Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08-22-23 | Cubs v. Tigers OVER 9 | 6-8 | Win | 102 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
Cubs (Smyly) @ Tigers (Olsen) 6:40 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Over 9.0 Drew Smyly has pitched 6-0 to the over his last 6 starts and with a massive 10.33 ERA/1.93 WHIP while allowing 10 home runs during just 27.0 innings pitched. The Cubs bullpen has a lofty 5.01 ERA/1.46 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Detroit’s Reese Olsen has a sizable 5.61 ERA this season in 11 starts. Olsen has displayed shaky form over his last 3 starts with a 5.27 ERA/1.61 WHIP. The Tigers bullpen has a terrible staff 6.47 ERA/1.65 WHIP during their previous 7 games. Detroit has played 19-7 to the over in home night games this season. Since the start of last season, the Tigers have played 11-2 to the over at home when facing a starting pitcher like Drew Smyly that allowed an average of 1 or more home runs per start, and there was a combined average of 12.0 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
08-21-23 | Ravens -120 v. Commanders | Top | 28-29 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
Ravens @ Commanders 8:00 PM ET Game# 431-432 Play On: Baltimore -125 Washington is coming off last week’s 17-15 win as a 2.5-pont road underdog at Cleveland. Baltimore is coming off a 20-19 win over Philadelphia but failed to cover as a large 6.0-point home favorite. Despite that close call, Baltimore has gone 24-0 SU and 20-3-1 ATS under the guidance of current head coach John Harbaugh. That includes 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS on the road and with a decisive average victory margin of 12.3 points per game. Furthermore, except for 2020 when there were no preseason games due to COVID, these teams have met in preseason action every year since 2017. Baltimore was 5-0 SU in those contests and won by a substantial average of 15.8 points per game. Any NFL preseason away team like Baltimore with a point-spread parameter of +2.0 to -2.0, and they’re coming off a home win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, versus an opponent like Washing who’s coming off an away underdog SU win, resulted in those away teams withing that point-spread parameter going 9-0 SU since 2004, and with an average victory margin of 12.3 points per game. Give me the Ravens on the money line. |
|||||||
08-20-23 | Saints -3.5 v. Chargers | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Saints @ Chargers 7:05 PM ET Game# 429-430 Play On: Saints -3.5 New Orleans is coming off last Sunday’s 26-24 home win over Kansas City. The Chargers are coming off a 34-17 blowout win as a 2.5-point road underdog in their preseason opener. At the time of this writing, the total in this contest is 37.0 which ties into 1 of my 3 NFL preseason betting angles applicable to this game. Any NFL Preseason favorite of 6.0 or less like the saints that’s coming off a home favorite ATS win. And they’re facing a team like the Chargers who’s coming off an away underdog SU win, has gone 6-0 ATS since 2011 and with an average victory margin of 9.4 points per contest. Any NFL Preseason away team like the Saints New Orleans who’s point-spread is between +2.0 and -6.0, and their coming off a home win in which they scored 34 points or less, resulted in the road teams within those point-spread parameters going 10-1 SU&ATS since 2019. Any NFL preseason away favorite of 6.0 or less and with a total of 43.0 or less like the Saints, and they’re coming off a SU win, versus a team like the Chargers that’s coming off an away underdog SU win, resulted in those away favorites going 6-0 ATS since 2009. The average victory margin for those away teams was 10.3 points per game. Give me the Saints minus the points. |
|||||||
08-20-23 | Orioles -1.5 v. A's | 12-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Orioles (Bradish) @ A’s (Sears) 4:07 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Orioles -1.5 (-115) Oakland is an abysmal 9-41 during day games this season and was outscored by a substantial average of 3.2 runs per game. Oakland’s slated left-handed starter J.P. Sears has displayed poor form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 5.79 ERA/2.07 WHIP. He’s very lucky his ERA wasn’t much higher during that span considering that extremely high 2.07 WHIP. Especially when considering that Sears has given up a whopping 26 home runs in 130 2/3 innings pitched this season. The same can be said for the Oakland bullpen that has a staff 5.96 ERA/2.06 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Kyle Bradish has been in good form over his last 3 starts with a 2.55 ERA/1.08 WHIP throughout his previous 3 starts. Bradish is an extremely profitable 7-1 his day game team starts this season while posting a sparkling 2.28 ERA/1.04 WHIP. The Orioles bullpen has registered a very good 2.33 ERA/1.11 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Orioles are also 29-14 this season versus lefthanded starting pitchers and 40-24 in road games. Give me the Orioles as a run-line favorite. |
|||||||
08-19-23 | Titans -2.5 v. Vikings | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
Titans @ Vikings 8:00 PM ET Game# 419-420 Play On: Titans -2.5 Since taking over as head coach in Minnesota last season, Kevin O’Connell has seen his team go 0-4 SU&ATS in preseason action and they lost by an average of 9.3 points per game. It comes as no shock to me the Titans come up as a small favorite in this spot. As a matter of fact, the Vikings preseason futility extend beyond O’Connell’s current tenure. Minnesota is 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 preseason games. Minnesota is coming off last week’s 24-13 loss at Seattle in a game they failed to cover as a 3.5-point underdog. Tennessee is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games when their point-spread is +2.5 to -2.5 and with a decisive victory margin of 22.5 points per game. Tennessee put an impressive 372 yards of total offense in last week’s 23-17 loss at Chicago. The 2 young Titans backup quarterbacks Malik Willis and Will Levis went a combined 25-39 (64.1%) passing for 274 yards. Tennessee was victimized by 4 turnovers and their offensive line allowed their quarterbacks to be sacked 8 times. I’m betting those frequency of mistakes won’t come close to happening again. Give me Tennessee minus the small number. |
|||||||
08-19-23 | Dolphins +2 v. Texans | 28-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Texans 4:00 PM ET Game# 407-408 Play On: Dolphins +2.0 Miami is coming off a humbling 19-3 loss to Atlanta as the home favorite in their preseason opener last week. The Dolphins are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 preseason games following a loss and with a massive average victory margin of 25.0 points per game. One of those wins came last season under current head coach Mike McDaniel when they lambasted the Philadelphia Eagles 48-10. Let’s not get carried away with Houston’s 20-9 preseason opening win at New England last week. Quite frankly the Patriots aren’t very good and have very little in the way of quality depth. Any NFL Preseason away pick or favorite of 2.5 or less like Miami, and they’re coming off a home favorite loss by 10 points or more in their preseason opener, resulted in those away teams going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1985. The average victory margin was 7.8 points per game. Give me the Miami Dolphins to cover. |
|||||||
08-19-23 | Jaguars v. Lions OVER 39 | 25-7 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
Jaguars @ Lions 1:00 PM ET Game# 407-408 Play On: Over 39.0 Since Dan Campbell took over as head coach in Detroit, the Lions have played 5-0 to the over when the total was 40.0 or less and there was a combined average of 46.0 points scored per game. Conversely, since Doug Pederson took over as head coach in Jacksonville, the Jaguars have played 4-0 to the over when the total was 41.0 or less and there was a combined average of 41.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
08-18-23 | Marlins v. Dodgers -132 | Top | 11-3 | Loss | -132 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Marlins (Alcantara) @ Dodgers (Gonsolin) 10:10 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Dodgers -132 Sandy Alcantara has been brilliant over his last 4 starts. However, during that time he tossed 2 complete games and logged 32.0 innings pitched. That’s an extremely heavy workload by modern MLB standards. Furthermore, Alcantara has been horrible during 3 career starts at Dodgers Stadium while compiling a massive 18.00 ERA/3.00 WHIP. He lasted only a combined 10.0 innings in those 3 outings. Miami hasn’t been the same team since returning from the all-star break. As a matter of fact, the Marlins are an abysmal 3-14 during their previous 17 away games. The Dodgers remain sizzling hot after winning 1-0 at home over Milwaukee last night which extended their current win streak to 11 games. Additionally, they’ve gone a terrific 15 -1 in their last 16 games and that includes 10-0 at Dodger Stadium. Tony Gonsolin was very good in 13 night-game starts this season with a 2.73 ERA/0.97 WHIP. The Dodgers bullpen has been magnificent of late while posting a 0.41 ERA over their last 7 games. Give me the Dodgers as a money line favorite. |
|||||||
08-18-23 | Panthers v. Giants OVER 39 | 19-21 | Win | 100 | 32 h 3 m | Show | |
Panthers @ Giants 7:00 PM ET Game# 403-404 Play On: Over 39.0 Since Brian Daboll took over as head coach of the Giants last season, they’ve gone over the total in all 4 of their preseason games. Furthermore, if you go back to his days as offensive coordinator, The Bills went 5-0 to the over during their last 5 preseason games when he was in that role, and Buffalo averaged 26.0 points scored per contest. So, the last 9 preseason games he’s coach in as either an offensive coordinator or head coach have all gone over the total. Carolina is coming off an anemic offensive performance during last week’s 27-0 home loss to the New York Jets. However, recent NFL preseason betting history shows that teams coming off a shutout loss and are within this current total parameter have played in a high percentage of high scoring affairs the next time out. Specifically speaking, All NFL Preseason Road teams with a total of between 33.5 and 40.0 that are coming off a shutout loss in their previous game, resulted in those road teams playing 7-1 to the over since 2000. Those 8 contests produced a combined average of 48.8 points scored per game. |
|||||||
08-17-23 | Brewers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Brewers (Burnes) @ Dodgers (Lynn) 10:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Dodgers -1.5 (+145) Corbin Burnes is widely recognized as one of the best National League starting pitchers. However, Burnes has made 4 career starts versus the Dodgers and recoded a horrible 10.34 ERA/1.91 WHIP during those appearances. The Dodgers have won 4 in a row versus the Brewers this season and outscored them by a immense margin of 27-6 while doing so. Los Angeles has won 10 consecutive games going into to today and won 8 of those by 2 runs or more. They’re also 14-1 in their last 15 and includes a perfect 9-0 at Dodger Stadium. Lance Lynn has been rejuvenated since coming over to the Dodgers at the trade deadline. During his last 3 starts, Lynn has an impressive 2.00 ERA/0.94 WHIP while averaging 6.0 innings pitched per outing and compiled an excellent 22:4 strikeout to walk ratio. The Dodgers bullpen has been outstanding over their last 7 games while compiling an excellent staff 0.39 ERA/0.34 WHIP. The Dodgers are 19-3 this season after allowing 4 runs or fewer in each of their last 3 outings and with a huge +3.8 run per game differential. Give me the Dodgers as a run-line favorite. |
|||||||
08-17-23 | Browns v. Eagles OVER 37 | 18-18 | Loss | -115 | 34 h 15 m | Show | |
Browns @ Eagles 7:30 PM ET Game# 401-402 Play On: Over 37.0 The Eagles have gone over the total in 6 of their last 7 preseason contests under current head coach Mick Sirianni. Furthermore, if there was a total of 38.0 or less, then that number improves to 6-0 to the over and with a combined average of 47.5 points scored per game. Philadelphia racked up 334 yards of total offense in a narrow 20-19 loss to Baltimore in their preseason opener. Even more impressive was the 271 yards of total offense they amassed in the 1st half of that game. Since Kevin Stefanski has taken over as head coach in Cleveland, the Browns have played 4-0 to the over whenever there was a total of 37.5 or less. Cleveland was part of the annual Hall of Fame Game in Canton, Ohio so this will be their 3rd preseason game. During the first 2, they averaged a combined 18.0 points scored and 356.5 yards scored per game. All 3 of their backup quarterbacks performed well during those outings. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
08-15-23 | Guardians v. Reds -111 | 3-0 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Guardians (Allen) @ Reds (Ashcraft) 6:40 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Reds -111 The Guardians lefthanded starting pitcher Logan Allen has displayed shaky form over his last 3 starts while posting a lofty 1.53 WHIP. The Guardians bullpen has a poor 5.40 ERA/1.55 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Cleveland is 1-5 this season when they’re between -100 to -150 and facing a team like Cincinnati that didn’t play the day before. Cleveland is coming off a 9-2 win at Tampa on Sunday. However, they’re 0-5 in their last 5 immediately following a win in their previous game. Graham Ashcraft has exhibited excellent form throughout his previous 3 starts while recording a 1.71 ERA/0.76 WHIP and averaging 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Furthermore, Ashcraft has been superb over his last 5 starts at home with a 2.14 ERA/0.89 WHIP. Cincinnati is coming off a 6-5 win at Pittsburgh on Sunday. The Reds are 5-1 this season following a day off and a win in their previous game. During those exact 6 situations, they averaged 7.0 runs scored and 1.67 home runs hit per game. The Reds bullpen has a solid 3.59 ERA/1.21 WHIP at home in 2023. Lastly, Cincinnati is 12-4 at home this season when facing a left-handed starting pitcher like Logan Allen while averaging 6.2 runs scored per game. Give me the Reds on the money line. |
|||||||
08-14-23 | Orioles v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Orioles (Rodriguez) @ Padres (Darvish) 9:45 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Under 8.5 Yu Darvish has produced 5 quality starts over his last 6 outings. He’s been especially good during his last 4 starts while posting a brilliant 0.95 ERA and averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Padres bullpen has struggled on the road but has been solid at home while with a staff 3.31 ERA/1.22 WHIP. San Diego has scored 2 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 6 games. The Orioles Grayson Rodriguez has endured his fair share of struggles this season. However, throughout his previous 3 starts he’s exhibited very good form while collecting a 2.50 ERA/0.94 WHIP. The Baltimore bullpen has been consistently good all season. The Orioles are coming off a weekend series at Seattle in which they took 2 of 3 despite scoring just a combined 5 runs during the first 9.0 innings of play in each game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
08-13-23 | Rangers v. Giants -132 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Rangers (Dunning) @ Giants (Webb) 4:05 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: Giants -132 This line jumped right off the screen at me. We have a red-hot Texas Rangers team that’s won 10 of their last 11 versus a San Francisco Giants club that lost 4 in a row and 6 of their last 7, and it’s the latter who comes up as a sizable favorite. They’re begging us to bet Texas but we’re not taking the bait. The Giants Brandon Webb has been superb during 11 home starts this season while recording a 2.58 ERA/0.99 WHIP and averaged 7.0 pitched per outing. Since 2021, Webb is 26-12 during his team starts versus team with a winning record. Additionally, the Giants are 15-6 this season versus teams like Texas who own a win percentage of between .540 and .620. Since the start of last season, Dane Dunning is a dismal 5-17 during his road team starts. Dunning has a lofty 5.40 ERA/1.50 WHIP during his last 3 road starts in which Texas went 1-2. Give me the Giants on the money line. |
|||||||
08-13-23 | Tigers +118 v. Red Sox | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Tigers (Rodriguez) @ Red Sox (Crawford) 12:05 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Tigers +118 Kutter Crawford is 1-5 in his home team starts this season with a terrible 8.87 ERA/1.84 WHIP. Heading into this weekend the Boston bullpen had a lofty 6.50 ERA/1.72 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Red Sox are coming off a 6-2 home loss to Detroit on Saturday and the continue to struggle offensively. Boston has scored 3 runs or fewer in 10 of their last 16 games. The Tigers are a more than respectable 10-6 over their previous 16 away games. Give me the Tigers as a money line underdog. The Tigers Eduardo Rodriguez has been solid all season long with a 2.75 ERA/1.05 WHIP in 19 starts while averaging 6.0 innings pitched per outing. Rodriguez has an even better 2.15 ERA/0.89 WHIP during 10-day-game starts. Heading into the weekend, the Tigers had a bullpen 2.16 ERA/1.20 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Detroit is 4-1 in their last 5 games. |
|||||||
08-12-23 | A's v. Nationals -131 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
A’s (Medina) @ Nationals (Irvin) 7:05 PM ET Game# 925-926 Play On: Nationals -131 Luis Medina is 0-5 during his road team starts this season with a terrible 8.34 ERA/1.99 WHIP. The Oakland bullpen has a miserable 6.28 ERA/1.66 WHIP on the road. The A’s have scored 3 runs or fewer in 9 of their last 10 games which includes 2 or fewer in each of their previous 3. Oakland is an abysmal 3-24 this season when scoring 2 runs or less in each of their previous 2 outings they were outscored by a decisive average margin of 3.7 runs per game. Washington is a more than respectable 13-8 during their previous 21 games. Furthermore, the Nationals are 10-2 in their last 12 at home. Conversely, Oakland is 2-11 in their last 13 on the road. Although I’m not crazy about their starting pitcher Jake Irvin, the Nationals bullpen has a stellar 2.63 ERA/0.99 WHIP over their last 7 games. Give me the Nationals as a money line favorite. |
|||||||
08-11-23 | Angels v. Astros -1.5 | 3-11 | Win | 127 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Angels (Detmers) @ Astros (Verlander) 8:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Astros -1.5 (+127) The Angels Ross Detmers has exhibited terrible form over his last 5 starts with an 8.61 ERA/1.70 WHIP. Detmers has a sizable 6.55 ERA during his 2 starts versus Houston this season. The Angels bullpen has an uninspiring 5.68 ERA/1.78 WHIP over their last 7 games. Justin Verlander has been superb over his last 4 starts while compiling a 1.37 ERA/0.95 WHIP and averaging a healthy 6.5 innings pitched per outing. The Astros bullpen has an impressive 1.71 ERA as a staff during their previous 7 games. Houston is coming off yesterday’s 5-4 loss at Baltimore. However, the Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 and 9-1 during their previous 10 games immediately following a loss. Give me the Astros as a run-line favorite. |
|||||||
08-11-23 | Steelers -2.5 v. Bucs | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 54 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Steelers 7:00 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Steelers -2.5 Since 2017, Pittsburgh has gone 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS in all preseason games within the point-spread parameters of +3.5 to -3.5. All those games came under the guidance of current head coach Mike Tomlin and the average margin of victory came by 8.8 points per game. Conversely, Todd Bowles begins his 2nd year as head coach of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. During his first preseason campaign in 2022, Bowles team went 0-3 SU&ATS and were defeated by a decisive average of 9.7 points per game. Give me the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the small number. |
|||||||
08-10-23 | Texans v. Patriots UNDER 37 | 20-9 | Win | 100 | 28 h 50 m | Show | |
Texans @ Patriots 7:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Under 37.0 Under the guidance of head coach Bill Belichick, the New England Patriots have gone under in 8 consecutive preseason games when the total was 36.5 or greater and there was a combined average of 31.1 points scored per contest. Additionally, under Belichick, the Patriots have gone under the total in 6 consecutive preseason games when their point-spread was between +2.5 and -2.5 just like it currently is. Conversely, the Houston Texans have played 6-2 to the under in their last 8 preseason games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
08-10-23 | Cardinals v. Rays -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Cardinals (Liberatore) @ Rays (Littel) 6:40 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Rays -1.5 (+108) The Cardinals are coming off a win at Tampa yesterday to even this current series at 1-1. However, St. Louis has gone a dismal 0-6 throughout their previous 6 games immediately following a loss. Furthermore, during those 6 defeats they scored 3 runs or fewer on each occasion and averaged 2.0 runs scored per game. Mathew Liberatore is the slated starting pitcher for the Cardinals, and he’s compiled a horrible 10.45 ERA/2.13 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Additionally, Liberatore has a massive 11.48 ERA/2.10 WHIP during 4 road starts in 2023. Zack Little has pitched very well in 5 starts for Tampa Bay with a 2.45 ERA/1.20 WHIP. The Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. Tampa is 15-6 this season when facing lefthanded starting pitchers like Liberatore and with a +2.3 run per games differential. They also average 1.57 home runs per game when facing those left-handed starting pitchers. Even more impressive is the fact they’re 9-2 at home versus southpaw starters with a decisive +2.7 run per game differential. Give me the Rays as a run-line favorite. |
|||||||
08-09-23 | Royals v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
Royals (Lyles) @ Red Sox (Pivetta) 7:10 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Over 10.5 Jordan Lyles has seen each of his previous 3 starts go over the total and his 7.47 ERA/1.53 WHIP during those outing were major contributing factors to those high scoring affairs. Lyle has surrendered an alarmingly high 23 home runs in 118 1/3 innings pitched this season. Lyles has made 5 starts versus Boston since last season and had a miserable 8.10 ERA during those appearances. The Royals bullpen has struggled over their last 7 games with a staff 6.87 ERA, and they allowed 5 home runs in 19 2/3 innings pitched. Kansas City has scored 7 runs or more in 7 of their last 11 games. The Royals have gone over in 5 of their last 6 and 9 of their previous 12 games. Boston’s Nick Pivetta has displayed terrible form over his last 7 starts while recording a sizable 7.23 ERA and he allowed 9 homers during 37 1/3 innings pitched. Pivetta has made 4 career starts versus Kansas with all coming since 2021, and he compiled an awful 6.98 ERA/1.91 WHIP during those outings. The Red Sox bullpen has been brutal throughout their previous 7 games while posing a staff 9.00 ERA/2.00 WHIP and they allowed 7 home runs during 34.0 innings pitched. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
08-08-23 | Blue Jays v. Guardians UNDER 8 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Kikuchi) @ Guardians (Bibee) 7:10 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Under 8.0 The Blue Jays Yusei Kikuchi has a brilliant 1.04 ERA over his last 3 starts and all those games went under the total. Kikuchi has a career 1.80 ERA/0.90 WHIP in 3 starts against Cleveland while averaging a healthy 6.7 innings pitched per outing. The Blues Jays have played 14-4-1 (77.8%) to the under in their last 19 games. Cleveland’s Tanner Bibbee has displayed terrific form over his last 7 starts while recording a 1.96 ERA/1.16 WHIP. Bibee has also pitched 7-1 to the under at home this season with a 1.96 ERA/1.00 WHIP. The Guardians bullpen has been very good at home in 2023 with a staff 2.70 ERA/1.11 WHIP. Cleveland has played 36-19-1 (65.5%) under at home this season. Cleveland has averaged a pathetic 2.4 runs scored per game and it a mere 2 home runs over their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
08-08-23 | Braves v. Pirates OVER 10 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Braves (Chirinos) vs. Pirates (Keller) 7:05 ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Over 10.0 Mitch Keller is 0-3 in his career team starts versus Atlanta with a massive 10.03 ERA/2.57 WHIP. Keller has been in horrible form over his last 4 starts while recording a 9.97 ERA/1.98 WHIP. The Pirates have played 33-21-1 (61.1%) to the over at home this season and that includes 26-12 (68.4%) over as a money line underdog of +100 or greater.. The Pirates have played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 and 6-1 over during their previous 7 games when the total was 8.0 or greater. The Braves have averaged 6.0 runs scored per game and belted 14 home runs over their previous 7 outings. The Braves Yonny Chirinos is unequivocally the weak link in their starting pitching rotation. Chirinos has a terrible 9.64 ERA/1.79 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
08-08-23 | Astros v. Orioles +113 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Astros (Valdez) @ Orioles (Rodriguez) 7:05 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Orioles +113 Yes, I am fading a starting pitcher in Framber Valdez who tossed a no-hitter in his last outing. My personal experience when witnessing an ample sample size of no-hitters over the past 2 decades is that pitchers coming off those monumental feats are more often than not nowhere near as sharp in their next start. Besides, during his previous 3 starts prior to the no-hitter, Valdez had a large 9.00 ERA/1.80 WHIP. The Astros bullpen has a deceivingly low ERA throughout their last 7 games. During that span, Astros relievers have an uninspiring 1.65 WHIP while walking 18 batters in just 20.0 innings pitched. Houston is coming off a 9-7 win at Yankee Stadium on Sunday in a game they belted 4 homers. The Astros are 5-15 since the start of last year immediately following a game in which they hit 4 or more home runs. The Orioles Grayson Rodriguez has exhibited very good form over his last 3 starts with a 2.55 ERA/0.79 WHIP. The Baltimore bullpen has a superb 0.44 ERA over their previous 7 games. Baltimore is 27-12 this season when facing lefthanded starting pitchers like Framber Valdez while averaging 6.1 runs scored per game, compiling a .315 team batting average, and an excellent .382 on-base-percentage. The Orioles enter this series having won 4 straight and 7 of their last 8 games. Give me the Orioles on the money line. |
|||||||
08-07-23 | Yankees -1.5 v. White Sox | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Yankees (Cole) @ White Sox (Cease) 8:10 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Yankees -1.5 (+100) The White Sox will be facing one of the Top 5 dominant pitchers in MLB tonight. If that’s not tough enough, they’ve averaged a mere 2.6 runs scored per game over their previous 7 outings. The White Sox slated starter Dylan Cease has been horrible in his last 2 starts while allowing 11 earned runs, 11 hits, and walked 5 batters in just 7 1/3 innings pitched. Cease is 0-3 in his career teams starts versus the Yankees and with a massive 9.54 ERA and each of those outings transpired since 2021. Gerrit Cole has been extremely good in a high percentage of his starts this season. Cole has displayed superb form over his last 4 starts with a 1.71 ERA/0.68 WHIP while striking out 34 batters and wlaked just 4. Since the start of last season, the Yankees are 15-0 versus AL Central Division teams like Chicago when Gerrit Cole is their starter. Give me the Yankees on the run-line. |
|||||||
08-07-23 | Blue Jays -124 v. Guardians | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Guardians (Smith) @ Blue Jays (Ryu) 7:10 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Blue Jays -124 The Guardians are 2.7 in their last 9 while averaging a paltry 2.6 runs scored per game. Gavin Williams is the slated starter for Cleveland, and he’s displayed poor form over his last 5 starts with a 1.65 WHIP. The Guardians bullpen has a staff 1.62 WHIP over their last 7 games which leaves much to be desired. The Blue Jays are 13-4 in their last 17 on the road. That includes coming off a 3-game sweep over Boston this past weekend in which they averaged 8.3 runs and 14.7 hits per game. Hyun-Jin Ryu makes his second sart of the season after returning from a 13-month stint on the disabled list. I expect him to be much better than in his season debut last week. Give me the Toronto Blue Jays on the money line. |
|||||||
08-06-23 | Mets v. Orioles -1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 116 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Mets (Quintana) @ Orioles (Bradish) 1:35 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Orioles -1.5 (+116) The Mets have now lost 5 straight and were outscored by a combined 39-14. He Mets bullpen has a horrible 6.92 ERA/1.69 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Baltimore Orioles are 26-12 versus lefthanded starting pitchers this season and outscored their opponents by an average of 1.5 runs per game. The Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish has been terrific in 8 starts at Camden Yards this season 2.39 ERA/0.92 WHIP while averaging 6.1 innings pitched per outing. The Orioles bullpen has been excellent over their last 7 games while collecting a staff 0.43 ERA and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Baltimore is 26-12 in 2023 when facing lefthanded starting pitchers like Jose Quintana. The Orioles are 6-1 in their 7 while scoring 6 or more runs on 5 of those occasions. Give me the Orioles as a run-line favorite. |
|||||||
08-06-23 | Royals v. Phillies -1.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Royals (Greinke) @ Phillies (Walker) 1:35 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Phillies -1.5 (-108) The Royals are 1-9 on the road this season when Zack Greinke is their starting pitcher. During those 10 away starts, Greinke posted a 7.40 ERA and 14 home runs during 48 2/3 innings pitched. The Kansas City bullpen has struggled over their previous 7 games with a staff 6.45 ERA/1.52 WHIP. The Royals had their season long 7-game win streak snapped in yesterday’s 9-6 loss at Philadelphia. The Phillies Taijuan Walker has been terrific at home this season while going 8-2 in his team starts with a 2.80 ERA/1.10 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Walker has gone 25-5 during his team starts when facing teams with a losing record. The Phillies bullpen has been very good at home this season while recording a staff 2.88 ERA/1.19 WHIP. Give me the Phillies as a run-line favorite. |
|||||||
08-06-23 | Royals v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Royals (Greinke) @ Phillies (Walker) 1:35 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Over 9.5 (+100) Zack Greinke has posted a large 7.40 ERA and 14 home runs during 48 2/3 innings pitched during 10 road starts this season. The Kansas City bullpen has struggled over their previous 7 games with a staff 6.45 ERA/1.52 WHIP, and they allowed 5 homers in just 22 1/3 innings pitched. On a positive note, the Royals have averaged 6.4 runs scored per game while compiling a .307 team batting average and .307 team batting average and .354 on-base-percentage over their last 7 outings. Furthermore, the Royals have gone over the total in 7 straight games and 11 of their last 12 when the total was 9.5 or greater. The Phillies have gone over the total in 4 straight games when the total was 9.5 or greater and there were a combined 12.5 runs scored per game. The first 2 games of this series have produced a combined 8 homers and 27 runs scored. The scheduled home plate umpire today is Jeff Nelson and teams have played 13-6-1 to the over this season when Nelson was calling balls and strikes and there was a combined average of 10.7 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
08-05-23 | Mets v. Orioles -1.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 105 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
Mets (Megill) @ Orioles (Gibson) 7:05 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Orioles -1.5 (+105) The Mets have lost their last 4 while being outscored by a cumulative 30-11. New York has also dropped 7 of their last 8 road games. Tylor Megill has a a horrible 7.99 ERA/2.23 WHIP during 8 road starts this season. The Mets bullpen has an undesirable 6.57 ERA/1.62 WHP throughout their previous 7 games. New York is coming off a 10-3 loss last night at Camden Yards. They’ve gone 1-9 on the road this season after allowing 9 runs or more in their previous outing and were outscored by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Kyle Gibson exhibited good form over his last 3 starts with a 3.00 ERA/1.06 WHIP. The Orioles bullpen has been stellar over their previous 7 games with a staff 2.13 ERA/1.03 WHIP. During that identical stretch, Baltimore averaged 6.6 runs scored per game while compiling a .307 team batting average and .369 on-base percentage. Give me the Baltimore Orioles on the run-line. |
|||||||
08-04-23 | Mariners -110 v. Angels | Top | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
Mariners (Castillo) @ Angels (Detmers) 9:38 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Mariners -110 Ross Detmers has an awful 8.05 ERA over his last 4 starts. The Angels bullpen has a 5.54 ERA/1.50 WHIP and allowed 7 homers in 26.0 innings pitched throughout their previous 7 games. The Angels have averaged a mere 2.6 runs scored per game over their previous 7 outings. Seattle has gone 7-2 in their last 9 and 9-4 during their previous 13 away games. The Mariners slated starter Luis Castillo has displayed excellent form over his last 5 starts with a 2.32 ERA/0.84 WHIP. The Mariners bullpen has a terrific 1.23 ERA/0.86 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Give me the Seattle Mariners on the money line. |
|||||||
08-03-23 | Mariners v. Angels OVER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Mariners (Woo) @ Angels (Ohtani) 9:38 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Over 8.0 Seattle has played 15-5 to the over this season when facing American League teams like the Angels who average 4.9 or more runs scored per game. The Mariner Bryan Woo has exhibited terrible form over his last 3 starts with an 8.16 ERA/1.75 WHIP while also allowing 4 homers in just 14.3 innings pitched. Shoei Ohtani is coming off a complete game 1-hit shutout performance in his last start. However, in his previous 3 starts prior to that absolute gem, Ohtani recorded a 7.71 ERA/1.59 WHIP and surrendered 6 home runs during 13 1/3 innings pitched. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
08-03-23 | Twins v. Cardinals OVER 9 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Twins (Gray) @ Cardinals (Liberatore) 7:15 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Over 9.0 Mathew Liberatore has a massive 10.12 ERA/2.36 WHIP throughout his previous 4 starts. The Cardinals bullpen has performed poorly over their last 7 games with a staff 4.97 ERA/1.50 WHIP. St. Louis has smacked an impressive 14 home runs throughout their previous 7 games. Sonny Gray of the Twins has a terrible 7.71 ERA/1.59 WHIP during his previous 4 starts. The Twins bullpen has an awful 7.30 ERA as a staff over their last 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
08-03-23 | Pirates v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | 1-14 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Pirates (Keller) @ Brewers (Houser) 7:15 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Over 8.5 The Pirates Mitch Keller has been in bad form over his last 3 starts with an 8.64 ERA/1.86 WHIP and allowed an alarmingly high 6 home runs in 16 2/3 innings pitched. During his lone start versus Milwaukee this season, Keller allowed 4 earned runs in only 5.0 innings pitched. Additionally, Pittsburgh has played 28-13 to the over this season when their money line was +125 to -125 which it currently is. The Brewers Adrian Houser has exhibited poor form over his last 3 starts with a 6.89 ERA/1.66 WHIP. The Milwaukee bullpen has recorded an uninspiring 5.32 ERA/1.55 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
08-01-23 | Red Sox v. Mariners -108 | 6-4 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Red Sox (Bello) @ Mariners (Miller) 9:40 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Mariners -108 Brayan Bello has exhibited uninspiring form over his last starts with a 6.75 ERA and he surrendered 6 homers in just 16.0 innings pitched. The red Sox have lost 3 straight and scored 3 runs or less in each of their previous 4 games. Houston’s Framber Valdez has seen each of his previous 3 starts go over the total and his 9.00 ERA/1.80 WHIP was a major contributor to those high scoring affairs. The Astros bullpen has been underwhelming in their last 7 games while compiling a staff 6.85 ERA/1.78 WHIP. Houston is averaging 6.9 runs scored per game, belted 12 homers, and has an excellent team on-base-percentage of .352 throughout their previous 7 outings. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
08-01-23 | Guardians v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
Guardians (Williams) @ Astros (Valdez) 8:10 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Over 8.5 Gavin Williams has a deceivingly good ERA over his last 3 starts. However, his 1.69 WHIP during that time and 4.3 innings pitched per start during that stretch indicates he’s been flirting with disaster. The Guardians bullpen has a terrible 5.57 ERA/1.95 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. Houston’s Framber Valdez has seen his last 3 starts go over the total while posting an awful 9.00 ERA/1.80 WHIP. The Astros bullpen has a poor 6.85 ERA/1.78 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
08-01-23 | Orioles -101 v. Blue Jays | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Orioles (Bradish) @ Blue Jays (Ryu) 7:07 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Orioles -101 Hyun-Jin Ryu will be making his first start since 6/1/2022 after being on the injured list since that time. The Blue Jays are coming off yesterday’s 6-1 loss to Baltimore. Toronto is now 1-6 versus the Orioles this season and an awful 7-21 versus AL Division rivals in 2023. The Orioles starter Kyle Bradish has made 1 start versus Toronto this season and allowed 1 earned runs on 4 hits during 7.0 innings pitched. Give me the Baltimore Orioles on the money line. |
|||||||
07-31-23 | Angels v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Angels (Canning) @ Braves (Morton) 7:20 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Over 9.5 The Angels were held to 5 runs combined in their just completed 3-game series in Toronto. However, that lack of run production is a bit deceiving when considering the fact, they amassed a combined 35 men left on base during those 3 games. Prior to the stretch, the Angeles had scored 6 or more runs in 6 of their previous 7 games. Additionally, the Halos have smacked 12 home runs over their last 7 games. The Angels slated starting pitcher is Griffin Canning and he posted a sizable 6.05 ERA/1.50 WHIP during his last 4 starts. The Braves have been dynamic offensively this season and their last 7 games are indicative of such. Atlanta has averaged 5.7 runs scored per game, produced a .302 team batting average, and belted 15 home runs over their last 7. Atlanta’s expected starter Charlie Morton has been extremely shaky over his last 2 starts while recording a 7.72 ERA/2.14 WHIP. The Atlanta bullpen has posted an uninspiring 5.62 ERA/1.50 WHIP. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
07-29-23 | Rangers v. Padres OVER 9 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
Rangers (Perez) @ Padres) 7:07 PM ET Game# 929-930 Play On: Over 9.0 Texas starter Martin Perez has been in terrible form over his last 3 starts and has subpar numbers on the road in 2023. The Rangers bullpen has been shaky throughout the better part of the season and been worse than that over the past 7 games. The Rangers are averaging 6.0 runs scored per game during their previous 7 outings. Since the start of last season, Darvish has seen all 8 of his starts in July go over the total and there was a combined 13.9 runs scored per game. The Padres Yu Darvish has been in bad form over his last 4 starts while recording a sizable 1.81 WHIP. San Diego has averaged 5.4 runs scored per outing in their last 7 games. |
|||||||
07-28-23 | Angels v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 108 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
Angels (Giolito) @ Blue Jays (Gausman) 7:07 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Toronto -1.5 (+108) Lucas Giolito makes his Angels debut today after being obtained earlier in the week in a trade with the White Sox. Giolito’s road performance line in 2023 leaves much to be desired as it reads a 5.25 ERA/1.58 WHIP during 11 starts. Furthermore, Giolito has an abysmal 4-17 team start record since the start of last season as a money line underdog of +100 or greater like he’ll be today. Granted the Angels are a red-hot 8-1 in their last 9. However, they played a doubleheader at Detroit yesterday and will be facing a Toronto team that was off on Thursday. It’s also worth noting that the Angels are 8-17 this season when facing teams like Toronto who have a win percentage of between .540 and .620. Kevin Gausman has been terrific in 9 home starts this season while recording a 2.58 ERA/0.99 WHIP and averaged a healthy 6.6 innings pitched per outing. Since the start of last season, Toronto is 3-0 when facing Lucas Giolito as an opposing starting pitcher. Additionally, Giolito’s terrible 8.62 ERA/1.79 WHIP during those 3 outings was a major contributor to Toronto winning all 3 of those games. Give me the Toronto Blue Jays as a run-line favorite. |
|||||||
07-26-23 | Orioles -101 v. Phillies | 4-6 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
Orioles (Bradish) @ Phillies (Suarez) 6:05 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Orioles -101 The Phillies Ranger Suarez has displayed bad form over his last 4 starts with a 6.14 ERA/1.86 WHIP. Quite frankly with a WHIP that high Suarez is fortunate that his terrible ERA wasn’t worse. The Phillies aren’t exactly ripping the cover off the ball of late averaging a mere 3.1 runs scored per game and recording a miserable .190 team batting average over their previous 7 games. The Orioles Kyle Bradish has exhibited extremely good form over his last 5 starts while compiling a 1.38 ERA/0.87 WHIP and averaging a healthy 6.5 innings pitched per outing. Despite blowing a 9th inning lead, The Orioles bullpen has a superb 2.74 ERA/1.17 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Baltimore is a very profitable 24-10 this season when facing left-handed starting pitchers like Ranger Suarez is. Baltimore is also a terrific 32-19 on the road this season. Give me the Baltimore Orioles on the money line. |
|||||||
07-25-23 | Angels v. Tigers -119 | 7-6 | Loss | -119 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Angels (Canning) @ Tigers (Rodriguez) 6:40 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Tigers -119 The Angels Griffin Canning has exhibited bad form over his last 3 starts while recording a large 6.90 ERA while averaging just 4.8 innings pitched per outing. The Angels are coming off a successful 6-3 homestand. However, they’ve lost 6 consecutive away games heading into today. The Tigers are slated to go with lefthander Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound and has a sparkling 2.69 ERA/0.97 WHIP in 14 starts this season while averaging 6.0 innings pitched per outing. Rodriguez will be facing an Angels team that’s gone a dismal 10-18 in 2023 when facing lefthanded starting pitchers. You may be surprised to know that Detroit has gone a respectable 7-4 in their last 11 and 19-15 during their previous 19 games. The Tigers will be facing an Angels team that has a current record of 51-49 (.510). Why is that worth mentioning? Because Detroit is an extremely profitable 11-1 this season when facing teams with a win percentage of between .510 and .540. Give me the Detroit Tigers on the money line. |
|||||||
07-24-23 | Rangers v. Astros -102 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Rangers (Gray) @ Astros (Bielak) 8:10 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Astros -102 Jon Gray is enjoying a very good season when scanning over his season long performance line. However, he’s hit a bit of a wall of late which is apparent by his 1.70 WHIP over his last 4 starts. Additionally, the Rangers bullpen which has been an obvious enigma to an otherwise stellar season to this point has a staff 8.10 ERA over their last 7 games while allowing a whopping 7 homers in 26 2/3 innings pitched. The Houston starter Wade Bielak has exhibited extremely good form over his last 3 starts with a 1.02 ERA/0.85 WHIP during that span. The Astros bullpen has a solid 3.38 ERA/1.22 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Give me the Houston Astros on the money line. |
|||||||
07-22-23 | Dodgers v. Rangers UNDER 9.5 | 16-3 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Miller) @ Rangers (Dunning) 4:05 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Under 9.5 Bobby Miller of the Dodgers has pitched extremely well on the road this season with a 2.11 ERA/0.98 WHIP in 4 starts. The Dodgers bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games while compiling a staff 1.03 ERA/0.95 WHIP and yielding only 1 home run in 26 1/3 innings pitched. Texas is coming off last night’s 11-5 loss to the Dodgers and that game easily sailed over the total of 9.5. However, the Rangers have played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 immediately following an under and there was a combined average of 6.6 runs scored per game. Dan Dunning has been rock-solid for the Rangers this season while posting a 3.20 ERA/1.12 WHIP during in 13 starts. Dunning also has averaged 6.1 innings pitched per start which also includes 6.4 at home. Giving his team that kind of length when called upon to start covers up for the flaws the Rangers bullpen has and minimizes the risk of wasting one of his stellar performances. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
07-21-23 | Braves v. Brewers +110 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Braves (Sroka) @ Brewers (Peralta) 8:10 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Brewers +110 It seems strange seeing the Braves as this small a money line favorite considering how dominate they’ve been for the better part of this season. Atlanta is coming off a 7-5 home win over Arizona yesterday afternoon which ended a season high 4-game losing streak. Mike Sroka has been a shell of himself since returning from a prolonged stay on the injury list. During his last 4 starts, Sroka has posted a lofty 5.31 ERA/1.52 WHIP. The Braves bullpen had an uninspiring 5.46 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. As a matter of fact, Atlanta has allowed 7.1 runs per game over their last 7 outings. Milwaukee has gone 6-1 during their previous 7 games while receiving terrific pitching along the way. Their success during that span unequivocally points toward superb pitching as they allowed a mere 1.4 runs per game over those 7 games. The Brewers Freddy Peralta has owned the Braves since 2021 proven by a 0.00 ERA against them in 3 starts. The Brewers bullpen has an excellent 0.00 ERA/0.53 WHIP during that time while also recording 33 strikeouts versus only 3 walks in 20. 1/3 innings of work. Give me the Milwaukee Brewers as a money line underdog. |
|||||||
07-20-23 | Brewers v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Brewers (Burnes) @ Phillies (Walker) 12:35 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Under 9.0 (5*) The Phillies Tijuan Walker has been brilliant in 8 home starts this season with a 2.30 ERA/1.00 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen has been terrific at home this season. The Brewers Corbin Burnes has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 1.89 ERA/0.74 WHIP and averaged 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Milwaukee bullpen has been excellent over their last 8 games. Milwaukee has gone under in each of their previous 6 games. Milwaukee has also played 21-8 to the under in 2023 whenever the total was 9.0 or 9.5. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
07-20-23 | Giants v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
Giants (Cobb) @ Reds (Abbott) 12:35 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Under 9.5 The Giants Alex Cobb has exhibited stellar form over his last 3 starts with a 1.59 ERA/1.06 WHIP and those games played 2-0-1 to the under. As a matter of fact, Cobb has pitched 12-4 to the under this season in 16 starts with a shiny 2.82 ERA. The Reds Andrew Abbott is 3-0 in his team starts during the day with a 1.86 ERA/0.88 WHIP while averaging a healthy 6.4 innings pitched per start. All 4 of Abbott’s home starts have gone under the total and his sparkling 2.10 ERA/0.74 WHIP was a major contributor to those low scoring affairs. Cincinnati has gone under in 6 of their last 7 games and they scored 3 runs or fewer in all but one of those outings. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
07-19-23 | Padres v. Blue Jays -115 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Padres (Darvish) @ Blue Jays (Berrios) 7:07 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Blue Jays -115 (10*) Yes, Yu Darvish is coming off a strong outing in his last start. However, over his last 5 starts he’s collected a lofty 5.93 ERA/1.61 WHIP. Which speaks to his lack of consistency that he’s displayed in 2023. Furthermore, Darvish is 0-4 during his team starts this season when facing American League teams and with a large 9.00 ERA. The Padres bullpen has been less than special throughout their previous 7 games with a staff 5.11 ERA/1.50 WHIP. Despite yesterday’s 9-1 blowout loss to San Diego, Toronto has still gone an extremely profitable 8-2 over their last 10 games. Jose Berrios is 6-2 this year and 20-4 since 2022 in his home team starts. Berrios has compiled an excellent 2.45 ERA/0.82 WHIP during 8 home starts in 2023 while averaging a healthy 6.1 innings pitched per outing. The Blue Jays bullpen has been rock-solid over their last 7 games with a staff 3.21 ERA/1.00 WHIP. Give me the Toronto Blue Jays on the money line. |
|||||||
07-18-23 | Yankees -101 v. Angels | 1-5 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Yankees (German) @ Angels (Sandoval) 9:38 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Yankees -101 Both teams have struggled of late. However. I like the advantage we’ll have when it comes to starting pitching matchup tonight. The Angels Patrick Sandoval has a 6.60 ERA/1.80 WHIP throughout his previous 3 starts. The Angels bullpen has an awful 8.91 ERA/2.14 WHIP as a staff over their previous 7 games. Doming German of the Yankees is showing signs of being his former self while recording a dominating 1.40 ERA/0.67 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Give me the Yankees on the money line. |
|||||||
07-18-23 | Nationals v. Cubs OVER 9 | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Nationals (Corbin) @ Cubs (Taillon) 8:05 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Over 9.0 Although James Taillon turned in a strong performance during his last start, and Patrick Corbin has displayed good form in recent start, I’m none to thrilled with either of those starting pitchers. Furthermore, both bullpens have struggled mightily over each of their previous 7 games. The Cubs have played 6 overs in a row and there was a combined average of 12.2 runs scored per game. Washing has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with a combined average of 13.3 runs scored per game. The Nationals have smacked 13 home runs over their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
07-18-23 | Dodgers v. Orioles -117 | 10-3 | Loss | -117 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Grove) @ Orioles (Wells) 7:05 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Orioles -117 The Dodgers Michael Grove has been terrible during 3 road starts this season with a massive 11.92 ERA/2.65 WHIP. During his lat 4 overall starts Grove has compiled a lousy 6.16 ERA/1.53 WHIP and allowed 6 home runs in just 19.0 innings pitched. The Orioles Tyle Wells has shown very good form over his last 3 starts with a 3.00 ERA/1.11 WHIP. The Orioles bullpen has a shiny 3.00 ERA/1.19 WHIP during their previous 7 games. Throughout that identical time frame, Baltimore has averaged 6.3 runs scored per game and smashed 12 homers. It’s also worth noting, the Orioles are an extremely profitable 33-11 this season as a money line favorite of -110 or greater. Give me the Baltimore Orioles on the money line. |
|||||||
07-17-23 | Tigers -124 v. Royals | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
Tigers (Manning) @ Royals (Lyles) 8:10 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Tigers -124 (10*) Kansas City’s Jordan Lyles is 1-16 during his team starts this season with a 6.24 ERA and has allowed 20 homers in 96. 2/3 innings pitched. The Royals bullpen has struggled over their last 7 games with a 6.63 ERA/1.63 WHIP. The Royals are a pathetic 14-33 in home games and 12-44 in night games this season. Kansas City came off yesterday’s 8-4 win over Tampa Bay. However, they’re a dismal 6-20 immediately following a win and 1-8 during their last 9 in that role this season. Detroit came off a loss at Seattle yesterday. Nevertheless, the Tigers are 10-2 immediately in their last 12 immediately following a loss which includes 3-0 during the last 3 in that exact spot. Matt Manning has shown very good form over his last 3 starts while recording a 3.11 ERA/0.87 WHIP. The Tigers bullpen has been sharp throughout their previous 3 games with a 3.38 ERA/0.98 WHIP as a staff. The Tigers are a respectable 17-14 during road night games in 2023. Give me the Detroit Tigers on the money for a Top Play wager. |
|||||||
07-16-23 | Yankees -1.5 v. Rockies | 7-8 | Loss | -133 | 14 h 60 m | Show | |
Yankees (Cole) @ Rockies (Anderson) 3:05 PM ET Game# 979-980 Play On: Yankees -1.5 (-133) I have no idea why Colorado keeps Chase Anderson in their starting rotation. Throughout his last 4 starts Anderson has compiled a brutal 18.23 ERA/2.93 WHIP and allowed an alarmingly high 8 home runs in just 13 1/3 innings pitched. Colorado is gone a dismal 21-41 when facing righthanded starting pitchers this season while also going 14-22 during day games. Gerrit Cole has gone a perfect 10-0 in his team starts this season as a money line favorite of -150 or greater and the Yankees won by an average of 2.8 runs per game. Cole has a superb 2.90 ERA/1.08 WHIP in 10-day-game starts in 2023. The Yankees ace has allowed a mere 2 home runs in 41.0 innings pitched on the road this year. New York is an impressive 24-11 during day games this season. Give me the New York Yankees on the run-line. |
|||||||
07-16-23 | Guardians +120 v. Rangers | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Guardians (Bibee) @ Rangers (Perez) 2:35 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Guardians +120 The Rangers took the first 2 of this 3-game set but haven’t won 3 straight since June 19th. Texas is scheduled to go with Martin Perez on the bump and in 7 day game starts the veteran lefty has a hefty 7.87 ERA/1.88 WHIP during those outings. Cleveland has lost 3 straight heading into this series finale. However, the Guardians haven’t lost 4 in a row all season long and are 3-0 immediately following a 3-game losing streak. The Guardians are coming off yesterday’s 2-0 loss and are 4-0 on the road this season after being held scoreless in their previous game. The Cleveland slated starter is Tanner Bibee and he’s displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts while recording a 1.08 ERA. Bibee is also 4-1 in his team starts during day games this season with a stellar 2.37 ERA while averaging 6.1 innings pitched per start. Give me the Cleveland Guardians as a money line underdog. |
|||||||
07-16-23 | Brewers +115 v. Reds | 4-3 | Win | 115 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Brewers (Houser) @ Reds (Lively) 1:40 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Brewers +115 The Reds Ben Lively has displayed bad form over his last 3 starts with 4.91 ERA/1.55 WHIP and allowed 5 home runs in 22.0 innings pitched. The Reds have lost 3 straight and were held scoreless on each occasion with all those games coming against Milwaukee. The Brewers Adrian Houser is 3-0 in his day game starts this season with a brilliant 1.59 ERA/1.00 WHIP. Houser has faced the Reds once this season and allowed just 1 earned run on 6 hits while walking none in 7.0 innings pitched in a game played at Cincinnati. The Brewers bullpen has been very good throughout their previous 8 games. Milwaukee has gone a profitable 18-14 this season an a road money line underdog of +100 or greater, and $100 bettors earned a net profit of $1010. It’s also worth noting, Sundays have been kind to the Brewers this season as they’ve gone 12-3 in those spots. Give me the Milwaukee Brewers as a money line underdog. |
|||||||
07-15-23 | Guardians +144 v. Rangers | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
Guardians (Williams) @ Rangers (Heany) 4:05 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Guardians +144 The Rangers Andrew Heaney has displayed poor form over his last 3 starts with an 8.56 ERA/1.61 WHIP and averaged only 4.6 innings pitched per start. The Rangers bullpen is shaky at best and recently has been extremely difficult to trust. Despite their win on Friday night the Rangers are still an uninspiring 6-11 in their last 17 games. The Guardians are a more than respectable 13-8 in their last 21 games even with their 12-4 blowout loss at Texas last night. The Cleveland bullpen had a horrible night in the loss but that’s more of a rarity rather than the norm. Gavin Williams has been rock-solid over his last 3 starts with a 3.32 ERA/1.05 WHIP and averaged a healthy 6.3 innings pitched per start. Give me the Guardians as a money line underdog. |
|||||||
07-14-23 | Dodgers v. Mets +115 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Urias) @ Mets (Verlander) 7:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Mets +115 The Dodgers Julio Urias has been in terrible form over his last 3 starts while posting a large 9.75 ERA/1.67 WHIP. Urias also has an awful 8.44 ERA/1.84 WHIP while allowing 9 home runs in just 26 2/3 innings pitched during 6 road starts this season. The Dodgers bullpen continues to be shaky and inconsistent this season as evidenced by their 1.50 WHIP as a staff over their last 7 games. Los Angeles has scored 10 and 11 runs during their 2 previous games. However, since the start of last season, the Dodgers are 2-9 immediately following 2 straight games in which they scored 9 runs or more on each occasion. Justin Verlander has displayed very good form over his last 5 starts with a 2.03 ERA/1.06 WHIP while averaging 6.2 innings pitched per outing. During 6 home starts this season, Verlander has recorded an excellent 1.00 ERA. The Mets bullpen has been solid throughout their previous 7 games with a 2.29 ERA as a staff. New York has an impressive .353 team on-base-percentage over their last 7 games and hit 11 home runs. Give me the Mets on the money line. |
|||||||
07-14-23 | Diamondbacks v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks (Nelson) @ Blue Jays (Berrios) 7:07 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Under 9.0 Ryne Nelson is coming off a horrible home start in which allowed 7 earned runs during just 3.0 innings pitched against the Mets. However, he’s been outstanding in 9 road starts this season while posting a 2.81 ERA/1.03 WHIP. The Diamondbacks have averaged a paltry 2.9 runs scored per outing over their last 11 games and 9 of the 11 went under the total. Jose Berrios has historically pitched much better at home than on the road and this year is no different. Berrios has pitched 5-1 to the under in 6 home starts this season while recording a superb 2.98 ERA/1.04 WHIP. The Blue Jays bullpen has been lights out throughout their previous 7 games while collecting a staff 1.73 ERA/0.89 WHIP. Toronto has played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 and allowed a mere 2.9 runs per game. Give this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
07-09-23 | Mariners -127 v. Astros | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Mariners (Gilbert) @ Astros (Bielak) 2:10 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Mariners -127 (3*) Houston as an underdog at home, they have to be the play right? Not so fast, despite yesterday’s 3-2 loss at Houston, Seattle is 6-2 over their last 8 games. The Mariners Logan Gilbert has made 5 starts versus Houston since the start of last season and had an impressive 2.97 ERA/1.12 WHIP. Gilber has also shown good form in his last 3 starts overall with a 2.05 ERA/0.82 WHIP while averaging 7.3 innings pitched per outing. The Mariners bullpen has been excellent throughout their previous 8 games. The Astros Wade Bielak has been shaky over his last 3 starts while compiling a 1.50 WHIP and is lucky to have just a 4.86 ERA during that time. |
|||||||
07-08-23 | Phillies v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
Phillies (Suarez) @ Marlins (Garrett) 4:10 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Ranger Suarez has been a vastly underrated pitcher in the Phillies rotation. Suarez has compiled an excellent 1.97 ERA/1.09 WHIP in 5 road starts this season. Suarez has made 4 career starts versus Miami, all have come on the road, each transpired since 2021, and he posted a 0.82 ERA during those outings. The Phillies bullpen has been outstanding of late which is proven by their 0.00 ERA over the last 10 games. Philadelphia has played 15-8 to the under when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The Phillies have played 14-1 to the under this season following 3 straight wins. Miami’s Braxton Garrett has been in real good form over his last 5 starts with a 1.86 ERA/0.79 WHIP while striking out 38.0 batter in 29.0 innings pitched. Miami has played 13-8 to the under this season when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
07-07-23 | Mets +116 v. Padres | 7-5 | Win | 116 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Mets (Verlander) @ Padres (Darvish) 9:40 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Mets +116 (5*) The Mets have won 5 in a row and are starting to resemble a team with the highest player payroll in all of MLB. Justin Verlander has displayed stellar form over his last 4 starts while recording 1.80 ERA/0.96 WHIP. New York has smashed 15 home runs over their previous 7 games. The Padres Yu Darvish will be making his first starts since June 21st because of being sidelined by an unspecified illness. During his last 3 starts Darvish has shown terrible form with a 7.72 ERA/1.65 WHIP. The Padres bullpen has left a lot to be desired over their previous 7 games while collecting a 8.03 ERA/1.70 WHIP and allowed an alarmingly high 8 home runs in 24 homers in 24 2/3 innings. Give me the New York Mets as a money line underdog. |
|||||||
07-07-23 | Reds +106 v. Brewers | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Reds (Abbott) @ Brewers (Burnes) 8:10 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Reds +106 (5*) The Reds lefthander Andrew Abbot has been sensational since being called up from the minors in early June. Abbott is 6-0 during his team starts with an excellent 1.20 ERA/1.00 WHIP while averaging 6.2 innings pitched per outing. The Reds have gone a red-hot 19-3 in their last 22 away games which includes current road winning runs of 14-1 and 6-0. Former National League Cy Young winner Corbin Burnes has been the dominating pitcher we’ve seen during recent seasons. That’s not to suggest he’s been terrible by any means but certainly not up to his precedented standards. As a matter of fact, Burnes has compiled a sizable 6.62 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Milwaukee bullpen has posted a terrible 6.66 ERA as a staff over their previous 7 games. Milwaukee is averaging just 3.1 runs scored per outing with a miserable .208 team batting average of .208 in 29 games when facing lefthanded starting pitchers. Give me the Cincinnati Reds on the money line. |
|||||||
07-07-23 | Braves -101 v. Rays | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Braves (Morton) @ Rays (Glasnow) 6:40 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Braves -101 (5*) Don’t look now but the mighty Tampa Bay Rays are losers of 5 straight games. Tonight’s slated starting pitcher Tyler Glasnow has been in shaky form over his last 4 starts with a 5.76 ERA/1.60 WHIP. The Rays bullpen has logged 37.0 innings pitched over their last 7 games which points to them eventually wearing down. The Atlanta Braves are on an epic 25-4 winning run over their last 29 games. Carlie Morton has a very good 2.53 ERA over his last 4 starts. The Braves bullpen has an excellent 1.11 ERA/0.91 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Braves are averaging 7.0 runs per game and have smacked an incredible 20 home runs over their previous 7 outings. The Braves are an excellent 28-13 on the road in 2023. Give me the Atlanta Braves on the money line. |
|||||||
07-06-23 | Mets v. Diamondbacks OVER 10 | 9-0 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Mets (Carrasco) @ Diamondbacks (Nelson) 9:40 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Over 10.0 (5*) Carlos Carrasco is 0-5 during his last 5 team starts with a 6.23 ERA/1.85 WHIP while allowing 5 home runs in only 21 2/3 innings pitched. The Mets have hit 17 home runs throughout their previous 8 games. Carrasco has pitched 23-9 (71.9%) to the over in his career starts during the month of July. Ryne Nelson of Arizona a sizable 7.09 ERA/1.83 WHIP in 8 home starts this season. The Diamondbacks have cracked 11 homers over their last 8 games. Yes, Nelson has shown good form in his last 3 starts but all came on the road. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
07-06-23 | Rangers -134 v. Red Sox | 6-10 | Loss | -134 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Rangers (Eovaldi) @ Red Sox (Crawford) 7:10 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Rangers -134 (5*) This is a starting pitching mismatch. Kutter Crawford has displayed good form over his last 3 starts but each occurred on the road. Crawford is 0-3 during his home team starts in 2023 with a terrible 9.82 ERA/1.82 WHIP. The Red Sox bullpen has an uninspiring staff 4.88 ERA/1.60 WHIP. The Rangers Nathan Eovaldi has been textbook consistent in 17 starts this season while compiling a superb 2.64 ERA/0.99 WHIP. Eovaldi has averaged 6.6 innings pitched per start this season. That’s significant when considering the Rangers bullpen struggles of late. Texas is coming off yesterday’s 4-2 loss at Boston. The Rangers are 7-1 in their last 8 away games this season following a road loss with a massive +3.8 run per game differential. Give me the Texas Rangers as a money line favorite. |
|||||||
07-06-23 | Phillies +119 v. Rays | 3-1 | Win | 119 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Phillies (Sanchez) @ Rays (Armstrong) 6:40 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Phillies +119 (5*) The Phillies have taken the first 2 games of this series while outscoring the Rays 11-5. I’m sure that many sports bettors will back Tampa Bay on the fact that the Rays who are 34-12 at Tropicana Field won’t be swept at home. However, Philadelphia has now won 11 consecutive away games. Christopher Sanchez of the Phillies has displayed good form over his last 3 starts with a 2.40 ERA/1.00 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen hasn’t allowed an earned run in their previous 8 games. Conversely, the Rays will be going with a bullpen by committee today. The Tampa Bay bullpen has an unimpressive 1.54 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. Give me the Philadelphia Phillies as a money line underdog. |
|||||||
07-04-23 | Phillies v. Rays -132 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -132 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
Phillies (Nola) @ Rays (Eflin) 4:10 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Rays -132 (10*) Aaron Nola has been vulnerable to giving up the long ball this season and especially on the road. Nola has a lofty 5.34 ERA in 10 road starts while allowing an alarmingly high 11 homers during 60 2/3 innings pitched. That’s a huge potential issue versus a Tampa Bay team that’s smacked an average of 1.7 homer game at home and went yard 131 times in 57 outing this season. Zach Eflin is 8-0 during his home team starts this season while posing a superb 2.17 ERA/0.89 WHIP. The Rays bullpen staff has been solid throughout their previous 7 games while compiling a cumulative 2.70 ERA/1.17 WHIP. The Rays have lost their last 2 games and that’s significant. Tampa Bay is 8-1 this season immediately following a 2-game losing streak with a substantial +3.5 run per game differential. As a matter of fact, if they were a money line favorite of -170 or less during those exact situations, they improve to 6-0 with a massive +4.9 run per game differential. Give me the Tampa Bay Rays as a money line favorite. |
|||||||
07-03-23 | Royals v. Twins -1.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Royals (Cox) @ Twins (Ryan) 8:10 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Twins -1.5 (-114) (5*) Kansas City has gone a pathetic 12-38 (.240) during night games in 2023 and with a -2.0 run per game differential. Austin Cox will be making just his 3rd career MLB start for Kansas City. He doesn’t figure to get much help from a Royals bullpen which has posted a lofty 6.40 ERA/1.58 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Minnesota is 6-1 versus Kansas City this season and all 6 wins came by 2 runs or more. The Twins Joe Ryan is 5-0 in his career team starts versus Kansas City with an excellent 1.20 ERA/0.83 WHIP. Ryan has a brilliant 2.70 ERA/0.79 WHIP in 7 home starts this season. The Twins bullpen has a superb 1.77 ERA/0.79 WHIP as a staff throughout their previous 7 games. Give me the Minnesota Twins as a run-line favorite. |
|||||||
07-03-23 | Braves -138 v. Guardians | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Braves (Elder) @ Guardians (Williams) 7:10 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Braves -138 (5*) The Guardians are coming off a series at Wrigley Field in Chicago in which they won 2 of 3. However, last night’s game ended close to Midnight ET. and they didn’t get home until the wee hours of the morning. It wouldn’t be an ideal situation to play any team in this exact scenario let alone an Atlanta Braves team that’s won 8 straight games. Furthermore, the Braves are 16-1 in their last 17 and 23-3 during their previous 26 games. The Braves are slated to go with Bryce Elder on the mound today. That’s further bad news for Cleveland when considering he’s 12-4 during his team starts this season with a stellar 2.44 ERA/1.13. Elder has an even better 1.43 ERA/0.98 WHIP during 6 road starts. The Atlanta bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games with a staff 1.23 ERA/1.04 WHIP. Any MLB team like Atlanta that’s coming off a 3-game sweep of a division opponent and is playing in an inter-league game has gone 45-11 (80.4%) since 2019 with a substantial run differential of +2.6 runs per game. Give me the Atlanta Braves as a money line favorite. |
|||||||
07-03-23 | Cardinals v. Marlins -126 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Cardinals (Mikolas) @ Marlins (Garrett) 6:40 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Marlins -126 (5*) The Cardinals Mile Mikolas is 0-4 in his last 4 team starts with a lousy 6.57 ERA/1.50 WHIP. The Cardinals are a miserable 18-33 during night games this season. The St. Louis bullpen has an ineffective staff 5.40 ERA/1.56 WHIP on the road in 2023. Miami received a dose of reality this past weekend after being swept in a 3-game series at Atlanta while being outscored by a decisive margin of 29-7. However, Miami is 15-5 in their last 20 at home. Miami is also a perfect 6-0 this season as a home favorite of -110 to -210 immediately following loss in their previous game. Miami is also 3-0 this season as a money line favorite of -110 or greater immediately following a 3-game losing streak. The Marlins Braxton Garrett is 4-0 in his last 4 team starts with an excellent 1.16 ERA/0.69 WHIP while striking out 32 and walking only 3 during 23 1/3 innings pitched. Give me the Miami Marlins as a money line favorite. |
|||||||
07-02-23 | Guardians -114 v. Cubs | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Guardians (Civale) @ Cubs (Taillon) 2:20 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Guardians -114 (5*) The Cubs veteran righthander Jameson Tallion has been a huge disappointment throughout the first half of this season. Chicago has gone 2-11 with Taillon as their starting pitcher and his terrible 6.90 ERA/1.55 was a major contributor to that abysmal record. Putting that previous fact into perspective, the Cubs are 36-31 this season when Tallion isn’t their starting pitcher. The Cubs bullpen has a lofty 4.90 ERA/1.50 WHIP in 36 day games this season. Since the start of last season, the Cubs are a money-draining 3-13 at home when facing teams like Cleveland (39-42/.481) who possess a win percentage of .460 to .490. It’s also worth noting, the Cubs are 2-11 this season in games played on Sunday with an awful -3.2 run per game differential. Sunday will be the finale of a 6-game homestand for the Cubs in which they’ve gone 1-4 thus far. Aaron Civale has been very good in 3 road starts this season with a 1.15 ERA. Civale has made 2 career starts at Wrigley Field and posted a stellar 1.69 ERA. Since last season, Cleveland is a profitable 17-9 on the road with Aaron Civale as their starting pitcher. As we’ve become well accustomed to in recent seasons, the Cleveland bullpen has been rock-solid this year. Give me the Cleveland Guardians on the money line. |
|||||||
07-02-23 | Yankees v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
Yankees (Cole) @ Cardinals (Montgomery) 2:15 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) We have two red-hot starting pitchers in this matchup who have a recent history of pitching deep into games. Jordan Montgomery has been in superb form over his last 5 starts while compiling a 1.71 ERA/0.95 WIP and averaged 6.5 innings pitched per outing. Montgomery has made 1 career start versus his former team that took place last season, and he pitched 5.0 innings of scoreless baseball while allowing just 2 hits in addition to walking only 1. Furthermore, the Yankees batting order he faced last year compared to this current version was a much more formidable one. Gerrit Cole has been pretty much dominating all season while going 13-4 in his team starts with a 2.78 ERA/1.13 WHIP and averaged 6.1 innings pitched per outing. The Yankees bullpen is one of the best in all of baseball this season. However, their offensive production compared to recent seasons has left much to be desired and especially with Aaron Judge still being out of the lineup due to injury. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
07-02-23 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
Nationals (Williams) @ Phillies (Suarez) 1:35 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Phillies -1.5 (-125) (5*) This will be the rubber match of a 3-game series in which Washington won the series opener and Philadelphia prevailed yesterday in a 19-4 rout. Since 2021, Philadelphia has dominated this NL East Division series by going 32-11 versus Washington. The Nationals will send Trevor Williams to the mound today. Williams has struggled a bit over his last 3 starts while collecting a 5.02 ERA/1.68 WHIP. The Nationals bullpen has been horrible throughout their previous 8 games. Additionally, Williams has a large 6.04 ERA/1.66 WHIP in 6 starts this season when facing teams from the NL East. The Phillies Ranger Suarez has been in excellent form over his last 6 starts with a 1.35 ERA/0.98 WHIP and averaged a hefty 6.7 innings pitched per outing. During his lone start versus Washington this season, Suarez allowed only 1 earned run in 7.0 innings pitched during an 11-3 Phillies win. The Philadelphia bullpen has been very good at home this season with a staff 2.84 ERA. The Phillies are an impressive 23-13 during day games this season. Give me the Philadelphia Phillies as a run-line favorite. |
|||||||
07-01-23 | Guardians v. Cubs -122 | 6-0 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Guardians (Bibee) @ Cubs (Stroman) 7:15 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Cubs -122 (5*) Tanner Bibee of the Guardians has displayed shaky form over his last 3 starts while collecting a 6.00 ERA/1.80 WHIP. Conversely the Cubs Marcus Stroman is a red-hot 7-1 during his last 8 teams starts with an excellent 1.73 ERA/0.98 WHIP and averaged 6.5 innings pitched per appearance while doing so. The Cubs bullpen has a sparkling staff 1.11 ERA/0.90 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Furthermore, the Cubs have averaged a healthy 5.6 runs score per game during their previous 7 outings. Give me the Chicago Cubs as a money line favorite. |
|||||||
07-01-23 | Twins v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Twins (Ober) @ Orioles (Bradish) 2:15 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Under 8.5 (5*) The Orioles Kyle Bradish has exhibited superb form over his last 3 starts while posting a 2.37 ERA/1.04 WHIP and averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Orioles have a poor 2.25 team batting average while averaging less than a home per game over their last 7. Bailey Ober of the Twins has been terrific in 12 starts this season while compiling a 2.97 ERA/1.02 WHIP and 10 of those games went under the total. Unfortunately for Ober, Minnesota has averaged only 2.8 runs scored per game during his 12 starts. The Twins bullpen has been extremely good over their previous 7 games with a 1.21 ERA/0.85 WHIP. Despite scoring 8 runs in a win over the Orioles last night, Minnesota has averaged just 3.3 runs scored per game throughout their previous 7 games. As a matter of fact, Minnesota has played 6-1 to the under this season when the total is 8.5 and they scored 6 runs or more in their previous game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
07-01-23 | Yankees +110 v. Cardinals | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Yankees (Severino) @ Cardinals (Flaherty) 2:15 PM ET Game#1 of Doubleheader Game# 921-922 Play On: Yankees +110 (5*) The Cardinals Jack Flaherty has been horrible over his last 2 starts while recording a large 10.12 ERA/2.25 WHIP. Flaherty has struggled in 6 home starts this season with a 7.06 ERA/1.71 WHIP. The St. Louis bullpen has a lofty staff 5.34 ERA/1.47 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Luis Severino’s statistical performance line on the road leaves much to be desired. However, Severino is 3-1 in his team starts during day games this season with an impressive 2.42 ERA/1.07 WHIP. The Yankees veteran right-hander is coming off a gem in his previous start while holding the high-powered of the Texan Rangers scoreless during his 6.0 innings pitched. The Yankees bullpen has a brilliant staff 1.14 ERA/0.97 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Yankees are an extremely profitable 22-8 in day games and 10-2 on Saturdays this season. Give me the Yankees on the money line in Game#1 of a scheduled doubleheader. |
|||||||
06-30-23 | Twins v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 8-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Twins (Lopez) @ Orioles (Kremer) 7:05 ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Under 9.0 (-120) (5*) The Twins Pablo Lopez has a sparkling 2.94 ERA/1.04 WHIP and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio in 8 road starts this season while averaging a healthy 6.1 innings pitched per outing. The Minnesota bullpen has been dominant over their last 7 games with a staff 1.40 ERA/0.93 WHIP. The Twins have played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 and 3-0 to the under during their previous 3 games. Minnesota will be facing Baltimore’s starting pitcher Dean Kremer. During his last 3 starts Kremer has exhibited good form while compiling a 3.00 ERA/1.06 WHIP and a 6:1 strikeout to walk ration while averaging 6.0 innings pitched per outing. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
06-30-23 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Red Sox (Paxton) @Blue Jays (Berrios) 7:07 PM RT Game# 963-964 Play On: Under 9.0 (5*) The Red Sox James Paxton has been in top form over his last 5 starts with a 2.22 ERA/0.885 WHIP. Boston has been anemic offensively throughout their previous 7 while averaging a mere 1.6 runs scored per game. Jose Berrios has a brilliant 2.48 ERA/1.07 WHIP and a 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio in 6 home starts this season. The Toronto bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games while recording a staff 1.87 ERA/1.03 WHIP. Toronto is coming off yesterday 2-1 home win over San Francisco. The Blue jays have played 14-3 to the under this season after allowing 2 runs or fewer in their previous game. Lastly, and for what it’s worth, Toronto has gone under the total in all 10 of their games this season which were played on a Friday. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
06-30-23 | Brewers -132 v. Pirates | 7-8 | Loss | -132 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Brewers (Peralta) @ Pirates (Bido) 7:05 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Brewers -132 (5*) Freddy Peralta has made 5 career starts at Pittsburgh with an excellent 1.30 ERA/0.80 WHIP. The Brewers bullpen has a stellar 0.77 ERA/0.86 WHIP with an 11:1 strikeout to walk ration over their last 7 games. Since 2021, Milwaukee is 28-13 versus Pittsburgh which includes 3-0 this season in which they outscored the Pirates by a combined score of 15-6. The Brewers will be facing Pirates right-hander Osvaldo Bido this evening. Milwaukee is a solid 32-23 this season when facing right-handed starting pitchers. MLB money line road favorites of -120 or greater like Milwaukee who are playing in June, and they’re facing teams like Pittsburgh who have played errorless base ball in each of their previous 4 games, resulted in those road favorites going 41-8 (83.7%) since 2019. Give me the Milwaukee Brewers on the money line. |
|||||||
06-28-23 | White Sox v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 11-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
White Sox (Giolito) @ Angels (Barria) 9:38 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Under 8.5 (5*) Lucas Giolito has been in very good form over his previous 4 starts while compiling a 1.50 ERA/1.04 WHIP while averaging 6.0 innings pitched per outing. The White Sox have played 15-5-3 to the under in their last 23 overall and 8-1-2 under during their previous 11 away games. The White Sox have also played 19-9 to the under this season as a money line away underdog of +100 or greater like they’ll be tonight. The Angels Jaime Barria is 4-0 during his team starts this season with a stellar 2.79 ERA/1.09 WHIP. The Angels have played 7-1 to the under in their last 8 and 8-2 to the under in their previous 10 games. Additionally, the Angels played 13-5 to the under in their previous 18 at home. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
06-27-23 | Marlins v. Red Sox -125 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
Marlins (Alcantara) @ Red Sox (Whitlock) 7:10 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Red Sox -125 (10*) Saying that Sandy Alcantara’s first half of the 2023 season has been disappointing would be a vast understatement. Alcantara has a lofty 5.17 ERA in 15 starts and Miami went 6-9 in those games. The Marlins are coming off a 4-3 home stand. Since 2021, Miami is 6-25 on the road immediately following a 5-game or more home stand. During that same time span, Miami is 0-5 on the road immediately following a day off and after a home win and includes 0-2 this season. Miami is a very profitable 17-7 versus American League teams this season. However, just 2-4 during their last 6 in that role. Since 2021, Miami has gone an abysmal 4-23 versus AL East Division teams. Boston is averaging 8.6 runs scored and 12.1 hits per game in their last 7 this season immediately following a day off. The Red Sox Garrett Whitlock is 3-0 in his home team starts in 2023 with a stellar 3.37 ERA/1.07 WHIP while averaging a healthy 6.2 innings pitched per start. Whitlock has also displayed very good form over his last 3 starts overall with a 3.37 ERA/1.07 WHIP and averaged 6.8 innings pitched per start with a better than 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Give me the Boston Red Sox on the money line. |
|||||||
06-26-23 | Twins v. Braves OVER 8 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Twins (Gray) @ Braves (Strider) 7:20 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Over 8.0 (10*) The Braves Spenser Strider has a large 8.40 ERA/1.80 WHIP over his last 3 starts and allowed 5 home runs in just 15.0 innings pitched. Strider will be facing a Twins team which has smashed 13 homers throughout their previous 7 games. Strider has pitched 7-0 to the over in his home starts this season and there was a combined average of 12.7 runs scored per game. Speaking of homers hit, Atlanta has hit an incredible 21 of them over their previous 7 games. The Braves have scored 5 runs or more in 11 of their previous 12 and 17 of the last 21 games. Atlanta has played 25-13-1 to the over at home in 2023 and there was a combined 10.2 runs scored per game. Although Sonny Gray has been the best starting pitcher for Minnesota since last season. Gray does have some vulnerabilities. He’s pitched 10-2 to the over in that exact time frame when facing a team with a winning record and there was a combined 11.2 runs scored per game. The Twins bullpen has a shaky 5.49 ERA/1.59 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Since last season, Minnesota has played 18-6 to the over when facing National League teams. During that identical time span, Atlanta has played 30-12 to the over versus American League teams. Give me this game to go over the total as a Top Play wager. |
|||||||
06-25-23 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 9 | 5-2 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks (Nelson) @ Giants (DeSclafani) 4:10 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Over 9.0 (5*) The Giants Anthony DeSclafani has been in bad form over his last 4 starts while recording a 7.94 ERA/1.88 WHIP. The Giants have played 8-2 to the over in their last 10 games. San Francisco has scored 7 runs or more in 8 of their previous 12 games. Arizona’s Ryne Nelson has exhibited poor form over his last 5 starts while collecting a lofty 5.92 ERA/1.85 WHIP. The Diamondbacks bullpen has an uninspiring staff 4.99 ERA in their last 7 games. Arizona has played 14-5 to the over on the road this season whenever the total was between 7.0 and 8.5 with a combined average of 10.5 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. All statistics in this analysis are reflective of games played through Friday 6/23. |
|||||||
06-25-23 | Rangers v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Rangers (Eovaldi) @ Yankees (Cole) 1:35 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Nathan Eovaldi was brilliant in his lone start versus the Yankees this season while pitching a complete game 3-hit shutout. Eovaldi is enjoying a terrific first half of the season while compiling a 2.80 ERA/0.99 WHIP in 15 starts. Garrett Cole has pitched 3-0-1 to the under in his last 4 starts while posting a sparkling 1.73 ERA/0.91 WHIP. Since last season, Cole has pitched 3-0 to the under versus Texas with a superb 2.37 ERA/1.00 WHIP. Both starting pitchers should be early top 5 contenders to win the American League Cy Young Award. Each bullpen has been rock-solid. The head-to-head series between these teams has played 14-4-1 to the under since 2021 and that includes 6-1 under at Yankee Stadium. Give me this game to go under the total. All statistics in this analysis are reflective of games played through Friday 6/23. |
|||||||
06-25-23 | Mets v. Phillies -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Mets (Carrasco) @ Phillies (Wheeler) 1:35 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Phillies -1.5 (+115) (5*) Carlos Carrasco has displayed poor form over his last 3 starts with a 7.81 ERA/1.97 WHIP and he allowed 4 homers in just 12 2/3 innings pitched. Carrasco has an even worse 8.43 ERA/1.83 WHIP in 5 starts in day games and he surrendered 6 home runs in 21 1/3 innings pitched. The Mets are a miserable 3-14 as a money line away underdog of +100 or greater this season with a -1.6 run per game differential. The Mets are also a terrible 2-10 in their last 12 on the road. Zack Wheeler has been in excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 0.45 ERA/0.78 WHIP in 19 1/3 innings pitched. The Phillies bullpen has been lights out over their previous 7 games with a staff 2.22 ERA/1.10 WHIP. The Phillies are a very profitable 21-12 in day games this season. The Phillies are 13-4 in their last 17 games and New York has gone a dismal 4-14 in their previous 18 outings. Give me the Philadelphia Phillies on the run-line. All statistics in this analysis are reflective of games played through Friday 6/23. |
|||||||
06-24-23 | Red Sox -108 v. White Sox | 4-5 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Red Sox @ White Sox 4:10 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Red Sox -108 (5*) Let’s not get carried away with Lance Lynn’s 16-strikeout performance during his last start. During his last 6 starts at home, Lynn collected a very lofty 7.64 ERA/1.61 WHIP. Additionally, Lynn has an awful 8.57 ERA/1.67 WHIP over his last 4 starts with an alarmingly high 6 home runs allowed in 21.0 innings. The White Sox are averaging a paltry 2.9 runs scored per outing over their previous 7 games. Chicago is a miserable 14-28 this season when facing teams like Boston who own a winning record and are also a poor 13-22 in days games as well. The Red Sox James Paxton has been in very good form over his last 4 starts while posting a stellar 2.22 ERA/0.90 WHIP and had a better than 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Red Sox bullpen has been strong throughout their previous 7 games while compiling a staff 2.33 ERA/1.07 WHIP. The Red Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 and the White Sox are 3-9 during their previous 12 games. Give me the Boston Red Sox on the money line. |
|||||||
06-24-23 | Rangers -135 v. Yankees | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Rangers (Jon Gray) @ Yankees (Severino) 4:10 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Rangers -135 (5*) The Yankees have been anemic offensively over their last 6 outings while averaging a mere 2.3 runs scored and 6.6 hits per game. The scheduled Yankee starting pitcher is Luis Severino and he’s been in terrible form over his last 4 starts with a large 9.16 ERA/2.03 WHIP. Severino is 10-24 in his career team starts when his money line was +125 to -125 like it currently is at the time of this writing. Texas is 4-0 in their last 4 versus the Yankees this season and outscored them by a cumulative score of 26-6 while doing so. Jon Gray is slated to be the starter today for Texas and he’s been outstanding in 13 starts this season while recording a 2.96 ERA/1.04 WHIP. Gray has even better numbers than that in 6 road starts with a 2.02 ERA/0.87 WHIP. The Rangers bullpen has been excellent throughout their last 7 games with a staff 1.57 ERA/0.91 WHIP. Texas is 17-6 this season versus American League teams like the Yankees that allow 4.4 runs or fewer per game and they had a sizable +2.7 run per game differential during those 23 outings. Give me the Texas Rangers on the money line. |
|||||||
06-24-23 | Mariners +100 v. Orioles | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Mariners (Miller) @ Orioles (Kremer) 4:05 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Mariners +100 (5*) After beginning the season 33-17, Baltimore has tailed of a bit of late as a result of going just 12-12 in their last 24 games. The Orioles Dean Kremer has a lousy 5.77 ERA/1.72 WHIP in 6 day game starts this season. Baltimore’s bullpen has struggled of late while collecting a 7.46 ERA/1.74 WHIP during their previous 7 games. If you take away 2 horrible outings versus the Yankees and rangers, Bryce Miller is 7-1 in his other 8 starts with a brilliant 1.22 ERA/0.54 WHIP and just a tad under a 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. He will be supported by a Mariners bullpen which has an excellent staff 1.74 ERA/0.92 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Mariners have scored 23 runs in pounded out 28 hits in wins over the Yankees and Orioles during their last 2 games played. Give me the Seattle Mariners on the money line. |
|||||||
06-23-23 | Pirates v. Marlins -1.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Pirates (Ortiz) @ Marlins (Luzardo) 6:40 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Marlins -1.5 (+105) (10*) Let’s start with this. Pittsburgh has lost 10 straight and scored 3 runs or fewer in 9 of their previous 12 games. Throughout their previous 7 the Pirates are averaging a pathetic 1.9 runs per game while recording a .144 team batting average. Pittsburgh will be facing a marlins team which has allowed 3.0 runs per game throughout their last 7 outings. Luis Ortiz is 0-4 in his road team starts this season with a lousy 5.50 ERA and abysmal 1.94 WHIP. Even then, Ortiz is fortunate to have an ERA that low with a WHIP that high. Simply put, he’s wiggled out of lot of james during those starts while flirting with potential disaster. Miami is 14-1 this season as a home favorite of -150 or greater this and outscored their opponents by a decisive average of 3.5 runs per game. During their previous 7 games the Marlins have an outstanding .305 batting average and .352 on-base-percentage as a team. Miami’s Jesus Luzardo is 6-2 in his home team starts this season while posting a stellar 3.04 ERA/1.06 WHIP. Throughout their previous 7 games, the Marlins bullpen staff has a combined 2.49 ERA/1.06 WHIP. Give me the Miami Marlins as a run-line favorite for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
06-22-23 | Pirates v. Marlins -135 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Pirates (Keller) @ Marlins (Garrett) 6:40 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Marlins –135 (5*) Mitch Keller has enjoyed a good start to the season if you just base it on his overall numbers. But he’s not been very good over his last 6 starts while posting a 6.14 ERA/1.50 WHIP. During that stretch he also surrendered 5 home runs in 29 1/3 innings pitched. The Pirates bullpen has been awful in their previous 7 games while recording a staff 8.22 ERA/1.83 WHIP. The Pirates are losers of 9 consecutive games heading into today. Pittsburgh has been anemic offensively of late which is evidenced by them scoring 3 runs or fewer in 9 of their last 11 games. Braxton Garrett is 4-0 in his last 4 team starts with a 2.49 ERA/0.83 WHIP and a 10:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Garrett will be making his first start versus Pittsburgh this season. However, he made 2 starts against the Pirates a season ago while allowing only 1 earned run on 4 hits in 12.0 innings of work and collecting 18 strikeouts. Braxton Garrett has averaged 5.8 strikeouts per start this season. Conversely, Pittsburgh is an atrocious 9-47 on the road since 2021 when facing a starting pitcher that averages 5 strikeouts or more per start. Miami is 17-7 in their last 24 games. The Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 and 11-2 during their previous 13 at home versus teams that currently have a losing record. Give me the Miami Marlins as a money line favorite. |
|||||||
06-20-23 | Orioles v. Rays -1.5 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
Orioles (Bradish) @ Rays (Glasnow) 6:40 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Rays -1.5 (+120) (10*) Kyle Bradish will be making his first start of the season versus Tampa Bay. He made 2 starts versus the Rays last year that were awful based on his 10.25 ERA/1.97 WHIP during those outings. Bradish has struggled during his last 4 starts on the road with a sizable 6.16 ERA/1.42 WHIP while only averaging 4.7 innings pitcher per outing. Tampa Bay had yesterday off. The Rays are 5-0 this season immediately following a day off and won by a substantial margin of 4.2 runs per game. The Rays enter today on a 2-game losing streak. They’ve gone a perfect 7-0 this season immediately following 2 consecutive losses and won by an average of 4.0 runs per occurrence. Tyler Glasnow is slated to make the start of Tampa Bay and he’s displayed good form over his last 3 starts with a 2.70 ERA/1.26 WHIP. At the time of this writing, Tampa Bay is a money line favorite of -180. The Rays are 17-2 this season as a money line home favorite of between -150 and -200 and with an average victory margin of 3.1 runs per game. Give me the Rays on the run-line. |
|||||||
06-19-23 | Cubs v. Pirates OVER 9 | 8-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Cubs (Smyly) @ Pirates (Bido) 7:05 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Over 9.0 (5*) The Cubs have played 5-1-1 to the over throughout their previous 7 and there was a combined average of 11.7 runs scored per game. During that stretch, the Cubs averaged 6.7 runs scored per game and had an excellent team on-base-percentage of .351. Drew Smyly gets the start today for Chicago. Smyly has exhibited poor form over his last 4 starts with a 6.05 ERA/1.75 WHIP. The Cubs bullpen has an uninspiring staff 5.28 ERA/1.48 WHIP on the road this season. The Pirates are far from a good offensive team. However, they’ve shined when facing left-handed starting pitchers like Drew Smyly is this season. They played 12-7-2 over the total when going up against southpaw starting pitchers and they averaged 5.0 runs scored per game with an impressive .351 team on base-percentage. Osvaldo Bido will be making just his 2nd start of the season and he lasted only 4.0 innings during his debut against ironically enough the Cubs. Bido doesn’t figure to get much help from a Pirates bullpen that has a terrible staff 9.97 ERA/1.89 WHIP over their previous 7 games. These teams played a 3-game series just last week and went over the total on each of those occasions with a heft combined average of 13.0 runs scored per game. The Cubs averaged 9.3 runs scored and 13.0 hits per game in that series. Additionally, Drew Smyly started a game in that series and allowed 5 earned runs on 9 hits in 6.0 innings pitched. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
06-18-23 | Blue Jays v. Rangers -114 | Top | 7-11 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
Blue Jays (Bassitt) @ Rangers (Gray) 2:35 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Rangers -114 (10*) Chris Bassitt is 0-3 in his day game team starts with a massive 14.60 ERA/2.19 WHIP and allowed 7 home runs during only 12 1/3 innings pitcher. The latter of those states is most concerning since Bassitt will be facing one of the best power hitting teams in the American League. Texas has averaged 1.32 home runs per game this season and that number increases to 1.6 per game at home. Additionally, Texas is an outstanding 20-7 (.741) during the day in 2023 and is averaging over 7 runs per game while also belting 42 home runs. This is logically not a good matchup for Chris Bassitt on Sunday. The Texas Rangers Jon Gray has been sensational pver his last 6 starts while recording a brilliant 0.84 ERA and better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Texas bullpen has a stellar 0.89 WHIP over their last 7 games. Give me the Texas Rangers on the money line as my 10* Top Play of the Month. |
|||||||
06-17-23 | Rays v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Rays (Eflin) @ Padres (Snell) 7:15 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Under 8.5 (-120) (5*) This will be considered a day game on the West Coast with a local 4:15 PDT start. The Rays Zack Eflin is a perfect 7-0 in his day game team starts this season while recording an excellent 2.78 ERA/0.81 WHIP and averaged 6.1 innings pitched per start. Since 2021, Eflin has a 2.65 ERA/0.94 WHIP in 3 starts against San Diego. The Padres bullpen has been rock-solid throughout their previous 7 games with a 2.89 ERA/1.11 WHIP. Blake Snell has been in sensational form over his last 3 starts which is evidenced by a 0.47 ERA/0.74 WHIP and he struck out 27 batters in 19.0 innings pitched. Snell has a stellar 2.65 ERA in a trio of day game starts this season. The Rays bullpen staff has recorded a very good 1.95 ERA/1.12 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Rays have allowed 3 runs or fewer in 12 of their last 14 games. San Diego has played 21-6 (28%) when facing a starting pitcher like Zack Eflin who allows an average of 5.5 or fewer hits per start. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
06-17-23 | Reds +107 v. Astros | 10-3 | Win | 107 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Reds (Greene) @ Astros (Bielak) 4:10 PM ET Game# 925-926 Play On: Reds +107 (5*) Houston is coming off yesterday’s 2-1 loss to Cincinnati and they’re now 3-7 in their last 10 games. The Astros Brandon Bielak has been in shaky form over his last 3 starts with a rather high 1.62 WHIP over that time. Bielak is 0-3 in his day game team starts this season with an awful 6.06 ERA/1.78 WHIP. Don’t look now but the Cincinnati Reds have won 6 straight and 9 of their last 11 games. The reds Hunter Greene has been in top form over his last 3 starts while compiling a shiny 2.08 ERA/0.87 WHIP and a 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Reds bullpen has performed very well over their last 7 games with a staff 3.00 ERA/1.21 WHIP and went 5-for-5 on save opportunities. Give me the Cincinnati Reds as a money line underdog. |
|||||||
06-17-23 | Marlins -1.5 v. Nationals | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Marlins (Garrett) @ Nationals (Irvin) 4:05 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Marlins -1.5 (+100) (5*) Jake Irvin has a terrible 7.78 ERA/1.83 WHIP during 5 home starts this season. Irvin has also gone dismal 0-5 during his last 5 team starts overall with a 8.04 ERA/1.92 WHIP and averaged only 4.1 innings pitched per outing. Washington is 2-9 in their last 11, 8-17 versus left-handed starting pitchers like Braxton Garrett, and 12-22 at home this season with a -1.7 run per game differential. Speaking of Braxton Garrett, he’s gone 5-1 in his last 6 team starts with a superb 2.25 ERA/0.88. Garrett is also 6-1 in his day game starts in 2023 with a brilliant 1.54 ERA/1.00 WHIP and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Miami is 14-5 in their last 19 games. Give me the Miami Marlins on the run-line. |
|||||||
06-16-23 | Phillies v. A's +119 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Phillies (Walker) @ A’s (Sears) 9:40 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: A’s +119 (5*) Tijuan Walker has a lofty 6.75 ERA/1.61 WHIP in 8 road starts. The Phillies bullpen has been shaky over their previous 7 with a 7.72 ERA/1.58 WHIP. Despite just taking 3 of 4 at Arizona, the Phillies are still a poor 16-23 on the road. J.P. Sears has displayed superb form over his last 4 starts while gathering in a 2.18/1.02 WHIP. The A’s bullpen is performing the best it has all year recently while collecting a staff 2.60 ERA/1.18 WHIP in their last 7 games. The A’s are coming off splitting their 4 game home series against Tampa Bay who continues to sport the best record in baseball. As a matter of fact, the A’s are 7-2 in their last 9 game which is far and away their best stretch of the season. I am going to take a calculated risk in this one and take the Oakland A’s as a money line underdog. |
|||||||
06-16-23 | Rays v. Padres UNDER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Rays (McClanahan) @ Padres (Darvish) 9:40 PM ET Game# 979-980 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) When Yu Darvish struggled this season, it’s been on the road. However, he’s made 5 home starts with a 2.03 ERA/0.94 WHIP while averaging 6.2 innings pitched per outing. The Padres bullpen staff has an excellent 2.64 ERA/1.03 WHIP at home this season. The Padres have played a noteworthy 12-0 to the under this season when facing teams like Tampa Bay with a +0.5 or greater run per game differential. Sean McClanahan has gone 10-1 in his team starts this season with a sparkling 2.18 ERA/1.11 WHIP. The Rays bullpen has a very good staff 2.22 ERA/0.95 WHIP over their last 7 games. The Raus have played 9-2 to the under during their previous 11 away games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
06-16-23 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 10 | 5-15 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
Yankees (German) @ Red Sox (Houck) 7:10 Game# 961-962 Play On: Under 10.0 (5*) Tanner Houck has pitched well in 5 career starts versus the Yankees while recording a 2.63 ERA/1.08 WHIP, and that includes 2 at Fenway Park in which he yielded 0 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings pitched. All those starts have come since 2020. The Red Sox have played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 and 9-3 to the under during its previous 12. Domingo German has gone 4-0 during his last 4 team starts with an impressive 2.45 ERA/1.05 WHIP. Since 2021, German has made 6 starts versus Boston with a stellar 2.67 ERA/0.90 WHIP and those game played 4-1-1 to the under. The Yankees have played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 and 7-2 to the under during its previous 9. The Yankees bullpen has been arguably the best and most consistent in baseball to this point of the 2023 season. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
06-15-23 | Angels v. Rangers -118 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -118 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Angels (Ohtani) @ Rangers (Eovaldi)8:05 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Rangers -118 (10*) Shoei Ohtani has made 4 career starts at Texas and posted an uninspiring 5.66 ERA. Ohtani has been in shaky form over his last 3 starts with a 4.76 ERA/1.59 WHIP. The star right-hander has also allowed an alarmingly high 7 home runs in 32.0 innings pitched on the road. That’s potentially problematic since Ohtani will be facing a Texas Rangers team which has belted 55 home runs in 33 home games this season. Additionally, since the start of last season, the Angels are a dismal 14-36 (.280) when facing a starting pitcher like Nathan Eovaldi who allows an average of 0.5 home runs or fewer per start. Nathan Eovaldi is coming off a rare start this season in which it wasn’t of the quality variety. However, Eovaldi is 7-1 during his last 8 team starts while compiling an excellent 1.47 ERA/0.94 WHIP and averaged a healthy 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Texas is a very good 22-11 (.667) at home this season while averaging 6.6 runs scored per game. Give me the Texas Rangers as a money line favorite. |