Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-14-22 | Brewers -120 v. Cardinals | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Brewers (Burnes) @ Cardinals (Wainwright) 7:45 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Brewers -120 (5*) Ordinarily I would look to play Adam Wainwright at home. However, this situation is a bit different. Wainwright has made 4 starts versus Milwaukee this season and posted an uninspiring 4.70 ERA/1.44 WHIP during those outings. The Cardinals bullpen has been awful throughout their previous 7 games while recording a staff 7.66 ERA/1.83 WHIP. Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes has made 3 starts versus St. Louis in 2022 and allowed a mere 1 earned run during 21.0 innings pitched while striking out 27 and walking just 3. The Brewers bullpen has registered an excellent 0.92 WHIP. Milwaukee enters today having won 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Brewers on the money line. |
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09-12-22 | Broncos v. Seahawks +6.5 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 81 h 21 m | Show | |
Denver @ Seattle 8:15 PM ET Game# 481-482 Play On: Seattle +6.5 (5*) Seattle isn’t a very good team at this juncture. Conversely, I believe the Russell Wilson factor in Denver certainly makes Denver better, but not to the point where they’re a better than touchdown road favorite in a season opening nationally televised Monday night game. Besides, under current head coach Pete Carroll, the Seahawks are 13-1 ATS and 10-4 SU in their last 14 as a home underdog of +3.0 or greater. Seattle went 7-10 last season and is also 19-13 during it previous 32 at home. Any Monday night non-division home underdog (Seattle) that won 7 or more games during regular season action the year before and has also won 17 or more of its previous 32 at home, resulted in those home underdogs going 7-0 ATS since 1987. Those underdogs also won 5 of those 7 contests straight up. Give me Seattle plus the points. |
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09-11-22 | Bucs v. Cowboys +3 | 19-3 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 1 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Dallas 8:20 PM ET Game# 481-488 Play On: Dallas +3.0 (-120) (5*) Dallas is coming off last year’s successful 12-5 regular season campaign. Since 1985, NFL Game 1 home teams that won 12 or more regular season games the year before are a superb 55-19 (74.3%) SU. Those SU results take on added betting value since the home team in this instance is an underdog. The Cowboys will also be playing with revenge stemming from last season’s opening game 31-29 loss at Tampa Bay. Tom Brady took a brief sabbatical during training camp to attend to family matters. I am skeptical about how mentally prepared he is going into this season even as great as his illustrious career has been. Since 2018, Dallas is a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS as a conference home underdog and averaged outscoring those opponents by a decisive margin of 13.5 points per game. Give me Dallas plus the points. |
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09-11-22 | Giants +5.5 v. Titans | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
NY Giants @ Tennessee 4:25 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: NY Giants +5.5 (10*) Tennessee has won 11 or more games in each of their previous 3 season. As a matter of fact, they were the AFC #1 seed last year entering the playoffs after recording a 12-5 regular season record. Nonetheless, their regular season win total over or under has dropped to 8.5. That speaks volumes to me regarding how the oddsmakers project the Titans to be a mediocre team at best. The Giants begin the Brian Daboll head coaching era on the road and as an underdog at Tennessee. Daboll inherits a team that went a poor 4-13 a season ago. As a matter of fact, since 2018, the Giants have gone a combined 19-46 and never won more than 6 games in a season. However, New York has gone an extremely profitable 12-2 ATS in their last 14 as an away underdog of 6.5 or less during that same time span. Any NFL Week 1 away underdog of 6.5 or less (Giants) who won 6 games or fewer in the previous season, resulted in those away underdogs going 45-13 (77.6%) since 2000. Give me the NY Giants plus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
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09-11-22 | Packers v. Vikings +1.5 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
Green Bay @ Minnesota 4:25 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Minnesota +1.5 (5*) I am not crazy about the Green Bay Packers wide receiver group and especially when compared to what they had at that position in recent years. The loss of Devante Adams who signed with Las Vegas was a huge blow. Minnesota is coming off a disappointing 8-9 season which ended the 8-year head coaching tenure of Mike Zimmer. However, they still have top shelf offensive skilled players that can create opposing defenses nightmares. Any NFL home team (Minnesota) that’s facing a division opponent in their season opener, and they won 8 or more regular season games the year before, resulted in those home teams going 83-30 SU (73.4%) since 1985. The SU results take on added significance since the Vikings are currently a small underdog. Furthermore, if those home teams were an underdog of +6.0 or less, and they were facing an opponent which won 11 or more regular season games the year before, those home teams went 7-0 ATS and 6-1 SU since 1985. Give me the Vikings plus the small number. |
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09-11-22 | Chiefs v. Cardinals +7 | 44-21 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 35 m | Show | |
Kansas City @ Arizona 4:25 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Arizona +7.0 (-120) (5*) Since Kliff Kingsbury head coaching tenure began in 2019, the Cardinals have been quite successful in getting off to good starts. Specifically speaking, during that time span Arizona has gone 10-2 ATS and 8-3-1 SU as an underdog during its first 8 games of the season. Furthermore, since 2020, Arizona is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS as an underdog in Games 1 through 8 and won by an extremely impressive 19.4 points per contest. The Cardinals franchise has enjoyed much success as a non-conference home underdog by going 21-7 ATS (75%) and 19-8-1 SU. If they were an underdog of 2.5 or greater in those contests, the numbers improve to 18-4 (81.8%) ATS and 16-5-1 SU. Give me the Cardinals plus the points. |
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09-11-22 | Steelers +7.5 v. Bengals | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati 1:00 PM ET Game# 461-462 Play On: Pittsburgh +7.5 (5*) Since the start of the 2016 season, when play in games 1 through 9, Pittsburgh has gone an extremely profitable 10-2 ATS (83.3%) and 9-3 SU as an away underdog of 9.5 or less. The Steelers will have revenge on their mind after being swept in both regular season meetings against Cincinnati last season. The Steelers finished an uninspiring 8-8-1 last season but somehow it was good enough for the last Wild Card berth in the AFC. Any Game 1 division away underdog of 7.0 or less that lost both regular season meetings to their current opponent in the previous year, resulted in those away underdogs going 18-6 ATS (75%) since 1998. Furthermore, if those division away teams were an underdog of +3.5 to +6.5, then that exact NFL betting angle improves to 16-2 ATS (88.9%). Give me Pittsburgh plus the points. |
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09-10-22 | Houston +3.5 v. Texas Tech | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 54 h 33 m | Show | |
Houston @ Texas Tech 4:00 PM ET Game# 365-366 Play On: Houston +3.5 (5*) Texas Tech is coming off last Saturday’s 63-10 rout of Murray State and covered as a 38.0-point home favorite. Since 2020 the Red Raiders 0-4 SU&ATS off an ATS cover and when facing an opponent coming off a SU win. Texas Tech lost those 4 contests by an average of 25.6 points per game. Houston went 12-2 last season losing only to College Football Playoff participant Cincinnati and ironically enough Texas Tech. So, obviously the Cougars will be out for big time revenge. They almost got looking ahead in last week’s season opening 37-35 road win versus defending Conference USA champion UTSA. That was an experienced UTSA team that went 12-2 last season and began 2021 with a perfect 11-0 record. Give me Houston plus the points. |
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09-10-22 | Tennessee v. Pittsburgh +6.5 | Top | 34-27 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 13 m | Show |
Tennessee @ Pittsburgh 3:30 PM ET Game# 347-348 Play On: Pittsburgh +6.5 (10*) Tennessee is coming off an encouraging 59-10 home blowout win in their season opener last Saturday and easily covered as a 37.0-point favorite. Regardless of that emphatic win, Tennessee has gone a dismal 0-5 ATS and 2-3 SU in their last 5 as an away favorite of 2.0 or greater. Pittsburgh is the higher ranked team, and the defending ACC champions. Yet, here they are as a touchdown underdog at home. Normally I would side with the sportsbooks in situations such as these, and then label it as a sucker play. Nevertheless, this is one of those very rare occasions I don’t have that mindset and falls under the category of there’s an exception to every sports betting rule. Recent seasons have displayed have shown me that when you disrespect Pat Narduzzi and the Panthers, it’s like poking the bear who was hibernating in his winter cave. Any college football Game 2 non-conference home underdog of 9.0 or less (Pittsburgh) that’s coming off a non-conference home SU win, but either pushed or failed to cover, versus an opponent (Tennessee) coming off a SU&ATS win in which they covered by 8.0 or more, resulted in those home underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 2002. Those underdogs also won 10 of those 14 games outright. Give me Pittsburgh plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-10-22 | Colorado v. Air Force -17 | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 53 h 5 m | Show | |
Colorado @ Air Force 3:30 PM ET Game# 351-352 Play On: Air Force -17.0 (5*) This one jumped right off the page at me. We have a service academy team from the Mountain West Conference as a more than 2-touchdown favorite over a Power 5 Conference team. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the underdog. Well, I’m not falling for the bait. Colorado opened the season last Saturday with a terrible effort in a 38-13 blowout loss at home to TCU. That’s a TCU team that was playing with a new coaching staff and a large turnover in personnel. Furthermore, Colorado went 0-5 SU&ATS on the road last season and lost by 17.4 points per game. Air Force easily handled a good FCS program in Northern Iowa while walking away with a convincing 48-17 home win. The Falcons had an enormous 691 yards of total offense in that victory. Since 2020, Air Force has gone 3-0 SU&ATS as a double-digit home favorite versus FBS opponents and won by 25.3 points per game. Moreover, during that identical time span, Air Force was 6-0 SU&ATS immediately following a game in which they had 475 yards or more of total offense. Give me Air Force minus the points. |
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09-10-22 | Alabama v. Texas +21 | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 42 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Texas 12:00 PM ET Game# 335-336 Play On: Texas +21.0 (5*) You would have to be crazy to bet against Alabama after seeing them squash Utah State last week 55-0 and outgained them in total yards by 559-136. That would be the opinion of a vast majority of bettors this week based on early returns. Nonetheless, this line moved quickly from the opening number of 17.0 to 20.0. There also has been more than 80% of tickets and money wagered going on Alabama. The sportsbooks win a heck of a lot more than they lose when the betting trends are so lopsided toward one side. Besides, it’s not like Texas is a horrible team. The Longhorns opened their season with last Saturday’s 52-10 won over UL-Monroe and covered as a huge 37.0-point favorite. Texas pulled of the hat trick in that win by scoring on offense, defense, and special teams. You also know that offensive guru and head coach Steve Sarkisian didn’t come close to unveiling his playbook last week. I’m not willing go out on a limb and call for a Texas outright upset. However, really like their chances of staying inside this sizable number. |
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09-10-22 | North Carolina v. Georgia State +7.5 | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 50 h 40 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Georgia State 12:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Georgia State +7.5 (5*) Despite allowing 40 points in the 4th quarter last week at Appalachian State, North Carolina still managed to escape with a thrilling 63-61 win. Apparently by the price that ticket brokers were charging, that game was much bigger in North Carolina than the rest of the country realized. Now the Tar Heels go on the road for a 2nd consecutive week to take on another Sun Belt Conference opponent. Keep in mind, up next for North Carolina is a home game versus nationally ranked Notre Dame. This sets up as a flat spot for the Tar Heels. Additionally, the Tar Heels defense has allowed 84 points and 984 yards during their first 2 games. Georgia State lost their season opener last week 35-14 at South Carolina. However, the 35 points allowed is misleading since they held South Carolina to only 306 yards of total offense. So you can make a strong case that this will be the best defense that North Carolina would have faced so far in 2022. This line opened with Georgia State as a 9.0-point home underdog, and now it’s at 7.5 despite just 37% of tickets bet siding with the home side. Surely it sounds and smells like a sharp money move to me. Give me Georgia State plus the points. |
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09-10-22 | Duke v. Northwestern -9.5 | 31-23 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 39 m | Show | |
Duke @ Northwestern 12:00 PM ET Game# 329-330 Play On: Northwestern -9.5 (-115) (5*) Duke got off to a shining start last week as they blanked a hapless Temple team 30-0 at home. The red flag for me in that result is the fact that Duke amassed 510 yards of total offense in that contest but only managed to score 30 points. By the way, Duke has gone 0-8 SU&ATS in their last 8 away games and lost by a massive average of 25.6 points per contest. The average closing point-spreads for Duke in those 8 games was +8.5. Northwestern is coming off an impressive 31-28 season opening win over Nebraska in a game that played 2 weeks ago in Dublin, Ireland, and they did so as a closing 10.5-point underdog. The Wildcats racked up 538 yards of total offense in that game. Northwestern has gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a home favorite of 4.0 or greater and they won by a decisive margin of 26.8 points per game. The Wildcats will also be playing with revenge stemming from a 30-23 loss at Duke last season. Any college football home favorite of 9.5 or great that’s coming off a double-digit underdog upset win in which they scored 31 points or more, and its playing game 2 through game 7 of their season, resulted in those home favorites going a very profitable 28-8 ATS (77.7%) since 1983. Give me Northwestern minus the points. |
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09-09-22 | Louisville +5.5 v. Central Florida | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 47 h 4 m | Show | |
Louisville @ Central Florida 7:30 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Louisville +5.5 (5*) Central Florida ran roughshod over South Carolina State in their 56-10 season opening win. However, that was against an opponent that competes at the FCS level and not a “Power 5 Conference” team coming up. Louisville was thoroughly embarrassed in a 31-7 lopsided loss to Syracuse last Saturday in a game they closed as a 5.0-point favorite. I look for the Cardinals to bounce back on Friday evening. The Cardinals have 8 returning starters from a team that scored 42 points and racked up 501 yards of total offense in a win over Central Florida last season. Give me Louisville plus the points. |
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09-06-22 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 7 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
No analysis today. |
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09-06-22 | Braves v. A's UNDER 8 | 10-9 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
No analysis today. |
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09-06-22 | Red Sox v. Rays UNDER 7 | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
No analysis today. |
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09-04-22 | Florida State +4 v. LSU | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Florida State vs. LSU 7:.0 PM ET Game# 233-234 Play On: Florida State +4.0 (5*) It’s the debut of Brian Kelly as the new head coach of LSU. However, there’s been a huge personnel changeover and with a new coaching staff usually doesn’t equate to teams being sharp early in the season and especially so in their opener. Kelly has brought in 15 players from the transfer portal including former Arizona State quarterback Jayden Daniels. This is a crucial season for Florida State head coach Mike Norvell. The Seminoles have gone an extremely disappointing 8-13 during his first 2 seasons in Tallahassee. They return 9 players each on defense and offense and are #11 nationally in returning production. As a matter of fact, 32% of last year’s starts were by freshmen. Florida State saw 6 of their 12 games last season decided by exactly 3 points and they went 3-3 during those contests. Florida State is coming off last week’s 47-7 blowout win over Duquesne who’s plays at the FCS level. They were able to rack up 638 yards of total offense in that contest and included 406 of those on the ground. Granted the level of competition leaves a lot to be desired but having that game experience and facing an opponent that’s playing their season opener surely will be beneficial. Give me Florida State plus the points. |
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09-03-22 | Boise State v. Oregon State -2.5 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 36 h 19 m | Show | |
Boise State @ Oregon State 10:30 PM ET Game# 201-202 Play On: Oregon State -2.5 (5*) After recording 10 wins or more for 6 straight seasons excluding 2020 when Boise State played only 7 games due to covid, that streak came to an end under first year head coach Andy Avalos. Oregon State went 7-6 last season and made it to a bowl game for a first time since 2013. Ironically enough, there opponent in that bowl game was Boise State. Last season marked the first time also since 2013 that the Beavers finished with a winning record. It speaks volumes to me when a downtrodden program like Oregon State comes up favorite in this spot versus a perennial Top 25 team. Give me Oregon State minus the points. |
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09-03-22 | Notre Dame v. Ohio State UNDER 59.5 | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 34 h 48 m | Show | |
Notre Dame @ Ohio State 7:30 PM ET Game# 171-172 Play On: Under 59.5 (5*) Both Notre Dame and Ohio State bring back 8 returning starters on defense. Ohio State will look to replace a pair of starting wide receivers that were 1st round draft choices in the 2022 NFL draft. This will be only the 5th time that Notre Dame has been a double-digit underdog since 2016 and they average a paltry 14.2 points scored per game in those outings. Furthermore, the last 4 times Notre Dame found themselves in that exact situation, they played 4-0 to the under and there was a combined average of 40.5 points scored per game. Any college football game with a total of 56.5 to 63.0 where both defenses have 8 of more returning starters, and each team is from a “Power 5 Conference”, resulted in those contests playing 26-2 (92.9%) to the under since 2018. The average total in those 28 contests was 59.5 and there was a combined 48.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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09-03-22 | Army +2.5 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 43 m | Show |
Army @ Coastal Carolina 7:00 PM ET Game# 183-184 Play On: Army +2.5 (10*) Coastal Carolina returns only 7 starters from a program that’s won 11 games in each of their previous 2 quarterbacks. One of those returning starters is Grayson McCall but he won’t have the supporting cast he was afforded last season. Furthermore, Army is adept at dominating time of possession with their triple option running attack which in turn can keep opposing offenses on the sidelines. Coastal ended last season on a streak of 21 consecutive weeks ranked in the Top 25. However, here they are as a short home favorite and the sportsbooks are begging you to take them. Army has gone a combined 18-7 the last 2 seasons under current head coach Jeff Monken. Last year concluded with a 24-22 bowl win over Missouri from the SEC. The Black Knights return 14 starters including 8 on offense. Army will control the clock with long time-consuming scoring drives which will frustrate the Chanticleers. Give me Army plus the small number for a Top Play. |
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09-03-22 | Houston v. UTSA +4 | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 30 h 58 m | Show | |
Houston @ UTSA 3:30 PM ET Game# 223-224 Play On: UTSA +4.0 This is a much bigger game for UTSA than Houston. The Roadrunners rarely get to host a nationally ranked opponent like #24 Houston. Houston returns 13 starters from a team that went 12-2 last season including a bowl game win over Auburn. Yet, this line opened as Houston being 6.5-point favorite and is now down to 4.0. UTSA is no slouch by any means. The Roadrunners went 12-2 last season and won the Conference USA title. It was the best win percentage and numbers of wins in program history. Since head coach Jeff Traylor took over as head coach in 2020, UTSA has gone 11-1 SU at home and that includes 9-0 in their last 9 at the Alamodome in San Antonio. Give me UTSA plus the points. |
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09-03-22 | North Carolina v. Appalachian State +105 | 63-61 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Appalachian State 12:00 PM ET Game# 177-178 Play On: Appalachian State +105 North Carolina is coming off a 6-7 season which marked the end of their star quarterback Same Howell’s collegiate career. Don’t ne mislead by the Tar Heels 56-24 blowout win over Florida A&M last week who had 24 players suspended. Even with that, North Carolina led that game by only 7 with less than 2 minutes remaining in the half. The Tar Heels do return 8 starters on defense, but that’s a unit which allowed 34 points or more in 8 of 13 games in 2021. Veteran head coach Mack Brown has brought in the nation’s #1 recruiting class in 2022. Nonetheless, they’ll be hard pressed to reach a bowl game this season and will most likely be much better in the 2nd half of the season if they improve at all. Appalachian State won’t be in awe of facing a Power 5 Conference opponent as they have been there and done that in recent years. However, it will be a rare opportunity to host one of those teams. This is a Mountaineers program which has won 43 games including 3 postseason bowl contests during the past 4 season. They also appeared in 3 Sun Belt Conference Championship games over that stretch while winning 2 of those contests. |
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09-01-22 | West Virginia v. Pittsburgh -7 | 31-38 | Push | 0 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
West Virginia @ Pittsburgh 7:00 PM ET Game# 143-144 Play On: Pittsburgh -7.0 (5*) West Virginia went 6-7 last season and returns very little production on both sides of the ball. Pittsburgh went 11-3 last season and won the ACC title. The Panthers lost starting quarterback Kenny Pickett who was a 1st round pick by the Steelers and star wide receiver’s Jordan Addison who transferred to USC. However, they still return 16 starters and were able to grab former USC starting quarterback Kedon Slovis in the transfer portal. Pittsburgh has gone a solid 19-9 in their last 28 at home. Any non-conference college football home favorite of 4.0 to 10.0-points (Pittsburgh) playing in an opening game of the season, and they won 10 games or more during the previous year, and they’ve won 22 or fewer of their last 28 at home, versus an opponent (West Virginia) that won 6 or fewer games in the previous season, resulted in those home teams going 13-0 SU&ATS since 1986. The average margin of victory in those 13 contests came by a decisive 20.0 points per game and the average line was 8.0. Give me Pittsburgh minus the points. |
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08-31-22 | Mariners v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Tigers (Alexander) 7:10 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Over 8.5 (10*) Lefthander Tyler Alexander has displayed poor form over his last 3 starts while posting an 8.36 ERA/1.86 WHIP and allowed 5 homers in just 14.0 innings pitched. Detroit has seen its previous 4 all go over the total with a combined 13.7 runs scored per game. Seattle has gone 10-1-1 to the over during its last 12 on the road and there was a combined average of 10.5 runs scored per game and that includes 4-0-1 over if there was a total of 8.0 or less. The Mariners have played 19-9-1 to the over this season when facing a lefthanded starting pitcher. Marco Gonzalez has a lofty 1.61 WHIP 12 road starts this season. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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08-30-22 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Padres (Snell) @ Giants (Webb) 9:45 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Brandon Webb has made 2 starts versus San Diego this year, pitched 8.0 innings on each occasion, and registered a 1.13 ERA. During 14 home starts this season Webb compiled a sparkling 2.88 ERA. Blake Snell has made 2 starts versus San Francisco in 2022 and allowed just 1 earned run while striking out 19 in 11 2/3 innings pitched. During his last 3 road starts, Snell recorded a shiny 0.64 ERA and struck out 27 batters in 16.0 innings of work. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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08-30-22 | Royals +115 v. White Sox | 9-7 | Win | 115 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Royals (Singer) @ White Sox (Giolito) 8:10 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Royals +115 (5*) Lucas Giolito has a terrible 8.67 ERA in 3 home starts versus Kansas City since last season. He allowed an alarmingly high 5 home runs in just 15.0 inning pitched during those outings. Giolito also has an awful 6.71 ERA/1.62 WHIP in 10 home starts this year. The White Sox are a dismal 2-9 in their last 11 and includes a current 4-game losing streak. Despite being 11.5 games behind Chicago in the AL Central standings, Kansas City has gone 9-7 against the White Sox this season. Brady Singer has gone 4-0 in his last 4 starts with a 1.37 ERA/0.84 WHIP while averaging a healthy 6.6 innings pitched per start. The Royals are 5-11 in their last 16 games and 4 of those 5 wins came with Brady Singer as their starting pitcher. Give me the Royals as a money line underdog. |
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08-30-22 | Orioles v. Guardians UNDER 8.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Orioles (Watkins) @ Guardians (Quantrill) 6:10 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Under 8.5 (-115) (5*) Cleveland has played 7-0-1 to the under in their last 8 games. Cal Quantrill has compiled a brilliant 1.38 ERA/0.69 WHIP throughout his previous 4 starts and averaged 6.5 innings pitched per outing. The Cleveland bullpen has a perfect 0.00 ERA over its last 7 games and recorded 26 strikeouts in just 17 2/3 innings pitched. Baltimore has played 5-0 in their last 5 to the under. The Orioles are also 7-1 to the under in their last 8 and 10-2 under during its previous 12. Spencer Watkins has a terrific 1.22 ERA/0.95 WHIP during his last 4 road starts. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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08-28-22 | Braves v. Cardinals -122 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
Braves (Odorizz) @ Cardinals (Wainwright) 7:08 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Cardinals -122 (10*) Jake Odorizzi is the weak link in Atlanta’s otherwise solid starting pitching rotation. Odorizzi has been in shaky form over his last 4 starts which is evidenced by a 1.63 WHIP during those outings. Veteran righthander Adam Wainwright has been tough at home during his career and this season is no different. Wainwright has compiled and excellent 2.11 ERA/1.03 WHIP in 13 home starts in 2022 while averaging a lofty 6.6 innings pitched per start. The Cardinals are a terrific 41-22 at home this season which included 30-11 as a money line favorite of -110 or greater and 11-2 if the money line is -100 to -150. Give me the Cardinals for a Top Play wager. |
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08-27-22 | Braves v. Cardinals +107 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 107 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
Braves (Morton) @ Cardinals (Montgomery) 4:10 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Cardinals +107 (10*) Charlie Morton has been terrific at home this season. However, he’s 4-7 in his road team starts with a 5.08 ERA. As a matter of fact, during his last 2 road starts Morton has allowed an alarmingly high 9 earned runs in 11.0 innings pitched. The Braves have suffered 23% of their losses this season with Charlie Morton as their starting pitcher. The Cardinals are coming off an 11-4 home loss to Braves on Friday night. St. Louis has gone 7-0 in their last 7 immediately following a loss and won by an average of 4.8 runs per game. Since coming to St. Louis in a trade with the Yankees, Jordan Montgomery is a perfect 4-0 in his team starts with a magnificent 0.35 ERA. Despite Friday’s loss, St. Louis is still an excellent 40-22 at home this season and that includes 13-2 during its previous 15 at Busch Stadium. Give me the Cardinals as a Top Play money line underdog. |
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08-27-22 | Washington Commanders v. Ravens -6 | Top | 15-17 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 23 m | Show |
Commanders @ Ravens 7:00 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Ravens -6.0 Washington has gone a dismal 0-6 ATS in their last 6 as a preseason underdog and lost by an average margin of 16.0 points per game. That includes 0-3 ATS (-17.7 PPG) under current head coach Ron Rivera. Since 2016, Baltimore has gone an incredible 22-0 SU and 20-1-1 ATS in their preseason games under present head coach John Harbaugh. As a matter of fact, since Harbaugh was appointed as the Ravens head coach in 2008, Baltimore has gone 42-12 SU (.778) and 39-14-1 ATS (74%) in their preseason games. Since 2017, Baltimore is 4-0 SU&ATS in preseason action when facing Washington and won by an average of 19.3 points per game. Finally, Baltimore has unequivocally more quality depth on its roster which is always a key component when handicapping preseason action since starters see limited to very little playing time. |
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08-27-22 | Eagles +2 v. Dolphins | 10-48 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Dolphins 7:00 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Eagles +2.0 (5*) Philadelphia is coming off last week’s 21-20 win over Cleveland. Miami is coming off a 15-13 home loss to Las Vegas. This sets up a never lost NFL preseason ATS betting angle which is posted below. Any NFL preseason underdog of 3.5 or less that’s coming off a SU win, and they’re facing an opponent (Miami) that’s coming off a SU loss. Resulted in those underdogs going 17-0 ATS since 2018. The underdogs also won 16 of the 17 games straight up. Give me the Eagles plus the points. |
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08-26-22 | Patriots +1 v. Raiders | 6-23 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Raiders 8:15 PM ET Game# 115-116 Play On: Patriots +1.0 (5*) New England is coming off last week’s 20-10 home win over Washington. Since the start of the 2018 NFL preseason, any pick or underdog of 4.0 or less that’s coming off a SU win, resulted in those teams going 33-4 ATS (89.2%). Those teams also went 30-7 (81.1%) straight up. Give me the Patriots. |
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08-25-22 | Packers v. Chiefs UNDER 36 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 25 h 48 m | Show | |
Packers @ Chiefs 8:00 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Under 36.0 (5*) Kansas City is coming off a 24-14 home favorite win and cover over Washington. Conversely, Green Bay is coming off a 20-10 home favorite win and cover over New Orleans. Any NFL preseason home team (Chiefs) that’s playing in a Game 3, and is coming off a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent (Packers) coming off a home favorite ATS win, resulted in those contests playing 14-3 to the under since 2003. Additionally, if the total was 37.5 or less it resulted in all 8 of those contests going under the total, and there was a combined average of only 26.6 points were scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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08-25-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | 6-5 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Gausman) @ Red Sox (Crawford) 7:10 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Under 9.0 (5*) Kevin Gausman has a superb 1.65 ERA/0.99 WHIP during 11 road starts this year and averaged a lofty 6.5 innings pitched per start. As a matter of fact, he allowed 0 earned runs in 21.0 innings pitched during his last 3 road starts while striking out 22 and walking 2. Gausman has made 4 starts versus the Red Sox in 2022 and posted a terrific 1.38 ERA/0.92 WHIP while striking out 37 in 26.0 innings pitched. The Blue Jays bullpen has recorded a stellar 2.57 ERA/1.10 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Toronto has played 4-1 to the under during its last 5 and 6-2 to the under in their previous 8 games. Boston is coming off yesterday’s 3-2 home loss to Toronto. The Red Sox have played 16-5 to the under this season immediately following a game in which they scored and allowed 3 runs. Kutter Crawford has endured his share of struggles this season. However, he has a sparkling 2.78 ERA/0.93 WHIP in his last 4 home starts. Crawford allowed 3 earned runs in 6.0 innings pitched in his only outing against Toronto this year which qualifies as a quality start. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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08-24-22 | Twins v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Twins (Bundy) @ Astros (Valdez) 8:10 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Under 7.5 (+103) (10*) Minnesota has played 6-0 to the under in their last 6 and 9-1-1 to the under during its previous 11 games. The Twins have also played 18-6 to the under this season in games versus AL West teams. Dylan Bundy has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 1.88 ERA/0.84 WHIP. Bundy will be facing a Houston team that has a terrific 79-45 (.637) season record. However, the veteran righthander has pitched 18-6 to the under in his career starts versus teams with a win percentage of .620 or better. The Twins bullpen has a sparkling 2.57 ERA and an 8:1 strikeout/walk ratio during its previous 7 games. Minnesota has averaged a mere 1.6 runs and 5.6 hits per game during their previous 5 outings. Framber Valdez has also displayed stellar form over his last 3 starts while recording a 2.21 ERA and averaged a lofty 6.8 innings pitched per outing. The Astros bullpen has been lights out at home this season while registering a 2.29 ERA/1.02 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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08-23-22 | Diamondbacks v. Royals OVER 8.5 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks (Davies) @ Royals (Heasley) 8:10 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Over 8.5 (-120) (5*) Jon Heasley has displayed terrible form over his last 3 starts while posting a 9.91 ERA/2.02 WHIP and allowed 5 homers in just 10.0 innings pitched. Heasley has been even worse than that in his previous 3 home starts with a 12.20 ERA/2.42 WHIP. The Arizona bullpen has a horrible 8.55 ERA/1.90 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. The Diamondbacks have played 8-4-1 to the over this season when facing American League teams and there was a combined average of 9.9 runs scored per game. Zach Davies has pitched very well over his last 3 starts. However, since last season, Davies has made 2 starts against the Royals and allowed 8 earned runs in 9/ 2/3 innings pitched. The most alarming part of those 2 starts was that Davies allowed 7 Kansas City home runs. The Royals bullpen has an uninspiring 4.56 ERA/1.56 WHIP over its last 7 games. Kansas City has played 10-4-1 to the over this season when facing National League teams and there was a combined average of 10.7 runs scored per game. The Royals have also played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 at home and there was a combined average of 10.0 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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08-21-22 | Ravens v. Cardinals OVER 38.5 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 49 h 13 m | Show | |
Ravens @ Cardinals 8:00 PM ET Game# 429-430 Play On: Over 38.5 (5*) The point-spread and total at the time of this writing was Baltimore -5.5/38.5. This falls into an NFL betting algorithm which just can’t be ignored. Since 2005, any NFL preseason away favorite of 4.5 or greater and there was a total of 38.5 or greater played 11-0 to the over. Those 11 contests averaged a combined 54.8 points scored per game. “If it isn’t broke, then don’t fix it”. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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08-20-22 | Steelers +2 v. Jaguars | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Jaguars 7:00 PM ET Game# 417-418 Play On: Steelers +2.0 (5*) Since the 2017 NFL preseason, the Steelers are a very profitable 5-1 SU&ATS as an away underdog of 5.0 or less. Conversely, since the 2019 preseason, Jacksonville is 0-5 SU&ATS at home or on a neutral field, and they lost by an average of 14.0 points per game. Pittsburgh is coming off a 32-25 home win over Seattle in their preseason opener and they covered as a 2.0-point favorite. Jacksonville has lost each of its first 2 preseason contests which included a 24-13 home loss to Cleveland in their previous outing. This sets up an unbeaten NFL preseason betting angle which is detailed below. Any preseason away underdog of 1.5 to 5.5 that’s coming off a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent coming off losses in each of their last games with the last defeat coming by 11 points or more, resulted in those away underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 2002. Those away underdogs also went 12-1 SU in those contests. Give me the Steelers plus the points. |
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08-20-22 | Broncos v. Bills -4 | 15-42 | Win | 100 | 52 h 56 m | Show | |
Broncos @ Bills 1:00 PM ET Game# 411-412 Play On: Bills -4.0 (-115) (5*) Buffalo is coming off last Saturday’s 27-24 home win over Indianapolis in a game they closed as a 1.5-point underdog. They overcame a 24-10 deficit in the 4th quarter deficit in that win which speaks to the quality of depth they possessor. That makes the Bills 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 preseason games and all under current head coach Sean McDermott. Any NFL preseason home team (Bills) that’s coming off a home underdog SU win in which they scored 23 points or more, and it’s game 2 or game 3 of their preseason schedule, resulted in those home teams going 7-0 SU&ATS since 1986. The average victory margin came by a decisive 12.8 points per game. Give me the Bills minus the points. |
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08-19-22 | Texans v. Rams UNDER 38 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Texans @ Rams 10:00 PM ET Game# 407-408 Play On: Under 38.0 (5*) Thus far in the 2022 NFL preseason, games have played 14-3 to the over which is absurd lopsided ratio. As a result, the sportsbooks have substantially raised the average total by over 5.0 points per game in Week 2 compared to Week 1. During my many years of experience in this business, more times than not when a trend is dominant one week, most time than not it makes a 360-degree turn the following week or at the very worst levels off. Expect an increase in games going under the total this week. Now it’s a matter of choosing the right one or ones to isolate and bet on. I firmly believe this situation qualifies in that regard. Head coaching trends go a long way with me when it comes to NFL preseason handicapping. It’s not the sole thing I look at. However, I place a lot more emphasis on the aspect compared to regular season action. Under current head coach Sean McVeigh, the Rams have played 8-0 to the under in their last preseason contests when the total was 39.0 or less and it wasn’t their preseason opener. Those 8 contests averaged just a combined 28.8 points scored per game. Conversely, the Houston Texas franchise has played 19-9 to the under in their last 28 preseason games. That includes last week’s 17-13 home win over New Orleans that stayed under 36.0. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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08-17-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Braves | 9-7 | Win | 122 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Braves (Odorizzi) @ Mets (Scherzer) 7:20 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Mets -1.5 (+122) (5*) The Mets have lost 2 consecutive games for just a 10th time this season. New York is 7-2 this season immediately following losses in each of their previous 2 games. Even more impressive is the fact they are a perfect 4-0 on the road in 2022 following 2 straight losses with an average victory margin of 3.8 runs per game, and all 4 wins came by 2 runs or more. Max Scherzer is 2-0 versus Atlanta this season while allowing just 1 earned run in 14.0 inning pitched. He also amassed 20 strikeouts in those 2 starts. Scherzer has an outstanding 0.93 WHIP in 16 starts this season and that’s significant as it applies to today’s game. He will be facing an Atlanta team that’s gone 5-11 at home this year when facing a National League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Putting that record into perspective, the Braves are 34-11 at home when not in that exact situation. Give me the Mets on the run line. |
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08-15-22 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Diamondbacks (Bumgarner) @ Giants (Cobb) 9:45 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Over 7.5 (-120) (10*) Alex Cobb has made 3 career starts versus Arizon and all have taken place since last season. During those outings Cobb posted a large 7.20 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. The Giants bullpen has a poor 5.66 ERA/1.84 WHIP over their last 7 games and that includes 6 home runs allowed in just 20 2/3 innings pitched. San Francisco has played 8-3-1 to the over in their last 12 games. The Giants have an excellent .345 team on-base-percentage throughout its previous 7 games. Madison Bumgarner has displayed bad form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 6.62 ERA/1.81 WHIP. Bumgarner returns to his old stomping grounds in San Francisco where he enjoyed many great campaigns. However, during his 2 starts as a visitor, Bumgarner has a lofty 6.00 ERA. Arizona is averaging a healthy 5.2 runs scored per game in their last 13 outings. The Diamondbacks are coming off a 3-game series at Coors Field which saw each go under the total. Since the start of last season, Arizona has played 17-3 to the over immediately following 3 consecutive games going under. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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08-14-22 | Vikings v. Raiders -3.5 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 79 h 15 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Raiders 4:25 PM ET Game# 135-136 Play On: Raiders -3.5 (5*) The Raiders opened the preseason with a 27-11 win over Jacksonville in the Hall of Fame Game which was played in Canton, Ohio. The Vikings will be playing their preseason opener and with a new coaching staff. Any NFL preseason home team with a line of +3.5 to -3.5 who is coming off a Hall of Fame Game win by 4 points or more in which they scored 27 points or greater, versus an opponent that’s playing their preseason opener, resulted in those home teams going 11-0 SU and 10-0-1 ATS since 1989. The average victory margin in those 11 contests came 11.6 points per game. Give me the Raiders minus the points. |
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08-14-22 | Twins v. Angels OVER 9 | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Twins (Davidson) @ Angels (Archer) Game# 975-976 Play On: Over 9.0 (5*) The Twins Chris Archers has pitched 4-0 to the over in his last 4 starts with a lofty 7.41 ERA. The Angels Tucker Davidson is 0-3 in his last 3 teams starts with a 9.25 ERA/2.28 WHIP. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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08-14-22 | A's v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
A’s (Irvin) @ Astros (Javier) 2:10 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Under 7.5 (-105) (5*) Cole Irvin has pitched very well against Houston this year while posing a 2.19 ERA/0.89 WHIP during those starts. As a matter of fact, Irvin has pitched 15-5 to the under in 2022 with a very good 2.85 ERA/1.03 WHIP. The A’s have averaged a paltry 2.0 runs scored per game in their last 5 outings. Christian Javier has pitched 4-0 to the under in day games with a sparkling 1.96 ERA/0.83 WHIP. Houston has played 31-11-1 to the under in day games this season. The home plate umpire is slated to be Ramon DeJesus today. DeJesus has witnessed games being played 12-5-1 to the under this season when he’s been the home plate umpire and there was only a combined average of 6.0 runs scored per outing. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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08-14-22 | Phillies v. Mets UNDER 7 | 0-6 | Win | 105 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
Phillies ((Wheeler) @ Mets (Bassitt) 1:40 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Under 7.0 (+105) (5*) Since 2020, Zach Wheeler has made 10 starts versus the Mets with an outstanding 2.48 ERA/0.99 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen has a brilliant 1.45 ERA throughout its previous 7 games. Philadelphia has gone under the total in their last 5 and there were a combined 4.8 runs scored per game. The Mets have allowed 2 runs or fewer in each of their previous 7 games. Chris Bassitt is 6-1 in his team starts in days games this season and with an outstanding 1.83 ERA. The Mets bullpen has been stellar over its last 7 games with a staff 2.95 ERA/1.17 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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08-13-22 | Twins v. Angels +100 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Twins (Bundy) @ Angels (Detmers) 9:07 PM ET Game# 929-930 Play On: Angels +100 (5*) Dylan Bundy has made 3 career start at the ballpark in Anaheim and had a poor 5.82 ERA while allowing 5 homers in 17.0 innings. Bundy is 4-8 during his road team starts this season with a sizable 6.33 ERA. Reid Detmers has been in terrific form over his last 5 starts which is evidenced by him gathering a 1.16 ERA/0.94 WHIP and averaged of 6.2 innings pitched per outing. The Angels bullpen has a sparkling 2.13 ERA/0.83 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Angels are coming off last night’s 4-0 loss to Minnesota. The Halos are 4-1 in their last 5 and 6-2 during its previous 8 immediately following a loss. Give me the Angels on the money line. |
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08-13-22 | Phillies v. Mets UNDER 6 | 0-1 | Win | 101 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Phillies (Nola) @ Mets (DeGrom) 7:10 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Under 6.0 (5*) This total is extremely low for good reason. Aaron Nola has recorded a brilliant 2.24 ERA/0.94 WHIP in 11 road starts this season. The Phillies bullpen has registered a dominating 1.83 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. The Phillies have gone under in each of their last 4 and there was a combined average of only 4.5 runs scored per game. Jacob DeGrom has looked spectacular in his 2 starts since returning from a season long injury. During those outings DeGrom had a 2.53 ERA/0.47 WHIP while striking out 18 in 10 2/3 innings pitched. The Mets have allowed 2 runs or fewer in each of its previous 6 games. I’m not going to let this low of a total scare me away. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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08-13-22 | Padres v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Padres (Darvish) @ Nationals (Sanchez) 7:05 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Over 8.5 (5*) Yu Darvish has been much better at home than on the road this season. During 11 road starts Darvish has compiled an uninspiring 4.37 ERA. The Padres have played 7-2 to the over in their last 9 games. San Diego has averaged 10.0 runs scored and 13.7 hits per game throughout their previous 3 outings. San Diego is currently a massive money line favorite of -315. Darvish has pitched 10-2 to the over since the start of last season whenever San Diego was a money line favorite of -200 or more and there was a combined average of 10.9 runs scored per game. Anibal Sanchez has made 4 starts this year and posted a terrible 7.65 ERA/1.65 WHIP while averaging only 5.0 innings pitched per outing. The Washington bullpen has a combined 6.14 ERA/1.77 WHIP over their previous 7 games and that qualifies as not getting it done. The Nationals have played 6-1-2 to the over in their last 9 games. Washington has also played 26-9 to the over in the month of August since the start of last season. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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08-13-22 | Seahawks v. Steelers -3.5 | 25-32 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Seahawks @ Steelers Game# 125-126 Play On: Steelers -3.5 (5*) Since the start of the 2017 NFL preseason slate, Pittsburgh has gone 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home when the point-spread was +4.0 to -4.0 under current head coach Mike Tomlin, and they outscored those opponents by an average of 8.2 points per contest. During that identical span, the Steelers were 6-1 SU at home. What pushed over the edge on this pick was I like Pittsburgh’s quarterback rotation of Mitch Trubisky, Kenny Pickett, and Mason Rudolph far more than Seattle’s Geno Smith, Drew Locke, and Jacob Eason. Give me the Steelers minus the points. |
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08-10-22 | Pirates +141 v. Diamondbacks | 6-4 | Win | 141 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Pirates (Keller) @ Diamondbacks (Bumgarner) 9:40 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Pirates +141 (5*) Arizona will enter tonight’s game on a 3-game win streak. They’ve won 4 in a row just once that season and that time it occurred during the first week of May. As a matter of fact, Arizona has gone 0-5 in their last 5 immediately after winning 3 straight games. The Diamondbacks Madison Bumgarner isn’t a shell of the dominant starting pitcher he once was. The Arizona bullpen has a lofty 5.04 ERA over its last 7 games. Mitch Keller has strung together 5 consecutive quality starts. During that stretch, Keller compiled a 1.14 ERA. The Pirates bullpen has a solid 3.48 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. Give me the Pirates as a money line underdog. |
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08-10-22 | Guardians v. Tigers OVER 8 | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Guardians (Civale) @ Tigers (Hutchinson) 7:10 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Over 8.0 (5*) Aaron Civale has pitched 5-1 to the over on the road this season with a large 7.67 ERA/1.63 WHIP. Cleveland has played 7-3 to the over in their last 10 and that includes 3-0 over during its previous 3 road games. Detroit has played 8-1-3 to the over during its last 12 at home. Drew Hutchinson has pitched 3-1-1 to the over at home in 2022 with a 4.50 ERA/1.54 WHIP. The Tigers bullpen has an awful 7.66 ERA/2.02 WHIP over their last 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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08-10-22 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 7 | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Marlins (Alcantara) @ Phillies (Syndergaard) 7:05 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) Miami has been anemic offensively for a prolonged stretch. Specifically speaking, the Marlins have scored 3 runs or fewer in each of its previous 9 games. That includes scoring a combined 3 runs over their previous 5 games versus Philadelphia. The Marlins Sandy Alcantara is arguably the best starting pitcher in baseball right now. Alcantara has a brilliant 1.88 ERA/0.94 WHIP in 22 starts this season while averaging an extremely impressive 7.3 innings pitched per outing. He’s also pitched 3-0 to the under versus the Phillies with a 2.45 ERA in 2022. The Marlins bullpen has a cumulative 1.45 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. Noah Syndergaard has pitched 6-1-1 to the under in his last 8 starts with a respectable 4.03 ERA/1.32 WHIP. The Phillies have allowed 2 runs or fewer in 7 of its last 10 games. Philadelphia has witnessed 3 of their 4 home games versus Miami go under the total this season. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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08-09-22 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8 | 5-7 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Rangers (Perez) @ Astros (Urquidy) 8:10 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) Jose Urquidy has pitched 3-0 to the under in his last 3 starts with a 1.31 ERA/0.71 WHIP while averaging 6.6 innings pitched per outing. The Houston bullpen has a microscopic 0.54 ERA over their previous 7 games. The Astros have played 7-1 to the under during iits last 8 and allowed an average of just 2.0 runs per game. Houston is coming off a 1-0 loss to Cleveland in their previous game. The Astros have played 10-1 to the under this season following a game in which there was a combined 3 runs or fewer scored. Martin Perez has returned to good form after going through a temporary rough patch. During his last 3 starts, Perez posted a 1.35 ERA/1.00 WHIP and averaged 6.7 innings pitched per outing. Perez will be facing a Houston lineup which has averaged hitting 1.37 home runs per game this season. Texas has played 7-0 to the under on the road this season when facing teams that average 1.25 or more home runs per game. The Rangers have averaged a wee 3.0 runs scored per game throughout their previous 7 outings. These teams have played 9-1-1 to the under this season and that includes 4-0 under in games played in Houston. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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08-07-22 | Braves +130 v. Mets | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Braves (Strider) @ Mets (DeGrom) 4:10 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Braves +130 (10*) The Braves were swept in a doubleheader yesterday at Citi Field and now find themselves 5.5 games behind the first place Mets in the NL East Division standings. If there’s such a thing as urgency in a game being played in the first week of August, then Atlanta possesses it. Furthermore, Atlanta has gone an unscathed 12-0 this season following losses in each of their last 2 and won by a decisive margin of 4.3 runs per game. Conversely, the Mets are 0-3 in 2022 immediately after sweeping a doubleheader. Spencer Strider has quietly put together a solid rookie campaign thus far while posting a 3.30 ERA/0.97 WHIP in 12 starts. He’s been especially good over his last 7 starts while posting a shiny 2.29 ERA/0.93 WHIP. During that stretch, Strider recorded 61 strikeouts in 35 1/3 innings pitched. Jacob DeGrom will be making just his 2nd start of the season since returning from injury. He was exceptional during his 2022 debut while allowing 1 earned run on 3 hits over 5.0 innings of work versus last place Washington (36-73). Things will get much tougher versus an Atlanta (64-45) team with plenty of offensive firepower. DeGrom will also be on a pitch count as he eases his way back into the rotation. That’s concerning considering the Mets bullpen has a sizable 6.75 ERA while also allowing 7 home runs in 24.0 innings throughout their previous 7 games. Give me the Braves as a money line underdog. |
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08-06-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Rockies (Senzatela) @ Diamondbacks (Kelly) 8:10 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Arizona -1.5 (+130) Arizona is coming off yesterday’s come from behind 6-5 win over Colorado. That now makes them 6-1 in their last 7 at home. Conversely, since the start of last season, Colorado is an abysmal 43-88 on the road and that includes 23-62 (.271) when facing righthanded starting pitchers. Antonio Senzatela has an uninspiring 5.83 ERA/1.94 WHIP over his last 5 starts. Colorado is 0-6 on the road this season when Senzatela is their starting pitcher and his 6.16 ERA/1.70 WHIP during those outings was a key contributing factor to that futility. The Colorado bullpen has recorded an awful 7.78 ERA/2.00 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Merrill Kelly has been terrific over his last 3 starts while registering a 0.43 ERA and he averaged 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Kelly is 2-0 versus Colorado this season with a 1.15 ERA/0.96 WHIP in 15 2/3 innings pitched. Kelly is also the author of 6 consecutive quality starts. The Diamondbacks bullpen has a brilliant 2.10 ERA/0.97 WHIP in their last 7 games. Give me the Diamondbacks on the run line. |
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08-06-22 | Braves v. Mets -125 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Braves (Fried) @ Mets (Scherzer) 7:10 PM ET Game# 957-958 (Game 2-DH) Play On: Mets -125 (5*) The Mets are coming off last night’s 9-6 loss to Atlanta. New York has gone an outstanding 29-9 this season following a loss in their previous game. Furthermore, the Mets are 13-2 at home this season following a home loss in their previous game. Max Scherzer has exhibited very good form over his last 3 starts with a 1.83 ERA/1.07 WHIP and averaged 6.6 innings pitched per outing. During his lone start versus Atlanta this year, Scherzer allowed just 1 earned run on 3 hits while striking out 6 9 and walking none. Scherzer is 15-2 in his team starts since the start of last season when facing a division opponent. Throughout their previous 7 outings, the Mets have averaged 6.0 runs scored per game with a .319 team batting average, .366 OBP, and smacked 13 home runs. Give me the Mets on the money line. |
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08-06-22 | White Sox -115 v. Rangers | 0-8 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
White Sox (Kopech) @ Rangers (Dunning) 7:05 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: White Sox -115 (5*) Dan Dunning has displayed poor form over his last 4 starts while posing a lofty 5.30 ERA/1.87 WHIP in those outings. Texas has gone a dismal 5-15 this season when Dunning was their starting pitcher. The Rangers are a money-draining 2-11 in their last 13 games when facing teams with a winning record. The Rangers bullpen has a sizable 5.02 ERA and issued 15 walks in 28 2/3 innings during their last 7 games. Michael Kopech has a solid 3.12 ERA/1.20 WHIP in 19 starts this season. The White Sox bullpen hasn’t allowed an earned run throughout its previous 7 games. Chicago has been better on the road (29-23) than at home (25-29) in 2022. Give me the White Sox on the money line. |
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08-05-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -123 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Rockies (Marquez) @ Diamondbacks (Bumgarner) 9:40 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Diamondbacks -123 (5*) Since the start of last season, Colorado has gone an awful 43-87 (.331) on the road and includes 17-34 (.333) this season. Colorado is coming off yesterday’s 7-3 win at San Diego. However, the Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 following a win and lost by a decisive margin of 5.7 runs per game and they’re 4-12 in their previous 16 overall. Madison Bumgarner has a stellar 3.03 ERA in 11 home starts this season. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 at home. The Arizona bullpen has a sparkling 2.39 ERA during its previous 7 games. Give me the Diamondbacks on the money line. |
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08-05-22 | Pirates +139 v. Orioles | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Pirates (Keller) @ Orioles (Kremer) 7:05 PM ET Game# 925-926 Play On: Pirates +139 (5*) Dean Kremer has displayed terrible form over his last 3 starts with an 8.57 ERA/1.83 WHIP. Mitch Keller has exhibited very good form over his last 4 starts while registering a shiny 1.80 ERA. The Pirates bullpen has an impressive 2.16 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. The Pirates are coming off a 3-game sweep of NL Central Division leader which sets up an extremely profitable betting angle shown below. Any MLB team playing in an inter-league and is coming off a 3-game sweep of a division opponent has gone a terrific 42-14 (75%) since 2018, 21-4 (84%) since 2020, and 4-0 in 2022. Give me the Pirates as a money line underdog. |
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08-05-22 | Nationals +1.5 v. Phillies | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
Nationals (Gray) @ Phillies 7:05 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Nationals +1.5 (-115) (5*) Kyle Gibson has struggled mightily in his last 3 home starts while recording a large 8.79 ERA and allowed 6 home runs during only 14.3 innings pitched. The Phillies bullpen has a terrible 1.71 ERA/1.57 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. Josiah Gray is 7-2 in his road team starts this season with a very good 2.45 ERA/0.99 WHIP. Without Gray as their starting pitcher, Washington is an abysmal 12-29 on the road. Furthermore, Gray has gone an extremely profitable 6-1 this season a a money line road underdog of +150 or greater. Since the start of last season, Gray is a perfect 6-0 in his road team starts versus National League teams that average 4.5 or more runs scored per game. Heading into today, Philadelphia is averaging 4.6 runs scored per game. |
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08-04-22 | Raiders v. Jaguars OVER 30.5 | 27-11 | Win | 100 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
Raiders vs. Jaguars 8:00 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Over 30.5 (5*) This total opened at 33.5 and has since dropped to 30.5 with the number of tickets and amount of money bet heavily favoring the under. Public bettors have been made aware that 5 of the last 6 and 7 of the previous 9 Hall of Fame Games played in Canton, Ohio have gone under. As a matter of fact, according to my NFL preseason handicapping software that tracks totals back to 1999, this current number is the second lowest for a Hall of Fame Game. The lowest came in the Giants/Texans 2002 Hall of Fame Game which closed at 29.0. Furthermore, since 1999, there has been 10 totals of 34.5 or less in Hall of Fame games, and 7 of those went over the total. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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08-04-22 | Braves v. Mets -115 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Braves (Wright) @ Mets (Carrasco) 7:10 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Mets -115 (5*) Kyle Wright has shown very good form in recent starts. However, since the start of last season, Wright is 0-2 in his team starts versus the Mets with a 8.00 ERA/1.89 WHIP, and both appearances were at Citi Field in New York. The Braves are coming off yesterday’s 3-1 home loss to Philadelphia. Atlanta is 4-11 this season immediately following a game in which a combined 4 runs or fewer were scored. The Mets enter this game having gone a red-hot 8-1 in their last 9 and averaged 5.9 runs scored per game. Speaking of red-hot, Carlos Carrasco has been in terrific form over his last 5 starts while recording a 0.90 ERA, and the Mets went 5-0 in those games. Carrasco has made 1 start versus Atlanta this season a pitched 8.0 innings of scoreless baseball. During their previous 7 games, the Mets bullpen has a solid staff 3.00 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Mets are an outstanding 44-23 (.657) when facing right-handed starting pitchers this season. New York is also an extremely profitable 33-13 (.717) this season when facing fellow NL East teams. Give me the Mets on the money line. |
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08-03-22 | A's v. Angels UNDER 7 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Oakland (Kaprielian) @ Angels (Ohtani) 9:38 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) James Kaprielian has displayed good form over his last 5 starts while recording a 1.93 ERA/1.00 WHIP. The Oakland bullpen has been stellar over its last 7 games with a staff 2.70 ERA/0.80 WHIP. Oakland has played 7-1 to the under during their previous 8 away games. Shoei Ohtani has a dominating 2.25 ERA/0.90 WHIP throughout his last 8 starts. The Angels bullpen has a sparkling 2.16 ERA/1.12 WHIP during their previous 7 games. The Angels have played 6-2 to the under in their last 8 games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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08-02-22 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Cubs (Thompson) @ Cardinals (Wainwright) 7:45 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Under 8.5 (-115) (5*) The Cubs have played 9-1 to the under in their last 10 this season immediately after an off day. The Cardinals have played 8-2 to the under in their last 10 immediately following an off day. The Cubs have gone under the total in 6 of its last 7. Chicago has also gone over the total in only 5 of their previous 24 games played. Keegan Thompson has pitched 5-2 to the under in his last 7 starts with a 2.74 ERA/1.17 WHIP. The Cubs bullpen has a terrific 1.21 ERA as a staff in their last 7 games and converted on all 3 of its save opportunities. Adam Wainwright has pitched 3-0 to the under in his 3 starts versus the Cubs since the start of last season with a 1.23 ERA/0.86 WHIP and averaged 7.3 innings pitched per start. Wainwright has made 9 home starts in 2022 with a shiny 2.01 ERA/ 1.08 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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08-02-22 | Diamondbacks v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks (Gallen) @ Guardians (McKenzie) 7:10 PM ET Game# 981-982 Play On: Under 7.5 (-105) (5*) Tristen McKenzie has been in terrific form over his last 5 starts with a 1.34 ERA/0.83 WHIP. The Cleveland bullpen has an excellent 0.95 ERA/0.88 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Zac Gallen has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts with a 1.45 ERA/0.64 WHIP. As a matter of fact, Gallen has been solid all season with a 3.32 ERA/1.02 WHIP in 19 starts. The Diamondbacks bullpen has recorded a brilliant 1.73 ERA/1.07 WHIP over their last 7 games. Arizona has gone over the total in just 3 of its previous 12 games. Arizona is coming off yesterday’s 6-5 loss at Cleveland in a game that went over the total of 9.0. The Diamondbacks have played 6-1-3 to the under in their last 10 after going over during its previous game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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08-02-22 | Reds v. Marlins -130 | 2-1 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Reds (Ashcraft) @ Marlins (Garrett) 6:40 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Marlins -130 (5*) Graham Ashcraft has a terrible 6.93 ERA/1.99 WHIP over his last 5 starts. The Reds will be facing Miami lefthander Braxton Garrett today. Cincinnati is a poor 11-19 this season when facing lefthanded starting pitchers. Miami has gone a very profitable 22-10 this season when their money line is -100 to -150. The Marlins are also an extremely profitable 22-8 this season when facing National League teams that allow 5.0 or more runs per game. Heading into today, Cincinnati is allowing 5.3 runs per game in 2022. Braxton Garret has a very good 3.18 ERA and 0.88 WHIP throughout his previous 3 starts while striking out 26 batters and walking 4 in 17.0 innings pitched. Give me the Marlins on the money line. |
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07-31-22 | Cubs v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Cubs (Sampson) @ Giants (Rodon) 7:08 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) The Cubs have gone under the total in their last 5 and there was only a combined average of 6.0 runs scored per game. The Cubs Adrian Sampson has seen each of his previous 4 starts go under the total while registering a solid 3.09 ERA/1.20 WHIP while doing so. The Cubs bullpen has a very good staff 1.61 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. The Cubs had their 6-game win streak ended on Thursday, but they bounced back with a win a night later. Chicago has played 10-0 to the under this season after winning 5 or 6 of its last 7 games. The Cubs are also 9-1 to the under this season when facing a National League lefthanded starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.20 or better. Carlos Rodon has been strong in 8 home starts this season with a 2.05 ERA. Rodon has also seen 4 of 5-day game starts in 2022 stay under and his 2.32 ERA/1.00 WHIP in those outing was a huge contributing factor to those low scoring affairs. The Giants have averaged a mere 2.4 runs scored per game during its previous 8 outings. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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07-31-22 | Rangers v. Angels -112 | 5-2 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Rangers (Dunning) @ Angels (Detmers) 4:07 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Angels -112 (5*) Dane Dunning has gone 0-3 in his last 3 team starts with a sizable 6.40 ERA/1.98 WHIP. Furthermore, Dunning is an abysmal 0-10 in his road team starts this season with a lofty 5.33 ERA/1.66 WHIP. Dunning has made 3 starts versus the Angels this season and had an unimpressive 5.06 ERA/1.63 WHIP and allowed 4 home runs in 16.0 innings pitched. The Rangers bullpen has registered an uninspiring 4.69 ERA/1.43 WHIP over its last 7 games. Ross Detmers has been in excellent form over his last 3 team starts while posting a 1.06 ERA/0.94 WHIP during those outings. Heading into Saturday’s action, the Angels bullpen has recorded a solid 2.84 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. Give me the Angels on the money line. |
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07-31-22 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 9-3 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
Mets (Walker) @ Marlins (Lopez) 1:40 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) Tijuan Walker has seen all 7 of his daytime starts go under the total in 2022 while racking up a dominating 0.57 ERA and averaging a healthy 6.7 innings pitched per outing. Walker has a glittering 1.83 ERA /0.86 WHIP while averaging 6.6 innings pitched per start during his 3 appearances versus Miami this season. Pablo Lopez has a very good 1.37 ERA/087 WHIP in his 4-career home starts versus the Mets and averaged 6.6 innings pitched per outing. The Marlins have hit only 5 homers in their last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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07-31-22 | Phillies -1.5 v. Pirates | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Phillies (Nola) @ Pirates (Brubaker) 1:35 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Phillies -1.5 (+100) (5*) The Pirates J.T. Brubaker has a lofty 4.84 ERA/1.57 this season in 5 daytime starts. Through games played on Friday 7/29, Pittsburgh had lost 5 in a row. Additionally, Pittsburgh scored 2 runs or fewer in 5 of its last 7 games. Aaron Nolan has been outstanding over his last 5 road starts with a 1.41 ERA/0.78 WHIP in those outings. Nola has also shown great form over his last 9 starts overall with a 2.73 ERA, a 65:7 strikeout to walk ration, and he averaged 7.3 innings pitched per outing. Philadelphia began the weekend on a modest 3-game win streak. Give me the Phillies on the run line. |
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07-31-22 | Brewers v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Brewers (Ashby) @ Red Sox (Winckowski) 1:35 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Over 9.5 (5*) Aaron Ashby is 0-5 in his last 5 road team starts with an awful 8.50 ERA/2.16 WHIP. Heading into Saturday’s game, Milwaukee had averaged a robust 6.4 runs scored per game throughout their previous 8 outings. Milwaukee has stayed under the total in only 36.8% of their 68 games when facing a righthanded starting pitcher. The Brewers have also hit 104 home runs in those 68 situations and averaged an excellent 1.53 homers per game. Boston heading into the weekend having gone a dismal 7-18 over their previous 25 and they allowed an alarmingly high 6.8 runs scored per game during that stretch. Obviously, their pitching has been atrocious for just shy of a month. It doesn't figure to get much better with Josh Winckowski on the mound. The Red Sox hurler is 0-3 in his last 3 team starts with a 9.00 ERA/1.71 WHIP and surrendered 5 homers in 14.0 innings pitched. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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07-31-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
Diamondbacks (Kelly) @ Braves (Fried) 1:35 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Merrill Kelly has displayed dominating form over his last 3 starts while collecting a 1.29 ERA/0.76 WHIP and averaged 7.0 innings pitched per outing. It should come as no surprise when pointing out that all 3 of those games went under the total. As a matter of fact, Kelly has pitched 6.0 innings or more during each of his last 9 starts. Kelly is also 7-2 in his road team starts this season with a more than respectable 3.18 ERA/1.14 WHIP. Conversely, Arizona has gone a terrible 11-25 on the road whenever Kelly wasn’t their starting pitcher. Heading into the weekend, the Arizona bullpen had a sparkling 2.25 ERA/1.00 WHIP during its previous 7 games. As of games played through Friday 7/29, Atlanta had played 12-2 (83%) to the under in their last 14 at home. Max Fried has a stellar 2.73 ERA/1.09 WHIP in 12 home starts this season while averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Braves bullpen has a shiny 1.08 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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07-30-22 | Dodgers v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Dodgers (Kershaw) @ Rockies (Freeland) 8:10 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Over 11.0 (-106) (10*) Despite this game being played at Coors Field, this is an extremely high total for a game in which Clayton Kershaw is one of the starting pitchers. They’re begging you to take the under in this matchup and I’m not falling for the bait. Truth be told, Kershaw has made 1 start both this year and last at Coors, and he posted a terrible 10.24 ERA/2.48 WHIP during those 2 outings. Kershaw does possess a sparkling 2.49 ERA this season. However, Colorado has played 23-6 to the over since the start of last season when facing a National League starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.70 or less. Since 2019, Kyle Freeland is 1-5 during his home team starts versus the Dodgers with a 7.10 ERA/1.55 WHIP and he allowed 7 home runs in 31 2/3 innings pitched. The Dodgers won Game 2 of this series last night 5-4 and it went under the total of 11.5. The Dodgers have played 6-1 to the over during their last 7 following an under in its previous game, and there was a combined average of 12.3 runs scored per occurrence. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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07-29-22 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Braves | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks (Bumgarner) @ Braves (Wright) 7:20 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Arizona +1.5 (-110) (5*) Since 2013, Madison Bumgarner is a perfect 5-0 in his team starts at Atlanta with a microscopic 0.26 ERA. The veteran lefthander has made 2 starts versus Atlanta this season and registered a stellar 2.50 ERA/0.89 WHIP while averaging 6.0 innings pitched per outing. The Arizona bullpen has a shiny 2.14 ERA/0.95 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Arizona enters this series having won 6 of their last 7 and averaged a healthy 6.0 runs scored per game and a terrific team on-base-percentage of .351. The Diamondbacks will be facing an Atlanta team which has dropped 3 of their last 4 and were outscored in those games by a cumulative score of 25-13. Give me Arizona on the run line. |
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07-29-22 | Brewers -1.5 v. Red Sox | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Brewers (Woodruff) @ Red Sox (Bello) 7:10 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: Brewers -1.5 (+100) (5*) Brayan Bello has made 3 starts this season and all have come since 7/6. During those 3 outings Bello posted an alarmingly high 10.50 ERA/2.50 WHIP. The Red Sox bullpen has an awful 8.10 ERA/1.80 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. Despite yesterday’s 4-3 win over Cleveland, Boston is still a dismal 5-15 in their last 20 games and includes 1-7 during its previous 8. On the other hand, Milwaukee enters today having won 5 of its previous 6 games and they scored 6 runs or more in all 5 wins. The Brewers last played on Wednesday when they recorded a 10-4 win over Minnesota. Since the start of last season, Milwaukee has gone an extremely profitable 25-9 on the road immediately following a win by 4 runs or more. Brandon Woodruff has displayed good form over his last 5 starts while collecting a 2.20 ERA/1.05 WHIP during that stretch. Give me the Brewers on the run line. |
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07-29-22 | Phillies v. Pirates +110 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Phillies (Falter) @ Pirates (Quintana) 7:05 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Pirates +110 (5*) Bailey Falter has exhibited terrible form over his last 3 starts with a 6.73 ERA/1.54 WHIP while allowing 4 home runs in just 13.0 innings pitched. The Phillies bullpen nearly squandered an 8-2 ninth inning lead before holding on for an 8-7 win. Nonetheless, Philadelphia relievers have a cumulative 7.22 ERA/1.73 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games which is certainly a cause for concern. Jose Quintana is coming off an outstanding start against Miami in which he pitched 7.0 innings of scoreless baseball. Quintana is 6-1 during his team starts this season following a start in which he allowed 1 earned run or less. The Pirates outscored the opposition in those 7 games by an average of 2.3 runs per outing. The Pirates are a very profitable 7-1 at home this season immediately following a game in which they allowed 8 runs or more. Give me the Pirates on the money line. |
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07-29-22 | Mets v. Marlins +110 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Mets (Bassitt) @ Marlins (Alcantara) 6:40 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Marlins +110 (5*) Chris Bassitt has pitched very well at the friendly confines of Citi Field. However, over his last 5 road starts Bassitt has compiled a sizable 7.09 ERA/1.50 WHIP and allowed 8 home runs in only 26 2/3 innings pitched. The Mets are coming off an emotional 2-game series sweep over their crosstown rival the New York Yankees. Now they travel to take on a Marlins team that customarily plays before home crowds of less than 15,000 spectators. I look for there to be a bit of a mental hangover for the Mets on Friday. Sandy Alcantara is unequivocally a serious National League CY Young candidate. During his last 5 starts alone, Alcantara registered a brilliant 1.42 ERA while averaging an extremely impressive 7.6 innings pitched per outing. The Miami hurler will be facing a New York team that’s averaging only 0.34 stolen bases per game. Alcantara has gone 11-2 in his team starts this season when facing teams which average 0.50 or fewer stolen bases per game. Additionally, Alcantara has a sparkling 1.66 ERA/0.79 WHIP in 10 home starts and averaged an eye-popping 7.6 innings pitched per outing. Give me the Marlins on the money line. |
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07-27-22 | Rays v. Orioles +101 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
Rays (Rasmussen) @ Orioles (Wells) 7:05 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Orioles +101 (5*) Baltimore will face righthander Drew Rasmussen this evening. Rasmussen has averaged 4.9 innings per outing over 16 starts. The Orioles are 15-6 this season when facing a starting pitcher who averages only 5.0 or less innings per outing. Speaking of Rasmussen, he owns a shaky 1.54 WHIP in 9 road starts this season. The Rays enter today on a 4-game losing streak and averaged a mere 2.3 runs scored per game during that stretch. Tampa Bay has gone a dismal 1-7 in their last 8 on the road and the 3 opponents (Reds, Royals, Orioles) they faced have a combined season record of 125-165 (.431). The Rays are a poor 2-6 at Camden Yards this season. With yesterday’s win, the Orioles improved their season record to 49-48 which moved them above Boston and out of last place. Baltimore has now gone 14-4 over their last 18 games. The Orioles have also gone an extremely profitable 11-2 in their previous 13 at home with their lone defeats coming versus the AL East leading New York Yankees. Baltimore has scored 5 runs or more in 6 of its last 7 games. The Orioles bullpen has been superb all year and throughout their previous 7 games compiled a brilliant 1.34 ERA. Give me the Orioles on the money line. |
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07-26-22 | Astros v. A's UNDER 7 | 3-5 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Houston (Garcia) @ Oakland (Montas) 9:40 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Under 7.0 (-130) (5*) Luis Garcia has pitched 6-2 to the under in his 8 road starts this season with a stellar 2.05 ERA/0.97 WHIP. Houston has seen each of their last 2 games go over the total. However, the Astros have played 8-1 to the under in their last 9 this season following back-to-back overs. As a matter of fact, they’ve gone over the total in 3 straight games only 3 times in 2022. Oakland has also gone over in each of their previous 2. The A’s have played 11-3 to the under this year following back-to-back overs. Frankie Montas has pitcher 10-1 to the under at home this season with a sparkling 2.44 ERA/1.03 WHIP and that includes 8-0 under during his last 8 at home. Montas has a brilliant 1.50 ERA/0.83 during his last 4 starts overall. Furthermore, Montas has pitched 11-1 to the under this season whenever the total was 7.0 or less and there was a combined average of 5.5 runs scored per game. Oakland has averaged a mere 2.9 runs scored per game during Montas’ 17 starts in 2022. The A’s bullpen has an impressive 2.86 ERA throughout their previous 7 games which is far better than its overall season numbers. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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07-25-22 | Rockies v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Rockies (Freeland) @ Brewers (Ashby) 8:10 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Over 8.5 (+100) (5*) Kyle Freeland has exhibited poor form over his last 3 starts while recording a 8.44 ERA/1.56 WHIP. The Rockies has a lofty 5.00 ERA/1.51 WHIP on the road this season. So, pitching at Coors Field can’t be used as an excuse in this instance for Colorado relievers. Colorado is coming off yesterday’s 10-9 loss to Milwaukee. The Rockies have played 15-6 (71%) to the over this season following a game in which they allowed 8 runs or more. The Brewers bullpen has been shaky over its last 7 games with a staff 7.45 ERA and allowed an alarmingly high 7 home runs in 29.0 innings. Milwaukee has witnessed the first 3 games of this series all going over the total with a combined average of 14.3 runs scored per outing. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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07-25-22 | Guardians +101 v. Red Sox | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Guardians (Plesac) @ Red Sox (Pivetta) 7:10 PM ET Game# 7:10 PM ET Play On: Guardians +101 (5*) Boston has allowed 67 runs and 77 hits over the last 5 games. As a matter of fact, the Red Sox were outscored during that stretch 67-12, and that was the worst run differential by an MLB team throughout a 5-game stretch since 1899. Nick Piveta has been in pathetic form throughout his previous 3 starts while posting a massive 13.50 ERA and 2.25 WHIP. The Red Sox bullpen has been brutal over its last 7 games with a staff 10.85 ERA/2.15 WHIP. The Guardians are averaging 6.0 runs scored per game with a .318 team batting average and an excellent .367 on-base-percentage during its previous 7 outings. The Guardian bullpen has an impressive 2.49 ERA/0.87 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. Give me the Guardians on the money line. |
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07-25-22 | Guardians v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Guardians (Plesac) @ Red Sox (Pivetta) 7:10 PM ET Game# 7:10 PM ET Play On: Over 9.5 (+100) (5*) Cleveland has played 6-0-1 to the over in their last 7 and there was a combined average of 10.0 runs scored per game. The Guardians are averaging 6.0 runs scored per game with a .318 team batting average and an excellent .367 on-base-percentage during its previous 7 outings. The Red Sox have allowed an eye popping 13.4 runs scored per game during its last 5. Nick Piveta has been in pathetic form throughout his previous 3 starts while posting a massive 13.50 ERA and 2.25 WHIP. The Red Sox bullpen has been brutal over its last 7 games with a staff 10.85 ERA/2.15 WHIP. Boston has played 11-3 to the over throughout their previous 14 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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07-25-22 | Braves -1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Braves (Fried) @ Phillies (Suarez) 7:05 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Braves -1.5 (-109) (10*) Rangers Suarez has made 2 starts versus Atlanta this season and was highly ineffective in both. During those 2 outings, Suarez posted a 7.36 ERA/1.64 WHIP in 11.0 innings pitched. The Phillies bullpen has posted a lofty 5.56 ERA over their last 7 games. Philadelphia enters today having lost their last 3 and 7 of its previous 10 games. Atlanta is coming off yesterday’s 9-1 home loss to the Angels. However, the Braves have gone 10-0 in their last 10 following a loss and outscored their opponents by an average of 4.3 runs per game. As a matter of fact, Atlanta hasn’t lost 2 consecutive games since 6/18. Since the start of last season, Atlanta has gone an extremely profitable 41-14 as a money line road favorite of -125 or greater. Max Fried is 6-1 in his road team starts this season with a terrific 2.51 ERA/0.79 WHIP and averaged 6.7 innings pitched per outing. The current total on this game is 8.0. Fried is a superb 21-3 in his team starts since last season whenever there was a total of 8.0 or 8.5. Give me the Braves on the run line for a Top Play. |
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07-24-22 | Astros v. Mariners UNDER 7 | 8-5 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Astros (Valdez) @ Mariners (Ray) 1:35 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) Lefthander Robbie Ray has made 7 quality starts in a row. During that stretch Ray has compiled an excellent 1.36 ERA/0.76 WHIP and averaged 6.6 innings pitched per start. The Mariners bullpen has a sparkling 1.97 ERA/1.03 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Seattle has seen their last 4 games all go under the total (6.0 RPG). Framber Valdez has displayed terrific form during his 10 road starts this season while recording a 1.86 ERA/0.95 WHIP and averaged 6.6 innings pitched per start. Valdez has made 3 starts versus Seattle since the start of last season and posted a 0.90 ERA/0.80 WHIP while averaging 6.7 innings pitched per outing. Houston has played 27-9 (75%) to the under in day games this season. The Astros have gone under in 7 of its last 8 and there was a combined average of 6.4 runs scored per game. Houston has also played 23-8 (74%) to the under in 2022 when facing left-handed starting pitchers. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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07-24-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
Guardians (Bieber) @ White Sox (Cease) 2:10 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Under 7.5 (-120) (5*) Shane Bieber is 2-0 during his team starts versus the White Sox this year while allowing just 2 earned runs in 15.0 innings pitched, struck out 14, and walked none. Bieber has displayed good form over his last 3 starts with a 0.97 WHIP and averaged 6.7 innings pitched per start. Heading into Saturday’s action, the Guardians bullpen staff had a terrific 1.78 ERA/0.75 WHIP over the last 7 games and recorded just shy of a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Dylan Cease has gone 6-1 during his last 7 teams starts with a 0.65 ERA. Cease is 10-2 this season in day game starts with a very impressive 1.30 ERA and struck out 91 batters during 69 1/3 innings pitched. The White Sox bullpen has been lights out throughout their last 7 games with a staff 1.04 ERA/0.92 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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07-24-22 | Cardinals -131 v. Reds | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -131 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
Cardinals (Mikolas) @ Reds (Mahle) 1:40 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Cardinals -131 (10*) We have the better starting pitcher and bullpen in Sunday’s matchup of NL Central foes. Miles Mikolas has been as consistent as they come in 2022 while posting a 2.54 ERA/0.96 WHIP throughout 19 starts. Mikolas has also been a workhouse while averaging 6.3 innings pitched per start over those 19 outings. The Cardinals hurler has gone 25-8 in his career team starts during day games. St. Louis has gone an extremely profitable 32-14 this season as a money line favorite of -110 or greater. Furthermore, since the start of last season, the Cardinals are 30-10 as a money line road favorite of -110 or greater and won by 2.3 runs per game. Cincinnati is a dismal 5-23 this season when facing National League teams that allow 4.0 or fewer runs scored per game, and they outscored by a decisive 3.0 runs per outing. Tyler Mahle has gone 1-9 in his home team starts this season with a lofty 1.51 WHIP while doing so. The Reds bullpen is atrocious and can’t be trusted. Give me the Cardinals on the money line for a Top Play wager. |
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07-24-22 | Marlins v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
Marlins (Alcantara) @ Pirates (Keller) 1:35 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Under 7.5 (-110) (5*) Sandy Alcantara has pitched 4-0 to the under in his last 4 starts with a brilliant 1.12 ERA/0.75 WHIP and averaged 8.0 innings pitched per start. This is nothing new for Alcantara who possesses a 1.76 ERA/0.90 WHIP during his 17 starts in 2022. Alcantara has also pitched 24-9 (76%) to the under in his career team starts versus opponents with a losing record. Mitch Keller has been very good over his last 2 starts while allowing only 1 earned run in 13.0 innings pitched. One of those outings came at Miami in which he allowed 1 earned run on 5 hits during 7.0 innings of work. Heading into the weekend action, the Pirates had scored 2 runs or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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07-24-22 | Yankees -1.5 v. Orioles | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
Orioles (Kremer) @ Yankees (Cortes) 1:35 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Yankees -1.5 (-110) (5*) This will be the first start of the season for Dean Kremer against the Yankees. However, Kremer was 0-3 in his team starts a season ago versus the Bronx Bombers with a large 8.03 ERA/1.95 WHIP. He also surrendered 5 home runs in only 12 1/3 innings pitched during those 3 outings. Since the start of last season, Baltimore has gone 13-59 versus American League teams that average 4.9 or more scored per game, and they were outscored by an average of 3.3 runs per outing. Nestor Cortes has been outstanding in his day game starts with a 6-1 team record and 1.86 ERA/0.80 WHIP. Cortes has made 3 career starts versus Baltimore and had a dominating 1.06 ERA/0.88 WHIP while striking out 30 batters in 17.0 innings pitched. Heading into Saturday’s slate, the Yankees were averaging 7.3 runs scored per game while smacking 16 home runs throughout their previous 7 games played. Give me the Yankees on the run line. |
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07-23-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Rangers (Hearn) @ A’s (Kaprielian) 9:07 PM ET Game# 979-980 Play On: Over 7.5 (-105) (5*) Taylor Hearn has been in terrible form throughout his previous 7 starts while recording a 6.75 ERA/1.83 WHIP. Since last season, Hearn has made 3 starts against Oakland and with a 6.39 ERA during those outings. The Texas bullpen has an uninspiring staff 5.40 ERA/1.69 WHIP over their last 7 games. Texas has played 11-4 to the over during its previous 15 games. Texas has played 19-9 (9.7 RPG) to the over this season when facing teams like Oakland (-1.2 RPG) who are being outscored by 0.5 or more runs per game. James Kaprielian has made 2 unimpressive starts versus Texas in 2022 which is evidenced by him allowing 7 earned runs in just 9.3 innings pitched. Both games went over the total. The Oakland bullpen has been shaky at home this season with a staff 4.89 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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07-23-22 | Angels v. Braves -1.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Angels (Sandoval) @ Braves (Wright) 7:20 PM ET Game# 981-982 Play On: Braves -1.5 (-105) (5*) Patrick Sandoval has a deceiving 3.86 ERA over his last 4 starts. I say deceiving because during that identical stretch, the Angels lefthander collected a poor 1.76 WHIP which surely points to him escaping disaster on more than a few occasions. The Angels are 1-9 during its last 10 away games. Los Angeles is also 0-4 in their last 4 and 2-13 during its previous 15 games overall. Los Angeles is also an abysmal 5-29 this season as a money line underdog of +100 or greater and were outscored by a sizable average of 2.7 runs per game. Kyle Wright is 4-0 in his last 4 teams starts with a sparkling 2.16 ERA/1.12 WHIP and averaged 6.3 innings pitched per outing. Additionally, Wright is 11-0 in his team starts this season whenever there was a posted total of 8.5-10.0 and Atlanta won by 2.3 runs per game. The current total on this game is 8.5. The Braves are a very profitable 23-9 this season when facing left-handed starting pitchers and hit a noteworthy 54 home runs in those games. |
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07-23-22 | Padres v. Mets -1.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Padres (Snell) @ Mets (Bassitt) 7:10 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Mets -1.5 (+145) (5*) The Mets are coming off last night’s 4-1 home loss to the Padres. It marked their 2nd straight loss. Nevertheless, New York has gone a red-hot 14-1 this season immediately following a home loss. The Mets are also an extremely profitable 6-1 this season after losing each of its previous 2 games. Chris Bassitt has been outstanding in 9 starts at Citi Field this season while recording a 3.12 ERA/1.04 WHIP and averaged 6.4 innings pitched per outing. Bassitt is 31-11 in his career team starts as a money line favorite of -110 or greater, and those 42 opponents averaged just 2.9 runs scored per game. The Mets bullpen has a shiny 2.70 ERA/1.11 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Blake Snell is 0-5 in his away team starts in 2022 with a lofty 5.85 ERA/1.65 WHIP. During his lone start versus the Mets this season, Snell allowed 5 earned runs on 7 hits and walked 3 in just 4.0 innings pitched. The Padres bullpen has been shaky of late while registering a staff 4.50 ERA/1.55 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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07-23-22 | Cubs v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Cubs (Stroman) @ Phillies (Wheeler) 6:05 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) The Cubs won 15-2 at Philadelphia last night in a game that easily went over the total. However, the Cubs have played 16-5 to the under in their last 21 after going over in their previous game. Conversely, Philadelphia has played 6-0 to the under in their last 6 following an over during its previous game. Despite yesterday’s 15-run scoring output, the Cubs have scored 3 runs or fewer in 13 of its last 16 games. This will be the first start of the season made against Philadelphia by Marcus Stroman. The veteran right-hander made 4 versus the Phillies last season and was dominant during those appearances. Stroman posted a combined 1.89 ERA, and all 4 games went under the total. Furthermore, in 5 starts on the road this year, Stroman has compiled an excellent 1.24 ERA/0.79 WHIP. The Cubs bullpen has a cumulative 2.30 ERA/1.14 WHIP throughout its last 7 games. Philadelphia continues to struggle offensively having scored only 30 runs in their last 10, including 1 game where they scored 10 runs, and that means the Phillies averaged a mere 2.2 runs in the other 9 games. Zack Wheeler has been excellent in 9 home starts this season with an 1.62 ERA/0.84 WHIP and averaged 6.2 innings pitched per outing. Marcus Stroman has a 1.15 WHIP in 11 starts this season. The Phillies have played 19-6 to the under since the start of last season when facing a National League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Conversely, Zack Wheeler has a 1.08 WHIP in 17 starts this season. The Cubs have played 9-1 to the under on the road this season when facing a National League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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07-23-22 | Blue Jays -128 v. Red Sox | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Manoah) @ Red Sox (Crawford) 4:10 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Blue Jays -128 (5*) Kutter Crawford has made 3 career starts at Fenway Park with a sizable 8.18 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. The Red Sox bullpen heading into this weekend’s action having posted a large 7.22 ERA and 1.8 WHIP. As a matter of fact, Boston has allowed 6.7 runs per game during its previous 13 outings. Additionally, Boston has averaged 2.9 runs scored per game, recorded a paltry .194 team batting average, and a horrible .230 on-base-percentage. The Red Sox are a miserable 12-27 in division games this season. Alek Manoah has made 4 career starts versus Boston with a 1.80 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. Heading into the weekend’s action, the Blue Jays bullpen has a stellar 1.54 ERA and 0.77 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. During that identical stretch, Toronto hitter have compiled an excellent .320 team batting average and .352 on-base-percentage. Give me the Blue Jays on the money line. |
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07-22-22 | Astros v. Mariners +114 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Astros (Urquidy) @ Mariners (Gonzalez) 10:10 PM ET Game# 925-926 Play On: Mariners +114 (10*) The Astros are coming off yesterday’s doubleheader sweep against their bitter rival New York Yankees. Nonetheless, Houston is 0-3 in their last 3 following wins in each of their previous 2 games. Now the Astros head on the road to take on the hottest team in baseball that hasn’t played since last Sunday. Seattle has won 14 consecutive games as well as going a tremendous 22-3 during their previous 25. Jose Urquidy is 0-3 during his 3 team starts versus Seattle this year with a massive 10.38 ERA and 2.62 WHIP. Urquidy also has a lofty 5.20 ERA in 10 road starts this season. Marco Gonzalez has been tough in 3 starts versus Houston this season with a 2.56 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. The Mariners bullpen has a superb 2.20 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in their last 7 games. You may be surprised to know that Seattle is 11-7 at home versus Houston since 2020 and includes 4-2 in 2022. Give me the Mariners as a Top Play money line wager. |
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07-22-22 | Guardians v. White Sox -1.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Guardians (Quantrill) @ White Sox (Giolito) 8:10 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: White Sox -1.5 (+140) (5*) Cal Quantrill has gone an abysmal 7-25 in his career team starts as a money line underdog of +100 or greater. The Guardians has gone a terrible 1-7 during its previous 8 road games. Quantrill has a sub-standard 5.84 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in his 2 starts this year versus the White Sox. You can make a strong case that the White Sox have been the most underachieving team in baseball thus far. Nonetheless, they won 5 of their last 6 prior to the all-star break and will carry that momentum into tonight. The same could be said for Lucas Giolito’s first half of the season. However, since the start of last season, Giolito has recorded a dominating 0.57 ERA during his 5 starts against Cleveland. Giolito will be supported by a White Sox bullpen which has registered a brilliant 0.45 ERA during their previous 7 games. Give me the White Sox on the run line. |
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07-22-22 | Yankees v. Orioles +142 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Yankees (Taillon) @ Orioles (Wells) 7:05 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Orioles +142 (5*) The Yankees were swept in a doubleheader at Houston yesterday. Conversely, the Orioles haven’t played since last Sunday. Prior to the all-star break Baltimore went 11-2 during their last 13 games and won 8 straight at Camden Yards. The current total on today’s game is 9.0. Baltimore has gone an extremely profitable 10-4 at home this season whenever there was a total of 9.0 or 9.5. The Yankees Jamison Taillon has been in poor form over his last 4 starts with a 6.75 ERA. The usually reliable Yankees bullpen has hit a snag of late and that’s evidenced by a staff 5.19 ERA throughout their last 7 games. New York has lost its last 3 on the road and is 3-7 overall throughout its previous 10 games. Tyler Wells has pitched extremely well in his 3 starts versus the Yankees this season while posting a stellar 2.57 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. The Baltimore bullpen has been outstanding over its last 7 games with a staff 1.88 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. Give me the Orioles as a money line underdog. |
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07-22-22 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Cardinals (Wainwright) @ Reds (Ashcroft) 6:40 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Over 10.0 (-110) (5*) This would seem to be a very high total in a game in which Adam Wainwright is a starting pitcher. However, after careful examination that large number is justified. Since 7/9/19, Wainwright has made 4 starts at Cincinnati while compiling a huge 10.18 ERA and 2.04 WHIP during those outings. The veteran righthander has also struggled over his last 3 road starts overall with a 6.48 ERA. The Cardinals bullpen has a lofty 1.52 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. On a positive note, St. Louis has scored 6 runs or more in 5 of its last 6 games. Graham Ashcraft has displayed poor form over his last 3 starts with an 8.10 ERA, 2.18 WHIP, and lasted only 4.4 innings pitched per outing. It’s well documented that the Reds bullpen is among the worst in baseball. The Reds have amassed 10 hits or more in 5 of their last 7 games. Cincinnati has gone over the total in their last 4 and there was a combined average of 12.3 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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07-16-22 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-14 | Win | 100 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
Red Sox (Pivetta) @ Yankees (Taillon) 7:15 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: Over 8.5 (10*) Nick Pivetta has been brutal during his last 2 starts while allowing 13 earned runs in 9.0 innings pitched. Pivetta has made 2 starts versus the Yankees this season and recorded a large 10.00 ERA and 1.89 WHIP. Boston has played 6-2 to the over in their last 8 and there was a combined average of 10.6 runs scored per game. James Taillon has been in poor form over his previous 4 starts with a 8.57 ERA, 2.38 WHIP, and surrendered 7 home runs in just 21.0 innings pitched. Taillon was tagged for 6 earned runs in 5.0 innings in a game at Fenway Park just last week. The usually reliable Yankees bullpen has been shaky of late with a staff 5.72 ERA throughout its last 7 games. The Yankees have played 7-1 to the over during its last 8 games and there was a combined average of 13.1 runs scored per game. |