Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-12-21 | Lakers v. Rockets UNDER 222.5 | 117-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Lakers @ Rockets 8:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Under 222.5 (5*) The Lakers are 5-0 to the under on the road this season and there was a combined average of 210.0 points scored per game. The Rockets are 4-0-1 to the under in their previous 5 and there was a combined average of 214.8 points scored per game. The Lakers have defeated Houston in each of the previous 5 games they have played them. Furthermore, during the last 4 encounters, the Lakers have held Houston to 102 points or less. Houston is averaging 85 field goal attempts per game which equates to a moderately slow tempo by current NBA standards. These teams just played in Houston on Sunday and the Lakers walked away with a decisive 120-102 win. The Lakers are 7-0 to the under this season following a win, and there was a combined average of 212.7 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-12-21 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Nets | 116-122 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Nuggets @ Nets 7:35 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: Nuggets +1.5 (5*) The Nets are just 4-4 at home this season and will once again be without the services of their star guard Kyrie Irving. Conversely, Denver is 3-0 SU&ATS during their previous 3 on the road and they won by a sizable margin of 17.3 points per game. Denver is coming off a 114-89 blowout win over New York at Madison Square this past Sunday. The Brooklyn Nets have scored 110 points or greater in each of their previous 5 games. This sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting angle with an ample sample size and which has withstood the test of time. Any NBA road team with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 that is coming off a win by 20 points or more, versus an opponent that has scored 105 points or greater in each of their previous 4 games, resulted in those road teams going 23-4 SU&ATS (85.2%) since 1996. Bet on the Nuggets for a 5* wager. |
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01-12-21 | Wisconsin v. Michigan -3.5 | Top | 54-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Michigan 7:00 PM ET Game# 615-616 Play On: Michigan -3.5 (10*) Michigan is a perfect 10-0 and that includes 5-0 in Big 10 Action. They covered in 4 of those 5 conference wins and had a decisive victory margin of 14.0 points per contest. As a matter of fact, 9 of 10 wins recorded by Michigan this season have come by 10 points or more, and they shot 50% or better in 7 of those 10 games. Michigan is coming off an 84-59 home blowout win over Minnesota in their previous game. The Wolverines are 7-0 SU&ATS at home since the 2018-2019 season following a conference win by 10 points or more, and they won by a substantial average of 17.7 points per game. The #9 Wisconsin Badgers are a solid team. However, they are just 1-1 in true road games, and their loss came as a 4.5-point favorite versus an average at best Marquette team. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 24-52 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Ohio State vs. Alabama 8:00 PM ET Game# 499-500 Play On: Ohio State +9.0 (10*) The Buckeyes will continue to play with a chip on their shoulders tonight after being heavily criticized for making the College Football Playoff despite playing only 6 games at the time. Ohio State is one of the few and maybe even the only team in the country that can match Alabama’s offensive explosiveness. The Buckeyes defense has given up its share of yards this season, but they have also forced an eye-popping 18 turnovers in just 7 games. Ohio State has racked 254 yards or more rushing in each of its last 4 games. The Buckeyes have outrushed their opponents this season by a substantial 184 yards per game. This qualifies by a high percentage college football betting angle which is shown below. Any neutral field underdog that has rushed for 225 yards or more in each of their last 3 games, and they’re outrushing their opponents on the season by 100 or more yards per contest, resulted in those underdogs going an extremely profitable 30-7 ATS (81.1%) since 1992. The average point-spread in those 37 games was 7.1, and the underdog also won 18 of those 37 games straight up. This precise betting angle came up in the previous game for Ohio State and they came away with a 49-28 blowout win over Clemson as a 7.5-point underdog. Bet on Ohio State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State v. Alabama OVER 74 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Ohio State vs. Alabama 8:00 PM ET Game# 499-500 Play On: Over 74.0 (5*) The total is this high for good reason. Alabama (12-0) has averaged 48.2 points score and 535.0 yards gained per game this season. The Crimson Tide has 2 totals this year of 74.0 or greater and both easily went over the number0. Those pair of contests resulted in wins of 63-48 versus Ole Miss and 52-46 against Florida. The Buckeyes (7-0) are 4-0-2 to the over this season when there’s been a total of 59.5 or greater. Ohio State has racked up an enormous 491 yards or more of total offense in each of their 7 games this season. Any college football team (Ohio State) with a total of 70.0 or greater that’s playing after game 7 of the season, and both defensive units in the contest are allowing 330 to 390 total yards per game, resulted in those games going 31-7 (81.6%) over the total since 1992. The average total in those 38 contests was 73.2 and there were a combined 85.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-11-21 | Grizzlies v. Cavs UNDER 206.5 | 101-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Cleveland 7:05 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Under 206.5 (5*) This is a low total by modern-day NBA betting standards. However, it’s for good reason. Both teams have been terrific defensively over each of their previous 5 contests. During that stretch, each team is surrendering less than 100 points per game. The Cavaliers have also strolled offensively during that span while averaging a wee 91.4 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, Cleveland has gone under in all of their previous 8 contests and there was just a combined 194.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-11-21 | Knicks v. Hornets UNDER 212 | 88-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
New York @ Charlotte 7:05 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Under 212.0 (5*) Charlotte has seen all 4 of their home games stay under the total this season. Those 4 contests stayed under by an average of 11.2 points per game. Conversely, New York is gone under in each of their previous 7 games. The Knicks allowed a mere 98.1 points per game during that low scoring stretch. Obviously, the addition of new Knicks head coach and defensive guru Tom Thibodeau has had an impact. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-10-21 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 47 | 48-37 | Win | 100 | 51 h 49 m | Show | |
Browns @ Steelers 8:15 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Over 47.0 (5*) The vaunted Steelers defense hasn’t been very good against the run of late. Specifically, over throughout their previous 3 games, Pittsburgh has allowed their opponents to rush for 157 yards per contest. Conversely, Cleveland is one of the best offensive rushing teams in football led by their dynamic duo of backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. It will also open things up to have a successful play action passing game for the Browns. Pittsburgh has become a pass happy team this season. That is mostly due to them not having any semblance of a running game. The Steelers have rushed for 86 yards or less in 9 of their last 10 games, and the only exception was just 106 yards versus 1-15 Jacksonville. We must also keep in mind, these teams met in the final week of the regular season, and Cleveland escaped with a 26-24 win over Pittsburgh backup players. One of those starters sitting out was Steelers starting quarterback Ben Rothliesberger. Even without “Big Ben”, Pittsburgh still racked up 394 yards of total offense which included 309 through the air. Pittsburgh is 12-5 to the over in their last 17 at home when there been a total of 41.0 to 49.5. That includes 7-1 to the over is they were a favorite of between 4.0 and 10.0-points. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-10-21 | Bears +10.5 v. Saints | 9-21 | Loss | -118 | 47 h 17 m | Show | |
Bears @ Saints 4:40 PM ET Game# 149-150 Play On: Bears +10.5 (5*) I know the Bears backed their way into the playoffs, but I do like the vast improvement they have shown offensively down the final stretch of regular season action. Chicago will also be out to atone for a narrow 26-23 home loss to New Orleans back on 11/1. The Bears did mange to cover that game as a 5.0-point underdog. Since 2018, New Orleans is a dismal 0-4 ATS in 4 home playoff games. The Saints were laying an average of 6.3 points in those postseason home tilts and lost 2 of those straight up. Additionally, since 2014, the Saints are a poor 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10.5 and they lost 4 of those contests straight up. Those results all came with current head coach Sean Peyton roaming the sidelines. I know I am in the minority with this choice but that’s just fine with me. Bet on the Bears plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-10-21 | Ravens v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -117 | 44 h 42 m | Show |
Ravens @ Titans 1:05 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: Titans +3.5 (10*) I hear a lot of talking heads giving a lot of love to Baltimore. One team that surely isn’t buying it is the Tennessee Titans. Tennessee has beaten Baltimore in both of their meetings since last season and did so as an underdog on each occasion. During last year’s Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs the Titans knocked off Baltimore 28-12 as a 10.0-point road underdog. That was a Ravens team that entered the playoffs on a 12-game win streak, and they were favorite to win the Super Bowl. Then earlier this season, Tennessee turned the trick again by winning at Baltimore 30-24 as a 6.0-point underdog. There was a constant theme in those 2 victories. Tennessee and namely Derek Henry gashed the Baltimore defense on the ground for a combined 390 yards and 5.5 yards per rushing attempt. The Ravens stop unit will once again be hard pressed to stop Henry who rushed for over 2000 yards this season. They will also be challenged by an improved Titans passing game. Since 1980, NFL Playoff home underdogs of 3.5 or less (Titans) that have a win percentage of .687 or better, and they are facing a non-division opponent with a win percentage of .764 or worse, resulted in those postseason home dogs going a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 7 contests came by a decisive 16.7 points per game. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team +8 | 31-23 | Push | 0 | 28 h 32 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Washington 8:15 PM ET Game# 145-146 Play On: Washington +8.0 (5*) Washington seemed to have won the NFC East by default with a 7-9 record and the current point-spread is reflective of such. Washington clinched the division with a 20-14 win at Philadelphia in their regular season finale. Since 2018, Washington is 6-0 ATS following a win by 6 points or fewer. The Washington defense has allowed 20 points or fewer in each of their previous 7 games and will be good enough to keep this game competitive throughout. Furthermore, Ron Rivera is a playoff tested head coach who led Carolina to the Super Bowl not too long ago. The betting public has been huge supporters of Tom Brady and the 11-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs were 5-5-1 ATS in their first 11 games but went 4-1 ATS during its last 5. As a matter of fact, Tampa Bay closed its regular season slate with 4 straight wins and scored 44 and 47 points during their final 2 outings. So, I don’t see the public being scared of laying a substantial number on the road even if it’s during postseason action. As most of you already know, I have no issues going against majority betting numbers when I like the other side. Home underdogs in the NFL Playoffs have been extremely profitable throughout the previous 41 seasons. Since 1980, home underdogs in the NFL Playoffs have gone an outstanding 28-14 ATS and won 24 of those 42 contests straight up. If those postseason home teams were an underdog of 4.5 or greater, they improved to a perfect 5-0 ATS, and they even won straight up 3 times. Tampa Bay has piled up 484 and 588 yards of total offense in their last 2 games. The Bucs also average a lofty 6.2 yards per offensive play. Any NFL home underdog (Washington) that is facing an opponent that has gained 450 yards or more in each of their previous 2 games, and they (Tampa Bay) average 5.5 or more yards per offensive play, resulted in those home underdogs going 35-10 ATS (77.8%) since 1983. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-09-21 | USC -2.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
USC @ Arizona State 7:00 PM ET Game# 751-752 Play On: USC -2.5 (10*) USC has shot the ball extremely well in their last 2 games which resulted in comfortable wins over Utah and at Arizona. The Trojans are one of the best defensive teams in the country while allowing just 62.5 points per game and limiting them to a mere 35.4% shooting from the field. There were high expectations to start the season for Arizona State. However, they’re 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games and lost by an average of 10.7 points per contest. Bet on USC minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks OVER 42 | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show |
Rams @ Seahawks 4:40 PM ET Game# 143-144 Play On: Over 42.0 (10*) The Rams are coming off a 18-7 home win over Arizona in their final regular season game. Los Angeles has seen each of its last 4 games go under the total. The last too stayed under by decisive margins of 19.0 and 15.5 points. Any NFL team (Rams) that is coming off each of their previous 2 games going under and both doing so by 15 points or more, resulted in those contests going 52-23 (69.3%) to the over since 2011. The average total in those 75 occurrences was 43.8 and there were a combined 50.1 points scored per game. Seattle is coming off a 26-23 win over San Francisco in a game they failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite. Since 2018, the Seahawks are 8-1 to the over following a win by 3 points or fewer, and that includes 3-0 to the over if that contest was played at home. Any NFL team (Seahawks) that is coming off a straight up win in which they did not cover, versus an opponent (Rams) coming off a home win, resulted in those games going 44-11 (80%) to the over since 1980. The average combined score in those 55 contests was 54.8. This exact situation has arisen 8 times already this season, and all those games went over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-08-21 | Clippers -5.5 v. Warriors | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
LA Clippers @ Golden State 10:05 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: LA Clippers -5.5 (5*) The Clippers have been a solid 4-1 SU&ATS on the road to start this season. That includes a 108-101 win at Golden State on Wednesday. During those 5 road tilts the Clippers shot a blazing hot 42.5% from beyond the 3-point line. The Clippers have gone a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 at Golden State. Bet on the Clippers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-08-21 | Raptors v. Kings +5 | 144-123 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Sacramento +5.0 (5*) Toronto has begun the season by going 0-4 SU&ATS on the road. Furthermore, the Raptors have gone 0-5 SU&ATS this season as a favorite of 7.5 or less. Conversely, Sacramento is 3-1 at home. Sometimes it is best not to overthink a picture that is crystal clear. Bet on Sacramento plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-08-21 | Jazz v. Bucks -5 | 131-118 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Utah @ Milwaukee 8:05 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Milwaukee -5.0 (5*) Milwaukee is 4-0 at home this season with an enormous victory margin of 23.5 points per game. During their previous 5 contests the Buck are averaging a robust 126.6 points scored per game while shooting 50.9% and that includes a sizzling hot 46.7 from 3-point range. Milwaukee has also gone 3-0 SU&ATS (+18.3 PPG) in their last 3 games and all were following a disappointing 2-3 start to the season. Conversely, during its previous 5 outings Utah has allowed their opponents to shoot 47.6% and make an alarmingly high 40.6% of its 3-point shot attempts. This will be Utah’s 3rd road game in 4 days. They lost those previous by 12 at New York and by 34 at Brooklyn. Bet on Milwaukee minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-07-21 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 223.5 | Top | 124-117 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
Dallas @ Denver 10:05 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Under 223.5 (10*) Dallas has seen 4 of their last 5 stay under the total and there was only a combined 205.8 points scored per game. During that stretch the Nuggets allowed a mere 98.4 points per game. This will be the first meeting of the season between these teams. They faced each other 3 times a season ago and all went under the total with a combined score of 212.7 points scored per contest. Denver is coming off a 123-116 division win over Minnesota. Dallas is coming off a 113-100 win at Houston. The combination of these two results qualifies for a very profitable NBA totals betting angle displayed below. Any NBA home team that is coming off a division win, and they are facing an opponent coming off a road win by 10 points or more, resulted in those games going 83-41 (66.9%) to the under since 1996. The average combined score in those 124 contests was 208.2 points per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-07-21 | Illinois v. Northwestern +6.5 | 81-56 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Illinois @ Northwestern 9:00 PM ET Game# 757-758 Play On: Northwestern +6.5 (5*) Illinois is coming off home wins and covers in their previous 2 games. The Illini head coach Brad Underwood has done a terrific job in building Illinois into a Top 25 program. Nevertheless, under Underwood’s current tenure, Illinois has gone a dismal 14-32 ATS mark following an ATS cover. Northwestern is coming off back-to-back losses, but both those contests came on the road. The Wildcats upset both Ohio State and Michigan State during their previous 2 games at home. This appears to be one of the better and talented Northwestern teams we have witnessed in recent years. The home team in this matchup has sneaky good underdog betting value. Bet on Northwestern plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-07-21 | USC v. Arizona UNDER 139 | 87-73 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
USC @ Arizona 9:00 PM ET Game# 755-756 Play On: Under 139.0 (5*) USC has been ridiculously good on the defensive side of things over their previous 5 games. During that span, they’ve held their opponents to 59.6 points scored per game and limited them to just 35.2% shooting which includes 24.2% from 3-point land. The Trojans have gone under in both contests played against conference opponents and there was only a combined 122.6 points scored per game. Arizona has been explosive offensively in some games thus far. Nonetheless, they did so by their above average offensive pace, and an inept ability to get to the free throw line with a high degree of regularity. The latter might be difficult to attain against a USC team that allows only 16 free throws per game against them, and that includes a wee 12 per contest in conference play. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-07-21 | Indiana v. Wisconsin -8.5 | 73-80 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Wisconsin 7:00 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Wisconsin -8.5 (5*) Indiana’s strong suit to start this season was their defensive prowess. However, that part of their game has tailed off a bit during its last 5 games. Since Archie Miller has taken over as head coach of Indiana, the Hoosiers are a miserable 2-10 ATS as an underdog of 6.5 to 12.0-points. Wisconsin has owned an extremely strong home court advantage over the past 2 decades or so. This year is no different despite having little to no fans in attendance. The Badgers are 8-1 in Madison this year and have outscored opponents by an average of 18.4 points per game. Wisconsin has shot the ball extremely well over their last 5 games by making 48.2% of its field goal attempts and that includes a terrific 43.4% from 3-point range. Bet on Wisconsin minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-06-21 | Jazz v. Knicks UNDER 215 | 100-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Utah @ New York 7:35 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Under 215.0 (5*) Don’t look now but the Knicks have won 4 of their last 5. During that successful stretch, they have played excellent defense while allowing just 101.2 points per game and their opponents converted a mere 29.6% of its 3-point attempts. Additionally, New York has gone under in each of their previous 4 contests and there was a combined average of only 198.3 points scored per game. The Knicks are coming off a 5-point win at Atlanta in their previous outing and did so as a sizable 7.0-point underdog. Since the beginning of the 2018-2019 NBA season, New York has gone 21-6 to the under following a straight up underdog win in their previous outing. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-06-21 | Wizards v. 76ers -6.5 | 136-141 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Washington @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Philadelphia -6.5 (5*) Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has been sensational at home by going 33-2 straight up and that includes a profitable 23-12 (65%) ATS. As a matter of fact, they have reeled off 19 consecutive home wins and went a huge money making 15-4 ATS while doing so. They are 4-0 this season at home and covered 3 of those 4. Their lone non-cover came in their season opener when they ironically enough faced Washington, won by 6, and barely failed to cash in as a 7.0-point chalk. Washington is a terrible defensive team that is allowing 120.3 points per game and has allowed their opponents to shoot an alarmingly high 48.1%. The Wizards have gone 0-8 in their last 8 trips to Philadelphia and failed to cover in 6 of those contests. Their only 2 covers in those contests came by only a combined 1.5 points. Bet on Philadelphia minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-06-21 | Rockets v. Pacers -2 | 107-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Houston @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Indiana -2.0 (5*) Houston (2-3) appears to me as a talented team with little chemistry to speak of. On the other hand, Indiana isn’t the most talented team in the NBA by any means. Nevertheless, they play well together and are very disciplined. Despite their recent rebounding woes, the Pacers will be facing a Houston team that is -8 per game in that department. Indiana averages 114.9 points scored per game and is shooting a solid 49.3%. Indiana has been hammered on the boards in their last 2 games as they were outrebounded by 23 and 20. However, this sets up an extremely favorable NBA ATS betting angle that supports teams like Indiana in this exact situation. Any NBA home team coming off 2 consecutive games in which they were a -15 or worse rebound differential on each occasion, resulted in those teams going 23-5 (82.1%) straight up since 2016. Considering the small number were being asked to cover, this straight up betting angle takes on added significance. Bet on the Pacers minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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01-05-21 | Missouri v. Mississippi State OVER 134 | 63-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Missouri @ Mississippi State 9:00 PM ET Game# 637-638 Play On: Over 134.0 (5*) During their previous 5 games played, Mississippi State is averaging a robust 81.2 points scored and 66 field goal attempts per contest. Furthermore, in that identical stretch they shot a stellar 49.2% and made an excellent 39.8% of its 3-point attempts. Since the start of last season, Mississippi State has gone 15-5 (75%) to the over in SEC games and there was a combined average of 146.1 points scored per contest. Missouri has struggled offensively at home but not in away or neutral site games. They have gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in those games not played in Columbia, Missouri while averaging 78.7 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-05-21 | Iowa State +13 v. Texas | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Texas 8:00 PM ET Game# 625-626 Play On: Iowa State +13.0 (5*) Texas is coming off an extremely impressive 84-59 win at #6 Kansas. After tonight, their next opponent is #13 West Virginia. Sandwiched between those games against highly ranked teams is a date with 2-5 Iowa State. This looks to be a textbook flat spot for the #4 Longhorns. Although Iowa State is off to a bad start, they have covered as double-digit underdogs in the last 2 times they’ve been in that situation. They lost to #13 West Virginia by 5 as a 14.5-point road underdog. They also covered as a 15.5-point road underdog versus #2 Baylor. The Cyclones actually led Baylor in the 2nd half of that contest before a 13-0 Bears run derailed their bid for a huge upset. Bet on Iowa State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-05-21 | NC State v. Clemson OVER 136.5 | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
NC State @ Clemson 7:00 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: Over 136.5 (5*) Clemson is a good defensive team that is known for playing at a deliberate and methodical offensive pace. However, they have gone over the total in all 3 of their conference games this season. The Tigers will be facing a 6-1 (.857) NC State team. Since the start of the 2018-2019 season, Clemson has gone 14-5 to the over when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .800 or better. Speaking of NC State, unlike their opponent this evening they prefer to push the tempo as evidence by their 62 field goal attempts per game. They’ve also shot a solid 49.2% and made 37.1% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-04-21 | Knicks +7 v. Hawks | Top | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
New York @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: New York +7.0 (10*) Don’t look now but the Knicks have won 3 of their last 4 which includes 2 of 3 on this current road trip. The Knicks are beginning to take on the personality of their new head coach Tom Thibodeau who has a reputation of being a defensive guru. During the last 3 games, New York is holding their opponents to 96.0 points per game and 39.2% shooting. They are also +11.3 rebounds per game throughout that stretch. Atlanta is off to a surprisingly good 4-2 start to the season. However, they will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and 5th in 8 days. While the Knicks will be playing just their 2nd in 4 days. Bet on New York plus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
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01-03-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles UNDER 44 | Top | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 30 h 16 m | Show |
Washington @ Philadelphia 8:20 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 44.0 (10*) Washington has seen each of their previous 4 games go under the total and there was a combined 36.5 points scored per game. The Football Team won the first matchup versus the Eagles 27-17 at home. However, the points scored were a bit misleading since Washington was able to amass only 239 yards or total offense and Philadelphia just 265. The Eagles 3 turnovers in that contest heavily attributed to Washington’s scoring output. Philadelphia is coming off a humiliating 37-14 loss at Dallas in a game in which they were a 4.5-point favorite. Since 2018, Philadelphia is 17-7 to the under at home and that includes 4-0 if they are coming off a game versus a division opponent. Any NFL team playing in a division game and is coming off a straight up favorite loss by 15 points or more, resulted in those games going 15-0 to the under since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for my NFL 10* Total of the Year. |
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01-03-21 | Packers v. Bears +4.5 | 35-16 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
Green Bay @ Chicago 4:25 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Bears +4.5 (5*) Green Bay can clinch the NFC #1 seed and first round bye with a win. Conversely, Chicago needs a win to make the postseason. I am sure much will be made of the Packers dominance in winning 18 of the past 21 in this division series. However, since 2016, the Bears are 14-5-1 ATS and 9-11 straight up as a home underdog. That home underdog record improves to 4-0 SU&ATS during that identical time frame if Chicago was facing an opponent with a win percentage of .750 or better just like the 12-3 (.800) Packers currently are. Chicago has scored 30 points or more in each of their previous 4 games, and that marks the first time they have done so since 1965. The offensive surge seems to have coincided with the reinsertion of former Bears 1st round draft pick Mitchell Turbisky at quarterback. Green Bay does enter on a 5-game win streak. Nevertheless, Chicago is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 and won by a decisive margin of 19.7 points per game. |
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01-03-21 | Falcons +7 v. Bucs | 27-44 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Tampa Bay 1:00 PM ET Game# 119-120 Play On: Atlanta +7.0 (5*) Atlanta enters this contest on a 4-game losing streak. However, all 4 of those defeats came by 5 points or fewer. One of those losses occurred just 2 weeks ago and came at home against Tampa Bay. The Falcons squandered a 17-point lead in that contest and eventually lost 31-27 but did cover as a 5.5-point underdog. Since Bruce Arians took over as head coach in Tampa Bay last season, his Bucs have gone a dreadful 1-6-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7.0 or less and lost 5 of those 8 contests straight up. Just because a team like Tampa needs a win to secure the NFC #5 playoff seed which will assure them of facing the NFC East Champion, doesn’t mean they are a lock to cover as a sizable favorite. Atlanta is coming off a narrow 17-14 defeat at Kansas City last Sunday. Any NFL road pick or underdog that is coming off a road loss by 3 points or fewer, and they are playing in the final 2 weeks of regular season action, resulted in those teams going 17-0 ATS since 1997. Those teams also won 12 of those 17 contests straight up. Bet on Atlanta for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | North Carolina +7.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 27-41 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
North Carolina vs. Texas A&M 8:00 PM ET Game# 497-468 Play On: North Carolina +7.5 (10*) Whenever I get a winning team with an explosive offense as an underdog like North Carolina is in this contest it always prompts me to do further investigation. This situation qualifies in the regard. North Carolina is 8-3 and they averaged 43.0 points scored and 556.5 yards gained per game. They have also scored 41 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games which includes a regular season finale 62-26 win at nationally ranked Miami. I like to use the boxing analogy when it comes to these high scoring underdogs. I compare them to knockout artists in boxing, you are never out of it because you have a punchers chance. Texas A&M is 8-1, winners of 7 straight, and ranked #5 in the country. However, Aggies players and coaches alike were perplexed by being snubbed by the college football playoff committee. One school of thought is they will be out to make a statement in this matchup. In my experience, it’s quite the contrary, and college teams that have been snubbed in either football or basketball more times than not come out flatter than a pancake in their following game. This will be a textbook example of such. Bet on North Carolina plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-02-21 | Purdue v. Illinois -7 | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Purdue @ Illinois 6:00 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On: Illinois -7.0 (5*) Illinois is 7-3 and ranked #15 in the country for good reason. Their 3 losses have come at the hands of #1 Gonzaga, #12 Missouri, and #14 Rutgers. None of those defeats came on their home floor where they’ve gone a perfect 5-0 this season while winning by a massive average of 31.8 points per game. This is an experienced and extremely talented Illini team that swept Purdue a season ago in domination fashion while winning by 17 and 26 points. Bet on Illinois minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | Butler v. Seton Hall OVER 137.5 | 60-68 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Butler @ Seton Hall 4:30 PM ET Game# 697-698 Play On: Over 137.5 (5*) Butler has been terrible defensively this season in allowing opponents shoot 50.2% which includes 39.1% from 3-point territory. They will be facing a Seton Hall team that averages a robust 77.5 points scored per game. The Pirates are 3-0 to the over during their previous 3 games in which there was a combined 151.7 points scored per game. These teams met twice a season ago and both went over the total with 146 and 148 points scored. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | Oregon v. Iowa State -3.5 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 26 h 53 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. Iowa State 4:00 PM ET Game# 495-496 Play On: Iowa State -3.5 (5*) Oregon filled in for Washington (COVID issues) in the PAC-12 Title Game and upset then 5-0 USC. However, the Ducks were only able to amass 241 yards of total offense in that win and were beneficiaries of 3 USC turnovers. Oregon also sustained 2 bad losses this season to Cal as a 9.5-point favorite and Oregon State while being a 13.5-point chalk. Conversely, Iowa State is 8-3 and all 3 of their defeats came against current Top 25 teams. This has been a special year for Iowa State football. It was their first time winning a Big 12 regular season title and they debuted in the Conference Championship Game where they fell to Oklahoma 27-21. Furthermore, Saturday will be the first time that Iowa State has ever played a January bowl game. The Cyclones will be amped up and will cover. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma -1.5 | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
West Virginia @ Oklahoma 4:00 PM ET Game# 679-680 Play On: Oklahoma -1.5 (5*) This is a textbook trap play where the sportsbooks are enticing you to take the #9 ranked Mountaineers as an underdog over an unranked team like Oklahoma. As I stated on many occasions, trust the oddsmakers over those who vote in the national polls. Oklahoma is coming off a 2-point home loss to #13 Texas Tech but still managed to cover as a 4.5-point underdog. Oklahoma has been solid offensively this season while averaging 82.7 points per game while shooting a more than respectable 47.0% and they have converted on an excellent 78.5% of its free throws. The Sooners have also been disciplined defensively which is evidenced by their opponents only averaging 12 free throws per game when facing them. Conversely, West Virginia relies on their relentless in your face defensive style to produce turnovers and unnerve the opposition. The strongest offensive asset and a Bob Huggins coached team trademark is their ability to rebound their own missed shots which creates a plethora of 2nd chance opportunities and wears opponents down. Otherwise, they aren’t a good shooting team and if you can keep them off the offensive glass it exploits their offensive weaknesses. Bet on Oklahoma for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | Ole Miss v. Indiana OVER 65 | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
Ole Miss vs. Indiana 12:30 PM ET Game# 493-494 Play On: Over 65.0 (5*) The good news for Ole Miss is they average 40 points scored per game. The bad news is they also allow 40 points per contest. Ole Miss has gone 3-0 to the over this season when there’s been a total of less than 70.0 and those contests averaged a combined 81.3 points scored per game. Conversely, Indiana has gone 4-1 to the over this season when there was a total of 53.0 or greater. To say that Ole Miss plays at a lightning quick pace is an understatement since they average 79 offensive plays per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | Kentucky -2.5 v. NC State | 23-21 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
NC State vs. Kentucky 12:00 PM ET Game# 491-492 Play On: Kentucky -2.5 (5*) We have a Kentucky team which is 4-6 as a favorite over #23 ranked NC State who enters this bowl matchup with an 8-3 record and winners of their last 4. The line doesn’t make sense and when that occurs, I side with the oddsmakers. Case in point with my winner yesterday on Mississippi State with a losing record defeating Tulsa with a winning mark 28-26. Bet on Kentucky plus the points. Bet on Kentucky plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State +7.5 v. Clemson | Top | 49-28 | Win | 100 | 30 h 57 m | Show |
Ohio State vs. Clemson 8:00 PM ET Game# 333-334 Play On: Ohio State +7.5 (10*) For starters, Clemson head coach Dabo Sweeney gave the Ohio State locker room plenty of motivational press clippings after voicing his displeasure on Ohio State being included in the 4-team playoff field despite playing only 6 games. The Buckeyes will also be playing with big time revenge stemming from last season college football playoff loss to Clemson 29-23. Ohio State squandered a 16-0 lead in that contest and lost despite having an edge in total yards of 516-417. Ohio State also held almost a 7-minute edge in time of possession advantage and current quarterback Justin Fields outplayed highly prized Clemson signal caller Trevor Lawrence. Ohio State is allowing 97 yards rushing per game this season. Conversely, Clemson is averaging 164 yards rushing per contest. These rushing stats leads us to an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football neutral field non-conference underdog (Ohio State) that allows 100 or less rushing yards per game and is facing an opponent (Clemson) that averages between 140 to 190 yards rushing per game, resulted in those underdogs going 22-11 (66.7%) straight up since 1992. Since this straight up betting angle supports the underdog in this matchup it takes on added relevance. Bet on Ohio State plus the points for my “College Football Game of the Year”. |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame v. Alabama UNDER 66 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. Alabama 4:00 PM ET Game# 331-332 Play On: Under 66.0 (5*) Notre Dame has gone under the total in all 4 of their games this season when there’s been a total of 57.0 or greater. Those 4 contests had an average total of 62.3 and there was only a combined 38.8 points scored per game. Alabama has gone 4-1 to the under in their last 5 games this season that had a total of 64.0 or more. Notre Dame is averaging 218 yards rushing per game this season. Conversely, the Alabama defense has yielded only 108 yards per game rushing on the season. This leads us to an extremely profitable college football totals betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football team playing in a non-conference game that has a total of 63.0 or greater, and they average between 190 to 230 yards rushing per game, versus an opponent (Alabama) who surrenders between 100 to 140 rushing yards per contest, resulted in those games going 33-10 (76.7%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 43 games was 68.1 and there were a combined 60.0 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-21 | Cincinnati +7.5 v. Georgia | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 60 m | Show | |
Cincinnati vs. Georgia 8:00 PM ET Game# 327-328 Play On: Cincinnati +7.5 (5*) Undefeated Cincinnati is the Group of 5 representative for the New Year’s 6 Bowl Games. Like those that came before them, the Bearcats will be a more motivated team than their SEC adversary. The Bearcats want to prove that their unblemished record is no fluke and what better way to do so than against one of the huge brands in college football. Additionally, Cincinnati has been one of the better defensive teams in all of college football while allowing just 16.0 points and 314.4 yards per game. Georgia has gone 7-2 this season but they only earned 1 win over a team that currently has a winning record and that was Auburn (6-4) way back on 10/3. Their only other games versus teams that currently have a winning record were against Florida and Alabama. They not only lost and failed to cover both games but were outscored 85-52 while doing so. Bet on Cincinnati plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-20 | Utah v. UCLA -7 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Utah @ UCLA 7:00 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: UCLA -7.0 (10*) This is a veteran UCLA team that returned all 5 starters from a season ago. Their only 2 losses this season came versus #25 Ohio State 77-70 at a neutral site and at San Diego State in its season opener. The Bruins are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS on their home floor this season and won by an average of 20.5 points per game. UCLA will have a huge rebounding edge in this contest based on the fact they are +7 per game in that department while Utah is at a -6. This will be just the 2nd road game of the season for Utah. In their only other away contest, they were blown out 82-64 at BYU. Bet on UCLA minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-31-20 | West Virginia v. Army +7 | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 24 h 51 m | Show | |
Army vs. West Virginia 4:00 PM ET Game# 211-212 Play On: Army +7.0 (5*) Let me start by saying that I am fully aware of West Virginia having play a much more difficult schedule this season in comparison to Army. However, the Mountaineers were originally slate to play Tennessee in this bowl game, but the Volunteers had to pull out due to COVID issues. Now they are playing a service academy instead of an SEC opponent. I can’t help but think that the Mountaineers are surely disappointed in that regard and it will have a direct affect on their emotional state headed into this matchup. Furthermore, West Virginia was a perfect 5-0 in Morgantown this season but a dismal 0-4 when playing anywhere else. They averaged just a tad over 14 points scored per game in those 4 losses. Army is 9-2 with 1 of their losses coming at #6 Cincinnati 24-10. The Black Knights have allowed only 14.0 points and 271.1 yards per game this season. Additionally, West Virginia goes from playing all the pass happy offenses in the Big 12 to facing a highly efficient triple option rushing attack and having to prepare for that element on short notice. West Virginia closed their regular season with a 42-6 blowout loss at Iowa State. Conversely Army defeated Navy 15-0 and Air Force 10-7 in their final 2 regular season games. This sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle shown below. Any college football team (Army) that allowed 17 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games and is facing an opponent (West Virginia) that scored 6 points or less during its last contest, resulted in those teams going 43-4 (91.5%) straight up since 2011. Since this straight up betting angle supports the underdog in this game it takes on added betting value. Bet on Army plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-20 | Ball State +10 v. San Jose State | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
Ball State vs. San Jose State 2:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Ball State +10.0 (5*) These two teams ended up being surprise conference champions. San Jose State has gone 7-0 and that includes 6-0-1 ATS. However, they were an underdog in 4 of those 7 conference games and a short 2.5-point favorite in another. Ball State reeled off 6 straight wins after a season opening loss versus Miami-Ohio. The last of those wins came over Buffalo (6-1) in the MAC Championship Game and they did so as a 12.0-point underdog. As a matter of fact, the Cardinals also pulled off a double-digit underdog upset win at Toledo as well. So, they are very much comfortable in this sizable underdog role. Bet on Ball State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-20 | Mississippi State +1.5 v. Tulsa | 28-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
Mississippi State vs. Tulsa 12:00 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Mississippi State +1.5 (5*) Mark this down in the point-spread that doesn’t make sense category. We have the #24 team in the country Tulsa (6-2) as just a 1.5-point favorite against a 3-7 Mississippi State team. Furthermore, the only 2 Tulsa losses came at the hands of #6 Cincinnati (10-0) by 3 in the AAC Championship Game and at #21 Oklahoma State (8-3). When it looks this easy in sports betting it very rarely is. This looks to be another prime example of such. Bet on Mississippi State for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-20 | Tennessee -4 v. Missouri | 73-53 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Missouri 9:00 PM ET Game# 705-706 Play On: Tennessee -4.0 (5*) Missouri is coming off home wins over Illinois 81-78 and Bradley 54-53 in their last 2 games played. Conversely, Tennessee is coming off home wins over USC-Upstate 80-60 and against St. Joseph’s 102-66 during its previous 2 contests. This sets up a highly profitable college basketball betting angle displayed below. Any college basketball favorite that is coming off home wins by 10 points or more in each of its previous 2 games and is facing an opponents coming off home wins by 5 points or fewer in their previous 2 games, resulted in those favorites going 43-12 ATS (78.2%). Those favorites were also 51-4 straight up in those games and outscored their opponents by an average of 14.1 points per contest. Bet on Tennessee minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-20 | Lakers v. Spurs +6 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Lakers @ Spurs 8:35 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Spurs +6.0 (10*) The Spurs are 2-1 so far but they have covered each of those 3 contests. San Antonio will be playing on 2 days rest. The rest factor is significant since this will be the Lakers 3rd game in 4 days and 4th game in 6 days. The Lakers will be playing their first road game of the season. They opened their 2020-2021 campaign with 4 consecutive home games and came away with just a 2-2 split. Bet on the Spurs plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-30-20 | Arkansas v. Auburn OVER 147 | 97-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ Auburn 7:00 PM ET Game# 677-678 Play On: Over 147.0 (5*) Since the start of last season, Arkansas has gone 17-2 to the over in Southeast Conference action and those 19 contests produced a combined 154.1 points scored per game. The Razorbacks have also gone over in each of their last 3 while there was a a combined average of 165.0 points scored per game. Auburn has been red-hot offensively over its last 5 games while averaging 77.6 points scored per outing and the Tigers shot and excellent 50% during that stretch. Auburn has scored 79 points or more in each of their last 4 games against Arkansas. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-20 | Richmond v. Davidson | 80-74 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Richmond @ Davidson 7:00 PM ET Game# 683-684 Play On: Davidson (Pick) (5*) When it’s all said and done, each team figures to beat near the top of the Atlantic 10 standings. Davidson is just 5-3 at this point. However, one of their losses was by 2 to #8 Texas and another by a narrow 1-point margin versus a formidable Rhode Island Rams team. Davidson is the significantly better rebounding and defensive team in this matchup. Case in point, Richmond has allowed their opponents to shoot an alarmingly high 49.5% throughout their previous 5 games. Bet on Davidson for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-20 | Colorado v. Texas OVER 64 | Top | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Texas @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET Game# 297-298 Play On: Over 64.0 (10*) This Texas team has seen all 4 of its games not played on their home field go over the total. Those 4 contests averaged a massive 97.8 points combined being scored par game. The Longhorns offense has averaged an enormous 41.3 points scored and 457.3 yards gained per game this season. Colorado is averaging a tad above 29 points scored per game. The Buffaloes defense has been good at times but has been torched on more than one occasion as well. Colorado has allowed 32 points or more in 3 of 5 games played during this COVID-19 shortened season. Texas is outgaining their opponents by an average of 47.6 yards per game this season. Conversely, Colorado has outgained their 5 opponents by an average of 44.2 yards per game. This sets up an extremely profitable college football totals betting angle displayed below. Any neutral field non-conference game with a total of 63.5 to 70.0 that involves teams that both have a +50 to -50 yards per game differential, resulted in those contests going 26-4 (86.7%) to the over since 1992. The average total in those 30 contests was 66.1 and there was a combined 79.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-29-20 | Northwestern v. Iowa -11 | 72-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Northwestern @ Iowa 9:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: Iowa -11.0 (5*) A higher percentage of money and individual bets have come in on Northwestern plus the points thus far. It comes as no surprise to me considering Northwestern has begun its Big 10 slate by going a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS, and they were an underdog on each of those occasions. Conversely, after starting 6-0 Iowa has lost 2 of their last 3 games. However, those defeats came against #1 Gonzaga (7-0) and #21 Minnesota (8-1). The sportsbooks are begging you take the red-hot double-digit underdog and be rest assured that many college basketball bettors will be enticed into what I consider a trap. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-20 | Celtics v. Pacers | Top | 116-111 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Boston @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Indiana (Pick) (10*) The Pacers are 4-0 straight up in their last 4 at home versus Boston. That needs to be considered and especially so with this current point-spread. The Pacers have gone 3-0 SU&ATS so far this season and have won by a decisive margin of 11.3 points per game. Indiana has shot 51% or better in each of their previous 2 games. Boston is 0-2 SU&ATS in their last 2 games and have allowed opponents to shoot 50% or better in all 3 of their contests this season. Any NBA home team that shot 50% or better in each of their last 2 games, and they are facing team that allowed each of their previous 2 opponents to shoot 50% or better, resulted in those home teams going 67-19 straight up since 1996. Bet on Indiana for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-29-20 | Raptors v. 76ers -1.5 | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Philadelphia -1.5 (5*) Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has gone an incredible 30-2 straight up at home. As a matter of fact, the 76ers have won 15 straight home games headed into today. Philadelphia will look to rebound from Sunday’s 118-94 loss at Cleveland in a game they closed as a 6.0-point road favorite. Toronto has began the season 0-2 SU&ATS with both defeats coming as a favorite. They lost those contests by an average of 9.5 points per game and are at a poor -9 rebounds per game differential. Any NBA team that is facing a division opponent and they are coming off a road favorite straight up loss by 20 points or more, resulted in those teams going 33-9 (78.6%) straight up since 1996. Bet on Philadelphia for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-20 | Oklahoma State v. Miami-FL +2.5 | 37-34 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State vs. Miami 5:30 PM ET Game# 295-296 Play On: Miami +2.5 (5*) Miami quarterback D’Eriq King will be the difference in this game. The Hurricanes received a huge emotional lift when King was granted a 6th year of eligibility and will return for another season in 2021. The Hurricanes suffered 2 losses this season and they came against #2 Clemson and #13 Clemson. Oklahoma State doesn’t present the challenges as those 2 teams and that’s especially true offensively. Bet on Miami for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-20 | 76ers v. Cavs +7 | Top | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Cleveland 7:35 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Cleveland +7.0 (10*) Both teams have looked impressive in their 2-0 starts to the season. However, Cleveland has shot the ball much better than the 76ers have. The Cavs shot 50.5% during their opening 2 wins in addition to converting on a red-hot 45% of their 3-point attempts. Philadelphia has been fabulous at home since the start of last season. However, they have been anything but good on the road during that identical time frame by going 10-24 straight up and 11-23 ATS. Since 10/28/2019, Philadelphia has gone 1-10 ATS as a road favorite of 1.5 to 8.0-points, and they are coming off a win in their previous game. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-27-20 | Rams +1 v. Seahawks | Top | 9-20 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
Rams @ Seahawks 4:05 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Rams +1.0 (10*) The Seahawks have been beneficiaries of a soft non-division schedule. As a matter of fact, 9 of its 10 non-division games this season came against opponents that currently have a losing record. The lone exception was at Buffalo (11-3) on 11/8 and they lost that contest 44-34 in a game they closed as a 3.0-point favorite. The Rams should be plenty motivated this week after coming off an embarrassing 27-17 home loss as a 14.0-point favorite to the then 0-13 Jets. That defeat dropped their season record to 9-5 and forced them to relinquish first place in the NFC West back to Seattle (10-4). On a positive note, since 2018, the Rams are 11-4 SU&ATS on the road and immediately following a home game. Additionally, the Rams are 4-0 straight up this season following a loss and won by an average of 9.7 points per game. Quality NFL teams coming off embarrassing losses have historically responded with a strong performance more times than not in their next contest. The Rams did win the first meeting with Seattle this season 23-16. It’s simple for the Rams, win and their chances to win the AFC West remains alive. Or lose and possibly end up as low as a #7 in the NFC come playoff time. If that occurs it would be a first-round playoff game at either Green Bay or New Orleans. Desperation and urgency will be the difference in this contest on Sunday which surely favors the Rams. Bet on the Rams for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-27-20 | Bears -8 v. Jaguars | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
Bears @ Jaguars 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Bears -8.0 (5*) After having no semblance of running game for most of the season, Chicago’s rushing attack has come alive of late. During their previous 4 contests, Chicago has averaged a robust 31.0 points scored and 411.8 yards gained per game. That includes averaging 157.5 yards per contest on the ground and an impressive 5.6 yards per rushing attempt. Conversely, Jacksonville has allowed a whopping average of 190.0 rushing yards per game during their previous 4 contests. The Jags have been outscored by a combined 71-24 in their last 2 games and enter this week on a 13-game losing streak. Bet on the Bears minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-20 | Giants +10 v. Ravens | 13-27 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
Giants @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Giants +10.0 (5*) The Giants are coming off a pair of SU&ATS losses during its last 2 games against the Cardinals and Browns. Both contests took place at home and they were outscored by a combined score of 46-13. However, since 2018 the Giants have been a fabulous road underdog while going 16-3 ATS in that role. As a matter of fact, this season alone the Giants are 6-0 ATS as a road underdog. The Ravens have looked like the team they were a season ago over the past 3 weeks in wins versus Dallas 34-17, at Cleveland 47-42, and over Jacksonville 40-14. On paper these teams certainly look as if they are going in opposite directions. Nevertheless, the NFL is a week-to week-league and we see surprising results often. I am not going to be brave enough to call for an outright upset here, but I am extremely confident about covering considering the lofty number we will receive. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-20 | Falcons +11 v. Chiefs | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Chiefs 1:00 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Falcons +11.0 (5*) The Falcons have the offensive firepower to hang in this game throughout. The Chiefs enter this week on a 9-game win streak, but they are a dismal 0-5-1 during their previous 6 outings. Additionally, Kansas City won all those 6 contests by 6 points or fewer. Atlanta is 4-10 but 7 of their 10 defeats came by 7 points or fewer. Bet on the Falcons plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-20 | Dolphins v. Raiders +2.5 | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Raiders 8:15 PM ET Game# 461-462 Play On: Raiders +2.5 (5*) Since 2018, and all under current head coach Jon Gruden, the Raiders are 6-2 SU&ATS when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. If the Raiders offense doesn’t kill themselves with turnovers, they will be able to run the ball on this overrated in my opinion Dolphins defense. Miami will be facing a 7-7 Raiders team. The Dolphins have played only 5 teams this season that currently have a .500 or better record. During those contests they allowed 28.6 points and 465.2 yards per game. My case in point regarding their defense being overrated. The Raiders have filed to cover in each of their previous 4 games. Conversely, Miami has covered in each of their last 4 contests. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL ATS betting angle which is displayed below. Any NFL team that is +3.0 to -3.0 and is coming off 3 or more ATS losses (Raiders), versus an opponent (Dolphins) has covered in 2 or more consecutive games, resulted in those teams going 36-9 (80%) ATS since 2011. Bet on the Raiders plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-20 | Liberty +7 v. Coastal Carolina | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Liberty @ Coastal Carolina 7:30 PM ET Game# 283-284 Play On: Liberty +7.0 (5*) Both teams are battle tested. Liberty went 2-1 versus ACC teams this season. They easily handled Syracuse 38-21, defeated Louisville 38-35 as a 17.0-point underdog, and lost 15-14 to #24 NC State. #23 Liberty (8-1) had a game tying field goal attempt blocked on the final play of the game in that loss to NC State. That’s how close they came to an undefeated regular season. Liberty has not only gone 8-1 straight up this season, but they also covered in 8 of those 9 games. The Flames offense has been extremely productive while averaging 39.4 points scored and 497.6 yards gained per game. #9 Coastal Carolina (11-0) has enjoyed a memorable and massively successful season regardless of what happens in this game. Their signature wins came over #13 BYU 22-17 and over #16 UL-Lafayette (9-1) 30-27. The Chanticleers completed their regular season barely escaping with a 42-38 win over Troy in a game they were a 12.5-point favorite, and they scored the winning touchdown in the dying seconds of the 4th quarter. Any college football underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points (Liberty) that is coming off a conference win by 10 or more points, and they are facing an opponent who scored and allowed 30 or more points during its previous game, resulted in those underdogs going an outstanding 56-22 ATS (71.8%) since 1992. Bet on Liberty plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-20 | Hawks v. Grizzlies UNDER 238.5 | 122-112 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Memphis 5:05 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Under 238.5 (5*) Atlanta is coming off a season opening 124-104 win at Chicago. Memphis is coming off a 131-119 home loss to San Antonio. Since the start of last season, Memphis is 12-1 to the under following a game which had a combined 245 or more points scored. Those 13 contests produced a combined average of only 215.9 points scored per game. Any NBA team (Hawks) with a total of 230.0 or greater, and they’re coming off a win by 20 points or more, versus an opponent that scored 115 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those contests going 42-16 (72.4%) to the under since 1996. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-20 | UL-Lafayette -14 v. UTSA | 31-24 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
UTSA vs. UL-Lafayette 3:30 PM ET Game# 285-286 Play On: UL-Lafayette -14.0 (5*) Just in case you are wondering why UL-Lafayette is such a substantial in this First Responder Bowl, they are 10-1 on the season while currently being ranked 19th by the college football playoff committee, and 16th nationally in the AP Poll. Their only loss this season was by 3 to #9 Coastal Carolina (11-0). Furthermore, the Rajun Cajuns opened this season off with a huge 31-14 at #12 Iowa State who just lost a close game to Oklahoma in the Big 12 Championship Game. UL-Lafayette has also played the tougher schedule which included 6 teams that have accepted a bowl game invitation. Conversely, UTSA has gone just 2-4 against bowl game participants. Additionally, since 2018, the Roadrunners have gone a dismal 1-9 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21.0-points. They were outscored in those 10 contests by an average of 25.7 points per game. Bet on UL-Lafayette minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-20 | Western Kentucky v. Georgia State -3.5 | 21-39 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky vs. Georgia State 3:30 PM ET Game# 287-288 Play On: Georgia State -3.5 (5*) Western Kentucky has gone just 5-6 this season and went 0-5 versus this season’s bowl teams while being outscored by 17.6 points per game. Moreover, one of their wins came by a slim 3-point margin at home versus an FCS team in UT-Chattanooga. This is also an anemic Western Kentucky offense which averaged only a mere 18.8 points and 290.9 yards per game. Georgia State is 5-4 and has averaged a healthy 32.7 points scored and 417.7 yards gained per game. As a matter of fact, the Panthers have scored 30 points or more in 7 of their 9 games this season. By comparison, today’s opponent (WKU) has scored 14 points or fewer in 6 of their 11 games. Bet on Georgia State minus the points for a 5* wager. |