Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-15-23 | Angels v. Rangers -118 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -118 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Angels (Ohtani) @ Rangers (Eovaldi)8:05 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Rangers -118 (10*) Shoei Ohtani has made 4 career starts at Texas and posted an uninspiring 5.66 ERA. Ohtani has been in shaky form over his last 3 starts with a 4.76 ERA/1.59 WHIP. The star right-hander has also allowed an alarmingly high 7 home runs in 32.0 innings pitched on the road. That’s potentially problematic since Ohtani will be facing a Texas Rangers team which has belted 55 home runs in 33 home games this season. Additionally, since the start of last season, the Angels are a dismal 14-36 (.280) when facing a starting pitcher like Nathan Eovaldi who allows an average of 0.5 home runs or fewer per start. Nathan Eovaldi is coming off a rare start this season in which it wasn’t of the quality variety. However, Eovaldi is 7-1 during his last 8 team starts while compiling an excellent 1.47 ERA/0.94 WHIP and averaged a healthy 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Texas is a very good 22-11 (.667) at home this season while averaging 6.6 runs scored per game. Give me the Texas Rangers as a money line favorite. |
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06-14-23 | Angels v. Rangers OVER 9 | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Angels (Detmers) @ Rangers (Heany) 8:05 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Over 9.0 (5*) The last 4 times these teams have met this season resulted in an over on each occasion and there was a substantial combined average of 15.0 runs scored per game. Texas has gone over the total in each of their last 5 with a combined average of 11.6 runs scored per game. The Rangers have also averaged 6.9 runs scored per game when facing left-handed pitchers this season and played 14-6 to the over in those exact situations. Furthermore, Texas has played 21-10-1 to the over at home this season while averaging 6.6 runs scored per game and hitting 52 home runs. The Angels Reid Detmers has shown bad form over his last 3 starts while compiling a terrible 1.72 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Detmers has pitched 12-3 to the over in his starts when his team’s money line was +125 to -125 like it currently is. The Rangers Andrew Heaney has pitched 7-0 to the over this season in his starts when the Rangers were a home favorite of -110 or greater and there was a whopping 16.0 runs combined scored per game. Heaney has pitched 6-1 to the over at home this season with a lofty 5.67 ERA/1.53 WHIP. Play on this game to go over the total. |
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06-13-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 15-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Phillies (Wheeler) @ Diamondbacks (Davies) 9:40 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Over 9.0 (5*) Zack Wheeler has a lofty 5.18 ERA during 6 road starts this season. Since 2019, Wheeler has made 2 starts at Arizona and was tagged for 10 earned runs on 14 hits during 13 2/3 innings of work. The Phillies bullpen has an awful staff 6.97 ERA/1.55 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. That also includes allowing 6 home runs during just 20 2/3 innings of work. The Phillies have played 12-3 to the over this season when facing American League teams and with a combined average of 13.2 runs scored per game. Zach Davies has a sizable 6.75/1.80 WHIP in 3 home starts this season. Arizona has been sizzling hot offensively of late, averaging 7.6 runs scored per game, hitting .305 as a team, and amassed a .381 OBP in their last 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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06-13-23 | Guardians v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Guardians (Bibee) @ Padres (Musgrove) 9:40 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Tanner Bibee has been in very good form over his last 3 starts with a 2.81 ERA/1.00 WHIP and better than a 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Cleveland bullpen has a stellar 2.51 ERA/1.29 WHIP as a staff throughout their previous 7 games. Cleveland has played 27-13-1 to the under this season when facing right-handed starting pitchers like Joe Musgrove. Speaking of Joe Musgrove has been in superb form with 1.04 ERA/0.98 WHIP over his previous 3 starts. The Padres bullpen has a shiny staff 2.78 ERA/1.03 WHIP over their last 7 games. The Padres have played 11-3 to the under this season when facing American League teams. San Diego has also played 9-1 to the under this season when facing starting pitchers like Tanner Bibee that allowed 5.5 or less hits per start. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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06-13-23 | Yankees v. Mets -1.5 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Yankees (Severino) @ Mets (Scherzer) 7:10 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Mets -1.5 (+133) (5*) Luis Severino has exhibited poor form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 6.89 ERA and allowed an alarmingly high 7 home runs during just 15 2/3 innings pitched. By the way, Severino will be facing a Mets team that has smacked 14 homers in their last 7 games. Max Scherzer has been excellent in 3 home starts at Citi Field this season with a sensational 0.50 ERA/0.78 WHIP. Scherzer will be going up against a Yankees club which has scored 3 runs or fewer in 4 straight and 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Mets on the run-line. |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 209.5 | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Heat @ Nuggets 8:30 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Over 209.5 (5*) This series has seen totals decrease in each game. It started in Game 1 at 219.5 and 4 games later it’s now 209.5. That’s with no significant injuries on either side prompting those moves. Denver has shot the ball extremely well through the first 4 games while making 50.8% of their field goal attempts. Despite scoring less than 100 points in 5 of their last 8 games, the Heat have still shot a respectable 36.6% from 3-points territory and averaged 12.3 makes per game in these NBA Finals. Neither team has been to the free throw line with any regularity in the first 4 games of the series. However, each has been very efficient when getting there with Denver converting on 81.1% of their attempts and Miami is at 85.2%. NBA Playoffs away underdogs of 6.5 or greater like Miami that are coming off 2 losses by 10 points or more and there’s a total of 215.5 or less, resulted in those away underdogs playing 6-0 to the over since 2006. Those 6 contests went over the total by an average of 10.8 points per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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06-12-23 | Giants -123 v. Cardinals | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Giants (Webb) @ Cardinals (Liberatore) 7:45 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Giants -123 (5*) The Cardinals are reeling right now after going 3-9 in their last 12. St. Louis has also scored 3 runs or fewer in 12 of their last 16. The Giants Logan Webb has pitched 7.0 innings or more during 5 of his previous 7 starts and compiled an excellent 2.30 ERA/1.04 WHIP while doing so. The Giants bullpen has been very good over their last 7 games with a staff 2.50 ERA/0.96 WHIP. Give me the San Francisco Giants on the money line. |
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06-11-23 | Marlins v. White Sox UNDER 8 | 6-5 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
Marlins (Garrett) @ White Sox (Giolito) 2:10 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Miami has played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 and allowed 2 runs or fewer on each occasion. The Marlins pitcher Braxton Garrett is 5-1 during his day team starts this season with a brilliant 1.82 ERA/1.04 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Garrett has pitched 12-1 to the under when pitching on 5 or 6 days rest like he’ll be doing today. The Miami bullpen has been superb over their last 7 games with a staff 1.69 ERA/1.27 WHIP and was 3-for-3 on their save opportunities. Lucas Giolito is coming off a sensational start at Yankee Stadium in his previous outing while pitching 6.0 innings of scoreless and hitless baseball. Giolito has been very good at home this season with a 2.70 ERA/0.93 WHIP in 6 starts. The White Sox bullpen has an excellent staff 1.57 ERA/0.78 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Chicago has played 9-1 to the under at home this season when facing teams like the Marlins who average 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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06-10-23 | Rangers +105 v. Rays | 8-4 | Win | 105 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a starting pitching mismatch. Nathan Eovaldi has been in excellent form over his last 7 starts while posting a microscopic 0.68 ERA in those outings. Eovaldi has been very good in 7 road starts this season with a 1.49 ERA/0.95 WHIP. Texas is 18-6 during day games this season while averaging 7.9 runs scored per outing. Taj Bradley of Tampa Bay has a lofy 6.43 ERA in 3 home starts in 2023. Give me the Texas Rangers on the money line. |
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06-09-23 | Nuggets v. Heat +3.5 | 108-95 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Nuggets @ Heat 8:30 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Heat +3.5 (10*) Miami is coming off Wednesday’s 109-94 home loss in Game 3. As expected, there’s been a ton of bets and money placed on Denver in today’s Game 4 based on what the public just witnessed 2 days ago. We have seen this act before where bettors kick Miami right in the teeth when they’re down and presumably on life support. On most occasions the Heat have responded in a big way to those situations and especially so when playing at home. Specifically speaking, Miami is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 at home immediately following a loss in their previous game. That includes 3-0 ATS and 2-1 SU if they were a home underdog. NBA Playoffs home underdogs of 4.0 or less that are playing in Round 2 or beyond like Miami that are coming off a home SU&ATS loss, and they’re down 2-1 in a series, resulted in those home underdogs of 4.0 or less going 5-0 SU&ATS since the 2003 postseason. Those underdogs not only covered on each occasion, and but won all 5 contests SU and by an average of 8.4 points per game. Give me the Miami Heat plus points. |
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06-09-23 | Dodgers v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Grove) @ Phillies (Suarez) 7:05 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Over 9.5 (5*) The Dodgers pitcher Michael Grove has struggled in his 5 starts this season with a 8.14 ERA.1.52 WHIP and averaged just 4.2 innings pitched per start. He doesn’t figure to get much help from a Dodgers bullpen that has a staff 6.17 ERA/1.63 WHIP, and they allowed 7 home runs in 23 1/3 innings pitched. Los Angeles is coming off yesterday’s 6-0 win at Cincinnati that easily went under the total. However, the Dodgers have played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 immediately after a game that went under and there was a combined average of 13.2 runs scored per occurrence. Los Angeles has played 14-5-1 to the over in their last 20 overall and 11-3 to the over during their previous 14 away games. The Dodgers have hit a noteworthy 14 home runs in their last 7 games. Ranger Suarez has a lofty 5.47 ERA/1.54 WHIP in 5 starts this season. The Phillies have hit 11 homers over their previous 7 games and averaged 5.1 runs scored per outing. Philadelphia has seen all 3 head-to-head matchups versus the Dodgers go over the total with a combined average of 15.7 runs scored per game. They Phillies allowed a combined 36 runs, 44 hits, and 7 homers in those 3 matchups versus Los Angeles. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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06-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Panthers -118 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Golden Knights @ Panthers 8:20 PM ET Game# 47-48 Play On: Panthers -118 (5*) Las Vegas won the first 2 games of this series by scores of 5-2 and 7-2. Since the 2003 Stanley Cup Playoffs, teams like the Golden Knights that are coming off 2 home playoff wins in which they scored 5 goals or more on each occasion, resulted in those teams going 1-9 against the money line. Give me the Florida Panthers on the money line. |
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06-08-23 | Astros v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Astros (Valdez) @ Blue Jays (Berrios) 7:07 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Under 8.5 (5*) The Astros pitcher Framber Valdez has been in terrific form over his last 3 starts while recording a microscopic 0.41 ERA/0.77 WHIP and averaged a healthy 7.3 innings pitched per outing. The Astros have played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 whenever the total was between 8.0 and 9.0. The Blue Jays Jose Berrios has been in good form over his last 3 starts with a 0.96 ERA. Berrios has pitched 3-0-1 to the under this season at home with a 2.22 ERA/1.03 WHIP and a tad better than a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Toronto has played 7-2-1 to the under in their last 10 games. Toronto has played 17-9-2 to the under at home this season. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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06-07-23 | Nuggets -135 v. Heat | Top | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 35 h 59 m | Show |
Nuggets @ Heat 8:30 ET Game# 45-46 Play On: Denver -135 (10*) Denver is coming off a disappointing 111-108 home loss in Game 2. However, the Nuggets are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 on the road and when coming off a SU loss and outscored their opponents by 12.7 points per game. Furthermore, since the start of last season, Denver is 3-0 SU&ATS at Miami and won by an average of 13.4 points per game. Since the 2017 NBA Postseason, any Game 3 away favorite of -1.5 or greater or less like Denver will be tonight, and they’re coming off a home favorite of 7.0 or greater upset loss, resulted in those Game 3 away favorites going 7-0 SU. The average margin of victory during those 7 games came by a decisive margin of 16.4 points per game. Give me the Denver Nuggets as a money line wager. |
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06-07-23 | Mets +121 v. Braves | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Mets (Scherzer) @ Braves (Morton) 7:20 Game# 905-906 Play On: Mets +121 (5*) Charlie Morton has been in poor form over his last 3 starts with a 5.71 ERA/1.62 WHIP and the Braves went 0-3. Morton has made 1 uninspiring start versus the Mets this season when he allowed 4 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched. Atlanta is 20-10 on the road but just 16-14 at home. The Braves bullpen has a lofty 4.73 ERA at home this season Max Scherzer has exhibited excellent form over his last 4 starts with a 1.08 ERA/0.80 WHIP and 7:1 strikeout to walk ration. The Mets went 4-0 in those games. The Mets bullpen has been impressive over their last 7 games while compiling a staff 2.74 ERA/1.00 WHIP. Give me the New York Mets on the money line. |
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06-06-23 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks (Henry) @ Nationals (Irvin) 7:05 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Over 9.5 (5*) Jake Irvin has seen each of his previous 4 starts go over the total while he recorded a large 8.82 ERA/1.90 WHIP. The Washington bullpen staff has collected a terrible 6.65 ERA/1.75 WHIP and surrendered 7 home runs in just 21 2/3 inniings throughout their last 7 games. The Nationals have played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 and there was a combined 12.6 runs scored per game. Tommy Henry has pitched 2-0-1 to the over in his previous 3 starts with a lofty 5.47 ERA. Arizona’s bullpen staff has amassed an uninspiring 4.87 ERA on the road this season and allowed an alarmingly high 17 home runs in 95 1/3 innings of work. Since 2021, Arizona has played 20-8 to the over immediately following a day off like they had yesterday. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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06-06-23 | White Sox v. Yankees -134 | 3-2 | Loss | -134 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
White Sox (Giolito) @ Yankees (Scmidt) 7:05 ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Yankees -134 (5*) Lucas Giolito has been shaky in 4 career starts versus the Yankees with a 6.30 ERA/1.80 WHIP. Since last season, Giolito is 1-11 during his team starts as a money line road of +100 to +150 like he’ll be this evening. The White Sox are a dismal 10-20 this season in away games. Clark Schmidt has exhibited extremely good form over his last 3 starts while recording a 1.72 ERA/1.15 WHIP. The Yankees bullpen has a stellar staff 1.61 ERA/0.99 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Yankees have averaged 6.3 runs scored per game while smashing 16 home runs during their last 7 games. Give me the New York Yankees as a money line favorite. |
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06-06-23 | Twins v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
Rays (Eflin) @ Twins (Varland) 6:40 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) The Tampa Bay starter Zach Eflin is 6-0 in his home team starts this season with a 2.19 ERA/0.84 WHIP and averaged 6.2 innings pitched per start. Tampa Bay has gone under the total in their last 3 and 6 of their previous 7 games. During those last 7 games the Rays allowed 2 runs or fewer 5 times. The Rays have averaged only 3.4 runs per game and hit just 4 home runs over their last 7 outings. Minnesota is coming off 3 extremely low scoring affair which average a mere combined 3.3 runs scored per game. The Twins have also played 20-8 to the under this season whenever the total was 8.0 or 8.5. The Twins starter Louie Varland has displayed good form over his last 3 appearances with a 2.50 ERA/1.06 WHIP while averaging 6.0 innings per outing. The Twins bullpen has an excellent staff 2.14 ERA/1.04 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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06-05-23 | Cardinals v. Rangers -134 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Cardinals (Wainwright) @ Rangers (Perez) 8:05 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Rangers -134 (5*) Adam Wainwright has been a shell of himself in 6 starts this season while recording a lofty 6.15 ERA/1.71 WHIP. He doesn’t figure to get much help from a Cardinals bullpen that’s posted an uninspiring 5.95 ERA/1.58 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The same came be said for Wainwright’s hope of some run support. The Cardinals are averaging a mere 2.3 runs scored per game while compiling an awful .181 team batting average over their previous 7 games. With the previously mentioned terrible statistics it comes as no surprise that the Cardinals are on 0-3 and 1-5 losing runs. Martin Perez has encountered his fair share of struggles on the road this season. However, he has an outstanding 1.94 ERA in 3 home starts. Furthermore, since the start of last season, Texas is 15-3 versus teams with a losing record and with Martin Perez as their starting pitcher while outscoring those 18 opponents by a healthy 3.4 runs per game. The Texas bullpen has a shiny staff 2.49 ERA/1.07 WHIP in their last 7 games. Texas is coming off a 3-game sweep of division rival Seattle in which they outscored the Mariners. As a matter of fact, during those previous 2 wins they scored 28 runs and pounded out 34 hits. Any team like Texas who’s playing in an Interleague game and is coming off a 3-game sweep of a division opponent, resulted in those teams going 41-11 (78.8%) since 2019, and they averaged outscoring those opponents by a sizable 2.5 runs per game. Give me the Texas Rangers as a money line favorite. |
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06-05-23 | Tigers v. Phillies -1.5 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Tigers (Wentz) @ Phillies (Nola) 6:40 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Phillies -1.5 (-113) (5*) The Tigers Joey Wentz has been in terrible form over his last 4 starts with a 10.38 ERA/2.54 WHIP. The Detroit bullpen has been shaky over their last 7 games with a staff 4.97 ERA/1.77 WHIP. The Tigers have lost their last 3 and 5 of their previous 6 which includes being held scoreless twice. Since 2021, Detroit is an abysmal 14-44 after scoring 2 runs or less in each of their previous 2 games. Aaron Nola is 3-0 in his home team starts this season with a 3.15 ERA/0.95 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen has been solid at home with a staff 2.49 ERA/1.21 WHIP. Philadelphia has averaged 7.3 runs scored and 12.0 hits per game over their last 3 outings. Give me the Philadelphia Phillies as a money line favorite. |
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06-05-23 | Royals v. Marlins -1.5 | 6-9 | Win | 136 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
Royals (Hernandez) @ Marlins (Garrett) 6:40 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Marlins -1.5 (+136) (5*) Kansas City is coming off yesterday’s 2-0 home win over Colorado. The Royals are an abysmal 0-11 since the start of last season immediately after a shutout win and were outscored by a massive 4.7 runs per game. Miami enters this series on winning runs of 3-0 and 6-2. The Marlins are also 10-2 this season versus American League teams. Braxton Garrett has been in superb form over his last 3 starts with a brilliant 1.66 ERA/0.83 WHIP while averaging 7.1 innings per outing. Give me the Miami Marlins on the run-line. |
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06-04-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Nuggets | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 29 h 19 m | Show | |
Heat @ Nuggets 8:00 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Heat +8.5 (5*) The Heat barely missed covering in Game 1 despite attempting only 2 free throws and shooting a miserable 40.6% from the field. Miami amassed 96 field goal attempts in that opening game loss and that’s significant. The Heat are 11-1 SU this season after attempting 93 or more field goal attempts during regulation time in their previous game. That improves to 6-0 SU if they lost that previous game, and they outscored those 6 opponents by an average of 8.5 points per contest. Those SU results take on added betting value when considering Miami is currently an 8.5-point underdog in Game 2. Furthermore, Miami has gone 4-0 SU in their last 4 this postseason following a game in which they shot 45.7% or worse. As a matter of fact, they shot a red-hot 52.7% in those 4 wins. Miami was just 13-39 from 3-point territory in Game 1. Nevertheless, they finished that contest 7-15 from beyond the 3-point line after starting the contest 6-24. Give me the Miami Heat plus points. |
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06-04-23 | Cubs -102 v. Padres | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Cubs (Stroman) @ Padres (Weathers) 5:30 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Cubs -102 (5*) San Diego left-hander Ryan Weathers has displayed poor form over his last 3 starts with a 6.32 ERA/1.66 WHIP. Weathers has made 3 career starts versus the Cubs with all coming since 2021 and he posted a terrible 7.24 ERA/1.76 WHIP. Weathers is also 0-6 in his team starts since 2021 when facing a team like the Cubs with a win percentage of .380 to .460. Weathers will be facing the Cubs today who are 10-6 versus lefty starters while averaging 5.9 runs per game and smashed 22 home runs while doing so. The Cubs Marcus Stroman has been in terrific form over his last 3 starts with a 1.17 ERA/0.57 WHIP and averaged a sizable 7.7 innings pitched per outing. Stroman is also 4-0 in his career team starts versus San Diego with a stellar 2.19 ERA. Give me the Chicago Cubs on the money line. |
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06-04-23 | Braves v. Diamondbacks -134 | 8-5 | Loss | -134 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Braves (Sroka) @ Diamondbacks (Gallen) 4:10 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Diamondbacks -134 (5*) Atlanta is coming off yesterday’s win at Arizona. The Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 following a win. As a matter of fact, after a blistering hot 25-11 start to the season. However, they’ve gone just 9-13 in their last 22 games. Zac Gallen is a perfect 6-0 in his home team starts in 2023 with a dominating 0.66 ERA/0.73 WHIP while averaging a healthy 6.8 innings pitched per start. Yesterday’s loss to Atlanta snapped a 6-game Arizona win streak. The Diamondbacks are 8-1 in their last 9 at home versus National League teams. The Arizona bullpen has a shiny 2.11 ERA while striking out 25 batters and walking just 5 in their last 7 games. The Diamondbacks are also 14-7 in days games and 25-14 when facing right-handed starting pitchers. Give me the San Francisco Giants on the money line. |
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06-04-23 | Orioles v. Giants +100 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Orioles (Wells) @ Giants (DeSclafani) 4:05 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: Giants +100 (5*) Tyler Wells has a 5.49 ERA in 4 road starts this seasoan and allowed an alarmingly high 8 home runs in 21 1/3 innings pitched. The Usually strong Orioles bullpen has struggled over their last 7 games with a staff 6.15 ERA/1.82 WHIP. Since 2021, the Orioles have gone an abysmal 10-48 when their bullpen recorded a 6.50 ERA or worse in their last 5 games. Anthony DeSclafani has a brilliant 1.97 ERA/0.72 WHIP in 5 starts versus American League teams this season. The Giants bullpen has a terrific 1.11 ERA/0.82 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Giants are an extremely profitable 18-9 this season when their money line is -125 to +125. Give me the San Francisco Giants on the money line. |
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06-03-23 | Panthers +119 v. Golden Knights | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Florida @ Las Vegas 8:00 PM ET Game# 43-44 Play On: Florida +119 (5*) Since losing Game 1 of their opening series versus Boston, Florida has won 8 consecutive road games. The Panthers are converting 27% of their power play opportunities during the playoffs. Conversely, despite reaching the Stanley Cup Finals, Las Vegas has allowed opponents to score on 37% of their man advantage opportunities during this 2023 postseason. The Panthers Sergei Bobrovsky has been brilliant during these 2023 Stanley Cup Playoffs while going 11-2 in his starts while recording an outstanding .935 save percentage. Florida enters the Stanley Cup Finals with 9 days rest following a 4-game sweep of the Eastern Conference #2 seed Carolina Hurricanes. Give me the Florida Panthers as a money line underdog. |
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06-03-23 | Brewers v. Reds OVER 10 | 10-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Brewers (Rea) @ Reds (Ashcroft) 4:10 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Over 10.0 (5*) Cincinnati is coming off last night’s 5-4 home loss to Milwaukee. The Reds have played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 following an under in the previous outing and there was a combined average of 12.3 runs scored per game. The Reds slated pitcher Graham Ashcraft has made 2 career home starts versus Milwaukee and recorded a sizable 10.00 ERA/2.00 WHIP during those outings. As a matter of fact, Ashcraft has pitched 5-0 to the over in his last 5 starts overall with a terrible 11.29 ERA/2.02 WHIP. The Cincinnati bullpen has struggled mightily throughout their previous 7 games with a staff 7.30 ERA/1.62 WHIP. The Brewers slated pitcher Colin Rea has a lofty 5.66 ERA and allowed 6 home runs in just 20 2/3 innings pitched during 4-day-game starts this season. The Brewers bullpen has an uninspiring 4.52 ERA/1.43 WHIP on the road this season. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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06-03-23 | Tigers +142 v. White Sox | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
Tigers (Lorenzen) @ White Sox (Cease) 2:10 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Tigers +142 (5*) The White Sox are coming off a home win over the Tigers last night. However, Chicago is a miserable 6-16 this season following a win in their previous game. The White Sox are also a terrible 9-19 in day games this season. Dylan Cease has a sizable 1.52 WHIP during 6 home starts in 2023. Cease was less than stellar in his only start versus Detroit this season while allowing 4 earned runs in only 4.0 innings pitched. The Tigers Michael Lorenzen is 3-0 in his road team starts this season with a sparkling 2.45 ERA/0.93 WHIP while averaging 6.1 innings pitched per outing. Lorenzen is also 4-1 during his last 5 starts while collecting an outstanding 1.95 ERA/0.87 WHIP. Lorenzen has made 1 start this year and 1 last season versus the White Sox and recorded an excellent 1.80 ERA/0.93 WHIP. Give me the Detroit Tigers as a money line underdog. |
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06-02-23 | Cubs v. Padres -1.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Cubs (Taillon) @ Padres (Wacha) 9:40 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Padres -1.5 (+125) (5*) The Cubs pitcher Jameson Taillon is 0-5 during his last 5 team starts with a massive 10.91 ERA/1.91 WHIP. During those outings, Taillon allowed 5 home runs in just 17 1/3 innings pitched. The Cubs bullpen has been extremely shaky throughout their previous 7 games with a staff 5.97 ERA/1.92 WHIP and they allowed 6 home runs in 28 2/3 innings pitched. Chicago has scored a mere 2 runs or fewer in 5 of their last 7 games. The Padres Michael Wacha has exhibited excellent form over his last 5 starts with a 0.84 ERA/0.72 WHIP. The Padres bullpen has a sparkling 2.71 ERA/1.06 WHIP at home this season. San Diego has scored 5 runs or more in 7 of their last 10 games. Give me the San Diego Padres as a run-line favorite. |
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06-02-23 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Angels (Ohtani) @ Astros (Valdez) 8:10 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Shoei Ohtani has pitched 4-1-1 to the under in 6 starts versus Houston since last season with a terrific 1.71 ERA/0.95 WHIP. Ohtani has displayed very good form during his last 3 starts overall with a 3.32 ERA/1.05 WHIP and averaged 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Angels bullpen has been solid on the road this season with a staff 3.41 ERA/1.20 WHIP. Framber Valdez has pitched 4-1 to the under in his starts versus the Angels last season with a stellar 3.19 ERA/1.00 WHIP. Valdez has been in superb form while going 4-0 in his last 4 team starts with a 2.00 ERA/0.85 WHIP and averaged a healthy 6.8 innings pitched per outing. The Astros bullpen has been very good at home in 2023 while recording a staff 2.63 ERA/1.22 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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06-02-23 | Mariners v. Rangers -103 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
Mariners (Castillo) @ Rangers (Gray) 8:05 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Rangers -103 (5*) The Mariners pitcher Luis Castillo has been superb at home in 2023. However, Castillo is 0-3 during his team starts on the road with a lofty 5.06 ERA/1.50 WHIP. The Rangers’ Jon Gray is 4-0 in his last 4 team starts with a stellar 1.00 ERA/0.78 WHIP. Gray made 1 start versus Seattle this season and allowed just 1 earned run, 4 hits, and struck out 8 while walking none. The Texas bullpen has a brilliant 1.77 ERA/1.08 WHIP as a staff over their previous 7 games. Texas is coming off a 3-2 loss to Detroit in their previous game. The Rangers have gone a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 immediately following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 4.7 runs per game. Lastly, Texas is 16-8 at home this season while averaging a robust 6.8 runs scored per game. Give me the Texas Rangers on the money line. |
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06-01-23 | Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 33 h 41 m | Show | |
Heat @ Nuggets 8:30 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Denver -8.5 (5*) Since the start of the 2021-2022 NBA season, Denver has gone an unscathed 6-0 SU&ATS versus Miami. The Nuggets are also 8-0 SU at home during these 2023 NBA Playoffs with an average victory margin of 12.0 points per game. Additionally, Miami is coming off a grueling and emotional 7 game series win over Boston that just ended on Monday night in which they nearly squandered a commanding 3-0 series lead. Conversely, Denver will be playing on 9 days rest after completing a 4-game sweep of the Los Angeles Lakers in the Western Conference Finals. The Nuggets will obviously have a huge advantage in terms of rest and preparation heading into Game 1 of the 2023 NBA Finals. Since 2004, NBA Finals Game 1 home favorites like Denver have gone an extremely profitable 16-2 SU and 15-3 ATS (83%). Furthermore, if those favorites were -5.5 to -11.5 like Denver will be in Game 1 on Thursday night, then they improve to a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS with a substantial average victory margin of 15.0 points per contest. Give me the Denver Nuggets minus the points. |
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06-01-23 | Phillies v. Mets -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 110 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
Phillies (Walker) @ Mets (Scherzer) 1:10 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Mets -1.5 (+110) (5*) Tijuan Walker has a massive 9.72 ERA/2.10 WHIP in his last 4 road starts. Philadelphia has gone a dismal 2-8 in their last 10 away games. Max Scherzer has been in exceptional form over his last 3 starts with a 1.00 ERA/0.78 WHIP. Scherzer is 4-0 in his team starts during the day in 2023 with a 1.80 ERA/0.85 WHIP.-+ Since 2021, Scherzer has made 8 starts versus the Phillies and recorded an excellent 2.35 ERA/1.15 WHIP. The Mets won 4-1 at home versus the Phillies yesterday and have now won 7 straight at Citi Field. Give me the Mets on the run-line. |
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05-31-23 | Phillies v. Mets OVER 9 | 1-4 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Phillies (Nola) @ Mets (Carrasco) 7:10 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Over 9.0 (5*) The Mets Carlos Carrasco has been terrible in both of his home starts this season while recording an enormous 10.24 ERA. He lasted a combined total of 9 1/3 innings pitched in those outings an allowed 3 home runs. The Mets are coming off last night’s 2-0 home win over the Phillies. However, New York has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 immediately following an over and there was a combined average of 13.2 runs scored per game. Conversely, the Phillies have played 3-0-2 to the over during their previous 5 immediately following an under and there was a combined average of 11.0 runs scored per game. Aaron Nola has posted a lofty 6.05 ERA in 3 road starts this season while allowing 5 home runs in 19 1/3 innings pitched. As a matter of fact, Nola has surrendered 9 home runs in 47 2/3 innings pitched over his last 7 starts. Since the start of last season, Nola has pitched 11-2 to the over whenever the total was between 8.5 to 10.0 and there were a combined 12.4 runs scored per game. The Phillies bullpen has a shoddy 5.72 ERA/1.57 WHIP on the road this season. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-29-23 | Yankees v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 10-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
Yankees (German) @ Mariners (Miller) 9:40 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) The Yankees Domingo German returns from his 10-game suspension after showing great form over his last 4 start with a 1.64 ERA/0.68 WHIP. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Yankees have played 24-9 (73%) to the under. Seattle’s Bryce Miller has seen all 5 of his starts going under the total this season and his brilliant 1.15 ERA/0.51 WHIP was a major reason why. Additionally, 2 of those 5 starts came at home where Miller allowed 0 earned runs in 12.0 innings pitched. Seattle went over the total on Sunday, and they’ve played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 following an over during its previous game. Both bullpens in this matchup have been rock-solid thus far in 2023. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 204 | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Heat @ Celtics 8:30 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Under 204.0 (5*) Boston is coming off a 104-103 win in Game 6 to force a deciding 7th Game. That contest stayed under the total of 210.5. After witnessing the first 3 games of this Eastern Conference Finals going over the total, the last 3 contests have all stayed under. It speaks volumes to me when the sportsbooks make this big of an adjustment to a Game 7 total when the average number in the first 6 games was 213.8. NBA Playoffs Game 7 home teams have played 41-24 (63%) to the under since 2003. Since 2019, that NBA Game 7 home teams off a Game 6 away win have played 12-3 (80%) to the under and there was a combined 197.4 points scored per game. Furthermore, since 2014, NBA Game 7 home teams coming off a Game 6 away win in which they allowed 100 points or more have played 5-0 to the under with an average combined score of just 186.0 points scored per contest. All the betting angles are applicable to Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Monday night. |
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05-28-23 | Giants -120 v. Brewers | 5-7 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Giants (Cobb) @ Brewers (Rea) 2:10 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Giants -120 (5*) Colin Rea has made 4 home starts this season and compiled a lofty 4.74 ERA during those outings. The Brewers bullpen has a sizable 6.33 ERA over their previous 7 games. Milwaukee has averaged only 2.9 runs per game and had an abysmal .195 team batting average during their previous 7 outings. Milwaukee has scored 2 runs or fewer in 6 of its last 10 and went scoreless on 3 of those occasions. Alex Cobb has been terrific in 10 starts for the Giants this season while posting a superb 2.17 ERA. The Giants bullpen struggles through the first 6 weeks of the season but has dramatically improved of late. Specifically speaking, San Francisco relief pitchers have a cumulative 0.29 ERA/0.86 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Giants won the first 3 games of this season and outscored the Brewers 23-2. San Francisco enters today a red-hot 10-2 in their last 12 games. Give me the San Francisco Giants on the money line. |
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05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 210.5 | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Boston @ Miami 8:30 PM Game# 501-502 Play On: Under 210.5 (5*) Since the 2021 Playoffs, Boston has played 9-0 to the under when facing elimination and there was a combined average of 201.8 points scored per game. Boston is 16-3 to the under in their last 19 when +3.0 to -3.0. Since last year’s playoffs, Miami has played 6-2 to the under in games they can possibly clinch a series win and there was a combined average of 206.9 points scored per game. This has been a series played at a slow pace by modern day NBA standards. Boston has averaged 84 field goal attempts par game and Miami 83 per contest. There has been just a combined average of 40 FTA’s PG in this series which is extremely low by NBA standards. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-27-23 | Cardinals +101 v. Guardians | 2-1 | Win | 101 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Cardinals (Flaherty) @ Guardians (Bibee) 7:15 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Cardinals +101 (5*) The Guardians are coning off last night’s 4-3 home win over St. Louis. However, the Cardinals have gone 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss during their previous game. Conversely, Cleveland has gone a dismal 1-5 in their last 6 and 2-8 during its previous 10 games immediately after a win. Additionally, since 2021 the Cardinals Jack Flaherty is a perfect 9-0 during his road team starts versus teams with a losing record. The Cardinals won those 9 by an enormous average of 4.9 runs per game. Give me the St. Louis Cardinals on the money line. |
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05-26-23 | Nationals -103 v. Royals | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Nationals (Corbin) @ Royals (Lyles) 8:10 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Nationals -103 (5*) Jordan Lyles of the Royals has gone an abysmal 0-10 in his road team starts this season with a 6.83 ERA and allowed 14 homers in 56 2/3 innings pitched. The Royals bullpen staff has a shoddy 5.68 ERA/1.61 at home this season. Lyles doesn’t figure to get much run support since Kansas City has averaged a paltry 2.9 runs scored per game over their last 7. Pat Corbin has been rejuvenated have suffering through his fair share of struggles in recent season. As a matter of fact, Corbin has produced 4 consecutive quality starts in a row while collecting a 2.88 ERA/1.04 WHIP. The Nationals bullpen has a stellar 2.97 ERA/1.08 WHIP in 17 games this season versus American League teams. Washing has scored an average of 5.0 runs per game over their last 7 while producing an impressive .296 team batting average while doing so. Give me the Washington Nationals on the money line. |
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05-26-23 | Rangers +115 v. Orioles | 12-2 | Win | 115 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Rangers @ Orioles 7:05 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Rangers +115 (5*) Baltimore is coming off a series at Yankee Stadium in which they won 2 of 3 which was capped off by yesterday’s 3-1 win as a money line underdog of +120. I’m looking for a bit of an emotional letdown from the Orioles tonight versus a Texas team which has won 5 of their last 6. Furthermore, since 2021, Baltimore is an abysmal 5-21 at home immediately following a game they defeated a fellow AL East team as a money line underdog. The Oriole Grayson Rodriguez has displayed poor for over his last 4 starts with a 9.17 ERA/1.98 WHIP. Texas has averaged 7.0 runs scored per game and hit 11 homers over their previous 7. Texas’ Jon Gray has been in excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 0.90 ERA/0.80 WHIP and averaging a healthy 6.7 inning pitched per outing. Gray has been superb during 5 road starts this season while compiling a 2.20 ERA/0.91 WHIP. Give me the Texas Rangers as a money line underdog. |
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05-26-23 | Dodgers v. Rays -110 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Syndergaard) @ Rays (Beeks) 6:40 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Rays -110 (5*) Noah Syndergaard is no longer the once overpowering pitcher he once was in his early days with the Mets. During 4 road starts this season, Syndergaard has compiled an enormous 10.29 ERA/1.71 WHIP. The Dodgers bullpen of late to the tune of a staff 6.67 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. This is an extremely cheap price to lay on a team like the Rays who have gone 24-5 at home thus far in 2023. Since 2021, Tampa Bay is 16-2 at home when there’s a total of 9.0 or 9.5, 22-4 at home when facing National League teams, and 35-6 at home when facing a pitcher who averages less than 5.0 innings pitched per start. All those trends are applicable to today’s matchup. Give me the Tampa Bay Rays on the money-line. |
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05-25-23 | Heat v. Celtics -8 | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Heat @ Celtics 8:30 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Celtics -8.0 (5*) The Celtics staved off elimination with an impressive blowout win at Miami in Game 4. NBA Playoffs home favorites of -6.0 to -12.5 like Boston that are down 3-1 in their current series, resulted in those home favorites going 8-1 ATS and 9-0 SU since the 2009 postseason. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests came by an average of 13.1 points per game. The only non-cover came on 4/30/2013 when Denver was a 7.5-point home favorite and they won by 7 versus Golden State. Give me the Boston Celtics minus the points. |
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05-24-23 | Tigers v. Royals -110 | 6-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Tigers (Boyd) @ Royals (Greinke) 7:40 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Royals -110 (5*) Matt Boyd has displayed horrible form over his last 4 starts with a 8.19 ERA/1.50 WHIP. The Royals Zach Greinke has made 5 home starts this season with a stellar 3.21 ERA/1.07 WHIP. Greinke has also shown very good form over his last starts overall with a 2.95 ERA/0.84 WHIP. Greinke will be making his first start of the season versus Detroit. During his 2 starts versus the Tigers last season, Greinke had a dominating 1.46 ERA/0.89 WHIP in 12 1/3 innings pitched. Give the Kansas City Royals as a money line favorite. |
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05-24-23 | Cardinals v. Reds +140 | 3-10 | Win | 140 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Cardinals (Matz) @ Reds (Lively) 6:40 ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Reds +140 (5*) The Cardinals lefty Steven Matz is 1-3 in his road team starts this season while collecting a terrible 6.64 ERA/1.72 WHIP. The Cardinals are a respectable 10-7 in day games this season. However, they’re a miserable 12-21 at night. As a matter of fact, they’re 0-6 at night this season when Matz is their starting pitcher and they lost by a substantial average of 3.6 runs per game. Conversely, you might be surprised to know that the Reds are a perfect 8-0 at home this season when facing left-handed starting pitchers and with a decisive average victory margin of 4.0 runs per game. Give me the Cincinnati Reds as a money line underdog. |
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05-23-23 | Red Sox -108 v. Angels | 0-4 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Red Sox (Bello) @ Angels (Canning) 9:38 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Red Sox -108 (5*) The Angels Griffin Canning has displayed very poor form over his last 3 starts with a large 8.36 ERA/1.86 WHIP. Since the start of last season, the Angels are a dismal 17-32 when facing AL East Division teams. Brayan Bello is 4-0 in his last 4 team starts with a very good 2.57 ERA while doing so. The Red Sox bullpen have been extremely sharp over their last 7 games with a staff 2.96 ERA/1.15 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Boston has gone an extremely profitable 30-11 versus AL West Division teams. Additionally, Boston is 17-6 this season when facing American League teams like the Angels who possess a 2.60 or worse team batting average. Give me the Red Sox on the money line. |
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05-23-23 | Celtics +2 v. Heat | 116-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Celtics @ Heat 8:30 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Celtics +2.0 (5*) Boston has lost the first 3 games of this Eastern Conference Finals. Since the start of the 2020-2021 NBA season, Boston has gone 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS immediately following 3 straight losses. Putting those results into perspective, the Celtics have lost 4 games in a row just once over the previous 3 seasons. Furthermore, since 11/28/2021, Boston is an unscathed 6-0 SU&ATS on the road in contests like today in which they scored 105 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games. Boston had an average point-spread of -1.1 in those 6 contests and won by an average of 14.8 points per game. Miami is 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS this season immediately following 2 straight wins in which they allowed 105 points or fewer. That includes 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 in that identical situation. Give me the Boston Celtics plus the small number. |
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05-23-23 | Orioles v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 5-6 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Orioles (Bradish) @ Yankees (Cole) 7:05 ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Kyle Bradish has been very good over his last 2 starts while allowing just 1 earned run in 12 2/3 innings pitched. Bradish has made 1 career start at Yankees Stadium and that came last year when allowed 0 earned runs over 5.0 innings pitched. The Orioles bullpen has been consistently good since the start of the season which is evident by their staff 3.03 ERA/1.23 WHIP. Gerrit Cole has been terrific when pitching at Yankee Stadium this year while recording a brilliant 1.18 ERA/0.92 WHIP in 6 starts. The Yankees bullpen has been terrific over their previous 7 games with a staff 1.34 ERA. The Yankees have played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 and allowed a mere 2.4 runs per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-23-23 | White Sox v. Guardians UNDER 8.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
White Sox (Cease) @ Guardians (Allen) 6:10 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Under 8.5 (5*) The White Sox have played 9-1-1 to the under in their last 11 games. Dylan Cease has made 5 starts versus Cleveland since 2021 and compiled a stellar 2.45 ERA. The White Sox bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games with a staff 1.25 ERA/0.69 WHIP. Cleveland pitcher Logan Allen has pitched 3-1-1 to the under in 5 starts this season with a shiny 3.04 ERA. The Guardians bullpen has an impressive 2.51 ERA/1.06 WHIP at home this season. Cleveland has played 15-6-1 at home this season. The Guardians have also played 19-9 to the under when facing right-handed starting pitchers. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-22-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 224.5 | 113-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Nuggets @ Lakers 8:30 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Over 224.5 (5*) Denver has been red-hot offensively over their previous 7 games. During that stretch they averaged 120.0 points scored per game while shooting 50.2% from the field and 41.4% from 3-point territory. The Lakers have shot a more than respectable 48.8% from the field, 37.4% from 3-point range, and averaged 28 free throw attempts per contest throughout their previous 5 games. Speaking of those 28 free throw attempts per game, Los Angeles converted on an excellent 81% of those shots. NBA Playoffs Game 7 home teams like the Lakers that are down 3-0 in a series, and there’s a total of 220.0 or greater, resulted in those home teams playing 11-1 to the over since 2014. The average total in those 12 contests was 223.3 and a combined 237.7 points were scored per game. The only under in that sequence was this year’s Game 4 between Denver in Minnesota. The final score of that contest was 114-108 which barely stayed under the total of 222.5. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-22-23 | Dodgers v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Stone) @ Braves (Morton) Game# 905-906 Play On: Over 9.5 (5*) During their previous 7 outings, the Atlanta Braves have averaged 5.6 runs scored per game and smashed 16 home runs. They’ll get the fair share of at bats versus a Dodgers bullpen which has allowed an alarmingly high 9 home runs over their previous 37 1/3 innings pitched and had a terrible 6.99 ERA as a staff. The Dodgers have played 12-3 to the over this season immediately following 3 or more away games. The Braves have played 9-1 to the over this season at home and following 3 or more home games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-22-23 | Tigers +104 v. Royals | 8-5 | Win | 104 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Tigers (Lorenzen) @ Royals (Singer) 7:40 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Tigers +104 (5*) Simply put, Brady Singer has been lousy in 9 starts this season while recording a 7.09 ERA/1.53 WHIP. He doesn’t figure to get much run support this evening against a red-hot starting pitcher, and the fact that they’ve scored a combined 3 runs over their previous 3 games. Speaking of that red-hot starting pitcher, Michael Lorenzen has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 0.90 ERA and he averaged 6.7 innings pitched per start. Lorenzen has allowed only 3 homers in 34.0 innings this season. Conversely, since the start of last season, Kansas City is an abysmal 9-33 when facing a pitcher who allows 0.5 or fewer home runs per start. Additionally, in the you may be surprised to know category, since the start of last season, Detroit is 23-19 on the road versus teams with a losing record. Give me the Detroit Tigers for a money line wager. |
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05-22-23 | Astros v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 12-2 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Astros (Javier) @ Brewers (Burnes) 7:40 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Houston’s Christian Javier has exhibited very good form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 2.84 ERA/0.68 WHIP in 19.0 innings of work. Javier can count on his bullpen to get the job done tonight since they’ve posted a staff ERA of 0.76 throughout their previous 7 games. It’s worth noting, since the start of last season Houston has played 34-12 (74%) to the under during the month of May. Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes has been very good in 6 starts at night this season while collecting a 1.93 ERA/0.96 WHIP and averaging 6.2 innings pitched per out. The Brewers bullpen has been solid at home this season with a staff 2.73 ERA/1.09 WHIP. Milwaukee has played 17-9 (65%) to the under in night games this season. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-21-23 | Celtics -150 v. Heat | Top | 102-128 | Loss | -150 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
Celtics @ Heat 8:30 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Celtics -150 (10*) The Celtics have a strange home/away dichotomy during this year and last year’s Playoffs. Specifically speaking, they’ve gone 10-11 SU at home during that stretch and 12-6 SU during away games. Furthermore, if they were coming off a loss they improved to 7-1 SU&ATS on the road. The Celtics are still a favorite after losing the first games of the series at home. Even despite the fact that Miami has won their last 6 at home this postseason. The sportsbooks are giving us the winner here with the road favorite. Especially when considering Miami is on a current 3-game win streak, and those previous 2 losses by the Celtics came as a point-spread favorite of 8.0 points or greater. NBA money line favorites like Boston who are playing with revenge stemming from a SU loss as a favorite of 7.0 or more, versus an opponent like Miami who is coming off wins in their previous 2 games in which they were an underdog on each occasion, resulted in those teams going 32-4 (89%) since the 1996-1997 season. Give me the Boston Celtics on the money line. |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Nuggets @ Lakers 8:30 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Lakers -5.5 (5*) The Nuggets are a perfect 8-0 at home in these Playoffs, but they’ve lost 3 of their last 4 on the road. The Lakers will be playing with plenty of desperation and urgency at home tonight after losing the first 2 games of this Western Conference Final at Denver. It’s worth noting, the Lakers are 6-0 at home during the 2023 NBA Playoffs and with a substantial average victory margin of 18.3 points per game. As a matter of fact, dating back to the regular season, the Lakers will enter today on a 9-game home win streak. Since the 2003 NBA Playoffs, any home favorite of 4.5 to 8.5-points that’s down 2-0 in the series, and they’re facing an opponent that’s anywhere from a #1 through #4 seed, resulted in those home favorites withing that specific point-spread parameter going 22-5 ATS (81.5%). If those home teams were facing a #1 seed, they were a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS during that exact time span, and they won by an average of 17.0 points per game. Give me the Lakers minus the points. |
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05-20-23 | Cubs v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
Cubs (Taillon) @ Phillies (Nola) 4:05 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Over 8.5 (5*) Jamison Taillon is 0-6 in his team starts this season with a lofty 6.66 ERA/1.52 WHIP. The Cubs have gone over the total in each of their previous 9 and with a combined average of 11.9 runs scored per game. The Cubs bullpen has an awful 9.82 ERA/2.09 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Aaron Nola has gone a forgetful 1-4 during his team starts du ring the day this season a a sizable 5.59 ERA. The Phillies bullpen has an uninspiring 5.15 ERA/1.48 WHIP in 20 day games this year. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-20-23 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates -144 | 4-3 | Loss | -144 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Arizona (Pfaadt) @ Pirates (Keller) 4:05 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Pirates -144 (5*) Arizona’s Brandon Phaadt has made 3 starts this season and posted a terrible 8.59 ERA/1.57 while also surrendering 7 home runs in just 14 2/3 innings pitched. He will be facing a Pirates lineup today that has scored 21 runs and pounded out 31 hits over their last 2 games. Since 2021, Arizona is an abysmal 12-46 on the road when facing National League starting pitchers like Mitch Keller who have a WHIP of 1.25 or better. Mitch Keller is 4-0 in his home team starts this year with a brilliant 2.00 ERA/0.89 WHIP and averaged 6.7 innings pitched per outing. The Pirates bullpen has been rock-solid of late and they’re a more than respectable 13-17 (7%) on save opportunities this season. Give me the Pittsburgh Pirates as a money line favorite. |
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05-19-23 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | 111-105 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Heat @ Celtics 8:30 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: Celtics -8.5 (5*) Boston is coming off a disappointing 123-116 home loss to Miami in game they closed as a 8.5-point favorite. Recent NBA Playoff betting history shows that teams like Boston coming off a Game 1 loss as a sizable home favorite doing very well as a similar sized chalk in Game 2. Additionally, the Celtics are an extremely profitable 9-1 SU&ATS in their last 10 games following a loss in their previous contest. Any NBA Playoffs Game 2 home favorite of 3.5 to 9.5-points that’s coming off an upset loss as a home favorite in which they scored 105 points or more, resulted in those home teams going a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS since the 2019 NBA Postseason. The average line for those home favorites was -6.8 and they won by an enormous 23.5 points per game. Give me the Boston Celtics minus points. |
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05-18-23 | Lakers +5.5 v. Nuggets | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Lakers @ Nuggets 8:30 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Lakers +5.5 (5*) The Lakers have been terrific in recent times while going 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 immediately following a loss. As a matter of fact, they’re 4-0 SU&ATS during these 2023 NBA Postseason following a loss and won by a massive 25.3 points per game. Furthermore, the Lakers are 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as an away underdog of 8.5 or less following a loss with an average victory margin of 10.1 points per game. Give me the Lakers plus the points. |
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05-17-23 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 210.5 | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Heat @ Celtics 8:30 ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Over 210.5 (5*) Miami is coming off a home 96-92 series clinching win over New York in a game that easily stayed under the total of 204.5. The Heat have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 immediately following a win in a contest that stayed under the total and there was a combined average of 235.6 points scored per game. Miami has also played 7-0 to the over this season as a road underdog of 4.5 or greater and following a win in their previous game. Those 7 contests averaged a combined total of 244.0 points scored per game. Boston is coming off wins in Game 6 and Game 7 over Philadelphia to overcome a 3-2 series deficit and move on to this Eastern Conference Final. Those last 2 games each went under the total. Boston has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 following going under in each of their previous 2 games. Those 6 contests had an average combined points scored of 237.9 points scored per game. The Celtics witnessed each of their 2 regular season home games versus Miami going over the total with a combined average of 245.5 points scored per game. Any NBA Playoffs home team in Game 1 of a series and is coming off a 7-game series win in the previous round, resulted in those home teams playing 7-0 to the over since the 2017 postseason, and there was a combined average of 228.6 points scored per game. This identical NBA Playoffs totals betting angle has also played 11-1 to the over since 2014. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-17-23 | Nationals v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Nationals (Gore) @ Marlins (Cabrera) 6:40 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Over 7.5 (5*) Miami has seen 4 of their last 5 go over the total. Miami’s Edward Cabrera has displayed very shaky form over his last 4 starts while recording a sizable 6.62 ERA. The Miami bullpen staff has a lofty 1.58 WHIP over their last 7 games. The Nationals are currently a money line underdog of +101 for tonight’s game. Washington has played a perfect 7-0 to the over this season as a road money line underdog of +100 to +150 and there was a combined 14.1 runs scored per game. The Nationals McKenzie Gore has displayed ppor form over his last 3 starts while posting a large 1.79 WHIP. The Washington bullpen has an uninspiring 5.47 ERA/1.62 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Nationals have gone over the total in their last 3 outings and with a combined average of 10.7 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets OVER 222.5 | 126-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Lakers @ Nuggets 8:30 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Over 222.5 (5*) The Lakers went over the total in all 3 away games during their winning Western Conference Semifinal series against Golden State. Those 3 contests produced a combined 229, 236, and 227 points scored. During their last 3 regular season meeting versus Denver, there was a combined 231 or more points scored on each occasion. Since the 2021-2022 NBA season began, Denver has played 42-23 (65%) to the over in home games whenever the total was 220.0 to 229.5. There was a combined average of 230.7 points scored per game during those 65 contests. Since the 2021 NBA Playoffs, home teams playing the opening game of a series in Round 2 or beyond, and there was a total of 218.5 and 231.0, resulted in those home teams playing 9-0 (100%) to the over. The average total in those 9 contests was 223.3 and there were a combined 231.1 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-15-23 | Mariners -116 v. Red Sox | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Mariners (Kirby) @ Red Sox (Houck) 7:10 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Mariners -116 (5*) Boston is coming off being swept in a 3-game series at home versus St. Louis and has now dropped 5 of their last 6. The Red Sox Tanner Houck has displayed shaky form over his last 3 starts with a 6.48 ERA. The Mariners are coming off yesterday’s 5-3 loss at Detroit which ended a 6-game road winning streak. Nonetheless, Seattle is 9-4 in their last 13 and includes 4-0 in their last 4 immediately following a loss. Seattle’s George Kirby has been in terrific form over his last 3 starts while recording a 1.64 ERA/0.86 WHIP and averaged a sizable 7.3 innings pitched per start. The Seattle bullpen has a shiny 1.93 ERA/1.18 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Since the start of last season, the Mariners have gone an extremely profitable 20-7 on the road when their money line is -100 to -150. Give me the Seattle Mariners for a money line wager. |
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05-14-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -6.5 | 88-112 | Win | 100 | 24 h 51 m | Show | |
76ers @ Celtics 3:30 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Celtics -6.5 (10*) The Celtics are coming off a 95-86 win at Philadelphia in Game 6 to force these deciding 7th game. NBA Playoffs Game 7 betting history over the past 20 years indicates teams like Boston in this exact situation haven’t failed to cover on each occasion. NBA Game 7 home favorites of 4.5 or greater like Boston that are coming off a Game 6 road win by 6-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 SU&ATS since the 2003 NBA Playoffs. The average margin of victory in those 11 contests came by a massive average of 18.9 points per game. Give me the Boston Celtics minus points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-13-23 | Rangers -1.5 v. A's | Top | 5-0 | Win | 105 | 3 h 10 m | Show |
Rangers (Gray) @ A’s (Kaprielian) 4:07 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Rangers -1.5 (-103) (10*) Oakland is 1-15 during day games this season and were outscored by an enormous 4.6 runs per game. The A’s are also an abysmal 4-16 at home and being outscored by an average of 3.5 runs per game. Conversely, Texas is 9-4 during the day this season with a huge +3.6 run per game differential and averaging a substantial 8.1 runs scored per game. The Rangers lost at Oakland last night. But they can take comfort in knowing the A’s are a miserable 1-7 in 2023 immediately following a win and that includes 0-3 at home. Texas’ Jon Gray has been sharp in 4 road starts with a shiny 3.05 ERA/1.02 WHIP. Give me the Texas Rangers on the run-line. |
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05-13-23 | Cubs v. Twins UNDER 7.5 | 1-11 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
Cubs (Wesneski) @ Twins (Ryan) 2:10 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) The Cubs Hayden Wesneski has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts with a 1.59 ERA/0.88 WHIP. The Cubs have gone over the total in their last 3 games. However, they haven’t gone over the total in 4 consecutive games all season. As a matter of fact, even with those last 3 going over the total, Chicago has played 11-5-1 to the under during their previous 17 games. Chicago has allowed a mere 3.4 runs per game throughout their previous 10 games. The Cubs bullpen has a brilliant staff 1.45 ERA/0.81 WHIP during their last 7 games. Joe Ryan has shown exceptional form over his last 3 starts with a miniscule 1.42 ERA/0.95 WHIP. The Twins have played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 and averaged a paltry 2.4 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-12-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -2.5 | Top | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
Warriors @ Lakers 10:00 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Lakers -2.5 (10*) Golden State will try to stave off elimination for a 2nd time in 3 days. Nevertheless, that Game 5 win came at home. The Warriors are a miserable 11-34 on the road this season and that includes 5-21 when facing opponents with a winning record. Additionally, Golden State is a miserable 1-10 SU&ATS this season as a road underdog of 5.0 or less. The Lakers are coming off a 121-106 loss at Golden State in Game 5 and they squandered an opportunity to close out the defending world champions. However, recent NBA Playoffs betting history shows that teams like the Lakers in this exact situation have been exceptional good. NBA Playoff home favorites of 8.0 or less that have a 3-2 series and are coming off a Game 5 loss by 11 points or more, resulted in in those home favorites going 7-0 SU&ATS since the 2008 NBA Playoffs. Furthermore, the average margin of victory during those 7 contests came by a substantial 17.2 points per game. Give me the Lakers minus points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-11-23 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Suns | Top | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
Nuggets @ Suns 10:00 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Nuggets +2.5 (10*) Phoenix is coming off a 118-102 loss at Denver in Game 5 and failed to cover as a 6.5-point underdog. As a result, they’re facing elimination tonight as they’re down 3-2 in the series. The Suns are an impressive 32-14 at home this season. However, they’ve gone just 4-4 SU at home following an away underdog ATS loss in their previous game. Furthermore, Phoenix is a miserable 2-8 SU&ATS this season when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0 and they were coming off a SU loss in their previous game. That includes 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 in that exact scenario if they were coming off a loss by 10 points or more. The above numbers and results certainly don’t bode well for the Suns as a favorite in tonight’s game. NBA Playoffs betting history supports #1 seed away underdogs like Denver who are attempting to close out a 7-game series. Any NBA Playoffs #1 seed like Denver that’s an away underdog of 5.0 or less while attempting to close out a 7-game series, and they’re coming off a SU win in their previous game, resulted in those top seeded away underdogs going 10-2 SU and 11-1 ATS since the 2005 postseason. Furthermore, that identical NBA Playoffs betting angle is a perfect 7-0 ATS and 6-1 SU since 2010. Give me the Denver Nuggets plus points. |
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05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -7 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Lakers @ Warriors 10:00 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Warriors -7.0 (10*) The Lakers have seized control of this series after winning Game 3 and 4 on their home floor to take a commanding 3-1 lead. However, look for an inspired effort from the defending world champion Warriors on their home floor. Since the 2014 NBA Playoffs, Golden State is 5-1 SU&ATS when facing elimination and coming off a loss in the previous game. The Warriors have also gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite following losses in each of their last 2 contests and won by an average of 12.5 points per game. Give me the Golden State Warriors minus points for a highest rated 10* Top Play. |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -5.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Suns @ Nuggets 10:00 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Nuggets -5.5 (5*) Phoenix has gone 0-7 SU&ATS in their last 7 as an away underdog. The average line in those 7 contests was 4.7 and they lost by 10.9 points per game. Phoenix is also 0-3 SU&ATS this season as an away underdog immediately following wins in their previous 2 contests and they lost by an average of 13.7 points per game. Denver is 39-7 SU and 28-17-1 ATS at home this season and outscored their opponents by 10.2 points per game. That includes 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home during the 2023 NBA Playoffs and with an average victory margin of 13.8 points per game. Give me the Denver Nuggets minus points. |
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05-09-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -7 | 115-103 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
76ers @ Celtics 7:30 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Boston -7.0 (5*) The Celtics are coming off a heartbreaking 116-115 loss to Philadelphia in Game 4. However, the Celtics have been a resilient bunch and especially so of late. Boston is 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 immediately following a loss and won by a substantial margin of 19.7 points per game. Conversely, Philadelphia has gone 0-4 SU&ATS this season as an away underdog immediately following a home win and lost by 14.0 points per game. I’m predicting the Celtics will make a huge statement tonight on their home floor. Give me the Boston Celtics minus points. |
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05-09-23 | Rays -134 v. Orioles | 2-4 | Loss | -134 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
Rays (Eflin) @Orioles (G. Rodriguez) 6:35 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Rays -134 (5*) Grayson Rodriguez is 5-1 in his team starts this season. However, he’s posted a lofty 5.64 ERA/1.54 WHIP during those outings and has been a beneficiary of very good run support from his teammates. As a matter of fact, take away his 2 starts versus Detroit, and Rodriguez had a massive 10.50 ERA in his other 4 starts. The Orioles bullpen has been somewhat shaky over their last 7 games with a 4.68 ERA/1.52 WHIP. Since 2021, Baltimore is a miserable 20-65 versus Amrican League teams like the Rays who average 4.9 or more runs scored per game. The Rays won the opening game of this AL East series on Monday 3-0. The Rays are 17-1 this season following a game in which they allowed 2 runs or fewer. Zach Eflin is 5-0 in his team starts for Tampa Bay this season with a brilliant 2.25 ERA/0.96 WHIP. Give me the Tampa Bay Rays on the money line. |
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05-08-23 | Warriors +3 v. Lakers | 101-104 | Push | 0 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Warriors @ Lakers 10:00 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Warriors +3.0 (5*) Golden State is coming off an embarrassing 127-100 road loss in Game 3. However, the Warriors are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 during these playoffs following a loss and won by 21.3 points per game. Since the 2017 postseason, Golden State is 3-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 1.5 or greater following a playoff loss and won by 11.7 points per game. Considering their vast playoff experiences and successes, I expect Golden State to respond in a big way this evening. NBA Playoffs Game 4 away pick or underdog of 8.0 or less that are coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 20.0 points or more, resulted in those teams going 6-0 SU&ATS since the 2005 NBA Postseason. Those teams’ average point-spread was +4.2 and they won by an average of 13.3 points per game. Give me Golden State plus points. |
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05-08-23 | Astros -118 v. Angels | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Astros (Brown) @ Angels (Sandoval) 9:38 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Astros -118 (10*) The Angels Patrick Sandoval has made 6 career starts versus Houston with a lousy 7.15 ERA/1.81 WHIP. Since the beginning of last season, the Angels are 10-35 when facing starting pitchers like Hunter Brown who allow an average of 0.5 or less home runs per start. The Angels pitching staff has allowed a combined 26 runs and 32 hits during its previous 2 games. The Astros Hunter Brown is 3-0 in his road team starts this season with a brilliant 1.93 ERA/0.91 WHIP. Since 2021, Houston has gone 36-14 against American League teams like the Angels that average 4.39 or more runs scored per game. Houston is a solid 9-6 on the road thus far in 2023 and outscored those 15 opponents by an average of 1.2 runs per game. MLB money line road favorites of -110 or greater like Houston who is facing a team whose bullpen that averages 3.2 or more innings pitched per game and they allowed 4 earned runs or more in each of their last 2 games, resulted in those money line favorites going 42-10 (80.8%) since 2019. The money line favorites outscored their 52 opponents by a sizable average of 3.6 runs per game and their average money line was -134.5. Give me the Houston Astros for a 10* Top Play money line pick. |
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05-07-23 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Suns | 124-129 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Nuggets @ Suns 8:00 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Nuggets +2.5 (5*) Denver is coming off a disappointing Game 3 loss at Phoenix but still holds a 2-1 series lead. Any NBA Playoffs team that’s ahead in a series like Denver versus an opponent like Phoenix that has a season win percentage of .450 to .550 has gone 46-12 (79.35) since the 2019 postseason, and they outscored those opponents by an average of 9.7 points per contest. The SU results take on added significance since it backs the underdog in this matchup. Give me the Denver Nuggets plus points. |
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05-07-23 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8 | 5-2 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Urias) @ Padres (Musgrove) 7:08 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: 8.0 (5*) The first 2 games of this NL West series have gone under the total. The Dodgers are 3-1-1 to the over this season when coming off back-to-back games that stayed under. The Dodgers Julio Urias has given up 7 home runs in 21 2/3 innings pitched over his last 4 starts. Urias has also seen all 3 of his away starts in 2023 go over the total and his awful 7.20 ERA/1.60 WHIP was a key contributor to those high scoring affairs. Urias also has a terrible 7.98 ERA/1.84 WHIP in 3 day starts during day games this season. The Los Angeles bullpen has a poor 5.59 ERA/1.54 WHIP during away games. The Dodgers have played 10-5-1 to the over on the road this season with a combined average of 10.6 runs scored per game. Joe Musgrove has pitched 36-18 (67%) to the over during his career starts versus teams like the Dodgers that are averaging 1.25 or more home runs per game. Musgrove has made 2 abysmal starts so far in 2023 and recorded a huge 10.80 ERA/1.64 WHIP while also allowing 4 home runs in just 8 1/3 innings pitched. The Padres have averaged 6.3 runs scored per game and hit 11 homers over their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-07-23 | Nationals +147 v. Diamondbacks | 9-8 | Win | 147 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Nationals (Williams) @ Diamondbacks (Nelson) 4:10 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Play On: Nationals +147 (5*) Arizona’s Ryne Nelson is 0-3 in his team starts this season with a terrible 9.64 ERA/1.93 WHIP. Washington’s Trevor Williams has been in good form over his last 4 starts while compiling a 2.95 ERA/1.27 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Washington has gone 14-15 as a money line road underdog of +100 or greater after losing each of their previous 2 games and when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. Although that seems like an uninspiring record, by risking $100 on Washington on each of those 29 games it produced a net profit of $1,164. So there’s ample betting value on the Nationals today with all things being considered. Furthermore, dating back to 7/20/2021, Trevor Williams has gone 5-2 in his team starts as an away money line underdog of +100 or greater and by risking $100 on all 7 games it turned a net profit of $523. Give me the Washington Nationals as a money line underdog. |
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05-07-23 | White Sox v. Reds -122 | 17-4 | Loss | -122 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
White Sox (Kopech) @ Reds (Ashcraft) 4:10 PM ET Game# 979-980 Play On: Reds -122 (5*) The White Sox Michael Kopech has a lofty 5.97 ERA/1.58 WHIP and allowed 8 homers in 31 2/3 innings pitched this season. The White Sox are 5-13 on the road this year and includes 1-9 in their last 10 away games. Chicago is also 5-13 during day games while being outscored by an average of 2.4 runs per occurrence. The White Sox are a miserable 5-19 this season as a money line underdog of +100 or greater and $100 bettors lost $1,220 by wagering on them in that exact role. The Red are an abysmal 4-12 in away games in 2023. Nonetheless, today they will be playing at home where they’ve gone 10-7 and includes 4-1 the last 5. The Reds Graham Ashcraft is 3-0 in his home team starts this season with an exceptional 1.42 ERA/1.05 WHIP while averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. Additionally, the Reds bullpen staff have a cumulative 2.65 ERA/1.10 WHIP at home. Give me the Cincinnati Reds as a money line favorite. |
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05-07-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Celtics @ 76ers 3:30 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: 76ers +2.5 (5*) After winning Game 1 in Boston, the 76ers have lost the last 2 in this series to fall behind 2-1. The 76ers are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home this season and they outscored those opponents by 11.2 points per game. Philadelphia lost Game 3 at home 114-102. Since the start of last season, Philadelphia is 8-0 SU immediately following a home SU loss by 11-points or more and they outscored those opponents by 9.9 points per game. The 76ers certainly don’t want to return to Boston down 3-1 in the series. So, desperation and urgency with a quality team like Philadelphia will be a key component in us covering this contest. Any NBA Playoffs Game 4 home underdog of 4.5 or less like Philadelphia that down 2-1 in the series and is coming off losses in the last 2 contests, resulted in those home underdogs going 10-1 SU&ATS since 2008. Furthermore, if those home underdogs lost the previous game by 15 points or fewer, they improved to 5-0 SU&ATS with an average victory margin of 14.8 points per game. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers plus the points. |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -3.5 | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Warriors @ Lakers 8:30 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Lakers -3.5 (5*) Golden State’s inexplicable struggles on the road (13-32 SU/15-30-2 ATS) this season have been well documented. They went 0-2 SU&ATS in their 2 road games versus the Lakers and were held to a poor 38.8% shooting from the floor. The oddsmakers were undeterred by the Warriors 127-100 blowout home win in Game 2 which evened the series at 1-1. The Lakers opened as a 2.0-point home favorite in Game 3 but they’ve since moved to -3.5. The Lakers are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at home during this 2023 postseason and won by an average of 15.5 points per game. The Lakers are also 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 following a loss in their previous game. Give me the Lakers minus points. |
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05-06-23 | Knicks +4 v. Heat | 86-105 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Knicks @ Miami 3:30 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Knicks +4.0 (5*) The Miami Heat’s injury list is starting to resemble a mash unit. This is a spot where those key missing pieces or even playing injured players finally begins to catch up with them. The Heat’s Game 2 loss at New York halted a 4-game win streak. Miami has gone a dismal 3-11 SU this season after winning 4 of their last 5 games. The Knicks are coming off a 6-point home win in Game 2 to even this series up at 1-1. During the first 2 games of the series, New York had a combined +25 rebounding advantage. The Knicks defense has been terrific during the playoffs while allowing just 97.8 points per game. New York has gone a more than respectable 26-18 SU and 28-15-1 ATS (65.1%) on the road this season. Furthermore, the Knicks are 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 this season as an away underdog of 4.0 or less and immediately following a SU win by 6-points or more. Lastly, New York 7-0 SU&ATS this season as a conference underdog of 4.0 or less and immediately following a home SU win. Their average point-spread in those 7 contests was +3.4 and they won by an average of 10.7 points per game. Give me the New York Knicks plus the points. |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 225 | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Nuggets @ Suns 10:00 ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Under 225.0 (5*) Denver is coming off a 97-87 home win in Game 2 to take a commanding 2-0 series lead. Denver has played 5-1 to the under this season immediately following a win in which they allowed 99 points or fewer. There was an average total of 229.1 in those 6 contests and just 214.8 points were scored per game. Additionally, Denver has played 3-0 to the under this season when the total is 229.5 or less and immediately following a game in which they scored 99 points or fewer. The average total in those 3 contests was 222.8 and there were 198.0 points scored per game. Since the start of last season, Phoenix has played 5-0 to the under at home when the total is 205.0 or greater and they’re coming off a SU loss in their previous contests. Those 5 contests had an average total of 219.3 and there was a combined 212.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-05-23 | Brewers -118 v. Giants | 4-6 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Brewers (Burnes) @ Giants (Manaea) 10:15 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Brewers -118 (5*) Corbin Burnes has a brilliant 1.03 ERA/0.66 WHIP during 5 career starts versus San Francisco. Burnes has been in sparkling form over his last 4 starts overall with a 1.85 ERA/0.90 WHIP. The Giants Seasn Manaea is 0-3 in his previous 3 starts with a massive 11.00 ERA/2.33 WHIP while averaging only 3.0 innings pitched per outing. Manaea doesn’t figure to get much help from a Giants bullpen which has collected a horrible 10.99 ERA/2.24 WHIP and allowed 6 homers in 19 2/3 innings pitched. Since the start of last year, San Francisco has gone an abysmal 14-35 versus starting pitchers like Corbin Burnes that own a 1.15 WHIP or better for the season. Give me the Milwaukee Brewers on the money line. |
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05-05-23 | Dodgers v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Kershaw) @ Padres (Darvish) 9:40 ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Clayton Kershaw has been in spectacular form over his last 3 starts while posting a 0.45 ERA/0.45 WHIP and he averaged 6.7 innings pitched per outing. The Dodgers bullpen is beginning to round into form after a disappointing April. During their previous 7 games, Dodgers relievers have a combined 1.16 ERA/0.94 WHIP. The Dodgers had testerday off. Since 2020, they’ve played 31-16 to the under following an off day. Yu Darvish has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts while recording a 2.89 ERA/1.18 WHIP and had 26 strikeouts in 18 2/3 innings pitched. Darvish has an impressive 2.69 ERA/0.94 WHIP in 11 career starts versus the Dodgers. The Padres bullpen has been rock-solid over its previous 7 games with a staff 2.10 ERA/0.94 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-05-23 | Celtics -135 v. 76ers | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Celtics @ 76ers 7:30 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Celtics -135 (5*) Boston is coming off a convincing 121-87 home win over Philadelphia in Game 2 to even this series at 1-1. Since the start of last season, Boston is 4-0 SU&ATS as an away favorite when the total is 215.0 or less and they’re coming off a SU win. The Celtics won those 4 contests by a whopping 32.3 points per game. NBA money road favorites like Boston that are coming off a division win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent like Philadelphia that’s playing with revenge stemming from a loss by 30 points or more, resulted in those money line road favorites going 37-3 (93%) since 1996. The favorites outscored the underdogs in those 40 contests by an average of 13.8 points per game. Give me Boston as a money line favorite. |
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05-05-23 | Twins -113 v. Guardians | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Twins (Ober) @ Guardians (Battenfield) 7:10 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Twins -113 (5*) The Twins’ Bailey Ober has been very good in 2 starts this season while posting a 1.59 ERA in 11 1/3 innings of work. Ober has a stellar 2.40 ERA/0.87 WHIP in 3 starts versus Cleveland and all have transpired since 2021. Minnesota has scored 6 runs or more in 7 of their last 10 games. Conversely, Cleveland has averaged a mere 2.3 runs scored and 5.7 hits per outing throughout their previous 4 games. The Guardians are 2-6 in their last 8 at home. Give me the Minnesota Twins on the money line. |
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05-04-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Kraken @ Stars 9:40 PM ET Game# 55-56 Play On: Under 5.5 (5*) The oddsmakers are undeterred by the Game 1 final score of 5-4 or by the fact these teams have played 4-1 to the over in games versus one another this season. They have kept the total at 5.5. Despite the Game 1 high scoring affair, the Seattle Kraken have played 9-2 to the under in their last 11 games. Seattle has also played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 immediately following a game in which they allowed 4 goals or more. Conversely, Dallas has played 4-1 to the under at home this season whenever the total was 5.5 and after losing their previous game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -6 | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Lakers @ Warriors 9:00 ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Warriors -6.0 (5*) Golden State lost Game 1 at home to the Lakers 117-112 in a game they closed as a 4.5-point favorite. However, Golden State is 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 at home immediately following a SU loss. Any NBA Playoffs Game 2 home favorite of 1.5 to 9.0 (Golden State) has gone 26-2 ATS (92.9%) since 2021. That also includes 18-0 SU&ATS the last 18 times this exact situation has come up. The average line for the favorites in those 18 contests was -6.4 and they outscored the underdogs by an average of 17.2 points per game. Give me Golden State minus points. |
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05-04-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Panthers @ Maple Leafs 7:10 PM ET Game# 53-54 Play On: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+140) (5*) Toronto is coming off a 4-2 home loss to Florida in Game 1 of this series. However, the Maple Leafs are 10-0 in their last 10 conference home games following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 3.3 goals per game. The Leafs are also 6-0 this season at home following a loss by 2 goals or more and won by 2.7 goals per game. Additionally, Toronto is on winning runs 16-1 in their last 17 and 8-0 during its previous 8 overall following a loss. Give me Toronto on the puck-line. |
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05-03-23 | Oilers -115 v. Golden Knights | 4-6 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Oilers @ @ Las Vegas 9:40 PM ET Game# 47-48 Play On: Oilers -115 (5*) We have the higher seeded Vegas Golden Knight’s as a home underdog in Game 1 of this series after easily disposing of Winnipeg in 5 games. Conversely, they’ll be taking on an Edmonton team which was pushed hard by the Los Angles Kings during their first round 4-2 series win. That series saw 3 of the 6 games decided in overtime. They’re begging you to take the money line home underdog in Game 1 of this Western Conference Semifinal series. I’m not taking the bait. Give me the Edmonton Oilers on the money line. |
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05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -7.5 | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
76ers @ Celtics 8:00 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Celtics -7.5 (5*) I’m looking for this to be a monumental bounce back spot for Boston after losing Game 1 at home 119-115. The Celtics lost that contest despite shooting 58% from the field and being +10 on the boards. Nonetheless, Boston is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 following a loss in their previous contest and they won by an average of 16.8 points per game. Since the 2021 NBA Playoffs, Game 2 home teams like Boston are 35-5 SU (.875) and 33-7 ATS (83%). If those home teams were a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5, then they improved to 22-4 ATS (85%) during that identical span of time. Give me the Celtics minus the points. |
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05-03-23 | Angels -128 v. Cardinals | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Angels (Ohtani) @ Cardinals (Mikolas) 7:45 PM ET Game# 979-980 Play On: Angels -128 (5*) We have a huge edge in this starting pitching matchup. Miles Mikolas has endured some early season struggles and that's been especially so at Busch Stadium. During his 3 home starts this season, Mikolas has recorded a large 7.20 ERA/1.93 WHIP. The Cardinals are 10-20 overall so far in 2023 and it includes an abysmal 3-15 in night games. Shoei Ohtani has a brilliant 1.85 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in 6 starts this season. The Angels bullpen has been outstanding over their previous 7 games with a staff 0.82 ERA/0.91 WHIP. The Angels have scored 5 runs or more in 7 of their last 10 games. Give me the Los Angeles Angels as a money line road favorite. |
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05-03-23 | Orioles v. Royals OVER 9 | 0-6 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Orioles (Gibson) @ Royals (Greinke) 7:40 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Over 9.0 (5*) Zack Grienke has displayed terrible form over his last 4 starts with a 8.24 ERA/1.47 WHIP and allowed 7 home runs during only 19 ⅔ innings pitched. The Royals bullpen has an awful 7.22 ERA.1.78 WHIP at home this season. Furthermore, the Royals are 1-13 at home in 2023 and is allowing 6.6 runs per game. Since 7/20/2018, Kyle Gibson has pitched 4-0 to the over in his 4 starts at Kansas City with a massive 10.06 ERA/2.12 WHIP. Baltimore has averaged 6.4 runs scored per game in their last 7 while also hitting .301 as a team. During that stretch, they also smacked 11 home runs. The Orioles have played 10-5-1 to the over on the road with a combined average of 10.3 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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05-03-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -105 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
New Jersey @ Carolina 7:10 PM ET Game# 51-52 Play On: Carolina -105 (5*) The Devils are coming off an emotional 7-game series win over their bitter rival New York Rangers. That series just ended on Monday night, and now they’ll be facing the Eastern Conference #2 seed Carolina Hurricanes who will be playing on 4 days rest since eliminating the Islanders in 6 games last Saturday. I like the situation and cheap price for Carolina at home. Give me the Carolina Hurricanes on the money line. |
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05-03-23 | Braves v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | 14-6 | Loss | -111 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Braves (Wright) @ Marlins (Garrett) 6:40 Game# 955-956 Play On: Under 8.5 (5*) Braxton Garrett is 4-0 in his team starts this season with a 1.89 ERA. Since the start of last season, Garrett has posted a brilliant 1.32 ERA during 3 starts versus Atlanta. During that same period, Kyle Wright made 3 starts versus Miami and pitched 14.0 innings of scoreless baseball while striking out an impressive 23 batters. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-02-23 | Phillies v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 1-13 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Phillies (Strahm) @ Dodgers (Urias) 10:10 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) We have a pair of left-handed starting pitchers set to square off on Tuesday night at Dodger Stadium. Neither of these teams have fared well when facing left-handed starters this season. The Dodgers are 2-6 versus lefty starters while averaging just 3.0 runs scored per game and recording a horrible .170 team batting average. The Phillies are 3-5 versus lefties and while averaging a mere 2.6 RPG. Julio Urias has made 3 home starts for the Dodgers in 2023 and posted a very good 2.04 ERA/1.02 WHIP during those outings. The Dodgers bullpen has been solid over their previous 7 games with a 3.46 ERA/1.23 WHIP. Matt Strahm has been terrific to begin the season with a 2.42 ERA/0.85 WHIP in 5 starts. The Phillies bullpen has a stellar 2.62 ERA/1.04 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Lastly, Philadelphia has played 10-3 to the under in their last 13 games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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05-01-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -4 | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Suns @ Nuggets 10:05 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Nuggets -4.0 (5*) Denver is coming off a convincing 125-107 home win over Phoenix in Game 1 and they easily covered as a 4.5-point favorite. That now makes the Nuggets 38-7 SU and 24-17-1 ATS at home this season. Since the 2021 NBA Playoffs began, any NBA postseason favorite of -3.5 to 9.0 in Game 2 of a series like Denver, resulted in those favorites going an extremely profitable 20-2 ATS (90.9%). The average line during those 22 contests was -6.3 and the favorite outscored the underdogs by 16.4 points per game. Give me the Denver Nuggets minus points. |
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04-30-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 229.5 | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 25 h 53 m | Show | |
Golden State vs. Sacramento 3:30 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Under 229.5 (5*) Historically an NBA Playoffs Game 7 have been low scoring contests more times than not. Specifically speaking there have been 13 Game 7’s since 2019 and 10 of those contests played under the total. Furthermore, Since the 2003 NBA Postseason, any Game 7 with a total of 216.5 or greater resulted in all 4 contests playing under the total and with a combined average of just 191.4 points scored per contest. Since 2016, Golden State has played in a Game 7 on 3 occasions and each went under the total and with a paltry combined average of only 189.7 points scored per contest. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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04-30-23 | Royals v. Twins -1.5 | 4-8 | Win | 102 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Royals (Singer) @ Twins (Gray) 2:10 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Twins -1.5 (+102) (5*) For starters, the Kansas City Royals are an abysmal 6-21 this season and 18 of their 21 losses came by 2 runs or more. Kansas City is also 0-9 in their last 9 as a run-line underdog and when the total was between 7.0 and 8.5. Since 2016, Sonny Gray is a perfect 8-0 in his team starts versus Kansas City and the Royals were outscored by 4.5 runs per game and only averaged 1.3 runs scored per outing. Gray is 3-0 during his home team starts this season and with a brilliant 0.47 ERA and averaged 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Twins bullpen headed into the weekend’s action with a stellar 2.73 ERA/1.14 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Twins are a very profitable 12-5 this season as a run-line favorite. Give me the Minnesota Twins as a run-line favorite. |
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04-30-23 | Mariners v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 10-8 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Blue Jays (Bassitt) 1:37 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Under 9.0 (5*) Heading into Saturday, Toronto had played 8-0-1 to the under during their previous 9 games and they allowed 2 runs or fewer on 7 of those occasions. Chris Bassitt has pitched 4-0 to the under in his last 4 starts this season with a sparkling 2.19 ERA/0.97 WHIP. He averaged 6.2 innings pitched per start during those previously mentioned 4 starts. The Toronto bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games with a staff 2.00 ERA/0.61 WHIP. Seattle’s Marco Gonzalez is 3-0 in his team starts versus Toronto since 2019 with a superb 1.83 ERA/1.07 WHIP and averaged 6.6 innings pitched per outing. Since 2021, Gonzalez has pitched 17-4 to the under as a money line road underdog of +100 or greater like he’ll be on Sunday. The Seattle bullpen has an excellent 2.86 ERA/0.96 WHIP in their last 7 games, and they also recorded a dominating 25:2 strikeout to walk ratio during a combined 22.0 innings pitched. Give me this game to go under the total. |