an excellent 79.1% of their attempts. |
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02-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Iowa OVER 152.5 | 86-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Iowa 2:15 PM ET Game# 655-656 Play On: Over 152.5 Iowa is #16 nationally when it comes to adjusted offensive efficiency. The Hawkeyes are also #18 nationally and #1 during Big 10 Conference action in offensive tempo. Conversely they’re next to last during conference action in adjusted defensive efficiency. Iowa is dead last in Big 10 action when it comes to 2-point defensive percentage. That’s problematic since they’ll be facing a Wisconsin team that’s #1 during conference play with their 2-point shooting at 53.1%. Wisconsin is #19 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. Wisconsin defeated Iowa 83-72 earlier this season and had 35 free throw attempts in that contest while going a superb 23-36 (63.9%) shooting from inside the arc. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-17-24 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State -7.5 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
Texas Tech @ Iowa State 12:00 PM ET Game# 601-602 Play On: Iowa State -7.5 The last time Texas Tech took the floor was at home on Monday night when they shellacked #6 Texas 79-50 in an ESPN nationally televised game. Now 5 days later they find themselves as a sizable 7.5-point road underdog at Iowa State and most bettors will opt to take Texas Tech after witnessing their superb performance just 5 days ago. However, Iowa State is ranked #10 nationally and 14-0 at home this season including an extremely profitable 12-2 ATS with an average victory margin of 28.5 points per game. The Cyclones have also won 6 of their last 7 games overall with their lone defeat coming by just 2-points at #12 Baylor. On the other hand, Texas Tech has lost 3 of their last 4 true road games including a 23-point loss at #3 Houston. Give me Iowa State minus points. |
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02-16-24 | New Mexico v. San Diego State -6 | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
New Mexico @ San Diego State 10:00 PM ET Game# 895-896 Play On: San Diego State -6.0 This line jumped right off the board to me. This is an extremely heavy line in my professional opinion where the oddsmakers and sportsbooks are making the underdog New Mexico Lobos (20-5) a very enticing option to wager on. Especially considering when these teams played at New Mexico on 1/13 the Lobos walked away with an 88-70 blowing win while easily covering as a 3.5-point favorite. It must be noted, San Diego State possesses an extremely strong home court where they’ve gone 12-0 this season and with an average victoy margin of 17.0 points per game. Furthermore, they’ve covered in 6 of their last 7 at home with all coming as a favorite and won by 15.7 points per contest. The tables will turn in this 2nd matchup between 2 Mountain West Conference teams that barring something unforeseen will be in the NCAA Tournament. I’m going against public perception in this one and give me San Diego State plus points. |
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02-15-24 | California v. Washington State -8.5 | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
California @ Washington State 10:00 PM ET Game# 823-824 Play On Washington State -8.5 Washington State is a red-hot 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS during their previous 9 games. That includes 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home and with an average victory margin of 11.2 points per game. The Cougars will be playing with revenge stemming from an earlier season loss at California. During the past 3 seasons, Washington State is 6-0 SU&ATS at home when playing with same season revenge with an average victory margin of 16.3 points per game. Give me Washington State minus points. |
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02-15-24 | Northern Colorado v. Portland State OVER 153 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Northern Colorado @ Portland State 10:00 PM ET Game# 815-816 Play On: Over 153.5 Northern Colorado is currently a 2.0-point road favorite in this contest. They’ve played 3-0 to the over this season as a favorite in true road games and there was an enormouse 176.0 combined points scored per contest. During their previous 5 contests, Northern Colorado has averaged 80.6 points scored per game while shooting 50.9% from the field, 40.0% from 3-point range, and 76.1% from the free throw line. Northern Colorado is coming off an 87-81 home win over Montana. They’ve played 10-1 to the over this season immediately following a game in which there was a combined 115 points or more being scored. Those 11 contests averaged a combined 165.7 points scored per outing. Portland State has seen their last 3 all go over when the total was 138.0 or greater and there was a combined 169.3 points scored per game. They’ve played poor defense throughout their previous 5 contests while allowing 76.8 points per contest while opponents shot 48.1% and made 38.2% of their 3-point shot attempts. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-15-24 | Colorado -125 v. UCLA | 60-64 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Colorado @ UCLA 9:00 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Colorado -125 (ML) This is like my pick on UMass +4.5 versus Richmond last night. I thought the sportsbooks were begging you to take the small favorite that was 12-0 at home, and the line made little sense. When that happens, I go with a contrarian pick or just plain pass on the game. UCLA has been red-hot while winning 7 of its last 5 which includes a current 5-game win streak. While Colorado is 1-6 SU&ATS this season during true road games. Yet, it’s Colorado who’s the favorite in this contest. Give me Colorado on the money line. |
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02-15-24 | Minnesota v. Purdue OVER 145 | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Purdue 8:30 PM ET Game# 777-778 Play On: Over 145.0 Minnesota has gone over the total in their last 4 when the number was 140.0 or greater and there was a combined 159.3 points scored per game. The Golden Gophers are #1 in Big 10 Conference action when it comes to 2-point percentage offense while making 53.7% of those attempts inside the arc. They’re also #2 in free throw attempts during Big 10 play. Purdue has scored 79 points or more in each of their 6 conference home games this season. They’ve also seen 4 of their last 5 conference home contests go over the total with a combined average of 167.8 points scored per game. Purdue is #2 nationall and #1 during Big 10 action when it comes to adjusted offensive efficiency. Additionally, during conference action Purdue averaged a noteworthy 26 free throw attempts per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-15-24 | Memphis +1.5 v. North Texas | 66-76 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Memphis @ North Texas 8:00 PM ET Game# 761-762 Play On: Memphis +1.5 North Texas is a solid team which plays very good defense. However, their offensive game leaves much to be desired. The Mean Green have lost 4 of their last 5 which included home defeats versus UAB and South Florida. This is a very talented Memphis team whichg by all accounts has underachieved up until this point. Nevertheless, after hitting rock bottom during a 0-4 SU&ATS stretch, they rebounded to go win their last 3. Memphis is a more than respectable 6-3 in true road games which includes quality wins at Missouri, VCU, and Texas A&M. The Tigers have allowed 30 points or fewer in the 1st half in each of their previous 3 games. Memphis has gone a perfect 12-0 SU over the past 3 season after allowing 30 points or less during the first half of each of their previous 2 contests and won by an average of 12.1 points per occurrence. I’ll take Memphis in this one. |
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02-14-24 | Western Carolina v. Samford -7.5 | 62-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Western Carolina @ Samford 9:00 ET Game# 701-702 Play On: Samford -7.5 Samford is 14-0 SU at home this season with a decisive average victory margin of 20.8 points per game. Since losing their first 2 games of the season, Samford has gone a sizzling hot 22-1. The Bulldogs have shot 46% or better in each of their previous 5 games. Samford is a perfect 11-0 SU&ATS this season after shooting 47% or better during each of their previous 3 contests and won by a substantial margin of 18.4 points per game. The Bulldogs are a perfect 4-0 ATS this season as a single-digit home favorite and won by 13.3 points per game. Samford has scored 75 points or more in each of their previous 5 games and Western Carolina is coming off a 79-46 blowout win over Mercer. College Basketball favorites like Samford that have scored 75 points or more during each of their previous 5 games, and is facing an opponent like Western Carolina who’s coming off a win by 30 points or more, resulted in those favorites going 33-10 ATS (76.7%) throughout the previous 5 season. The average line in those 43 contests was 8.0 which is almost identical to the number in this matchup. Give me Samford minus points. |
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02-14-24 | Massachusetts +4.5 v. Richmond | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Massachusetts @ Richmond 7:00 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: Massachusetts +4.5 This line makes little sense to me. We have a Richmond team that’s 12-0 SU & 11-1 ATS at home this season. Then we have a UMass team that’s only 1-5 SU in true road games this season. Furthermore, Richmond is 9-1 in conference play while UMass is a mediocre 6-5. Yet, Richmond is only a 4.5-point home favorite. This looks to good to be true when it comes to taking Richmond as a small home favorite. When that occurs, I tend to go the opposite direction and that’s precisely wh I’m going to do here. Give me Massachusetts plus points. |
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02-14-24 | Oakland v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 152 | 71-63 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
Oakland @ IPFW 7:00 ET Game# 673-674 Play On: Over 152.0 Oakland has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the total was 163.0 or less and there was a combined average of 169.8 points scored per game. During their previous 5 outings, Oakland averaged 84.8 points scored per game and averaged 12 thrree-point shot makes per contest. During that identical time span they also shot an excellent 83.7% from the free throw line. IPFW has averaged 82.0 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 53.9% throughout their previous 3 contests. During conference action, IPFW averages 80.6% points scored per game while making 37.4% of their 3-point shot attempts. These teams played at Oakland earlier this season, and IPFW walked away with a 98-77 win which easily went over the total of 149.0. I’m confident that will see a similar high scoring affair in today’s matchup. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-13-24 | Kings v. Suns OVER 244.5 | 125-130 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Suns @ Kings 10:00 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Over 244.5 These teams have seen all 3 of their previous meetings go under the total this season and there was just a combined 227.0 points scored per game. Yet this current total is higher than any of the first 3 encounters. The oddsmakers are trying to tell you something but most won’t her that message. Sacramento has gone 5-0-1 to the over in their last 6 with a combined 245.5 points scored per game. The Kings have shot 49% or betting during 16 of their last 23 games. Sacramento has also allowed an alarmingly high 123.4 points per game while opponents shot a combined 53.9% throughout the Kings previous 5 games. |
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02-13-24 | LSU v. Florida -9.5 | 80-82 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
LSU @ Florida 8:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: Florida -9.5 These appears to me as a heavy line in which the sportsbooks are begging you to take the double-digit underdog. I’m not accepting that seemingly alluring invitation. Florida has won their last 4 conference home games by 12.7 points per contest. Florida has averaged 88.9 points scored per game at home while shooting 49% and went to the free throw line an alarmingly high 26 times per contest. LSU is 0-4 SU in their last 4 conference away contests and lost by 14.5 points per game. During their last 5 overall, LSU allowed 89.6 points per game while opponents shot 46% from the field and 38.6% from 3-point territory, and opponents averaged 24 free throw attempts per contest. Give me Florida minus points. |
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02-13-24 | Thunder v. Magic +3 | 127-113 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Thunder @ Magic 7:30 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Orlando +3.0 Orlando is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home with an average margin of victory of 12.3 points per game. Orlando will be playing on 2 days rest and each of their previous 2 were at home. Since the start of last season, Orlando is 7-1 SU at home after playing each of their previous 2 at home, and they outscored their opponents in those 8 contests by 10.4 points per game. Conversely, Oklahoma City is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 on the road and all came as a favorite while they were outscored by 19.7 points per contest. Give me the Magic plus points. |
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02-13-24 | Iowa State v. Cincinnati UNDER 136.5 | 68-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Cincinnati 7:00 ET Game# 617-618 Play On: Under 136.5 Cincinnati has played 5-1 to the under in their last 6. The Bearcats are 3-0 to the under in their previous 3 at home and with just a combined average of 129.3 points scored per game. Iowa State has played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 when the total was 140.0 or less. The Cyclones are 13th national in adjusted defensive efficiency. Both teams are very good defensively and have limitations offensively. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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02-13-24 | Marquette v. Butler OVER 154.5 | 78-72 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Marquette @ Butler 6:30 PM ET Game# 601-602 Play On: Over 154.5 Butler upset Marquette 69-62 on the road earlier this season and that game easily went under the total of 154.5. Yet, the oddsmakers seem fully undeterred by that result as this current total is identical to the first meeting between these teams. These teams rank #2 and #3 in 3-point offensive shooting percentage during Big East Conference action. Butler has played 8-3-1 to the over in their last 12 and there was a combined 154.8 points scored per game. During their 6 conference home games this season Butler averaged 77.3 points scored per contest. During their previous 5 contests, Butler averaged 82.8 points scored per game while shooting 48.7% and made 37.5% of their 3-point shots. Marquette enters today on a 7-game win streak in which they shot 50% or better on each occasion. They also allowed 72 points or more in 5 of those contests. The Golden Eagle love to play at a torrid offensive tempo and that’s been even more evident in their conference games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-12-24 | Wolves v. Clippers OVER 224 | 121-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Timberwolves @ Clippers 10:40 PM ET Game# 589-590 Play On: Over 224.0 Both teams have shot the ball very well over each of their previous 5 games. During that time the Clippers shot 51.1% from the field, made an extremely impressive 43.7% of their 3-point shot attempts, and went a terrific 85.5% from the free throw line. Conversely, Minnesota shot 48.6% from the field and made 39.8% of their 3-point shots. Minnesota is coming off a 129-105 blowout win at Milwaukee in their previous game. The Timberwolves have played 10-2 to the over this season immediately following a contest in which they allowed 105 points or fewer and there was a combined 236.7 points scored per occurrence. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-12-24 | Nuggets v. Bucks UNDER 231.5 | 95-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Nuggets @ Bucks 8:10 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Under 231.5 Denver is coming off a 135-106 loss at Sacramento and that game went over the total of 232.5. However, the Nuggets have played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 after an under in their previous contest and with a combined average of 219.5 points scored per game. The Nuggets have also gone under the total in 6 consecutive non-conference contest and with a combined 214.0 points scored per game. Milwaukee has played 5-0-1 to the under in their last 6 when the total was 227.0 or greater and there was a combined 226.0 points scored per contest. These teams have met 3 times since the start of the 2022-2023 campaign with all going under the total and a combined 213.7 points scored per game. Since the start of the 1996-1997 season, NBA teams like Denver that are playing in their 4th game or fewer over the last 10 days, and there’s a total of 230.0 or greater, and both teams in the contest have a win percentage of between .600 to .750, resulted in those contest playing 46-12 (79.3%) to the under. The average total in those 58 contests was 235.1 and there was a combined 222.1 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show | |
49ers vs. Chiefs :630 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 47.5 The Chiefs have played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 and 12-4 under during their previous 16 games. Kansas City hasn’t allowed more than 27 points all season long. Kansas City has played 11-1 to the under this season versus teams like San Francisco that complete 64% or better of their pass attempts and there was only a combined 37.0 points scored per game. The Chiefs have also played 6-0 to the under this season versus teams like San Francisco that average 4.5 or more yards per rush attempt and there was a combined 33.6 points scored per contest. Throughout their 3 postseason games, the Chiefs have run the ball on 46.6% of their offensive plays and that far exceeds their season average of 40.3%. Since Andy Reid has taken over as head coach of the Kansas City Chiefs, his team have played 12-3 to the under immediately following a bye week. Reid’s Chiefs are also 7-0 to the under during his tenure when coming off back-to-back road wins that each came by 7 points or fewer. San Francisco is coming off a 34-31 home win over Detroit in the NFC Championship Game. Kyle Shanahan has seen his 49ers teams play 16-7 to the under immediately following a game in which they allowed 30 points or more. During the previous 3 seasons, the 49ers have played 9-3 to the under in all games not played at home and where their point-spread was between -3.0 to +3.0 and there was a combined 40.5 points scored per game. These teams rank 2nd and 3rd in scoring defense with the Chiefs allowing 17.3 points per gam and San Francisco 17.5. The Chiefs defense ranks 2nd in the NFL with 57 sacks and the 49ers are 7th with 48. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2 | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
49ers vs. Chiefs 6:30 PM ET Pick: Chiefs +2.0 Since the start of the 2021-2022 season, Kansas City is 10-1 SU&ATS in away games or at a neutral site when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0. During that exact time span, Kansas City was also a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS as an underdog in away or neutral site games. Andy Reid teams in both Philadelphia and Kansas City have been phenomenal when coming off a bye week. Give me Kansas City plus points. |
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02-10-24 | Bulls v. Magic OVER 217 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Bulls @ Magic 6:10 ET Game# 553-554 Play On: Over 217.0 Chicago has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with a combined 236.3 points scored per game and an average total of 219.3. The Bulss have also gone over the total in 11 of their previous 15 games. Orlando has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 when the total was 226.0 or less. These teams mets in each of their previous games and Orlando won 127-11 this past Wednesday. Orlando has played 10-1 to the over in their last 11 this season following a win by 10 or more and there was a combined 234.2 points scored per game. Both teams have shot extremely well recently with each shooting an identical 50.1% from their field during their previous 5 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-10-24 | Baylor v. Kansas -6.5 | 61-64 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Baylor @ Kansas 6:00 ET Game# 769-770 Play On: Kansas -6.5 Kansas will be in a sour mood after losing on the road to in-state rival Kansas State 75-70 in their previous game. We must keep in mind, that contest took place just 2 days after Kansas turned in a flawless performance in a convincing win over #5 Houston. The Jayhawks are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS this season immediately following a loss and with an average victory margin of 13.7 points per game. The Jayhawks are also a perfect 12-0 at home this season with a sizable point per game differential of +16.4. Kansas has won their last 3 at home versus Baylor and by an average decisive margin of 17.7 points per game despite being just a small favorite on 2 of those occasions and an underdog on another. As good as Baylor is, their defensive play over their previous 5 games has been extremely shaky. During that span they’ve allowed opponents to shoot a combined 49.5% from and filed and an alarmingly high 44.1% from 3-point range. That shapes up as problematic against a Kansa team that at home this season has shot 53.3% from the field and made an excellent 41.3% of their 3-point shot attempts. This is another example of a heavy line that reeks of sportsbooks pleading with you to take the nationally ranked hefty underdog. I’m not taking the bait. Give me Kansas minus points. |
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02-10-24 | Houston v. Cincinnati +5.5 | 67-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Houston @ Cincinnati 4:00 PM ET Game# 697-698 Play On: Cincinnati +5.5 Every avid college basketball fan knows how good Houston is defensively. However, Cincinnati is #17 nationall in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Bearcats are also the top 3-point shooting team during Big 12 Conference play. Cincinnati has suffered 5 conference losses this season, but all of them came by 5 points or fewer. The Bearcats also come in with momentum and confidence after knocking off #23 Texas Tech on the road in their previous game. Give me Cincinnati plus points. |