Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-10-24 | Quinnipiac -120 v. Mt. St. Mary's | 79-96 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Quinnipiac @ Mount St. Mary’s 4:00 PM ET Game# 721-722 Play On: Quinnipiac -120 Quinnipiac (19-4) enters today on a 10-game win streak and that includes winning 4 of those contests on the road. Quinnipiac is an unblemished 16-0 this season as a money line favorite and 15-0 versus teams with a losing record like Mount St. Mary’s (10-13). Mount St. Mary’s is coming off a 4-point home win over Manhattan but failed to cover as a sizable 9.5-point favorite. Since the start of last season, Mount St. Mary’s is 1-7 versus the money line immediately following a home win. They played at Quinnipiac earlier this season and lost 79-65. Revenge can only carry you so far. Give me Quinnipiac as a money line favorite. |
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02-10-24 | TCU v. Iowa State -7.5 | 59-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
TCU @ Iowa State 2:00 PM ET Game# 669-670 Play On: Iowa State -7.5 TCU is a very good team so this appears to be a heavy line which screams of the sportsbooks begging you to take the underdog. I am going to turn down their kind gesture and opt for the much smarter money going on the home favorite. Iowa State is 13-0 SU at home this season with a massive point per game differential of +29.7. Included in those home victories were wins over #4 Kansas and #5 Houston. Iowa State won 73-72 at TCU earlier this season in a game they forced 27 Horned Frogs turnovers. That’s nothing new for an Iowa State team that ranks #2 nationally in forcing turnover. The Cyclones have forced opponents into turnovers in 26.1 of their offensive possessions this season. Iowa State is also #4 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. Give me Iowa State minus points. |
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02-10-24 | Cornell v. Yale OVER 153.5 | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Cornell @ Yale 2:00 PM ET Game# 667-668 Play On: Over 153.5 Yale is #1 during Ivy League in adjusted offensive efficiency while averaging 117.9 points per 100 offensive possessions. Cornell is #2 in that same category uring league play. Cornell is also #1 in the IVY when it comes to offensive temp while averaging 68.6 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played. Cornell has scored 77 points or more in 10 of their last 11 games. Yale has scored 79 points or more in each of their last 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-10-24 | Providence v. Butler OVER 145 | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
Providence @ Butler 2:00 PM ET Game# 659-660 Play On: Over 145.0 Butler is coming off a 71-62 loss at #1 Connecticut and the game went under the total of 145.0. Butler has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 immediately following an under and with an enormous average of 171.3 points scored per game. Providence has gone over the total in their last 5 when the number was 137.5 or greater and there was a combined 155.0 points scored per game. These teams met earlier this season at Providence and the Friars won 85-75 and that contest easily sailed over the total of 139.5. What stuck out to me in that matchup was the fact there was a combined 170 field goal attempts which equates to a torride offensive tempo set by both teams. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-09-24 | Rockets v. Raptors OVER 233.5 | 104-107 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Rockets @ Raptors 7:40 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Over 233.5 Toronto has seen each of their previous 4 games go over the total and there was a combined 245.3 points scored per contest. During that stretch the Raptors allowed 131.3 points per game and opponents shot 51.4% from the field. On the offensive side of things, Toronto has shot a stellar 48.6% from the field and made an excellent 41.0% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. The Raptors have played 9-1 to the over this season when facing Western Conference teams and when the total was 231.0 or greater while a combined 250.3 points were scored per contest. Houston is played at a very fast tempo over their previous 5 outings which is proven by their 93 field goal attempts per game average. Despite that plethora of shot attempts, the Rockets still managed to shoot a shiny 48.2% from the field. The Rockets have played 4-0 to the over on the road this season whenever the total was 227.5 or greater and there was a combined 245.7 points scored per game. This will be the 6th time that Houston will be facing Toronto since the start of the 2021-2022 season, and each of the previous 5 meetings all went over the total. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-09-24 | Dayton v. VCU +1.5 | 47-49 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Dayton @ VCU 7:00 PM ET Game# 885-886 Play On: VCU +1.5 This isn’t as much about disliking Dayton in this matchup, but more about liking VCU in this specific spot. After all, Dayton (21-3) is ranked #19 nationally and have won 16 of their last 17 games. Their only loss in that stretch came at Richmond just recently. That’s the same Richmond team that suffered their only conference loss last week at VCU. VCU is 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 games. Their lone defeat in that successful run came at St. Bonaventure in a game they blew a 20-point 2nd half lead. Additionally, they allowed just 60.0 points per game in those 8 contests and held opponents to a combined 36.8% shooting from the field. On the offensive side, VCU has made an impressive 40.4% of their 3-point shot attempts and went 84.6% from the free throw line over their previous 5 games. Give me VCU in this one. |
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02-08-24 | Arizona v. Utah +6 | 105-99 | Push | 0 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Arizona @ Utah 8:00 PM ET Game# 817-818 Play On: Utah +6.0 Arizona is a legitimate national title contender. However, they’re a bit vulnerable in conference away games. The #8 Wildcats have suffered road losses to unranked teams such as Stanford, Oregon State, and Washington State. As a matter of fact, all 5 losses by Arizona this season have come either on a neutral floor or true road game. Conversely, Utah is 0-5 SU&ATS in conference away games. However, they’re a perfect 12-0 SU & 8-4 ATS at home with an average victory margin 18.0 points per game. They’ll also be out to revenge a 92-73 loss at Arizona earlier this season. Give me Utah plus points. |
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02-08-24 | Samford v. NC-Greensboro -115 | 78-69 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Samford @ UNC-Greensboro 7:00 PM ET Game# 789-790 Play On: UNC-Greensboro -115 (ML) This line jumped right off the screen at me. We have a Samford team which has gone 20-1 SU in their last 21 games as a conference underdog. Well, that’s because UNC-Greensboro is a very good team who’s 9-1 SU at home with a substantial point per game differential of +18.7. Here’s the main reason why we will win this game. Greensboro (17-6) is making a red-hot 41.8% of their shot attempts in conference play which ranks #1 in that category. Furthermore, the Spartans are making a superb 43.4% of their 3-point attempts at home. Conversely, as good as Samford has been, they’re dead last during conference action defending the 3-point shot while opponents have made an alarmingly high 39.8% of those long-distance attempts. Greensboro will also be out to atone for a 79-70 loss at Samford earlier this season. With a win tonight, Greensboro will forge themselves into a tie with Samford atop the Southern Conference standing. Give me UNC-Greensboro on the money line. |
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02-08-24 | North Alabama v. North Florida OVER 151 | 79-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
North Alabama @ North Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 306531-306532 Play On: Over 151.0 North Florida has scored 76 points or more and shot 49% or better in 7 of their last 8 games. North Florida is #1 in adjusted offensive efficiency during Atlantic Sun Conference play. They’re also shooting a sizzling hot 41.3% from the 3-point territory during conference action. Each of their last 3 contests have gone over the total with a combined average of 170.7 points scored per game. During their previous 5 contests, North Alabama has averaged 81.6 points scored per game, shot 48.7% from the field, converted on 48.7% of their field goal attempts, shot a scalding hot 43.7% from beyond the 3-point line, and made 79.3% of their free throws. They’ve seen each of their previous conference away contests go over the total with a combined average of 168.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-07-24 | Nebraska v. Northwestern OVER 141 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Nebraska @ Northwestern 9:00 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On: Over 141.0 Nebraska has played 10-0-1 to the over in their last 11 whenever the total was 142.0 or greater. The Cornhuskers are #2 in Big 10 play when it comes to offensive 3-point shooting percentage at 40.8% and Northwestern is #1 at 44.1%. Conversely, Nebraska is #12 in Big 10 play at defensing the 3-point line as opponents have made 38.1% of those long-distance attempts while Northwestern is #13 at 38.8%. These teams are also the bottom 2 teams during Big 10 action in regard to 3-point shot attempts against them. Additionally, Nebraska has seen 43.8% of their field goal attempts come from beyond the 3-point line in Big 10 play which is the highest in the league. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-07-24 | Southern Illinois v. Drake -10 | 88-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Southern Illinois @ Drake 8:00 PM ET Game# 713-714 Play On: Drake -10.0 Drake (18-5/9-3) is coming off a 75-67 loss at Missouri Valley Conference leader Indiana State (20-3/11-1) last Saturday in a game that was even closer than the single-digit margin would indicate. The Bulldogs are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss with an average victory margin of 15.4 points per game. Drake is also an unscathed 12-0 SU at home while outscoring their opponents by 17.9 points per game. Drake is #1 in MVC play when it comes to turnovers being committed which has seen them turn the ball over on only 12% of their offensive possessions. Conversely, Southern Illinois is last in that same category while committing turnover on 19.6% of their offensive possessions. Southern Illinois has been an average shooting team at best during conference action. That doesn’t bold well for them in this matchup since they don’t figure to get many 2nd chance opportunities against a Drake team that leads the Missouri Valley in defensive rebounding and is #2 nationally in that category. Give me Drake minus points. |
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02-07-24 | High Point v. North Carolina-Asheville OVER 157 | 81-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
High Point @ UNC-Asheville 6:30 PM ET Game# 306503-306504 Play On: Over 157.0 Both teams have been adept at getting to the free throw line during conference play and each is excellent in making those attempts with High Point at 81.5% and Asheville 77.6%. Asheville is averaging 79.1 points scored per game while shooting 50.6% and 43.0% from beyond the 3-point line. High Point averages 84.2 points scored during conference play and also gets to the free thrown line 31 times per contest. These teams met 3 weeks ago, and High Point walked away with an 84-79 home win. There was a combined 70 free throw attempts awarded in that contest and the teams converted on 82.6% of those attempts. Asheville has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 when there was a total of 148.0 or greater and it resulted in a combined 162.0 points scored per game. High Point has scored 78 points or more in each of their last 11 games. Asheville has scored 79 points or more in 8 of their last 9 at home. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-06-24 | San Diego State v. Air Force +10 | 77-64 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
San Diego State @ Air Force 10:30 PM ET Game# 609-610 Play On: Air Force +10.0 Before you question my sanity in making this choice take a second to hear me out. San Diego State is coming off a convincing home win over nationally ranked Utah State. Now they go on the road to face an Air Force team that’s gone 1-11 SU in their last 12 and is 0-4 SU&ATS during conference home games while being outscored by 15.3 points per contest. Nevertheless, San Diego State faces a scheduling gauntlet in the next 4 conference games having to face Nevada (17-5), Colorado State (17-5), #25 New Mexico (18-4) and #22 Utah State (19-3). This situation screams as a flat spot for #24 San Diego State. On a positive note for Air Force, they average 10 three-point makes per game while converting on an impressive 39.3% of those attempts during conference play. The Falcon have also shot 47% or better in 5 of their last 7 contests. Give me Air Force plus points. |
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02-06-24 | Bucks v. Suns -3.5 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Bucks @ Suns 10:10 PM ET Game# 583-584 Play On: Suns -3.5 Despite the head coaching change for the Bucks, something still feels off with them. Milwaukee is 0-3 ATS in their last 3 as an underdog and lost by an enormous 20.3 points per game. As a matter of fact, since the start of last season, the Bucks are an abysmal 4-15 ATS as an underdog of 6.0 or less and were outscored by an average of 12.0 points per game. The Suns are coming off a successful 4-3 road trip and they’re now 11-3 over their previous 14 contests. The Suns have shot 49% or better in 14 consecutive games in addition to 18 of their previous 20 contests. During their previous 4 the Bucks are allowing 118.0 points per game and permitted their opponents to shoot a combined 49.9%. Give me the Suns minus points. |
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02-06-24 | Thunder -3 v. Jazz | 117-124 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Thunder @ Jazz 9:10 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Thunder -3.0 Oklahoma City has gone a profitable 4-1 SU&ATS in their last 5 on the road. The Thunder are 2-0 SU&ATS versus Utah this season while averaging 134.0 points scored per contest and shot 53.5% from the field. Utah is 3-6 in their last 9 and allowed 124.4 points scored per game while opponents shot 49.3% and make 41.3% of their 3-point shot attempts. The Thunder has shot 49.6% throughout their previous 5 while making 39.9% of their 3-point shot attempts. Give me the Thunder minus points. |
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02-06-24 | Charlotte v. South Florida -134 | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ South Florida 9:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: South Florida -134 These are a pair of red-hot teams that are atop the AAC standings. However, South Florida is 8-0 SU and 6-1-1 ATS at home in their last 8. In an otherwise even matchup, the home court advantage will serve the Bulls well in this one. Give me South Florida as a money line favorite. |
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02-06-24 | Magic +3.5 v. Heat | 95-121 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Magic @ Heat 7:40 PM ET Game# 577-578 Play On: Magic +3.5 Orlando has gone 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS during their previous 5 outings. Conversely, Miami is 2-8 SU&ATS over their previous 10 and that includes 1-5 SU&ATS during their last 6 at home. Give me the Magic plus points. |
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02-06-24 | Indiana +6 v. Ohio State | 76-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Ohio State 7:00 PM ET Game# 609-610 Play On: Indiana +6.0 This is a struggle of 2 struggling Big 10 teams that are in the midst of extremely disappointing seasons. Nonetheless, Ohio State as a sizable favorite after losing their last 4 and 7 of their previous 8 isn’t conducive to laying points with any type of confidence. The Buckeyes are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 as a favorite of 9.0 or less. Ohio State is coming off a 2-point loss at Iowa. Indiana is coming off a dismal performance during a 85-71 home loss to Penn State in a game they closed as a 7.0-point favorite. College Basketball underdogs of between 3.5 to 9.5 that are coming off a SU favorite loss, and their facing an underdog coming off a conference loss by 3 points or fewer, resulted in those underdogs going an extremely profitable 35-10 ATS (77.8%) throughout the previous 5 seasons, and the average line was 5.8. Give me Indiana plus points. |
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02-05-24 | Kansas v. Kansas State OVER 144.5 | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Kansas @ Kansas State 9:00 PM ET Game# 875-876 Play On: Over 144.5 Kansas has been sizzling hot offensively over their last 9 games and all against Big 12 Conference opponents. During that stretch, the Jayhawks have averaged 78.4 points scpored per game and shot a sensational 53.1% from the field. Kansas will be facing a Kansas State which is last during Big 12 Conference play when it comes to free throw attempts allowed at 24 per game. Additionally, over their previous 5 contests Kansas State has allowed an alarmingly high 30 free throw attempts per game. Kansas has made 74.2% of their free throw attempts in conference play which is 2nd best. Kansas has seen their last 3 road contests on the road go over the total with a combined 162.0 points scored per game. The last 4 meetings between these bitter in-state rivals have all gone over the total with a combined average of 167.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-05-24 | Warriors v. Nets +1.5 | Top | 109-98 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Warriors @ Nets 7:40 PM ET Game# 565-566 Play On: Nets +1.5 This is an attractive spot for the home team in this matchup as I see and diagnose it. This will be the Warriors 3rd road game in 4-days and they wasted a 62-point epic performance at Atlanta on Saturday while falling to the Hawks 141-131. Golden State is now 6-11 SU in their last 17 overall and 3-9 SU during their previous 12 road games. Since the start of last season, the Warriors are a dismal 5-18 SU on the road immediately following a road loss. Contrary to their opponent tonight, Brooklyn is a well-rested team that will be playing just their 3rd game in 7 days. Additionally, Brooklyn isn’t road weary considering 5 of their last 6 have been played at home. The Nets have won 3 of their last 4. During their previous 3 outings Brooklyn has scored 134.3 points per game and shot a red-hot 51.0%. Brooklyn has also made a stellar 39.1% of their 3-point shot attempts over their previous 5 games. All that is good news for Nets backers when considering Golden State has allowed 125.6 points per game over their last 5 while opponents knocked down 37.1% of their 3-point shots against them. Give me the Nets on the money line. |
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02-04-24 | Raptors v. Thunder OVER 238 | Top | 127-135 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
Raptors @ Thunder 7:10 PM ET Game# 553-554 Play On: Over 238.0 The Raptors have played 8-0 to the over in their last 8 on the road whenever the number was 230.0 or greater. Those 8 contests had an average total of 236.7 and there was a combined 253.9 points scored per game. Toronto has also played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 non-conference road contests and there was a combined 254.0 points scored per game. This will be the finale of a 4-game homestand for the Thunder. Since the start of last season, Oklahoma City has played 10-1 to the over when playing 4 or more consecutive home games in a row and there was a combined 245.1 points scored per contest. The Thunder averages 122.3 points scored per game while shooting 50.7% and making 38.1% of their 3-point shots at home this season. They’ll be facing a Raptors team that has allowed 120.7 points per game while their opponents shot a combined 51.7% throughout their previous 6 games. |
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02-04-24 | Magic v. Pistons +7.5 | 111-99 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
Magic @ Pistons 3:10 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Pistons +7.0 Orlando will be playing in their 4th of a 5-game 9-day road trip. They’re coming off a 108-106 win at Minnesota who’s arguably the best team in the Western Conference. Up next is the finale of their road trip at division rival Miami on Tuesday. Sandwiched in between is the lowly Detroit Pistons who have an atrocious 6-42 season record. However, Detroit has gone 8-0 ATS in their last 8 as an underdog and won 2 of those games outright. The Pistons are coming off a 1369-125 home loss to the red-hot Los Angeles Clippers but still managed to cover as a 12.0-point underdog. Detroit is a perfect 5-0 ATS this season as an underdog after allowing 135 points or more in their previous game. Give me the Pistons plus points. |
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02-04-24 | Purdue v. Wisconsin +2.5 | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Purdue @ Wisconsin 1:00 PM ET Game# 829-830 Play On: Wisconsin +2.5 Purdue is 9-2 in conference play and both losses occurred on the road versus Northwestern and Nebraska. Wisconsin squandered a 20-point 2nd half lead at Nebraska in their previous outing and may have been caught peeking ahead to their huge home game versus #2 Purdue. Despite that loss, the Badgers are 15-3 in their last 18 games and have won straight at home. The Badgers are also a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season with an average victory margin coming by 12.4 points per contest. Give me Wisconsin plus points. |
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02-03-24 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga OVER 138.5 | 64-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
St. Mary’s @ Gonzaga 10:30 PM ET Game# 815-816 Play On: Over 138.5 Despite the extremely slow pace that St. Mary’s prefers to play at, they’ve still played 8-3 to the over in their last 11 games. The Gaels are #1 in offensive efficiency, #1 in 3-point shooting percentage (38.2%), and #2 in free throw percentage (75.9%) during conference play. Gonzaga has scored 73 points or more in 20 of 21 games this season with the lone exception coming against #2 Purdue. The Bulldogs have also scored 74 or more in all 11 at home while averaging 91.7 points per game and shooting a blistering hot 53.6% from the field. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-03-24 | Kings v. Bulls -130 | Top | 123-115 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Kings @ Bulls 8:10 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Bulls -130 Sacramento will be playing their 6th road game in 10 days. That includes playing last night and 3 in the last 4 days. The Kings are coming off last night’s 133-122 win at Indiana which makes them 4-1 on this current trip. However, they’ll be facing a Bulls team playing on 2-days rest and coming off a 117-110 at Charlotte on Wednesday. The Bulls have gone 3-0 SU&ATS this season in non-conference games following a road win and with an average victory margin of 16.7 points per contest. Conversely, the Kings are 0-4 SU&ATS this season playing with no rest and when the point-spread is between +3.5 and -3.5 while being outscored by an enormous margin of 20.4 points per game. Give me the Bulls plus points. |
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02-03-24 | Drake v. Indiana State -5.5 | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Drake @ Indiana State 6:00 PM ET Game# 729-730 Play On: Indiana State -5.5 This is a matchup of the 2 best teams in the Missouri Valley Conference. Indiana State (19-3) will be playing with revenge stemming from an 89-78 loss at Drake (18-4) earlier this season. Since that defeat the Sycamores have reeled off 6 wins in a row. Indiana State is also 9-0 SU at home this season with an average victory margin of 26.5 points per game. Drake is just 2-3 SU&ATS in their last 5 true road games with all those as a favorite. This will be only the 2nd time this season that the Bulldogs are an underdog which tells me precisely how the oddsmakers feel about this matchup. Besides that loss at Drake, the only other defeats that Indiana State has suffered came at Michigan State and Alabama. Another thing to keep in mind. If Indiana State has a small lead down the stretch which prompts Drake to intentionally foul to extend the game, Indiana State is the 4th best free throw shooting team in the country at 79.1%. Give me Indiana State minus points. |
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02-03-24 | Auburn v. Ole Miss +3.5 | 91-77 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Ole Miss 6:00 PM ET Game# 739-740 Play On: Ole Miss +3.5 Ole Miss will be out to revenge an earlier season 82-59 blowout loss at Auburn. The Rebels are a perfect 12-0 SU and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS versus conference opponents with an average victory margin of 15.3 points per contest. Auburn is a Top 10 caliber team when they’re at their best. However, they dropped their last 2 conference road games at Alabama and Mississippi State. Give me Ole Miss plus points. |
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02-03-24 | Richmond +4 v. VCU | 52-63 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Richmond @ VCU 4:00 PM ET Game# 687-688 Play On: Richmond +4.0 VCU had their 5-game win streak snapped on Tuesday after they blew a 19-point lead at St. Bonaventure and lost by 5. VCU has also lost 5 home games this season including defeats against McNeese State and Norfolk State. Richmond continues to receive little respect despite their 16-5 record and current 11-game win streak in which they covered 10 of those contests. They’re also a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in conference away games and they were an underdog on each of those occasions. Give me Richmond plus points. |
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02-03-24 | Virginia +5 v. Clemson | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Clemson 2:00 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: Virginia +5.0 Clemson has leveled off considerably after an impressive start to the season. The Tigers are coming off an uninspiring 70-64 home win over a terrible Louisville team and didn’t come close to covering as a 16.0-point favorite. Clemson is 0-3 SU in their last 3 games immediately following a win. They also suffered a recent home loss to Georgia Tech as an 11.5-point favorite. Virginia enters today on a 5-game win streak in which they outscored opponents by an average of 10.4 points per game. Granted those wins didn’t all come over top shelf competition, but you can never undervalue an underdog with momentum. During their current win streak, Virginia has made an excellent 41.7% of their 3-point shot attempts. Making those long-distance shots is the great equalizer for an underdog and especially so on the road. Give me Virginia plus points. |
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02-02-24 | Suns v. Hawks OVER 248.5 | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Suns @ Hawks 7:40 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Over 248.5 The Phoenix Suns have shot 48.9% or better in their last 12 and 17 of their previous 19 games. Throughout their previous 5 contests Phoenix has shot a blistering hot 56.7% and that includes making 40.4% of their 3-point shot attempts. The Suns are coming off a 136-120 win at Brooklyn. Phoenix has played 4-0 to the over on the road this season following a win by 15 or more and there was a combined average of 248.7 points scored per contest. Atlanta has played 14-8-1 to the over at home this season and there was a combined average of 247.0 points scored per game. The Hawks are averaging 135.7 points scored per game while shooting 50.7% in their last 3 at home. The Hawks have played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 overall with a combined average of 262.0 points scored per contest. Atlanta has been horrible defensively over their last 5 while allowing 130.2 points per game while opponents shot 52.2% from the floor, made an alarmingly high 43.5% of their 3-point shot attempts, and had 28 free throw attempts per contest. Granted this is an extremely high total even by modern NBA standards. However, I’m not going to let that scare me away. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-02-24 | Quinnipiac v. Manhattan OVER 151.5 | 77-71 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Manhattan @ Quinnipiac 7:00 PM ET Game# 865-866 Play On: Over 151.5 These teams played on 1/17 at Manhattan and Quinnipiac walked away with a 76-59 win and that contest easily went under the total of 151.0. The oddsmakers seem undeterred by that result when setting the total for today’s matchup since it’s practically identical. That previous contest only had a combined 135 points scored but it was no fault of which how fast a tempo it was played at. We saw a combined 165 field goal attempts in that contest which is very high. These team are #1 and #2 during conference play when it comes to adjusted offensive tempo. Manhattan has seen each of their 4 games go over the total and there was a combined 155.0 points scored per game with the average total being 140.5. Quinnipiac has scored 76 points or more in 7 of their last 10 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-01-24 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +1.5 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Nebraska 8:30 PM ET Game# 789-790 Play On: Nebraska +1.5 (-115) Nebraska has been tough at home this season with their lone loss coming versus in-state rival and #13 Creighton (16-5). However, they’ve gone a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in conference home games which includes a 16-point win over #2 Purdue (19-2). The won those 5 conference home contests by 11.8 points per game while averaging 81.8 points scored per outing and shooting 51.9%. The Cornhuskers will also be seeking revenge for an 88-72 loss suffered at Wisconsin earlier this season. #6 Wisconsin is 16-4 but 3 of their losses took place in true road games. It’s also worth noting, Nebraska is shooting a blistering hot 41.8% from 3-point range during conference play. Conversely, Wisconsin ranks 10th in Big 10 Conference action when it comes to defending the 3-points shot as opponents have made 38% of their attempts against them. Give me Nebraska. |
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01-31-24 | Suns v. Nets +3.5 | 136-120 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Suns @ Nets 8:40 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Nets +3.6 The Suns are unequivocally the better team in this matchup. However, I like the home underdog betting value in this specific spot. Phoenix will be playing their 5th of a 7-game 12-day road tripp that has saw them go 2-2 thus far. The Nets will be playing in their 3rd consecutive game at home, and they won the previous 2. The latest of which was a 147-114 thrashing of Uta on Monday night. Brooklyn has also gone a profitable 14-8 ATS (63.6%) at home this season. Give me the Nets plus points. |
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01-31-24 | Pelicans v. Rockets OVER 231.5 | 110-99 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Pelicans @ Rockets 8:10 PM ET Game# 573-574 Play On: Over 231.5 New Orleans is coming off a 118-112 loss at Boston and that contest went under the total of 234.0 The Pelicans have played 12-0-1 to the over in their previous 12 following an under with a combined average of 241.7 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, they haven’t gone under in 2 consecutive games since 11/27/2023 which a span of a little more than 2 months. Houston has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 conference home games and there was a combined 253 points or more scored on each occasion. The Rockets are also averaging 94 field goal attempts per game throughout their previous 5 contests which equates to an extremely fast pace. New Orleans won’t shy away from playing at a faster tempo as they’ve averaged 91 field goal attempts per game over their last 5. We should also see plenty of free throws in this contest with New Orleans division games averaging a combined 55 per contest and Houston 53 per outing. Furthermore, these teams have met twice this season and there was a combined 64 free throw attempts in one of those outings and 62 in another which are both extremely high numbers even by modern day NBA standards. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-31-24 | Florida v. Kentucky -5.5 | Top | 94-91 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Florida @ Kentucky 8:00 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Kentucky -5.5 Florida is an uninspiring 1-3 SU&ATS in true road games this season and allowed 84.3 points per contest while doing so. The Gators rank next to last in adjusted defensive efficiency during SEC play. That’s not good news when considering that Kentucky is #9 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and #4 in 3-point shooting while converting on an impressive 40.2% of their long-distance attempts. Kentucky doesn’t beat themselves which is proven by them turning the ball over on just 13.1% of their offensive possessions. The Wildcats are 10-1 at home this season which includes winning their last 4 by 15.3 points per contest and they averaged 95.3 points scored per game. Give me Kentucky minus points. |
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01-31-24 | Kings +1.5 v. Heat | 106-115 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Kings @ Heat 7:40 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Kings +1.5 Miami has hit a brick wall recently while going 0-7 SU&ATS in their last 7 games and they were outscored in those outings by a substantial 16.3 points per outing. That includes 4 of those games taking pace at home. The Kings enter today on a 4-game win streak with the last 3 coming on the road. Sacramento has averaged a robust 120.6 points scored per game over their previous 10 contests and shot 50% or better 8 times. On the other hand, Miami has allowed 128.7 points per game and opponents have shot 54% over their previous 3 contests. The Heat have also averaged just a mere 101.1 points scored per game over their previous 10 contests. Give me the Kings plus points. |
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01-30-24 | 76ers v. Warriors OVER 235.5 | Top | 107-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
76ers @ Warriors 10:10 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Over 235.5 Golden State has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 whenever the total was 227.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 259.6 points scored per game. Philadelphia has gone 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the total was 227.0 or greater and there was a combined 249.5 points scored per game. The 76ers have seen a combined 56 free throw attempts per contest throughout their previous 5 games, and that included 30 per outing by themselves. Golden State has allowed 29 free throw attempts per contest over their previous 5 games. That should provide us with a plethora of scoring opportunities with the clock stopped in this matchup. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-30-24 | Bowling Green v. Ball State OVER 149 | 81-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Bowling Green @ Ball State 7:00 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: Over 149.0 Bowling Green has gone over the total in each of their previous 8 contests and there was a combined average of 162.0 points scored per game. That includes 4-0 to the over in conference away games with a combined 154.0 points scored per contest. Ball State has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 whenever the total was 140.0 to 149.5 and there was a combined 154.0 points scored per contest. Ball State has also played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 conference home games and with a combined average of 158.3 points scored per contest. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-30-24 | Marquette v. Villanova -129 | 85-80 | Loss | -129 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Marquette @ Villanova 7:00 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: Villanova -129 (ML) This is another of those situations where the oddsmakers are throwing uss a curve ball. We have an unranked Villanova team that enters today on a 4-game losing streak versus #9 Marquette (15-5). They’re pleading with us to take Marquette in this spot. My response is simply no thank you. Despite Villanova sporting an uninspiring 11-9 overall record which includes some bad losses, we must keep in mind they also own wins over currently ranked #15 Texas Tech (16-3), #3 North Carolina (17-3), and #13 Creighton (16-5). Give me Villanova as a money line favorite. |
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01-30-24 | South Carolina v. Tennessee -13.5 | 63-59 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
South Carolina @ Tennessee 6:30 PM ET Game# 601-602 Play On: Tennessee -13.5 South Carolina is 17-3 yet they’re a current 14.0-point road underdog. The Gamecocks are also 5-2 in SEC play but they’re unranked. It’s like the sportsbooks are begging you to take the seemingly generous number of points being afforded to them. Well, I’m not taking the bait. Tennessee is ranked 5th nationally with a 15-4 record which includes 10-0 SU at home. Furthermore, the Volunteers are 3-0 SU&ATS in SEC home games thus far and with an average victory margin of 21.7 points per contest. Give me Tennessee minus points. |
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01-29-24 | Lakers v. Rockets OVER 232.5 | Top | 119-135 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
Lakers @ Rockets 8:10 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Over 232.5 Houston has played 7-1 to the over in their previous 8 when the total was 227.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 243.1 points scored per game. The Rockets are coming off a 106-104 loss at Brooklyn in a game that went under the total 222.0. Houston has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 following an under in their previous contest and there was a combined average of 253.0 points scored per game. Houston has averaged an extremely high 98 field goal attempts per contest and scored 121.4 points per game throughout their previous 5 outings. The Lakers have played 13-0 to the over in their last 13 on the road when the total was 227.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 247.9 points scored per game. Los Angeles has gone over the total in each of their last 5 games overall and with a combined 258.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
Lions @ 49ers 6:30 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: 49ers -7.0 The difference in this game will be the 49ers passing game against a Detroit defense which has allowed 319 yards or more through the air in each of their previous 5 games. Additionally, the 49ers defense is allowing just 17.7 points and 305.4 yards per game this season which ranks among the league’s best in both categories. Lastly, the 49ers are the more experienced team in big game situations such as these and Detroit takes to the road for a first time this postseason. Give me the 49ers plus points. Props · Brock Purdy over 276.5 passing yards. · 49ers over 30.5 points scored. · Chrisian McCaffery under 84.5 (-115) rushing yards. · Chrisian McCaffery over 36.5 (-115) receiving yards. |
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01-27-24 | Ohio State v. Northwestern -2.5 | Top | 58-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
Ohio State @ Northwestern 3:30 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Northwestern -2.5 Ohio State is 0-4 this season in true away games and all those games came against fellow Big 10 Conference teams. After starting the season 11-2, Ohio State has also dropped 4 of the last 5 overall which includes losses to 3 unranked teams. Northwestern has gone 10-1 at home this season which includes quality wins over #2 Purdue (18-2) and #10 Illinois (14-5). Furthermore, Northwestern is #2 in Big 10 play in 3-point accuracy while making 41.4% of those long-distance shot. Conversely, Ohio State ranks 13th during Big 10 conference play in 3-point defense while allowing opponents to convert an alarmingly high 40.6% of their attempts. Give me Northwestern minus points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-27-24 | Clippers v. Celtics -7.5 | 115-96 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Clippers @ Celtics 7:10 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Celtics -7.5 The Clippers are coming off an impressive 127-107 road win over Toronto last night. The Clippers are 0-3 SU&ATS on the road this season when playing with no rest and they were an underdog on each occasion. Conversely, Boston is -0 SU this season when playing at home versus an opponent playing with no rest and with an average victory margin of 14.4 points per game. The Celtics are coming off a dominating performance during a 143-110 win at Miami on Thursday. Boston is 4-0 SU at home this season following a road win and outscored their opponents by a decisive 21.0 points per game. Furthermore, we need to think like an oddsmaker in this matchup. We have a Clippers team that’s been red-hot while going 12-2 SU and 11-3 ATS over their previous 15 contests. That includes a current 4-0 SU&ATS run in their last 4 with an average victory margin of 13.3 points per contest. Yet, here they are as a 7.5-point underdog. They’re giving us the winner. Give me Boston minus points. |
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01-27-24 | James Madison v. Appalachian State -120 | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
James Madison @ Appalachian State 6:00 PM ET Game# 753-754 Play On: Appalachian State -120 (ML) James Madison was ranked in the AP Top 25 up until recently which was prompted by an upset win over then #4 Michigan State in their season opener. They then proceeded to win their next 13 to begin the season 14-0. However, they’re 4-2 since which included a 59-55 home loss to Appalachian State. Appalachian State is 15-2 in their last 17 games. The Mountaineers are also a perfect 9-0 at home which included an upset over currently ranked #7 Auburn. Give me Appalachian State as a money line favorite. |
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01-27-24 | Arizona v. Oregon +4 | 87-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Arizona @ Oregon 5:30 PM ET Game# 751-752 Play On: Oregon +4.0 Arizona is one of the best teams in the country. However, they’ve been extremely vulnerable in true road games this season while going 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 when cast into that role. All 3 of those losses came as favorites as -9.0 or greater and included an absolute stunner as an 18.5-point chalk at Oregon State just 2 days ago. The Wildcats started the season 8-0 but have gone just 6-5 since. Oregon is a perfect 10-0 SU at home this season and that includes 4-0 when facing conference opponents. The Ducks have won their last 5 at home versus Arizona and all came with current head coach Dana Altman at the helm. It’s also worth noting, Oregon has made an excellent 41.8% of their 3-point shot attempts in conference play. Arizona ranks 10th in conference playing in defending the 3-point shot as their opponents have converted on a concerning 38.1% of their long-distance attempts. The great equalizer for a college basketball underdog is their ability to make 3-point shots and that certainly is applicable in this instance. Give me Oregon plus points. |
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01-27-24 | Auburn -2.5 v. Mississippi State | 58-64 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Mississippi State 3:30 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: Auburn -2.5 Mississippi State went 11-2 during their non-conference slate but is only 2-4 in conference play. The Bulldogs have also committed turnovers on 18.2% of their offensive possessions in those 6 games and only 2 SEC teams are worse. They’ll be facing an Auburn team that ranks #1 in SEC action while forcing turnovers on 21.6% of their opponents’ offensive possessions. This is a less than desirable matchup for Mississippi State. #7 Auburn (16-3) will be in an extremely sour mood heading into this matchup after suffering a 79-75 loss at bitter rival Alabama on Wednesday night. Despite giving up 79 points to Alabama they held the Crimson Tide to just 38.5% shooting. Auburn is a very underrated defensive team which gets overlooked due to their 83.9 points per game scoring average this season. Nevertheless, the Tigers are #5 nationally in defensive efficiency and #1 in that category during SEC play. Give me Auburn minus points. |
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01-27-24 | Kansas v. Iowa State -4.5 | 75-79 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Kansas @ Iowa State 1:30 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: Iowa State -4.5 So we have the #23 Iowa State Cyclones as a 4.5-point favorite over the Kansas Wildcats. Granted the game is being played in Ames, Iowa. However, based on this line if the game were played at Kansas, the higher ranked Jayhawks would only be a 2.5 to 3.5-point favorite. They’re begging you to take the dog in this pot and I see that as a sucker bet. I’ll go with a contrarian approach, give me Iowa State minus points. |
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01-26-24 | St. Joe's v. St Bonaventure OVER 144 | Top | 72-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
St. Joseph’s @ St. Bonaventure 8:30 PM ET Game# 887-888 Play On: Over 144.0 St. Bonaventure has gone over the total in each of their last 5 at home with a combined average of 153.2 points scored per game. The Bonnies have scored 89 points or more and shot 55% or better in 4 of those last 5 at home. St. Joe’s has gone over the total in all 6 of their true road games this season with a combined 163.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-26-24 | Cavs +6 v. Bucks | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Cavaliers @ Bucks 8:10 PM ET Game# 569-570 Play On: Cavaliers +6.0 The Cavaliers will be looking to atone for a 126-116 loss at Milwaukee on Wednesday that snapped their red-hot 8-game win streak. I love their chances of being able to do so and especially betting on them as a point-spread underdog in this spot. Cleveland has shot 50% or better in each of their previous 4 games. During their previous 3 meetings with Milwaukee this season, Cleveland averaged 120.3 points scored per game and shot a combined 52.2% from the field. Furthermore, the Bucks have allowed an average of 126.5 points per game throughout their previous 6 contests. Milwaukee has also allowed opponents to shoot 50% or better in 5 of their last 7 games. Give me the Cavaliers plus the points. |
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01-26-24 | Clippers v. Raptors OVER 235.5 | 127-107 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Clippers @ Raptors 7:40 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Over 235.5 The Clippers has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 whenever the number was 224.5 or greater and there was a combined average of 244.8 points scored per game. Throughout their previous 5 contests the Clippers averaged 122.6 points scored per game while shooting 52.6% and they made a superb 47.6% of their 3-point shot attempts. The Clippers are coming off a 127-116 home win over the Lakers. They’ve played 9-1 to the over this season following a home win by 10 or more and there was a combined average of 240.5 points scored per contest. Toronto has seen 5 of their last 6 non-conference games go over the total with a combined average of 248.5 points scored per game. Toronto faced the Clippers on the road a little over 2 weeks ago and lost 126-120 with the game going over the total of 235.0. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-25-24 | Bulls +4.5 v. Lakers | 132-141 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Bulls @ Lakers 10:40 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Bulls +4.5 Since winning the NBA In-Season Tournament, the Lakers have gone a dismal 8-14 SU which includes an uninspiring 6-6 at home. The Bulls aree coming off a gut-wrenching 115-113 loss at Phoenix in which they blew a 23-point 2nd half lead but still managed to cover as a 5.0-point underdog. Chicago is 3-0 SU in their last 3 and 7-1 during the previous 8 immediately following a loss. The Bulls are also 5-1 SU in their last 6 away games following a loss. Give me the Bulls plus the points. |
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01-25-24 | Kings v. Warriors OVER 242.5 | 134-133 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Kings @ Warriors 10:10 PM ET Game# 553-554 Play On: Over 242.5 The old boxing adage is the styles make the type of fight it’s projected to be. This is applicable to this matchup which projects to be a high scoring entertaining affair. The current total is indicative of such. Sacramento has averaged 94 field goal attempts and Golden State 92 in each of their previous 5 games. That equates to a fast tempo game even by modern NBA standards. Golden State has gone over the total in each of their last 4 conference home games and with a combined average of 247.3 points scored per contest. Sacramento has scored 121 points or more and shot 51.7% or better in 5 of their last 7 games. The Kings have also allowed an average of 121.4 points per game while allowing opponents to make an alarmingly high 42.0% of their 3-point shot attempts. Golden State has made 42% of their 3-point shot attempts and averaged 120.8 points scored per contest throughout their previous 5 games while also allowing 125.8 points per contest. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-25-24 | Nuggets v. Knicks +2.5 | 84-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Nuggets @ Knicks 7:40 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Knicks +2.5 The Knicks will be catching the Nuggets in the right time. Today will be Denver’s finale of a 5-game 10-day road trip. New York enters today riding a 4-game win streak and has also gone a red-hot 10-2 SU in their last 12. The Knicks defense has been superb over their previous 6 contests while allowing only 99.7 points per game. Additionally, the Knicks are 10-1 SU and 10-0-1 ATS at home this season when there’s a total of between 220.0 to 229.5 like it will be today. The Knicks are also 7-1 in their last 8 at home. This is an excellent betting value on the home underdog. Give me the Knicks plus points. |
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01-24-24 | Suns -135 v. Mavs | Top | 132-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
Suns @ Mavericks 7:30 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Suns -135 The Suns are coming off a narrow 115-113 home win over Chicago and they overcame a 15-point halftime deficit while doing so. That victory improved their current win streak to 6 games. That includes 3-0 SU&ATS on the road with an average margin of victory coming by 14.3 points per game. During their current win streak, the Suns have scored 121.3 points per game and shot a sizzling hot 53.5% from the field. Conversely, Dallas has allowed 121.3 points per game and opponents shot a combined 49.7% throughout their previous 6 contests. Give me the Suns as a money line favorite. |
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01-23-24 | Xavier v. Creighton OVER 148 | Top | 78-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Xavier @ Creighton 8:30 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Over 148.0 Xavier has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 and there was a combined average of 161.0 points scored per game. The Musketeers have been playing a an extremely fast office pace over their last 7 contests which is evidenced by them having 63 or more field goal attempts on each occasion. Xavier has scored 74 points or more in 8 of their last 10 games. Creighton is averaging an impressive 87.8 points scored per game while shooting 51.2% and includes going 36% from 3-point range at home this season. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-23-24 | Jazz +7 v. Pelicans | 124-153 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Jazz @ Pelicans 8:10 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Jazz +7.0 New Orleans has gone just 4-5 SU and 36-6 ATS in their last 9 at home. Despite Utah losing their last 2, they’re still 12-4 SU and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games. That includes 7-1 ATS in their last 8 away games. Throughout their previous 5 contests Utah has averaged an impressive 132.8 points scored per game while shooting 49.9% and 38.9% from 3-point territory. During that same 5-game span they posted a +8 rebound per game differential and shot a blistering hot 84.4% from the free throw line with an alarmingly high average of 34 attempts per contest. Conversely, New Orleans has allowed 118.6 points per contest while permitting opponents to shoot 48.0% and make 39.9% of their 3-point shot attempts. Give me Utah plus the points. |
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01-23-24 | Blazers v. Thunder -13 | 109-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Trailblazers @ Thunder 8:10 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Thunder -13.0 When it comes to NBA double-digit point-spreads I usually steer clear of handicapping those contests, and if I do it’s because I’m looking to take the underdog. However, this specific matchup is an exception. Portland is 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 as a road double-digit underdog and they were outscored by an enormous average of 33.2 points per game. On the other hand, we have an Oklahoma City team which has gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 at home with an average margin of victory coming by 21.0 points per game. Give me the Thunder minus points. Additionally, Oklahoma City will be playing on 2 days of rest. The Thunder are 5-0 SU&ATS this season as a home favorite when playing on 2 or more days rest and won by an average of 15.8 points per contest. Give me the Thunder minus points. |
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01-22-24 | Bulls +5 v. Suns | 113-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Bulls @ Suns 9:10 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Bulls +5.5 The Suns are coming off last night’s 117-110 home win iver Indiana which improved their current unbeaten streak to 5 games in a row. However, NBA teams which have won 5 or more in a row are playing with no rest are a poor 37-56 SU since the start of the 2019-2020 season. Furthermore, if those teams were playing at home they were just 13-21 SU and that includes 1-8 this season. Chicago enters tonight having gone 6-2 SU in their last 8 games. Chicago is also a respectable 6-5 SU and 7-4 ATS in their previous 11 played on the road. Additionally, Chicago is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 this season when playing on 1 or more days rest and when facing an opponent with no rest with a +8.3 point per game differential. Give me the Bulls plus points. |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Chiefs @ Bills 6:30 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Bills -2.5 (10*) Despite all the success that Patrick Mahomes has had in his career postseason career, this will be his first start on the road in the AFC Wildcard Round, AFC Divisional Round, and AFC Championship Game. Technically Mahomes does have 1 postseason road start and came versus Tampa Bay in the Super Bowl which the Chiefs lost. Buffalo is 8-1 at home this season while outscoring their opponents by an average of 14.7 points per game. Under current head coach Sean McDermott, the Bills are 5-1 SU in their postseason home games. Additionally, this will be just the 3rd time in that stretch they’ll be a home favorite of 4.5 or less. The previous 2 time they beat Baltimore 17-3 in 2021 and New England 47-17 in 2022. The Bills enter this contest on a 6-game win streak while 4 of those 6 opponents finished with regular season action with a winning record. The Bills suffered 6 losses this season, and they all came by 6 points or fewer. So, a strong case can be made for them being an even better team than their current 12-6 record indicates. It’s been well documented how Buffalo will be shorthanded due to several injuries to starters and most notable on the defensive side of the board. However, they do have quality depth on the defensive side of the ball. Buffalo began their current win streak with a 20-17 win at Kansas City. The Bills are coming off a 31-17 home win over Pittsburgh last week, and they covered as a 10.0-point favorite. The current total on today’s game is 45.5. This sets up a 100% betting angle that has remained unscathed since 2009. NFL postseason home favorites of 7.0 or less with a total that’s 51.0 or less and they’re coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 10.0 or less, resulted in those postseason home favorites going 6-0 ATS since 2009. The average line in those 6 contests was 4.9 and those home favorites won by an average of 13.7 points per game. Give me the Bills minus points. |
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01-21-24 | Bucs +6 v. Lions | 23-31 | Loss | -105 | 42 h 59 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Lions 3:00 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Buccaneers +6.0 The Lions escaped with a 24-23 home win over the Rams in the Wildcard Round last Saturday night but failed to cover as a 3.0-point favorite. You may be surprised to know, that marked their first win of the season at home versus an opponent that finished regular season action with a winning record. They were 0-2 SU&ATS in their previous 2 games in that role while losing to Seattle and Green Bay. Now they’re better than a touchdown favorite versus a Tampa Bay team which has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 on the road which included an impressive 34-20 win at Green Bay. As a matter of fact, Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games. The Buccaneer quarterback and former first overall draft pick Baker Mayfield is arguably enjoying the best season of his career. As a matter of fact, Mayfield has thrown for 283 yards or more in 4 of his last 5 games. Mayfield will be facing a Detroit defense which has allowed 323 yards or more passing in each of their previous 4 games. The Tampa Bay defense has allowed just 18.6 points per game this season. Additionally, Tampa has allowed only 11.0 points and 272.5 yards per game throughout their previous 4 contests. Give me the Buccaneers plus points. |
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01-20-24 | St. Mary's v. San Francisco +1.5 | 77-60 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
St. Mary’s @ San Francisco 10:00 PM ET Game# 817-818 Play On: San Francisco +1.5 No analysis due to time constraints. |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers -9.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 15 m | Show | |
Packers @ 49ers 8:15 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: 49ers -9.5 The public is certainly in love with Green Bay after watching them blow out Dallas as a 7.5-point road underdog in last week’s Wildcard Round. The question then becomes, if they beat the NFC #2 seed easily as a 7.5-point dog, then why are they 9.5-point dogs on Saturday night. The oddsmakers aren’t deterred by what they saw last week, and neither am I. Give me the 49ers minus points. |
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01-20-24 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech +2 | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Georgia Tech 6:00 PM ET Game# 759-760 Play On: Georgia Tech +2.0 No analysis due to time constraints. |
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01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens UNDER 44 | 10-34 | Push | 0 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
Texans @ Ravens 4:30 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Under 44.0 The Ravens have allowed 20 points or fewer in 12 of 17 games this season. Since John Harbaugh has taken over as head coach in Baltimore, his Ravens teams have played 5-0 to the under during postseason home games. The average total in those 5 contests was 42.0 and there were a combined 34.0 points scored per game. Baltimore is a run heavy team by NFL standards. The Ravens have run the ball on 52.4% of their offensive plays. The Texans have allowed less than 100 yards rushing in 12 of their last 14 games. Texan’s rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has enjoyed a stellar NFL debut season and stepped-up big time during last week’s Wildcard Round home win over Cleveland. However, on the road against an experienced defense that ranks #1 in both sacks and points allowed is a whole other animal. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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01-20-24 | Northwestern v. Nebraska OVER 144 | 69-75 | Push | 0 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Northwestern @ Nebraska 2:15 PM ET Game# 679-680 Play On: Over 144.0 No analysis due to time constraints. |
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01-20-24 | North Carolina v. Boston College +7 | 76-66 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Boston College 2:15 PM ET Game# 677-678 Play On: Boston College +7.0 (-115) No analysis due to time constraints. |
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01-20-24 | Purdue v. Iowa +6.5 | 84-70 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
Purdue @ Iowa 2:00 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: Iowa +6.5 No analysis due to time constraints. |
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01-20-24 | St Bonaventure +2.5 v. George Mason | 60-69 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
St. Bonaventure @ George Mason 2:00 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: St. Bonaventure +2.5 No analysis due to time constraints. |
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01-20-24 | Marquette v. St. John's +1.5 | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
Marquette @ St. John’s 12:00 PM ET Game# 609-610 Play On: St. John’s +1.5 St. John’s is coming off road losses in their last 2 games played versus Creighton and Seton Hall. However, the Red Sorm are 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 at home. Marquette is an excellent team but they’ve hit a bit of a wall of late. They’re 3-3 SU in their last 6. Additionally, the Golden Eagles are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 previous away games. Give me St. John’s in this one. |
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01-20-24 | Creighton v. Seton Hall +3 | 97-94 | Push | 0 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
Creighton @ Seton Hall 12:00 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: Seton Hall +3.0 Seton Hall is playing extremely well right now. They’ve begun their Big East Slate by going 6-1 which includes a current 5-game win streak. The Pirates have posted quality wins over UConn by 15 and Marquette by 3. Seton Hall is a stellar 8-1 SU at home this season. Creighton has been plagued by inconsistent play recently which is evidenced by an uninspiring 5-4 SU record over their previous 9 games. Give me Seton Hall plus points. |
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01-20-24 | Miami-FL v. Syracuse -1.5 | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
Miami Fla. @ Syracuse 12:00 PM ET Game# 601-602 Play On: Syracuse -1.5 The Orange are in much need of quality wins if they hope to make the NCAA Tournament. They do own Quad 1 wins over Oregon and Pittsburgh twice this season. This is another golden opportunity for them to shine their resume a little brighter against a formidable Miami team. Syracuse is a perfect 8-0 SU at home this season and is coming off a confidence building 11-point road win at Pittsburgh in their previous game. Syracuse is also an extremely profitable 5-0 ATS this season as a favorite of 5.0 or less and won by an average of 12.8 points per game. Miami has lost 3 of their last 4 and included a an upset shocking defeat to Louisville as a 16.0-point home favorite. They also lost in their previous outing to Florida State as a 5.5-point home favorite. Give me Syracuse to come out on top in this one. |
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01-19-24 | Nets v. Lakers UNDER 227.5 | 130-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Nets @ Lakers 10:40 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Under 227.5 The Nets have played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 away and there was just a combined 212.8 points scored per game. During those 5 contests, Brookly averaged a scant 100.2 points scored per game. Brooklyn has also played 3-0 to the under this season in non-conference away games that had a total of 229.5 and there was just a combined 210.0 points scored per game. The Lakers have played 15-7 to the under at home this season and that includes 3-0 to the under in their last 3. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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01-19-24 | Hawks v. Heat -6.5 | 109-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Hawks @ Heat 8:10 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Heat -6.5 Atlanta is coming off home wins in their last 2 games. Nonetheless, the Hawks are 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 after recording wins in their previous 2 contests and they lost by an average of 15.5 points per game. Atlanta has also gone 0-7 SU&ATS in their last 7 this season as an underdog of 3.0 or greater and they were outscored by 14.8 points per contest. Miami is coming off an embarrassing 121-97 loss at Toronto in their previous outing and they allowed the Raptors to shoot 51.1%. The Heat is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 following a game in which they allowed an opponent to shoot 50% or better. Furthermore, Miami han’t allowed opponents to shoot 50% or better in 2 straight for 21 consecutive games. Miami is 9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS versus fellow Southeast Division teams this season. The Heat are also 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS in their last 9 following a loss. Give me the Heat minus points. |
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01-19-24 | Suns v. Pelicans OVER 236.5 | 123-109 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Suns @ Pelicans 8:10 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: Over 236.5 The Suns have shot 49% or better from the field in 9 of their last 11 games. Phoenix has averaged 123.5 points scored per game and shot a combined 54.0% throughout their previous 4 on the road. The bad news for Phoenix is their defensive play has left to be desired over their previous 5 games. During that stretch, Phoenix allowed 120.2 points per game while allowing opponents to shoot 50.1% and convert on an alarmingly hot 42.8% of their 3-point shot attempts. Conversely, New Orleans has averaged 124.8 points scored per contest, shot 51.0% from the field, and made a superb 43.9% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 contests. This will ne the first meeting of the season between these Western Conference teams. They met 4 times last season and each of those contests went over the total with a combined 241.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-19-24 | St. Peter's v. Fairfield OVER 135 | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
St. Peter’s @ Fairfield 7:00 PM ET Game# 877-878 Play On: Over 135.0 This is a very low total for a Fairfield game. That has much to do about the extremely slow tempo that St. Peter’s plays at which ranks #350 nationally out of 363 division 1 teams. However, the Peacocks have played 3-1 to the over in their last 4 and averaged a respectable 71.8 points scored per game. Furthermore, St. Peter’s has scored 67 points or more in their last 3 and 4 of the previous 5 on the road. When considering the current total on this contest, the previous sentence is certainly noteworthy. St. Peter’s is 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 games while averaging an extremely high 28 free throw attempts per game and making an outstanding 75.9% of those attempts. Fairfield has played 6-0 to the over in conference play and with a combined 156.4 points scored per game. During those 6 contests they shot a blistering hot 42.0% from 3-point range, 55.4% inside the arc, and converted on an excellent 78.2% of their 3-point attempts. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-18-24 | Bulls -125 v. Raptors | Top | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
Bulls @ Raptors 7:30 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Bulls -125 Toronto is coming off last night’s 121-97 home blowout win over Miami. However, the Raptors are 3-12 SU this season following a win. Furthermore, Toronto has lost their last 3 at home following a win and were outscored by a sizable margin of 14.3 points per game. Conversely, the Bulls are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 when playing on 1 or more days rest and versus an opponent who played the day before. Chicago won those 3 contests by an average of 9.0 points per game. The Bulls are coming off a loss. Nonetheless, Chicago has gone 6-1 SU in their last 7 games immediately after a loss. Give me the Bulls as a money line favorite. |
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01-18-24 | NC-Wilmington v. Elon +7.5 | 82-70 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
NC-Wilmington @ Elon 7:00 PM ET Game# 747-748 Play On: Elon +7.5 Elon has gone 6-1 SU at home this season while UNC-Wilmington is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 true away games. The adage is that the great equalizer for college basketball underdogs is the ability to make 3-point shots. Elon is #66 nationally in offensive 3-point shot percentage at 36.1%. Additionally, Elon averages 10 three-point makes at home while converting on an excellent 40.1% of those long-distance attempts. As a matter of fact, Elon has averaged 88.1 points scored per game at home while shooting a superb 51.7% from the floor. Conversely, NC-Wilmington is #303 national when it comes to defensive 3-point shooting percentage defense at 36.1%. I love the home underdog betting value in this matchup. Give me Elon plus the points. |
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01-17-24 | Nets v. Blazers UNDER 222 | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Nets @ Trailblazers 10:10 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Under 222.0 No analysis today due to time constraints. |
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01-17-24 | Hornets v. Pelicans UNDER 229.5 | 112-132 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Hornets @ Pelicans 8:10 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Under 229.5 No analysis today due to time constraints. |
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01-17-24 | Heat v. Raptors UNDER 226.5 | 97-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
Heat @ Raptors 7:40 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Under 226.5 No analysis today due to time constraints. |
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01-16-24 | Kings +4.5 v. Suns | Top | 117-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
Kings @ Suns 9:10 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Kings +4.5 The Suns are a disappointing 21-18 this season and that includes an extremely uninspiring 11-11 at home. Phoenix will be facing an opponent tonight in the Sacramento Kings averaging 118.2 points scored per game. That’s a significant statistic since Phoenix has gone an abysmal 0-10 ATS this season when facing teams that average 116.0 or more points scored per game and were outscored by 10.8 points per contest. Phoenix is only forcing 12 turnovers per game this season. That’s also noteworthy since Sacramento is 9-1 ATS this season versus teams that force an average of 13 turnovers or less per game and they outscored those opponents by 6.0 points per contest. Lastly, dating back to last season, Sacramento is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 versus Phoenix while outscoring them by an average of 10.0 points per game. Give me the Kings plus the points. |
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01-16-24 | Wisconsin -5.5 v. Penn State | 83-87 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Penn State 9:00 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Wisconsin -5.5 Despite playing against the 337th toughest schedule or 26th easiest whichever way you want to interpret it, Penn State still has an uninspiring 8-9 record. Conversely, Wisconsin is 13-3 while playing against the 5th strongest schedule in college basketball. The Badgers are also an impressive 6-2 versus teams in the Top 50 of KenPom rankings. The Badgers are #6 nationally in offensive efficient and #27 defensively. Give me Wisconsin minus points. |
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01-16-24 | Texas A&M -141 v. Arkansas | 77-78 | Loss | -141 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Texas A&M @ Arkansas 9:00 ET Game# 649-650 Play On: Texas A&M -141 This line stuck out to me since we have a team like Arkansas that traditionally has a strong home court which includes a win this season over Duke at Bud Walton Arena, and they come up as an underdog versus a 10-6 opponent like Texas A&M. Truth be told, Arkansas hasn’t been very good in recent games. The Razorbacks enter this contest on a 3-game losing streak in which they were outscored by an average of 21.3 points per game. Additionally, Texas A&M is much better than their 10-6 record indicates. The Aggies have played against the 12th most difficult strength of schedule but still own quality wins over Ohio State on the road, at SMU, in addition to nationally ranked Kentucky, and Iowa State. Give me Texas A&M as a money line favorite. |
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01-16-24 | St. John's v. Seton Hall +2.5 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
St. John’s @ Seton Hall 8:30 PM ET Game# 641-642 Play On: Seton Hall +2.5 Seton Hall is 5-1 in Big East Conference Play and 3 of those wins took place on the road. The Pirates also own quality home wins over nationally ranked Marquette and UConn. Give me Seton Hall in this one. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs OVER 43 | 9-32 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Buccaneers 8:15 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Over 43.0 The weather forecast is calling for a 60% chance of rain showers throughout the game. However, the win will be a non-factor. These teams met earlier this season at Tampa Bay and the Eagles won 26-11 while piling up 473 yards of total offense. Philadelphia’s point production was a bit deceiving since they settled for 4 field goals after driving inside the red zone on each occasion. The Eagle defense has been a mess over their last 7 contests while allowing 30.9 points and 401.1 yards per game. During their previous 7 this season versus fellow NFC teams the Tampa Bay Buccaneers averaged a healthy 24.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-15-24 | Steelers v. Bills -10 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Bills 4:30 PM ET Game# 145-146 Play On: Bills -10.0 Since the 2011 NFL postseason, playoff home favorites of between -10.0 and -1.5 are 9-0 SU&ATS with an average victory margin of 16.1 points per game. Since the start of the 2021-2022 NFL regular season, the Steelers are 0-4 SU&ATS as an away underdog of 7.5 or greater and they were outscored by 26.0 points per game. Under current head coach Sean McDermott, Buffalo is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS as a conference favorite of between 8.0 to 13.5 and won by an average of 17.8 points per game. McDermott’s Bills are also 3-1 SU&ATS versus Mike Tomlin’s Steelers since 2019 and outscored them by an average of 11.4 points per game. Give me the Bills minus points. |
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01-14-24 | Utah v. Stanford OVER 156.5 | 73-79 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Utah @ Stanford 5:00 PM ET Game# 843-844 Play On: Over 156.5 Stanford has played 8-0 to the over at home this season with a combined average of 171.4 points scored per game. Conversely, Utah has played 5-0-2 to the over in neutral site and true away games with a combined 153.3 points scored per contest. Stanford is #19 nationally in 3-points offensive shooting percentage while making 38.6% of their attempts. Utah is #31 nationally at that same category at an impressive 37.6%. Additionally, Utah is #203 and Stanford #260 nationally when it comes to 3-points percentage defense. Both teams are in the upper 30% in college basketball when it comes to offensive tempo. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys -7 | 48-32 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 30 m | Show | |
Packers @ Cowboys 4:30 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: Cowboys -7.0 Dallas is 8-0 at home this season while outscoring their opponents by an average of 23.5 points scored per game. The Packers enter the postseason on a 3-game win streak but none of those opponents they faced finished with a winning record. Their offense has steadily improved throughout the season to the point they were impressive down the final stretch of regular season action. Much of that success centered around quarterback Jordan Love who has quietly put together a stellar season which saw home throw for 32 touchdown passes against just 11 picks. However, this will be his first career postseason start and, on the road, no less against a Dallas defense that finished regular season action #5 in yards and points allowed per game. Furthermore, Dallas’ offense finished 1st in scoring at 29.9 points scored per game and #5 in total yards at 371.6 yards per game. Throughout the previous 3 seasons, Dallas has gone an outstanding 12-5 ATS as a home favorite of between 3.5 to 9.5 and outscored their opponents by a substantial margin of 15.4 points per game. |
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01-13-24 | Portland v. San Francisco -16.5 | 69-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Portland @ San Francisco 10:00 PM ET Game# 767-798 Play On: San Francisco -16.5 Portland isn’t a good team whatsoever. They rank #248 in offensive efficiency and #292 defensively. Portland has suffered 5 losses this season that KenPom has ranked #220 or worse and were defeated by a sizable average of 9.0 points per game. Additionally, Portland hasn’t registered a win this season versus any team that ranks in KenPom’s Top 160. On the other hand, San Francisco has gone a perfect 8-0 at home this season with an enormous average victory margin of 30.4 points per game. The Dons will also enter tonight on an overall 5-game win streak in which they outscored their opponents by 26.8 points per contest. Give me Portland minus points. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | Top | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 24 h 51 m | Show |
Dolphins @ Chiefs 8:15 PM ET Game# 143-144 Play On: Chiefs -4.5 Miami enters the postseason mentally deflated. They lost their last 2 games of regular season action which included last Sunday night’s home loss to Buffalo that dropped them from a #2 to #6 seed. Putting things into perspective, they blew a 3.0 game lead over Buffalo in the last 5 games of the season and choked away a chance to end Buffalo’s 3-year reign as AFC East Division champions. It’s also well documented the recent struggle that Miami has endured when playing teams with a winning record since early last season. To make matters worse, they’ll be facing a Kansas City team which is 8-1 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last 9 postseason home games and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS as a favorite of 6.5 or less. NFL postseason home favorites of 5.0 or less with a win percentage of .625 or better versus an opponent coming off 2 consecutive losses, resulted in those home favorites going 7-0 SU&ATS since 1996. The average margin of victory in those 7 contests came by an average of 18.9 points per game. Give me the Chiefs minus points. |
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01-13-24 | Temple v. North Texas -11 | Top | 51-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Temple @ North Texas 6:00 PM ET Game# 739-740 Play On: North Texas -11.0 Temple started the season 3-0 and has gone 5-8 since. Those struggles have occurred despite playing against a strength of schedule that ranks #217 according to KenPom. The Owls have also suffered bad losses at the hands of #235 Columbia, #262 Old Domion, #176 East Carolina, and #147 South Florida. On the other hand, North Texas is 7-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 20.0 points per game. The Mean Green is a very frustrating team to play against since they plat at one of the slowest offensive paces in the country and are an excellent defensive team as well. Give me North Texas minus points. |
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01-13-24 | Browns v. Texans +2.5 | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
Browns @ Texans 4:30 PM ET Game# 141-142 Play On: Texans +2.5 The Browns are getting a lot of love as a Super Bowl sleeper pick out of the AFC. However, getting by Houston on the road will be no easy task despite them currently being a small favorite in the contest. Here’s the thing, Houston has committed just 14 turnovers this season. Conversely, Cleveland has managed to go 11-6 this season despite an alarmingly high 37 turnovers committed. That 37-14 disparity is the largest ever for an NFL postseason game. Let alone, the team that’s -23 is a road favorite. Additionally, Houston is 6-1 SU in their last 7 at home when C.J. Stroud is their starting quarterback. Stroud is a stone-cold lock for NFL Rookie of the Year while throwing 23 touchdowns versus just 5 interceptions in his 15 starts. Compare that to his counterpart Joe Flacco who has thrown 8 picks in just 5 starts. Cleveland’s overall defensive numbers are extremely good. But they’re magnificent at home and average at best on the road where they’re allowing 29.6 points per game. Since 1980, NFL Playoff home underdogs have gone 31-16 ATS including 10-0 ATS and 8-2 SU when they were a dog of 2.0 or less. Give me the Texans plus points. |
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01-13-24 | Fordham v. St Bonaventure -10 | 80-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Fordham @ Saint Bonaventure 2:30 PM ET Game# 663-664 Play On: St. Bonaventure -10.0 Fordham has an uninspiring 7-8 record this season while facing a soft strength of schedule that ranks #333 nationally. They’ve also sustained bad losses to #217 Abilene Christian, #260 Central Connecticut State, and #331 NJIT. They also among the nation’s worst in free throws allowed. Conversely, St. Bonaventure ranks 19th nationally in free throw percentage while making 77.5%. The Bonnies are also a very good 3-points shooting team ranking #34 in that category. Give me St. Bonaventure minus points. |
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01-13-24 | Davidson v. George Washington -120 | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Davidson @ George Washington 2:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: George Washington -120 (ML) Davidson is 1-2 in true road games while losing to East Tennessee State (#204-KenPom ranking) and by 34 at St. Mary’s. Davidson is also coming off a pair of home losses in their last 2 games played including falling to Rhode Island (#188-KenPom ranking). George Washington is 9-1 SU at home this season with their only loss occurring 2 games ago in a triple overtime thriller vs. Fordham. However, they rebounded nicely in their last game with a solid road win over VCU. GW ranks 20th nationally in 3-point offensive shooting percentage at 38.2%. Give me George Washington on the money line. |
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01-13-24 | Xavier v. Providence -150 | 85-65 | Loss | -150 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Xavier @ Providence 2:00 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: Providence -150 (ML) Xavier has lost 3 of their last 4 and 6 of the previous 9. They are 0-3 SU in true road games as well. Providence is 10-1 SU at home and is ranked 6th nationally in defensive efficiency. Give me Providence minus points. |
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01-13-24 | Northwestern +7.5 v. Wisconsin | 63-71 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Northwestern @ Wisconsin 8:10 PM ET Game# 607-608 Play On: Northwestern +7.5 Wisconsin is an excellent team and well deserving of their ranking. But, Northwestern is more than capable of holding their own in this matchup if not pull an outright upset. However, I won’t get greedy and will take the generous number of points given to me. Northwestern already has quality wins this season over Dayton, Purdue, and Michigan State. The Wildcats are also 2-1 in true road games. They say the ability to make 3-point shots is the great equalizer for a college basketball underdog. This is certainly one of those situations I subscribe to that theory. Northwestern is #29 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.7%. Conversely, Wisconsin is #280 nationally in 3-point defensive shooting percentage. Give me Northwestern plus points. |
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01-12-24 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -8 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Pelicans @ Nuggets 10:10 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Nuggets -8.0 This line jumped right off the board at me. Granted the Nuggets are the defeding world champions. However, New Orleans has gone 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 road games. They’re begging to take the underdog in this spot but I’m not taking the bait and will go the opposite way. It must be noted, New Orleans has listed 4 of their top 5 scorers as questionable in this contest and those 4 players average a combined 77.2 points scored per game. Denver is coming off a disappointing 124-111 loss at Utah. Nevertheless, Denver is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 immediately after a loss and they won by an average of 17.0 points per game. Give me Denver minus the points. |
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01-12-24 | Warriors v. Bulls -150 | 140-131 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Warriors @ Bulls 8:10 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Bulls -150 Golden State has gone a dismal 1-8 SU in their last 9 on the road and their only win came against a 10-27 Portland team. The Warriors are also 2-6 in their last 8 overall. Chicago enters tonight on a 3-game win streak. The Bulls are also 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 as a home favorite with an average victory margin of 10.3 points per game. Give me the Bulls minus points. |
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01-12-24 | Kings v. 76ers OVER 241 | 93-112 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Kings @ 76ers 7:40 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Over 241.0 The Kings are averaging 118.2 points per game. That’s significant since Philadelphia has played 10-1 to the over this season versus opponents who average of 116.0 points or more per contest and there was a combined 245.8 points scored per game. The 76ers are #6 in the NBA when it comes to points scored per game at 119.9. The Kings love playing fast and especially recently where they’ve had 91 or more field goal attempts in 6 of their last 7. Speaking of points scored per game, Sacramento averages 118.2 per contest. The Kings have shot a sizzling hot 52.1% throughout their previous 5 away games. They’ll be facing a Philadelphia team that’s allowing 129.0 points per game while their opponents shot a combined 50.6% over their last 3 outings. Give me this game to go over the total. |