Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-18-21 | Oregon State -7 v. Utah State | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
Oregon State @ Utah State 7:30 PM ET Game# 215-216 Play On: Oregon State -7.0 (10*) Utah State crushed San Diego State in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game 46-13 in a game they closed as a 6.5-point underdog. The Aggies enter this Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl having won 7 of their last 8 yet find themselves as a touchdown underdog versus a 7-5 Oregon State team. This is one of those situations where I trust the oddsmakers ability to set an accurate line more than what may appear to be obvious underdog betting value. As opposed to most Power 5 Conference teams playing opponents from the Group of 6 Conferences, Oregon State is delighted to be playing in a bowl game and will be plenty motivated. Especially when considering that Oregon State went a dismal 10-32 during the previous 4 seasons. Bet Oregon State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-18-21 | Oklahoma State v. Houston -8.5 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State vs. Houston 7:00 PM ET Game# 677-678 Play Onn: Houston -8.5 (5*) Oklahoma State has gone 2-2 in their last 4 with their only wins coming by 1 at Oral Roberts and by 5 at home over Cleveland State. Now they’ll face #14 Houston who’s only 2 losses came by 1 at #6 Alabama and by 2 on a neutral floor versus Wisconsin. Many experts expected the Cougars to fall from grace after losing 4 starters from last season’s Final Four team, but so far, they’ve exceeded expectations, and then some. Houston has forced 18.3 turnovers per game throughout its last 6 contests. Conversely, Oklahoma State has committed 16 turnovers or more in 7 of 9 games this season. Not exactly a recipe for success for the Cowboys. Bet Houston minus the points. |
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12-18-21 | Eastern Michigan v. Liberty -9.5 | 20-56 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan vs. Liberty 5:45 PM ET Game# 213-214 Play On: Liberty -9.5 (5*) The Liberty Flames are coming off a disappointing 7-5 season which included finishing regular season play 0-3 SU&ATS. Nevertheless, they find themselves as a sizable favorite against an Eastern Michigan team that sports an identical 7-5 record. It must be noted, those last 3 losses by Liberty came to #8 Ole Miss (10-2), #16 UL-Lafayette (12-1) and Army (8-4). The Flames also own 4 wins over teams participating in bowl games. Liberty has outgained their opponents by 112.7 yards per game this season. Conversely, Eastern Michigan has been outgained by 49.4 yards per contest. Bet on Liberty minus the points. |
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12-18-21 | UAB +7 v. BYU | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
UAB vs. BYU 3:30 PM ET Game# 211-212 Play On: UAB +7.0 (5*) This line makes no sense to me. BYU is ranked #12 in the country with a stellar 10-2 record. They have quality wins over #10 Utah, Mountain West Conference Champion Utah State, in addition to bowl teams Arizona State, Washington State, and Virginia. Additionally, BYU finished regular season action on a 5-game win streak. Yet here they are playing in the low-profile Independence Bowl against a team from Conference USA with an 8-4 season record. There’s no doubt in my mind that UAB will be more motivated to be playing BYU than visa-versa. When it comes to minor bowl games motivation is a key handicapping component to consider. UAB has unequivocally faced the weaker schedule of these 2 teams. However, they did give #24 UTSA (12-1) all they can handle in a 34-31 road loss in a game they outgained the Roadrunners 474-375. Bet UAB plus the points. |
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12-17-21 | Coastal Carolina -10.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 47-41 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
Coastal Carolina vs. Northern Illinois 6:00 PM ET Game# 203-204 Play On: Coastal Carolina -10.5 (10*) Northern Illinois is the MAC Champion that comes into this Cure Bowl matchup in Orlando Florida with a 9-4 record. However, they allowed 40 points or more in each of their 4 losses and were outgained by an average of 26.1 yards per game. Conversely, Coastal Carolina averaged 40.4 points scored per game and outgained their opponents by an average of 166.3 yards per contest. They will be facing a Northern Illinois defense that’s allowed 32.7 points per game this season. Since the start of last season, Coastal Carolina has gone a dominating 8-0 SU&ATS when facing an opponent that allows 31.0 or more points per game and they won by a decisive margin of 20.7 points per contest. Lastly, although Coastal Carolina didn’t reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game despite an outstanding 10-2 record, their 2 losses came by just a combined 5 points. They were that close to going undefeated. Bet Coastal Carolina minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-16-21 | Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 52.5 | 34-28 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Chargers 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Under 52.5 (5*) Kansas City enters this week on a 6-game win streak in which they allowed 17 points or fewer on each occasion. Specifically speaking, during this current win streak the Chiefs have allowed an average of 12.5 points per game, and that includes giving up exactly 9 points in each of its last 3 contests. If you take away their 2 games versus the Raiders, it’s not like the Chiefs have been the consistent offensive juggernaut we’ve become accustomed to in recent seasons. In their last 5 games against teams not names Las Vegas, the Chiefs have scored 22 points or less. Kansas City has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 this season when there’s been a total of 50.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 38.8 points scored per game. Conversely, the Chargers have played 5-0 to the under this season when there’s been a total of 51.0 or greater, and there was a combined average of 44.0 points scored per game. Bet this game to go under the total. |
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12-16-21 | Knicks v. Rockets +5 | 116-103 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
New York @ Houston 8:10 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Houston +5.0 (5*) Yes, Houston is coming off a horrendous performance last night in Cleveland in which they suffered a 124-89 blowout loss to the Cavaliers. I’m also aware of the fact that this will be the Rockets 5th game in 7 days. However, they’re an underdog and on a home floor in which they’ve won 7 of their last 8. Furthermore, they’ll be facing a Knick to that’s lost 7 of their previous 8 and that includes going 0-4 SU&ATS during its last 4 contests. During their current 4-game losing streak, New York has only averaged 95.5 points scored per game and lost by 11.7 points per contest. Bet Houston plus the points. |
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12-15-21 | Lakers v. Mavs UNDER 213.5 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
LA Lakers @ Dallas 7:40 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Under 213.5 (5*) Dallas has played 7-0 to the under in their last 7 with an average total of 215.4 in those contests and a combined 198.3 points scored per game. Dallas has allowed 107 points or less in each of their previous 8 games. The Mavericks have also played 7-1 to the under during their previous 8 at home. The Lakers have played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 and there was a combined average of just 204.7 points scored per game. Los Angeles has also played 4-0 to the under in their previous 4 conference road contests with a combined average of 204.5 points scored per game. Bet this game to go under the total. |
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12-15-21 | Akron v. Wright State OVER 146 | Top | 66-48 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
Akron @ Wright State 7:00 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: Over 146.0 (10*) Wright State has seen each of its last 4 contests go over the total and there was a combined average of 158.5 points scored per game. According to college basketball statistical guru Ken Pomeroy, Wright State ranks 31st out of 358 Division 1 teams in offensive tempo while averaging 72.2 possessions per 40 minutes. Additionally, Wright State opponents have an average length of offensive possession against them is 15.7 seconds which is 5th fastest in the country. Akron has also played 4-0 to the over in its last 4 with a combined average of 145.8 points scored per game. Throughout their previous 5 contests, Akron has made an excellent 79.4% of their free throws and 39.3% of its 3-point shot attempts. Bet this game over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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12-14-21 | Alabama v. Memphis +3.5 | Top | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Alabama @ Memphis 9:00 PM ET Game# 633-634 Play On: Memphis +3.5 (10*) This game has trap written all over it. We have #6 Alabama coming off huge wins in their last 2 outings over #5 Gonzaga and #14 Houston who both were Final Four Teams last April. Then there’s Memphis who’s gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games after starting the season 5-0 and being nationally ranked. Yet, Alabama is a short favorite in this spot and would seem to be an obvious choice for novice bettors. Well, I’m not a novice and rarely does obvious choices in sports betting appeal to me. Bet Memphis plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-14-21 | Monmouth -117 v. Yale | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Monmouth @ Yale 7:00 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: Monmouth -117 (5*) The most impressive thing about Monmouth’s 8-2 start to the season in that 8 of those first 10 contests were true road games. Additionally, they’ve posted road wins at St. Joseph’s, Cincinnati, and Pittsburgh. Their 2 lone defeats came at St. John’s by 5 and at Charlotte in their season opener by 2. Yale enters today’s game with a mediocre 6-6 record and having played the weaker schedule compared to the one Monmouth has faced. Bet Monmouth for a money line wager. |
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12-13-21 | Wizards v. Nuggets OVER 215.5 | Top | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
Washington @ Denver 9:10 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Over 215.5 (10*) Both teams have played a high percentage of overs recently. Washington has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 and there was a combined average of 227.3 points scored per game. Denver has gone over the total in their last 3 as well with each of those contests surpass the number by 18.5 points or more. Additionally, Denver has played 10-1 to the over in 10 of its last 11 and 12 of their previous 14 games. The Nuggets are off to a disappointing 13-13 start to the season. Any NBA team (Denver) that has gone over the total by 12 points or more in each of their previous 3 games, and has a season win percentage of between .450-.550, resulted in those teams playing 39-10 (79.6%) to the over during the past 5 seasons. There was a combined average of 231.3 points scored per game throughout those 49 contests. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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12-13-21 | Rams +2.5 v. Cardinals | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Rams @ Cardinals 8:15 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Rams +2.5 (5*) The sportsbooks are giving you the winner based on this current point-spread in my professional opinion. After all, Arizona won at Los Angeles 37-20 earlier this season, leads the Rams by 2-games in the NFC West Standings, and is facing a Los Angeles team that snapped a 3-game losing streak last week with a home win over lowly Jacksonville (2-11). Yet. the Cardinals are a home favorite of less than a field goal. It also must be noted, the Rams are 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games at Arizona and won by an average of 13.5 points per contest. Since 2019, Arizona has gone 0-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3.0 or less. Conversely, since 2019, the Rams are a profitable 13-7 ATS (65%) when their point-spread is between +3.0 to -3.0. Bet the Rams plus the points. |
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12-12-21 | 49ers v. Bengals +2 | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 35 m | Show | |
49ers @ Bengals 4:25 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Bengals +2.0 (5*) Cincinnati is coming off last Sunday’s 41-22 blowout loss to the Cargers in a game they closed as a 3.0-point home favorite. That win dropped their season record to a still respectable 7-5. Any NFL team that’s playing in regular season action only and after Game 4, coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 17 points or more, and they currently have a winning record, resulted in those teams going 16-0 SU and 15-1 ATS since the start of the 2014-2015 season. As impressive as that 93.8% ATS betting angle is, the unbeaten SU record takes on added significance since it backs the underdog in this matchup. Bet the Bengals plus the small number. |
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12-12-21 | Bills +3.5 v. Bucs | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
Bills @ Buccaneers 1:00 PM ET Game# 125-126 Play On: Bills +3.5 (5*) The Bills are coming off an extremely disappointing 14-10 Monday night home loss to New England. They allowed over 200 yards rushing and will down in NFL annals in rare company after losing a game when the opponent had 2 passing days or less. Being that a national television audience witnessed that performance, I fully expect public betting to back Tampa Bay. I never have an issue when it requires going against public betting patterns. This is one of those instances. Bet the Bills plus the points |
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12-12-21 | Lions v. Broncos -10.5 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
Lions @ Broncos 4:05 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Broncos -10.5 (5*) Detroit is coming off their 1st win of the season in last Sunday’s walk off win over Minnesota. However, NFL teams that are playing after Game 11 of their season, and they’re an underdog of from 7.0 to 114.0 points, resulted in those 1st time winners going 0-5 SU&ATS since 1981. They lost those 5 contests by a decisive margin of 24.2 points per game. This is rare air for Denver at home with no pun intended. Since Vic Fangio took over as head coach for the Broncos in 2019, they’ve only been a home favorite of 7.5 or greater twice and covered on each occasion. Denver is coming off last Sunday’s 22-9 loss at Kansas City. During Vic Fangio’s current tenure, Denver has gone 6-0 SU&ATS at home following a game in which they scored 14 points or fewer. Bet the Broncos minus the points. |
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12-12-21 | Raiders v. Chiefs -9.5 | Top | 9-48 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show |
Raiders @ Chiefs 1:00 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Chiefs -9.5 (10*) After starting the season 5-2, the Raiders have gone on to lose 4 of its last 5 games. Las Vegas scored 16 points or fewer in all 4 of those defeats. Kansas City enters this week on a 5-game win streak in addition to covering each of its last 3. It’s the Chiefs defense and not their offense that has been the catalyst throughout those 5 Kansas City wins. Furthermore, and since 2019, the Chiefs are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in their previous 2 contests while winning by an average of 15.3 points per game. Lastly, Kansas City walloped the Raiders during their earlier season meeting in Las Vegas by a final score of 41-14. The Chiefs had a huge total offense yards edge of 516-299. Bet the Chiefs minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-12-21 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 43 | 22-24 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 13 m | Show | |
Ravens @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 113-114 Play On: Under 43.0 (5*) These teams met just 2 weeks ago and Baltimore walked away with a 16-10 win. The Ravens have now played 4-0 to the under during its last 4 contests and there was a combined average of only 31.5 points scored per game. Additionally, Baltimore has stayed under in each of their last 5 road contests with a combined average of 33.2 points scored per game. The Ravens offense has scored 19 points or fewer in each of its previous 4 while averaging just 308.0 yards of total offense per game. Cleveland has witnessed each of its last 3 at home go under the total with a combined average of 26.3 points scored per game. During their previous 3 contests, the Browns offense averaged 10.0 points scored and 276.0 yards of total offense per game. Conversely, the Cleveland defense is #4 in the NFL in total defense. Bet this game to go under the total. |
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12-11-21 | Arizona v. Illinois +3 | Top | 83-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Arizona @ Illinois 5:00 PM ET Game# 671-672 Play On: Illinois +3.0 (10*) This line opened with #11 Arizona (8-0) being a 1.0-point favorite and now it’s -3.0 against unranked Illinois (7-2). Public betting has surely been influenced by Arizona not only being 8-0 but 7-1 ATS as well. Conversely, Illinois started the season 2-2 but has reeled off 5 straight wins since. They covered each of their previous 3 versus Notre Dame, Rutgers, and at Iowa. During their current 5-game win streak Illinois has averaged a robust 84.2 points scored per game, shot 51.6%, and converted on a superb 41.5% of its 3-point attempts. Illinois also possesses an outstanding +14 rebound per game margin. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Illinois is 31-5 at home and has only been an underdog once. Bet Illinois plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-11-21 | St Bonaventure +4 v. Connecticut | 64-74 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
St. Bonaventure vs. Connecticut 4:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: St. Bonaventure +4.0 (5*) After being ranked in the Top 25 for the first couple weeks of the season, St. Bonaventure dropped out after suffering their only loss to Northern Iowa by 10 at home. They followed that up with some uninspiring wins. A win here versus #15 UConn will assuredly catapult them back into the rankings. This game will be played at a neutral site which is the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. The Bonnies are 3-0 on a neutral floor this season with wins over Marquette, Clemson, and Boise State. This will be the first time that St. Bonaventure will be an underdog and look for them to relish being in that role. The Bonnies are an experienced team that has enjoyed their fair share of success in recent years including a trip to the 2021 NCAA Tournament where they lost to LSU. The underdog will be up to the challenge today. Bet St. Bonaventure plus the points. |
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12-11-21 | Navy +7 v. Army | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
Navy vs. Army 3:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Navy +7.0 (5*) Don’t be misled by the disparity in the 2 team’s records. Navy is 3-8 and Army is 8-3. However, Navy has far and away played the tougher schedule. The Midshipmen have gone up against #4 Cincinnati, #5 Notre Dame, and #21 Houston. The only lopsided loss out of the 3 came at Notre Dame 34-6. The other 2 games saw the Middies cover each in a 28-20 loss at Houston as a 20-point underdog and a 27-20 loss Cincinnati as a 29.0-point dog. The only ranked opponent that Army faced this season was #20 Wake Forest and they suffered a 70-56 loss in that contest. The Black Knights allowed Wake Forest to rack up 638 yards of total defense and were outclassed from the start. This contest goes right down to the wire, and I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset. Nevertheless, I won’t get greedy and take the number being given to me. Bet Navy plus the points. |
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12-11-21 | Mississippi State v. Colorado State -2 | 63-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Mississippi State vs. Colorado State 2:00 PM ET Game# 625-626 Play On: Colorado State -2.0 (5*) Mississippi State was exposed and humbled in their last game which was a 5-point home loss to Minnesota in a game they were a large 11.0-point favorite. That’s exactly the type of loss that carries over to the next game and results in another defeat. Colorado State will have an agenda in this matchup. The Rams have begun their season 9-0 and outscored opponents by 17.9 points per game, but still haven’t cracked the Top 25 rankings. They’re in desperate need of a resume building win and they can do exactly that on Saturday. Looked for the Rams to make a statement in this one. Bet Colorado State minus the small number. |
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12-11-21 | Arkansas v. Oklahoma | 66-88 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ Oklahoma 1:30 ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Oklahoma (Pick) 5* Unranked Oklahoma (7-2) plays host to #12 Arkansas (9-0) in this matchup. Yet there are currently some sportsbooks that have Oklahoma listed as high as a 1.5-point favorite. Besides the point, this is a Sooners team coming off an embarrassing 66-62 home loss to Butler in a game they were a sizable 11.0-point favorite. The #12 Razorbacks look like the obvious pick, right? Well wrong, it’s rarely that easy in sports betting and result will prove precisely that. Bet Oklahoma at a pick’em. |
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12-11-21 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -4.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Ohio State 12:00 ET Game# 603-604 Play On: Ohio State -4.5 (5*) Wisconsin came from 22 points down at home on Wednesday to beat Indiana by 5 in their previous game. The Badgers expended a plethora of physical and mental energy to overcome a deficit that large. You can’t help but thing that will take its total in a road game just 3 days later. Additionally, they will be facing an Ohio State team that’s 5-0 at home including an upset of then #1 Duke. Ohio State has shot a red-hot 51.4% from the field and 41.4% from 3-point territory throughout their previous 5 games. Conversely, Wisconsin is shooting just 40.7% as a team this season. Bet Ohio State minus the points. |
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12-10-21 | DePaul +8 v. Louisville | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
DePaul @ Louisville 8:00 PM ET Game# 881-882 Play On: DePaul +8.0 (5*) Louisville is 3-1 at home thus far but failed to cover on 3 of those 4 occasions. Their lone home loss came to Furman by 8 as a 9.0-point favorite. This will be DePaul’s 1st game of the season not played on their home floor. However, we can’t ignore the fact the Blue Demons are 7-1 SU&ATS to start the season. Their only loss came by 4 to Loyola-Chicago who is a fringe Top 25 team. They also own a home win over Rutgers who just upset #1 Purdue last night. Bet DePaul plus the points. |
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12-09-21 | Iowa -5 v. Iowa State | 53-73 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Iowa State 9:00 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Iowa -5.0 (5*) Iowa is coming off losses in their last 2 games. Yet, here they are as a road favorite versus an undefeated and #17 Iowa State (8-0) team. Can you say trap? They’re begging you to take the ranked home underdog against an unranked team. Going back to Iowa’s 2 losses. One came at #1 Purdue by 7 as a 12.0-point underdog and the other was versus a Top 25 caliber team in Illinois. By the way, Iowa is 3-0 SU&ATS the past 3 seasons versus Iowa State and won each of those meeting by 14 points or more. Bet on Iowa minus the points. |
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12-09-21 | Nuggets v. Spurs -124 | Top | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
Denver @ San Antonio 8:35 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: San Antonio -124 (10*) This line jumped right off the page at me. We have a San Antonio team that’s 8-15 overall including 4-7 at home that opened as an underdog and is now favorite over a perceived better team (Denver). Denver is coming off a grueling overtime win at New Orleans last night. That’s significant when considering the Nuggets haven’t won 2 straight road games so far this season. As a matter of fact, Denver is 0-3 SU&ATS this season on the road following a road win and lost by an average of 9.3 points per game. Despite last night’s win, Denver has gone a dismal 3-8 SU&ATS during its previous 11 contests. Denver has allowed their last 4 conference opponents to shoot 50% or better on each occasion. Conversely, San Antonio is 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6. The Spurs have shot a more than respectable 47.4% from the field in addition to converting on a solid 38.3% of its 3-point attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Bet San Antonio for a money line wager. |
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12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings UNDER 43.5 | 28-36 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 39 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Minnesota 8:20 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 43.5 (5*) Pittsburgh has been an extremely profitable under play on the road under current head coach Mike Tomlin. Specifically speaking, since the start of the 2015-2016 season, Pittsburgh has played 41-13 (75.9%) to the under in all away games. If they were facing a non-division opponent on the road with a total of 49.0 or less, they improved to 25-4 (86.2%) to the under and includes 18-1 (94.7%) under since 2017. Minnesota has played 3-0 to the under in non-division home games this season and there was a combined average of just 34.7 points per game. The Vikings defense is tied for 2nd in the NFL when it comes to sacking the quarterback. Conversely, the Vikings offense will most likely be without key playmakers (Dalvin Cook, Adam Thielen) and they’ll be facing a Steelers defense that leads the league in sacks. Bet this game to go under the total. |
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12-08-21 | Michigan State -7 v. Minnesota | Top | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Michigan State @ Minnesota 9:00 PM ET Game# 703-704 Play On: Michigan State -7.0 (10*) Minnesota enters this contest with an unblemished 7-0 record. Yet, they received no votes in the latest college basketball AP Poll and for good reason in my opinion. They haven’t really beat anyone of note. The Golden Gophers will be playing its first game this season against a ranked opponent. The public will surely be enticed to take an unbeaten sizable home underdog like Minnesota against a 2-loss opponent. I on the other hand, look at this contest from a contrarian betting viewpoint. #19 Michigan State is 6-2 with their only losses coming to #2 Baylor and #9 Kansas in their season opener. They own a win on a neutral floor over #15 Connecticut and another coming at home by 9 over Louisville. The Spartans are unequivocally more battle tested of the 2 teams in this matchup and it will pay dividends this evening. Not to mention, they’ll be out to revenge an embarrassing 25-point loss at Minnesota last season. Bet Michigan State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-08-21 | Nuggets v. Pelicans +2.5 | 120-114 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Denver @ New Orleans 8:10 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: New Orleans +2.5 (5*) Denver will be playing their 5th of a 7-game in 13-day road trip. The Nuggets have arguably been one of the league’s biggest disappointments this season based on their current 11-12 record. As a matter of fact, Denver has gone a dismal 2-8 SU&ATS in their last 10 games. The Nuggets are 0-3 SU&ATS as a road favorite this season. New Orleans is coming off a 118-109 loss at Houston on Sunday. However, the Pelicans are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss in their previous game and won by a decisive 20.0 points per contest. Bet New Orleans plus the points. |
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12-08-21 | Thunder v. Raptors UNDER 207.5 | 110-109 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City @ Toronto 7:40 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Under 207.5 (5*) This is a low total by modern NBA standards and rightfully so in my opinion. Toronto has gone under in their last 4 and there was only a combined 194.3 points scored per game. Toronto has averaged a paltry 96.8 points scored per game throughout its last 5 contests. Oklahoma City is far from an offensive juggernaut. Especially when considering they’ve scored less than 100 points in 12 of 23 games this season. The Thunder have played 8-4 to the under on the road this season while averaging an uninspiring 95.4 points scored per game while doing so. Bet this game to go under the total. |
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12-08-21 | Knicks v. Pacers -5 | 102-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
New York @ Indiana 7:10 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Indiana -5.0 (5*) New York is coming off last night’s win at San Antonio and that’s the good news. The bad news is they’ve not won 2 consecutive games since 10/30. The Knicks are 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 following a win. The Knicks lost at Indiana 111-98 on 11/3. Indiana snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 116-110 home win over Washington on Monday. Despite going a poor 3-8 in their last 11 games, the oddsmakers still feel that Indiana is still worthy of being a sizable favorite in this matchup. The sportsbooks aren’t that generous. Bet Indiana minus the points. |
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12-08-21 | Wagner +7.5 v. Penn State | 54-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Wagner @ Penn State 7:00 PM ET Game# 49-50 Play On: Wagner +7.5 (5*) Don’t go to sleep on Wagner. They’re an experienced team and off to a 3-1 SU&ATS start to the season. One of their wins came by 14 against a solid VCU squad. Their only loss occurred at #23 Seton Hall which a far better team than the one they’ll face today. Penn State is off to an uninspiring 4-4 start which includes home losses to Ohio State and Miami Fla. In their last 2 games. Additionally, the Nittany Lions have a conference game at #19 Michigan State up next on Saturday. Sandwiched between these 3 games versus Power Conference teams is a matchup against tiny Wagner. This looks like a trap and flat spot for a home team that’s average at best to start with. Bet Wagner plus the points. |
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12-07-21 | Celtics v. Lakers OVER 219 | 102-117 | Push | 0 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Celtics @ Lakers 10:05 PM ET Game# 565-566 Play On: Over 219.0 (5*) Boston is coming off a pair of high scoring road games that easily sailed over the totals. They scored 137.5 points and allowed 127.0 points per game in those previously mentioned contests. Furthermore, Boston shot a combined 53.9% and allowed their opponents to convert on 51.2% of their field goal attempts. The Celtics are currently a 2.5-points underdog. Boston has played 7-2 to the over this season as an underdog. The Lakers have shot 50% or better in each of their previous 4 and they averaged 119.7 points scored per game. The Lakers have also allowed 105 points or more in 16 of their last 17 games. Los Angeles has played 4-1 to the over in their previous 5 contests and there was a combined average of 235.4 points scored per game. Los Angeles will be out to avenge an earlier season 130-108 loss at Boston in a game that went way over the total of 214.5. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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12-07-21 | Villanova v. Syracuse OVER 146 | 67-53 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Villanova vs. Syracuse 9:30 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: Over 146.0 (5*) Both teams in this contest can shoot the 3-ball well. Each team is among the best free throw shooting teams nationally with both converting just under 79.0% of those opportunities. Villanova is #6 nationally in offensive efficiency while scoring 118.3 points per 100 possessions. Syracuse is #18 in that exact statistical category at 112.7 points per 100 possessions. Syracuse is coming off a 63-60 upset win at Florida State in a game they went well under the total of 150.0. Since the start of last season, Syracuse has played 6-0 to the over in games not played at the Carrier Dome and there was a combined average of 155.4 points scored per contest. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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12-07-21 | Texas Tech v. Tennessee -3.5 | 57-52 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas Tech vs. Tennessee 7:00 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: Tennessee -3.5 (5*) Both teams possess identical 6-1 records. However, my strength of schedule rating has #13 Tennessee at +9.2 over Texas Tech. In layman’s terms, The Volunteers have a played a significantly stronger schedule and especially when consider both are Power Conference teams. Tennessee suffered their only loss against #6 Villanova. The Vols do have a dominating 89-72 quality win over North Carolina. Tennessee is coming off a 69-54 win at Colorado in which they covered easily as a 6.0-point favorite. Conversely, Texas Tech is coming off its first loss of the season at unranked Providence. The Volunteers are the more complete team in this matchup. Bet Tennessee minus the points. |
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12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
New England @ Buffalo 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Buffalo -2.5 (-122) (10*) New England has gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games and enters this contest the hottest team in the NFL. Additionally, the Patriots have gone 5-0 on the road this season. Yet, here they are as a road underdog versus a Bills team that’s just 3-3 in their last 6 games. Like I said on many occasions, it’s rarely that east when it comes to sports betting and tonight’s game will be a prime example of such. It also must be noted, 4 of the 5 road wins by New England have come over teams that currently have a losing record in the Jets (3-9), Texans (2-10), Panthers (5-7), and Falcons (5-7). The lone exception was their win at the Chargers (7-5). New England is coming off a 36-13 home win over Tennessee last Sunday. However, that final score is a bit deceiving since they only were able to Buffalo is coming off a 31-6 blowout win at New Orleans in a game they held the Saints to a mere 146 passing yards. Since 2019, Buffalo is 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed 150 or fewer passing yards and includes 4-0 SU&ATS (+16.2 PPG) at home. Furthermore, since 2019, Buffalo is 5-0 SU at home following a game in which they allowed 14 points or fewer and they won by an average of 13.8 points per contest. Kudos to the New England Patriots and future Hall of Fame head coach Bill Belichick for the masterful job he’s done so far this season. Nonetheless, Buffalo is the better team in this matchup and they’ll make a huge statement tonight to fulfill that statement. Bet Buffalo minus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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12-06-21 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Heat | 105-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Miami 7:40 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Memphis +4.5 (5*) Miami has lost 3 of its last 4 which includes going 0-2 SU&ATS at home. Key injuries have played a significant role during that mini slump. Jimmy Butler (tailbone) remains questionable for tonight and Bam Adebayo (thumb) will be out for an indefinite amount of time. Memphis suffered a setback when they lost start point guard Ja Morant (24.1 PPG/5.6 RPG/6.8 APG) to a knee injury early in a game against Atlanta on 11/25. However, even without Morant, the Grizzlies have managed to go 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games while holding opponents to an average of 90.3 points scored per contest and a combined 35.1% shooting. Bet on Memphis plus the points. |
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12-05-21 | Broncos v. Chiefs -9.5 | Top | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
Denver @ Kansas City 8:20 ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Kansas City -9.5 (10*) The public has jumped all over Denver to cover this contest as of this writing. Nonetheless, I’m here to tell you they’re dead wrong. Yes, I know the Chiefs have been a terrible play on as a home favorite this season and last. I also know Denver is coming off an impressive 28-13 home win over the Chargers and recently blew out Dallas in Arlington. It doesn’t matter, because I don’t see this as a favorable betting situation for the sizable road underdog. The Chiefs seemed to sleepwalk through the first half of the season and frankly looked uninspired. However, Kansas City has recently caught fire and enter this week on a 4-game win streak. The most encouraging part of that successful run was the play of their defensive unit. The Chiefs have allowed an average of 11.7 points and 294.0 yards per game while also forcing 8 turnovers. Furthermore, they’ve owned the Broncos in recent seasons while going 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS against them. Lastly, Kansas City is just 1.0 game ahead of Denver in the standings, yet they are more than a touchdown favorite. It sure feels like the sportsbooks are baiting to take the road underdog. Thanks, but no thanks. Bet on Kansas City minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-05-21 | Washington Football Team +1.5 v. Raiders | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
Washington @ Las Vegas 4:05 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Washington +1.5 (5*) The only thing consistent about the Raiders this season has been their inconsistency. That’s especially been the case since former head coach Jon Gruden was let go. Which team is going to show up? The one that has wins over the Cowboys, Ravens, and Denver, or losses against the Giants (4-7) and Bears (4-7). My strong feeling is we’ll see the latter. The raiders have lost 3 of their last 4 at home. Don’t look now but after a 2-6 start to the season, Washington has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3. They currently are holding down the final NFC wildcard position as a result. What’s even more encouraging, the highly touted Washington defense is finally living expectations after floundering through the first 6 games of the season. During the last 5 contests, Washington has allowed 19.0 points and 282.8 yards per game while facing opposing quarterbacks such as Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, and Russell Wilson. Bet the Washington Football Team. |
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12-05-21 | Chargers +3 v. Bengals | 41-22 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
LA Chargers @ Cincinnati 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: LA Chargers +3.0 (5*) Cincinnati has been and will continue to be a heavily bet side in this matchup. Public bettors tend to have a short memory and overreact at times to what has transpired in the last couple of weeks. With that being said, the Chargers are coming off a poor performance in a 28-13 loss at Denver last Sunday. However, it’s worth noting that the Chargers are 3-1 SU following a loss this season and includes 2-0 SU&ATS in away games. Cincinnati is coming off impressive wins over Las Vegas 32-13 and Pittsburgh 41-10. Despite those 2 high scoring outputs, the Bengals averaged just 329.0 yards of total offense per game and benefitted from forcing 5 turnovers. Let us not forgot, Cincinnati is just 3 weeks removed from suffering back-to-back losses to the Jets (3-8) and Browns (5-6) while allowing a combined 75 points during those defeats. The Chargers have failed to cover their previous 3 games. On the other hand, Cincinnati has covered their last 2 contests. Any NFL team that’s +3.0 to -3.0 (Chargers) that failed to cover in 3 more games in a row and is facing an opponent (Bengals) who covered 2 or more games in a row, resulted in those teams on an ATS losing streak to go 35-7 ATS (80%) since 2012, 19-2 ATS since 2017, and 11-0 ATS since 2019. Bet the Chargers plus the points. |
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12-04-21 | Iowa v. Michigan -10.5 | Top | 3-42 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
Iowa vs. Michigan 8:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Michigan -10.5 (10*) Give a lot of credit to Iowa head coach Kirk Ferentz and his staff for getting Iowa to the Big 12 Championship game despite some glaring offensive weaknesses. Case in point, the Hawkeyes averaged just 20.7 points per game in their final 7 Big 10 Conference games. Unquestionably the Hawkeyes defense has been the catalyst to a successful 10-2 regular season campaign. Nonetheless, Michigan’s defense has been superb as well. The Wolverines are #14 nationally in total defense and #8 in scoring while allowing only 17.2 points per contest. Conversely, Iowa is 123rd out of 130 Division 1 teams in total offense at only 299.3 yards per game. The defenses comparisons are a wash since both units are elite. The telling difference in us covering this spread will be Michigan’s offense which is #20 nationally in total yards. The Wolverines offense is especially difficult to defend since their yards gained between run and pass are almost identical. Bet Michigan minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-04-21 | Wake Forest +3.5 v. Pittsburgh | 21-45 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 26 m | Show | |
Wake Forest vs. Pittsburgh 8:00 PM ET Game# 319-320 Play On: Wake Forest +3.5 (5*) This is an intriguing matchup just from the standpoint that we have a ACC Championship Game without Clemson for a first time in 7 years. No other team besides Clemson has won an ACC title since Florida State did it in 2014. The Panthers are 10-2 with a pair of head scratching home losses to Western Michigan and Miami. Pittsburgh is #6 nationally in run defense. However, teams have had success throwing the ball against the Pitt defense. Pitt ranks #113 out of 130 Division 1 teams in pass defense at 261.1 yards allowed per game in the air. They will be facing a Wake Forest passing attack that averages 315.5 yards passing per game which is 11th best nationally. The Demon Deacons defense does give up plenty of yards, but they have forced 27 turnovers this season, and are #4 nationally in turnover margin at +12.0. Look for to win the turnover battle and that being a key contributing factor to us getting the cover. Additionally, this contest will be played in the backyard of Wake Forest at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina. Bet Wake Forest plus the points. |
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12-04-21 | Bulls v. Nets OVER 221.5 | 111-107 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Brooklyn 7:40 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Over 221.5 (5*) Both teams have performed well offensively during each of their previous 5 games. During that stretch, Brooklyn averaged 113.8 points scored per game and shot 48.6%. Conversely, Chicago averaged 118.4 points scored per game, shot 51.5%, and converted on 40.7% of its 3-point shot attempts. The Nets are coming off last night’s 110-105 home win versus Minnesota and that contest went under 222.5. However, Brooklyn has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 following an under in their previous game. Furthermore, the Nets have played 6-0 to the over in their previous 6 conference games. Bet on this game to go over the total. |
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12-04-21 | Houston v. Cincinnati -10 | 20-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 24 m | Show | |
Houston @ Cincinnati 4:00 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Cincinnati -10.0 (5*) Cincinnati has been arguably the most criticized 12-0 in college football history. Their detractors are quick to point out their inferior schedule compared to those of Power 5 Conference schools. Yet, they handed #6 Notre Dame their lone loss of the season and did so in South Bend. They are currently #4 in the college football playoff rankings. It would seem they just need to beat #21 Houston who enters Saturday’s conference title game on an 11-game win streak for a berth in the college football playoffs. However, I am not convinced that just a win will be all it takes to stay in the Top 4. A convincing win is what’s needed to solidify their spot within the Top 4, and I truly believe the Bearcats will be able to produce just that. Bet Cincinnati minus the points. |
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12-04-21 | Georgia v. Alabama +6.5 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show | |
Georgia vs. Alabama 4:00 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Alabama +6.5 (5*) Georgia hasn’t truly been tested since their season opening 10-3 win over Clemson. They won their other 11 games by 17 points or more. From a statistical standpoint, Georgia is far and away the best defensive team in the country. They’ve allowed a mere 6.9 points and 230.9 yards per game this season. However, they haven’t faced as talented an offense as the one they’ll face on Saturday. The Crimson Tide averages 42.7 points and 491.6 yards per game. Alabama has passed for over 300 yards in each of its last 7 games The Alabama defense doesn’t have the dominating statistics that Georgia does. Nonetheless, they are #7 nationally in total defense while allowing just 292.5 yards per game, #3 against the run, #3 in sacks with 43, and #11 on 3rd downs. This will be the first time since 10/3/2015 that Alabama is installed as an underdog. Ironically enough, they were a 1.5-point road underdog at Georgia on that day and walked away with a decisive 38-10 win. Bet Alabama plus the points. |
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12-04-21 | Appalachian State -2.5 v. UL-Lafayette | 16-24 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
Appalachian State @ UL-Lafayette 3:30 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Appalachian State -2.5 (10*) UL-Lafayette has won 11 straight games since their season opening loss at Texas. One of those 11 wins was a 41-13 home rout of Appalachian State. There was nothing lucky about that win as they outgained their bitter Sun Belt Conference rivals by a decided margin of 455-211. Yet here they are as a 3.0-point home underdog at the time of this writing. When it comes to sports betting, it’s rarely as easy as it may appear. This is a textbook example of such. Since that disappointing loss to UL-Lafayette, Appalachian State has won 6 straight games and covered 5 of those contests with an average victory margin of 25.7 points per game. The Mountaineers will not only be playing with same season revenge on Saturday, they’ll also be out to atone for a 24-21 home loss to UL-Lafayette in last season’s Sun Belt Championship Games. Bet on Appalachian State minus the points. |
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12-04-21 | Kent State v. Northern Illinois OVER 74.5 | 23-41 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
Kent State vs. Northern Illinois 12:00 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: Over 74.5 (5*) There will be no weather conditions to factor in since this game will be played indoors at Ford Field in Detroit. These teams have made it to the MAC Championship game and by no means can it be attributed to their defensive prowess. Neither defense is anything close to championship caliber. Northern Illinois finished the regular season by playing 5-1 to the over in their last 6 and there was a combined average of 72.0 points scored per game. The Huskies are coming off a 42-21 loss to Western Michigan in their regular season finale in a game their defense surrendered 636 yards. It marked the 2nd time in 4 games that the Huskies defense allowed 600 plus yards and 3rd time in 5 contests opposing offenses cracked the 500-yard barrier. The Huskies finished 6-2 in conference play. One of those losses came at Kent State 52-47 in a game that combined for 1345 yards or total offense and both teams amassing 600 plus yards. Kent State is coming off a thrilling 48-47 win over Miami-Ohio in their regular season finale in a contest that had a combined 1191 yards of total offense. Since the start of last season, Kent State has played 8-0 to the over following a conference win and there was a cumulative 95.0 points scored per game. That isn’t a typo, it’s truly 95.0 points scored per outing. That last result also marked the 5th time in 7 games that Kent State went over the total, and there was a combined 79.7 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, 4 of those contests produced 84 points or more. This has all the earmarks of an an extremely high scoring and entertaining game. Don’t let the large number scare you away. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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12-04-21 | Baylor +5.5 v. Oklahoma State | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
Baylor vs. Oklahoma State 12:00 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Baylor +5.5 (5*) Baylor enters this Big 12 Championship Game with an outstanding 10-2 record. One of those 2 losses came at Oklahoma State earlier this season. The Bears were held to a season low 14 points scored and 280 yards of total offense in that defeat but still only lost by 10. Oklahoma State is coming off arguably the most successful regular season in program history. They finished 11-1, defeated arch nemesis Oklahoma 37-33 in its previous game, and are lurking at #5 in the most recent college football rankings. Despite having a lot to still play for including a playoff berth and an opportunity to win a national championship, I firmly believe that they won’t be at their sharpest on Saturday. After all, they already defeated Baylor this season, and are coming off an intense and emotional game against their despised in state rival. Bet Baylor plus the points. |
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12-03-21 | Oregon +3 v. Utah | 10-38 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Utah vs. Oregon 8:00 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Oregon +3.0 (5*) Oregon is less than 2 weeks removed from being crushed at Utah 38-7. That defeat crushed their college football playoff aspirations. Nevertheless, it must be noted, that underdogs playing with revenge in the postseason have been a huge money-maker. Since 2008, those underdogs went 19-7 (73%) ATS and won 16 of those contests straight up. I like Oregon to bounce back tonight in a big way. Bet Oregon plus the points. |
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12-02-21 | Cowboys v. Saints +6 | 27-17 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Dallas @ New Orleans 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: New Orleans +6.0 (5*) The Dallas Cowboys are coming off 2 straight losses. The latest of which was a 36-33 home loss to Las Vegas on Thanksgiving Day. The Cowboys allowed Las Vegas to amass an alarmingly high 509 yards of total offense in that defeat. That’s far more than their average of 369.5 yards per game for the season. New Orleans defense has been solid this season while allowing a respectable 343.7 yards per game. Taysom Hill will start at quarterback tonight for the Saints. He’ll provide a needed emotional spark for a Saints offense that’s been underwhelming for a better part of this season. New Orleans looked horrible in their Thanksgiving night 31-6 loss to Buffalo. It was just the 7th time since Sean Payton has been the head coach of New Orleans that the Saints scored fewer than 10 points in a game. Nonetheless, the Saints followed those dismal offensive performances by going 6-0 ATS and 5-1 SU in their next game. Those previously mentioned results include a 28-13 win at New England earlier this season that immediately followed a 26-7 loss to Carolina. Despite their home underdog ATS loss to Buffalo, since 2019, New Orleans has gone a very profitable 9-3 ATS as an underdog and even won 8 of those contests straight up. The current total in this contest is 47.0. The reason I bring that up is that since 2017, New Orleans is 14-0 SU at home whenever there was a total of 45.5 to 49.0. Any NFL home team (New Orleans) that’s playing after Game 8 of their season, and they’re facing an opponent that allowed 450 yards or more in their previous game, and both teams allow 335-370 yards per game on the season, resulted in those home teams going 34-6 SU (85%) since 1983. Since this NFL straight up betting angle supports the home underdog in this contest it takes on even more added significance. Bet New Orleans plus the points. |
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12-02-21 | Bulls v. Knicks +2 | 119-115 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Chicago @ New York 7:40 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: New York +2.0 (5*) The Knicks are 0-2 versus Chicago this season. However, both losses occurred on the road and came by only a combined 7 points. Furthermore, the Knicks are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home versus Chicago and won by an average of 11.0 points per game. The Knicks also find themselves as a small home underdog in this matchup. That’s worth noting since they’re 20-3 (87%) ATS since the start of last season at home whenever their point-spread was between +3.0 to -3.0. New York is coming off Tuesday’s 112-110 loss at Brooklyn. The Knicks are 4-0 SU in their last 4 following a loss in their previous game. Bet New York plus the small number. |
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12-01-21 | Michigan v. North Carolina OVER 151 | 51-72 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Michigan @ North Carolina 9:15 PM ET Game# 727-728 Play On: Over 151.0 (10*) The total is this high for a reason. North Carolina has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when there was a total of 157.0. Those 4 contests averaged a combined 174.0 points scored per contest. This is also a Tar Heels team which is allowing 78.7 points per game this season. Michigan can adapt to any tempo that the opposition wants to play at. The Wolverines have seen just 1 game having a total of 150.0 or greater this season, and that was their season opener versus Buffalo. Michigan won that contest 88-76 and went over the total of 153.5. The Wolverines have shot an impressive 48.1% from the floor thus far. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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12-01-21 | Hawks v. Pacers OVER 217.5 | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Over 217.5 (5*) This will be the first meeting of the season between these teams. They met 3 times a season ago, all 3 went over the total, and there was a combined average of 247.6 points scored per game. Atlanta is coming off a 99-90 home loss to New York in a game they shot a miserable 35.5%. That snapped a 7-game stretch in which the Hawks scored 110 points or more and shot 48% or better on each occasion. Furthermore, the Hawks have shot under 40% just 3 times this season, and they followed that up in their previous 2 by going over the total and with a combined 227.5 points scored per game. Indiana isn’t a great shooting team, but they like to play at an above average offensive pace. During their previous 6 games Indiana has 91 or more field goal attempts per contest. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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12-01-21 | Cincinnati v. Miami-OH +3.5 | 59-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ Miami-Ohio 7:00 PM ET Game# 675-676 Play On: Miami-Ohio +3.5 (5*) Cincinnati will be facing an opponent today that has a super 17:10 assist to turnover ratio. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, the Bearcats have gone a dismal 2-8 SU versus opponents that average committing 12 turnovers or fewer per game. Cincinnati is coming off back-to-back SU&ATS losses and the last of which was a 61-59 home defeat versus Monmouth in a game they closed as a 10.5-point favorite. This is a better than advertised Miami-Ohio team which averages 85.3 points scored per game while shooting 48.3% this season and is an excellent free throw shooting club that converts at an excellent 75.6% clip. Miami returned all 5 starters from a season ago and it’s paid dividends during their 5-1 start and that includes a season opening upset win at Georgia Tech. The Red Hawks are 4-0 at home this season and have covered each contest easily as double digit favorite on each occasion. Bet Miami-Ohio plus the points. |
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11-30-21 | Warriors v. Suns -120 | Top | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
Golden State @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Phoenix -120 (10*) This is a highly anticipated early season matchup between red-hot teams. Golden State has started the season 18-2 and has gone 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 contests. Phoenix enters this contest on a 16-game win streak. The Suns won’t be intimidated in this spot where the lights will be burning bright. This is a Phoenix team that fell to Milwaukee in 6 games during last season’s NBA Finals. The moment certainly won’t be too big for them, and this situation offers a golden opportunity for Phoenix to make a profound statement. Bet Phoenix for a Top Play money line wager. |
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11-30-21 | Duke v. Ohio State +2.5 | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Duke @ Ohio State 9:30 PM ET Game# 637-638 Play On: Ohio State +2.5 (10*) Duke is coming off a huge win over then #1 Gonzaga which catapulted them to the top spot in the latest AP Poll. Now thy find themselves as a short favorite on the road against an unranked Ohio State team that’s already suffered 2 losses this season. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the top ranked Duke Blue Devils. I am declining that invitation. Bet Ohio State plus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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11-30-21 | Florida State v. Purdue -11 | 65-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Florida State @ Purdue 7:30 PM ET Game# 615-616 Play On: Purdue -11.0 (5*) This line jumped right off the page at me. It’s been a long while since I can recollect a Leonard Hamilton coached Florida State team being this sizable of an underdog. After careful examination, I can fully understand why. The only game Florida State played versus a ranked team this season they were soundly beaten by 16 at #14 Florida. Furthermore, the Seminoles escaped with a 1-point win over Boston University in their previous outing an in a game they closed as a 17.0-point home favorite. Purdue is the real deal. The Boilermakers are an experienced team that’s 6-0 to start the season, covered 5 of those 6 contests, and have shot 50% or better in all those contests. Their lone non-cover came in a 92-67 win over Indiana State as an enormous 26.0-point home favorite. Purdue has also made an outstanding 43.5% of their 3-point shots and 76.1% of its free throw attempts. Additionally, the Boilermakers have been dominant on the boards with an off the charts +17 rebound per game advantage. Bet Purdue minus the points. |
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11-29-21 | Blazers v. Jazz OVER 222 | 107-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Portland @ Utah 9:10 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Over 222.0 (5*) This total jumped off the page at me. This is the highest total on a Utah game since 10/22 when it was 226.5 at Sacramento. When that occurs more times than not is for good reason and usually tricks public bettors. The facts of the matter is Utah has gone over in 5 of their last 6 games. The Jazz have scored 110 points or more in 6 of its last 7 contests. The Jazz have been extremely efficient offensively throughout their previous 5 while scoring 115.0 points per game, shooting 48.8 %, averaged 16 three-point makes per contest, and converted on a red-hot 41.6% of those long-distance attempts. Portland has scored 112 points or more in 5 of its last 6. The Trailblazers have also gone over the total during in 6 of their previous 7 contests. Portland has been terrible defensively throughout their previous 5 while allowing 112.2 points while permitting its opponents to shoot 50.6%. Furthermore, Portland is allowing 115.6 points per game and opponents have shot 50.6%. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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11-29-21 | Seahawks v. Washington Football Team UNDER 47 | 15-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Seattle @ Washington 8:15 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Under 47.0 (5*) Seattle has played 4-1 to the under on the road this season with a combined average of just 40.0 points scored per game. The Seahawks have also played 4-0 during its previous 4 games played. Those 4 contests produced a combined average of only 28.5 points scored per game. Seattle has also played 6-1 to the under whenever Russell Wilson was their starting quarterback. Washington has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 with a combined average of just 40.2 points scored per game. Throughout their previous 4 the Washington defense held their opponents to a combined average of only 286.5 yards of total offense per game. Washington faced Seattle last season and walked away with a 15-10 win, and the game easily stayed under the total of 43.0. Bet this game to go under the total. |
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11-29-21 | Hornets +5.5 v. Bulls | 119-133 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Chicago 8:10 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Charlotte +5.5 (5*) The Bulls are arguably the most improved team in the NBA based on early returns. However, they’ve been in a mini funk after going 1-3 SU&ATS in their last 4. Conversely, Charlotte is playing outstanding basketball of late which is evidenced by an 8-2 SU&ATS run in their previous 10 games. Throughout their previous 5 contests, Charlotte averaged 119.2 points scored per game, converted on an impressive 39.6% of their 3-points attempts, and had an excellent 27:11 assist to turnover ratio. Bet Charlotte plus the points. |
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11-28-21 | Browns v. Ravens OVER 47 | 10-16 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
Browns @ Ravens 8:20 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Over 47.0 (10*) Baltimore has played 4-1 to the over at home this season. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 58.0 points scored and 837.6 yards of total offense per game. Conversely Cleveland has played 4-1 to the over in away games. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 57.2 points scored and 767.6 yards of total offense per game. These AFC North Division rivals have met 4 times over the past 2 season with Baltimore averaging 35.3 points scored per game and Cleveland 25.7 per contest. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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11-28-21 | Vikings v. 49ers OVER 48.5 | 26-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ San Francisco 4:25 PM ET Game# 267-268 Play On: Over 48.5 (5*) Minnesota has played 4-1 to the over in road games this season and there was a combined average of 58.4 points scored per contest. Since 2019, Minnesota has played 7-1 to the over in road games when there was a total of 45.5 to 49.0 with a combined 56.9 points scored per contest. Minnesota has played 4-1 to the over in road games this season and scored 24 points or more on each occasion. Those 5 away contests averaged a combined 58.4 points scored per game. San Francisco is coming off a 30-10 win at Jacksonville and that result stayed under the total of 45.0. Since Kyle Shanahan has been the head coach of San Francisco, his teams have played 11-3 to the over at home following an under in their previous game. That includes 5-1 to the over since 2019 with a combined 53.5 points scored per contest. The 49ers have scored 30 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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11-28-21 | Rams v. Packers +2 | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
Rams @ Packers 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Green Bay +2.0 (5*) The Rams have looked listless in their last 2 games which resulted in SU favorite losses to Tennessee 28-16 and San Francisco 31-10. Green Bay is coming off last Sunday’s 34-31 loss at Minnesota. On a positive note, the Packers have gone 10-0 SU&ATS since 12/9/2018 following a loss and outscored their opponents by an average of 13.9 points per contest. Additionally, Green Bay has gone 4-0 SU&ATS at home this season and allowed 17 points or fewer on each occasion. Bet on Green Bay. |
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11-28-21 | Bucs -3 v. Colts | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Indianapolis 1:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Tampa Bay -3.0 (5*) Indianapolis’ offense relies heavily on running back Jonathan Taylor who was magnificent in a 41-15 blowout win at Buffalo last Sunday. Specifically speaking, Taylor rushed for 185 yards and added another 30 receiving while scoring 5 touchdowns. Here in lies the problem for Indianapolis, they will be facing a Tampa Bay run defense which has been one of the league’s best over the past 3 season. This year alone, the Buccaneers defense has held opponents to 94 yards or less rushing in 7 of 10 games. Furthermore, the Colts are just 3-3 at home this season. Their 3 home wins came over the Jags, Jets, and Texans who have a combined record of 6-24 (.200) this season. Bet Tampa Bay minus the points. |
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11-28-21 | Panthers v. Dolphins +2.5 | 10-33 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Miami 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Miami +2.5 (5*) After losing 6 straight games, the Dolphins have rebounded nicely to go 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3. Their most recent win and cover came in a 24-17 road win over the Jets. The week before they pull off an upset as a 9.0-point home underdog by beating Baltimore 22-10. During this current win streak, Miami has allowed only 12.0 points and 318.7 yards per game while also forcing 7 turnovers. Conversely, Carolina has averaged just 292.7 yards of total offense and committed 5 turnovers throughout its previous 3 game. The Panthers started the season 3-0 and since then is a dismal 2-6 SU&ATS. Bet Miami plus the points. |
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11-28-21 | Steelers v. Bengals -3.5 | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati 1:00 PM ET Game # 263-264 Play On: Cincinnati -3.5 (5*) Don’t look now but Cincinnati has won the last 2 meetings between these AFC North Division rivals and that includes 24-10 at Pittsburgh earlier this season. The Bengals are coming off an impressive 32-13 win at Las Vegas. Pittsburgh has been uninspiring over their past 3 games while going 1-1-1. They barely escaped with a 29-27 home win over Chicago (4-7) despite being outgained 414-280. They also had an embarrassing 16-16 home time against a Detroit team that’s still winless after 11 games. Then last week their 4th quarter rally fell short in a 41-37 road loss to the Chargers. Somehow the scored was that close considering the Chargers outgained them by a considerable margin of 533-300. Bet Cincinnati minus the points. |
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11-27-21 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State -4 | 33-37 | Push | 0 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State 7:30 PM ET Game# 211-212 Play On: Oklahoma State -4.0 (10*) Oklahoma State has gone winless in their last 6 versus Oklahoma and failed to cover on 5 of those occasions. Yet, the sportsbooks are unfazed by those head-to-head results with Oklahoma State opening as a 3.5-point favorite in this contest. Their defense has been sensational this season and a major reason for their 10-1 record in addition to being ranked #7 by the college football playoff committee. The Cowboys are allowing 14.9 points and 251.6 yards per game this season. As a matter of fact, the Cowboys are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 while outscoring their opponents by a cumulative score of 165-23 and allowed a mere 137.8 yards per game. Comparatively, Oklahoma has permitted opponents to average 432.0 yards of total offense per game over its last 7 contests. Bet Oklahoma State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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11-27-21 | Pittsburgh -12.5 v. Syracuse | 31-14 | Win | 105 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Syracuse 7:30 PM ET Game# 157-158 Play On: Pittsburgh -12.5 (5*) Syracuse has run the ball on 63.3% of their offensive plays this season. Furthermore, 61.1% of their offense yards gained have come via their running game. Those numbers are even more lopsided over their last 3 games where 69.1% of their offensive plays were runs and 77.2% of their yards gained came via their rushing attacks. Syracuse has passed for 66 yards or fewer in each of those previous 3 games. Those types of offensive splits resemble that of a service academy. That will be problematic when facing a Pittsburgh team that’s #7 nationally in stopping the run while allowing only 98.8 yards per game. On the other hand, the Panthers offense has averaged 44.0 points scored and 528.7 yards gained per game throughout its last 3 contests. The Pitt offense led by star senior quarterback Kenny Pickett will be facing a Syracuse defense which has failed to force a turnover in 5 straight games. Bet Pittsburgh minus the points. |
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11-27-21 | Oregon State v. Oregon -6.5 | 29-38 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
Oregon State @ Oregon 3:30 PM ET Game# 203-204 Play On: Oregon -6.5 (5*) Oregon will be in a sour mood after last Saturday’s embarrassing 38-7 loss at Utah which knocked them out of the college football playoff picture. Now they take on in state rival Oregon state that’s enjoying an inspiring 7-4 season to this point. However, the Beavers are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 on the road which included being upset by California 4-6 and Colorado 4-8. Oregon will also be playing with revenge after being upset 41-38 by their bitter rival last season in a game they closed as a 13.0-point road favorite. Oregon is a perfect 6-0 at home this season. Bet Oregon minus the points. |
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11-27-21 | Penn State -3 v. Michigan State | 27-30 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Michigan State 3:30 PM ET Game# 223-224 Play On: Penn State -3.0 (5*) This line makes no sense to me. Penn State started the season 5-0 and since that time has gone 2-4. The Nittany Lions are unranked, yet they find themselves as a small favorite versus a 9-2 Michigan State team that’s ranked #12 in the most recent college football playoff rankings. The Spartans were also shellacked last Saturday 56-7 at Ohio State. The Michigan State defense has been shaky all season and over their last 4 games that’s become painfully apparent to Michigan State backers. During that stretch the Spartans allowed 37.5 points and 563.0 yards per game. The other puzzling part of this current point-spread is the fact that Michigan State is a perfect 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home this season while outscoring their opponents by 14.2 points per game. Penn State is just 2-2 SU on the road, but they covered 3 of those contests. Additionally, their only 2 road losses came at #7 Iowa (10-2) by 3 and #2 Ohio State by 9. The Nittany Lions also own a road win over #18 Wisconsin. They’re begging you to take the home underdog. I am not taking the bait. Bet Penn State minus the points. |
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11-27-21 | Charlotte v. Old Dominion -9.5 | 34-56 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Old Dominion 2:00 PM ET Game# 193-194 Play On: Old Dominion -9.5 (5*) These teams have identical 5-6 records, but Old Dominion has clearly bee the better team in this latter part of regular season action. Charlotte started the year 4-2 but since then has gone 1-4 SU&ATS. Conversely, Old Dominion started the season 1-5 and has gone 4-0 SU&ATS since. All 5 losses sustained by ODU all came against teams that currently have a winning record. Throughout their previous 3 games, Charlotte allowed an average of 38.3 points and 520 yards per game. On the other hand, the ODU offense is playing its most productive football of the season during its last 3 contests while averaging 33.7 points scored and 451.0 yards gained per game. Bet on Old Dominion minus the points. |
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11-27-21 | Miami-OH v. Kent State +1.5 | 47-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Miami-Ohio @ Kent State 12:00 PM ET Game# 185-186 Play On: Kent State +1.5 (5*) Miami has won 4 of their last 5 games. Nonetheless, the fact remains that they are a dismal 1-5 SU on the road. Kent State is 4-0 SU and 3-1 at home and outscored their opponents by an average of 18.0 points per game. Furthermore, the Golden Flashes are average 46.0 points scored and 602.3 yards gained per game at home. Kent State is coming off a 38-0 win at Akron in their previous game. That win improved their season record to 6-5. Any college football team that’s coming off a conference road win by 35 points or more, and they possess a winning record, resulted in those home teams going 48-8 SU (85.7%) since 2017. Considering what the point-spread is in this contest, this college football straight up betting angle takes on added significance. Bet on Kent State. |
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11-26-21 | Missouri v. Arkansas -14.5 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
Missouri @ Arkansas 3:30 PM ET Game# 131-132 Play On: Arkansas -14.5 (5*) Missouri has won its last 2 to improve their season record to 6-5 and become bowl eligible. However, their last 5 wins have all come against teams that currently have a losing record. Missouri is 3-4 in SEC action and allowed 36.3 points and 446.9 yards per game. Conversely, Arkansas is 5-1 at home this season where they average 37.0 points scored and 472.3 yards gained per game. The Razorbacks are coming off a narrow 42-35 loss at #3 Alabama last Saturday. They were able to amass 468 yards against an Alabama defense that’s far better than the one it will face in this matchup. Bet Arkansas minus the points. |
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11-26-21 | Iowa v. Nebraska -114 | 28-21 | Loss | -114 | 25 h 15 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Nebraska 1:30 PM ET Game# 125-126 Play On: Nebraska -114 (5*) We have a 3-8 Nebraska team that will be playing with a backup quarterback as a slight favorite over a 9-2 Iowa squad that’s ranked #17 in the latest college football playoff rankings. However, Nebraska may be the best 3-8 team there’s been over the past decade. The Cornhuskers 9 losses have all come by 9 points or fewer. Despite their poor record, Nebraska has averaged outgaining opponents by 92.3 yards per game. That includes 5 losses versus teams that are currently ranked #18 or higher in the most college football playoff rankings. Furthermore, they’re facing an Iowa team that struggles at times offensively to the tune of producing 277 yards or less gained in 4 of its last 5 games. Nebraska will also be playing with big time revenge after having lost their last 6 versus Iowa, and the previous 3 came by a combined 12 points. Bet Nebraska for a money line wager. |
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11-26-21 | Kansas State v. Texas -3 | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show | |
Kansas State @ Texas 12:00 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Texas -3.0 (5*) I always profess to think like a oddsmaker and that will provide you with an edge that most don’t comprehend. This matchup has a Texas team which gone 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 as a small favorite against an opponent in Kansas State who enters their regular season finale with a respectable 7-4 record. It’s rarely that easy in sports betting when things seem so obvious. Besides, Texas has defeated Kansas State in each of the past 4 seasons. Bet Texas minus the points. |
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11-25-21 | Bills -5.5 v. Saints | Top | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 34 h 1 m | Show |
Buffalo @ New Orleans 8:20 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Buffalo -5.5 (10*) Buffalo will look to rebound from a humiliating and humbling 41-15 home blowout loss to the Colts. However, the Bills have gone 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss and win by a decisive margin of 26.0 points per game. So before you start digging a grave for the Bills you should definitely reconsider. Since 2019, Buffalo has gone 15-6 SU and 14-6-1 ATS during regular season away games under current head coach Sean McDermott. That includes 3-0 SU&ATS as a road favorite of 7.0 or less and after Game 6 of the season with an average victory margin of 25.0 points per game. New Orleans has been a profitable home underdog under head coach Sean Payton. But most of those occurrences happened with future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees under center and not this year’s backup Trevor Simien. The Saints may also be without star running back Alvin Kamara who is recovering from a knee injury. Bet Buffalo minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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11-25-21 | Bears v. Lions OVER 41 | 16-14 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Detroit 9:30 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Over 41.0 (5*) This total opened at 45.0 and quickly moved to 41.5.due to the uncertain status of Rams starting quarterback Jared Goff and Chicago starter Justin Fields being ruled out. In Chicago’s case, you can do a lot worse than Andy Dalton as your backup. This is also a meeting of the #29 and #30 scoring offenses in the NFL and bettors have pounded the under like it’s found money on their doorstep. Furthermore, Detroit has played 7-1 to the under during its last 8 games. Additionally, Chicago has played 7-2 to the under during their previous 9 games. It’s very seldom as easy as the data suggests and I’m banking heavily on that being the case in this contest. Chicago will be able to run the ball with a high degree of success which will open up some play action passing opportunities. Conversely, the Lions have allowed 34 points or more in 3 of 4 home games. The same can be said for Detroit with the emergence of running back D’Andre Swift looking so good over the last 2 games. Since 2019, Chicago has played 3-0 to the over as a road favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 and there was a combined 43.8 points scored per game. The Bears have also played 5-1 to the over in division road games since 2019 with a combined average of 51.4 points scored per game. Lastly, since 2019, Detroit has played 10-2 to the over as a home underdog of 7.0 or less and there was a combined 56.6 points scored per contest. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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11-24-21 | Heat v. Wolves +1 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Miami @ Minnesota 8:10 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Minnesota +1.0 (5*) Miami will be playing with no rest following last night’s 100-92 win at Detroit. The Heat will be facing a red-hot Minnesota team that’s gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 and won by a massive margin of 23.0 points per game. The Timberwolves have allowed less than 100 points in each of its previous 5 and held those opponents to a mere 38.6% shooting including 23.0% from 3-point land. Bet on Minnesota. |
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11-24-21 | Raptors v. Grizzlies OVER 217 | 126-113 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Memphis 8:10 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Over 217.0 (5*) Both teams in this matchup have been involved in recent high scoring game. Toronto has played 5-0 to the over during its last 5 when the total is 220.0 or less and there was a combined 229.6 points scored per contest. Conversely, Memphis has played 4-0 to the over during their previous 4 with a combined average of 234.5 points scored per game. Bet this game over the total. |
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11-24-21 | Lakers v. Pacers -5 | 124-116 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
LA Lakers @ Indiana 7:10 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Indiana -5.0 (5*) The Lakers are coming off last night’s 106-100 loss at Madison Square Garden. Los Angeles has now lost 4 of its last 5 games while playing some matador style defense along the way. The Lakers will be facing a Pacers team that’s 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home and won by an average of 12.0 points per game. Indiana is coming off back-to-back blowout wins of 111-4 over New Orleans and 109-77 at Chicago. Indiana has allowed 97 points or fewer in 4 of their last 5 games. Bet Indiana minus the points. |
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11-23-21 | Washington v. South Dakota State -6 | Top | 87-76 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
Washington vs. South Dakota State 9:30 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: South Dakota State -6.0 (10*) This line opened at 7.5 and is now down to 6.0. I’m of the opinion that public and not sharp money was the cause of the line move. After all, we have a poer conference team as an underdog versus an opponent from the Summit. Washington is coming off yesterday’s 77-74 upset win over George Mason in a game thy closed as a 4.5-point underdog. It was by far the Huskies best offensive performance of the year while shooting 48% and considering they shot 40% or worse in each of their first 4 contests. Washington is 3-2 and suffered resume killing home losses to Northern Illinois as a 20.0-point favorite and Wyoming. South Dakota State is a terrific mid-major team. I was on them yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite when they blew out Nevada 102-75. The Jackrabbits are 5-1 straight up and 4-1 ATS in lined games. They’ve been superb offensively to start the season which is evidenced by them averaging 90.7 points scored per game while shooting an impressive 51.4% and a spectacular 44.1% from 3-point territory. The Jackrabbits only defeat came at #10 Alabama 104-88. Despite that loss, they still shot a stellar 48.6%. This is considered a neutral site game despite being played Sioux Falls, South Dakota as part of the Crossover Classic Tournament. Bet South Dakota State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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11-22-21 | TCU v. Santa Clara +3.5 | 66-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Santa Clara vs. TCU 10:30 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: Santa Clara +3.5 (5*) Both teams are undefeated with Santa Clara 4-0 and TCU 3-0. Nonetheless, Santa Clara is the better money makes at 3-0-1 ATS versus 1-2 ATS for TCU. As a matter of fact, Santa Clara has covered their last 3 while winning by an average of 22.7 points per game. Santa Clara has some eye-opening wins by 16 over Stanford and 22 over Nevada. Santa Clara has an excellent 20/10 assist to turnover margin thus far while TCU is an uninspiring 15/16. Since the start of last season, TCU is a dismal 3-11 ATS versus teams that average 14 turnovers or fewer per contest and they were outscored by an average of 10.2 points per game. Bet Santa Clara plus the points. |
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11-22-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 221 | Top | 119-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Memphis @ Utah 9:05 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: Over 221.0 (10*) Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season, these division rivals have met 6 times in Utah and there was a enormous 240.3 combined points scored per game. Utah has garned the reputation of a deadly 3-point shooting teams in recent seasons. Although they are just a tad over 34% in that category this season, The Jazz are still attempting 42 three-points shot and 14 makes per game. Conversely, Memphis has allowed home teams to convert on 42% on their 3-point attempts this season. Utah has scored 120, 119, and 123 points in their last 3 games. Memphis has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 with a combined average of 233.0 points scored per game. Each of those contests went over the total by 7.0-points or more. Memphis is presently a 10.5-point underdog. Since the start of last season, they’ve played 10-1 to the over when their point-spread is between +6.5 and +12.5, and there was a combined 238.4 points scored per contest. Furthermore, Memphis has played at a blazing offensive pace this season which is proven by their 94 field goal attempts per game. Bet over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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11-22-21 | Giants v. Bucs UNDER 50.5 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 56 h 9 m | Show | |
NY Giants @ Tampa Bay 8:15 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Under 50.5 The Giants are currently a 11.0-point underdog in this contest. Since 2019, New York played 3-0 to the under whenever they were an underdog of between 10.0-14.5 points, and there was just a combined 34.7 points scored per contest. The Giants are coming off a 23-16 win over Las Vegas and they did so as a 3.0-point underdog. Since 2019, New York has played 5-1 to the under following a SU win as an underdog. Throughout their previous 3 games, the Giants defense has been stout while allowing 13.0 points and 314.7 points scored per contest. Those previous 3 contests all stayed under while there was only a combined 34.7 points scored per game, and all those contests came versus opponents that currently have a win percentage of .500 or better. Tampa Bay is coming off a 29-19 loss at Washington in their previous game. That defeat dropped their season record to 6-3 (.667). The Bucs have also played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 conference games. Any NFL home team (Tampa Bay) playing after Game 3 of regular season action with a win percentage of less than .700, and they’re coming off a straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more, and there’s a total of 37.0 to 50.5, resulted in those games playing 40-3 (93%) to the under since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total. |
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11-22-21 | Nevada v. South Dakota State -2.5 | 75-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Nevada vs. South Dakota State Game# 777-778 Play On: South Dakota State -2.5 (5*) South Dakota State is 4-1 and all their wins have come by 12 points or more. The Jackrabbits only loss came at #14 Alabama 104-88. This is an explosive offensive team from South Dakota State that averages 88.4 points scored per game, shoots 50.2% from the field, and that includes an extremely impressive 42.2% from 3-point land. Conversely, Nevada has allowed 80.0 points per game and their opponents have shot 47.5% from the field. Bet South Dakota State minus the points. |
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11-22-21 | Hofstra +9.5 v. Richmond | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Hofstra @ Richmond 7:00 ET Game# 779-780 Play On: Hofstra +9.5 (5*) Hofstra is 1-3 to start the season but covered 3 of those 4 contests. They turned in strong performances in losses by 2 at #20 Maryland and by 8 in overtime at #15 Houston. Richmond is off to a disappointing 2-2 start and is coming off a 73-70 loss at Drake. Bet Hofstra plus the points. |
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11-21-21 | Steelers +5.5 v. Chargers | 37-41 | Win | 100 | 30 h 5 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ LA Chargers 8:20 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Pittsburgh +5.5 (5*) This is a huge game for both teams not only in their division but also regarding the AFC Playoff picture going forward. As good as Justin Herbert has been from the start of his young career which started last season, he hasn’t played in any big games in the 2nd half of regular season action. The Chargers don’t exactly come into this week with a ton of momentum after losing 3 of their last 4 games and that includes 0-2 at home. Furthermore, since 2019, the Chargers are 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 as a home favorite of between 4.0 and 7.5,. They were outscored in those contests by an average of 5.8 points per game. Since 2019, Pittsburgh has gone 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-9.5 and their average point-spread per contest was +5.8. In that exact situation, the Steelers were a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS if facing an opponent with a win percentage of .625 or less. Conversely, since 2019, the 5-4 (.555) Chargers are just 6-9 ATS (40%) as a home favorite and were also only 7-8 straight up as well. Bet Pittsburgh plus the points. |
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11-21-21 | Bengals v. Raiders +1 | Top | 32-13 | Loss | -103 | 23 h 54 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Las Vegas 4:05 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Las Vegas +1.0 (10*) Las Vegas is coming off a disheartening 41-13 home underdog loss to Kansas City. That loss dropped their season record to 5-4. They will be facing a Cincinnati team that’s coming off 2 straight losses in which they allowed 37.5 points and 436.0 yards per game. I looked for the Raiders to bounce back in a big way off such a disappointing effort displayed last Sunday. Since 1984, any home team with a point-spread of -2.5 to +5.0 that’s coming off a home underdog ATS loss, and they have a winning record, and they’re facing a non-division opponent, resulted in those home teams going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The average home team point-spread was +1.2 and they won by 9.7 points per game. Bet Las Vegas for my NFL Game of the Month. |
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11-21-21 | Lions v. Browns -12 | 10-13 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Cleveland 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Cleveland -12.0 (5*) Cleveland is coming off a humiliating 45-7 road loss at New England. That loss dropped their season mark to 5-5. If they hope to stay in the AFC North Division race or even contend for a wildcard spot they can ill afford to lose against a winless Detroit team. Specifically speaking, Detroit is 0-8-1 this season following last Sunday’s 16-16 tie at Pittsburgh. T make matters worse for Detroit, starting quarterback Jared Goff is listed as doubtful. Any NFL regular season home favorite of between 10.0 and 13.0-points that playing after game 8 and is coming off a loss by 5 points or more, versus an opponent who’s not coming off a win, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 SU&ATS since 1996. The home teams won those 12 contests by a substantial average of 21.6 points per game. They also held those 12 visting teams to a scant 9.4 points per game. Bet Cleveland minus the points. |
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11-21-21 | Dolphins v. Jets OVER 44.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
Miami @ NY Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Over 44.5 (5*) The Jets have witnessed their last 6 contests all go over the total and there was a combined 61.2 points scored per game. During 4 home games this season, the Jets averaged 21.0 points scored and 392.0 yards gained per outing. Those numbers would be much better if not for 13 turnovers in those 4 home tilts. Additionally, over their previous 3 outings the Jets have averaged 27.0 points scored and 454.3 yards gained per game. They will be facing a Miami defense that’s allowing 28.2 points and 439.0 yards per game through 4 away contests. The Jets defense has been brutal over their last 4 games. Throughout that stretch, New York allowed 43.8 points and 472.5 yards per game. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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11-21-21 | Packers v. Vikings UNDER 47.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
Green Bay @ Minnesota 1:00 ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Under 47.5 (5*) Since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach of Minnesota, his teams have played 15-4 (79%) to the under in division home games with a total between 40.0 and 50.0. Furthermore, the Vikings have gone under the total in all 4 at home this season with a combined average of 35.0 points scored per game. Green Bay has gone under in each of their previous 7 games. There was an average total of 47.8 and a combined 35.0 points scored per game. The Packers offense led by Aaron Rodgers gets their fair share of accolades. However, the Green Bay defense has allowed 14 points or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games. The Packers most recent game ended in a 17-0 home win over Seattle. Since 2019, Green Bay has played 7-1 to the under following a game in which they allowed 14 points or less and there was a combined average of 37.9 points scored per contest. |
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11-20-21 | Texas-Arlington v. San Diego State -19.5 | 62-68 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Texas-Arlington @ San Diego State 10:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: San Diego State -19.5 (5*) Texas-Arlington has gone 0-3 SU&ATS versus Division 1 opponents and lost by a massive 26.7 points per game. During those defeats they averaged a mere 50.3 points scored and committed 23.7 turnovers per game. San Diego State is 2-1 but has played a much tougher slate than Arlington. The Aztecs last 2 games as a 6-point loss at BYU and 2-point home win versus Arizona State. The Aztecs once again lives up to their annual tradition of being a stout defensive team. They’re allowing just 60.7 points per game and holding opponents to 38.3% shooting which includes 23.5% from 3-point territory. Bet San Diego State minus the points. |
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11-20-21 | Oregon v. Utah -3 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
Oregon @ Utah 7:30 PM ET Game# 371-372 Play On: Utah -3.0 (10*) The #3 Oregon Ducks find themselves as an underdog against #24 Utah and I believe for good reason. After starting 1-2, Utah has won 6 of its last 7. The Utes are also a perfect 4-0 at home where they’ve outscored their opponents by 17.0 points per game. As a matter of fact, they’re 17-1 in their last 18 played in Salt Lake City. The Utes offense has been red-hot while scoring 34 points or more in each of their last 6 games. During that stretch, the Utes have only committed 3 turnovers and gained 455 yards or more in each of those contests. The Oregon offense took a huge hit when star running back C.J. Verdell went down for the season. That will catch up to them in this spot while playing in a hostile environment. Bet Utah minus the points. |
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11-20-21 | Baylor v. Kansas State | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 21 m | Show | |
Baylor @ Kansas State 5:30 PM ET Game# 413-414 Play On: Kansas State (5*) Baylor is coming off a game in which they knocked off undefeated Oklahoma by a score of 17-7. The Bears were sky high in that contest in front of a raucous home crowd. There’s no way humanly possible that the #11 ranked Bears will be able to match that physical or mental intensity when going on the road versus an unranked opponent. However, it must be note, Kansas State is 7-3 and winners of 4 straight game. Bet on Kansas State. |
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11-20-21 | Nebraska +10 v. Wisconsin | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
Nebraska @ Wisconsin 3:30 PM ET Game# 363-364 Play On: Nebraska +10.0 (5*) This is another game where the line doesn’t make sense, and yes, I’m once again taking a contrarian approach. Since starting the season 1-3, Wisconsin has gone a red-hot 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS. The latest college football poll has them ranked at #15. Yet, they find themselves as a reasonably sized favorite when considering their opponent is 3-7 and losers of 4 in a row. Nonetheless, you can make a strong case that Nebraska is the best team in the country with a losing record. For example, during their present 4-game losing streak they faced #6 Michigan (9-1), #4 Ohio State (9-1), Purdue (6-4) and Minnesota (6-4). Even with that tough stretch of games versus quality opponents they were only outscored by 6.0 points per contest. As a matter of fact, all 7 of the Cornhuskers losses were 1 possession games. Additionally, head coach Scott Frost received a vote of confidence to return next year. That should also relieve stress for the coaching staff and players alike. Bet Nebraska plus the points. |
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11-20-21 | SMU v. Cincinnati -10 | 14-48 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
SMU @ Cincinnati 3:30 PM ET Game# 327-328 Play On: Cincinnati -10.0 (5*) Despite being 10-0 and posting a quality win at #7 Notre Dame, if the season were to end today, Cincinnati would be on the outside looking in. The biggest criticism of the Bearcats has been their inability to dominate seemingly weaker teams in their own conference. Well, they’ll have a chance to impress the college football committee on Saturday against an 8-2 SMU team. I believe they’ll be more than up to the task. The Bearcats are 5-0 at home while outscoring opponents by 32.4 points and outgaining them by 168.8 yards per contest. The major weakness for SMU is their defense and that’s especially been the case when facing better than average opponents. The Bearcats unequivocally qualify in that regard. Bet Cincinnati minus the points. |
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11-20-21 | Michigan State v. Ohio State -18 | 7-56 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Michigan State @ Ohio State 12:00 PM ET Game# 339-340 Play On: Ohio State -18.0 (5*) We have the #4 team in the country as nearly a 3-touchdown favorite against #7 Michigan State. I am sure this substantial number will produce a lot more tickets and money bet on the underdog. But I’m here to tell you they are wrong. This isn’t a recoding but think like an oddsmaker if you want to be a successful sports bettor. Why is Ohio State such a large favorite against an opponent who is just 3 spots below them in the latest college football playoff rankings? Simply put, because those sharp and astute professionals see Michigan State the same way I do, and that’s an absolute fraud. Regardless of their superb 9-1 record, Michigan State is terrible defensively, and they will be facing a red-hot Ohio State offense that’s #1 nationally in scoring and yards gained. Conversely, Michigan State is #111 in total defense having given up 444.0 yards per game this season. Don’t get suckered into taking the sizable underdog. Lay the points with Ohio State. |
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11-20-21 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -4 | 27-48 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
Wake Forest @ Clemson 12:00 PM ET Game# 361-362 Play On: Clemson -4.0 (5*) This is another one of those college football betting situations that I love taking a contrarian approach. Wake Forest is 9-1 and ranked #10 in the latest college football poll yet they fin themselves as more than a field goal underdog against an unranked team. The biggest enigma for Wake Forest is their defense. The Demon Deacons has allowed 34 or more points and 500 yards or greater in 5 of its last 6 games. Clemson is enduring an uncharacteristic season in which they never seriously threatened being a national title contender. However, they have won 3 in a row to improve their season record to 7-3. The Tigers defense has been stellar all season. The Tigers are also a perfect 5-0 at home this season and allowed a mere 10.2 points and 248.2 yards per game. They will be up to the task against Wake’s explosive offense. The Tigers offense has struggle for most of this season. On a positive note, Clemson has scored 34.7 points per contest during their current win streak. Bet Clemson minus the points. |
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11-20-21 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Oklahoma | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Oklahoma 12:00 PM ET Game# 401-402 Play On: Iowa State +3.5 (5*) Oklahoma is coming off their first loss of the season last week at Baylor. The Sooners have a huge in-state rivalry game up next versus 9-1 Oklahoma State. This sets up as a flat spot for Oklahoma. Iowa State is coming off a 41-38 upset loss to Texas Tech last week. That dropped their season record to 6-4. The Cyclones have gone 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss and won by a massive margin of 43.3 points per game. Iowa State will also be out to revenge their 27-21 loss to Oklahoma in last season’s Big 12 Championship game. Bet Iowa State plus the points. |