Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-02-22 | Padres v. Brewers +100 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Padres (Manaea) @ Brewers (Houser) 7:40 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Brewers +100 (5*) San Diego is coming off being swept in a 3-game series at St. Louis. The Padres have struggled offensively of late while having scored 4 runs or less in each of their previous 9 games. Sean Manaea has a lofty 5.35 ERA over his last 6 starts. Milwaukee dropped a pair at Wrigley Field in their last 2 games played. The Brewers are an exceptional 5-1 this season following 2 consecutive losses. Milwaukee is also a red-hot 13-3 in their last 16 home games. The Brewers will be facing a Padres team that averages only 0.74 home runs per game this season. Since the start of last season, Milwaukee is a terrific 19-2 versus teams that average 0.75 or fewer home runs per game and outscored those opponents by 3.2 runs per occurrence. Adrian Houser has a shiny 1.96 ERA in 4 home starts this season. The Milwaukee bullpen has a solid 2.78 ERA at home. Give me the Brewers on the money line. |
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06-02-22 | Mariners v. Orioles -102 | 7-6 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Mariners (Flexen) @ Orioles (Lyles) 7:05 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Orioles -102 (5*) Chris Flexen is 0-5 in his road team starts this season with an uninspiring 4.96 ERA and 1.72 WHIP. Seattle has gone a dismal 5-15 in their last 20 road games. Jordan Lyles has a superb 2.10 ERA in 4 home starts this season. The Baltimore bullpen has an excellent 2.52 ERA and 1.16 WHIP at home this season. You may be surprised to know that Baltimore is a somewhat respectable 14-13 at home this season. Give me the Orioles on the money line. |
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06-01-22 | Mariners v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Mariners (Ray) @ Orioles (Bradish) 7:05 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Over 8.5 (5*) Kyle Bradish has exhibited poor form over his last 3 starts with a 11.92 ERA and 2.21 WHIP. His pitching adversary today will be Robbie Ray who has been a bit of a free agent signing disappointment thus far for Seattle. Throughout his previous 3 starts Rays has a 6.00 ERA and surrendered 4 home runs. Ray has made 3 career starts at Camden Yards in Baltimore with a 6.57 ERA, 2.27 WHIP, and never exceeded 4 1/3 innings pitched on any of those occasions. Seattle has allowed 4 runs or less in each of their previous 5 games. Nevertheless, the Mariners have played 10-1 to the over in road games since 2020 following 4 straight games in which it allowed 4 runs or less. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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06-01-22 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
Astros (Verlander) @ A’s (Irvin) 3:37 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Astros -1.5 (-125) (5*) Oakland is coming off a 3-1 home loss to Houston on Tuesday. The A’s have now gone a miserable 7-20 at home this season. Additionally, the A’s are 2-14 this season as a home money line underdog of +100 or greater and were outscored by 3.4 runs per game. Cole Irvin has made 4 career starts versus Houston and all those occurred last season. During those 4 outings Irvin recorded a 7.41 ERA and allowed 6 home runs in 20 1/3 innings pitched. The A’s were 0-4 in those matchups and lost by a sizable 4.3 runs per game. The Oakland bullpen has a terrible 7.50 ERA and 1.71 WHIP over their last 7 games. Jason Verlander has been lights out all season but has been especially strong in his away starts. Verlander has made 6 road starts with a brilliant 1.85 ERA and 0.82 WHIP while averaging 6.5 innings pitched per outing. Verlander has a season 2.41 ERA in 13 starts. He’ll be facing an Oakland team that’s gone an abysmal 0-12 this season when facing American League starting pitchers with an ERA of 3.70 or better. The Astros bullpen has been locked in throughout their previous 7 games with a staff 0.48 ERA. Give me the Astros on the run line. |
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05-31-22 | Astros v. A's +120 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Astros (Javier) @ A’s (Montas) 9:40 PM ET Game# 979-980 Play On: A’s +120 (5*) The Astros Christian Javier is 1-3 in his career team starts at Oakland with a 7.13 ERA and allowed 7 home runs over just 17 2/3 innings pitched. Despite their 5-1 win at Oakland yesterday, Houston has averaged a paltry 2.6 runs scored per outing throughout their last 12 games. Franke Montas has pitched 7-3 to the under this season with a more than respectable 3.12 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Additionally, Montas has pitched 4-0 to the under in his last 4 starts at home with a superb 2.05 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and amassing 33 strikeouts over 26 1/3 innings pitched. Since 2019, Montas has made 4 home starts versus Houston with an excellent 1.42 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, and averaged 6.3 innings pitched per start. Give me the A’s on the money line. |
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05-31-22 | Oilers v. Avalanche OVER 7 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 121 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Oilers @ Avalanche 8:00 PM ET Game# 27-28 Play On: Over 7.0 (10*) We seldom see an NHL total go to 7.0 or more in this modern era and let alone during the playoffs. However, the statistics fully support the oddsmakers bold move. Both teams put on enormous offensive pressure to their opponents. Colorado averages 35 shots on goal per game while Edmonton is at 34. Each team’s power plays have been extremely efficient during these playoffs. Edmonton has scored 4 goals or more in 9 of its last 11 games. The last 5 times Edmonton has played it resulted in a combined 9.0 goals scored per game. Conversely, Colorado has scored 3 goals or more in 8 of its previous 10 games. Colorado has gone an outstanding 10-29 (34.5%) on the power play during postseason action. Give me this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play. |
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05-31-22 | Nationals v. Mets OVER 9 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Nationals (Corbin) @ Mets (Williams) 7:10 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Over 9.0 (5*) Patrick Corbin has pitched 7-2-1 to the over this season with a 6.30 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. The Washington bullpen has a staff 6.20 ERA and 1.59 WHIP on the road in 2022. The Nationals are 7-2 to the over during its last 9 with a combined average of 10.1 runs scored per game. The Nationals have gone under in only 31.6% of its 23 road games. That includes playing 12-2 to the over on the road when facing a righthanded starting pitcher and with a combined 11.5 runs scored per game. The Mets have gone over in their last 7 with a combined 14.9 runs scored per game. Trevor Williams has a sizable 7.20 ERA during 3 starts this season and averaged only 3.3 innings pitched per appearance. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-31-22 | Giants v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Giants (Junis) @ Phillies (Suarez) 6:45 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Over 9.5 (5*) The Phillies have played 6-1-1 to the over during its last 8 with a combined average of 10.0 runs scored per game. Ranger Suarez has displayed poor form over his last 3 starts while posting a 6.91 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen continues to struggle with a staff 5.40 ERA, 1.75 WHIP, and allowing 6 home runs in 21 1/3 innings throughout its previous 7 games. The Phillies average drawing just 2.9 walks per game in 2022. The Giants have played 10-2 to the over this season versus teams that average drawing 3.0 or less walks per game and with a combined 11.1 runs scored per occurrence. San Francisco has played 5-2-1 to the over during its last 8 and with a combined 11.8 runs scored per game. The Giants have also cracked 14 home runs over their last 7 games. The San Francisco bullpen has been terrible throughout their previous 7 games while recording a 9.45 ERA and 1.85 WHIP. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-30-22 | Rangers +135 v. Hurricanes | Top | 6-2 | Win | 135 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Rangers @ Hurricanes 8:00 PM ET Game# 21-22 Play On: Rangers +134 (10*) The opposition to this pick will come from Carolina’s 7-0 home playoff record during these 2022 NHL Playoffs. However, my positive experiences when betting on any Game 7 of a NHL Playoff series started with who I felt was the most reliable or sharp in goal. I don’t think there will be many to disagree with me that Igor Shesterkin has been far better than Antti Raanta. That’s especially so over the past 4 games. During that stretch Shesterkin is 3-1 with a terrific .953 save percentage. Throughout the previous 3 games, Raanta has an uninspiring .889 save percentage. Additionally, the Rangers special teams play has outplayed the Hurricanes and by a wide margin. I look for both of my main points regarding special teams and goaltending to pave the way for a Rangers win tonight. Give me the Rangers on the money line. |
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05-30-22 | Nationals v. Mets -1.5 | 5-13 | Win | 110 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Nationals (Fedde) @ Mets (Peterson) 7:10 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Mets -1.5 (+110) (5*) Nationals righthander Erick Fedde is 0-4 in his career team starts at Citi Field with a uninspiring 5.12 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. The Nationals bullpen has been very good at home but that’s not the case during away games. The Nationals bullpen has posted a 5.91 ERA and 1.58 WHIP during away games in 2022. The Mets are coming off a 3-game sweep over Philadelphia at Citi Field. The Mets are now on a modest 5-game win streak at home. New York has averaged 8.1 runs scored and 11.2 hits per game throughout their previous 6 outings. The Mets are 26-9 this season when facing righthanded starting pitchers. The Mets David Peterson is 4-0 in his team starts this season with a brilliant 2.57 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Peterson has made 3 career starts versus Washington with all of them coming since 2020. During those outings Peterson registered an excellent 1.08 ERA and 0.78 WHIP. Give me the Mets on the run line. |
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05-30-22 | Orioles +157 v. Red Sox | 10-0 | Win | 157 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Orioles (Wells) @ Red Sox (Hill) 7:10 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Orioles +157 (5*) The Red Sox are coming off a 12-2 blowout win over the Orioles on Sunday. However, Boston is 0-3 in their last 3 following a win and Baltimore is 4-1 during its previous 5 after a loss. The Orioles Tyler Wells has a more than respectable 3.64 ERA and 0.98 WHIP throughout his previous 7 starts. Baltimore is 4-3 versus the Red Sox this season and split the first 4 in this 5-game series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox Rich Hill has compiled a poor 6.17 ERA in 3 starts at Fenway Park this season. Hill is a money draining 17-23 in his career team starts as a money line favorite of -150 to -200. The Red Sox bullpen has been on shaky ground over their last 7 games with a staff 4.76 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Give me the Orioles on the money line. |
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05-30-22 | Royals v. Guardians OVER 9.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Royals (Heasley) @ Guardians (Plesac) 6:10 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Over 9.5 (5*) Kansas City has gone over the total in 9 of their last 10 games. Jon Heasley has made 3 starts for the Royals in 2022 with a lofty 4.73 ERA and 1.88 WHIP during only 13 1/3 innings pitcher. The Royals bullpen has been terrible of late while recording a staff 7.40 ERA and 2.14 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. Kansas City has seen just 29.7% of its road games stay under the total. The Royals have averaged a more than respectable 5.3 runs scored per game throughout their previous 7. Zach Plesac has pitched 5-0 to the over during his previous 5 starts with a large 8.06 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. Plesac will be facing a Kansas City team which has drawn a mere 2.9 walks per game this season. Since the start of last season, Plesac has pitched 8-0 to the over when facing teams that draw 3 or less walks per game and there were a combined 11.5 runs scored per outing. The weather forecast is calling for winds of 12-15 MPH blowing out to right-center. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-29-22 | Celtics -2.5 v. Heat | Top | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
Celtics @ Heat 8:30 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Celtics -2.5 (10*) This will be just the 3rd time since 1991 NBA Playoffs that we have a Game 7 road favorite. That speaks volumes to me. Not only are the Celtics a Game 7 road favorite, but it comes after a Game 6 home loss and them squandering a chance to advance to the NBA Finals. The sportsbooks are dangling the carrot to take the home underdog in this win or go home matchup. I am not taking the bait. Any NBA Game 7 away team with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 and there was a total of 203.0 or less, resulted in those road teams going 5-0 SU&ATS since 1991. The average margin of victory was 7.0-points per game. Give me Boston minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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05-29-22 | Blue Jays v. Angels -125 | 11-10 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Berrios) @ Angels (Sandoval) 4:07 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Angels -125 (5*) Jose Berrios has struggled over his last 3 road starts with a 7.88 ERA. Toronto enters today on a modest 4-game win streak. However, the Blue Jays have yet to win 5 straight games this season. Conversely, the Angels have lost 4 in a row for the 2nd time this season. Los Angeles hasn’t endured losing 5 in a row thus far in 2022. Berrios will be facing an Angels team with a run per game differential of +0.9. The Toronto righthander is 14-32 in his career team starts versus teams that have a 0.5 or greater run per game differential. During 4 career road starts versus the Angels Berrios has recorded an uninspiring 6.96 ERA. Patrick Sandoval is 4-0 in his home team starts this season with a brilliant 1.50 ERA while averaging 6.0 innings pitched per start. Additionally, Sandoval is 6-1 in all his team starts this season with a 1.17 ERA and has yet to surrender a home run in 40 1/3 innings pitched. Give me the Angels on the money line. |
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05-29-22 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 2-12 | Loss | -120 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
Orioles (Zimmerman) @ Red Sox (Pivetta) 1:35 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Under 9.5 (5*) The Red Sox Nick Pivetta has shown superb form over his last 4 starts with a 1.61 ERA and 0.64 WHIP while averaging 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Boston has played 14-4-1 to the under this season versus division opponents. The Red Sox lost to Baltimore 4-2 on Saturday. Boston has played 17-5 to the under this season following a loss. The Orioles Bruce Zimmerman has been solid this season with a 3.21 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 9 starts. The Orioles bullpen has an excellent 1.96 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. Baltimore has played 16-9-1 to the under on the road this year. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-29-22 | Rockies +114 v. Nationals | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
Rockies (Freeland) @ Nationals (Gray) 1:35 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Rockies +114 (5*) Josiah Gray has a sizable 6.14 ERA in 3 career starts versus Colorado. Gray is 1-4 in his home team starts this season with a terrible 8.25 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. Washington is 8-18 at home this season. Kyle Freeland is 5-1 in his career team starts versus Washington with an excellent 1.83 ERA. Freeland has an impressive 1.17 ERA in 3 road starts this season. Since last season, Freeland is 12-3 in his team starts versus teams with a losing record. The Rockies lefthander has also gone an extremely profitable 34-15 in his career team starts during day games. Give me the Rockies on the money line. |
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05-28-22 | Blue Jays v. Angels -107 | 6-5 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Kikuchi) @ Angels (Lorenzen) 10:07 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Angels -107 (5*) The Blue Jays starter Kikuchi is 1-6 in his career team starts versus the Angels with a huge 10.62 ERA and 2.26 WHIP. During his last 6 versus the Angels, Kikuchi has surrendered 12 home runs in 24 1/3 innings pitched. Kikuchi is 0-4 in his road team starts this season has an alarmingly high 1.50 WHIP while walking 13 men in only 17 1/3 inning pitched. Michael Lorenzen has an impressive 2.38 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 4 home starts this season. The Angels have doped 3 in a row after last night’s 4-3 loss to Toronto. However, Lorenzen has gone 14-5 in his career team starts when his ballclub lost its previous game. Give me the Angels on the money line. |
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05-28-22 | Phillies v. Mets -121 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Phillies (Eflin) @ Mets (Walker) 7:10 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Mets -121 (10*) Zach Eflin has a horrible 8.36 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in 3 road starts this season. That included an outing at Citi Field in New York on 5/1 when he allowed 5 earned runs on 8 hits during just 4 1/3 innings pitched. The Phillies bullpen has been terrible over its last 7 games with a staff 5.48 ERA and enormous 2.15 WHIP. By virtue of an 8-6 win last night, the Mets are now 7-3 this season versus Philadelphia and that includes 3-1 at Citi Field. The Mets have been red-hot offensively while averaging 6.6 runs scored per game throughout their previous 7 and recording an excellent team batting average of .308. The Mets are an extremely profitable 24-9 when facing right-handed starting pitchers this season. Tijuan Walkers has a stellar 1.86 ERA and 0.89 WHIP during 4 career home starts versus the Phillies. Walker has also displayed terrific form in his last 3 starts overall while compiling a 1.42 ERA and averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. Give me the Mets on the money line for a Top Play. |
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05-28-22 | Guardians v. Tigers UNDER 7.5 | 8-1 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
Guardians (Bieber) @ Tigers (Faedo) 4:10 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Shane Bieber has pitched 4-1 to the under this season on the road with a 2.76 ERA. Bieber has a superb 2.31 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 9 career starts versus Detroit. That includes registering 10 or more strikeouts in the last 6 of those starts while pitching 7.0 or more innings on 5 occasions. The Cleveland bullpen has been lights out over their previous 7 games with a staff 1.89 ERA and microscopic 0.53 WHIP. Detroit won 4-3 over Cleveland yesterday. Since the start of last season, the Tigers have played 12-0 to the under after a 1-run win in their previous game. Detroit has witnessed just 27.2% of their 44 games played this season go over the total. Alex Faedo has seen his previous 3 starts go under the total while he compiled a 2.81 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. The Tigers bullpen has more than held their own this season with a 2.84 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-27-22 | Rangers v. A's UNDER 7 | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Rangers (Gray) @ A’s (Irvin) 9:40 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) Cole Irvin enters this outing have displayed stellar form over his last 4 starts with a 1.64 ERA. Irvin has witnessed all 3 of his home starts going under the total while compiling an excellent 1.12 ERA. Oakland has played 16-6 (72.7%) to the under at home this season while averaging a paltry 2.4 runs scored per game. Texas’ Jon Gray has shown solid form over his last 3 starts with a 3.37 ERA. Grays has faced the Astros and Yankees during his last 2 road starts and had a 1.74 ERA through 10 1/3 innings pitched. The Texas bullpen has been tough on the road which is indicated by their 2.72 ERA during those outings. The Rangers have played 9-0-2 to the under in their last 11 away games. Texas is coming off a 4-1 win at Oakland last night. The Rangers have played 8-0 to the under on the road this season following a game in which they allowed 2 runs or less. Those 8 occurrences averaged a ridiculously low 3.9 runs combined scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-27-22 | Blue Jays v. Angels UNDER 8 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Manoah) @ Angels (Silseth) 9:38 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Alek Manoah has pitched 7-1 to the under this season with a brilliant 1.62 ERA and 0.88 WHIP while averaging6.2 innings per start. Toronto is currently a money line favorite of -115 in this matchup. Manoah has pitched 8-0 to the under in his young career when the Blue Jays money line is +125 to -125 and there was a mere 4.9 runs combined score per game. The Toronto bullpen has been solid on the road in 2022 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.16 WHIP The Angels Chase Silseth has made 2 starts this season and accounted himself well while registering a 2.61 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. The Angels bullpen has recorded a more than respectable 3.84 ERA and 1.12 WHIP this season. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-27-22 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 201.5 | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
Heat @ Celtics 8:30 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Over 201.5 (10*) Miami just can’t possibly play any worse offensively than they did in their Games 4 and 5 losses. They were just a combined 60-184 (32.6%) shooting and scored 80 and 82 points. The Heat were embarrassed in a 93-80 home loss to Boston in Game 5 and were outscored 57-39 during 2nd half action. However, Miami has played 11-2 to the over on the road this season following a loss by 10 or more and there was a combined 222.4 points scored per game. Each of the last 2 games in this series went under. Boston has played 5-1 to the over at home this season following 2 consecutive games going under. Play on this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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05-26-22 | Rangers v. A's UNDER 7 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Rangers (Perez) @ A’s (Montas) 9:40 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) Martin Perez has pitched 3-0 to the under on the road this season with a 0.00 ERA and averaged 7.3 innings pitched per start. Perez has also recorded an excellent 0.65 ERA throughout his last 6 starts overall and averaged 6.9 innings pitched per start. Perez pitched 60 innings of scoreless baseball during his lone start versus Oakland in 2022. Texas has gone over the total in only 5 of its 20 road games this season. The Rangers have gone over the total during just 7 of 24 games this season when facing a righthanded starting pitcher like they’ll see tonight. Oakland is averaging just 2.5 runs scored per game at home this season while hitting a mere 8 home runs in 21 games. Frankie Montas has pitched 3-1 to the under in his last 4 starts with a superb 2.57 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. Montas allowed 2 earned runs in 7 1/3 innings pitched during his lone start versus Texas this season. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-26-22 | Mavs v. Warriors UNDER 215.5 | 110-120 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Golden State 9:00 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Under 215.5 (5*) Dallas staved off elimination with a 119-109 win on Tuesday night. That contest easily went over the total of 215.5. However, Golden State has played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 following a game that wnt over and there was just a combined 204.2 points scored per game. Dallas has played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 following an over in their previous game and there was a combined 202.7 points scored per game. The offensive pace in this series has been extremely slow with just an average of 162.5 field goal attempts per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-26-22 | Phillies v. Braves OVER 8 | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Phillies (Nola) @ Braves (Wright) 7:20 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Over 8.0 (5*) The first 3 games of this series have all gone over the total with a combined 11.0 runs scored per occurrence. The Phillies have played 10-1 to the over in their previous 11 on the road and with a combined 11.9 runs scored per game. The Braves have played 8-0-1 to the over during its last 9 at home with a combined 11.4 runs scored per game. Phillies pitcher Aaron Nola hasn’t been good in his last 4 starts at Atlanta which is evidenced by his 8.66 ERA and 1.98 WHIP during those outings. The Phillies bullpen has a horrible 2.00 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Phillies have hit an impressive 30 home runs during their 20 road games in 2022. The Braves Kyle Wright is 0-2 in his career starts versus the Phillies with a lofty 6.10 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. The Braves bullpen has a lofty 1.48 WHIP in their last 7 games. During that exact time span, the Braves have hit 11 home runs and averaged 5.0 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-26-22 | Yankees v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Yankees (Cortes) @ Rays (Yarbrough) 6:40 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Hector Cortez has been exceptional in 8 starts for the Yankees this season while posting 1.80 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and recording 56 strikeouts over 45.0 innings pitched. The Yankees are currently a money line favorite of -120. New York has played 9-1 to the under this season when their money line is -100 to -150 and there were only a combined 5.0 runs scored per game. Ryan Yarbrough has made 1 career starts versus the Yankees and it occurred last season. Yarbrough tossed a complete game in that outing which resulted in a 9-2 Rays win. The Rays bullpen has been sharp throughout their last 7 games with a 2.12 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-25-22 | Red Sox +150 v. White Sox | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Red Sox (Hill) @ White Sox (Giolito) 8:10 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Red Sox +150 (5*) This appears to be a starting pitching mismatch when just looking at the raw statistical data for this season. However, after careful examination I found those numbers to be deceiving. Yes, Lucas Giolito has been excellent thus far in 2022. Nonetheless, he’s made 3 starts versus Boston since 2019 with a horrible 10.03 ERA and 2.49 WHIP. Based on that size of a WHIP, Giolito is fortunate that his ERA isn’t much worse than it was. The White Sox bullpen hasn’t been good at home while recording a staff 5.78 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Boston has won 6 in a row while averaging 9.0 runs and 11.5 hits per game. Additionally, Boston has an extremely impressive team PPS of .990 throughout its last 7 games and hit 17 home runs during that span. Rich Hill has been solid in his last 3 road starts this season with a 1.29 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. The Red Sox bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games with an 1.74 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. Give me the Red Sox on the money line. |
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05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat +2.5 | Top | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
Celtics @ Heat 8:30 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Miami +2.5 (10*) Miami is coming off a terrible performance in Game 4 at Boston on Monday which resulted in a 102-82 blowout loss. However, the Heat have gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home following a loss and won by a massive average of 27.3 points per game. Despite that lopsided loss, Miami still held Boston to just 39% shooting. Miami is 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 following a game in which they held their opponent to less than 40% shooting and won by an average of 15.0 points per game. Furthermore, the Heat have gone 20-1 SU this season following a game in which there was a combined 205 points or less scored. Lastly, Boston has gone a dismal 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 following a win and all those contests took place in the playoffs. Give me the Heat plus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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05-24-22 | Royals v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Royals (Heasley) @ Diamondbacks (Gallen) 9:40 PM ET Game# 929-930 Play On: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+100) (5*) Kansas City has lost 5 straight and allowed 7.6 runs per game while doing so. The Royals Jon Heasley has been uninspiring in his 2 starts this season while posting a large 1.80 WHIP. Heasley struck out only 2 while walking 7 in 8 1/3 innings pitched. Arizona has won 4 of its last 5 and averaged 6.6 runs scored per game. Zac Gallen has been dominating in 7 starts this season with an exceptional 1.14 ERA and 0.71 WHIP. The Diamondbacks bullpen has a stellar 2.87 ERA over their last 7 games. Give me Arizona on the run-line. |
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05-24-22 | Warriors v. Mavs OVER 215.5 | Top | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Golden State @ Dallas 9:00 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Over 215.5 (10*) Golden State holds a commanding 3-0 series lead following a 109-100 win at Dallas on Sunday. That contest went under the total of 216.5. Golden State has played 6-1 to the over in their last 7 following a game which went under the total and there was a combined 233.3 points scored per game. Additionally, Golden State scored 121.1 points per game throughout those 7 contests. Conversely, Dallas has averaged 114.0 points scored per contest in their last 15 this season following an outing in which they scored 100 points or fewer. Since the 1991 NBA Playoffs, visiting teams that hold a 3-0 series lead and there’s a total of 214.0 or greater, resulted in those games playing 8-1 (88.9%) to the over. The average total in those 9 postseason contests was 220.8 and there were a combined 234.3 points scored per game. Play on this game to go over the total for a Top Play. |
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05-24-22 | Red Sox v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 16-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Red Sox (Pivetta) @ White Sox (Cease) 8:10 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Nick Pivetta has displayed excellent form throughout his last 3 starts with a 0.82 ERA and 0.50 WHIP. Pivetta averaged 7.3 innings pitched per start during those appearance and only walked 1 hitter while striking out 20. Since last year, Pivetta has made 3 starts versus the White Sox and posted a brilliant 1.20 ERA. The Red Sox bullpen has been outstanding over its last 7 games while recording a staff 1.97 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. Boston has seen just 6 of their 21 road games (28.6%) go over the total. Dyland Cease has a terrific 0.88 WHIP in 4 home starts this season. Throughout his previous 5 starts, Cease has registered an enormous 48 strikeout in 27 2/3 innings pitched. The White Sox bullpen has a shiny 2.82 ERA over their previous 7 games. The White Sox have seen just 11 of 31 games (35.5%) go over the total when facing a righthanded starting pitcher like they’ll be going up against today. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-23-22 | Brewers v. Padres OVER 8 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Brewers (Houser) @ Padres (Martinez) 9:40 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Over 8.0 (5*) Adrian Houser has made 3 road starts in 2022 with a lofty 5.27 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. The Padres Nick Martinez has a 5.22 ERA and allowed 6 home runs in just 20 2/3 innings pitched during 4 home starts this season. The Braves have played 12-6 (67%) to the over in their last 18 games. The Padres have played 16-9 (64%) to the over during its previous 25 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-23-22 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 206.5 | Top | 82-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
Heat @ Celtics 8:30 PM ET Game# 565-566 Play On: Under 206.5 (10*) These teams have a combined 8 players that are listing as questionable for tonight’s game. There’s a good chance that most will play and be less than 100% which is typical at this time of year. More times than not, teams in this situation lose more offensively than defensively. The first 3 games of this series have all gone over the total. Miami has played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 games following 3 straight overs. Miami is coming off an upset win in Game 3 at Boston. However, Boston has allowed just an average of 97.5 points per game this season immediately following 1 of their 17 straight up favorite losses. Furthermore, the Celtics have allowed only 97.8 points scored per game in their last 4 games immediately following a loss. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play. |
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05-23-22 | Blue Jays v. Cardinals -112 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Berrios) @ Cardinals (Mikolas) 7:45 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Cardinals -112 (5*) Jose Berrios has been extremely shaky in his 4 road starts this season with a sizable 6.43 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. Berrios will be facing a Cardinals team that’s outscored their opponents by an average of 1.1 runs per game this season. Berrios has gone an abysmal 1-12 in his career starts on the road when facing a team that averages outscoring their opponents by 1.0 or more runs per game. The Blue Jays are averaging a mere 2.4 runs scored per game throughout their last 7. The Blue Jays have gone 2-8 in their last 10 road games. Miles Mikolas has been terrific thus far in 2022 while compiling a 1.68 ERA and 0.99 WHIP during 8 starts. The Cardinals have averaged 6.1 runs cored per game throughout their last 7. Give me the Cardinals on the money line. |
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05-23-22 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Phillies (Wheeler) @ Braves (Davidson) 7:20 ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Under 8.5 (5*) Since 2020, Zack Wheeler has pitched 4-1 to the under versus Atlanta with a superb 1.60 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. The Phillies have played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 games. Philadelphia has also averaged a paltry 2.3 runs scored per game throughout its previous 7 outings. The Braves Tucker Davidson made his season debut start at Milwaukee last Tuesday and he pitched 5.0 innings of scoreless baseball. Davidson made 1 career start versus the Phillies and pitched 6.0 innings of scoreless baseball in a game played last season. The Braves have averaged 3.4 runs per game over their last 7 and had a poor .192 team batting average while doing so. The Atlanta bullpen has a shiny 2.22 ERA in their last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-22-22 | Warriors v. Mavs -125 | Top | 109-100 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 30 m | Show |
Mavericks @ Warriors 9:00 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Dallas -125 (10*) Dallas lost the first 2 games of this series and allowed Golden State to shoot exactly 56.1% on both occasions. However, the Mavericks haven’t lost 3 straight games since 12/7/2021. Additionally, they’ve gone 7-2 SU this season immediately following 2 consecutive losses and that includes 5-0 SU in their last 5. It’s also worth noting that Dallas is 5-0 SU&ATS following 2 straight games in which they allowed opponents to shoot 50% or better and they won by an average of 16.0 points per game. Dallas is currently a money line home favorite of -125. The Mavericks have gone an unblemished 16-0 this season as a money line home favorite of -250 or less. Give me Dallas on the money line for a Top Play wager. |
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05-22-22 | Mariners +116 v. Red Sox | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
Mariners (Gilbert) @ Red Sox (Eovaldi) 1:35 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Mariners +116 (5*) The Red Sox will look to complete a 4-game sweep of the Martiners on Sunday. However, they’ll be starting Nathan Eovaldi who has struggled mightily this season. Specifically speaking, Eovaldi has surrendered 14 home runs in 41 2/3 innings pitched this season and that includes 7 taters in 11 1/3 at Fenway Park. Eovaldi is 0-3 in his last 3 team starts with a terrible 8.31 ERA and 1.85 WHIP. Boston is 5-12 in day games this season while Seattle is a respectable 8-6. Logan Gilbert has gone an unscathed 7-0 on the road since last season whenever the Mariners were +125 to -125. Seattle won those 7 outings by a decisive margin of 3.3 runs per game. Gilbert is 4-1 in his team starts on the road this season with a brilliant 1.59 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. Gilbert is also a perfect 6-0 in road games on Sundays since the start of last season with the Mariners winning by a healthy 3.7 runs per game. Give me the Mariners on the money line. |
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05-21-22 | A's v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
A’s (Montas) @ Angels (Lorenzen) 9:07 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Frankie Montas has made 4 career starts at Anaheim with a terrific 1.04 ERA. He also pitched 6.0 or more innings on each occasion. Montas has made 5 starts overall versus the Angels since last season and compiled a dominating 1.10 ERA during those appearances. Additionally, Montas has seen each of his last 3 starts go under the total with his 2.79 and 6.4 innings pitched per outing being a huge contributing factor to those low scoring affairs. The Oakland bullpen has been very good on the road this season which is proven by a staff 2.49 ERA. Oakland has seen just 3 of its last 17 games go over the total. The Angels Michael Lorenzen has been rock-solid in his 3 home starts with a 3.24 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Lorenzen was dominant in his lone start versus Oakland this season while allowing 1 earned run over 7.0 innings pitched. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-21-22 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 208 | 109-103 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Heat @ Celtics 8:30 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Under 208.0 (5*) Boston has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 at home. Conversely, Miami has seen 4 of its 5 road playoff games go under the total. The Heat hangs their hat on its staunch defensive play. With that said, they won’t take to kindly to Boston hanging 127 points on them in Game 2 while also shooting better than 50%. I look for Miami to be more focused defensively from the start of this contest unlike what we saw in the first 2 games when they allowed 62 and 70-points during 1st half action. Boston is no stranger to playing good defense. They ranked #1 in the NBA on most pertinent defensive categories during regular season action. Both teams are averaging 84 field goal attempts per game during the postseason which equates to a slower than average pace. Any NBA away team (Heat) with a total of 200.0-209.5 that’s gone over the total in their last 2 games and each by 18.0 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .600-.750, resulted in those games playing 25-7 (78.1%) to the under since 1996. The average total in those 32 contests was 204.6 and there were a combined 199.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-21-22 | Nationals v. Brewers -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Nationals (Corbin) @ Brewers (Woodruff) 7:10 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Brewers -1.5 (-105) (5*) The Nationals Patrick Corbin has gone 0-8 in his team starts this season with a lousy 6.28 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. Washing has scored 2 runs or less in 6 of their last 8 and includes last night’s 7-0 loss at Milwaukee. They’ll be facing a Milwaukee Brewers team that’s 12-3 in their last 15 at home and a starting pitcher who’s dominated them. Milwaukee’s Brandon Woodruff is 3-0 in his home team starts this season with an excellent 1.62 ERA and 0.66 WHIP. Woodruff has made 4 career starts versus Washington with an awesome 1.13 ERA and 0.54 WHIP. The Brewers bullpen has been strong over their last 7 games while recording a 2.14 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. Give me the Brewers on the run-line. |
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05-21-22 | Dodgers v. Phillies -120 | 7-4 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Dodgers (White) @ Phillies (Nola) 6:05 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Phillies -120 (5*) The opening and current money line on this matchup jumped right off the screen at me. We have a Dodgers team on a present 6-game win streak as an underdog versus an opponent that’s last 4 of its last 5. Furthermore, the Dodgers are a sizable 8.5 games ahead of Philadelphia in the National League standings. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the underdog here. I’m not taking the bait. The Phillies ace Aaron Nola has made 4 home starts this season with a 3.09 ERA and 0.69 WHIP. Nola has made 2 starts versus the Dodgers since last season and allowed only 2 earned runs and striking out 15 in 11.0 innings of work. Nola has averaged 6.5 innings pitched per start over his last 5. That’s extremely important in the respect that it protects an already vulnerable Phillies bullpen from being asked to carry a heavy load. Give me the Phillies on the money line. |
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05-20-22 | A's v. Angels UNDER 8 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
A’s (Blackburn) @ Angels (Silseth) 9:38 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Chase Silseth will be making a 2nd ever MLB start. If he comes close duplicating his MLB debut, then A’s hitters will once again struggle. I say once again because Silseth’s debut came against the A’s on 5/13 and he allowed 0 earned runs on 4 hits during 6.0 innings pitched. Paul Blackburn has been lights out in 7 starts this season with a brilliant 1.67 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. Blackburn has been even better than that in his 4 road starts with a 0.83 ERA during those appearances. The A’s bullpen has been solid on the road this season with a 2.65 ERA. Oakland has been anemic offensively throughout their previous 7 while averaging a paltry 2.3 runs scored per game and managed to hit only 2 home runs. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-20-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Mavericks @ Warriors 9:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: Mavericks +6.5 (10*) Dallas is coming off a terrible 112-87 loss in the series opener on Wednesday. The Mavericks were held to 36% shooting and were dominated on the boards 51-35. However, this is a very resilient Dallas team that’s gone 10-0 SU this season following a loss by 20 points or more and outscored opponents by 13.2 points per game. Dallas is also 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 this season after shooting worse than 40% during its previous game and won by 14.9 points per contest. Lastly, the Mavericks are 12-1 SU during their last 13 following a game they scored less than 100 points. Give me the Mavericks plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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05-20-22 | Nationals v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Nationals (Fedde) @ Brewers (Lauer) 8:10 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Erick Fedde has made 3 road starts this season with a terrific 1.59 ERA and averaged 5.7 innings pitched per outing. Washington is coming off a 5-4 win versus Miami thus going over the total of 7.0. The Nationals have played 5-0-1 to the under in their last 6 following an over in its previous game. Washington will be facing lefthanded Milwaukee starter Eric Lauer. The Nationals have played 9-1 to the under this season when facing a lefty starter. Speaking of Eric Lauer, he’s compiled a superb 2.60 ERA and 0.98 WHIP during his 6 starts this season. The Brewers bullpen has a solid 2.84 ERA and 1.09 WHIP at home this season. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-20-22 | Tigers -105 v. Guardians | 1-6 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Tigers (Skubal) @ Guardians (Civale) 7:10 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Tigers -105 Cleveland has begun this current 5-game homestand with a pair of losses to the lowly Cincinnati Reds. The Guardians are 4.5 games ahead of Cleveland in the American League standings. Yet, they opened as a home underdog versus a 13-25 Tigers team. That line speaks volumes to me and upon further research it was apparent to me what the oddsmakers were seeing. Aaron Civale has pitched extremely well versus the Tigers in his career. However, he enters today having displayed terrible form over his last 3 starts while recording an 11.42 ERA and 1.79 WHIP. The Tigers Tarik Skubal has been in excellent form throughout his previous 3 starts with a 0.95 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. As a matter of fact, Skubal has registered an impressive 2.04 ERA and allowed 0 earned runs in 4 of those 7 appearances. The Tigers bullpen has been a strength this season as they have a staff 2.84 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. Give me the Tigers on the money line. |
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05-19-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Heat | Top | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Celtics @ Heat 8:30 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Boston +3.5 (10*) Boston is coming off an opening game 118-107 loss at Miami and failed to cover as a 4.0-point underdog. Boston has gone a terrific 10-1 SU in their last 11 following a loss in their previous game, and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS in the playoffs with an average victory margin 14.7 points per contest. The Celtics will also welcome NBA Defensive Player of the Year Marcus Smart back to the lineup after he missed Game 1 due to a foot injury. Since the 2011 NBA Playoffs, any away underdog of 4.5 or less that’s playing in a Game 2 and is coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 20.0-points or less, resulted in those away underdogs going 9-0 ATS. Furthermore, those away underdogs won 8 of those 9 games straight up. Give me Boston plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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05-19-22 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 207.5 | 127-102 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Celtics @ Heat 8:45 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Under 207.5 (5*) Miami has allowed its last 9 opponents to a mere 77.6 field goal attempts per game. During that stretch, Miami held 6 of those 9 opponents to less than 100 points scored. The Heat have also scored less than 100 in 3 of its last 8 games. Game 1 of this series against Boston went over the total of 203.5 with the Heat prevailing 118-107. Miami has gone under in 4 straight immediately following an over in their previous game and there was a combined average of 203.7 points scored per contest. The teams combined to go 54-66 (81.8%) from the free throw line in Game 1. The 81.8% is very good but not shocking. However, the combined 66 free throw attempts was out of character for both teams. During 3 regular season meetings these teams averaged just a combined 41.3 free throw attempts per contest. Since the 2011 NBA Playoffs, any away underdog of 4.5 or less that’s playing in a Game 2 and is coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 20.0-points or less, resulted in those games playing 8-1 to the under. The average total in those contests was 201.3 and there was a combined 193.4 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-19-22 | Yankees v. Orioles UNDER 8 | 6-9 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
Yankees (Montgomery) @ Orioles (Zimmerman) 12:35 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Lefthander Jordan Montgomery has seen all 7 of his starts in 2022 go under the total while he posted a shiny 3.06 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. Montgomery has made 2 starts versus Baltimore already this season while compiling a 1.69 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in those outings. As a matter of fact, the Yankees southpaw hurler has pitched 4-0 to the under during his last 4 starts versus Baltimore with a superb 1.71 ERA. By the way, Baltimore has played 13-1 to the under this season when facing a lefthanded starting pitcher. The Yankees bullpen has an impressive 2.91 ERA and 0.97 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Orioles Bruce Zimmerman has pitched 9 1/3 innings of scoreless baseball during his 2 starts versus the Yankees in 2022. Zimmerman has also pitched 3-1 to the under in his day game starts this season with a terrific 0.93 ERA. The Orioles are averaging a paltry 1.9 runs scored per game during its last 8 outings. The Orioles bullpen has been solid this season and especially so at home where they have a staff 2.52 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-18-22 | Mavs +5 v. Warriors | Top | 87-112 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
Mavericks @ Warriors 9:00 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Mavericks +5.0 (10*) Dallas has gone 3-1 SU&ATS versus Golden State this season. The Mavericks recently concluded a huge upset win over #1 seed Phoenix in their previous series which was culminated with a decisive 123-90 road win in Game 7. Dallas is 8-0 ATS this season after allowing 90 points or fewer in their previous contest and outscored their opponents by an average of 16.4 points per game. The Mavericks are also 15-3 SU this season following a game in which they allowed 95 points or fewer. During their last 3 games in the Conference Semifinals versus Memphis, Golden State only averaged 102.0 points scored per contest while shooting a poor 41.2% from the field. Give me the Mavericks plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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05-18-22 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Nationals (Gray) @ Marlins (Lopez) 6:40 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Washington has scored 2 runs or less in 5 of its last 6 games. The Nationals Josiah Gray is 3-0 in his road team starts in 2022 with a brilliant 1.65 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Gray has made 2 career start at Miami with both coming last season and has a more than respectable 3.00 ERA while pitching 6.0 innings on each occasion. The Nationals will be facing Marlins righthander Pablo Lopez. The Miami hurler has been dominant in 7 starts this season with a 1.26 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Washington has played 10-1 to the under when facing National League starting pitchers with an ERA of 2.40 or better. Furthermore, during his 3 starts versus Nationals since last season, Lopez had a terrific 0.95 ERA in 19.0 innings pitched. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-18-22 | Giants v. Rockies OVER 11 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Giants (Webb) @ Rockies (Freeland) 3:10 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Over 11.0 (5*) Kyle Freeland has a 6.66 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in 5 home starts this season. Freeland has made 3 home starts versus San Francisco since 2020 and had a terrible 9.69 ERA, 2.38 WHIP, and allowed 6 home runs during just 13.0 innings pitched. The Rockies bullpen has a terrible 7.2+6 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, and surrendered 6 home runs throughout its previous 7 games. Colorado is coming off a 10-7 loss to the Giants last night and that makes 8 straight in which they went over the total with a combined average of 14.4 runs scored per game. The Rockies have seen all 5 of their games versus San Francisco go over the total this season. San Francisco has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 and there was a combined average of 12.1 runs scored per game. They scored 6 runs or more in 7 of those 8 games. However, over their last 3, the Giants have allowed 28 runs and opponents have pounded out 40 hits. Brandon Webb has a lofty 1.65 WHIP in his last 3 starts with each game going over the total. Webb will be making his season debut at Coors Field. He made 2 starts there last season and posted a large 7.59 ERA. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-17-22 | Celtics +2 v. Heat | Top | 107-118 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Celtics @ Heat 8:45 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Celtics +2.0 (10*) The Celtics are 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 ATS on the road thus far in the 2022 NBA Playoffs. Their only blemish came in Game 3 at Milwaukee when they fell by just 2 points after Al Horford’s potential last second game tying tip was waved off and deemed to be just after time had expired. The Celtics have also gone a noteworthy 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games played in Miami. Boston has an impressive +7.4 point per game differential on the road this season. During their 3 regular season meetings versus Miami, Boston held the Heat to a mere 92.0 points scored per game and 40.5% shooting. During their 7-game series win over Milwaukee, Boston held a potent offensive team like the Bucks to just 97.7 points per contest. Lastly, it’s really odd to seed a #1 seed as just a 2.0-point home favorite in Game 1 of a Conference Finals, not to mention that the Heat are a money line underdog of +150 to win the series. Give me Boston plus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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05-17-22 | Mariners +132 v. Blue Jays | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Mariners (Gilbert) @ Blue Jays (Berrios) 7:07 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Seattle +132 (5*) Logan Gilbert has gone 4-0 in his road team starts this season with a dominating 0.84 ERA. The Seattle bullpen has converted on 4 of 5 save opportunities on the road. The Mariners relivers have also converted on all 3 of its save opportunities during their previous 7 games. Jose Berrios has been horrible over his last 2 starts while allowing 11 earned runs in just 10.0 innings versus the Yankees and Guardians. The Blue Jays bullpen has been erratic thus far in 2022 and especially so at home. Toronto won the opening game of this series yesterday with a 6-2 win over Seattle. However, Seattle is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss while Toronto is 0-4 during their previous 4 after a win. Give me the Mariners as a money line underdog. |
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05-15-22 | Mavs v. Suns -6.5 | 123-90 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Mavericks @ Suns 8:00 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Phoenix -6.5 (5*) The home teams have gone 6-0 SU&ATS in this series and have won by a decisive margin of 17.2 points per game. Phoenix is 5-0 SU at home versus Dallas this season and all those wins came by 7 points or more. This is a battle tested Suns team that advanced to the 2021 NBA Finals before falling to Milwaukee in 6 games. Phoenix lost Game 6 of this series 113-86 as a 2.0-point favorite. Any Game 7 home favorite (Suns) of 6.0 or more that’s coming off a Game 6 straight up favorite loss, resulted in those home favorites going 5-0 SU&ATS since 200, and they won by an average of 22.2 points per game. Give me the Suns minus the points. |
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05-15-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 81-109 | Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
Bucks @ Celtics 3:30 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Celtics -4.5 (10*) Boston has exhibited exactly why they were #1 in overall defensive efficiency during regular season action. Throughout the first 6 games of this series versus Milwaukee they held the Bucks to 110.5 points scored per game and 42.2% shooting. They will carry the momentum carried over from a convincing 108-95 win in Game 6 at Milwaukee. Boston has already lost twice at home in this series. I deem it to be highly improbable that a team that played so well during the 2nd half of the season will lose 3 at home in a single playoff series and is even more likely to win by a comfortable margin. The Celtics forced a Game 7 with an impressive 108-95 win at Milwaukee on Thursday night. That win improved the Celtics season record to 58-34 (.630). Any NBA Playoff team that’s a home favorite of 4.0 to 6.5-points in a Game 7, and they possess a win percentage of .626 or better, and they allowed 98 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those Game 7 home favorites going 7-0 SU&ATS. The home teams also outscored their 7 opponents by a decisive average of 15.6 points per game. The home team only allowed an average of 88.3 points per game during those 7 contests. Give me the Celtics minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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05-14-22 | Royals v. Rockies OVER 11 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Royals (Hernandez) @ Rockies (Marquez) 8:10 PM ET Game# 931-932 Play On: Over 11.0 (5*) German Marquez has gone 0-4 in his last 4 team starts with a terrible 7.83 ERA and 1.94 WHIP. Based on that high of a WHIP, Marquez is lucky his ERA wasn’t much higher in those outings. During his last 2 starts at Coors Field, Marquez has surrendered an alarmingly high 5 home runs in just 11.0 innings pitched. The Colorado bullpen has struggled mightily throughout the past couple of weeks. Colorado has gone over the total in each of its last 4 and there was a combined average of 14.0 runs scored per game. Carlos Hernandez is 0-3 in his last 3 starts with a sizable 7.07 ERA and 1.86 WHIP. The Royals are coming off last night’s 14-10 win over Colorado and they pounded out 18 hits while doing so. Kansas City has now played 4-1 to the over during its last 5 when there was a total of 8.0 or greater. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-14-22 | Orioles v. Tigers UNDER 7.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Orioles (Zimmerman) @ Tigers (Pineda) 4:10 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) The Orioles Bruce Zimmerman has a stellar 1.78 ERA in 6 starts this season. The Orioles bullpen has an impressive 2.35 ERA over its last 7 games. Baltimore has gone under the total in 5 of its last 6 games. Michael Pineda has made 3 home starts for Detroit while recoding a 2.25 ERA and 1.06 WHIP during those outings. The Tigers bullpen has been solid throughout their previous 7 games with a staff 2.88 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. Detroit is currently a money line favorite of -110. The Tigers have played 41-16 (72%) to the under since the start of last season whenever their money line was +125 to -125. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-13-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -8 | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Golden State 10:00 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Golden State -8.0 (5*) So, let’s assess all the facts leading into this Game 6 of the NBA Western Conference Semifinals. Memphis won Game 5 on Wednesday in a 134-95 rout. The Grizzlies led that contest by 52 heading into the 4th quarter. Yet here they sit as a large 8.5-point underdog. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the points and banking on you overreacting to what you witnessed in the previous game of this series. I’m not taking the bait. The core group of Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Klay Thompson all have plenty of experience on how to close out a series at home. I like them to succeed on Friday and Golden State to win by a double-digit margin while doing so. Give me Golden State minus the points. |
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05-13-22 | Giants v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Giants (Webb) @ Cardinals (Hicks) 8:15 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Over 7.5 (5) Logan Webb has made 3 starts versus the Cardinals since 2019 and wasn’t very good in any of those appearances. He posted a 9.25 ERA and 2.23 WHIP throughout those 3 starts. Webb has displayed poor form over his last 4 starts this season with a 5.49 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. Based on that high WHIP, Webb is extremely lucky his ERA wasn’t much higher. The Giants have averaged 8.2 runs scored per game throughout their last 5. St. Louis has played 10-5 to the over at home this season. The Cardinals are coming off a 3-2 loss to Baltimore. St. Louis has played 6-1 to the over in their last 7 following an under in their previous game with a combined average of 11.4 runs scored per appearance. The Cardinals Jordan Hicks has an uninspiring 6.75 ERA and 1.50 WHIP during his 2 home starts in 2022. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-13-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Bucks | Top | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
Celtics @ Bucks 7:30 PM ET Game# 516-517 Play On: Celtics +1.5 (10*) The defending world champion Milwaukee Bucks are coming off a thrilling 110-107 comeback win at Boston on Wednesday. The Bucks overcame a 14-point early 4th quarter deficit and trailed by 6 with less than 2 minutes left. Yet, they’re just a 1.5-point favorite with a chance to close the series at home and prevent going back to Boston for a Game 7. As I have stated on too many times to remember, “think like a bookmaker”. If it looks too easy, then most times it is when it’s regarding sports betting. This is a textbook example of such. Any away team (Celtics) with a win percentage of .700 or less that’s playing in a Game 6 during the first 2 rounds of the NBA Playoffs and is coming off a home favorite SU loss in Game 5, resulted in those away teams going 20-2 ATS (91%) since 2000. Those away teams also went 21-3 SU (.875) in those contests as well. Give me Boston plus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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05-13-22 | Padres v. Braves UNDER 7 | 11-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Padres (Darvish) @ Braves (Fried) 7:20 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) Yu Darvish has exhibited good form over his last 3 starts with a 2.37 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and averaged 6.3 innings pitched per outing. Darvish has made one starts versus Atlanta this season and allowed just 1 earned run on 4 hits during 6 2/3 innings pitched. The Padres enter today have scored just an average of 2.6 runs per game through its last 7. Max Fried has been superb over his last 4 starts with a 1.38 ERA and 0.58 WHIP while averaging 6.5 innings pitched per outing. Fried will be making his 1st starts of this season versus San Diego. The Braves southpaw hurler pitched a complete game 3-hit shout in his only start versus San Diego a season ago. The Atlanta bullpen has been solid thus far in 2022 with a staff 3.29 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and converted on 10 of 11 (91%) of their save opportunities. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-13-22 | Reds v. Pirates OVER 8 | 8-2 | Win | 102 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Reds (Mahle) @ Pirates (Keller) 6:35 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Over 8.0 (5*) Tyler Mahle has seen all 3 of his road starts go over the total this season and his 8.25 ERA during those outing was a major reason why. Cincinnati is averaging 7.6 runs scored per game over its last 7 outings. Since 2020, Mitch Keller has pitched 8-0 to the over in his home starts whenever there was a total of 8.0 or 8.5. Keller is 1-5 in his team starts thi s season with a sizable 6.11 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. The Prates bullpen has a shaky 6.00 ERA and 1.53 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-12-22 | Suns v. Mavs +2 | Top | 86-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Dallas 9:30 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Dallas +2.0 (10*) Dallas is coming off a brutal performance during Tuesday night’s 110-80 loss at Phoenix and now finds itself down 3-2 in this series, and on the brink of elimination. However, this is a Mavericks team that’s shown excellent recuperative powers following a lopsided loss. Specifically speaking, Dallas is a perfect 8-0 SU this season following a road loss by 20 points or more and they won by an average of 11.5 points per game. The Mavericks are also 14-1 SU since the start of last season following any loss by 20 points or greater. This is also a Mavericks team which is 33-13 SU (.715) at home this season. Phoenix is just 2-3 on the road in the playoffs after going a terrific 32-9 during regular season away games. Give me Dallas plus the small number for a Top Play. |
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05-12-22 | Astros v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Astros (Garcia) @ Twins (Winder) 3:45 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Under 8.5 (5*) Josh Winder has made 2 impressive starts this year. Winder went 6.0 innings in each start, allowed 0 earned runs on only 5 hits while striking out 15 and walking just 1. Minnesota has played 4-0-1 to the under in their last 5 with a combined average of only 4.8 runs scored per game. The Twins bullpen has a superb 0.84 ERA and 0.74 WHIP throughout its last 7 games. Luis Garcia has been solid in 5 starts this season with a 3.45 ERA and a terrific 0.87 WHIP. The Astros bullpen has a sensational 0.95 ERA and 0.58 WHIP over their last 7 games while called upon to pitch just 19.0 innings. Houston has allowed 2 runs or fewer in each of their last 8 games and includes shutting out the opposition 3 times. Houston has played 5-0 to the under in its last 5 and is also 9-1 to the under during their previous 10 games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +4.5 | 95-134 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Warriors @ Grizzlies 9:30 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Grizzlies +4.5 (5*) Memphis enters Game 5 at home down 3-1 in the series and without their star point guard Ja Morant due to a bruised knee. However, let’s not bury them just yet. During their Game 4 loss at Golden State, Memphis led for all but 45 seconds of that contest and easily covered as a 10.0-point underdog. Despite that defeat, Memphis has still gone an excellent 20-6 SU when Morant hasn’t been available to play this season. The Grizzlies are also an impressive 33-13 (.717) at home and includes an extremely profitable 30-16 ATS (65%). Give me the Grizzlies plus the points. |
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05-11-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -5 | Top | 110-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
Bucks @ Celtics 7:00 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Celtics -5.0 (10*) The Celtics have held one of the better offensive teams in the NBA to 99.5 points scored per game and 42.1% shooting throughout the first 4 games of this series. Furthermore, during the previous 3 games of the series, Milwaukee is a terrible 21-79 (26.6%) from beyond the 3-point line. Additionally, during those 3 contests Boston has outscored Milwaukee in the 4th quarters by a combined score of 103-71. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to draw the conclusion that Milwaukee is obviously wearing down late in game while the Celtics keep getting stronger. Any NBA home favorite of 6.0 or less (Celtics) that’s play in a Round 2 Game 5 of a playoff series and is coming off an away underdog SU win by 5 points or more, resulted in those reasonably sized home favorites going 8-0 SU&ATS since 1991. Those 8 home favorites won those contests by a decisive average of 20.0 points per game. Give me the Celtics minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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05-10-22 | Rays v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 0-12 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Rays (Kluber) @ Angels (Detmers) 9:38 PM ET Game# 925-926 Play On: Under 8.5 (5*) The Rays Corey Kluber has pitched 5-0 to the under this season in 5 starts with a 2.36 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. The Rays bullpen hasn’t been necessarily dominant thus far like we’ve been used to in recent season, but they’re still better than most. The Angels Reid Detmer has made 3 home starts this season with a shiny 3.21 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. The Angels bullpen has been rock-solid over its last 7 games with a staff2.28 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-10-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 8 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Guardians (Quantrill) @ White Sox (Giolito) 8:10 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Since 2019, Lucas Giolito has a brilliant 0.87 ERA in 8 starts versus Cleveland and 7 of those games went under the total. Chicago is coming off a 12-9 home loss to Cleveland last night. However, the White Sox have played 8-2-1 to the under this season following an over in their previous game and that includes 4-0-1 under if they were at home. Despite last night’s meltdown, the White Sox bullpen still has a sparkling 2.63 ERA and 0.99 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. Paul Quantrill has made 3 starts versus the White Sox since 2020 and posted a dominant 0.66 ERA while all 3 games went under the total. The Guardians bullpen has been solid throughout their last 7 games with a 2.10 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-10-22 | 76ers +3 v. Heat | Top | 85-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
76ers @ Heat 7:30 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: 76ers +3.0 (10*) The 76ers are obviously a different team when Joel Embiid is healthy and able to play. They lost the first 2 games of this series by sizable margins. However, Embiid returned in Game 3 and Philadelphia went 2-0 SU&ATS since. Additionally, Jimmy Butler of Miami accounted for 73 of Miami’s 187 points (39%) in those 2 losses, and the 76ers prevented any other Heat players from putting up any big numbers. That recent defensive strategy has worked, and l look for it to be continued in Game 5. Give me the 76ers plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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05-10-22 | Red Sox v. Braves UNDER 7.5 | 9-4 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Red Sox (Whitlock) @ Braves (Wright) 7:20 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) The Red Sox Garrett Whitlock has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 1.50 ERA and 0.75 WHIP while also striking out 18 in 12.0 innings pitched. The Red Sox have played 20-8 to the under this season which includes 11-4 under on the road. Boston has scored just a combined 5 runs throughout their previous 4 games. The Red Sox are currently a money line underdog of +120 in this matchup. Boston has played 10-1 to the under this season as a money line underdog of +100 to +150 and there was only a combined average of 5.8 runs scored per game. Kyle Wright has witnessed all 5 of his starts in 2022 going under the total and his 1.74 ERA and 0.97 WHIP was a major contributing reason to those low scoring affairs. The Braves bullpen has recorded an excellent 2.62 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over its last 7 games. Atlanta has allowed 3 runs or fewer in 8 of their last 11 games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-09-22 | Phillies v. Mariners -111 | 9-0 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Phillies (Suarez) @ Mariners (Flexen) 9:40 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Mariners -111 (5*) Neither team has played well at all recently. However, the Phillies played a doubleheader at Citi Field in New York yesterday and will be playing with no rest after traveling across 3 time zones. The Phillies Ranger Suarez has been shaky in his 5 starts this season with a lofty 1.63 WHIP during those outings. The Philadelphia bullpen continues to struggle as they’ve posted a 5.47 ERA and 1.48 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. Philadelphia is 1-5 during their last 6 overall and 3-7 in road games this season. Chris Flexen has displayed stellar form over his last 3 starts with a 1.93 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and averaged 6.2 innings pitched per outing. Flexen will be facing a Phillies lineup that averages only 2.96 walks per game. Since the start of last season, Flexen has gone a perfect 11-0 in his team starts when facing teams that average 3.0 or fewer walks per game. Additionally, during that identical time span, Seattle has gone 11-2 when their money line is +125 to -125 and Flexen is their starting pitcher. Take the Mariners on the money line. |
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05-09-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 12-9 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Indians (Plesac) @ White Sox (Kopech) 8:10 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Zach Plesac has not pitched well of late. However, since 5/5/22021, Plesac is 3-0 in his team starts against the White Sox with an excellent 1.53 ERA. The Guardians bullpen has a sparkling 2.57 ERA and 0.96 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. The weather forecasters are predicting winds of 14-16 MPH blowing in from right-centerfield. Michael Kopech has quietly put together a strong beginning to the season while compiling a 1.17 ERA in 5 starts. The White Sox bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games with a staff 1.37 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. Chicago enters this week riding a 6-game win streak and allowed a mere 1.5 runs per outing while doing so. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-09-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Bucks | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
Celtics @ Bucks 7:30 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Boston +1.5 (10*) Down 2-1 in the series, I look for Boston to be playing with an extremely high degree of desperation and urgency. Boston is coming off a 103-10 loss at Milwaukee in Game 3. Nonetheless, the Celtics are 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 following a loss. Their only blemish to that recent team trend was a loss at Miami in a game that Boston was without its 2 top scorers Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum. Furthermore, Boston shot a miserable 36% in that Game 3 loss on Saturday. The Celtics are an unscathed 6-0 SU&ATS during their last 6 following a game in which they shot less than 40% and won by a decisive margin of 14.8 points per contest. Give me the Celtics on the money line. |
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05-09-22 | A's v. Tigers UNDER 7 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
A’s (Blackburn) @ Tigers (Pineda) 7:10 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) The A’s Paul Blackburn has pitched 3-0 to the under during his road starts this season with a brilliant 1.20 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. Oakland has scored 3 runs or less in 13 of their last 16 games. Michael Pineda has pitched 3-0 to the under during his 3 starts in 2022 with a solid 1.12 WHIP. Detroit has scored 3 runs or fewer in their last 7 and 10 of its previous 11 games. Detroit has played 10-2 to the under at night and there was just a combined average of 5.7 runs scored per game. The weather forecast is calling for winds of 10-14 MPH blowing in from right-center field. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-08-22 | Marlins v. Padres UNDER 6.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Marlins (Rogers) @ Padres (Musgrove) 4:10 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Under 6.5 (5*) The Padres have just 5 runs scored and 15 hits throughout the first 3 games of this series versus Miami. They’ll be facing a tough lefthander in Trevor Rogers of the Marlins. Rogers has been superb in 3 road starts this season with a 1.69 ERA and all those games went under the total. The Marlins bullpen has been solid thus far in 2022 and recently compiled a brilliant 1.90 ERA during its previous 7 games. Speaking of Trevor Rogers, since the start of last season he’s pitched 11-2 to the underdog when Miami was a money line underdog of +100 to +150. The Marlins are currently at 140. Padres pitcher Joe Musgrove has gone an outstanding 5-0 in his team starts this season with a 1.97 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and averaged 6.4 innings pitched per outing. The Padres bullpen has an impressive 0.91 WHIP at Petco Park in 2022. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-08-22 | Suns v. Mavs UNDER 214.5 | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Suns @ Mavericks 3:30 PM ET Game# 577-578 Play On: Under 214.5 (5*) Phoenix is coming off a 103-94 loss at Dallas in Game 3. The Suns have played 10-0 to the under this season immediately following a road loss and there was a combined average of 212.4 points scored per game. Dallas has played 12-2 to the under at home since last season after playing in a game in which both teams scored 105 or fewer points. The Mavericks are also 31-14 to the under at home this season and those contests averaged only a combined 209.3 points scored per game. Dallas has held the Suns to a paltry 14.7 free throw attempts per game during this series. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 225 | Top | 112-142 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
Memphis @ Golden State 8:30 PM ET Game 573-574 Play On: Over 225.0 (10*) Just as I expected, the public has overreacted to Game 2 easily going under the total of 227.5 during a Memphis 106-101 win. However, the oddsmakers were undeterred by that result and made just a slight adjust to an opening total of 226.5 for Game 3. Let’s not forget, Golden State won the series opener 117-116 in a game that was extremely entertaining to watch. Furthermore, the pace of the first 2 games of the series was lightning fast with a combined 188 and 186 field goal attempts which is extremely high by even NBA standards. Lastly, Memphis has played 16-5 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 220.0 to 229.5. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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05-07-22 | Celtics +2 v. Bucks | 101-103 | Push | 0 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Celtics @ Bucks 3:30 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Celtics +2.0 (5*) The Celtics bounced back from a poor performance in the series opener with a convincing 23-point win in Game 2. I look for them to carry that momentum into Game 3 in Milwaukee. Since Game 42 of their season, Boston has gone an excellent 9-2 SU on the road versus teams with a winning record. Boston was 2-0 SU&ATS at Brooklyn in their opening playoff series against a team led by superstars Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. As a matter of fact, the Celtics have gone 16-3 SU in their last 19 on the road and 2 of their losses came in games without top scorers Jayson Tatum and Jaylon Brown both being unavailable. Additionally, NBA Defensive Player of the Year and starting point guard Marcus Smart returns to the lineup today for Boston after missing Game 2 due to a thigh injury. Give me the Celtics plus the small number. |
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05-07-22 | Blue Jays v. Guardians UNDER 6.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Gausman) @ Indians (Bieber) 7:10 PM ET Game# 975-976 Game 1 of DH Play On: Under 6.5 (5*) The Blue Jays Kevin Gausman has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 1.29 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and averaged 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Gausman has made 5 starts in all this season and has failed to issue a walk or surrender a home run during 31 2/3 innings pitched. The Toronto bullpen has been lights out on the road thus far which is apparent when looking at their staff 1.42 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Toronto is coming off a 6-5 loss at Cleveland that went over the total of 8.0 The Blue Jays are 6-0-1 to the under this season immediately following an under and there were just a combined 5.0 runs scored per game. Furthermore, since the start of last season, Toronto has played 15-2 to the under on the road following a loss by 2 runs or fewer. Cleveland’s Shane Bieber has a sparkling 2.76 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 5 starts this season. The Guardians bullpen has an impressive 2.36 ERA and 1.02 WHIP through 9 home games. Bieber will be facing a Blue Jays lineup that’s averaging 1.26 home runs hit per game. The Guardians hurler has pitched 26-11 to the under in his career when facing teams which average 1.25 or more homers hit per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-06-22 | Suns v. Mavs | 94-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Suns @ Mavericks 9:30 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Mavericks -110 (5*) Dallas will be playing with a high degree of desperation and urgency this evening to avoid falling behind 3-0 in the series. The Mavericks have gone a stellar 31-13 SU at home this season and that includes 16-3 in their last 19. Dallas is coming off a 129-109 loss to Phoenix in Game 2. The Mavericks have gone an outstanding 10-1 SU this season following a loss by 15 points or more in their previous game and they outscored their opponents by 11.1 points per contest. Dallas is also a perfect 15-0 SU at home this season when their money line was -106 to -250. Recent NBA Playoffs betting history heavily favors the home team in this identical situation. Dallas enters today with a season long record of 56-34 (.622). The Mavericks are coming off SU&ATS losses during each of the first 2 games of this series with both coming as an away underdog. Since the 2005 NBA Playoffs, any team (Dallas) that’s playing at home in a Game 3 and is coming off away underdog ATS losses in each of the first 2 games of the series, and they possess a win percentage of .607 or better, resulted in those home teams going 14-4 SU&ATS. Give me Dallas on the money line. |
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05-05-22 | Marlins v. Padres UNDER 7 | 1-2 | Win | 101 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Marlins (Luzardo) @ Padres (Martinez) 9:40 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) I like the situation more than the overall statistics for this to be a low scoring game. Both teams played yesterday on the east coast and had to take the trek across 3 time zones for today’s matchup. Furthermore, the Padres played a double-header at Cleveland and Game 2 of that twinbill went extra innings. More times than not throughout the years teams have what I call tired bats syndrome which produce low scoring affairs. Additionally, teams customarily fly in their slated starting pitchers 24 hours in advance to get their proper rest. The Miami starter Jesus Luzardo has made 2 road starts in 2022 and posted an impressive 1.80 ERA while striking out 20 batters in 10.0 innings pitched. The Marlins bullpen has been consistently sharp since the start of the season. The Padres bullpen has recorded an excellent 0.83 WHIP at home this season and San Diego has played 7-3 to the under in those games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-05-22 | Rays v. Mariners UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Rays (McClanahan) @ Mariners (Ray) 9:40 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) The Rays pitcher McClanahan has pitched 4-1 to the under in 2022 while striking out 42 and walking just 7 during 27.0 innings of work. The Rays bullpen has a brilliant 2.16 ERA and 0.96 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Robbie Ray made 6 starts against Tampa Bay last season while a member of the Toronto Blue Jays. During those 6 appearances Ray collected a 2.33 ERA and 0.85 WHIP while just 1 of those starts went over the total. The Mariners bullpen has a solid 2.32 ERA and 1.13 WHIP at home this season. Give mne this game to go under the total. |
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05-05-22 | Predators v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Nashville @ Colorado 9:30 PM ET Game# 75-76 Play On: Over 6.5 (10*) The 5 meetings between these clubs have all gone over the total with a combined average 8.4 goals scored per game. Nashville’s goaltending has been horrendous since #1 netminder Juuse Sarros was sidelined by injury. Saros has started 67 of the Predators 83 games this season. Nashville has allowed 4.9 goals per game throughout its last 10. The Predators have gone over the total in each of their previous 6 and allowed 4 goals or more on every occasion. Nashville has also played 31-11 to the over on the road this season including 15-5 if the number was 6.0 or greater. Colorado took Game 1 of this series on Tuesday with a decisive 7-2 win. They will be facing a Nashville team which is a perfect 7-0 to the over this season following a game in which there was a combined 9 or more goals being scored. The Avalanche has been an offensive juggernaut this season by NHL standards while averaging 3.8 goals scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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05-05-22 | Tigers v. Astros UNDER 8 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Tigers (Skubal) @ Astros (Urquidy) 8:10 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Detroit is coming off a 7-2 loss to Pittsburgh in a game that went over the total of 7.5. The Tigers have played 8-0 to the under this season following an over and there were only a combined 5.1 runs scored per game. The Tigers Tarik Skubal has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts while registering a 1.62 ERA and with a slightly better than 8:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Tigers bullpen has been dominant this season and especially so on the road where they’ve compiled a staff 1.07 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. The Tigers offense has been anemic throughout their last 7 in averaging a paltry 2.1 runs scored per game while hitting only 2 homeruns. Houston has played 16-8-1 to the under this season. The Astros bullpen has been superb at home with a 1.03 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-04-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Suns | 109-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Mavericks @ Suns 10:00 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Mavericks +6.5 (5*) Phoenix walked away with a 121-114 win in the opening game of this series on Monday and barely covered as a 5.5-point favorite. However, I like the way Dallas didn’t quit in that contest despite being down by 17 on the road heading into the 4th quarter. Speaking of not quitting, Dallas is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 following a loss and won by 12.7 points per game. The Mavericks are also 13-2 SU in their previous 15 following a loss and that’s worth noting considering they’re a sizable 6.0-point underdog tonight. Phoenix outrebounded Dallas in Game 1 by a wide margin of 51-36. Nevertheless, Dallas is a perfect 8-0 ATS this season after being -15 or worse on the boards during its previous game. Give me Dallas plus the points. |
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05-04-22 | Blues v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
St. Louis @ Minnesota 9:30 PM ET Game# 65-66 Play On: Over 6.0 (10*) St. Louis has scored 4 or more goals in 16 of their last 19 and 3 or greater in 18 of those 19 games. The Blues have played 16-6-1 to the over during its previous 23 games. St. Louis has played 14-7 to the over this season on the road whenever there was a total of 6.0 or greater. The Wild lost the opening game of this playoff series on Monday by a score of 4-0. It marked only the 2nd time all season that Minnesota was held scoreless. The Wild have played 11-3 to the over this season following a game in which they allowed 4 or more goals. Minnesota has averaged a robust 34.0 shots on goal per game throughout their previous 6 outings. The Wild and Blues went over the total in all 3 of their regular season meetings and there was a combined average of 9.3 goals scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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05-04-22 | Bruins +106 v. Hurricanes | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Boston @ Carolina 7:00 ET Game# 61-62 Play On: Boston +106 (5*) Counting their series opening game 5-1 loss at Carolina on Monday, Boston is now 0-4 this season versus the Hurricanes and were outscored by a cumulative margin of 21-2. Yet, here they are as just a short money line road underdog in Game 2. The oddsmakers are pleading with you to take the home favorite Carolina Hurricanes. Well, I’m not taking the bait. Boston also lost their regular season finale and comes in on a 2-game losing streak. Since the start of last season, Boston has 15-2 immediately following 2 consecutive losses. That includes going 6-1 this season and 4-0 during away games. Give me Boston on the money line. |
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05-03-22 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Giants (Rodon) @ Dodgers (Urias) 10:10 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) Carlos Rodon has been dominant in his 4 starts this season with 1.17 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, and 38 strikeouts during 23.0 innings pitched. The Giants bullpen has posted an impressive 1.13 ERA and 0.92 WHIP during its 11 road games in 2022. The Dodgers bullpen has a stellar 2.54 ERA, 0.86 WHIP and registered 86 strikeouts in 78.0 innings this season. The Dodgers have played 10-2 to the under during night games in 2022. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-03-22 | Nationals v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Nationals (Fedde) @ Rockies (Marquez) 8:40 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Over 10.5 (5*) The Nationals Erick Fedde has a lofty 6.92 ERA and 1.62 WHIP over his last 3 starts. The Washington bullpen has a 6.69 ERA and 1.75 WHIP during 10 road games this season. The Rockies German Marquez has displayed terrible form over his last 3 starts with a 7.71 ERA and 2.07 WHIP. Frankly speaking, Marquez is lucky that 7.71 ERA isn’t much higher when considering what his WHIP was. The Rockies bullpen has been awful throughout their previous 7 games while compiling a 6.75 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Colorado has played 14-4 to the over at home when there was a total of 10.0 or 10.5. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-03-22 | Twins v. Orioles UNDER 7 | 7-2 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Twins (Ryan) @ Orioles (Zimmerman) 7:05 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) Both starting pitchers in this matchup have been terrific so far in 2022. Joe Ryan has a brilliant 0.93 ERA in 4 starts. Bruce Zimmerman has compiled an excellent 1.17 ERA and 0.70 WHIP during his 4 starts. The Baltimore bullpen has recorded a staff 2.54 ERA and 1.02 WHIP at home. The Twins bullpen has a 2.22 ERA and 099 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Baltimore has played 8-1-1 to the under at home. Minnesota is 7-4 to the under on the road. Give me this game to go under the total. Washington has played 7-1-2 to the over on the road in 2022 with a combined average of 12.3 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-03-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 86-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
Bucks @ Celtics 7:05 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Celtics -4.5 (10*) The Celtics are coming off an embarrassing 101-89 loss in Game 1. There was a lot of rarities that occurred for that to happen which are highly improbable to occur again in Game 2. It was just the 5th time that Boston had scored 95 points or less since 12/10/21. The good news for Celtics backers is their team has gone 4-0 SU&ATS since that time immediately after scoring 95 or less and won by an average of 15.3 points per contest. Despite that low scoring output, Boston still was a respectable 18-50 (36%) on their 3-point shot attempts. Unfortunately, they went a horrendous 10-34 from inside the 3-point line. That’s an extremely rare occurrence for an NBA team to not only make just 10 two-point field goal attempts in a game, but also nearly doubling that output from 3-point territory, and especially so for a quality group like the Celtics. Lastly, the Celtics shot a miserable 33.3% from the field overall. Boston has gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 this season following a contest in which they shot less than 40% and outscored those opponents by an average of 15.2 points per game. Conversely, since the start of last season, Milwaukee is 0-4 SU&ATS after holding their opponent to 35% or worse shooting in their previous contest, and they were outscored by an average of 11.5 points per game. Give me Boston minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-02-22 | Mavs v. Suns OVER 214 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
Dallas @ Phoenix 10:00 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Over 214.0 (10*) Phoenix shot 50% in all 6 games against New Orleans despite start guar Devin Booker missing 4 of those contests. Booker and his 26.8 points per game scoring average is back and healthy again and shook off some of the rust during his return in the Game 6 series clinching win over New Orleans. Phoenix has played 18-5 to the over since the start of last season when facing opponents that have a +3.0 or greater point per game differential. Those 23 contests averaged a combined 227.1 points scored per game. Dallas is currently at +3.5 per contest. Dallas shot an impressive 38.4% from 3-point territory in their series win over Utah and averaged 17 makes per game. Similar to Phoenix, Dallas played the first 3 games of that Utah series without their star guard Luka Doncic. All he did is lead the NBA in scoring during regular season action at 28.4 points per game and fell just shy of averaging a triple double. During his 3 games played in the New Orleans series, Doncic averaged 29.0 points scored, 5.7 assists, and 10.8 rebounds per contest. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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05-02-22 | Mariners v. Astros -129 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Astros (Odorizzi) 8:10 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Astros -129 (5*) Seattle has gone 7-2 at home thus far but just 5-8 on the road. Lefthander Marco Gonzalez is 0-5 during his career team starts at Minute Maid Park in Houston with a sizable 5.61 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. Seattle’s bullpen has struggled a bit over their previous 7 games with a 4.82 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Houston has gone 13-4 at home versus Seattle since 2020. The Astros are 7-2 this season when facing lefthanded starting pitchers and hit 15 home runs while doing so. The Astros bullpen has been terrific in their 6 home games in 2022 with a brilliant 1.35 ERA as a staff. |
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05-02-22 | Braves v. Mets UNDER 7 | 5-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Braves (Fried) @ Mets (Bassitt) 7:10 Game# 903-904 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) Chris Bassitt has been solid for the Mets this season during his 4 starts with a 2.25 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 24.0 innings pitched. The Mets bullpen has been good at home with a staff 3.00 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. The Mets are coming off a 10-6 win last night over Philadelphia. New York has played 6-1-1 to the under this season following an over during its previous game. The Mets are currently -110 om the money line. New York has played 26-7 (79%) to the under at home since the start of last season when their money line is -100 to -150. Atlanta’s Max Fried has displayed excellent form throughout his previous 3 starts with an excellent 1.47 ERA and 0.71 WHIP. Since 2020, Fried has made 5 starts against the Mets with an impressive 2.57 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. The Braves bullpen has been extremely sharp throughout its last 7 games with a 1.86 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. Atlanta is coming off a 7-3 loss at Texas yesterday in a game that went over the total of 9.0. The Braves have played 6-1 to the under during its last 7 following an over in their previous game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-02-22 | Yankees -115 v. Blue Jays | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Stripling) @ Yankees (Montgomery) 7:07 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Yankees -115 (5*) Jordan Montgomery has a superb 2.70 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 4 starts this season. The Yankees enter this series riding a 9-game win streak. Throughout their previous 7 outings New York has averaged a robust 8.3 runs scored per game and smacked 17 home runs. Ross Stripling has made 2 career starts versus the Yankees with an uninspiring 4.50 ERA and both came last season. The Blue Jays bullpen has recorded a terrible 6.47 ERA and 1.65 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. During that identical stretch, Toronto has averaged a paltry 2.8 runs scored per game. Give me the Yankees on the money line. |
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05-01-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 219.5 | Top | 117-116 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
Golden State @ Memphis 3:30 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Over 219.5 (10*) Golden State averages 118.0 points scored per game and shot a red-hot 51.5% during their just completed 4-1 series win over Denver. Memphis allowed Minnesota to shoot 38.8% from beyond the 3-point-line during their 4-2 series win. That can be problematic for the Grizzlies since Golden State made 42.2% of their long-distance attempts versus Denver. Since Game 42 of their season, Memphis has played 10-2 (83% and there was a combined average of 231.2 points scored per contest. to the over when facing opponents like Golden State that allow 108 or fewer points per game. The Grizzlies were adept at getting to the free throw line in the Minnesota series while getting there a massive 32 times per contest. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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05-01-22 | Angels -115 v. White Sox | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
Angels (Lorenzen) @ White Sox (Keuchel) 2:10 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Angels -115 (5*) Dallas Keuchel has been horrible in 3 starts with a 9.90 ERA and 2.40 WHIP. Furthermore, he averaged only 3 1/3 innings pitched per start. That’s not good news and especially so when considering the White Sox bullpen has struggle mightily throughout the week. Specifically speaking, Chicago relievers has issued an alarmingly high 23 walks in 22.0 innings of work. The White Sox had averaged a paltry 2.9 runs scored per outing throughout its first 10 home games. The Angels Michael Lorenzen has made 3 starts this season with an impressive 2.94 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. The Angels headed into the weekend with a 6-2 road record while averaging 6.2 runs scored per game and a shiny bullpen ERA of 2.23. The Angels also entered the weekend riding a 6-game win streak and outscored their opponents by a combined 32-14. Give me the Angels on the money line. |
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05-01-22 | Mariners v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
Mariners (Gilbert) @ Marlins (Alcantara) 1:40 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) This will be a battle of 2 vastly underrated starting pitchers in Logan Gilbert of Seattle and Sandy Alcantara. Both bullpens have been solid thus far. Logan Gilbert has a brilliant 0.40 ERA in 4 starts. Sandy Alcantara has a sparkling 1.78 ERA in his 4 starts. The Marlins are currently a money line favorite of -115. Alcantara has pitched 9-0 to the under at home since last season when Miami had a money line of +125 to -125 and there was only a combined average of 5.1 runs scored per game. Miami’s bullpen has a 3.36 ERA and has made good on 8 of 9 save opportunities. The Mariners bullpen has a very good 2.95 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-01-22 | Padres -1.5 v. Pirates | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Padres (Musgrove) @ Pirates (Keller) 1:35 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Padres -1.5 (-110) Pittsburgh had lost 4 in a row heading into the weekend. Mitch Keller is 0-4 in his team starts this season with a sizable 6.62 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. Keller made 1 career home start versus San Diego and allowed 7 earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work. The Padres entered the weekend having won 4 straight and 9 of its last 11. San Diego had also scored 7 runs or more during that 4-game win streak. Joe Musgrove has been outstanding over his last 3 starts with a 1.89 ERA and 0.80 WHIP during 19.0 innings pitched. Give me San Diego on the run-line. |
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05-01-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4 | 101-89 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ Boston 1:00 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Boston -4.0 (5*) You may be surprised to know that Milwaukee has gone a dismal 5-10 ATS as an underdog this season. Furthermore, since the 2020 playoffs, Milwaukee is an uninspiring 2-5 SU and 0-7 ATS during an opening game of a series. The Celtics are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home versus Milwaukee. Boston has shot 47% or better in each of their previous 9 games. The Celtics are 5-0 SU in their last 5 and 8-1 SU during its previous 9. That includes covering 7 of their last 8. Since the 2019 NBA Playoffs, whenever there was a total of 209.0 or greater in Boston’s opening game of a playoff series, the Celtics were 4-1 SU&ATS while allowing a mere 92.6 points per game. Give me Boston minus the points. |